Latest / Financial Survival Network / Argentina Libertarian Boom Taking Off with Doug Casey #6071
Transcript
- 0:00I suppose most of our listeners know that Javier Malay, who was elected president
- 0:06four or five months ago, is a declared anarcho capitalist. In other words,
- 0:12he's a very hardline libertarian. And he was elected making a very big
- 0:17deal out of the fact that he wants to get rid of almost all the
- 0:21government, well the whole thing, frankly. But and he won by a
- 0:27huge majority. Not only by a huge majority, but weighted towards the young
- 0:33people in the country. So what's happening in Argentina now is a very big
- 0:37deal. You're listening to Carrie let'sa's Financial Survival Network where you get valuable information
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- 0:55and get your free newsletter and gift. Financial Survival Network now more than ever,
- 1:04And welcome you are listening to and watching the Financial Survival Network. I'm
- 1:10your host. Carry Let's old friend of the show is back with us now
- 1:14from points down South, Doug Casey. Doug been talking to you now since
- 1:19twenty eleven when I started my podcast, and you've got a podcast now on
- 1:26the iTunes and hey, you joed YouTube and on iTunes. I've seen it
- 1:33there and it's great to have you back on the show. Hey, want
- 1:37to get your perspective on the revolution that's taking place in Argentina and whether whether
- 1:45it's hope for America or not that we can somehow reverse our course. Well,
- 1:49I spend a lot of time in Argentina every year. Although I'm back
- 1:53across the Mighty Plate River and I'm in Uruguay at the moment. I've got
- 1:59a farm here and it's very nice to be on the farm as opposed in
- 2:02the city. But what's happening in Argentina is of world historic importance. It's
- 2:10a very very big deal. I suppose most of our listeners know that Javier
- 2:19Maulay, who was elected president four or five months ago, is a declared
- 2:23anarcho capitalist. In other words, he's a very hardline libertarian, and he
- 2:30was elected making a very big deal out of the fact that he wants to
- 2:34get rid of almost all the government, well the whole thing, frankly,
- 2:38and he won by a huge majority. Not only by a huge majority,
- 2:45but weighted towards the young people in the country. So what's happening in Argentina
- 2:51now is a very big deal. It's world historic importance, it's unique.
- 2:55And just a few more words on this is that what do you hear about
- 3:00Malay in the popular press is almost entirely negative because the press is captured.
- 3:07It's populated all over the world by hardcore leftists. So if there's anything that
- 3:13they can misinterpret or anything they can say that's nasty about Malay, they'll do
- 3:20so. But buy, he's a great guy. Hey, so how did
- 3:24this happen? Because all right, let's assume that there really is a ruling
- 3:30cabal in the world, a conspiracy, whether it's illuminati, whatever you want
- 3:35to call them, let's say that, assume that they run the world.
- 3:38Okay, how did they let this guy slip in through the cracks? Well,
- 3:43I'm not sure that there really is a cabal that's able to run the
- 3:46whole world, although I'm sure there's some people that try. But what happened.
- 3:53Look, Argentina one hundred years ago was one of the three or four
- 3:58most prosperous in the world, and how could they have blowners? It's the
- 4:04seventh largest country of the world, doesn't have a large population, only forty
- 4:09maybe forty five million people, the best state. Definitely the best steak in
- 4:15the world, right, some of the best steak. This country is an
- 4:19agricultural powerhouse. It's just full of hows and wine and the best wine,
- 4:26right of the best wine. And No, it's absolutely it's a great place
- 4:32to live. It really is. I mean, I've been to one hundred
- 4:38and fifty five countries or so, and I've lived in ten, and Argentina
- 4:44is absolutely one of my favorites. It's why I came down here. Well,
- 4:49the first time I came down here was when about nineteen eighty, so
- 4:55a long time. But I basically to moved down here in two thousand and
- 5:01seven and it's treated me very well. Bought a lot of real estate,
- 5:08and incidentally it says we're basically a financial show here. I've got to point
- 5:13out that Argentina still has fantastic bargains in property. Oh I'm seriously going to
- 5:20come down and look. Oh, no, you want bleaded values. They're
- 5:26tremendous. Like the my apartment in ba I bought it in two thousand and
- 5:32seven. It's five thousand square feet. It's a two story penthouse in a
- 5:40great building with only six other five other apartments, and it's in the best
- 5:46part of town. And at that time I paid nine hundred and fifty thousand
- 5:53dollars for it. If I was going to replace an apartment at that time
- 5:58on the Upper East Side of New York, which is the equivalent where I
- 6:01am in BA, it would have cost twenty million or more or more.
- 6:08Now today prices are in flux because of the changes that Millie is making,
- 6:16and of course everything's gone higher with the inflation of the dollar. I mean,
- 6:20the dollar is worth half what it was back in two thousand and seven.
- 6:26But I don't know. Still, what I could get for that place
- 6:30would be less than ten percent of what I pay if I wanted to replace
- 6:36it on the Upper East Side of New York. And I think an argument
- 6:40can be made that at some point that apartment in Buenos Aires will be worth
- 6:45more than it's equivalent in New York. All right, So that's the way
- 6:49things are going. Somebody like me who lives in Florida don't want to live
- 6:54where in the midst of the big metropolis, kind of like smaller cities but
- 7:02like the water where would be a good place for me to look, well,
- 7:08the water, well, we think about the water down in Argentina.
- 7:12We really think in terms of going across the Plate River. It's a very
- 7:17wide, wet river, the one hundred mile wide mouse as it goes into
- 7:21the ocean. And you might want to look at Uruguay. And Uruguay is
- 7:29more like Argentina than Argentina is in many ways. But well, things are
- 7:36more expensive here in Uruguay. But let's say you want to you don't want
- 7:42to be a real farmer, you just want to have a big backyard.
- 7:45Yeah, twenty thirty acres, that type of thing, so that you're not
- 7:49chocolate block with the neighbors, nice house on a river or close to the
- 7:56beach, garret Oruguay. And maybe a million and a half dollars. Interesting,
- 8:03Well, that's certainly a bargain compared to what's going on here. So
- 8:07let's talk about the US. Do you think Trump can learn from his mistakes
- 8:13and if he happens to become president number forty seven, and I kind of
- 8:18see the parallels with Grover Cleveland, do you think he could go to the
- 8:24libertarian route like Milee did. Do you think you think he's just basically got
- 8:31nothing to lose and just goes for it. Yeah, that's a really good
- 8:35question. Carry the problem with Trump. I wrote an article about him for
- 8:43internationalmand dot com, which is week my blog. It's a daily blog where
- 8:50I analyzed the good things and the bad things about Trump and the worst thing
- 8:56about Trump. The problem I have with Trump is that he doesn't have any
- 9:00philosophical core. Back then, in twenty twelve, when he was first talking
- 9:07about running for president, he said that I could run either as a Democrat
- 9:13or a Republican, which you know doesn't worry. I'm not crazy about either
- 9:18the Democrats or in the Republicans. To be honest, I'm a libertarian.
- 9:22I'm an anarcho capitalist like Melaias, and I could tell you my relation to
- 9:28me lay that in that regard. But getting back to Trump, oh God,
- 9:37not having a philosophical core is a common sensical guy. He does have
- 9:43a real background in business. He's learned who his enemies are the last ten
- 9:50years. That's that's a plus. I don't think he'll surround himself with the
- 9:56kind of incompetence and scorpion and snakes that he did when he was elected in
- 10:03twenty sixteen. So the problem is carry. I don't think that even though
- 10:11we he'll I think he'll win the popular election for lots of reasons, I'm
- 10:16not sure that he'll be installed as the president. I think that the Democrats
- 10:24will find a way to keep themselves in office. I know that's a shocking
- 10:28thing to say, but I'll tell you why I said. It's set all
- 10:35over across the US. The Democrats are trying to go to mail in voting,
- 10:43which makes it impossible to know who's really send me in that odd that's
- 10:48a big problem. We have lots of electronic voting machines, and I know
- 10:52the Republicans are going to be on the lookout for a computer fraud. With
- 10:56the electronic voting machines, they're still a problem. I'm a great believer in
- 11:03paper voting, as primitive as that may be. And the people that are
- 11:11in charge of Washington now are actually Jacobins. They're the same types that ran
- 11:18France after the revolution in seventeen eighty nine. They have the same views,
- 11:26the same psychology, the same philosophy, and now that they're in office,
- 11:31and they've been cementing themselves in office by hiring more ultra lefties, they're not
- 11:37going to want to let go. So the only thing I'm sure about,
- 11:43and I'm pretty sure about this, is that come November, we're going to
- 11:46have something like chaos in the US. It's I mean, I mean,
- 11:52you tell me you're in Florida right now. It seems to me the red
- 11:58people, the Trumpers or the Republicans, and the blue people, the Democrats,
- 12:05they hate each other. They cannot get along. They can't even have
- 12:09a civil conversation once they stop talking about the weather in baseball, and forget
- 12:16about the weather, because that's another thing, global warming. You know,
- 12:24to some extent that's true. But you know, I think it hates more
- 12:28on the blue side than the red. We don't like I don't consider myself
- 12:37red on libertarian, but shall we say the non interventionalist side. You know,
- 12:45it's just the hey, have your beliefs. Your beliefs will be proven
- 12:50to be false and then you're gonna have to either stick with your your false
- 12:54beliefs or you'll have to change them. Right. But it hasn't really happened
- 13:00yet, has it. But I see hope. I see hope where I
- 13:03see blacks leaving the Democrat plantation as they call it, not my term,
- 13:09theirs, and it's it's a trend that's happening. And but it's you liken
- 13:18the left to a wounded animal. This could well be their first opening wound
- 13:24and that's when they get extremely dangerous. Right, Yeah, it's true.
- 13:28I think you're right about a lot of blacks getting off the plantation. Like
- 13:33look at Tyrus, who I Chris distarted on the Greg Gutfel Show. I
- 13:39mean, I mean he's a solid thinker. I mean, yeah, yeah,
- 13:43a good guy generally. And there are a lot of guys like Kim
- 13:48now that are coming across that are on our side of the barricades. But
- 13:54you know, these the Democrats, they really are full of full of hate,
- 14:01and they've captured lots of areas of the US. They've captured academia for
- 14:07sure, it's evidenced by what's going on, and all the colleges, all
- 14:13the professors are Marxists and hardcore leftists. I mean, if you're not,
- 14:18you can't survive in an atmosphere like there is in the big Ivy League school
- 14:24certainly. So they've captured that. They've captured Hollywood, in the entertainment industry,
- 14:30they control all levels of government, Basically, it's not just academia.
- 14:35They've captured the school system all the way down to grade school. In the
- 14:39media, the media totally indoctrinating people. So I'm not optimistic. I'm afraid
- 14:48that even though the Republicans will win the vote, that the Democrats will stay
- 14:56installed in office and they I wouldn't put it past them to get the US
- 15:01really involved with this war in the Ukraine, or maybe something with Israel and
- 15:09Gaza Ama says Bola, god knows what, or some other place, because
- 15:15it's been said that war is the health of the state, and when things
- 15:18are going badly domestically, it's helpful to distract people with a foreign enemy.
- 15:26So if I was in Vegas, we were in Vegas and I had to
- 15:30place a bet on the winner. I hate to say it, but I
- 15:33think the Democrats are going to winn November. Yeah, well, it's not
- 15:37who votes, it's who counts the votes, as we say, so that's
- 15:41right. So gold, gold, and silver. You and I have been
- 15:46talking about it since we started speaking, since we started our dialogue here and
- 15:50now twenty four hundred plus, I haven't even looked at it. Today.
- 15:56I hit twenty four fifties a day, I think, yeah, And so
- 16:00what's in Silver's thirty two bucks? And no end in sight here? Right?
- 16:07I don't think so, because it's true that gold has hit a new
- 16:14nominal high and dollars, but in real terms, no, not really,
- 16:21because it hit eight hundred and fifty dollars houns back in nineteen eighty. But
- 16:26the dollar today is worth a third. Well, who depends on how much
- 16:32we trust the super But who knows? Now? Who really knows? I
- 16:38trust? I trust the figures. The US government turns out only marginally more
- 16:44when I trusted those The Argentine government was turning out one though. For China,
- 16:52I think in order to get back to its previous high, oh,
- 16:56three thousands, three thousand, at least three thousand. But the world's situation
- 17:03is so much more serious now and the amount of money creation is so much
- 17:08more serious now and it was back then that and there's so many more dollars
- 17:17that have been exported over the years. I mean, many trillions dollars are
- 17:22outside the US, and they're hot potatoes. No, I mean gold could
- 17:30go hyperbolic much higher. So yeah, I'm a gold bull still. We
- 17:36were gold bulls then, but now the game is really a foot. Yeah,
- 17:41the game is afoot and where it stops nobody knows, is hey,
- 17:48just like they started with inflation, it's transitory, now it's sticky. The
- 17:52next step is it's permanent. Right, Well, it is permanent. And
- 17:57the reason is it is because the cause of inflation. And this bears repating
- 18:03carry. I mean, we say it all the time. Yep. It's
- 18:07a monetary phenomenon. It's not the fault of the oil companies or the farmers,
- 18:12or it's the fault of the people printing up money. And the government
- 18:18is spending money like a drunken saler, and they need to be insult drunken
- 18:23sellers like that. You're right, drunken salors are fun, and these creeps
- 18:30in the government are fun at all. But they've got to print up a
- 18:33couple trillion dollars a year in order to fund the government's spending. And that's
- 18:40exactly what they're doing. When it flows into the economy, and it flows
- 18:47first in the corporations that are wired with the government, right, they are
- 18:52the initial beneficiaries of the banks, the hedge funds, all of them,
- 18:56right, yep, they get it first, and that bulls. The stock
- 19:03market higher is a benefit, and all that money once it gets into society,
- 19:10well it's got to go someplace, So people hide in stocks. So
- 19:15I'm not making a prediction for a stock market collapse a bond market collapse.
- 19:22Yes, interest rates are going higher, but stocks can keep going higher for
- 19:26the reason. But it's going to be a disaster for the average guy and
- 19:33for the general economy regardless of what happens to the price of stocks in general.
- 19:38Although I'm not long stocks, I'm basically long resource stocks at this point,
- 19:45companies that mine gold and copper and silvering uranium, and all the rest
- 19:52of it. Oil energy stocks too, very much. Energy is still very
- 20:00cheap. From a historical point of view. If we look at the real
- 20:04bull market in energy stocks, it was back in nineteen eighty that's a long
- 20:11time ago already, and at that time, energy and energy related stocks were
- 20:15about almost twenty five percent of the S and P five hundred. Today,
- 20:22even after they've come up a bit recently, I think we're one looking around
- 20:26five percent. Because the big fund managers, the black Rocks, the Goldman's,
- 20:33the fidelities, they're very averse to owning energy stocks. Forget about mining
- 20:40stocks, that's totally they can't even talk about them. But even oil stocks,
- 20:47they're reversed only because of this carbon hysteria. We've got to we've got
- 20:53to go green. We can't rape the earth, we can't mine stuff,
- 21:00can't drill oil or gas or anything like that. And the people that run
- 21:06energy stocks, and generally just because of their backgrounds, tend to be non
- 21:11DEI, non ESG people. So no, these big institutions which control the
- 21:21markets are averse to buying oil and gas stocks, which means they're very cheap.
- 21:26I mean, there are no oil and gas stocks that are yielding eight
- 21:30ten or more in current dividends, and I think whil's going higher, and
- 21:34so those natural gas and those dividends are going up. So yeah, I
- 21:38own a lot of those two. Yeah, yep, I'm inclined to agree
- 21:41with you. So there's still opportunity out there, but we got chaos ahead.
- 21:47When we have this conversation in a year, what do you think will
- 21:49have happened. Well, the cheapest area of the market is still mining stocks.
- 21:56I mean, oil and gas stocks are very cheap, but what's really
- 22:02cheap are the miners. And I think that since there's such a teeny weedy
- 22:10portion of the market, they're just a rounding error. At this point,
- 22:14they're not they're not even they're not even small caps. They're not even micro
- 22:18caps. They're nanocaps, pyco caps. At some point the market is going
- 22:26to flow back into them, at least if you want copper. So that
- 22:29when you swiped the flip the switch on on the wall, or your light
- 22:33goes on, or you drive your electric cars. Questionable whether you want one,
- 22:38we're going to talk about two. But that works. They're very,
- 22:44very cheap at this point, and so I'm loaded up with them. I
- 22:49like things that have low market caps because because they tend to be volatile,
- 22:56and mining itself is a crappy nineteenth century to two train industry. So you
- 23:04know, it's a business. It's not a great business. You know.
- 23:07They say, hey, it's like finding a gold mine. Oh no,
- 23:11that will ruin your life if you find it. Find a gold mine.
- 23:14For reasons that I can, I'm happy to explain what on the bright side.
- 23:21On the bright side, these the market caps of these stocks are so
- 23:26small that you just have to blow on them and they double and the whole
- 23:32group shocking is just to say you could go ten to one over the next
- 23:37year or two. It's got a prediction, but it's a real possibility and
- 23:41it'll happen eventually. Yeah, I wouldn't doubt it. I think I think
- 23:47you're right. I think that's where it's at, and that's where I've kind
- 23:49of staked by future. Hey Doug, it's been great having you on.
- 23:55Just tell us where we find you again these days. Well, we have
- 24:00a I do an article once a week and we have other great guys that
- 24:07do articles at internationalman dot com. It's free, great articles there on all
- 24:11kinds of stuff. And my podcast is done Casey's take on YouTube rumble.
- 24:18But I want to I've got to as an author, have to plug my
- 24:22novels. Oh yes, yes, So we didn't even talk about them this
- 24:26time, but we'll have you on again. Tell us the latest, well
- 24:30the latest should be out the next time we talk. Got my fingers crossed.
- 24:34It's called terrorist. First one was speculator, second was drug Lord.
- 24:41It was a lesson because we're tracing the history of our hero, Charles Knight,
- 24:45who is reforming the reputations of these unjustly besmirched occupations, good guy doing
- 24:55the things, and now he's going to be used to being a terrorist.
- 24:57And I love the first two and this one sounds even better if that's possible
- 25:04here and Hey, in any of that, we'll put links in the show
- 25:11notes to your prior books, which I believe are found on Amazon and wherever
- 25:17fine books used to be sold at the and we'll put your international man link
- 25:22in there as well. We appreciate as always you're coming on. If you've
- 25:26got a question for Doug or myself, shoot me an email. Hey,
- 25:30questions about Argentina where you think that's heading, love to hear about it and
- 25:36any questions comments kl at Carrie LUTs dot com. Make sure when you go
- 25:40to the site you sign up for our free newsletter. Doug, It's always
- 25:44a pleasure and it's great to catch up with you, Mike warns Carrie.
- 25:48Thanks for listening to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network, your solution to today's trying
- 25:53times. For the latest, go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Service
- 26:00level Network now more than ever