Latest / AST SpaceMobile Podcast / Anpanman - The building blocks for data centers in space backed by Google
Transcript
- 0:06This is the AST Space Mobile podcast.
- 0:10Where we just basically turn your phone be seamless
- 0:14regardless of where you are. We don't want the user even to
- 0:16know that it's connected by satellite.
- 0:21Listen, the opportunity that we have is very, very, very large.
- 0:29Hey everyone, I was not planning to do another space today, but
- 0:34some recent news that was broken by the Wall Street Journal
- 0:38spurred me to do another one. So I'm back.
- 0:44Hopefully you guys can hear me. Give me a thumbs up if you can,
- 0:47if I'm coming out OK, which I assume I am.
- 0:51But yeah, anyway, there was some big news that was broken by Wall
- 0:55Street Journal. It seems that Sam Altman of Open
- 1:00AI explore potentially investing in or perhaps acquiring Stoke,
- 1:08which for those that are not familiar, Stoke is a Stoke
- 1:12space, is a company that's building rockets.
- 1:15I think they're they're printable to reusable rockets,
- 1:17similar to SpaceX Falcon 9. And I guess over the summer, in
- 1:23the fall, Altman had reached out to potentially make it a big
- 1:28investment and then, you know, support the company in their
- 1:32development. And the the key reason for that
- 1:35is I assume he wanted to have unencumbered access to space as
- 1:40rocket lab and machine. He would say the keys to space.
- 1:43But you know, back then in the summer and fall, there's only
- 1:46one way, one freeway to get there, which is SpaceX.
- 1:50But of course, since then, Blue Origin has successfully, you
- 1:55know, launched and landed new blend.
- 1:57And so maybe perhaps the, the, the picture has changed quite a
- 2:00bit in terms of launch capacity. But the key part of the story, I
- 2:04think is, you know, open AI, you know, part of it is that
- 2:09they've, they have to in the, in the article, what they were
- 2:14looking to do. And I guess planning ahead of is
- 2:19looking at possibly getting access to space, you know,
- 2:24launch capacity, but then also trying to build out some type of
- 2:27capability for the eventuality of data centers in space.
- 2:31And I'll be the first person to admit that I was a bit skeptical
- 2:35of the whole idea, which was I guess, like a few weeks ago.
- 2:39But for those who haven't been following it closely, I guess
- 2:44for people in who've been, you know, steeped in an AI, they
- 2:51understand the ongoing and insatiable demands for
- 2:54processing power and the, you know, related power that goes
- 2:58along with that. And so, you know, there's this
- 3:01gold rush right now of everyone building data centers in, you
- 3:06know, here on Earth. Obviously for all these these
- 3:09companies, whether that's, you know, Amazon, Microsoft, Open
- 3:13AI, Google, there's this big rush to build data centers.
- 3:18But then if you kind of extrapolate that out over time,
- 3:22the, the amount of, you know, power required to do to, you
- 3:28know, that's going to be needed over the coming years.
- 3:31There's this whole idea of, of shifting that out to space,
- 3:35because in space, out in space, you can more efficiently get
- 3:39power from the sun. And you know, there's, there's,
- 3:43there's a whole host of reason why that could make sense.
- 3:45But, but of course that's, it's an expensive proposition and you
- 3:48know with launch coming down in pricing you can get more tonnage
- 3:53up to space. But then you know, obviously
- 3:56every, every amounts of kilogram that you send to space is very
- 4:00expensive. And and of course once once
- 4:03you're out in space and I'm not an expert on data centers in
- 4:07space, which I'm, I'm assuming maybe in the coming weeks I'm
- 4:10going to be learning more about it as we all are probably.
- 4:13But you know that that there's a whole host of new challenges
- 4:17that it presents. But I think why the reason why I
- 4:20wanted to fire the space up is that I think a lot of the key
- 4:24building blocks that are going to be required to deploy data
- 4:27centers in space actually already exist with AST Space
- 4:31Mobile. And so it's kind of funny
- 4:34because I think, you know, Scott Wisniewski and, you know,
- 4:40presentations would tell you that, you know, the company is
- 4:45in the right place at the right time, just given how focused the
- 4:49new administration is on leadership and spacing
- 4:53communications. And so now, you know, we're in
- 4:57this environment where you have this administration that's
- 5:00really supportive. And and so in a lot of ways,
- 5:04like it's, it's perfect timing for where the company is in in
- 5:07their development. And then all of a sudden this is
- 5:11kind of like the NVIDIA effect, right?
- 5:13Like you, you have a company that was focused on accelerator,
- 5:17graphic accelerators for games and then all of a sudden this
- 5:20new application AI comes along and then shifts, you know, the
- 5:26use of NVIDIA graphics processors into computing for
- 5:32AI. And so I think you kind of have
- 5:36a similar type of prime form here where, you know, you AC
- 5:43space mobile. If you, if you take a step back
- 5:45and think about what they've done right, they've they've
- 5:48developed this huge platform, this that can generate A
- 5:53tremendous amount of power out in space.
- 5:56And it has the ability to support, you know, high level,
- 6:01high, high amount of processing power and also can dissipate
- 6:05heat and, you know, do that in a form factor that can go up in a
- 6:10normal rocket fairing, right. And so what's interesting is
- 6:14that if you think about what the essence of an AST looper
- 6:18satellite is, it's it's this large solar array that's flowing
- 6:23out in space that can generate a lot of power and can support
- 6:27processors and dissipate that heat properly.
- 6:29And also can, you know, process it a tremendous lot of
- 6:35communications like, you know, bandwidth or your your data
- 6:39throughput, right. And so I think if you were to
- 6:43just kind of take a step back and think about what a data
- 6:46center might need, you need a large solar array that's
- 6:50efficient, that can be deployed in a cheap manner.
- 6:55That is also, you know, in terms of processing per, I don't know
- 7:03how you would measure it, but the dollar dollar deploy like
- 7:06the most efficient way you can do that.
- 7:08You know, ASC has already done that, right?
- 7:09Like the satellites are all in cost, including launch, you
- 7:15know, averaging around what 20, two $23 million.
- 7:18And so and and you know, these are the the satellite solar
- 7:22array slash phase array is the size of a basketball court,
- 7:26right? And so if you can imagine, like,
- 7:30let's say you take a, a Bluebird satellite and you take off the
- 7:34phased array because you don't need that, but you leave the
- 7:38solar on one side and then you replace the, the Fpgas or what
- 7:43eventually will be ASICS. But you replace those with like,
- 7:46I don't know, a, a Google TPU, A tensor processor or an NVIDIA
- 7:51processor. And I, I forget exactly how many
- 7:55processors go into each Micron. Let's let's say the building
- 7:59block of the Micron is a 30cm by 30 centimeter square of solar
- 8:04panels. And then, I don't know, maybe
- 8:06you put in one or two processors, but then you know,
- 8:13you have a, a decent amount of batteries already on the
- 8:16satellite. And then you would have to come
- 8:18up with storage solution. I would assume that it's going
- 8:20to be, you know, probably some type of flash storage.
- 8:24You probably don't want rotating mechanical hard drives out in
- 8:27space, although maybe maybe that's OK, I'm not sure.
- 8:32But you or you could in terms of data centers, I don't I don't
- 8:37know how much storage you would actually need on the on the
- 8:38satellite itself. You probably want storage on
- 8:41Earth, but you want processing to happen out in space.
- 8:44And so the way that you can communicate to and from the
- 8:48satellite would actually be through I bandwidth line of
- 8:51sight the, the feeder links, right?
- 8:53So the QV uplink and downlink or you could use laser, you know,
- 8:58optical links to communicate with Sally.
- 9:01But you want basically all the processing power to happen out
- 9:04in space that's married to the solar rays, right?
- 9:08And then the storage, I guess once the processing happens,
- 9:11you'd have some amount of storage on the satellite itself,
- 9:13but then most of the storage would be hard drives and and
- 9:16flash storage down on Earth. But it wouldn't take that much
- 9:20actually to just kind of reconfigure the satellite.
- 9:23And in some respects part of it, it will become, it will become
- 9:27less complicated because you don't have to have the phased
- 9:30array and you don't need to have, you know, that the, the
- 9:33bottom side of the, of the Micron.
- 9:35And you don't need to have, you know, the, the associated
- 9:41hardware with that. But yeah, you could leverage the
- 9:44solar panels and then put in the, the GPU's that whatever the
- 9:49customer wanted. And then and then some amount of
- 9:53storage and of course batteries on the satellite.
- 9:56And then you'd use the feeder links to communicate with Earth.
- 9:59And so which, you know, with the data center that's going to be,
- 10:03you know, nearby the, the terminal that communicates with
- 10:06the satellite. But yeah, it's it's pretty much
- 10:10all there. Like there's not much more you
- 10:13have to do. And so this company that we're
- 10:16invested in, it's kind of it's been under the radar and it's
- 10:20becoming more discovered, of course, as we get closer to
- 10:24commercial service. But all you know, all these M
- 10:28and OS, they already they're already out there investing in
- 10:32data centers. So they kind of know what's
- 10:35going on. But I think for some of these
- 10:38larger players, like I know Google has been it, it's going
- 10:41to pilot like 2 small data center, you know, cube sats just
- 10:46to figure out what the, the space environment's like.
- 10:49But they're, they're doing that with Planet Labs, which they
- 10:51have a small investment in. But as most of you guys know,
- 10:56like Google's also a strategic investor in AST space mobile.
- 11:00And so that relationship already exists.
- 11:03And I think I mean, based off of what my interaction in using
- 11:09Gemini and, and of course I use ChatGPT and, and everyone
- 11:14probably has has tried the new Gemini.
- 11:16And I've been surprised by how quickly Google has improved
- 11:20their AI. We're already working with one
- 11:25of the key leaders, right? And so it doesn't take, you
- 11:30know, it's probably like a very simple conversation between AC
- 11:35and Google to like start working on this type of initiative.
- 11:38And it's not, it's not something that would distract you from the
- 11:41core mission of deploying the consolation for, you know,
- 11:46broadband direct to cellular communications.
- 11:49But you know, we've talked about this in the past where for any
- 11:54company that wants to get into this area, there's very few
- 11:59companies out there that have existing expertise.
- 12:03And so, you know, it's not even the primes kind of, I don't, I
- 12:06don't think the primes would, could do this in a cost
- 12:09efficient manner or innovative way.
- 12:11But if you think about like, you know, we're already at 500,000
- 12:14square feet of manufacturing production.
- 12:17And once the low band Bluebirds are, are built, I mean, we're
- 12:22going to be pumping these things out.
- 12:24You know, it's got, I guess we all forget like, or I forget,
- 12:28you know, the target is 6 satellites per month by the end
- 12:31of this year. But then they're going to bump
- 12:33that up to they've already talked about it like 11:50 a
- 12:35month eventually. And so if you extrapolate that
- 12:39out, like after they get the first shell up of low band
- 12:43Bluebirds and they get the second shell up of mid band
- 12:45Bluebirds, they're going to have a ton of production capacity.
- 12:47Like they can go direct that capacity to something else.
- 12:52And so if you're Google or Open AI or Microsoft or Amazon, you
- 13:00know, congratulations for what you could redirect that
- 13:07production capacity towards building a new type of satellite
- 13:10that's going to be a floating data center in space.
- 13:12And, you know, just by talking about this out loud, like I
- 13:19think that's right. Like you, these satellites that
- 13:22would be data centers in space. I don't think you actually need
- 13:25to store the data on the salad because the, you know, each,
- 13:28each kilogram of weight that you go launch into space is pretty
- 13:32precious. And so you, you probably just
- 13:35want our generation and processing and batteries out
- 13:38space. And then you want the data to,
- 13:42it's basically edge computing in some way, right?
- 13:43You want the processing to happen in space and then you
- 13:46want the data to come back and then it'll be stored on Earth in
- 13:49a more efficient way. But but yeah, AC is going to
- 13:52have tremendous amount of production capacity to go do
- 13:56this and the IP is all there. I mean, there's 3800 patents and
- 14:01patent pended claims around this satellite.
- 14:04I mean, there's, there's obviously a lot of satellites
- 14:07around or sorry, a lot of patents around communicating
- 14:12with the mobile device on Earth from a satellite.
- 14:15But then there's also patents around the unfolding mechanism
- 14:19of the satellite, you know, various patents around the
- 14:22underlying technology of the satellite, managing heat,
- 14:27processing, all that stuff. And so I think, you know, once
- 14:32they're done putting up the 1st 2 shells of the constellation,
- 14:38you could totally see these guys expanding into building data
- 14:44Centers for, for, and I, I, I don't think the company would
- 14:48align themselves with just one player.
- 14:50I think you want to stay neutral, but imagine going to
- 14:55your strategic partner, Google or Microsoft.
- 14:58And, you know, there were some rumors that the company met with
- 15:00Microsoft, I guess, like last fall, and no one really
- 15:04understood why. But now that we're talking
- 15:06about, it makes a total sense. Like, yeah, shit, it makes total
- 15:13sense that they would meet with Microsoft, right?
- 15:16Not only for, you know, communications trying to develop
- 15:23applications around connecting consumers and making sure they
- 15:28have full connectivity, but God, it makes sense now.
- 15:32Like AST has all the ingredients to put data centers up in space,
- 15:38right? And so as these companies are
- 15:41kind of groping around like so open, I mean, it just kind of
- 15:45shows how for thinking open AI is I, I don't know ultimately if
- 15:49where they're going to end up competitively.
- 15:52Cause 'cause now that Google, I mean, it's kind of funny.
- 15:55Like, obviously technology is changing into breakneck,
- 15:58breakneck speed. And one day SpaceX is like, you
- 16:02know, the leader in, in blue origins, laughing stock of the
- 16:05sector. And all of a sudden the roles
- 16:07have been reversed. And so just like Google has
- 16:10seemingly leapfrog type GPT, I'm sure chat BTGPT is not going to
- 16:14take it down, take it laying down and they're probably going
- 16:17to leapfrog them, you know, and something else.
- 16:19And then and then, of course, like the newer is going to
- 16:21change. But I think for AST space
- 16:25mobile, like having what I perceive is a definite winner,
- 16:29which is Google as a strategic investor is going to be
- 16:33important, right? Like I think just my own
- 16:37experience in using Gemini and then of course, having the whole
- 16:41ecosystem of Google Apps like that's really powerful.
- 16:44And that's probably why Google is, has their AI is so good
- 16:48because they, they, they're able to train it on tons and tons of
- 16:51data, whether that's from search or just, you know, their various
- 16:55apps. But I think in the future, when,
- 17:00when, and it's not just going to be, you know, the AI players,
- 17:06it's going to be actually, I was thinking about it more like it's
- 17:08going to be all these data center guys too.
- 17:10Like I run and core Weave and all these popular names that
- 17:15people talk about. Like all these companies, yeah,
- 17:17they, they've got this massive expertise and they're building
- 17:20data centers here on on Earth. And it's kind of funny that they
- 17:24were like on Earth or in space. But all those companies, if
- 17:29they're smart, they're going to be focusing on where the puck is
- 17:32going to go. So they would be stupid to just
- 17:35focus their efforts on optimizing things here on Earth.
- 17:38Like it's clear that companies, companies that go that are going
- 17:47to, you know, ultimately get not get disrupted, But there's
- 17:53there's like these players that that are currently in this boom
- 17:58on earth, like they're going to have to start thinking about
- 18:00where the puck is going. If their customers, you know,
- 18:03Google's already thinking about it opening AI as well, But
- 18:07eventually they will need some level of expertise and and they
- 18:11will have to start talking to some of these bass players.
- 18:15And so, you know, AST would make a lot of sense and for anybody
- 18:19who's making end to end systems, you know, Rocket Lab probably
- 18:23fits in there, you know, even Firefly and some of these
- 18:26others. But I think, yeah, I think the
- 18:31narrative changes quite a bit because now what we review what
- 18:38this sector, which was viewed as kind of like Nichy and, you
- 18:43know, a bunch of crazy people. Now you're, you know, you have
- 18:48these large companies that are looking to get exposure into
- 18:51space because it seems like ultimately that's where
- 18:55processing is going to go. And I think like, you know, the
- 19:01the AST is now well over $20 billion.
- 19:07You know, what was kind of a sleepy, not a sleepy company,
- 19:10but a relatively unknown company once people start thinking about
- 19:14like, oh, well, how can I, how can I invest in this potential
- 19:17theme of, you know, data centers or processing in space?
- 19:22There's going to be very few companies, whether, you know,
- 19:24there's some of the private side, but then there's one
- 19:27company that has proven, you know, abilities in flight
- 19:32heritage of putting satellites in space, and that's going to be
- 19:36AST. And so whether that's the data
- 19:39center companies or AI companies, they're all going to
- 19:42be looking to find a a player that has production capacity
- 19:49that can build satellites that actually has know how that has
- 19:51pretty much all the building blocks that will be able to do
- 19:56pull this off. And so, yeah, I think as Kook
- 20:01and I were talking about it this evening, we got pretty excited
- 20:03because I think here you have HD Space Mobile, it's not just a
- 20:08company that's working with M and OS who clearly.
- 20:12You don't have a different level of tolerance for quality of
- 20:16service. And you know, their their
- 20:21demands of what they need for their customers are at a very
- 20:25high level. And so if you think about like
- 20:29some of these players looking to partner up with someone, yeah, I
- 20:34mean, AST, they're already working with Department of
- 20:37Department of War, SCA and others like, and you know,
- 20:41perhaps we're going to, we're going to get these Golden Dome
- 20:44awards. Yeah.
- 20:46I think the company is quite well positioned.
- 20:50And so I think, you know, most investors, they'll listen to
- 20:54this, this, this space, you know, if I was like a, a hedge
- 20:58fund guy, if I was in my previous role, I would listen to
- 21:02this and be like, oh, that's bullshit.
- 21:03Like this guy's just hyping it up and it doesn't make sense.
- 21:06Or it's so far away or there's, you know, there's, who knows,
- 21:10like there could be these other players, like these privately
- 21:13funded players that are going to pull it off.
- 21:14But then, but then like, I think the narrative in public markets,
- 21:20like, like we've all seen the narrative can shift pretty
- 21:23quickly. Like if a company, which is why
- 21:26like, you know, even I had skepticism when when Elon Musk
- 21:30was first like, and maybe it was a week ago or two weeks ago,
- 21:33he's like, Oh yeah, you know, we could do data centers in space.
- 21:35We already have the satellites. And then when I first heard
- 21:37that, I was like dismissive of it.
- 21:38It's like, OK, yeah, he's just trying to get his valuation up
- 21:41because they're going to do another round of funding.
- 21:44But then but then, you know, when you take a step back and
- 21:49think about it, it's actually true.
- 21:51Like his company is well positioned.
- 21:52They have a ton of production capacity.
- 21:55A lot of the building blocks are already there.
- 21:59And so, yeah, why not like and and I think I think SpaceX, you
- 22:07know, obviously is already and this is this goes into the
- 22:09whole, you know, competitive landscape of SpaceX being
- 22:13vertically integrated. If they because SpaceX is
- 22:19associated with Twitter and Elan and of course Twitter has Brock,
- 22:23how many companies want to work with SpaceX when you have like
- 22:28mercurial founder who can, you know, turn on you or maybe
- 22:33doesn't have loyalty. He's he's out for himself, which
- 22:37as he should be, but I think like for a company like AST
- 22:42space mobile, maybe you become the merchant supplier for these
- 22:48data centers or the I mean the company doesn't have to even
- 22:51produce satellites for or create these data centers.
- 22:53They can license a decent amount of the technology out because as
- 22:57we all know, the company is very astute in patenting all, the,
- 23:02all the technologies that they develop.
- 23:03And so it's interesting, like I, I remember going to the Block
- 23:08One launch and talking to Hennessy or, or, or or friends,
- 23:12the institutional investors there.
- 23:13And, and I remember they talked about like they're being either
- 23:17was like 5 or 6 pillars of business that AC could develop
- 23:23over time. And one of them was of course,
- 23:25like licensing their IP. And so just collecting royalties
- 23:30based off of these various, which, you know, a lot of these
- 23:34patents are fundamental patents that, that are needed for
- 23:38whether you know, competitors or anybody looking to, you know,
- 23:43utilize various communications technologies in space or of
- 23:47course, like, you know, satellite technologies.
- 23:49But I think the you know, the other the other area, which I
- 23:54thought was, you know, when when the PM there told me this, I was
- 23:57like, Oh yeah, that's interesting.
- 23:58But I didn't really deep think that deeply into it.
- 24:02But he was like, yeah, another potential pillar is that AST has
- 24:08will have this consolation that's going to be generating A
- 24:10tremendous amount of power out in space.
- 24:12And so that's really valuable. And his point was that, you
- 24:15know, putting communications aside, like you can leverage
- 24:18that technology, you're going to have these like huge power
- 24:21plants in space. And then, you know, in my mind,
- 24:24I was thinking of like those funky ideas where and, you know,
- 24:28we've all read about it, where people put up these large solar
- 24:31rays in space and then they beam down power through various like
- 24:36signals, microwaves or or whatever it is down to Earth.
- 24:40And I always thought like that was kind of weird because maybe
- 24:42that would have some impact on the atmosphere.
- 24:46But but I didn't make the leap that, oh, you can, you can just
- 24:51utilize the power up in space and then deploy different, you
- 24:55know, processors, not our ASICS, but somebody else's AI
- 24:58processors and then do the processing out in space.
- 25:02And so anyway, but yeah, I think that's, I think we're at this
- 25:10point in the in the company where, you know, it's kind of
- 25:15like the right place at the right time where the narrative
- 25:17can shift pretty quickly. And so I think on the one hand,
- 25:21like we've got the the four story, which is, you know,
- 25:26direct to sell communications to whether it's mobile phones or or
- 25:30devices. You also have military
- 25:32applications, communications and non communications applications
- 25:36like, you know, electronic warfare, radar, all kinds of
- 25:39things like that. And then I think because the
- 25:43company has production and technological know how and
- 25:48basically a lot of the key pieces, yeah, they're they're
- 25:56they can either become a an arms supplier, you know, producing
- 26:00satellites for somebody else or license or technology or
- 26:03accommodation of those in order to enable these data centers in
- 26:07space. And so, and I think it's
- 26:10something that, you know, it, it's people will, if this like
- 26:18this whole theme starts picking up more speed and people start
- 26:20talking about it more, there's going to be this, this rush to
- 26:25figure out like, OK, well, what are the investable ideas and
- 26:29names that have exposure to this?
- 26:31And it's not going to become, or at least I guess for most
- 26:34people, it's not going to be very obvious and they're going
- 26:36to have to dig quite a bit. But I think it's something that
- 26:41perhaps I'll talk a bit more about in the coming weeks and
- 26:44months, depending on, you know, and obviously, if the company's
- 26:49not on board with it, then that doesn't make sense.
- 26:50But I'm sure that they're thinking about it and they've
- 26:55already already had conversations because for the
- 26:58rest of us, we're not in the flows of things.
- 27:01You know, it's like, oh, hey, daddy sinners in space.
- 27:04We kind of laugh about it. And then all of a sudden it's
- 27:06become the topic du jour and, and it's become that way because
- 27:11it's already been talked about like months ago.
- 27:13I mean, this this conversation with Sam Altman and Stoke
- 27:17happened over the summer. And so who knows, like where
- 27:22these types of conversations are leading now.
- 27:24And so, yeah, I think it's the key thing is that it it opens
- 27:29up, you know, everybody who's focused on the promise of AI.
- 27:33It's like one of the key leading companies if you know, open AI.
- 27:37But of course, Google as well are now focusing their efforts
- 27:42on trying to put some of this processing out in space.
- 27:46And so then people are going to the the narrative is going to
- 27:49shift to, OK, well, if that's kind of the next big thing,
- 27:53where what are the, what are the companies that I can invest in?
- 27:56And so that that I think that that can kind of take a life of
- 28:03its own, right. And so I was joking about with
- 28:07Cook today, where this evening we were talking about it.
- 28:10And it's like, oh, you know, like once people start putting
- 28:14the piece of together, what seems unlikely or kind of
- 28:20speculative or crazy, then starts becoming more tangible,
- 28:23real. And so, you know, it's like when
- 28:26the narrative shifted for all of these modular nuclear companies,
- 28:32which no one really cared about like a year ago.
- 28:35But then as as like investors became more aware and traction,
- 28:41you know, for AI started picking up.
- 28:43And then people started thinking about, OK, AI is a big theme.
- 28:48What are the derivative plays or like, what are what are the
- 28:51inputs? And it's like, well, I need to
- 28:52own data centers. And then, oh, well, those data
- 28:54centers, the power, what else can I own?
- 28:56Oh, I need, you know, to bridge that gap.
- 28:59Like, OK, clean energy is kind of out of out of style, but I'm
- 29:03going to go buy natural gas, you know, power generation companies
- 29:07and and then I'm going to buy nuclear companies.
- 29:09And then and then beyond that, it's like, well, how are we
- 29:11going to get from from here to there?
- 29:14It's like, well, I'm going to go buy these highly speculative
- 29:17modular nuclear companies who are promising the future, right?
- 29:20And so, so that's how like that's how OK LO and SMR and all
- 29:26these, these these companies like just totally took off.
- 29:29Like OCLO went, you know, from 10s to like actually let me
- 29:34look. Peak was like 140, I think.
- 29:37Let me just see here. I mean, jeez, OK, the peak was
- 29:46$193. This is for Aklo.
- 29:51Just pretty crazy. I mean that I guess that
- 29:54company, that company is probably what many years out
- 29:59from a commercial reactor, but it's now at like 15 billion in
- 30:03market cap. But yeah, that's that's the
- 30:07power of Derrative and when people are trying to project
- 30:13them in the future and and this kind of things forward.
- 30:15And so I think for this particular area, which which is,
- 30:22you know, data centers and putting computing power out in
- 30:24space, I think the company is well positioned.
- 30:28You know, obviously I don't know like there's a lot of wood to
- 30:32chop and opportunity to opportunity to go after for the
- 30:35core business. But after that, let's say in
- 30:382028, you know, when you're able to produce 12 satellites a
- 30:43month, like if this, if the constellation is like fully
- 30:47deployed then and you're going to have some like level of
- 30:50maintenance where you're going to build some satellites to
- 30:52replace old ones or upgrade them.
- 30:54So that's you're always going to need that.
- 30:56And the perhaps like you might make satellites for the US
- 30:59government or some other other companies as well.
- 31:01But but yeah, you can redeploy that capacity and utilize your
- 31:07your technology in order to go tag this other opportunity.
- 31:10But anyway, I think, I mean, this article, if I was, which
- 31:17I'm not, but if I was a Rocket Lab or Firefly shareholder, I
- 31:22would be pretty excited that, you know, this, that open AI
- 31:26considered even, you know, investing or buying stoke, which
- 31:30is pretty crazy. But that's, that just
- 31:33underscores like the importance of, of launch and, and also
- 31:38building and then, you know, systems are having that
- 31:41expertise. And so this, this article, these
- 31:45are the types of things that can spur more strategic discussions.
- 31:48Like when I was an investment banker, you know, obviously you
- 31:52probably as if you're at like a leading firm, you're probably
- 31:55already aware of some of these discussions.
- 31:57But if you're not, this type of article is what can then kick
- 32:03off like real strategic discussions for other parties,
- 32:05right. And so if you had an article
- 32:08like this and then you might have like, you know, Microsoft
- 32:14or Google call, call up a banker and say, Hey, I can you, can you
- 32:19come in and talk to us about the strategic landscape and should
- 32:21we get into launch in space? Can you talk about like all the
- 32:24players and if we wanted to do M&A or partnerships, like who
- 32:27have been talked to, what are the key companies?
- 32:30And if you didn't get inbound calls as a banker, you'd be
- 32:33making outbound calls. You'd you'd utilize this for
- 32:37strategic discussions and you'd be talking to like every private
- 32:40and public company about, oh, hey, you know, open AI, try to
- 32:43make an investment or by and stoke and they want to do data
- 32:46centers in space. Like what should you do?
- 32:48And so that's like, that's when that's how like entire sectors
- 32:55can re rate where these companies, you know, we're all
- 33:00early to be, you know, to invest in AST or Rocket Lab or whatever
- 33:05name. This is like how if you have a
- 33:10big run kick off, right? Because I think, as I mentioned
- 33:14Myspace earlier, you remember right now, we went from really
- 33:18bad to like what I think is going to be really good at
- 33:20heading into the end of the year.
- 33:21And imagine, you know, like the company already is highly
- 33:27attractive and has these growth factors that it's pursuing, but
- 33:30then all of a sudden you add this other area, you know, like
- 33:36just imagine if the company gets asked in the earnings call, you
- 33:41know, hey, so it seems like there's a lot of interest in.
- 33:44And by the way, like hopefully some research channels start
- 33:46listening to this, but the next QA and maybe maybe I'll also
- 33:51made an answer or sorry, a question to the company for the
- 33:54next earnings call. I guess we all should just ask
- 33:57them, Hey, could you talk about give us some thoughts about your
- 34:02thoughts about data centers in space and how relevant it might
- 34:05be for AC space mobile? I think we would get a pretty
- 34:09interesting answer in response. And, and I think, yeah, if I was
- 34:15a research analyst, I would be asking the company about about
- 34:19this area and the potential of it.
- 34:21Because if you have a new growth area that already leverages
- 34:26assets that you have in production capacity, then it's
- 34:30pretty much like a no brainer as long as you have, you know, I
- 34:34guess the mental capacity and people to go execute on it.
- 34:36But if Google were to come in tomorrow and say, Hey, we're
- 34:40going to give you, I don't know, three or four, $400 million to
- 34:44help us develop this area, then you would say absolutely.
- 34:48Like you would hire people and you'd start, you know, you add
- 34:52another, I don't know, 200 square footage, square feet of,
- 34:56of production space and add more engineers and, and go, go after
- 35:00it, right. But yeah, it's, it's pretty
- 35:06crazy. Like I think, I think as this,
- 35:12this is the type of thing that can kind of cause ripples in the
- 35:15industry and, and really, you know, recalibrate how people
- 35:20think about the opportunity. And so I think when people look
- 35:23at launch and they look at communications and satellites
- 35:27and Earth observation, all these things originally people like,
- 35:30oh, it's very small. But if people are if companies
- 35:33truly are thinking about putting data centers up in space, then
- 35:36that that is a massive Tam, right?
- 35:39And that's going to unlock a whole host of different
- 35:41applications. I guess from an environmental
- 35:44perspective, probably not a good thing.
- 35:46I mean, it probably on balance, it's a good thing to not have
- 35:50every square foot on Earth, you know, populated by data centers
- 35:54and, and having all the energy that we can produce here, you
- 35:58know, being taken up by the data centers, but putting those up in
- 36:00space. But I guess on the flip side,
- 36:03like you don't want too much stuff floating out there.
- 36:05But but who knows, We'll see. But anyway, I think I think this
- 36:11article, yeah, is pretty important.
- 36:13I'll probably write more about it in the coming days.
- 36:16I think people, I mean, thank God we have this investment with
- 36:20Google and the connections already there.
- 36:22And you know, the rumors of the company having talked to
- 36:26Microsoft last, you know, this past fall, it's like now, or was
- 36:30it fall or summer? But yeah, it all makes sense
- 36:32now. And so it's, you know it, I'm
- 36:37not saying it's going to be easy, but this company is
- 36:41probably further along than a lot of others that are actually
- 36:44focused on this opportunity. And so, you know, all the blood,
- 36:49sweat and tears of, of developing satellites, like it's
- 36:52going to, I think can go a long way in, in terms of attacking
- 36:57this opportunity. And if people, you know, if, if
- 37:01research analysts ask company on call, or I mean, imagine like if
- 37:05you see an article from the Wall Street Journal or Bloomberg.
- 37:09I mean, not that by the way, like company never leaks stuff
- 37:12to these publications, but I'm just saying if you imagined, you
- 37:16know, there being some headline saying that ASC space mobile's
- 37:19in talks with Google to develop next generation space based data
- 37:24centers, like what, how would the stock respond to that?
- 37:31And if you're, if you wanted to get these guys were short, it's
- 37:35like, well, first of all, I, I don't know why you would be
- 37:37short, but we'll say if you are short, it's it, I, you know, I
- 37:43remember being a portfolio manager.
- 37:45And when some, you know, you hear, see some rumors or, or
- 37:48news developing around the company and you're in denial and
- 37:51you're just like, no, that doesn't make any, any sense.
- 37:54You know, the stock's not going to react and then the stock's up
- 37:565%, that's up 10, then it's up 15.
- 37:59And you're just like coming up with every reason why it doesn't
- 38:02make sense. And that's going to go away.
- 38:04And, and maybe you short some more, but then when it's up 20,
- 38:07you, you capitulate and you just have to cover because you know,
- 38:12your, your risk profile has changed.
- 38:14Like the company, the company, you shorted the company based
- 38:19off of one thing. And all of a sudden, instead of
- 38:21just that one thing, the company is now pivoting or it's, or now
- 38:24people are viewing it as a proxy for something else or that it
- 38:29could turn into something else. Or that it is, it is working in
- 38:33this other area, which is nascent, but it's going to be
- 38:35big. And, and that's when, that's
- 38:39when you can have like these like parabolic moves where
- 38:43people rewrite the opportunity and, and the perception changes,
- 38:47right. And so here I think what's great
- 38:51is like we've got a commercial service, you know, the, the
- 38:55deployment of the constellation and commercial service kicking
- 38:57off in 2026. And now you've got some of these
- 39:00other themes where space is hot, like AI is now pivoting into
- 39:05space. And so how does that impact if,
- 39:09you know, how does it impact the story and, and stock price
- 39:12performance and people's perception of the future?
- 39:16And like, oh big, I'll discount back.
- 39:19I'll discount, you know, this new area of potential business,
- 39:22right. And so, you know, if there was,
- 39:25if Google did announce something with AST or Microsoft or any
- 39:29number of players, which I by the way, like, I don't think the
- 39:31company would exclusively work with one, one company.
- 39:34Like true to the business model, like they want to work with
- 39:37everyone. But yeah, I think I think, ha, I
- 39:43see Eddie Garcia tweeted AST the backbone of Skynet.
- 39:47I think that's right. Anyway, yeah.
- 39:52So I I just wanted to like get, you know, get together on
- 39:57another space and just kind of talk this thing through which I
- 40:02think I think we'll we'll try to flush this out more in the
- 40:05coming days and weeks. And obviously we've got a lot of
- 40:07things to be excited about with Launch, but it is something that
- 40:10I'm going to try to, you know. Try to talk with the company
- 40:13about because I, I do think it's worth discussing and exploring
- 40:18at least like having, having it on the radar to be aware,
- 40:23because ultimately, like a lot of these players are going to be
- 40:28looking for someone with expertise and I think AC has a
- 40:32lot to offer and is well positioned.
- 40:35So anyway, I'm now it's like midnight here in New York and
- 40:40I'm tired, so I'm going to go to bed here.
- 40:42But but yeah, thanks for joining.
- 40:44I hope this was helpful. And I know look at some some
- 40:49comments from friends, someone saying this discussion makes me
- 40:54think that you guys have never stepped into a data center,
- 40:57which is funny. I have not, although I've worked
- 41:00with companies that do data centers.
- 41:01But anyway, but yeah, thanks for joining and we'll, we'll, we'll
- 41:06talk again. But yeah, I think, I think this
- 41:10news is pretty important. And maybe I, I have a feeling
- 41:14tomorrow. And of course, unless the market
- 41:16like completely implodes, but I have feeling tomorrow that all
- 41:21these pay stocks, I mean, they should be up like tomorrow.
- 41:24Maybe they'll be slow and and you know, people will try to
- 41:27keep stock prices down. But then when you have a story
- 41:31like this come out, like there's going to be people looking to
- 41:34cover and there's also going to be some long only guys who are
- 41:38probably look to get V wop into more exposure.
- 41:41So my guess is tomorrow the stock prices, you know, will the
- 41:46stocks will move a little bit on this news, but over the day
- 41:48you're just going to keep crying higher.
- 41:51If they don't, then then I'm wrong.
- 41:53But, but I, I think this, this article kind of changes the
- 42:01whole view of the space sector quite a bit.
- 42:03And, and now it feels a bit more tangible and, and yeah, people
- 42:07are going to snap to attention and, and the folk, there's going
- 42:09to be more focus on, on this area.
- 42:11So anyway, that's it. That's all I got.
- 42:15I'm going to let this run for a while and then close out.
- 42:18But we'll, we'll be again tomorrow.
- 42:20I'm going to be, as I mentioned before, I'm going to be hosting
- 42:23a, a space with this company Strata critical, which I think
- 42:26is a pretty interesting story. But, but yeah, thanks everyone
- 42:29for joining and we'll talk again soon.
- 42:31Take care. Thanks for listening to the AST
- 42:34Space Mobile podcast. If you enjoyed this episode and
- 42:38you'd like to help support the podcast, please share it with
- 42:40others, post about it on social media, or leave a rating and
- 42:44review. To catch all the latest news
- 42:46about AST Space Mobile, make sure to subscribe.
- 42:50Thanks again and I'll see. You next time.
- 42:56We're doing something very, very big, and I think with this
- 42:58technology we can really affect billion lives.
- 43:00AFT Space globally is the only company that has full technology
- 43:06to deliver cellular broadband connectivity directly from space
- 43:10to the everyday smartphone. People will just basically turn
- 43:13their phone and be seamless, regardless of where you are.
- 43:17We don't want the user even to know that it's connected by
- 43:19satellite. Our role is to bring this into
- 43:23reality, always in partnership with the MMO.
- 43:32Listen, Waffles.