Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS | 6/16/25 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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MLB DFS | 6/16/25 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:03
  Speaker 1: All systems going clear the lift?
• 0:35
  Speaker 2: What's going on?
• 0:35
  Speaker 3: Everybody happy Monday afternoon, Michael Peterson, Red Bank, Ricky, Jason Turner,
• 0:42
  Speaker 3: No Stop, Lyle and my man Big Nates hop about
• 0:45
  Speaker 3: all you and everybody else watching having a great day
• 0:48
  Speaker 3: so far.
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: Had a good weekend, Big Nights. How was your weekend?
• 0:53
  Speaker 4: Weekend?
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: Was good?
• 0:53
  Speaker 4: Weather's finally decent? I will say, you're in.
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: I just laughed. So decent at best. The sun doesn't
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: come out much.
• 1:02
  Speaker 4: I mean decent.
• 1:02
  Speaker 5: I had a golf tournament this weekend, so I actually
• 1:06
  Speaker 5: loved that the sun wasn't straight baking me out there
• 1:09
  Speaker 5: on the course. I mean, tournament rounds are five and
• 1:11
  Speaker 5: a half hours, so you're out there long a long time.
• 1:15
  Speaker 5: So I'll take decent. But yeah, it's uh, it's been
• 1:19
  Speaker 5: up and down. I mean the other morning out on
• 1:22
  Speaker 5: the golf course, it was like forty five degrees in
• 1:24
  Speaker 5: in flipping June.
• 1:25
  Speaker 4: So you love to see it there. But hey, it's
• 1:29
  Speaker 4: my choice to live here.
• 1:30
  Speaker 5: Title said, he's getting the fuck out of here and
• 1:32
  Speaker 5: going to Arizona asap, so he's smarter than I am.
• 1:35
  Speaker 4: But outside of that, didn't play my best over the weekend.
• 1:40
  Speaker 5: But we got a fun, fun little baseball slate here
• 1:43
  Speaker 5: on tap tonight, seven games. Got the five dollars mmy
• 1:47
  Speaker 5: debating throwing probably fifty or so in that sucker with
• 1:51
  Speaker 5: with my main teams, just to give it a little
• 1:53
  Speaker 5: stab and hey, who knows fifty k up top. We've
• 1:56
  Speaker 5: coming off a big weekend over here at the Nation
• 1:58
  Speaker 5: US Open, so looking to keep them on metal rolling
• 2:01
  Speaker 5: here tonight.
• 2:02
  Speaker 2: Yeah, shout out Bertie Monster three hundred big one second
• 2:05
  Speaker 2: in the.
• 2:06
  Speaker 4: Four four four four four four four four.
• 2:09
  Speaker 3: Yeah, that's correct, four forty four dollars Bertie Monster, one
• 2:13
  Speaker 3: of the best in the business.
• 2:14
  Speaker 2: A lot of other screenshots throughout our man shaloum, what's
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: going on? Hey? Talking about sex CDs?
• 2:20
  Speaker 3: Look at that picture with the pumpkins in the back
• 2:22
  Speaker 3: and all that and menhala, what is going on?
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: Jimmy?
• 2:27
  Speaker 3: Yeah, Brian, I think I already said Lyle, but appreciate
• 2:29
  Speaker 3: y'all hanging out again. All we ask is like bun
• 2:32
  Speaker 3: and subscribe button helps us out a ton early star
• 2:35
  Speaker 3: time on bow sites, so both FanDuel and DraftKings six
• 2:39
  Speaker 3: forty Eastern, same exact slate, seven games on.
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: Both weather not really much weather to worry about.
• 2:46
  Speaker 3: I see one yellow and that is Baltimore Tampa, but
• 2:49
  Speaker 3: no orange means I think we're good to rock.
• 2:51
  Speaker 2: We're gonna talk like we're good to go.
• 2:54
  Speaker 3: We're kind of talking, yeah, like Wisconsin hasn't been like
• 2:56
  Speaker 3: the warmest. Two weather games stand out in terms of
• 2:59
  Speaker 3: temperature today eighty five degrees in Tampa. That won yellow game,
• 3:04
  Speaker 3: wind blowing out just a little bit. That we have
• 3:07
  Speaker 3: the A's in Sacramento taking on Houston eighty two, eighty
• 3:11
  Speaker 3: four degrees roughly that wins, blowing out a little to
• 3:14
  Speaker 3: left field. Those look like the two best weather games
• 3:17
  Speaker 3: that I'm staring at, Big Ads, Do you see anything
• 3:20
  Speaker 3: in terms of weather parks, anything broad slate overview before
• 3:23
  Speaker 3: we go talk some pictures?
• 3:25
  Speaker 5: Yeah, no, you alluded to it to two best hitting
• 3:28
  Speaker 5: spots on the slate by far. I'm playing as Tampa
• 3:33
  Speaker 5: plays pretty much every Tampa home game now through the
• 3:37
  Speaker 5: at least part of the season here will be probably yellow,
• 3:40
  Speaker 5: I would say at best, just because the way the
• 3:43
  Speaker 5: weather sets up down in Tampa right they have pop
• 3:45
  Speaker 5: up rain, pop up showers, et cetera.
• 3:48
  Speaker 4: I'm assuming everything's good to go there.
• 3:51
  Speaker 5: I mean, the pictures are kind of contrarion plays anyways
• 3:54
  Speaker 5: in that game there, So if a pop up does happen,
• 3:57
  Speaker 5: which will definitely happen in the next weeks and months
• 4:01
  Speaker 5: ahead in Tampa for sure, just the way whether it
• 4:04
  Speaker 5: works down in the southeast down there, I mean, bats
• 4:08
  Speaker 5: should be perfectly fine and yeah, super hot there, wind
• 4:11
  Speaker 5: blown out roughly right around ten miles an hour or
• 4:14
  Speaker 5: so in that game and the Sacramento game far far
• 4:17
  Speaker 5: and away the two best spots. Well, we'll do our
• 4:19
  Speaker 5: best to navigate that because Houston Bats are definitely going
• 4:22
  Speaker 5: to be a talking point at least projection wise on
• 4:25
  Speaker 5: this slate. I mean, a lot of their hitters projected
• 4:28
  Speaker 5: to come in thirty five plus percent owned outside of
• 4:30
  Speaker 5: coors Field, which is definitely definitely interesting place to talk about,
• 4:35
  Speaker 5: especially on a shorter slate, right with massive contests out
• 4:38
  Speaker 5: there across the sites.
• 4:41
  Speaker 4: I know DraftKings has a lot of really really big, really.
• 4:43
  Speaker 5: Good contests in general, right the one, eleven, two, and
• 4:46
  Speaker 5: fifty four max five dollars mmme, all the single entries,
• 4:49
  Speaker 5: et cetera. So I take more and more into account
• 4:52
  Speaker 5: and ownership on a shorter slate like this, where when
• 4:56
  Speaker 5: it's easier to to to zag when when other people
• 4:59
  Speaker 5: are zagging. Whether it's right, wrong, or indifferent, results will
• 5:02
  Speaker 5: tell us at the end of the night. But those
• 5:04
  Speaker 5: are definitely the two, far and away the best spots
• 5:06
  Speaker 5: in the slate to target for bats.
• 5:08
  Speaker 3: Yeah, yep, we're gonna start talking pitching. Other thing I
• 5:11
  Speaker 3: want to say, contest absolutely massive. So also Game five
• 5:14
  Speaker 3: of the NBA Finals, Baby, I know your NHL Stanley
• 5:18
  Speaker 3: cupp and quite the series there three two Florida. Excited
• 5:21
  Speaker 3: to see Game six, but man, I mean, what an
• 5:23
  Speaker 3: awesome series that is Tampa Florida coming scoring a nineteen
• 5:27
  Speaker 3: seconds left to tie.
• 5:28
  Speaker 2: It and dry Sidle coming with the left.
• 5:30
  Speaker 3: I mean, I've watched plenty of Stanley Cup so far,
• 5:34
  Speaker 3: watch plenty of NBA Playoffs two and these Pacers can play.
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: We got a good game five ahead of us.
• 5:39
  Speaker 3: So NBA Showdown is like twenty five bucks, so it's
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: big dollar amount, thirty eight thousand people, two hundred k
• 5:46
  Speaker 3: the first place. Though, no one better in the business
• 5:48
  Speaker 3: than Rio. He will NBA Showdown. He will have a
• 5:51
  Speaker 3: slate plan up later, of course, projections ownership, PGA coming
• 5:55
  Speaker 3: off a big US Open that was really fun golf
• 5:58
  Speaker 3: to watch on Sunday of course, MLB MMA this week,
• 6:02
  Speaker 3: NHL Stanley Cup, NASCAR, Big Boy Prizees, some good screenshots
• 6:07
  Speaker 3: in there, Plenty going on, plenty of sports, even without football,
• 6:10
  Speaker 3: which we'll be here before we know it. New promo
• 6:14
  Speaker 3: code in terms of the name, the exact same thing
• 6:17
  Speaker 3: though that we've kept saying, you cannot beat this deal
• 6:20
  Speaker 3: in the industry.
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: So US open is the promo code. Again, usually ninety nine.
• 6:24
  Speaker 3: Dollars for all of the contents plus Sabersimcore plus the discord.
• 6:29
  Speaker 3: Using that code, US open takes off seventy five dollars,
• 6:32
  Speaker 3: brings you down to less than a dollar a day.
• 6:35
  Speaker 3: And again we are sharing Sabersim. There is multiple different packages.
• 6:39
  Speaker 3: The Core package is the best deal right now because
• 6:41
  Speaker 3: of that promo code US open. If you have not
• 6:44
  Speaker 3: used or if you already have used the promo code,
• 6:46
  Speaker 3: we do think upgrading just thirty more dollars to be
• 6:49
  Speaker 3: able to build three or fifty more teams, get another
• 6:51
  Speaker 3: set of projections. Ownership and Contest flashback a very powerful
• 6:55
  Speaker 3: tool to go back in whatever sport, whatever tournament you're playing.
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: You can see what the pros did, how you graded out,
• 7:02
  Speaker 3: et cetera. So if you haven't done anything, what's up
• 7:04
  Speaker 3: with us?
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: By far?
• 7:05
  Speaker 3: I think the best deal us open less than a
• 7:08
  Speaker 3: dollar a day, optimizer, projections, ownership, discord community, all the
• 7:13
  Speaker 3: content and if you have used it, the starter pack
• 7:16
  Speaker 3: we think is the best anything. If you want to upgrade,
• 7:18
  Speaker 3: any questions you can always email info at chipnation dot com.
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: Philly. What's going on? I saw you at elbow surgery.
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: I hope you're doing well.
• 7:27
  Speaker 3: Man, that does not sound fun, Jay Burton, Yeah, that's hot.
• 7:31
  Speaker 2: Indeed, Jake, what's going on? Always good to see a
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: d man. What is up?
• 7:35
  Speaker 3: And Yeah, I think that's a great transition cam the
• 7:38
  Speaker 3: man starting or talking pitching. Sorting by salary ninety seven
• 7:44
  Speaker 3: hundred nine K eighty seven eighty four. I mean, look
• 7:47
  Speaker 3: at this drop off, plenty of cheap pitchers, it's pretty gross.
• 7:51
  Speaker 3: You sort by projection, and a tier of his own
• 7:54
  Speaker 3: is logan Gilbert, and then we have a handful guys
• 7:57
  Speaker 3: in the mid teens sorting my ownership. Very clearly it's
• 8:01
  Speaker 3: gonna be Gilbert Clark Schmid. The two highest projected on
• 8:03
  Speaker 3: the slate is the chalk pairing. One thing we got
• 8:06
  Speaker 3: to say, though, so the pitch count Saberson has for
• 8:09
  Speaker 3: Logan Gilbert, I just do not believe. I think that's
• 8:13
  Speaker 3: the case for most people in the industry. He's coming
• 8:16
  Speaker 3: off the IL, it's his first start, he has had
• 8:18
  Speaker 3: some rehab starts. I'll let you talk about it in ags.
• 8:21
  Speaker 3: It sounds more like the low eighties if people had
• 8:24
  Speaker 3: to guess. So I just want to say that, like
• 8:26
  Speaker 3: this twenty one projection, not that it's wrong. I mean,
• 8:29
  Speaker 3: the k prop's good, there's a lot to like about him,
• 8:32
  Speaker 3: but what is his pitch count? I don't think people
• 8:35
  Speaker 3: should necessarily believe this number. And then yeah, I guess
• 8:39
  Speaker 3: I can have you just go eight kin above. There's
• 8:42
  Speaker 3: only a handful of guys that will tackle the rest below.
• 8:44
  Speaker 3: But what are you doing up top? Start with Logan
• 8:46
  Speaker 3: Gilbert force.
• 8:47
  Speaker 5: Yeah, so I'll just hit kind of combined pitching and
• 8:50
  Speaker 5: the dry running into the same you run optimizes right now,
• 8:53
  Speaker 5: I'll filter by projected score. It wants to give you
• 8:56
  Speaker 5: about one hundred percent Logan Gilbert, it would probably give
• 8:58
  Speaker 5: you more if it could. And then it wants to
• 9:01
  Speaker 5: give you about ninety clerk Schmidt. So that's the chalk
• 9:06
  Speaker 5: pairing right there. I'll hit him Logan Gilbert. He's made
• 9:09
  Speaker 5: three rehab starts. His last rehab start got into five
• 9:12
  Speaker 5: innings up to seventy two pitches, so I would assume
• 9:15
  Speaker 5: right around that eighty to eighty five. If you're lucky,
• 9:19
  Speaker 5: maybe he stretches to ninety. I doubt it coming off
• 9:22
  Speaker 5: an elbow injury. If it was some sort of other injury,
• 9:25
  Speaker 5: he might have a little bit more. But seventy two
• 9:28
  Speaker 5: pitches in five innings. If he can get you five
• 9:32
  Speaker 5: innings at eighty eighty five pitches, I think that's what
• 9:34
  Speaker 5: you're looking at. Five innings is probably his cap unless
• 9:37
  Speaker 5: he's super efficient here. Do I think he's the best
• 9:41
  Speaker 5: starting pitcher on the slate?
• 9:42
  Speaker 4: I do? Is there concern?
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: Yes?
• 9:45
  Speaker 4: Can it go south?
• 9:46
  Speaker 5: Yes?
• 9:47
  Speaker 4: Is everybody gonna play him? Yes? So in tournaments there's
• 9:51
  Speaker 4: definitely a case to fade him.
• 9:52
  Speaker 5: Right, it's not a guy that's that stretched out gonna
• 9:54
  Speaker 5: go one hundred and ten pitches right in a Raphael
• 9:57
  Speaker 5: Deverliz red Se match up right, that makes it better
• 10:01
  Speaker 5: for opposing starting pitching. I just it's hard right with
• 10:05
  Speaker 5: the slate that we have on tap, he is the
• 10:08
  Speaker 5: sp one, he's the cash game pitcher.
• 10:10
  Speaker 4: There is some slight concern that I do have though.
• 10:12
  Speaker 5: In tournaments, with the pitch count, with the ownership, with
• 10:15
  Speaker 5: everything else going on in there, it is obviously one
• 10:19
  Speaker 5: of the best parks in all of baseball to pitch
• 10:21
  Speaker 5: in there. He's got a decent run total behind him.
• 10:24
  Speaker 5: I think Seattle should win this game overall. So there's
• 10:28
  Speaker 5: a lot of things going for him. And I mean
• 10:29
  Speaker 5: if he goes out there and gets you five innings
• 10:31
  Speaker 5: and picks up five strikeouts, I mean that's plenty on
• 10:34
  Speaker 5: a seven game slate where the next closest due to
• 10:38
  Speaker 5: him is Clerk Schmid at least in terms of projection,
• 10:41
  Speaker 5: and then it's pretty much everyone in that thirteen to
• 10:44
  Speaker 5: fifteen range in terms of projection. So that's what you're
• 10:46
  Speaker 5: looking to, really be right when you're going into pitching,
• 10:49
  Speaker 5: is who can get me fifteen?
• 10:52
  Speaker 4: Is kind of how the slate shakes up.
• 10:54
  Speaker 5: I know Gilbert's projection is higher than that. That's due
• 10:57
  Speaker 5: to his pitch count being inflated in my opinion, right,
• 11:01
  Speaker 5: his projections probably right more in the eighteen to nineteen
• 11:05
  Speaker 5: range versus the twenty something. When you take his pitch
• 11:08
  Speaker 5: count down two to eighty or so pitches instead of
• 11:11
  Speaker 5: ninety five. But sp one on the slate is Gilbert
• 11:15
  Speaker 5: for me Clark Schmidt. I do like the issue you
• 11:18
  Speaker 5: have with Clark Schmidt is just I mean his his
• 11:21
  Speaker 5: walks man, I mean, his control can get wonky at times.
• 11:24
  Speaker 5: It is the Angels. I know they do have trout.
• 11:26
  Speaker 5: This team does have a ton of power, but what
• 11:29
  Speaker 5: offsets the power is their strikeouts. I mean, Clark Smith's
• 11:33
  Speaker 5: been really good on righty's. He's going to face majority
• 11:35
  Speaker 5: of the rightings in this lineup here. He does have
• 11:37
  Speaker 5: a lot of strikeout upside there. He's got a healthy
• 11:40
  Speaker 5: implied run total behind him. All everything shakes up outside
• 11:44
  Speaker 5: of ownership. For me, those two are sp one and two.
• 11:48
  Speaker 5: Ownership reflects that. I can't really say much different than that.
• 11:51
  Speaker 5: Dylan Sees is a wildcard to me, gets the match
• 11:54
  Speaker 5: up against the Dodgers. He's pitched really, really good against
• 11:56
  Speaker 5: the Dodgers in his career, displays the thirty plus percent
• 11:59
  Speaker 5: k rate against the Dodgers. Not many people are gonna
• 12:02
  Speaker 5: play Dylan ceas He's the direct pivot for me, right
• 12:04
  Speaker 5: off of Clerk Schmidt, right off of Gilbert with a
• 12:07
  Speaker 5: guy that can match the output of both of those,
• 12:10
  Speaker 5: if not outscore him at literally a fraction. I mean,
• 12:13
  Speaker 5: Ceas is probably gonna be one fifth the ownership with
• 12:16
  Speaker 5: Gilbert and has just the highest ceiling with the PitchCom
• 12:19
  Speaker 5: concern on Gilbert, even despite the Dodgers matchup there. So
• 12:23
  Speaker 5: he is the tournament leverage play in my opinion, in
• 12:26
  Speaker 5: the top tier in terms of the other guys above A. K. Gusto,
• 12:32
  Speaker 5: I don't really have any interest in Gusto now pitching
• 12:35
  Speaker 5: in that ballpark.
• 12:36
  Speaker 4: It was gonna be mccullors, Now it is Gusto.
• 12:39
  Speaker 5: So if you were kind of setting your lineups for
• 12:41
  Speaker 5: whatever reason, right, all the new guys out there, shut
• 12:43
  Speaker 5: up to Djen, Right, did you build your lineups yet?
• 12:46
  Speaker 5: Hopefully you didn't build him with mccullors, because he is
• 12:48
  Speaker 5: gonna get you a fat zero in that lineup, so
• 12:51
  Speaker 5: I would take him out. I have no interest in Gustel.
• 12:55
  Speaker 5: I actually like the A's baths lot more now that
• 12:57
  Speaker 5: he is starting. Jake Irvin I think is fine. I
• 12:59
  Speaker 5: think he's gonna get steamed up just due to the
• 13:01
  Speaker 5: I mean, any pitcher against the Rockies with an applied
• 13:04
  Speaker 5: run total of five runs, right, with the pitch counts,
• 13:08
  Speaker 5: I mean, he's been really good.
• 13:10
  Speaker 4: Gives me some slight worry. I think I prefer cease personally.
• 13:14
  Speaker 5: So for me up here, it's Gilbert Clark Schmidt tier
• 13:17
  Speaker 5: of their own ceases, the tournament option, minimal interest in
• 13:20
  Speaker 5: Irvin mick abel is.
• 13:22
  Speaker 4: The is the interesting one. I just don't think this
• 13:24
  Speaker 4: dude's a nine K pitcher.
• 13:27
  Speaker 5: I mean, he displays the nine K price point in
• 13:30
  Speaker 5: three starts.
• 13:31
  Speaker 4: But again, I mean, the Phillies aren't a cupcake matchup.
• 13:34
  Speaker 4: I get it. It's a good place to pitch.
• 13:36
  Speaker 5: This ballpark's the first fourth worst bullpen or fourth worst
• 13:40
  Speaker 5: ballpark in baseball overall in terms of stat cast numbers
• 13:42
  Speaker 5: for home runs, all the park factors, all the hitting factors.
• 13:47
  Speaker 5: I just I mean, his pitch counts is eighty to
• 13:50
  Speaker 5: eighty five. If I'm gonna go there, I want to
• 13:52
  Speaker 5: find seven hundred dollars and just go to Gilbert, who
• 13:54
  Speaker 5: I think has a much higher ceiling there. So for me,
• 13:57
  Speaker 5: it's really those those three guys that I like at
• 13:59
  Speaker 5: the top, with Irvin being kind of a distant fourth
• 14:01
  Speaker 5: for me personally.
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: Good breakdown.
• 14:04
  Speaker 3: I'm in agreement with a lot of the stuff I'm
• 14:07
  Speaker 3: gonna cross Mick abel and twenty and blow as well.
• 14:10
  Speaker 2: I'm a big k prop guy.
• 14:11
  Speaker 3: Looking at it, four and a half minus one fifteen
• 14:13
  Speaker 3: on the over, you can go down and save one thousand.
• 14:15
  Speaker 3: I know you didn't have too much interest in Ryan Gusto,
• 14:18
  Speaker 3: but he has a better K prop straight up, four
• 14:21
  Speaker 3: and a half minus one fifty five on the over.
• 14:23
  Speaker 3: And the reason I have some interest in Gusto is
• 14:26
  Speaker 3: he's the pivot off of Irvin right here. I also
• 14:29
  Speaker 3: think when people want to pivot off of Schmidt Gilbert,
• 14:33
  Speaker 3: they might go to Cease, and I do have some
• 14:35
  Speaker 3: interest in Cease. I do think he's relatively low owned.
• 14:37
  Speaker 3: He just saw this Dodgers team last week. Thirty six
• 14:40
  Speaker 3: spot one of his best starts he's ever had. Can
• 14:44
  Speaker 3: he replicate that? I mean probably not. He doesn't need to.
• 14:46
  Speaker 3: You take half of thirty six at eighteen at this ownership,
• 14:50
  Speaker 3: sign me up all day long. His K props six
• 14:53
  Speaker 3: and a half plus one twenty on the over. The
• 14:55
  Speaker 3: only other six and a half K props, though, Gilbert,
• 14:58
  Speaker 3: which leads us late six and a half minus one
• 15:00
  Speaker 3: twenty on the over, just shows even with the pitch
• 15:02
  Speaker 3: count a very strong play with a solid matchup in
• 15:05
  Speaker 3: a good park, and then Clarke Schmidt six and a
• 15:07
  Speaker 3: half plus one twenty five on the over, so very
• 15:10
  Speaker 3: slightly lean to Cease in terms of the k prop
• 15:13
  Speaker 3: right there at a fraction of the ownership and the
• 15:16
  Speaker 3: similar pricing. Obviously an easier matchup, but Sees just did it.
• 15:20
  Speaker 3: He has a big arm, So I definitely would leave
• 15:23
  Speaker 3: Ceasin on a tough pitching pool, but Gusto.
• 15:26
  Speaker 2: Would be the pivot off of Irvin for me.
• 15:29
  Speaker 3: And the reason kind of for that is, I do
• 15:30
  Speaker 3: think some of these a's, mainly the top of the
• 15:33
  Speaker 3: order Rooker Butler do get some ownership, so I'm getting
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: a little leverage. I'm getting a solid k prop at
• 15:39
  Speaker 3: four and a half on a slate, we're pitching his
• 15:42
  Speaker 3: gross and Gusto's gone out there and got me twenty before,
• 15:44
  Speaker 3: so again, seventeen eighteen at pretty low ownership. Is a
• 15:48
  Speaker 3: pivot allows you to eat chalk your bats. Like if
• 15:51
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna play kind of chalk Houston, I almost want
• 15:53
  Speaker 3: to play Gusto with him, hope he gets all the
• 15:55
  Speaker 3: run support. He's low owned, I can eat some chalk
• 15:59
  Speaker 3: bats and it just all well works out that way,
• 16:01
  Speaker 3: So I think Gusto, Jake Irban so k props up there.
• 16:05
  Speaker 3: I already mentioned these three. I mentioned Guso four and
• 16:08
  Speaker 3: a half minus one fifty on the over. Irvin's the
• 16:11
  Speaker 3: only one at five and a half, So this is
• 16:12
  Speaker 3: slightly better than Gusto minus one thirty on the under.
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: Actually I should take that back. Pepio as a five
• 16:19
  Speaker 3: and a half minus one ten on the over.
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: Two.
• 16:21
  Speaker 3: We haven't got there Ak and Blow, but Pepio's is
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: pretty solid.
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: We do see ownership there. Like, I would rather just
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: save some money and go Pepio.
• 16:28
  Speaker 3: I think over Jake Irvin, I know you had some
• 16:31
  Speaker 3: interest in Colorado yourself. We are talking in the discord,
• 16:34
  Speaker 3: but there's plenty of other four and a half K props.
• 16:36
  Speaker 3: Giulito four and a half minus one fifty five on
• 16:40
  Speaker 3: the over, we have Chad Patrick four and a half
• 16:43
  Speaker 3: minus one fifteen.
• 16:45
  Speaker 2: On the over.
• 16:45
  Speaker 3: We have Eflyn four and a half minus one oh
• 16:48
  Speaker 3: five over, Soriano four and a half minus one fifteen
• 16:51
  Speaker 3: on the over. With all that being said, like I
• 16:53
  Speaker 3: just think you can save five hundred to one thousand
• 16:56
  Speaker 3: and get less ownership on the pitcher than Jake Irvin,
• 16:59
  Speaker 3: who is some steam.
• 17:00
  Speaker 2: I know.
• 17:01
  Speaker 3: I always say you love picking on the Rockies and
• 17:03
  Speaker 3: the White Sox, and I do, but not when it's
• 17:06
  Speaker 3: a mediocre pitcher getting steamed. Just because of the nature
• 17:09
  Speaker 3: of the slate. So I logan Gilbert by far is
• 17:12
  Speaker 3: my favorites I had honestly would probably go Gilbert seize.
• 17:17
  Speaker 3: Gusto Schmidt would be my least favorite of the bunge, mainly,
• 17:20
  Speaker 3: like you said, he's gonna get runs some board K
• 17:22
  Speaker 3: prop's fine, but if I'm gonna eat chalk, just give
• 17:25
  Speaker 3: me Gilbert. I just think he's the way better arm,
• 17:27
  Speaker 3: the safer arm. The k props shows it even with
• 17:30
  Speaker 3: some of the pitch count concerns. And I don't know
• 17:33
  Speaker 3: how much I want to eat just both chalk pitching
• 17:35
  Speaker 3: on the seven game slate. If I do five man
• 17:38
  Speaker 3: the Rockies, five man the Phillies, the more like, do
• 17:41
  Speaker 3: something different outside of that. Don't just eat chalk pairing
• 17:44
  Speaker 3: and then five man Astros or five man the Gnats
• 17:48
  Speaker 3: or something that just fits like a glove.
• 17:50
  Speaker 2: Try and get a little different that way.
• 17:51
  Speaker 3: And I do think Gusto sees are my favorite ways
• 17:54
  Speaker 3: to go about that, But I do think there's a
• 17:56
  Speaker 3: handful of pitchers down here, and you can see, like Pepio,
• 17:58
  Speaker 3: who I mentioned, Gilito's k prop was good, good pitching
• 18:03
  Speaker 3: park right there. Any interest in Sandy? Can you e
• 18:06
  Speaker 3: Flyn projects fine ownership pretty low so ak and below
• 18:10
  Speaker 3: any of these guys you're eyeing up.
• 18:13
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I just want to number one reiterate to cease.
• 18:17
  Speaker 5: I mean, this dude's got a thirty percent k rate
• 18:19
  Speaker 5: on the season. He's eighty four hundred dollars. I mean,
• 18:22
  Speaker 5: people are just not clicking that name because of the
• 18:25
  Speaker 5: matchup against the Dodgers, when he's got a thirty three
• 18:27
  Speaker 5: percent k rate against his Dodgers team in his career
• 18:31
  Speaker 5: with a sample size that's over one hundred and fifty
• 18:33
  Speaker 5: play appearances.
• 18:34
  Speaker 4: So I mean he's proven this. He should be ten
• 18:38
  Speaker 4: K despite the match.
• 18:39
  Speaker 5: I mean, if you just took the teams away right
• 18:41
  Speaker 5: and looked at k prit the K rates in percentages wise,
• 18:46
  Speaker 5: I mean you would expect he's the highest priced pitcher,
• 18:49
  Speaker 5: and it's just not the way way it shakes out.
• 18:50
  Speaker 5: So that's kind of there. And Jake Garvin reminds me
• 18:53
  Speaker 5: similar to a Bryce Elder esque type pitcher, right, and
• 18:57
  Speaker 5: we just saw I'm not using just results oriented, but
• 19:00
  Speaker 5: it's got It's still the Rockies, I get it, right,
• 19:04
  Speaker 5: But you got to look at who you're targeting these
• 19:07
  Speaker 5: teams against, right you still I mean a pitcher that
• 19:10
  Speaker 5: has strike cut upside like a Spencer Strider right obviously, yeah,
• 19:13
  Speaker 5: absolutely Mo down this team, But a guy that's below
• 19:16
  Speaker 5: average in my opinion as a pitcher and pitched over
• 19:18
  Speaker 5: his head to start the year. That's where team people
• 19:22
  Speaker 5: just continue to blind blind trust starting pitching against teams
• 19:26
  Speaker 5: like this, and that's where I think I can get
• 19:27
  Speaker 5: an edge and we can get an edge on what
• 19:29
  Speaker 5: the field's going to do. Just naturally blind trusting pitchers
• 19:33
  Speaker 5: against the White Sox against the Rockies.
• 19:35
  Speaker 4: Most times it's going to work out. But you do
• 19:37
  Speaker 4: have to find an.
• 19:37
  Speaker 5: Edge and pok holes where you can when you can, right, ye, yep, below, Okay,
• 19:44
  Speaker 5: Pepio's my favorite guy down here. Just d to strike
• 19:46
  Speaker 5: cut upside alone. I get the ballpark, I get all
• 19:48
  Speaker 5: of that. I still, I mean this O's team is
• 19:53
  Speaker 5: just not been the same hum O's team that everyone
• 19:56
  Speaker 5: expected it to.
• 19:57
  Speaker 4: There's a lot of strikeouts in there.
• 19:58
  Speaker 5: I mean, if you can navigate a low strike up
• 20:01
  Speaker 5: bat n O'Hearn Urias in Adley. I mean even the
• 20:06
  Speaker 5: other guys right, Gunner almost a twenty seven percent Kray, Jackson,
• 20:10
  Speaker 5: Holliday a twenty six percent k raid on the road,
• 20:13
  Speaker 5: Sedi Mullins thirty percent k raid almost on the road.
• 20:16
  Speaker 5: Cows are twenty five, Carlson twenty seven. Right, So this
• 20:20
  Speaker 5: they do have power, but not as much. I mean,
• 20:23
  Speaker 5: they're they're strike out upside there. Pepeo's look good to me.
• 20:26
  Speaker 5: He's got a good lease, price points good, k Prop's good.
• 20:29
  Speaker 5: I like the raised bats as well behind him, So
• 20:32
  Speaker 5: Pepio's my favorite guy.
• 20:33
  Speaker 4: Below eight K.
• 20:35
  Speaker 5: E Flyn I think is gonna be the guy people
• 20:39
  Speaker 5: people like as well. Down here on the other side
• 20:42
  Speaker 5: of that game, I personally don't love e Flynn. I mean,
• 20:46
  Speaker 5: I just don't want to attack a race team that
• 20:48
  Speaker 5: doesn't strike out very much. They lead the major leagues
• 20:50
  Speaker 5: in stolen bases in this ballpark, and the Orioles bullpen
• 20:53
  Speaker 5: is not not great. Behind Flyn, They've been pitching pretty
• 20:56
  Speaker 5: good as of late, but overall they're just not great.
• 20:59
  Speaker 5: So for me down here, it's Pepio and then I
• 21:03
  Speaker 5: mean it's it's pretty gross. I guess Giolito would probably
• 21:07
  Speaker 5: be the other guy we'll look at, just because number one,
• 21:09
  Speaker 5: the ballpark, Number two, the strikeouts that Seattle can have.
• 21:13
  Speaker 5: It's just Geolito just hasn't been striking. I mean, it's
• 21:18
  Speaker 5: it depends what Geolito you get. He'd be the only
• 21:20
  Speaker 5: other guy that I have a decent amount of interest
• 21:22
  Speaker 5: in outside of Pepio.
• 21:24
  Speaker 4: But realistically, I don't think you need to mess around
• 21:26
  Speaker 4: too much down here. It's just a good ballpark upgrade
• 21:30
  Speaker 4: for for Gioledo.
• 21:31
  Speaker 5: And there's a lot of strikeouts in the back half, right,
• 21:34
  Speaker 5: Ben Williamson, Cole Young, Roddy Tellez, Rose Raino, all those
• 21:38
  Speaker 5: guys have have high strikeouts to offset some of that power.
• 21:42
  Speaker 5: So those are the guys that I'm looking at. I'm
• 21:44
  Speaker 5: not messing really with Sandy. I will say, Sandy, I
• 21:49
  Speaker 5: think Philly's gonna pick up some steam at least projection
• 21:52
  Speaker 5: wise and optimizer wise, so you do get some leverage.
• 21:55
  Speaker 5: Sandy has been a good arm I know he hasn't
• 21:57
  Speaker 5: displayed it as lately or this season. He does still
• 22:01
  Speaker 5: have upside. He's got a pitch count leash, right, He's
• 22:04
  Speaker 5: gonna go ninety plus pitches. He's seventy two hundred in
• 22:08
  Speaker 5: a terrible ballpark for hitting. I mean you could pick
• 22:11
  Speaker 5: out other worst guys. So it's Pepio, Giolito, and Sandy
• 22:15
  Speaker 5: I think are the only guys. I'm not messing with
• 22:17
  Speaker 5: that Flynn Soriano, I'm not chasing him after his career game, right,
• 22:23
  Speaker 5: not messing with the other two guys down there.
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: Either.
• 22:26
  Speaker 3: I'm in agreement, but I actually think Giolito I like
• 22:29
  Speaker 3: a decent bit. The reason also is when you play
• 22:32
  Speaker 3: these guys below, like, I don't think you need to
• 22:34
  Speaker 3: anchor your your teams with Gilbert or Schmidt. They're like
• 22:37
  Speaker 3: if you want to play the Yankees, if you want
• 22:39
  Speaker 3: to play the Phillies, if you want to play the Dodgers,
• 22:42
  Speaker 3: you need to go or you like cheaper at least
• 22:44
  Speaker 3: that one pitcher. And again people can go Gilbert Giolito
• 22:48
  Speaker 3: and then jam it, but then you might be holding hands.
• 22:50
  Speaker 3: Everyone that played the Dodgers did the same thing. They
• 22:53
  Speaker 3: played the clear spend one. They punted with a Pepio
• 22:57
  Speaker 3: or Giolito, or people will go Pepio and then you
• 23:00
  Speaker 3: five man the top of the Dodgers' lineup. So you
• 23:02
  Speaker 3: played a pretty low owned team, but you played it
• 23:05
  Speaker 3: the same way everyone else did.
• 23:07
  Speaker 2: That's something to keep in mind. But I think like Gildo.
• 23:10
  Speaker 3: Pitchers park k prop four and a half juice on
• 23:13
  Speaker 3: the over at minus one p fifty five pretty much
• 23:16
  Speaker 3: the same as Gusto. It is the same for seven
• 23:19
  Speaker 3: hundred cheaper. He's projecting to be lower owned, like seventy
• 23:22
  Speaker 3: three hundreds. Nothing theirs strikeouts to be had in the
• 23:25
  Speaker 3: Seattle lineup. Give me a picture's duel, Give me a
• 23:27
  Speaker 3: Gilberts Lucas Giolito in a pictures park and not worry
• 23:31
  Speaker 3: about the eighty five degrees and stuff at a couple
• 23:34
  Speaker 3: of the other spots. Same thing with Sandy, good pictures park.
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: He's at home. Yes, it is concerning. Like the Phillies
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: are good, they have plenty of power. I think they're
• 23:43
  Speaker 3: interesting as a stack, but three point five percent, Like
• 23:46
  Speaker 3: he is the pivot off of Pepio. He's the pivot
• 23:49
  Speaker 3: of the pivot of the pivot. Like if people are
• 23:51
  Speaker 3: gonna pivot from Pepio, they're gonna probably go Gusto or Gilito.
• 23:55
  Speaker 3: Sandy right there, the cheapest guy we have in the pool.
• 23:58
  Speaker 3: He gets me twelve thirteen on this late it could
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: be enough, especially if the top arms don't really get there.
• 24:04
  Speaker 3: So this is kind of what I'm looking at at Pitcher,
• 24:07
  Speaker 3: and I would probably go like this, like I want
• 24:09
  Speaker 3: Gilbert and Phillyath. Can you play Gilbert single entry one
• 24:13
  Speaker 3: hundred percent? Absolutely, he probably would be in mind, And
• 24:17
  Speaker 3: a lot of that has to do like even lowering
• 24:18
  Speaker 3: his projection almost two points still grades out in the
• 24:22
  Speaker 3: value column to be second right behind Clark Schmidt. I
• 24:27
  Speaker 3: like Ceize the pivot. I like Gusto, but like my
• 24:29
  Speaker 3: least favorites in this is probably Irvin at ownership, probably
• 24:34
  Speaker 3: Clark Schmidt and Sandy because I do like Gilbert as
• 24:37
  Speaker 3: the talk, I like pairing him with one of these
• 24:39
  Speaker 3: lower on guys, especially kind of a cheaper guy, and
• 24:42
  Speaker 3: then you can do a lot with your bats there.
• 24:44
  Speaker 3: So again, as you can see, I was messing with
• 24:46
  Speaker 3: some min max stuff, like I'm not going to x
• 24:48
  Speaker 3: out Clark Schmitt, not going to x out Jake Irvin,
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: but you can set their max lower than the field,
• 24:53
  Speaker 3: so you're forcing yourself to get underweight. But then just say,
• 24:56
  Speaker 3: Sabers really does love it. So if I got thirty
• 24:59
  Speaker 3: three percent. Hark Schmidt. I'm underweight because I'm forcing myself too,
• 25:03
  Speaker 3: but sabersion really likes it. So I'm letting the power
• 25:06
  Speaker 3: of Sabersim do its thing, but also my thoughts on
• 25:08
  Speaker 3: the slate kind of do its thing, and then I'm
• 25:10
  Speaker 3: happy with it. I don't need to make crazy, crazy stands.
• 25:13
  Speaker 3: I think it's actually the wrong thing to do. The
• 25:15
  Speaker 3: more teams you make, like usually got building this pool
• 25:18
  Speaker 3: for twenty teams, it'd be something like this. I'm forcing
• 25:21
  Speaker 3: the guys I want to get overweight on, but I'm
• 25:23
  Speaker 3: not going crazy and I'm not fading the chalk that
• 25:26
  Speaker 3: I don't necessarily love, but I'm capping it and then
• 25:29
  Speaker 3: I'll play it in ways that Sabersim kind of likes it.
• 25:31
  Speaker 3: So any final thoughts and like, this is how I'm
• 25:34
  Speaker 3: looking at the twenty entry pool.
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: Any final thoughts that pitching.
• 25:37
  Speaker 4: No, I'd do it pretty similar.
• 25:40
  Speaker 5: Take your stand on it on one or two guys,
• 25:43
  Speaker 5: filter filter around, and naturally you're you're getting yourself different
• 25:47
  Speaker 5: and giving yourself different combinations right when you do Max.
• 25:50
  Speaker 4: I'm in MAX. I do a lot of that as well.
• 25:53
  Speaker 5: You see the ownership even if the ownership's not accurate, right,
• 25:56
  Speaker 5: It's super hard to get very very accurate ownership. But
• 26:00
  Speaker 5: least it's ballpark range and at least you know it's
• 26:02
  Speaker 5: it's going to be somewhat close, right, especially with the
• 26:05
  Speaker 5: upgraded package on SABERSIM where you can filter the ownership
• 26:08
  Speaker 5: based on the high stakes, mid stakes, twenty MAXX, single entry,
• 26:14
  Speaker 5: et cetera. It gives you a pretty good idea, so
• 26:17
  Speaker 5: you can tell who you want to be overweight on,
• 26:19
  Speaker 5: underweight on.
• 26:20
  Speaker 4: I do it very similar as well.
• 26:22
  Speaker 3: Yeah, and ownership is tough to predict, so that's why
• 26:26
  Speaker 3: like running dry runs and stuff, and like if you
• 26:28
  Speaker 3: think Gilbert's no way he's fifty five, he's seventy five
• 26:32
  Speaker 3: or whatever it is, you can manually change that and
• 26:34
  Speaker 3: then you change on the ownership. Then you manually change
• 26:37
  Speaker 3: your mind max. Like, that's how you add more value.
• 26:40
  Speaker 3: That's a lot of things nowadays. If the sims and
• 26:42
  Speaker 3: stuff project predicting ownership and what the field's going to
• 26:45
  Speaker 3: do is one of the most important things you can do.
• 26:48
  Speaker 2: That's what's overwhelmed, what's under owned, et cetera.
• 26:51
  Speaker 3: Projecting ownership is very hard, so we've we're off almost
• 26:54
  Speaker 3: every single day, almost every single site I imagine is
• 26:57
  Speaker 3: that's when you can put your little touch in it.
• 27:00
  Speaker 3: Then yeah, Gilbert seventy five percent, Oh now, maybe I
• 27:03
  Speaker 3: don't want seventy five percent. I think he's over owned
• 27:06
  Speaker 3: now all maxim at sixty or I think Irvin he's
• 27:09
  Speaker 3: not going to be twenty four percent. What are you
• 27:10
  Speaker 3: guys talking on, he's gonna be fifteen. Well, if I
• 27:13
  Speaker 3: knew that, he's a much better play, So yeah, messing
• 27:15
  Speaker 3: with that yourself, and then you can like mess around
• 27:19
  Speaker 3: with the mid mac stuff with your new ownership and
• 27:22
  Speaker 3: dial it in that way.
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: So that's a good call.
• 27:24
  Speaker 3: Don't just blindly you know, I blindly follow ownership a lot.
• 27:27
  Speaker 2: It's really hard to do.
• 27:29
  Speaker 3: But like an NBA showdown at MMA, little things like that,
• 27:32
  Speaker 3: when it's less of a player pool, then it's a
• 27:35
  Speaker 3: lot easier for me to do it. Like, I'm not
• 27:36
  Speaker 3: gonna mess with hitting ownership projections for every single team
• 27:40
  Speaker 3: and go through That's just not what I do pitching.
• 27:43
  Speaker 3: If I see something crazy different, then I'll mess with it.
• 27:45
  Speaker 3: But for the most part, I'm taking the averageship in
• 27:48
  Speaker 3: Nation and savors him. That's the beauty of having an
• 27:51
  Speaker 3: extra source as you can see right here with the
• 27:53
  Speaker 3: starter or the Ultimate package, like Big Nads is saying
• 27:56
  Speaker 3: that has yeah, twenty max high stakes, like all of that,
• 28:01
  Speaker 3: it has each different, each different bucket twenty max, three
• 28:05
  Speaker 3: entry high Stake, single entry, flag ship, ememy, all that,
• 28:09
  Speaker 3: it has different ownership buckets in that.
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: So, yes, it is expensive.
• 28:13
  Speaker 3: First thirty days two hundred ninety seven bucks and then
• 28:16
  Speaker 3: three hundred twenty one dollars. But if you're playing like
• 28:18
  Speaker 3: a thousand plus a month, it is something I would recommend.
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: I've been using it for a long time. And it's
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: also cool.
• 28:24
  Speaker 3: You get access to Rio sheets hopped on Tambo's been
• 28:28
  Speaker 3: on Hoop. They do have a round table every month
• 28:31
  Speaker 3: for Ultimate members that you can ask them questions and
• 28:34
  Speaker 3: deep dive even more into sabers soon. All right, that's
• 28:37
  Speaker 3: enough of pitching. Let's talk some bats again. Early start
• 28:40
  Speaker 3: time six forty eastern on both sides. Philadelphia Phillies and
• 28:44
  Speaker 3: the Miami Marlins. First gameless slate eight and a half
• 28:48
  Speaker 3: total minus one Thirteen Favorites are the Phillies number eleven
• 28:52
  Speaker 3: for Able number nine for Sandy. Neither pitcherre grading out
• 28:56
  Speaker 3: too well in our pitcher rankings, you have interest in
• 28:58
  Speaker 3: bats on either side.
• 29:00
  Speaker 5: Yeah, it would be the Philly bats in particular, mainly
• 29:04
  Speaker 5: the lefties is what you want to get Sandy. He
• 29:07
  Speaker 5: has struggled a lot as of late. He doesn't give
• 29:09
  Speaker 5: up a ton of power, but he has walk issues
• 29:13
  Speaker 5: and you can also steal bases and Philly will run.
• 29:16
  Speaker 5: So the stolen bases guys are kind of the main
• 29:18
  Speaker 5: guys I'm looking at. Also the lefties, right, so Bryson, Scott, Brandon,
• 29:23
  Speaker 5: marsh Schwarber's been running actually a little bit. So those
• 29:27
  Speaker 5: are the three main lefties that that I want to
• 29:29
  Speaker 5: look at there, and then add in Marshan right, a
• 29:32
  Speaker 5: twenty five dollars switch hitting catcher that can have some
• 29:36
  Speaker 5: power at times. I know it looks pretty gross on
• 29:38
  Speaker 5: the stone there, but again very limited. He's not an
• 29:41
  Speaker 5: everyday starter, right, usually removed those in there. I will
• 29:44
  Speaker 5: say this Phillies lineup is more water down than normal.
• 29:47
  Speaker 5: I mean with the injury to Bryce Harpo, right, no
• 29:50
  Speaker 5: real mudo in there, out of kemps in there, I
• 29:53
  Speaker 5: mean it is a more water down lineup. So again
• 29:56
  Speaker 5: that goes back to the Sandy take. I mean, Sandy,
• 29:59
  Speaker 5: if you look at the numbers historically has pitched horrendous.
• 30:02
  Speaker 4: Against the Phillies.
• 30:03
  Speaker 5: The Phillies have really good metrics, really good numbers against Sandy.
• 30:07
  Speaker 5: But again everybody sees the same slate at hand and
• 30:10
  Speaker 5: the same metrics right and.
• 30:11
  Speaker 4: Dives in again on the pitching slate.
• 30:15
  Speaker 5: I think he does have some upside, so it would
• 30:17
  Speaker 5: be mainly the lefties and the stolen based guys for me.
• 30:19
  Speaker 5: So the stolen based rights is trade Turner and Caslanos
• 30:24
  Speaker 5: mainly trade Turner, So those are guys I'm looking at
• 30:28
  Speaker 5: for the Phillies. Start with the lefties, add and trade
• 30:30
  Speaker 5: Turner if you want at the top, who always has
• 30:33
  Speaker 5: power and speed on the Marlins side. Don't love the Marlins.
• 30:38
  Speaker 5: I mean, I don't know. This dude is still unproven.
• 30:42
  Speaker 5: Three starts doesn't it doesn't prove your your stay in
• 30:45
  Speaker 5: the majors yet. I'll say over the last thirty days
• 30:48
  Speaker 5: it's right as you want. Again against Mickabel here fifteen
• 30:53
  Speaker 5: kwaight to righty's thirty percent to lefties. So drastic splits
• 30:57
  Speaker 5: allows power to both sides and fly balls to both sides.
• 31:00
  Speaker 5: If you're looking for flyball guys over the current season
• 31:04
  Speaker 5: against right handed pitching from the Marlins. It's Norby hitting
• 31:08
  Speaker 5: from the right side as a one off if you
• 31:10
  Speaker 5: want that. Hicks Stours out of Lopez are the other
• 31:14
  Speaker 5: fly ball guys. I prefer Lopez and Norby as one
• 31:18
  Speaker 5: offs outside of that, don't don't love it.
• 31:21
  Speaker 4: Bullpen, Phillies bullpen is pretty good.
• 31:25
  Speaker 5: Let me just get you their ranking here over the
• 31:28
  Speaker 5: last thirty rotation rankings team hitter.
• 31:34
  Speaker 4: Bullpen right here, bullpen last thirty.
• 31:38
  Speaker 5: Phillies is middle x twenty seconds, so bottom half of
• 31:42
  Speaker 5: the league.
• 31:46
  Speaker 3: Slate with a pitcher that I mean, you're not getting
• 31:50
  Speaker 3: direct leverage, which is kind of why I don't love
• 31:53
  Speaker 3: either side of this. But a stands out is the
• 31:56
  Speaker 3: Phillies lineup. No real Muto, no Harper. That bottom of
• 31:59
  Speaker 3: your order is way worse. I have way more interest
• 32:01
  Speaker 3: in Sandy. I knew no real real Muto, forgot about Harper.
• 32:05
  Speaker 3: I saw a picture on Twitter. He looked like ten
• 32:07
  Speaker 3: years older than he did from last year. Is crazy,
• 32:10
  Speaker 3: But yeah, for Sandy being the cheapest pitcher in her
• 32:12
  Speaker 3: pool at home with the water down Phillies line if
• 32:15
  Speaker 3: I even have more interest there. But no one's gonna
• 32:18
  Speaker 3: play the Marlins They're absolutely free. You can eat like
• 32:21
  Speaker 3: that's what I'm playing Clark Schmidt and Logan Gilbert is.
• 32:23
  Speaker 3: If I'm playing the Marlins, you don't have to get fancy.
• 32:26
  Speaker 3: You have all the money. You can still play Judge
• 32:29
  Speaker 3: as a one off. The grading out well in our
• 32:31
  Speaker 3: hitter rankings. You can see that's really good for a
• 32:34
  Speaker 3: lot of these guys. Nick Abel or Abel isn't grading
• 32:37
  Speaker 3: out good himself. So I actually think the Marlins are
• 32:41
  Speaker 3: my preferred side. They're very cheap. You can focus more
• 32:44
  Speaker 3: so on the top of the order. But like Norby
• 32:46
  Speaker 3: in the eighth hole, like you said, at a third
• 32:48
  Speaker 3: base position. I mean, you can fill a lot of
• 32:51
  Speaker 3: these onesies positions. Ramirez, he has pop in the four hole,
• 32:54
  Speaker 3: fills out catcher. I think the Marlins are a little
• 32:57
  Speaker 3: interesting to start it off, and that's how I would
• 32:59
  Speaker 3: eat the Chalk And I don't love the Phillies like Schwarber. Yeah,
• 33:04
  Speaker 3: play Schwarber is a one off for sure, He's probably
• 33:06
  Speaker 3: gonna go deep.
• 33:07
  Speaker 2: I just don't love the stack personally.
• 33:09
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean this park in day games is second
• 33:12
  Speaker 5: worst in baseball, and night games is fourth worst in
• 33:15
  Speaker 5: baseball overall. So I would if I'm going to this park,
• 33:20
  Speaker 5: I would want to save salary right, which which leads
• 33:23
  Speaker 5: to the Marlins side, or like I talked about the
• 33:26
  Speaker 5: stolen base side on the on the Philly side, cause
• 33:29
  Speaker 5: Sandy can get wild walk guys, and then I mean
• 33:33
  Speaker 5: single turns into damn near a home run right when
• 33:37
  Speaker 5: you steal second.
• 33:37
  Speaker 4: Score scorers, score right.
• 33:40
  Speaker 5: I will say the Marlins bullpen has been better over
• 33:42
  Speaker 5: the last month than the Phillies bullpen, so that that.
• 33:45
  Speaker 4: Goes to your point as well. They're they're title for sure.
• 33:48
  Speaker 3: I like you, thanks nads and yes, Derek answer, but
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: yeah no, Lance mccallers, gusta starting man.
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: I was watching. I saw it on the TV at
• 33:56
  Speaker 2: the gym a little bit. That is insane.
• 33:58
  Speaker 3: How many pitches does he have? Derek, Wow, I saw
• 34:02
  Speaker 3: it one nothing. Let me know if it's still one
• 34:04
  Speaker 3: nothing as well. All right, we will keep it rolling.
• 34:08
  Speaker 3: I didn't think there was anything else, No, nothing else
• 34:10
  Speaker 3: in that one. Next game on the slate, Washington Nationals
• 34:13
  Speaker 3: and the Colorado Rockies eight and a half total minus
• 34:16
  Speaker 3: one seventy three favorites are the Nats leftiest for the Rockies.
• 34:22
  Speaker 3: The problem is, like Jake Irvin gets hit a lot
• 34:24
  Speaker 3: harder against leftist than he does the righties. The problem
• 34:27
  Speaker 3: is looking at this confirmed lineup, Ryan McMahon, Mickey Moniac,
• 34:31
  Speaker 3: Michael Togia. That's all the lefties they have in this order.
• 34:36
  Speaker 3: Irvan's gonna get played, probably third highest own pitcher on
• 34:39
  Speaker 3: the slate, guarantee night in, he at bats, good hitting
• 34:42
  Speaker 3: weather in Washington.
• 34:43
  Speaker 2: Can you make a case for these Rockies?
• 34:46
  Speaker 3: And then I do think the Nats are one of
• 34:47
  Speaker 3: the highest owned on the slate against the lefty.
• 34:51
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll let you take it away from there. What
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: do you got? Yeah?
• 34:54
  Speaker 5: So I think the Rockies are pretty interesting because nobody's
• 34:56
  Speaker 5: gonna play them.
• 34:57
  Speaker 4: Everybody's gonna play the Irvin side.
• 34:58
  Speaker 5: This dude is not I mean, and this reminds me,
• 35:01
  Speaker 5: I don't know if I got a sell or taste
• 35:03
  Speaker 5: in my mouth or what.
• 35:04
  Speaker 4: This reminds me in tandem to the Bryce Elder situation.
• 35:08
  Speaker 5: Right guy comes in, comes off a good start, right
• 35:12
  Speaker 5: has some good numbers. Everybody just slam dunks Irvin and
• 35:16
  Speaker 5: or Elder in there, and the.
• 35:18
  Speaker 4: Rockies just do their thing right and get to them.
• 35:21
  Speaker 5: I know it's recency bias all of that, but it
• 35:24
  Speaker 5: just feels like a very similar situation here, right. I mean,
• 35:28
  Speaker 5: Jake Irvin's over eight k solely due to DraftKings, has
• 35:32
  Speaker 5: finally priced up these pitchers a little bit anytime they're
• 35:36
  Speaker 5: facing the Rockies, the White Sox, et cetera.
• 35:40
  Speaker 4: For the Rockies, the lefties first, I.
• 35:42
  Speaker 5: Think McK mahone is an elite play on the slate,
• 35:46
  Speaker 5: especially at his ownership.
• 35:47
  Speaker 4: Third base is a weak position overall. I like him
• 35:50
  Speaker 4: a lot Mickey moniac.
• 35:51
  Speaker 5: You got a little four to seven stacked there for
• 35:53
  Speaker 5: all the BVP guys out there. For what it's worth, totally,
• 35:55
  Speaker 5: it does have a couple of bahamas off of Jake Irvin,
• 35:58
  Speaker 5: I know, got to throw that in there. That usually
• 36:00
  Speaker 5: stirs up the chat a little bit there. And then
• 36:02
  Speaker 5: for the righties. He doesn't give up a ton of power,
• 36:06
  Speaker 5: does Irvin to righties. But you want the fly ball
• 36:09
  Speaker 5: guys because he does have a grond ball lean to
• 36:12
  Speaker 5: the right side, and I mean the righties. For the Rockies,
• 36:15
  Speaker 5: at least one thing they do do is hit the
• 36:17
  Speaker 5: ball in the air, right It typically helps when you
• 36:19
  Speaker 5: play in half your games in course field to be
• 36:22
  Speaker 5: able to get the ball in the air. So Doyle
• 36:24
  Speaker 5: Beck are the main and Goodman are the three ritings
• 36:27
  Speaker 5: that I would include. I would probably throw out everyone
• 36:30
  Speaker 5: else personally Freeman, Ritter, Estrada. I would stick to Goodman, Togly,
• 36:35
  Speaker 5: Ammoniac Beck, Ryan McMahon or McMahon, and Brenton Doyle for
• 36:40
  Speaker 5: the Rocky side. The Washington side is interesting because this team,
• 36:45
  Speaker 5: I mean, this team is gonna get slammed in terms
• 36:48
  Speaker 5: of projections, ownership, everything stacks. When people are looking to
• 36:51
  Speaker 5: save money, they're going to go to the Nats to
• 36:54
  Speaker 5: pair with Houston, and I mean this team has a
• 36:56
  Speaker 5: twenty six percent k rate against lefties. I get at
• 36:58
  Speaker 5: punk Quist has been atrocious. He gives up eight He's
• 37:01
  Speaker 5: giving up eight stolen bases and twenty two twenty two
• 37:04
  Speaker 5: innings pitch this season as well.
• 37:05
  Speaker 4: The Nats will steal. So if I'm going to the Nats,
• 37:08
  Speaker 4: I mainly want to look at some of the stolen
• 37:10
  Speaker 4: base guys for sure on the Gnats. So Alex Call,
• 37:16
  Speaker 4: let me go to the stolen bases here for the Gnats.
• 37:19
  Speaker 4: So obviously cj Abrams, Jacob Young, those two guys are on.
• 37:22
  Speaker 4: James Wood, Rosario Alex Call are kind of the main
• 37:25
  Speaker 4: guys you're you're looking at it like all of those
• 37:27
  Speaker 4: guys a lot. Presumably you want the Rioties first, but
• 37:31
  Speaker 4: again you get a bad two bad bullpens here as well.
• 37:35
  Speaker 4: So I think this game, this game's either gonna be
• 37:38
  Speaker 4: two to one or it's gonna be like a football scorer,
• 37:41
  Speaker 4: is how I have. I don't think there's any in between,
• 37:43
  Speaker 4: just because both these bullpens are trashed behind two starting
• 37:46
  Speaker 4: pitchers here that I don't have much faith in in general.
• 37:49
  Speaker 4: So I could see a shootout here.
• 37:53
  Speaker 5: And that's why I have a little bit more interesting
• 37:56
  Speaker 5: in the Rocky side, especially at the ownership, because I mean,
• 37:58
  Speaker 5: even behind Irvin, if he does skate through six innings,
• 38:02
  Speaker 5: I mean you got three innings at least off of
• 38:05
  Speaker 5: a bad Nats bullpen.
• 38:06
  Speaker 4: So what wins out bad hitting or bad pitching.
• 38:08
  Speaker 5: I guess we'll find out above average, above average hitting
• 38:12
  Speaker 5: weather here. It's just a small slates. More people are
• 38:15
  Speaker 5: gonna play the Neat side. I like the Rocky side
• 38:17
  Speaker 5: a little bit more in tournaments overall.
• 38:20
  Speaker 3: All right, I can't argue I prefer the Marlins, and
• 38:23
  Speaker 3: I think I prefer the Angels. I think I'm going
• 38:25
  Speaker 3: to get more direct leverage off of Schmidt as my cheapies.
• 38:28
  Speaker 3: I wish I just saw more lefties in the Rockies order.
• 38:31
  Speaker 3: But good hitters part good hitting weather guarantee night thing
• 38:34
  Speaker 3: at bads really cheat no ownership. I will absolutely never
• 38:37
  Speaker 3: argue and leverage leverage off of the third highest own pitcher,
• 38:41
  Speaker 3: like you're getting more leverage with the Rockies than you
• 38:43
  Speaker 3: are the Marlins, for sure. I just like the Marlins
• 38:46
  Speaker 3: more in a vacuum. But absolutely no argument for the
• 38:50
  Speaker 3: Rocky side. The Nats obviously, so you can't play this
• 38:54
  Speaker 3: Brady House guy who's in the sixth hole, which is unfortunate.
• 38:57
  Speaker 3: DK you can on fan duel mentioned Jacob Young. No
• 39:01
  Speaker 3: one's gonna play Jacob Young. He's in the nine hole.
• 39:04
  Speaker 3: So just seeing stuff like that, so you can wrap
• 39:07
  Speaker 3: it around. I think there's enough ways to play the
• 39:10
  Speaker 3: Nats and they're gonna get owned, but they're not gonna
• 39:12
  Speaker 3: be like top. They're not gonna be I think higher.
• 39:15
  Speaker 3: I don't know what do you think five man stack wise?
• 39:18
  Speaker 3: What are the Nats going to come in on this?
• 39:19
  Speaker 3: Like combined ownership? So let me just order like first, second, third,
• 39:25
  Speaker 3: not like fifty eight percent.
• 39:27
  Speaker 5: Oh yeah, let me so dry run has the Nats
• 39:29
  Speaker 5: is number two. Right now, it's it's Houston far and away,
• 39:32
  Speaker 5: and then it's Nats. Philly are kind of what projected
• 39:36
  Speaker 5: what projected score are because Nats and Nats and Philly
• 39:39
  Speaker 5: have cheap bats that fit around the Houston guys right,
• 39:42
  Speaker 5: and Houston's not expensive and in general, because that allows
• 39:45
  Speaker 5: you to five man Houston, play Schmidt, play Gilbert, and
• 39:48
  Speaker 5: then fill it in with NAT's pieces like an Alex
• 39:51
  Speaker 5: call right leading off at thirty seven hundred. He's gonna
• 39:54
  Speaker 5: be probably one of the most popular bats on the slate.
• 39:56
  Speaker 5: And then people want to play James Wood, they want
• 39:58
  Speaker 5: to play Cja Abrams. They got cheap guys to round
• 40:01
  Speaker 5: out a mini stack right on the on the Knat
• 40:04
  Speaker 5: side of things and the Philly side right with some
• 40:07
  Speaker 5: of those cheap the cheap catchers, et cetera in there.
• 40:10
  Speaker 4: So those are kind of the three teams that are
• 40:12
  Speaker 4: picking up all the ownership.
• 40:14
  Speaker 3: I think I like Gnats the most out of those three,
• 40:16
  Speaker 3: So I'm in on the Gnats. This punk quiz guy
• 40:18
  Speaker 3: has not been good. You can let up stolen bases
• 40:21
  Speaker 3: and there's some pop in this Gnats lineup. And outside
• 40:24
  Speaker 3: of James Wood and Abrams. They don't break the bank
• 40:26
  Speaker 3: at all.
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: So you can do a lot of different things.
• 40:28
  Speaker 3: You can still play Pepio and Gilbert and five man
• 40:31
  Speaker 3: them and then bottom the order, but your mini is
• 40:34
  Speaker 3: Aaron Judge and Bellinger or something like.
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: There's so many ways. Or you can spend up at
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: both pitching.
• 40:39
  Speaker 3: You can fade a Chaparo's four whole two point nine
• 40:44
  Speaker 3: k like people will naturally just gravitate to him.
• 40:46
  Speaker 2: In gnat stacks, I don't love that.
• 40:48
  Speaker 3: I like more of the wrap round stuff and then
• 40:50
  Speaker 3: get some of these power bats at the top. So
• 40:52
  Speaker 3: NAT's are one of my favorite stacks on the slates.
• 40:55
  Speaker 3: Don't love the Rockies, but I totally understand all of
• 40:58
  Speaker 3: your points there.
• 40:59
  Speaker 5: The next pot I think, I think a really good
• 41:01
  Speaker 5: roster construction is my favorite bat on the Nats would
• 41:05
  Speaker 5: be Rosario hitting fifth at thirty six hundred, and if
• 41:08
  Speaker 5: you go down to the astros Parides is at four
• 41:10
  Speaker 5: K and everybody's going to click parids In hitting third,
• 41:15
  Speaker 5: a lot of power. Right, Everything checks out good there,
• 41:18
  Speaker 5: But I mean, I mean, it's again, it's baseball, right.
• 41:22
  Speaker 5: The Hall of Famers fail seven out of ten times.
• 41:24
  Speaker 5: I use all the time, right, it's more like seven
• 41:26
  Speaker 5: and a half out of ten times nowadays with the
• 41:29
  Speaker 5: starting pitching and four hundred dollars, you can find that anywhere, right,
• 41:32
  Speaker 5: save you, save yourself four hundred dollars, go up, maybe
• 41:35
  Speaker 5: get you off a different chalk your hitter to a
• 41:38
  Speaker 5: spender up one off or something like that. Little things
• 41:41
  Speaker 5: like that is all you need to do to be
• 41:44
  Speaker 5: different on a slate like this. It's not going and
• 41:46
  Speaker 5: stacking Ritter Doyle estrata, right, playing two shitters in terms
• 41:53
  Speaker 5: of pitching, and just galaxy braining everything one off like that, right,
• 41:58
  Speaker 5: taking a guy out of a stack, which feels weird.
• 42:00
  Speaker 4: It feels feels strange.
• 42:01
  Speaker 5: That's why it's gonna be unique, because because it feels
• 42:03
  Speaker 5: that way for everyone.
• 42:05
  Speaker 2: That's a great comparison.
• 42:06
  Speaker 3: Yeah, third like we third base pretty much saying pricing
• 42:09
  Speaker 3: twenty six percent we have for parades, and we have
• 42:12
  Speaker 3: Razarry at twelve percent, and we might even be a
• 42:15
  Speaker 3: little hot there, like this could be eight percent or
• 42:17
  Speaker 3: something like that. A third of the ownership. So love that.
• 42:20
  Speaker 3: And you can always leave the four hundred. We say
• 42:22
  Speaker 3: it a lot in this, like I leave twelve hundred
• 42:24
  Speaker 3: fifteen hundred. I won't up if I five two one
• 42:28
  Speaker 3: or five to three. Almost always, I'm not gonna take
• 42:31
  Speaker 3: sacrifice to go to a four to two one to
• 42:35
  Speaker 3: upgrade from Mike Trouts from Jacob Young, even like I
• 42:41
  Speaker 3: Again that's a really big difference. But with how I
• 42:44
  Speaker 3: like I force stacks with sabersin I allow my mid salary.
• 42:48
  Speaker 3: I always lower it a lot, because again I think
• 42:50
  Speaker 3: it's a It's like solving a puzzle five to two, one, five, three,
• 42:54
  Speaker 3: it's a correlation.
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: It's a stacking. The reason for that it's a lot easier.
• 42:57
  Speaker 3: If one team scores twelve, it's a lot more likely
• 43:00
  Speaker 3: and easier for one of your guys on that team
• 43:02
  Speaker 3: to do well, whereas the Angels score one. Sure, Mike
• 43:05
  Speaker 3: Trout might have bet solo homer and you need it.
• 43:08
  Speaker 3: But it's a lot harder to score points when there's
• 43:10
  Speaker 3: not runners on base, Whereas if you have five man stacking,
• 43:13
  Speaker 3: you constantly have runners on base. A single right there
• 43:15
  Speaker 3: can score you eight just because guys are on base
• 43:18
  Speaker 3: in front of them. That way, so that's the logic
• 43:20
  Speaker 3: of stacking. It's a lot easier. You need less things
• 43:24
  Speaker 3: to go right to get to the top is the
• 43:26
  Speaker 3: main thing. Man that is insane. Derek eighteen k's no
• 43:29
  Speaker 3: hit or complete Good for that guy.
• 43:32
  Speaker 5: I'll take one hundred percent of him tonight in my lineup.
• 43:36
  Speaker 5: So I'll just click the lock button right now.
• 43:38
  Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, I like.
• 43:39
  Speaker 3: Sixty two DK points or something saying good for that guy.
• 43:44
  Speaker 2: All right, we'll keep it rolling again.
• 43:46
  Speaker 3: Light bun subscribe button helps us out a ton Appreciate
• 43:48
  Speaker 3: all two hundred and seventy of you, all of y'all
• 43:51
  Speaker 3: watching live, watching on playback.
• 43:53
  Speaker 2: Appreciate you guys just as much. Next game, we.
• 43:56
  Speaker 3: Have the New York Yankees and the Los Angeles Angels
• 44:00
  Speaker 3: total minus one ninety four favorites. Are the Yankees. Clark
• 44:04
  Speaker 3: Schmidt gonna be the second highest own pitcher. That is
• 44:06
  Speaker 3: why I mentioned, like some of the Angels, Cark Schmitt.
• 44:09
  Speaker 3: The problem is similar to the Rockies. He gets hit
• 44:12
  Speaker 3: a lot harder on the left side than the right.
• 44:14
  Speaker 3: I'll look at this lineup, Seannel, sure one hundred can
• 44:18
  Speaker 3: play him, ran Geepo, Sure he's two point six k
• 44:22
  Speaker 3: second base third base eligible after that though, plenty of righties.
• 44:26
  Speaker 3: With all that said, Netto's a stud. Drout's the stud
• 44:28
  Speaker 3: Wards a stud so Layer's got pop. I hope fall
• 44:32
  Speaker 3: fills out a catcher position. And if Clark Schmidt's wild, Yeah,
• 44:37
  Speaker 3: small park, good hitting weather.
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: I'm in on the Angels.
• 44:40
  Speaker 3: I think I like the Angels more than the Marlins,
• 44:42
  Speaker 3: mainly for the fact if I'm getting way more direct
• 44:45
  Speaker 3: leverage off of a Clark Schmidt, So I'm definitely in
• 44:48
  Speaker 3: on the Angels. I'm also definitely in on the Yankees.
• 44:51
  Speaker 3: I know Soriano's a groundball guy. Give me this park,
• 44:55
  Speaker 3: this weather, this lineup, on this late at this ownership,
• 44:58
  Speaker 3: all day long, So yeah, I love it.
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: What about you?
• 45:01
  Speaker 5: Yeah, Yanks are probably my top stack of the slates.
• 45:05
  Speaker 5: Take Houston chalk and everyone else can play that shit.
• 45:09
  Speaker 5: Give me the Give me the Yanks against the right
• 45:11
  Speaker 5: handed pitcher and one of the worst bullpens in baseball especially.
• 45:14
  Speaker 5: I love targeting pitchers coming off a ceiling like a
• 45:17
  Speaker 5: career game. I mean, the dude had fourteen strikeouts. I
• 45:20
  Speaker 5: don't think he had fourteen strikeouts combined, and that any
• 45:22
  Speaker 5: of his other starts overall, I mean, kudos to him, right,
• 45:27
  Speaker 5: I played him that slate, so it was fun to
• 45:30
  Speaker 5: be on that side of things. I didn't play him
• 45:32
  Speaker 5: because I think he was going to get a bunch
• 45:33
  Speaker 5: of strikeouts. It was just the pitching slate at hand
• 45:36
  Speaker 5: this game. Though I like love for hitting, I prefer
• 45:38
  Speaker 5: the Yank side overall the Angels side.
• 45:41
  Speaker 4: Yeah, you want lefties.
• 45:42
  Speaker 5: Against Schmidt, but overall, I mean the righty's for the
• 45:47
  Speaker 5: Angels all hit the ball in the air, and Clark
• 45:49
  Speaker 5: Schmidt's a flyball guy, especially to to righty's, So if
• 45:53
  Speaker 5: the guys can put the bat on the ball, there's
• 45:55
  Speaker 5: a good chance it's in the air. It's a good
• 45:57
  Speaker 5: place to hit trout ward. Logan hop Nettow are the
• 46:01
  Speaker 5: main flyball guys from the right side, and then yeah,
• 46:04
  Speaker 5: d en Chanual, who's a lefty right that you want
• 46:08
  Speaker 5: to mainly target Schmid against, get double.
• 46:10
  Speaker 4: Leverage everything Schmidt.
• 46:12
  Speaker 5: The one downside is the Yanks bullpen is really good
• 46:16
  Speaker 5: behind Schmidt. Schmidt does have a thirty rate over the
• 46:20
  Speaker 5: last thirty days to righty's as well, which the Angels
• 46:24
  Speaker 5: over this current season twenty six against right handed pitching.
• 46:27
  Speaker 5: So there's a reason Clark Schmid's getting played at the
• 46:30
  Speaker 5: rate he is. Again, it's baseball. It's the highest variance sport.
• 46:33
  Speaker 5: In all of dfs. I mean, all it takes is
• 46:37
  Speaker 5: one of these guys to to not be out right.
• 46:40
  Speaker 5: He overlooks the match up everything. I mean, there's so
• 46:42
  Speaker 5: many things that can go wrong. Prefer the Yankee side
• 46:46
  Speaker 5: more for full stacks. The Angel side does have more interest.
• 46:50
  Speaker 5: Adele trout Ward are kind of the three favorite bats.
• 46:53
  Speaker 5: Adding the two lefties you got to stack there. Obviously
• 46:56
  Speaker 5: you can include Netto and o'hop there, but Ward, Troutt,
• 46:59
  Speaker 5: and Adel are the best hitters against right handed pitching,
• 47:02
  Speaker 5: at least in terms of power, which you really want
• 47:04
  Speaker 5: to pick off. So I prefer the Angels more as
• 47:06
  Speaker 5: mini stacks because you want to kind of power hunt
• 47:09
  Speaker 5: against Clark Schmidt. I don't think the Angels are going
• 47:13
  Speaker 5: to go off and break a slate against this bullpen
• 47:15
  Speaker 5: and Schmid in general, but at the leverage in non
• 47:18
  Speaker 5: Schmidt teams, I think two or three mens sacks is
• 47:20
  Speaker 5: plenty to set yourself against the field there on the
• 47:24
  Speaker 5: Yanks side, all of them firmly in play. You want
• 47:27
  Speaker 5: the fly ball guys. This entire team hits the ball
• 47:29
  Speaker 5: in the air for the most part. They get Stanton
• 47:31
  Speaker 5: back as well, which should have this team buzzing overall,
• 47:35
  Speaker 5: Stanton hitting right in the heart of that lineup. I
• 47:37
  Speaker 5: like the lefties first, in particular Grisham, Rice Bellinger. Jazz
• 47:41
  Speaker 5: is back in there as well Wells. I mean, the
• 47:44
  Speaker 5: Yankees are healthy. Now this is a gauntlet lineup and
• 47:48
  Speaker 5: a horrible bullpen behind him. Nobody's going to the Yankees team,
• 47:52
  Speaker 5: which is really surprising to me. I love the Yankers tonight,
• 47:55
  Speaker 5: one of my favorite stacks overall.
• 47:57
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm worried they catch a little steam, like not
• 48:01
  Speaker 3: dry run projections, really just people seeing team total, seeing
• 48:06
  Speaker 3: that there is viable pitchers down low.
• 48:08
  Speaker 2: But even so, like I think it's the best team
• 48:10
  Speaker 2: on the slates.
• 48:10
  Speaker 3: And it's not like I think they're gonna like surpass
• 48:13
  Speaker 3: the Astros, Like there's still multiple.
• 48:14
  Speaker 2: Other teams that are getting ownership.
• 48:17
  Speaker 3: So I just mean, like this number, these numbers, like
• 48:20
  Speaker 3: if this added up to like sixty five later in
• 48:22
  Speaker 3: the day, I wouldn't be shocked. But again, I would
• 48:25
  Speaker 3: still have interest in the Yankees, and it probably is
• 48:27
  Speaker 3: more Mini's Angels than full It's just if they do
• 48:32
  Speaker 3: get to Schmid early, you don't see the best Yankees
• 48:35
  Speaker 3: or the best guys out of the pen for the Yankees,
• 48:37
  Speaker 3: and again with some of that's control issues and the
• 48:40
  Speaker 3: power the Angels have, like it could just take two
• 48:43
  Speaker 3: walks in a three run homer. Next thing you know,
• 48:45
  Speaker 3: he's flustered and this whole game changes. So I do
• 48:48
  Speaker 3: think the Angels are interesting. Angels and Marlins are my two,
• 48:51
  Speaker 3: like no one's playing them, and the difference is I
• 48:55
  Speaker 3: guess there's some expensive bats here, mainly like two of them,
• 48:58
  Speaker 3: whereas there's really no one on the mark. But again
• 49:00
  Speaker 3: there's enough cheap bats all around the order and enough
• 49:03
  Speaker 3: cheap pitching, like you could easily play Gilbert Gilbert. Actually
• 49:08
  Speaker 3: I wouldn't play Schmid in that Gilbert pick whoever you want,
• 49:11
  Speaker 3: two man Angels, and then you can five man whoever
• 49:14
  Speaker 3: you want after that, even if you are playing Neto
• 49:17
  Speaker 3: and Trout. So plenty of ways ago. But yeah, I
• 49:20
  Speaker 3: like the Angels direct leverage. I think it's pretty interesting.
• 49:23
  Speaker 3: I love the Yankees favorite stack on the slate. All right,
• 49:27
  Speaker 3: we'll keep it rolling. Next game on the slate. Tampa
• 49:29
  Speaker 3: Bay Rays baltimot Orioles eight and a half total pretty
• 49:32
  Speaker 3: much a coin flip minus I don't know how they
• 49:35
  Speaker 3: do this minus one eleven favorites of the Rays minus
• 49:37
  Speaker 3: one ten favorite or minus one ten for the Os
• 49:40
  Speaker 3: minus one eleven for the Rays. On DraftKings usually it's
• 49:43
  Speaker 3: minus one ten apiece. Interesting regardless. First thing that stands
• 49:47
  Speaker 3: out to me great hitting weather like we talked about early.
• 49:51
  Speaker 3: The second Earlier. The second thing, though Ethlyn and Pepio
• 49:55
  Speaker 3: great out solid in our pitcher rankings.
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: Like we talked about, Pepio will get owners e Flyn
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: not as much.
• 50:03
  Speaker 3: Seeing that seeing this ranking makes me maybe include Flin
• 50:07
  Speaker 3: in it and see what sabers and thinks in.
• 50:08
  Speaker 2: My pitching pool.
• 50:10
  Speaker 3: Regardless though, both offenses aren't looking to get too much
• 50:13
  Speaker 3: ownership and great hitting weathers So can you can you
• 50:15
  Speaker 3: make a case for five man in either of these teams?
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: Yeah?
• 50:18
  Speaker 4: I love the raise side of things.
• 50:21
  Speaker 5: Eflyn over the last month has gotten absolutely tattooed in
• 50:25
  Speaker 5: eighty seven played appearances against lefties, fifteen p k rate
• 50:30
  Speaker 5: three twenty one I sell a flyball raid over thirty
• 50:32
  Speaker 5: three percent, and the Ray's best hitters, in my opinion,
• 50:36
  Speaker 5: hit from the left side. I mean, Cameron Niro has
• 50:39
  Speaker 5: a ton of power obviously from the right side. Brandon Low,
• 50:42
  Speaker 5: Aranda Mizner and they lead lead the majors in stolen bases.
• 50:47
  Speaker 5: E Flyn is pretty tough overall to steal on in general,
• 50:51
  Speaker 5: but I mean the Rays will steal on anyone. I mean,
• 50:54
  Speaker 5: I think they're approaching one hundred stolen bases already on
• 50:57
  Speaker 5: the year. It's them, the Brewers and uh one other
• 51:02
  Speaker 5: team up there amongst way way ahead of pretty much
• 51:05
  Speaker 5: everyone else in the majors, So you get added bonus there.
• 51:09
  Speaker 4: Best hitting spot on the slates. I'm not concerned about
• 51:12
  Speaker 4: the weather.
• 51:12
  Speaker 5: Looking at the O's pen, O's pen isn't isn't great,
• 51:17
  Speaker 5: So yeah, I love the Rays at their ownership in general,
• 51:21
  Speaker 5: I don't think e Flyn is very good in general,
• 51:24
  Speaker 5: so I think the Rays are are for sure interesting here.
• 51:28
  Speaker 4: Don't love the O's side of things.
• 51:30
  Speaker 5: Pepio has definitely been known to give up some power
• 51:34
  Speaker 5: in fly balls, but I mean, I prefer at the
• 51:38
  Speaker 5: ownership just playing some of these Rays with the added
• 51:41
  Speaker 5: silent based upside in there. But looking at this, uh this,
• 51:44
  Speaker 5: this O's team, they have smashed right handed pitching overall,
• 51:49
  Speaker 5: so maybe that gives gives you some lean Westburg Kowser
• 51:53
  Speaker 5: O'Hearn mullins Gunner all have ISOs over to two hundred.
• 51:58
  Speaker 4: Carlson's right there at two hundred, Holidays at one eighty.
• 52:01
  Speaker 5: I mean, this entire teams I show is approaching two
• 52:05
  Speaker 5: hundred or higher against right hand and pitching.
• 52:07
  Speaker 3: This this is fall on five dollars, Like you said
• 52:10
  Speaker 3: that big five dollars, fifty teams. Of course, I'm probably
• 52:13
  Speaker 3: would would mix in some of these. If I'm playing
• 52:16
  Speaker 3: two teams, three teams, I don't see myself five.
• 52:19
  Speaker 2: Many either of these teams. It would just be one off.
• 52:22
  Speaker 3: And to be honest, I think I prefer pitching almost even.
• 52:26
  Speaker 4: I mean, you mainly want righties against Pepio, So like Baltimore,
• 52:30
  Speaker 4: rolling out seven lefties here makes me like Pepe even more.
• 52:34
  Speaker 4: I mean, over the last month, the dude has a
• 52:36
  Speaker 4: forty three percent k right against left handed hitters over
• 52:39
  Speaker 4: the current season, and last season he's up at twenty
• 52:43
  Speaker 4: eight percent right. So you want righty's. He's reverse splitzy.
• 52:47
  Speaker 5: So that makes Westburg, in my opinion, the best play
• 52:49
  Speaker 5: on the O side of things.
• 52:52
  Speaker 4: And that's pretty much it. So Westburg as a one off.
• 52:57
  Speaker 4: But looking at that, I mean, and this.
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: Another pivot from parades.
• 53:01
  Speaker 4: Yeah, so like that right there.
• 53:03
  Speaker 5: I like Rosario and Westburg much more than Parid's at
• 53:07
  Speaker 5: the ownership on this slate that it shakes up to
• 53:11
  Speaker 5: be so increasing my owner, my interesting patio. I'm now
• 53:15
  Speaker 5: seeing this come front line up here and seeing seven
• 53:17
  Speaker 5: lefties in there to target him.
• 53:20
  Speaker 2: Good show. I love it all right.
• 53:21
  Speaker 3: Next game on the slates, three games left, Seattle Mariners
• 53:25
  Speaker 3: and the Boston Red Sox. The lowest total by a
• 53:28
  Speaker 3: mile seven minus one seventy six.
• 53:30
  Speaker 2: Favorites are the Mariners. I am not playing any Red
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: Sox bats.
• 53:34
  Speaker 3: I do want you to talk about that Devers trade though,
• 53:37
  Speaker 3: your thoughts which team won both winners?
• 53:40
  Speaker 2: Were you surprised?
• 53:42
  Speaker 3: And then Mariner's side again, Giolito's a picture I am
• 53:45
  Speaker 3: including in my pool seven point three K Pitcher's park.
• 53:49
  Speaker 3: K Prop's fine. With all that being said, He's not
• 53:52
  Speaker 3: a good picture. He can get hit hard on both
• 53:54
  Speaker 3: sides of the plate, especially lefties, and they got this
• 53:57
  Speaker 3: left he named cal Raley over. You're big dumper. Yes
• 54:01
  Speaker 3: he is six K. I don't care what his price is.
• 54:03
  Speaker 3: It like you could easily afford it. So I don't
• 54:06
  Speaker 3: love five manning the Mariners. I don't think it's crazy
• 54:08
  Speaker 3: to do, so it just falls down my list. It's
• 54:11
  Speaker 3: probably like fifth, but I think Mini Stacking and especially
• 54:15
  Speaker 3: cal Raleigh an elite one off. But I like pictures
• 54:18
  Speaker 3: in this game, so it's definitely no Red Sox for me. Yeah,
• 54:22
  Speaker 3: talk about the Devers stuff, talk about this game for defense.
• 54:25
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean that trade was was pretty shocking. I mean,
• 54:28
  Speaker 5: the Giants are taking on Devers contract and that I mean,
• 54:33
  Speaker 5: I don't know, the Red Sox just seem to want
• 54:36
  Speaker 5: to trade away their entire their entire World Series roster.
• 54:39
  Speaker 5: I think they finally realized that, hey, time to mail
• 54:41
  Speaker 5: it in. Maybe we'll get what we can from the guys.
• 54:45
  Speaker 5: It was pretty shocking to see though their World Series
• 54:48
  Speaker 5: roster and where all of their their star players that
• 54:51
  Speaker 5: have filtered out throughout the league there.
• 54:53
  Speaker 4: I think it's too early to tell anytime.
• 54:55
  Speaker 5: Obviously, people in the initial sense are going to say
• 54:58
  Speaker 5: Giants won that trade right over all. I mean, Kyle
• 55:01
  Speaker 5: Harrison got an option to triple as soon as he
• 55:03
  Speaker 5: got to Boston, which was pretty hilarious there. So he's
• 55:07
  Speaker 5: probably not too happy with with the San France front
• 55:09
  Speaker 5: office there, but he's still collecting a check, so I
• 55:13
  Speaker 5: think he'll be fine in general there. I want to
• 55:16
  Speaker 5: say the Giants won it at the time, but again,
• 55:18
  Speaker 5: time will tell all these kinds of trades. I mean,
• 55:21
  Speaker 5: you'll you'll see trades like this year years right in
• 55:25
  Speaker 5: the making. I mean at the time, I thought the
• 55:27
  Speaker 5: Brewers got absolutely fleeced in the hater trade, in the
• 55:30
  Speaker 5: burns trade, all of that, right, And now you see
• 55:32
  Speaker 5: what's happening there. So it's too hard to tell. People
• 55:35
  Speaker 5: are too quick to pull the trigger. The front office
• 55:38
  Speaker 5: and the managers and staff of these these organizations, multi
• 55:42
  Speaker 5: billion dollar organizations have a lot more smarts and a
• 55:45
  Speaker 5: lot more longevity and metrics and decision making process than us.
• 55:50
  Speaker 3: Us.
• 55:50
  Speaker 5: Joe Schmoe's down here just saying oh yeah, yeah, that
• 55:53
  Speaker 5: was horrible.
• 55:54
  Speaker 4: I could have did this and this and that.
• 55:55
  Speaker 5: Well there's a reason that where we're making those takes,
• 55:58
  Speaker 5: but behind a TV screen or computer screen, right, and
• 56:01
  Speaker 5: they're uh, they're running multi multi billion dollar organizations. So
• 56:06
  Speaker 5: in terms of hitters in this one, Red Sox are
• 56:08
  Speaker 5: passed for me. I think this team's gonna be It's
• 56:11
  Speaker 5: gonna go one of two ways. Title, They're gonna be
• 56:13
  Speaker 5: super motivated, right, the young Bucks I mean, they're two
• 56:16
  Speaker 5: young prospects. Or it's gonna deflate them for a little bit, right,
• 56:20
  Speaker 5: losing losing their their leader, right, they're they're big guy,
• 56:23
  Speaker 5: one of the best hitters in baseball. I'm sure, a
• 56:26
  Speaker 5: good teammate. I'm sure everything a good locker room dude.
• 56:28
  Speaker 5: Everything endeavors. So either they rally against each other and
• 56:33
  Speaker 5: the young guys are like, hey, it's our time to shine,
• 56:36
  Speaker 5: or they go through a little slump here.
• 56:38
  Speaker 4: So it'll be interesting to see.
• 56:39
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna wait and see you approach with with Boston
• 56:42
  Speaker 5: at least for now, especially in this matchup. Overall against
• 56:44
  Speaker 5: Gilbert on the Seattle side. Though I like these lefties.
• 56:48
  Speaker 4: I get it.
• 56:49
  Speaker 5: Gilito, we talked about him in terms of pitching. This
• 56:51
  Speaker 5: is an instance where I think you can play both sides.
• 56:53
  Speaker 5: I get the totals low, but that's gonna keep ownership.
• 56:55
  Speaker 5: Everyone sees totals and accounts for total, especially in baseball. Well,
• 57:00
  Speaker 5: I think a total, realistically is just a number out there. Overall,
• 57:05
  Speaker 5: So Raleigh, Teles, Canzell, and Polanco are the four main
• 57:09
  Speaker 5: guys that I want interest in. They all have a
• 57:11
  Speaker 5: ton of power against Reddy's it doesn't matter. This park
• 57:14
  Speaker 5: is actually above average for home runs in particular. Overall
• 57:19
  Speaker 5: the park sucks, but for home runs in particular, you
• 57:22
  Speaker 5: can pick off that. So I like the mini stacks
• 57:25
  Speaker 5: there tells Kanzone six to seven doesn't break the bank.
• 57:29
  Speaker 4: Nobody's gonna have that mini stack. I think it's pretty
• 57:31
  Speaker 4: interesting there.
• 57:31
  Speaker 5: And then obviously Caro Rale if you can afford him
• 57:35
  Speaker 5: by all means. I mean, if this dude hit his
• 57:38
  Speaker 5: all of his games in Yankee Stadium, I think he'd
• 57:40
  Speaker 5: be pushing sixty seventy home run seasons year in and
• 57:43
  Speaker 5: year out.
• 57:46
  Speaker 3: Got not too much more to Like you mentioned the
• 57:49
  Speaker 3: thing about the total, like seeing seven. I mean when
• 57:51
  Speaker 3: one team's less than three, Like if it was a
• 57:54
  Speaker 3: seven total, but one team at a one point one
• 57:56
  Speaker 3: implied run total and the other end like a five
• 57:58
  Speaker 3: to nine.
• 57:59
  Speaker 2: You know what I mean.
• 58:00
  Speaker 3: I would love the team with the five to nine.
• 58:02
  Speaker 3: You got to look at each individual team. Four point
• 58:05
  Speaker 3: four on this late is not bad at all. Two
• 58:07
  Speaker 3: point ninety four obviously, that is why the total is seven.
• 58:11
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I have some interest in the Mariners. I'm more
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: leading pitching in this game, though. What's going on?
• 58:17
  Speaker 3: Yeasy, hope everything going well with you, Jason. Yeah, isn't
• 58:21
  Speaker 3: that crazy? Dever's and the Giants play on Friday. I
• 58:25
  Speaker 3: think if I remember correctly, Boston heads out to San
• 58:28
  Speaker 3: Franz So that'll be pretty cool to see.
• 58:31
  Speaker 2: And yeah, let me know, Bink, I see Gilbert pitching.
• 58:37
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I still see Gilbert pitching.
• 58:40
  Speaker 3: I haven't seen any update or anything like that, so
• 58:43
  Speaker 3: unless something crazy happened, yeah, Gilbert logan. Gilbert is on
• 58:47
  Speaker 3: the mountain coming off the AL today. All right, next
• 58:50
  Speaker 3: game on the slate, two games left the chalk. I
• 58:53
  Speaker 3: can't even say Oakland. The Athletics are taking on the
• 58:56
  Speaker 3: Houston Astros. We are looking at ten and a half total,
• 59:00
  Speaker 3: I guess on the slates minus one thirty two favorites
• 59:03
  Speaker 3: are the Stros. I mean everyone talks about it, the
• 59:05
  Speaker 3: Coors Field out west, it is good hitting weather as well.
• 59:10
  Speaker 3: People are gonna play the Stros. All I gotta say
• 59:12
  Speaker 3: is just looking at this ownership for the team total
• 59:16
  Speaker 3: that's similar to others.
• 59:17
  Speaker 2: Yeah, like they're cheap.
• 59:19
  Speaker 3: Look at these bats, we don't salary, doesn't need much
• 59:21
  Speaker 3: on a slate like this if they're really gonna be
• 59:24
  Speaker 3: head and shoulders above everyone else, which it looks like
• 59:26
  Speaker 3: they will unless you think like everyone's saying the same
• 59:29
  Speaker 3: thing and everyone gets cute and Astros ownership comes down,
• 59:33
  Speaker 3: which maybe it does, And if you do think that,
• 59:36
  Speaker 3: then you can play Astros like if instead of one
• 59:38
  Speaker 3: hundred and thirty five combined ownership there were one hundred. Yeah,
• 59:42
  Speaker 3: like it's a whole different ballgame. But at projected ownership,
• 59:45
  Speaker 3: with the dry runs and all that, I just would
• 59:48
  Speaker 3: much rather play the Yankees or the Nationals or even
• 59:51
  Speaker 3: the Mariners probably, Like I just don't want to eat
• 59:53
  Speaker 3: this chalk on this slate. If you do, I would
• 59:56
  Speaker 3: not play Clark Schmidt and Logan Gilbert together. Yeah, and
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 3: then I play like a Giolito guilt like I would
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 3: mix in one of those other guys. So again, if
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 3: I'm playing a lot of teams, I'm not exing out
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 3: the Astros, but I'm capping them, so I'm not overweight
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 3: the A stuff.
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: I'll let you talk about that. I'm more team Gusta
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: on this one.
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 3: I do think Butler Rooker gets some ownership, but I
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 3: think after that, no one really clicks them.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 2: So, yeah, break down this game.
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 4: Yeah, I think I think Rooker was.
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 5: Probably gonna get played more against mccullars, just because I
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 5: mean righty smash mccullars. In general, lefties are mainly what
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 5: you want to target Gusta with. I think Rooker is
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 5: still good obviously sole in based upside, tons of power.
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 5: If I'm going to the A side, I want the lefties.
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 5: It's right there with Tampa in terms of hitting weather.
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 5: This park I think leads the majors by far in
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 5: terms of runs at night. Butler Soderstrom, Nick Kurtz as
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 5: a cheap first baseman, all great plays, and then you
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 5: got Jacob Wilson.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 4: Nobody's gonna play him at fifty two hundred.
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 5: Brent Rooker and Max Muntz's actually been pretty solid in
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 5: terms of hitting overall, has some power there. So I
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 5: like the A side definitely more than the Astro side
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 5: at ownership. I mean, this team is just I've never
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 5: seen a dry run spin one hundred and fifty stacks
• 1:01:18
  Speaker 5: out ever of one team. I mean, they're good plays,
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 5: but again I think if I'm playing the Astros, I
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 5: probably wouldn't play Gilbert because when you look at it,
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 5: what are the Astros price points allow you to do?
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 5: It allows you to spend up at pitching, and that's
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 5: why you see the Astros ownership what there is, and
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 5: Gilbert's ownership what it is. So I think if I'm
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 5: playing the Astros, it's probably pivoting to a guy like
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 5: Dylan Cease at the top. I didn't like mckabel a
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 5: lot much either, but maybe it's pivoted to him. I'd
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 5: probably go like a Dylan Cease and then pick your
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 5: other pitcher and play the Yankees, spin up for the
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 5: Yankees instead of spend up for the pitching, and then
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 5: you're saving the sound with the Astros instead of saving
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 5: the salary with the Astros to get up to a
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 5: Gilbert and then mini stack three expensive bats, et cetera. Right,
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 5: So when you play him, be worry how you play them.
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 5: The A's bullpen's bad series is a flyball guy. There's wind,
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 5: blown out temperatures in the eighties. Everything checks out to
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 5: be good for the Astros. I've just seen this tail
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 5: too many times, and when I'm seeing ownership like this
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 5: outside of Corsfield and a team that don't I don't
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 5: love in general for hitting wise, I'll take my chances
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 5: on one of the other thirteen teams to outscore them.
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 4: Here when you got the Dodgers.
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 5: Nobody's gonna play Padres, nobody's gonna play Nobody's gonna play
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 5: the Yankees in a very good environment against an equally
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 5: bad bullpen. I'll take my chances there. So I prefer
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 5: the A side more tournaments astra side, I mean praties.
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 5: If he's back, Diaz Christian Walker are fine. I probably
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 5: prefer more as mini stacks. I won't have any five
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 5: man stack astros here here tonight. If I play them
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 5: at all, it's gonna be two to three man stacks
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 5: without Gilbert.
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 4: Probably.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I've been I was going back in Wiscount this weekend.
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 3: I've had a wedding. M I A for the most parts,
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 3: so I didn't even see. But yet now I'm looking
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 3: at projected lineup that Paradies isn't even in. Again, we
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 3: don't have any official lineup yet, but that is a
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 3: good shout SHALOUPI very well might not be in the
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 3: lineup today.
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: Again, I missed that completely. I did want.
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 3: To click on this, so best catcher for DK And
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 3: again we only have one game left the Dodgers and
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 3: the Potteries.
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 2: We'll get there in a second. But this is what
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 2: I would do exactly what I would do MLB hit
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 2: A rankings.
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 3: So I click on this, I am risky, and hopefully
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 3: it's not going to go too slow. That's got a
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 3: lot of things up right here. So DraftKings. Then I
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 3: would sort by catcher, and obviously the first one is catcher.
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 2: We see that. But boom, this is this is how
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 2: you can easily do it.
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 3: Man, it's slow. My computer is too much going up.
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 3: But this is what I would do. Sort go to DraftKings,
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 3: sort by catcher, and we'll give you the top three
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 3: right there. Garantini number one, cal Raley number four, and
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 3: that's all together in the hitter rankings.
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: Add lead number eight total in number three.
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 3: So that's exactly how I find it. Makes it very
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 3: easy again, can sort by a lot of stuff, can
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 3: sort by teams, by position, who's in the lineup. You
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 3: just want lefty, righty, et cetera. Easy stuff, easy way
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 3: to do that.
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 4: That is one thing too.
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 5: I mean er Diaz is going to be quadruple, if
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 5: not five times the ownership, Kroten is going to be
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 5: on the exact same team, same exact position, four hundred
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 5: dollars salary difference and Caroten. Well, Carroten is a switch hitter, right, so,
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 5: I mean you got the platoon advantage when when alrighty
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 5: comes in out of that pen.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: Absolutely.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 3: Yeah, that's a big thing about the Astros, and I
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 3: guess it's like to make them a little more appealing.
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 2: Like right there, a pivot.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 3: You only can play one catcher on DraftKings if you
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 3: do get it right, especially the Carrotini side at a
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 3: fraction of the ownership.
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 2: Plenty of Astro sacks can die that way, so good.
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 4: Just for the state.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 5: I mean, dry Run was given seventy percent overall in
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 5: terms of overall exposure, not just on the Astros. Seventy
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 5: percent of your catcher spot was Jiner Diaz in projections,
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 5: So yeah.
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 3: He's be on the cash report. He is very chalky,
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 3: very chalky, for sure. It's a simple, simple pivot right there.
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 3: I mean, you just can't play both fraction of the ownership,
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 3: you play Caroteen.
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 2: He grades out better in our rankings as well.
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 3: All right, last game, Los Angeles Dodgers and the San
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 3: Diego Padres. We are looking at a nine total minus
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 3: one fifty eight favorites are the Dodgers.
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 2: And the man the myth.
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 3: The legend is opening this game show hey Otani, so
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 3: you can you're playing him at that excuse me, you're
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 3: playing him at hitter today.
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 2: DraftKings made sure they had the banner up rightfully.
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 3: So usually when Altani is the normal starting pitcher, you
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 3: will not you cannot play him at hitting that slate.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: You can just play him.
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 3: At pitching today because DraftKings got it right, thankfully, Otani's
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 3: just gonna open. You can play him at hitter, not pitcher.
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 3: It's gonna be really cool to see, though. I'm not
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 3: playing these Potteris. Dodgers have a good bullpen, seeing the
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 3: opener and then what a long reliever, and then it's
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 3: just gonna be some random stuff. I don't want to
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 3: have to deal with the plethora of arms that can
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 3: play the platoon game if they want to play. I
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 3: just not playing the Potteries today. The Dodgers cease. While
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 3: he's a pivot, will also be owned just the nature
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 3: of the slate. He's probably fourth highest owned on the
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 3: slate Piern Schmidt, Irvin Gilbert, and then it's probably him,
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 3: so you get some direct leverage. They are really expensive,
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 3: but they have one of the best team totals on
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 3: the slate, and we listed a handful of pitchers for
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 3: cheap that you can play with them. So I think
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 3: you can do a lot worse than Dodgers. I do
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 3: like the Yankees more, but I think the Dodgers are
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 3: the pivot off of the Yankees. And the Yankees aren't
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 3: even like chalk Chalk. But when people go cheap at
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 3: pitching and have money, I think they go Yankees. So
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 3: if you want to pivot off of that, I think
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 3: the Dodgers. I mean late night Dodgers wake up a
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 3: more cheese in their pocket. I doubt who's watching, but
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 3: if he is, if he's playing today, it's probably what
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 3: he will be doing. So yeah, break down this one. Dodgers, yes,
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 3: Padres no for me?
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean it's the lefties in particular with the Dodgers.
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 4: Cease. How Cease gets himself in trouble is walks.
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 5: I mean, this dude can walk a lot of guys
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 5: and then guess what, you have got to throw a
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 5: pitch over the heart of the plate to one of
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 5: the best lineups in baseball, some of the best hitters
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 5: in all of baseball.
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 4: I love the lefties.
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 5: Otani Freeman Muncie who's finally figured out how to hit
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 5: a little bit. Edmund Conford is my least favorite lefty,
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 5: but hey, he had a bomb the other day from me,
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 5: so maybe he's he's coming around a little bit. But
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 5: what this Dodgers team does is Number one, they're a
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 5: patient offense. They have an eleven percent walk rate in
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 5: general as a team, and that's held down by Edmund,
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 5: Hernandez and Pahz who never take a walk. Right, But
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 5: the top guys are all over ten percent or higher.
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 5: I mean Max Months, He's pushed twenty percent walks. Right,
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 5: So that can get cease pitch count up, It can
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 5: extend the innings. Right, They see more pitches, they get
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 5: a better pulse, they get better timing. And this team
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 5: absolutely murders right handed pitching in general. Right, So I
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 5: love the lefties in particular. The righty's are great. I
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 5: agree on what you said. Right people spending up are
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 5: gonna go definitely to the Yankees first over the Dodgers.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 5: The slight concern I do have and why I probably
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 5: prefer this game more as mini stacks.
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 4: Is both these bullpens are good.
• 1:08:30
  Speaker 5: I seen that San Diego bullpen in in person right
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 5: with the vasqueat start. I mean, those arms coming out
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 5: of San Diego's pen are just straight nails. I mean
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 5: they are just absolutely you get into the pen for
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 5: the for the padres, I mean you better just kiss
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 5: it goodbye and just hope a guy gets hit by
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 5: a pitch and steal second and somehow finds his way
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 5: to score.
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 4: Right, because this bullpen is very very good.
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 5: They got lefties and righties to mixed match, right, so
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 5: they're gonna pull on their lefty one of their lefties
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 5: relievers if they do get the bullpen there. So that's
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 5: why I prefer more as mini stacks. But I do
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 5: think the Dodgers do have upside in tournaments at this ownership. Again,
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 5: talk about it all the time. Cease his pitch really
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 5: good against the Dodgers. He pitched really good against them
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 5: last but again they just saw him what a week
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 5: and a half ago, two weeks ago, days ago, yeah,
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 5: six days ago.
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 4: So I mean maybe they figure something out. This can
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 4: go both ways.
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 5: I think the Dodgers at their respective ownership are good
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 5: play to get overweight on in like the five dollars. MM,
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 5: it's not a main team thing, but in mm. I mean,
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 5: if you have ten percent Dodger stacks your ten next
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 5: to the field on them, really, the only one that's
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 5: gonna get played because he gets played every slate is Otani,
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 5: and this is probably gonna be one of the lower.
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 4: Times you see him in terms of ownership in general.
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 3: Yeah, and I'm I want to if I'm playing the Dodgers,
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 3: I want to play Otani like, I ain't gonna get
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 3: cute there.
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: I mean, if this team puts up a crooked.
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 3: Number, I have a hard time believing Otani's not a
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 3: part of it. And they're low enough where like I
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 3: want to focus mainly on the top of fielder. I
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 3: don't want to mess around Confordo's been garbage yet, like
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 3: you said, maybe he's turned on pages like some pitch
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 3: hit risk. I just give me mainly one through six
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 3: and go from there. They're low enough owned, I can
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 3: make it work with cheap pitching. I'll go Pepio Gusto
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 3: and five man Dodgers. I'm fine doing that on this
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 3: late and that's severely low owned.
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I like it. Seven games.
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 3: I think we talked our ten talking about it in depth,
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 3: but it's clear it's Astros. It's Logan, Gilbert, it's Schmidt.
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 3: It's only a handful of guys you know who will
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 3: get ownership. But there's still multiple other team totals that
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 3: are pretty high that aren't getting much ownership, Pitchers that
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 3: are projecting SALID four and a f K props juice
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 3: on the over coming in ten percent viable pitchers down
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 3: low again. The light like we got to see a
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 3: parades will be in the lineup. Pretty bad lineup for Philly.
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 3: Interesting stuff. I think of really solid seven games late
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 3: though that ownership will be spread out more than usual
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 3: on seven gamers. We're about to head out, but appreciate
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 3: you showing up again. Anyone can watch on playback. I
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 3: always watch on one point five X. I probably sound
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 3: like a madman, but hey say some time, get the
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 3: job done. Maid's final thoughts before we get on out
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 3: of here.
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 4: No, I think we broke it down pretty good.
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 5: When we have short slates, we can go more in
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 5: depth on saber sim and roster construction and all of that.
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 5: And it's very clear tonight it's a very clear, I mean,
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 5: probably one of the easier cash core nights of.
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 4: The of the year.
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 5: Throwing, throwing, four astros, put in Gilbert and you got yourself.
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 4: The cash team tournaments is going to be very similar
• 1:11:35
  Speaker 4: to that.
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 5: Again, when you're building portfolio, it's fine to have exposure
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 5: to the chalk, right, Chalk a lot of times is
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 5: chalk for a reason. Right, But again, I mean it's baseball.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 5: It's the high experiance. We've seen chalk bust more times
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 5: than it comes through. It's very tilting when it does.
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 5: But yeah, Gilbert Schmidt and and Stros is what everyone's doing.
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 5: So you do anything else there, you're different.
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 3: Yeah, you will see a lot of that on the
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 3: cash report and again that can all be found on
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 3: the slave plan. Bignaids very in depth, good right up today,
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 3: Like usual, we get a couple of cores from Nad's
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 3: if you do like, but we are.
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 2: Not a core play.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 3: Just follow Big nads cores and if Big Naids wins,
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 3: you win. If you don't, you don't. That is not
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 3: the way to play DFS. You gotta find your own process,
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 3: whether like teach a man to fish, don't I always
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 3: get the thing wrong.
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 2: But long story shorts education.
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 3: MLB, an hour and a half, Hoop and tambo, I
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 3: believe talking baseball I know it's Hoop and Tampa hour
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 3: and a half two hours. I can't remember exactly, but
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 3: like satellites tournaments, small field, large field, a lot of differences.
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 3: And also go to the announcements in the discord if
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 3: you have not joined Ship in Nation and check out
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 3: the Tambo, Rio and Sheets video last week the MLB
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 3: roundtable on the Ultimate Package again any Ultimate member.
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 2: We do it once a month. It will also be
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 2: at the end of this month.
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 3: Again, since we missed last month questions you can ask him.
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 3: It's a zoom call we send out the link can
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 3: hop in ask any questions for Rio. He heads it
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 3: up and whoever else is with them. But we did
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 3: post the playback that Again you can find in the
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 3: announcements in the Ship and Nation discord and very very
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 3: good stuff right there. Tam almost took down on the
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 3: one to eleven that day using the stuff Sheets and
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 3: Rio talked about. And again, if you haven't joined us,
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 3: no better time US open is the promo code usually
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 3: ninety nine dollars sabersim Core, Discord and Oliver Content take
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 3: seventy five dollars off. That is less than a dollar
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 3: a day, twenty four bucks for the first month. Absolutely
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 3: cannot beat that, Thank you, m and Halla. Definitely a
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 3: weird slate. Money to be made though, and big prizes
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 3: out there. Good luck everybody, and don't forget it's Game five,
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 3: Big Boy contests in the.
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 2: NBA streets as well.
• 1:13:50
  Speaker 3: Rio will have his slate plan up, NBA Showdown, slate plan.
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 3: Excited for that. Good luck to you, Shalou, good luck
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 3: to everybody out there. Awesome stuff is always na ornaids
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 3: 'm titled be Saved.
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 2: Good Luck be