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CPI Prep: Recession Fears Gone, Inflation Fears Back

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Housekeeping: Good Morning.

“The Gold reset is a process, not an event”

Today:

* Discussion: Crash Helmet

* Analysis: CPI today

Discussion: Still Creepy… But Not Worried Yet

* The last time the Fed cut 50 bps was September 18th 2007

Initial reaction was good. But then…

Zooming Out on Stocks versus Gold after the last 50bps cut…

* Then the GFC Started

Here we are in 2024…. humming the same tune…

Bottom Line: As long as oil stays down, we should be ok. But… if war spreads eastward in the ME, look out…

The skinny

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