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Players with League Breaking Upside in 2026 · BDGE Fantasy Football

• 0:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: Good morning, friends and enemies.
• 0:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: In today's video, we're going to be talking through six players with legitimate, league winning upside and fantasy football for the 2026 season.
• 0:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, these aren't guys that I'm going to be targeting in every single draft.
• 0:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: I just think we need to weigh the spectrum.
• 0:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: But I think we need to weigh the outcomes.
• 0:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think there are drafts that I want to get these guys in.
• 0:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: There are drafts that I'll probably pass up on because the risk and reward are both there.
• 0:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: But if they hit,
• 0:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: If they hit, they're going to change the dynamic of the 2026 fantasy football season and we're going to start off at the very top of the list by tucking our shirts and I know y'all miss it.
• 0:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: a wild shirt into sweatpants is crazy.
• 0:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: I know.
• 0:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's like 8 a.m. whatever.
• 0:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: Let me live.
• 0:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: The very first player on this list is Ashton Gentie.
• 0:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: The running back for the Las Vegas Raiders, and I know, I know is a generational prospect.
• 0:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's crazy to say that he has upside of a league winning player, given the fact that he was a top 10 draft pick last year, and those are typically the players that end up becoming
• 1:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: League winning players, but obviously the steam on him is cool a little bit after his rookie campaign that was really disappointing and I think if you know Ball at all, he just look at the situation.
• 1:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: You look at the offensive line.
• 1:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: You look at the surroundings of Ash and Gente and it's very easy to point the direction of why everything faltered last year.
• 1:24
  [SPEAKER_01]: So we're going to talk through what happened last year and why I think it's going to be different in 2026.
• 1:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: The very first thing that needs to be addressed is obviously the offensive line.
• 1:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: If you watched any Raiders game last year, even if you were just watching the red zone, channel and saw Gentie Highlights, it was all highlights of his offensive line and basically falling backwards into the backfield.
• 1:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: He was getting hit behind the line of scrimmage every single carry.
• 1:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: He ranked 47th among 49 qualified running backs in yards before contact per attempt.
• 1:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: Really, really bad.
• 1:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Blake Korma averaged 3.5 yards before contact per attempt, which was more than double the running room that Ash and Gentie had last year.
• 1:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: When you look at his individual metrics, so when you look at his individual stats in terms of tackle breaking ability in terms of looseness, they were all very, very solid.
• 2:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: So I don't think he came to the NFL level and his speed wasn't up to par or he wasn't the player that he wasn't college.
• 2:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: This to me was purely a circumstantial, purely an environmental problem for Ash and Jensie.
• 2:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, what's changed going into this year?
• 2:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: They went out and signed Tyler Linderbaum from the Baltimore Ravens, which gives them an incredibly solid center there.
• 2:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: While the contract actually match the talent here, it doesn't matter because now you take one of the weakest points of your offensive line and make it a strength for yourself.
• 2:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: Three years, 81 million dollars for Tyler Linderbaum.
• 2:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: He was the fourth highest-graded run-blocking center in the NFL last year.
• 2:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: Cole and Miller, their best tackle and one of the premier tackles in the NFL, what he's become over the last few years, missed 11 games last year, so he'll be healthy.
• 2:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: They spent a day-to-pick on another offensive line, and so if these things work out, we have a much-much-improved offensive line.
• 2:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: And what I think is the most important change of this offseason is Clint Kobi at coming over as the head coach of the Raiders now.
• 2:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: Former O.C.
• 2:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: of last year Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawk.
• 3:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: So I just think this offense is going to be 100% better, more progressive, a better stylistic fit for Ash and Jenty, just a ton more creative than what we saw last year.
• 3:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: quarterback play, you know, we'll see if it's improved.
• 3:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think it has to be genusmith.
• 3:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's terrible last year.
• 3:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: The leader I have Kirk cousins.
• 3:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think we'll probably project Kirk cousins under center for some of between three and six games.
• 3:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: And then the number one overall pick for Nando Mendoza taking the rest of the year.
• 3:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: You look at quote from Kunku Biac.
• 3:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: He said we've got to get our best running back on the field as much as we can.
• 3:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: We want to put a lot of.
• 3:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: pressure on Ashton, you look at Christian McCaffrey, his place in that percentage is high, those great backs, they don't want to come off the field.
• 3:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: And last year, Gentie handled 85% of the opportunities in the back field, which was the number one opportunity share in the entire NFL, right?
• 3:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: That is the type of opportunity shared that you covet in fantasy football.
• 3:48
  [SPEAKER_01]: That is treasured, right?
• 3:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: And if the situation breaks right, you combine situation with opportunity, and you have the number one player in fantasy football.
• 3:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: You have a guy that is great at catching passes.
• 3:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's explosive his shit in a brand new offense, a progressive offense with an upgraded offensive line.
• 4:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: So when you're playing fantasy, you could try to predict all these things.
• 4:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think you can try to predict opportunity.
• 4:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: We saw exactly what the opportunity was last year and it's among the best in the entire NFL.
• 4:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: So for projecting that to be the case again, which I am, all we saw were improvements to the personnel here, to the coaching staff, to the offensive line, to the quarterback.
• 4:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: I just don't see a world where genties not getting another 80% opportunity share and efficiency ticks up by 20 to 25% you're looking at a guy who saw almost 75 targets last year went for 1,300 yards from skirmish in 10 touchdowns like it's in it's mind blowing that that was a terrible season for him so we have a tick up inefficiency and we're talking about a guy who can go for you know.
• 4:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: 15, 16, 1700 from Skirmidge, 12, the 13 touchdowns, another 60 catch season here.
• 4:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: And again, you're looking at a top five fantasy running back there.
• 4:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: So it feels like you're getting a little bit of the Ashton Gen. D discount before the actual breakout happens here.
• 4:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: So three down back in an improved offense, improved coach.
• 5:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: Like I think the sky is the absolute limit for a guy like Gen. D here.
• 5:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: The next player on this list is another second year running back out of Jacksonville, based y'all too in now.
• 5:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: I was not like a huge two in fanboy last year.
• 5:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: I know as you guys consume more and more content throughout the summer.
• 5:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: There are a lot of people that play dinosaur and a lot of people that play baseball and they have this like rookie craze.
• 5:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is rookie hype that like cannot be taken down a notch and two and was like one of those guys that everybody went crazy for last year as well as like every
• 5:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: rookie trivia on Henderson, all those guys, two and like it wasn't a guy that I was all in on her drafting in a lot of places, but I do think going into 2026 fantasy football, you'd be doing yourself a lot of favors by taking stock in baseball too, and because when you look at the holistic, you know, operation there in Jacksonville, you have a bunch of things working in his favor.
• 5:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: One, number one, of course, this Travis ATN is no longer in Jacksonville.
• 5:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: So you have the number one running back that he split time with last year, no longer there.
• 5:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: They went out and signed Chris Rodriguez, who is right now missing a lot of the summer activities for the team because of this foot injury.
• 6:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: We don't have a ton of detail on it right now.
• 6:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: But it seems to be a little bit more than serious.
• 6:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: We won't go like two down the tin foil hat path right now.
• 6:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: But if more negative reports come out, obviously it's going to lead to more of a workhorse role for two.
• 6:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: But regardless, Chris Rodriguez is an early down thumper at best.
• 6:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I just think that this is a team that with Liam Cohen and the weapons that they have on offense and the step that they took on defense last year is a team that you just want to attach yourself with in terms of fantasy football players.
• 6:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: The receiver position is going to be a little bit tricky to figure out there like, do you want Parker Washington, do you want your Kobe Myers, do you want Britain's strange you want Brian Thomas Jr. A lot of the times when you find it's off in that situation, it just means they're they're really good offense so attach yourself to the quarterback attach yourself to the running back because they're going to have a lot of scoring opportunities.
• 6:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: Is there a world where two ends playing all three downs on every drive?
• 6:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: Unlikely, because I think Liquid Allen has a legit pass-catching role there, he'll play 15 to 25% of the snaps, depending on what the game script is for that given week.
• 6:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: But again, the good thing about a team like Jacksonville is you don't expect them to get in situations where they're trailing by 14 points or 17 points or 11 points and need to keep a pass-catching back on the field for multiple drives at a time.
• 7:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: So when I look at baseball too, and I see a little bit of Chase Brown here.
• 7:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think their athletic profile is extremely similar.
• 7:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's actually kind of shockingly similar when you when you put them like next to each other in terms of their size.
• 7:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: Their athleticism, what they did in college.
• 7:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: And we remember Chase Brown took a minute to come on.
• 7:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: He was in a committee with Zach Moss, then he'd be sharing some snaps with Somaje P Ryan.
• 7:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: But I think that's a similar situation.
• 7:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: You could look at where it's like you have an incredibly high powered offense right now.
• 7:40
  [SPEAKER_01]: head and shoulders, like so clearly more athletic and explosive than the other players in that backfield, likely going to separate himself.
• 7:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: And when he does, it's going to lead to insane upside.
• 7:50
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is a backfield last year, a backfield only that scored 20 total touchdowns, okay?
• 7:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that is not including Trevor Lawrence's nine rushing touchdowns.
• 8:00
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is a backfield that's going to have a ton of fantasy point scored.
• 8:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: And even if Chris Rodriguez is healthy by the beginning of the season, he's not a dude that scores him via explosive plays.
• 8:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's not a dude that scores him via catching passes.
• 8:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: These are things that Bashal Tutan can do.
• 8:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: I also think it's really easy to like look at a liquid Allen and be like, oh, he's going to be the past catching back.
• 8:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: There are a ton of passing opportunities on first and second down when a guy like base I'll two and would be playing anyways.
• 8:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: It is a little weird that a guy like two and only caught 10 passes last year because he is a guy that was good in the past catching department in college and Liam Cohen historically as the guy who's been either the head coach or the office coordinator has led to a lot of targets to the running back position going back to, you know, his time in Tampa Bay when he was utilizing Rashad White and Bucky Irving.
• 8:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: to a really high degree, and in 2025, Travis ATN saw 23 screen targets, which was fifth most among all NFL running backs.
• 8:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: The only guys that were ahead of him, HN, B-John, Rashad White, Kenneth Gainwell, so you have two work horses and then two like past catching specials there.
• 8:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: So again, ATN out of the picture, they're early down guy there, like I can promise you they are not writing up screenplays to Chris Rodriguez.
• 9:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: Those are going to be going to be a shaltoo in.
• 9:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: And then the last thing I just kind of like to look at, this is not necessarily like a season long upside thing.
• 9:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: But when you look at his playoffs, strength is scheduled, Houston and week 15s obviously death blow.
• 9:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: But if you can get past that, you get Dallas and Washington and week 16 and week 17.
• 9:21
  [SPEAKER_01]: That is some juicy juicy shit.
• 9:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: All right, so we got Gente, we got a base y'all toon.
• 9:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: We're going to move over to the wide receiver position.
• 9:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: And as I'm going through this video, all these charts, like the strength of schedule that I just showed you, what I'm about to show you with these Chicago bears, playmakers here.
• 9:34
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is up right now on our website, in our fantasy membership, which will also encapsulate the draft guide that you guys have supporters always purchase throughout the summer.
• 9:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: Right now, we've combined all of our products into one fantasy membership, one monthly price that will run through the summer.
• 9:48
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• 9:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: It is so much better this time around in the summer.
• 9:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that'll just lead right into the seasons.
• 9:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: some things for you to play around with on the site right now if you are a fantasy member and we have an awesome promo going on with our partner bed MGM over there.
• 10:03
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• 10:14
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• 10:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: onto the Chicago Bears Pass Catchers.
• 10:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, we'll say it's a little bit tricky to kind of narrow down who you want to be targeting here because you have Colson, Lovelin, and you have Luther Burton as both fourth round picks.
• 10:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: You got Romanoons going at the end of the fifth round here, but we've kind of wiped all the bullshit out of that receiver room and out of that playmaking room, right?
• 11:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: Men Johnson came in immediately drafted Colson, Lovelin, immediately drafted Luther Burton but didn't immediately play them.
• 11:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, with DJ Moore out of the way, he's in Buffalo.
• 11:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, with Ole Mead is a Kia's out of the way, which might sound crazy, but he was a fucking problem early on in the year last year.
• 11:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: If you remember, played a lot over the first half of the season and it kept Luther Bird on the sideline.
• 11:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now, everybody is expecting a big jump up for Caleb Williams this year.
• 11:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: Year two of Ben Johnson is going to be a very magical thing.
• 11:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I think it'd be wise to end up drafting a decent portion of all of the Chicago playmakers.
• 11:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: I would be hard-pressed to find a league that I'm going to be in this year that I don't leave my draft with at least one of them if not two of these guys.
• 11:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: Because the offensive playmaking should be extremely condensed.
• 11:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: We know the wrong game there's going to be a lot of calories for Swift and my non-bi, but when Caleb Williams drops back to pass, there's nobody else catching passes besides Rome, Luther Burton, and Colson Lovelin.
• 11:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: And Vegas sees it the same way.
• 11:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: Ironically, Vegas actually has Luther Bird and it's not ironic at all.
• 12:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: I don't know why I said that.
• 12:02
  [SPEAKER_01]: But Luther Bird in at 825.5, Roman 800, and Colson Lovelin around 750, depending on where you're looking at the lines.
• 12:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: But they're pretty neck and neck.
• 12:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: Just a quick breakdown of all them.
• 12:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: Lovelin obviously broke out one crazy over the second half of the year.
• 12:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I think that probably just continues into 2026.
• 12:18
  [SPEAKER_01]: Luther Burden where I think he makes his most dough this year is, he's not as good of a route runner or a separator as some of the top tier guys in the NFL, but when you look at what Ben Johnson did with Ammon Rossing Brown, I think they have similar trajectories.
• 12:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: And Luther Burden is at his best when he has the ball in his hands, and he's making plays, and he's a yak guy, and his screen game is incredible.
• 12:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: And now you have DJ Moore out of the way.
• 12:39
  [SPEAKER_01]: And if you remember watching any Chicago games over the last like two years, DJ Moore was used
• 12:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: and in the screen game, it's such a high degree that you to imagine most of those are going to siphon over to Luther Bird.
• 12:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: And so I think he's probably got a floor of like 25 screen receptions, 20 25 screen receptions for the season, just baked into what his total is this year.
• 12:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: And then you got Roma Dunzey, who I think is like the most interesting one to me.
• 13:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: because like he's been incredibly disappointing through two years in the NFL.
• 13:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: As a guy who's the top 10 pick that was looked at as like, okay, Malik neighbors type of caliber.
• 13:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I'm still trying to like wrap my brain around what the problem is here.
• 13:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: When you look at Rome and you look at a separation ability when you look at his route running ability, he's still a top tier player like he was coming out of college.
• 13:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is Matt Harmon's reception perception chart on him from 2025.
• 13:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's still separating like a fucking divorce lawyer out here.
• 13:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: 63.3% last year, 80 first among wide receivers.
• 13:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: A lot that has to do with the fact that he's getting a lot of deep targets, so naturally those are going to be a little bit less accurate, but he did see 40.4% of the team's deep targets.
• 13:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: Like that is such a juicy number, and I think if Caleb can get a little bit more consistent on a down-to-down basis, then we're going to see a lot more consistency in the accuracy, down-field,
• 13:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: And, and if you remember the first half of the season last year, it was so sloppy for Chicago.
• 13:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: They would have three to five penalties a game, just on like procedural shit.
• 14:03
  [SPEAKER_01]: Like they couldn't get a guy in motion without getting a penalty.
• 14:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I think it's because that offense would bend Johnson.
• 14:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: He probably imagine as a first time at coach like he tried to make it as creative and progressive as possible.
• 14:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I think that was probably a lot.
• 14:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: in year one.
• 14:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: So I think you're two, you're going to see a comfort ability with this offense that was just not there last year, getting the entire offseason, getting all of them being able to work together.
• 14:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: Caleb just has the arm there.
• 14:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: He's got the arm that like a 4500 yard pass or finishes a year with.
• 14:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: Will he get there based on volume?
• 14:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: I don't know.
• 14:33
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're pretty run heavy team.
• 14:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: But I just think you have these three extremely unique explosive playmakers that if any of them popped off, if Lovelin went for 1,200 yards and 10 touchdowns, if Luther Bird and caught 80 passes for 118 touchdowns, if Roman doings ended up popping off for 8,410, like an Al-Robinson type year, wouldn't surprise me whatsoever.
• 14:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: So I would leave most of your drafts with one Chicago playmaker.
• 14:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: And when we move on to the next guy and it's funny because when I made this video last year, I was debating putting Roman Dunes A and Marvin Harrison Jr. on the list.
• 15:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I decided not to because I talked through them in that video just more conversationaly.
• 15:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: Ultimately landed on the fact that like they were fun buzz names last year and I drafted Roman a couple spots.
• 15:20
  [SPEAKER_01]: The actual real life situation didn't really feel like it allowed their their projection so like get to a super high upside case.
• 15:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: Now anytime that a player does not perform well in a singular season and then there's no like real material changes going into the following year, that was my problem with Marvin Harrison Jr.
• 15:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: He was a big time fade for me going into last year and it was because there was just no creativity from Drew Petsing out there as the O.C.
• 15:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: Him and Kyle are clearly just did not work and then nothing changed over the off season.
• 15:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: So it was like why would I look at what happened in 2024 and then just assume everything is going to get better because we didn't see any look at that in 2024.
• 15:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: So now that we have these changes, now that Kyler is gone, now that Drew Petsing is gone, and we have the floor coming in, the upside case is much easier to make.
• 16:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: I still think there are a lot of red flags in the situation.
• 16:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: So like I said at the very top of this video, this is not like here are the guys that I'm projecting to win you your fantasy league.
• 16:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: These are guys that I think have a really, really solid risk or war type of profile.
• 16:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I think there's a very real chance that Marvin Harrison Jr. just continues to be a good wide receiver until there's a massive shift in what his environment is, like a number one overall picked up a quarterback comes in or something like that.
• 16:30
  [SPEAKER_01]: But he's a dude that I'm willing to keep the lights on for, you know, a fourth or fifth year breakout for sure.
• 16:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: When we look at last year, I mean, it was like the perfect storm of upside fantasy wise for this passing offense, right?
• 16:41
  [SPEAKER_01]: They were just getting their fucking teeth kicked in every single game every Sunday.
• 16:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: It was just a Kobe percent dropping back for 45 passes, but Marvin Harrison Jr. obviously dealt with a lot of injury stuff that led to treatment.
• 16:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: Bride going crazy led to a breakout year from Michael Wilson and
• 16:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: In the beginning of the summer, my thought was like, no way any of that can be repeated, no way that they don't go super or at least a bit more run heavy going into the 2026.
• 17:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: And that's going to be the case.
• 17:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: They drafted Jeremiah love number three overall.
• 17:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: So you want to give your workhorse running back.
• 17:10
  [SPEAKER_01]: workhorse carries.
• 17:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: They signed Tyler else year.
• 17:12
  [SPEAKER_01]: They bring back James Connor.
• 17:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: So I imagine they're going to try to go run heavy.
• 17:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: The problem is when you look at the Arizona Cardinals, look ahead lines, meaning their schedule, Vegas already has the lines up for all all their games, their dogs in every single game this year.
• 17:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the Jacobi percent piece of the puzzle is the difficult one to figure out here.
• 17:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: Because right now he's like,
• 17:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: holding out because he wants starter money, right?
• 17:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: He played well enough last year.
• 17:37
  [SPEAKER_01]: He was their starting quarterback and is projected to be the starting quarterback going into 2026.
• 17:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: They drafted Carson back, who is my opinion, not a legit NFL quarterback.
• 17:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: And I think there's a real chance that we get a decent chunk of Carson back starts, which is what makes this pick risky.
• 17:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: I would say Martin Harrison Jr. is without a doubt the riskyest player I think on this board to pick.
• 17:56
  [SPEAKER_01]: we're in this video to pick.
• 17:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: You have the systemic risk of just being in the Arizona Cardinals offense.
• 18:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: You have both Traimic Pride and Michael Wilson there.
• 18:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: You have the quarterback situation with Jacobi Percent, like even if Jacobi Percent is under center, that there's a world where like, okay, you don't get the same Jacobi Percent throwing for 400 yards a game in year two.
• 18:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: Like defenses now have that full year of like, okay, we know what this Arizona Cardinals offense is going to be.
• 18:19
  [SPEAKER_01]: But I will say with the floor coming in and calling the plays there now, much more optimistic this will be a more
• 18:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: I still think Marvin Harrison Jr. is a very good player, a very good route runner as you can see again by the reception perception done by Matt Harmon over there on reception perception.com, great resource, highly recommend you go sign up there, tweet from Michael Florio.
• 18:38
  [SPEAKER_01]: Marvin Harrison Jr. has a 63% catchable target rate since joining the NFL that is the second lowest in this span.
• 18:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think a lot of what we're seeing downside from Marvin Harrison Jr. is the effects of the environment that he's been in.
• 18:51
  [SPEAKER_01]: But I think in an all-L sequel, I think in an ideal world, the Cardinals have an efficient offense, and Marvin Harrison Jr. is their number one guy.
• 18:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: Like, I think LaFlor is going to push to have that happen.
• 19:01
  [SPEAKER_01]: I'm not going to look into like small sample sizes of Marvin Harrison Jr. and Michael Wilson on the field with Jacobi Resetter with the second half of last year.
• 19:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: I just think it's too small of a sample size to try to depict who's doing what, like, Oh, Marvin Harrison Jr. was the guy for the fucking two quarters that he was in.
• 19:15
  [SPEAKER_01]: But he was dealing with the ton of injuries last year, so I don't care.
• 19:17
  [SPEAKER_01]: I also look at the playoffs schedule in the fantasy playoffs for all the past catchers on the team, the jets, the saints, and the raiders.
• 19:25
  [SPEAKER_01]: That's kind of beautiful.
• 19:26
  [SPEAKER_01]: So the upside case here is that Jacobi reset in the Cardinals end up coming to some sort of resolution with the contract.
• 19:32
  [SPEAKER_01]: They are still a team that loses a lot of games, and he needs to pass the ball 35 to 40 times a game again, and Marvin Harrison Jr. is putting much more advantageous positions
• 19:45
  [SPEAKER_01]: As an extra-sever, Lefore will come in, move him around a lot more, use him in creative ways, and he's a doo-doo-sees, seven to ten targets per game, and then we'll turn that into, you know, 11, 12, 1300 yards, become a red zone player, and that's the upside case here.
• 19:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: So we've got a lot of your two players, some of your three players, this is my favorite rookie on the board right now.
• 20:04
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's Jordan Tyson, the wide receiver top-tempoic for the New Orleans Saints.
• 20:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: New Orleans last year was number one in past rate over expectation, okay?
• 20:14
  [SPEAKER_01]: This is year two of Tyler Schuck and Kelly Moore.
• 20:16
  [SPEAKER_01]: We have the single highest pace of play last year, the lowest seconds per play, and it's all about this offense.
• 20:23
  [SPEAKER_01]: It's all about the speed, the pace, and just the volume from the Saints.
• 20:28
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think they've quietly built up a really strong offensive line.
• 20:31
  [SPEAKER_01]: They added David Edwards from Buffalo, which I think we're going to look back on it at the end of next year, and be like, that was a phenomenal signing, which took the Saints offensive line from 19th overall up to a top 12 or top 10 unit.
• 20:42
  [SPEAKER_01]: They play in a dome, so the environment's almost always going to be great for their passing offense.
• 20:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: They're defenses, you know.
• 20:49
  [SPEAKER_01]: Probably maybe a little bit underrated, but they're nothing to write home about.
• 20:52
  [SPEAKER_01]: So I think they're going to be in shootouts a lot.
• 20:53
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think they're going to have to use a high-paced offense a lot.
• 20:55
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's no number two target there.
• 20:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: There's no real number two wide receiver.
• 20:59
  [SPEAKER_01]: Their next leading receiver behind Chris Alave was Rashichi Heedlassure with 66 targets.
• 21:05
  [SPEAKER_01]: And he's in Seattle, obviously.
• 21:06
  [SPEAKER_01]: He got traded.
• 21:07
  [SPEAKER_01]: Then there's Devon Valey.
• 21:08
  [SPEAKER_01]: He saw 35 targets.
• 21:09
  [SPEAKER_01]: and then landed on season ending IR.
• 21:11
  [SPEAKER_01]: Like, there is just literally nothing behind Chris Alava.
• 21:13
  [SPEAKER_01]: I think Joanne Johnson was forced into a really high target situation, but if you start moving those targets from Joanne Johnson, who was seeing, you know, 6, 7, 8, 9 targets a game over the Jordan Tyson.
• 21:22
  [SPEAKER_01]: You're going to see a major breakout for him in his rookie season, and the strength of schedule for the Saints is incredible.
• 21:27
  [SPEAKER_01]: As a fourth place, schedule team, they have one of if not the single best strength of schedule for the entire season, plus a playoff strength of schedule, that's top three.
• 21:35
  [SPEAKER_01]: So I look at the pace of play, the number of pass attempts that are projected in the Saints offense, just the hurry up play, the environment, the lack of targets or the lack of opportunity for targets, I love Jordan Tyson in this offense.
• 21:47
  [SPEAKER_01]: So while I think Cornell Tate is a really talented receiver in his own right, I just trust this situation a thousand times more than I trust the Tennessee Titans offensive situation.
• 21:57
  [SPEAKER_01]: as it lays, all right?
• 21:58
  [SPEAKER_01]: So that'll wrap up today's video.
• 22:00
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• 22:42
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• 22:43
  [SPEAKER_01]: All right.
• 22:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: Love y'all.
• 22:44
  [SPEAKER_01]: Smooth cheese.
• 22:45
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• 22:46
  [SPEAKER_01]: Oh, yeah.