Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Full Show Podcast: 18 June 2025

Transcript

Full Show Podcast: 18 June 2025 · Early Edition with Ryan Bridge

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: The issues, the interviews and the insight. Bryan Bridge on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: an early edition with ex pole insulation, keeping Kimi Holmes
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: warm and try this winter News Talks.
• 0:11
  Speaker 2: B Good morning, it is Wednesday, the eating to June.
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: Great to have your company. Just gone six after five.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: We've got another plan for suicide prevention out this morning.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: And here's a question for you, because everyone says it's
• 0:23
  Speaker 2: about poverty. I mean, how many of these plans have
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: we had? Everyone says it's about poverty. So why does
• 0:30
  Speaker 2: it affect men more than women if it's about poverty?
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: And why does some countries much poorer than ours get
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: better results? Gavin Gray in the UK for US this morning,
• 0:39
  Speaker 2: Donald Trump Iran, Israel will do all of that. Inflation
• 0:43
  Speaker 2: looks set to go outside of the reserve banks band again,
• 0:46
  Speaker 2: what does that mean for mortgages and more importantly for
• 0:49
  Speaker 2: the economy. It's all ahead News Talk SEB the agenda
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Israel and around day five, Trump on the plane after
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: G seven wants a deal better than a CEASPI.
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  Speaker 3: Without looking first, is far. I didn't say I was
• 1:02
  Speaker 3: looking first, eas Fir. That was Emanuel. Nice guy, but
• 1:06
  Speaker 3: he has you get to write you often. But I'm
• 1:09
  Speaker 3: looking we'll looking for better, Yeah, he.
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: Said, a couple of things in the last few minutes.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I'll bring up to d in the second. Meanwhile, Israel
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: fora minister, see is unfinished business. Operation is far from over.
• 1:21
  Speaker 4: First, we cut the hands of the octopus when we
• 1:24
  Speaker 4: dealt with Hamas and his bola. Now we're dealing with
• 1:28
  Speaker 4: the head of the octopus. We are dealing with the
• 1:31
  Speaker 4: most significant threats. And there are the ballistic threats and
• 1:35
  Speaker 4: the nuclear threats, and those threats are combined with their
• 1:40
  Speaker 4: allies to the Iranian access.
• 1:43
  Speaker 2: Back to the mountains. Seven Canadian Canada's county giving two
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: billion dollars Canadian dollars for military aid to Ukraine.
• 1:52
  Speaker 5: We I need support from our allies and I'm here
• 1:56
  Speaker 5: and thank you for the military package supported for our
• 2:00
  Speaker 5: soldiers to be stronger, the battle filth to Stesso out
• 2:04
  Speaker 5: until Russia will be ready for the best negotiations.
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: And finally, this morning, a California doctor accused of giving
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: Friends star Matthew Perry access to ketamine in the weeks
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: before his od death. He's agreed to plead guilty in court.
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: The first word on the News of the Day early
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: edition with Ryan bridge and ex Bowl insulation keeping Kiwi
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: Holmes warm and dry.
• 2:29
  Speaker 6: This winter news talks.
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: The'd be nine two is the number of text I'd
• 2:33
  Speaker 2: love to hear from you this morning. So again we're
• 2:35
  Speaker 2: playing this guessing game with Trump, you know, exactly the
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: same thing we played game we played with the tariffs.
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: Is he serious? Is he bluffing on Iran?
• 2:43
  Speaker 7: You know?
• 2:43
  Speaker 2: Is he bluffing? Is he boisterous to get a deal
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: across the line to stop the fighting? Turns out he
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: wasn't bluffing about the tariffs, remember that. But then he
• 2:52
  Speaker 2: pulled back pretty quickly and started talking. So who knows?
• 2:55
  Speaker 2: And that's Trump. That's the chaos of Trump, the maniacal
• 2:58
  Speaker 2: chaos of Trump. We don't know what he thinking. He
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: doesn't probably know what he's thinking. The idea is that
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: no one knows what he's thinking, which is quite an
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: effective strategy in some situations. So the latest on this,
• 3:11
  Speaker 2: he's meeting with his National Security Council. He says, this
• 3:15
  Speaker 2: is about the Supreme Leader Iran, Supreme Leader, the Ayah
• 3:18
  Speaker 2: toler We know where you are, but we won't kill
• 3:21
  Speaker 2: you dot dot dot for now. Okay, this is what
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: he's putting on truth social Vance, on the other hand,
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: he's been hinting that because there's a big problem that
• 3:31
  Speaker 2: Trump has and Vance is acutely aware of because he
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: wants to ride on the mega coattails to get into
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: the presidency. Wants Trump's out of the picture, right. So
• 3:40
  Speaker 2: Vance comes out and says to the MAGA people, Look,
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: the president has to do what the president has to do.
• 3:47
  Speaker 2: It's his decision. But he's sort of hinting that he might.
• 3:50
  Speaker 2: If he's going to take any action, it would just
• 3:52
  Speaker 2: be about strikes on the Iranian enrichment program in Iran,
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: so that would be the limit of it. Anyway, this
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: mega problem. Taker Cowson highlighted the problem that they don't
• 4:04
  Speaker 2: basically want another Iraq.
• 4:06
  Speaker 3: I don't know what Tucker Carlson is saying. Let him
• 4:09
  Speaker 3: go get a television network and say it so that
• 4:11
  Speaker 3: people listening.
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: Yes, So Trump's having none of it. Anyway, They don't
• 4:16
  Speaker 2: want to get boiled down in another conflict in the
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: Middle East. That is not the magaway, that is not
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: the America first way, and that is one of the
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: problems that Trump has when he's trying to deal with this.
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: So you kind of going, well, maybe he's just all bluster.
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: Maybe this is all just talk and he's trying to
• 4:31
  Speaker 2: get some kind of cease fire or some kind of
• 4:34
  Speaker 2: nuclear deal signed. Eleven after five, you're on news Talk
• 4:37
  Speaker 2: seid b coming up next. Inflation, according to the ben Z,
• 4:41
  Speaker 2: is going to head outside of the Reserve Bank's band again.
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: So what does that mean for mortgages and what does
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: it mean for the economy? Should we be worried? Cameron
• 4:50
  Speaker 2: baggeries with us on.
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: Your radio and online on iHeartRadio early edition with Ryan
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: Bridge and x full Insulation, Keeping newly Holmes warm and dry.
• 5:01
  Speaker 2: This winter news Talks, there'd be five point thirteen. You're
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: on news Talk, said be we'll get to the new
• 5:07
  Speaker 2: suicide plan that the government's announced just before six o'clock
• 5:10
  Speaker 2: this morning. Also Gavin Gray out of the UK at
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: about quarter two. Right now, BNZ is predicting inflation to
• 5:15
  Speaker 2: again creep outside the Reserve Bank's target band, heading three
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: point one percent annually by September. Comes after food inflation
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: we had yesterday up to its highest level in eighteen months.
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: Overall food prices up four point four percent in the
• 5:29
  Speaker 2: last year, meat, poultry, dairy, keeping those prices high. Your
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: milk your butter, your cheese. Cameron Baggery economist is with
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  Speaker 2: me this morning. Cameron, Good morning, O, good morning on.
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: Good to have you on. What do you reckon inflation?
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  Speaker 2: You're going to get out of the band again? Is
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: that a big deal?
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  Speaker 7: Well, it's creeping up, But the composition to inflation matters
• 5:50
  Speaker 7: a little bit more than inflation itself. So what we
• 5:53
  Speaker 7: keep a pretty close eye is what was called non
• 5:55
  Speaker 7: trade willflation, which is the mistic inflation. You know, that's
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  Speaker 7: the piece that the Reserve Bank in control. It's elevated,
• 6:02
  Speaker 7: but it's still being heading south. So we're taking with
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  Speaker 7: a comfort of that. But what we're seeing out there
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  Speaker 7: at the moment is furtesy of high commodity prices, particularly meat,
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  Speaker 7: gary prices, what's called imput inflation or not tradeable inflace
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  Speaker 7: and started to pop back up. And I guess you
• 6:18
  Speaker 7: can assume what we've got at the moment. I've got
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  Speaker 7: what's going on in the Middle East, as if oil
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  Speaker 7: prices have spiked and yet these or petal prices have
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  Speaker 7: been training down over the past of the six months.
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  Speaker 7: They've been a deflationary force. The last thing we want
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  Speaker 7: is to see the internal inflationary force and start to
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  Speaker 7: push us a little bit more.
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  Speaker 2: So this I mean, it's it's a take with one
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  Speaker 2: and give with the other, isn't it? The butter and
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  Speaker 2: milk and cheese and stuff, because we pay more for it,
• 6:46
  Speaker 2: but then we also get more for it through our
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  Speaker 2: primary sector.
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  Speaker 7: All we're seeing at the moment is a really good
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  Speaker 7: what's called ex foot lead recovery. So we're earning a
• 6:56
  Speaker 7: way to growth as opposed to spending it, which is
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  Speaker 7: a the sort of growth that you want to see.
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  Speaker 7: You know, I was a few days last week, and
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  Speaker 7: the farmers are pretty cheaper. Why they've got a little
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  Speaker 7: bit of money in their in their back pockets. Of
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  Speaker 7: fortunately in the front and farmers you've got a little
• 7:09
  Speaker 7: bit of money in their back pockets. You know, we're
• 7:11
  Speaker 7: going to see a little more food related inflation. So
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  Speaker 7: vegetable prices are up, meat, cheese, your butter is up,
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  Speaker 7: you know, fifty one percent sort of year on year.
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  Speaker 7: So that's good for the farmers, is not necessarily good
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  Speaker 7: for people in the back pocket.
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  Speaker 2: Meanwhile, if you're a landlord, you've actually got the lowest
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  Speaker 2: increased two point eight percent increase in rent prices, lowest
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  Speaker 2: since January twenty fifteen. I think, and I guess that
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  Speaker 2: adds up when you look at you know, immigration, the
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  Speaker 2: way that's going.
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  Speaker 7: Yes, if you look at the immigration numbers, or around
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  Speaker 7: twenty one thousand I think was the last three natural
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  Speaker 7: population growth and another twenty thousand, and that's a pretty
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  Speaker 7: low number. You've got core demand in terms of people
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  Speaker 7: bums on seats around forty thousand divided by two point
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  Speaker 7: five rough number of people for houses. Then we need
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  Speaker 7: to be built a little bit south of twenty thousand
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  Speaker 7: houses per year. How many biirty percents were issuing thirty
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  Speaker 7: to thirty five thousand, so there's a lot of stock
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  Speaker 7: up there still to clear. So that just dads up
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  Speaker 7: to a pretty weak mental market out there, which is
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  Speaker 7: good news for for some people.
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  Speaker 2: Cameron, appreciate your time this morning. Cameron Baggery economists with
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  Speaker 2: me talking about those food prices out yesterday and the
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  Speaker 2: potential for a reserve bank out of band CPI is
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  Speaker 2: sixteen after.
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  Speaker 6: Five bridge seaking the.
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  Speaker 2: Dairy prices, we have the global dairy trade auction overnight
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  Speaker 2: one percent up. This is overall up one percent, sorry,
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  Speaker 2: down one percent, which is the third consecutive ox and
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  Speaker 2: it's gone down one point six last time, zero point
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  Speaker 2: nine before that, And we always look at the whole
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  Speaker 2: milk powder. Well it's actually gone down two point one percent,
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  Speaker 2: which is not as bad as the potential five percent
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  Speaker 2: that I was reading about yesterday. They were predicting, so
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  Speaker 2: butter up one point four percent, chedder up five point
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  Speaker 2: one percent, and skim milk powder down two point one percent.
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  Speaker 2: The powders are the ones that we really care about
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  Speaker 2: because that's what we sell the most of seventeen after five,
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  Speaker 2: news Talk said B. Simon arcis coming next on business optimism,
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: So rather than an actual read, it's how do you
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: feel in the business world, that's next news.
• 9:15
  Speaker 6: And views you trust to start your day.
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: It's earliericious with Ryan Bridge at Expole Insulation keeping Kiwi
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: homes ward and dry this winter, News Talk, said B.
• 9:26
  Speaker 6: Five.
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: Nineteen on news Talk said B. So markets have been
• 9:29
  Speaker 2: pretty calm so far. I mean they took a hat
• 9:31
  Speaker 2: last Friday after the conflict in the Middle East, but
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: then they recovered on Monday. Everybody's watching the Straight of
• 9:38
  Speaker 2: All Mars, though narrow stretch of water. This is between
• 9:41
  Speaker 2: Iran and Aman and twenty million barrels of oil through
• 9:45
  Speaker 2: their per day, which is significant. That is a quarter
• 9:47
  Speaker 2: of the world's oil transits through this tiny little strait
• 9:52
  Speaker 2: every day. And if Iran blocks it, or if there's
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: a disruption to it, then the price of oil. This
• 9:59
  Speaker 2: is according to a couple of analysts I was reading
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: about in the Wall Street Journal this morning, the price
• 10:04
  Speaker 2: of oil could hit one hundred US dollars a barrow.
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: It's currently sitting at seventy three.
• 10:09
  Speaker 6: Rain Bridge.
• 10:10
  Speaker 2: That doesn't happen, then hey right, the sun has come
• 10:12
  Speaker 2: out from behind the clouds. For business owners, new data
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  Speaker 2: from two degrees shows optimism is at its highest since
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  Speaker 2: twenty twenty one. Forty five percent of business leaders feel
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: better about their footing than they did a year ago.
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: Simon Arcus is Business Central CEO with me this morning, Simon,
• 10:28
  Speaker 2: good morning.
• 10:29
  Speaker 8: Good morning you Ryan, How are you very well?
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: Thank you? Does this include Wellington businesses?
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  Speaker 8: Look, it does include Wellington businesses. It's good to see
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  Speaker 8: and really really good to also that businesses feel like
• 10:41
  Speaker 8: the future is looking brighter.
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: Interesting. They also talk about I mean, productivity has been
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: a bugbear of ours for a long time, but businesses
• 10:47
  Speaker 2: themselves reporting that they think productivity is trending upwards.
• 10:52
  Speaker 8: I think it's a really interesting observation. Ryan. That's partly,
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  Speaker 8: I think, because the reality is that it's been a
• 10:57
  Speaker 8: big focus of business in the last or one of
• 10:59
  Speaker 8: course the government is it is driven by raising productivity.
• 11:04
  Speaker 8: Probably the one thing I'd noted which is really interesting
• 11:07
  Speaker 8: is this month we had actually contraction in the manufacturing
• 11:11
  Speaker 8: and the services industry. So there's a piece of data
• 11:14
  Speaker 8: going the other way as well, which is really interesting too.
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: Yeah, how do you marry those things up? I mean,
• 11:18
  Speaker 2: it is one It is one moment, isn't it.
• 11:21
  Speaker 8: It is one month, And I think I think two
• 11:23
  Speaker 8: things can be true at once, and you can have
• 11:25
  Speaker 8: optimism often precedes, you know, a good news, and you
• 11:30
  Speaker 8: can have a little bad news on the way. I
• 11:31
  Speaker 8: think the reason for that is the businesses they get
• 11:34
  Speaker 8: they have a sense of what the future is looking like,
• 11:36
  Speaker 8: so they've got forward orders, they've got all those sorts
• 11:38
  Speaker 8: of things. So actually, probably isn't the worry that it
• 11:41
  Speaker 8: might be any other time, So that optimism is a
• 11:43
  Speaker 8: good thing.
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: And no one said it was going to be a straight, safe,
• 11:47
  Speaker 2: easy flight path out of the quagmire, right, It's always
• 11:51
  Speaker 2: going to be a little bit bumpy along the way.
• 11:53
  Speaker 8: I think bumpy is a great word. I think we're
• 11:55
  Speaker 8: bumping along the bottom a little bit. There are sort
• 11:57
  Speaker 8: of haltering momentary things seem to improve and then we
• 12:00
  Speaker 8: sink back a little bit. But I think it's two
• 12:02
  Speaker 8: steps forward, one step back. But the general direction and
• 12:05
  Speaker 8: the two degrees survey seems to confirm this is good
• 12:09
  Speaker 8: optimistic feelings about the future.
• 12:12
  Speaker 2: Appreciate your time this morning, Simon. Great to have you
• 12:14
  Speaker 2: on the show. Simon Arcis Business Central CEO with us
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: from Wellington this morning. Twenty two minutes after five, you're
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: on News Talks. There'd be coming up next the Run
• 12:22
  Speaker 2: It Straight competition, which people have a problem with. Some
• 12:27
  Speaker 2: people have a problem with it. Some people run into
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: each other, they don't have a problem with it. I'm
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: going to talk to you about that also, if a run.
• 12:36
  Speaker 2: I'm sorry to keep going on about a run, but
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: I just find it endlessly fascinating because depending on what
• 12:41
  Speaker 2: and it's again, it all comes down to Donald Trump,
• 12:43
  Speaker 2: doesn't it depending on what he does and how far
• 12:47
  Speaker 2: he goes, and then how far the eye toller strikes back.
• 12:53
  Speaker 2: Does he hit a US Navy frigate? You know? And
• 12:55
  Speaker 2: then does the whole thing kick off. But the one
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: country that stands to in terms of the oil, the
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: one country that would hurt the most would be China
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: because everyone's sanctioned Irans and no one's buying the oil
• 13:10
  Speaker 2: except the Chinese. Because the Trainings love sanctioned oil because
• 13:13
  Speaker 2: it's cheap, they buy ninety percent of Iran's oil. Iran
• 13:18
  Speaker 2: produces two percent of global supply, one point seven million
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: barrels a day of crude oil. All well, basically all
• 13:24
  Speaker 2: goes to China. That's how you get you know, when
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: you get something for two dollars on team, when you think,
• 13:28
  Speaker 2: how the hell do they make it so cheaply? Sanctioned oil?
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: Simple twenty four after five NEWSTALKSVB.
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: The early edition full show podcast on iHeartRadio powered by NEWSTALKSB.
• 13:43
  Speaker 2: News Talks B. It is twenty six minutes half to five.
• 13:46
  Speaker 2: The moral outrage over run it straight competitions is a
• 13:49
  Speaker 2: tricky one, isn't it. More and more young men and
• 13:52
  Speaker 2: then more of them that run at each other head
• 13:54
  Speaker 2: on and try to knock each other out. As the
• 13:57
  Speaker 2: injuries piled up, the hand and ringing well cranked into
• 14:01
  Speaker 2: geed and lots of pearl clutching, lots of horror, lots
• 14:04
  Speaker 2: that I'm aghast. The reaction from some rugby stars and
• 14:08
  Speaker 2: sporting legends was a bit more nuanced, for obvious reasons,
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: because they also run full steam ahead at one another
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: of a Saturday, with great risk of personal injury and
• 14:18
  Speaker 2: even death, certainly the chance of broken bones and a
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: concussion on a rugby field. They do this because A
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: they enjoy it. B it's often all they've ever known,
• 14:29
  Speaker 2: and c presumably because it pays well. And that's the
• 14:32
  Speaker 2: problem of the outrage over run it straight. They had
• 14:35
  Speaker 2: a guy in the news yesterday who won twenty thousand
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: dollars in trials held in Auckland. He's now booked on
• 14:42
  Speaker 2: a spot in a final in Dubai. The money, he says,
• 14:46
  Speaker 2: these are his words, putting clothes on his kid's back.
• 14:49
  Speaker 2: He said this, we got to pay off some debts,
• 14:52
  Speaker 2: stock up the fridges and the cupboards, food for our
• 14:55
  Speaker 2: little ones. Especially with the economy of the way it
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: is in New Zealand, nothing's cheap these days. He saw
• 15:00
  Speaker 2: this as a couple of hours work with a huge payday,
• 15:05
  Speaker 2: and I happen to think if somebody wants to play
• 15:07
  Speaker 2: a high risk sport like rugby or UFC or anything
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: on horses, then good on them to their life. I'm
• 15:14
  Speaker 2: not here to judge the question for the rest of society,
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: and this is what our listeners most often email me
• 15:20
  Speaker 2: about when it comes to run it Straight is acc
• 15:24
  Speaker 2: To qualify for acc your injury must be the result
• 15:29
  Speaker 2: of an accident. An accident is basically something you didn't
• 15:34
  Speaker 2: intend to happen, happening a mistake. Run it straight is
• 15:40
  Speaker 2: bloody dangerous, but I think ultimately its injuries are accidents.
• 15:47
  Speaker 2: Like rugby, like horse riding. The system doesn't judge based
• 15:53
  Speaker 2: on the threat of injury, just whether it's an accidental
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: one or not. Rich N two is the numbers text
• 16:02
  Speaker 2: I'd love to hear from you this morning, twenty eight
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: minutes after five Ryan, we blame every negative statistic on poverty.
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: I family violence blame poverty. Truancy blame poverty. This is
• 16:13
  Speaker 2: from one of our listeners. Child abuse blame poverty, retail
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: theft blame poverty. Then we throw more money at this problem,
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: We throw more resources at this problem, and the situation
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: doesn't improve, and we go around and around and around.
• 16:27
  Speaker 2: The memory go around. I couldn't agree with that sentiment anymore.
• 16:31
  Speaker 2: It's one problem I have with suicide stats. And we
• 16:35
  Speaker 2: have a new plan. Guess what the new plan includes?
• 16:40
  Speaker 2: Crisis cafes. Honestly, if you're going to go and end
• 16:44
  Speaker 2: your life, are you going to stop off at a
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: crisis cafe on the way? Is this going to bring
• 16:47
  Speaker 2: our numbers? I mean, are we joking anyway? Poverty is
• 16:52
  Speaker 2: getting to blame again. So we'll talk to somebody about
• 16:54
  Speaker 2: that and maybe are some questions about it before six
• 16:57
  Speaker 2: News Talk, said Big.
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge on early edition with expol insulation, keeping Kiwi
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: Holmes warm and try this winter news talk Zibby Raculum
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: about it.
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: Good morning, twenty four away from six News Talks. It
• 17:44
  Speaker 2: be it's Wednesday, but really it's Thursday because it's a
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: short week. This week is very sort of aerobic music.
• 17:52
  Speaker 2: You've got going here kindsay this is getting you out
• 17:55
  Speaker 2: of bed. Everybody good to have your company. We're going
• 17:57
  Speaker 2: to talk to Gavin Gray out of the UK just
• 18:00
  Speaker 2: for quarter two, just around quarter two six this morning.
• 18:03
  Speaker 2: We're also going to talk about the government's new plan
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: to tackle suicide. Just before six Canterbury reigns Supreme if
• 18:10
  Speaker 2: you're waking up this morning, can tob repet yourself on
• 18:12
  Speaker 2: the back, feel good about yourself. Asb's regional scoreboard for
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: quarter one twenty twenty five was out yesterday and you
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: have taken out the number one spot. Congratulations across the board.
• 18:24
  Speaker 2: You're impressing the economists, surging consumer confidence, your population growth,
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: your improvements to your housing market still more affordable there
• 18:33
  Speaker 2: than it is an Auckland, which is why so many
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: people are just upping and sticks and leaving and going
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: to see you. The West Coast number two, Good morning
• 18:40
  Speaker 2: to the West Coast. Congratulations growth and construction, retail sales,
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: house values. Your house values are still low by our
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: national standards, but have been increasing way and above anything else,
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: probably for that reason. And Otago third your tourism last, Gisbone.
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: Sorry Gisbin, Wellington, you're fifteen, that's unsurprising. And the rural
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: urban divide very much on full display. South Island secures
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: the top four spots once again. Strong commodity prices supporting
• 19:12
  Speaker 2: rural New Zealand. And then there's weakness in our urban areas.
• 19:15
  Speaker 2: It has just gone twenty two away from.
• 19:17
  Speaker 6: Six Bryant Bridge.
• 19:18
  Speaker 2: Our reporters around the country. Here was actually an ironically
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: different story. Is Culen Proctor and Dnedan Culen, Good morning morning, Ryan.
• 19:26
  Speaker 9: I know it's exactly the same. Ah, I'm about to
• 19:28
  Speaker 9: repeat what you've just said. The ASP's Regional Economic school
• 19:32
  Speaker 9: Board is out and look, I mean obviously I'm focusing
• 19:35
  Speaker 9: on Otago on Southland here and like you say, Otago's
• 19:38
  Speaker 9: third fall into third place. In fact, on this school
• 19:41
  Speaker 9: board rating the regions based on year on year growth,
• 19:44
  Speaker 9: Otago had taken the crown for the last two quarters,
• 19:46
  Speaker 9: but under performing house sales here and slowing construction growth
• 19:50
  Speaker 9: has impacted Otago's performance this quarter. The positives though here
• 19:53
  Speaker 9: is still Queenstown's tourism and growth and employment. For Southend
• 19:57
  Speaker 9: I've slipped four places due to decline a new car ridge,
• 20:00
  Speaker 9: construction and employment, but south And leads the way still
• 20:04
  Speaker 9: in house price growth brilliant.
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: So yeah, what you're saying is the deep South slipping slightly,
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: but you guys in the South still doing really well.
• 20:12
  Speaker 2: How's your winner?
• 20:13
  Speaker 9: Not the freezer here, So prepare for potentially more disruptions
• 20:17
  Speaker 9: at our airport this morning. It's minus four there, but
• 20:19
  Speaker 9: a fine day ahead and twelve degrees.
• 20:21
  Speaker 2: All right, thanks so much for that. Clear in christ
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: yt take clear Good morning christ to a city council.
• 20:26
  Speaker 2: You got staff who might not return to their main
• 20:28
  Speaker 2: office until Christmas.
• 20:30
  Speaker 10: Yeah, this was the office that about a month ago,
• 20:33
  Speaker 10: I think around four hundred staff were evacuated from quite
• 20:36
  Speaker 10: suddenly when a routine check found that the annex attached
• 20:40
  Speaker 10: to the side of the building was underperforming in terms
• 20:44
  Speaker 10: of seismic performance. An engineering report has taken about three
• 20:47
  Speaker 10: weeks to conduct, and it's found that this building or
• 20:52
  Speaker 10: the annex on the building, only meets forty percent of
• 20:54
  Speaker 10: earthquake safety standards. Anything below sixty seven percent is what
• 20:58
  Speaker 10: we consider a risk. Staff based in that area will
• 21:01
  Speaker 10: have to continue to work elsewhere while some seismic strengthening
• 21:05
  Speaker 10: takes place. We've spoken with the mayor Field Major, who
• 21:07
  Speaker 10: says it is causing some significant disruption, but staff safety
• 21:11
  Speaker 10: is paramount. He says, look, we're not out of the
• 21:13
  Speaker 10: woods yet. Design will take a couple of months at least,
• 21:16
  Speaker 10: then repairs could take up to five He is stressing though,
• 21:19
  Speaker 10: that Nitahoo, which owns the building, identified these during a
• 21:23
  Speaker 10: routine inspection and council worked very quickly to ensure that
• 21:26
  Speaker 10: people were out and that they could take care of
• 21:29
  Speaker 10: the problem as soon as possible.
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: Okay, I'm sure the world's ending that councils staff aren't
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: in their office working because we know how productive they
• 21:35
  Speaker 2: can be. How's your WEA, They're.
• 21:36
  Speaker 10: Clear, frosty and foggy here once again, should clears are
• 21:41
  Speaker 10: mostly fine, light to wins and are high of ten.
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: Thanks. Have a great day, Max with the good news
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: in Wellington. Haymax, good morning, Trust and council down. House
• 21:50
  Speaker 2: prices up?
• 21:52
  Speaker 11: Yeah, just quickly on house prices. The region's median price
• 21:55
  Speaker 11: up one point three percent over the past year now
• 21:58
  Speaker 11: seven hundred and eighty five thousand, and that's via the
• 22:00
  Speaker 11: Real Estate Institute. Investors still generally staying away at the moment.
• 22:05
  Speaker 11: Good for first time by as much the same as
• 22:06
  Speaker 11: the rest of the country. But let's get to the
• 22:08
  Speaker 11: bad news, because that's what we love to hear. This
• 22:11
  Speaker 11: council survey not good. Unsurprising an annual survey eleven hundred
• 22:16
  Speaker 11: residents only about a quarter trust to actually trust the
• 22:19
  Speaker 11: Wellington City Council. Right now, spending seen as a big issue.
• 22:22
  Speaker 11: Cycle ways, the Golden Mile, the younger ones not too bad.
• 22:26
  Speaker 11: That trust is about fifty percent, but the numbers drop
• 22:28
  Speaker 11: as you slowly go up the age groups. Homelessness a big,
• 22:32
  Speaker 11: big issue, and safety safety around the CBD, which goes
• 22:36
  Speaker 11: along with that. I'm sure it's the police's fault. The
• 22:38
  Speaker 11: big one that stands out to me. Forty two percent
• 22:41
  Speaker 11: drop since twenty eighteen in those who think Wellington has
• 22:44
  Speaker 11: a positive look and a positive feel.
• 22:48
  Speaker 2: Okay, interesting, how's you're with it today?
• 22:50
  Speaker 11: X should be mainly fine with light winds twelve the
• 22:54
  Speaker 11: high central.
• 22:54
  Speaker 2: Thank you and neighbors and Norkland. Hey, Neva, good morning.
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: Now this supermarket just down the road. I could smell
• 22:59
  Speaker 2: the smoke coming in this morning. Yes, be still slightly smoldering.
• 23:03
  Speaker 12: Yeah, well there's large blaze. You're quite right at New
• 23:06
  Speaker 12: World Victoria Park yesterday sent smoke billowing over the central city.
• 23:11
  Speaker 12: Took about ten hours to extinguish. They've had a fire
• 23:14
  Speaker 12: crew there overnight just tending to any hotspots and the building.
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: Though.
• 23:18
  Speaker 12: The good news expected to be handed back today. So
• 23:21
  Speaker 12: food Stuff's North Island CEO. That's Chris Quinn. He says
• 23:24
  Speaker 12: that once they clarify the situation, they'll make a plan
• 23:27
  Speaker 12: with each and every employee. He's also saying that they'll
• 23:30
  Speaker 12: also decide what to do with the food because they
• 23:33
  Speaker 12: he'd safe access to the building. I mean, lots of
• 23:35
  Speaker 12: people saying.
• 23:36
  Speaker 4: What are they going to do with the food?
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: What are they going to do with the food?
• 23:38
  Speaker 12: I thought, God, is that all you can think of?
• 23:40
  Speaker 2: The food will be covered in smoke.
• 23:42
  Speaker 12: Well, that's right. You don't want to sail, do you so?
• 23:45
  Speaker 12: Chris Quinn saying, look, there's a lot of water carcinogens
• 23:48
  Speaker 12: that have gone through the building. So they'd only get
• 23:50
  Speaker 12: food out to people if it was safe for goodness sake.
• 23:52
  Speaker 2: Yeah, all the way. It's pretty m quickly all right, never,
• 23:56
  Speaker 2: thank you. Has the weather fine?
• 23:57
  Speaker 12: We've got areas of morning fog. This morning light wins
• 24:01
  Speaker 12: fifteen the high.
• 24:01
  Speaker 2: Here, thank you very much. Eighteen away from sex News
• 24:04
  Speaker 2: Talk said b Luke has texta program just now, Luke,
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: good morning. We're talking men's ment. Well, we're talking mental
• 24:10
  Speaker 2: health before six because there's a new suicide plan out.
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: He says, why is TRT so hard to get in
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: this country? I'm assuming that's testosterone replacement therapy. He says.
• 24:22
  Speaker 2: Women get the HRT patches for menopause since ages ago,
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: and that's farmac funded, which is true. I've got a
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: few friends older men who take testosterone boosters because you
• 24:33
  Speaker 2: lose about one percent of your testosterone after the age
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: of I think it's about thirty or something, which is
• 24:37
  Speaker 2: why old men start to look a little bit late women,
• 24:43
  Speaker 2: you know, or they just lose. You can't build muscle,
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: can you after a certain day. It was very difficult
• 24:48
  Speaker 2: to build muscle. So look, I don't know what the
• 24:51
  Speaker 2: answer is, but it's an interesting question. Seventeen away from
• 24:54
  Speaker 2: six news talks, said be Gavin Gray in the UK.
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: Next international correspondence with ends and insurance peace of mind
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: for New Zealand business.
• 25:03
  Speaker 2: You're on your talks. It is fultain away from sixth
• 25:05
  Speaker 2: Stammer and the UK expected to wat potent with some
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: more sanctions today. Gvin Gray is our UK europe correspondent. Gavin,
• 25:12
  Speaker 2: good morning either an.
• 25:14
  Speaker 13: Yeah, we hoped, actually we were going to get the
• 25:16
  Speaker 13: details before our cross now, but we're still waiting. It's
• 25:20
  Speaker 13: not been helped by the fact that, of course Donald
• 25:22
  Speaker 13: Trump has flown back to America, so any likelihood that
• 25:25
  Speaker 13: America will join the move seems very very unlikely, but
• 25:29
  Speaker 13: it looks like allies of Ukraine, the UK leading the way,
• 25:33
  Speaker 13: along with the rest of the G five the other
• 25:37
  Speaker 13: five nations who are still there, are really hoping that
• 25:40
  Speaker 13: they're going to be out of nail down sub sanctions
• 25:42
  Speaker 13: to announce a while still in Canada, Downing Street here
• 25:46
  Speaker 13: saying the new sanctions package would aim to keep up
• 25:48
  Speaker 13: pressure quote on the Russian military industrial complex, to squeeze
• 25:53
  Speaker 13: Russia's energy reserves and reduce the funds they are able
• 25:56
  Speaker 13: to pour into this illegal war. What does all that mean.
• 26:00
  Speaker 13: I think it means really that they could reassess the
• 26:03
  Speaker 13: cap that they are willing to allow to be paid
• 26:06
  Speaker 13: on Russian crude oil. The G seven agreed a cap
• 26:09
  Speaker 13: in December twenty twenty two at sixty dollars a barrel,
• 26:13
  Speaker 13: but falling energy prices have made that pretty useless, frankly,
• 26:17
  Speaker 13: and much less effective. So the European Commission is suggesting
• 26:20
  Speaker 13: the cap is reduced to forty five dollars that's US dollars.
• 26:24
  Speaker 13: Ukraine wants it even lower down to thirty But either way,
• 26:27
  Speaker 13: I think we're going to see probably targeting of these
• 26:30
  Speaker 13: energy revenues, banks and military industry in Russia.
• 26:33
  Speaker 2: Okay, interesting, What about the Oxford Street in London? The
• 26:36
  Speaker 2: Mire of London saying it wants to pedestrianize it. I've
• 26:39
  Speaker 2: thought it was can you drive any old car down there?
• 26:42
  Speaker 13: At the moment No, and in certain times of day
• 26:45
  Speaker 13: it varies as well, but it's going to be close
• 26:48
  Speaker 13: to everything, including buses, and buses frankly are the main
• 26:53
  Speaker 13: transport network there, along with taxis. So what the mayor
• 26:56
  Speaker 13: wants to do, he has to get the permission of
• 26:59
  Speaker 13: the Deputy Minister, but she's already said she's supporting. The
• 27:02
  Speaker 13: initiative is to ban all vecors along a one point
• 27:06
  Speaker 13: one kilometer stretch for those that know it well, that's
• 27:09
  Speaker 13: between Oxford Circus. That's where it crosses Region Street and
• 27:13
  Speaker 13: Marble Arch down at the western end, and with further
• 27:17
  Speaker 13: potential changes as well further east across to Tottenham Court Road. Now,
• 27:23
  Speaker 13: the SOHO society that represents many businesses in that area
• 27:27
  Speaker 13: says key questions remain unanswered. First of all, all the
• 27:31
  Speaker 13: traffic that's being diverted, what's going to happen there? Sixteen
• 27:35
  Speaker 13: bus routes are now going to be squeezed into narrow,
• 27:37
  Speaker 13: congested one way streets and the SOHO Society says no
• 27:41
  Speaker 13: convincing plan has ever been presented and London is already
• 27:45
  Speaker 13: a very slow city and will only get worse.
• 27:48
  Speaker 2: Interesting although Selfridges I was bringing us today is actually
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: on board with the whole thing. Weirdly enough, givin thank
• 27:54
  Speaker 2: you for that, Kevin Gray are UK you're a correspondent.
• 27:57
  Speaker 2: It is a living away from sex.
• 27:58
  Speaker 6: Right and Bridge.
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: I had a five year suicide prevention plan from the
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: Mental Health Minister yesterday to tackle our stubbornly high suicide rates,
• 28:06
  Speaker 2: six crisis cafes and new suicide prevention community funder coming
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: by the end of the year. Doctor Helen Buckland is
• 28:13
  Speaker 2: a clinical psychologist with me this morning. Good morning, Hi Ryan,
• 28:17
  Speaker 2: Hi you good good, thank you. But I'm quite cynical
• 28:20
  Speaker 2: and I can't help but feel like I've heard this
• 28:22
  Speaker 2: all before and crisis cafes are we kidding?
• 28:26
  Speaker 5: You know?
• 28:26
  Speaker 2: Is this actually going to make a difference.
• 28:29
  Speaker 14: Well, I'm a cynic as well. I think there has
• 28:33
  Speaker 14: been you know, there's been a lot of thought and
• 28:35
  Speaker 14: I can see that there's a will to try and
• 28:36
  Speaker 14: improve with this plan, but in reality it is not
• 28:40
  Speaker 14: a suicide prevention plan. It is a suicide response plan.
• 28:44
  Speaker 14: It's for people who are already suicidal, and there's no
• 28:48
  Speaker 14: reference to tackling the causes that lead people to becoming
• 28:52
  Speaker 14: suicidal in the first place. And I think that that's
• 28:55
  Speaker 14: where the focus of a prevention plan should be.
• 28:59
  Speaker 2: So this is the part where you talk about poverty
• 29:01
  Speaker 2: and you talk about cost of living and stuff like that.
• 29:04
  Speaker 14: Right, yes, But also I think that we also need
• 29:10
  Speaker 14: to have a look at things like bullying in schools,
• 29:14
  Speaker 14: effective child protection services, and also so the impact of
• 29:19
  Speaker 14: social media on children. So I think that Minnesota, he
• 29:23
  Speaker 14: needs to go back to the drawing board and come
• 29:25
  Speaker 14: up with something a bit better than that.
• 29:26
  Speaker 6: Personally, Well, they.
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: Are looking at banning social media for kids. That's got
• 29:30
  Speaker 2: one thing, I suppose. But what about with poverty, because
• 29:34
  Speaker 2: this is always something that people and psychologists and people
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: in the field say, poverty is the problem, Right, What
• 29:42
  Speaker 2: is it? Why do so many more men than women
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: in their life if it's poverty.
• 29:49
  Speaker 14: I think some of the reasons around that are because
• 29:53
  Speaker 14: of the expectation that men are providers for their families,
• 29:57
  Speaker 14: and so some of these traditional gender roles that we
• 29:59
  Speaker 14: have around what men are meant to do and be
• 30:03
  Speaker 14: and when in the face of actually being really difficult
• 30:06
  Speaker 14: to find jobs that are going to be covering the
• 30:09
  Speaker 14: cost of living and there are enough to take care
• 30:12
  Speaker 14: of your family, that is just devastating if one of
• 30:15
  Speaker 14: your primary ways of thinking about yourself is taking care
• 30:18
  Speaker 14: of your family. So we know that that's one of
• 30:21
  Speaker 14: the issues. And I think the other thing, especially for
• 30:25
  Speaker 14: young men who are leaving school, and if school wasn't
• 30:28
  Speaker 14: their favorite place and they're a little bit more hands
• 30:32
  Speaker 14: on and want to do practical things, what are their
• 30:36
  Speaker 14: job prospects when they leave? What kind of money are
• 30:39
  Speaker 14: they going to be earning when they leave so that
• 30:41
  Speaker 14: they can go ahead, leave school, get out into the
• 30:45
  Speaker 14: world and have jobs that are actually going to give
• 30:48
  Speaker 14: them enough so that they can feel confident about moving
• 30:51
  Speaker 14: forward in their lives with enough money in their back
• 30:54
  Speaker 14: pocket to have a night out with their friends and
• 30:59
  Speaker 14: look to buying home and having a family.
• 31:02
  Speaker 2: Helen, I had a look at the numbers this morning
• 31:04
  Speaker 2: from OECD. There are plenty of countries out there with
• 31:07
  Speaker 2: high poverty rates, higher poverty rates than us, but lower
• 31:11
  Speaker 2: suicide rates. How do we explain that?
• 31:15
  Speaker 14: Well, I think one of the things that it comes
• 31:16
  Speaker 14: back to is about what children experience in New Zealand
• 31:19
  Speaker 14: in terms of abuse. We have some of the worst
• 31:24
  Speaker 14: rates for family harm and exposure for children to abuse
• 31:30
  Speaker 14: in the home. And so I do think that we
• 31:32
  Speaker 14: need to go back to when people are young and
• 31:36
  Speaker 14: address those issues and alongside issues like poverty as well.
• 31:41
  Speaker 2: All right, really appreciate your time this morning, Helen. Thank
• 31:44
  Speaker 2: you very much for that, doctor Helen. Interesting doctor Helen Buckland,
• 31:46
  Speaker 2: clinical psychologist on the government's plan to reduce suicides siven
• 31:51
  Speaker 2: away from sex Mic.
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: Next, the news you need this morning and the in
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: depth analysis earlier this year with Ryan Bridge and expol
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: keeping Kiwi, homes Warm and Dray this winter news talk said.
• 32:04
  Speaker 2: Be five to sex on news Talks here be could
• 32:06
  Speaker 2: smell the probably something still burning it in the New
• 32:10
  Speaker 2: World this morning as I drove past, could smell the smoke.
• 32:12
  Speaker 2: Mike has hed it. Next and in the studio with
• 32:15
  Speaker 2: me now high Mike, good.
• 32:17
  Speaker 15: Morning, Ryan, how are we I'm extremely you.
• 32:19
  Speaker 2: Know, can I just say you've also probably stronger than
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: the smell of the smoke. Is your the small fumes?
• 32:26
  Speaker 15: You know, it's interesting you should say that it is
• 32:28
  Speaker 15: called ood stallion and it's by it's by the House
• 32:33
  Speaker 15: of Cravelli, and I discovered it on a trip to
• 32:36
  Speaker 15: christ Church, and I bought myself a small bottle at
• 32:39
  Speaker 15: the time, in this particular shoping cross. I thought, that's
• 32:41
  Speaker 15: not bad.
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: Did you then buy a bigger bottle and bathe in it?
• 32:44
  Speaker 15: Very good question. So what happened after I had the
• 32:47
  Speaker 15: small bottle? I took the small bottle to the country.
• 32:49
  Speaker 15: You regret asking this now, but I'll tell you anyway,
• 32:52
  Speaker 15: I took the small bottle to the country. I thought,
• 32:54
  Speaker 15: I'll have that in the country for the weekend so
• 32:56
  Speaker 15: I can smell that way at the weekend. Then I
• 32:57
  Speaker 15: missed it in the city. And so just the other
• 33:00
  Speaker 15: day I purchased myself a larger bottle, and that'd arrived
• 33:04
  Speaker 15: via the courier, and I just thought, given it's a
• 33:06
  Speaker 15: larger bottle, why not indulge.
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: Well, I think you need to just dis temper with
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: the quantities because you're obviously spraying the larger one like
• 33:14
  Speaker 2: it's the smaller one, and you're coming in here. No,
• 33:16
  Speaker 2: I can't smell the larger one like it's the lighter.
• 33:19
  Speaker 15: Like it's the large one. If you're going to smell good,
• 33:21
  Speaker 15: you might as well overwhelm everyone as my as my
• 33:24
  Speaker 15: thinking on it.
• 33:24
  Speaker 6: Right?
• 33:25
  Speaker 15: Do you like the Stallion?
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: The name is really off poddling. I liked it before
• 33:30
  Speaker 2: you said that. Let's put it that way. Mike Is,
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: with the next on News Talk said, bebe Thanks for
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: listening everyone, I will see you tomorrow. Short week, have
• 33:40
  Speaker 2: a good one.
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, Listen live
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: to News Talks it Be from five am weekdays, or
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.