Latest / Toadstool Sports / Thursday BEST BETS | Do I Know Enough? | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 6/18/26

Transcript

Thursday BEST BETS | Do I Know Enough? | MLB & WNBA & World Cup | 6/18/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: Man, a hole in your chicks, black coffee on the felt.
• 0:22
  Speaker 3: Man, you look like a mess. Three teen Parlette turned
• 0:27
  Speaker 3: the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: Now you stare at the chips like they.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Made you this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 3: But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:37
  Speaker 3: Your name steal means something to somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Put the glass.
• 0:42
  Speaker 2: Down, baby, look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 4: No, hold on, hold on, nothing nice.
• 0:56
  Speaker 2: Now, hold on, hold on me, but it all get
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: the crown. Hold on, hold on and stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 5: Now what's up, bird buddy, It's towed back with you
• 1:29
  Speaker 5: with Toadstool Sports Thursday, June eighteenth.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: Not feeling great here.
• 1:36
  Speaker 5: Man, lingering cold, bs, headache. I'm trying to get the
• 1:43
  Speaker 5: show done. It's a Thursday, so there's a little bit
• 1:45
  Speaker 5: less going on here. Baseball is a little bit of
• 1:47
  Speaker 5: a shorter card. I'm gonna give out one baseball play
• 1:51
  Speaker 5: I have. I had two games that I had kind
• 1:53
  Speaker 5: of arrowed it down to, but I'll go with one.
• 1:56
  Speaker 5: It is on the later part of the board, and
• 1:58
  Speaker 5: I'm going to give out a World Cup play. I
• 2:00
  Speaker 5: think there's one really good play on the board. So
• 2:02
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna give that out as well. We got the
• 2:05
  Speaker 5: one game right last night. Easy win with the Pittsburgh Pirates.
• 2:09
  Speaker 5: Money line didn't matter. First five, full game whatever, they
• 2:14
  Speaker 5: were winning seven and nothing.
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: In the middle of the game. I don't even know
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: what it was at the end of five, but they
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: were obviously winning and they won the game twelve to
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: four at the end of it. Very very easy win.
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: You'll like to see it.
• 2:25
  Speaker 5: Man, four wins in a row that were all ridiculously easy,
• 2:28
  Speaker 5: So they're not all gonna be that easy.
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: But that was good. All right.
• 2:33
  Speaker 5: We'll move on to today, Macado, what's top? Thanks for
• 2:36
  Speaker 5: hanging out. I'm gonna try and I don't know if
• 2:39
  Speaker 5: this is gonna be a banger of a show.
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: Sometimes I will throw the jokes in.
• 2:43
  Speaker 5: And whatever if I get into that mood, if I
• 2:46
  Speaker 5: think of something to say.
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: But I don't know.
• 2:48
  Speaker 5: I get too autistic about all these baseball games we
• 2:52
  Speaker 5: have afternoon baseball here.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: There are three or I guess four series that.
• 2:56
  Speaker 5: Are actually finishing today Toronto and Boston. My Boston Red
• 3:01
  Speaker 5: Sox are trying to avoid getting swept here as they
• 3:03
  Speaker 5: lost again yesterday. Red Sox have one run in this series.
• 3:08
  Speaker 5: One run in two games. That's what they've done offensively.
• 3:12
  Speaker 5: Real good job, guys, real good. What are we gonna
• 3:16
  Speaker 5: do about this game? I don't know the Red Sox.
• 3:18
  Speaker 5: They do have a good bullpen still. They use three
• 3:20
  Speaker 5: guys out of the bullpen. Yesterday Toronto used a lost
• 3:23
  Speaker 5: Toronto used their whole bullpen pretty much. I don't know
• 3:26
  Speaker 5: what this is. They use seven relief pitchers, Is that right?
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: I mean?
• 3:31
  Speaker 5: Okay, Red Sox have a bullpen edge in this game.
• 3:34
  Speaker 5: They're number two in bullpen arranged by Whip. They have
• 3:37
  Speaker 5: one of the top bullpenny arrays as well, I think
• 3:40
  Speaker 5: maybe actually second in that department as well. Toronto eleventh
• 3:44
  Speaker 5: and bullpen they're not the worst bullpen. Red Sox offense
• 3:48
  Speaker 5: terrible twenty fifth, Toronto not that much better at twenty second.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: So this series does have.
• 3:56
  Speaker 5: Some things that make every game look like an under
• 3:58
  Speaker 5: basically in this type of series, which I believe both
• 4:01
  Speaker 5: games have gone under. Right, Uh yeah, definitely, So it's
• 4:05
  Speaker 5: been an under series. The Red Sox, by the way,
• 4:08
  Speaker 5: just complete indictment of them for not being able to
• 4:10
  Speaker 5: do anything offensively against Max Scherzer yesterday in his current state.
• 4:15
  Speaker 5: What the fuck? Are you doing like this team should
• 4:17
  Speaker 5: just dissolve? I don't know what is what is even
• 4:19
  Speaker 5: going on at this point. And you think they're gonna
• 4:21
  Speaker 5: go up and do anything against Trey A. Savage? Probably not,
• 4:26
  Speaker 5: although no knowing baseball, maybe they will, but no, I
• 4:29
  Speaker 5: don't really think so, you Savage three point seven eighty
• 4:32
  Speaker 5: RA one point twenty six whip. He's pitching for Toronto today,
• 4:36
  Speaker 5: one point seven to one road ERA, So he's been
• 4:39
  Speaker 5: really good on the road, not as good at home.
• 4:42
  Speaker 5: I guess the one negative that he has here is
• 4:45
  Speaker 5: that he hasn't been good this month and two starts
• 4:47
  Speaker 5: against Baltimore and the Yankees, both at home, though, which
• 4:50
  Speaker 5: is why his home his home numbers are. Actually his
• 4:53
  Speaker 5: last three home starts have all been bad. The Baltimore
• 4:57
  Speaker 5: one was when he faced the second time in a row,
• 5:00
  Speaker 5: but he actually wasn't.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: Good in the prior start as well.
• 5:02
  Speaker 5: He gave up seven walks or either I should say
• 5:06
  Speaker 5: seven walks in that one start. So in his last
• 5:09
  Speaker 5: four starts he's given up five or more runs than
• 5:11
  Speaker 5: three of the four, and the one that he didn't
• 5:12
  Speaker 5: he walked seven guys, So that's not good. He's not
• 5:16
  Speaker 5: in good form right now. He has an eight to
• 5:18
  Speaker 5: eight strikeout walker ratio this month. And I know he
• 5:20
  Speaker 5: faced the Yankees last They're a good team, but he
• 5:23
  Speaker 5: usually dominates the Yankees, and he was awful in that game.
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: So he's not pitching well right now.
• 5:29
  Speaker 5: So I guess that's the one negative that's going on
• 5:31
  Speaker 5: for him is he's not in good form against.
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: The Red Sox.
• 5:34
  Speaker 5: He does have good numbers sixteen at bats. It's a
• 5:37
  Speaker 5: small sample. Only Wilson Contreras has an extra base hit
• 5:41
  Speaker 5: one double here, two strikeouts, no walks, one eighty eight
• 5:45
  Speaker 5: average allowed four thirty eight ops. So Ya Savage does
• 5:49
  Speaker 5: match up well against the Red Sox. Red Sox will
• 5:52
  Speaker 5: counter with Sonny Gray. He is having a good season
• 5:56
  Speaker 5: three point zero three ERA, one point two whip good
• 5:59
  Speaker 5: at home home two point three to two homey Ira.
• 6:02
  Speaker 5: Gray was good in his last game, held Texas to
• 6:05
  Speaker 5: one run in six innings at home, seven strikeouts, no walks.
• 6:10
  Speaker 5: He's been pretty good over the last month or so.
• 6:12
  Speaker 5: He's allowed no more than three on runs in any
• 6:14
  Speaker 5: start going all the way back into late April. Though
• 6:16
  Speaker 5: that one in late April is a short start, so
• 6:19
  Speaker 5: but if you go back to the beginning of May.
• 6:21
  Speaker 5: He's made it at least five innings in all but
• 6:24
  Speaker 5: one outing. He's pitching well right now. For the most part,
• 6:27
  Speaker 5: he's in good form. He's got a low strikeout rate
• 6:31
  Speaker 5: this year, though, but his other numbers are pretty good.
• 6:32
  Speaker 5: Low hit rate, his walk rates not too bad. Numbers
• 6:36
  Speaker 5: against Toronto are not great, mediocre seventy seven at bats
• 6:41
  Speaker 5: fifteen to fourteen strikeout walk ratio is very bad two
• 6:44
  Speaker 5: sixty batting average allowed, seven to sixty three oh ps.
• 6:48
  Speaker 5: So he's on the somewhat negative side here against these
• 6:52
  Speaker 5: opposing hitters. So I do not like to see that
• 6:55
  Speaker 5: I'm passing on this game. I don't really have much
• 6:59
  Speaker 5: of an opin here. I mean, if y Savage was
• 7:01
  Speaker 5: in better form, I would say Toronto makes sense in
• 7:04
  Speaker 5: this game. If you're gonna go Toronto, I would say
• 7:07
  Speaker 5: first five, probably because I think the Red Sox bullpen
• 7:10
  Speaker 5: does have a big edge here.
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: I would not want to deal with Toronto's bullpen. Here.
• 7:14
  Speaker 5: Toronto is getting the money fifty one percent of the
• 7:16
  Speaker 5: ticket seventy six percent of the cash on them. Red
• 7:19
  Speaker 5: Sox are favored at around minus one twenty something, and
• 7:22
  Speaker 5: I do keep saying, well, the Red Sox are favored
• 7:24
  Speaker 5: for a reason. The oddsmakers are not just gonna throw
• 7:27
  Speaker 5: money away here, so they're telling you something by lining
• 7:32
  Speaker 5: the team with the lesser record as a favorite.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: So that is something to keep in mind. There.
• 7:36
  Speaker 5: It almost looks kind of too easy to play Toronto,
• 7:40
  Speaker 5: although in this case maybe not so much, because the
• 7:43
  Speaker 5: Red Sox have the more well known pitcher here, the
• 7:45
  Speaker 5: more established pitcher here.
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: Total is high, the totals nine. I don't know about that.
• 7:51
  Speaker 5: I mean, this pitching matchup looks more like an under
• 7:55
  Speaker 5: to me, I wouldn't go full game on that probably.
• 7:58
  Speaker 5: I think I would go first five only just to
• 7:59
  Speaker 5: avoid Toronto's bullpen. I think Toronto first five and under
• 8:04
  Speaker 5: first five makes some sense in that game, but I
• 8:06
  Speaker 5: don't like the game. Money is coming in on the
• 8:09
  Speaker 5: under a bit, for whatever that's worth. Although even though
• 8:13
  Speaker 5: it looks like the total was aligned pretty high to
• 8:16
  Speaker 5: begin with. All right, Cleveland and Milwaukee. One thing to
• 8:21
  Speaker 5: know about Cleveland is that three of their best hitters
• 8:24
  Speaker 5: are hurt right now. So Jose Ramirez is hurt, Chased
• 8:27
  Speaker 5: the lot Or is hurt, and they have one other
• 8:30
  Speaker 5: guy who's also hurt.
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: Let me see.
• 8:32
  Speaker 5: It probably shows up on the depth chart here. I
• 8:36
  Speaker 5: guess it's on Helm Martinez. I guess as the other
• 8:38
  Speaker 5: guy was thinking of. I don't really know him, but yeah,
• 8:41
  Speaker 5: a couple of their batters are hurt. So that's gonna
• 8:43
  Speaker 5: hurt Cleveland's offense, which is already not good. Cleveland is
• 8:47
  Speaker 5: on the version of getting swept here by Milwaukee. Cleveland
• 8:50
  Speaker 5: has not put up a lot of offense in this series.
• 8:53
  Speaker 5: But when a team is on the version of getting
• 8:55
  Speaker 5: swept like the Red Sox, like Cleveland a lot of times,
• 8:58
  Speaker 5: that is a more motivational spot for them because they're
• 9:01
  Speaker 5: gonna try to avoid the sweep.
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: Right, So you have to look.
• 9:04
  Speaker 5: At, well, who's the other team playing next?
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: So, by the way, Toronto is playing the Cubs next.
• 9:10
  Speaker 5: I don't know if that's gonna be a look ahead
• 9:11
  Speaker 5: or not, but the Red Sox will at least have
• 9:13
  Speaker 5: a motivational edge in that game. In this game Cleveland Milwaukee,
• 9:18
  Speaker 5: Milwaukee is playing Atlanta next, so that definitely could be
• 9:21
  Speaker 5: a look ahead. And look at the pitching matchup tomorrow,
• 9:24
  Speaker 5: Mizierowski against Sale. That is a crazy pitching match. Is
• 9:27
  Speaker 5: that a blind underplay? I don't know, probably not. I
• 9:31
  Speaker 5: mean it's probably gonna be a six and a half
• 9:33
  Speaker 5: total on that game. But that's that could be a
• 9:36
  Speaker 5: look ahead spot for Milwaukee here. So Cleveland, Cleveland may
• 9:41
  Speaker 5: be the way to look in this game here, but
• 9:43
  Speaker 5: their offense is very, very.
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: Bad right now.
• 9:46
  Speaker 5: Cleveland only used three relief pitchers yesterday. Milwaukee used three
• 9:50
  Speaker 5: as well. Milwaukee has a pretty good bullpen.
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: They're number thirteen.
• 9:54
  Speaker 5: Cleveland is ranked twelve, though their bullpen erra is worse.
• 9:58
  Speaker 5: So I think Milwaukee is the better, but it's not
• 10:00
  Speaker 5: by a significant amount. Milwaukee is significantly better on offense
• 10:05
  Speaker 5: number seven. Cleveland is twenty eighth, and with these injuries
• 10:09
  Speaker 5: going on, they're not gonna score a lot of runs
• 10:11
  Speaker 5: here most likely. So that's kind of the issue that
• 10:14
  Speaker 5: I have with playing Cleveland here, even though I kind
• 10:17
  Speaker 5: of liked the Cleveland side in this game, you are
• 10:19
  Speaker 5: getting him as an underdog. You're getting him in a
• 10:21
  Speaker 5: motivated spot, trying to avoid the sweet Milwaukee might look
• 10:25
  Speaker 5: ahead to Atlanta here, and I think Cleveland does have
• 10:27
  Speaker 5: a starting pitching at vantage here. With Parker Messek on
• 10:30
  Speaker 5: the mound, he's been good at two point six eighty
• 10:33
  Speaker 5: ra one point zero nine. Whip good on the road
• 10:36
  Speaker 5: as well, two point three to eight. Roady Ray wasn't
• 10:40
  Speaker 5: really that good in his last start, but it was
• 10:42
  Speaker 5: against the Yankees. To give it four and runs five
• 10:44
  Speaker 5: to two thirds innings, three walks, four strikeouts. Maybe you
• 10:48
  Speaker 5: give him a little bit of a pass for that,
• 10:49
  Speaker 5: although he wasn't excellent in the previous start at Texas either,
• 10:53
  Speaker 5: but I think he got a little bit unlucky and
• 10:55
  Speaker 5: giving up two home runs in that one. You look
• 10:57
  Speaker 5: at over the course of the season, he hasn't a
• 10:59
  Speaker 5: lot more than four or runs in any outing. He's
• 11:01
  Speaker 5: allowed more than three only twice, more than two only
• 11:05
  Speaker 5: three times, I think, So he has been good overall.
• 11:08
  Speaker 5: He's got a low hit rate, his walk rate is okay,
• 11:11
  Speaker 5: his strikeout rate is pretty high.
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: That's all good.
• 11:14
  Speaker 5: And Milwaukee's never faced him before, so that should be
• 11:17
  Speaker 5: an advantage too.
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: Massic here, So these young pitchers.
• 11:21
  Speaker 5: When they're good, they have an extra advantage against offenses
• 11:24
  Speaker 5: that haven't seen them before. By the way, I did
• 11:26
  Speaker 5: forget to do the breakdown on your savage. Just his
• 11:29
  Speaker 5: overall numbers here. I know I'm all over the place today.
• 11:31
  Speaker 5: You Savage has allowed a really low hit rate, his
• 11:34
  Speaker 5: walk rate is actually too high, and his strikeout rate
• 11:36
  Speaker 5: is basically one per inning, which is pretty good, just
• 11:41
  Speaker 5: to put that out there.
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: Shane Drohan is pitching for Milwaukee here.
• 11:46
  Speaker 5: Still doesn't even have his mug shot up here on
• 11:49
  Speaker 5: ESPN for whatever reason. He's been pretty good though, three
• 11:52
  Speaker 5: point five to nine ERA, one point one seven whip
• 11:56
  Speaker 5: good at home, three point two to one homey ra
• 11:59
  Speaker 5: pitching from a Milwaukee here wasn't great last time out,
• 12:03
  Speaker 5: give up four runs on eight hits and five innings
• 12:05
  Speaker 5: against Philly, but he does still have a sixteen to
• 12:07
  Speaker 5: three strike out walk race here this month, so he
• 12:10
  Speaker 5: is pitching well since he sort of he started making
• 12:13
  Speaker 5: like more full starts. They've ramped him up kind of
• 12:17
  Speaker 5: this month, and he made a start in course field,
• 12:19
  Speaker 5: which is not really that easy either. Overall, his numbers
• 12:23
  Speaker 5: a pretty good strikeout rate more than one per inning,
• 12:26
  Speaker 5: hit rate below one per inning, which is not bad,
• 12:29
  Speaker 5: and then not a bad walk rate either. And he's
• 12:32
  Speaker 5: never been seen before by Cleveland and this is a
• 12:35
  Speaker 5: weak Cleveland offense, so I do expect I expect Drohan
• 12:40
  Speaker 5: to also pitch well here. So That's kind of the thing. Like,
• 12:42
  Speaker 5: I like Cleveland given the situation here, and I think
• 12:46
  Speaker 5: the money is backing that. Milwaukee's seventy seven percent of
• 12:50
  Speaker 5: the ticket, sixty one percent of the cash. They're around
• 12:53
  Speaker 5: minus one forty something here, so the money is looking
• 12:55
  Speaker 5: at Cleveland here. I think it does make sense to
• 12:58
  Speaker 5: look towards Cleveland here as an underdog on the money line.
• 13:04
  Speaker 5: Under is possible as well. Here the totals seven and
• 13:08
  Speaker 5: a half, so it is really low. I think both
• 13:09
  Speaker 5: pitchers can probably get that done here. Neither bullpen is
• 13:14
  Speaker 5: that bad.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: Either.
• 13:15
  Speaker 5: Total is slightly indicating towards the over but I think
• 13:19
  Speaker 5: the best I think my strongest opinion in this game
• 13:22
  Speaker 5: is still the Cleveland side, even though I really worry
• 13:25
  Speaker 5: about their offense. But both pitchers I think look good
• 13:28
  Speaker 5: to go in that one, So I think it undermakes
• 13:30
  Speaker 5: sense in that game too, all right, Minnesota and Texas.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: On ESPN Unlimited.
• 13:37
  Speaker 5: Texas is trying to avoid a sweep here, even though
• 13:39
  Speaker 5: they're the better team and they're at home, They're trying
• 13:42
  Speaker 5: to avoid the sweep. So sometimes you do want to
• 13:44
  Speaker 5: look towards a team like that. The better team a
• 13:46
  Speaker 5: lot of times will get it done here. Minnesota doesn't
• 13:49
  Speaker 5: really have a look ahead, though they have Arizona next.
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: I don't really think that's a huge deal there. But
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: Texas is definitely.
• 13:56
  Speaker 5: The better offense, or not the better offense, the better
• 13:59
  Speaker 5: bulp and excuse me, I don't know is this accurate?
• 14:03
  Speaker 5: Texas using no relief pitchers yesterday. That doesn't seem right.
• 14:06
  Speaker 5: I don't think so. No, this website is just oh no,
• 14:09
  Speaker 5: it is. Actually I was gonna say that website is
• 14:11
  Speaker 5: fucked up. But for some reason, Texas and Minnesota didn't
• 14:15
  Speaker 5: play yesterday, very very strange. They had a day off
• 14:18
  Speaker 5: on a Wednesday in the middle of the series. If
• 14:21
  Speaker 5: somebody knows why that is, they can let me know,
• 14:23
  Speaker 5: because I have no idea why that is. But these
• 14:26
  Speaker 5: teams were actually off yesterday, believe it or not. Texas
• 14:29
  Speaker 5: does have a bullpen advantage though they're number eight in bullpen.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: They're a good bullpen. Minnesota is not.
• 14:35
  Speaker 5: They're number twenty nine and they have the second worst
• 14:38
  Speaker 5: bullpen era as well, So Texas does have a big
• 14:41
  Speaker 5: bullpen advantage. Minnesota has the better starting pitcher though with
• 14:45
  Speaker 5: Joe Ryan, although actually offensively I forgot to mention offense.
• 14:49
  Speaker 5: I'm all over the place, man. Texas is not a
• 14:51
  Speaker 5: good offense twenty fourth. They're really not good at home.
• 14:55
  Speaker 5: Minnesota fourteenth in offense. But one thing that we know
• 14:58
  Speaker 5: about Texas is their home games typically both teams are.
• 15:03
  Speaker 5: They struggle to score into Texas. Everybody struggles to score
• 15:07
  Speaker 5: in Texas, including Texas, but also all of their opponents.
• 15:11
  Speaker 5: Joe Ryan from Minnesota, he's good three point one seventy
• 15:14
  Speaker 5: ra one whip. Not quite as good on the road
• 15:18
  Speaker 5: three point six Roady Ray. But this should be one
• 15:20
  Speaker 5: of his better road matchups here. I'm gonna show in
• 15:23
  Speaker 5: a minute he's got good matchup numbers and it's a
• 15:25
  Speaker 5: pitcher friendly ballpark here. Ryan has been pretty good in
• 15:29
  Speaker 5: his last couple starts here. He's got a twenty two
• 15:31
  Speaker 5: to two strike out walk race here this month in
• 15:33
  Speaker 5: eighteen innings of those. Hit rate has gone a little
• 15:36
  Speaker 5: bit up recently, but on the course of the season
• 15:38
  Speaker 5: his hit rate is really low.
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: I'm not too concerned with him. He's got a low
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: walk rate as well, and his strike out rate is high.
• 15:44
  Speaker 5: All of his numbers are good as expected, and against
• 15:48
  Speaker 5: Texas he also has good numbers thirty five career at
• 15:51
  Speaker 5: bats sixteen strikeouts, two walks, one forty three average three
• 15:55
  Speaker 5: sixty one ohps. Ryan matches up quite well here. Jack
• 15:59
  Speaker 5: Lighters pitching for Texas, he hasn't been that good four
• 16:03
  Speaker 5: point eight six e RA one point three to nine WHIP.
• 16:05
  Speaker 5: He is better at home four point one four home RA,
• 16:08
  Speaker 5: which is still not excellent. He struggled in his last
• 16:12
  Speaker 5: couple of outings. He has five strikeouts and five walks
• 16:14
  Speaker 5: in his two starts this month, and that's not good,
• 16:17
  Speaker 5: considering one was a home start against Cleveland where he
• 16:20
  Speaker 5: obviously should have done significantly better than that. I think
• 16:23
  Speaker 5: I gave out an under in that game actually on
• 16:25
  Speaker 5: the show, I think that was still a winner.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: I might be wrong about.
• 16:28
  Speaker 5: I mean, it definitely went under, but I might be
• 16:30
  Speaker 5: wrong about giving that out as a play. I don't remember,
• 16:33
  Speaker 5: but Lighter was not good in that game. And then
• 16:36
  Speaker 5: I think it was against Kumar Rocker. I think I
• 16:38
  Speaker 5: did give that out, and then against Boston in Boston,
• 16:43
  Speaker 5: Lighter kind of struggled in that game too, and he
• 16:45
  Speaker 5: lost both games. So he's not pitching well right now,
• 16:48
  Speaker 5: not a great sign. He's not a good form here.
• 16:51
  Speaker 5: His overall numbers are okay.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: He's got a decent hit rate, decent strikeout rate. His
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: walk rate is the problem. His walks are too.
• 16:59
  Speaker 5: High and that's been showing up recently too, so that's
• 17:04
  Speaker 5: the one problem with him. Not good against Minnesota either,
• 17:07
  Speaker 5: all though only five of their hitters have faced him.
• 17:09
  Speaker 5: It's a small sample twelve at bats, but they have
• 17:12
  Speaker 5: a four to seventeen average, sixteen to seventeen ops, no strikeouts,
• 17:16
  Speaker 5: three walks, and Buckston and Kartena each have a home
• 17:19
  Speaker 5: run against him. So Lighter has not done well in
• 17:23
  Speaker 5: a small sample though against Minnesota. You shouldn't, you know,
• 17:26
  Speaker 5: weigh that too heavily, but it does look like the
• 17:29
  Speaker 5: starting pitching does favor Joe Ryan here. Texas has the
• 17:33
  Speaker 5: motivational edge here, though Texas is also getting the money
• 17:37
  Speaker 5: seventy one percent of tickets on Minnesota sixty eight percent
• 17:40
  Speaker 5: of the cash on Texas, and Minnesota's favored here.
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: I think typically Texas would be.
• 17:47
  Speaker 5: Favored in home games against Minnesota because I think they
• 17:50
  Speaker 5: are the better team, but I think Minnesota's favored mostly
• 17:52
  Speaker 5: because of Joe Rye in here, which I mean he
• 17:55
  Speaker 5: probably does deserve to be a small favorite here. Maybe
• 17:59
  Speaker 5: the line is a little bit too high on the
• 18:01
  Speaker 5: Minnesota side. You know you're paying a tax for Joe
• 18:04
  Speaker 5: Ryan here. I do think Minnesota is going to be
• 18:08
  Speaker 5: okay early in the game, though, Like I don't see
• 18:10
  Speaker 5: Texas scoring a lot early here, So I think a
• 18:13
  Speaker 5: first five on Minnesota makes some sense here. Full game,
• 18:17
  Speaker 5: I think kind of switches towards lighter a little or
• 18:19
  Speaker 5: towards Mint towards Texas, not towards lighter towards Texas's bullpen,
• 18:24
  Speaker 5: which it's probably likely to be a low scoring close game,
• 18:27
  Speaker 5: so full. If you're gonna go Texas, you wanna go
• 18:29
  Speaker 5: full game. If you're gonna go Minnesota, you wanna go
• 18:31
  Speaker 5: first five only. The money is also back in the
• 18:34
  Speaker 5: over here. Totals at seven and a half, I'm not
• 18:38
  Speaker 5: so sure about that. I mean, Texas usually you're gonna
• 18:41
  Speaker 5: get lower scoring games here. The osmakers are kind of
• 18:43
  Speaker 5: telling you that with that total. I think it under
• 18:46
  Speaker 5: makes more sense there, but I would not want to
• 18:48
  Speaker 5: deal with Minnesota's bullpen. Although both bullpen's arrested, the hitters
• 18:52
  Speaker 5: cooled and could have cooled off. Maybe with yesterday off,
• 18:56
  Speaker 5: I think a first five under does make some more sense, though,
• 19:00
  Speaker 5: but three to three and a half is going to
• 19:02
  Speaker 5: be kind of a questionable number there, So do what
• 19:05
  Speaker 5: you want with all that that information, but there are
• 19:07
  Speaker 5: a lot of conflicting factors.
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: In that game. For me.
• 19:10
  Speaker 5: Baltimore and Seattle, we got this game right early in
• 19:15
  Speaker 5: the series. The first game of the series we had
• 19:17
  Speaker 5: the under that was an easy win. Yesterday Baltimore won
• 19:21
  Speaker 5: five to three yesterday to even the series, So this
• 19:24
  Speaker 5: is going to be the rubber match of the series here.
• 19:27
  Speaker 5: Seattle's got the better bullpen. Seattle is they used three
• 19:30
  Speaker 5: relief pitchers yesterday.
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: Baltimore used only two.
• 19:34
  Speaker 5: Baltimore light bullpen usage recently, but Seattle's bullpen is better.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: They ranked fifteenth, Baltimore sixteenth.
• 19:40
  Speaker 5: But Baltimore their bullpen era is more than a run
• 19:44
  Speaker 5: higher than Seattle, so Seattle definitely has a better bullpen here.
• 19:47
  Speaker 5: Baltimore is ranked thirteenth in offense, Seattle sixteenth, so these
• 19:51
  Speaker 5: teams are close in hitting. On the surface, this looks
• 19:55
  Speaker 5: like a starting pitching matchup that really favored Seattle here,
• 19:58
  Speaker 5: but I'm not quite sure about that. Baltimore is going
• 20:01
  Speaker 5: with Shane Boz. He doesn't have great numbers. Four point
• 20:05
  Speaker 5: oh six ERA one point three to nine whip is
• 20:07
  Speaker 5: not good, but he has been better on the road
• 20:10
  Speaker 5: three point eight three Roady Ray, he is actually pitching
• 20:13
  Speaker 5: better over his last five starts. He hasn't allowed more
• 20:17
  Speaker 5: than two earned runs in any of them, and he's
• 20:19
  Speaker 5: gone five innings in or more in all of them. Now,
• 20:22
  Speaker 5: he's faced some offenses that aren't that good here Tampa Bay,
• 20:25
  Speaker 5: which maybe he was pumped up because they're the team
• 20:27
  Speaker 5: that got rid of him. Tampa hasn't been that good
• 20:30
  Speaker 5: offensively recently, and then he faced Boston, Toronto, San Diego
• 20:33
  Speaker 5: not good offenses there.
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: Seattle is a little bit better than those.
• 20:37
  Speaker 5: Teams, I would say, or a lot better than some
• 20:40
  Speaker 5: of them.
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: Boz.
• 20:42
  Speaker 5: I mean, he's still got some issues though. His strike
• 20:44
  Speaker 5: out rate is usually higher than this, and over that span,
• 20:47
  Speaker 5: his strike out rate has still been down.
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: Like this month, so that is kind of a problem.
• 20:52
  Speaker 5: His strike out rate is low on the season, and
• 20:54
  Speaker 5: usually with him, he does strike out a decent amount
• 20:56
  Speaker 5: of guys, So I don't know what's going on with
• 20:58
  Speaker 5: him as far as that's concerned. His hit rate on
• 21:00
  Speaker 5: the season is right around one per inning. His walk
• 21:03
  Speaker 5: rate is definitely too high, So there are some concerns
• 21:06
  Speaker 5: here with him. But he's definitely pitching better still as
• 21:10
  Speaker 5: it stands right now, and he has good numbers against
• 21:12
  Speaker 5: the Mariners, although it's only in thirteen at bats. They
• 21:15
  Speaker 5: have no extra RaSE hits against him, a one fifty
• 21:17
  Speaker 5: four average, four to twenty one OPS, three to two
• 21:20
  Speaker 5: strikeout walk ratio. Six of their hitters have faced him.
• 21:24
  Speaker 5: I wouldn't go crazy with that because it's such a
• 21:25
  Speaker 5: small sample, but Boz is pitching better right now, and
• 21:29
  Speaker 5: he has a decent match up here.
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: At the very least.
• 21:31
  Speaker 5: Brian wu is pitching for Seattle, and he is the
• 21:34
  Speaker 5: better pitcher. He's struggled a bit recently, though, so I
• 21:37
  Speaker 5: do have some concerns about him. He's got a four
• 21:40
  Speaker 5: point two to eighty RA, which is way higher than
• 21:42
  Speaker 5: what you usually get from him. His whip is still
• 21:44
  Speaker 5: good though, one point oh four, so that whip does
• 21:48
  Speaker 5: indicate that his ERA should be coming down again, and
• 21:51
  Speaker 5: if you look at his career numbers, that would suggest
• 21:53
  Speaker 5: that as well. Two point three seven homey IRA, so
• 21:56
  Speaker 5: he is one of the Mariners pitchers who does pitch
• 21:59
  Speaker 5: better at home, which is expected because it's a pitcher
• 22:01
  Speaker 5: friendly ballpark, but he hasn't been good recently. He's a
• 22:04
  Speaker 5: lot four or more in runs in three of his
• 22:06
  Speaker 5: last four games. The only one that was good was
• 22:09
  Speaker 5: at home, though, so he was much better in his
• 22:11
  Speaker 5: seven inning shutout at home against Arizona. Really struggled and
• 22:15
  Speaker 5: both starts this month though, against Baltimore and Detroit, give
• 22:19
  Speaker 5: up a lot of runs. But he did still have
• 22:21
  Speaker 5: eleven strikeouts in one walk, so his command numbers is
• 22:25
  Speaker 5: still good. It's just he's given up a lot of
• 22:27
  Speaker 5: hits and runs and I don't know what the deal
• 22:29
  Speaker 5: is there, but his control still looks good, so I
• 22:32
  Speaker 5: don't think he's actually bad. He's still got a low
• 22:34
  Speaker 5: hit rate on the season. His walk rate is pretty
• 22:36
  Speaker 5: low too. His strikeout rate is right around where you
• 22:39
  Speaker 5: usually have it from him. He's not really that much
• 22:42
  Speaker 5: of a strikeout guy. Numbers against Baltimore are okay, but
• 22:46
  Speaker 5: not as good as you would think. Fifty six at
• 22:48
  Speaker 5: bats two fourteen average a lot as low, but they've
• 22:51
  Speaker 5: hit him for power, so they do have a seven
• 22:53
  Speaker 5: to fifty four ohps against him, which is a little
• 22:56
  Speaker 5: bit on the high side. It's above that seven to
• 22:58
  Speaker 5: fifty threshold. Sixteen to three strike out walk ratio, but
• 23:02
  Speaker 5: home runs are fluky, so I don't know how much
• 23:04
  Speaker 5: weight I really want to put into that. This game's
• 23:08
  Speaker 5: got a low total on it, so the oddsmakers are
• 23:10
  Speaker 5: expecting pitching here. Seven and a half money is hitting
• 23:14
  Speaker 5: the under sixty five percent of tickets on the over,
• 23:16
  Speaker 5: sixty percent of the cash on the under. I don't
• 23:18
  Speaker 5: disagree with the under here. It does look like kind
• 23:23
  Speaker 5: of more of an undergame. I do kind of worry
• 23:25
  Speaker 5: about WU though, Like I said, you have Seattle a little
• 23:27
  Speaker 5: about minus one forty something here. Maybe in the current
• 23:31
  Speaker 5: form that these pitchers are in, maybe it's not deserved.
• 23:35
  Speaker 5: Public is on Seattle eighty percent of tickets ninety three
• 23:38
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash on them, so they are getting
• 23:40
  Speaker 5: the money. But I think I have a slight lean
• 23:42
  Speaker 5: towards Baltimore first five here. I actually think Boz might
• 23:46
  Speaker 5: be able to get Baltimore through the first five against WU.
• 23:50
  Speaker 4: Here.
• 23:50
  Speaker 5: I would not want to take Baltimore full game, given
• 23:53
  Speaker 5: that Seattle does have the better bullpen, and I do
• 23:56
  Speaker 5: think an under is maybe.
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: Worth considering here.
• 23:58
  Speaker 5: Bullpens are at least and we did get the underwriting
• 24:01
  Speaker 5: game one of that series as well. Don't like this
• 24:03
  Speaker 5: one as much as I liked that one, though. Obviously,
• 24:06
  Speaker 5: all right into the evening, we have some new series beginning,
• 24:10
  Speaker 5: and I think at least one of the series is
• 24:12
  Speaker 5: continuing as well. I think, yeah, we have one continuing
• 24:16
  Speaker 5: series at night and the rest of these are new series.
• 24:19
  Speaker 5: Mets are at Philadelphia. Philadelphia is staying at home after
• 24:23
  Speaker 5: losing yesterday to Miami. But they beat Miami in the series,
• 24:26
  Speaker 5: but they got embarrassed yesterday twelve to four, So I
• 24:29
  Speaker 5: think Philadelphia probably just packed it in early. That was
• 24:32
  Speaker 5: an afternoon game, getaway day. You know, weird things happen
• 24:35
  Speaker 5: on getaway day Philly. I think they just figured, whatever,
• 24:39
  Speaker 5: we've won the series, pack it in. I believe I
• 24:42
  Speaker 5: liked the over in that game and that was correct,
• 24:44
  Speaker 5: but I'd have to go back and look. The Mets
• 24:47
  Speaker 5: were kind of the opposite. They lost their series to Cincinnati,
• 24:51
  Speaker 5: and they won yesterday with Nolan McLain on the molem,
• 24:54
  Speaker 5: which I thought might happen because he is good. The
• 24:56
  Speaker 5: Mets use their starting pitching advantage and really they're pitching
• 24:59
  Speaker 5: it vantage overall to win that game. But they did
• 25:02
  Speaker 5: actually break out the bats in that game too, but
• 25:05
  Speaker 5: the Mets avoided the sweep. Now they are traveling in
• 25:07
  Speaker 5: from Cincinnati. Momentum does seem to favor the Mets a
• 25:11
  Speaker 5: little bit here, but I don't think there's a lot
• 25:14
  Speaker 5: to like about the Mets in this one. The Mets
• 25:17
  Speaker 5: do have a good bullpen, though, so there is that
• 25:19
  Speaker 5: they used two guys out of the bullpen yesterday Philadelphia
• 25:22
  Speaker 5: used six, So Philadelphia's bullpen is at a disadvantage here.
• 25:26
  Speaker 5: Philadelphia is a mediocre bullpen at number fourteen. Mets are
• 25:30
  Speaker 5: number three. The Mets do have a good bullpen. Mets
• 25:34
  Speaker 5: have not had a good offense, as everybody knows. They're
• 25:36
  Speaker 5: twenty ninth out of thirty arranged by ops. Philly has
• 25:39
  Speaker 5: been bad in that department too, they're twenty seventh, although
• 25:43
  Speaker 5: they do hit better at home, probably the better offense
• 25:46
  Speaker 5: over the Mets here. Both these teams struggling more than
• 25:49
  Speaker 5: anybody would have thought. On the offensive side. The offenses
• 25:52
  Speaker 5: might be able to do something in this game, though,
• 25:54
  Speaker 5: because the Mets look like they're going with Sean Manaia.
• 25:57
  Speaker 5: And now what I will say is, if you're gonna
• 25:59
  Speaker 5: look at this game, you're gonna play this game I
• 26:02
  Speaker 5: might pick Nola must start for Philadelphia, but go with
• 26:06
  Speaker 5: action on the Mets side, because the Mets have been
• 26:09
  Speaker 5: using an opener in front of Mania, so we don't
• 26:11
  Speaker 5: know what they're gonna do here. Manaiah might start the game,
• 26:14
  Speaker 5: but he might not. And if Maniah doesn't start the game,
• 26:17
  Speaker 5: I think he's gonna be in the game, probably by
• 26:19
  Speaker 5: the second inning, you know what I mean. So if
• 26:22
  Speaker 5: you want your bet to count, it won't count if
• 26:24
  Speaker 5: you pick both starters must start and the Mets decide
• 26:27
  Speaker 5: to go with an opener, but you pretty much know
• 26:29
  Speaker 5: you're gonna get Manaia in the game, So the handicap
• 26:32
  Speaker 5: kind of remains the same. Mania hasn't been that good though,
• 26:35
  Speaker 5: four point seven to eighty RA, one point three to
• 26:38
  Speaker 5: five Whip. He's a little bit better on the road
• 26:40
  Speaker 5: four point five to seven Roadyra. He's made one actual start,
• 26:44
  Speaker 5: I think, which was his most recent performance, and he
• 26:47
  Speaker 5: was actually good and it was against the Braves, so
• 26:51
  Speaker 5: that is a decent sign. He went six innings, allowed
• 26:53
  Speaker 5: two runs on four hits, six strikeouts, no walks against
• 26:57
  Speaker 5: a good Brave lineup. That's pretty good, so Mania, that
• 27:02
  Speaker 5: leads me to believe that they are gonna actually just
• 27:04
  Speaker 5: go with him here and let him start, because he
• 27:06
  Speaker 5: was good in that start, so.
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: He was actually pitching worse as a relief pitcher. So
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: I think the Mets probably figure we need a guy
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: in our rotation here. They've been using Mania as.
• 27:16
  Speaker 5: Sort of like a starter, a follower basically, so they've
• 27:20
  Speaker 5: been having him pitching on regular starters rest here. So
• 27:23
  Speaker 5: I think at this point they're probably just figuring whatever,
• 27:26
  Speaker 5: just let him start. He used to be a starter anyway.
• 27:29
  Speaker 5: His numbers gets Philadelphia, though they're not good. Philadelphia has
• 27:33
  Speaker 5: seen a lot of Mania. He's got one hundred and
• 27:36
  Speaker 5: eleven at bats against them, twenty eight to eight, strike
• 27:38
  Speaker 5: up walk ratio two ninety seven, average allowed, eight sixty
• 27:42
  Speaker 5: four ops.
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: That's not good.
• 27:44
  Speaker 5: Obviously, Aaron Nola pitching for Philadelphia. He has not been
• 27:48
  Speaker 5: able to bounce back from returning from injury.
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: He has not pitched well.
• 27:52
  Speaker 5: Five point eight six ERA, one point four to seven
• 27:55
  Speaker 5: whip not good, worse at home to six point two
• 27:59
  Speaker 5: to one Home. Looked like he was kind of turning
• 28:02
  Speaker 5: it around for a couple of starts, but those are
• 28:04
  Speaker 5: both against the Podres and then he started falling apart
• 28:08
  Speaker 5: again after that, although the Phillies have won all but
• 28:11
  Speaker 5: one of his starts since the beginning of May, but
• 28:13
  Speaker 5: it really hasn't been him doing it. He's gotten a
• 28:16
  Speaker 5: lot of run support, and he pitched well against San
• 28:19
  Speaker 5: Diego twice, but everybody pitches well against San Diego. I
• 28:22
  Speaker 5: don't really trust Noola here. I don't see how you could.
• 28:25
  Speaker 5: There's not really much of a way to trust him here.
• 28:28
  Speaker 5: Although he does have a decent strikeout rate, his walk
• 28:31
  Speaker 5: rate is slightly high and his hit rate is definitely
• 28:34
  Speaker 5: too high, so he's.
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: Been way too hit aable.
• 28:37
  Speaker 5: His numbers against the Mets, whoops, no, not the Yankees,
• 28:41
  Speaker 5: the Mets. His numbers against the Mets are all over
• 28:45
  Speaker 5: the place. A ninety six at bats big sample two
• 28:48
  Speaker 5: twenty nine batting average is good, but he has twenty
• 28:51
  Speaker 5: six strikeouts and twenty walks, so he has a ton
• 28:54
  Speaker 5: of walks against them. Sixteen of them are Juan Soto, though,
• 28:58
  Speaker 5: so he intentionally walks him probably, so I would have
• 29:01
  Speaker 5: put that much weight into that walk number. But they
• 29:03
  Speaker 5: do have an eight to twenty ops off him as well,
• 29:06
  Speaker 5: So Nola isn't exactly good against the Mats. Yeah, I mean,
• 29:12
  Speaker 5: this game kind of looks more like an over to me.
• 29:15
  Speaker 5: The totals hides at nine and a half. I know,
• 29:17
  Speaker 5: both offenses are definitely concerning if you go over here,
• 29:21
  Speaker 5: but they might be able to get something done in
• 29:22
  Speaker 5: this one. Fifty six percent of tickets are on the under,
• 29:25
  Speaker 5: eighty one percent of the cash on the over.
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: I agree with the over and that one.
• 29:30
  Speaker 5: That's the way I would lean in that game, but
• 29:32
  Speaker 5: I don't really want to do it. Both starting pitchers
• 29:35
  Speaker 5: are capable of shutting down these offenses, I think too,
• 29:38
  Speaker 5: So I don't know.
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know which way it's gonna go.
• 29:41
  Speaker 5: But the matchup numbers and the recent form, well, actually
• 29:44
  Speaker 5: Manaia is in good recent form, but the matchup numbers
• 29:47
  Speaker 5: and the fact that Mania just hasn't really been a
• 29:49
  Speaker 5: starter at all this year, those I think are more
• 29:54
  Speaker 5: indicators towards an over. So that's probably what I would
• 29:57
  Speaker 5: do here. And then the money is coming in on
• 30:01
  Speaker 5: Philly a little bit.
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: They're very public though.
• 30:02
  Speaker 5: They're around minus one twenty something, eighty seven percent of
• 30:05
  Speaker 5: tickets eighty eight percent of the cash on Philly. If
• 30:09
  Speaker 5: Nola is actually somehow returning to what his form used
• 30:14
  Speaker 5: to being then Philly should win this game, but I
• 30:17
  Speaker 5: don't want to bank on that, so yeah, I think
• 30:19
  Speaker 5: it over makes the most sense in that one.
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: Kyle, what's up? Thanks for hanging out all right. Streamyard
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: is messing with me, man.
• 30:27
  Speaker 5: Streamyard used to gray out the comments that you brought
• 30:30
  Speaker 5: up on screen, and now it's not doing that anymore.
• 30:32
  Speaker 5: I don't know that game is on MLB Network. By
• 30:35
  Speaker 5: the way, next game is White Sox and Yankees. This
• 30:39
  Speaker 5: is the only series that's continuing out of the evening
• 30:42
  Speaker 5: games here. The Yankees are on the verge of a sweep.
• 30:46
  Speaker 5: Of course. Well, the White Sox have been a good team,
• 30:49
  Speaker 5: but the White Sox pitching just is not good enough.
• 30:52
  Speaker 5: I don't know if the Yankees are gonna look ahead
• 30:54
  Speaker 5: to Cincinnati next, but the Yankees have been the better team.
• 30:57
  Speaker 5: Although if they're gonna lose a game here, maybe it
• 31:00
  Speaker 5: is going to be this one because they've already won
• 31:02
  Speaker 5: the series. I can hope, because I hate the Yankees.
• 31:06
  Speaker 5: Yankees used three relief pitchers yesterday. They have the better bullpen,
• 31:10
  Speaker 5: though the White Sox use four relief pitchers as well.
• 31:13
  Speaker 5: The Yankees are ninth in bullpen their bullpen era is good,
• 31:17
  Speaker 5: so they are one of the better bullpens. The White
• 31:19
  Speaker 5: Sox are seventeenth, pretty mediocre bullpen from them. Both offenses
• 31:25
  Speaker 5: are good. The Yankees are number two, the White Sox
• 31:27
  Speaker 5: are number eight. Sean Burke is pitching for the White Sox.
• 31:32
  Speaker 5: He was good at the beginning of the season. He's
• 31:33
  Speaker 5: kind of following off a little bit. His numbers are
• 31:35
  Speaker 5: okay right now, four point one five ERA, one point
• 31:39
  Speaker 5: two to six WHIP, he's got a three point six ROADYRA,
• 31:42
  Speaker 5: so he's been good on the road, but not good
• 31:45
  Speaker 5: this month at all.
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: Really.
• 31:46
  Speaker 5: He did face the Dodgers in his last outing, so
• 31:48
  Speaker 5: maybe can give him a little bit of a pass
• 31:51
  Speaker 5: for that, But he pitched against Philly at Philly the
• 31:55
  Speaker 5: game before that. I know Philly is a better offense
• 31:57
  Speaker 5: at home, but Burke has just been too bad and
• 32:00
  Speaker 5: those starts to really trust him at all. Man, He's
• 32:02
  Speaker 5: had ten walks in eight and a third innings across
• 32:05
  Speaker 5: those two starts, plus nine hits allowed on top of that,
• 32:08
  Speaker 5: and seven are in runs and thirteen strikeouts, so he's
• 32:12
  Speaker 5: had a lot of strikeouts, but all the other numbers
• 32:14
  Speaker 5: are terrible, so he's been in really bad form over
• 32:18
  Speaker 5: those last two games. I don't think I could trust
• 32:20
  Speaker 5: him here, although he does have an unfamiliarity advantage against
• 32:23
  Speaker 5: the Yankees. They only have two hitters who have faced him.
• 32:26
  Speaker 5: They were combined zero for two with two strikeouts and
• 32:29
  Speaker 5: a walk between Caballero and Shuman. Schumann, you mean the
• 32:36
  Speaker 5: composer of the Unfinished Symphony.
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know Burke.
• 32:40
  Speaker 5: I still don't think I could trust him here, though,
• 32:42
  Speaker 5: though he does have the unfamiliarity advantage here where a
• 32:44
  Speaker 5: lot of times young pitchers pitch better against offenses that
• 32:48
  Speaker 5: haven't faced them before because the offenses have to figure
• 32:50
  Speaker 5: them out. But Burke, he's not in good form right now.
• 32:53
  Speaker 5: I would not want to put any money on that guy.
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: In this game.
• 32:57
  Speaker 5: Ryan Weathers his pitcher for the Yankees. He hasn't been
• 32:59
  Speaker 5: as good recently either. Four point three to six e
• 33:02
  Speaker 5: ra very mediocre, one point one to seven whip is
• 33:06
  Speaker 5: still not bad, though he's been good at home three
• 33:09
  Speaker 5: point eight Homira, So both pitchers are actually in the
• 33:11
  Speaker 5: better home road splits, but they're both in bad form.
• 33:14
  Speaker 5: Weathers has allowed five plus earned runs and four of
• 33:17
  Speaker 5: his last five outings. One was at the a's so
• 33:20
  Speaker 5: maybe he give him a pass for that, But his
• 33:21
  Speaker 5: two outings this month, you can't really give him a
• 33:24
  Speaker 5: pass for doing bad against the Red Sox and Toronto.
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: That's not good.
• 33:30
  Speaker 5: And he only had six strikeouts over those ten and
• 33:33
  Speaker 5: third innings, only two walks, which is fine, but he's
• 33:36
  Speaker 5: not striking guys out. He give up twelve fits eleven
• 33:38
  Speaker 5: earn runs there. I guess debatably he got a little
• 33:41
  Speaker 5: bit unlucky because everybody that you put on base scored.
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: I still don't know if I would trust him.
• 33:47
  Speaker 5: His overall numbers are still pretty good, though he has
• 33:49
  Speaker 5: a low hit rate of high strikeout ran. His walk
• 33:51
  Speaker 5: rate is okay on the season. Weathers is also pretty
• 33:55
  Speaker 5: unfamiliar to the White Sox. They have three hitters who
• 33:58
  Speaker 5: faced him. Cree Shock as usual is the only guy
• 34:01
  Speaker 5: with a hit with one single. They have two strikeouts,
• 34:04
  Speaker 5: one walk against some one twenty five average three forty
• 34:07
  Speaker 5: seven ops. This game just has too much variability. I
• 34:11
  Speaker 5: think I would lean more towards the over here. I
• 34:14
  Speaker 5: think both pitchers could struggle here, even though they both
• 34:17
  Speaker 5: have an unfamiliarity advantage here, like the offenses might have
• 34:21
  Speaker 5: to figure them out.
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: But I don't know if that's gonna be enough. It
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: looks like the money is indicating.
• 34:25
  Speaker 5: On the over fifty to fifty on the tickets, ninety
• 34:28
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash on the over.
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: I'm surprised because.
• 34:30
  Speaker 5: This looks like a game where the public would jump
• 34:32
  Speaker 5: all over the over. I mean, both games in the
• 34:35
  Speaker 5: series have gone over the total. It's been an over series.
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: But I just think it kind of makes sense.
• 34:40
  Speaker 5: And this is one of the weakest pitching matchups that
• 34:42
  Speaker 5: you're gonna see out of this series, So nine and
• 34:47
  Speaker 5: a half being the total, so it is high. It
• 34:49
  Speaker 5: is probably high for a reason though. Yankees are also
• 34:53
  Speaker 5: around minus one fifty something here, so it is a
• 34:56
  Speaker 5: cheap price on the Yankees, and the money is actually
• 34:59
  Speaker 5: backing the white side ninety percent of tickets on the Yankees,
• 35:02
  Speaker 5: fifty four percent of the cash on the White Sox.
• 35:05
  Speaker 5: I mean, the fact that the White Socks are trying
• 35:06
  Speaker 5: to avoid the sweep, it does make some sense to
• 35:09
  Speaker 5: want to back them there. But I can't back perk
• 35:12
  Speaker 5: here Man, looking at what he's done recently, I can't
• 35:14
  Speaker 5: do it. Can't back weather Is either, given what he's
• 35:17
  Speaker 5: done recently. So again I think the way to play
• 35:19
  Speaker 5: that game is still to go.
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: With the over all.
• 35:23
  Speaker 5: Right, excuse me, but there's variability because both pitchers could
• 35:28
  Speaker 5: actually pitch well there too. They've had decent seasons at least,
• 35:31
  Speaker 5: and they have unfamiliarity. All right, San Francisco and Atlanta,
• 35:35
  Speaker 5: Oh my mistake. This game is continued. This series is
• 35:38
  Speaker 5: continuing as well. San Francisco in Atlanta. And remember these
• 35:43
  Speaker 5: teams played twice yesterday basically because the game from the
• 35:47
  Speaker 5: prior day, Tuesday's game got postponed in like the second inning,
• 35:53
  Speaker 5: so they finished that game yesterday afternoon, and then they
• 35:55
  Speaker 5: played a full game at night too, So a lot
• 35:58
  Speaker 5: of bullpen usage yesterday.
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna keep in mind.
• 36:01
  Speaker 5: Atlanta's also on the version of getting swept here, so
• 36:04
  Speaker 5: the better team at home might show up to try
• 36:06
  Speaker 5: to avoid getting swept. So Atlanta should have a motivational
• 36:10
  Speaker 5: advantage here. I mean, you don't want to get swept
• 36:12
  Speaker 5: at home by San Francisco. They're not a good team.
• 36:15
  Speaker 5: Bullpen usage, we have to look at the combination of
• 36:19
  Speaker 5: Tuesday and Wednesday. All actually happened yesterday, so San Francisco
• 36:23
  Speaker 5: used basically their entire bullpen, like seven guys and Atlanta
• 36:28
  Speaker 5: used four between the two games yesterday or something like that,
• 36:33
  Speaker 5: so both bullpens saw some usage. Atlanta has the better bullpen,
• 36:36
  Speaker 5: though they have the number one bullpen and both Era
• 36:39
  Speaker 5: and Whip. The Giants bullpen has really struggled. They're down
• 36:43
  Speaker 5: to twenty fifth year though. I don't think the Giants
• 36:45
  Speaker 5: bullpen is as bad as all these really bad bullpens
• 36:48
  Speaker 5: around them, but they're not a great bullpen offensively. The
• 36:52
  Speaker 5: Braves have actually dropped to number six in offense, so
• 36:55
  Speaker 5: they've been struggling at the plate recently and they're not
• 36:57
  Speaker 5: as good at home. Giants are in eleventh in offense,
• 37:03
  Speaker 5: although I don't I still don't buy that. I mean,
• 37:05
  Speaker 5: they've had some offensive explosions in a few games recently
• 37:09
  Speaker 5: that are skewing their numbers. I don't think they're a
• 37:11
  Speaker 5: good offense though. Landom Roupe is pitching for the Giants.
• 37:14
  Speaker 5: He's alright. I've backed him a few times this year.
• 37:18
  Speaker 5: Four point two to foury ras. Whip is getting too
• 37:21
  Speaker 5: high though, one point twenty nine, and as you'll see,
• 37:23
  Speaker 5: it's because he walks too many guys. He's been good
• 37:26
  Speaker 5: on the road though, three point nine to five roadra
• 37:28
  Speaker 5: which again doesn't totally make sense for a Giant pitcher
• 37:32
  Speaker 5: because Giants have a good pitching home stadium, but a
• 37:35
  Speaker 5: lot of their pitchers don't do well there. This year,
• 37:38
  Speaker 5: for some reason, Roupe has not been good over the
• 37:40
  Speaker 5: past month. Though he's got an eight point one six
• 37:43
  Speaker 5: ERA this month, more than one hit all out per inning.
• 37:46
  Speaker 5: Ten walks in fourteen to third innings in addition to
• 37:48
  Speaker 5: those fifteen hits fourteen strikeouts is all right, but like
• 37:52
  Speaker 5: I said, the walk number is really the huge problem here. Now,
• 37:55
  Speaker 5: those starts were against Milwaukee and two against the Cobs,
• 37:58
  Speaker 5: and he does not pitch well historically against the Cubs,
• 38:02
  Speaker 5: so that.
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: Is something to keep in mind.
• 38:04
  Speaker 5: I think we actually faded him in that first game
• 38:06
  Speaker 5: against the Cubs, and he still pitched well enough to
• 38:08
  Speaker 5: give us a headache in that game. We won anyway
• 38:11
  Speaker 5: and extra innings, but should have won more easily, probably Roupe.
• 38:16
  Speaker 5: So maybe you give him a pass because he historically
• 38:19
  Speaker 5: doesn't pitch well against the Cubs.
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. Man. He's got a good hit
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: rate on the season, it's pretty low.
• 38:25
  Speaker 5: His strike out rate is pretty good on the season.
• 38:27
  Speaker 5: He induces a lot of ground balls too, but his
• 38:30
  Speaker 5: walk rate is way too high. So again that's the
• 38:32
  Speaker 5: problem with him is his walks. I think he throws
• 38:35
  Speaker 5: a lot of crazy like breaking stuff, and I think
• 38:38
  Speaker 5: a lot of it just gets a little wild. His
• 38:41
  Speaker 5: numbers against the Braves are okay and thirty at bats
• 38:44
  Speaker 5: to sixty seven average A lot isn't great, but six
• 38:46
  Speaker 5: twenty four ops, so he's held their power.
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: Hitting completely off the board pretty much.
• 38:52
  Speaker 5: Four to one strike at walk ratio, so route does
• 38:55
  Speaker 5: match up bokay. Here he's going up against Martine Perez,
• 39:00
  Speaker 5: who has had a surprisingly good season for the Braves.
• 39:03
  Speaker 5: Here two point ninety RA one point zero five whip Perez.
• 39:06
  Speaker 5: I mean, he's an aging veteran, he's been on many
• 39:10
  Speaker 5: many teams throughout his career. But he's going out there
• 39:13
  Speaker 5: and he's pitching effectively. Man, even though he doesn't strike
• 39:15
  Speaker 5: guys out, he's low kating his pitches and doing what
• 39:18
  Speaker 5: they need him to do. He's been good at home
• 39:21
  Speaker 5: one point six to seven Homy Ray pitching well even
• 39:24
  Speaker 5: though his underlying metrics kind of suggests that this thing
• 39:28
  Speaker 5: is gonna start falling apart. But mostly it's because his
• 39:30
  Speaker 5: strikeout rate is low. He has a really low hit
• 39:33
  Speaker 5: rate though, and his walk rate is you know, it's okay,
• 39:38
  Speaker 5: So his numbers are not really that bad. He pitched
• 39:42
  Speaker 5: okay last time out against the Mets, but it is
• 39:44
  Speaker 5: the Mets. They're not good numbers against the Giants though.
• 39:47
  Speaker 5: He actually he doesn't do well against the Giants, even
• 39:51
  Speaker 5: though the Giants are not a good offense here, seventy
• 39:54
  Speaker 5: five at bats two ninety three average, allowed eight to
• 39:57
  Speaker 5: twelve ops. Not great stuff here from Perez, eighteen to
• 40:02
  Speaker 5: six strike up walk ratios okay, but yeah, his overall
• 40:06
  Speaker 5: numbers are not very good against San Francisco. So I
• 40:08
  Speaker 5: don't know if he's the guy Atlanta wants out there
• 40:10
  Speaker 5: to try to avoid the sweep. So we have a
• 40:14
  Speaker 5: lot of situations today where the team is trying to
• 40:16
  Speaker 5: avoid the sweep and should have the motivational advantage, has
• 40:19
  Speaker 5: kind of the lesser picture on the mound. So yeah,
• 40:24
  Speaker 5: like I wish just one of those games, Like I
• 40:26
  Speaker 5: want to have a team that's trying to avoid the
• 40:28
  Speaker 5: sweep and has the better.
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: Picture on the mound. Is that too much to ask? Man?
• 40:31
  Speaker 5: Come on, Atlanta has eighty eight percent of tickets, ninety
• 40:37
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash, and then they're minus one forty
• 40:39
  Speaker 5: nine here or minus one forty whatever. Their public money
• 40:44
  Speaker 5: kind of indicating towards them, but I can't really back
• 40:47
  Speaker 5: them with Perez's matchup numbers.
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 40:49
  Speaker 5: Money's coming in on the over as well. The totals
• 40:52
  Speaker 5: around eight. The total actually initially went down. It's kind
• 40:56
  Speaker 5: of a low total. I don't know, man, I mean,
• 41:01
  Speaker 5: I might see more indicators towards than under in this game,
• 41:04
  Speaker 5: but I think I would limit it to first five though.
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: I think both starting pitchers could do okay here.
• 41:10
  Speaker 5: If you're gonna go over, you should go full game
• 41:12
  Speaker 5: because you can take advantage of the unrested bullpens from
• 41:15
  Speaker 5: having to pitch in two games yesterday.
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: So that's one thing that I do consider.
• 41:20
  Speaker 5: When a team played basically a doubleheader of the previous day,
• 41:23
  Speaker 5: I tend to try to look for overs because a
• 41:27
  Speaker 5: lot of like the bullpens, can be a mess coming
• 41:29
  Speaker 5: into that next day.
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: Gerald, what's up?
• 41:33
  Speaker 5: I didn't give out a play yet, but you missed
• 41:35
  Speaker 5: my breakdown of a bunch of baseball games here. My
• 41:39
  Speaker 5: strong I don't know if I do I have a
• 41:41
  Speaker 5: strong opinion in any of these games.
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: I just gave up.
• 41:43
  Speaker 5: I just talked about not really, I don't know. I mean,
• 41:47
  Speaker 5: I'm skipping all the games.
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: I think if I was gonna.
• 41:52
  Speaker 5: Pick one of these games out of any of these
• 41:54
  Speaker 5: so far, it might be Cleveland money Line. But I
• 41:57
  Speaker 5: don't know, man, that that seems dangerous man. Saint Louis
• 42:01
  Speaker 5: and Kansas City, they begin their rivalry series here. I
• 42:04
  Speaker 5: think they already played against each other once already this year.
• 42:07
  Speaker 5: They're the interleague geographic rival rivals in the state of Missouri.
• 42:16
  Speaker 5: Kansas City is returning home, but only from a single
• 42:18
  Speaker 5: series in Washington, so not really a full road trip
• 42:22
  Speaker 5: return spot. Because you know, I talk about when a
• 42:24
  Speaker 5: team returns home from the road a lot of times
• 42:26
  Speaker 5: they don't do well in that game because they can
• 42:28
  Speaker 5: get distracted whenever. But Kansas City has not been on
• 42:31
  Speaker 5: the road for that long, so I don't know if
• 42:32
  Speaker 5: that matters too much.
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis is coming in from.
• 42:37
  Speaker 5: Saint Louis, so they're starting a road trip, so they
• 42:39
  Speaker 5: do have a little bit an easier travel spot here,
• 42:42
  Speaker 5: although as you're gonna see, I think Kansas City has
• 42:44
  Speaker 5: a starting pitching advantage here. Kansas City used four relief
• 42:48
  Speaker 5: pitchers yesterday.
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis used two.
• 42:52
  Speaker 5: Saint Louis has the better bullpen and the more arrested here.
• 42:55
  Speaker 5: They're number eighteen in bullpen. They're an okay bullpen. Kansas
• 42:59
  Speaker 5: City is twenty eighth. Kansas City is like a bottom
• 43:02
  Speaker 5: three or so bullpen. They're not a good bullpen.
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: Uh.
• 43:06
  Speaker 5: So, Yes, Saint Louis definitely has a bullpen advantage.
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: They also have the better offense.
• 43:12
  Speaker 5: Saint Louis is number fifteen, Kansas City twenty three in offense,
• 43:17
  Speaker 5: So Saint Louis has some advantages. However, I think Kansas
• 43:20
  Speaker 5: City has a starting pitching edge here. Matthew Libertore pitching
• 43:24
  Speaker 5: for Saint Louis. He's not very good. Four point seven
• 43:27
  Speaker 5: to one ERA, one point five whip is pretty bad
• 43:30
  Speaker 5: four point eight to eight Roady Ray, so he's not
• 43:32
  Speaker 5: as good on the road either. Definitely struggled in his
• 43:36
  Speaker 5: couple of starts this month, failed to make it five
• 43:38
  Speaker 5: innings in both of them against Cincinnati and Minnesota. Eight strikeouts,
• 43:43
  Speaker 5: four walks, not really anything really good here.
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: He's given up too many.
• 43:47
  Speaker 5: Home runs four home runs across that span, which that's
• 43:50
  Speaker 5: a little bit fluky. But he's given up a high
• 43:52
  Speaker 5: hit rate this season. He's given up a lot of
• 43:54
  Speaker 5: home runs on the season, his walk rate is slightly high,
• 43:58
  Speaker 5: and his strikeout rate is a little bit low to
• 44:01
  Speaker 5: not really a lot to like about him here against
• 44:05
  Speaker 5: Kansas City. Hold on, he does not have good numbers
• 44:10
  Speaker 5: here either. In thirty nine at bats two to eighty
• 44:12
  Speaker 5: two batting average, allowed eight to fifty one ohps, seven
• 44:15
  Speaker 5: to five strike out walk ratio, So his numbers against
• 44:17
  Speaker 5: Kansas City are not good either.
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: I would look to fade Labratore here.
• 44:23
  Speaker 5: So I think this game almost made my card, and
• 44:26
  Speaker 5: I like Kansas City in the first five here, I
• 44:29
  Speaker 5: would much rather have Noah Cameron here, who is starting
• 44:31
  Speaker 5: to pitch better again. He had a good season last year,
• 44:35
  Speaker 5: struggled this year up until more recently when he started
• 44:38
  Speaker 5: pitching better. And we did back him one time on
• 44:40
  Speaker 5: the show recently, and we did get a win out
• 44:42
  Speaker 5: of that. Cameron as Actually no, we didn't. I think
• 44:46
  Speaker 5: I think we were about to get a win and
• 44:48
  Speaker 5: Cameron gave up two runs on the top of the
• 44:50
  Speaker 5: fifth inning. So yeah, he's on my shit list right
• 44:53
  Speaker 5: now because I think we had a two to nothing
• 44:54
  Speaker 5: lead and he gave up two runs to blow it
• 44:57
  Speaker 5: for us, or maybe it was four to two when
• 44:59
  Speaker 5: he gave up two runs.
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: Whatever it was, he blew it for us.
• 45:03
  Speaker 5: Cameron has a four point one to one ERA one
• 45:05
  Speaker 5: point two to one WHIP. He's been worse at home though,
• 45:09
  Speaker 5: four point five home e RA. I don't know if
• 45:11
  Speaker 5: that's really something to put that much sock into though,
• 45:14
  Speaker 5: but he did have a bunch of good starts in
• 45:16
  Speaker 5: a row.
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: He was good for pretty much the entirety.
• 45:18
  Speaker 5: Of May pitch well in two starts in June and
• 45:22
  Speaker 5: then the game where we wound up not getting the
• 45:24
  Speaker 5: win because we had first five on the run line
• 45:27
  Speaker 5: I think, or actually no, I think we had first
• 45:29
  Speaker 5: five money lines, so we pushed on that against Houston.
• 45:33
  Speaker 5: He had a four to two lead against Houston and
• 45:34
  Speaker 5: then he just unraveled in the fifth inning and they
• 45:37
  Speaker 5: took him out. So he wasn't good in his last
• 45:39
  Speaker 5: start really against Houston. But he still has a sixteen
• 45:43
  Speaker 5: zero strikeout walk ratio this month and only eleven hits
• 45:46
  Speaker 5: allout in seventeen to third inning, so he is pitching
• 45:49
  Speaker 5: well currently. He's got a decent hit rate on the season,
• 45:53
  Speaker 5: his walk rate's not too bad, and his strikeout rate
• 45:56
  Speaker 5: is kind of low, but he's not a strikeout pitcher.
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: His numbers against Saint Louis.
• 46:00
  Speaker 5: He has faced them before because they're an injur league rival.
• 46:04
  Speaker 5: They have forty at bats against him, and he's held
• 46:06
  Speaker 5: them down one seventy five average, four to ninety ops,
• 46:09
  Speaker 5: six to one strike a walk ratio. So those are
• 46:12
  Speaker 5: all good numbers here. I like Kansas City in the
• 46:16
  Speaker 5: first five, and this one. The money was not agreeing
• 46:18
  Speaker 5: with me on it though, although like yesterday, the money
• 46:21
  Speaker 5: started agreeing with me on the UH for on the
• 46:25
  Speaker 5: play that I gave on Pittsburgh last night, the money
• 46:27
  Speaker 5: want up agreeing with me, and once that game, once
• 46:29
  Speaker 5: it got closer to game time, uh fifty eight percent
• 46:33
  Speaker 5: of ticket, seventy seven percent of the cash on Saint Louis.
• 46:35
  Speaker 5: Here though, man, you know, I don't know what's the
• 46:41
  Speaker 5: price on this. I'm tempted to just add this to
• 46:43
  Speaker 5: my card, although last time I made a late addition
• 46:47
  Speaker 5: it was not good. Let me see here, even though
• 46:50
  Speaker 5: it looks like the market doesn't agree with me on this,
• 46:53
  Speaker 5: let me see. I mean, I know the Royals are
• 46:57
  Speaker 5: in kind of a return home spot. The numbers are
• 47:00
  Speaker 5: kind of all over the place. I see minus one
• 47:02
  Speaker 5: fifteen in the first five, though at the Lion Book
• 47:06
  Speaker 5: with the M I see mostly in the minus one twenties. Though,
• 47:10
  Speaker 5: you know what, fuck it, let's add it. This will
• 47:12
  Speaker 5: be a best bet here. This is the best bet segment. Now,
• 47:21
  Speaker 5: let's do it. Let's go with Kansas City first five
• 47:24
  Speaker 5: money line minus one fifteen. Although again, some of the
• 47:28
  Speaker 5: books don't have a price that's quite that good. It's
• 47:30
  Speaker 5: around minus one twenty something for the most part.
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: But I like it. That's a really good price.
• 47:34
  Speaker 5: I mean, a lot of you guys probably do have
• 47:36
  Speaker 5: the Lion m book out there, so you guys can
• 47:39
  Speaker 5: probably find that Kansas City first five and then the
• 47:44
  Speaker 5: bet that I already had on the card is the
• 47:46
  Speaker 5: last game here. I like this one. We're gonna go
• 47:50
  Speaker 5: with another first five player. We're gonna go with the
• 47:52
  Speaker 5: A's on the run line in the first five here,
• 47:55
  Speaker 5: because they're a little bit more of a heavy favorite
• 47:57
  Speaker 5: in the first five, and I don't want to deal
• 47:59
  Speaker 5: with the A's bull obviously. I don't want to deal
• 48:01
  Speaker 5: with Kansas City's bullpen either. They both have terrible bullpens,
• 48:04
  Speaker 5: so I'm avoiding both of those. I like the A's
• 48:08
  Speaker 5: here though against the Angels. We faded the A's last night,
• 48:11
  Speaker 5: and yes, the A's do have a shorter turnaround time
• 48:13
  Speaker 5: here because the Angels played in the afternoon yesterday, But
• 48:17
  Speaker 5: the Angels are traveling in from Arizona, so that's why
• 48:21
  Speaker 5: because they have to travel. The A's played last night,
• 48:23
  Speaker 5: but they're staying at home. The A's are bad at home,
• 48:27
  Speaker 5: but the Angels are also really bad on the road,
• 48:29
  Speaker 5: so they're one team that might be still at a disadvantage.
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: Even though the A's are.
• 48:34
  Speaker 5: Really bad at home, Angels even worse on the road,
• 48:38
  Speaker 5: so home road splits actually do not.
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: Help the Angels here.
• 48:44
  Speaker 5: As far as the bullpens are concerned, I'm avoiding the bullpens.
• 48:47
  Speaker 5: The Angels only use one guy out of their bullpen
• 48:50
  Speaker 5: yesterday and the A's used three, so I'm gonna avoid
• 48:54
  Speaker 5: that A's bullpen here. Even though they are a little
• 48:56
  Speaker 5: bit better than the Angels. I think the A's are
• 48:59
  Speaker 5: twenty third the Angels are twenty sixth. The A's do
• 49:02
  Speaker 5: have a worse bullpend Erra now, though they've struggled recently,
• 49:05
  Speaker 5: so I think they're not as bad as the Angels. Bullpen,
• 49:08
  Speaker 5: but I'm keeping them out of this equation.
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: Anyway.
• 49:11
  Speaker 5: A's have the number three offense. They're good offense. The
• 49:14
  Speaker 5: Angels are number sixteen. And we are talking about the
• 49:18
  Speaker 5: A's at home in Sacramento, though, where they don't really
• 49:20
  Speaker 5: have that much of a home advantage, as I pointed out,
• 49:23
  Speaker 5: but I think they have the advantage in this game.
• 49:26
  Speaker 5: We're gonna fatose Soriano here, although I know Soriano typically
• 49:29
  Speaker 5: is better on the road. Soriano, by the way, listen
• 49:32
  Speaker 5: as day to day, it looks like I don't know
• 49:36
  Speaker 5: what the deal is with him. It looks like he's
• 49:38
  Speaker 5: maybe hurt, but there's no real news about that, and
• 49:40
  Speaker 5: it looks like he's pitching on schedule.
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: He is still listed as the starter here.
• 49:45
  Speaker 5: Now I would keep an eye on it, though, So
• 49:47
  Speaker 5: I would, you know, what, if I was gonna do
• 49:52
  Speaker 5: this game, I would probably just specify that the A's
• 49:54
  Speaker 5: pitcher must start here. Gauge Jump, because I think if
• 49:57
  Speaker 5: Soriano's not gonna pitch, you're probably gonna get a bull
• 50:00
  Speaker 5: game out of Anaheim here, and that's probably not gonna
• 50:03
  Speaker 5: help Anaheim, right, So I think you should specify just
• 50:06
  Speaker 5: Jump must start and not care what Anaheim is gonna
• 50:09
  Speaker 5: do here, because whoever they put in there will probably
• 50:12
  Speaker 5: be even a downgrade from Soriano. But I'm actually fading
• 50:15
  Speaker 5: Soriano here anyway, assuming that it is going to be him,
• 50:19
  Speaker 5: even though he's got a two point seven to ninety array,
• 50:21
  Speaker 5: one point two to three whip, those are all good numbers. Obviously,
• 50:24
  Speaker 5: he's good on the road two point three to two
• 50:26
  Speaker 5: Roady Ray, and that's been the case the last two years.
• 50:29
  Speaker 5: He's been good on the road, pitched pretty well in
• 50:32
  Speaker 5: his last outing against Tampa Bay.
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: So why do I want to fade him here?
• 50:36
  Speaker 5: Well, he does have a fourteen to eleven strikeout walk
• 50:38
  Speaker 5: right here this month, which is not good. So he's
• 50:41
  Speaker 5: getting away with putting guys on base. He was walking
• 50:43
  Speaker 5: a lot of guys at the end of last month
• 50:47
  Speaker 5: as well. He was really good early in the season,
• 50:49
  Speaker 5: but he's obviously fallen off since then. He's not like
• 50:53
  Speaker 5: this elite pitcher like people were claiming early in the season.
• 50:57
  Speaker 5: And he faced some weak offenses in May as well
• 51:01
  Speaker 5: in there, but I mean he did face some strong
• 51:03
  Speaker 5: offenses too in a prol and May.
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: Anyway, he does have a low hit rate so that's good.
• 51:08
  Speaker 5: He doesn't allow a lot of fly balls, which should
• 51:11
  Speaker 5: play well in the a Stadium. But I'll show you
• 51:13
  Speaker 5: his starts in the stadium that he's made have not
• 51:16
  Speaker 5: really been that good. I mean, he has a really
• 51:18
  Speaker 5: high walk rate, so that's a huge problem, and he's
• 51:21
  Speaker 5: walking way too many guys, although his strike out rate
• 51:23
  Speaker 5: is good. I know you usually want to fade fly
• 51:26
  Speaker 5: ball pitchers in this stadium, like we did last night
• 51:28
  Speaker 5: with Savali, but I.
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: Think we can fade Soriano here.
• 51:31
  Speaker 5: And if you look at what he did in his
• 51:32
  Speaker 5: two starts against the A's last year on the road,
• 51:36
  Speaker 5: he had won in August, where he went five and
• 51:38
  Speaker 5: two thirds, allowed three home runs, fiven runs on eight hits,
• 51:43
  Speaker 5: did have a five to one strike out walk rationshio there,
• 51:45
  Speaker 5: but still obviously that wasn't a good start.
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: He was very.
• 51:50
  Speaker 5: Hit able in that game. And then he was a
• 51:51
  Speaker 5: little bit better in his other game in May against
• 51:54
  Speaker 5: the A's at the A's Stadium, but it was a
• 51:57
  Speaker 5: six inning performance.
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: He allowed three runs, it's not too.
• 52:01
  Speaker 5: Bad, but he had four walks and four strikeouts, so
• 52:04
  Speaker 5: he wasn't really that good in either outing. And then
• 52:07
  Speaker 5: if you look at his numbers against the A's. He
• 52:09
  Speaker 5: actually faced them four times last year and they've seen
• 52:12
  Speaker 5: a bunch of them, and they have hit him pretty well.
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: In ninety four at bats.
• 52:16
  Speaker 5: They have a two to seventy seven average, eight thirty
• 52:19
  Speaker 5: six ops against him, twenty five strikeouts, and ten walks.
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: So his numbers across the board.
• 52:24
  Speaker 5: Are not particularly good against the A's, even though the
• 52:27
  Speaker 5: A's are without Rooker right now, He's not included in
• 52:30
  Speaker 5: those numbers.
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: So I like the A's to get themselves on the
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: board here. Plus, the A's.
• 52:38
  Speaker 5: Were embarrassed yesterday they lost twelve to four to Pittsburgh.
• 52:41
  Speaker 5: Yesterday we got the win with that. I told you
• 52:44
  Speaker 5: saval socks. So I think we're getting a huge pitching
• 52:47
  Speaker 5: upgrade for the A's in this game. So we were
• 52:50
  Speaker 5: fading the A's last night. We're gonna take them tonight.
• 52:53
  Speaker 5: And yes, Anaheim did lose to Arizona yesterday, they got
• 52:56
  Speaker 5: kind of embarrassed eight to one. They could potentially I'm
• 53:00
  Speaker 5: in and be focused here too, but I think both
• 53:03
  Speaker 5: both teams are just in a refocused spot here and.
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: We're gonna back gauge jump.
• 53:07
  Speaker 5: I think he has the advantage here man, this will
• 53:08
  Speaker 5: be I think the third time we're backing him.
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: I'm going with what works. Jump is a young guy,
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: a lefty.
• 53:16
  Speaker 5: Hitters that haven't seen him before can have a difficult
• 53:20
  Speaker 5: time picking up his pitches, and that's been the case
• 53:22
  Speaker 5: so far. So that's also part of the reason I'm
• 53:24
  Speaker 5: doing this is Anaheim's never faced him before, so he
• 53:28
  Speaker 5: has a little bit of an extra advantage because Anaheim
• 53:31
  Speaker 5: has to figure him out. He's got a three point
• 53:33
  Speaker 5: zero ninety RA one point one to one whip so far.
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: That's good. I know he's been bad in this stadium though,
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: six point three homey RA, but if you dig into
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: it a little bit more, really it's not that bad.
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: His first start of his.
• 53:45
  Speaker 5: Career was here and he gave up four runs in
• 53:49
  Speaker 5: five innings to Seattle, but still had a five to
• 53:51
  Speaker 5: one strike out walk ratio.
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: That's not even that bad.
• 53:54
  Speaker 5: Then he pitched really well on the road against the
• 53:56
  Speaker 5: Cubs and Houston, and those are pretty good offenses and
• 53:59
  Speaker 5: he was good against both of them, and I believe
• 54:01
  Speaker 5: we won in both of those games. I'm pretty sure
• 54:03
  Speaker 5: we had a winner on the show. And then we
• 54:06
  Speaker 5: did not play him in his last game back at home,
• 54:08
  Speaker 5: but he pitched pretty well again against Colorado, had six strikeouts,
• 54:12
  Speaker 5: one walk, and held them to three runs of five innings,
• 54:15
  Speaker 5: so he's not pitching that badly here at home. He's
• 54:18
  Speaker 5: been somewhat efficient with his pitches. His overall numbers along
• 54:22
  Speaker 5: fewer than one hit per inning. His walk rate is low,
• 54:25
  Speaker 5: his strikeout rate is okay. He's not a huge strike
• 54:27
  Speaker 5: gut pitcher. He also doesn't appear to be an extreme
• 54:31
  Speaker 5: fly ball pitcher, at least so far, so that's a
• 54:33
  Speaker 5: decent sign as well that he's not allowing a ton
• 54:35
  Speaker 5: of fly balls here. And of course, like I said,
• 54:39
  Speaker 5: Anaheim's never faced him before, so I think jump has
• 54:42
  Speaker 5: the advantage here, so we're getting the jump on him
• 54:45
  Speaker 5: by playing him before people realize that he's good. The
• 54:48
  Speaker 5: A's are around minus one thirty something on the full
• 54:51
  Speaker 5: game price, but you're having to pay more for them
• 54:54
  Speaker 5: in the first five because the oddsmakers know that the
• 54:57
  Speaker 5: A's have a bigger edge in the starting pitching. Although
• 55:00
  Speaker 5: Soriano does get some respect in the market too. U
• 55:03
  Speaker 5: seventy one percent of tickets ninety one percent of the
• 55:05
  Speaker 5: cash on the A's, so it looks like the money
• 55:07
  Speaker 5: is coming in on their side. Total is high, and
• 55:10
  Speaker 5: the over is getting money at ten and a half.
• 55:13
  Speaker 5: If you're gonna go over, you should go full game
• 55:15
  Speaker 5: with it, because the bullpens might help you out there.
• 55:17
  Speaker 5: The bullpens are not good. But I'm focused on the
• 55:20
  Speaker 5: side here as we know. Let me just see if
• 55:22
  Speaker 5: I can get a better number on this here at all,
• 55:25
  Speaker 5: because I don't love laying the half run necessarily because
• 55:27
  Speaker 5: you need them to be winning after the first five.
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: Let me see.
• 55:32
  Speaker 5: It's either that or you lay minus one forty on
• 55:35
  Speaker 5: the money line here in the first five. I don't know, man,
• 55:40
  Speaker 5: I mean, do we want to have some really juicy
• 55:43
  Speaker 5: plays or should we just we'll just go with the
• 55:46
  Speaker 5: first five. There's actually a better number on this. You
• 55:49
  Speaker 5: can actually, you know what, you might be able to
• 55:52
  Speaker 5: wait a little bit and find a money line that's
• 55:54
  Speaker 5: in the minus one thirties.
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: But I'm seeing a minus half.
• 55:57
  Speaker 5: Run at even money now here, so I guess that's
• 56:01
  Speaker 5: what I'll put it in at. So we'll still take
• 56:04
  Speaker 5: the A's to have to have the lead after the
• 56:06
  Speaker 5: first five, but I think they could do it, So
• 56:08
  Speaker 5: let's do that, all right.
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna take a quick break.
• 56:12
  Speaker 5: I'll be right back, and then there's one w NBA game,
• 56:14
  Speaker 5: and then we do have soccer, which I don't believe
• 56:17
  Speaker 5: this This wager talk screen here, I don't think has
• 56:22
  Speaker 5: the World Cup on it unfortunately, so we can't gauge
• 56:25
  Speaker 5: the market on it. But I'm gonna give out a
• 56:26
  Speaker 5: World Cup play, you know, first World Cup play of
• 56:30
  Speaker 5: the year. I don't usually do it, but I think
• 56:33
  Speaker 5: we have a good situation in the World Cup, so
• 56:35
  Speaker 5: I am gonna give out a World Cup play.
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: I'll be back in a second.
• 57:42
  Speaker 5: Alright, WNBA, hold on, let me get rid of some
• 57:48
  Speaker 5: of these tabs here. I always have a lot of
• 57:50
  Speaker 5: tabs up for baseball. Man, it's a lot of stuff
• 57:53
  Speaker 5: to look at.
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: WNBA.
• 57:54
  Speaker 5: I don't know how they do this, because this we've
• 57:56
  Speaker 5: had all Cup action, like since the beginning of June.
• 58:00
  Speaker 5: They've been playing in the Commissioner's Cup play, but this
• 58:03
  Speaker 5: game is not part of Cup play.
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: I don't know why. This is a pretty competitive.
• 58:08
  Speaker 5: Matchup though, between Atlanta and Indiana. These are two of
• 58:12
  Speaker 5: the better teams in the league, and both teams are
• 58:16
  Speaker 5: coming off easily beating Toronto, so there's not a whole
• 58:18
  Speaker 5: lot to see here, and I think they have similar
• 58:20
  Speaker 5: rest here too.
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: So Indiana just beat Toronto.
• 58:23
  Speaker 5: They did put up one hundred and thirteen points in
• 58:25
  Speaker 5: that one, So a lot of times I will look
• 58:27
  Speaker 5: to fade a team that put up over one hundred
• 58:29
  Speaker 5: points in a game in the WNBA, because you feel
• 58:32
  Speaker 5: really satisfied when you do that, and you look too good.
• 58:34
  Speaker 5: You probably shot kind of an outlier percentage. I haven't
• 58:37
  Speaker 5: really looked at the box score because I'm not gonna
• 58:39
  Speaker 5: play this game, but that's what Indiana just did.
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: That was on Tuesday.
• 58:44
  Speaker 5: I think Atlanta might have an extra day of rest here.
• 58:46
  Speaker 5: Atlanta last played, I believe on Monday, but I could
• 58:49
  Speaker 5: be wrong about that.
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: No, they played on Sunday.
• 58:53
  Speaker 5: I was close, and Atlanta actually blew out Toronto as well,
• 58:56
  Speaker 5: but on the road, and also put up over one
• 58:59
  Speaker 5: hundred points in that game. So both teams are coming
• 59:02
  Speaker 5: off a similar performance. But Atlanta does have two days
• 59:04
  Speaker 5: extra rest here. They're traveling in from Toronto, so I
• 59:08
  Speaker 5: think a little bit of a rest edge for Atlanta here.
• 59:11
  Speaker 5: And we can look at one previous matchup that we
• 59:13
  Speaker 5: have where Indiana won earlier this season at home against Atlanta,
• 59:18
  Speaker 5: so in this same venue, So Atlanta might have a
• 59:22
  Speaker 5: little bit of a zigzag type of spot here if
• 59:24
  Speaker 5: you look at what happened in this game. Indiana won
• 59:26
  Speaker 5: the game by twelve, but when you dig into the
• 59:28
  Speaker 5: box score, there were some outliers here.
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: Indiana shot really well.
• 59:33
  Speaker 5: They shot forty eight percent from the field, Atlanta only
• 59:36
  Speaker 5: thirty four percent. Indiana made five more threes than Atlanta
• 59:40
  Speaker 5: didn't shot forty four percent from three, Atlanta only twenty
• 59:43
  Speaker 5: nine percent. So there is room for regression here, for
• 59:46
  Speaker 5: both teams to come back to some sort of mean here.
• 59:50
  Speaker 5: So that would have me looking towards Atlanta in tonight's
• 59:53
  Speaker 5: game as well. One thing that does worry me though,
• 59:55
  Speaker 5: is Atlanta had way more free throws in the game.
• 59:58
  Speaker 5: There were plus seven from the free throw line if
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 5: you're plus seven from the free throw line, and they
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 5: went to the line way more. They went to the
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 5: line nine more times. When you do that and you
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 5: still lose, that's not a good sign. But the shooting
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 5: percentages all look like they're kind of outliers. That indicate
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 5: more towards Atlanta being a lot closer in this game
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 5: than what.
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: This game looked like. Indiana did win the rebounding battle though,
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: and they were winning most of the game. They were
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: the better team in the game.
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 5: They are still the better team, I think, but they're
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 5: not favored by much. Indiana was favored by one and
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 5: a half in that game. In the line in this
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 5: game is about the same. In fact, actually it's flipped
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 5: to Atlanta being the favorite, actually at about one one
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 5: and a half.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: I don't know about that move.
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 5: I mean, I think Indiana should probably be still favored
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 5: here at home. I think these teams are pretty close
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 5: in how good they are. They both think have the
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 5: same record now in the season. But I will lean
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 5: to Atlanta here though it's not gonna make my card,
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 5: but Indiana ninety two percent of the tickets and cash.
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 5: It looks like Indiana's pretty public here Atlanta. The fact
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 5: that they flipped to the favorite against where the public is.
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 5: I think the zigzag components to this mostly line up
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 5: towards the shooting percentages coming back to some sort of mean.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 5: So I would prefer Atlanta here. Plus, they do have
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 5: a rest advantage. You either have to like lay one
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 5: or you might be able to find a money line.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 5: Money line Atlanta might be the.
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: Way to do this.
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 5: So that's the way that I would look at that game.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 5: A's full game money line. I don't want to do
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 5: that because I don't want the a's bullpen. Dude, I
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 5: don't that bullpen sucks.
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: Pete, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out, dirty sock.
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: What's up? Thanks for hanging out? All right?
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 5: World Cup, we start getting into some interesting situations that
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 5: we can look at here in the World Cup. Sink
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 5: our teeth into my play is gonna be in one
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 5: of these afternoon games here, not the first one. All
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 5: these games are on Fox or Fox Sports won whatever
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 5: and Telemundo or whatever the hell. Now this is interesting
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 5: because what you have to look at is you have
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 5: to look at the travel situation for these teams. You
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 5: have to look at There's a whole lot of things
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 5: you have to look at here. So the first game
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 5: up is Czech Republic or Chechia and South Africa. These
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 5: two teams both played in Mexico in their first game,
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 5: and I believe they both played on the same day.
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 5: Although this is I hate how ESPN sets this up
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 5: because I want to have like this easy overview. I
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 5: can see, oh they play, you know, they played on
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 5: this date and this is where they played, you know
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 5: what I mean. But you can't really see that, so like, okay,
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 5: you can see the date they played on Thursday.
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: Yes, so they played a week ago.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 5: I don't think it really matters though, I mean, these Wow,
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 5: the World Cup haven't gone on.
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: For a week.
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 5: It doesn't feel like it, does it. It's gone on
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 5: for a week already.
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: Yeah.
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 5: So these teams both played on the same day, and
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 5: they both played in Mexico, so both teams have the
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 5: same travel spot. They're both traveling up to Atlanta here. Now,
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 5: the Czech Republic had a close match against South Korea
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 5: and they lost to South Korea. Czech Republic is a
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 5: very very slight favorite in that game. They were an
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 5: underdog on the on the three way line, They were
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 5: an underdog to win on the three way line, but
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 5: they were the slight odds.
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: On favorite, if you know what I mean.
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 5: South Africa lost to a much better Mexico team, But
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 5: Czech Republic is the better team here, which is why
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 5: they're favored. They might just won twenty five or so
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 5: on the three way line here. Both teams are going
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 5: to be motivated. Both teams have the same travel spot here.
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: Both teams need to pick up a win here man
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: because both teams don't have any points on the board
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: so far. They're both coming off losses.
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 5: But I think when you have a situation like that,
• 1:03:43
  Speaker 5: probably the better team is the way that you want
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 5: to look, and that is the Czech Republic. So I
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 5: think that's probably the way I would look here is
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 5: for the Czech Republic to win this game. I think
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 5: they're gonna definitely be motivated to do so. South Africa,
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 5: I think is the South Africa is the worst team
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 5: in this group. So I don't think South Africa makes
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 5: it out of the group stage. The other three teams
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 5: all have chances to make it out of the group stage.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 5: Of of course, one of the team that comes in
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 5: third does have a chance to advance. So that's the
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 5: way that I look at that. The next game up
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 5: is going to be my play. And people are not
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 5: gonna like this because it's a juicy favorite. I don't
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 5: really see a better way to play this, Like I
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 5: don't want to like lay you know, a minus one
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 5: and a half goals or something in a game like
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 5: this when I'm playing a favorite, because soccer you have
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 5: so few goals scored, it's ridiculous to do so. So
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 5: we're gonna play Switzerland on the money line here at
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 5: minus one point eighty. I like this play a lot,
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 5: though I think Switzerland is going to win. They're right
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 5: around that price on the This is on the three
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 5: way line, so if this is a draw, the BET's
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 5: gonna lose.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: You need Switzerland to win, but I think they're going to.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 5: And if you look at what happened in the previous
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 5: matchups and you look at the travel spot here, there
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 5: are so many things that favorite Switzerland here. This is
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 5: against Bosnia Herzegovina. Bosnia Herzegovina would not even be in
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 5: the World Cup if it weren't for winning against Italy
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 5: on penalty shots in the tournament thing after, because both teams.
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: Failed to qualify for the World Cup.
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 5: Bosnia and Italy, I mean both failed to qualify for
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 5: the World Cup in the qualifying like group stuff, so
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 5: they both went into a tournament where the teams that
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 5: win those small tournaments still get into the World Cup,
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 5: and Bosnia somehow upset Italy on penalty shots to get
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 5: into this thing. So if they didn't do that, they
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 5: wouldn't even be here. So they're one of the last
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 5: teams to get into the World Cup. Switzerland is a
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 5: better team, as you can see, because they're favored here.
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 5: This game is in Inglewood, California, and that's going to
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 5: favor Switzerland because guess where they played in their last game.
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 5: They played in Santa Clara, California, so and that was
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 5: against Cutter. So already we're gonna look at a travel
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 5: advantage here because Switzerland is staying in California, so they're
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 5: not changing time zones.
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: They're staying in California.
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 5: A though I know they're going from the Bay Area
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 5: down to southern California, but that's still gonna be way
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 5: easier and easier for the better team to do that.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 5: That's gonna be way easier than what it is than
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 5: the travel spot for Bosnia and Herzegovina because they are
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 5: traveling from Toronto. They just had a draw with Canada
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 5: in Toronto on Friday, so both teams I think played
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 5: on Friday, and now Bosnia is having to go all
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 5: the way to the Pacific time zone for this, so
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 5: I think the travel spot sets up way better. Although
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 5: I know both teams have basically a week to get
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 5: ready for this. But okay, if if the travel advantage
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 5: isn't enough for you for Switzerland, here, look at what
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 5: these teams did in their matches. Bossi Herzegovina played Canada Canada.
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 5: I mean, I'm pretty sure that Canada had lost every
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 5: single World Cup match in their history until they had
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 5: a draw with Bosnia Herzegovina here. So Canada is not
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 5: a great opponent, like Switzerland is better than Canada and
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 5: Bosia Zegovina.
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: Canada was minus one fifteen in that game.
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 5: But the fact that Bosnia was able to draw them,
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 5: I think that was a big deal for Bosnia because
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 5: they barely got into the World Cup and now they
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 5: go to Canada, they draw Canada, and by the way,
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 5: Bosnia was winning most of that match one nothing. Canada
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 5: kind of took their sales out, So I think that's
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 5: also a negative for Bosnia because they looked like they
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 5: were actually gonna win against Canada and pick up three
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 5: points there against Canada in Canada, but instead Canada scored
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 5: at the seventy eight minute mark to cause the game
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 5: to be a draw. So that again that can kind
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 5: of like take the wind out of your sales, of
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 5: your Bosnia because you thought you were gonna get a win,
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 5: very unexpectedly. Instead you got a draw. So Bosia is
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 5: coming off playing really well as an underdog here, unexpected
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 5: performance from And if you look at the box score here.
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 5: I like these ESPN Soccer box scores because they could
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 5: tell you, like the expected goals here Canada one point
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 5: two to three, Bosnia point ninety six. So yes, they're
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 5: both around one goal. So the expected goals were kind
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 5: of right around what actually happened. But Canada was clearly
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 5: the better team in the game. They had sixty one
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 5: percent of the possession, they had more shots on goal,
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 5: a couple more chances it looks like here, So it
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 5: was a little bit misleading that this game wound up
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 5: being a draw. Canada could have won based on the
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 5: statistics here. So I don't like any of that for Bosnia.
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 5: But then where we really really get to fade what
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 5: happened in the last matches. Look at what Switzerland did
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 5: in their last game. This was in Santa Clara. Like
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 5: I said, Switzerland, Switzerland played cutter and Switzerland was a
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 5: huge favorite in this game. Switzerland was or this match,
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 5: we're let me see, we're the odds. They usually ESPN
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 5: usually puts the odds widget up here somewhere. I don't
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 5: see the odds here, but I'm pretty sure Switzerland was.
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 5: It's in the game cast, I might say. Yeah, Switzerland
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 5: was minus five twenty five when this game went off
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 5: on the on the three way line. So that's how
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 5: big of an upset this was for Cutter to make
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 5: the draw here.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: And if you saw what happened in this game, Switzerland
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: was winning.
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 5: The whole game one to nothing, although they got that
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 5: goal on a penalty kick. But then the way Cutter
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 5: drew this game was Switzerland gave them the goal on an.
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: Own goal in extra time.
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 5: It was at ninety plus four minutes in extra time,
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 5: so Switzerland the game was over. Switzerland was gonna win
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 5: the game as expected, and they put an own goal
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 5: in so Cutter didn't even earn their own goal.
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: Absolutely ridiculous. That's how Switzerland wound up drawing against Cutter.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 5: So you have the better team that did something really
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 5: stupid at the end of a game that they like
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 5: definitely should have. Yeah, I think you want to be
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 5: on that team, you know what I mean. It's the
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 5: way that I handicap other sports too. You have a
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 5: big favorite that didn't play.
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: Up to expectations at least on the final score, you're
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: gonna get that team.
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 5: Heavily motivated as and as the better team in the
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 5: next game. Yeah, that's what I like to see. Meanwhile,
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 5: Bosny as a team is just kind of you know,
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 5: they didn't really expect to be here, and they overperformed
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 5: in game one and they're having to travel. So I
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 5: think you're gonna get a way better effort out of Switzerland.
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: Oh and by the way, if you look at the.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 5: Box score here, look at look at the expected goals
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 5: in this game compared to what the final score was
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 5: Cutter point six expected goals.
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: Switzerland three point two.
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 5: Switzerland dominated possession sixty eight percent, they had four more
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 5: shots on goal, and they had all the big chances
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 5: in the entire game, and yet they had a one
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 5: to one draw, even though the expected score in this
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 5: game would have been basically three not thing Switzerland or
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 5: something or along those lines, or I guess three to
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 5: one if you want to round it up, but not
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 5: really because that was an own goal for Codners. So
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 5: I mean, you know, well they might have had other chances.
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 5: It looks like they really had very few chances though,
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 5: So this is a massive, massive outlier here, This is
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 5: a hugely misleading result. So hopefully I explain that well enough,
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 5: We're gonna go with Switzerland on the money line minus
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 5: one eighty or so here. Again, I know it is juicy,
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 5: but this is you know, it's soccer. This is the
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 5: way you gotta do it, man, when you're playing favorites
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 5: like this. I know, I like to boast about how
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 5: you know, when I show my record here, I like
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 5: to boast that none of these favorites are more than
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 5: like minus one forty.
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: But soccer is a different animal.
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 5: I don't think there's a way to get the favorite
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 5: price down into that range. Like the what you could do,
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 5: like you can lay one and a half goals at
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 5: like plus one fifty something or plus one sixty something.
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 5: I would never want to do that because winning by
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 5: multiple goals in soccer is a massive ask. So Switzerland,
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 5: I mean, if any game is gonna have some like
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 5: that happened, it could be this game though, Switzerland, So
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 5: you know, but I'll just take them on the money line.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 5: That's the way to do it, all right, And then
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 5: I mean the next game up is the big favorite
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 5: of the day, though Canada is favored against that Cutter team,
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 5: And yeah, I would lean to Canada in this game,
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 5: but I don't know if there's a great way to
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 5: approach this game because their minus three forty. So I mean,
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 5: another way that you could do this is to go
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 5: team total over if you want to do it that way,
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 5: like Switzerland. I believe their team total is like one
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 5: and a half, so you could go or I mean,
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 5: you could go over one and a half goals.
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: You need him to.
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 5: Score two goals though, which is a bit of an
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 5: ask in soccer. But I think, you know, if you
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 5: want to go that way, I wouldn't disagree with it
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 5: for Switzerland. That's probably also the approach I would take
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 5: with Canada here. But I don't like Canada as much
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 5: because Canada just says no like as a country, they
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 5: just don't have any World Cup history here. Now Canada
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 5: is playing in Canada here, but they're going all the
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 5: way to Vancouver, So Canada is going from Toronto to Vancouver,
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 5: so they're traveling to the Pacific coast, whereas Cutter is
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 5: actually staying on the Pacific coast. So Cutter actually kind
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 5: of has a little bit of a travel edge here,
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 5: and that Cutter played in Santa Clara. Now they're just
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 5: going up to Vancouver, so Canada actually has a little
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 5: bit worse travel spot here. But I do still think
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 5: Canada wins this game though, I mean, Canada they had
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 5: a scare basically against Bosnia. They didn't play well against
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 5: Bosnia in a game that Canada should have won against
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 5: an inferior team. Cutter is worse than Bosnia though, and
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 5: Cutter is coming off that ridiculous outlier draw against Switzerland. Unbelievable,
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 5: they got a draw there. So yeah, I think Canada
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 5: should win this even though I don't even think Canada
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 5: is a particularly good team. Cutter is the weakest team
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 5: in this region. This whole region is.
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: Gross, dude.
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 5: Like, I think Switzerland is probably the best team in it.
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 5: I mean the osmakers are telling you they are, but whatever,
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 5: Switzerland needs to put a win on the board, though,
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 5: I mean Canada kind of needs to as well though,
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 5: So I think you'll see motivated teams here, motivated efforts.
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 5: But you know, although Bosnia already picked up a point
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 5: with their draw though, and that's probably more than they
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 5: expected in that first game.
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: All right, dirty sack, what's up? You brought in a
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: new guy named Matt? All right?
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 5: Hell yah, what's up Matt? My pirates play? Hell yeah,
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 5: I'm glad I got the easy win on that.
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: Atlanta.
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 5: What you're talking about the Braves there's a tropical storm.
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 5: Or you're talking about the South Africa and Czech Republic game. Well, no, no,
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 5: that game is not gonna be postponed because that game's
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 5: in a in a dome. Uh South Africa and Czech Republic,
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 5: So that game is indoors, I'm pretty sure.
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: But the that's in the Falcon Stadium.
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 5: But you're talking about the Braves, then, uh so the
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 5: Braves game might be postponed.
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: I guess. Uh so, all right, that's something to keep
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: an eye on.
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 5: Yes, correct, the Braves game, all right, and then everybody
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 5: stays safe in that area. And then we have Mexico
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 5: and South Korea. This is a pretty competitive matchup on
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 5: Mexico's plus one oh five on the three way line.
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 5: And because it's a Mexico game, they're getting to play
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 5: all their group round, all their group stage games in Mexico,
• 1:15:23
  Speaker 5: which is kind of unfair really, although I think Mexico
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 5: is the best team in this grouping that they're in,
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 5: which is these two teams, then the Czech republican South Africa.
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 5: Like I said, South Korea got a nice win in
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 5: their first match, in a close match against Czech Republic,
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 5: South Korea want up with a two to one win there.
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 5: Mexico had an easy win against South Africa. So Mexico is,
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 5: you know, possibly somewhat coasting a little bit here. But
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 5: both of these teams I think are gonna show up though,
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 5: because both teams got to win. Mexico probably wants to
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 5: like hold serve and continue to be leading the group here. Right,
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 5: So Mexico's got three points already, South Korea's got three
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 5: points already. Both teams will advance out of the group
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 5: stage at this point. I would have to believe, though,
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 5: because the other two teams in the group have zero
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 5: points right now. Although we'll see, I mean, Czech Republic
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 5: I think will beat South Africa, so I think they
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 5: will probably get their three points in today's match, but
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 5: we will say, yeah, I mean, I probably leaned slightly
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 5: towards Mexico getting this win here.
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: They had a much easier game.
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 5: But you can't really gauge anything from that, like they
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 5: beat South Africa, Like who really cares? Both teams have
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 5: a similar travel spot because they're both traveling within Mexico.
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: Although I know Mexico is huge.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 5: But I think all the games have been playing in Guadalajara,
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 5: but I'm not entirely sure about that. But whatever, that's
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 5: kind of my breakdown there. That's gonna do it, man.
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 5: I think I don't know why my screen is doing
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 5: this again, but hold on, no, that's not what I wanted.
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 5: What what is this doing there? It is streamyard, Man, streamyard,
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 5: that's gonna do it.
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 1: My plays for the day, here are.
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 5: A's in the first five on the run line in baseball.
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 5: Oh and I added late Kansas City money line first five.
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 5: That's the Royals. So hopefully we can get those pitching
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 5: matchups to get us there in those and then we're
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 5: gonna go jump into World Cup action. It takes Switzerland
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 5: on the money line. Those are my plays today. That's
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 5: gonna do it. Learn it Toad on Twitter, Learn it
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 5: Tode on Instagram. Check me out at all those places,
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 5: like subscribe to the channel here, keep bringing more people in.
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 5: Listen on audio, Apple, Spotify, speaker that all helps me out.
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 5: Covered in Yuca is my ukulele channel on YouTube, so
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 5: you can check that out as well. Patreon dot com
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 5: Learn It Tone. I gotta get back to the UK stuff.
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 5: But this lingering illness or whatever I mean, it's been.
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 5: I mean the actual illness was only a couple of days,
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 5: but all this like stuff that happens afterwards is just
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 5: continuing to mess with me. So I need to get better.
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 5: I'm hydrating. I just don't know what's going on here, man.
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 5: But yes, Pagroun dot com, slash learn to Toe, there's
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 5: some bonus yuke stuff there. Loser Cast. We did two
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 5: episodes this week Monday Tuesday.
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: Check that out.
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 5: The Giants g Spot podcast will be back at some point.
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 5: And I was on a sports show last night that
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 5: I forget the name of, and it's going to be released. Well,
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 5: we recorded last night. The show is actually gonna be
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 5: released tonight, but it's gonna be after. You know, some
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 5: of the games that I already talked about on the
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 5: show though, but a lot of it wasn't like giving
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 5: out specific picks or whatever. I think the show is
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 5: called The Pick is In. But if you follow me
• 1:18:36
  Speaker 5: on Twitter, you'll see. I think I'm gonna retweet it
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 5: once one of the guys tweets it out. So I
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 5: had fun on that show last night. So you guys
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 5: could check that out if if you can find them
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 5: on let me find them right now, actually on YouTube,
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 5: because I have not subscribed to them yet on YouTube.
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: Let me find them. I think it's called the Pick
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: is In. Let me see. It might be hard to find.
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: That's kind of a name.
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 5: It's not easy to search for, which is why I
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 5: like the Toadstool sports name. Yeah, it's really hard to
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 5: find the pick the Pick is In. If that's their name,
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 5: I don't know. Once they once they tweeted it out,
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 5: then I might find it. But yeah, I apologize to
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 5: those guys, but hey, it's not my fault.
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: That their se O isn't up to snuff. Here.
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 5: Oh no, I found it here. It is the Pick
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 5: is In. It's called the Pick is In podcast.
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: Yeah. Uh so I was on that show last night,
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: so that'll be something. They got some pretty cool graphics here.
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: I like their graphics.
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 5: They need more subscribers, man, so you guys can check
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 5: that show out as well. H I just subscribe to
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 5: them on YouTube. All right, that that is gonna do it? Man, Yeah,
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 5: I think that's it. Let's get some wins today.
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: Peace.
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 5: Eat some Swiss cheese, man, we'll eat some Swiss cheese.
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 5: Some what other Swiss jees are there out there? It's
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 5: a Bardi Swiss as well. I feel like it is.
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 5: Maybe I'm wrong about that, but we'll eat some Swiss
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 5: sheeese today in honor of Switzer throw and hopefully they
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 5: get there in this afternoon game we'll find out.
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: Yes, thank you everybody. Peace. But don't you go quiet.
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 3: Don't you fade from the floor. Your name steal mean
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 3: something to somebody for show. Put the glass down, baby,
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 3: look at me.
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 4: No hold on, hold on nothing, no hold on, hold on.
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: Let me for.
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 2: That bites but it don't get the crown.
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on, stay with me now, h