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NFL Super Bowl 60 Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible.
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore.
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this.
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: good day at all. Own four that have not had
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: a good season. Man with wickens the slump that I'm on,
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: and the slump continues, I've reached a new peak. Actually,
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: I'm going to burn my browins hat man, I don't
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: Archhave is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's it's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: who even knows?
• 0:50
  Speaker 2: Man, I don't know.
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: What data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after, but we're a stay that
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: I could possibly have back with you as I always
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: am until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: and yesterday it did not go well for me. Own
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: five the worst month that I've ever had in my
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to even
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slump, praise, the slump.
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: Discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports. This is
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: going to be the Super Bowl edition. Hopefully people are
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: gonna catch the show. I didn't know when to do it, man, because,
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: as I talked about this morning, you want to like
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: have the information down because they're just if you If
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: you want to go over on props, you got to
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: get down on those early.
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: Although I'm not really gonna be doing that.
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be fading the public for pretty much everything
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be doing here, but that is the case,
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: Like you probably want to get down before there's the
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: rush of people going out to Vegas and they start
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: slamming the prop overs I'm gonna talk about. Some of
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: some of them are already gone, Like some of the
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: ones that I like, like the props have already moved
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: quite a bit on the numbers. So it's unfortunate but
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: if you like the unders, then you could play those
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: late because the public just plays overs on everything. So
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: that's basically the case. And then as far as the
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: side is concerned, they're two separate markets.
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: And it's interesting because.
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: The spread, the public usually likes to play the favorite
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: on the spread, so if you want to play the
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: underdog on the spread, you can pretty much wait and
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: get a better number late. But the money line is
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: actually like the complete opposite. The money line. The public
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: likes to bet a little to win a lot, So
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: the money line market, the public usually is betting the
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: underdog because oh it's the super Bowl, let's bet the underdog.
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: Just win it out right. I know it seems counterintuitive,
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: but that's the case. So if you are playing an underdog,
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: which is what I like to do, and I like
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: to sprinkle the money line on the underdog, it actually
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: makes sense to put the money line sprinkle in earlier
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: and get a better number on that before the public
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: comes in and swings that line, if that makes sense,
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: and then put your spreadbed in later if that makes sense.
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: And then if you want the favor and on the
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: money line, it makes sense to wait and you get
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: a cheaper number late. So that is the case, Charles,
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: what's up? Yeah, excuse me, a new peak the superb Owl.
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: There needs to be a team called the Owl. So
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: that's not the case. Only in College Temple and Florida Atlantic.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: Now I wanted to actually want to bring up one
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: more stat here really quick. Here that is gonna because
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna kick off the show with the side I'm
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: gonna I'm gonna give out a play on the side.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: You probably already know what it is because I'm wearing
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: their jersey. I don't know if I'm necessarily a fan
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: of them again here, but I got this alternate jersey.
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: They got Trey beyond a head interested here before he
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: started becoming totally unused. Uh, but that's a that's a
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: different story. Now I want to get the hold on.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: I want to look at what the underdog record is
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl. All right, Yeah, I think I
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: got all the numbers up, so that's uh. Actually, there
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: was one other number that I had that I don't
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: see here. Oh no, no, I see it. Yeah, Okay,
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: all right, let's get into this.
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: Shwing what.
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, it would be fine probably, although I don't know.
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, when I hated the Patriots for a long
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: period of time, and I would intentionally wear the opponent's
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: jersey every single week, and some people try to like
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: run me off the road and stuff, like when I
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: was wearing a Ladanian tom and and jersey during that
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: AFC Championship where Rivers was playing hurt and then I've
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: got some hate for my Eli Manning jersey that.
• 5:08
  Speaker 2: Super Bowl as well. People are not happy about that.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: I think if you were a Seahawks jersey right now,
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: I don't think people would really care that much though,
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: to be honest, like, they're not really a hated team
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: around here. If it was a different team that you know,
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: it might be different. But whatever, let's get into this.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about the side I have a play
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: on the side, I'm gonna talk about the total don't
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: have a play there, and then I'm gonna talk about
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: player props. I'm gonna give about one player prop, unfortunately
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: not more than that.
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: I'm not even really.
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: A player prop guy, so there's some confirmation on the
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: one that I have, so I'll give that out.
• 5:45
  Speaker 2: I'm gonna talk about.
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: The game props, which I like to do. I have
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: two of those, but you probably know what they are
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: if you follow me, because they do it every single year.
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: And then I'll talk about some of the just wacky
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: props at the end, just for fun, which I don't
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: recommend actually putting money on, but you know, if you
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: want to have some fun, maybe we could talk about that.
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: So that'll be what's going on here, and yeah, I mean,
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: that's how I'm gonna structure the show. Hold on a minute, dude.
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: I I wanted to have some other things up here
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: because I usually like to, oh, yeah, there it is
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: ya Okay, yeah, fine, I almost forgot who was doing
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: the national anthem, dirty sock? What's up? Man?
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: All right, let's get into it.
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: The first play up, we are going to talk about
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: the side, And like as soon as the championship game's finished,
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: I knew what I was gonna do on the side.
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: Like a lot of times, that'll be the case.
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: And I feel like I have a bet on the
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: side in the Super Bowl more often than I don't,
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: to be honest, and I think I've done fairly well
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: with those sides. If you remember last year, I did
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: not actually have a play on the side. Good thing,
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: because my opinion was wrong on the side, and I
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: was going against a lot of the professionals with that.
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: Luckily I did not have a play on that.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: It was all props for me last year and then
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: at five and oher so I was happy about that
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: with two player props, my two props that I always play,
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: and the tush push prop the length of shortest touchdown
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: being one yard all hit last year, so that was good.
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: We're not gonna do that one this year though, because
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: there's no tush pushing. So no, no, I don't want
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: to have fun, that's the thing. I want to just
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: make money, man, that's the whole goal here. But I mean,
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: if you do want to have fun, we can talk
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: about those props all right the side. You know what
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna do, man, because basically you want to fade.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: What is the perception here? I know right now we
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: see the lines basically stayed between four and five this
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: whole time. So I think we're gonna play the Patriots
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: here plus the points plus five is probably gonna be
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: out there no difference really between that and four and
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: a half.
• 7:49
  Speaker 2: So I think you're fine with four and a half as.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: Well, And I will recommend sprinkling on the money line,
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: of course, And like I said, if you want to
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: play the money line on this for I would recommend
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: about ten percent of the bet. You pretty much have
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: to do it earlier, like I said, because the public
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: is gonna come in and they're actually gonna play the
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: underdog on the money line, but not on the spread,
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: if that makes sense. But I don't think you're gonna
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: miss out on the spread numbers, So I mean, I
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: wouldn't really care if you played it now. This number
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: is not gonna get to six or anything like that.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: So four and a half five, either one of those
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: is fine. I think it'll just it'll pretty much just
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: stay around that the whole time.
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: It would be my prediction here.
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: And another sneaky way if you want some Patriot money
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: line action would be to play the MVP odds instead,
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: because it's highly likely that the quarterback on the winning
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: team will win the MVP. It's almost always the case.
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: So you could take Drake May to win the MVP
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: at like plus two forty five or something right now,
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: And that is kind of a sneakier way of getting
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: more money on basically a Patriot money line, if that
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: makes sense. There is always the risk that is just
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: an ugly low scoring game though, and because he's a
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: second year player and whatever, there is the risk that
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: that it does go to somebody else even if they win,
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: that some defensive player might get it or something. There
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: is that risk. But I do think if they win,
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: it will probably be the quarterback getting it.
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: So that's another sneaky way of playing that prop.
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: Of course, Sam Darnald does the best odds to win
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: the MVP for those reasons. Because he's the quarterback on
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: the favorite. His odds are probably around plus I don't know,
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: they might even be like plus one point fifteen, but
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: I would I would not bet that. I don't think
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: there's much value on that on the Donald one, Oh Kramer,
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe I should bring up when Kramer
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: is doing like the betting and stuff. I don't know.
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: Looking at the market here, we do see the Seahawks
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of tickets, sixty two percent.
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: Of the cash on them right now.
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: But I am certain that they are going to be
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: the public side on the spread. I've heard differing opinions
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: from pros. There are some pros that like the Seahawks,
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: some pros that like the Patriots, I'm obviously on the
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: side of the Patriots here based on doing this for
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: years and years and years. The arguments that I've heard
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: about the Seahawks are basically just, well, they're the way
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: better team, and I'm like, but that's not good enough.
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: Like everybody thinks that they're the way better team. Like
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, I love my man Marco DiAngelo on Wager Talk,
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: but his analysis was basically like, this game reminds me
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: of Dan Marino when he was in the Super Bowl
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: in his second year and he was going up against
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: the forty nine ers, and the forty nine ers destroyed Miami.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: But there's a huge difference there because if you go
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: back and you look at that, that was like nineteen
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: eighty five. I think if you go back and you
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: look at that, the public loved Miami because they were
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: scoring a ton of points and San Francisco was actually
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: not scoring that many points. They were winning with West
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: Coast offense, with defense, and San Francisco had a massively
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: experienced quarter I'm pretty sure it was Joe Montana. They
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: had like a massively experienced quarterback in the Super Bowl
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: and the better defense. So and yes, I know the
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: Seahawks have the better defense here. I'm not gonna deny that,
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: obviously they do, but that Super Bowl was just completely different.
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: There was just a massive experience edge and defensive edge
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: on the side of the forty nine ers, and the
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: public I don't think wanted the forty nine ers because again,
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: they didn't run like a very like, like their offense
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: wasn't wasn't like a show, you know what I mean.
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: Like Miami's offense was putting up a ton of points,
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: Like if you look at what they did, and I
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: looked at their playoff run that year, and they scored
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: like thirty plus points in every game, which was really
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: crazy for the eighties. So I'm almost certain that the
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: public would have been on that Miami team that year
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl. So I don't think that's the case.
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, we've seen that that's not the case. Here
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: the good segue into why like the Patriots, the Patriots
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: have been the ugliest team imaginable in the playoffs. Here,
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: In fact, they have scored the fewest points in a
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: three game playoff run.
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: I think maybe ever, like, I think they've.
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: Only scored like fifty something total points in this playoff run.
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: It's absolutely ridiculous. So who's gonna want them? Nobody, he's
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: gonna want them. The narrative is whoever won the NFC Championship,
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: Like basically that was the de facto super Bowl. That
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: was the narrative, Rams, Seahawks. Whoever wins that game is
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: the super Bowl winner. That's it. And if it was
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: the Rams, I might feel a little bit differently about
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: this because the Rams have a super Bowl winning quarterback
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: and coach who are very experienced, but the Seahawks don't
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: have that. The Seahawks. I mean, I know I've been
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: trashing Sam Donald since like last year. Fine, I'll give
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: him some props for the Seahawks getting this far, but
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: he's still Sam Donald. And if if they're gonna need
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: him to win a game in the clutch, I don't
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: know if it's gonna happen. Man to be honest, like
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: their defense can do it. And that's what happened last
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: week or two weeks ago. The defense was able to
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: basically stop the Rams, or maybe you could argue the
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: Rams play call and kind of stop the Rams because
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: I think that was the wrong play call to try
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: to get that touchdown. And then yes, the Seahawks did
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: chew the clock at the end, so they didn't screw
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: that up. But like it was on Darnold's shoulder. Oh, like,
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: let's have a two minute drive and win this game.
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know if he's gonna have the ability to
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: do that. To be honest, against the Patriot defense that
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: is actually better than people think at this point. This
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: Patriot defense is not that bad. I know they had
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: bad red zone numbers and stuff, but this Patriots defense
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: is actually fairly good. It's not as good as the Seahawks. Obviously,
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks have the number one defense in the NFL
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: by a lot of metrics, but the Patriots defense is
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: not that far behind. So if we're getting defense on
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: defense here, I think that makes sense as well to
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: be looking towards getting points because there might be fewer
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: points here. Hint, hint when I talk about this total
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: in a minute. But really, again, this is just about
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: the narrative. Like the narrative is, oh yeah, the Seahawks
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: are scoring all these points. They just scored forty something
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: against the forty nine ers in the playoffs, then they
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: scored over thirty against the Rams, so they scored seventy
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: something points in two games. Obviously, they're gonna just win
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: this game because the Patriots can't score. And the other
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: side of the narrative the AFC Championship was the worst
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: game of all time and that this should be the
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: Bills in the Super Bowl and not the Patriots. So
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: I think that's Yeah, that type of narrative has me like, basically,
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: I have to put in a play on the Patriots.
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: It's just that simple, even though I know they have
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: an inexperienced quarterback, but again, neither of these quarterbacks have
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: played in a game at this level before. And you
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: could make the argument the Patriots actually do have a
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: coaching edge in this game because Mike Vrabel as their
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: coach and he has multiple playoff games under his belt
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: as a coach with the Titans, so that's not too bad.
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: And he is a Super Bowl winner as a player.
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: I think he's trying to become the first person in
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: history to become a Super Bowl winner as a player
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: and a coach. By the way, I don't think that's
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: ever happened before, or maybe it's for the same team.
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I forget what the stat was, but yeah,
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: I mean all of that, and then of course, the
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: Patriots have Josh McDaniels. I mean, I hate him, but
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: he's still the OC there and he's a Super Bowl
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: winning OC. So I think there is a coaching edge
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: on the side of the Patriots. And just dude, from
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: watching the Patriots for so long, I don't know what
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: it is, but it just seems like their opponents just
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: always make dumb mistakes constantly. And that's what we've seen
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: again with this Patriot run in the playoffs. And I
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: know it hasn't been very impressive. I know, like they
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: got to face two dome teams in the outdoors in
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: New England. The Chargers had no offensive line. The Stroud
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: for Houston just had like the worst game of all time.
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: I get it. The Patriots had a pretty easy path here,
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: and then they got to face Denver without their starting quarterback.
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: I know, but that's gonna be the narrative. The Patriots
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: had this really easy path. I've even been saying it,
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: like all season. Yeah, the Patriots have played the weakest
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: schedule in history. I get it, that's all true, but
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: this is just one game now at this point, man,
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: I think the perception is skewed. I think it's because
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: of that, this line has been skewed a little bit
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: too high looking to get two very capable defenses here
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: Patriots plus the points, they're gonna be the play for me.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: So we will have a play on the side there.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: As far as the total, I don't have a side
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: on the total, I don't have a side. I don't
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: have a play on the total. But the total has
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: dropped from forty eight to forty five and a half. Obviously,
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: this game is in San Francisco, which, by the way, yes,
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks do have a little bit of an edge
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: because they're familiar with the venue. San Francisco is in
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: their division, But I just don't think that that's that
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: big of an edge really, even though I know they've
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: played there before.
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: They're on the West Coast, but.
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: These teams get two weeks to adjust to everything, you know,
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: it's not that big of a deal.
• 16:37
  Speaker 2: So I don't really care about that.
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: And as far as the fan base, I mean, honestly,
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: I think it'll be close to fifty to fifty. As
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: far as what the crowd looks like out there, I
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: know it's closer for Seahawks fans, but there are a
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: lot of Patriot fans out there unfortunately, so just because
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: they keep winning. So that's just the way that it is.
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: So I don't think that's really gonna be an issue
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: for that. But anyway, the total has dropped from forty
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: eight to forty five and a half. There's no weather
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: issue here because they're playing in California, so it looks
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: like it's gonna be in the sixties out and I
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: mean it's the super Bowl, like they pretty much intentionally
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: just play in good weather, except I think there was
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: one that was actually in cold weather not too long ago,
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: which is bizarre that I think was in the Metal Lands.
• 17:23
  Speaker 2: If I'm not.
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: Mistaken them, they should do that again, man. But whatever,
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: the weather's not gonna be a concern here. The money
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: is all coming in on the under Man. So I
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: think if you want the under you actually missed out
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: on the best numbers, like I would say, you probably
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: had to play it at forty seven, forty seven and
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: a half at that key number. I should, dude, I mean,
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: maybe I should do this show like right away because
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: so many of the numbers move so quickly.
• 17:47
  Speaker 2: It's very unfortunate.
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: I wasn't gonna play the total anyway. I have in
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: the past, but I wasn't gonna.
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: Do it anyway.
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: But if you wanted it, I think you had to
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: probably get it at forty seven forty seven and a half.
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: But I wouldn't really want to play it over sixty
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on the over seventy seven percent of
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: the cash on the under money is coming another under. Now,
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: what you can do is just wait because the public
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: is gonna get involved over the weekend, right, So I
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: would wait until Sunday and then you might actually maybe
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: it'll get back to forty seven if you really want
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: to play the under. Uh. To me, I think it's
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: maybe a little bit risky to play an under that's
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: gonna lead into my game. I'll do the game props next,
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: because that's gonna lead into the game props in a second.
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: Like I find other ways to basically play unders, but
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: public usually is gonna play over so usually the line
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: has to be skewed a little bit.
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: The public always roots.
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: For scoring they want on offense whatever, I like to
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: fade that sentiment, so that is what I usually do,
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: but not for the full game. And people first probably
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: remember last year the game was quite high scoring, so
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: that is probably gonna be people's minds as well. Now,
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: as far as how this game, like the X is
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: and O's play out, both defenses are really good against
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: the run. So I think that this might both offenses
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: have become one dimensional. It's gonna put both offenses in
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: the hands of inexperienced quarterbacks. I know Darnold's been in
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: the league for a while, but you know quarterbacks that
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: at least don't have experience on a stage like this.
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: So if you're asking the quarterbacks have to do everything,
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: and the defenses know that that's what the offense are
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: gonna do, that seems like it's gonna lend itself to
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: an under as well. If these if these offenses become
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: one dimensional. So and yeah, I mean, that's just the
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: case that I I would make. I would maybe even
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: make the argument that both these teams are better on defense.
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: And I don't know, maybe not the Patriots, but their
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: defense is actually better than I thought it was like
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: not too long ago looking at the numbers. So, but
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: both defenses are very good against the run. Okay, And
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: that's gonna lend itself into uh, the way that I
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: like to actually go with unders here, there are a
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: few different options that you can do. One option that
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: I know a lot of professionals like to do is
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: to play the second half to be the higher scoring half,
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: because the idea is super Bowls usually start out really
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: slow because the teams are a lot of times not
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: familiar with each other.
• 20:07
  Speaker 2: They feel each other out.
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: They don't get that aggressive early because they don't want
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: to make mistakes. And that's even that was even the
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: case with the Patriots under like Bill Belichick. They were
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: like notorious for having slow super Bowl starts. So I
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: don't know if it's gonna be the same with Vrabel,
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: but I think it's just a general thing that happens
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl. So I know a lot of
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: guys like to play second half to be the highest
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: scoring half. And some books will have it exclude overtime,
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: so you need the second half alone without overtime to
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: outscore the first half. Sometimes it includes overtime, and overtime's unlikely,
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: but I know it did happen two years ago there
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: was the overtime of course. Segue. That's another thing that
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: like the public likes to play these huge money money
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: line props on the yes like they love to play yes,
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: there will be an overtime and they get like eighty
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: to one on it. But the thing is, even that's
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: not good enough odds, like like you should actually play wait,
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: eighty to one is eight to one?
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: Eight to one?
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: I'm out of my mind, right, I think eight to
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: one is usually what they get on it. But that's
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: not nearly an off man because the overtime, I think
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: it's only happened like a couple times in super Bowl history,
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: so the odds should be a lot crazier than that.
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: So I know there are professionals that actually will lay
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: like minus a thousand on the Know overtime because it's
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: almost a sure thing and that you actually should probably
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: be laying about. Really, you should be laying about double
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: that on the Know overtime because the public gets involved.
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: They just like to play yes, there will be an overtime.
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: There are a lot of props like that, like they'll
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: play yes, there will be a safety, which is more
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: likely than overtime. But still the they love to get
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: that number, like what do they They probably get about
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: four to one or something on that, but safeties don't
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: happen often to the super Bowl either, so that should
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: be a higher price as well, So I recommend not
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: playing those props or laying the laying the lumber on
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: the higher like the money, the money my favorite on those.
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, even though you're laying a lot to win
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: a little, that's why the public doesn't want to do that.
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: They want to pay a little to win a lot.
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: But that's what the books know that, and they don't
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: give you good enough odds, just like they do with parlays.
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: And then you know, recent times, you could play like
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: the score of Gami, which you could probably get like
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: fifteen to one, twenty to one, which means it'll be
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: a unique score that hasn't happened before in the Super Bowl.
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, I don't love any other or
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: the octopus. That's another one that people love, which is
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: when the same player gets a touchdown and gets a
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: two point conversion on that same touchdown, and that's that
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: one's probably like I don't know. I would guess that
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: one's probably about eighty to one, but I don't know,
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: and even that's probably not enough. It's extremely unlikely. So
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: you know, those are the types of problems that I
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: like to avoid. It's like playing the lottery basically, but
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: you're pretty much not gonna win any of those. Anyway,
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: back to what I was about to say, you want
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: to look towards the game to be lower scoring early
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: on the second half, to be the higher scoring half.
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: I think you would probably get about minus one thirty
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: on that. Usually minus one twenty five. You can get
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: a pretty decent number on that. And usually it does happen,
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: because again teams start slower earlier on and second half.
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: Sometimes we'll see just kind of a barrage of scoring
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: at the end. Might not happen in this game, though,
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: because the deep enses are quite good, so I don't know.
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: This might be one of.
• 23:27
  Speaker 2: The uglier, like lower scoring super Bowls that we get.
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: But we'll see about that.
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: Now. I'm gonna play it in a different way.
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: I like to look at like focus on the early
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: part of the game to not have a lot of scoring.
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: So a lot of times I.
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: Will like to play under in the first quarter, and
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: I like to try to find a ten for that
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: because ten is a very key number. But of course
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: in a game like this, you're not gonna find a
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: ten for the first quarter. Total, like the second quarter
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: and fourth quarter will both be like twelve. Probably somewhere
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: in that range because second quarters those always are higher,
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: like they always have higher scoring totals because the team
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: might be like on the verge of scoring headed into
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: the next quarter, you know what I mean. Whereas at
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: the beginning of the game and at the beginning of
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: the third quarter, teams have to actually drive the length
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: of the football field usually. But what I do is,
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: you know what I do, and I haven't found it
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: this year, but I'm gonna do it in a different
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: way a little bit. But usually what I like to
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: do is no score in the first six and a
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: half minutes. I play that almost every year, and the
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: public does not like to play that because I don't know,
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: it kind of messes with their mind. They think, wait
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: a minute, like six and a half minutes like that,
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: it seems like there will be scoring at some point
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: within that window. But I'm gonna tell you right now,
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: eight of the last nine Super Bowls that prop has hit.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: So the only one that it didn't I think was
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: the Uh I don't even remember which one it was,
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: to be honest, yeah, I forget, I forget which one
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: it was. But it hits like every single year pretty much,
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: and the Patriots Tom Brady's Super Bowls are like no
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: tour for that actually being a winner.
• 25:02
  Speaker 2: For whatever reason.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: They just if they had the ball, they would start slow,
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: they would have that slow drive. But I think that's
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: gonna happen regardless of who starts with the football here. Again,
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: I think with inexperienced quarterbacks, the coaches are not gonna
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: want to put the load on them. They're not gonna
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: do anything crazy, They're not gonna take huge risks. So
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see some slow starts to this game.
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: So we have to avoid like crazy crap like turnovers
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: and stuff like that. And yeah, I know the I'm
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: not expecting the offense to be able to run the
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: ball that well. But that's gonna be the prop that
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: I recommend for this one, which is, well, actually I'm
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: gonna I couldn't find the six and a half minutes, man,
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: because the books are on that. You can usually get
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: like minus one ten no score in the first six
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: and a half minutes. The best I could find was
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: no score in the first six minutes at minus one forty.
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: But I still think that's a very cheap price for
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: how often this happens. This was at one of the
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: big books. I think it was DK. I don't know
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: if we're allowed to say that, but I'm pretty sure
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: it's out there, so you can find it, maybe at
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: a couple of the other I looked at the other books,
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: though some of the books don't have these first score
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: and x minutes props. The books are kind of cracking
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: down on it because they know that six and a
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: half minute one is like a sharp play like all
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: the time. But I still think this is worth it.
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: No score in the first six minutes minus one forty Again,
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: the Super Bowl gonna lay some money lines like in
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: ranges like this, so I think that is definitely worth it.
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: S that's the first play. I know, again it's boring,
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: I get it, but it wins like most of the time.
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: Bad Bud. I don't even know if I want to
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: talk about bad Bunny. I mean, we can talk about
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: some of the ridiculous props there. Eighty to one, Yeah,
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: that's not what it is. I think for the overtime,
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: I think it's like eight to one usually or something
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: like that. I don't know because I never would play
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: those props, so I don't know the score gasm.
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, and then yeah.
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: As far as other game props, there is one other
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: one that I call like the complete mind fuck prop
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: because the the public never likes to do this and
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: it is better in higher scoring games. But this one,
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: I believe it hits at like over a seventy five
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: percent rate in Super Bowl. So as long as you
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: get a price that's like I would say better than
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: about like, I usually will go like even up to
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: minus one to eighty on this thing, even though some
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: professionals say that that there's.
• 27:21
  Speaker 2: No value in it anymore.
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: But we don't have to worry about this year because
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: we can find it at minus one fifty five at
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: multiple different books. The stream Yard wasn't letting me bring
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: it up, but it's either team scores three consecutive times
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: in the game. Usually a lot of Super Bowls. You're
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: laying about minus one seventy on this thing. I think
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: in like super Bowls, they're where it's expected to be
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: higher scoring or whatever. This one again, this both of
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: those ones that I just talked about, this one in
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: the six minute one.
• 27:47
  Speaker 2: I think you might be.
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: Able to wait on this a whoops that was a
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: ten second time or on that one.
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: I think what is happening.
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: Stream Yards is not even letting me change anything. Man,
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: I don't know stream Yards being moronic. I also who
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: my vision is like off right now? Man, I'm trying
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: to still do this.
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I might have to. I don't know
• 28:07
  Speaker 2: what's going on with my vision right now.
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: Stroke, seizure, brain or something.
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't know. It might be like
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: floaters or something. This might not be good. I might
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: have to take a break. I don't know.
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: But yes, either team to score three consecutive times. You
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: know me, I do this every single Super Bowl. Somewhere
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: in this ballpark range. This is actually a cheap price.
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: And this was at multiple books out there. It was
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: that the book that starts with an M and it
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: is with the G in and M. I found it
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: at this price, and then there was at least one
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: other that had it.
• 28:38
  Speaker 2: I think it might have been It might have even
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: been the one.
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: That starts with a C. I don't know. There were
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: a few out there, and there are some prices that
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: are still close to this, like I think FD and
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: DK I think both have this at around minus one
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: sixty minus one sixty five. So that's not horrible either.
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: But find the best number that you count on this.
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: But I always do this because the public they look
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: at this prop and they think that it like that
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna happen, like how could one team score
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: three consecutive times in the game. But I'm like I said,
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: it happens the majority of the time, more so than
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: what this price is giving you here. Like again, for me,
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: I think you could lay up to about minus one
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: eighty on this with how often this thing happens.
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: It did hit again last year.
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: There are a few in recent memory where it didn't hit,
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: but it does hit more often than it doesn't by
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: a significant clip, So we're doing it. It might be
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: a little bit riskier in a game like this with
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: lower scoring, like of course, it did not happen in
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: that Patriots thirteen to three Super Bowl, so hopefully we're
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: not going to get that, although that one had missed
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: field goals in it on the part of the Rams,
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: so I don't know.
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: So for this prop.
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: Obviously extra points don't count as part of the prop,
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: but it's touchdown, field goal or safety. And yet it
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: does happen way more often than you would think, and
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: some of that is because it can happen across halftime too,
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: so you can get a situation where a team is
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: gonna they score right at the end of the half
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: and they're gonna get the ball to start the second half.
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: So that overlap between the halves also really helps this
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: prop out. Like sometimes it will happen across the halves.
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: Last year, I think both teams might have actually done it.
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but we're gonna go with that one
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: as well. Either team scores three consecutive, so let's let's
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: do that, and then we're gonna get to the player
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: props here where, and then I'll talk about just some
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: of the wilder props. Who man, I don't know why, dude,
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on with my vision here. Man.
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: Player props. There's only one that I really like here,
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: and it is endorsed by Vegas run or Yanni the Greek.
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: I heard him talking about it on one of the
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: shows on Waverers talking. I've seen some other endorsements for
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: it as well. This is one of the ones. This
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: is way under the radar. I don't think the public
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: is gonna want to be playing this. Probably you're not
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: even gonna be able to guess what it is unless
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: you watch its. So we're gonna go with George Hullani
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: over one and a half receptions, although the best that
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: I found it out there is at minus one thirty five.
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: It seems to be about minus one thirty five everywhere,
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: but I think in this price range it is worth
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: it this one.
• 31:15
  Speaker 2: The number might not come down on.
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: This because it is an over, but I don't know,
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: because this one doesn't seem like it's gonna be a
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: public thing because public probably doesn't even know George Hallani is.
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: And that's the beauty of this is that he is
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: the running He's basically the second string running back for Seattle.
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: Now he's getting involved because sharbon A is hurt now,
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: Sojlani is basically taking a lot of his snaps and
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: he's basically gonna be the running back on passing downs.
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: And I just talked about how I think both of
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: these teams are gonna be passing more than running because
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: I think the running game is gonna get shut down
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: by both deepfenses. And I do have some stats here
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: looking at stat News, which I do actually pay for. Here,
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: as long as these numbers are correct, these teams have
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: both been really good against the run this season. The
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: Seahawks have been third against the run here and then
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: the Patriots are fifth. That looks like here and rushing
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: yards allowed at least total for the season. So if
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: if the Seahawks rushing game is gonna get you know, stiffed.
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: And also I kind of like under on Kenneth Walker's
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: total by the way, that one you might be able
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: to wait on because it's an under, but I've seen
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: that number all over the place, between like seventy one
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: and a half seventy three and a half. Obviously, if
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: you go under, you want to go under the highest
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: number that you can find. But I would look at
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: that too. Although the Patriots, I believe they've held their
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: opponents to an average seventy seven, but that's seventy seven
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: total rushing yards between all the opponents backs in a game.
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: So I think Walker going under, especially because people just
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: remember him like torching San Francisco the other week or whatever.
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: Walker is gonna be the you know, the bell cow.
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: He's gonna get all the runs. But I just don't
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: know they're gonna much success. And Russian games don't have
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: a lot of success in the Super Bowl in recent memory.
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: If you remember, I did go under with Saquon Barkley
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: last year, but his number was like, what was it,
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: like a hundred or it was something crazy, and I'm like,
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: there hasn't been a one hundred yard Super Bowl rusher since,
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: like I don't know, like decades ago, So I was like,
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: we definitely should go under that. That was an easy
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: winner under On Barkley last year despite the Eagles having
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: the lead, he still didn't get the yards, so not
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: even close. So I do like Kenneth Walker under the
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: seventy three and a half or whatever, but we're gonna
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: play it in a bit of a different way here.
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: This also kind of keys into that same type of
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: thing where we think that Seattle is going to be
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: probably having a lot of passing. They're gonna have a
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: lot of passing plays, and if the passing play is
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: gonna get you know, messed up or whatever, and he
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: doesn't have receivers that he can throw to whatever, this
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: is gonna be his check down here, Hailani. And he's
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: not gonna drop many of those. He's known for having
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: good hands. But also these short passes to backs, you know,
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: they they don't drop too many of them because they're
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: just easy pitching catch and we don't need him to
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: get yards on these, we just need him to make
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: the catch. So I think it's gonna happen. And if
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: you look at how sharbon A was being used, he
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: had two or more receptions in four of his last
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: five games before he went down, not including the San
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: Francisco playoff game or I think he got injured. And
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: then Holani did it against the Rams last week. He
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: had two I think against or no, he had three
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: I believe against the Rams last week. So basically, if
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: you well, if you don't include that forty nine er game,
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: we're you know, we're neither running back really got a
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: full Yeah, neither running back got to play the full
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: game or whatever. So if you don't include that San
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: Francisco playoff game, five of the last six games, the
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: receiving back if you will, on Seattle has has hit
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: this and had two or more. So I like that.
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: And this is the type deepfense that you do want
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: to do this with, because the Patriots actually have allowed
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: the I believe, the fourth or fifth most running back receptions.
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: This is what we're looking at here running back stats. Here,
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: I know, the Seahawks have actually allowed the most I know,
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: but the number that you're getting on Ramandre Stevenson is
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: way higher. But the Patriots have allowed the fifth most
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: receptions to running backs. They don't allow that many yards
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: to the running backs on pass attempts, so they allow
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: a lot of running back receptions. I think that's because
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: they shut down the runs. So this is a good
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: deepfense to play this prop against. So we're gonna do it.
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: Nobody even knows who Halani is because he hardly played
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: this year, but he's in there now because charbon A
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: is out. So that's what we're doing, Hilani to get
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: over one and a half receptions. Let's get it done, man,
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: get us, get us two receptions. They could be for
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: zero yards for all I care, but just get the
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: two catches.
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: Zach, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out all right?
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: And then other player props that I did look into,
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: I did potentially like I was looking at, well, the
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: Seahawks allows so many running back receptions as well because
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: they stuffed the run as well. So I was thinking,
• 36:13
  Speaker 1: maybe we want to look at Stevenson to go over
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: his receptions. But he's sitting at three and a half,
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: so that kind of worries me a little bit.
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: In his recent games, he's been like.
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: Kind of fifty fifty as far as getting that number,
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: so that worries me a little bit more. Although I
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: wouldn't disagree, I think maybe the better way to look
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: at Stevenson would be to go over his reception yardage, actually,
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: because the Seahawks have actually allowed a lot of running
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: back receiving yards. As we see here, they've allowed the
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: sixth most running back receiving yards. The Patriots actually haven't
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: allowed as many sixteenth So that's the way that you
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: could look at it too. But it seems like there
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: is sharp money on that one Romandre Stevenson to go
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: over his receiving yard because that number has already gone up.
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: I think it's gone up from like forty one to
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: forty four or something. I would have to look at
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: what the numbers again, but is that right? Is it
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: in the forties? Hold on? Let me say, um, let
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: me look at what the numbers real quick. But it
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: has gone up. So that's the problem with with Stevenson
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: on that prop. Here, let me find the number real
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: quick here, looking real quick, I apologize I'm looking on
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: Action Network. I mean they don't they don't have any
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: of the game types of props. So they do have
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: they show you all the books for all the like rushing, receiving,
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: passing problems, all that type of stuff. Receiving yards for Stevenson. Uh,
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: I meant, yeah, twenty Why did I say forty twenty?
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: It's gone up from twenty two and after twenty four
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: and a half, though it looks like, actually, you know what,
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: some of the books do have it a little bit. Yeah,
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: some of the books do actually have it. No, it's
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: juice though if you go over the twenty two and
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: a half, it's juiced like minus one thirty five or
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: I see the other books pretty much have it at
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: twenty four and a half. So I don't know. It
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: seems like there has been some movement up on that one.
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: I agree with it, and I think he has gone
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: over that in more of his recent games than he hasn't,
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: So I wouldn't disagree really with that with Stevenson to
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: go over his receiving yards because the Patriots might have
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: to do that again because the rushing might get shut
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: down a little bit by this defense. I also considered
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: Hunter Henry to over his yards. His number has gone
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: way up. It's gone up from like thirty three and
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: a half up to thirty nine now, so I think
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: all the value has been extracted. I think the Sharps
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: hit that one really early, unfortunately, because that one is
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: a good one. Hunter Henry to go over. I think
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: he's he has gone over that, even the thirty nine.
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: I think he has gone over that in like four
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: of the last six games or something like that. I think,
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: maybe not including the playoffs, so I think the playoff playoffs.
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: I think the playoffs, he hasn't really done that much.
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: I think he did it against the Chargers, I think
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: his former team, but didn't do it in the other
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: two games. But the reasoning for it is the Seahawks.
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: They're actually they're bad at defending tight ends, dude, or
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: at least they're what maybe you could argue they're forcing
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: offenses to go to the tight end. So if you
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: look at the receiving yards allowed two tight ends by
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: the Seahawks, why don't we see them here?
• 39:24
  Speaker 2: Where are they?
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: Yeah? I don't know why it does that, man. Yeah,
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: they're sixth in yardage a lot. They've allowed the sixth
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: most yardage to tight ends this year, so they do
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: allow a lot of yardis to tight ends, and they
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: play a zone deepfense, and Hunter Henry is like the
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: fourth most effective tight end versus the zone, so and
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: you know, may may may may have to go to
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: him quite a bit. So I don't disagree with Hunter
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: Henry over his yardage total. But the problem is again
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: it's gone way up already to thirty eight and a
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: half thirty nine instead of thirty three and a half,
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: which would have been a lot better, And the public
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: is not gonna be playing the under on that. So
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: but I do agree he should have a decent game
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: twenty two and a half, but it's juiced right if
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: it's twenty two and a half minus one ten, I mean,
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know, maybe take the shot on the over.
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: I mean on that one minus one thirty five on
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: the over. I don't really like that as much because like,
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: how much is how much is one receiving yard worth?
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know, I'm not sure it's hard to gauge that.
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: But though those are my props, man, and those are
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: the other thoughts that I had, So I lean, you know,
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: Hunter Henry over his receiving yards. I lean uh Stevenson
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: over receiving yards and over receptions, but Jilani is the
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: one that I think is way under the radar and
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: not really moving.
• 40:47
  Speaker 2: Yeah, minus one thirty five.
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: I don't like that, Like I would probably just I
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: don't know, I would probably just go over the the
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: bigger number, but I don't I don't even I don't
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: think I want to do it. But this this is
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: a defense where running backs do get receptions and they
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: get receiving yards against this defense, So I don't know, that's.
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: What I was thinking.
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: I also don't mind I don't know what the number
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: is on it, but I also don't mind Sam Darnald
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: to throw an interception, because it seems like pretty much
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: every quarterback is throwing an interception against the Patriots. I
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: don't think Stidham did. I know he had that fumble
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: that may have not been a fumble, but uh, Donald's
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: will throw a pick, I don't know, especially the way
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: that he plays in huge games like this seems like
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: maybe an okay prop as well. I'm assuming it would
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: be a slight favorite, but probably not a huge favorite.
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: You might be able to find it, like minus one
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: thirty or something. I don't know. I don't mind that either.
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: All right, That's that's it for all my actual plays. Man,
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: we can get in some of the wackier props here
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: that people like to play. So the National Anthem is
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: of course one, which is going to be I already forgot.
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: They got Charlie Pooth. Is that his name, Puth? Charlie
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: Pooth is going to be the uh, the National Anthem singer.
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: And the number is somewhere close to two minutes here,
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: which is usually around where it is.
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: Where's the length it's on?
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: This site has some weird props on it. It is
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: at one hundred and twenty five seconds. It looks like
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: it might differ depending on what book you're looking at.
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: Some of these props you can't find the at the
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: main books, by the way, you might have to go
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: to the other guys, if you know what I mean,
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: the ones that are off of the shores. Let's say
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: that's how you find some of these really crazy props
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: that are out there. You know, so you might have
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: to find National Anthem. You might be able to find
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: it the main books, though I don't know, but it's
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: set if it's at one one and twenty five seconds.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: That's two minutes and five seconds, right. So I have
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: seen some professionals say that they like the over for this,
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: and I don't know about that, because, first of all,
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: you don't know what he's gonna do at all, So
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: I don't want to I don't want to have money
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: on this. But Pooth is a pianist, and I know
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: that he's done the National Anthem before, just playing piano,
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: and you know, people take liberties with this now. I
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: know Batiste, I kept calling him Baptiste Batiste last year
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: he went over, and I know there was a lot
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: of controversy because I think he extended the last I
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: think he stopped and then kept going on the on
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: the brave at the end, and people flipped out. But
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: I think the over was the correct way to score
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: that one because he hadn't finished singing the song yet.
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: So but he, you know, did kind of a jazz
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: version of it. A lot of people didn't like it.
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: I actually thought it was decent, but guys are taking
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: more liberties with it now. So there's the chance that
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: Pooth does an instrumental version of it. And there was
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: the chance that Batiste was gonna do that last year too,
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: so I think the books actually might have two different
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: numbers up there, so they might have a different number
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: if it's an instrumental because I know Pooth.
• 43:58
  Speaker 2: There are some videos out there of him.
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: Doing an in mental version of it, and he does
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: it in like just over a minute, so it's gonna
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: be way shorter I think if he does piano only,
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: but the books would probably negate like the bet if
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: you bet on like the singing version of it. For
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: the singing version of it, I've heard some opinions on
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: the over on it, but I just don't know enough
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: about it or why that would be the case. I
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: don't know if people are going back and watching him singing,
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: and if he does go over that, I don't know.
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: But maybe it makes sense because maybe he'll take some
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: liberties with the song and do some different things. Although
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: if he starts out piano only, that doesn't count for
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: the prop bet. The prop bet only starts when he
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: starts singing the lyrics.
• 44:40
  Speaker 2: So I don't know.
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: Non alcoholic guinness, no, I have other I don't even
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: know if I've ever had non elk guinness. Actually I
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: don't know. I've heard it's pretty good though, maybe I
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: should find some try it. I have a bunch of
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: other non alc options there. Never heard of him, I've
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: like barely heard of him. I don't really know who
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: he is. He's in the rip for Paul Walker, Fast
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: and Furious. I don't know Erica Kirk showing up. I
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: don't see any odds on that. So, like the weirdest
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: props that I've seen, there's one on mac Hollands showing
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: up barefoot, which is at minus five point fifty or something.
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: He's the Patriots wide receiver, because I guess he did that.
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: He showed up barefoot at some I think it was
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: a game against the Bills, or it was snowing or something.
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know, And I guess that's just his thing now,
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: So I guess it's a heavy favorite that he will
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: do that, especially in California. So I don't know. There's
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: probably not a whole lot of value on that one.
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: There were some other weird ones here.
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: You know, you can bet on which San Francisco landmark
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: will be shown first, Golden Gate Bridge versus Alcatraz. It's
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: obviously gonna be the bridge. Why would you even want
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: to bet that. I mean, well, I guess if it's
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: obvious you should bet it. I guess it's at minus
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: five five hundred.
• 46:09
  Speaker 2: I don't know. I don't know.
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: There is this one on which song will be sung
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: by the crowd.
• 46:14
  Speaker 2: What does it even mean? Like that's basically which song.
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: Gets played in the stadium first between take Me Home,
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: Country Roads. It's a Sweet Caroline? Come on, man? Is
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: that just because it's the Patriots and that's a Red
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: Sox thing? I fucking hate Sweet Caroline, Man, hate it.
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: Hate when the crowd doesn't hate all of that. Of course,
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: you can bet on the coin flip, but of course,
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: if the books charge you even minus one oh one
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: on the coin flip, they're gonna make money on it.
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: So I don't recommend betting the coin to us because
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: it's literally fifty fifties. So unless the books somehow give
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: you fifty to fifty odds on it and you want to,
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: you know, at least gamble at like even money on it,
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: you could do that. But the books obviously pretty much
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: are gonna charge you unless you get some sort of
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: discount by being a good customer or whatever. I'm gonna
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: talk about the Gatorade last probably like I did last year.
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: The gatorade is kind of interesting. If you can bet
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: on a bunch of stuff for the halftime show, you
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: already know my feeling on MVP. I think there might
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: be some value on may as MVP because they think
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: he probably gets it off the Patriots win. You can
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: bet on a lot of stuff related to the halftime show.
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: You can bet on like Bad Bunny's headwear, which I
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: was thinking about that, like no hat is like plus
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: two hundred stuff. And I remember back in the day,
• 47:32
  Speaker 1: I actually did bet no hat on one of the
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: Off the Shore guys with Bruno Mars and the books
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: had to take that one down because he showed up
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: on like a late night show with a pompadoor, so
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: everybody was like, oh yeah, he's not wearing a hat,
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: which wound up being a winner, and the books realized
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: they had screwed up with that. Once they saw that,
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: they had to pull the bet down. But of course
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: if you already bet it, they had to pay it out.
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: So there is a similar one here. Bad Bunny to
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: not wear a hat, is it like plus two hundred something.
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: I thought he had the kind of like an afro
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: or like curly hair thing going on.
• 48:05
  Speaker 2: So I don't know.
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: Is he gonna wear a hat?
• 48:06
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: I don't know. If I don't know enough about him,
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know what he's gonna be doing. Uh, it's
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: definitely gonna be gay though, whatever he's doing. Yeah, well, yeah,
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: these books don't have these silly props on it, Like
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: some of these. You have to go off the shore
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: for some of these efforts. So you have to go
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: to BM and uh BV and whatever the other what
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: are the what are the other ones? Five D is
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: no longer a thing. You can't use that one.
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: I think there might be one other one. I forget
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: there's there are no odds on Bad Bunnies to promote Trump.
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: I'm sorry, Like dude, I can't read the comments because
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: I'm like having like seizure aura vision right now. I'm
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: seeing like my detached lattice, so I can't really read
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: the comments. I just have to keep talking. I might
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: have to go get some water or something to take
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: a break. I don't know the other things you can
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: bet with Bad Bunny. You can bet whether or not
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: Cardi b will join him on stage that's like minus
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: two hundred. I think I think they're dating or something.
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: If I'm not miss are they If I'm not mistaken,
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: I think they are. And she's done I guess tracks
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: with him, so that probably will happen. And then, of course,
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: as usual, you can bet on what his first song
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: will be, and you can probably bet some of the
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: other things about his set too.
• 49:32
  Speaker 2: I have no idea, dude, I don't know what his
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: songs are.
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: DTMF Yeah, great name for a song there.
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: I think I read somebody saying that he was gonna
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: start with T T may pragunto.
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: I have no idea.
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: That's three to one on the odds right now, I guess,
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: unless the odds have changed since whatever this article is,
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: since whenever this came out. I have no idea. I'm
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: not gonna watch the halftime show. It's gonna be absolute garbage.
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: I don't know if there's any way to really figure
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: it out to make money. I know last year, I
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: think the set list actually leaked for Kendrick Lamar. I
• 50:09
  Speaker 1: think it's who it was, so I don't know. Yeah,
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: she's his beard, that's correct. Yeah, what type of hats
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: do they wear. I don't know, a sombrero, a rainbow sombrero,
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: some some brainbow. Yeah, I don't dude, I barely know
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: who he is. It's gonna be awful. Yeah, maybe the
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: anthem will be all right. Halftime show is gonna be
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: crap as usual. They keep getting worse and worse. I
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: got nothing else on that. Now. There is another prop
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: that I saw that was maybe it's not a different
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: site here, that's a Gatorade caller. I'm gonna talk about
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: that last, because everybody loves the gatorade. There was a
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: prop that I saw, whether or not not even I
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: don't even remember. Wait, who's wait, who's who's carrying uh
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: Stefan Digg's latest child?
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: That's not also Cardi B?
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: Is it?
• 51:12
  Speaker 2: Maybe it is? Whoever it is.
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: There was a prop on her wearing a Dig's jersey.
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: You could get that at an underdop price. I'm like,
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: maybe she will like, is that really also Cardi B?
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: Who's gonna be in the halftime show and she's carrying
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: digs baby? But no, I just said she was dating
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: bad Bunny, right, No, I don't know. No, She's probably
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: not dating bad Bunny. She probably just did did like
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: a collab with him or something, because you're right, he's gay,
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: he's not dating her. I think she's she's Yeah, I
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: think she's dating Steffan Diggs. I think that's why the
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: prop is out there. I don't know, man, Yeah, I
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: don't know, so whatever, but yeah, those are Yeah, there
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: was some some of those halftime show props. If you
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: want to get those, you can bet on whether or
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: not there will be a streaker. Again, it like minus
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: five hundred or something. I think what was last year
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: or two years ago? There was a streaker and it
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: turned out that the dude who did it bet on
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: yes there will be a streaker did it himself, and
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: then the fines that he had to pay for like
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: legal fins to get out of jail and whatever or
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: the bail or whatever were way less than what he
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: want on the bet.
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: Very very smart.
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: So, dude, this is San Francisco, so somebody probably will
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: do that and you could probably get plus three hundred
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: on will there be a streaker on the yes? So, uh,
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: you know that was smarter that guy to do it.
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, like, how can they how can
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: they stop you from doing that? Right? If the book
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: is allowing you to bet it. You can bet it,
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: and then yeah, like you're gonna get arrested, right, But
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: it's not like they can't hold you for that long
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: for doing that, you know what I mean? So that
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: that was smart of that guy to do it. I
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: don't know what else to say about it. So you
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: can bet on that. Yeah, No, I'm not gonna I've
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: been shirtless at Fenway before because they didn't allow me
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: to wear a Yankee suck shirt in. At one point,
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: I'm like, are you Fenway Park or are you not
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: Fenway Park?
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: Like what are you doing?
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: And then I don't have another shirt. I was just
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: wearing a T shirt. It was during the summer. All right,
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: I'll not wear a shirt. Then is this what you want?
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, And then oh yeah, then I guess.
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: There was this one where you could bet on the
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: Seahawks to attempt to pass from the opponent's one yard lining. Yes,
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: is at plus three point fifty. I don't know, because
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: you know me. One of my props last year was
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: and this is one that guys like to bet basically
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: every year. Too length of shortest touchdown to be under
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: one and a half yards That's another one of those
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: mind fuck ones where the public doesn't think that'll happen,
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: like you're betting on there has to be a one
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: yard touchdown, and they think it doesn't happen, but it
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: actually happens more off that it doesn't happen in super Bowls,
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: and I thought it was even more likely last year
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: because of the touch push, and it happened like pretty
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: early on in the Super Bowl last year. But the
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: reason it happens at all is because pass interference in
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: the end zone sets you up at the one yard line,
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: So there are more one yard touchdowns than you would think.
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: So there is that prop. So I think there might
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: be actually some value on this one on the yes
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: the Sea on the Seahawks specifically attempting a pass in
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: a scenario like that, because if they get down to
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: the one, maybe they will do it because the Patriots
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: stuffed the run, so they might actually do that. I'm
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: not gonna give out a play on the length of
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: shortest touchdown this year that I just thought it was
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: extra good last year because that was the old I
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: think that might have been the only time I've ever
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: done it, But it was basically just because of the
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: touch push, but these teams aren't gonna really do the
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: toush push, so all right, and then we have the gatorade,
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: and then I guess they'll get out of here. Unless
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: there's any other weird prop you want me to talk
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: about us. I don't know. There might be some other
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: really weird ones out there, but I think i've you know,
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: hit most of them here the gatorade. Actually, I think
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: I have the odds up on this page. Yeah, I
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: think these are more recent odds. Orange is one of
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: the most common, so orange a lot of times has
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: like the best odds at plus two forty. Here, yellow
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: or green basically is a fairly common one as well.
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: That's at plus two seventy. Now blue also has the
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: same odds plus two seventy. Purple, which showed up two
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: years in a row before last year plus six fifty,
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: but that seemed to be more of a chief thing.
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: The Chiefs had purple, so I would not bet purple
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: a water or clear plus one thousand. I don't know
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: what happens if there's no gatorade, like if they don't
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: even do a gatorade bath. I guess these have to
• 55:49
  Speaker 1: just push right, probably and then red pink is all
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: the way down at plus one thousand as well, So
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: if you look at the history, it's interesting. So the
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: Eagles use yellow green last year, so they were kind
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: of just using their colors. The Chiefs, like I said,
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: used purple the couple prior years, and then it was
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: blue a couple years before that. Actually, prior to those
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: to the purple and yellow green, blue hit a three
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: of the prior four years. And it's interesting because the
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: last time the Patriots won, which is against the Rams,
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: the Patriots used blue. So maybe a little bit of
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: a nod there because the Patriots do wear blue in
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: their colors as well, and maybe if the Patriots do win,
• 56:27
  Speaker 1: maybe they will be using blue. So if you like
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: the Patriots to win, blue might be a decent option
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: if you look at what the Patriots has done in
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: the past. They did also use blue against the Seahawks.
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: By the way, when.
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: They won Super Bowl forty nine is the one.
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: Against the Seahawks.
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: The Patriots used blue in that one as well, So
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: that's an interesting thing to note, man, So there might
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: blue might be a good way to go if you
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: think the Patriots might win the Super Bowl here, So
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: blue I think is a decent option at plus two
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: to seventy, but also clear has also come up with
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: the Patriots.
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: The Patriots have.
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: Actually had no gatorade bath a few times. They didn't
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: do it in the uh, the stupid comeback Super Bowl
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: I think against the Falcons, I think is what that
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: one is? Uh, And then they also had no gatorade
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: bath because I don't know, I guess what did Belichick
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: not like it or something? The first two times they
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: won with Belichick, I think they didn't have any gatorade
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: the next time. The third time they won, they use clear,
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: and then uh, and then where's the next one? And
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: then they did use blue.
• 57:33
  Speaker 2: Oh no, wait I was already looking at that.
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: Yeah, they used blue and then they used clear in uh,
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: or they used none excuseally like I said in the
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: one against the Falcons. So none, I mean or water
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: and clear. I mean maybe there's a little bit of
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: value there at ten to one, but I don't know,
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: because the Patriots did only use the clear I think
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: once back in like their third one. So uh, They've
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: they've done no gatorade bath more often than that, So
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: I think blue. If you think the Patriots are gonna win.
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: I think blue is a good option because when they
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: beat the Seahawks they used it, and when they beat
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: the Rams they used it. So I like blue for
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: the the gatorade color. If you're gonna bet it, if
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: you think the Patriots have a good chance to win.
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: If the Seahawks win, maybe would go yellow green. I
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, Like, do you think they'd use yellow green?
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: I really actually don't know. I don't know what color
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: they might use. What color did they use? Let me
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: see what color did they use when they won? They
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: actually used orange when they beat the Broncos, So that's interesting.
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: So maybe orange. I guess maybe it is worth considering
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: because it is fairly common at least throughout history. It
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: was not recently though. It was way more common a
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: while ago, but not anymore. So I don't know, but
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: maybe they would go back to that and use orange.
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: Mexicans drink What's what's that?
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: That soda that like Mexican soda you can get at
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: the Mexican restaurants. It's actually good. It uses actual cane sugar.
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: I'm way out of it now. I don't remember the
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: name of it, man, but I like it. It's Oh God,
• 59:10
  Speaker 1: it's gonna bug me. What's the name of it now, Yeah,
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: jar Ridos, yeah, Haridos, however you pronounce it. Yeah, that
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: stuff is good, man, especially the guava. Yeah, they're gonna
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: have Bobby Bouchet out there.
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: Neon pink. No.
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: No prediction on the score, I don't know. I don't
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: like giving predictions on the actual score. But oh boy,
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: I gotta think about that. Will go thinking about what
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: the total is right now as well. Twenty three to
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: twenty Patriots is what I'll go with for the f score. Yeah, yeah, yeah,
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: jar Ridos, Hayrido's however you pronounce it. Yeah, that's that
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: is good. I like and I've tried. I think every
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: flavor of it that's out there. I'm pretty sure I've tried,
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: because I would order Mexican a decent amount door to
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: ash it around.
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: Here to the the there's a pretty good.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: Mexican place around here, and they have that stuff there,
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: So I would like mix it up and get a
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: different one of those each time.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 2: I would get like a get a bowl.
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: And mix up what I want what I want in
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: the bowl to like that stuff, all right, I guess
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: that's gonna do it. Man. The one other thing I
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: was gonna point out that I absolutely forgot to point
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: out was the the underdog. Underdogs are doing well in
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: the Super Bowl, man, which is the other reason why
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: I like the Patriots. Here, I'm gonna look right now,
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna figure out the record real quick here, I
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: think the underdog. I'm pretty sure the underdogs have have
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: covered the last five Super Bowls in a row, and
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: only one of them didn't win outright, and that was
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: the Bengals against the Rams. I had the Rams in
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: that one, but I had the Rams. I had half
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: the bet on the spread and half on the money line,
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: so they did hit on the money line. I should
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 1: have just gone all money line on it. But if
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: you remember, the Rams got screwed out of that cover
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: by that stupid long touchdown by I think it was
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: t Higgins and he just completely threw the defender down
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: and they never called the offensive interference to open the
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: second half, and that was a touchdown. That was some
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: real bs on that one, man. But yes, I believe
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: that was the only one recently where the underdog still
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: covered but didn't win. Yes, some underdogs are four and
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: one straight up and five and zero against the spread
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: in the last five Super Bowls the last eighteen games,
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 1: underdogs are eleven and seven straight up and thirteen and
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: five against the spread. So underdog recently have done very
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: well in the Super Bowl. And then there was one
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: other stat that I saw that I think they were, Yeah,
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: and they're also fifteen and seven since uh, yeah, fifteen
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: and seven since two thousand and three underdogs against the spread.
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: And then I think underdogs of three or more, I
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: think there's a there's a there's a good stat on
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: that too. Let me see, I looks like they won, yeah,
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: one outright ten times since twenty ten.
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: That's all right too.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: Underdogs of three points are more have done nine and
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: two against the spreads in two thousand and three as well.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: I think that's yeah, that was the last stat that
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: I cared about. But yeah, underdogs have done quite well
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl recently and whatever. So I like
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: the Patriots for that reason as well. A lot of
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: history there with the underdogs doing really well. So probably
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: because a lot of it has to do with the
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: fact the favorite is just being a little bit juice
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: because it's the Super Bowl. Man, So the team that
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 1: that people think is gonna win they get, you know,
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: the number has to be ratcheted up a little bit.
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: Ice protests during the game. I don't know, probably pretty high,
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: to be honest, dude, bad bunny. His performance is gonna
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: be an ice protest. So yeah, the odds are like
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: one hundred percent. If that counts, it's gonna be awful.
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. Let me see quickly if there
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: are any uh, let me see craziest super Bowl props.
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: I'm just gonna see what what else are out there?
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: Here's the one from a Sharp Football analysis? What else
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: does he have? Mike versus? Oh, will Mike versus Mike
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: be mentioned because it's Mike Vrabel versus Mike McDonald that's interesting?
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 2: I guess.
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so I guess will they explicitly mention that both
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: of them are named Mike? I don't know how they
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: How did they even score that?
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 2: Like, I guess if the if the.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: Like commentators explicitly say Mike versus Mike, uh, the yes
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: on that is plus two hundred.
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 2: I don't think I would want that. I already talked about.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm looking at Sharp and Alis I can bring
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: this up actually if you want, let me see here Whoops,
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: I'm bringing it up in the wrong window. Nope, that
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: didn't work. Hold on, I'm gonna bring it up right.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: I have too many windows. I apologize. I'm gonna bring
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: this up real quick. I don't know if this is
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: Warren sharp up page or what it is. But yeah,
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: so there's the mac Hollins one. That's just his thing.
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: He enters barefoot, so he probably will do it. But yes,
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: is at minus five point fifty. Oh that's right, I
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: forgot a Green Day. There's a pregame show with Green Day.
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: How did I forget about that? Like? What that's before
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: the national anthem problem? You can, of course, you can
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: bet on that too. You can bet on the first
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: Green Day song. I am more familiar with Green Day obviously,
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: because I was listening to them back in the day,
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: back when they actually were not heavily political and they
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: just did songs about you know, mundane stuff and being
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: lazy and not having a lot of money and stuff,
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: good stuff back in the day. Man Dukie is a
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: really good album. Insomniac's a really good album. Not gonna
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: deny that. I've seen them live a couple of times recently.
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: They still have a lot of energy and put on
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: good shows. I saw them play all of Dookie and
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: all of American Idiot Live not that long ago, so
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: American Idiot does have the best odds.
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 2: It does make.
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: Sense as an opener because they want to make a
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: political statement and start off with a banger, which, you know,
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: a song that everybody knows. So yeah, American Idiots at
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: plus one hundred, basket Case has the next message at
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: plus three hundred. I don't know if they would open
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 1: with basket Case, honest, although everybody knows it. It's a
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: better song just because it's not political. And then yeah,
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: they got a bunch of other stuff. Know Your Enemies
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: at four to one. That's from uh what album was
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: that even on? That was one of the late Oh
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: that was on Uno Dose and Trey. I think right
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: to Know Your Enemy. I remember the song, though I
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: don't know. Yeah, Billy Joe, he's an old rebel. Yeah no, man,
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm gonna admit it that they had good
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: stuff back in the day. I was listening to them
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: in like fourth fifth grade. It was good stuff, dude.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: Their old stuff is good, but they're horrible now. They've
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: just they've completely given into the propaganda now, but yeah,
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: and then there are some odds you know, between five
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: to one and eight to one of Boulevard Broke. There's
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: no way they open with Boulevard and Broken Dreams. I
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: wouldn't think when I come around classic old one, but
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: still probably not. Twenty one Guns is also kind of
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: a slower song Holiday. I mean, there might be a
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: chance there because that's a more upbeat one minority. Interesting
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: off of a warning back there. I don't know. Yes,
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: I do know the Green Day tracks, but I guess
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: Longview is a long shot. To dude, if they played.
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 2: Longview, Dude, they should play Longview.
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they'll play it at all, but
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: I do long View on ukulele pretty well. I do
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: a lot of Green Day and ukulele. Actually, pretty easy
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: to convert them to yuke. Yes, they all look like lesbians,
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: now that's correct. Oh, you can bet them. Will Bad
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: Bunny expose a nipple? Do they mean his own or
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: do they mean is Janet Jackson gonna be there? I
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: think they mean his own, but I guess because he's
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: gonna be wearing a dress or something. Yes, his minus
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: four point fifty so pretty disgusting. But Yeah, he probably will.
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: There's that Seattle one. I already talked about attempting to
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: pass from the opponent's one yard line plus five point
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: fifty on it, Yes, in some place. I guess. Will
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: a Patriots lineback or catch a pass? I guess just
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: because Mike Vrabel, Yeah he caught. I guess he caught
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: passes in two of their in two of their Super
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: Bowl games. Yes is at plus six hundred. I don't know, man,
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: they might do something ridiculous later on in the game.
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: Who knows, like I don't. I actually don't hate the
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: yes on that one, although it seems like it'll be
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: a public side where the public wants to play the
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: yes on that, and of course you're not getting a
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: whole lot of value at that. Will Dave Portnoy be
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: removed from the stadium, man, I'm glad I looked at
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: this to end the show.
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 1: You can bet only on the yes's. You can bet
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: that he will be removed, and you can bet dragged
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: or handcuffed at twenty to one ten to want them removed.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: You should get better odds on that. Man, It's not
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: gonna happen. I don't know what he would do to
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: get himself removed, But I doubt that it's gonna happen,
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: although for him, I mean, he probably just gets he
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: gets his way paid to the game, right so he
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: doesn't have to pay for the ticket and whatever.
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: So I don't know.
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: Yeah, take a photo not on his tippy toes. I
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: don't even know how tall he is, man, I don't
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: think I've ever actually run into him in real life,
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: even though he is around and he's done a lot
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: of pizza places that I know, including in my hometown.
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: Will Terry McCauley disagree with a call after review? That's
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: a tough call. Yes, is at plus one hundred, knows
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: at minus one forty, so he's the rules analysts. It's
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: gonna be on the broadcast. He would have to disagree
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: with a call after it gets reviewed. I don't know, man,
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: Probably still no, Probably it won't happen, but I don't know. Yeah,
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: the wording is a little bit strange on that one
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: and pretty specific, But it would have to be a
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 1: review that happens, and then he dis agrees with with
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: that call after it gets reviewed. I guess, even if
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: it gets overturned or not, as long as it gets
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: reviewed I guess that would be the case. Although that's
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: weird though, because which call would he have to disagree
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: with if it does get overturned, because you would disagree
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: with one of the two? Well, I guess if that's
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: the case, it that doesn't count because you would have
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 1: to disagree with one of the two unless it's disagreeing
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: with the with the call that whins up being the
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: actual call.
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 2: That probably is what it is.
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know. That's a confusing one, all right. And
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: then we did have the Gatoray color one that I
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: already talked about. Looks like some money actually maybe did
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: come in on blue. But like I said, man, blue
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: blue is the smart the smart approach. Will Stephan digsie
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: it is Cardi B that I was sorry, dude, I
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: don't know the celebrities. Man. Will he propose to Cardi
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: B H plus one thousand if you want to?
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 2: Yes, I'm gonna.
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: Guess No, that's not gonna happen, will he ever?
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 2: I don't know, man.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: I think he just he just knocks bitches up and
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: then runs. Man, that's that's all. That's what he does. Uh.
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: He should, dude, he should be in jail right now
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: for assault or whatever, and yet he's playing in the
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: super Bowl. I had an underrated tweet. I I say
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: it's underrated, even though it's my own tweet. I had
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: a tweet that was, oh my god, how did I
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: word it? Now? Oh yeah, I said, Uh, Stefan Diggs
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: is gonna be in the super Bowl when he should
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: be in a super Max.
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: No, he's not gonna propose he's He's not that type.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: Has he ever been married? I don't think so. He
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: has kids with like several different women, but I don't
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: know if he's ever been met.
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 2: Probably not.
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: Of course, you can go back and watch the the
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: clip of his Minnesota Vikings teammates all answering the question like,
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: who's the one player on the team that would that
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: you would not want to date your sister, and they
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: all said digs like unprompted, which is ridiculous. So you
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: can go find that clip out there too. That's gonna
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: do it. Man.
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 2: My super Bowl plays one more time?
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: Are the Patriots plus the points probably get five on that.
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: The one player probably I have is Hillani over one
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: and a half receptions. It's said at about minus one
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: thirty five out there, and then my props that I
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: always play. I know it's boring, but I just want
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: to get some money here. Man. Either team to score
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: three consecutive times at minus one fifty five, and I
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: know we're paying juice on these, so we need to
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: win the majority of these. And no score in the
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: first six minutes at minus one forty, but only because
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: I couldn't find the six and a half. I'll keep looking.
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: If you find the six and a half, it's somewhere
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: closer to minus one ten. I think that's preferable because
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: the thirty more seconds. Dude, I do that every Super Bowl.
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: I'm just sitting there waiting. I'm like, yeah, let's just
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: hit hit eight thirty on the clock, man, that's all
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: we want. Hit eight thirty.
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 2: I know it's a boring way, but I'm like, no score.
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: I'm I'm just waiting until it hits eight thirty left
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: in in the first cour for it to hit. And
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: that's I think it's eight thirty is what you needed
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: to get to He acted like a bitch.
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: Yeah, he yeah, because they told him about it. Yeah.
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: And then he he said like, so he named some
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: other dude. He was like yeah, because the dude's ugly.
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: Thank you sir.
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: All right, maybe not as good as last year as
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: I don't know, and I'm out of it with my
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: vision and whatever that's gonna do it, get it done.
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: Hopefully people will catch the show later because I know
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: I did it a kind of a weird time. But
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: I gotta be back tomorrow, do the normal show tomorrow.
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: And I gotta figure out when I want to do
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: the stupid Saturday college basketball because I'm gonna be going
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: to Ope on Friday and I think it's Friday night.
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: Never seen them live, I gotta do it. Man, They're
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: a great progressive hard rock, progressive metal band. I'm not
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: that familiar with them, but I'm like, they're coming around.
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: I gotta see their live show. Man, it's a theater show.
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: Well so it's a seeded show.
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: We'll see what they what they decide to do with it.
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: But loser cast live, I don't know. You might be
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: the loser then from missing it. I don't know. Yeah,
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: go check that out. That should be up on YouTube.
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: I guess until it gets banned. That's gonna do it.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: Learn its on Twitter, learn it on on Instagram, like
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: subscribe all the things you know. Give me good comments,
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: good replies here, listen on audio, Give me good reviews
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: on audio, Apple and Spotify. Covered in Yuca is my
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: ukulele channel on YouTube. Check that out Patreon dot com.
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: Slash learned its over some bonus ukulele stuff and loser casts.
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: Of course, every Tuesday night, the comedy podcast That's Gonna
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: Do It. Peace,