Latest / Simply Bitcoin / The Government Has No Choice: Trillions Must Be Printed! (Bitcoin Wins) | Bitcoin Simply
Transcript
- 0:00Scott Besson just told you something terrifying.
- 0:02He said there's no price tag that will make the Iran war
- 0:05unaffordable. Think about that.
- 0:07Last month, the US government brought in $313 billion.
- 0:11Sounds like a lot until you realize they spent $621 billion.
- 0:15That's a $308 billion deficit in one month.
- 0:18The deficit over the past six months is a trillion.
- 0:21So if I'm reading this right, this means that the printer is
- 0:25the budget. And if I'm reading between the
- 0:26lines correctly, we may be watching this set up for the
- 0:29next major printing cycle happening in real time.
- 0:32This war in Iran isn't about missiles.
- 0:34It isn't about oil. This is about whether the United
- 0:36States can still fund itself without breaking the treasury
- 0:39market. And if the treasury market
- 0:41breaks, America doesn't cut. They print.
- 0:43In this episode, I'm going to share exactly why America's in
- 0:46trouble. How the Iran war may be the
- 0:48event that forces the US into Bitcoin.
- 0:51The whales are loading up Bitcoin.
- 0:52Treasury companies, central banks, billionaires.
- 0:55They realize that, like the Strait of Hormuz, Bitcoin is the
- 0:58only path of global escape. This is Dante Cook with Bitcoin.
- 1:01Simply, let's go. You can take Iran's oil offline
- 1:08and Russia has all the power because now you can't take it.
- 1:11You got to have Russia running full out.
- 1:12You can take Russia offline and control Iran, but but again, if
- 1:16you pick fight with either of them, you're going to blow up
- 1:19the oil market. When you blow up the oil market,
- 1:21you're going to blow up the treasury market.
- 1:22You blow up the Treasury market, you're going to blow up the
- 1:24government's ability to fund itself.
- 1:25This clip is the entire game. If you missed what he said, let
- 1:29me break it down for you. If you pick a fight with Iran,
- 1:31you blow up the oil market. If you blow up the oil market,
- 1:34you blow up the Treasury market. If you blow up Treasuries, you
- 1:37blow the government's ability to fund itself.
- 1:39That's not a theory. That's the chain reaction.
- 1:41And right now, all three dominoes are wobbling at the
- 1:44same time. While the whole world is
- 1:45watching the Strait of Hormuz, the narrow waterway in the
- 1:48Persian Gulf that every barrel of oil in the region has to pass
- 1:51through. I want you to think about
- 1:52something different. Bitcoin being the Strait of
- 1:54Hormuz for freedom money. We're talking about the Strait
- 1:57of Hormuz at the center right now of politics.
- 2:00And I think in some sense it is really interesting to imagine
- 2:04that Bitcoin is perhaps also the Strait of Hormuz for what free
- 2:08money can mean. What I mean by that is if you
- 2:11think the Persian Gulf, the Arabian Gulf, is kind of where
- 2:14the money system exists today in compliance across the ecosystems
- 2:19of the players that can traffic in that gulf.
- 2:22The Strait of Hormuz represents the only path in which you can
- 2:25escape towards the Indian Ocean, where freedom is and unlimited
- 2:30access. And if Bitcoin is that conduit
- 2:33that allows money to go from the compliant level in which we play
- 2:37to freedom money that is censorship resistant and totally
- 2:40permissionless, one may imagine Bitcoin is actually the Strait
- 2:44of Hormuz of freedom money. Bitcoin is the only neutral,
- 2:47permissionless exit for money anywhere on this planet.
- 2:50No government controls it, no bank can shut it down.
- 2:52And the billionaires and the big money already know this.
- 2:55This is why last week we saw the first central bank in Kazakhstan
- 2:59make plans to start to buy and own Bitcoin on their balance
- 3:02sheet. They're not buying oil.
- 3:04And they aren't the only insiders positioning themselves
- 3:06in Bitcoin. Anthony Scaramucci, the former
- 3:09White House communications director, a guy who being the
- 3:11inside of power, just went on Patrick David Betts podcast and
- 3:15said something that should stop you in your tracks.
- 3:17Where are you at with it, Anthony?
- 3:19Well, listen, it's my largest position by far.
- 3:21I've added to the position recently in the in the
- 3:24correction. I do believe that Bitcoin is
- 3:28going to be a big operating layer like your former guest,
- 3:31Michael Saylor, who wrote the foreword of my book about
- 3:34Bitcoin. And I'll just say 2 quick
- 3:36things. When we move into Agentic AI and
- 3:39a computer is not, for regulatory reasons, able to open
- 3:42up a bank account somewhere, guess what the computer is going
- 3:46to do is going to figure out a way to trade on the blockchain
- 3:50and use things like Bitcoin. And so don't underestimate the
- 3:53power of this. Moreover, in a decentralized
- 3:57society where we're losing our trust in Fiat currencies, I
- 4:01think Bitcoin has a store of value or potential layer of
- 4:05value that we transact with is going higher and it's a very
- 4:09limited supply. And forget about you and me.
- 4:12I'm talking about kids that are my kids ages as they go 10 years
- 4:16from now, 20 years from now, they start running the big
- 4:19money. This is going to be a very big
- 4:22asset. So is it a $35 trillion asset
- 4:25like gold trading at 1.5 trillion right now?
- 4:28I believe it is. Could it take 15 years to get
- 4:30there? Probably. 35 so you think you
- 4:32can 20X where it's at right now I.
- 4:34Do I think it's going to be the market capitalization of gold?
- 4:37But I think it's going to take 15 years to get there.
- 4:40It's not going to happen overnight.
- 4:41Bitcoin is his biggest position by far and he's adding to it.
- 4:45He sees Bitcoin reaching $35 trillion not right now, but over
- 4:49time, and that's a 20X from today.
- 4:51And he's saying something very important about the floor of
- 4:53bitcoins price right now that everyone is neglecting while
- 4:56they're panicking. Right, right.
- 4:57You see Michael Saylor and them, they just bought another 1.3
- 5:01billion. I don't know what the number.
- 5:021.3 billion he's single handedly propping up Bitcoin during this
- 5:05bear market and he's set up now to buy you know another 10 to
- 5:1020,000 Bitcoin at a clip every quarter he's buying more than
- 5:14the mine supply of Bitcoin right now OK so 450 bitcoins are
- 5:20coming out of the network and Michael's buying roughly about
- 5:23600 a day is to give you a sense for what he's they.
- 5:25Got to do blood work on this guy.
- 5:27They got to do blood work on this guy to see ice cold or you
- 5:30know, where is it at? I mean, is there, is there a, is
- 5:33he that ice? Cold you know I watched your
- 5:35interview with him. I guess the only thing I would
- 5:38not to overly simplify the interview, but Michael is in the
- 5:40software business and Michael tried to compete against
- 5:43Microsoft and lost. And he now sees this as the
- 5:46operating software for the future of money.
- 5:49And so he didn't make it, but he wants to own it because he
- 5:52thinks that's worth. Michael Saylor, Micro strategy
- 5:55or strategy STRC. That is the floor right now
- 5:59during this bear market. Let me give you the stretch
- 6:01numbers from this week. Yesterday alone, it's estimated
- 6:04that they bought over 4000 Bitcoin, about a billion dollars
- 6:07worth nearly double their previous record.
- 6:09It's estimated they bought over 11,000 Bitcoin this week.
- 6:12Trading volume hit 471% of their daily average and there's been 9
- 6:17days straight of ATM activity. It's getting so crazy now that
- 6:20we even have Bitcoin treasury companies buying this asset as a
- 6:24part of their reserve. Orange BTC in Brazil just added
- 6:27stretch as part of its Bitcoin treasury reserve strategy.
- 6:30And here's the stat the financial mainstream media won't
- 6:32tell you. STRC sharp ratio, the measure of
- 6:35risk adjusted return is 3.5 higher than gold, higher than
- 6:39the QQQ, higher than the S&P 500.
- 6:42The best risk adjusted asset in the market right now isn't a
- 6:45tech stock. It isn't bonds.
- 6:46It's a company that does nothing but buy Bitcoin.
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- 7:40Back to the show. Guess what?
- 7:41The $5 billion asset manager Bitwise just told CNBC.
- 7:44And, you know, as the ETFs came to market and gave regulatory
- 7:49clarity around the custody of Bitcoin, which is the, you know,
- 7:52the single biggest thing when you're managing other people's
- 7:54money, you can't hold the assets yourself.
- 7:56And, and so the ETFs unlocked that functionality for
- 7:59fiduciaries. And there's been a trend of, you
- 8:02know, individuals selling their coins to the ETFs.
- 8:06And we're seeing more pension funds, more endowments.
- 8:09Last week, the first central bank to buy Bitcoin, the Central
- 8:13Bank of Kazakhstan, announced that they'll be adding Bitcoin
- 8:17and digital assets. That really gets to my point
- 8:19about this intersection between and the energy and electricity
- 8:22markets and the Bitcoin markets. Kazakhstan, you know, famously
- 8:25sitting on huge reserves of nuclear power and electricity.
- 8:29So it's natural, we think, for them to adopt Bitcoin.
- 8:33There's a dozen countries like that that are mining Bitcoin,
- 8:36you know, at the government level, and we expect that to to
- 8:39proliferate. It's all the intersection of
- 8:42everything. The next wave of demand is here.
- 8:44Central banks are buying Bitcoin.
- 8:45Dozens of governments are mining Bitcoin.
- 8:48The wave of new demand in Bitcoin won't just be from
- 8:50retail, it'll be sovereign and it'll be institutional.
- 8:52And you know why this is a certainty?
- 8:54Because on the same exact day the CEO of the $25 trillion U.S.
- 8:59banking industry stood up and called Bitcoin a threat, they
- 9:02declared war on the Bitcoin market structure bill.
- 9:04And it's not a warning, it's a confession.
- 9:07Let me reiterate something right up top.
- 9:10Our industry welcomes competition and innovation, and
- 9:13many banks are eager to offer products and services in the
- 9:16digital asset marketplace. What we don't support is an
- 9:20uneven playing field where new entrants want to offer bank like
- 9:24products without having to comply with bank like rules, or
- 9:28even worse, push for a regulatory framework that puts
- 9:32consumers, the financial system and the economy at risk.
- 9:36We can't let that happen. When the most powerful banking
- 9:41lobby in the world says we can't let that happen, it means
- 9:44something is already happening and they're scared.
- 9:46It's scared because their profit centers collapsing while the
- 9:48treasury market is in shambles and the oil market is showing
- 9:51that this war is going to be prolonged.
- 9:53Vince and Daniel, one of the investors from the Big Short who
- 9:56shorted the 2008 housing market, explains exactly what happens
- 10:00next with war, AI, geopolitical crisis.
- 10:03He says it is going to cause a 50% drawdown in stocks, which,
- 10:07oh by the way, it felt 1.5% yesterday.
- 10:09The six daily decline, it's done more than 1% just this year
- 10:13alone. But he says the quiet part out
- 10:15loud. The government's not going to
- 10:17let the market crash. They never do.
- 10:19I think the question what you're really asking me is there any
- 10:22way we can do this without the S&P going down 50%?
- 10:25That's what you're asking me. It's also a good question.
- 10:29The answer is no. OK, so I don't have no one.
- 10:33If we had a way or a means to do that, we would have done it
- 10:38already. So the only way to to alleviate
- 10:42the issues is by printing money. If the minute you allow price
- 10:47discovery of any kind, the S&P is going down a lot.
- 10:52What do you mean when if you allow price discovery well.
- 10:55Give an example. Let's say price discovery is the
- 11:01reality that something is allowed to go down, which is
- 11:03supposed to happen in the capitalist system.
- 11:06OK, let's just say software is going to be a material problem,
- 11:11right? Because of AI.
- 11:13And let's just say all these, I'm actually probably rewriting
- 11:17Citrini's note, right? Let's just say all these
- 11:20software companies go down another 6070%.
- 11:24And let's say all these private software companies, right, which
- 11:28are funded by private equity can't pay their bills.
- 11:31And all of a sudden the default rates go up, right?
- 11:36And the S&P drops, NVIDIA drops, there's no capital coming in the
- 11:40door. What are you going to do?
- 11:42What is everyone going to do? And again, I, I, as I, I want to
- 11:45tell your, your, your, the audience.
- 11:47I'm not predicting this. You asked the question, I'm
- 11:51answering it, right. If the markets were to go down
- 11:564060% and this is where I think Satrini might be off is what is
- 12:02the government response, right? And if price discoveries, the
- 12:06government says caveat emptor, buyer beware, sorry, right.
- 12:12Let's find where the right places where unlevered buyers go
- 12:17out and buy this stuff. But that's not acceptable
- 12:19anymore. Before I let you go, let me
- 12:21leave you with something interesting.
- 12:23It's Friday the 13th. And you know what's actually
- 12:25scarier than Friday the 13th, March the 12th. 6 years ago
- 12:29today, on March 12th of 2020, the market was a sea of red.
- 12:32It was in shambles. Every major stock was down
- 12:35double digits in this single session.
- 12:37People were terrified and they were selling everything.
- 12:39And then the printer turned on. Everything ripped back in some
- 12:42the K shaped economy and we all know what came next.
- 12:45And so as we look at 2025, gold is up 55%, Bitcoins down 9%.
- 12:50Some people are using this time period to call the thesis
- 12:53broken. But if you look at the 14 year
- 12:54chart, Bitcoin has outperformed gold and everything else by a
- 12:57meaningful margin. And it tends to outperform even
- 13:00more when the money printer comes on and money and liquidity
- 13:03have no other place to go. How Finney wrote this in 2011,
- 13:06and I think it's pertinent today.
- 13:07Every day that goes by and Bitcoin hasn't collapsed due to
- 13:10legal or technical problems, that brings new information to
- 13:12the market. It increases the chance of
- 13:14Bitcoin's eventual success and justifies a higher price.
- 13:17The printer is about to turn on and Bitcoin isn't failing
- 13:20anytime soon. It is the Strait of Hormuz for
- 13:23freedom money. As Jeff Park puts it, the US
- 13:25government has nowhere to go, and this Iran war isn't about
- 13:28missiles or oil. It's about whether the United
- 13:30States government can continue to fund itself, which it always
- 13:33has done through treasuries. There needs to be an escape
- 13:36valve, and that's Bitcoin. This is down to cook with
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- 13:41work of trying to understand the Bitcoin network and you believe
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- 14:11Happy Friday, we're out.