Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 88 - 8/1/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 88 - 8/1/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 88 of the All Systems Go sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Thirsty Thursday, happy 1st day of August, but most
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importantly, guys, the long wait is over.
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NFL is back, baby. That's right.
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We have the Hall of Fame game here tonight.
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Anytime you get to the Hall of Fame game, guys, it's always a
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Seminole moment in the sports betting calendar because it
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means the dog days of summer are over fall not quite there, but
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it means that football season is back.
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So we for the first time on the all systems Gopod are able to
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talk NFL betting. My favorite sport overall to bet
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on. And yes, I do have a bet for you
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on the Hall of Fame game tonight.
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So we're going to talk about kind of First off, get our our
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brains thinking about betting a spread sport like football once
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again, thinking about spreads and totals.
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You know, ironically, I do have a money line bet tonight, but
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not as many money lines. But then also thinking about key
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numbers and really in particular how to bet the preseason,
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because when it gets to the preseason, I think there's one
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or two ways to go and I'll maybe I'll talk about it now or I'll
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wait when we get to the the game breakdown.
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But you got to pick a position. Either you're going to go all in
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and bet the preseason and you know, focus your attention on
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information based bets or you're not going to make a single
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preseason bet. I think you can't just pick and
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choose here or there. I think you either got to be
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dialed in completely or layoff and say I'm not going to bet
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until week one when it becomes the regular season.
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So I'm of the position of betting the pre season because I
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think there's a great opportunity here to make money
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and build our bankroll and get a little momentum going into week
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one of the regular season. And also if you talk to sharp
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bettors, they love betting pre season.
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Like you're going to hear from a lot of people on Twitter, your
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friends, your family who don't bet on sports.
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What a crazy degenerate you are. You're betting pre season.
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Are you crazy? No, we're not crazy.
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And how do we know we're not crazy?
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Because pro bettors love pre season because again, you can
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take advantage of information based bets.
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This is the only time of year where coaches are going to come
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out and rate pretty much just tell you what they're going to
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do. Oh, I'm going to, you know, sit
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most of my guys. Oh, they're going to play a
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series. Oh, it's going to be mostly
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younger guys tonight. Again, when it comes to regular
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season, they're not going to give away an inch any any
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secrets, nothing to, you know, kind of, you know, give the
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other team a leg up or let them know what they're doing pre
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season. The games don't matter, but we
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still have bets that matter that we can cash on.
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So that being said, I got a bet for you tonight, Houston Chicago
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Bears, a sharp data-driven bet, an information based bet.
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And also we're not going to give up on baseball, even though
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football is back in our lives. Still got three MLB bets for you
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today, guys, including a very short favorite as well as two
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dogs. So, so we can eke out a profit
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here on episode 88 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting pod
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powered by Rhythm. Now looking back to her last
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night, we achieved our goal. Remember what I said last night?
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I said, hey, we got 3 bets, can we get two out of three, go two
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and one eke out a profit? That's exactly what we did 2 and
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1 + 0.77 units. We got the Red Sox.
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That was a heck of a sweat. Socks were up, then they were
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down, then they were tied. They got out of the very, very
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sweaty 10th inning able to walk it off on a Raphael Devers hit.
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Bottom of the 10th. So big win by the Sox.
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And then I love seeing a fade the trendy dog play come through
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with the fathers. Two nights in a row.
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The Padres came through for us. Remember, majority of bets
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they're on. And again, I get it.
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How do you not take Dodgers plus money?
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But here's the thing, when you're a data-driven better, you
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don't bet based on gut instinct, bias, favoritism.
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You bet on what the market is telling you.
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So even though the Dodgers were getting a majority of bets, we
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saw the line move to the Padres -120 to -130 so good winner
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there with the fathers. Ironically and surprise to me,
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LA Angels Colorado 2 to one game.
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Who would have thought? Two bad pitchers, 2 bad
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bullpens, decent offenses. I didn't expect that one to sail
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way under 2 to one. But that's OK cuz you make 3
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bets, you go two and one week doubt a profit.
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Getting about 3/4 of a unit last night.
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So let's see if we can keep it rolling into tonight.
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So I want to start off with the NFL.
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Of course we do have NFL back in our lives and I got a bet for
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you. So let's set the stage on this
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game. I'm going to tell you which
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direction I'm going. So a little background here.
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These are a couple teams that I believe in the dog days of the
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summer when we didn't really have much to talk about, we hit
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on a couple win totals. So I did have a play here or a
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couple plays ironically on both teams.
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Let's start with the Texans. By the way, tonight's game is
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8:00 annual Hall of Fame game in Canton, OH.
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It's going to be pretty much every TV channel, ABCESPN, so no
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matter where you turn, you'll be able to watch this one.
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Anyway, little background. Then we'll talk about the bet
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for tonight. Texans 10 and seven.
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Last year they won the AFC S. They beat the Browns 4514 in the
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wild card round, got rolled by the Ravens 3410 in the
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divisional round. Their win total, which I'm on
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the over 9 1/2, we talked about this few, few weeks ago, but
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that 9 1/2 is juiced up over -140 great low bets, higher
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dollars bet, bet split. A lot of great offseason
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additions for the Texans. Of course, none of them are
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going to play tonight, no Stefan Diggs, no CJ Stroud, but that's
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what we're seeing across the market.
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Over 9 1/2, smart money with the Texans, Chicago Bears, 7:00 and
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10:00 last year. Obviously they make a bunch of
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big offseason editions. Caleb Williams, Roma Dunze, they
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got a bunch of free agents, Keenan Allen, they just signed
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DJ Moore to a big deal. Their win total for this year, 8
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1/2 deuced up heavily to the over -165.
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I'm also on the over 8 1/2. Now in terms of tonight's game,
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this is where I think playing a information based game and
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looking at betting data is critically important.
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So the big story for tonight's game is a dog to fave line move.
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We open this game again, this. Remember this is a neutral site
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and they're not going to see a lot of starters.
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There going to be a ton of backups.
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More on that in a second. So no CJ Stroud, no Caleb
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Williams again, all the mate, you're not going to recognize a
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lot of names outside of maybe the quarterbacks here, which
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again, that's important. Important too.
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So we'll get to that in a second, but look, just throw the
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names away. What is the market doing for
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this game? Well, we open this game.
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Chicago Bears, a very short 1 1/2 point neutral site favorite.
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It is now flipped to Houston -2 So right off the bat, what's one
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thing I've taught you guys, hopefully at this point,
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listening to the all systems Gopod, it's that we love dog to
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fave line moves. Will every single dog to fave
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line move win? Of course not.
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But majority of the time they're going to come through for you.
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Why? Because it takes a lot of
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respect and money to basically flip the designation of who
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should be favored to win the game.
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So Chicago or let's focus Houston here.
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They went from plus 1 1/2 getting a point in half.
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It's now laying two points. So they went from a dog to a
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favorite that would match a sharp dog to fave line move in
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their direction. And if you guys remember
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yesterday we mentioned this game, I said, hey, I'm most
7:12
likely going to be on Houston. I just want to see the late
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movement, you know, if this came back down to a pick or, you
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know, back down toward Chicago, it'd be a much more difficult
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handicap. But from yesterday to today,
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it's actually further smart money on Houston.
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Houston was -1 1/2 yesterday. Now they're -2 So this line is
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continuing to move further in favor of the Texans.
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And that's what we love seeing that game day steam.
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When limits are raised, bigger bets come in.
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So we have game day steam. We have dog to fave line move
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toward the Texans. Let's get to the bet splits
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here. 65% of bets, 74% of money money, money money on the
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Houston Texans. That is a good low bets, higher
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dollars bets split. Now you could say to yourself,
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Josh -2 at -110 juice, right? Take the spread.
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I go money lines, especially when it's a short spread,
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especially in pre season games. And I'll tell you why.
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Hopefully the Houston Texans win by you know, three or more That
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way you no matter what number you play at with them, you're
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going to win. But this game it's sloppy.
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There's a lot of backups. There's a lot of backup, you
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know, field goal kickers. So you tend to see some one
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point wins here and there. Maybe you missed an extra point.
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Maybe there's a crazy safety. Again, weird things happen in
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these games because you're getting a lot of backups playing
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who probably aren't going to play in the NFL this year.
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So if I in a weird like let's think of it this way, if I bet
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Houston -2 and they win by one, I could not sleep at night like
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I would, I would just beat myself up over that.
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And this is something that I used to do when I was very early
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on in betting. And then kind of a light went on
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and I said, hey, I'm always going to money line short
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favorites, so I'm going to go money line with Houston.
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That's my bet tonight. I'm on the Texans dog to fave
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line. Move on the money line at -135
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and I'll tell you another reason why historically money line
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chalk has been a really smart bet in this situation in the
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Hall of Fame game favorites the last 20 years.
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This is a very big sample size. They're 12 and five straight up
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71 percent, 18% ROI. Now you may be asking yourself,
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Josh, that's twenty year sample 12 and five only adds up to 17.
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What's up with those three years?
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Well, remember, one year was COVID, one year was the lockout,
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One year, if you remember, this is I forgot one.
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That was 20/11/2014. Whenever it was, the field
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conditions were terrible. So they they couldn't play the
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game because it was like basically playing on cement.
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So we've seen this edge toward favorites historically, which
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matches with Houston, matches the dog to fave line move toward
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Houston, good bet split toward Houston.
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And then here's where I think you want to kind of make
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information based bets looking at quarterback depth charts
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really, really important here because you're not going to get
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Caleb Williams, you're not going to see just Trout.
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So who's going to play tonight at quarterback?
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Well, let's start with the the Houston Texans.
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They're probably going to go with David Davis Mills.
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I remember he was a draft pick a few years ago, the Mac Jones
10:00
year. Case Keenum, Tim Boyle.
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Now are any of these quarterbacks amazing?
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No, but they're veterans. They've been in the league a
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long time. Tim Boyle actually has some
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really good pre season stats. Case Keenum, long term veteran.
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On the opposite side, Chicago, Tyson Baigent, Brett Rippen and
10:17
a rookie Austin Reed. So on the one hand, we have
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veterans who've been there done that, played a lot of pre season
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also battling for a position versus Chicago where you got
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basically younger rookies, not much experience or rookies and
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and younger players. So I'm going to also put the
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check mark in favor of Houston here in terms of getting you
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know more or we're putting out signal callers who have more
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experience and have been in this position before.
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I think that's another advantage.
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The quarterback depth chart for Houston tonight.
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Now in terms of the total, it definitely has fallen.
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It open at 33. It's down to 31.
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If you're make gun to my head and you're making me play it, I
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will lean under majority of bets like 60% are on the ovary at
10:56
this total fell. But there isn't a huge, you
10:59
know, edge historically like the under is 9:00 and 8:00 last 17
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Hall of Fame games. But I did see some buyback on
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the over. Like when I woke up this
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morning, that total of 33 was down to 30 1/2.
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Now it's back up to 31, and I see one book at 31 1/2.
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So if you're betting the under, now you're kind of getting the
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worst of it and you're going up against some buyback.
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So, you know, in a weird way, I would rather this total be down
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to like 29 1/2. I'd feel more comfortable
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betting the under because at least even though I'm not
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getting the best price, it's clear there's no buyback.
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I have seen some buyback with maybe some sharps taking that
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over 30 / 30 1/2 because again, it's now back up to 31, 31 1/2.
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So that's enough for me to lay off the total.
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I just want nothing to do with that total.
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That buyback scared me a little bit.
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So here's my first bet of the year guys.
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You're welcome to join me if you want.
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If you're like Josh, I enjoy listening to your pod, but
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you're crazy and I don't want to bet pre season.
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I respect you there too, but I'm going with the Texans to win
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this game on the money line at -135 keep on cruising.
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Now, let's talk about some Major League Baseball 'cause even
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again, I mentioned this, but even though football's back in
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our lives, can't give up on baseball, my first true love and
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the sport that I love grinding each day throughout the long
12:14
season. SO3 bats for you.
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Let's start off with the first one, Baltimore Orioles and the
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Cleveland Guardians. Could this maybe be the AL
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Championship series? Who knows?
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Two really good teams. Baltimore comes in 65 and 44.
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They just took three or four against the Toronto Blue Jays.
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Cleveland Guardians 65 and 42. They just swept the two game
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series against Detroit. So pitching match up here for
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tonight. We have Trevor Rogers going for
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the Orioles. They just picked him up in a
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deadline deal from the Mariners. He's two and 94.5 through ERA.
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He'll be opposed by Ben Lively for Cleveland.
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He's nine and six with a 3.44 ERA.
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So what have you seen across the market here?
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Well, this is a very short number, but it reminds me kind
12:57
of a little bit of the Red Sox game yesterday where it wasn't a
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huge move, but it moved slightly toward the contrarian side.
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So what I'm talking about is the Cleveland guardians.
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I'm going guardians here, guys, shop around this game open at
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basically a pick em. It was around -1 O 5 -, 110 both
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sides. We've seen the line move really
13:16
only toward Cleveland. Cleveland's up to -110 -, 115 at
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some shops. So again, it's not a massive
13:22
move, but the line is moving toward Cleveland and a really
13:26
good bet split here because the the tickets are even.
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And again, this is a hard game to cap.
13:30
You tell me like Baltimore, you tell me like Cleveland.
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I'm really not going to argue with you.
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In a vacuum, both teams are really good.
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It's basically a coin flip, but the bet splits are much better
13:38
in favor of Cleveland. Cleveland's only getting 49% of
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bets but 66% of money. So half the tickets, 5050 line
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move low bets higher dollars, and the lines going toward the
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low bets higher dollars team, which is Cleveland.
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So I'm gonna go Cleveland here. Shop around.
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You can maybe still get Cleveland -110 they're as high
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as -115 I was able to get a -, 110.
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I'd love to see this thing get closer to -120 which would be a
14:04
good sign that late movement is breaking toward the Guardians.
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Cleveland is 2 and one head to head against the OS Cleveland
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also has a rest first tired advantage because Cleveland was
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off yesterday and the Baltimore Orioles were at home and were
14:18
against Toronto. So again, rest first tired,
14:20
Cleveland off, Baltimore played. Now Baltimore has to travel.
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That's an advantage to Cleveland.
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Also, Cleveland as a favorite this year, they're 47 and 2169
14:30
percent, 20% ROI. That's the best chalk team in
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baseball. And when they are playing a
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really good opponent, when they're favorite against the
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team with an above 500 record, they're 12 and 475%.
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I'm also going to bank on Cleveland's bullpen.
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Is Kimbrel still the closer for for Baltimore?
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If he is, hopefully that's a good thing because the Cleveland
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bullpen is really good. 2.47 ERA.
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The number one bullpen in baseball.
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Baltimore's more middle of the pack. 3.86 ERA.
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We add it all up here, guys. We have a 5050 split, but slight
15:04
movement toward Cleveland. More money on Cleveland, rest
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advantage. Good situation in terms of a
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chalk play. Cleveland #1 chalk play in
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baseball. Oh, I forgot to add this.
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Ben Lively on the road. 3.99 ERA at home, 2.66 So hopefully it's
15:18
an advantage toward Cleveland. And again, hopefully the bullpen
15:22
locks it down. So I'm going with the guardians,
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guys, shop around. I got guardians -110 you might
15:27
be looking closer to a -, 115 keep on cruising.
15:30
Let's see if we can get a dog to bark.
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Let's go to Wrigley Field. Saint Louis Cardinals against
15:35
the Chicago Cubs, big match up here in the National League
15:39
Central. Cardinals come in 56 and 52.
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Cardinals just took two or three against Texas Cubs 52 and 58.
15:46
They just dropped two of three against Cincinnati.
15:49
So pitch match up here for tonight.
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We have couple good starters. Sonny Gray going for the
15:54
Cardinals, the righty veteran 10 and six 3.79 ERA and shota and
15:59
managa big pick up from Japan, lefty 8 and two 2.95 ERA.
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So what are you seeing across the market here?
16:07
Well, Lions moving towards Saint Louis, I'm going to take the
16:10
plus money. Hopefully you can still find
16:12
plus money with the Cardinals because this game opens with the
16:15
Chicago Cubs around a -, 120 home favorite.
16:18
We've now seen the Cubs down to -115 -, 110.
16:22
So again, similar to the Cleveland game, it's not a
16:24
massive 1020 cents team move, but the line's going away from
16:28
Chicago towards Saint Louis. And why is that important?
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Because the public is going with the Cubs and Inmanog at home.
16:34
Currently 57% of bets are going with the Cubs.
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Yet again, this line is falling towards Saint Louis.
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So this tells me we have a reverse line move on Saint
16:43
Louis. They're only getting 43% of
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bets, yet the line is moving in their favor.
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Also divisional dog, two teams from the same division.
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Typically you see that leveling of the of the playing field
16:54
because of the built in familiarity.
16:56
That also matched with Saint Louis.
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Saint Louis also head to head. They played nine games against
17:02
each other. Cardinals are six and three head
17:04
to head against Chicago. That's a good sign.
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And also I'm going to bank on Saint Louis's offense.
17:08
The Cardinals offense is hitting 247 on the year versus only 234
17:14
for the for the Cubs. Also last 10 games, Cubs only
17:18
hitting 228 Cardinals hitting 246.
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So if you give me a you know, contrarian reverse line move
17:24
divisional dog, you know, hopefully we get a good pitching
17:27
performance from Gray. Hopefully the bats of Saint
17:29
Louis come out to play tonight and they got a good head to head
17:32
to advantage. That's a good enough play for me
17:35
to take the Saint Louis Cardinals.
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So shop around guys. I was able to get the Cardinals
17:39
at plus one O 2. Some shops are plus 100 minus
17:43
one O 5. Try to get as close to even
17:46
money as you can with the Saint Louis Cardinals.
17:48
Last bite of the night. I can't believe I'm doing this,
17:51
but I'm going to hold my nose and take the Colorado Rockies.
17:54
A gross one, but it's sharp and I'm going to play it.
17:57
Colorado Rockies at the LA Angels.
18:00
This is the third game, the rubber match of the series, the
18:03
Cardinals or sorry, the Angels won the opener 6:50.
18:07
Remember, that's when we hit our over on last night.
18:09
Colorado bounced back one, two to one.
18:11
Rockies are 39 and 70, Angels 47 and 61.
18:16
But what is the market done with this game?
18:18
Well, first, let me give you the starters.
18:20
Ryan Feltner one and ten 4.99 ERA.
18:24
We're on him in a second. He may not be as bad as you
18:26
think. Knock on wood versus Carson
18:29
Fulmer, fellow righty. He's Owen 2 with a 3.77 ERA.
18:33
What have we seen across the market here?
18:34
Well, this game opened with the LA Angels around a -, 140 -,
18:39
130. Any somewhere around there
18:42
favorite at home. And we've actually seen this
18:44
line go away from the Angels down toward Colorado.
18:47
And why is that notable? Because the public is just
18:49
saying I'm going to bet against Colorado, no questions asked.
18:52
Two second handicap fade Colorado terrible record.
18:55
However, even though you're only getting or flip it this way, 70%
18:59
of bets on the Angels big public play tonight, yet the lines
19:02
falling away from the angels. So if the, you know, three out
19:05
of four bets nearly are on the angels, you know, why is this
19:08
line dropping? You know, why are the odds
19:11
makers making it a more appealing price, a cheaper price
19:14
to take the angels if the public's already hammering them
19:16
to begin with tells me we got smart money on Colorado with
19:19
some good RLM. So Colorado open this thing, you
19:22
know, getting or they getting like plus 120.
19:26
Now they're down to around plus 110 even plus one O 5.
19:30
Shop around. I was able to get a plus one O 7
19:32
for the Colorado Rockies, but a good sharp reverse line move
19:35
again, Colorado only getting 31% of bets, but the lines moving in
19:38
their favor. Also dog high total total.
19:41
This one is 9. So we always mentioned dog high
19:43
total or favorite low total in this situation.
19:46
Dog high total more expected runs scored, more variants, more
19:49
upset opportunities. In terms of Feltner, I wanted to
19:52
mention this. He's one in 10.
19:54
You know, again, but he's on a terrible team.
19:56
He's actually pitched pretty well in July, In the month of
19:59
July, Ryan Feltner has a 2.51 ERA and five starts.
20:03
He's only given up eight runs and 28.2 innings pitched.
20:07
I'm also going to bank on the offense, hopefully of Colorado
20:09
coming to play tonight. They're hitting 244 on the year.
20:13
They've scored 463 runs. The Angels are only hitting 235
20:17
with 437 runs scored. So it's gross.
20:21
This is what I like to refer to as a hazmat play.
20:24
It's so disgusting, so radioactive.
20:26
You need a hazmat suit. But I'm going to take a shot.
20:28
So hopefully the market is is right on this one and take
20:31
Colorado. So shop around.
20:33
I got the Rockies at plus one O 7.
20:36
So Colorado and Saint Louis as dogs.
20:39
Cleveland as a very short -110 -, 115 home favorite.
20:43
Can we get the Texans and then two out of three of these
20:45
baseball players. That is the goal for tonight.
20:49
That about does it for episode 88 of the All Systems Go Sports
20:52
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
20:54
Melissa is the part of the pod where I asked something of you.
20:57
Could you please help me to grow this podcast?
21:00
Refer it to a friend. But more importantly, could you
21:02
spend 2 seconds? It'll literally take you 2
21:04
seconds to give this podcast a 5 star review.
21:07
If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, should be an option
21:10
there to rate or review. Boom, five stars.
21:13
It would mean a lot to me guys. It would help me to grow the
21:15
pod, gain more recognition, recognition, rise up the charts,
21:19
gain more credibility. That would really, really make
21:21
my day. Of course, if you enjoy this
21:25
podcast because you are into the market based approach, no
21:29
parlays, no all I think I want, I hope this will happen.
21:32
Yeah, I got a 20 unit bomb. No, no, none of that.
21:35
We're grinders. We're market driven, market
21:37
driven, data-driven grinders. If this style betting appeals to
21:41
you and you want to learn more about how to be the best
21:44
data-driven better you can be guess what I wrote a book.
21:48
Go buy a copy, pick one up for you or for a friend, support the
21:51
team. All you got to do is go to
21:52
Amazon.com and type in the everything guide to sports
21:56
betting. And that is that is that's my
21:59
baby. That's my contrarian, sharp,
22:01
data-driven Bible. You're going to learn how lines
22:03
are set, how and why they move, how to read line movement, how
22:05
to locate sharp action, how to place the bet in person or
22:08
online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll
22:11
management plan, all included in the everything guide to sports
22:14
betting. So pick one up.
22:16
When I see at the sports book, I'm going to sign my book for
22:18
you. At the book, I'm going to buy
22:20
you a beer or a ginger ale, whatever you prefer.
22:23
Lastly, have you signed up for Juice Reel and Rhythm?
22:27
Well, if you haven't done it yet, today is a great day to do
22:29
it because First off, let's start with Rhythm.
22:31
They do a great job of powering this pod.
22:33
Rhythm has now live NFL projections because football's
22:38
in the air. Football is here.
22:40
I cannot wait for player props, which will be starting to
22:44
populate for week 1, but I love rhythm.
22:47
They're, you know, again, not just powering the pod, but I
22:50
believe in them. I've seen the work that they've
22:52
done. It helps you to make AI
22:54
data-driven sharp bets. So if you haven't done it yet,
22:57
now is a great time to get a 7 day free trial of rhythm.
23:00
All you have to do is click that custom link located at the top
23:03
of my profile on Twitter at Josh under score Insights or you can
23:06
just click the custom link in the bio description of this
23:09
podcast. Secondly, go sign up for Juice
23:12
Reel. Juice Reel is my second favorite
23:14
app because Juice Reel has so many great things to help you
23:17
become a sharper better. You can sync your sports books
23:20
that way when you bet at, you know, FanDuel, DraftKings bet,
23:23
MGMESPN bet Caesar's Fanatics, whoever you bet with, you place
23:28
a bet there. Once you've synced it up, it's
23:29
going to go right to Juice Reel. It's going to get a running list
23:32
and report card of your action, let you know who you are is the
23:35
better your strengths and weaknesses.
23:37
Also, it's going to give you the Robo Jackson best bet picks,
23:40
which come out at noon each day. And what I love about today is
23:43
that Robo has Texans and Robo also has Cleveland, the
23:48
Guardians. So I love seeing that overlap
23:51
with the robo Jackson hard working bot also arbitrage bets
23:55
each day, sharp mush opportunities.
23:57
Juice reel is a great app along with rhythm that take advantage
24:00
and put in your toolbox, because as data-driven betters, the more
24:03
data the better. And again, you can sign up with
24:06
those custom links. So that about does it.
24:09
Everybody. I'm very happy that NFL is back
24:12
in our lives. Let's try to go one and O and
24:14
win the Texans here tonight. And as I always like to wrap up
24:17
the pod, two things. One, whether I see you at the
24:20
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the Brook
24:24
of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut
24:27
at the Encore in Boston, or Plain Ridge Park, Casino, R.E.M.
24:30
Gym, Springfield, and my neck of the woods in Massachusetts.
24:32
Massachusetts. Or of course, out in the desert
24:35
where the true grinders get down, where Billy Walters sends
24:37
his number runners, where the lowest use possible is found at
24:39
the South Point. Or sweating sharp contrarian
24:42
plays, jumping in the stadium swim pool out at Circo.
24:44
Wherever it may be. You're gonna flash me couple
24:47
good winning tickets from last night.
24:48
Show me a Red Sox ticket. I was dripping with sweat.
24:51
Sox came through though in the 10th for US.
24:53
Show me a Padres ticket. Dad came up big last night as
24:56
well. Guess what?
24:57
First one's on me, next one's on you.
24:59
We're going to post about the book Sweatsharp.
25:01
Contrarian plays all night long. So wish you the best luck
25:04
everyone. Have a fantastic night.
25:06
Enjoy sweating football for the first time in forever since
25:09
February. And I'll leave you with this.
25:11
As always, stay sharp. Stay contrarian, bet against the
25:15
public, place yourself on the side of the house.
25:17
Always be with the smart money, never against it.
25:19
Will smart money win every time? Of course not.
25:22
No guarantees, except for arbitrage.
25:24
Those are. Those are guaranteed profits,
25:26
which Drew Shreel can help you with.
25:27
But there's no guarantees in sports betting.
25:29
There's no such thing as a lock. But here's the thing, if we stay
25:32
consistent to the model, bet with our head and not our heart,
25:35
against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
25:40
avoid parlays, get closing line value.
25:42
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
25:45
So Hallelujah, football's back. Hope you guys have a fantastic
25:48
Thursday night. And guess what, tomorrow's
25:51
Friday, so I should have some UFC action for you.
25:54
At least one bet. Hopefully that will match and
25:57
hopefully we'll we'll increase our winning streak.
26:00
Knock on wood in the UFC biting to hopefully eight in a row.
26:03
So stay tuned for that guys. I'll see you guys tomorrow.
26:05
Enjoy your thirsty Thursday. We'll be back at it tomorrow on
26:08
a big Friday for episode 89 of the All Systems Go Sports
26:12
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
26:15
Have a great day everybody. Enjoy the NFL action.