Latest / INSIGHT TODAY / Why Arctic security has suddenly become a priority for Europe
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: European leaders are meeting in Finland to discuss the future
- 0:03Speaker 1: of the EU's presence in the Arctic region. The two-day
- 0:07Speaker 1: summit in Finland's far north underscores the growing competition for
- 0:11Speaker 1: influence in the Arctic. New shipping routes are opening up
- 0:15Speaker 1: due to global warming, which is melting Arctic ice. Countries
- 0:21Speaker 1: are also vying for vast raw material deposits, while increased
- 0:27Speaker 1: Russian and Chinese military activity is fueling security concerns. The
- 0:31Speaker 1: 12 European countries taking part in the summit urged the
- 0:35Speaker 1: EU to beef up its military presence following threats from
- 0:38Speaker 1: Russia and from U.S. President Donald Trump. And we can
- 0:43Speaker 1: now talk to Andreas Oesthagen. He's a research director on
- 0:48Speaker 1: Arctic and ocean politics at the Frithjof Nansen Institute, an
- 0:51Speaker 1: independent research foundation in Oslo. Andreas, why are so many
- 0:56Speaker 1: European leaders suddenly paying attention to the Arctic? What has changed?
- 1:01Speaker 2: Because the Arctic is changing.
- 1:04Speaker 3: The Arctic is one of the parts of the planet
- 1:06Speaker 3: where we see climate having the most effect or climate
- 1:09Speaker 3: change occurring the fastest. Not only that, but we also
- 1:13Speaker 3: see an interest in resources in the Arctic. And on
- 1:16Speaker 3: top of that, Russia is extremely dependent on the Arctic,
- 1:19Speaker 3: not only for resource development, but also for its security,
- 1:22Speaker 3: its nuclear weapons, basically. So the combination of climate change
- 1:27Speaker 3: resources and Russia's insecurities and dependencies is why we're talking
- 1:33Speaker 3: about the Arctic even more these days.
- 1:35Speaker 1: You mentioned Russia there. Russia's military footprint in the Arctic
- 1:39Speaker 1: continues to grow despite the war in Ukraine. How worried
- 1:42Speaker 1: should Europeans be about the Arctic becoming a new arena
- 1:47Speaker 1: of confrontation between NATO and Russia? Or is this already happening?
- 1:52Speaker 3: It is already happening. We are already at that stage.
- 1:56Speaker 3: We should be quite worried about what's happening in the Arctic,
- 1:59Speaker 3: in our Arctic. I mean, the Arctic is a It's
- 2:01Speaker 3: a vast space. It's 4% of the planet is the Arctic,
- 2:04Speaker 3: everything above the Arctic Circle. And the European parts of
- 2:08Speaker 3: the Arctic is where Russia has its nuclear weapons, its submarines,
- 2:11Speaker 3: its bomber planes, its ballistic missiles. And it's where Sweden,
- 2:15Speaker 3: Finland and Norway have to border those weapons, deal with
- 2:20Speaker 3: Russian behavior and deal with unpredictability of the Putin regime.
- 2:24Speaker 2: So we should be rather.
- 2:25Speaker 3: Worried about intentional escalation in the Arctic from Russia or
- 2:30Speaker 3: or mishaps that might occur when Russia is increasing its
- 2:33Speaker 3: military activity up north.
- 2:36Speaker 1: Now, Finland's Prime Minister, Petteri Oppo, has told reporters, echoing
- 2:42Speaker 1: what you say, he said, we have natural resources, we
- 2:45Speaker 1: have new sea routes because of climate change, but we
- 2:48Speaker 1: also have threats, and that's why we need concrete actions.
- 2:52Speaker 1: What could these concrete actions be?
- 2:57Speaker 3: I wonder that myself sometimes with these summits and these statements,
- 3:00Speaker 3: but But I'm assuming what he means is that European allies, Germany, France,
- 3:07Speaker 3: the UK, Poland, have to look more north. Germans have
- 3:11Speaker 3: to train more in the Arctic to know how to
- 3:14Speaker 3: ski and walk on ice and basically operate in the
- 3:18Speaker 3: cold weather and deal with the problems of technology also
- 3:22Speaker 3: operating in that same space.
- 3:24Speaker 2: So there's one practical.
- 3:25Speaker 3: Element to it, and it's basically being able to be
- 3:28Speaker 3: present in the Arctic. if we need to have more
- 3:33Speaker 3: activity up north. And then on top of that, I
- 3:35Speaker 3: think it's awareness. I think the European Union for too
- 3:39Speaker 3: long has been ignoring the Arctic. It's been talking about
- 3:41Speaker 3: the Arctic as a climate change issue, which it is,
- 3:44Speaker 3: but it's also much more. It also relates to everything
- 3:47Speaker 3: else from Russia to China's increased interest. India is increasingly
- 3:51Speaker 3: talking about the Arctic. So the EU and EU states
- 3:55Speaker 3: also need to understand what's happening in the Arctic.
- 3:58Speaker 2: So I think there's an awareness issue also going on.
- 4:02Speaker 1: Now, despite being more than 1,000 kilometres, 1,500 kilometres actually,
- 4:09Speaker 1: away from the Arctic Circle, China calls itself a near-Arctic
- 4:13Speaker 1: state and is steadily expanding its commercial presence in the region.
- 4:17Speaker 1: Is the Arctic heading towards a great power competition on
- 4:21Speaker 1: the scale we see in the Indo-Pacific, maybe?
- 4:25Speaker 3: Yes. I think that undoubtedly we are already heading towards
- 4:31Speaker 3: something similar. And the Arctic is a rather vast space,
- 4:35Speaker 3: as I already said. So we're actually talking about different arenas.
- 4:38Speaker 3: China is increasingly wanting to invest in the Russian Arctic
- 4:42Speaker 3: and is also operating militarily and with its coast guard
- 4:45Speaker 3: in the North Pacific or the part where the Pacific
- 4:48Speaker 3: becomes the Arctic. That's not the European Arctic. We don't
- 4:51Speaker 3: see Chinese ships sailing around Norway or even Greenland, even
- 4:55Speaker 3: though Donald Trump has said something different. So we're seeing
- 4:59Speaker 3: Chinese activity and interest increasing in certain parts of the Arctic.
- 5:03Speaker 3: And then I think you can add on to that,
- 5:05Speaker 3: as I said, India's growing interest in the Arctic. The
- 5:08Speaker 3: United Arab Emirates is talking about the Arctic.
- 5:11Speaker 2: This doesn't mean an immediate.
- 5:12Speaker 3: Conflict between these countries, but it means that more and
- 5:15Speaker 3: more great powers or countries that aspire to become great powers,
- 5:20Speaker 3: they want to have Arctic policies, they want to have
- 5:22Speaker 3: Arctic research stations, they want to invest in the North,
- 5:25Speaker 3: and they might even sail their military vessels further.
- 5:27Speaker 2: Up north.
- 5:28Speaker 3: And all of this is causing more concern and more
- 5:32Speaker 3: troubles for the Arctic countries themselves. That's why Finland's prime
- 5:35Speaker 3: minister hosted this summit.
- 5:38Speaker 1: Now, you are studying Arctic politics every day. Now, what
- 5:42Speaker 1: is the single biggest misconception that European leaders still have
- 5:47Speaker 1: about the Arctic?
- 5:50Speaker 3: I should be saying that penguins exist in the Arctic,
- 5:52Speaker 3: but But that's just a joke.
- 5:54Speaker 2: They're only in the Antarctic.
- 5:55Speaker 3: No, I think the single biggest misconception is that the
- 5:59Speaker 3: Arctic is, as I said already, one space. That in
- 6:03Speaker 3: that one space, China is investing alongside Russian submarines, alongside.
- 6:09Speaker 2: Say, Norwegian NATO troops.
- 6:11Speaker 3: But this notion that the Arctic is rather vast, rather big,
- 6:15Speaker 3: and that Europe has a big chunk of the Arctic,
- 6:17Speaker 3: a big component of the Arctic is European.
- 6:20Speaker 2: That's where we, the EU.
- 6:22Speaker 3: European states can make a difference, but that's not necessarily
- 6:25Speaker 3: Greenland or it's definitely not Alaska, which is a whole
- 6:28Speaker 3: different part of the Arctic. I think this tendency to
- 6:31Speaker 3: look at the Arctic as just one small part of
- 6:34Speaker 3: the world that is primarily frozen, I think that's the
- 6:37Speaker 3: biggest problem. I think there's much more nuance and there's
- 6:40Speaker 3: much more geography to it. We need to look at
- 6:42Speaker 3: the map and study that a bit more closely.
- 6:46Speaker 1: Andreas Östhagen there from the Fridtjof Nansen Institute. Many thanks
- 6:50Speaker 1: for sharing your expertise with us.
- 6:53Speaker 2: Thank you.