Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB Witching Hour | May 03, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

MLB Witching Hour | May 03, 2024 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:00
Yeah, fall system's going clear for lifting. What is going on ship at
0:36
Nation YouTube station Friday night? We got a great slate on tap tonight here
0:43
nine games for the main slate on Fandola and DraftKings. Happy Friday to everyone
0:48
out there, t G I F I'll bring my guy in Hamdwich bookend squad
0:53
here. How much Happy Friday? Man? How's your week bend? How's
0:55
everything going? Brother? Yeah? All good? Looking forward to Friday Prads
0:59
home game game six here in Nashville, got Morgan Walling in town. You
1:03
missed it by a weekend, Neates. We're rocking and rolling here in Nashville.
1:06
We got your equipment manager up there in Milwaukee's he's been busy all day
1:11
picking up those uniforms, making sure they're clean, making sure Patrick Beverly's not
1:14
throwing balls, and anybody shocked and a full in there. But hey,
1:18
hey, I can't rag you any more of those bucks because the season's over.
1:21
I know new ones is in here. Where's my guy Gator Nation,
1:23
Michael. They're all gonna give me hell here in a minute. But yeah,
1:26
looking forward to it, looking forward to chopping it up with you,
1:29
agam my man. Yeah, looking forward to chopping it up. Hey,
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I mean we got a title and then two first round exits in a second
1:37
round exit, what are you gonna do? I mean, don't know what's
1:40
going on? Doesn't help when Giannis has been injured, right, I don't
1:42
want to blame injuries, just I mean, I don't know what's going on
1:45
in Milwaukee. But hey, nonetheless, that's all right. My brewers are
1:48
looking decent so far to start the year. Hey, you move on to
1:52
the next game. And more importantly to me, I just care about making
1:55
money, and we got a nice sleep to make money here on tap.
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If you guys are new, hit that like button, hit that subscribe button
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Get in there, play around with that ship demiser, and hopefully ship
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some of these slates here on tap like we've been crushing over here at ship
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at Nation. But how much man, We're gonna talk pitching like we always
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do. We're gonna go eight king above on DraftKings in terms of pricing over
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here. Tanner Hawk, Ronel Blanc, bb Stroman Singer Cease, and Sonny
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Gray is the option is gonna throw out a couple of names for you.
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Number one Tanner Hawk, number two Tanner BB and then number three Sonny Gray.
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Those three are picking up the most ownership. Hard to argue with Sonny
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Gray here at home pitching against this wolful Chicago White Sox team. But as
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of late, little recency bias. Right, this White Sox team has been
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beaten up some chalk pitchers. Sonny Gray looks pretty much untouchable as of late.
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Talk to me, what are you doing with those three? What are
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you doing with the other pivots in this range? Like a Ronel Blanco,
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like a George Kirby. Talk to me, Yeah, man, this is
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a this is a good pitching slight. I'm excited, and let let's just
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start the off the list and the guys that have interest in then we'll go
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from there. But I mean, Sonny grade ten to one on DK,
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I mean, yeah, it's tough to poke holes and him, he's been
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absolutely dynamite all season long. Takes on this feeble Chicago White Sox team and
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Sonny Gray, and he's missing a lot of bass from both sides of the
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play. But hey, you said it, this White Sox team, their
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bats have been better. I'm going to be lower than the field I think
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on Sunny Gray. Certainly don't mind the price on Sunny Gray, but for
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me personally, there's just some guys that I like better in this range.
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The you know the guy that I want to touch on, Tanner Biby dominated
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the Braves last time out. I think eight or nine strikeouts. Gets to
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take on the troutless Angels today. Hey, he's going to be super popular.
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Eighty five hundred dollars at home. I think there's some weather in that
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game. Needs correct me if I'm wrong. That's the only game that I
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think there's some weather. But you or the chat can conrect me on that.
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Yeah, So don't mind Biby and then Runel Blanco goodness, gracious alive.
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I was looking at him today, looking at the pitches he throws,
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looking at you know how he does against right handed batters, left handed batters.
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You know what these batters for the Mariners do. Man Ronel Blanco,
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he's my favorite pitcher in this range, in this Baby Blanco Hawk range.
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I really like Renelle Bronco. He would be mass be one on this sled.
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I think he's got tremendous upside. Threw one hundred pitches his last time
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out in Mexico City against that Rockies team and dominated them. He's dominated home
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all season long. Man really love Ronelle Blanco tonight and then Tanner Hawk would
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be my last one. I was looking the Twins. They kind of threw
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me a curveball. They only stuck three right handed hitters in that lineup.
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They because they know they know that Hawk is much more dangerous versus right handed
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hitters than left handed hitters. But hey, I was doing my homework.
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I was looking at Hawk, looking at the pitches he throws. That Twins
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lineup man up and down the lineup against the pitches that Hawk throws. He's
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gonna be k in them all night long, similar to Bronco. I got
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Blanco and Hawk about one A, one B tonight for me, and that's
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it in that range for me tonight. Not going with CS. He's gonna
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get some ownership. No interest in cease for me, No interest in George
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Kirby, Well he's below there anyway. So yeah, see Singer and Strowman,
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no, thank you, not on the upside, and singer and strumming
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with the strikeouts. Yeah. No, we we're pretty aligned here tonight,
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which typically doesn't happen. We'll see how it goes the rest of the show.
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Obviously, it's a little friendly banter back and forth, and we've been
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crushing it over here. I've been been having a pretty good season so far
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to MLB, been keeping it rolling, really been diving into the metrics and
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spending a lot of time over here diving in. I love baseball, I've
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played baseball my whole life. But for me, Sonny Gray is sp one
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on the slate. I get the ownership, I get the reasoning, but
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at ten to one, I mean, there's a lot of bats that you
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can fit in. I got I like some cheap sp twos on the slate
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that we're going to talk about. It's easy to fit Sonny Gray. So
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for me in my main team, I'm rolling Sunny Gray. I just don't
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care. I'm gonna eat that chalk. I'm not worried about this White Sox
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team. It is a pitcher's ballpark there in Saint Louis as well. Give
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me, give me all the Sunny Gray here. Like I said, last
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year, we saw pictures like this in a spot like this, be eleven
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to five, twelve K Sunny Gray's at ten to one. It's just too
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too cheap for me for him, really like him. Ronel Blanco is my
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second favorite pitcher I absolutely love the matchup against Seattle, great great strikeout upside
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here. Love him. And then my third favorite pitture up at this range
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is Tanner Hawk. I'll take Ronel Blanco and Tanner Hawk over over Tanne bebe
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here at the discount and ownership. I get it, no Trout in that
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Angels lineup, but I just like Blancos matchup a lot more. I like
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the Boston Red Sox bats a little bit against Chris Paddock there, so I
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think Tanner Hawk is going to have the run support behind him. I love
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all three of those guys. I'm not gonna mess with the Kirby against Houston.
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I just don't think you need to attack a Houston offense when you got
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nine games on the slate with other pitchers in that range that I like,
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and Tanner better, Blanco better. I'm just out on George Kirby. Charlie
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Morten's an upside GPP play once we get down a little bit further, but
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it can above sticking to that, it's Sunny Gray number one for me,
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Blanco two, and Tanner Hawk number three for me, not messing with anyone
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else. If I did have to pick another guy, it would be Marcus
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Stroman here at home. Like these Yankees bats a ton against Reese Olsen here,
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should have some run support behind him. The Yankees been hitting the baseball
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pretty good. Marcus Stroman's also been decent. Not afraid of this Detroit lineup
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at all. I get it. It's a decent spot to hit in the
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Yankee stadium. This Tiger's offense strikes out at a twenty five percent clip against
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right handed pitching so far on the road this season. So Stroman would be
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the fourth guy above eight Ky for me, I do like him as a
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pivot off of Tanner bebe off a pivot of Dylan Cease right for a little
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bit cheaper. And if you can't get all the way up to Sunny Gray,
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I don't mind like a Stroman a Blanco pairing, or like a Blanco
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Tanner Hawk pairing if you can't get all the way up to Sunny Gray.
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But all four of those guys great pitchers. It is a pretty deep pitcher
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slate overall. Once we get the bats we're going to talk about. It
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not really a clear cut chalk stack of the nights outside of that late night
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game that we're going to talk about. So for me, I'm focusing more
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on pitchers and kind of filling in the bats on where I see fit after
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that. So I like those four a ton at the top end, let's
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go eight King of below here. I want to throw out obviously George Kirby,
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throw out him, mentioned him already, But down at the bottom Chris
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Paddock JP series, the two guys that everyone's going to in terms of savings
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for the SP two position. Paddock had one good start, four terrible starts
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outside of that. So are you going to do Chris Paddock against those Boston
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Red Sox there? Talk on that talk on JP series against a very very
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woeful Miami offense, especially against left handed pitching. Series a pretty solid real
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life pitcher. He's my favorite SP two on this slate. But touch on
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any of these guys down in the lower tier here. Yeah, it looks
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like we're a little bit different there. But I mean, honestly, with
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Hawk and Bloco being so cheap, especially on DK, I don't think you
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need to play down here too much. But the two pitchers that I have
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the most interest in, I actually have a little bit of en in Ree
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Sulsen Uh. He misses a lot of right handed bats and and the and
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the uh, the right handed hitters for the Yankees strike out a bunch.
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On top of that, he is a ground ball pitcher. I mean,
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obviously you see the Yankees, you see some guy named results and that you
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never heard of. Seventy four hundred dollars. Yeah, I mean I would
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rather pay eighty one hundred dollars for hog. Don't get me wrong, but
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if you had to go to re Sultson, I think he's a great GPP
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play against this Yankees team. I think he can hold them, you know,
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two three runs, strikeout six or seven and go six innings and hey,
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potentially give get the W. Strumman's been struggling. Then my other one
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that I want to talk about, and I'm gonna butcher his name, but
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Slade Coconi against this Padres team. Padres team, you always talk about it.
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You click an optimizer, you click optimize, Hey, San Diego,
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Padres are gonna pop up. They've been struggling up the dish and uh they
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got struck out ten times the other night. About Nick Lodola, I'm not
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saying that Slade is Lodolo, but Slade has ninety five mile per hour stuff
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he's got swinging this stuff. The padre has been struggling. Gimme, gimme
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Slade over padded, no padding for me. I actually, I actually like
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the Red Sox tonight. I don't think Paddic's any good. And his staffs
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are being padded against the games against the Angels, and whoever struck ten of
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them out? Was that the White Sox or somebody? But and then no
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JP series for me. I just don't think the upside is there a great
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ballpark. Certainly understand it, but yeah it's Slade. It's reads for me
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down in this range, but certainly prefer those guys in the low ak range
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above all these guys. Yeah, I'm out on Olsin. I'll give you
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Olsin, I get it right. He is a ground ball pitcher, but
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half over three over half that lineup for the Yankees are twenty five percent or
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higher flyball rates. I actually wrote that up in the slate plan over here
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at chip Nation. Did the slate plan already was published before the show.
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I like the Yankees a lot as a stack against Olsin, so I'm out
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on him if I'm going down here. JP series is my favorite SP two.
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I already mentioned that on the slate. And then my second favorite is
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going to be Slade, so Sony here with you there as well. Those
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are the only two guys I'm considering below eight k. I think you can
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get away with, Like I said, a Hawk, a Blanco Stroman,
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a sunny Gray or even a Tanner bebe there against those angels. So I
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don't think you really need to come down here. If you do come down
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here, you get a lot more spind up bats. I like Sears,
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like I said, and then CISONI would be my second guy. I'm out
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on Chris Paddock. I'm stacking against Paddock here tonight. So no for me,
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not gonna mess with Gavin Stone and his limited pitch count there against the
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Braves. So for me, it's a spend up spot for me outside of
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a JP Sears. Go ahead and in rank your top five before we jump
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into the hitters here, we gotta have a wager, would be it would
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be a Friday night show without a wager. I'll take Ree Sulsen. I'll
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give you JP Sears straight up DraftKings points. I'm taking Olson you in so
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you're gonna take a thirteen dollars Pitcher straight up over JP sears with no additional
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no additional bets. Okay, yeah, they're projected for one point apart from
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each other. I'm taking the lower gop. Yeah, give me give me
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seriares over Olson. I don't care. I mean you you you've lost about
13:09
four bets in a row to me. So you got some money to make
13:11
up here, you got some payments to to pay, so hey, maybe
13:16
we'll do like a quintuple or nothing here right to make up on your deficits
13:22
there. I know inflation is huge. I know Nashville prices are not cheap.
13:26
I mean you walk in the bar, you buy around, it's one
13:28
hundred dollars bill, ten dollars a drink down there goes goes pretty quickly.
13:31
So I get it, little Nashville boy, little Nashville narrative. I know
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times are tough over there in the handwhich households. So hey, maybe you
13:37
can win this bet in and wash it and clean the slate out here.
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But yeah, give me, give me, give me series over Olson.
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My my top picture is here, Sunny Gray number one for me, Tanner
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Hawk number two, Blanco number three. I'm gonna go JP sears four and
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then I'll go Marcus Stroman as number five over BB. I just think BB's
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ownership is gonna come in as probably potentially the highest one pitcher on the entire
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slate, especially without Trout now with that Trout news, no Trout in that
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lineup. So that's my top pictures there. Didn't want to hit on this
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talk. Danny in the chat says, all right, how much is the
14:09
optims ship Demiser going to be after the free trial? There is no free
14:13
trial for the ship Demiser. My God new Ones cleared it up in the
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chat. The shift Demiser technically is free quote unquote free right now for members
14:22
on the website. Again, we're doing this as kind of a beta,
14:26
if you will, for our current member base to test it out, use
14:31
it, give us their feedback, give us their tweaks what they want to
14:33
see differently, make sure everything is fully functionality to every the way we all
14:39
want it over here at the Nation before we do put a price take to
14:43
it. But I will tell you our goal for everything, including the membership
14:46
to the site and the Optimizer. Our goal is to be under one hundred
14:50
dollars a month for everything, all encompassing product, to have your content,
14:54
your projections in an optimizer everything you need to be roughly around that one hundred
15:00
dollars or under mark per month. So I will give you a little feedback
15:03
to that. Obviously we're still working through that, but count on being hopefully
15:07
right around one hundred or less for everything encompassing. Did want to hit on
15:13
that real quick, but how much? Let's talk about Detroit and the Yankees.
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First game on the slate here. I like this game. I think
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we're gonna differ a little bit here. I like this Yankees offense quite a
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bit against rieese Olsen and his twenty one percent strikeout right gets barreled a little
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bit. He has a ground ball pitcher, but the Yankees have a lot
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of fly balls. I don't think Jan Soto, I don't think Aaron Judge
15:33
care about any ground ball pitcher on the other side of the hill from them.
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Talk about this one. Talk about Detroit and the Yankees. Yankees implied
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to score right around four and a half runs here, Tiger's implied to score
15:45
under three and a half. Stroman on the molind Rie Olsen on the mound.
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Where you're going here for that? Yeah, this this game, I'm
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not gonna be going anywhere on this one, Nate. This one's a cross
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off for main Definitely no Tigers. I mean Stroman, like I said,
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I think he's struggled a little bit last couple of games. And yeah,
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not picking on Rees Soulsen, got a little bit of respect for him.
16:03
There's offenses that I like better than him. I mean, anybody'd be Rolly
16:07
Green. I think he's leading off. I just saw Yep Roley Green would
16:11
be leading off. He'd be a one off. And then obviously you can
16:14
always play judge. But I'm gonna be full fading these Yankees tonight. Yeah,
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I mean, I just don't think the ownership is gonna go there.
16:22
So I'm I'm happy to stack up a team that's that's been hot at the
16:25
plate. Like I said, Aaron Judge fly ball rate right around forty percent,
16:29
Austin Wells thirty five percent, Rizzo over thirty three percent, Torres Vope
16:33
Soto. I mean, so you're talking six and the nine hitters all over
16:37
twenty five percent or higher in terms of fly ball rates. That counteracts the
16:40
ground ball pitcher. I typically don't like stacking, but just don't think the
16:44
ownership's gonna be there. You've got cheap guys in the back half. Rizzo
16:47
has been good, Aaron Judge, you can play him any slate. Ron
16:49
Soto obviously, So I do like these Yankees in terms of the stack.
16:52
They are one of my favorite stacks on the slate. Just don't think ownership's
16:56
gonna go there, So give me some Yankees here. No Detroit bats for
16:59
me against Stroman just like other spots. Better, let's jump into the next
17:03
game here, the Cleveland Guardians and the Angels LA coming to town to face
17:08
Cleveland. Here Bb on the mound. We both love him quite a bit,
17:14
as does the rest of the industry. Any Angels for you probably not
17:18
getting there myself. For me, even against the Chalk, I just don't
17:21
think you need to. And then any Guardians for you. I do have
17:23
quite a bit of interest actually in this Cleveland offense. They're not a splashy
17:29
offense. But the Angels pen is terrible and Soriano has not been very good
17:33
at all. So give me some of these Guardians here tonight, which typically
17:36
I don't say too much. Where are you going, man? Yeah,
17:38
I agree with you one hundred percent on that. No Angels for me,
17:41
Bibby is one of my top three pitchers on the slate. Really like them.
17:45
And then yeah, Guardians generally speaking, they don't play, they don't
17:49
play long ball too much. But man, it's impossible to strike out my
17:52
boys Stephen Kwan, him and Az at the top lineup as well, Ramirez
17:57
Naylor, that would kind of be the stint up minutes. Tough to click
18:00
on, Will Brennan, Tyler, Freeman, Bow Naylor, any of those
18:03
names. But yeah, absolutely give me that top four, maybe even throwing
18:07
Will Brennan if you are on DK, Yeah, I'm with you. Really
18:11
pesky lineup that they got there. And uh yeah, I love the Guardians
18:15
not as well, one of my top five favorite stacks. Yeah, I
18:18
just like the Guardians. The reason I like the Guardians if you look at
18:21
the numbers for sorry Ono number one, I mean behind him the Angels bullpen
18:23
is trash number two. This guy walks a ton of hitters, and the
18:27
Cleveland offense has hitters that are patient at the plate. Right you got half,
18:33
You got four hitters that are right around a ten percent or higher walk
18:36
rate over the current season, right against right handed pitching. So I like
18:40
him. Sorry, Ona's walking right around fourteen percent of hitters from both sides
18:44
of the plate. He does struggle with some power as well. So I
18:48
really like Josh Naylor here, really like Jose Ramirez, Stephen Kwan obviously a
18:53
contact guy, Jimenez, right, you can include him, and Stacks always
18:57
feels a nice second base position that's typically a pretty weak position. You got
19:00
bow Naylor down there at the back half. You got ro Chio at the
19:03
short stop position at twenty seven hundred, solid value play there. He's going
19:07
to put the bat on the ball, get you in play. They'll have
19:10
some guys that will steal bases here against the walks, right, So I
19:14
think the Guardians can play old school baseball here, a little T ball style
19:18
manufacturer runs and hey, stolen base. I'll walk two stolen bases, pretty
19:23
close to hitting a home run anyway, so you don't always need to get
19:26
there with the home run power. I'll stack against the pitcher that struggles with
19:30
control any day of the week, especially with the bad bullpen behind him.
19:33
So I really like these Guardians quite a bit here tonight as well. Let's
19:37
head into my favorite stack of the night. I don't know what it is,
19:41
man, These Kansas City Royals, but they face lorenz In here who
19:47
strikes out right around twenty percent of hitters the Royals at home here Kaufman Stadium.
19:51
I love me some Kansas City Royals. And then on the other side,
19:53
I don't think Texas is the craziest crazy stack right guaranteed nine thing of
19:59
bats in a good hitter park here against Brady Singer, who does get barreled.
20:02
Decent talk about this one. I do think this is my most intriguing
20:07
game on the entire slate here tonight. From a bat's perspective. Yeah,
20:11
I took a peek at your slate playing or your core, and yeah,
20:12
I saw a lot of oils in there. Hey, I'm with you tonight,
20:15
and Age we're gonna cords Field two point zero. Give me all these
20:18
rities. I want to load up on these ridings. I was sad to
20:21
see that Nelson Velasquez was not in the confirmed lineup, but Bobby Witt,
20:26
mikeel Garcia, Salvador Perez, Hunter, Renfro down in the eight hole,
20:30
don't mind him at all. But I'm gonna load up on these right handed
20:33
bats. Then obviously sprinkle in a couple lefties for when those relievers come in.
20:37
And I'm with you, I think this Rangers team is a little bit
20:38
sneaky. Be Brady's singer doesn't strike a whole lot of people out. We
20:41
know there's tons of power in this Ranger's line up. Adulas Garcia double dong
20:47
capability every single night. So yeah, give me that Rangers power and then
20:51
give me the righties on the Royals. Really load up on them tonight as
20:53
well. Yeah. I love Salvador Perez, I love Bobby Wit and Hunter
20:57
runfull at twenty eight hundred is a great value. A nice righty there the
21:02
thing, and I don't sleep on Melendez, right. Lorenzen over the last
21:07
thirty days has struggled against with walks twenty one percent walk rate to lefties over
21:11
the twenty eight polate appearances he has, and looking at Melendez, he's very
21:15
patient. The plate has eleven eleven percent walk rate on the season so far.
21:19
Vinnie p right Italian Nightmare there as well, over ten percent walk rate
21:25
as well, So I think Lorenzo's going to struggle here. Mikel Garcia really
21:29
love him, Bobby with Perez obviously all the right. He's got a cheap
21:32
Freddie Furman there you can play him with Salvador Perez. Get rid of Vinnie
21:37
p. Throw Perez at first base, throw Furman at the catch up position.
21:41
Nice save save some money there. Melendez is going to be super low
21:45
owned at four k. Lefty, lefty down in that seventh spot. Love
21:49
these Royals here tonight, one through one through nine. Firmly in play.
21:52
Michael Massey tonight hitting fifth behind Salvado Perez at twenty eight hundred. I mean,
21:56
this guy's been on an absolute tear. He'll see bases. I mean,
22:00
he's just way too cheap. Feels a bad position as well. So
22:03
love these roles for me, and then Texas, I don't. I don't
22:07
think Texas is the craziest play either, all right, Corey Seger at Dolas
22:10
Garcia has been on fire. He's fifty five hundred, nice price point.
22:12
He's an elite one off on the slate. So I like the Rangers and
22:17
the Royals here. Royal is probably my favorite stack all things considered. Matchup
22:22
salary everything on the slates here tonight, which probably say his ads, you
22:26
play the Royals every night, and I'll continue to play in the Royals when
22:29
they continue to make me money. They got power and speed throughout the lineup,
22:32
probably wits a freaking DFS cheek code. So I'll go to these Royals
22:36
when they're not not the chalk offense on any slate here, especially at home.
22:41
Jump to the next game here, and this is an interesting game because
22:45
you got the Astros a pretty good offense facing a pretty solid pitcher here in
22:48
George Kirby at home. No Mariners interest for me against Blanco. We both
22:53
like Blanco quite a bit, but I'm personally not getting to the Astros.
22:57
But you still do have Jordan and Kyle Tucker against the righty. Talk on
23:02
the Astros, talk on the Mariners for me, I think this is a
23:06
gamers a cross off spot outside of maybe a Tucker or a Jordon. But
23:10
do you have any interest in these Houston bats? Yeah, let's stuck on
23:14
the Mariners. I mean Renell Blanco. I think he carves up this team.
23:18
For the non Blanco teams, I will be throwing Josh Rojas into the
23:21
mix, assuming he's leading off. Really like what he does against Ronel's pitch
23:26
mix. So yeah, give me Josh Rojas as a one off only on
23:29
non Blanco teams. I really like him tonight, only if he's batting lead
23:32
off, and then yeah, I mean, I don't want to pick on
23:33
Kirby, but if you wanted to pick off a you know, Jordon or
23:37
Kyle Tucker can never go wrong with them. But I won't be full stacking
23:40
this Astros team. They're obviously struggling this season. They got right in Mexico
23:44
City and came home and didn't really beat up, didn't really beat up you
23:48
know, who were they playing, like the Nats, That might have been
23:51
the Arrangers, whoever they were playing. They didn't really beat them up this
23:52
past week. But it's your don or Kyle Tucker for me, won't be
23:56
full stacking those Astros, all right, No Astros for you, I agree.
24:02
I do want to say Julio Rodriguez and non Blanco teams, I think
24:06
is one of the best hitters on the slate. He's too cheap, right,
24:10
he'll steal bas He's got a ton of power. Ronew Blanco is a
24:12
flyball guy as well. Julio Rodriguez right a ton of fly balls there,
24:18
So I don't think he's the craziest one off should be hitting second or third
24:22
here tonight at fifty one hundred guaranteed nineteen at bats, hits right handed pitching
24:26
very well, and if he steals a couple of bases that's always nice too.
24:30
He's been known to uh to swipe some bags out there, so I
24:33
don't hate him. And then on the Astros, you can play Kyle Tucker
24:37
Yord on any slate. I'll tve, but I just like other offenses.
24:41
If I'm spinning up, I'm likely going to Atlanta offense over the Astros.
24:45
So no Astros really for me. Juli Rodriguez in non Blanco teams, I
24:51
think is a solid play. Cal Raleigh, I don't think is a crazy
24:53
catcher play at thirty nine hundred. There ton of power and a fair price
24:57
point as well. But side of that really no interest in bats. Jump
25:03
to the next game here, and I know seems like you're gonna be aligned
25:06
with me a little bit here on the Red Sox side. I like me
25:08
some Red Sox because I do think if people don't go to Sears, they're
25:11
going to Paddock as a cheap sp two. Because this White Sox Red Sox
25:17
team has been pretty underwhelming to start the season. Left he's here. Jaron
25:22
Duran Raphael Devers. You got Wyler at bray you Dominic Smith if he's in
25:26
that lineup. I like the lefties a ton and then stack around them.
25:30
I think these Red Sox gets a paddock here in a big way. Guarantee
25:33
nothing at bats. I don't think a lot of ownership goes to them at
25:34
all. So give me some Red Sox. But where you're going here in
25:37
Minnesota Red Sox and the Twins. Yeah here, No, definitely no Twins
25:45
for me, not even a one off. But yeah, let's focus on
25:48
the lefty power for Boston. I haven't seen the lineup, but Devers obviously
25:52
has a ton of power from the left handed side of the play. Slower
25:56
start to the season, Durham, you said it as well. I'll bray
25:59
you if he's in there. Yeah, give me these lefties up and down
26:02
the line up to beat up on Chris Paddock. I'm with you there,
26:04
Yeah, I mean Paddick has just been absolutely atrocious against lefties. I mean
26:08
eleven percent strikeout rate over the last thirty days with a fly ball rate approaching
26:15
thirty percent. So yeah, start with the lefties. Rough, Al Davers,
26:18
Jaron Duran, Wyler, bray you I really like a Ton, so
26:21
I like those three. A ton should have some cheaper guys. David Hamilton
26:23
might crack the lineup at a short stop position for a cheap price. And
26:26
then Dominic Smith another value guy that does have some power, had some power
26:30
in the past, played him a lot when he was with the Mets there,
26:36
So like these Red Sox quite a bit as a stack. It's always
26:38
nice to have guaranteed ninthing at bats as well, And really no Twins interest
26:42
for me. I do like Tanner Hawk a ton. Trevor Larnock I think
26:47
would be solid, right power hitter, low strikeouts. He's smashed right hand
26:51
and pitching at home this season, so don't hate him as a one off.
26:53
But not going to go to this Twins offense here despite how they've been
26:57
hitting as of late. So no interest there for me. Let's jump to
27:03
the next game here. You got the White Sox heading into Saint Louis to
27:07
face the Cardinals. Here, Brad Keller gonna make his start. It's gonna
27:11
be basically pretty much a combination of Brad Keller. Don't know how many pitches
27:15
he's gonna throw. I don't expect him to go very long and then you
27:17
got the bullpen behind him. Typically don't like stacking against bullpen games too much
27:22
here, but Brad Keller could make his start here and just be terrible.
27:25
Cardinals do have the highest implied ron total on the slate from what I'm seeing
27:29
here, but this offense has just been pretty brutal to start the season.
27:33
I'm a little bit under on these Cardinals. I don't think they're crazy as
27:37
terms of a mini stack, but I just like going elsewhere despite their high
27:41
total. Do you see something I'm missing here with Saint Louis. Yeah,
27:47
Saint Louis is gonna be the highest I own stack tonight in my opinion from
27:52
what I'm looking at. And yeah, I mean Brad Keller awful pitcher cast
27:56
off of the Royals. Now he makes his starting debut for the White Sox.
28:00
He came in relief last game and I think gave up like two or
28:03
three walks immediately. He just hasn't been good and that's why he's on the
28:07
White Sox now. I don't think it's the craziest thing to stack up the
28:10
Cardinals, but with the how bad the Cardinals have been anytime they're chalk,
28:15
I'm going to fade them, especially in GPP. So yeah, no interest
28:18
for me, but if you wanted to go there, certainly don't think it's
28:21
the worst play. But I would be underweight on the Cardinals today. Yeah,
28:25
I'm with you there. I don't mind Nolan Gorman at thirty nine hundred.
28:27
He's got a nice price. Again, second base is typically a pretty
28:32
trash position. I do like the Royal, so I'm naturally gonna like Michael
28:34
Massey. He's been good as well. His price is too cheap, but
28:37
Nolan Gorman a ton of power, especially against right handed pitching. There.
28:41
Don't think he's the craziest play at thirty nine hundred. Outside of that,
28:44
I'm not going to stack up the Cardinals. I wouldn't fault you for stacking
28:47
up the Cardinals. I just think they draw more ownership, especially at the
28:49
price points. They got a lot of cheap bats in there, Mason Win,
28:52
Gorman, Siani Berlasen, all very affordable guys, even Lars new bar
28:59
Brendan Donovan's. So I do think optimizers push them. Obviously, we talked
29:03
a lot about spend up pitchers. You coordinate that with a very stackable,
29:08
affordable offense that has a high implied run total. Do think the Cardinals draw
29:12
quite a bit of ownership here, And it's just overall not an offense that
29:15
I'm enthused to play here, even against sprad Keller making his first start of
29:19
the season and a bullpen behind him. So get the reasoning, I'm going
29:23
to be under a weight on it and just go elsewhere. But wouldn't fault
29:26
you for stacking up some Cardinals here tonight. No white Sox for me against
29:30
Sunny Gray. Just don't see the need to pick on the best picture in
29:33
my opinion on the slate. Let's jump into the next game here and man,
29:37
it's just another day ending and why for these Padres. High implied run
29:41
total, But overall it's been a pretty underwhelming offense to start the season.
29:45
Now they've head into Arizona here to play slate. Cesoni here probably butchered that
29:49
last name, but that's all right. Not an English teacher here, not
29:53
a pronunciation class trying to give you the winners. Talk about the Padres,
29:57
talk about the Dbacks here tonight for you hand much cees and Sesoni on the
30:02
mound, Yeah, cross off game for me. I have interest in Sessony
30:07
and I don't think Seas is the worst. I think Sean put in the
30:11
chat that Arizona's very bad. It gets right handed hitters. I'm gonna look
30:15
into more than after the show. But yeah, I like both of these
30:18
or I like Sessoni for sure, and then have some interest a little bit
30:21
of interest in Sean. He's high priced and it should be a picture's due
30:25
in my opinion, But yeah, no interest in the bats here. Yeah,
30:29
I don't love this game for bats. I mean, I think you
30:32
could play the padres in this spot. I think you can put Arizona in
30:36
the stack in the conversation of being able to stack them anytime they're on it
30:41
right, power and speed throughout the lineup. But I just like other games
30:44
more. Despite the high total in this one, I'm just gonna be off
30:48
this game in general. I don't typically like playing too many bats in Arizona
30:52
either as well, so for me, not a lot of interest in that
30:56
one. But I actually do have a decent amount of interest in one side
30:59
of this game. It's definitely not on the Marlins side against JP SIS.
31:03
I like JP series quite a bit, but talk about this one Athletics and
31:07
Marlins here. I don't mind some athletics as failers and mini stacks at their
31:11
salaries. They got some decent hitters that are playing good baseball right now,
31:15
especially my guy Tyler Nevin at twenty six hundred third base outfield eligible likely to
31:19
hit second here tonight. This guy's been on an absolute heater like me.
31:22
Some Tyler Nevin here tonight, Sterry Ruiz, Brent Rooker, got some cheap
31:26
guys here. Talk to me. Yeah no, no bat no bats here
31:32
for me. Man, just these offenses are just so putrid to two mediocre
31:37
pitchers up. I mean Ryan Ryan Weathers had a what a seven to nothing
31:41
lead last Sunday? Then blew it. I mean I liked Weathers last Sunday
31:45
against the Nats. And yeah, no, no thank you here. Neither
31:48
offense is gonna be on the winner tonight. Yeah, I mean, I
31:52
just, I mean Tyler Nevin too cheap. I mean, he's got a
31:55
four to twenty eight I expected ice against left handed pitching so far this year
31:57
at home. I know it's not the greatest park. Stereiy Ruiz was an
32:01
absolute electric hitter, especially against lefties last season. He's shown that again this
32:06
year with in his eleven played appearances, six twenty two IO low strikeout rate.
32:10
I like the guys at the top of this line up quite a bit,
32:13
the ling Lears, the Rookers, the Nevins, the Esteria Ruiz is
32:16
quite a bit as cheap fillers. JJ Bledet is not a terrible guy down
32:20
there, so for me, Nevin, Rookeresterio Ruiz, the top three as
32:25
cheap fillers, especially Tyler Nevin is kind of where I'm looking. I don't
32:30
mind the athletics here against Ryan Weathers and his sub twenty percent strikeout rate gets
32:35
hit pretty hard overall, so I do like some athletics. Tonight doesn't happen
32:39
very often and typically doesn't end very well, but hey got to take a
32:44
chance sometimes at some secondary stacks that will be unowned and could get you to
32:50
the top. Let's jump to the last game of the night, where I
32:53
think a lot of teams do go with on both sides, The Dodgers the
32:58
Braves. It's Friday night. The Dodgers always seem to just naturally whatever happens
33:02
on Friday, just hit the baseball round, score a bunch of runs.
33:06
They're facing Charlie Mortin, who's a solid, real life pitcher here. I
33:09
like these Braves quite a bit. They're my favorite spend up offense on the
33:13
slate. Guaranteed nine thing at bats here in La. Talk to me with
33:16
this heavy matchup to end the slate. Yeah, should be a good uh,
33:22
should be a good real life baseball game. And then I don't think
33:25
it's gonna be very fruitful in the DFS streets. Let's start on the Dodgers
33:30
side. I mean, Charlie Morton's a good enough picture that uh, not
33:34
gonna be getting any too these Dodgers. I mean, obviously Freddie Freeman playing
33:37
against his former team, but yeah, no, thank you on the Dodgers
33:40
for me then, yeah, obviously the interest for me and everybody else is
33:44
gonna come to the Braves facing Gavin Stone. The Braves would be where I'd
33:49
go, But man, they've just been so bad offensively. Can they get
33:52
off to schneid tonight against a guy named Gavin Stone? We shall see.
33:55
Yeah. Favorite spind up stack for me is the Braves as well, but
33:59
no Dodgers, Me and the reested here. And if you're on the Dodgers
34:01
at all, yeah, well I'll touch on the Dodgers here. I want
34:05
to address Sean Vie in the chat, saying that great hitter weather, I
34:07
mean there's not really great hitting weather across the slate right now. I mean
34:10
we're still in the beginning part of the season, right We're not in the
34:14
heat of summer where a lot of these games are ninety one hundred degrees.
34:16
The wind is blown out in La it's about sixty degrees, So it's not
34:21
the craziest hitter weather overall. But we don't have really one spot on this
34:25
slate that everyone's flocking to in terms of offenses outside of this game, so
34:31
that's one reason you could be under on it. I do like these Braves
34:34
quite a bit, starting with the lefties, Matt Olsen, Ozzy Alby's,
34:37
Harris Kellennick if he's in there. Marcella Zuno has been absolutely locked in at
34:43
the plate. He is up to six K, which is very expensive to
34:45
be paying six thousand dollars for Marcela Zuno, but he's definitely earned that price
34:49
tag obviously. Ronald Lecunya one through nine, same thing, different day,
34:52
ending and why for the Braves, I like them a lot. My favorite
34:57
spind Up offense. And then on the Dodgers. I actually do have some
35:00
interest in the lefties, the Otani's, the Freeman's. I think Otani's an
35:05
elite one off. You do have to pay for him quite a bit,
35:07
but I think some of these Dodgers can get to get to Charlie Morton here
35:12
a little bit. Just looking at into some of Morton's numbers over the last
35:15
thirty days, strike up rate just around twenty two percent against lefties. Don't
35:22
want to stack up the Dodgers just at their price points. But in terms
35:24
of one offs, Otani, Fredi Freeman topped that list max months. He's
35:29
been solid. Don't hate him, Andy Pages. If you need a punt,
35:32
he's been good. A ton of streyhoffs do come with him. But
35:35
hit a home run last night I think, or the night before, and
35:37
he's just thirty six hundred. So for me, the interest in this game
35:40
is on the brave side. I do think that's the chalkier route, but
35:45
I do think chalk overall in terms of this slate does spread. So I'm
35:47
just going in on the offense as alike and just looking for low owned pieces
35:53
to get different so braves. For me, some Dodgers one offs in Freeman
35:57
and Otani is kind of how I'm looking at that game. That's all nine
36:00
games we talked pitching. We broke down every game in terms of stacks.
36:04
I do think this is one of the slates where some of these offenses that
36:08
we didn't have a lot of interest in, you wouldn't be surprised to break
36:12
the slate here because again I'm going back to it, it's not a corrs
36:15
Field slate. It's not a Dodgers against a bad pitcher, or Braves against
36:19
bad pitcher, Astros against a bad pitcher where everyone's kind of flocking to.
36:22
So that's why I have a little bit more interest in the Kansas City's,
36:25
the Cleveland's, the Red Sox in spots where typically I wouldn't like those offenses
36:30
too much. So that's kind of how I'm approaching the slate. Any closing
36:34
remarks for the people before we get home run calls here tonight, Yeah,
36:38
like the like those low ak pitchers tonight to come home and be on the
36:43
winner, and if i'd the right offenses should be a full on though.
36:46
All right, well, I'm gonna kick it over to you with the home
36:50
run call to night, who's hitting a bomb here for you tonight. Oh
36:53
this is an easy one bat and second for those Boston Red Sox in the
36:58
Twin Cities, he may hit one of target himself target headquarters. Watch out,
37:01
Rafael Devers is hitting a ball to your headquarters. If they're close to
37:06
the stadium. All right, well, I'm going to my favorite stack of
37:09
the night. I'm going to the cleanup spot. Salvador Perez forty nine hundred.
37:16
I like him to take Lorenzen deep they're in Kaufman Stadium. Play him
37:21
at ketcher or first base. Want to get a little bit different play for
37:23
him and at catcher. Play Salvi Perez at first base because I do think
37:28
a lot of the optimizer teams are going to have Vinip at first base Perez
37:31
at the catcher position. This one way to get a little bit unique in
37:35
terms of roster construction. Give me Salvador Prez here tonight. That's going to
37:39
do it for this Friday Witching Hour show here brought to you by ship at
37:43
Nation. Again. If you haven't and you're just tuning in, you're looking
37:46
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sites around the industry are paying roughly six hundred dollars a year for every different
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everything else that has success for dfs. But good luck tonight in your contest.
38:31
Hope to see those ship in Nation logos at the top. For myself
38:35
needs a five and handwich. We'll catch you guys next time. And Ustist