Latest / Deep Tech Germany – AI, Robotics & Frontier Innovation by Startuprad.io™ / Quantum Computing's Software Bottleneck — Haiqu's Mykola Myksymenko
Transcript
- 0:00Quantum computing is no longer waiting on physics.
- 0:04It's waiting on software to stop lying.
- 0:08Quantum computing has raised billions, produced
- 0:11headlines, and delivered almost no durable utility.
- 0:15Hardware improves, claims escalate, Results
- 0:19remain narrow. My guest today operates in the one layer
- 0:23where quantum computing either becomes infrastructure
- 0:27or quietly fails. Mykola
- 0:30Myksymenko is building the software stack that
- 0:33decides whether today's quantum machines ever
- 0:37matter.
- 0:44Welcome to Startuprad IO,
- 0:47your podcast and YouTube blog covering the German
- 0:51startup scene which with news, interviews and
- 0:54live events.
- 0:58My guest is Mykola Myksymenko, co founder and
- 1:02CTO of HiQ. Trained in
- 1:05theoretical physics at the Max Planck Institute for Complex Systems
- 1:09at Dresden, University of Gottingen, University of Magdeburg and
- 1:13the Weizmann Institute. He later led large scale
- 1:16industrial R and D before founding HiQ.
- 1:20His company focuses on a problem the industry prefers to
- 1:24avoid. Quantum hardware exists, but the
- 1:27execution layer required for real applications does
- 1:31not. HiQ builds hardware, wear middleware
- 1:35designed to minimize noise, extend
- 1:39usable circuit depth, and make current
- 1:42quantum processors economically relevant.
- 1:46The company has already worked with IBM, Airbus, BMW,
- 1:50HSBC and Capgemini, released open source
- 1:53tooling adopted by the ecosystem, and recently
- 1:57raised an $11 million seed round while pushing
- 2:00its first product to market. Welcome Mykola
- 2:06hi Joe, it's my pleasure to be on this podcast and
- 2:09it's my pleasure to have made it through the intro without buttering your family
- 2:13name. Your early
- 2:17work in theoretical physics trained you to think in
- 2:21terms of fundamental limits rather than incremental
- 2:24improvements. How did that mindset shape
- 2:28the way you look at computing problems today?
- 2:32I think important moment that we are living
- 2:36right now is that there are many
- 2:39exponential technologies which kind of intercept
- 2:43and accelerate the pace of technology development
- 2:47that we are facing today. So on one hand there is AI that
- 2:51everyone is talking about, but on the other hand there is kind of underlying
- 2:54current which is quantum computing. And
- 2:59as a scientist you tend to understand like
- 3:02what are the kind of fundamental processes which might drive some
- 3:06processes around us. And that's what helps also
- 3:10to understand how these different currents actually
- 3:13can accelerate each other. And while quantum computing was
- 3:17seemingly too far away just like around a decade
- 3:21ago, today we see it already like
- 3:24giving some value in various
- 3:28scientific applications and we see how much it
- 3:32accelerated over just like last two years. And
- 3:36while being in this community and in this
- 3:42scientific endeavor for a while, I
- 3:46can already kind of predict that within next years we
- 3:49will see quite a lot of progress in quantum computing. Such
- 3:53as we may not even predict that in the incremental way.
- 4:01You then move from academia. We already talked about it
- 4:05into industry R and D leadership. Where did you
- 4:08first see the gap between impressive research result
- 4:12and systems that actually work in production?
- 4:17Little disclaimer, the systems never work in production
- 4:21as they normally should. That's true.
- 4:24But one thing that kind of made me
- 4:28shift from academia to industry was particularly that I wanted to
- 4:32work on something which is immediately relevant or immediately
- 4:36can be applied to some hard problems in real life
- 4:40and in academia. My background was in
- 4:44quantum condensed metaphysics. I worked a lot on like predicting
- 4:48and trying to manipulate
- 4:52quantum states of matter in order to
- 4:56discover new materials or new properties of materials. And
- 5:00while it's very fascinating and very interesting field of research, it
- 5:04also has quite long horizon in terms of
- 5:07applicability. So some application of what I was
- 5:11doing may happen,
- 5:15for example in real materials or be
- 5:18discovered in real materials in tens or
- 5:22twenties years from now. And then I
- 5:25shifted to industry where the things were on
- 5:29completely different pace. And here what
- 5:33made me to make this shift was particularly the progress of
- 5:36AI. So while working on the
- 5:40complex, so called the field of complex physics,
- 5:44of physics of complex systems, I was also interested
- 5:48in the physics of neural networks. And apparently a lot of
- 5:51physics theory and methods can be applied into like
- 5:55theory of learning. That what made me
- 6:00being able to naturally transit into that
- 6:04field and made quite actually a good career in industry
- 6:08where we built actual production grade system based
- 6:12on the state of the art research which might just appeared in the literature.
- 6:15And we picked it up and built some systems around that.
- 6:21That was actually very exciting. And I'm still
- 6:24kind of using that on one hand, fundamental
- 6:28understanding of the processes and interest in fundamental science.
- 6:32But at the same time in industry I got a lot of these
- 6:36interesting methodologies and approaches which allow
- 6:40now build very quick
- 6:43and rapid iterations of research
- 6:47in the startup environment such that we can actually quickly arrive
- 6:51into some relevant results which can be
- 6:54applied already today to some specific problems.
- 7:00I see you said you had you built quite a career
- 7:04in the industry. So when did you decide to
- 7:08find high Q? You factually bet
- 7:11that software and not the hardware would decide the fate of
- 7:15quantum computing. What convinced you that this was
- 7:19the layer where real leverage actually sits?
- 7:24Yeah, that's exciting story. So
- 7:28as I shifted to industry, I was always fascinated about
- 7:31quantum computing. Quantum computing is something that I did my
- 7:35master's degree. So I started with quantum computing, then
- 7:38shifted into condensed metaphysics, still worked a lot on non
- 7:42equilibrium physics and methods of simulating quantum matter
- 7:47and quantum states and then worked
- 7:51on AI for a bit. And what I seen in AI was very similar
- 7:54to what I see today in what happens in quantum computing.
- 7:59So we have systems which
- 8:02already are capable of doing interesting results
- 8:07in the very narrow domain. So, for example, you can apply quantum
- 8:11computers, modern quantum computers, to
- 8:15specific simulations of states of matter
- 8:18or some specific optimization problems which might be
- 8:22very hard or nearly impossible to solve on the
- 8:25classical computer. However, there are still classical
- 8:29counterparts, but in some cases, solving
- 8:32some of these problems on the quantum computer can be already faster and
- 8:36sometimes even more convenient. And
- 8:40that's exactly what I seen in the beginning or
- 8:43early stages of deep learning, where these systems were already
- 8:47discovered. And people seen a lot of interesting, fascinating applications in
- 8:51computer vision in like image
- 8:54recognition or signal processing.
- 8:58However, it took around five to 10 years before these
- 9:02systems became like massively productized. And
- 9:07one application for that and one background
- 9:11process which contributed
- 9:15to that embrace of technology was particularly
- 9:19building a bunch of the infrastructure
- 9:23around the research artifacts, for
- 9:26example, like PyTorch system or TensorFlow systems,
- 9:31which allowed a lot of people to build these complex
- 9:34and more and more complex neural
- 9:38networks easier and train them at scale,
- 9:42reproduce the results at scale, such that the whole research community
- 9:46accelerated dramatically. So we kind of lacked
- 9:49that in quantum computing. So running something on the quantum computer two
- 9:53years ago was very hard. Like people experimented
- 9:57literally with like small prototypes of 4 to 10 qubits.
- 10:01Today we already see community which
- 10:05runs applications on hundreds of qubits and hundreds of qubits.
- 10:09This is already a scale which is often hard to
- 10:12reproduce classically. So you need to be an expert in numerical
- 10:16techniques in classical high performance computing in order to
- 10:19reproduce those results. So it went from
- 10:23extremely toy problems to already more or less
- 10:27state of the art high performance computing. So I'm very optimistic about where
- 10:30it all goes. And I think
- 10:34this intuition of combining different experience
- 10:38between fields helps me today to shape our research agenda
- 10:41and prioritizing what to focus on.
- 10:45Out of curiosity, you've been talking about that quantum
- 10:49computing can now deliver what high performance computing
- 10:53as state of the art computers can deliver right now. So
- 10:57I was wondering, if you extrapolate when
- 11:00quantum computing has its full capability,
- 11:04what could this mean? Especially everybody is
- 11:07talking right now about the energy usage
- 11:11of all those data centers that the big
- 11:15AI companies or the hyperscalers in general are right
- 11:18now building, what could that mean? Would it mean like
- 11:22100% more computing power
- 11:26per what or where would quantum computing go
- 11:30there? And then can you give us a very tiny idea if
- 11:34you have the current LLM models running on a much more
- 11:37capable quantum computer? Yeah,
- 11:41that's probably something which is important to dig in. So
- 11:45many people see quantum computers as just like another GPU
- 11:49or another large computer which runs
- 11:52bigger and faster models. This is a little bit
- 11:56different story. So quantum computers are different kinds of
- 12:00computations and it's suitable
- 12:03perfectly to some specific kinds of problems. And it can
- 12:07be completely useless to different problems. And running classical
- 12:10computations on the quantum computer, it's not the way
- 12:14forward. So it's not enough just like to take your favorite
- 12:18classical computing algorithm and
- 12:22run it on the quantum computer. You need to completely
- 12:26rethink the problem and rethink the mathematical approach to your
- 12:30algorithm to actually use all the
- 12:34capabilities of
- 12:38quantum bits there and then tunnelement
- 12:41the ability to parallelize those computations
- 12:45using quantum computers. So this is different way of
- 12:49computations. And that's importantly to
- 12:52realize that it's probably not immediately
- 12:57applicable to running large LLMs or
- 13:00running like conventional
- 13:03machine learning applications. Actually, if you think about
- 13:07applying big data problems, one of the
- 13:10crucial bottleneck in quantum computing is actually loading data
- 13:14in the quantum computer. So one of the breakthroughs
- 13:18that we did at Haiku was particularly
- 13:21unlocking this capability of loading large scale
- 13:26data sets, which are of the industrial
- 13:30scale number of features into quantum computers. Before that it was
- 13:34just impossible. And
- 13:39there are like small, small improvements here and there which
- 13:44probably enlarge the number of problems that we can
- 13:47solve with quantum computers. But before, before
- 13:51we go into like ubiquitous era,
- 13:55we will be focused first on the very narrow
- 13:58problems. And some of them are designing new
- 14:02molecules and simulating new molecules.
- 14:06That's a very hard problem for classical computers.
- 14:10But this is something where quantum computer can
- 14:14actually help because this is a natural system to tackle with
- 14:17qubits, it maps almost one to one.
- 14:22We can think about the problem that I was solving in my
- 14:26scientific career like a problem of materials. Like if you want
- 14:30to simulate superconductivity or
- 14:33magnetism in some specific new
- 14:37types of metals, then
- 14:41quantum computers can potentially help with these problems.
- 14:45Or computational fluid dynamics. That's another
- 14:49interesting problem which is very
- 14:52widespread and industry. So companies
- 14:56in aerospace or automotive run a lot of
- 14:59computational fluid dynamics simulations and
- 15:03you very quickly actually kind of hit the glass
- 15:06ceiling there with a grid
- 15:10that, that you can simulate on the classical computers. While
- 15:14on the quantum computers theoretically you can go to much
- 15:17more denser grid of your simulation and have
- 15:21much more precise results. However, it's very hard right now to
- 15:25map this algorithm directly. And we also working on that
- 15:29helping some companies who are partners to
- 15:32actually make this transition. So there are A bunch of
- 15:36problems like this optimization simulation, natural
- 15:39systems and multiphysics
- 15:43simulations. These are probably those which will be
- 15:47on the kind of early, early low hanging
- 15:51fruits, horizon
- 15:55and middle to long term. What would it mean to everybody who's now
- 15:59thinking about investing in data centers who
- 16:03are already there, announced in vast,
- 16:06vast numbers? Do you think that'll change
- 16:10something over time when
- 16:14quantum computing really becomes productive, especially in
- 16:18terms of space needed and energy for
- 16:21computing of some form? Maybe still LLMs
- 16:26of artificial intelligence. Look,
- 16:30even from the current perspective,
- 16:34if you want to simulate some process in nature, like
- 16:38for example, a molecule, you can do that on
- 16:42the classical computer to some extent. And I used to
- 16:46work, for example, on some
- 16:50of the largest supercomputing centers in Germany.
- 16:53And those simulations cost
- 16:57a lot. They can cost easily like $200,000.
- 17:02And in order to simulate some material or some
- 17:06specific physical effects while.
- 17:09And you can run those simulations sometimes for weeks in order
- 17:13to get some reasonable result. And we already
- 17:16witness some interesting types of these
- 17:20simulations where we can simulate the same system,
- 17:24still simulatable classically, but we can simulate it already today on the
- 17:27quantum computer, and we can get results maybe in
- 17:3110 minutes. So even from that
- 17:35perspective, like running large
- 17:37supercomputing cluster for weeks, or
- 17:42running a quantum computer for a few minutes, I can already
- 17:46hint that you actually probably spent much less energy
- 17:50on that. When we will be able
- 17:54to run machine learning simulations at scale, I would say
- 17:57that that probably will transit also to machine learning
- 18:01simulations. I need to be honest that
- 18:05machine learning is still hard to solve
- 18:08directly on the quantum computer. But there are very specific
- 18:11problems, for example, anomaly detection, which
- 18:15potentially quantum computers can actually solve more
- 18:20better than classical computers. And we already
- 18:24see few of those examples here and there.
- 18:29But ubiquitous machine learning, where we,
- 18:32for example, apply it to LLMs, it's
- 18:36probably some years away from now.
- 18:41Some years. Okay, I see. Let's get back to
- 18:45the original questions I envisioned for this interview. For
- 18:49founders watching quantum from the outside,
- 18:52noise, not qubit count, is the real reason
- 18:56most pilots fail quietly. What actually
- 19:00happens inside these systems
- 19:03that makes noise such a dominant constraint?
- 19:09Yeah, so you should think about quantum computing as
- 19:14basically early stages of classical computers. Like
- 19:18try to remember what happened in classical computing
- 19:22in between 40s and 60s. So these
- 19:26were like, these were
- 19:29large machines. Like sometimes they were like of the size of a room
- 19:33and they were very hard to operate. They did
- 19:37not have error correction at the time. So
- 19:41basically they were operating with valves. And those
- 19:44valves can very easily overheat or become malfunctioning.
- 19:49So Literally the first bugs were in those
- 19:52computers, just because some things did not function well. So you
- 19:56should be a high level hardware operator
- 20:00and understand the low level algorithmic theory in
- 20:03order to run something on these machines.
- 20:07And that was for a while before error correction was
- 20:11introduced to these machines. And today we are in
- 20:14very similar era in the quantum computers. So these
- 20:18machines already exist, they have hundreds of qubits,
- 20:21hundreds of qubits are hard to simulate. And we already have
- 20:25evidences from Google, from IBM and other companies
- 20:29that you can simulate on these machines some very
- 20:33complicated states of matter
- 20:36or quantum states, which are
- 20:40impossible or will take extremely long time
- 20:43to simulate classically. So
- 20:47we have those evidences. Now the question is
- 20:51how we can use these machines for something practical. And that's where
- 20:55the bottleneck is. Because in order to run something on the
- 20:59quantum computers, you need to be
- 21:03very much an expert in how to fight noise and
- 21:06imperfections in these machines. They are not perfect, and
- 21:10in order to apply error correction to them, you need thousands of qubits,
- 21:13and we are not yet in that regime, and better fidelity of those
- 21:17qubits. So we are in the low qubit regimes and noisy machines.
- 21:22But apparently
- 21:26even in this regime you can extract something useful.
- 21:30And in order to do that, a lot of expertise is needed.
- 21:33What we try to introduce is
- 21:37to some extent democratization of ability
- 21:41for a wider community of scientists,
- 21:45of algorithm researchers, of material scientists,
- 21:49quantum chemists use quantum computers for
- 21:53their own simulations and try to discover something
- 21:56useful. And in order to do that, we abstracted away
- 22:00all those low level manipulations with
- 22:05noise, with improvement of performance,
- 22:08with reducing the impact of noise on the algorithm
- 22:12performance, such that scientists can purely focus on science
- 22:16and on the mapping their problem to the quantum algorithm,
- 22:20and they can completely forget about what happens
- 22:23under that layer. And we think that that is
- 22:27crucial for today, because today we need more and more scientists
- 22:31to work with quantum computers and discover those applications. The more people
- 22:34will run on quantum computers, the sooner we actually will
- 22:38discover userful applications, as we did with classical
- 22:42computing, as we did with deep
- 22:45learning applications and other use cases. You
- 22:49often say the quantum software stack
- 22:52simply doesn't exist. Yet when companies start
- 22:56experimenting with quantum today, where do they usually
- 22:59underestimate the integration complexity?
- 23:03Yeah. So when we interact with
- 23:07industries, what we frequently see that
- 23:11many companies start setting up the quantum programs.
- 23:16They understand that this is a technology of the future, and
- 23:19sooner or later this will dramatically transform
- 23:23of what they do in many of the heavy high
- 23:27performance computing simulations.
- 23:31And in practice, this is not
- 23:34only about building Software. It's also about deep,
- 23:39low level expertise in happening something to run
- 23:43on the real hardware. And that's where we see real gap.
- 23:47So I know few
- 23:50companies who actually have some expertise in
- 23:54running simulations on real hardware at
- 23:59the state of the art scale.
- 24:02Most of the simulations which people do are of the
- 24:06toy scale. But you can run more. And
- 24:10in order to do so you need deep expertise
- 24:16in, for example, tailoring noise such that you
- 24:20can use various
- 24:24symmetric properties in order to simplify the noise
- 24:28that is in the hardware. Then you can do a
- 24:32bunch of tricks in order to suppress its effect on the
- 24:35algorithmic performance. You can also work on the
- 24:38algorithm itself in order to reduce the number of operations
- 24:42that operate in that algorithm and drive
- 24:46you to the resulting state. So
- 24:50all of these tricks are complex in nature.
- 24:54And frankly speaking, you need to be expert in just doing
- 24:57this for some very short period of time
- 25:01while these computers are in this state of
- 25:06performance. And I don't
- 25:10think anyone in industry should actually
- 25:14spend significant amount of time
- 25:18focusing on this low level optimization. So this should be done
- 25:22automatically. And that can be done by a
- 25:26middleware stack. And in quantum computing it's almost
- 25:29non existent. So if you think about again, like parallel
- 25:33to classical computers, we have seen
- 25:36software driving the adoption
- 25:40revolution several times already. For example, when we had the
- 25:43first personal computers, this kind of
- 25:47middleware revolution was happening because of adoption of
- 25:51BASIC language. So that was introduced
- 25:55by today's Microsoft, such that
- 25:59more and more quantum enthusiasts were able to actually program
- 26:03computers in a much easier way than they did before.
- 26:08Then the same kind of revolution happens recently
- 26:11with introducing of GPUs
- 26:15and CUDA language or
- 26:19framework to program those GPUs.
- 26:23So in this case, again like a middleware stack,
- 26:26in this case, CUDA helped a lot of scientists
- 26:30and experts in AI, for example, to use
- 26:34GPUs for their computational needs.
- 26:37And currently we are in this very same kind
- 26:41of stage with quantum computers. So right now I would say
- 26:45there is no CUDA or no BASIC for
- 26:49quantum computers. It's still very hard to program them. You literally work
- 26:52on the quantum assembly level. And it takes
- 26:56a lot of effort to run something and we want to abstract that
- 27:00away. Giving people instruments and tools such
- 27:03that they can think about the problem, can think about like what would
- 27:07be the actual use of
- 27:11quantum computers in their particular problems, or how to decompose or
- 27:15change the algorithm itself, rather than thinking how
- 27:18to optimize it to run on the hardware so that that we can take and
- 27:22abstract away from the user,
- 27:26we're talking middleware here that sits
- 27:30exactly in a layer where responsibility shifts from
- 27:34the hardware isn't ready to the execution model is wrong.
- 27:38What does that layer actually do
- 27:42inside the quantum workflow?
- 27:45Maybe you can dumb it down for non physics majors.
- 27:50Right, so imagine that we have hardware and apparently a
- 27:54lot of hardware providers, they don't focus that much on the software
- 27:58layer just because the hardware is so hard to build.
- 28:02There are so many problems that you need to be laser focused in order to
- 28:05make your qubits better, more stable,
- 28:10scale them to a larger quantity and so on. So there are a lot
- 28:14of challenges there in hardware stack and then there
- 28:18are people who worked on application sites. So we still need to
- 28:21discover a lot of quantum algorithms in a lot of different
- 28:26algorithmic areas and then understand which
- 28:30actual real life problems map to those quantum algorithms.
- 28:34So there are just a handful of those today. So I would say there
- 28:38are two communities. One is low level on the hardware, another community
- 28:41works more on algorithmic side and they
- 28:45do not overlap that much. So that where
- 28:49we sit. So it's not only Weeb, there are
- 28:52other companies working in this space, but the focus is to
- 28:56provide the middle layer between low level
- 29:01hardware which operates with pulses and low level
- 29:05assembly languages, quantum assembly languages
- 29:09and higher level abstractions for algorithm
- 29:12definition. And that's apparently not
- 29:16that easy. And in the future we need to understand that the whole
- 29:20stack is being changing as well at the same
- 29:23time, because as computers get better,
- 29:27we introduce new and new
- 29:30paradigms. For example, in few years from now we
- 29:34will have full tolerant quantum
- 29:37computers, so they will operate with error
- 29:41correction loops in the middle in order to
- 29:45first encode more qubits in a single
- 29:48logical qubit and then correct errors if those appear.
- 29:53So that's already another kind of
- 29:56algorithmic subroutine which need
- 30:00to be somehow integrated in this low level stack.
- 30:05And so in order to do so with many of these components,
- 30:08we need some kind of orchestration
- 30:12layer which will orchestrate when and which tools we should
- 30:15use. There should be
- 30:19ability to run on one hand real time
- 30:24error mitigation and error suppression, on the other hand
- 30:28error correction cycles and finally some
- 30:32finalized post processing of still logical errors
- 30:36which might still happen in those computers. So there
- 30:40are many, many complexity points here
- 30:45and this becomes more and more complex actually field, but
- 30:49the stack itself kind of grows in the real time right now
- 30:53and today it's not that complex. But
- 30:57I imagine that in 10 years from now that
- 31:01will be very similar to what we see in classical computers today, which
- 31:04is very complex Actually middleware stack, which we even don't know,
- 31:08like typical programmers don't even know what's happening to their
- 31:12algorithm after they compile. I had to smile
- 31:16because there was a setback for the IBM stock price a few days
- 31:19ago that because
- 31:24Claude the AI model could start working
- 31:27COBOL code. And so I was wondering at one point
- 31:31in 10 years if there's somebody who's trying to get COBOL running
- 31:35on quantum computing. So every.
- 31:38But my understanding is basically every system, every software out
- 31:42there that is running on the current
- 31:46silicon based wafer technology
- 31:50will need to be redone for the quantum computing age.
- 31:56Not really. So we don't need to push every
- 31:59software to the quantum computers. So not all of the problems
- 32:03need quantum computers to be solved.
- 32:06So these problems that are
- 32:11mostly required quantum computers are those which are
- 32:16complex in nature, which require enormous
- 32:19amount of memory in order to run some transformations
- 32:23in data structures or enormous amount of compute.
- 32:29And these are specific classes of problem
- 32:33and other problems like for example, you don't need
- 32:37quantum computers on your phone or like a quantum browser or
- 32:40whatever. So this is completely different
- 32:44space. And in principle, in the future we will see
- 32:48basically these two technologies cooperate together. And we already
- 32:51have those hybrid quantum classical algorithms where you
- 32:55have some subroutines running on the classical computer,
- 32:58while those more complex algorithms
- 33:02can be decomposed and run separately on
- 33:06the, on the quantum computer where you get the result and then integrated back into
- 33:10your classical workflow. So these, these technologies will
- 33:13cooperate. So I would say that that's the
- 33:17future that we will see. For example, like on the phone, every day you
- 33:21call your Uber. Imagine when you do that, you solve the
- 33:25complex optimization problem such that your driver
- 33:28needs to navigate the shortest path to your location.
- 33:32In the future, if quantum computers will be ubiquitous, that
- 33:36tiny optimization problem will probably be delegated
- 33:40to a quantum computer to solve maybe fraction of a second faster.
- 33:46Okay, but
- 33:49we took a little detour. My frequent listeners already know that.
- 33:55But we're still talking middleware here. And by
- 33:59operating in this layer, haiku forces
- 34:03customers to confront whether they are buying, learning,
- 34:06signaling or real performance. What
- 34:09kinds of motivations do you actually see
- 34:13when companies start exploring quantum
- 34:17computing? Right. The
- 34:21challenge in any of the exponential technology
- 34:25is that initially it seems
- 34:29like nothing happens. The progress is so slow that it
- 34:33seems like that the real value will be years ahead and you don't need to
- 34:36invest to it today. So you can just sit and observe
- 34:40what happens. On the other hand,
- 34:44the nature of exponential technologies says
- 34:48that at some point you have a Very
- 34:51rapid growth of technological adoption and
- 34:56capabilities of this technology. And I would say
- 34:59that's what everyone sees in AI today,
- 35:03but that what we will see to start happening in quantum very
- 35:07soon. And the reason for that is that
- 35:12it's not. First of all we have a pace of technology which is
- 35:15accelerating. And as being in this part of the industry I literally
- 35:19see that three years ago it was almost impossible to run
- 35:23anything. So there were just few people, handful of people who were
- 35:26running something on the hardware. Today there are many
- 35:30people in the world who run on the IBM's largest
- 35:34machines for free via cloud.
- 35:38And today you can immediately access
- 35:42largest scale quantum computers in the cloud.
- 35:46And that's still
- 35:50not enough to immediately give you the business value.
- 35:53But that's something, if you see this
- 35:57perspective, that's already something quite impressive.
- 36:01Another thing that we see from our perspective
- 36:05just few years ago,
- 36:08running something on these largest machines could cost you
- 36:12easily tens to hundred thousand
- 36:16dollars if you want to get truly
- 36:19interesting new results. With the
- 36:23help of technologies like ours, we can
- 36:26reduce this cost to tens of dollars or up
- 36:30to hundreds of dollars. Such that we dramatically
- 36:33democratize the level of
- 36:37accessibility of these technologies. Such that now any student can
- 36:40afford running so called utility scale
- 36:44experiments on the quantum
- 36:47computers available to him or her today.
- 36:52And that again accelerates everything. Because now there will be more
- 36:56experiments, now there will be more discoveries, now there will be more
- 36:59algorithms and the whole cycle accelerates. And we will
- 37:03see the adoption getting faster and faster and faster.
- 37:07At the same time there is a hardware progress which we see in parallel
- 37:11which is again moving pretty fast.
- 37:15Companies actually hit their milestones in
- 37:19different qubit modalities. In superconducting
- 37:23qubits, we see growing number of
- 37:26superconducting qubits grids. We see error
- 37:30correction codes already applied on the superconducting
- 37:33computers. We see trapped ion computers actually
- 37:37also growing in number of qubits and in the speed
- 37:41of running operations on these computers.
- 37:44Neutral site atom computers also move forward very fast, like
- 37:48soon. There are a few companies who promise photonic
- 37:52quantum computers. So there are a lot of different
- 37:56kind of underlying currents which accelerate the
- 38:00whole pace of this technological progress. So
- 38:04I'm very positive and like very optimistic about the future of quantum
- 38:07computers. Me too. But would have also
- 38:11understood is that many current quantum
- 38:15initiatives may be premature.
- 38:19From your perspective, when should companies pause
- 38:23experimentation rather than accelerate it?
- 38:28Right. So I would say I probably
- 38:31had to say it in the previous question, but
- 38:35one of important aspect, like why it's important to do something today.
- 38:40Suppose tomorrow there are quantum computers which operate at
- 38:43scale. We can run any
- 38:46algorithm we wish. The challenge would be
- 38:51to discover those algorithms. There are just handful. And
- 38:55not every problem is so easily mappable to quantum
- 38:59algorithm. So it will take another few years to just
- 39:02discover algorithms for their particular business problems.
- 39:07Then it takes typically in enterprises, it takes few years in
- 39:11order to adopt those algorithms into
- 39:14enterprise software ecosystem, integrate them, test
- 39:18them, make sure that they produce the right
- 39:21values in some specific toic conditions.
- 39:26So like stress test them in different scenarios. So
- 39:29all that takes typically time. For example, in finance, if you want to
- 39:33implement a new algorithm which would
- 39:37help, for example in some decision
- 39:41making, the roadmap to
- 39:45implement this algorithm can take sometimes few years.
- 39:49That's why it's important to start developing these algorithms today. Imagine
- 39:53that your competitor already did it today. And then
- 39:57in the year from now, quantum computers suddenly
- 40:00start to showcase value. So you still will need
- 40:04to to take few years in order to build, test,
- 40:08integrate the workflow in your organization. So you will be
- 40:12already losing. And since it's exponential technology, you will be losing
- 40:15a lot. So it's very similar to what we see today
- 40:19in AI. The same story can repeat itself
- 40:24in quantum computing. So stay in the game.
- 40:28It may cost you, but if you're not part of the race, it
- 40:32may cost you more. Okay, this is the
- 40:35point where founders decide whether quantum computing is a
- 40:39distraction or an execution problem they will
- 40:42eventually have to face. For Bayer
- 40:46evaluating Haikyuu, the real value is not
- 40:50speed ups in isolation, but making
- 40:53quantum experiments behave less like bespoke research
- 40:57projects. What changes when your software
- 41:01sits in the execution pipeline? Yeah, so
- 41:04when, when we integrate our software, the very first effort that you
- 41:08see, suddenly you can run much more experiments for the same cost.
- 41:13So typical enterprise programs are not that
- 41:16expensive on the scale. So these are typically few people
- 41:21and few hundred thousand dollars, up to a million could be
- 41:24in compute costs. But that limits you
- 41:28in the number of experiments that you can run
- 41:33and various use cases that you can check and
- 41:37empirically experiment with. So with
- 41:40our software we can not speed up, but
- 41:44reduce the cost of those experiments by
- 41:47partially also speeding them up in
- 41:52the factor of ten or even hundreds.
- 41:56And that basically leads you to a situation when
- 42:00for the same budget you can run much more, and
- 42:04that can much faster bring you to
- 42:08better intuition, better understanding of the technology,
- 42:13and better and better
- 42:16algorithmic pipeline for your specific business
- 42:20use cases. So it's not immediately that you will solve
- 42:24all the problems, but you will get much more
- 42:27intuition and operational knowledge. Of
- 42:31how to run something on the quantum computers. And hopefully
- 42:36with few customers with whom we are working today, we also
- 42:39will bring them to the edge of quantum
- 42:44usability and userfulness when they can start up operating
- 42:47these systems along with classical high performance
- 42:51computing systems.
- 42:55You framed the buying decision around reducing the
- 42:59total time of learning rather than just the costs per
- 43:03run. How should companies think about the
- 43:06economics of experimenting with quantum computing
- 43:10today? It's quite expensive.
- 43:16We don't think about the total cost. But
- 43:20what other economics? Future payouts, future
- 43:23risks, current risk, future payouts. Right. So it
- 43:27seemingly running something on quantum computers seems like a lot, right?
- 43:31So like one hour of execution on the quantum computer can
- 43:35cost up to $50,000 or even more, depending
- 43:39on the technology and the company
- 43:43who is providing that machine to you. But in
- 43:47practice, the time
- 43:51spent on the machine and time spent for example in high
- 43:55performance computing clusters, these are different types.
- 43:59And for example, some problems you
- 44:03can still solve on the quantum computer, like let's say in one
- 44:07hour or two hours. So it seemingly costs a lot,
- 44:11but these problems might be completely impossible to solve
- 44:14on the classical computer. And for example, if you're a
- 44:18chemistry company and you need to create new
- 44:23molecular structures
- 44:27to have specific properties, you need to run those simulations
- 44:31daily and a lot of them and
- 44:35eventually you are literally limited by the size of molecules that
- 44:38you can simulate. And if quantum computers will
- 44:42be of a particularly good quality, you will be able to
- 44:46simulate them in minutes or maybe hours
- 44:50instead of weeks or months on the classical
- 44:53computer. Or sometimes you cannot do that at all on the
- 44:57classical computer. So it's eventually we will just bring
- 45:01get to the economy where you either can run something or you
- 45:05can't. So that's, it's not even like
- 45:09in terms of economics, it's just like there are some applications
- 45:13which are just impossible to will be impossible to run classically.
- 45:17You're doing very, very great. But I'm afraid we are way
- 45:21over time here. So I think we are now running around
- 45:2530, 35 to 40 minutes in maybe
- 45:2945 minutes in total. But usually that's the length of
- 45:33one of our interviews. So I'm afraid we
- 45:37do a little cutting here and go into part number two.
- 45:45That's all folks. Find more news streams,
- 45:49events and
- 45:50interviews@www.startuprad
- 45:54IO. Remember, sharing is caring.
- 46:03Sat.