Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 11/26/25
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hmm, all system's going clear the left of.
- 0:40Speaker 2: What is going on? Everyone?
- 0:42Speaker 3: We're back for a Wednesday edition of the NBA Show.
- 0:46Speaker 3: Got a really fun slate tonight, NBA Cup edition with
- 0:48Speaker 3: some really big games. But before I jump into that,
- 0:51Speaker 3: I want to bring my guy in, Matt. Matt, how
- 0:52Speaker 3: are you doing today? Any fun Thanksgiving plans ahead?
- 0:56Speaker 4: Just normal family stuff?
- 0:58Speaker 5: Yeah, excited for always thanks Giving as alway fun spending
- 1:00Speaker 5: it with family and stuff. I will say though we
- 1:02Speaker 5: talked a little bit before, but I did I forgot
- 1:06Speaker 5: to mention that, Thank goodness, Cleveland is not on this slate,
- 1:09Speaker 5: so we do not have to talk about Evan Mobley
- 1:11Speaker 5: and you do not have to berate me about what
- 1:13Speaker 5: a beta he is.
- 1:15Speaker 3: I wasn't the one that called him a bed of
- 1:17Speaker 3: there's some other people in shed.
- 1:18Speaker 4: I'm just I think that was me and I still
- 1:20Speaker 4: play him.
- 1:21Speaker 3: Yeah, that's your guy, it's your team. You're allowed to
- 1:23Speaker 3: talk shit on your own players. I do it all
- 1:25Speaker 3: the time with every sports team that I have. But yeah,
- 1:28Speaker 3: just somebody that we got to keep an eye because
- 1:30Speaker 3: I think that, like I said it yesterday or whatever
- 1:32Speaker 3: it was, that's slight that he was pretty Chalky against Toronto,
- 1:34Speaker 3: Like he's just slightly overvalued amongst DFS players.
- 1:38Speaker 2: I think that we're kind of like.
- 1:39Speaker 3: All waiting for him to become the player that he
- 1:42Speaker 3: can be and it's just not really happening right now.
- 1:45Speaker 5: I think he might be slightly overvalued amongst all like
- 1:47Speaker 5: NBA fan savants in general. His defense is amazing, but
- 1:52Speaker 5: I'm with you on I'm like, maybe that leap might
- 1:55Speaker 5: never come and that's is what it is.
- 1:57Speaker 3: Yeah, he's gonna be like like justin Herbert call him
- 2:00Speaker 3: the what if man, say like what could happen if
- 2:03Speaker 3: he actually reached his potential? But Yea'll say, what's up?
- 2:05Speaker 3: Some people in Chad got some new faces in here.
- 2:07Speaker 3: I see both start up top Jordan Newan's how's it going?
- 2:09Speaker 2: Man?
- 2:09Speaker 3: Love the dv PO Porey putting out every morning. I
- 2:12Speaker 3: appreciate that little neck got the uh got a game
- 2:14Speaker 3: in an hour and he's got showdown stuff up for that.
- 2:16Speaker 3: So appreciate you getting that up as well. Our guy
- 2:19Speaker 3: Remo Brandy Cone. I believe that's kid lightning Marquee Sports.
- 2:23Speaker 2: Long leave. How's it going? Happy Turkey Day? Coach?
- 2:25Speaker 3: Sav Sean not playing tonight you're missing out on a
- 2:28Speaker 3: really good slate. But don't blame me if you're not playing
- 2:31Speaker 3: bob OsO, mister Mike's Daddy, Vegeta, love the name, love
- 2:35Speaker 3: some DBZ. Got Carlow little neck in there again news
- 2:40Speaker 3: and then William all right, so I'll break down some
- 2:43Speaker 3: uh some scenarios. I got my dog barking the windows,
- 2:46Speaker 3: so hopefully nobody can hear that. But I'm gonna close
- 2:48Speaker 3: that in a second. Let me do that right now.
- 2:50Speaker 3: If you want to touch on some NBA Cup stuff
- 2:53Speaker 3: and how that differs for you in terms of building
- 2:55Speaker 3: lineups and if you kind of correlate a little bit
- 2:57Speaker 3: more in those instances.
- 3:00Speaker 5: Yeah, so I think that makes sense to do so,
- 3:02Speaker 5: correlate a little bit more just because the games mean
- 3:04Speaker 5: a little bit more. It's hard for me to like
- 3:08Speaker 5: put that much stock into the NBA Cup stuff personally,
- 3:11Speaker 5: just because while I do think a lot of teams
- 3:13Speaker 5: and a lot of players care, I do also think
- 3:16Speaker 5: that some teams and some players don't care, and it's
- 3:18Speaker 5: hard to find like that middle ground, so I mostly.
- 3:21Speaker 4: Play it as standard.
- 3:24Speaker 5: That said, I think the correlation approach makes a lot
- 3:26Speaker 5: of sense just because the games, again, do mean a
- 3:28Speaker 5: little bit more, But what I was saying was like
- 3:30Speaker 5: for me, like, I recognize that for most teams and
- 3:35Speaker 5: players it does mean a little bit more, but I
- 3:37Speaker 5: also believe that for some to a lot of players,
- 3:40Speaker 5: it doesn't mean anything really, So it's hard for me
- 3:43Speaker 5: to weigh at all that much on any specific DFS slate.
- 3:46Speaker 4: I think the correlation approach makes sense.
- 3:48Speaker 3: Though, Yeah, I think I might have kind of been
- 3:52Speaker 3: baring myself a little bit by overstating the importance of
- 3:55Speaker 3: these games, just because, like you said, you don't really know,
- 3:58Speaker 3: Like there are some coach speak stuff, like players speak
- 4:00Speaker 3: stuff that what they say it is important, but it's
- 4:03Speaker 3: kind of hard to sparse through all the information to
- 4:05Speaker 3: find the teams that actually care, right. I do think
- 4:08Speaker 3: that now, with like the it's the NBA Cup like
- 4:11Speaker 3: group stages kind of coming to a close, we do
- 4:13Speaker 3: have some pretty clear spots that were teams like, if
- 4:16Speaker 3: they did care, they're gonna play play hard. I think
- 4:20Speaker 3: yesterday is kind of the perfect example, because that Hawks
- 4:22Speaker 3: and Wizards game really meant nothing to either team, and
- 4:27Speaker 3: like I guess the Hawks had an outside chance to
- 4:29Speaker 3: win if they blew out the Wizards, but it just
- 4:32Speaker 3: made more sense for Washington to kind of get up
- 4:34Speaker 3: for that game, just as a team that's not really
- 4:37Speaker 3: playing that well and Atlanta Di don'erally have much to
- 4:39Speaker 3: play for, so kind of kind of a weird situation.
- 4:42Speaker 3: But I did want to talk through some of the
- 4:45Speaker 3: situations tonight before we break it down game by game,
- 4:48Speaker 3: just some games that do have importance this or teams
- 4:51Speaker 3: that are looking to win in their groups. So Toronto's
- 4:55Speaker 3: already locked up their group, but they could get close
- 4:58Speaker 3: to getting home court advantage throughout the next group of state,
- 5:02Speaker 3: next group of games with a win here. They don't
- 5:05Speaker 3: really need to win in a big way. It's more
- 5:06Speaker 3: so just getting a win because they're three to zero.
- 5:08Speaker 3: They're probably be one of the few teams in the
- 5:10Speaker 3: groups that will be undefeated, so just a win would
- 5:13Speaker 3: be enough for them, But they could they are double
- 5:15Speaker 3: digit favorites. I think India could keep the game closer.
- 5:17Speaker 3: Both talk about that when we get there. It seems
- 5:20Speaker 3: like the Blazers are probably the team that's most incentivized
- 5:22Speaker 3: to win tonight. Their group is one of the toughest
- 5:25Speaker 3: in out of all the groups in the in the
- 5:28Speaker 3: NBA Cup, so a win here in a close game,
- 5:31Speaker 3: close spread versus the Spurs would go a long way.
- 5:33Speaker 3: I think that they're probably the team that could tighten
- 5:36Speaker 3: up the rotation the most Detroit they play in an hour,
- 5:40Speaker 3: so I don't really talk about them for DFS, but
- 5:42Speaker 3: they do need to win and need to put up
- 5:43Speaker 3: a big score to catch the Magic. So if you
- 5:45Speaker 3: were playing that game, keep that in mind. The biggest
- 5:48Speaker 3: game environment of the night is the Bucks in the Heat.
- 5:51Speaker 3: I think a win for either of these teams and
- 5:53Speaker 3: a loss by the Knicks would mean whichever team wins
- 5:56Speaker 3: would move on. But either way, both the teams are
- 5:59Speaker 3: gonna need to win. And you see that Jannis is back.
- 6:01Speaker 3: He is a guy that does care a lot about
- 6:02Speaker 3: the NBA Cup. I think Darwin Ham, he's assistant coach
- 6:05Speaker 3: for the Bucks now is undefeated in the NBA Cup,
- 6:07Speaker 3: which is surprising he's an NBA NBA Cup Hall of
- 6:11Speaker 3: Fame coach. But that game is definitely one that matters
- 6:14Speaker 3: the most. And then Minnesota and Okay see another really
- 6:18Speaker 3: big game. Minnesota needs to win and win in a
- 6:21Speaker 3: pretty big way, which you're probably not gonna do against Okace.
- 6:24Speaker 3: So just playing the game close and tight and getting
- 6:26Speaker 3: a win would be really good for their standings in
- 6:30Speaker 3: the Cup, and then the Suns as well, they're in
- 6:32Speaker 3: that same group they are playing. The Kings projected to
- 6:35Speaker 3: win that game favored by four and a half, so
- 6:37Speaker 3: a big win for them would help them in that
- 6:40Speaker 3: NBA Cup standing, especially if okayc does lose tonight.
- 6:44Speaker 2: So if that pretty much covers it all.
- 6:45Speaker 3: If you have anything else you want to add before
- 6:47Speaker 3: we break it down to game by game.
- 6:49Speaker 5: No, I think that was a pretty good summary of
- 6:51Speaker 5: it all. Like I think it's a little bit hard
- 6:53Speaker 5: to sparks out like where exactly to know who cares
- 6:57Speaker 5: and stuff, But I think knowing the impact to the
- 7:00Speaker 5: games makes a lot of sense.
- 7:02Speaker 3: Yeah, for sure, there's definitely a chance that they could
- 7:06Speaker 3: lose to Charlotte because I think Charlotte's getting healthier. They're
- 7:08Speaker 3: only five six, six and a half point favorites in
- 7:13Speaker 3: this one, so Vegas projecting to be closer. I think
- 7:16Speaker 3: they do have a chance to move up. They're one
- 7:18Speaker 3: and one right now, they're kind of they have a
- 7:20Speaker 3: pretty outside shot to make it.
- 7:21Speaker 2: They are.
- 7:22Speaker 3: They have a minus two point differential, so they need
- 7:24Speaker 3: to catch Miami, who is plus forty six and Miami
- 7:27Speaker 3: and the Bucks play tonight, so a win by Miami
- 7:31Speaker 3: would all but bury the Knicks. I think, I think
- 7:34Speaker 3: that the wild card is probably going to be one
- 7:36Speaker 3: of the Magic or Pistons. If I had to guess,
- 7:38Speaker 3: maybe Cleveland six in there. But yeah, the Knicks kind
- 7:41Speaker 3: of have an outside shot of making it out of
- 7:43Speaker 3: there or into the wild card game. So not really
- 7:46Speaker 3: too much there, all right, That should cover it. Spend
- 7:49Speaker 3: enough time talking about that. Let's go into the game
- 7:51Speaker 3: by game stuff. First game is that nixt game Knicks
- 7:55Speaker 3: heading to Charlotte. Both teams getting a little bit healthier
- 7:58Speaker 3: right now. Mitchell Robinson's going to be back for the Knicks,
- 8:00Speaker 3: and then Brandon Miller will be playing his second game
- 8:02Speaker 3: back for Charlotte. Defensively, not really too much to go
- 8:08Speaker 3: through in this one. The Hornet's given up a good
- 8:09Speaker 3: amount of room scoring three point and three pointers this season,
- 8:12Speaker 3: but they're also bottom five and pick and roll, so
- 8:14Speaker 3: it's an okay spot for Kat and Brunson. They've been
- 8:17Speaker 3: really good at limiting offensive rebounds this season, which has
- 8:19Speaker 3: been a really big strength for the Knicks this season,
- 8:22Speaker 3: with mainly Mitchell Robinson kind of soaking up a lot
- 8:25Speaker 3: of that there, and then the Knicks are a team
- 8:27Speaker 3: that you kind of want to attack with off ball scorers.
- 8:29Speaker 3: They're a lot of the third most catch and shoot
- 8:30Speaker 3: points per game. Knicks are doing a really good job
- 8:33Speaker 3: taking away the Hornet's main strength, which is their pick
- 8:36Speaker 3: and roll offense. Knicks are top eight in that defensively
- 8:39Speaker 3: this season. I don't really have too much that I
- 8:43Speaker 3: want to get to in this game. I would say
- 8:44Speaker 3: the Charlotte side, you can honestly make the case for
- 8:46Speaker 3: being a full X out. It's a really good spot
- 8:48Speaker 3: for Kank Nipple. But adding in another higher usage guy
- 8:51Speaker 3: like Brandon Miller, and you have to consider that he's
- 8:54Speaker 3: almost seven K as the third, maybe even fourth option
- 8:58Speaker 3: on offense at times is a pretty tough spot for
- 9:01Speaker 3: me to get to. I guess kalch Brandner at four
- 9:03Speaker 3: point two K isn't played because he is cheap, But
- 9:05Speaker 3: I think that center is quite loaded tonight, So I
- 9:07Speaker 3: don't really know if I want to wiste up a
- 9:09Speaker 3: roster spot on Charlotte. I honestly am considering just fully
- 9:11Speaker 3: xing them out and then moving on. But the Nick side,
- 9:14Speaker 3: I think you could make the case for three guys
- 9:16Speaker 3: in particular, I think Kat and Brunton are pretty decent
- 9:19Speaker 3: spend ups tonight. The downside for Kat for me is
- 9:22Speaker 3: that adding in Mitchell Robinson could take away the rebounding
- 9:25Speaker 3: upside we've been getting from him, So he's gonna need
- 9:27Speaker 3: to be really efficient from a scoring perspective, definitely could.
- 9:31Speaker 3: It's a good matchup for him. And then that's kind
- 9:33Speaker 3: of the same thing for Brunton. He's just the role
- 9:35Speaker 3: since returning from the Inkinry has not been as good
- 9:38Speaker 3: as we've been accustomed seeing from him, which has kind
- 9:40Speaker 3: of been a theme all season long for them. But
- 9:42Speaker 3: it is a really good matchup, just with the way
- 9:44Speaker 3: that the Horns give up a ton of pick and
- 9:45Speaker 3: roll scoring. And then for Josh Hart, I would say
- 9:47Speaker 3: that he's got a very appealing minutes upside, and we
- 9:50Speaker 3: know that he does have triple double upside when he
- 9:52Speaker 3: plays a lot of minutes. So I would keep those
- 9:54Speaker 3: three guys, those three guys in my player pool, but
- 9:56Speaker 3: probably gonna be max one on each side of this game.
- 9:59Speaker 2: What are you seeing in this one? Yeah?
- 10:01Speaker 5: I see it pretty similar to you as someone who's
- 10:03Speaker 5: playing like limited lineups, not one fifty likely very unlikely
- 10:08Speaker 5: get to any Charlotte. I mean, Canipple looks okay at
- 10:11Speaker 5: sixty nine hundred, but then once you add in like
- 10:14Speaker 5: the Brandon Miller being back again, the price tag, like,
- 10:18Speaker 5: it's really tough to get to anyone on Charlotte. The
- 10:21Speaker 5: Nick side, I'm with you, like it's those three guys,
- 10:24Speaker 5: the main two, Brunson and Towns. I think I like
- 10:27Speaker 5: Brunson slightly over Towns for the points you made the
- 10:30Speaker 5: price difference. Towns is like the most expensive he's been
- 10:34Speaker 5: all year. Brunson's stabilized at nine K, so I project
- 10:39Speaker 5: them like very similarly, like a point difference, So give
- 10:42Speaker 5: me Brunson there, although the position equity for Towns like
- 10:45Speaker 5: might make up for it. I think they're very similar
- 10:47Speaker 5: plays in good spot in a good spot against Charlotte.
- 10:50Speaker 4: Neither of them are priorities.
- 10:52Speaker 5: And I'm with you on Heart, but his tag is
- 10:55Speaker 5: up and it's a big enough slate where like a
- 10:58Speaker 5: lot of these secondary plays, unless they're priced right, aren't
- 11:02Speaker 5: going to be priorities.
- 11:03Speaker 4: That doesn't mean that Heart or guys like.
- 11:05Speaker 5: Heart can't get there, just not sure, Like you know
- 11:08Speaker 5: how likely I am to play them in one or
- 11:10Speaker 5: two lineups, but it would be those three guys for me.
- 11:13Speaker 5: I think clearly there's a drop off after the first two.
- 11:17Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 11:17Speaker 3: Yeah, pretty easy game to get away from. I would
- 11:20Speaker 3: say there could be some spots that open up later,
- 11:22Speaker 3: like we're obviously waiting for the Jannie news thirty minutes later,
- 11:26Speaker 3: which could open up some things. Then you have a
- 11:27Speaker 3: ton of que tags on the Miami side as well,
- 11:30Speaker 3: So I just don't really know if it would be
- 11:32Speaker 3: smart to lock up too much of your roster spots
- 11:35Speaker 3: in this game. But you could always make the case
- 11:37Speaker 3: for Kevin Brunts. I mean, they're really good players. I
- 11:39Speaker 3: would say, just from like a slate standpoint, something that
- 11:42Speaker 3: I was looking at is like the nine K range
- 11:46Speaker 3: is kind of weak, like you could poke holes in
- 11:48Speaker 3: pretty much all of these plays. And then Jannis and
- 11:51Speaker 3: Shae like they're I don't know, like Gianni's coming off
- 11:54Speaker 3: of an injury and then Shae, who's takes a lot
- 11:57Speaker 3: for him to really pay off attack in a big way.
- 12:00Speaker 3: It seems like more of a mid tier build type
- 12:02Speaker 3: of slate. Are you seeing anything differently from from that perspective.
- 12:06Speaker 4: No, I'm not.
- 12:06Speaker 5: And to that point, like just to extend, extend on
- 12:09Speaker 5: your point about like not wanting to lock up roster
- 12:11Speaker 5: spots on this first game. I'm with you, like we're
- 12:13Speaker 5: gonna have better spots. That said, Like I don't view
- 12:17Speaker 5: towns and Brunts and as guys like that, because like
- 12:21Speaker 5: they're not going to change. Like those guys if you're
- 12:22Speaker 5: playing them, they're building black pieces and you can move
- 12:25Speaker 5: stuff in around them. So like, if you're if you
- 12:28Speaker 5: like them, I wouldn't not play them because they're the
- 12:31Speaker 5: early game. I would maybe get away from some of
- 12:33Speaker 5: like the risk value if you will. But I'm sure
- 12:36Speaker 5: you see that very similarly.
- 12:38Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, Yeah, you could always make the case
- 12:41Speaker 3: to play those guys. It's just like the building block pieces.
- 12:44Speaker 3: I guess one thing that I didn't touch on that
- 12:46Speaker 3: is kind of important tonight is this is I mean,
- 12:49Speaker 3: this has got to be the first time all season
- 12:50Speaker 3: we've had a full slate where you're pretty much every
- 12:54Speaker 3: main game rise on the every game is on the
- 12:57Speaker 3: main slate, and it kind of brings a different dynamic
- 12:59Speaker 3: if you want touch on that, because we it's really
- 13:02Speaker 3: been like a one to two hour log window, which
- 13:04Speaker 3: has been great for like I don't mean this like
- 13:07Speaker 3: in a negative way, but like the casual player, it's
- 13:09Speaker 3: easier to build lineups that way, whereas now we have
- 13:12Speaker 3: those three seven pm games, which I think is important
- 13:15Speaker 3: to talk through.
- 13:16Speaker 5: Yeah, we've talked about that kind of in passing a
- 13:18Speaker 5: lot just me and you like. It changes the complete
- 13:20Speaker 5: dynamic of like multi entering. So if you're not willing
- 13:25Speaker 5: and able to like be at your computer making swaps
- 13:28Speaker 5: like you know, basically all night. Doesn't mean you're gonna
- 13:31Speaker 5: do it all night, but you gotta be willing to
- 13:33Speaker 5: do it all night. You can't want fifty NBA, certainly
- 13:37Speaker 5: on a slate like this where you've got games going
- 13:40Speaker 5: up until like I think ten or ten thirty Eastern,
- 13:42Speaker 5: probably ten eastern, but like not like one game late,
- 13:46Speaker 5: like a few games late. So it's just a completely
- 13:48Speaker 5: different slate than we've seen. Maybe I don't know why
- 13:52Speaker 5: they did it the night before Thanksgiving probably uh seems
- 13:56Speaker 5: to be there like late slate they filled all the contacts,
- 14:01Speaker 5: but changing it up tonight kind of going back to
- 14:03Speaker 5: the old ways.
- 14:05Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm I'm gonna text my rep and tell him
- 14:08Speaker 3: that I like it this way just because it is
- 14:09Speaker 3: better for.
- 14:12Speaker 4: I don't know.
- 14:12Speaker 2: I guess it's better for me.
- 14:13Speaker 3: Like it's like, I don't mind being around my computer
- 14:16Speaker 3: from four to seven.
- 14:18Speaker 5: There's huge ads when you're playing one fifty if you're
- 14:20Speaker 5: willing to do that, like, and also you being on
- 14:22Speaker 5: the West Coast really helps that for a lot of
- 14:24Speaker 5: players on the East Coast.
- 14:26Speaker 3: Yeah, for sure, I was also alone. I talked about
- 14:29Speaker 3: this with title a lot. I used to live in
- 14:30Speaker 3: New York, and I actually loved the later start time
- 14:34Speaker 3: because I'm just like naturally staying up really late and
- 14:37Speaker 3: watching the games regardless. But I loved not being able
- 14:40Speaker 3: or having until seven pm to build lines because you
- 14:44Speaker 3: have so much time just in the day to do
- 14:46Speaker 3: everything you want to do.
- 14:48Speaker 4: Yeah, totally, I get that as someone.
- 14:50Speaker 5: Like from my perspective though, with like a family and
- 14:52Speaker 5: stuff like, it just gets to be too hectic. And
- 14:55Speaker 5: like if I had those hours earlier in the day,
- 14:58Speaker 5: like where no one was home or it was like
- 15:00Speaker 5: much more much less lively at home, it might be
- 15:03Speaker 5: easier for me to play one fifty on slates like this,
- 15:06Speaker 5: you know.
- 15:06Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, for sure, definitely a lot easier being a
- 15:09Speaker 3: single man living in New York and only twenty six
- 15:11Speaker 3: years old, building lineups all night and stand up till
- 15:14Speaker 3: mid It was fun.
- 15:15Speaker 2: Yeah, it was a good time.
- 15:18Speaker 3: But are Yeah, I'm excited about this one, about this
- 15:20Speaker 3: slate for that reason because I'll be sitting around all
- 15:23Speaker 3: night late swapping. I would say that the last three
- 15:25Speaker 3: games are very appealing to so yes, and you said
- 15:29Speaker 3: it too, like if you can't sit around in late
- 15:31Speaker 3: swap all night, it might not be the night to play.
- 15:34Speaker 3: Like maybe I don't know, if they have like a
- 15:37Speaker 3: smaller like just the four to five pm games on
- 15:39Speaker 3: a like a secondary slate, maybe play that one. But yeah,
- 15:44Speaker 3: you're gonna have to be around because there is there's
- 15:45Speaker 3: gonna be a lot of late swap opportunity in the slate.
- 15:49Speaker 2: All right, next game or do you have anything else
- 15:51Speaker 2: want to add there?
- 15:54Speaker 5: Not really I will say, like just from that perspective,
- 15:56Speaker 5: like finishing up on it from someone who plays, like
- 15:59Speaker 5: like the more you.
- 16:00Speaker 4: Play, the more it affects you.
- 16:01Speaker 5: Right, So, like if you play one fifth, you've got
- 16:04Speaker 5: to be willing to be at your computer. If you
- 16:06Speaker 5: play one lineup, you need to be able to swap.
- 16:09Speaker 5: But it's just not going to take that much effort
- 16:11Speaker 5: to do it, you know what I'm saying.
- 16:13Speaker 3: Yeah, for sure, and this will be something that a
- 16:15Speaker 3: lot of people will talk about for the Thanksgiving games tomorrow.
- 16:18Speaker 3: It's a like same concept really like if you can't,
- 16:22Speaker 3: you're losing a little bit of ev.
- 16:23Speaker 2: By not laid.
- 16:24Speaker 3: Swapping is essentially the point, all right, next game though,
- 16:28Speaker 3: we got the red hot Toronto Raptors at a home
- 16:31Speaker 3: game with the Pacers coming into town. Savors got as
- 16:36Speaker 3: a seven point spread. I'm seeing somewhere else that I
- 16:38Speaker 3: think that it's a double digit spread in favor of
- 16:40Speaker 3: the Raptor. I see ten and a half point spread
- 16:43Speaker 3: in favor of Toronto. We've talked about it a lot lately.
- 16:46Speaker 3: The Pacers team is a lot better than their record shows,
- 16:50Speaker 3: I would say, and they are a team that can
- 16:52Speaker 3: definitely keep the competition or keep the games closed. They've
- 16:55Speaker 3: been a lot more competitive than the record and spreads
- 16:58Speaker 3: would show. I do think that if you're laying into
- 17:00Speaker 3: this game, it is probably going to be from the
- 17:02Speaker 3: Toronto side, and I think that there is a lot
- 17:04Speaker 3: to like here, just with the way that the Indie
- 17:06Speaker 3: Indiana Pacers played defense Schematically, a pretty good spot for
- 17:10Speaker 3: the Toronto offense. Teams are looking to attack the Pacers
- 17:12Speaker 3: at the rim. Thirty five percent of teams possessions come
- 17:15Speaker 3: at the rim against Indy, which is tied for the
- 17:17Speaker 3: third most in the NBA, and the Pacers are aligning
- 17:19Speaker 3: the second most points per game at the rim this
- 17:21Speaker 3: season while also being a bottom two pick and roll
- 17:23Speaker 3: points per possession defense. For Toronto, it's a lot of
- 17:27Speaker 3: the same teams are attacking them at the rim as well.
- 17:30Speaker 2: I talked about a lot with Jacoperto. Don't think he's
- 17:32Speaker 2: a great defender.
- 17:33Speaker 3: They're alying the seventh most points per game at the rim,
- 17:36Speaker 3: but the fifth highest rate of teams offense is coming
- 17:40Speaker 3: around the basket. Thirty four percent of teams possessions come
- 17:43Speaker 3: around the rim. So pretty good spot all around for
- 17:46Speaker 3: both these teams. I'll start on the or if you
- 17:49Speaker 3: want to start to kick this one off, well, let
- 17:50Speaker 3: me know what you've seen in this one. I'm going
- 17:52Speaker 3: to try to bring my dogs inside, so stop barking.
- 17:55Speaker 5: Yeah, So a lot of ownership coming to this game,
- 17:57Speaker 5: and for a good reason. The Toronto tags are just
- 18:00Speaker 5: still too low. So like all three of the main
- 18:03Speaker 5: guys are gonna get ownership. Specifically Ingram at seventy six
- 18:06Speaker 5: hundred of'm seeing him projected in a couple of places,
- 18:09Speaker 5: is one of, if not the most popular player on
- 18:11Speaker 5: the slate as of right now, seventy six hundred projects
- 18:14Speaker 5: well playing well. I got no arguments with Toronto like
- 18:20Speaker 5: Ingram quickly barns all look good, there's a good matchup.
- 18:24Speaker 5: I do think this game is more competitive than the
- 18:27Speaker 5: spread implies, because I'm with you, I think India is
- 18:29Speaker 5: better than their record implies. So I like all three
- 18:33Speaker 5: of the Toronto guys. I would say if one were
- 18:36Speaker 5: a priority, it would be Ingram. I don't love like
- 18:40Speaker 5: following into that ownership coming off a massive game, but
- 18:43Speaker 5: I'm always an Ingram fan. And under eight k, you know,
- 18:46Speaker 5: projected well, I like him, and then TJ. McConnell from
- 18:51Speaker 5: the other side, thirty six hundred looks like right now
- 18:54Speaker 5: one of the best value plays on the slate. So
- 18:57Speaker 5: the three main Toronto guys, and then McConnell, I think
- 19:00Speaker 5: you can make arguments for like any of them being
- 19:03Speaker 5: priority core plays on this slate, and then Sam finally
- 19:08Speaker 5: under nine K, like I think you could play into
- 19:10Speaker 5: this game. I like this game more than the last
- 19:12Speaker 5: game like, I don't think Sakam or Mathrin or priorities
- 19:16Speaker 5: for me, but like I could see this game getting there.
- 19:19Speaker 4: I could.
- 19:21Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you there.
- 19:22Speaker 3: I think that the best way to play Matherin, Siakam
- 19:25Speaker 3: or Dampard, I would kind of group him in as
- 19:27Speaker 3: a guy that could get there in a decent matchup.
- 19:30Speaker 3: It's probably with this game being high scoring and close,
- 19:33Speaker 3: because we do have a pretty solid team sodal for Toronto.
- 19:37Speaker 3: I just don't think that the Pacers are really great
- 19:40Speaker 3: on defense, so they're gonna have to keep up with
- 19:42Speaker 3: the with the Raptors on offense. So I think that
- 19:46Speaker 3: if you're playing one of those guys, that's probably best
- 19:48Speaker 3: with a Toronto piece on the other side, and just
- 19:50Speaker 3: kind of getting two to three roster spots correct by
- 19:54Speaker 3: saying that this game is going to shoot out. I
- 19:57Speaker 3: think if I had to rank the or the Pacer side,
- 20:00Speaker 3: I like Matherin nem hard than Siakam in terms of
- 20:03Speaker 3: the quote unquote spend up. So the main guys, I
- 20:05Speaker 3: think that TJ and like Jackson and Huff are fine
- 20:08Speaker 3: on their own. I don't really like the matchup for Siakam.
- 20:12Speaker 3: I think that Scotty Barnes is like he's always been
- 20:15Speaker 3: a really good defender, but I think he's kind of
- 20:16Speaker 3: slowly turning into one of the best wing defenders in
- 20:18Speaker 3: the league right now. I mean, we just saw him
- 20:20Speaker 3: lock down Evan Mobley and you can say what you
- 20:21Speaker 3: want about not you in particular, but like you know,
- 20:24Speaker 3: we Mobley is talented and he's pretty solid on offense,
- 20:27Speaker 3: but I mean Scotty Barnes made him look pretty bad.
- 20:31Speaker 2: So I think that.
- 20:32Speaker 5: It's it's multiple times this year already. Yeah, he's made
- 20:35Speaker 5: Mobi look bad.
- 20:36Speaker 3: Yeah, so I definitely want to keep an eye on,
- 20:38Speaker 3: like if there's any sort of ownership which is not
- 20:41Speaker 3: on Siakam.
- 20:41Speaker 2: The five percent is fine, but like.
- 20:43Speaker 3: That was it made a lot of sense to fad
- 20:45Speaker 3: fade Mobley in that game, in that matchupsuse. I do
- 20:47Speaker 3: think that Scotty is really coming on as a defender,
- 20:50Speaker 3: So I don't really want to play into that for
- 20:52Speaker 3: Siakam at a point, ak when you consider he is
- 20:55Speaker 3: losing usage to mather and Nemhard and TJ.
- 20:58Speaker 5: It's almost the flips argument though, though, like and you
- 21:01Speaker 5: were kind of getting to it, like he's not getting
- 21:03Speaker 5: the mobiley love yeah at all, So like it's a
- 21:05Speaker 5: completely different play, but I'm with you, like it's probably
- 21:08Speaker 5: not a good contrarian play because of the reasons you
- 21:11Speaker 5: mentioned when there's a lot of good plays on this slate,
- 21:14Speaker 5: So I totally get it. How do you rank the
- 21:17Speaker 5: Toronto guys, because I don't know if you heard me,
- 21:19Speaker 5: but like they're all gonna get ownership. I think Ingram
- 21:21Speaker 5: is gonna end up as one of the most popular
- 21:23Speaker 5: players on the slate.
- 21:25Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean you saw him put up a big
- 21:27Speaker 3: game last time out. Granted, like fifty one point twenty
- 21:31Speaker 3: five DK points is good for his price Segon and
- 21:34Speaker 3: what he was in that slate.
- 21:36Speaker 4: He took like forty shots.
- 21:37Speaker 3: Yeah, he took thirty shots in that game. A lot
- 21:40Speaker 3: of the usage is training up for Ingram. As of
- 21:43Speaker 3: late in the month of November, he does lead the
- 21:46Speaker 3: team in usage at twenty seven percent, but that also
- 21:48Speaker 3: jumps to thirty two percent with Arjia Barrett off the court,
- 21:51Speaker 3: so we do have to consider that, like the role
- 21:53Speaker 3: is legit. He's around like one point one six Fantasy
- 21:56Speaker 3: points for a minute with Argie Barret off the court,
- 21:59Speaker 3: So it's not great numbers for his price tag, but
- 22:01Speaker 3: he does lead the Raptors in pick and roll scoring,
- 22:03Speaker 3: which makes it a plus matchup because, like I said
- 22:05Speaker 3: up top, the Pacers do allow the second most pick
- 22:08Speaker 3: and roll points per possession, so the matchup is good
- 22:11Speaker 3: for him. I don't know, like he's I don't know
- 22:15Speaker 3: if he's gonna be taken. I don't think he's taking
- 22:17Speaker 3: thirty shots on a regular basis, Like he was just
- 22:19Speaker 3: kind of playing really well and they were running through him.
- 22:22Speaker 3: I kind of just feel like like if we're getting
- 22:25Speaker 3: a true ceiling game from someone like who has the
- 22:28Speaker 3: best upside, it's probably Scotty Barnes and we haven't really
- 22:31Speaker 3: seen it yet, but he does have the best numbers,
- 22:33Speaker 3: like on off numbers with Barrett off one point four
- 22:36Speaker 3: eight fancy points a minute. That's kind of more in
- 22:38Speaker 3: line of like what you're looking for in somebody in
- 22:40Speaker 3: that range. I prefer Scotty over Ingram, but I think
- 22:43Speaker 3: that Ingram is a clear number two and then Quickly's
- 22:46Speaker 3: number three.
- 22:47Speaker 5: Yeah. I just I like Ingram in general, and he's
- 22:50Speaker 5: a guy I play often, but I hate playing into
- 22:51Speaker 5: ownership like that on this slate, when like to all
- 22:55Speaker 5: the points you mentioned, like we just saw, oh, basically
- 22:59Speaker 5: an upside game for him, and it took him like
- 23:00Speaker 5: thirty plus shots to get there. Like I think Hollby
- 23:04Speaker 5: Salad at seventy six hundred, But do I need him, Like,
- 23:08Speaker 5: I don't think so.
- 23:10Speaker 3: It's kind of reminding me. Yeah, he's a good play
- 23:12Speaker 3: for sure. It kind of reminds me, like it's very similar.
- 23:14Speaker 3: We've been talking about Evan Mobley a lot, but like
- 23:16Speaker 3: in terms of the type of play that he is on,
- 23:18Speaker 3: this late is similar to that one on the other
- 23:20Speaker 3: sleeve where it's like Mobley was good, he had fifty
- 23:23Speaker 3: two draftings points And I know that we're not really
- 23:25Speaker 3: shooting for the optimal all the time because it's tougher
- 23:27Speaker 3: to get that in a single entry stuff which most
- 23:30Speaker 3: people play. But like, there are ways to not play
- 23:33Speaker 3: mobile and still make high upside lineups.
- 23:35Speaker 2: So I with Ingram.
- 23:37Speaker 4: I agree with that totally.
- 23:38Speaker 5: Like I think Ingram is likely to put up a
- 23:40Speaker 5: good score here, but I think he's very unlikely to
- 23:43Speaker 5: be on like the perfect lineup at the night's end.
- 23:47Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, Okay, we got to touch on some of
- 23:49Speaker 3: these value plays because we're getting a good amount of
- 23:51Speaker 3: questions on them. I like TJ McConnell. I agree with you.
- 23:54Speaker 3: He's starting to play more minutes. We know what type
- 23:57Speaker 3: of player. He is, really good per minuted producer to
- 24:00Speaker 3: be matchup against some of the second unit guys, I
- 24:02Speaker 3: think that he is totally in play. I would probably
- 24:05Speaker 3: not want to play him with them Hertz. I probably
- 24:07Speaker 3: Max one of those two guys, because I do think,
- 24:10Speaker 3: you know, with one doing better, it probably takes from
- 24:12Speaker 3: the other. They both need the ball in their hands
- 24:13Speaker 3: to produce fantasy points. So I feel like Max one
- 24:15Speaker 3: of those two guys is probably the way I'd want
- 24:18Speaker 3: to play it. Max one. Isaiah Jackson and Jay Huff.
- 24:22Speaker 3: Jay Huff also deserves a little bit of love because
- 24:24Speaker 3: he's outperformed Isaiah Jackson in a pretty big way, at
- 24:28Speaker 3: least from like a box score statistical standpoint, which is
- 24:31Speaker 3: all that really matters for DFS. So I do prefer Huff,
- 24:34Speaker 3: especially with Yeah exactly power forward eligibility is huge. Don't
- 24:38Speaker 3: really want to lock up a center spot on a
- 24:41Speaker 3: guy like Isaiah Jackson, so for Huff there and then,
- 24:44Speaker 3: I do think that all these Toronto pieces are in play.
- 24:46Speaker 3: We've seen Sandro really come on. It's kind of the
- 24:49Speaker 3: same thing though he's only only center eligible Max one
- 24:52Speaker 3: and him and Pertle.
- 24:54Speaker 2: Normally I would be Max one.
- 24:55Speaker 3: Shed and Emmanuel Quickly, but I think with Arjia Barrett out,
- 24:59Speaker 3: we're going to to see them overlap a little bit more.
- 25:02Speaker 3: So I would probably be Max one of Jamal Shed
- 25:04Speaker 3: and Jacoby Walter because I think as one plays more,
- 25:07Speaker 3: it takes from the other. So we saw those guys
- 25:09Speaker 3: kind of subbing in and out for each other. It's
- 25:11Speaker 3: really like a Max two of Quickly, Shed and Walter.
- 25:15Speaker 3: But I would rather be a little bit more aggressive
- 25:17Speaker 3: and Max one. The value guys in Shed and Walter.
- 25:20Speaker 4: Yeah, and between them personally, I like Shed considerable, not more.
- 25:24Speaker 2: Yeah, he does so much more.
- 25:25Speaker 3: Jacoba Waltz is just kind of like an off ball
- 25:27Speaker 3: scorer type of guy, and Shed's gonna have the ball
- 25:29Speaker 3: in his hands.
- 25:30Speaker 4: They like one of the straights in the game.
- 25:32Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, yeah, No, I saw that the potential assists
- 25:35Speaker 3: in the beginning of the season have been really good
- 25:37Speaker 3: for Jamal Shed. But yeah, they like to have two
- 25:40Speaker 3: hit ball handlers on the court at all times, so
- 25:41Speaker 3: I think it's going to be like a mixture. Maybe
- 25:43Speaker 3: it makes more sense to be Max two of like
- 25:46Speaker 3: Ingram quickly in shed because those are like the three
- 25:49Speaker 3: main ball handlers now that Argie Barrett is out.
- 25:52Speaker 5: Yeah, I just can't imagine on this like getting to
- 25:54Speaker 5: all three of them, but like they do all project well,
- 25:56Speaker 5: so it's not like impossible to your point.
- 25:59Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, trying to do better talking about the rules.
- 26:02Speaker 3: Had to couple people and it was a pretty big
- 26:04Speaker 3: conversation yesterday's slate. So I you know that a lot
- 26:07Speaker 3: of people watch these shows and look for that, So
- 26:08Speaker 3: I'll do a better job of going through the rules
- 26:10Speaker 3: as I see fit throughout the slate. But all right,
- 26:13Speaker 3: next game on the slate, one that you're definitely gonna
- 26:15Speaker 3: want to wait on for some of the injury news
- 26:18Speaker 3: because it's got the most in the slate. I think
- 26:20Speaker 3: that there might be a little bit of little sportsmanship
- 26:23Speaker 3: or what's called, I don't know, showmanship, sportsmanship, I.
- 26:27Speaker 2: Forgot what the word I'm looking for is.
- 26:28Speaker 3: But Milwaukee upgraded Jannis to questionable last night, and then
- 26:34Speaker 3: in turn, Miami just listed a bunch of guys questionable.
- 26:37Speaker 2: So I don't really know.
- 26:39Speaker 3: What's going to go on there, but I feel like
- 26:41Speaker 3: Jianni is probably closer to being out. He had a
- 26:44Speaker 3: one to two week injury designation for this growing and
- 26:48Speaker 3: growing is definitely not something you want to come back
- 26:50Speaker 3: earlier from Joannis does care about the NBA Cup, but
- 26:54Speaker 3: the spread kind of indicates to me that Jannis were
- 26:56Speaker 3: gonna be missing because they are eight and a half
- 26:58Speaker 3: point underdogs. I think Giannie is probably worth like four points,
- 27:03Speaker 3: maybe three, three or four points on the spread, so
- 27:05Speaker 3: I would probably lean him being out if he's in there.
- 27:08Speaker 3: I kind of think like regardless of him being in
- 27:10Speaker 3: and out is not really going to change too much
- 27:12Speaker 3: on how I view this game. From the Milwaukee side,
- 27:14Speaker 3: Like Ryan Rawlins definitely earned the eight point four K
- 27:17Speaker 3: price tag, but that's got to be as high as
- 27:20Speaker 3: it should ever get for him, even with yeah, he's
- 27:27Speaker 3: really good at like seven point five and below, But
- 27:29Speaker 3: I think as we get up up there, it's like
- 27:32Speaker 3: the a K's. He does have like sixty point outcomes
- 27:35Speaker 3: within this range of outcomes, and it is a fast
- 27:36Speaker 3: paced game, good matchup as well, but I just don't
- 27:39Speaker 3: really think that I can take myself to play heavily
- 27:43Speaker 3: into him. I would probably prefer to get down to
- 27:46Speaker 3: Cole Anthony at four point two k just because he's
- 27:48Speaker 3: point guard shooting guard. If you honest were to be out,
- 27:51Speaker 3: but if you honest is in, I think it just
- 27:52Speaker 3: takes away too much of everybody else that it's just
- 27:55Speaker 3: not a spot I really want to get into. The
- 27:57Speaker 3: Miami stuff is pretty big though, because it's two guys
- 28:01Speaker 3: that are playing a ton of minutes in Wiggins and Hawkes,
- 28:03Speaker 3: I think are the biggest Q tags for them. And
- 28:07Speaker 3: you also gotta like consider that Tyler Herro is back,
- 28:11Speaker 3: Norman Powell is going to be back as well, which
- 28:13Speaker 3: is surprised and considering heally missed like one or two
- 28:15Speaker 3: games with his growing injury. So there's just like a
- 28:19Speaker 3: lot of question marks around what the rotation and how
- 28:22Speaker 3: the usage is gonna spread out from Miami. I think
- 28:24Speaker 3: that we know that Hero is gonna have pretty good usage.
- 28:27Speaker 3: I think that probably the healthier he gets, the more
- 28:30Speaker 3: it takes away from Bam, maybe not as much power,
- 28:33Speaker 3: because I think that his role is pretty solidified as
- 28:35Speaker 3: just like a off ball like drive and like three
- 28:38Speaker 3: three three point shooter, but like Wiggins has to get
- 28:43Speaker 3: impacted by him negatively, I think I may Hotkes would
- 28:45Speaker 3: as well. Okay, we're getting some Heat news as we
- 28:48Speaker 3: talk right now, so all these guys are being upgraded
- 28:50Speaker 3: to probable. Nice, Okay, it's.
- 28:53Speaker 5: Funny too because like to your point, like I agree,
- 28:56Speaker 5: but like also I like the hero Bam two man game,
- 28:59Speaker 5: so like I think there's a lot of instances where
- 29:01Speaker 5: it doesn't hurt maam, and it's just really murky.
- 29:03Speaker 4: But I'm glad we're getting news.
- 29:05Speaker 3: Yeah, that's also, uh, something I've been paying attention to
- 29:08Speaker 3: because the Heat just don't run pick and roll anymore,
- 29:11Speaker 3: and that's kind of ty the Heroes game. And he
- 29:14Speaker 3: even said, like as we get deeper into the season,
- 29:16Speaker 3: we're gonna have to start running pick and pick and
- 29:18Speaker 3: roll more. So it's like you're going against what your
- 29:21Speaker 3: team has been doing and like what's made them successful
- 29:24Speaker 3: up to at this point, just because that's how you.
- 29:25Speaker 2: Like to play.
- 29:26Speaker 3: So I'm a little I'm a little curious to see
- 29:28Speaker 3: what the Miami offense looks like when this team gets
- 29:31Speaker 3: fully healthy, which it looks like it could be tonight.
- 29:34Speaker 5: Because that's always murky, right because like to your point,
- 29:36Speaker 5: like changing it how and they're playing well, but like
- 29:40Speaker 5: it's a small sample size and like he's their best
- 29:44Speaker 5: offensive player and like one of their top two most
- 29:47Speaker 5: paid players. So it's like it always gets tricky in
- 29:50Speaker 5: those spots in the NBA because the players have so
- 29:52Speaker 5: much control.
- 29:53Speaker 2: Yeah for sure.
- 29:55Speaker 3: Okay, so I feel like this one is probably one
- 29:57Speaker 3: that just you don't really need to get much of
- 29:59Speaker 3: with the price is considered and now all the injury
- 30:02Speaker 3: guys looking like they're gonna play. But yeah, I want
- 30:05Speaker 3: to see what the starting lineup looks like for Miami
- 30:07Speaker 3: because I'm kind of interested. I feel like it's gonna be, uh,
- 30:09Speaker 3: they probably just take Daveon out of the starting lineup
- 30:12Speaker 3: and go with probably like Hero Powell, Wiggins, Bam. I
- 30:18Speaker 3: like those four for sure starting then it's between Where
- 30:22Speaker 3: and dave Yon, I think.
- 30:25Speaker 5: Because well where is the one interesting piece that like remains.
- 30:30Speaker 5: I think he would look better with more guys out.
- 30:33Speaker 5: But man, like he's been smashing recently, and you know
- 30:37Speaker 5: not to just be a strict game log watcher, like
- 30:40Speaker 5: forty five plus d K points and three straight at
- 30:43Speaker 5: no ownership at under seven K is intriguing, Like I
- 30:47Speaker 5: probably likely won't get there, but wanted to call him
- 30:51Speaker 5: out because like clearly has tournament upside. But to your point,
- 30:55Speaker 5: I think Miami is more or less like out of
- 30:58Speaker 5: play except for like tournament guys. I wouldn't like cross
- 31:01Speaker 5: Miami off in one fifty settings, but no priorities at all.
- 31:04Speaker 5: And then Milwaukee to your point, I think Williannie is
- 31:07Speaker 5: worth at least that and yeah, like groin injury, don't
- 31:12Speaker 5: really want to mess with that if he's out, Like
- 31:14Speaker 5: presuming he's out, do you think going back to Bobby
- 31:17Speaker 5: portis like because I don't know. I mean portis obviously
- 31:21Speaker 5: for a long time, every time Jannis is out was
- 31:23Speaker 5: just an auto smash play got their last time out
- 31:27Speaker 5: was close the time before that, But I don't think
- 31:30Speaker 5: he's like an auto lock. If Giannice is out here,
- 31:33Speaker 5: I do think he's in play and as much shit
- 31:36Speaker 5: as I talked on rollins, and I won't play him
- 31:38Speaker 5: at eighty four hundred. It is like a perfect get
- 31:41Speaker 5: back rollin spot. He was chalk lastly at eight k,
- 31:46Speaker 5: now a little bit more expensive, he'll be like one
- 31:48Speaker 5: percent owned in a really high uphaced spot against Miami.
- 31:52Speaker 5: So like, I won't play him, but Milwaukee is intriguing.
- 31:56Speaker 5: If this game stays tight and Giannis is out.
- 31:59Speaker 3: Yeah, I think it like I would be playing some
- 32:02Speaker 3: Rawlins for sure if you honest were to be out,
- 32:04Speaker 3: just because I do think, like we said, there is
- 32:06Speaker 3: a range of outcomes where he does put up like
- 32:08Speaker 3: fifty five to sixty. We've seen it from him, and
- 32:11Speaker 3: it is a good spot, pace up spot against a
- 32:12Speaker 3: team that kind of funnels a lot of scoring to
- 32:15Speaker 3: point guards. So I would be fine with him. Wouldn't
- 32:17Speaker 3: be as good of a play as he was like
- 32:19Speaker 3: seven K, but yeah, I'd be fine with him. I
- 32:23Speaker 3: do agree with you on Portous. I feel like he
- 32:25Speaker 3: like he has the best matchup for the Bigs, like
- 32:28Speaker 3: as a guy that can score off ball and kind
- 32:30Speaker 3: of create his own offense, and we know that the
- 32:31Speaker 3: rebounding stuff is really good. I really think that Turner
- 32:36Speaker 3: is just to kind of outmatch in.
- 32:38Speaker 2: This pace up spot.
- 32:40Speaker 3: He's just not able to get up and down the
- 32:42Speaker 3: court like he was when he was younger. I just
- 32:43Speaker 3: think that he's a guy that could get ran off
- 32:45Speaker 3: the court, So that would in turn like theoretically help
- 32:48Speaker 3: Bobby Portis. I would probably just be like Portois, Rawlins
- 32:52Speaker 3: and then Cole Anthony Is the three guys that I
- 32:54Speaker 3: would be considering, and probably a max One.
- 32:58Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 32:59Speaker 3: I guess they're might be a range of outcomes where
- 33:01Speaker 3: Kuzman gets there as well. But it's it's really gross
- 33:04Speaker 3: just because the governor environments have been so good.
- 33:07Speaker 5: It's so funny too, Like it's so gross, like he
- 33:10Speaker 5: can't play Kuzma ever, but then like the one day
- 33:12Speaker 5: he smashes, he wins Masla like literally every single tournament
- 33:17Speaker 5: on DraftKings, and it's hard to ignore stuff like that,
- 33:19Speaker 5: you know.
- 33:20Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, So I don't know, I have no idea.
- 33:25Speaker 3: What the hell doctors just thinking by starting Jericho Sims
- 33:28Speaker 3: last game. I mean, it's just like you. It kind
- 33:31Speaker 3: of reminds me of like when the Bulls started Patrick
- 33:33Speaker 3: Williams at center instead of Jalen Smith, Like what are
- 33:35Speaker 3: we doing? Just play the backup? Like it's just you're
- 33:38Speaker 3: getting way too smart. I don't know if there's like
- 33:40Speaker 3: some analytics baked into those types of decisions, but Jercho
- 33:44Speaker 3: Sims should not be starting in any game right now?
- 33:48Speaker 3: If listening, then sorry about that. I know he loves
- 33:50Speaker 3: Jericho Sims.
- 33:52Speaker 5: It's just funny too when it's like if it were
- 33:54Speaker 5: like a long time absence for a guy like Vouch
- 33:57Speaker 5: and you like still wanted to keep Jalen's myth and
- 34:00Speaker 5: like the bench roll like what he's been good at. Like,
- 34:03Speaker 5: I still don't agree, but I kind of get it.
- 34:06Speaker 5: For like a one or two game scenario, it just
- 34:08Speaker 5: doesn't even make sense to me.
- 34:10Speaker 3: Yeah, it's just you're out smarting and it was like
- 34:12Speaker 3: the best matchup for opposing big man's like you needed
- 34:14Speaker 3: the center out there.
- 34:15Speaker 2: Just made made no sense. It was a game against
- 34:19Speaker 2: the Pelicans, right, I think they.
- 34:20Speaker 4: Did that and they got rolled.
- 34:22Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 34:23Speaker 3: I mean the Pelicans are a team that can only
- 34:24Speaker 3: really score around the basket, so you would think you'd
- 34:26Speaker 3: want somebody that can protect the basket. But too much
- 34:30Speaker 3: time spent on the team that's not even on the slate.
- 34:33Speaker 3: But yeah, so Milwaukee stuff. Like we said, keep an
- 34:36Speaker 3: eye on the honest tag. I think that's another reason
- 34:38Speaker 3: why you don't really want to play too much of
- 34:39Speaker 3: that first game, because this is we'll get We'll get
- 34:42Speaker 3: enough news and be able to to late swap all
- 34:45Speaker 3: these these pieces in this next window. This game does
- 34:48Speaker 3: have a lot of importance. Minnesota at OKCU. SGA does
- 34:52Speaker 3: have a Q tag, but he was at shoot around
- 34:54Speaker 3: this morning, so should be fine to play this one
- 34:56Speaker 3: really big game for the NBA Cup. I think a
- 34:59Speaker 3: win for either team would really improve their odds of
- 35:02Speaker 3: winning their group.
- 35:02Speaker 2: It's really close.
- 35:03Speaker 3: Sons are going to get a lot of information on
- 35:06Speaker 3: what they needed to do after this game because their
- 35:09Speaker 3: game starts two and a half hours later. So also
- 35:11Speaker 3: kind of another reason why you want to wait, because
- 35:14Speaker 3: I don't really know the scenarios exactly right now. But
- 35:17Speaker 3: okay See is first, so if they lose, Phoenix with
- 35:21Speaker 3: a win would help them a ton because they've already
- 35:23Speaker 3: beaten Minnesota and then they play okay See last. So
- 35:27Speaker 3: yeah'd be a really big, really big game for Phoenix later,
- 35:31Speaker 3: but really big for okay See in Minnesota. I think
- 35:34Speaker 3: much bigger for Minnesota because they're kind of out of
- 35:36Speaker 3: it unless they win this game. But yeah, from a
- 35:40Speaker 3: matchup perspective, we know that okay See is pretty much
- 35:42Speaker 3: elite in all defensive metrics. I would say the one
- 35:44Speaker 3: area that you can always kind of attack them with
- 35:47Speaker 3: is off ball scoring. The three point defense is slightly
- 35:50Speaker 3: below average, same with the catch and shoot stuff. And
- 35:52Speaker 3: then for Minnesota, they've been a little bit better. They
- 35:54Speaker 3: didn't rebound great last time. Out versus Sacramento, which is
- 35:57Speaker 3: a little bit alarming, but they are giving up this
- 36:00Speaker 3: and most pick and roll points per game, so definitely
- 36:04Speaker 3: a decent spot for for Shay. I would say I
- 36:07Speaker 3: do like some good amount of stuff in this game.
- 36:10Speaker 3: I think that for Minnesota it's I don't know. I'm
- 36:13Speaker 3: I'm pretty high on Jada McDaniels in this one. I
- 36:15Speaker 3: think that he's just looked really good this season and
- 36:18Speaker 3: they haven't been using him as much on ball as
- 36:21Speaker 3: they were in years past, and I think that they
- 36:23Speaker 3: might do that here, play him, you know, a little
- 36:25Speaker 3: like a roaming type of defensive assignment to put Ant
- 36:28Speaker 3: on Sga, like that is something that we've seen happen
- 36:31Speaker 3: in the past.
- 36:32Speaker 2: And if that happens, then.
- 36:34Speaker 3: From a minute's perspective, he's pretty safe because he doesn't
- 36:36Speaker 3: have the same amount of foul risks that as he
- 36:38Speaker 3: would if he was guarding Sga. He also has a
- 36:41Speaker 3: pretty good history against Okay see last season. I think
- 36:45Speaker 3: that they have been okay as like leaving him at
- 36:48Speaker 3: open at times and really honing in on Ant and Randall,
- 36:51Speaker 3: which gets me off of those two guys because I
- 36:52Speaker 3: just think that it's a terrible matchup for them, but
- 36:55Speaker 3: he topped thirty six draggings points in all but one
- 36:58Speaker 3: game against ok season in four matchups. He had fifty
- 37:02Speaker 3: and a half DK points in one of those games,
- 37:04Speaker 3: so he scores really well against them, which makes sense.
- 37:07Speaker 3: Like I said, okay See does funnel things softball scores,
- 37:09Speaker 3: So him and Dante Devincenzo the two guys I'm most
- 37:12Speaker 3: excited about on Minnesota. You can always play Ant, but
- 37:15Speaker 3: he has not done well. He's basically been below what
- 37:19Speaker 3: you would need from him at nine point four K
- 37:21Speaker 3: in every game against okay See outside of like two
- 37:24Speaker 3: games in his entire career against them, So I'd be
- 37:27Speaker 3: okay getting away from Ant saying thing for Randall, just
- 37:29Speaker 3: I don't really like the matchup okay See elite rim protection,
- 37:31Speaker 3: so don't really like the spot for him. So it's
- 37:33Speaker 3: really just Jayden and Dante for me. And then I
- 37:36Speaker 3: think it's just SGA for me on okay See, and
- 37:38Speaker 3: I actually do like him quite a bit, Like I mentioned,
- 37:40Speaker 3: just the pick and roll stuff for Minnesota has been
- 37:43Speaker 3: pretty bad this season. He had sixty five and seventy
- 37:46Speaker 3: draftings points in two games against Minnesota last season, so
- 37:49Speaker 3: it definitely has the upside. He's probably my favorite definitely
- 37:54Speaker 3: between him and Giannis. I would say he's my favorite,
- 37:56Speaker 3: but not my favorite nine k PUS player.
- 37:58Speaker 2: I would say he's probably like fourth or fifth.
- 38:03Speaker 4: Yeah, I think we differ here.
- 38:06Speaker 5: We've agreed on basically everything so far, so it's nice
- 38:08Speaker 5: to see things a little bit differently. I don't like
- 38:10Speaker 5: this game really at all from a DFS perspective, Like
- 38:13Speaker 5: I get it. Certainly in one fifty settings, I wouldn't
- 38:15Speaker 5: be crossing these teams out. But as much as I
- 38:19Speaker 5: like the McDaniels call at fifty seven hundred and I
- 38:22Speaker 5: think there's like some hidden not in projection stuff in
- 38:25Speaker 5: there that I could get on board with, Like you're
- 38:27Speaker 5: giving up a bunch of projection to go there, so
- 38:30Speaker 5: you can do that in a couple of spots.
- 38:32Speaker 4: I'm just not sure i'll do that there.
- 38:34Speaker 5: I don't think I want to allocate eleven K and
- 38:36Speaker 5: Shay like, I'm fine with it.
- 38:39Speaker 4: I don't think he's a bad play it's.
- 38:40Speaker 5: Just not someone I don't think I'm gonna prioritize between
- 38:44Speaker 5: him and Yiannis coming off the injury.
- 38:45Speaker 4: It's close. I do feel like if Giannis plays though
- 38:48Speaker 4: he's healthy, So I actually prefer Giannis if I'm playing
- 38:51Speaker 4: one of Gianni's or Shay, but I prefer a bunch
- 38:53Speaker 4: of the nine K guys like you mentioned over those guys.
- 38:57Speaker 4: I'm not on.
- 38:58Speaker 5: Ant or Randall as you mentioned, you could always playing it,
- 39:00Speaker 5: but I like the history he talked about, and it's
- 39:03Speaker 5: just not really an appealing price tag in this matchup.
- 39:08Speaker 5: I like the McDaniels called all the guys like McDaniels
- 39:11Speaker 5: would be it. I just for me playing limited lineups,
- 39:14Speaker 5: I don't think I get to anything here, and I
- 39:16Speaker 5: worry most with that stance about it just being like
- 39:20Speaker 5: a really really close competitive game that happens to be
- 39:23Speaker 5: high scoring and it has a bunch of good players
- 39:25Speaker 5: in it, So I recognize that, like you can always
- 39:27Speaker 5: get guys to go off in games like that. I
- 39:30Speaker 5: just think there's other spots I like more, and we
- 39:32Speaker 5: haven't even gotten to a bunch of them yet.
- 39:34Speaker 3: Yeah, for sure, Jake did mention Nas always kills okay, see, yeah,
- 39:38Speaker 3: looked at it. Last year was great against them, Like,
- 39:41Speaker 3: had like a couple of six fifty and sixty points
- 39:43Speaker 3: against them. Three of those games, though, came without both
- 39:47Speaker 3: Rudy Gobar and Julius Randall. In the one game that
- 39:49Speaker 3: he did play, which was on New Year's Eve, he
- 39:53Speaker 3: did have a good game. He played more than both
- 39:55Speaker 3: Randall and Gobaron that went thirty three minutes. Did have
- 39:58Speaker 3: a strong outing with thirty seven draftings points. I do
- 40:02Speaker 3: think that he matches up a little bit better against Okay,
- 40:04Speaker 3: see if if we see Gobert or I don't think
- 40:08Speaker 3: that Randall's minutes are really at risk. I would say
- 40:11Speaker 3: it's more coming from Gobert's. I probably don't. I would
- 40:13Speaker 3: always be Max one of the bigs. But I think
- 40:15Speaker 3: now even more so is like a spot where if
- 40:18Speaker 3: you're playing NAS, you don't want Gobert or Randall, I
- 40:20Speaker 3: would say, because he's probably taking away offensively from Randall
- 40:24Speaker 3: enough where they don't really correlate well, and then taking
- 40:27Speaker 3: away minutes from Gobert. So i'd be Max one of
- 40:29Speaker 3: those guys, probably a Max.
- 40:31Speaker 5: Actually overall, especially also because his price tags up, so
- 40:34Speaker 5: you don't get like as much wiggle room there like
- 40:36Speaker 5: NAS read's almost six K fifty nine hundred now, So
- 40:39Speaker 5: like I think, definitely you don't want to play them together.
- 40:41Speaker 3: Yeah, and definitely like Nas is always a guy that
- 40:44Speaker 3: should be in your playpool regardless because he does have
- 40:46Speaker 3: really big upside off the bench. So I'll get to
- 40:48Speaker 3: a little bit of him. But he wasn't that good
- 40:50Speaker 3: in the playoff series. I'll just say I don't think
- 40:52Speaker 3: he topped like twenty two draftings points in any of
- 40:54Speaker 3: the games in then against Okay, seeing the playoffs, so
- 40:58Speaker 3: but this is you know, regular season could definitely get there,
- 41:02Speaker 3: all right. Next game, Memphis at New Orleans. This game
- 41:05Speaker 3: has basically no NBA Cup importance, so it's just two
- 41:08Speaker 3: bad teams facing off against each other. We are waiting
- 41:12Speaker 3: on the Zach ed Q tag, which is somewhat big.
- 41:14Speaker 3: That could open up a little bit of value in
- 41:16Speaker 3: the front court for the Grizzlies, mainly in.
- 41:20Speaker 2: What's his name? Uh, all right, that's that's in the
- 41:25Speaker 2: Kings game. That would be Jock Landell. Yeah, the other
- 41:29Speaker 2: the other backup.
- 41:32Speaker 3: Yeah, they play and look very similarly, so I don't
- 41:35Speaker 3: don't blame you there, but yeah, that would open up
- 41:36Speaker 3: some value with Jock Lando, who did have a really
- 41:38Speaker 3: big game last time out filling in for Edie against Denver,
- 41:42Speaker 3: I believe, and he would be in a really good
- 41:45Speaker 3: spot here against New Orleans, who's a team that we
- 41:47Speaker 3: always look to attack with opposing centers and just guys
- 41:50Speaker 3: that score around the basket.
- 41:52Speaker 2: We do need to keep an eye on the.
- 41:53Speaker 3: Starting lineup because had some weird stuff happened last game
- 41:56Speaker 3: the Pelicans were on a slate. Derek Queen and Jeremih
- 42:00Speaker 3: Fears were obviously the two guys that were starting their
- 42:02Speaker 3: you know, two high first round picks last year. We're
- 42:05Speaker 3: benched for Missy and Jose Alvarado, And I mean there's
- 42:10Speaker 3: a chance that Queen doesn't start here. I don't really
- 42:15Speaker 3: know if that would really change much in terms of
- 42:17Speaker 3: like playing Missy. Obviously four point one k would be
- 42:20Speaker 3: a good tag for someone like him who does have
- 42:22Speaker 3: decent permanent upside. But if he's not starting, if Queen's
- 42:26Speaker 3: not starting and it's Missy, that's probably going to be
- 42:28Speaker 3: like a fifty to fifty split down the middle at
- 42:30Speaker 3: the center spot. So I don't really know if like,
- 42:32Speaker 3: I'm definitely not playing Queen if that's the case, if
- 42:34Speaker 3: he's kind of with the bench, But I don't even
- 42:36Speaker 3: know if that would really make Missy that appealing at
- 42:39Speaker 3: four point one K definitely better than he looks right now,
- 42:41Speaker 3: but nothing like two out of pocket I would I
- 42:43Speaker 3: would think, and then the same thing. But it's different
- 42:45Speaker 3: for Evarado, because if Alvarado's starting and we know that
- 42:48Speaker 3: we're getting like twenty eight to thirty from him, I
- 42:50Speaker 3: would be very interested in that. I don't think that
- 42:53Speaker 3: he's going to start. I think they go back to
- 42:54Speaker 3: Fears and Queen probably, but just on the off chance
- 42:57Speaker 3: that those guys do start over them. It's kind of
- 42:59Speaker 3: how I would approach it. I would be Max one
- 43:01Speaker 3: of Queen and Missy, Max one, Evarado and Fears probably
- 43:06Speaker 3: Max two overall. On the Pelicans, I think that there
- 43:08Speaker 3: are more appealing games as we get deeper into the slate.
- 43:12Speaker 3: And then for the Memphis side, I don't know. Edie
- 43:16Speaker 3: if he's back is in an okay spot. I would
- 43:18Speaker 3: probably not want to play any of these Memphis pieces.
- 43:21Speaker 3: I would play Jock if Edie were to be out.
- 43:23Speaker 3: I think that Wells is okay in terms of his
- 43:26Speaker 3: matchup being really good. New Orleans does funnel a lot
- 43:28Speaker 3: of stuff to the basket, but also their catch and
- 43:30Speaker 3: shoot defense has been very poor this season, and he's
- 43:33Speaker 3: only four point five K coming off of a pretty
- 43:34Speaker 3: good game, so I'd be okay with him. But I
- 43:36Speaker 3: think it's kind of a max Max one for Memphis,
- 43:39Speaker 3: Max two for No Orleans and just prepare for the
- 43:42Speaker 3: next games in two hours.
- 43:43Speaker 2: What do you think in this game?
- 43:45Speaker 4: Man?
- 43:45Speaker 5: I want to like this game, but I don't know
- 43:47Speaker 5: how much I actually do like this game. From the
- 43:50Speaker 5: Memphis side, it's tough. Their tags are up and they're
- 43:52Speaker 5: getting a little bit healthier. So like, I think I'm
- 43:55Speaker 5: out on most of Memphis, even if Edie's out. Like
- 43:58Speaker 5: I think Landell's fine, but like Opportunity Costage Center, he
- 44:02Speaker 5: just had his nut game Like it is a good spot.
- 44:04Speaker 5: I think he's a fine play, but not like a must.
- 44:07Speaker 5: Other than that, I don't really want much from Memphis.
- 44:10Speaker 5: New Orleans is interesting. Totally agree with you on Alvarado.
- 44:13Speaker 5: If he's starting, he's like a lock for me. I
- 44:15Speaker 5: mean the whole often be that if he's starting and
- 44:17Speaker 5: he's cheap because he's a guy that can rack up
- 44:19Speaker 5: DFS points.
- 44:20Speaker 4: But I also don't think that they start.
- 44:22Speaker 5: I think that was a one time thing, and in
- 44:24Speaker 5: that scenario, I think going back to Queen is interesting.
- 44:27Speaker 5: Like price tag up. Obviously, the sentiment around him in
- 44:32Speaker 5: the DFS industry isn't great after last time out, but
- 44:35Speaker 5: even at this new increased tag, like the three games
- 44:38Speaker 5: before that, he had smashed even this tag. So yeah,
- 44:43Speaker 5: if Queen's starting, I presume they're gonna go back to normal.
- 44:48Speaker 5: That said, like there's more risk because Missy played well,
- 44:52Speaker 5: like maybe that earned him even just a couple more minutes.
- 44:55Speaker 5: Zion's obviously back, So I don't think there's any priority
- 44:59Speaker 5: from this game for me, but I think there's plays
- 45:02Speaker 5: that could easily get there. And I think this game
- 45:04Speaker 5: could be sloppy and close, and even if it's not
- 45:08Speaker 5: high high scoring, sloppy.
- 45:11Speaker 4: With a lot of turnovers, and those games rack up
- 45:13Speaker 4: the points.
- 45:14Speaker 3: Yeah, it's just funny the way the DFS works, I
- 45:17Speaker 3: guess just basketball in general, Like the moment you get
- 45:19Speaker 3: comfortable playing a player like Derrek, Queen and somebody that
- 45:22Speaker 3: they are, you know, very invested in, they just pull
- 45:25Speaker 3: the rug out from under you. And you know, don't
- 45:27Speaker 3: that's got to hurt a young player's confidence too. I mean,
- 45:30Speaker 3: that's I can't imagine that's good for him long term.
- 45:33Speaker 4: Just made no sense. That's why I gotta believe they're
- 45:35Speaker 4: going to go back to starting him in fears.
- 45:37Speaker 3: Yeah, I think so too. But like you said, money,
- 45:39Speaker 3: if there's a chance that MESSI did earn some more
- 45:42Speaker 3: minutes and we're not getting what we were from a Queen,
- 45:44Speaker 3: which was like around thirty two and it's more like
- 45:47Speaker 3: twenty eight to thirty, then that does change things a lot.
- 45:50Speaker 3: I mean, he was honestly good, like still pretty good
- 45:52Speaker 3: from a per minute standpoint in that last game, only
- 45:54Speaker 3: played seventeen minutes, but twenty three points seventy five draftings
- 45:57Speaker 3: points is still pretty solid. So I I agree with you,
- 46:00Speaker 3: like I'm if the ownership comes down on Queen, like
- 46:03Speaker 3: i'd see it projected in the double digits at one place,
- 46:06Speaker 3: we have it at.
- 46:09Speaker 2: At nine.
- 46:12Speaker 3: Yeah, it's probably around like that nine cent mark, like
- 46:14Speaker 3: us and Savors him have it. I would imagine so
- 46:16Speaker 3: that that'd be fine, Like that that'd be okay. I
- 46:19Speaker 3: do think that there are two centers, I mean, maybe
- 46:22Speaker 3: even three centers in these next three games that stick
- 46:24Speaker 3: out in a pretty big way for me that I
- 46:26Speaker 3: would probably land somewhere in that nine percent range in
- 46:29Speaker 3: my one P fifty.
- 46:30Speaker 2: But I mean we've seen.
- 46:32Speaker 3: The upset from him, so there is a little bit
- 46:34Speaker 3: of leverage should be had by playing him.
- 46:38Speaker 4: So I talk about just real quick, we didn't really talk.
- 46:41Speaker 5: About Potal, but Queen or Potal presuming Queen starting.
- 46:45Speaker 3: I think I think Pertal just because he's a little
- 46:48Speaker 3: bit cheaper, and I yeah, I guess we did kind
- 46:50Speaker 3: of gloss over Portal, but it is a good matchup
- 46:52Speaker 3: for him against Indy team that is really bad around
- 46:55Speaker 3: the basket and also not rebounding the ball the ball
- 46:57Speaker 3: that well right now, So I do I do think
- 46:59Speaker 3: Proto is a pretty decent spot and I do like
- 47:01Speaker 3: him eight hundred cheaper than Queen because we know that
- 47:04Speaker 3: the minutes are going to be there for him, assuming
- 47:05Speaker 3: that the game stays somewhat close and they're not up
- 47:08Speaker 3: by like thirty heading into the fourth.
- 47:10Speaker 4: It's hard to get to Queen on this slate.
- 47:12Speaker 3: Yeah, for sure, our guy Doug, he likes Vince Williams,
- 47:18Speaker 3: I would assume. And then Pat Spencer. Pat Spenser's been
- 47:20Speaker 3: playing really well lately, so like that call. Yeah, I
- 47:23Speaker 3: guess Bay two is a guy that does deserve a
- 47:25Speaker 3: little bit of love, But did kind of look over
- 47:28Speaker 3: the Zion and Tray and Bay talk because I think
- 47:31Speaker 3: that all three of those guys are in play. Probably
- 47:33Speaker 3: don't want I mean, you're I think you're staking max
- 47:36Speaker 3: two of New Orleans anyway, so you're not getting two
- 47:38Speaker 3: of them. But the matchup is pretty so I think
- 47:41Speaker 3: Zion's upside is kind of attached to Edie's availability, because
- 47:44Speaker 3: taking Edie out, they've been pretty good protecting the rim
- 47:47Speaker 3: with him in there. I think taking him out and
- 47:49Speaker 3: adding Jock would make this a pretty good spot for Zion,
- 47:51Speaker 3: So I would like him a lot more if Edie
- 47:54Speaker 3: were to be out. I think he's okay. If Di's in,
- 47:56Speaker 3: I'd like the spot for Murphy a little bit. Still
- 47:58Speaker 3: a little bit too expensive for me for just the
- 48:01Speaker 3: role we've seen with Queen and Zion and all these
- 48:03Speaker 3: guys kind of taking away touches from him. He's mainly
- 48:06Speaker 3: kind of been asked to do more off ball stuff.
- 48:07Speaker 3: So I think that matchup wise is pretty good. But
- 48:10Speaker 3: you can get the same matchup and not same upside,
- 48:13Speaker 3: but like the same type of point per dollar upside
- 48:16Speaker 3: in Sadik Bay with the small forward power forward eligibility.
- 48:18Speaker 3: I do think that he's pretty good. His three point
- 48:23Speaker 3: over under is kind of juice up too, so they're
- 48:24Speaker 3: expecting to have a pretty good night.
- 48:26Speaker 2: You liking anything on those.
- 48:27Speaker 5: Guys, Yeah, I think Bay is my favorite. Actually, weirdly enough,
- 48:30Speaker 5: I think they all do look kind of similar for
- 48:33Speaker 5: how they're priced. And Zion, Yeah, if Ead he's out,
- 48:36Speaker 5: like not excited about it, but cheap enough projects well
- 48:40Speaker 5: enough where I think he's in play for sure. So
- 48:42Speaker 5: I don't want to play a bunch of these guys,
- 48:44Speaker 5: but I think any one or I guess two of
- 48:46Speaker 5: like the Bay Murphy's Ion Queen, I would throw in there,
- 48:50Speaker 5: you know, as we talked about.
- 48:53Speaker 2: Yeah, more I look at it.
- 48:53Speaker 3: Bay does look pretty good, kind of just fills in
- 48:55Speaker 3: a fairly weak forward position forty two points forty seven
- 48:59Speaker 3: points his last two games double doubles, so he's kind
- 49:02Speaker 3: of turned things around, playing a lot better than I
- 49:04Speaker 3: thought he was capable of. So don't don't mind City
- 49:06Speaker 3: Bay at all, guy, Jordan lux Bay as well. Next
- 49:11Speaker 3: game on the slate, Phoenix at Sacramento. Big game for Phoenix.
- 49:15Speaker 3: Like we said, they will have a lot of information
- 49:17Speaker 3: heading into this game on what the Minnesota and OKAC
- 49:20Speaker 3: game is looking like. To know, I mean, they're gonna
- 49:22Speaker 3: want to win regardless, because they can still get a
- 49:24Speaker 3: wild card if they don't win their group. But a
- 49:26Speaker 3: really good matchup for the Suns here. King's coming off
- 49:30Speaker 3: of two pretty big wins against Denver Minnesota, but still
- 49:33Speaker 3: a team I'm not a believer in. There's a lot
- 49:35Speaker 3: of talk about the you know, trading like some of
- 49:37Speaker 3: these guys I heard Levigne to Milwaukee's potential. And then
- 49:41Speaker 3: DeMar de Rosen is a contract that's very tradable and
- 49:44Speaker 3: an older guy that which is not surprising to me
- 49:47Speaker 3: at all that the Clippers have interest in him because
- 49:49Speaker 3: they just essentially are trading out Paula George for an
- 49:52Speaker 3: older and less efficient version of himself. So I wouldn't
- 49:56Speaker 3: be surprised that the Clippers want Demarta Rosen.
- 50:00Speaker 4: The Clippers mind de Mar de Rozen, you know, it.
- 50:01Speaker 2: Makes the most sense.
- 50:02Speaker 3: Yeah, they they just went after John Collins talking about
- 50:05Speaker 3: trading him now, even though he kind of fits the
- 50:08Speaker 3: new NBA mold, So it makes sense to just slow
- 50:11Speaker 3: down the game and play a lot in the half
- 50:12Speaker 3: court and take a bunch of mid range jumpers. So
- 50:14Speaker 3: it makes a lot of sense there. But yeah, the
- 50:17Speaker 3: on ball defense for Sacramento did get a little bit
- 50:20Speaker 3: better with Keegan Murray back in the mix. He's gonna
- 50:22Speaker 3: play a ton of minutes and we'll be guarding Devin Booker,
- 50:25Speaker 3: So you could, like I said, you could poke holes
- 50:28Speaker 3: in these nine K guys, and Booker is gonna be
- 50:30Speaker 3: one of the higher on guys we've seen at nineteen
- 50:32Speaker 3: and a half percent on our site right now, which
- 50:35Speaker 3: is a lot for a guy that's not shooting the
- 50:37Speaker 3: ball well and also kind of sees his numbers dip
- 50:39Speaker 3: in a fairly meaningful way with Grayson Allen off the court.
- 50:42Speaker 3: I mean, the overall offensive efficiency gets a lot worse
- 50:45Speaker 3: with Grayson off the court.
- 50:46Speaker 2: He's been shooting the ball really well. The assist numbers dip,
- 50:49Speaker 2: which is what I meant.
- 50:50Speaker 3: I mean, the numbers look a little bit worse for
- 50:52Speaker 3: Devin Booker in a tough ish matchup. I think he's fine.
- 50:56Speaker 3: I kind of prefer some of these other spins and
- 50:58Speaker 3: just kind of like shifting around the bill and not
- 51:00Speaker 3: having to play multiple nine K guys is kind of
- 51:02Speaker 3: how I view and the slate. You can definitely play
- 51:05Speaker 3: him because I think that if I had to choose
- 51:07Speaker 3: somebody on tonight's slate to play the most minutes, he'd
- 51:09Speaker 3: probably be the first or second option maybe between him
- 51:12Speaker 3: and Am and Thompson. I could see getting forty or
- 51:15Speaker 3: more minutes tonight, So just from that standpoint, he is
- 51:17Speaker 3: in play. I really like the spot for Mark Williams.
- 51:20Speaker 3: Though the Kings have been terrible, just give him a
- 51:22Speaker 3: ton of points. Inside there's talk about them starting Precious Otua,
- 51:26Speaker 3: who is an undersized center. So I think Mark Williams
- 51:29Speaker 3: is really really good here. The Kings are bottom three
- 51:33Speaker 3: and DVP versus centers this season. Really a lot to
- 51:36Speaker 3: like about Mark, so he's probably my first, if not
- 51:39Speaker 3: second favorite center option on the slate. At five point
- 51:41Speaker 3: seven K, I think this could be the spot where
- 51:43Speaker 3: we really see him break out. We haven't really had
- 51:45Speaker 3: like a huge game from him yet. He's been fine
- 51:47Speaker 3: from a points per dollars standpoint, but I think this
- 51:50Speaker 3: is a spot where he goes off and then assuming
- 51:53Speaker 3: Devin Booker does get somewhat limited and like shut down
- 51:55Speaker 3: by Keith and Murray, I think Brooks and Con Gillespie
- 51:58Speaker 3: are the two guys that make the most sense as
- 51:59Speaker 3: well as Goodwin. He's been playing good minutes five point
- 52:02Speaker 3: four K, good price, seg for somebody shooting guard small
- 52:04Speaker 3: Ford eligible Jordan Goodwin right around one Fantasy points per minute,
- 52:09Speaker 3: should be playing close to thirty minutes to night, so
- 52:10Speaker 3: he's actually a pretty strong value play. And then Dylan
- 52:13Speaker 3: Brooks is a guy that sees his usage jump up
- 52:15Speaker 3: in a pretty big way in the non Grayce and
- 52:18Speaker 3: Allen minutes, I think that he's fine. Will be guarding
- 52:21Speaker 3: DeMar DeRozan, who got to the line like fifteen times
- 52:24Speaker 3: last game, so there is a lot of foul rists,
- 52:26Speaker 3: but I think that Booker has some upside. And then
- 52:28Speaker 3: the King side, I think it's probably just Keegan and Damar.
- 52:32Speaker 3: For me, I think the price eggs are fair on them.
- 52:34Speaker 3: I don't love playing Kings just because none of these
- 52:37Speaker 3: guys minutes are very safe. Like we've seen Zach Lavine
- 52:40Speaker 3: lose minutes to Malik Monk. We're seeing like Damarrow even
- 52:43Speaker 3: get bench at times. I think Keegan is the safest
- 52:45Speaker 3: because they're the most invested into him. Just signed a
- 52:48Speaker 3: massive contract, so I think was a huge overpay in
- 52:51Speaker 3: the offseason, so they're going to want to play him
- 52:53Speaker 3: a lot. He's like not great from a point from
- 52:56Speaker 3: minut standpoint, just under one it's more closer to point
- 52:58Speaker 3: nine fantasy points for a minute season than it.
- 53:00Speaker 2: Is to one.
- 53:02Speaker 3: But if he lands like right around thirty five minutes,
- 53:05Speaker 3: then that's fine and enough him to payoff. But I
- 53:07Speaker 3: think he needs efficient rebounding and scoring to really pay
- 53:11Speaker 3: off in a big way.
- 53:11Speaker 2: So I don't.
- 53:12Speaker 3: I don't view these kings as priorities at all. I
- 53:15Speaker 3: think that the sun side is a little bit better.
- 53:17Speaker 3: Are you viewing anything differently in this game?
- 53:20Speaker 4: Not? Really?
- 53:20Speaker 5: Mostly the same. I like Mark Williams just as much
- 53:23Speaker 5: as you do. I think I like Booker a little
- 53:25Speaker 5: bit more than you do, just because you can poke
- 53:28Speaker 5: holes in like every extensive player on the slate, basically
- 53:31Speaker 5: like I just don't.
- 53:34Speaker 4: I just like Booker here. I wouldn't say I like
- 53:36Speaker 4: him more than you.
- 53:37Speaker 5: I just think, like to your point, you can voke
- 53:39Speaker 5: holes in all these guys, so none of them are perfect.
- 53:41Speaker 5: I think his floor ceiling combination in this spot is nice,
- 53:46Speaker 5: So I like Booker a lot. Mark Williams is likely
- 53:51Speaker 5: to be a core play for me, so he looks
- 53:53Speaker 5: really good.
- 53:53Speaker 4: My favorite center on the slate, I think, and then like.
- 53:57Speaker 5: The Goodwins Brooks, H kylein Gillespie's cool with any all
- 54:03Speaker 5: of them, none of them in any given lineup good
- 54:06Speaker 5: spot against Sacramento, So yeah, I think he definitely wants
- 54:09Speaker 5: some Phoenix exposure here. My top two are definitely Williams
- 54:13Speaker 5: and Booker, and then from the Sacramento side, I don't
- 54:16Speaker 5: like much to your point with Keegan being back. The
- 54:20Speaker 5: one guy that I could play though, uh you know
- 54:23Speaker 5: it's about as cheap as he'll be forty four hundred
- 54:25Speaker 5: coming off a good game is Malik Monk. Projects decent.
- 54:29Speaker 5: I don't think he gets any ownership really, and he's
- 54:31Speaker 5: got upside of this tag. So Monk is the one
- 54:34Speaker 5: guy that's going to stay in my pool from Sacramento.
- 54:37Speaker 2: Yeah, I like that call too. I mean, lake Monk
- 54:39Speaker 2: is a baller.
- 54:40Speaker 3: He deserves to be playing on a team that is
- 54:42Speaker 3: in the playoffs and competitive. I would like to see
- 54:44Speaker 3: him get traded somewhere I don't know where, but he
- 54:47Speaker 3: deserves to be playing for a good team.
- 54:51Speaker 2: Wohen not set that rule.
- 54:52Speaker 3: I think that it's probably smart to be max two
- 54:54Speaker 3: of like the secondary guys, like like the non Booker players.
- 54:59Speaker 3: I would say the guys that probably correlate the most
- 55:02Speaker 3: negatively would be Brooks, S, Gillespie, Royce, and Goodwin, so
- 55:07Speaker 3: you could be max two of those guys. I don't
- 55:10Speaker 3: really think that I want to play three sons, but
- 55:12Speaker 3: I think there are scenarios where three get there. But
- 55:15Speaker 3: I would probably just be max two of those four guys.
- 55:18Speaker 3: And then you know, if you have like if you
- 55:21Speaker 3: have Goodwin and Mark and Booker. I still think that
- 55:25Speaker 3: that three combo pack is is pretty solid.
- 55:29Speaker 4: I'm with you.
- 55:30Speaker 5: I could easily see three sons getting there, but I like,
- 55:33Speaker 5: right now, like looking at my builds, I really don't
- 55:35Speaker 5: want to play three in a lineup. I think I
- 55:37Speaker 5: want to be at that sweet spot of two and
- 55:39Speaker 5: my favorite two are Booker and Williams. I think I'm
- 55:43Speaker 5: I'm not sure if I'm more likely at this point
- 55:45Speaker 5: right now to play one or three, because I think
- 55:47Speaker 5: Phoenix is a really good spot, but there's other good
- 55:50Speaker 5: spots on this laye and other just good plays overall.
- 55:52Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 55:53Speaker 3: Yeah, this was like one of the tougher slates in
- 55:56Speaker 3: terms because I like to think about game environments as
- 55:59Speaker 3: a whole and like how I can play two to
- 56:01Speaker 3: three from a game. This was one where I just
- 56:03Speaker 3: I liked a lot of these games, but like, like
- 56:05Speaker 3: this game, the Kings and Suns game is a great
- 56:07Speaker 3: game for sure, but all the value from it is
- 56:10Speaker 3: coming from the Sun's side, Like you don't really write,
- 56:12Speaker 3: I don't really want people to think that you need
- 56:14Speaker 3: to be forcing a Kings player if you're playing three Sons,
- 56:16Speaker 3: because they can still get there. That's and that's the
- 56:19Speaker 3: same thing with these other two games, Like I love
- 56:21Speaker 3: the Spurs and Portland game, but I'm not really running
- 56:23Speaker 3: to play anyone on San Antonio in general, like in particular.
- 56:27Speaker 3: So yeah, I think that that makes a good point,
- 56:29Speaker 3: like you don't really have to be forcing correlation. We
- 56:31Speaker 3: talked about it a little bit, but I think that
- 56:33Speaker 3: this late more than others, is like a one that
- 56:36Speaker 3: you're just playing your favorite plays.
- 56:39Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 56:39Speaker 5: The one game that if I could see that correlating
- 56:42Speaker 5: a lot, if I were going to do it, is
- 56:44Speaker 5: that Indiana Toronto game.
- 56:45Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, And it's kind of funny because that
- 56:48Speaker 3: one doesn't really have any NBA Cup importance, at least
- 56:50Speaker 3: for the Indiana side, Like it's just a game that
- 56:52Speaker 3: could stay close. And then you also have to think
- 56:55Speaker 3: about it in terms of salaries, like the salaries like
- 56:57Speaker 3: exactly pretty well for that for that game, so good
- 57:00Speaker 3: good call out there, all right. Second, the last game
- 57:04Speaker 3: of the slate, really big game, really close spread, one
- 57:06Speaker 3: of the higher totals I believe on the slate, san
- 57:09Speaker 3: Antonio heading into Portland to take on the Blazers, who
- 57:12Speaker 3: could definitely use a win here to when they're grouping.
- 57:17Speaker 3: I think that this is a really really good spot
- 57:18Speaker 3: for Portland just match up aside, I really could see
- 57:21Speaker 3: the minutes game push up here. They seem like a team,
- 57:23Speaker 3: you know, younger squad on the whole that really takes
- 57:27Speaker 3: the NBA Cup seriously. Could be getting Shaden Sharp back,
- 57:30Speaker 3: which is a guy that's going to take away some
- 57:32Speaker 3: shots and usage. But just overall, I think it's a
- 57:35Speaker 3: pretty good spot for the Portland side. I'll let you
- 57:37Speaker 3: kick this one off and tell me if you've seen
- 57:39Speaker 3: anything on the San Antonio side in particular, because it
- 57:42Speaker 3: looks a little little thin for me.
- 57:44Speaker 5: Yeah, I think san Antonio looks thin, especially with Harper
- 57:47Speaker 5: coming back tonight and price tags like up a little bit.
- 57:51Speaker 5: Fox I think would be the top dog in a
- 57:53Speaker 5: competitive game. He can get there, but like you're paying
- 57:55Speaker 5: full fleet for him at ninety three hundred, and I
- 57:57Speaker 5: like book or more, but I think he's like a
- 57:59Speaker 5: reasonable pivot, but from the Portland side, like I think
- 58:02Speaker 5: I like them over Phoenix, especially if Sharp is out,
- 58:06Speaker 5: so off the rip, Like even if Sharp is in,
- 58:09Speaker 5: I think Denny is one of the top like three
- 58:11Speaker 5: to five plays, maybe even higher than that on the
- 58:14Speaker 5: slate overall in what should be a competitive game, a
- 58:17Speaker 5: game that they want. I like Denny a ton here,
- 58:21Speaker 5: even at that increase ninety five hundred dollars tag. I
- 58:24Speaker 5: think Klingen looks really good at fifty nine hundred. I
- 58:28Speaker 5: wish he played more minutes, but at you know, under
- 58:32Speaker 5: you know, probably fifteen percent ish ownership, I think he's
- 58:35Speaker 5: got high upside. Maybe he plays a few more tonight.
- 58:38Speaker 5: Jeremy Grant, presuming Sharp is out, I think looks intriguing
- 58:42Speaker 5: and then he wasn't great last time out, but he
- 58:45Speaker 5: wasn't awful and finished strong. I think that if Sharp
- 58:47Speaker 5: is out, Caleb Love is just going to remain in
- 58:49Speaker 5: play for me. I think he's like a boomer bust
- 58:52Speaker 5: option in tournaments pretty much always price tags.
- 58:56Speaker 4: Up a little bit.
- 58:56Speaker 5: But I mean, if you're familiar with his game from college,
- 58:59Speaker 5: you know that he can shoot you in and out
- 59:01Speaker 5: of a tournament any given night. And you know, I
- 59:04Speaker 5: think that with guys out, they've clearly relied on his
- 59:07Speaker 5: offensive game, and I think they will continue to do
- 59:09Speaker 5: so tonight. So as of now, the only like priority
- 59:12Speaker 5: piece for me is Denny. But I like a bunch
- 59:15Speaker 5: of other surrounding pieces, how about you.
- 59:19Speaker 3: Yeah, I like the kid low shout out. Good to
- 59:20Speaker 3: see a former tar Heel, and I guess former Wildcat
- 59:23Speaker 3: playing well in the NBA right now. I'm a big,
- 59:26Speaker 3: big North Carolina guy. I got family out there, so
- 59:28Speaker 3: I like seeing Star Hills in the NBA. Yeah, I
- 59:32Speaker 3: totally agree with your sentiment on the Blazer side, Like
- 59:34Speaker 3: I really really like them. I like all of them,
- 59:37Speaker 3: Like I'm cool with Grant, cool with I actually think
- 59:40Speaker 3: Klingon is. Yeah, like if one of the best plays,
- 59:43Speaker 3: if not the best, I guess him and Mark Williams
- 59:45Speaker 3: as like the one A, one B options for me.
- 59:47Speaker 3: I kind of want to start with both of those
- 59:49Speaker 3: two in my lineup, and then that gives me a
- 59:52Speaker 3: lot of salary in these later games to pivot where
- 59:54Speaker 3: I need to.
- 59:55Speaker 4: Yeah, but I.
- 59:56Speaker 3: Agree with you, like, I don't think that Denny comes
- 59:58Speaker 3: in the slow. I think that's kind of low on him.
- 1:00:00Speaker 3: Sabers only got him at five, We've got him at six.
- 1:00:02Speaker 3: Another plays has him close to fifteen. I feel like
- 1:00:05Speaker 3: fifteen and maybe lands somewhere in the middle like ten,
- 1:00:07Speaker 3: which would be really good. I mean, the role has
- 1:00:09Speaker 3: been outstanding for him in the games that Drew has
- 1:00:12Speaker 3: not played, like the touch times up potential assist or
- 1:00:15Speaker 3: up drives her way up against a team like the
- 1:00:17Speaker 3: Spurs who has gotten a lot worse on defense with
- 1:00:20Speaker 3: obviously no Wemby out there. So I think that Denny
- 1:00:24Speaker 3: is in a really really big spot here. I'm he's
- 1:00:26Speaker 3: probably my favorite spend. I think in the nine ker
- 1:00:28Speaker 3: Rine he's top dog for me. I have him projecting
- 1:00:31Speaker 3: a lot higher than this personally, I think he should
- 1:00:33Speaker 3: be closer to like fifty, then he should be to forty.
- 1:00:37Speaker 3: So yeah, Danny, love him tonight, love King Klinging. And
- 1:00:41Speaker 3: then if things just get a lot better for the
- 1:00:43Speaker 3: like Blazers are great regardless if Sharpe is in or out,
- 1:00:46Speaker 3: but then if he's in, you're still playing them. But
- 1:00:49Speaker 3: if he's out, then like Danny gets better, Clean gets
- 1:00:52Speaker 3: a lot better. Grant looks really good. Then you can
- 1:00:54Speaker 3: get to ky of Love as a value play. So yeah,
- 1:00:57Speaker 3: Blazer's side I think is really good. Agree with you
- 1:00:59Speaker 3: on Fox and he's top dog there, but I don't
- 1:01:01Speaker 3: love the matchup. I think Toomana Kamara probably you know,
- 1:01:04Speaker 3: one of the most underrated Definitely if you watch this
- 1:01:07Speaker 3: show the last two years, you know he's not underrated
- 1:01:09Speaker 3: amongst us, but one of the best defenders in the league.
- 1:01:12Speaker 3: We just saw him shut down Ryan Rawlins. Obviously Fox
- 1:01:14Speaker 3: is better and more talented than Ryan Rawlins, but it's
- 1:01:18Speaker 3: not like you're playing Deern Fox in a matchup against
- 1:01:21Speaker 3: the Wizards at his max price. You're playing him against Portland,
- 1:01:23Speaker 3: who is a really good who has a really good
- 1:01:25Speaker 3: defender in Toomna Kamaras, so I'd be okay getting away
- 1:01:27Speaker 3: from him.
- 1:01:30Speaker 2: That's probably it.
- 1:01:30Speaker 3: I mean, Harper, I think he's probably gonna be pretty
- 1:01:34Speaker 3: limited in his return, but he was really good from
- 1:01:36Speaker 3: a poor perm minute standpoint with Castle on Wemby off
- 1:01:39Speaker 3: the court the season. If there's any chance that he
- 1:01:41Speaker 3: returns close to full like twenty six minutes, I think
- 1:01:43Speaker 3: he's probably closer to like twenty two to twenty three.
- 1:01:46Speaker 3: If anything, then he could be a pivot off of
- 1:01:49Speaker 3: Reacheperd who's getting some ownership. That's kind of just like
- 1:01:51Speaker 3: a last ditch effort type thing. If you really missed
- 1:01:54Speaker 3: on some of your plays in the earlier slates and
- 1:01:56Speaker 3: you have Shepard later, then I would look to pivot
- 1:01:58Speaker 3: to Harper. But I think I'm probably gonna be Max one.
- 1:02:04Speaker 3: I think two for San Antonio was fine, just because
- 1:02:06Speaker 3: the game environment does look pretty good. So maybe we
- 1:02:08Speaker 3: get a random big performance out of like Vasell, or
- 1:02:11Speaker 3: like two of Vassil Kelden and Barnes and Champagnee or
- 1:02:15Speaker 3: Harpor something like that. I would be okay with that.
- 1:02:17Speaker 3: But the Blazer side is I think where all the
- 1:02:20Speaker 3: values coming for for me? All right, last game on
- 1:02:24Speaker 3: the slate, another one with very big importance, I guess
- 1:02:29Speaker 3: not as much. Warriors seem like they're pretty much a
- 1:02:31Speaker 3: long shot to win, so I would say this is
- 1:02:32Speaker 3: more so just a big game environment on the whole,
- 1:02:34Speaker 3: and we do get some good value on the Houston
- 1:02:38Speaker 3: side because they will be without Kevin Durant, who apparently
- 1:02:41Speaker 3: is having a baby. I didn't know that, but Kevin
- 1:02:44Speaker 3: Durant will be out tonight for personal reasons, and then
- 1:02:47Speaker 3: Steven Adams will also be out Jayshawn Tate they get
- 1:02:50Speaker 3: called up from the G League, so he'll probably be
- 1:02:52Speaker 3: in the rotation to some extent tonight. Warriors look like
- 1:02:55Speaker 3: they'll be fully healthy. Just missing Al Horford and Minga
- 1:03:00Speaker 3: right now. Man, I wish we had more time on
- 1:03:03Speaker 3: the show because I would have loved to talk a
- 1:03:04Speaker 3: lot about Cominga. I just feel like there was there
- 1:03:07Speaker 3: was no worse destination for him to go than to
- 1:03:10Speaker 3: play with Steve, like under Steve Kerr in terms of
- 1:03:12Speaker 3: like his development as a pro, because he's just got
- 1:03:15Speaker 3: the tightest, shortest leash of all like high potential players.
- 1:03:21Speaker 4: It's funny.
- 1:03:21Speaker 5: I know his agent from around here too, and he
- 1:03:24Speaker 5: that guy's also Terry Rozier's agent, so he's going through
- 1:03:27Speaker 5: it right now.
- 1:03:28Speaker 3: Yeah, tough tough scene right there for Kaminga inter Rasier's
- 1:03:33Speaker 3: agent for sure. Yeah, wish he locked up a bigger
- 1:03:36Speaker 3: Just just trade him. If you're not gonna play him,
- 1:03:38Speaker 3: just fucking trade him.
- 1:03:39Speaker 4: I don't know, It's freaking crazy.
- 1:03:41Speaker 5: I hate situations like this where the player just gets
- 1:03:43Speaker 5: screwed out. Yeah, already likely to not be like the
- 1:03:46Speaker 5: longest career.
- 1:03:47Speaker 4: It's crazy.
- 1:03:48Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 1:03:49Speaker 3: My good thing is he's still pretty young. I don't
- 1:03:51Speaker 3: know what he is now, like twenty four or something
- 1:03:52Speaker 3: like that. But you did miss out on a lot
- 1:03:54Speaker 3: of a lot of prime years. But anyways, so, yeah,
- 1:03:58Speaker 3: how are you viewing the Houston stuff? Because it does
- 1:04:02Speaker 3: look like a spot that's getting a lot of ownership.
- 1:04:04Speaker 3: I think there are ways that it could go wrong,
- 1:04:07Speaker 3: but also a lot of ways that could go right.
- 1:04:08Speaker 3: We did see Iman Thompson with the big Game last
- 1:04:11Speaker 3: time out, so I think that he's kind of sticking
- 1:04:13Speaker 3: out a big way. But what do you what are
- 1:04:14Speaker 3: you seeing from the Houston side?
- 1:04:16Speaker 4: So I think Houston. I like Houston here.
- 1:04:19Speaker 5: I don't want to get it twisted, but I don't
- 1:04:21Speaker 5: know if I like them as much as like the
- 1:04:26Speaker 5: Portland's and the Phoenixes of the world. So like I
- 1:04:30Speaker 5: like Sengoon, I'm just not sure he's just of a
- 1:04:33Speaker 5: priority for me as Denny and or Booker might be
- 1:04:36Speaker 5: still some time to decide that. I think Shepherd's my
- 1:04:41Speaker 5: favorite piece. I think he fits into like any type
- 1:04:42Speaker 5: of roster construction projects. Well, ownership is going to be there,
- 1:04:46Speaker 5: but nothing crazy on this slate. Where ownership is pretty
- 1:04:48Speaker 5: flat all over, and then a'man's like or i'man excuse me,
- 1:04:53Speaker 5: it's like the mid mid tier piece.
- 1:04:55Speaker 4: I like all of them.
- 1:04:58Speaker 5: I think that Shepherd might be only guy I prioritize,
- 1:05:01Speaker 5: and I'm fine getting to Amen or Sengoon. I just
- 1:05:06Speaker 5: it's like unlikely I'm gonna fall into ninety nine hundred
- 1:05:08Speaker 5: dollars Shangoon, like he's the type he kind of got
- 1:05:10Speaker 5: to build around and not the same but similar for Amen.
- 1:05:14Speaker 5: So if I were playing one fifty, I would definitely
- 1:05:16Speaker 5: be getting at least to the field of these guys.
- 1:05:19Speaker 5: But in like two three lineups, I'm just I'm not
- 1:05:22Speaker 5: sure who I'm going to be able to get to
- 1:05:24Speaker 5: other than Shepherd. But I think that those three guys
- 1:05:27Speaker 5: in particular are good plays. And then Joshakogi and Clint
- 1:05:30Speaker 5: Capella as like, you know, dumpster dive type guys. I
- 1:05:34Speaker 5: never want to play a Kogi, but playing thirty minutes
- 1:05:37Speaker 5: and thirty nine hundred shooting guard in small forward eligibility,
- 1:05:40Speaker 5: you could do a lot worse. And then Capella the
- 1:05:42Speaker 5: flat three k he's getting some ownership. Like, what's your
- 1:05:46Speaker 5: take on those guys?
- 1:05:48Speaker 3: I agree with you on a Koge, I think that
- 1:05:49Speaker 3: he'd be the one I'm more inclined to play, just
- 1:05:51Speaker 3: because I really like the center position tonight. I don't
- 1:05:54Speaker 3: really think that I would want to play Capella over
- 1:05:57Speaker 3: like a Klingon or Mark Williams, where I think that
- 1:05:59Speaker 3: they have slate breaking point pal upside. And it's not
- 1:06:03Speaker 3: like Copella is not feeling in the Steven Adams role.
- 1:06:05Speaker 3: He's feeling in like backup center minutes now, which is
- 1:06:08Speaker 3: probably one to two rotations each half for probably like
- 1:06:12Speaker 3: five or six minutes apiece. So I think that Copell
- 1:06:15Speaker 3: is a little bit worse than Okogi is as a
- 1:06:17Speaker 3: value play, not out of play by any means, but
- 1:06:21Speaker 3: Forferl Kogie there, and then I agree with you on Shepard.
- 1:06:23Speaker 3: I think that if I mean he's looking like thirty
- 1:06:27Speaker 3: percent now the most recent ownership, I'm seeing, we see
- 1:06:29Speaker 3: what we have him at.
- 1:06:31Speaker 4: Yeah, I could see him gaining big sea people.
- 1:06:33Speaker 2: Yeah him. Yeah, so he got him twenty nine percent.
- 1:06:36Speaker 3: That that feels right like I I was thinking he
- 1:06:38Speaker 3: would be if it was like fifteen to eighteen percent.
- 1:06:41Speaker 3: Just because he's a little bit priced up in the
- 1:06:42Speaker 3: box score doesn't look good in his first start, then
- 1:06:44Speaker 3: I would be very excited about playing him. He's playing
- 1:06:48Speaker 3: really well, really good permanent guy. There is more of
- 1:06:51Speaker 3: a case to be made now that he's going to
- 1:06:52Speaker 3: get some ownership against playing him, But I still like,
- 1:06:56Speaker 3: I'm I'm a believer in him as a talent, so
- 1:06:57Speaker 3: I'm fine getting to him for sure.
- 1:07:00Speaker 2: I do think that like.
- 1:07:02Speaker 3: Amen probably has really good upside that we probably still
- 1:07:06Speaker 3: like more more left on the table for him that
- 1:07:09Speaker 3: we saw from him the last game, really close to
- 1:07:12Speaker 3: either one of the bonuses. Seven rebounds, eight assists, but
- 1:07:14Speaker 3: twenty eight points. Very efficient shooting in his last two games,
- 1:07:18Speaker 3: and he's just gonna have to take on a larger
- 1:07:20Speaker 3: role offensively with no Kevin Durant. I also think that
- 1:07:23Speaker 3: this could be a spot where we see his steel
- 1:07:26Speaker 3: rates spike in a decently big way. The Warriors give
- 1:07:30Speaker 3: up the fifth most turnovers per game, so it could
- 1:07:31Speaker 3: be one of those spots where he I mean, they
- 1:07:33Speaker 3: run so many back picks and just like just picks
- 1:07:36Speaker 3: in general, that it could be if things aren't like
- 1:07:38Speaker 3: on the right page for the Warriors, than Amen could
- 1:07:41Speaker 3: have like four or five steals, a lot of easy
- 1:07:43Speaker 3: transition buckets in that sense, So I like him the
- 1:07:45Speaker 3: most out of Houston Seng Gooon. Like you said, building
- 1:07:50Speaker 3: block piece. He is powerfuward eligible now, which is good.
- 1:07:52Speaker 3: And I do think that the game that we saw
- 1:07:55Speaker 3: from him against Phoenix is probably more of like a
- 1:07:58Speaker 3: down outlier performance than it would be from what we're.
- 1:08:00Speaker 2: Seeing from him.
- 1:08:02Speaker 3: I bet him to get a triple double tonight because
- 1:08:04Speaker 3: I think that that's you're probably getting pretty good odds
- 1:08:06Speaker 3: considering he hasn't really done it. I don't think he's
- 1:08:08Speaker 3: done it more than once the season, maybe in the
- 1:08:10Speaker 3: first game of the season, but actually I don't think
- 1:08:13Speaker 3: he did it then.
- 1:08:14Speaker 2: He hasn't done it once this season.
- 1:08:15Speaker 3: But I think that the Ranger up comes is definitely
- 1:08:18Speaker 3: good there for him to get that. So, just from
- 1:08:21Speaker 3: like a betting standpoint, I like the odds there. But
- 1:08:23Speaker 3: you're taking like Steven Adams off the court, so rebound
- 1:08:26Speaker 3: numbers should look better, and then Kevin Durant off the.
- 1:08:27Speaker 2: Court, so the usage should look a lot better.
- 1:08:29Speaker 3: You don't only have to like Kadie is a guy
- 1:08:31Speaker 3: that can just like score an ISO, where now they
- 1:08:33Speaker 3: it's got to be like a team effort for this
- 1:08:35Speaker 3: team to score. So I think that could lead to
- 1:08:38Speaker 3: more potential assists than we saw from him last game.
- 1:08:41Speaker 3: And then Jabari Smith six point two K definitely deserves
- 1:08:44Speaker 3: some love. He's taken on a much larger offensive workload
- 1:08:47Speaker 3: and his look pretty good lately. The rebound numbers have
- 1:08:49Speaker 3: been pretty solid, and he's scoring the ball pretty well.
- 1:08:52Speaker 2: I don't really know.
- 1:08:52Speaker 3: Who's gonna be match up with. I don't think it's
- 1:08:54Speaker 3: gonna be Draymonds, so he should avoid their best defenders.
- 1:08:57Speaker 3: I kind of like Jabari here, but I don't know.
- 1:08:59Speaker 3: I like the I like Houston a good bit. I
- 1:09:01Speaker 3: think that, like a lot of my rosters are going
- 1:09:03Speaker 3: to feature Houston, Portland and Phoenix tonight and then yeah,
- 1:09:07Speaker 3: just kind of mixing and matching some of the other pieces.
- 1:09:10Speaker 4: I'm with you. I'm at Jabari call because I'm with you.
- 1:09:13Speaker 2: I like him too.
- 1:09:14Speaker 4: If if Giannis is out, Jabari your portous at this
- 1:09:18Speaker 4: basically the same price.
- 1:09:22Speaker 2: Man, that's close, I right, I think I would.
- 1:09:25Speaker 3: Have, Uh, it'd have to be Portus starting. Yeah he's starting,
- 1:09:31Speaker 3: then I would have you'd have to go to him.
- 1:09:34Speaker 5: Yeah, port of starting ports if not Jabari, I think
- 1:09:36Speaker 5: that's pretty easy. That's when there could be a lot
- 1:09:38Speaker 5: of those on this late it's hard to go into
- 1:09:40Speaker 5: each one.
- 1:09:42Speaker 3: Yeah, it'd be pretty close though, I yeah, i'd have
- 1:09:45Speaker 3: to be Portus starting if he's off the bench. I
- 1:09:47Speaker 3: would definitely lean Jabari because also the minutes upside for
- 1:09:50Speaker 3: Jabari is so much more appealing.
- 1:09:52Speaker 2: Like he does.
- 1:09:53Speaker 3: He can't get it to like thirty eight coming off
- 1:09:55Speaker 3: of like an injury where he's I forgot the injury was,
- 1:09:58Speaker 3: but he played pretty fully right off the so he's
- 1:10:00Speaker 3: got that like thirty eight to forty minute range of
- 1:10:03Speaker 3: outcomes where I don't think we're I don't know if
- 1:10:06Speaker 3: we're ever gonna see more than like thirty two from
- 1:10:09Speaker 3: Bobby Portis in a game now. I mean, he hasn't
- 1:10:12Speaker 3: top thirty in a game this season, so it's kind
- 1:10:14Speaker 3: of you really just need highly efficient scoring from Portos.
- 1:10:19Speaker 3: I agree, Oh all right, I think that's gonna do it.
- 1:10:22Speaker 3: Unless you have any any closing thoughts and just you know,
- 1:10:24Speaker 3: we got through the slate a little over an hour.
- 1:10:27Speaker 3: Talked a little bit of non DFS stuff in the beginning,
- 1:10:30Speaker 3: but yeah, it looks like a really fun slate and
- 1:10:33Speaker 3: I'm very happy that we got those three late night games.
- 1:10:36Speaker 4: Yeah, it should be a fun one.
- 1:10:38Speaker 5: A lot of like you know, DFAs gamesman ship going
- 1:10:42Speaker 5: into this one as opposed to some recent ones, just
- 1:10:44Speaker 5: because of the length in the in the slate, you know,
- 1:10:47Speaker 5: time wise, because there's more games, more gap between games.
- 1:10:51Speaker 4: So it should be a fun one. And I'm with
- 1:10:54Speaker 4: you on what.
- 1:10:54Speaker 5: You said earlier, like there's a lot of good plays
- 1:10:56Speaker 5: in the later game, So it's not really the type
- 1:10:58Speaker 5: of slate where you can just like jam early and
- 1:11:01Speaker 5: then be good. You can do that, but I don't
- 1:11:03Speaker 5: think it's likely to work out.
- 1:11:06Speaker 2: Yeah, for sure.
- 1:11:07Speaker 3: I would even be a little cautious about the Milwaukee
- 1:11:09Speaker 3: stuff eating into a bunch, Like if we're getting a
- 1:11:11Speaker 3: ton of ownership from Jannis being out on that, I
- 1:11:14Speaker 3: would proceed with a little bit of caution because I
- 1:11:17Speaker 3: think that it's not like we're waiting on news later
- 1:11:19Speaker 3: in the games. But those games just give they provide
- 1:11:21Speaker 3: you a lot more leverage by waiting and having some
- 1:11:24Speaker 3: spots open to pivot.
- 1:11:26Speaker 2: But all right, that's gonna do it.
- 1:11:28Speaker 3: Appreciate it, Good luck to everybody tonight, and I'll be
- 1:11:33Speaker 3: back tonight actually at seven pm Pacific, so ten pm
- 1:11:36Speaker 3: Eastern for all of our subs, all of our ultimate subs.
- 1:11:39Speaker 3: Me and Sheets are gonna do a little Thanksgiving show tonight,
- 1:11:41Speaker 3: So come hang out, Pour up a nice glass of
- 1:11:44Speaker 3: whiskey or some wine, talk some football with us, and
- 1:11:47Speaker 3: then me and Matt will be back on Friday to
- 1:11:48Speaker 3: close out the NBA Cup as he fills in for
- 1:11:52Speaker 3: him this week. Yeah, So good luck tonight, everyone, and
- 1:11:55Speaker 3: I'll catch you later.
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