Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA DFS Process | October 21, 2026 | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All systems go.
- 0:05Speaker 2: Clear for liftoff. What is going on, everybody? Happy Wednesday.
- 0:38Speaker 2: We are back talking some hoops with my man Rio.
- 0:41Speaker 2: 11 games on tap. You go from three yesterday to
- 0:44Speaker 2: 11 today. Huge difference. FanDuel and DraftKings both decided to
- 0:48Speaker 2: include all of the games tonight. So you got 7 p.m.
- 0:52Speaker 2: Eastern all the way to 10.30 Eastern. Yeah, you're in
- 0:55Speaker 2: for the long haul if you're going to be playing
- 0:56Speaker 2: this NBA slate tonight. I do think it's a greater
- 1:00Speaker 2: edge when they do that. Obviously, a lot more work
- 1:02Speaker 2: when they do that as well, though. It's the second
- 1:05Speaker 2: day of the NBA first game for these teams, so
- 1:08Speaker 2: the injury news isn't too bad, but you never know
- 1:11Speaker 2: in the NBA. Riel, I'll throw it to you. How
- 1:12Speaker 2: are you doing today? What are your thoughts on the slate?
- 1:15Speaker 2: I'm doing good.
- 1:15Speaker 1: Yeah, slate looks fun.
- 1:17Speaker 3: We've got to definitely take advantage of these slates when
- 1:21Speaker 3: we have them because I feel like the longer the
- 1:23Speaker 3: season goes on, the more they're going to make the
- 1:25Speaker 3: slate shorter, like with those one-hour windows or maybe two
- 1:28Speaker 3: hours if we're lucky. So I'm definitely going to be
- 1:31Speaker 3: firing away tonight on this one because I think that
- 1:33Speaker 3: There's a little bit of injury news at the end.
- 1:35Speaker 1: Denny Avdija, that's basically it.
- 1:37Speaker 3: I think if we had more slates like this, it
- 1:39Speaker 3: would probably be bigger injury news late that you'd have
- 1:42Speaker 3: to wait on. I don't necessarily know if that is
- 1:44Speaker 3: going to be tonight. But Denny is a pretty big name,
- 1:47Speaker 3: so I definitely want to monitor that news. Do got
- 1:50Speaker 3: to shout out our guy Roll Tide. Last night got
- 1:52Speaker 3: second place in the $ 20.
- 1:54Speaker 1: For 50K, so shout out to him.
- 1:57Speaker 3: I don't know what his username is in our Discord,
- 2:00Speaker 3: but he had a really, really good team over there.
- 2:02Speaker 2: Yeah, you beat me to it. I was going to
- 2:04Speaker 2: shout out him as well. So shout out Roll Tide,
- 2:06Speaker 2: second place, 50 Gs. Always great to see you. What's up, Sean, Jordan,
- 2:10Speaker 2: I am Rice, Nate B, JP, Jason Turner, Parabai, Winsalot,
- 2:14Speaker 2: could be Travis, Scooter, JP, Warren, Kin Linen, Scooter again.
- 2:19Speaker 2: Great to see everybody. Hope you're having a great day.
- 2:22Speaker 2: We got no time to waste. Loving games in the
- 2:25Speaker 2: NBA is going to require a lot of work. Any
- 2:27Speaker 2: broad slate overview, anything you want to mention? Do you
- 2:30Speaker 2: think these– Guys are too underpriced just relative to– do
- 2:35Speaker 2: you think most players are underpriced on DraftKings and allows
- 2:38Speaker 2: you to build pretty balanced slash lineups you feel really
- 2:43Speaker 2: good about? Or do you think pricing is pretty efficient?
- 2:45Speaker 2: Because yesterday it was clearly underpriced for the majority of players.
- 2:50Speaker 3: Yeah, I would say there's some spots that are appropriately
- 2:52Speaker 3: priced that we'll get to. But for the most part,
- 2:55Speaker 3: it does seem like a lot of the spots are underpriced.
- 2:57Speaker 3: A lot of changes in roles that we'll talk through
- 3:00Speaker 3: as we go game by game. But yeah, kind of
- 3:03Speaker 3: the same thing as last night. I still see a
- 3:05Speaker 3: slate where I want to kind of jam in mid-tier
- 3:08Speaker 3: and like plays that I feel confident in. But there
- 3:10Speaker 3: are a handful of guys going through some of these
- 3:12Speaker 3: teams that have some pretty solid values, sub 5K and
- 3:15Speaker 3: even some of the 3K range. So I think that
- 3:18Speaker 3: there are, there's a case to be made for stars
- 3:19Speaker 3: and scrubs. You got Giannis and Luka tonight, no Jokic,
- 3:22Speaker 3: but two really, two guys with a ton of upside.
- 3:26Speaker 3: But point guard position looks really strong. Small forward has
- 3:28Speaker 3: some pretty good options. And then center has a couple
- 3:30Speaker 3: of guys and like, that dead zone range that I
- 3:32Speaker 3: really like.
- 3:34Speaker 2: I like it. Good initial breakdown, as you can see,
- 3:36Speaker 2: just sorting by salary. Luka, Giannis, and then only one
- 3:40Speaker 2: other player, Cooper Flagg, is the next highest price at $ 9, 200.
- 3:43Speaker 2: So that will lead to Giannis being pretty popular, probably
- 3:46Speaker 2: the most popular spend on this slate. We're going game
- 3:49Speaker 2: by game, though. We're going to kick it off with
- 3:51Speaker 2: the first game. How fitting. My Milwaukee Bucks taking on
- 3:54Speaker 2: the Washington Wizards. Pretty solid total in this game, sitting
- 3:58Speaker 2: at 238.5, 4.5-point favorites are the Wizards. Just going to
- 4:02Speaker 2: sort by point per dollar, obviously, on the Bucs side.
- 4:05Speaker 2: Whole new team without a– I mean, you might as
- 4:07Speaker 2: well just call it the Heat squad. I mean, Jaquez,
- 4:11Speaker 2: Kahlil Ware, Kasperis down here, and who did I miss?
- 4:17Speaker 2: I said– oh, Tyler Hero, of course. Coming over to
- 4:19Speaker 2: the Bucs without Giannis. It'll be a new-look Bucs team.
- 4:22Speaker 2: They waived KPJ, which says they're definitely confident in the
- 4:25Speaker 2: backcourt of Rollins, of Hero. They might like Kasperis a
- 4:28Speaker 2: little more than I initially thought. got berries as well.
- 4:31Speaker 2: They drafted from, from Arizona, but yeah, new look bucks
- 4:34Speaker 2: team taking on the wizard. So I think some more
- 4:37Speaker 2: appealing option probably in terms of DFS on the slate,
- 4:40Speaker 2: AD at 76, Trey young at 7,800, two guys that
- 4:43Speaker 2: seem a little underpriced on this slate, but I'll let
- 4:45Speaker 2: you take it away. First game.
- 4:47Speaker 3: Yeah, this game is definitely appealing to kick things off.
- 4:49Speaker 3: Third highest over under on the slate.
- 4:51Speaker 2: Yep.
- 4:52Speaker 3: Sweeping changes made across the rosters for both teams here.
- 4:55Speaker 3: Be the first time we see Trey young and Anthony
- 4:57Speaker 3: Davis in the regular season. Definitely prefer the Wizards side
- 5:00Speaker 3: of this game a little bit more. I think that
- 5:02Speaker 3: they could have a really potent offense this year. We
- 5:05Speaker 3: know how good AD can be when he's healthy. That's
- 5:08Speaker 3: just a matter of him staying healthy. Trae Young is
- 5:10Speaker 3: a guy that has supplied some pretty good offenses in
- 5:14Speaker 3: the past, and he has probably more offensive firepower than
- 5:17Speaker 3: he's ever had in his career, I would say. There
- 5:19Speaker 3: are some question marks around the youth of these guys,
- 5:22Speaker 3: but we know DeBansa is really good. Won't be playing tonight,
- 5:25Speaker 3: so that definitely hurts. But Keyshawn George is a guy
- 5:27Speaker 3: that they're expecting to step up. in a big way here.
- 5:30Speaker 3: Alex Sorrow was great last year. So like guys like
- 5:33Speaker 3: Kula Bali, Trey Johnson, uh, Bob Carrington. So I'm liking
- 5:37Speaker 3: what I'm seeing from Washington for sure. Um, as for
- 5:40Speaker 3: DFS goes on the Milwaukee side, really only two guys
- 5:44Speaker 3: in consideration for me.
- 5:45Speaker 1: And that's going to be the guards, Tyler Hero and
- 5:47Speaker 1: Ryan Rollins.
- 5:48Speaker 3: And if I'm choosing one, I would definitely lead with
- 5:50Speaker 3: Ryan Rollins here.
- 5:51Speaker 1: He's had a pretty solid role in the preseason. Hero
- 5:54Speaker 1: was good too.
- 5:54Speaker 3: He definitely was leading the team in usage, but, He's
- 5:57Speaker 3: going to have a much tougher matchup. I think it's
- 5:58Speaker 3: going to be one of Keyshawn George or Kula Bali
- 6:01Speaker 3: on Tyler Hero tonight, and they might have to put
- 6:05Speaker 3: Trae Young and Ryan Rollins. It's definitely a matchup we've
- 6:08Speaker 3: loved to attack in the past, so I'm definitely excited
- 6:11Speaker 3: about getting to some.
- 6:11Speaker 1: Ryan Rollins here at 6.3K.
- 6:12Speaker 3: I think it's a really good price tag in comparison
- 6:15Speaker 3: to what we saw from him last year.
- 6:17Speaker 1: That's it, though.
- 6:18Speaker 3: I want to wait and see how good or bad
- 6:20Speaker 3: this team is going to be. Never really have interest
- 6:21Speaker 3: in Myles Turner.
- 6:22Speaker 1: Kuzma, he's probably... the worst player in the league now.
- 6:25Speaker 1: I mean, it's just an absolute joke.
- 6:28Speaker 3: And Hawkeyes, I think he'll have a pretty solid role,
- 6:31Speaker 3: but probably very similar to what we saw from him
- 6:34Speaker 3: in Miami. And then Ware, too expensive. He's going to
- 6:36Speaker 3: be split in time with Miles Turner. The Washington side,
- 6:39Speaker 3: like I said, much more appealing. Trey Young at 7.8K,
- 6:42Speaker 3: I think is a really good starting point on the slate.
- 6:45Speaker 3: He had really good assist numbers in the preseason, which
- 6:47Speaker 3: we would have expected from him, but there's a really
- 6:51Speaker 3: high likelihood that he leads the NBA and assists the season.
- 6:53Speaker 3: He averaged 11.2 per 36 in the preseason, so those
- 6:57Speaker 3: numbers definitely held true. I definitely think that he looks
- 7:01Speaker 3: good here, but I think I like Anthony Davis a
- 7:02Speaker 3: little bit more at 7.6K. A healthy AD with a
- 7:06Speaker 3: pass for his point guard, definitely something I'm going to
- 7:08Speaker 3: be interested in. Got plenty of spacing on the court
- 7:10Speaker 3: as well with Saar, Keyshawn George, Kulibaly able to just
- 7:14Speaker 3: give him open looks around the rim, and Miles Turner
- 7:17Speaker 3: is not the same defender that he was in the
- 7:18Speaker 3: years past. I never really thought he was that great
- 7:20Speaker 3: of a defender, but a guy that could get some
- 7:23Speaker 3: good shot blocks at times. He's a terrible rebounder, so
- 7:25Speaker 3: I think there's a lot of upside for a guy
- 7:28Speaker 3: like Anthony Davis tonight. Definitely want to be overweight, his
- 7:31Speaker 3: projected ownership, which looks fairly high right now, but I
- 7:33Speaker 3: think it's worth getting to. And then below him, probably
- 7:38Speaker 3: not the spot for Alex Saar. I just think there's
- 7:40Speaker 3: some better center options and going to be playing second
- 7:43Speaker 3: field to ADE. probably losing some rebounding stuff as well.
- 7:46Speaker 3: His numbers in the preseason weren't that great. Definitely like
- 7:49Speaker 3: him as a talent, but not going to go there tonight.
- 7:52Speaker 3: And then I see Sabre had a pretty high ownership
- 7:56Speaker 3: projection on Bilal Koulibaly.
- 7:58Speaker 2: 10% right now. Actually, I'm taking our average, so maybe I... Yeah,
- 8:05Speaker 2: 11% they got.
- 8:06Speaker 1: Yeah, so that's kind of high, a little bit higher
- 8:09Speaker 1: than I would expect for him. If I'm going cheap,
- 8:11Speaker 1: I want to go to Keyshawn George.
- 8:12Speaker 3: Just a lot of good things about him in the preseason,
- 8:15Speaker 3: a guy that can kind of deliver in all categories.
- 8:20Speaker 3: And he was great in the preseason, shot it really well.
- 8:22Speaker 3: He averaged 23, five and four and over four stocks
- 8:25Speaker 3: per 36 minutes. And they're really high on him. So
- 8:28Speaker 3: I think that he's pretty good at 5.5 K. I
- 8:30Speaker 3: don't think anybody's going to be clicking that name. I
- 8:32Speaker 3: haven't projected a little bit higher, a lot higher than.
- 8:34Speaker 1: What Saverson has.
- 8:35Speaker 3: So yeah, I mean, I'm in on him and then
- 8:38Speaker 3: probably not the spot to go to a guy like
- 8:40Speaker 3: Trey Johnson or anybody on the bench really. fine with Koulibaly,
- 8:43Speaker 3: but just his usage role is not good. So you're
- 8:45Speaker 3: kind of betting on efficient shooting when he does shoot
- 8:49Speaker 3: the ball. And then like a, a lot of rebounds
- 8:52Speaker 3: and stocks. I don't think that he's going to really
- 8:54Speaker 3: add a ton anywhere else.
- 8:56Speaker 2: Yeah. And I mean, on an 11 game slate like this,
- 8:58Speaker 2: especially lock, it doesn't matter, I guess, as much locking
- 9:00Speaker 2: yourself into the first game versus the last, cause the
- 9:02Speaker 2: injury news, but you still have more information, whether chalk bus,
- 9:07Speaker 2: this and that. So I don't think I really need
- 9:09Speaker 2: to get to these thin pieces and, I will say
- 9:12Speaker 2: the Wizards, though, definitely– we talked about it, I think,
- 9:14Speaker 2: last week or something. But looking out for them to
- 9:18Speaker 2: make a run toward the end of the year to
- 9:20Speaker 2: get in the postseason. I mean, they got DeAndre 8-2. Obviously,
- 9:23Speaker 2: AD staying healthy is always questionable. But, man, they're deep
- 9:26Speaker 2: with a lot of young guard talent, wing talent as well.
- 9:29Speaker 2: So I'm excited to see what this team can do. DFS-wise, though,
- 9:32Speaker 2: you mentioned Keyshawn George. Other than that, though, Trey Young, AD,
- 9:36Speaker 2: that's about it. We did have a question– from AFC
- 9:40Speaker 2: if Trae Young and AD correlate. For Saberson, if you
- 9:43Speaker 2: click Anthony Davis or any name, you can see the
- 9:46Speaker 2: correlation positive or negative. Trae Young does positively correlate a
- 9:50Speaker 2: little bit, which should make sense, obviously, with pick and
- 9:52Speaker 2: roll lob stuff. Could see plenty of assists. Trey Young
- 9:55Speaker 2: right to Anthony Davis. Buckside, yeah, definitely a little tougher
- 10:00Speaker 2: for me, though. The two that I probably would have
- 10:03Speaker 2: some interest in is just Hero and Ryan Rollins. More
- 10:06Speaker 2: likely a max one. Hero is very efficient, and I
- 10:09Speaker 2: think this is his last preseason game, like 24 minutes,
- 10:11Speaker 2: like 25 points. He's going to get his, and he
- 10:14Speaker 2: can always get hot. So don't mind these two, but
- 10:16Speaker 2: hard to get to any of the secondary pieces for me.
- 10:19Speaker 2: Let's move on to the next game on the slate.
- 10:21Speaker 2: Another solid one in terms of solid total, 233.5, only
- 10:26Speaker 2: two and a half point favorites are the Magic. Looking
- 10:29Speaker 2: at ownership in this game, only Jalen Suggs and Franz
- 10:32Speaker 2: Wagner are looking to get some. 6,900 for Franz is
- 10:36Speaker 2: just way too cheap in my opinion. That's why you're
- 10:40Speaker 2: almost forced to get to middling builds, really, since there's
- 10:42Speaker 2: only two players, 10K and above. But even if there
- 10:45Speaker 2: were more that were above on the slate, these guys
- 10:48Speaker 2: look way underpriced. And then I can argue Jalen Johnson, 15%.
- 10:52Speaker 2: I thought he was going to come in a little
- 10:54Speaker 2: lower than that. I think people will rather go AD,
- 10:56Speaker 2: will rather go Giannis. Maybe it does get there, though. But,
- 11:00Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, anytime Jalen Johnson's somewhat low-owned, 9K price tag,
- 11:04Speaker 2: I think him and Franz, or if you want to
- 11:06Speaker 2: go Suggs or whatever, is a very solid skinny stack
- 11:10Speaker 2: in the NBA terms. You don't need that at all
- 11:12Speaker 2: for DFS. But on a big slate to help narrow
- 11:16Speaker 2: your roster construction, especially if hand-building– I do think picking
- 11:19Speaker 2: a stud on one or two studs in one game,
- 11:22Speaker 2: one on each side is a pretty easy way to
- 11:24Speaker 2: correlate a little bit. And then if you get to
- 11:26Speaker 2: the OT or something, you only get boosted. So again,
- 11:29Speaker 2: it's hard for me to go to too many of
- 11:31Speaker 2: these secondary plays though. I am Franz over Paulo today.
- 11:35Speaker 2: What do you see in this game? Yeah, I agree
- 11:37Speaker 2: with you on that Franz over Paulo for sure. I
- 11:40Speaker 2: think just kind of season long, he's going to probably
- 11:42Speaker 2: outperform Paulo. But because the Orlando made a lot of changes.
- 11:47Speaker 2: I have a new coach now, Sean Sweeney and, they
- 11:49Speaker 2: really made a point of emphasis to get Franz the
- 11:52Speaker 2: ball as like their lead handler and their lead playmaker
- 11:54Speaker 2: in the preseason. Obviously the sample size is kind of small,
- 11:58Speaker 2: but you can still expect something similar, but he had
- 12:00Speaker 2: a 44% assist percentage in the preseason. Paulo was first
- 12:04Speaker 2: in usage, but they're looking to get him more just
- 12:07Speaker 2: going as like an offensive weapon. Whereas he was more
- 12:10Speaker 2: asked to be like the point forward at times. And
- 12:11Speaker 2: I think that's going to be a lot.
- 12:13Speaker 1: Of Franz now.
- 12:14Speaker 3: And you saw Jillian Suggs kind of just standing in
- 12:16Speaker 3: the corner at times and really saw a decrease in
- 12:19Speaker 3: his role. So I'm really high on Franz here at 6.9 K.
- 12:21Speaker 3: I think there are some really good small forward options
- 12:24Speaker 3: in that same range that we'll talk about, but I
- 12:27Speaker 3: think that he's the clearly best option in this game.
- 12:29Speaker 3: I just don't know if Hawks games are going to
- 12:32Speaker 3: provide the same types of fireworks that we saw from
- 12:35Speaker 3: them in the past, because they were a very fast
- 12:37Speaker 3: team that wasn't great on defense, but you saw them
- 12:39Speaker 3: really turn it around in the second half last year.
- 12:42Speaker 3: And they were one of the best. They might've been
- 12:44Speaker 3: first in, defensive rating in the second half last year.
- 12:48Speaker 3: I'm not really sure what changed because they got worse,
- 12:51Speaker 3: I would say, in the starting unit.
- 12:53Speaker 1: C.J.
- 12:53Speaker 3: McCollum's not really known to be a defensive stopper, but
- 12:55Speaker 3: you still have guys like Dyson Daniels, Nikhil Alexander-Walker, Jalen Johnson, Okonwu,
- 12:59Speaker 3: all pretty solid defensive players. I think they just played
- 13:02Speaker 3: really good team defense. And they kind of were middling
- 13:07Speaker 3: of the pack in preseason pace.
- 13:09Speaker 1: So I don't know.
- 13:10Speaker 3: I'm not going to argue that Vegas, you know, They
- 13:13Speaker 3: think this game is going to be a little bit
- 13:14Speaker 3: higher scoring, but I could see it playing to the under.
- 13:19Speaker 3: How that translates for fantasy options on the hog side.
- 13:22Speaker 3: I'm not super high on anybody here in particular. I
- 13:24Speaker 3: think that the price is right on this team. This
- 13:26Speaker 3: is about where we saw them all last year. Maybe
- 13:29Speaker 3: CJ was a little bit higher, but Dyson, Nick Alexander
- 13:32Speaker 3: Walker were steadily in that 6K range. Jalen Johnson in
- 13:35Speaker 3: that 9K range most of last year. I just think
- 13:38Speaker 3: that there's better options below him and above him. At
- 13:40Speaker 3: power forward, obviously Giannis is the only guy that's above
- 13:43Speaker 3: him at power forward. And then I think there's some
- 13:45Speaker 3: really good power forward options below him, like AD from
- 13:48Speaker 3: the game before. So I'll be a little bit under
- 13:50Speaker 3: on the Hawks' side tonight.
- 13:51Speaker 2: You think that could? That's why I don't believe that 15%.
- 13:55Speaker 2: What if I tell you it's 8% or 7%? Especially
- 13:58Speaker 2: with it being the first game on the slate with
- 14:00Speaker 2: only two locking at 7%. I think we're pretty hot
- 14:04Speaker 2: in terms of ownership. If I told you 8% when
- 14:06Speaker 2: the cards were turned over, would that change anything or
- 14:08Speaker 2: still not? Not really.
- 14:10Speaker 3: I'd probably still end up around the field then if
- 14:13Speaker 3: it's at 8%. But yeah, I still just think that
- 14:16Speaker 3: those guys in a vacuum are much better plays. And
- 14:19Speaker 3: NBA is a very projectable sport. Those guys are going
- 14:21Speaker 3: to project a lot better from a point-for-dollar basis. Yeah,
- 14:25Speaker 3: like I said, though, on the Orlando side, love Franz here.
- 14:28Speaker 3: Don't really like Paulo as much just with the decreased
- 14:32Speaker 3: ball handling and playmaking role. With all that going to Franz,
- 14:34Speaker 3: I think Franz is just a much better option here.
- 14:38Speaker 3: Suggs is appealing because he's so cheap and he doesn't
- 14:40Speaker 3: necessarily need the ball in his hands to score fantasy
- 14:42Speaker 3: points because he can do so much with steals and
- 14:44Speaker 3: blocks and then any scoring and assist and rebounding that
- 14:47Speaker 3: he has on top of that is just extra. But
- 14:50Speaker 3: that's probably it for me. Bane, I don't know, not
- 14:53Speaker 3: the most appealing option. I honestly like the guards in
- 14:56Speaker 3: Portland that are priced right there over him because they're
- 14:58Speaker 3: just going to have a much better role. Bane's probably
- 15:01Speaker 3: the third option and in Portland. We'll, we'll get to
- 15:04Speaker 3: them when we get to them, but they just have
- 15:06Speaker 3: better roles. I'm not really that high on Bain here.
- 15:08Speaker 3: It's mainly just Franz. Yeah.
- 15:10Speaker 2: This is a slate today. We're used like back in
- 15:13Speaker 2: the day. We, I saw it. There's a five X threshold.
- 15:15Speaker 2: Can your guys get five X their salary and you're
- 15:17Speaker 2: happy to win GPPs today? I think you, you should
- 15:20Speaker 2: be shooting for at least six X and even 6.5,
- 15:24Speaker 2: seven X that you could see, obviously the studs, you
- 15:26Speaker 2: don't need Giannis to get seven X and get 70.
- 15:28Speaker 2: But when you're talking some of these mid tier, even
- 15:31Speaker 2: Desmond Bain at six, four, In that 5K to 6K range,
- 15:35Speaker 2: it's so loaded today. And in my opinion, so many
- 15:37Speaker 2: underpriced players where I'd be shooting for at least 6X,
- 15:40Speaker 2: 7X that you can visualize your guys getting there. So
- 15:43Speaker 2: that does limit my interest a little bit in Suggs,
- 15:46Speaker 2: especially if he comes in at this ownership. First thing
- 15:49Speaker 2: you said was he was standing in the corner more.
- 15:51Speaker 2: I don't need that. Franz, looks like an elite play
- 15:54Speaker 2: for me. I have a little more interest in Jalen
- 15:55Speaker 2: Johnson to you, but not my favorite game.
- 15:58Speaker 1: Let's get to another one.
- 15:59Speaker 3: Also, so one thing just for like for pivots below 5K,
- 16:04Speaker 3: Tristan De Silva was getting talked up a ton in
- 16:06Speaker 3: the preseason. And their head coach basically said that they
- 16:09Speaker 3: are fine with him taking 10, like.
- 16:12Speaker 1: Minimum 10 threes a game.
- 16:14Speaker 3: He was just taking it like firing away from three
- 16:16Speaker 3: in the preseason, high usage rate and was making a ton.
- 16:19Speaker 3: So if that actually holds true and he's going to
- 16:21Speaker 3: be coming off the bench, but if he's playing like
- 16:23Speaker 3: 25 minutes and just launching every time he gets the ball,
- 16:25Speaker 3: like it's hard to not have interest in the guy
- 16:27Speaker 3: at 4.3K that does that.
- 16:28Speaker 2: You think he gets to 25 minutes?
- 16:32Speaker 1: Not to see where we have him at, but I
- 16:34Speaker 1: think that's.
- 16:35Speaker 2: Faber's got him at 23. He topped out at 25
- 16:38Speaker 2: in the preseason. 25, 23, 21. Mid to low 20s.
- 16:44Speaker 3: Yeah, 23 probably feels good. 25 would be the highest.
- 16:48Speaker 2: A Grayson Allen pivot when we get to some of these.
- 16:52Speaker 2: There's a lot of the value, Charlotte, so don't mind
- 16:55Speaker 2: that one bit. All right, let's get to, in my opinion,
- 16:57Speaker 2: not too much or not a game I have much
- 16:59Speaker 2: interest for DFS, the Raptors. And the Bulls, big favorite
- 17:03Speaker 2: to the Raptors, 10.5, 237.5 total in this one. I
- 17:07Speaker 2: think the Bulls side is an easy X out. I
- 17:10Speaker 2: don't know who I'd click. Jalen Smith maybe. I guess
- 17:12Speaker 2: at 5K he's projecting the best. Good point per minute guy. But, yeah,
- 17:17Speaker 2: he's just center eligible. That's all I got there. Toronto,
- 17:20Speaker 2: my sneak. They're not sneaky, but that's who I picked yesterday.
- 17:23Speaker 2: You picked the Timberwolves. I picked the Raptors. The problem
- 17:26Speaker 2: with these guys for DFS when they're fully healthy is
- 17:28Speaker 2: like they all are going to have a role. Scottie, Barrett,
- 17:31Speaker 2: now you got Kawhi in the mix. It's a team
- 17:34Speaker 2: that I think is very solid, but when it comes
- 17:35Speaker 2: to DFS, I'll be more interested when someone gets injured
- 17:39Speaker 2: or sitting out versus when they're fully healthy. So I'll
- 17:42Speaker 2: let you talk about this one. Tougher for me to get.
- 17:44Speaker 1: To this game.
- 17:45Speaker 3: Yeah, I'd agree with you there. I think the Bulls
- 17:47Speaker 3: are a fairly easy max one situation. Like there's an
- 17:52Speaker 3: outside shot that somebody on this team does enough. It'd
- 17:54Speaker 3: probably be Norm Powell or Jalen Smith, if I had
- 17:57Speaker 3: to guess. I mean, Saberson is really high on Jalen
- 18:00Speaker 3: Smith here, and I kind of disagree there. This Leonard
- 18:03Speaker 3: Miller guy that was, you know, at times pretty like
- 18:07Speaker 3: a guy that had a role last year and the
- 18:09Speaker 3: guy that we were playing in DFS at times, he
- 18:11Speaker 3: had a really good preseason. They might want to get
- 18:13Speaker 3: a longer look at him. This game does have a
- 18:15Speaker 3: chance to go smaller as well because behind Yaka Pirtle
- 18:18Speaker 3: is Colin Murray-Boyles, who's only 6'7, so they don't necessarily
- 18:22Speaker 3: need to go big with Jalen Smith out there if
- 18:24Speaker 3: they don't want to. So I would probably end up
- 18:26Speaker 3: under on Smith at 5K.
- 18:29Speaker 1: I think there's a couple.
- 18:30Speaker 3: I know for sure there's one better option that's cheaper
- 18:33Speaker 3: than him at center that I'm going to be going
- 18:35Speaker 3: to in the later game. So I'll be underway to
- 18:37Speaker 3: him for sure. But Norm is kind of interesting because
- 18:39Speaker 3: he's got that dual positional eligibility.
- 18:42Speaker 1: He's probably going to be.
- 18:43Speaker 3: The number one scoring option on offense most nights for
- 18:46Speaker 3: this Bulls team. Cheap enough where like a 25 to
- 18:49Speaker 3: 28 point game from him could pay off his tag
- 18:51Speaker 3: because he's not really going to add much peripheral stats,
- 18:54Speaker 3: if any at all. Because you've got guys like Giddey
- 18:56Speaker 3: they're going to handle. Caleb Wilson's going to be a
- 18:58Speaker 3: guy that they run the offense through at times.
- 19:00Speaker 1: 7K.
- 19:01Speaker 2: They already got him above Franz.
- 19:04Speaker 3: What are we doing? Super aggressive on these rookies. Basically,
- 19:07Speaker 3: everybody's in that 7K range minus Darren Peterson. Then Kampuser's 7.1K.
- 19:13Speaker 2: People are asking about it. At these prices, I couldn't
- 19:17Speaker 2: imagine playing these guys over guys like Franz, who we
- 19:21Speaker 2: just talked about that. I mean, you know what you're
- 19:23Speaker 2: getting from there. So yeah, that's all I got. I,
- 19:26Speaker 2: it's a note for me, but if you play a
- 19:28Speaker 2: bunch of teams, he's going to be really low on
- 19:30Speaker 2: people love it, but you got to do something at
- 19:33Speaker 2: seven K give me 42 plus.
- 19:36Speaker 3: I think you probably wait for a better, an easier
- 19:39Speaker 3: opponent than the Raptors because they are going to have
- 19:41Speaker 3: a really good defense this year. And seven K, like
- 19:44Speaker 3: you said, that's a real price tag. There's also some
- 19:46Speaker 3: talk about potentially easing him in early on the season.
- 19:49Speaker 3: I mean, they don't want to, put too much on
- 19:50Speaker 3: his plate early and like match up against Kawhi and
- 19:53Speaker 3: Scotty Barnes. I think that's a kind of a clear
- 19:57Speaker 3: stay away spot for me. But yeah, on the Raptors side,
- 20:01Speaker 3: Kawhi does look way too cheap at 7.4 K, but
- 20:03Speaker 3: same thing for him. Like they're not going to push
- 20:06Speaker 3: his minutes up in a game against the bulls where
- 20:08Speaker 3: they're probably going to win pretty easily. And like, what
- 20:12Speaker 3: does a 30 to 32 minute game from him look
- 20:15Speaker 3: like if he goes for like 45, 48, I would
- 20:18Speaker 3: not be surprised, but I don't know if that's necessarily
- 20:19Speaker 3: going to be enough on the slate. So I think
- 20:21Speaker 3: there's a case to be made to get away from him.
- 20:23Speaker 3: I do think that like Franz and Brandon Miller and
- 20:27Speaker 3: games that are going to be way closer and they're
- 20:29Speaker 3: going to have the ball in their hands a lot
- 20:30Speaker 3: more than Kawhi will are kind of interesting to pivot
- 20:33Speaker 3: away from him. They are going to be highly owned,
- 20:37Speaker 3: but I just kind of think that their high end
- 20:39Speaker 3: outcomes are a little bit more appealing to for me
- 20:41Speaker 3: than Kawhi's is, but could definitely be wrong. I was
- 20:44Speaker 3: wrong a lot yesterday. So I am not too sure there,
- 20:47Speaker 3: but it does sound like they're going to be running
- 20:49Speaker 3: the offense through Scottie Barnes a little bit more this season.
- 20:53Speaker 3: He was kind of all over the place in the preseason,
- 20:56Speaker 3: 27% usage rate, 24% assist percentage, 4% rebounding. So yeah,
- 21:00Speaker 3: that looks like a pretty good role for a guy
- 21:02Speaker 3: at 8.3 K. I think I want to get into
- 21:04Speaker 3: some of Scottie Barnes over Kawhi here. And then everybody
- 21:07Speaker 3: else is kind of just a fringe option. Like, could
- 21:09Speaker 3: make the case for manu quickly i think he's going
- 21:11Speaker 3: to get a ton of open looks just with the
- 21:13Speaker 3: gravity that kawaii and scotty barnes create for him uh
- 21:17Speaker 3: same could be said for rj baird but i really
- 21:18Speaker 3: think that he's going to be like the.
- 21:20Speaker 1: Fourth option at times and then don't think i'll go.
- 21:22Speaker 3: To cmb or yaka fertile just yet.
- 21:25Speaker 2: Agree uh not much more to add in this one
- 21:28Speaker 2: and yeah i have the same take on kawaii he
- 21:29Speaker 2: looks too cheap but again so many do and i'm
- 21:32Speaker 2: worried at 10 and a half point favorites and it Kawhi,
- 21:35Speaker 2: you never know with him. He can always defer, and
- 21:37Speaker 2: there's plenty of options for him to defer on this team,
- 21:40Speaker 2: especially game one. So I do just worry a little
- 21:42Speaker 2: more about his true ceiling. I think he has to
- 21:45Speaker 2: be very efficient and the game environment be close enough
- 21:49Speaker 2: and stay close enough for most of the game. So
- 21:51Speaker 2: I just prefer others. But yeah, by no means is
- 21:53Speaker 2: he a bad play, as you can see. Coming with ownership, though,
- 21:56Speaker 2: so trying to make a case against some of these
- 21:58Speaker 2: highly owned plays. Tough to do. Interested to see if
- 22:01Speaker 2: you're going to make a case against some of this
- 22:03Speaker 2: chalk in this next game. Hornets, one at-point favorites. Over
- 22:06Speaker 2: the Nets, very low total, though. I believe the lowest
- 22:09Speaker 2: on the slate, yeah, 219 and a half is way
- 22:12Speaker 2: down there. But as you guys know, or many know,
- 22:14Speaker 2: if you're new to NBA DFS, I mentioned spreads and totals. Spreads,
- 22:19Speaker 2: closer the better because your studs are probably going to play. Total,
- 22:22Speaker 2: the faster pace, more possessions on average. You like that,
- 22:26Speaker 2: but it all comes down to salary, point per dollar.
- 22:29Speaker 2: These guys are just mispriced. No LaMelo. They're priced like
- 22:32Speaker 2: LaMelo still there. DraftKings asleep at the wheel with these guys,
- 22:36Speaker 2: but not the rookies. But yeah, Brooklyn side looks really
- 22:39Speaker 2: difficult to play. Um, and ownership will also show that
- 22:43Speaker 2: you can always play MPJ. I mean, at 3%, the
- 22:45Speaker 2: dude always chucks. So I'm fine with him. Um, but
- 22:49Speaker 2: on the, on the Charlotte side, this is the main stuff.
- 22:51Speaker 2: Dennis Schroeder going to start at point guard 3,700. You
- 22:55Speaker 2: can see he'll be one of the chalkiest, if not
- 22:56Speaker 2: the chalkiest on the slate. Um, Yeah, I think he
- 23:00Speaker 2: actually will be the chalkiest on the slate.
- 23:01Speaker 1: You agree, Rio? Yeah, it seems that way.
- 23:04Speaker 2: And then Grayson Allen looks good. Royce O'Neal, Brandon Miller.
- 23:08Speaker 2: You're going to get some Charlotte ownership for sure. They
- 23:10Speaker 2: all seemed underpriced. Take it away. I guess any rules
- 23:13Speaker 2: you would make, any that you don't like as much
- 23:16Speaker 2: as the field. And then, yeah, Brooklyn side is pretty easy,
- 23:19Speaker 2: I think.
- 23:20Speaker 3: No, I don't think I would get too strict with
- 23:22Speaker 3: the rules here on the Charlotte side, but probably just
- 23:24Speaker 3: limiting how much. exposure I have to this team as
- 23:27Speaker 3: a whole because like you said this game does have
- 23:29Speaker 3: the lowest over under on the slate so there's going
- 23:32Speaker 3: to be less scoring opportunities guys can get there with
- 23:36Speaker 3: rebounds and steals and things like that but you mainly
- 23:38Speaker 3: want your guy to be scoring the ball and there's
- 23:41Speaker 3: just not going to be a ton of scoring in
- 23:42Speaker 3: this game but I do agree with the ownership on
- 23:45Speaker 3: Schroeder and Grayson Allen just way too cheap like you
- 23:47Speaker 3: said at 3.7 4.3k I guess if there was holes
- 23:52Speaker 3: to poke in their matchup which there definitely is like
- 23:55Speaker 3: the Nets are going to do a lot of what
- 23:57Speaker 3: they did last year, which was run guys off the
- 23:59Speaker 3: three-point line and take away pick-and-roll scoring, which they were,
- 24:03Speaker 3: I believe, best in the league last year in pick-and-roll.
- 24:06Speaker 3: So you're going to want guys that mainly score around
- 24:08Speaker 3: the basket, but that's not really what Charlotte does. I
- 24:10Speaker 3: think they took the most jump shots in the preseason,
- 24:13Speaker 3: and they took a ton of threes last year. So
- 24:14Speaker 3: they're going to play their game of offense. So there
- 24:16Speaker 3: is a little bit of fragility on these guys from
- 24:20Speaker 3: a scoring perspective, but it's going to be really tough
- 24:22Speaker 3: for Schroeder to not pay off a 3.7K price tag.
- 24:25Speaker 3: Just going to have a fairly big handling role. I
- 24:28Speaker 3: think we know that Brandon Miller, they just signed a
- 24:29Speaker 3: huge contract. He'll be the guy on offense. And then
- 24:32Speaker 3: the addition of Nas Reed, like those would be the
- 24:34Speaker 3: two main scoring threats for Charlotte, but Dennis Schroeder is
- 24:38Speaker 3: going to be running the show on offense. So I
- 24:41Speaker 3: don't really see a reason to get away from that
- 24:43Speaker 3: in like single entry stuff. If you want to get
- 24:46Speaker 3: a little bit crazy, I guess in MME, this Christian
- 24:49Speaker 3: Anderson guy, they're pretty high on it. He had a
- 24:51Speaker 3: good preseason. He doesn't project terribly. So yeah, I don't
- 24:56Speaker 3: think I would go there because you still need a
- 24:57Speaker 3: lot to go right. Maybe it's just flipping the build
- 25:00Speaker 3: around and getting value elsewhere and spending up at point guard,
- 25:02Speaker 3: which is definitely easy to do tonight. But, yeah, I'll
- 25:05Speaker 3: be starting with Dennis Schroeder, probably a core play tonight.
- 25:08Speaker 3: I do like Grayson Allen. He shot it really well
- 25:10Speaker 3: in the preseason. But, like I said, they're going to
- 25:12Speaker 3: be running him off the three-point line, so he's going
- 25:14Speaker 3: to have to mix it up a little bit. And
- 25:16Speaker 3: then Royce O'Neal, another top value at a slay. I mean, 3.5K
- 25:20Speaker 3: is just way too cheap for a guy that can
- 25:22Speaker 3: kind of do a little bit of everything, mainly a
- 25:24Speaker 3: 3 and D guy, and add some rebounding in as well.
- 25:29Speaker 1: But then, yeah, you.
- 25:30Speaker 3: Definitely have to consider Brandon Miller and Nas. I do
- 25:33Speaker 3: think that they have a ton of upside relative to
- 25:35Speaker 3: their price tag. They're going to have really big roles.
- 25:37Speaker 3: We know that Brandon Miller is going to have a
- 25:39Speaker 3: massive role, but Nas was a guy that performed like
- 25:44Speaker 3: a 7.5K to 8K player at times when he was
- 25:47Speaker 3: given the keys to start at power forward with the
- 25:50Speaker 3: Minnesota Timberwolves last year. Now he's going to be the
- 25:52Speaker 3: starting power forward in Charlotte. So I definitely want to
- 25:55Speaker 3: be ahead, especially if the ownership, I mean, I can't
- 25:59Speaker 3: imagine it's going to be less than 1%.
- 26:00Speaker 1: I think people.
- 26:02Speaker 2: Are always excited. 27 minutes. That feels light. Yeah.
- 26:06Speaker 1: I would, I would agree with that. Uh, don't double check.
- 26:12Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 26:12Speaker 1: I mean, he's going to play 30 minutes for sure.
- 26:15Speaker 2: I don't see why it wouldn't. Yeah.
- 26:18Speaker 3: I don't know how they could spread those minutes. I mean,
- 26:20Speaker 3: it's going to be a close game. So, yeah, I
- 26:22Speaker 3: would imagine he's above 30 minutes. I mean, all these
- 26:24Speaker 3: guys in the starting lineup, maybe minus Diabate should be
- 26:27Speaker 3: above 30 minutes. I think that they're all in consideration
- 26:30Speaker 3: here tonight. But like I said, I don't want to
- 26:32Speaker 3: get too overboard with the team with 110 implied total.
- 26:37Speaker 3: But maybe I could talk you on to the Brooklyn
- 26:38Speaker 3: side a little bit more. The role for Julius Randle
- 26:41Speaker 3: in the preseason was really good. And Jordan Fernandez said
- 26:45Speaker 3: it's going to carry over into the regular season.
- 26:47Speaker 1: They're going to use him.
- 26:49Speaker 2: A lot more as a point forward. He's a black hole.
- 26:51Speaker 2: That's all you got to say. I mean, he always chalks.
- 26:53Speaker 2: He's MPJ light. So, yeah, you can talk me into
- 26:57Speaker 2: him for fantasy, not to win games.
- 26:59Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly.
- 27:00Speaker 2: I mean, all that matters.
- 27:01Speaker 3: Obviously, I don't talk down on him as a player,
- 27:04Speaker 3: like a winning player. A lot of times I'm really
- 27:06Speaker 3: happy Minnesota got rid of him finally. But fantasy is
- 27:10Speaker 3: all about opportunity and minutes, and he's definitely going to
- 27:12Speaker 3: have that here. But his preseason per 36 stats were
- 27:16Speaker 3: pretty solid, 22, 7, and 7. you know, give or
- 27:19Speaker 3: take a few points, just kind of rounding up or down.
- 27:21Speaker 3: But yeah, it's going to, the role is going to
- 27:23Speaker 3: continue in the regular season.
- 27:25Speaker 1: So he's definitely a guy that.
- 27:27Speaker 3: I think could outperform his price tag. He's never really like,
- 27:30Speaker 3: if things don't go right for him, you're like, if
- 27:33Speaker 3: he lands at like 20 points, eight rebounds and five assists,
- 27:37Speaker 3: something like that, it's probably not great, but a good
- 27:40Speaker 3: night for him where it could be Florida with a
- 27:42Speaker 3: triple double is something that I'd be interested in. So
- 27:45Speaker 3: I definitely want to get to some of Julius Randle's,
- 27:47Speaker 3: I think I'm out on MPJ right now. Just didn't
- 27:49Speaker 3: have a good role. Didn't like what I saw. A
- 27:51Speaker 3: lot of his field goals in the preseason were assisted on.
- 27:54Speaker 3: So just basically kind of relegated to like a catch
- 27:57Speaker 3: and shoot guy or like getting passes off or scoring
- 28:02Speaker 3: off of a pass, which is not great for his value.
- 28:04Speaker 3: The value last year came from because he just had
- 28:06Speaker 3: such a massive usage rate. And then Daron Sharp finally
- 28:11Speaker 3: gets the runway to be the starter in Brooklyn. And
- 28:15Speaker 3: he was good as a starter last year. He averaged
- 28:17Speaker 3: 29 DK points in 24.6 minutes per game. I think
- 28:21Speaker 3: he's probably closer to 30 minutes a night.
- 28:23Speaker 2: Tough matchup.
- 28:24Speaker 3: Diabat and Cochran are two really respectable big men on
- 28:28Speaker 3: the Charlotte side. They might have been the best rebounding
- 28:31Speaker 3: team in the league last year.
- 28:31Speaker 1: I'd have to double-check that.
- 28:32Speaker 3: But, yeah, I just think that he's a good enough
- 28:36Speaker 3: point-per-minute guy, and he was getting involved as a passer
- 28:38Speaker 3: as well. So I think that 5.7K is a reasonable
- 28:41Speaker 3: tag for him. I'd much rather play him over a
- 28:43Speaker 3: guy like Jalen Smith.
- 28:44Speaker 1: And then... That's probably it.
- 28:46Speaker 3: I think Damon is a little bit too pricey right
- 28:49Speaker 3: now and with just like an unknown role.
- 28:52Speaker 1: And then Michael Brown, too expensive as well. I'm going
- 28:55Speaker 1: to have to wait and see what happens with him.
- 28:56Speaker 2: All right, yeah, you talked me into Randall a little bit.
- 29:01Speaker 2: Like I said, just like on PJ, the dude absolutely,
- 29:03Speaker 2: when he gets the ball, his head's down, he gets
- 29:05Speaker 2: the rim, he plays bully ball. It'll be fun to
- 29:08Speaker 2: watch Nas against Julius Randall in this one as well.
- 29:11Speaker 2: All right, let's keep it rolling. Again, appreciate it. Everyone
- 29:14Speaker 2: hanging out, all we ask is the like button and
- 29:16Speaker 2: subscribe button. Helps us out a ton. No time to
- 29:19Speaker 2: waste with 11 games on the slate. Next game, definitely
- 29:22Speaker 2: a great one, real life and DFS. Miami Heat, one
- 29:25Speaker 2: and a half point favorites over the Minnesota Timberwolves. 240
- 29:28Speaker 2: and a half, which I believe is the biggest on
- 29:31Speaker 2: the slate. Yes, it is. Or no, it's not. The
- 29:34Speaker 2: Memphis and the Grizzlies, 241 and a half. But it
- 29:38Speaker 2: is definitely up there. you can see this game is
- 29:41Speaker 2: getting some ownership lamello and janice the two uh yeah
- 29:44Speaker 2: janice will be the most popular spend there's enough value
- 29:47Speaker 2: there's enough good tier or good mid-tier options the 1k
- 29:50Speaker 2: off a luca goes a long way so a lot
- 29:53Speaker 2: of teams will come in with janice i do not
- 29:55Speaker 2: believe 20 i could see mid 30s curious here if
- 29:58Speaker 2: you have the same Thoughts on that in terms of
- 30:00Speaker 2: ownership and then thoughts on this game?
- 30:02Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, definitely in single entry stuff, you're probably
- 30:05Speaker 3: starting with Schroeder and Giannis and then building around those
- 30:07Speaker 3: two guys.
- 30:09Speaker 1: Just both of them are way too cheap. And, I mean,
- 30:11Speaker 1: I agree with it.
- 30:12Speaker 3: I think Giannis at 10K, even in a tougher matchup,
- 30:14Speaker 3: is a really, really solid option.
- 30:16Speaker 1: You said this game had the second highest over-under now?
- 30:18Speaker 2: 240.5 on DraftKings MC and then only other bigger one, 241.5
- 30:22Speaker 2: for Utah and Memphis.
- 30:23Speaker 1: Okay.
- 30:24Speaker 2: Okay.
- 30:27Speaker 1: That's interesting.
- 30:27Speaker 3: Last time I checked, which was earlier this morning, it
- 30:30Speaker 3: was this game as the highest, but either way, I mean,
- 30:35Speaker 3: there's immense upside on both sides of this game. The
- 30:38Speaker 3: total supply represents that as well. I don't know about
- 30:44Speaker 3: the Minnesota side, though. These guys are going to be
- 30:46Speaker 3: low-owned outside of LaMelo, but probably for a good reason.
- 30:50Speaker 1: There's a lot of holes to poke in all these guys.
- 30:52Speaker 3: I mean, 8.8K for Ant normally would be fine, but
- 30:56Speaker 3: Adding a guy like LaMelo, like LaMelo will probably take
- 30:59Speaker 3: a backseat more as a scorer at times this year.
- 31:02Speaker 3: And the usage held up fine for Ant, 33.5% in
- 31:04Speaker 3: the preseason. But LaMelo does take away so many of
- 31:09Speaker 3: the assist opportunities that kind of made Ant a good
- 31:12Speaker 3: fantasy option last year. So now we're going to need
- 31:16Speaker 3: 35 to 40 point games out of Ant for him
- 31:17Speaker 3: to be viable, which he definitely could do. Like I'm
- 31:19Speaker 3: not going to, I wouldn't be surprised if Ant is
- 31:21Speaker 3: the leading scorer in the NBA this year. and a
- 31:24Speaker 3: guy that I've kind of picked over the last couple
- 31:26Speaker 3: of years to be a potential MVP candidate. But yeah,
- 31:30Speaker 3: you're just really going to need a lot of points
- 31:31Speaker 3: out of him on a regular basis for him to
- 31:33Speaker 3: be fantasy viable when LaMelo is taking away the assist
- 31:36Speaker 3: and Gobert is taking away the rebounding. With that being said, though,
- 31:40Speaker 3: this is a pretty good matchup for him. We know
- 31:42Speaker 3: that Miami is a team that's going to take away
- 31:44Speaker 3: the rim scoring. They've been playing at a really fast pace,
- 31:46Speaker 3: so there's chances for a transition scoring for Ant, but
- 31:50Speaker 3: The area that I'm looking to is a three-point defense,
- 31:53Speaker 3: which has always been kind of a hole in the
- 31:56Speaker 3: Eric Spolstra defense, and Ant is going to be taking
- 31:59Speaker 3: a ton of threes. So I do like his scoring
- 32:01Speaker 3: upside here, but not sure I'd get there in fantasy.
- 32:03Speaker 3: I think Lomelo is a much more palatable price tag
- 32:07Speaker 3: at 7.9K with the assist upside, so I'll definitely go there.
- 32:11Speaker 3: And he's done really well against Miami over the past
- 32:13Speaker 3: couple seasons, averaged 47 DK points per game. Obviously a
- 32:16Speaker 3: different role from Charlotte to Minnesota, but still– a guy
- 32:21Speaker 3: that should be able to outscore his 7.9K price tag.
- 32:24Speaker 3: I think it's a little bit too big of a
- 32:25Speaker 3: slate to get to anybody else on Minnesota, but I
- 32:28Speaker 3: am curious about J.D.
- 32:29Speaker 2: McDaniels.
- 32:30Speaker 3: He's going to be guarding Giannis, which brings foul risk,
- 32:32Speaker 3: but it seems like every year going into the season
- 32:36Speaker 3: for Minnesota, they just.
- 32:36Speaker 1: Always talk about J.D. McDaniels and even LaMelo.
- 32:40Speaker 2: He is a stud. He just got rewarded. Shout out
- 32:42Speaker 2: to him. One year, $ 40 million. Absolutely deserved.
- 32:45Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure.
- 32:46Speaker 3: Definitely one of the more important players in the NBA
- 32:49Speaker 3: for their team's success, just with what he does on
- 32:51Speaker 3: both ends of the court. But as for fantasy purposes,
- 32:56Speaker 3: not sure we really need to go there. Lomelo did
- 32:58Speaker 3: say he thinks he could average like 20 to 25
- 33:00Speaker 3: this year, and Jenny McDaniels said he wants to be
- 33:03Speaker 3: an all-star. Probably going to wait for a better matchup
- 33:06Speaker 3: where he doesn't have to guard Giannis on the other
- 33:08Speaker 3: side of the court and doesn't have Bam protecting the
- 33:11Speaker 3: rim down low. So just Lomelo and Ant for me
- 33:14Speaker 3: on the Minnesota side.
- 33:16Speaker 1: On Miami, it's pretty much just Giannis.
- 33:20Speaker 3: I think Wiggins and Davion Mitchell are probably okay at
- 33:23Speaker 3: their price tags.
- 33:25Speaker 1: But, yeah, I mean, Giannis' role in the preseason was massive.
- 33:28Speaker 3: He averaged a triple-double per 36 minutes, 30.4 points per game,
- 33:32Speaker 3: just under 15 rebounds, just under 13 assists per game.
- 33:35Speaker 3: So definitely going to be finding ways to get over
- 33:37Speaker 3: with Giannis. But I do agree with you. He's going
- 33:40Speaker 3: to come in way higher on. And then I'll keep
- 33:44Speaker 3: an eye on Pele Larson because I– He had a
- 33:46Speaker 3: crazy usage rate in the preseason, averaged just under 29
- 33:48Speaker 3: points per 36, and was really making a point of
- 33:51Speaker 3: emphasis to get to the rim and draw fouls. He
- 33:53Speaker 3: was averaging 15 free throw attempts per 36 minutes in
- 33:57Speaker 3: the preseason. A lot of positive commentary around him leading
- 34:00Speaker 3: into the season as well.
- 34:02Speaker 2: And the Spolstra, like you said, been a three-point funnel
- 34:05Speaker 2: for years. It's only going to get bigger when you
- 34:07Speaker 2: add Giannis in the paint next to Bam as well. So, yeah,
- 34:10Speaker 2: be prepared for teams absolutely be chucking it against the Heat.
- 34:14Speaker 2: All right, next game on the slate, Indiana Pacers and
- 34:16Speaker 2: the New Orleans Pelicans. Three-and-a-half-point favorites are the Pels, 238-and-a-half total. Again,
- 34:21Speaker 2: one of the biggest on the slate. Looking at ownership,
- 34:24Speaker 2: this game is not getting much, but, I mean, I
- 34:27Speaker 2: see Zion at 6.7K and 15%. I mean, that's all
- 34:31Speaker 2: I need to see. Curious here your take, though, on
- 34:33Speaker 2: Zion this year. You never know with him. What I
- 34:36Speaker 2: did like to see, Tyrese obviously came back. after injury.
- 34:40Speaker 2: He's up there at 8,400, so I'm not sure if
- 34:42Speaker 2: today's the day, but his usage was great in the
- 34:44Speaker 2: preseason as well as the primary ball handler. The more
- 34:48Speaker 2: appealing ones, I think, is the pivots down low. Kelly
- 34:50Speaker 2: Oubre at 4,700 is something, if he's placed 30 minutes,
- 34:53Speaker 2: which he's projected at, according to Sabresim, he can always
- 34:57Speaker 2: snatch that price tag due to his ability to fill
- 35:00Speaker 2: it up. So yeah, this game's pretty tough for me
- 35:03Speaker 2: for DFS, but I think Oubre's elite on the Pacers
- 35:06Speaker 2: side and I mean, yeah, Zion at 6,700 just screams mispriced,
- 35:13Speaker 2: but what are the minutes looking like this year? How
- 35:15Speaker 2: do you think his role in the offense is with
- 35:17Speaker 2: DeJounte healthy, Trey Murphy, and these guys?
- 35:22Speaker 1: First off, did you say that the Pelicans were favored
- 35:24Speaker 1: in this game?
- 35:25Speaker 2: Three and a half. Oh, no, sorry, I misspoke. So
- 35:28Speaker 2: I did say that, but I said it wrong. Three
- 35:31Speaker 2: and a half point favorites are the Pacers. I was
- 35:33Speaker 2: looking at, Saber Sim. So they have one like that.
- 35:37Speaker 2: And then I just, yeah, I have the sports book
- 35:40Speaker 2: up and I just, I guess, associated. So no, scratch that.
- 35:43Speaker 2: Pacers are favored by three and a half.
- 35:45Speaker 3: I was about to say, you got to run in
- 35:46Speaker 3: and jam in the Pacers if that's the case. Because
- 35:48Speaker 3: I think that they are just leaps and bounds better
- 35:51Speaker 3: than this Pelicans team.
- 35:53Speaker 2: You've hated the Pels, it feels like, for like two
- 35:55Speaker 2: years now. So that makes sense.
- 35:57Speaker 1: They have a lot of guys that I like.
- 35:58Speaker 3: I've always been a big DeJounte Murray guy, Trey Murphy
- 36:01Speaker 3: as well. Even Zion, I think, is a solid player.
- 36:05Speaker 3: But for your question that you're asking about Zion, I
- 36:09Speaker 3: agree that he looks like he's underpriced, but did not
- 36:11Speaker 3: like what I saw from him from a role standpoint
- 36:14Speaker 3: in the preseason. Really low usage rate, and they're trying
- 36:18Speaker 3: to get his jump shot to work. It's just never
- 36:20Speaker 3: been a part of his game. Add in the fact
- 36:22Speaker 3: that you've got a healthy DeJounte Murray, you've got Trey
- 36:24Speaker 3: Murphy still out there. You got rookies and Derek Queen
- 36:27Speaker 3: and Fierce who they're trying to develop. If he's going
- 36:30Speaker 3: to be like a 24% usage guy or whatever it
- 36:33Speaker 3: was in the preseason, I'll double check. But I think
- 36:36Speaker 3: that the price is probably appropriate there. And a lot
- 36:39Speaker 3: of the upside came from when he could just dominate
- 36:43Speaker 3: basically every stat category. Like now you're going to need
- 36:45Speaker 3: to just be a score first guy because you have
- 36:47Speaker 3: Missy out there to take the rebounds away. You still
- 36:50Speaker 3: got to get Trey Murphy the ball to score. DeJounte
- 36:52Speaker 3: is going to be the guy that's running the show,
- 36:54Speaker 3: running the point guard role.
- 36:56Speaker 1: So I'm not super high on Zion here.
- 37:01Speaker 3: Maybe I end up with more, but he does seem
- 37:03Speaker 3: like a pretty positive value right now. I'm not going
- 37:05Speaker 3: to say that I'm smarter than Sabre Sim or any
- 37:07Speaker 3: of these other projection providers, but I just don't really
- 37:10Speaker 3: like what I saw from him from a role standpoint.
- 37:13Speaker 3: I don't think I need to go to any of
- 37:14Speaker 3: these pelicans, really. You can make the case that Murray
- 37:18Speaker 3: and Trey Murphy are in good spots here. But, I
- 37:22Speaker 3: don't know, there's guys in their positions that just project
- 37:24Speaker 3: as much better values. I do think that the Indy
- 37:27Speaker 3: side is a little bit better, mainly those value plays
- 37:31Speaker 3: that you mentioned. But I think that, I don't know, Halliburton,
- 37:35Speaker 3: worth a sprinkle in case he's back to full. I
- 37:37Speaker 3: don't think they're going to run him 36 minutes right
- 37:39Speaker 3: off the bat, but 32 probably. That seems reasonable. A
- 37:44Speaker 3: couple of eight-minute stints in every quarter seems reasonable. But
- 37:47Speaker 3: like you said, the usage was great in the preseason.
- 37:49Speaker 3: He looked like he's all the way back. Like he,
- 37:52Speaker 3: it was great that he took the year off because
- 37:53Speaker 3: he knew that Pacers were going to be terrible last year.
- 37:56Speaker 3: And then you add a guy like Zubac, who is
- 38:00Speaker 3: I think one of the better pick and roll roll
- 38:02Speaker 3: men's that you can have. Cause he's just such a
- 38:04Speaker 3: big body like Miles Turner, that pick and pop guy.
- 38:07Speaker 3: It just didn't really help Halliburton as much. Didn't have
- 38:10Speaker 3: the same level of gravity that Zubac has. You can't
- 38:13Speaker 3: really throw two at Halliburton because he's just such a
- 38:16Speaker 3: good passer and Zubac will be wide open.
- 38:18Speaker 1: He's even a fine passer.
- 38:20Speaker 3: Passer as the the role man as well I think
- 38:22Speaker 3: that the pick and roll offense for India is going
- 38:24Speaker 3: to be very very dangerous this year so I'm high
- 38:26Speaker 3: on that but like you said it might be a
- 38:28Speaker 3: little bit too expensive for Halle like maybe wait a
- 38:31Speaker 3: week or two when either the price comes down or
- 38:33Speaker 3: the minutes go up but Zubac is a guy I
- 38:35Speaker 3: do want to get overweight on because I think that
- 38:36Speaker 3: he could really dominate this matchup the Pelicans were a
- 38:38Speaker 3: team over the past couple years that we've just been
- 38:41Speaker 3: jamming in centers against and he has not had a
- 38:44Speaker 3: guy as good as Halleburn in the pick and roll
- 38:47Speaker 3: game so I'm I'm expecting a big game out of
- 38:49Speaker 3: Zubac here. Like all those values, I think Kelly Oubre,
- 38:53Speaker 3: one of the better ones at 4.7K, no Neesmith. He'll
- 38:55Speaker 3: be in the starting lineup. And Obi Toppin, it seems
- 38:59Speaker 3: like he's got the backup center role locked down for now.
- 39:02Speaker 3: They don't really have anybody behind Zubac. It's Jay Huff
- 39:06Speaker 3: and basically Obi. They have Larry Nance Jr. as well,
- 39:10Speaker 3: but I don't think they're going to be playing those
- 39:12Speaker 3: guys much, if at all, tonight. So, Pace of the
- 39:15Speaker 3: game against a Pelican team that was really bad in
- 39:17Speaker 3: transition last year I think sets up pretty well for
- 39:20Speaker 3: Obi Toppin.
- 39:21Speaker 2: I like it. Him as the center, it creates a
- 39:25Speaker 2: lot of mismatches on the other side. The Pelicans are
- 39:28Speaker 2: going to have to decide what they want to do.
- 39:30Speaker 2: with in terms of a matchup because they'll just outrun
- 39:32Speaker 2: those centers in transition and get free buckets so i
- 39:35Speaker 2: do like obi at 3600 as well next game on
- 39:39Speaker 2: the slate rio's utah jazz taking on the memphis grizzlies
- 39:43Speaker 2: one at point favorites are the grizz 241.5, which is
- 39:46Speaker 2: the biggest on the slate. One ownership that is definitely
- 39:50Speaker 2: wrong is Ty Jerome. Let me just bump him up
- 39:53Speaker 2: to like 39%. Maybe that's a little hot. To be honest,
- 39:56Speaker 2: he could even be 39%, and I still have a
- 39:58Speaker 2: ton of interest. I mean, a fully unleashed Ty Jerome
- 40:01Speaker 2: this year. Then you can add in one of the
- 40:03Speaker 2: best matchups. In terms of pace and for guards, Ty
- 40:06Speaker 2: Jerome is an elite, an elite play today. Again, unfortunately,
- 40:10Speaker 2: I don't think it's sneaking past anyone, but I really
- 40:12Speaker 2: don't care. I can get different. in other spots. That's
- 40:16Speaker 2: all I really got. I'd be, it'd be a disservice
- 40:18Speaker 2: for me to talk about the jazz over you, but yeah,
- 40:21Speaker 2: I always loved Keontae marking him. They got some bodies.
- 40:24Speaker 2: That's for sure. Take it away. Jaren Jackson, revenge game too.
- 40:28Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 40:28Speaker 3: His first time, a lot of firsts in this game
- 40:30Speaker 3: is the first game. Darren Peterson and Cam Boozer will
- 40:33Speaker 3: be facing off against each other. The first time Jaren
- 40:35Speaker 3: Jackson Jr. plays against his former team.
- 40:38Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 40:39Speaker 1: Huge over under. I don't know.
- 40:41Speaker 3: I mean, if you're basing off some of the preseason numbers,
- 40:44Speaker 3: there's a little bit cause of concern that Utah games
- 40:46Speaker 3: might play a little bit slower. And they, I mean,
- 40:48Speaker 3: they're going to be better on defense this year because
- 40:50Speaker 3: they're going to actually be trying and adding Jaron a
- 40:53Speaker 3: big and Jackson Hayes. I don't think Hayes is great
- 40:55Speaker 3: by any means, but better than what we were trying
- 40:56Speaker 3: out last year. Uh, the rebounding is still going to
- 40:59Speaker 3: be a really big concern for them because they don't
- 41:02Speaker 3: have anybody that can really grab boards until they get
- 41:05Speaker 3: an air catch back. Uh, but yeah, last year they
- 41:07Speaker 3: were one of the fastest paced teams in the league
- 41:08Speaker 3: and a massive three point funnel, uh, I would probably
- 41:10Speaker 3: still expect that to continue here. But yeah, so for
- 41:15Speaker 3: the Jazz side of things, obviously they're going to be
- 41:18Speaker 3: mainly running their offense through Keontae and Laurie Markkinen and
- 41:22Speaker 3: Darren Peterson, I would say. But Laurie was the guy
- 41:24Speaker 3: that did see the most usage in the preseason. This
- 41:27Speaker 3: was a Grizzlies team that did give up a decent
- 41:29Speaker 3: amount of three-point volume last year. Laurie, one of the
- 41:31Speaker 3: best catch-and-shoot guys in the NBA. And he's probably going
- 41:35Speaker 3: to be the primary rebounder when he's on the floor
- 41:38Speaker 3: as well. So I think we could get a pretty
- 41:40Speaker 3: respectable stat line. Another guy with small forward, power forward
- 41:43Speaker 3: eligibility to add to the list of very strong options tonight.
- 41:46Speaker 3: Definitely have a lot of interest there. I don't think
- 41:49Speaker 3: I want to get to Keontae right now.
- 41:51Speaker 1: I think the reason he.
- 41:52Speaker 3: Was so valuable was at DFS option last year, because
- 41:54Speaker 3: there was so few guys to take away any sort
- 41:57Speaker 3: of handling and usage away from him, especially in games
- 42:00Speaker 3: that Laura didn't play. But now you have Darren Peterson
- 42:02Speaker 3: and Jaron Jackson Jr. and a healthy Laura Markin. And like,
- 42:05Speaker 3: I do think they're going to be running the offense
- 42:08Speaker 3: through a lot of these guys at times i think
- 42:10Speaker 3: i'll if i'm trying to get to a guard on
- 42:12Speaker 3: the jazz side i would probably prefer to get to
- 42:13Speaker 3: darren peterson uh because he looked as good as advertising
- 42:16Speaker 3: me one of the more polished guard players that uh
- 42:20Speaker 3: just guard scores that we've had come in probably since
- 42:22Speaker 3: like anthony edwards there might be some other guys in
- 42:24Speaker 3: between i missed out on but he looks like the
- 42:26Speaker 3: real deal and i think that he's definitely worth getting
- 42:29Speaker 3: to tonight because he did a little bit of everything
- 42:32Speaker 3: in the preseason and a lot better of a than
- 42:36Speaker 3: I thought he was, a guy that's got really long
- 42:38Speaker 3: arms can get some easy steals at times.
- 42:40Speaker 1: So he can fill up the stat sheet in a hurry.
- 42:42Speaker 3: Yeah, so I think that the top four guys that
- 42:45Speaker 3: are priced up on the Jazz are guys I'm all considering,
- 42:47Speaker 3: but I'd probably say Max one or just a Max
- 42:49Speaker 3: two overall and see what that gets me.
- 42:52Speaker 1: Ace is going to be coming off the bench to start.
- 42:54Speaker 1: Collier also coming off the bench.
- 42:57Speaker 3: I don't know what the role is necessarily going to
- 42:58Speaker 3: look like for Hayes. I think they have gone and
- 43:01Speaker 3: will go smaller times with Ace in the lineup. I
- 43:03Speaker 3: think that's probably their best lineup, but you don't want
- 43:05Speaker 3: to start that way. Yeah, so I'm excited about this game,
- 43:08Speaker 3: excited about the Jazz side of things, and I agree
- 43:10Speaker 3: with you on Ty Jerome. I haven't projected around like
- 43:13Speaker 3: 28 minutes because that's basically what their head coach said
- 43:16Speaker 3: he's going to be playing, but he's going.
- 43:18Speaker 1: To dominate usage.
- 43:19Speaker 3: It's a little bit of a different situation last year
- 43:21Speaker 3: because he was at like a 30% usage rate, 1.4
- 43:24Speaker 3: fantasy points per minute. You have Cam Boozer in there.
- 43:28Speaker 3: That's another guy they're going to run things through. But
- 43:31Speaker 3: I still think that it's the Ty Jerome show. I mean,
- 43:33Speaker 3: he's too cheap in a really good matchup. I'll definitely
- 43:36Speaker 3: get to a ton of him. I think that's it.
- 43:41Speaker 3: I mean, Sabre is really high on Coward, and I
- 43:43Speaker 3: don't disagree there.
- 43:45Speaker 1: But I don't know.
- 43:47Speaker 3: There's some really good shooting guard options in that same
- 43:49Speaker 3: range I might prefer over him. It is a great
- 43:52Speaker 3: matchup for him, though. So maybe just kind of roll
- 43:54Speaker 3: with the projection. I think he looks solid. Would love
- 43:58Speaker 3: the matchup. I knew ED was going to play normal minutes,
- 44:00Speaker 3: but I don't think they're going to. be running out
- 44:02Speaker 3: the first time just due to his injury history.
- 44:05Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, I think a coward's fine if you
- 44:07Speaker 2: trust the projection. Sure. But I think they got the
- 44:10Speaker 2: tie Jerome and coward ownership flipped. There's no way Jerome's
- 44:14Speaker 2: 12% and cowards 29%. So I added to that on
- 44:17Speaker 2: the screen as we see it. Boozer just tough at 7,300,
- 44:21Speaker 2: but I don't hate, I guess if you want to
- 44:23Speaker 2: be in on these rookies, I'll probably take more of
- 44:25Speaker 2: a wait and see approach. And it mainly comes down
- 44:27Speaker 2: to just the price tag relative to others on the
- 44:30Speaker 2: slate that I feel, more known about. But, hey, if
- 44:33Speaker 2: there was ever a day, $ 5, 98,000 people in the contest,
- 44:37Speaker 2: today's your day to get different, get crazy for the
- 44:40Speaker 2: first real slate of the NBA. All right, let's keep rolling.
- 44:43Speaker 2: Next game, Dallas Mavericks and the Houston Rockets. Nine-and-a-half-point favorites
- 44:47Speaker 2: are the Rockets. 230-and-a-half total, the easiest cross-off game on
- 44:51Speaker 2: the slate for me. I'm excited for Kyrie to be back.
- 44:54Speaker 2: Kyrie with the ball in his hands is a blessing
- 44:56Speaker 2: for basketball fans. But, yeah, DFS-wise, I got nothing. Yeah,
- 45:01Speaker 2: take it away.
- 45:02Speaker 1: That was nice. I don't know if you meant to
- 45:04Speaker 1: rhyme right there, but that was pretty good.
- 45:05Speaker 2: I did not mean to rhyme one bit. Yeah, I agree, though.
- 45:09Speaker 1: I mean, you've got a full-strength Houston team. Looks like
- 45:12Speaker 1: they're going to.
- 45:12Speaker 3: Be one of the better defenses in the league this year.
- 45:14Speaker 3: You've got Fred Van Cleet, Steven Adams. I think Steven
- 45:17Speaker 3: Adams is still questionable, but he should be back. And
- 45:19Speaker 3: then you added some more depth and guard handling and
- 45:23Speaker 3: defense in Marcus Smart. So I like the moves that
- 45:25Speaker 3: they made this year. I think that they could be
- 45:27Speaker 3: a top team in the West for sure. Dallas getting
- 45:30Speaker 3: Kyrie back.
- 45:33Speaker 2: All in all, I agree.
- 45:33Speaker 3: I think this is closer to a cross-off game. The
- 45:38Speaker 3: game total is not that appealing. Price tag on Cooper
- 45:41Speaker 3: Flagg is way up there. If you want to bet
- 45:44Speaker 3: on him taking a big leap, he was already great
- 45:46Speaker 3: at times last year and definitely was paying off this
- 45:48Speaker 3: price tag, but in a matchup versus Houston, I think
- 45:52Speaker 3: I'd want to go away from that. I think Kyrie
- 45:54Speaker 3: definitely earns a little bit of exposure, though. It's 6.8K,
- 45:57Speaker 3: just a really cheap price tag. Looks like he's close
- 46:00Speaker 3: to fully healthy. I'm not sure if the minutes will
- 46:02Speaker 3: be there right off the bat, but he's match-approved when
- 46:05Speaker 3: he gets going, so I'm not really too afraid of
- 46:08Speaker 3: the Ahmaud Thompson assignment there.
- 46:10Speaker 1: I think that's it, though.
- 46:11Speaker 3: Not seeing anybody that's projecting close to a positive value
- 46:15Speaker 3: on the Dallas side of things that we really need
- 46:16Speaker 3: to run and play.
- 46:17Speaker 1: Same thing for Houston.
- 46:19Speaker 3: I think Kevin Durant is much worse than all the
- 46:21Speaker 3: other small forward options that we mentioned earlier, and I
- 46:24Speaker 3: think he's the most expensive of the ones I mentioned,
- 46:27Speaker 3: so Pretty easy X out on the Houston side of things.
- 46:31Speaker 2: Yep, agree. What's up, Matt? Or what's up, Matt? Our
- 46:34Speaker 2: man Matt over here does content. For NBA, he is
- 46:38Speaker 2: on the Slate Station today. Yeah, I think it's either
- 46:40Speaker 2: Jerome or... Schroeder. And Schroeder, yeah. Do you have any
- 46:46Speaker 2: take on who's going to be higher?
- 46:49Speaker 1: Probably Schroeder.
- 46:51Speaker 2: Due to the price, that makes sense. It's going to
- 46:53Speaker 2: be one of those two, in my opinion. Both will
- 46:55Speaker 2: definitely be high owned. Alright, let's keep it rolling. Still
- 46:58Speaker 2: a couple games left. We have an hour and a
- 47:01Speaker 2: half window in between that Dallas-Houston game to this Suns
- 47:05Speaker 2: and Portland game. Portland 2.5 point favorites. 2.30 and a
- 47:09Speaker 2: half total in this one. Game's not looking to get
- 47:12Speaker 2: much ownership. On the Suns side though, I will say
- 47:15Speaker 2: Dylan Brooks at 5,600. I think he's a little interesting. Man,
- 47:19Speaker 2: he was so good and important for this team last year.
- 47:22Speaker 2: They did get an addition to Miles Bridges, but Brooks
- 47:25Speaker 2: can fill it up in multiple different ways if he
- 47:27Speaker 2: is really going to be that low on. A little
- 47:29Speaker 2: interest there. Jalen Green's usage was also very good in
- 47:32Speaker 2: the regular season. I mean, you need probably 30 real
- 47:35Speaker 2: ones anytime you play him at 6,300, but he is
- 47:38Speaker 2: definitely capable of doing that. Portland side, it's going to
- 47:41Speaker 2: be fun to watch. Dane back at 6,500. Not sure
- 47:45Speaker 2: he can fill up the stat sheet enough to– To
- 47:48Speaker 2: score 45-plus, maybe. I'm curious to hear your main take
- 47:51Speaker 2: on that one. Definitely can if Abdi is ruled out.
- 47:54Speaker 2: You mentioned that at the top, the biggest Q take
- 47:56Speaker 2: on the slate. Probably won't get the news until this
- 47:59Speaker 2: late window. Yeah, do you have any take on Abdi
- 48:02Speaker 2: and then take this game away?
- 48:04Speaker 3: I don't, but the fact that you're questionable leading into
- 48:07Speaker 3: opening night, picking up an injury that late in the
- 48:09Speaker 3: preseason is probably not good.
- 48:12Speaker 1: But, I mean, he's going to do everything he can
- 48:14Speaker 1: to get out there. I'm sure home opener at home.
- 48:17Speaker 3: Definitely think he's going to try to play, but yeah,
- 48:18Speaker 3: if he doesn't like, you got to find a way
- 48:21Speaker 3: to get creative and save a couple of spots, like
- 48:23Speaker 3: say I'm into, uh, to give yourself some flexibility of
- 48:28Speaker 3: a couple of these guys in these last six games. Uh,
- 48:30Speaker 3: you could actually just do the last two, I think,
- 48:33Speaker 3: cause you'll have the news. And if, if he does play,
- 48:35Speaker 3: you can open up to that.
- 48:36Speaker 2: So that's three games, six teams is what real meant
- 48:39Speaker 2: by the way.
- 48:39Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 48:40Speaker 3: Um, Yeah, I think that with Denny in, it's harder
- 48:44Speaker 3: for me to get to any of these Blazers. I
- 48:46Speaker 3: think that Ja is interesting at 6.6K, and if he's
- 48:50Speaker 3: going to be that low on, because he's basically going
- 48:52Speaker 3: to be running the point for them, and he was
- 48:56Speaker 3: dominating the assist numbers, kind of had Denny and Dame
- 48:59Speaker 3: as the two main scoring options, so pretty valuable role
- 49:03Speaker 3: for Ja. He is going to be a guy that's
- 49:05Speaker 3: getting points and assists, whereas Dame and Denny, Denny is
- 49:08Speaker 3: probably more of like a rebound and points type of guy,
- 49:10Speaker 3: and Dame probably more like just scoring. But all the,
- 49:15Speaker 3: I mean, he took a year off as well, similar
- 49:17Speaker 3: to Halliburton, so he's probably close to fully healthy. a
- 49:19Speaker 3: little bit older but everything around the Blazers camp said
- 49:24Speaker 3: that he looks as good as he ever has in
- 49:26Speaker 3: his career which I mean obviously don't believe that but
- 49:29Speaker 3: Dame is not really a guy that is super reliant
- 49:32Speaker 3: on athleticism and his explosiveness so he definitely could get
- 49:36Speaker 3: there he did look good in the preseason so I'd
- 49:39Speaker 3: probably just be wait and see approach on the blazer side,
- 49:43Speaker 3: unless we get news early on, which we probably won't
- 49:45Speaker 3: that Denny is out. Kind of the same for Phoenix though.
- 49:50Speaker 3: I don't see anybody that's really projecting as a great value.
- 49:53Speaker 3: Jalen green sounds like he's going to be more of
- 49:55Speaker 3: like the point guard for Phoenix. This year was working
- 49:58Speaker 3: with Steve Nash in the off season. Didn't really show
- 50:00Speaker 3: up in the preseason numbers, but like he is cheap
- 50:03Speaker 3: compared to what we saw from him last year. It
- 50:05Speaker 3: was some games where he really went off. Not sure
- 50:07Speaker 3: how that looks with miles bridges in there now though.
- 50:10Speaker 3: And Gillespie's still going to be a guy that's eating
- 50:12Speaker 3: into him.
- 50:12Speaker 1: So, I don't know. It's probably just a max one,
- 50:15Speaker 1: max two overall in this game.
- 50:17Speaker 2: Agree. Definitely do agree. Before we talk about the last
- 50:20Speaker 2: two games, let me head on over to our new
- 50:23Speaker 2: website at Shippenation.com. You got that right. New website. Look
- 50:26Speaker 2: at how sharp this is. As you can see, our
- 50:29Speaker 2: shows for the day. UFC, me and Big Marley will
- 50:31Speaker 2: be talking right after this. Free articles, all of our
- 50:34Speaker 2: different sports options here. What you get in NBA projections, ownership.
- 50:39Speaker 2: The Stone Showdown content as well. If you want to
- 50:41Speaker 2: see all of our different pricing, see plans and pricing,
- 50:44Speaker 2: you click it down and you drop down. You can
- 50:46Speaker 2: see monthly and annual deals. And you do get, like
- 50:50Speaker 2: I said, if you, or I always say it, the
- 50:52Speaker 2: longer you're with us, the cheaper it gets. So you
- 50:54Speaker 2: can see monthly $ 99 for the Core 100, $ 149 for
- 50:57Speaker 2: a starter. But if you go to annual, you save
- 51:00Speaker 2: $ 20 on both of those. And you can see everything
- 51:04Speaker 2: that you do get. With us, 500 lineups for the starter.
- 51:08Speaker 2: You get Saber Sims projections and ownership. You get contest flashback,
- 51:13Speaker 2: ability to late swap, whereas Core 100, you get 100
- 51:16Speaker 2: ability to use 100 lineups. You do not get Saber
- 51:18Speaker 2: Sims projections or ownership. You just get ours. But I
- 51:21Speaker 2: think the starter deal is definitely the best. If you
- 51:24Speaker 2: are playing probably even like $ 30, $ 35 a night or more,
- 51:29Speaker 2: I think starter would definitely be very important. NBA is
- 51:32Speaker 2: obviously a very big late swap sports. Uh, if you
- 51:35Speaker 2: can see down here as well, if you're only playing
- 51:37Speaker 2: one sport, we do have NBA for the month, less
- 51:40Speaker 2: than a dollar a day, uh, for NBA content, NBA content,
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- 51:47Speaker 2: go to annual, you can see it definitely gets cheaper too, uh,
- 51:50Speaker 2: as all of our prices do. So we'd love to
- 51:52Speaker 2: have you also, you can take this 60 second quiz. Um,
- 51:55Speaker 2: and you also get a discount. So, uh, definitely do
- 51:58Speaker 2: join the discord if you do join any of our packages.
- 52:02Speaker 2: Let's head on over to Saberson. We've got two games left,
- 52:04Speaker 2: the Golden State Warriors and the Los Angeles Lakers. Lakers
- 52:08Speaker 2: six-and-a-half-point favorites, 234-and-a-half total in this one. Anytime I'm seeing
- 52:13Speaker 2: Draymond get over 20% ownership, especially on a slate like
- 52:16Speaker 2: this with 11 games, I am good. I don't care
- 52:18Speaker 2: that he's 4,500. Yeah, if he beats me, he beats me.
- 52:22Speaker 2: Do you have any other different take in this game?
- 52:25Speaker 2: And then Lakers side seems pretty appropriately priced, and ownership
- 52:28Speaker 2: reflects that.
- 52:31Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, I tend to agree with you there.
- 52:33Speaker 3: It's just tougher when his price gets that low because even,
- 52:35Speaker 3: I don't know, like 25, 26.
- 52:38Speaker 2: I just don't think that wins it today.
- 52:41Speaker 1: Yeah, I would agree with that. And there's probably going
- 52:43Speaker 1: to be guys that outscore him.
- 52:44Speaker 3: Like we saw last night, there was a lot of
- 52:46Speaker 3: guys that were chalky that got outscored by people that
- 52:49Speaker 3: we weren't really on. So it definitely could happen here
- 52:51Speaker 3: with there being 10 other games to get to. Yeah,
- 52:55Speaker 3: for me, I mean, it's Yaxel. I don't know if
- 52:58Speaker 3: I'm saying that incorrectly. I saw that it was potentially Jack.
- 53:02Speaker 2: Yeah. I think I saw the thing that saying Jackson,
- 53:04Speaker 2: I'm saying the axle until everyone says that the other way.
- 53:07Speaker 1: I mean, yeah.
- 53:08Speaker 3: I mean, savers way too low on him. We're going
- 53:11Speaker 3: to be, we're gonna have to come up a lot there.
- 53:13Speaker 3: Cause I do think that he's going to be a
- 53:14Speaker 3: really big part of this.
- 53:16Speaker 2: 27. They have them for 24. Do you think 27
- 53:18Speaker 2: is light too?
- 53:20Speaker 1: Yeah, I do. I would put them probably like 32.
- 53:22Speaker 2: Oh, wow. Yeah.
- 53:24Speaker 3: I mean, they, Steve Kerr came out and said like,
- 53:26Speaker 3: he's going to play a ton. He's going to be starting.
- 53:28Speaker 3: Like they're all in on him. Draymond Green said that
- 53:31Speaker 3: he's the future face of their franchise. And this is
- 53:33Speaker 3: after they just, I think that they just, uh, signed pods, right.
- 53:37Speaker 3: To a long-term deal.
- 53:38Speaker 2: Pods or, uh, Steph Curry light or whatever you want
- 53:42Speaker 2: to call, whatever he wants to be called. Yeah. Yeah.
- 53:45Speaker 2: That's hilarious.
- 53:48Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean, he's, he's going to be the
- 53:50Speaker 3: focal point, like of the team moving forward, the face
- 53:53Speaker 3: of the franchise after Steph and Draymond leave. I mean,
- 53:56Speaker 3: he looked great in the preseason and in, uh, what
- 54:01Speaker 3: is it called? The Summer League. I think he won
- 54:06Speaker 3: Summer League MVP. Yeah, he just does a lot of everything.
- 54:09Speaker 3: Like he's kind of like in the, don't take this
- 54:12Speaker 3: too literally, but like the Giannis, like Jalen Johnson type
- 54:15Speaker 3: of forward where they can really fill up every single
- 54:17Speaker 3: area of the stat sheet. So I'm definitely going to
- 54:19Speaker 3: get to a lot of Yaxel here. I don't think
- 54:22Speaker 3: that he's going to be as low as I projected.
- 54:24Speaker 3: I mean, we're going to get a refresh. I think
- 54:25Speaker 3: he'll come up a good bit, but he should definitely
- 54:27Speaker 3: be in consideration here. Having trouble to say that I
- 54:32Speaker 3: want to play Steph over some of the other point
- 54:33Speaker 3: guards mentioned earlier in that same range. But just because
- 54:37Speaker 3: I don't think there's going to be playing four minutes
- 54:39Speaker 3: off the bat. I mean, you just saw a couple
- 54:41Speaker 3: days ago when they had their open practice, he had
- 54:44Speaker 3: a non-contact injury, which apparently was not anything serious. But
- 54:48Speaker 3: they're not going to be pushing him to a ton
- 54:51Speaker 3: of minutes. And I think it probably capped to like
- 54:54Speaker 3: 29 to 30 on the high end. So you really
- 54:56Speaker 3: just need a ton of scoring from him, which he
- 54:58Speaker 3: obviously can do. One of the best to ever do it.
- 55:00Speaker 3: So if you want to play him, go ahead. But
- 55:02Speaker 3: I think that there's some other options I'm going to
- 55:04Speaker 3: begin to. And then the value on De'Anthony Mellon, I think,
- 55:08Speaker 3: looks pretty solid here. If Steph is at all limited
- 55:11Speaker 3: or just not playing well, I think Melton is a
- 55:13Speaker 3: guy they're going to have.
- 55:13Speaker 1: To lean on for some offense.
- 55:16Speaker 2: Anything Lakers side? Yeah.
- 55:19Speaker 3: Luka, Reeves, and Kessler are pretty much in for me.
- 55:22Speaker 3: I think Kessler is a pretty solid option, similar to
- 55:26Speaker 3: Zubac in that same range where nobody's going to really
- 55:28Speaker 3: be playing him. And we've seen what Luka can do
- 55:31Speaker 3: unlocking a guy like Walker Kessler.
- 55:33Speaker 1: You've seen some of the centers in the past that
- 55:34Speaker 1: Luka's played with have some.
- 55:36Speaker 3: Really big games. So yeah, they went out and got him.
- 55:40Speaker 3: This is a guy that Luka wanted. I think they
- 55:41Speaker 3: have a big plan in place for Walker Kessler. Luka's
- 55:45Speaker 3: just kind of a spend-up to be contrarian option because
- 55:47Speaker 3: we have Giannis for cheaper and better positional eligibility or
- 55:50Speaker 3: just had an easier position to spend up for. So
- 55:53Speaker 3: you're going to get pretty low ownership on Luka for sure.
- 55:55Speaker 3: But I think that Reeves might be Overall, a better
- 55:59Speaker 3: option at 8K with point guard, shooting guard eligibility.
- 56:02Speaker 1: Very similar role, not as high of a usage.
- 56:04Speaker 3: Luke was at 41% lead, or sorry, I don't know
- 56:08Speaker 3: what his number was in the preseason, but dominated and
- 56:10Speaker 3: led the entire preseason in usage. So like him, and
- 56:13Speaker 3: then just keep an eye on the starting lineups. I
- 56:15Speaker 3: think it's going to be Zaire Williams out there, 3.3K.
- 56:18Speaker 3: You could do worse than a guy starting at a
- 56:22Speaker 3: shooting guard small forward that cheap.
- 56:25Speaker 2: All right, let's get to the last game of the night. 10.30 Eastern,
- 56:28Speaker 2: Sacramento Kings and the Los Angeles Clippers. We are looking
- 56:32Speaker 2: at five and a half point favorites for the Clips.
- 56:34Speaker 2: 226 and a half total in this one. Getting some ownership, though.
- 56:38Speaker 2: So you did mention if you wanted to wait for
- 56:40Speaker 2: Obdianews or make a rule, have at least two players
- 56:43Speaker 2: in those last three games. I think this is a
- 56:46Speaker 2: game that you naturally will get a little bit of.
- 56:48Speaker 2: More interest on the Clippers side, at least in terms
- 56:51Speaker 2: of ownership. Then the Kings, but Sabonis is getting some
- 56:54Speaker 2: ownership at $ 7, 700. What Sabonis are we going to see?
- 56:57Speaker 2: The one like three years ago where he was just
- 56:59Speaker 2: a double-double machine racking it up or the Sabonis as
- 57:03Speaker 2: of late? What feels like the past year, year and
- 57:05Speaker 2: a half? I don't know.
- 57:07Speaker 3: I mean, the preseason looked really bad for Sabonis. He
- 57:10Speaker 3: might be dust or just not motivated to play for
- 57:14Speaker 3: this team, which I wouldn't blame him for. But, I mean,
- 57:18Speaker 3: Darius Acuff is just going to be so ball-dominant.
- 57:22Speaker 1: Just going to have all the usage in the world.
- 57:23Speaker 3: Like I struggle to see a scenario where Sabonis can
- 57:27Speaker 3: outscore a guy like Zubac or Walker Kessler who are
- 57:30Speaker 3: in much better positions. I guess the matchup is fine
- 57:33Speaker 3: because Isaiah Jackson's a kind of like a smaller bodied center.
- 57:37Speaker 3: So he could get there off of like, just like
- 57:40Speaker 3: a double double with a ton of rebounds, but I
- 57:43Speaker 3: don't know that this feels really high and kind of
- 57:48Speaker 3: just feels bad paying that, much and that big of
- 57:51Speaker 3: an ownership for Sabonis. I'm out on him, pretty much
- 57:54Speaker 3: out on the entire Kings right now. I just think
- 57:57Speaker 3: this team is just a train wreck, but the Clippers
- 57:59Speaker 3: side looks a lot better. Isaiah Jackson was one of
- 58:02Speaker 3: the guys I was mentioning over Jalen Smith because at 4.7K,
- 58:06Speaker 3: a guy that's starting and probably playing 27 minutes. I mean,
- 58:08Speaker 3: we know he's been a really good permanent guy in
- 58:11Speaker 3: the past. I was looking at the game logs last
- 58:13Speaker 3: year when he played for the Clippers, only a handful
- 58:16Speaker 3: of games, but there was five games where he was
- 58:19Speaker 3: above 19 minutes and he averaged 27.6 DK points per
- 58:22Speaker 3: game or 1.26 fantasy points per minute. So plug that
- 58:26Speaker 3: in a guy that's playing 25 plus one of the
- 58:29Speaker 3: better values on the slate for me, Garland going to
- 58:32Speaker 3: have a ton of usage and, uh, going to really
- 58:34Speaker 3: be leaned on in a really big way.
- 58:37Speaker 1: Kings had the second worst.
- 58:38Speaker 3: Defensive rating, the priest is, and I expect that to
- 58:40Speaker 3: carry over should be a really good spot for him.
- 58:42Speaker 3: Another guy I'd probably rather play over Steph Curry, uh,
- 58:46Speaker 3: Chris Dunn was a guy that's getting a ton of
- 58:49Speaker 3: ownership or at least projecting as a strong value early
- 58:51Speaker 3: in the day, probably just because he's starting.
- 58:54Speaker 1: But I don't know.
- 58:56Speaker 3: I'd probably try to find ways to get away from
- 58:58Speaker 3: him because he's point guard only. And then I do
- 59:02Speaker 3: have interest in Rui at 5.4K. A lot of positive
- 59:06Speaker 3: things around him. Ty Lue apparently wants him to average
- 59:09Speaker 3: over eight rebounds.
- 59:10Speaker 1: Per game.
- 59:10Speaker 3: His usage was the highest on the Clippers in the preseason,
- 59:13Speaker 3: and he led them in scoring. So I really like
- 59:15Speaker 3: what I'm seeing from Rui, the numbers leading into the season,
- 59:18Speaker 3: and probably one of the best spots that he'll face
- 59:20Speaker 3: all season.
- 59:22Speaker 2: You don't got to talk me into Rui. Rui's an
- 59:24Speaker 2: absolute monster. Looking to be pretty low on what if
- 59:27Speaker 2: they want to run offense through Rui or have A
- 59:29Speaker 2: usage like that, 5.4K will not last long. He'll be 6.4K
- 59:34Speaker 2: pretty soon. I think that's actually my favorite play after
- 59:37Speaker 2: everything we've talked about. Rui Hachimura in the last game
- 59:41Speaker 2: of the night, only projected for 5%. Things you absolutely
- 59:44Speaker 2: love to see. You don't need this on an 11-game slate, right?
- 59:48Speaker 2: That's a showdown night slate, if anything.
- 59:51Speaker 3: Yeah, you're just asking for way too much from a
- 59:53Speaker 3: guy like Brook Lopez.
- 59:55Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 59:57Speaker 2: Hey, that's our talk in all 11 games, DraftKings and
- 1:00:00Speaker 2: FanDuel again, including all 11 of these games. Be on
- 1:00:03Speaker 2: the lookout for Denny News. Late swaps, obviously very important.
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: We would love to have you at The Nation. Again,
- 1:00:09Speaker 2: as you can see, multiple different options. I'll just head
- 1:00:12Speaker 2: over one more time to our beautiful new layout, see
- 1:00:15Speaker 2: plans and pricing, monthly and annual packages. We also do
- 1:00:19Speaker 2: have single sport options as well. Again, pricing only gets
- 1:00:22Speaker 2: better the longer you are with us. Rio, any final
- 1:00:26Speaker 2: thoughts for you before we get on out here? No,
- 1:00:29Speaker 2: I think we covered it all.
- 1:00:30Speaker 3: I know you've got to get out of here and
- 1:00:31Speaker 3: get to the MMA show, so ready to roll whenever
- 1:00:35Speaker 3: you are.
- 1:00:36Speaker 2: Yeah, UFC 334, I believe. A great, great MMA DFS slate.
- 1:00:40Speaker 2: A lot of coin flip fights. Volk, Ivlov, Peter Jan, Murad.
- 1:00:44Speaker 2: It's going to be a fun one. Good stuff, Rio.
- 1:00:47Speaker 2: If anyone wants some MMA content, head on over to
- 1:00:50Speaker 2: the show. Big Marley and I will be going live
- 1:00:52Speaker 2: any second. Slate plan... is up from our man Matt Bellman.
- 1:00:55Speaker 2: You can see Coors on there as well, as well
- 1:00:57Speaker 2: as projections, ownership, and showdown contents. That'll do it for
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: us for Rio on Titletown. Good luck. Be safe. Peace.