Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Gambling Recap | Week 2

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NFL Gambling Recap | Week 2 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:08
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: sixty five, part of the Action Network. I am Chad Millman.
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: Today is our NFL Week two Sunday recap episode. I'm
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: joined after a glorious, glorious day by my bff, my companion,
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: my compadre, my co host, professional better Simon Hunter. Hello, Simon, dude,
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: What a difference a week makes. At this time last
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: week we were waiting to start the show, sweating the
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: end of the I can't even remember the other pastry game,
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: Patriots game, to go one and three for the day,
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: needing the Jets on Monday night to go two and three.
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: Today we had a winning record. Oh my god, that
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: we have an exciting early window.
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: We're back, Chad, back to five hundred. It's like it's
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: a new season.
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: Listen. I would honest to god like, and we had
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: said this on the podcast on Tuesday. The Jets winning
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: allowed us to sort of evaluate the two and three
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: record and realize, as you had said, we had made
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: good decisions at the end of the day. What kept
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: us from being three and two in week one was
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: some bad luck with the Patriots, right, and so we
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: made good decisions again. This week we went three and two.
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: I'm going to recap all of that, plus our Foxhold
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: Big Balls, et cetera, et cetera, plus our money line
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: round robin parlay. We'll do some leans for Sunday Night
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: Football for Monday Night Football as a reminder of the Favorites.
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: Podcast is presented by Bet three sixty five. Bet three
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: six five doesn't do ordinary. They believe that every sport
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: should epic every touchdown, every game, every point, every play,
• 2:04
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• 2:06
  Speaker 1: fly under the radar. See for yourself when you sign
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: up today with Code Action and you'll get three hundred
• 2:12
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• 2:15
  Speaker 1: just one dollar. Whatever the sport, whatever the moment, it's
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: never ordinary. I Bet three six y five must be
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: twenty one or older and you must be present in Colorado, Iowa,
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, and Virginia or Virginia. If you or
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: someone you know has a gambling problem and wants help,
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: call one eight hundred gambler in Colorado, New Jersey, Ohio
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  Speaker 1: and Virginia or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa.
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: Terms and conditions apply. As a reminder, catch every episode
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: of the Favorites live on YouTube. So for those enjoying
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: on YouTube, give us a like, subscribe to the Action
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: Network YouTube page. Simon, we had the Bears plus two
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: and a half. We had the Jags plus three and
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: a half. Ugh, we had the Titans plus two and
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: a half. Count on, Mike Rabel, Baby. We had the
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: Seahawks plus four and a half. What a freaking miracle.
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: We had Buffalo minus seven and a half. That was
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: never in question, never in question. Our last out were
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: the Falcons, which we would have lost because is two
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: and a half in the contest and the past plus
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: two and a half, which we don't know it plays
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: later tonight. Let's start with the Bears.
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: Boy, they stink, yeah, and it stinks where you have
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: the false hope, that's the worst part. Like I told
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: you that, the way to go is always the death,
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: the quick death. Where it's like the Giants last week
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: getting blown out against a good team. We knew that
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: Giants bat was dead. That's nice. Where the Bears, that's
• 3:43
  Speaker 2: the worst kind of loss. Where I was in I
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: was like, they got the ball back. I think they're
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: on there eleven down three yep, And I was like,
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: all right, here's Justin Field's moment. This is when he
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: can become that guy for this Bears team. But it's sadly, Chad,
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: the same old Bears. And I'm not gonna go too
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: hard on you about the Bears team, but man, you
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: don't know what to do. It's you want to blame coaching,
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: you want to blame the offensive line and all this.
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: But at the end of the day, if we go
• 4:12
  Speaker 2: back and watch that, it's gonna be on Fields. Like
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: I watch a lot of that game, Fields hold onto
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: the ball for too long, him not making the right reids.
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: It was all there like that that Tampa Bay team
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: Baker played well and it was only twenty seventeen, like
• 4:26
  Speaker 2: they were letting them into that game. And yeah, the
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: worst possible play that could happen was a pick six
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: and Fields through one. So really, really tough, especially for
• 4:38
  Speaker 2: people that the Bears plus three is. You're just you're like, okay,
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: worst we'll push here, and now he throws that pick,
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: you get the back door on Tampa. So uh, definitely
• 4:47
  Speaker 2: one of those tough games where they was all there,
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: we were back in it, and it just fell short.
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: Don't forget the Bears opened at four, so there was
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: a shot. If the Bears just sort of drive down
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: the field and they fail miserably and Tampa gets the
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: ball back, they run it out, the Bears could cover there.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, this was a just crushing back door loss
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: for Bears plus four betters, and there were a lot
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: of them, because this line moved quite a bit from
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: four down to two and a half. Justin fields was terrible,
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: truly terrible, not anything close to what anyone expected him
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: to be in the preseason hype. The defensive backfield, though,
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: it's like they're high school kids. They every single time
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: Baker needed a play, he got a play. Somebody was
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: wide open, somebody was creating space, somebody in the Bear's
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: orange uniform was just trying to catch up to someone
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: playing receiver for the Tampa by Buccaneers. I mean, they
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: were dreadful. The Bears play the Chiefs next week. The
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: line's fourteen, Like, I don't know how the Bears are
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: going to keep up with receivers that aren't even top
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: flight for the Chiefs because Patrick Mahomes is so good.
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah, but again, we'll get you can get to that game.
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: Now that Chiefs and Jags game, something's wrong with this
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: Chiefs team chat like that, In what world do we
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: not cover in a game where Mahomes only gets seventeen points,
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: Like it's just heartbreak. I'm just so pissed at Trevor
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: where it was all there, that moment was there for
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: the Jacks to take. Their defense played so well and
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: they had their turnovers and everything, and they completely laid
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: an egg in the first half, putting up six points
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: when they had a bunch of short turnovers and you know,
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: Trevor just kept throwing guys out of the back of
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: the end zone. I mean, I think we had three
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: different plays where they had one foot in and one
• 6:37
  Speaker 2: foot out and we didn't get the touchdown and that's
• 6:39
  Speaker 2: all we needed to cover this number. So one of
• 6:42
  Speaker 2: those where I'll always play this number where it's like
• 6:45
  Speaker 2: the read was right. Something's not right with this Chiefs offense.
• 6:48
  Speaker 2: And maybe it's because the OC left, maybe it's because
• 6:52
  Speaker 2: Kelsey's not fully healthy, but you can just see it's
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: different on third downs, like you're not as confident as
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: you always were like last year and previous seasons. Mames
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: on THURSDA down So yeah, pains for me to say, Chad,
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: but I'm going to be on the Bears in the fourteen. Like,
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: that's a good number for a Bears team that I
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: do think they'll be able to move the ball, And
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: I'm just maybe it is a perfect spot for Mahomes
• 7:13
  Speaker 2: and to get right with this offense. But to me,
• 7:16
  Speaker 2: that's way too many points for this offense to be
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: catching next week. So that's definitely going to be a
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: pros versus public game where everyone's like you, they're just
• 7:24
  Speaker 2: off this bearss team. They've just looked dreadful through two weeks.
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: But that's a big number for this Chiefs team that
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: they just they have question marks to me right now.
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: Well, look I did make in my notes, is something
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: wrong with Mahomes and the Chiefs because they did look
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: completely discombobulated. There were so many plays where even Kelsey
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: was sort of not as they would normally be in
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: rhythm for the way they would normally be playing. But
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: also the Jags, look, we watched Trevor Lawrence last year
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: early in the year really miss a lot of these
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: red zone throws that you're talking about. And as the
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: year went on, in the second half of the year,
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: he had four multi touchdown games, right, and then against
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: the Chargers in that playoff game, he was so extraordinary,
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: playing exactly the way Doug Peterson had been trying to
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: get him to play. So you really thought he'd come
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: out this year and be special. He wasn't that great
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: against the Colts in Week one, and then this past
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: week in that red zone he was awful, like he
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: was just throwing guys out of bounce. It was truly
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: painful to watch the Jacks because you're right, that should
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: have been a seventeen fifteen game.
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah, and they just they left somebody plays in the
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: field and it would have been, you know, probably the
• 8:49
  Speaker 2: biggest storyline of the week, right, Chiefs zero and two
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: to start the season. Whatever could have happened if Trevor
• 8:53
  Speaker 2: had played that good game, and he would been the
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: talk of the league, right, because everyone wants to crown
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: the new next guy. So that was definitely one of
• 9:00
  Speaker 2: those games where Trevor had all the hype leading into it.
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: He thought he was gonna take a big step, and
• 9:05
  Speaker 2: you know, the Jaguars defense showed up and the offense
• 9:08
  Speaker 2: just did not. So, yeah, those those two picks, you know,
• 9:14
  Speaker 2: I regret it obviously afterwards, but it's like, even looking back,
• 9:17
  Speaker 2: I probably would have been in on the Bears with you.
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: It was just like all the things were there for
• 9:22
  Speaker 2: us to want to back to Bears. It was like,
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: we have a team that's gonna be able to move
• 9:25
  Speaker 2: the ball, and I just didn't think Baker was gonna
• 9:27
  Speaker 2: have that kind of game. I mean, Baker threw for
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: three hundred yards and no turnovers. That was probably the
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: most shocking part of that Week two where Baker. The
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: pros were on that Like pros all summer, we're talking
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: up this Bucks team. You know, they could fizzle out.
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: We always see teams start three and oh and then
• 9:42
  Speaker 2: fizzle out as the season goes along. The Bucks, you know,
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: they got some players on that team with Godwinning, Mike Evans,
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: So if those guys stay out with you, I can
• 9:49
  Speaker 2: just see that team continue un successfully. So yeah, those
• 9:53
  Speaker 2: two were bad losses, Chad, But let's get to the
• 9:55
  Speaker 2: three winners.
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: Well. The one thing I do want to say though
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: before we get to that, is Evans and god Win,
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: and they are a good example of something the Bears
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: have never had and still might not have, even though
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: DJ Moore should have been a bigger part of the offense,
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: which is a Pro Bowl caliber receiver, and it showed
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: up today. There was that tweet going around and this
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: is like, to me an indication the Bears don't get
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: enough credit for being so pathetic for so long, and like,
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: only if you're a real Chicago Bears fan do you
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: recognize how bad they've been. There was this tweet you
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: and I talked about it this morning before we went
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: on the air with Convince Me. Justin Jefferson at twenty
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: four has more career yards than any player who's ever
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: played receiver for the Bears in their history. He would
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: be the Bears all time leading receiver right now. Mike
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: Evans Chris Gotwin another good example of guys who could
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: be the Bears all time leading receivers. And look what
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: I say about Baker, is is it possible? He is
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: good and never had good receivers.
• 11:06
  Speaker 2: M I don't know. I still think he'll turn it.
• 11:09
  Speaker 2: I think I think eventually he'll turn back into a pumpkin.
• 11:11
  Speaker 2: It's just he's just playing smart right now, where even
• 11:14
  Speaker 2: the stupid things like he got stripsack and fumble and
• 11:16
  Speaker 2: they got the ball back and then he had to
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: pick right into a guy's hands on the Bears, in
• 11:21
  Speaker 2: classic Bears fashion. He started running for a pick six
• 11:24
  Speaker 2: before you even caught the ball, so he's like leaving
• 11:28
  Speaker 2: him out there. But again, he's not hurting the team.
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: Like my biggest takeaway from Baker was in the red zone.
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: He had a play where old Baker would have thrown
• 11:35
  Speaker 2: it into like three guys to force it. He threw
• 11:38
  Speaker 2: it out of the back of the end zone. It
• 11:39
  Speaker 2: took the three, and it's like, I can't believe this
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: is the new Baker. So yeah, it's it's pretty crazy
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: Baker ball.
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: Boy Tennessee.
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: Did they hit the Matt Mitchell Phillison, what's happening right
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: now Denver?
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: The Denver Broncos have thrown a hail Mary to the five.
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: It was deflected backwards, caught in the end zone, and
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: they are now attempting the two point conversion.
• 12:03
  Speaker 2: Take it to overtime? Holy are you kidding me?
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: All right, well, Matt Mitchell, keep us posted on that.
• 12:10
  Speaker 2: If they go to overtime, it doesn't matter. I still
• 12:13
  Speaker 2: think the state troopers on the sideline should arrest Russell
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: Wilson and coach Peyton and send them straight to jail
• 12:18
  Speaker 2: after the game. It has failed. It has failed.
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: Send them to jail, Straight to jail, folks. Broncos are
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: now zero and two. They have lost to the Washington
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: Commanders and Raiders. Wow, not to start anyone was expecting.
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: But this is interesting because look, we let's talk about
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: Buffalo for a second. Buffalo dominated. We were all over
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: that from last Sunday. Alert.
• 12:44
  Speaker 2: Here for Josh Shall.
• 12:50
  Speaker 3: He's he's a football player through and through, and there
• 12:56
  Speaker 3: we go.
• 13:00
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, touchdown?
• 13:02
  Speaker 4: How many quarterbacks have you ever seen hurdle anyone? Goodness,
• 13:05
  Speaker 4: there's no fears, no way, o God, the demands to
• 13:24
  Speaker 4: do something about this out the reaches and man making.
• 13:27
  Speaker 2: Louder and louder.
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: Everybody loved Buffalo. It was at eight and a half,
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: it was your simon, says bet at eight and a half.
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: On Tuesday, it climbed a nine and a half. It
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: got lower because some injuries in the secondary. You and
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: I were never worried about it for a second. We
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: were both pounding Buffalo a little bit more so. That
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: was a big win for us today. Never in doubt.
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: They played exactly the way we expected them play. So
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: here's what gets interesting. The look aheadline for the Bills
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: on the road at Washington was minus six. I played
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: it for half a unit today because I was so
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: convinced Washington would be terrible. Let's see if I can
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: find that number it. I don't have it updated right now,
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: but what was your take on the Bills today?
• 14:12
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it was went exactly how we predicted. That's those
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: are the dream scenarios where you have a game plan
• 14:17
  Speaker 2: in mind of what the game is going to go like,
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: and you make a number. And I kept saying, like,
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: I make the number ten. I know a couple of
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: smart pro guys actually that came in on the Raiders team.
• 14:27
  Speaker 2: They were like looking at from the standpoint of they
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: thought that Jimmy was gonna be able to keep up
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: with Josh Allen. I just I just never saw that
• 14:34
  Speaker 2: as a possibility. And you know the fact that we
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: joke about all the time, Jimmy led a drive in
• 14:40
  Speaker 2: that fourth quarter and they won the game in Denver,
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: and that's why people were like, you know, believing in
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: this Raiders team while fading this Bills team because they
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: had one bad game in a primetime spot. So that's
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: just a classic overreaction spot. We came back to their
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: side and we were couldn't be more than happy. We
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: both said to each other it was seven and a half.
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: It's like we have to have this one in. So
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: that's always nice where you nail that. And what was it?
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: Twenty one to ten and a half? Like we were
• 15:08
  Speaker 2: just never, never really worried about that number. So yeah,
• 15:10
  Speaker 2: one of the few easy sweats today.
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: Seattle plus four and a half not an easy sweat.
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: I take notes. I take notes on all of our games,
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: and I'll like have columns and columns of notes. But
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: this Seattle Detroit game kind of went exactly the way
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: we expected it to go. Like there was nothing in
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: the game that made me think, oh, we got this
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: handicap wrong, or you know, they were doing something different
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: than we expected. I think we expected Seattle to be
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: able to move the ball. We expected Detroit to go
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: up and down the field. Everything we expected. I have
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: one note, which is thinking back to the Seahawks had
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: third down late in the game and Gino has a
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: chance to get rid of the ball, they can punt
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: the Lions deep into their own territory. He goes back,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: he goes back, he gets sacked. So Instead, they basically
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: give the Lions at mid the ball to the midfield,
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: so they're fifteen years from a field goal. My only
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: note is gino throw the ball now.
• 16:20
  Speaker 2: That was a great game. I'm not gonna lie. When
• 16:22
  Speaker 2: I went through rooytime, Chadow was terrified because we had the
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: four and a half. So I was like, we got
• 16:26
  Speaker 2: no worries in this game right now, like it's going
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: perfectly to plan. When they went to TEA, I was
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: scared because I was just like, this is gonna land
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: six and then me and Chatter can be back in
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: the two and three dumpster. Yeah, just another game of
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: you know, the Seahawks are not as bad as we
• 16:43
  Speaker 2: all perceive offensively, you know, they laid an egg in
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: the second half, but their defense, something's wrong there, and
• 16:51
  Speaker 2: we'll see maybe that's just they had a bad you know,
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: Stafford looked great again today and you know golf, we
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: can say everyone about him. He's looked really well these
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: last I guess a year and a half now. So
• 17:02
  Speaker 2: it could just be the Seahawks mashups wise, but yeah,
• 17:06
  Speaker 2: that their offense. You know, blow for blow stayed in
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: that game with Detroit and whoever read the ball first,
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: you kind of felt like they were going to score
• 17:13
  Speaker 2: in that overtime. Luckily for us it was the Seahawks.
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: So yeah, that that came big on our round robin.
• 17:19
  Speaker 2: We went four and one in it, and the Seahawks
• 17:21
  Speaker 2: were one of the big legs in it. So that's
• 17:24
  Speaker 2: that's always nice to hit those dogs outright, Thank you Seahawks.
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: Yeah, that one. You know, it's funny. I never felt
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: nervous in overtime. I actually felt like this was going
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: to be a game that went our way. The Titans. However,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: my head is spinning on the Titans, like I don't
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: know what to do with this team I have. I
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: have so many thoughts, Like I think a Vrabel is
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: a genius. Ryan Tannehill is not as bad as everyone
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: says he his Yeah, the problem is this offensive line
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: is dangerously bad, like he could end up debt kind
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: of bad, and it's it's making it almost impossible for
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: him to keep this team in games. And it's only
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: through sort of some miracle plays that they that they
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: stayed in this game that we got to win this game,
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: plus some unbelievable play calling by Vrabel. But my question
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: is this team good? Are they lucky? Are they just
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: really patient? And Rabel is so good at coaching that
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: he knows how a game is going to play out.
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: Give me your read on the Titans right now.
• 18:32
  Speaker 2: The best team to have in a dog fight as
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: a dog, like every time we get him as a
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: dog chatting yell, we just we have to take Rabel.
• 18:39
  Speaker 2: And everything in my body is fighting it, and I
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: just I just couldn't see this Chargers team starting oing too.
• 18:44
  Speaker 2: Now they're staring down zero three, because I mean, you'll
• 18:47
  Speaker 2: see next week's line against the Vikings. The books are
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: daring you to take them. They're only they're had to
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: pick them pretty much in most books. So you could
• 18:55
  Speaker 2: take them as a small favorite, you could take them
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: as a small dog. You take it as a pick.
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: It's it's pretty crazy this team might be standing at
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: zero three. There's Chargers team with all this talent and
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: this incredible quarterback Herbert. So yeah, I was honestly never
• 19:09
  Speaker 2: worried about it because I just trusted the number chat.
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: I just kept thinking to myself, the Chargers are going
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: to shoot themselves in the foot eventually, and they did
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: by not scoring that touchdowns on the game. They kicked
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: that field goal. We went there overtime. I just felt
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: so confident in this Tennessee team to you know, to
• 19:23
  Speaker 2: get get the ball, go down the field and somehow
• 19:25
  Speaker 2: kick a field goal, and that's what they did. So yeah,
• 19:27
  Speaker 2: that that's like one of my favorite things. We bet
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: these games and everyone you're with is just like there's
• 19:32
  Speaker 2: no chance, Like, there's no chance. Taniel was going to
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: keep with Herbert and he just had one of those
• 19:36
  Speaker 2: games and he did, so, Yeah, that was a really
• 19:38
  Speaker 2: fun cover.
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: Well, look, the problem is Brandon Staley's is not a
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: good coach, and like you are giving yourself an advantage
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: anytime you are betting on Mike Rabol against Brandon Staley.
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: There's not even a comparison. That to me was the
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: main driving factor at the end of this, no matter
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: how uncomfortable, we were going to be betting on what
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: we don't think is a very good offense with the Titans.
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: It's just Brandon Stateley's not that good.
• 20:03
  Speaker 2: Great staff from my guy, Ivan Abrams. Mike Vrabel is
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: now twenty three and twenty two straight up as an
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: underdog in his coaching career. He's the only coach above
• 20:13
  Speaker 2: five hundred straight up as an underdog minimum games, twenty
• 20:16
  Speaker 2: games played last twenty years. So Vrabel right there. We
• 20:19
  Speaker 2: say it all the time. We take the number and
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: we throw a little on the money line. It's just
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: he's been an incredible coaches winning as a dog.
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: Oh my god, he's so good. So, by the way,
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: Mike Vrabel, next week he is a Let me look
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: at this right now, I think he's a five point underdog.
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: What was that game? Hold on? Could I miss it?
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: No, it's dropping down. It's down to four now. I
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: see a lot of books. Three and a half. They're
• 20:46
  Speaker 2: at the Browns. At the Browns, right, So if you
• 20:50
  Speaker 2: want to play it safe, you take that number. If
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: the Browns lose to the the Pittsburgh Monday night, you
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: got great value on this this Verbel defense.
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's an interesting one. We'll talk about that when
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: we get to our leans in a second. So we've
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: run through every single game. There's one more team I
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: want to talk about. You could say everything we just
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: said about the Tennessee Titans about the Atlanta Falcons. Love
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: this team. He makes the right calls, he takes the
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: right risks, He puts his players in really good positions.
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: It's a really good example, by the way, the Falcons
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: winning by one of needing to listen to this show,
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: because remember on Thursday we were talking about the Falcons
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: and we like them as underdogs, and Evan told us
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: in the chat while we were recording the show, they
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: flipped to one point favorites, and then by the time
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: the game kicked off in our contest today they were
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: two and a half. Kudos to you because we talked
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: for a second about taking them and decided not to
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: because the number was too big. They are decent sized dogs.
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: In Detroit next week, I think I was at four
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: and now was closer to five.
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: Yeah, interesting number. That was definitely a good avoid and
• 22:06
  Speaker 2: our best avoid was I told you a game I
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: couldn't lived with myself would have been the Giants. So
• 22:11
  Speaker 2: thank god we didn't take Giants there minus three and
• 22:13
  Speaker 2: a half. We stared at it for a while and
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: we were just like I just could not bring myself
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: to do it, and thank god we didn't like the
• 22:21
  Speaker 2: We choke all the time. Vegas Lazy's trap lines Man
• 22:25
  Speaker 2: was that line Fishy going down from six to four
• 22:28
  Speaker 2: and a half to four to three and a half
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: before kickoff on this Cardinals team. So another ugly dog
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: that has been performing really well, that Cardinals team. So yeah,
• 22:38
  Speaker 2: another team I need to reevaluate where they are coaching.
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: Pretty the coaching there isn't as terrible. I thought it
• 22:45
  Speaker 2: was going to be on this Cardinals team. But what
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: a total meltdown to me and Chad still alive in Survivor.
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: Seriously unbelievable. I mean, we got so lucky with the
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: Giants that is insane. A reminder for the Favorites podcast,
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: the sign up reopens on Tuesday morning, so the sign
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: up locks while there are games going on, but it
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: reopens for the Favorites podcast one hundred thousand dollars Pro
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: Football Pick Them contest. If you or someone you love
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: hasn't signed up yet, they still can. The contest automatically
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: drops your two worst scores after Thanksgiving week, so if
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: you have two zero to five weeks between now and
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: Thanksgiving after Thanksgiving, those get wiped away. First place this
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: season gets forty thousand dollars. Top five this week and
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: every week get their share of three grand You know
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: the drill. Go to Favorites dot actionnetwork dot com to
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: sign up for free when it reopens on Tuesday. The
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: one other game I want to talk about before we
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: get to our recaps is the rams. Why didn't you
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: push us harder to put the rams in the contest?
• 23:51
  Speaker 2: Me?
• 23:52
  Speaker 5: Yeah, I don't know, just that's just how it goes,
• 23:58
  Speaker 5: because I don't even think we mentioned them honestly, and
• 24:00
  Speaker 5: you're you're the one reading off all the numbers and
• 24:02
  Speaker 5: the contest, So like, I guess if you would have
• 24:05
  Speaker 5: said it would have popped in my head.
• 24:06
  Speaker 2: But I just for some reason never crossed my mind.
• 24:09
  Speaker 2: I just because I guess we didn't mention it. So
• 24:12
  Speaker 2: you know, maybe I should start open up the lines
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: as well when you're going through it. But for some reason,
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: they never popped in, like we never mentioned them. So
• 24:19
  Speaker 2: that was one of those where like, yeah, afterwards, I
• 24:21
  Speaker 2: was kicking myself. It's like, how do we not have
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: the seven and a half on the rams? So, oh,
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: you know, it's interesting. It was a tough miss.
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: It is a tough miss. You know why we talked
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: about it NonStop. We love about it.
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: I know that's what I hate when that happens. But
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: it just you know, it is Sunday morning. I mean,
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: you have a lot going on. It's just we missing
• 24:39
  Speaker 2: there sometimes we do.
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: I think we like it was, and I tried to
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: be so much slower and like before I called you,
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: you know, we got off the air for convince me,
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: and before I called you, like, I went through my
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: notes to make sure that I had everything in front
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: of me from our conversations on Tuesday and Thursday and
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: like and even in like the film session video we did.
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: We talked about brock Purty, but then we said at
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: the end of it, we're still going to be on
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: the Rams. We knew we liked the Rams at eight
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: and a half when it was higher during the week.
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: I didn't even put it in my notes of the
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: games that, like we were narrowing down from Tuesday to Thursday.
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: Now again it's gonna happen. We're running through contest, like
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: we'll just we're just gonna have some games, do.
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: Miss all right? Recap on the other picks, the Foxhole
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: was Houston minus one. It was always in doubt, it
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: was never it was never gonna happen. Big Balls is
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: New England plus three. That game is now two and
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: a half. We're gonna talk about that.
• 25:31
  Speaker 2: That game is actually down to one and a half.
• 25:33
  Speaker 2: Chad Wow. All right, So if you got it at
• 25:36
  Speaker 2: three once again, it pays the listen of the favorites.
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: You got the best.
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: You got to listen to the show. The exec decision
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: was Atlanta plus one and a half. Simon says, Buffalo
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: minus eight and a half. So look the exec decision,
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: and Simon says, came through for us. We'll see about
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: New England. As long as you were smart enough to listen.
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: Round robin money line, Round robin parlay, Tennessee Cash, Seattle Cash,
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: Jets lost, Washington Cash, Baltimore Cash. You made some money
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: if you play the money line Round robin parlay.
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: It's rare game lands on one like that Atlanta Green
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: Bay game, which we did. We did move pretty fast.
• 26:19
  Speaker 2: A couple of people say I need to eat some crow,
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: and Chad does too. On our hate of that Green
• 26:25
  Speaker 2: Bay quarterback who I shall not say his name, but
• 26:29
  Speaker 2: I'll give it to you. The kid made some big
• 26:31
  Speaker 2: throws against Atlanta. And you can just tell when a
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: kid can make the throws and when they can't. And
• 26:38
  Speaker 2: watching Ritter, that kid can't make the throws for Atlanta.
• 26:41
  Speaker 2: Watching the QB A green Bay has goddamn love. He
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: makes he's making he's making some throws, Chad, and even
• 26:48
  Speaker 2: on that the way the game ended, I think it
• 26:50
  Speaker 2: was fourth and ten, he made a big time throw
• 26:52
  Speaker 2: with the guy in his face and they called it
• 26:54
  Speaker 2: back after he got the first down. And it's like,
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: those are little things I look for because it's like, Okay,
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: this year could be a while for Green Band. They
• 27:00
  Speaker 2: just might not be that good, but you want to
• 27:03
  Speaker 2: see those little steps from Love. So fucking Green Bay fans, man,
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: I'm so sick of their shit. Brett fah Rogers and
• 27:10
  Speaker 2: Love might be a starting quarterback in this league. So yeah,
• 27:15
  Speaker 2: Green Bay fans, you got to be excited, like it
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: seems like you have a kid that he's not scared
• 27:20
  Speaker 2: to stand in the pocket, take hits and make throws downfield,
• 27:23
  Speaker 2: which that's what you want to see out of kid's
• 27:25
  Speaker 2: first year starting. It's like, let's see what kind of
• 27:28
  Speaker 2: stride just kits to make. So clearly I was too
• 27:32
  Speaker 2: low in Green Bay. And you know that's the classic
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: example of you got to get the number early because,
• 27:38
  Speaker 2: like you said, you had the one and a half.
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: If you had Atlanta was a winner and if you
• 27:40
  Speaker 2: got it late, you're a loser. Just during our show
• 27:43
  Speaker 2: and moved to minus one and a half. So yeah,
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: really tough game there. You really need the best number
• 27:49
  Speaker 2: to win that one.
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: Evan Abrams with a stat that's just in over twelve
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: and one so far in week two. It's the most
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: in a week since twenty nineteen. Unders last week, we're
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: twelve and four. All right, let's do a.
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: Quick Yeah, that's crazy.
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: Desmond Ridder. Also Matt Mitchell reminding us Desmond Ridder now
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: thirty and oh at home in his career college football
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: in the NFL. By the way, Matt Mitchell, I used
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: that stat on my kid today and a buddy who's
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: watching the games with us during the game, and they're
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: both like, that's good. That's really good. Also, nobody that
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: I was watching the games with my buddy or my
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: kid knew that Arthur Smith is the son of Fred Smith,
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: who is the founder of FedEx.
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: Did you know that, Simon, Yeah, yeah, I heard that
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: one a couple of times.
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: All right, Monday Night football, we got two games. We
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: got the Saints minus three on the road at the Panthers.
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: That is a right now a pros. Joe's game bets
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: are split. Bets are on the Saints. Money's on the Panthers,
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: and then the other game is the Browns visiting Pittsburgh.
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: We liked the Browns at minus two. That line is
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: now down to minus one and a half. If you
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: follow the numbers, you follow the history, you follow the president,
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: you would take the Steelers in this game. You and
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: I still like the Browns.
• 29:12
  Speaker 2: Yeah, but it's definitely scary where I do know pros
• 29:15
  Speaker 2: who are on that side. There's some pros that have
• 29:17
  Speaker 2: come in on the Panthers, but yeah, I don't know cha.
• 29:22
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to do. I like the Saints.
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: I think it's good value, and I think, you know,
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: the Browns team are good value. So yeah, two teams
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: that if they win these games, it's it's a big
• 29:35
  Speaker 2: step to what they want to be this season. And
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: if they lose it, you can just say same old
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: Browns and can say same old Saints. So yeah, this
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: this is pretty exciting for me, where I usually just
• 29:47
  Speaker 2: am really biased towards the home divisional dogs and this one,
• 29:50
  Speaker 2: I'm kind of like sticking my feet in the ground,
• 29:52
  Speaker 2: being like, no, I have these teams rate at a
• 29:54
  Speaker 2: certain level, I'm going to back those sides. So yeah,
• 29:57
  Speaker 2: if you want to. If you want to build the professionals,
• 29:59
  Speaker 2: they like Carolina, they like the Browns. If you want
• 30:02
  Speaker 2: to go chalky with me, I like the road favorites.
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: Professional like the professionals, like the Panthers and the Steelers.
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: You like the Saints and the Browns. I have no
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: opinion on the Saints and the Panthers. I very much
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: like the Browns. Simon the fastest growing ticketing app in
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• 31:33
  Speaker 1: talked about a couple of early Week three spots. Any
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: that are peaking your interest right now more than others.
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: Yeah, if we want to work through what I've already
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: bet on again, these are always just going to be
• 31:49
  Speaker 2: a little bit of feeler bets. You know what kind
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: of opinions want to form. So my first one was
• 31:56
  Speaker 2: I took a little of Green Bay Packers minus one
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: and a half. They're playing the Saints at home. It's
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: just just in case the Saints team does lose. I
• 32:07
  Speaker 2: could see it going up to minus three. So that's
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: what it was. I'm just trying to beat the number
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: and take this Green Bay team at home and the Saints.
• 32:14
  Speaker 2: You know, say what you want. Back to back road
• 32:18
  Speaker 2: games on a short week. It's hard for me not
• 32:21
  Speaker 2: to like Green Bay in that spot. It's just a
• 32:23
  Speaker 2: bad spot for the Saints team, especially if they win
• 32:25
  Speaker 2: the game against Carolina. You would just see them have
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot after winning on a Monday night primetime game.
• 32:31
  Speaker 2: Not saying that's why the Jets lost today, but it
• 32:34
  Speaker 2: did feel like the Jets didn't have the juice today
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: and it's just like they had such an emotional game
• 32:39
  Speaker 2: on Monday. It is tough for some of these teams
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: to turn it around on this early slate, So that
• 32:44
  Speaker 2: that was one of the first ones I looked at.
• 32:49
  Speaker 2: I wouldn't mind you talking about the game. You thought
• 32:52
  Speaker 2: you got good value on what you did. The Bills
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: are minus six, you said, right now, they're up to
• 32:55
  Speaker 2: six and a half.
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I bet the Bills minus six this morning a
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: little bit because Brandon Anderson, who does a segment on
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: the Action Network podcast that will be recorded tonight air
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: late tonight out early tomorrow morning, where he talks about
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: his look aheadlines, and he talked about this game. He
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: talked about the Bills keep an eye out for if
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: they go out and blow out the Raiders. Depending on
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: what happens with Washington, this line could go from six
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: to seven to eight to nine, because the Bills are
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: so good and look the Bills when they win. We've
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: talked about this. I think thirty seven of fifty three
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: career wins for Josh Allen have been by more than
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: seven points. So I was just taking a flyer thinking
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: we both felt really good about the Bills position here,
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: and this line's already moving up a little.
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: Bit another one. I like you, but I would say
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: for most people here, I get if you want a
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: better right now in case you want to see how
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: the Monday Night plays out? Are you told you? I
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: think the Browns are going to beat Pittsburgh. So I'm
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: taking a position on Vegas. They're plus one and a
• 34:02
  Speaker 2: half right now at home against Pittsburgh next week. I
• 34:06
  Speaker 2: gotta do it, and it's just an early bet. I'll
• 34:08
  Speaker 2: throw them in a couple of early teasers got them
• 34:10
  Speaker 2: up seven and a half, just like I did with Atlanta.
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: It's just a good number to want teaser too, So
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: you're getting good value on taking them at seven and
• 34:17
  Speaker 2: a half home dog in this Raiders team, and it's
• 34:20
  Speaker 2: just one of those where Pittsburgh I don't know if
• 34:23
  Speaker 2: they should be favored against anyone on the road right now.
• 34:26
  Speaker 2: So a little bit of an overreaction from people seeing
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: this Raiders team walk into a bud saw a buzzsaal
• 34:32
  Speaker 2: and actually get dominated by this Bills team. So a
• 34:35
  Speaker 2: nice Bilose spot there, and you know the next one,
• 34:40
  Speaker 2: it's a no brainer, and I'm shocked it's still at
• 34:42
  Speaker 2: six and a half. We gotta grab the Rams chat
• 34:46
  Speaker 2: Rams against the Bengals like Joe Burrow and by even
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: at halftime they put up some stat he had thirty
• 34:53
  Speaker 2: three yards passing, Like, we don't know what to make
• 34:58
  Speaker 2: of this Bengals team right now. I tell you this,
• 35:02
  Speaker 2: this Rams team, they're exactly what I predicted coming to
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: the season. It's just a gritty young team with a
• 35:08
  Speaker 2: great leader in Stafford. So my only hesitation is they
• 35:12
  Speaker 2: had an absolute miracle cover today, So I'm a little
• 35:15
  Speaker 2: worried the public won't be off of their stank. But
• 35:19
  Speaker 2: I do think six and a half is a little
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: too high for this number. I would bring it down
• 35:23
  Speaker 2: to four and a half. So yeah, two points of
• 35:25
  Speaker 2: value right now in this Rams team and you're crossing
• 35:27
  Speaker 2: a key number of six. I love that for an
• 35:29
  Speaker 2: early bet here against this Bengals team.
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: What about the Falcons plus five five and a half
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: in some places on the road to Detroit. This to
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: me feels like a field goal game. I think. I
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: think like Arthur Smith knows what he can do with
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: his running game against this Lion's defense.
• 35:52
  Speaker 2: Yeah, a little. I don't know. I can't. I can't
• 35:56
  Speaker 2: get there. I'd have to I'd have to dive more
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: into that one, because that that's a fishy number. Of
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: course I want to take it. Alanta is four and
• 36:02
  Speaker 2: a half and they're two and oh that that to
• 36:04
  Speaker 2: me is a fishy line, like there should be three
• 36:06
  Speaker 2: three and a half. There's a reason it's four and
• 36:09
  Speaker 2: a half and you're saying it's five and a half
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: of the book you're looking at Uh, yeah, that's fishy.
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna I'm gonna hold out. I'm putting any
• 36:17
  Speaker 2: type of money on Alanta in this in the spot
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: here because that lot, that number doesn't make sense. So
• 36:22
  Speaker 2: good eye by you, Chad, Like you're you're looking at
• 36:25
  Speaker 2: where you think there is value, and I think there's
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: value two there. I just I don't want to jump
• 36:30
  Speaker 2: right in on it because usually that's that's that's kind
• 36:31
  Speaker 2: of a warning sign. There just like last week. But
• 36:33
  Speaker 2: the Bill is like, when that number came out, I
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: was like, oh my god, this is under ten. I
• 36:38
  Speaker 2: wanted to go crazy and jump all over it. I
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: waited until Tuesday, Monday night to really hammer that Bill's number.
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: So I'm gonna wait on this Atlanta one. Just a
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: little fishy to me because yeah, way too much respect
• 36:49
  Speaker 2: to this Lions team that I think we're both in agree.
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: It's like they're always gonna be able to be back door.
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: It just seems like they don't have the guys on
• 36:55
  Speaker 2: defense to really close teams out. So so don't hate
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: your idea, Chad. I have taken Atlanta there.
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: Titans plus four and a half. I see a five
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: out there two at the Browns who play tomorrow night.
• 37:14
  Speaker 2: And I think we should take it. Just another one
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: where you bet that number just in case it does move,
• 37:19
  Speaker 2: because the Browns, if they lose, this will easily drop
• 37:23
  Speaker 2: down to minus three minus two and a half. So
• 37:27
  Speaker 2: we talk at the time. Four four and a half
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: are such key numbers, So definitely trying to grab the
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: four and a half if able.
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: All right, what any other games? There's nothing else on
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: the board that I'm like ready to pull the trigger
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: on where I feel like it's going to move and
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna get a point and a half of value.
• 37:43
  Speaker 2: Yeah. I always tell people don't go crazy on these
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: kinds of things, because not only is is it a
• 37:49
  Speaker 2: big big deal to bed this early, but you're also
• 37:51
  Speaker 2: rolling the dice of injuries. And not that it would
• 37:56
  Speaker 2: have changed my whole opinion on Houston, but when it
• 37:58
  Speaker 2: came out that CJ had a bump shoulder on Friday
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: and they put them on the injury reports that you know,
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: he could have missed the game for Houston, that really
• 38:07
  Speaker 2: made me worry where I was like, oh my god,
• 38:08
  Speaker 2: I'm taking Houston now with the quarterback with a bump
• 38:11
  Speaker 2: shoulder who's a rookie Like that was just a bad
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: spot and it was obstously a big deal. He played
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: through the whole game. But those are just little things
• 38:18
  Speaker 2: where you do need to be wary of taking early
• 38:20
  Speaker 2: lines that guys do get hurt. So yeah, to me,
• 38:24
  Speaker 2: the ones we talked about, those are the feelers I
• 38:26
  Speaker 2: like trying to take advantage of these Monday night games.
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: All right, feelers For a reminder, Green Bay minus one
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: and a half, Vegas plus one and a half Rams
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: plus six and a half and probably Atlanta for a
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: little taste. No Atlanta, We're going to hold off on Buffalo.
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: I would still take the fly out at six and
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: a half, like but you know, and the Titans plus
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: four and a half maybe for a little.
• 38:55
  Speaker 2: Taste love it.
• 38:58
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