Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 06/10/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: M fall system's going clear the left.
- 0:40Speaker 2: What is going on? Ship in Nation YouTube station? Back
- 0:43Speaker 2: with my guy te Rising like we are each and
- 0:46Speaker 2: every Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon an hour later. Appreciate you,
- 0:50Speaker 2: you Rising, being flexible and compensated for my schedule there.
- 0:56Speaker 2: But hey, rinse and repeat. We got seven games, not
- 0:59Speaker 2: nine game like we had yesterday, but same thing course
- 1:03Speaker 2: Field Vegas. And then it's one pitcher that everybody wants
- 1:07Speaker 2: to play, maybe a second guy, but he's expensive, so
- 1:10Speaker 2: it might be fairly hard to fit him in with
- 1:12Speaker 2: some of those expensive bats. We got a fourteen and
- 1:15Speaker 2: a half game total out there in Vegas, one hundred
- 1:17Speaker 2: and four degrees with double digit wind blown out the
- 1:21Speaker 2: entire duration of the game. And we're at the back
- 1:23Speaker 2: half of the rotations again Gee Rising here. So it's
- 1:27Speaker 2: pretty much how can you afford either the Cubs or
- 1:32Speaker 2: the Brewers in the A's And then how are you
- 1:35Speaker 2: gonna how are you gonna attack the pitching? Are you
- 1:37Speaker 2: gonna eat reed deptmers chalk? Are you not? It's very
- 1:41Speaker 2: hard to kind of ignore in his matchup there, So
- 1:44Speaker 2: it's pretty cut in dry slate. It's really good hitting
- 1:47Speaker 2: weather again in Kansas City. There's some weather issues there
- 1:49Speaker 2: as well, but it is hot and humid, wind is
- 1:52Speaker 2: howling out in that ballpark there. So from a weather standpoint,
- 1:56Speaker 2: just off the top Texas and Kansas City is yellow orange.
- 2:00Speaker 2: Atlanta and the White Sox is yellow orange as well.
- 2:05Speaker 2: Those are the two main spots to definitely pay attention to. Luckily,
- 2:09Speaker 2: they're kind of in that six forty range, so we
- 2:12Speaker 2: should know fairly early what the status of those games
- 2:17Speaker 2: is gonna be. And again, you still have three games late,
- 2:20Speaker 2: which is probably the three most important games on the
- 2:23Speaker 2: slate to pivot to, so you can definitely make changes
- 2:26Speaker 2: around there, but do have to monitor those two spots
- 2:28Speaker 2: for sure. Gee, Rozen will bring you in, man, how's
- 2:30Speaker 2: your light? Last night Vegas game let everyone down quote unquote,
- 2:35Speaker 2: but it still went off for however many runs six
- 2:38Speaker 2: home runs total, and that's a letdown right for most
- 2:43Speaker 2: people there. So people are saying, hey, this park sucks. Now.
- 2:46Speaker 2: There's they didn't hit eleven home runs, they only hit six.
- 2:50Speaker 2: But you put that up against normal baseball parks, not
- 2:52Speaker 2: too many teams are hitting six home runs between the
- 2:55Speaker 2: two of them in the game on an usual Tuesday
- 2:59Speaker 2: night or Wednesday night whenever they're playing. So right back
- 3:02Speaker 2: to the well for me here tonight. But what are
- 3:04Speaker 2: you doing? H how's uh, how's your night last night?
- 3:07Speaker 2: And how's your wins have been so far?
- 3:09Speaker 3: I can't complain. I had a little bowling summer bowling
- 3:12Speaker 3: legal as hot as shit in their nads. It was
- 3:14Speaker 3: like the damn windows like I was in some kind
- 3:17Speaker 3: of weed grow house. It was like like an inch
- 3:19Speaker 3: of freaking uh uh freaking uh frost on the damn windows.
- 3:25Speaker 3: So that kind of sucked. But it's been hot at
- 3:27Speaker 3: balls out here in Michigan. It ain't even right, man,
- 3:30Speaker 3: Like you start sweating, you just walk outside. It's like
- 3:32Speaker 3: all these fat people walking around got you know, under
- 3:35Speaker 3: titty sweat, going naids and everything else. It's fucking disgusting.
- 3:39Speaker 3: But either way, overall, good night last night. I mean,
- 3:43Speaker 3: you talk about that Vegas game, dude, the A's hit
- 3:45Speaker 3: five home runs. Man, like the brewer Cheerio hit one
- 3:48Speaker 3: in the first inning. I was like, oh, here we go,
- 3:50Speaker 3: you know, softball game again. But uh yeah, I mean
- 3:54Speaker 3: they only got twelve runs last night, but it did
- 3:56Speaker 3: hit six homers. But it just goes to show you.
- 3:58Speaker 3: I mean they had seven run It's homers, but they
- 4:01Speaker 3: still were on the winner. I mean, the A's were
- 4:03Speaker 3: still the winner and the contest I was in, so
- 4:06Speaker 3: but you know, and then you obviously had to have
- 4:09Speaker 3: Matt Olson, who literally you called yesterday to hit a
- 4:12Speaker 3: home run, end up hitting two bombs yesterday and got
- 4:14Speaker 3: forty four some points on fan duels. So we talked
- 4:17Speaker 3: a little bit about the Braves, so the Bravestack, and
- 4:20Speaker 3: I know there was I think it was the Braves
- 4:23Speaker 3: and the Reds actually took down the tournament. I was
- 4:26Speaker 3: in yesterday so didn't even really get a part of
- 4:29Speaker 3: that game, but the A's were a big part of
- 4:32Speaker 3: everything last night. They were still up there with all,
- 4:34Speaker 3: you know everything. I cashed a couple of times with
- 4:36Speaker 3: the A's. I had two lineups, missed the one with
- 4:39Speaker 3: A's and Cubs, but I did get one with A's
- 4:42Speaker 3: and Brewers because I had Cheerio, so actually captured almost
- 4:45Speaker 3: all them homers except for the HInM one. I don't
- 4:47Speaker 3: think I got that one. But either way, I mean
- 4:51Speaker 3: a lot of fun. In the middle of summertime here
- 4:54Speaker 3: in baseball, we got this hot temperature and you know,
- 4:58Speaker 3: this Vegas you know, it's a cool looking stadium, man,
- 5:01Speaker 3: when you watch it with the with the mountain behind
- 5:03Speaker 3: it and stuff. I mean, it looks pretty sweet. But
- 5:06Speaker 3: I don't know about you, nids. I would not be
- 5:08Speaker 3: happy going outside in one hundred and five damn degrees
- 5:11Speaker 3: to watch a baseball game, like can be around a
- 5:14Speaker 3: bunch of people and like no, man, Like I'm just
- 5:17Speaker 3: not even wanting to go there, Like I'd just rather
- 5:19Speaker 3: sit home in the ac and watch it. Like I
- 5:21Speaker 3: wouldn't be going out that way, I mean to me,
- 5:23Speaker 3: do you mean I kind of think then if they're
- 5:25Speaker 3: gonna play baseball in the summer in Vegas, they need
- 5:28Speaker 3: a dome, like they need him to be inside. In
- 5:30Speaker 3: some americanndition, it's gonna be hot as damn balls that
- 5:32Speaker 3: were there.
- 5:35Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean to the forecast for that game here tonight,
- 5:38Speaker 2: one hundred and four at first pitch, six pm local time,
- 5:42Speaker 2: paint nine an hour after that, ninety five by the
- 5:47Speaker 2: end of the game. With the fifteen mile an hour
- 5:50Speaker 2: winds blown straight out to center field the whole day, It's.
- 5:53Speaker 3: Like an oven blowing on you turn on the oven
- 5:56Speaker 3: and blown the heat at y'all.
- 5:57Speaker 2: Damn Yeah, And then and then guess what, here you
- 5:59Speaker 2: go go pitching this get extra fatigued to know, by
- 6:02Speaker 2: the way, there's wind blown out in this cracker Jack park,
- 6:04Speaker 2: So here you go have fun. And I guess the
- 6:07Speaker 2: A's are throwing a bullpen guy right who probably has
- 6:10Speaker 2: a five pitch or a five inning maximum. And then
- 6:14Speaker 2: then you got that A's bullpen and the Brewers bullpen
- 6:17Speaker 2: who are super taxed from the first two games, right,
- 6:19Speaker 2: So it's very, very hard to get away from that game. Obviously,
- 6:22Speaker 2: we're kind of kicking off the show talking about one
- 6:25Speaker 2: of the last games, but it's the most important game
- 6:28Speaker 2: on the slate. We got our slate station up here. Again.
- 6:31Speaker 2: I talked about this all the time. This is literally
- 6:33Speaker 2: a one stop shop everything you need. And then pair
- 6:37Speaker 2: that with this right here at the stone, and you
- 6:39Speaker 2: have everything you need. You rising to really be competitive,
- 6:42Speaker 2: to be honest, in each baseball slate there is. You
- 6:47Speaker 2: got the difference right. The early content I threw up
- 6:50Speaker 2: on here, Drew rasmuson dropped a forty seven piece or
- 6:53Speaker 2: something like that, so that was fun to see. But yeah,
- 6:56Speaker 2: we got the turbo slates, the DK main and really
- 7:00Speaker 2: no matter when you look at this throughout the day.
- 7:02Speaker 2: As soon as we run our first set of projections,
- 7:04Speaker 2: and all the metrics behind this slate station populates right,
- 7:08Speaker 2: so this added benefit for everyone who's a member over
- 7:11Speaker 2: at shipper Nation. You can get a good start at it.
- 7:14Speaker 2: And then after the show, the show summary will populate
- 7:18Speaker 2: down here underneath the slate breakdown and kind of give
- 7:21Speaker 2: you the AI summary of this show. So if you
- 7:23Speaker 2: don't have the time there to watch it as well,
- 7:25Speaker 2: but absolutely love this slate station. Got the weather on
- 7:28Speaker 2: here as well, with like I said, the API that
- 7:29Speaker 2: pulls in from Kevin Roth. You see these two games
- 7:32Speaker 2: that I already mentioned right the Atlanta and the White
- 7:35Speaker 2: Sox and then the Texas and the Royals there, so
- 7:38Speaker 2: you can just hover over it. I'll pull exactly what
- 7:40Speaker 2: Kevin Roth said on his site over there at prop
- 7:42Speaker 2: Finder and then gives you the values hitters everything. And
- 7:47Speaker 2: the best part is you're looking for some home run targets,
- 7:49Speaker 2: well filter right to home run Radar. You see there,
- 7:52Speaker 2: you've filtered who's been hot lately? Shows you okay, these
- 7:56Speaker 2: nine hitters have been hot? Speak about a guy who's
- 7:58Speaker 2: insane recy to bond. You can click on their names
- 8:01Speaker 2: right hyperlink see their last five fantasy points, get a
- 8:05Speaker 2: little summary of kind of what they're hitting, pitching, pitching,
- 8:09Speaker 2: same thing. You can click on their name, talks about
- 8:12Speaker 2: the recent form. Are they kind of expected to be
- 8:14Speaker 2: r A numbers, things like that. So absolutely love the
- 8:17Speaker 2: slate station here. So we're going to keep showing this
- 8:20Speaker 2: off as we do these shows. And the best part
- 8:22Speaker 2: I say, right g Risen, is we talked about the
- 8:25Speaker 2: no fun job getting in the way. We no majority
- 8:27Speaker 2: of our memory base right works a nine to five
- 8:29Speaker 2: has family, has wife and kids, things like that at
- 8:31Speaker 2: home or even in college, in school. Obviously it's the
- 8:34Speaker 2: summer now, but you have stuff going on and a
- 8:36Speaker 2: lots of people don't have all day to research stuff.
- 8:40Speaker 2: We do the research, We do the process behind the
- 8:42Speaker 2: scenes and kind of get spoon feed do the information
- 8:44Speaker 2: to then where you can go ahead and make the
- 8:47Speaker 2: decisions and start applying your knowledge that you have come
- 8:50Speaker 2: combined with the tools here. So absolutely love it. And
- 8:54Speaker 2: we designed this really to make it simple for people
- 8:57Speaker 2: to build lineups to be competitive that I don't have
- 9:00Speaker 2: a lot of time get home from work, still have
- 9:03Speaker 2: about an hour or thirty forty minutes before the slate locks,
- 9:07Speaker 2: after dinner and things like that, and you can come
- 9:09Speaker 2: in here, check it out, listen to us, see the
- 9:12Speaker 2: show summary, things like that. So let's jump right in
- 9:14Speaker 2: talk pitching.
- 9:15Speaker 3: Here.
- 9:15Speaker 2: We got Chris Sale all the way up at the
- 9:16Speaker 2: top an eleven K show to a Managa pitching in
- 9:19Speaker 2: Coors Field at eight K. We'll kind of break this
- 9:22Speaker 2: into two tiers here. Ju Raisen will go eight k
- 9:24Speaker 2: and above, so the five arms above eight k Imanaga
- 9:27Speaker 2: up to Chris Sale, and then we'll talk about the
- 9:29Speaker 2: value tier below eight k, which obviously readet Mer's Mackenzie
- 9:32Speaker 2: Gore Pilate. Things like that are going to come into
- 9:36Speaker 2: talk there. But up at the top. For me, it
- 9:39Speaker 2: seems like if you have the salary and you can
- 9:41Speaker 2: get up to Chris Sale, do it, He's gonna be
- 9:43Speaker 2: probably lower owned than a guy like Hesustelazzaro because of
- 9:46Speaker 2: the salary difference. I think. I think this is kind
- 9:51Speaker 2: of the similar to the Monday spot right where Christopher
- 9:54Speaker 2: Sanchez was priced way up. Everybody still wanted Coors they
- 9:57Speaker 2: still wanted that Vegas game, but you really needed to
- 10:01Speaker 2: spend up to Christopher Sanchez. And that's kind of how
- 10:04Speaker 2: I see Chris Sale here tonight in the White Sox.
- 10:06Speaker 2: There is some weather risk there, so you are going
- 10:09Speaker 2: to have to monitor that and hopefully if that game
- 10:11Speaker 2: gets delayed or pushed back, that would be ideal because
- 10:14Speaker 2: you don't want Chris Sale going out there pitching two
- 10:16Speaker 2: three innings and then the rain delay coming he gets
- 10:20Speaker 2: the hook. He's definitely not gonna pay off that eleven
- 10:22Speaker 2: K salary, So there is some slight risk right to
- 10:25Speaker 2: worry about with Chris Sale. Davis Martin in that same
- 10:28Speaker 2: game on the other side, ninety five hundred. He's been
- 10:30Speaker 2: absolutely elite this year. Tough matchup though against the Braves,
- 10:34Speaker 2: who have been one of the better offenses in baseball.
- 10:37Speaker 2: Lozardo gets a low strike on match up against the
- 10:40Speaker 2: Blue Jays, but he's eighty five hundred. He's probably gonna
- 10:43Speaker 2: be the cash game, pairing with a guy like Reed Detmer's.
- 10:45Speaker 2: But break down this top tier here, Imanaga, Lambert, Lozzardo, Martin,
- 10:49Speaker 2: Chris Sale. How do you rank these guys? Yeah?
- 10:53Speaker 3: I think. I mean, it's pretty tough to wanting to
- 10:56Speaker 3: play Shotto over there in cors Field, especially with the
- 11:00Speaker 3: home run issues he's been having lately. I mean, the
- 11:02Speaker 3: dude's giving up a dozen home runs or so in
- 11:04Speaker 3: his last handful of starts, So that's that's definitely concerning.
- 11:09Speaker 3: I mean it's four homers, three homers, three homers in
- 11:12Speaker 3: his last few starts and always going out the course field.
- 11:15Speaker 3: I mean, that's definitely kind of scary for me. I mean,
- 11:20Speaker 3: I really don't even have him in my pool. To
- 11:22Speaker 3: be honest with you, I would just ax him out.
- 11:24Speaker 3: We kind of were a little concerned with him last time.
- 11:26Speaker 3: He actually came out the gate looked pretty decent, and
- 11:29Speaker 3: then toward the end of his start there, I feel
- 11:31Speaker 3: like they kind of left him out there a little
- 11:32Speaker 3: too long because he gave up like back to back homers,
- 11:35Speaker 3: like right before they pulled him, because I do recall
- 11:38Speaker 3: watching that game. But he's definitely a concern for me. Lambert.
- 11:45Speaker 3: You know, I just I'm not really interested in Lambert.
- 11:49Speaker 3: I think there's some better opportunities you can have Lambert
- 11:52Speaker 3: twenty two per k rate. He does have the uh,
- 11:56Speaker 3: he does have the Angels, which you know, I don't mind.
- 11:59Speaker 3: I just I don't know, I'm not really a fan
- 12:02Speaker 3: of it here. I mean, I do like attacking the
- 12:04Speaker 3: Angels with some righties because they do have some strikeouts
- 12:07Speaker 3: in that lineup. But you know, Lambert's strikeout rate to
- 12:10Speaker 3: righties is only sixteen and a half percent, So that
- 12:13Speaker 3: does concern me a little bit as well, Nate. So
- 12:17Speaker 3: he's concerning Lozardo now, I mean, my brain tells me
- 12:21Speaker 3: many time I see against a Blue Jay team, like
- 12:24Speaker 3: I'm just kind of worried about that, Like it's just
- 12:26Speaker 3: a team like I generally don't attack for strikeouts. And
- 12:29Speaker 3: you know, but Lazardo's price at eighty five hundred isn't bad.
- 12:33Speaker 3: I mean you look at his starts. He did get
- 12:34Speaker 3: blown up last time, he had five urn runs, gave
- 12:37Speaker 3: up three homers, but pretty much the last handful starts
- 12:40Speaker 3: before that, he was right around six k's almost every start.
- 12:43Speaker 3: So as long as he's not given up to four
- 12:45Speaker 3: or five earned runs nights, he's been right around the
- 12:47Speaker 3: high teens, low twenties for point total. So you know,
- 12:51Speaker 3: at eighty five hundred, would I take that on a
- 12:53Speaker 3: slate today that I want to get some baths? Yeah, sure, absolutely,
- 12:56Speaker 3: But you know, for the difference that you have, like
- 12:59Speaker 3: when you move up to Martin, who's who's a thousand more.
- 13:03Speaker 3: I mean, I like Martin, I just don't like the
- 13:05Speaker 3: matchup he's got against the best team in baseball at
- 13:08Speaker 3: this point, which is the Braves and the bravesmen smashing
- 13:11Speaker 3: the ship out of the baseball. I mean, Martin did
- 13:14Speaker 3: get beat up the last time out of gave up ten,
- 13:16Speaker 3: ten hits, six earned runs, and now he's gonna face
- 13:19Speaker 3: a Braves team and I'm gonna you want me to
- 13:20Speaker 3: pay you know, ninety five hundred. I'd rather go down
- 13:24Speaker 3: to Lizardo, you know, to tell you the truth. So
- 13:27Speaker 3: I think that's why Lizardo is definitely in play. Chris Sale,
- 13:31Speaker 3: by far is the best choice here tonight. You get
- 13:33Speaker 3: in Atlanta, Uh, Atlanta going into the White Sox. You know,
- 13:37Speaker 3: damn well, Chris Sales fired up to pitch and against
- 13:40Speaker 3: the White Sox today. Why wouldn't he? I mean, that guy, will,
- 13:43Speaker 3: you know, pitch for the White Sox organization for a
- 13:45Speaker 3: long time. I'm still sure there's people there that were
- 13:48Speaker 3: there when he was there, so kind of a bit
- 13:50Speaker 3: of a long lost homecoming there for for mister Sale.
- 13:54Speaker 3: I'm gonna assume he's gonna be on point here tonight.
- 13:57Speaker 3: So Chris Sale for me, if you can get up
- 13:59Speaker 3: to him. I'm both sites are good now. FanDuel has
- 14:02Speaker 3: the four games at six thirty five and includes sho
- 14:05Speaker 3: Hey Otani, so sho Hey would be in there as well.
- 14:08Speaker 3: So over on FanDuel, I kind of like show Hey,
- 14:11Speaker 3: but NAI's up top man sail by far and then
- 14:14Speaker 3: I think I'd go Lizardo. And then you know, I
- 14:17Speaker 3: guess if you're asking me between these other guys, I
- 14:19Speaker 3: guess i'd between Martin and Lambert. I don't really care.
- 14:23Speaker 3: I guess i'd probably go Martin over Lambert just because
- 14:25Speaker 3: it's low strikeout rate to Righty's, which is the strength,
- 14:27Speaker 3: you know, what's what we're looking for against the Angels.
- 14:30Speaker 3: But man, I'm staying away from Imma Maga in chorus.
- 14:33Speaker 3: I don't know. I just I don't like that at all.
- 14:35Speaker 3: Needs I'm I'm not a fan.
- 14:38Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I agree with a lot of what you said.
- 14:40Speaker 2: So for me, it's Chris Sale number one. If you
- 14:42Speaker 2: can get up to get up to him, probably not gone.
- 14:47Speaker 2: It's tough, right because majority of Chris Sale teams are
- 14:50Speaker 2: gonna have the Texas Bats because of their salary relief.
- 14:54Speaker 2: So I just ran one hundred and fifty teams. Right,
- 14:56Speaker 2: in the fifty seven Chris Sale teams, almost ninety percent
- 15:02Speaker 2: of them was Texas and sixty percent of that being
- 15:05Speaker 2: a five man Texas tax. So if you play Chris Sale,
- 15:08Speaker 2: if you just play another a different team, right than Texas,
- 15:11Speaker 2: the value bats in Texas maybe like you play the
- 15:14Speaker 2: back half of the A's lineup or the Brewers lineup, right,
- 15:17Speaker 2: you play five through nine, where yeah, they're still fairly expensive,
- 15:21Speaker 2: but they're a lot number one lower owned, and they're
- 15:26Speaker 2: more affordable than the top half, right, and it feels gross,
- 15:30Speaker 2: But again, that stadium's launch pad for everyone hitting the ball.
- 15:33Speaker 2: And who's to say that, Yelich Cherio, the guys at
- 15:38Speaker 2: the top. Yeah, if they don't absolutely go crazy, you're
- 15:41Speaker 2: different and you can afford the probably the highest likelihood
- 15:45Speaker 2: of a ceiling on the slate from the pitching perspective.
- 15:48Speaker 2: So for me, Chris Sale clearcut sp one. For me
- 15:52Speaker 2: on this slate, Lozardo would be the de fact to
- 15:55Speaker 2: number two. If I'm playing Lozardo, I probably I kind
- 16:00Speaker 2: of like pairing Lozardo or playing Lozardo and not using
- 16:03Speaker 2: red Detmers with him, just because I think so many
- 16:06Speaker 2: so You're gonna see so many teams here tonight with
- 16:08Speaker 2: caseus Lozardo, Red Debt Meers, Texas and that Vegas game
- 16:13Speaker 2: or the Corus Field game. Right, That's just it's gonna
- 16:16Speaker 2: be Texas Mini's with probably five man stacks of either
- 16:18Speaker 2: the Cubs, the Brewers, or the A's, with the A's
- 16:21Speaker 2: and the Cubs kind of leading the charge there. So
- 16:25Speaker 2: if I'm playing Lazardo, I'd probably rather either pair him
- 16:27Speaker 2: up with a guy like Chris Sale or pivot off
- 16:29Speaker 2: of Debtmers too, some of the guys we're going to
- 16:31Speaker 2: talk about next when we get down below the tier.
- 16:33Speaker 2: He is number two for me. Peter Lambert, I have
- 16:35Speaker 2: more interest than you do. He's my third favorite up here.
- 16:38Speaker 2: I'm not really messing with Immanaga. He's a flyball guy.
- 16:41Speaker 2: In Cours it's ninety eighty something degrees. They are a
- 16:44Speaker 2: really good hitting environment. He's giving up like five, six
- 16:47Speaker 2: or seven earned runs in his last three. I was
- 16:49Speaker 2: just kind of looking into some of his fangraft stuff.
- 16:53Speaker 2: His velocity seems to be there. It's just more of
- 16:56Speaker 2: he's a flyball guy. It's getting hotter, and we've seen
- 16:59Speaker 2: the same thing happened last year, g Rising Imanaga, everyone
- 17:03Speaker 2: was crowned him cy Young when he's pitching in April
- 17:06Speaker 2: and May, when it's forty degrees with ten mile hour
- 17:09Speaker 2: winds blown in in Wrigley right, and now you were
- 17:13Speaker 2: getting hotter weather. You look at his last couple starts,
- 17:17Speaker 2: I mean what six an runs, five in runs, seven
- 17:20Speaker 2: earned runs right with home runs giving up because his
- 17:23Speaker 2: fly balls are now not dying at the wall or
- 17:26Speaker 2: the ivy in Wrigley Field, they're going over the fence, right.
- 17:29Speaker 2: So I struggle with a guy like Imanaga, and I'd
- 17:33Speaker 2: rather just take a shot out on a guy like
- 17:34Speaker 2: Peter Lambert eighty two hundred. It's already against the against
- 17:38Speaker 2: the Angels there. And I mean from the props standpoint,
- 17:43Speaker 2: you look at Peter Lambert's props on this slate four
- 17:46Speaker 2: and a half k prop juice to be over, which
- 17:48Speaker 2: is right there in line with the chocolate the slate
- 17:52Speaker 2: in reed Detmers, who's six and a half. But outside
- 17:54Speaker 2: of that, I mean, besides Chris Sale, everyone's sitting in
- 17:56Speaker 2: that four and a half or three and a half
- 17:58Speaker 2: k prop range besides Lozardo, right, So he's right in
- 18:02Speaker 2: line with those guys. I think he's an interesting tournament pivot.
- 18:05Speaker 2: So I ranked the top tier. Chris Sale, Lizardo Peter
- 18:08Speaker 2: Lambert are kind of the three guys I'm playing. I'm
- 18:10Speaker 2: not really messing with the ninety five hundred dollars Davis
- 18:13Speaker 2: Martin even at no ownership. I don't really want to
- 18:15Speaker 2: get there because I want to spend up for bats.
- 18:17Speaker 2: And then in Monaga, I think you could leave in
- 18:19Speaker 2: the pool because eight k is a fairly cheap price
- 18:21Speaker 2: point for him. He's not going to get a lot
- 18:22Speaker 2: of ownership, but I don't love it. I'd rather just
- 18:25Speaker 2: spend two hundred dollars less to get to a guy
- 18:27Speaker 2: like Mackenzie Gore or something like that. So I'm out
- 18:30Speaker 2: on Imanaga. And yeah, let's drop down here and talk
- 18:34Speaker 2: about the lower tier below. AK definitely headlined by Reed
- 18:38Speaker 2: Detmer is the highest ozone pitcher on the slate single
- 18:41Speaker 2: entry stuff like the one twenty one tonight. Red Detmers
- 18:43Speaker 2: is going to be seventy percent. He just is. And
- 18:47Speaker 2: then it's gonna be Lozardo and either uh, it's either
- 18:49Speaker 2: gonna be the Lozardo and Chris Sale. So those are
- 18:51Speaker 2: three guys in kind of the single entry cash game
- 18:54Speaker 2: stuff hard to argue, right, Red Detmers, he's a good pitcher.
- 18:58Speaker 2: He gets the age of the the astros here pitching
- 19:01Speaker 2: at home. I really like Mackenzie Gore is kind of
- 19:05Speaker 2: a value guy right there, is kind of a pivot
- 19:07Speaker 2: off of Reed, Debt Meers, and then Polante is pretty
- 19:10Speaker 2: interesting to me sixty eight hundred. He's not a great
- 19:13Speaker 2: arm by any means, but he's gonna keep the ball
- 19:15Speaker 2: on the ground. The Mets are atrocious. Dustin may just
- 19:18Speaker 2: carve this team up yesterday. Polante.
- 19:21Speaker 3: He I think.
- 19:22Speaker 2: Polante can go like six seven innings for US, get
- 19:25Speaker 2: us four or five strikeouts, and keep the ball on
- 19:28Speaker 2: the ground and potentially get a quality start there. So
- 19:32Speaker 2: at sixty eight hundred on a state when we got
- 19:34Speaker 2: a fourteen and a half game total out in Vegas,
- 19:36Speaker 2: I think he's an interesting play for me, and I'm
- 19:38Speaker 2: definitely gonna gonna play him. He's not gonna be unowned
- 19:41Speaker 2: by any means, but again, I think he's interesting in
- 19:44Speaker 2: he's a nice pivot off a guy like Reed Detmers.
- 19:47Speaker 2: But break down this lower tier any other guys that
- 19:49Speaker 2: you want to mention as well?
- 19:52Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I think you hit some of the
- 19:54Speaker 3: guys definitely that we're looking at. But I mean the
- 19:58Speaker 3: price in between the two sites is a I mean,
- 20:01Speaker 3: you look over at FanDuel, they got Red Detmers the
- 20:04Speaker 3: fourth highest priced pitcher, they got Plonte the sixth highest,
- 20:08Speaker 3: Plante and Debtmers their higher price than Shote at SHOWDA.
- 20:12Speaker 3: So I mean and Lozardo and Gore. I mean it's
- 20:15Speaker 3: you know, it's like totally different. So I kind of
- 20:17Speaker 3: like those guys a little bit more on on DK
- 20:19Speaker 3: than I do on FanDuel. But you know, just looking
- 20:23Speaker 3: at what we have here with Reed Debtmers and why
- 20:25Speaker 3: he's going to be so popular, I mean, his last
- 20:27Speaker 3: three starts, he's been amazing, twenty three points, eighteen points,
- 20:30Speaker 3: forty three points. I mean he had a fourteen strikeout
- 20:33Speaker 3: game here not too long ago, I mean, and then
- 20:36Speaker 3: followed up with six and seven.
- 20:37Speaker 2: So Dept.
- 20:38Speaker 3: Meers is definitely going to be uh definitely going.
- 20:42Speaker 2: To be home.
- 20:42Speaker 3: And I feel he's mispriced. I mean he's definitely mispriced.
- 20:46Speaker 3: I mean, I like read Debtmers. I think this is
- 20:48Speaker 3: one that you know, if you're asking me between Debtmers
- 20:51Speaker 3: and Chris Sale, I mean, it's really tough. But considering
- 20:54Speaker 3: I want to payoff for some bats today. I think
- 20:56Speaker 3: i'd like Deptmers a little bit more than I do
- 20:59Speaker 3: Chris Sale.
- 20:59Speaker 1: So.
- 21:01Speaker 3: Just because it's gonna help me to get some, you know,
- 21:03Speaker 3: some of those bets. So I think Detvers is a
- 21:05Speaker 3: great sp one, especially at the price, looking at what
- 21:09Speaker 3: you want. And I'm not, you know, afraid to use Plante.
- 21:12Speaker 3: As you said, Plante is ninety nine hundred over on
- 21:15Speaker 3: fan Duel today, they got him pretty high up. You
- 21:17Speaker 3: got a groundball guy, as you mentioned, against a Mets
- 21:20Speaker 3: team that we definitely like to pick on. You know,
- 21:24Speaker 3: they're they're We're not really gonna be chasing the strikeouts.
- 21:28Speaker 3: What we're chasing is a quality start, and Plante has
- 21:30Speaker 3: been been damn good getting quality starts. I want to
- 21:34Speaker 3: say he's had quality starts like his last six out
- 21:37Speaker 3: of eight starts or something like that. So he's looked
- 21:39Speaker 3: pretty good. I mean, you know, he didn't pounding the strikeouts,
- 21:43Speaker 3: but I mean the out total is definitely there. I
- 21:46Speaker 3: think he's definitely in play, especially on DK at sixty
- 21:50Speaker 3: eight hundred sureser Man, that's kind of hard. I don't
- 21:54Speaker 3: think I could go there if I'm playing deep deep pool.
- 21:57Speaker 3: I might leave Max in my pool, but the other
- 22:00Speaker 3: guys down below, I'm not really all that interested in.
- 22:02Speaker 3: I'd maybe have a little interest in Mackenzie Gore just
- 22:06Speaker 3: because he's Mackenzie Gore and he's looked pretty good and
- 22:09Speaker 3: few you know, he's he's either been absolute trash or
- 22:11Speaker 3: he's getting you twenty three, twenty four to twenty five points.
- 22:14Speaker 3: I mean it's zero or five or you know, and
- 22:16Speaker 3: he's been pretty good the last three out of five
- 22:19Speaker 3: starts and two starts he's been he's been trash. But
- 22:23Speaker 3: I think he'd be in play too for me against
- 22:26Speaker 3: against the Kansas City team, But in reality, for me
- 22:29Speaker 3: on DK, I think i'd have a little shorter pool.
- 22:32Speaker 3: I think I would definitely be looking at Lozardo, Chris Sale, Debt, Mers,
- 22:37Speaker 3: and Polante would probably be my main guys on on DK.
- 22:44Speaker 3: I think on fan Duel, I would also add in
- 22:47Speaker 3: I have Sale and show a about rate even But
- 22:51Speaker 3: I mean as far as other guys, I think I
- 22:53Speaker 3: like Lozardo Gore a little bit more. I'd throw in
- 22:57Speaker 3: Kirby and Framberg in there too. A couple guys that
- 23:01Speaker 3: are fairly cheap that i'd consider On fan duel. But yeah,
- 23:05Speaker 3: the pricing is quite different between the two sites for
- 23:07Speaker 3: some of these guys, that's for sure, but Nad's I mean,
- 23:10Speaker 3: to me, if you can get up to sail, go
- 23:13Speaker 3: for it. But to me, I want to kind of
- 23:15Speaker 3: concentrate in these games that the offense. Outside of the
- 23:20Speaker 3: two games that we were kind of focused on yesterday
- 23:22Speaker 3: and now today, I don't think the offense is as
- 23:25Speaker 3: good surrounding it as it was yesterday. So I think
- 23:29Speaker 3: I'm gonna have more of a focus. Even though I
- 23:31Speaker 3: told y'all yesterday I was all in on that Vegas game,
- 23:33Speaker 3: and I still am. I think that was the floor
- 23:36Speaker 3: game you saw yesterday and there was still six homers
- 23:39Speaker 3: five by one team, So to me, I mean that
- 23:42Speaker 3: was the floor game. Like to me, I still I
- 23:45Speaker 3: think it's gonna be higher scoring than the twelve today.
- 23:47Speaker 3: I think it'll go over today. Of course, of course
- 23:50Speaker 3: they had one game that barely didn't make it over
- 23:52Speaker 3: of course, So but yeah, I think that's a game
- 23:55Speaker 3: I'm gonna I'm gonna focus on. And I kind of
- 23:58Speaker 3: like some Rockies against Showda. I mean, the dude's been
- 24:00Speaker 3: giving up homers. I like the Rockies a lot more
- 24:03Speaker 3: than I did yesterday. I do like some of them, Cobby,
- 24:05Speaker 3: So I think all four of those teams are definitely
- 24:08Speaker 3: in play again today, and I'm just gonna make my
- 24:10Speaker 3: lineups out of those four teams kind of avoid some
- 24:13Speaker 3: pinch hit risk we saw yesterday. What end up happening
- 24:16Speaker 3: top of that lineup for the A's. You know, we
- 24:19Speaker 3: end up seeing him get pinch it for Lawrence Butler.
- 24:22Speaker 3: But you know, I mean, yeah, I mean That's what
- 24:24Speaker 3: I'm gonna be thinking about today. Get a little different
- 24:26Speaker 3: with my pitching over there. I'm not gonna be afraid.
- 24:29Speaker 3: I think there's some better options down below than there
- 24:31Speaker 3: was yesterday, because we're gonna have we got debt meers,
- 24:33Speaker 3: and I'm not afraid to use Plante on a slate
- 24:35Speaker 3: like this where I'm not really afraid of getting beat
- 24:38Speaker 3: by the strikeouts today other than Sale, So everybody on
- 24:41Speaker 3: DK is gonna have to make a second choice. And
- 24:44Speaker 3: I think that's where, you know, I think I'd be
- 24:46Speaker 3: a little bit more chalk, be willing to be more
- 24:48Speaker 3: chalkier at pitching and maybe use reed debt meers and
- 24:52Speaker 3: not very concerned about that just because I can get
- 24:54Speaker 3: different with some bats.
- 24:56Speaker 2: Yeah, no, I like a lot of what you said.
- 24:58Speaker 2: So I think David Peters comes into the mix a
- 25:00Speaker 2: little bit too, just because he's another ground ball guy.
- 25:04Speaker 2: City Fields not a great hitters ballpark there. I know
- 25:07Speaker 2: there's some a little weather rists there, but in retrospect
- 25:12Speaker 2: to the slate at hand here in the other ballparks,
- 25:15Speaker 2: I mean, eighty degrees or mid seventies looks a lot
- 25:18Speaker 2: better than one hundred and ten in Vegas or Coors
- 25:22Speaker 2: Field at that. I know there's some site wind blown out,
- 25:25Speaker 2: but every park is going to play above average, and
- 25:27Speaker 2: I'm looking at a lot of averages and just know
- 25:29Speaker 2: that this is a better ballpark for pitching historically. The
- 25:33Speaker 2: weather's not going to affect it that much. Peterson can
- 25:35Speaker 2: keep the ball on the ground. He's a cheap pivot
- 25:39Speaker 2: off of a guy like Reed Deptmer's there, so I
- 25:41Speaker 2: don't hate him. Does help the case that he is
- 25:45Speaker 2: well going to have an opener in front of him,
- 25:46Speaker 2: so he gets through guys like Evon Herrera, Jordan Walker
- 25:49Speaker 2: or stuff like that up at the top and he
- 25:52Speaker 2: can kind of start his run with the back half
- 25:54Speaker 2: of that Cardinals lineup where we know it is not great,
- 25:57Speaker 2: so I think he's a little interesting as well. But
- 25:59Speaker 2: for me down low, it's definitely Red Detmers obviously, but
- 26:04Speaker 2: I am a little worried about Debtmers. The thing with him, though,
- 26:07Speaker 2: is you're like, well, it's a left against the Astros.
- 26:09Speaker 2: The issue is Detmars is better against the right side
- 26:11Speaker 2: than he is the left side right, so he's got
- 26:14Speaker 2: almost a thirty percent strikeout right against righties even pitching
- 26:18Speaker 2: from the left side. Ken the Astros get to I'm sure, absolutely,
- 26:22Speaker 2: but the only really argument you're you're making on the
- 26:24Speaker 2: slate is just the ownership against him. The k prop
- 26:27Speaker 2: matches it up, all of his props everything. That's why
- 26:30Speaker 2: you see the projection what it is. He is under
- 26:32Speaker 2: price for the current form of Redetmers. I am worried
- 26:36Speaker 2: on how you use him right, So I probably wouldn't
- 26:39Speaker 2: play him personally myself with a guy like Caseusse Lozzaro,
- 26:42Speaker 2: just because every team or even Chris Sale, right, if
- 26:44Speaker 2: I'm using Redetmers, maybe I go Red Detmers is my
- 26:47Speaker 2: sp one, and then I play a guy like Andre Polante,
- 26:50Speaker 2: or I play a guy like Mackenzie Gore something like that,
- 26:54Speaker 2: or a David Peterson right, and use kind of red
- 26:56Speaker 2: Debtmers as my highest priced pitcher or right there in
- 26:59Speaker 2: line with Mackenzie gore salary, and you just fade the
- 27:02Speaker 2: entire upper eight k range all come all together and
- 27:06Speaker 2: now you're different, right, but you still played Reed Detmers
- 27:09Speaker 2: is kind of the focal piece, right, So just a
- 27:11Speaker 2: little more game theory talking about that. It's hard to
- 27:14Speaker 2: argue the spot that he's in. David Peterson, Polante, Mackenzie Gore,
- 27:18Speaker 2: the other guys I'm looking at in this lower tier
- 27:21Speaker 2: I'm not messing with. Max Schers are actually like some
- 27:23Speaker 2: Phillies against him as kind of a lower owned offense
- 27:26Speaker 2: on this slate again, pretty condensed pitcherpool in general. And
- 27:31Speaker 2: same thing on the offensive side when we jump over
- 27:33Speaker 2: here and talk stacks. Obviously we've got the stacks here,
- 27:37Speaker 2: but we're gonna go over and share our other premium
- 27:40Speaker 2: tool here, the Stone. First game on the main slate
- 27:44Speaker 2: here is up in Toronto, Max Shuars around the mound,
- 27:48Speaker 2: who's been absolutely horrendous. I think his kind of career,
- 27:53Speaker 2: a great one at that, is kind of come to
- 27:55Speaker 2: an end here and he's kind of just sleep walking
- 27:58Speaker 2: out there, and it kind of just strutting out there.
- 28:01Speaker 2: I don't think he's a major league caliber pitcher at
- 28:04Speaker 2: this point anymore. I think he he's done. I mean,
- 28:07Speaker 2: he's getting hit hard from both sides of the play.
- 28:09Speaker 2: Not doesn't have the strikeout stuff. He's getting barreled up.
- 28:12Speaker 2: I mean, I think the Phillies are in conversation here
- 28:17Speaker 2: for one of the offenses that could match the upside.
- 28:21Speaker 2: I kind of see them as like the Braves yesterday,
- 28:23Speaker 2: gee Risen. I think the Phillies are pretty damn sneaky
- 28:26Speaker 2: here tonight. Schwarber, Harper, Brandon Marsh, who's been on a tear.
- 28:30Speaker 2: And they're affordable, I mean outside of Schwarber Harper, I
- 28:34Speaker 2: mean they're they're cheap. Yeah, Trey Turner's five K, but
- 28:37Speaker 2: I don't love playing Tray Turner anyways. When I play
- 28:39Speaker 2: the Phillies, I think, I think the Phillies are pretty
- 28:42Speaker 2: damn interesting here. Lefties historically got to Serger, so Schwarber, Harper, Marsh.
- 28:47Speaker 2: I think those guys look really good. Bryson Scott, you
- 28:50Speaker 2: got a cheap second basement where everyone's gonna pay up
- 28:52Speaker 2: to a guy like Bryce Terrang. Justin Crawford has some
- 28:55Speaker 2: speed down there as well. It doesn't really have the
- 28:57Speaker 2: home run upside, but at three k he he can
- 29:00Speaker 2: get you a stolen base a single right, you're looking
- 29:02Speaker 2: at ten points there. I think the Phillies fit the script.
- 29:05Speaker 2: Is probably my favorite sneaky offense on the slate because
- 29:08Speaker 2: they're gonna be significantly lower on than the Texas team,
- 29:10Speaker 2: who everyone's going to go to to pair up with
- 29:13Speaker 2: one of the A's, the Brewers or the Cubbies. Sign
- 29:16Speaker 2: me up for some Phillies here against Max Schurzer. I
- 29:18Speaker 2: know the Blue Jay's bullpen's good behind him, but you'll
- 29:21Speaker 2: probably see the lesser arms out of that pen if
- 29:25Speaker 2: they jump on Max. Shus are here, and I think
- 29:26Speaker 2: there's a good chance that they can jump on them.
- 29:28Speaker 2: What do you see here?
- 29:31Speaker 3: Yeah? I mean Max has been terrible against lefties. I
- 29:34Speaker 3: mean shit, he's got an eight and a half percent
- 29:36Speaker 3: strikeout right. It's just it's just awful. I feel bad
- 29:39Speaker 3: for the dude. Maybe it's just time to hang it up, Max.
- 29:42Speaker 3: But how many dogs in this country are named Max?
- 29:45Speaker 3: I got a blue eye and a brown eye, you know,
- 29:47Speaker 3: like they're all probably named Max. I've met a few
- 29:49Speaker 3: in my time, especially here in Detroit, him being here
- 29:53Speaker 3: in Detroit. But I always get a chuckle out of that.
- 29:55Speaker 3: You always see a dog usually named Max, always laugh.
- 29:59Speaker 3: But either way, Max has been bad. I mean, shit,
- 30:02Speaker 3: his his wOBA is four thirty two to the left side.
- 30:05Speaker 3: I mean he's been getting bailed up fifteen percent. I
- 30:08Speaker 3: mean we already know. I mean, the Phillies got the
- 30:11Speaker 3: lefties that can deal with that. Schwarber is, you know,
- 30:13Speaker 3: just a walking home run machine. Harper is there, marsh
- 30:17Speaker 3: is in play, Scott, Uh, All these guys are in play.
- 30:20Speaker 3: But as you mentioned, I'm just concerned they're not gonna
- 30:22Speaker 3: leave Max out there too long. Let him get his
- 30:25Speaker 3: ass kicked. I mean he's only he's gone two innings,
- 30:27Speaker 3: six inning, two innings and two innings his last four,
- 30:31Speaker 3: so three of us four starts, he's only gone two innings, right,
- 30:34Speaker 3: So I'm literally concerned that that bullpen will be coming
- 30:36Speaker 3: in third inning. And now it's kind of you know,
- 30:38Speaker 3: door shut time, so we you know, we don't have,
- 30:41Speaker 3: you know, a good time as we're gonna have with
- 30:43Speaker 3: Max pitching. So you know, I don't think you're gonna
- 30:46Speaker 3: see too many of these guys get too many at
- 30:48Speaker 3: bats against Max. Uh, he may be lucky to see
- 30:51Speaker 3: Schwarber for the second time. So you know, that would
- 30:55Speaker 3: be my concern that you're gonna be facing a good
- 30:58Speaker 3: portion of this game against one of the best bullpens
- 31:01Speaker 3: in baseball. So that is a little bit of my concern.
- 31:04Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean they're definitely in play today, that's
- 31:07Speaker 3: for sure. As far as the other side of it
- 31:09Speaker 3: against against Lizardo, I mean, if if you wanted to
- 31:14Speaker 3: look at anything to maybe attack, I mean, the flyball
- 31:18Speaker 3: percentage is a little higher to the right side at
- 31:20Speaker 3: twenty four percent, but he's not giving up any fly
- 31:22Speaker 3: balls to the left side. Uh, he's not getting buriled
- 31:26Speaker 3: up hardly at all. I mean, it's it's a pretty
- 31:29Speaker 3: tough go. I mean, if you if you wanted to
- 31:32Speaker 3: maybe try to play somebody for some leverage, you know,
- 31:35Speaker 3: if you wanted to go that route, uh, you know,
- 31:37Speaker 3: maybe George Springer at top of that lineup, you wanted
- 31:40Speaker 3: to go there, Guerrero, you know, maybe you could look
- 31:42Speaker 3: at something like that. Guerrero's got a pretty good wOBA
- 31:45Speaker 3: against left handed pitching so far this year. But you know,
- 31:48Speaker 3: maybe if you want a little leverage, you could look
- 31:50Speaker 3: at some Blue Jays. I don't love it. Like I said,
- 31:52Speaker 3: I do really like to match up with the Phillies
- 31:54Speaker 3: against Max, but I'm just really concerned with him not
- 31:56Speaker 3: getting any more than two innings out of his three
- 31:58Speaker 3: or four starts earned runs in ten innings two nights.
- 32:02Speaker 3: He's been bad, man, real bad.
- 32:04Speaker 2: Yeah, he's been. He's been horrendous and giving up six
- 32:07Speaker 2: home runs as well, even to a team like Cleveland, right,
- 32:11Speaker 2: the Gardens who don't hit home runs usually they hit
- 32:14Speaker 2: them for three. So I just I don't know. I
- 32:17Speaker 2: think it's pretty interesting. And then I mean, you're not
- 32:19Speaker 2: going to see the best arms, right, And in Max's
- 32:22Speaker 2: last start, uh Mandibally came in. He's sitting sitting around
- 32:26Speaker 2: a four y arra. I mean, Miles came in. He's
- 32:29Speaker 2: sitting around a four arra. Nance came in. He's sitting
- 32:31Speaker 2: around a six fluordy. I mean, so you're you're not
- 32:34Speaker 2: going to see the straight I mean great arms. There
- 32:39Speaker 2: is some risk, for sure, but honestly, where everything feels
- 32:42Speaker 2: so cut and dry from the pitching standpoint and the
- 32:44Speaker 2: four offenses, you can definitely play it that way. But
- 32:47Speaker 2: I think taking a shot on some of these Phillies
- 32:49Speaker 2: is definitely interesting overall, and looking at the bullpen as well,
- 32:54Speaker 2: the bullpen usage here from Toronto, Varlin's probably gonna be unavailable.
- 32:59Speaker 2: Uh he threw eight seventeen on Saturday and Sunday, didn't
- 33:03Speaker 2: pitch on Monday, but through sixteen again yesterday. They could
- 33:06Speaker 2: roll him out there again. But again, you're probably gonna
- 33:08Speaker 2: see the lesser arms of this bullpen, and they're probably
- 33:11Speaker 2: gonna bring in a guy like Spencer Miles, who is alrighty,
- 33:15Speaker 2: who kind of goes out there for bulk relief. So
- 33:17Speaker 2: I would expect it to go Max and then probably
- 33:20Speaker 2: Spencer Miles, who he's kind of just an average arm.
- 33:23Speaker 2: I mean, one point one whip, three point five four
- 33:26Speaker 2: Era still throws from the right side, so you still
- 33:28Speaker 2: have the lefty platoon there. So I think the Phillies
- 33:32Speaker 2: I have a little more interest than you, and I
- 33:34Speaker 2: think they're an high upside offense that could match the
- 33:37Speaker 2: production of the other spots on the slate, not messing
- 33:40Speaker 2: with any Blue Jays for me. If you wanted to
- 33:43Speaker 2: pull off Okamoto, Ernie Clement, who's been red hot, George
- 33:47Speaker 2: Springer against the lefty, you could do it. But I
- 33:50Speaker 2: don't really have any interest from a stacking perspective. Same
- 33:53Speaker 2: spot in this other game here Cardinals in the Met's
- 33:56Speaker 2: David Peterson Palante and the mond two ground ball guys here.
- 34:00Speaker 2: Peterson's gonna be the projected long reliever here coming in
- 34:03Speaker 2: after the Mets throw an opener out there definitely downgrades
- 34:07Speaker 2: the stack for in general against the Cardinals. Burlison Jordan Walker,
- 34:12Speaker 2: I think are two guys that you could play newp
- 34:14Speaker 2: Bar is still fairly cheap. I don't love this game though,
- 34:16Speaker 2: on either side. Here I messed around with some Mets
- 34:19Speaker 2: last night to get some leverage off of Dustin May
- 34:21Speaker 2: and that he shoved it right up my ass, so
- 34:23Speaker 2: I don't love that. But Carson Benze is still cheap.
- 34:25Speaker 2: Jared Young is cheap as a value aj E Wing
- 34:28Speaker 2: who can also steal thirty four hundred some value upside
- 34:32Speaker 2: bats I think are fairly interesting because it's still Andre
- 34:34Speaker 2: Palante at the end of the day, and that Cardinals
- 34:36Speaker 2: bullpen behind him who's not good, so you could get there,
- 34:40Speaker 2: but it be more one officer or kind of mini stacks.
- 34:43Speaker 2: Really just the value guys for me. What do you
- 34:45Speaker 2: see though?
- 34:47Speaker 3: I see Michael w don't be touching that shit, buddy.
- 34:50Speaker 3: We don't want we like you watching our show. Be
- 34:53Speaker 3: careful out there, that's for sure. It seems like that's
- 34:56Speaker 3: up your way, Nates up there. But yeah, Michael, stay
- 35:00Speaker 3: stay safe out there, that's for sure. But yeah, I
- 35:02Speaker 3: mean I agree with you on this game here, I
- 35:04Speaker 3: mean ground ball pitchers. I think I like Jordan Walker
- 35:07Speaker 3: a little bit against Peterson. If he come in, like
- 35:10Speaker 3: you said, he's probably probably gonna miss him, probably the
- 35:13Speaker 3: first time out unless they get him out one, two, three.
- 35:15Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean, I just I don't like it.
- 35:19Speaker 3: There's way better spots than either side. I definitely can't
- 35:22Speaker 3: play any Mets. I mean, benj I mentioned yesterday. Top
- 35:25Speaker 3: of that lineup's been actually pretty hot, been been hitting
- 35:29Speaker 3: in recent times. But that would I mean, that's pretty
- 35:32Speaker 3: much probably the only spot I'd even look at the
- 35:34Speaker 3: rest of them. I have no interest at all.
- 35:38Speaker 2: Yeah, No, definitely agree. Next spot here, Chris Sale on
- 35:41Speaker 2: the mound, Davis Martin bad bullpen behind Davis Martin. But
- 35:45Speaker 2: Davis Martin's been really, really good this year. Braves can
- 35:47Speaker 2: really get to anyone. Michael Harris is red hot right now.
- 35:50Speaker 2: Ronald Lacuna. This dude's a walking mummy, I swear to God,
- 35:53Speaker 2: Like I thought the braves are off and running, and
- 35:56Speaker 2: then Ronald Lacuna like pulls up in like the fourth
- 35:59Speaker 2: inning or fifth whatever it was, his hamstring popped again.
- 36:02Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean that dude just cannot stay healthy. Ever.
- 36:05Speaker 2: Matt Olson, I think he's an elite one off for
- 36:09Speaker 2: a lot cheaper than a guy like Jake Bauers or
- 36:11Speaker 2: Nick Kurtz at the same position. Rins and repeat of yesterday.
- 36:14Speaker 2: Don't love it, though from the stacking perspective, I do
- 36:17Speaker 2: think the top of the braves order Harris, Albie's Olsen,
- 36:21Speaker 2: those three in particular, and then Dubon is a thirty
- 36:23Speaker 2: two hundred dollars guy if you need to get there.
- 36:25Speaker 2: Don't love picking on Davis Martin. But again, especially in
- 36:29Speaker 2: like your braves or your a stacks or something like that,
- 36:32Speaker 2: it feels gross leaving Nick Kurts off. But if you
- 36:34Speaker 2: pivot to a guy like Matt Olsen or in the
- 36:36Speaker 2: Brewers stack, you play Jake Bowers at outfield instead of
- 36:39Speaker 2: first base, and you throw Matt Olson in there. I
- 36:41Speaker 2: think little things like that are easy ways to get
- 36:44Speaker 2: to the top and be different than what your competition
- 36:46Speaker 2: is playing. Overall, though, I don't love this game. Two
- 36:49Speaker 2: good arms, Chris Sale, best arm on the slate, not
- 36:53Speaker 2: really going to any White Sox here either.
- 36:57Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, it's it's just tough. I think Martin's
- 37:00Speaker 3: given up one or two homers all damn year too,
- 37:03Speaker 3: So it's kind of hard to play any Braves, especially
- 37:06Speaker 3: when they just lost one of the best hitters in
- 37:08Speaker 3: recent times in baseball to their lineup. I mean, that's
- 37:11Speaker 3: just got to take the win out of that Sale
- 37:14Speaker 3: in that locker room. No pun intended with Chris Sale,
- 37:17Speaker 3: but either way, yeah, I mean I don't I don't
- 37:21Speaker 3: like it. I think the Braves now are gonna just
- 37:23Speaker 3: downgrade it a little bit here, especially moving forward. You know,
- 37:27Speaker 3: without without mister Cooney, it is a shame that he
- 37:30Speaker 3: keeps getting hurt. He's one of the better players in
- 37:32Speaker 3: in baseball. He's fun to watch and to see, you know,
- 37:36Speaker 3: to see a guy like that just get injured year
- 37:38Speaker 3: after year. You know, it's kind of like the Mike
- 37:41Speaker 3: Trout thing, you know, like it just seemed like every
- 37:43Speaker 3: year he's you know, half a year and he's done
- 37:45Speaker 3: or at some point doesn't seem to make it through
- 37:47Speaker 3: the year. But yeah, that's a shame. Hopefully you can
- 37:50Speaker 3: get back here soon. I know I pulled my hamstring
- 37:53Speaker 3: trying to raise some young youngster, you know, trying to
- 37:55Speaker 3: do a fifty yard dash a few weeks ago, Nates.
- 37:58Speaker 3: But that's it still hurts me, man, Like I was
- 38:01Speaker 3: bending down pick up my golf ball. I was like, whoo,
- 38:04Speaker 3: but that's a little a little tender there. Still, like
- 38:07Speaker 3: this old fool can't even ben down and grab his
- 38:09Speaker 3: damn golf ball. But either way, yeah, I'm not I'm
- 38:12Speaker 3: not a fan of these offense. I mean, White Sox
- 38:15Speaker 3: have been hitting lights out, man Like, if there's a
- 38:19Speaker 3: if there's a team you you don't want to take
- 38:20Speaker 3: a shot on. I mean I don't mind the White Sox.
- 38:23Speaker 3: I mean they're one of the top penning teams in
- 38:25Speaker 3: all of baseball and ops the last fifteen days. I
- 38:28Speaker 3: mean you're talking about them getting on at Chris Sale.
- 38:30Speaker 3: I mean, who knows, maybe Chris Sales got a little
- 38:33Speaker 3: side piece he still got out there in Chicago, Nads,
- 38:36Speaker 3: he gets out a little last night. Maybe he's all
- 38:38Speaker 3: late last night. You don't know, Maverick All kinds of stories.
- 38:41Speaker 3: But uh, you know, of course I'm making this shit up.
- 38:43Speaker 3: But either way, you never know. So White Sox for
- 38:47Speaker 3: me just because they've been hot. I mean, if I
- 38:48Speaker 3: was playing a handful of teams, why not I might
- 38:50Speaker 3: go after Chris Saale a little bit. Would definitely be
- 38:52Speaker 3: on top of that line, you know, on top of
- 38:54Speaker 3: the pool, if you got the balls to play it.
- 38:57Speaker 2: Yeah, I think one guy mcgulf argus kind of fits
- 39:01Speaker 2: the build of Matt Olsen talked that, I said, because
- 39:03Speaker 2: you can play him at first base or third base.
- 39:07Speaker 2: That dude mashes anybody. I don't care who it is.
- 39:09Speaker 2: I know it's Chris Sale, but I don't care. The
- 39:12Speaker 2: issue I have stack in the White Sox though, is
- 39:15Speaker 2: I know they've been really good. The Brave's bullpens one
- 39:17Speaker 2: of the best bullpens in baseball two against probably one
- 39:20Speaker 2: of the better pitchers in general, in Chris Sales. So
- 39:22Speaker 2: I don't love it. But a guy like Miguel Vargas
- 39:25Speaker 2: is a one off I think makes a ton of
- 39:27Speaker 2: sense on a slate where I mean, you're gonna get
- 39:29Speaker 2: him at one percent, and the dude just continues to
- 39:31Speaker 2: hit home runs left and right. Every single day. I
- 39:33Speaker 2: feels like unless, of course I pick him and he
- 39:36Speaker 2: doesn't make the lineup on Friday. But overall I think, yeah,
- 39:40Speaker 2: Miguel Vargas, Jacob Gonzales, I don't even like him. Brady Montgomery,
- 39:45Speaker 2: maybe he rides a hot streak. He's still three K
- 39:48Speaker 2: hit a walk off home run last night to win
- 39:49Speaker 2: the game. Three K for him, little little switch hitter there,
- 39:53Speaker 2: don't don't hate that, But yeah, Miguel Vargas by far,
- 39:56Speaker 2: probably him and Matt Olson probably are. Yeah, that's probably
- 40:00Speaker 2: Michael Harris Olsen, Miguel Vargas. My favorite plays from that game,
- 40:04Speaker 2: if any, but not a great game for offense. However,
- 40:08Speaker 2: the next spot here is Gee Rosen. We know this
- 40:10Speaker 2: park is gonna play better and more hitter friendly with
- 40:13Speaker 2: the new dimensions here. It's now moved into three thirty
- 40:16Speaker 2: down the lines. The power rallies three seventy seven, which
- 40:19Speaker 2: moved in a good bit right from what it was
- 40:24Speaker 2: last year. But more so, it's the weather here in
- 40:26Speaker 2: this one ninety degrees twenty mile an hour wins blown
- 40:30Speaker 2: straight out to left center field, and those wins are
- 40:32Speaker 2: going to hold true for at least the first half
- 40:35Speaker 2: of the game. You're talking seventeen to twenty mile an hour,
- 40:38Speaker 2: ninety degrees. Seth Lugo kind of a contact arm, not
- 40:43Speaker 2: gonna get a ton of swing and miss. Rangers probably,
- 40:47Speaker 2: all things considered, with their salaries and the matchup in
- 40:49Speaker 2: the weather, probably come in as like one of the
- 40:52Speaker 2: highest on stacks, if not the highest one stack on
- 40:54Speaker 2: the slate, even when we're talking about Vegas and course field,
- 40:57Speaker 2: because it allows you to spend up to get to
- 40:59Speaker 2: a guy like Sale who has a ceiling on the slate,
- 41:02Speaker 2: when majority of the other pitchers outside of maybe a
- 41:06Speaker 2: Lozardo something like that. Right, I think the Rangers are
- 41:10Speaker 2: a great play on paper. I'm a little worried about
- 41:12Speaker 2: their ownership here, but Corey Seeger looks like one of
- 41:14Speaker 2: the better players in the slate. Brendon Nimmo, Evan Carter
- 41:17Speaker 2: even he Gotshioka hits righty as well. He's twenty seven
- 41:21Speaker 2: hundred at the back half. Not many people are gonna
- 41:23Speaker 2: get down there. So I think when you play the Rangers,
- 41:25Speaker 2: I think adding in a guy like Evan Carter or
- 41:29Speaker 2: he got Shioka, right, who are gonna be sub ten
- 41:31Speaker 2: percent in a stack that the top of the lineup's
- 41:33Speaker 2: gonna be twenty percent owned. I think that's interesting. Rangers
- 41:37Speaker 2: on paper look really good here a bad bullpen behind Lugo.
- 41:40Speaker 2: In general Royal side, I don't love their Royals against
- 41:44Speaker 2: a lefty, but Bobby Witt, Michal Garcia, sal Perez make
- 41:48Speaker 2: a ton of sense. Lane Thomas title owned me the
- 41:51Speaker 2: other day with our guy Lane Thomas in there, three
- 41:53Speaker 2: k he's getting pinchedhit for soon his Gore comes out
- 41:56Speaker 2: of the game, so you're probably looking at two at
- 41:58Speaker 2: bats maybe three at best. He could get it done.
- 42:01Speaker 2: Kaglan own hit two home runs last night. Lefty left
- 42:04Speaker 2: you don't love it. I'm more on the Mackenzie Gore
- 42:07Speaker 2: side than the Royal side, But I think the Rangers
- 42:09Speaker 2: make a ton of sense here. They're going to be owned.
- 42:11Speaker 2: But again, you can play them differently than with the
- 42:14Speaker 2: field just by including guys like Evan Carter, who's projected
- 42:17Speaker 2: to be right around five percent on still hits from
- 42:19Speaker 2: the left side against logo. What do you see here?
- 42:22Speaker 3: Yeah, in this Kansas City game, I mean, Bobby Wit
- 42:26Speaker 3: for me is always in play. As you mentioned, Lane
- 42:28Speaker 3: Thomas definitely is going to be a pin shait. Risk
- 42:30Speaker 3: I mean, they got some power, but they got some
- 42:31Speaker 3: strikeouts too. That Gore they can get to, you know,
- 42:36Speaker 3: but Gore's not been all that good here in recent times.
- 42:40Speaker 3: But I just don't have the Royals up all that high.
- 42:44Speaker 3: To me, they just don't have the power that I
- 42:47Speaker 3: want here today against the Rangers. You mentioned a little
- 42:51Speaker 3: bit of some weather issues, but I mean, Bobby Wit
- 42:54Speaker 3: would be in play now Texas. I think, like you mentioned,
- 42:57Speaker 3: I mean, the Optos are loving Texas just because they're said.
- 43:00Speaker 3: I mean, I think Seegers only what forty three hundred
- 43:02Speaker 3: on DK and I think I think he's like three
- 43:05Speaker 3: thousand on FanDuel I know he was yesterday, but uh,
- 43:09Speaker 3: I mean he's fairly cheap, so you know, I mean
- 43:11Speaker 3: I think that's why, you know, if you take if
- 43:13Speaker 3: you X out sail and lock your two pitchers in,
- 43:16Speaker 3: like two lower on or two cheaper pitchers, I don't
- 43:18Speaker 3: think you're gonna end up with as many Rangers stacks,
- 43:22Speaker 3: you know, just because you're you're going to be allowed
- 43:23Speaker 3: to pay up for some bats. But I think the
- 43:25Speaker 3: Rangers are definitely in play. I mean, you know, Lugo
- 43:29Speaker 3: has not been very good here in recent times. He
- 43:31Speaker 3: gave up three homers. His last start's been giving up
- 43:33Speaker 3: runs left and right. I mean his k percentage is
- 43:36Speaker 3: down to sixteen percent to the right side. He's at
- 43:40Speaker 3: twenty one percent to the left side. Is his fly
- 43:43Speaker 3: ball percentage is thirty six percent to the right side.
- 43:46Speaker 3: So I'm not even afraid to use some righties against him,
- 43:49Speaker 3: like a guy like Wyatt Langford or Josh Jung mixed
- 43:52Speaker 3: in with the Nemos who I like, and the Seegers
- 43:54Speaker 3: and even Peterson at the top of that lineup, Carter
- 43:57Speaker 3: at the but I think the only guy probably wouldn't
- 43:59Speaker 3: play is Lopez at the bottom. But I think, you know,
- 44:03Speaker 3: you can definitely go after as you mentioned the part
- 44:06Speaker 3: they move everything in. I do like the Rangers. If
- 44:09Speaker 3: you take out the other two games that we're gonna
- 44:10Speaker 3: get to, I think the Rangers and Phillies would be
- 44:14Speaker 3: at the top. I think I'd put the Rangers ahead
- 44:16Speaker 3: of the Phillies just because of, you know, the bullpen
- 44:19Speaker 3: situation that we'd be facing in Toronto. So to me,
- 44:23Speaker 3: I mean, if I take away the Vegas and the
- 44:25Speaker 3: Corps game, this would be the offense that I feel
- 44:28Speaker 3: like I would I would like the most, but yeah,
- 44:32Speaker 3: Nate's I think the lefties are in a pretty good spot.
- 44:34Speaker 3: But I think it's different. I think on DK they're
- 44:37Speaker 3: gonna be a little higher owned. I don't feel as
- 44:39Speaker 3: much so on FANDUL just because the pricing is so cheap.
- 44:42Speaker 3: But I do think Corey Seger it will be a
- 44:45Speaker 3: pretty high owned shortstop just because he's three K.
- 44:49Speaker 2: Yeah, right now we have ownership the A's, then the Rangers,
- 44:52Speaker 2: then the Brewers, than the Cubs. Is kind of how
- 44:55Speaker 2: it slits up. And it makes sense right because you
- 44:58Speaker 2: can play Chris sale haesiusls Ardo, get off of the
- 45:01Speaker 2: reed Detmers Chalk and play this Rangers who are having
- 45:04Speaker 2: an over and five and applied run total with wind
- 45:06Speaker 2: blowing out against the bad bullpen and a pitcher who
- 45:10Speaker 2: isn't that great by any means in seth Lugo there.
- 45:13Speaker 2: So it makes sense. But I two, I would like
- 45:18Speaker 2: to play the back half there. Evan Carter stands out
- 45:20Speaker 2: to me, thirty two hundred has power, has speed. Laying
- 45:25Speaker 2: Ford at thirty three hundred fields feels too cheap, but
- 45:28Speaker 2: this whole offense is gonna get owned. I just maybe
- 45:31Speaker 2: you play the Rangers with a team like the Phillies, right,
- 45:33Speaker 2: and just say, hey, maybe the Rangers match the production
- 45:36Speaker 2: of these other guys, and now you have the Phillies
- 45:38Speaker 2: expensive one offs or mini stacks like a Kyle Schwarber,
- 45:41Speaker 2: Bryce Harper, Brandon Marsh And you didn't play the Cubs outfielders,
- 45:45Speaker 2: you didn't play the A's outfielders, you didn't play the Brewers,
- 45:47Speaker 2: and now you're different that way, right, So I think
- 45:50Speaker 2: the Texas on paper are very very good spot. Overall,
- 45:53Speaker 2: I am slightly worried about a shitty offense in general
- 45:56Speaker 2: that at high ownership on a state where we have
- 45:58Speaker 2: a fourteen and a half game toll that's gonna be
- 46:01Speaker 2: equally or even less owned than the Ranger stack completely.
- 46:06Speaker 2: Next spot on slate, Rockies and the Cubs. Course field here,
- 46:09Speaker 2: really good weather obviously again here tonight. Cubs didn't do
- 46:12Speaker 2: their job last night. Much better match up here for
- 46:15Speaker 2: them overall. Uh Sigano not a great arm, but Lorenzo's
- 46:20Speaker 2: even even worse. Right, it's gonna be upper eighties hot,
- 46:25Speaker 2: humid here. Wind not really a factor, but we know
- 46:28Speaker 2: how this ballpark plays. You got a bad bullpen behind them.
- 46:31Speaker 2: Lorenzen's got I mean his his underlying metrics are just
- 46:35Speaker 2: off the charts, horrendous. Cubs right back on the well,
- 46:40Speaker 2: it is nice, like I said yesterday, right that you
- 46:43Speaker 2: have the Brewers, you have the A's, you have the Cubs,
- 46:45Speaker 2: and you have even now the Rangers. Right that all
- 46:48Speaker 2: are pulling ownership from each other. If we didn't have
- 46:50Speaker 2: those other spots, you'd probably see one hundred and fifty combined.
- 46:53Speaker 2: One hundred and fifty percent combined ownership on this Cub stack.
- 46:56Speaker 2: Not gonna be the case. So it's really take your
- 46:58Speaker 2: choice between the Cubs, the in the A's, however you
- 47:01Speaker 2: rank them. They're all obviously great, great plays here tonight.
- 47:04Speaker 2: For me, I'm more on the Vegas game than this game.
- 47:07Speaker 2: I do have a lot more interest though, on the
- 47:08Speaker 2: Rocky side here tonight than I did last night. Imanaga
- 47:12Speaker 2: talked about it. He's a flyball guy here. His break
- 47:15Speaker 2: breaking balls and stuff like that doesn't break as much
- 47:18Speaker 2: in Coors Field and Elevation and Hunter Goodman elite play.
- 47:22Speaker 2: He's gonna be fractioning the ownership of a guy like
- 47:24Speaker 2: Shay lang Lears or even William Cantreras. I like him.
- 47:27Speaker 2: Aton Tovar hit a bomb last night, he's thirty nine
- 47:29Speaker 2: hundred at shortstop. You got a cheap twenty five hundred
- 47:32Speaker 2: dollars rookie here, Cole Kerrigg, who they called up switch hitter.
- 47:36Speaker 2: I think he's a great value play. I like the
- 47:38Speaker 2: Rockies a ton here, and they're gonna be much lower
- 47:42Speaker 2: owned than a team like Texas at very similar salary,
- 47:45Speaker 2: especially when you add in the back half here. What
- 47:46Speaker 2: do you see in this one?
- 47:49Speaker 3: I mean it's interesting. I think the Rakies for me,
- 47:52Speaker 3: are interesting, but I mean you look under the numbers.
- 47:54Speaker 3: The Rakis have not been good against lefties at all.
- 47:58Speaker 3: I mean not at all. I mean it's I mean
- 48:00Speaker 3: even Goodman has not been good against left eam. He's
- 48:04Speaker 3: got a forty four p k rate, Like holy crap,
- 48:07Speaker 3: Like that's freaking terrible. So I mean in the rest
- 48:11Speaker 3: of these ridings, I mean tovar, I mean, what else
- 48:13Speaker 3: are we looking at? Maybe some Willie Castro. I mean
- 48:16Speaker 3: it hasn't been all that good, but Showte has has
- 48:18Speaker 3: been giving up so many homers, and then he had
- 48:21Speaker 3: in the course field part. It's, uh, you know, definitely
- 48:24Speaker 3: pick your poison here. I mean, do you want to
- 48:26Speaker 3: go after the bats, which I think are definitely in
- 48:29Speaker 3: an interesting spot uh today. I mean, Goodman still could
- 48:33Speaker 3: it a homer and strike out three times, but uh yeah,
- 48:37Speaker 3: I mean I guess I would just lay caution to that.
- 48:39Speaker 3: So that's why of the four teams, you know, I
- 48:41Speaker 3: do have the Rockies a little bit lower than the
- 48:44Speaker 3: other three, but I mean it was kind of that
- 48:46Speaker 3: way yesterday. But I just feel like the Rockies are
- 48:49Speaker 3: still in a decent spot, uh today, just because you know,
- 48:53Speaker 3: Chote was on like he was last year. I mean,
- 48:55Speaker 3: to me, he would be in a great position here tonight.
- 48:58Speaker 3: But uh, I mean they they do have some strikeouts
- 49:01Speaker 3: to be had in this lineup against lefties. Tovar is
- 49:04Speaker 3: at thirty three percent, so the two guys, you know,
- 49:06Speaker 3: I think that I could get to the show they
- 49:08Speaker 3: with her the two highest strikeout guys, So you know,
- 49:12Speaker 3: he's ever gonna give up a hit or he's going
- 49:13Speaker 3: to strike these two out. I mean, they ain't gonna
- 49:16Speaker 3: probably be much in between. So yeah, that was what
- 49:19Speaker 3: I would like caution. As far as the Cubs, you know,
- 49:22Speaker 3: I definitely like some Cubs. Therensen is just you know,
- 49:26Speaker 3: obviously not begin to strike out percentage as their low
- 49:28Speaker 3: sixteen percent to left, fifteen to right. His fly ball
- 49:32Speaker 3: percentage isn't all that bad, mid twenty percent, but he's
- 49:36Speaker 3: been getting bailed up quite a bit against lefties fifteen
- 49:38Speaker 3: and a half percent. And we already know these cub
- 49:41Speaker 3: He's got some decent lefties Pca Bellosteros Bush, you know
- 49:45Speaker 3: we always liked butsch Hap and then you know they
- 49:48Speaker 3: got some decent power over there, all with pretty good
- 49:52Speaker 3: wobahs against righty's as well, so they're pretty patient team
- 49:56Speaker 3: as well, the Cubs. You know, the walk percentage for
- 50:00Speaker 3: Lorenzen up at nine almost ten percent, nine and a
- 50:03Speaker 3: half percent, so you know he starts putting guys on Nay,
- 50:07Speaker 3: it's it can get ugly and twist really quick for Lorenzen.
- 50:10Speaker 3: But yeah, I think the Copies are definitely in play.
- 50:13Speaker 3: I mean, they frustrated me a little bit yesterday, but
- 50:16Speaker 3: I think there they'll be in a better spot here today.
- 50:19Speaker 2: Yeah, I do think. I mean, I'll I would play
- 50:22Speaker 2: you hitting from the right side against Showa in Monaga
- 50:24Speaker 2: and coors Field, right, I know ther me, Yeah, I mean,
- 50:29Speaker 2: I know the Rockies are terrible against lefties, but in
- 50:32Speaker 2: Monaga I think is just I mean the dude gives
- 50:34Speaker 2: up a shit ton of power, tons of barrels. So
- 50:37Speaker 2: you got guys like Braxton Fulford, who is not great,
- 50:40Speaker 2: but he has barreled up. Right. He's this lefties this
- 50:43Speaker 2: year at almost a fifteen percent clip, which is good,
- 50:46Speaker 2: which is right in line with what Shoda already gives up.
- 50:49Speaker 2: Hunter Goodman obviously barrows up. Chad Stevens is not a
- 50:52Speaker 2: great prospect by any means. He's twenty seven, really hasn't
- 50:54Speaker 2: been able to crack the lineup, but he did have
- 50:57Speaker 2: I think like twelve home runs or something in some
- 50:59Speaker 2: stolen bases triple A. And he's at second base, which
- 51:03Speaker 2: is a weak position, second base, third base twenty five
- 51:05Speaker 2: hundred dollars against a lefty who has five ball concerns there.
- 51:10Speaker 2: So I think he's interesting. Cole Kigg, like I talked
- 51:14Speaker 2: about Tovar, so I like the Tove. I like the
- 51:17Speaker 2: back half here. I like Hunter Goodman, Tovar, Carraig, Fulford, Stevens.
- 51:21Speaker 2: I think that's a very interesting play, very interesting way
- 51:25Speaker 2: to play the Rockies in the game. And then you
- 51:27Speaker 2: can go up and spend up on either the A's
- 51:29Speaker 2: the Brewers and then probably play two spend up pitching
- 51:33Speaker 2: options in Chris Sale and probably even get Lozardo in
- 51:36Speaker 2: there as well, and just avoid Red Detmers in retrospect, right,
- 51:41Speaker 2: So I think that's pretty interesting way to play it there.
- 51:44Speaker 2: I like the righty's for sure on the Rockies. Willie
- 51:47Speaker 2: Castro obviously too. Carosis is cheap at thirty one hundred
- 51:50Speaker 2: third base, and these guys all on the Rocky side
- 51:54Speaker 2: in particular, are at the same positions for either cheaper
- 51:58Speaker 2: or similar price points to some of the guys like
- 52:01Speaker 2: the A's right, Max Monthzy, Jeff McNeil, Giloff some of
- 52:04Speaker 2: those guys, and you don't really have to deal with
- 52:06Speaker 2: much pin hit risk overall. So I do like that
- 52:10Speaker 2: quite a bit. Let two games left to talk about.
- 52:14Speaker 2: The most important game to talk about here is the
- 52:16Speaker 2: fourteen and a half game total out in Vegas. One
- 52:18Speaker 2: hundred and five degrees or one hundred and four degrees
- 52:20Speaker 2: at the start. Here, you got ten plus mine hour
- 52:23Speaker 2: wins blown straight out the whole duration of this game.
- 52:25Speaker 2: It's gonna be mid nineties at the end, over one
- 52:28Speaker 2: hundred to start. You got Jack Perkins, who has been
- 52:31Speaker 2: a bullpen guy. It's gonna be more of a bullpen
- 52:34Speaker 2: game here. For the A's I would expect, I think
- 52:37Speaker 2: five innings max. For Perkins, you're probably more looking at
- 52:40Speaker 2: at four innings here. Haven't pulled his outsprop, but I
- 52:43Speaker 2: have to assume it's probably right around that four inning
- 52:47Speaker 2: mark here. Let me just see, yeah, twelve and a half,
- 52:51Speaker 2: So that tells you right there, he's looking at twelve
- 52:55Speaker 2: and a half when it's heavy juice to be under.
- 52:56Speaker 2: So you're looking at four innings there, and then you
- 52:58Speaker 2: got six innings or five innings. Excuse me, bet at
- 53:02Speaker 2: Matthew of the A's bullpen behind Brewer is going to
- 53:06Speaker 2: be the lowest owned between them and the are between
- 53:09Speaker 2: the A's and the Cubs. Brewers for me are a
- 53:12Speaker 2: full stack or bust. Perkins kind of a noun known,
- 53:15Speaker 2: we don't know a ton and then you're playing the
- 53:17Speaker 2: bullpen game as well, so guys like David Hamilton are
- 53:21Speaker 2: some pitch hit risks there. But I don't think the
- 53:23Speaker 2: A's have many lefties available personally if I if I
- 53:27Speaker 2: remember correctly, and their bullpen in general is super tax
- 53:32Speaker 2: after that first game. Love this game both sides. Brewers
- 53:35Speaker 2: full stack or bust for me, the A's, I think
- 53:37Speaker 2: you can still leave in overall, definitely have the A's higher,
- 53:40Speaker 2: but at ownership, I think the Brewers come in lower
- 53:43Speaker 2: owned and have just as much upside here. Obviously the
- 53:46Speaker 2: best game. I'm gonna my teams are going to be
- 53:49Speaker 2: focused around this game. It's just a rister repeat. Like
- 53:51Speaker 2: you said yesterday, I think that was the floor game
- 53:54Speaker 2: and we still saw six home runs and it still
- 53:56Speaker 2: went over the post of total. I'm right back on
- 53:59Speaker 2: the ship here tonight. Give me both sides of this game.
- 54:02Speaker 2: Love it on all costs here, yeah, needs.
- 54:06Speaker 3: I was just looking kind of laughing here at these
- 54:09Speaker 3: games like the last seven days and team stats the
- 54:12Speaker 3: Brewers and A's have thirty three homers aides in six
- 54:15Speaker 3: games each, Like they're averaging five homers a game. I know, now,
- 54:20Speaker 3: the Braak Brewers did play in cores before they got out,
- 54:23Speaker 3: Like whatatch that is? They get to go to cores
- 54:25Speaker 3: and then they get to go and play out in
- 54:26Speaker 3: this Vegas stadium. Like talk about getting some stats padded
- 54:30Speaker 3: up over there. Damn. But the Brewers got fourteen homers
- 54:33Speaker 3: in the last seven days. I mean, obviously, when you
- 54:36Speaker 3: hit you know what, eleven homers in one day seventeen
- 54:39Speaker 3: homers in two games in that series. And like I said,
- 54:42Speaker 3: I think yesterday was the floor of what you're gonna see.
- 54:45Speaker 3: I think today, obviously Vegas has a higher total. They
- 54:47Speaker 3: kind of feel it's gonna be a little higher scoring
- 54:49Speaker 3: game than yesterday as well. But yeah, I mean I
- 54:53Speaker 3: I actually think though that I would prefer the A's
- 54:57Speaker 3: side a little bit more than the Brewers, kind of
- 54:59Speaker 3: like I did yesterday. Like I like attack and sprote
- 55:02Speaker 3: with the left sides broke fifteen percent walk percentage the
- 55:05Speaker 3: lefties is Woba's three sixty nine. I mean mid ground
- 55:08Speaker 3: ball lean, but he does give up some fly balls
- 55:10Speaker 3: as well at thirty two percent. You know, Nick, Kurtz, Soderstrom,
- 55:15Speaker 3: I think are definitely all going to be in play.
- 55:19Speaker 3: But yeah, I mean, give me everything about this game, man.
- 55:23Speaker 3: I still think this game we'll see maybe a dozen
- 55:26Speaker 3: or a half dozen or more homers. In this game,
- 55:28Speaker 3: we could see anywhere from six to ten homers. I'm
- 55:30Speaker 3: assuming in this one here again tonight. So I'm all
- 55:34Speaker 3: over this one. I'm gonna stack this one up again
- 55:37Speaker 3: every which way I can maybe throw in, you know,
- 55:40Speaker 3: maybe throw in a little bit, maybe some Rockies or
- 55:42Speaker 3: some Cubs mixed in, depending how I can figure out
- 55:45Speaker 3: my pitching. But I mean, like I said, FanDuel has
- 55:48Speaker 3: the other four games involved too. I mean I like
- 55:50Speaker 3: the Tigers a little bit offense wise on FanDuel a
- 55:54Speaker 3: little bit. But yeah, I mean, this game for me
- 55:58Speaker 3: is it aid's. I mean we're talking about a fourteen
- 56:01Speaker 3: and a half total. I mean, damn that that's I mean,
- 56:05Speaker 3: you just don't see that, like you just don't, but
- 56:08Speaker 3: I might. I'm in sign me up.
- 56:11Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you there. I do prefer the A side.
- 56:13Speaker 2: I will lay caution a guy like Carlos Cortez, who
- 56:16Speaker 2: probably starts, probably hits in the top half of that lineup.
- 56:19Speaker 2: I'd be shocked if Aaron Ashby doesn't come in this game.
- 56:22Speaker 2: He didn't pitch yesterday. And if that's the case, Cortes
- 56:27Speaker 2: is hitting the shelf. He's not going to hit against
- 56:29Speaker 2: the lefty. Outside of that, you're probably depending on if
- 56:34Speaker 2: the lineup states how it is right now, how we
- 56:36Speaker 2: have projected, He's probably the only guy really that you
- 56:39Speaker 2: have a pinch hit risk. And then you got laying
- 56:43Speaker 2: Lear's Rooker BOLTI these guys against the lefty then in
- 56:47Speaker 2: general right, so Cortes, he's a great play, but he
- 56:50Speaker 2: is the biggest pinch hit risk, so I didn't want
- 56:52Speaker 2: to call that out. And then on the Brewers side,
- 56:55Speaker 2: after Jack Perkins, it's kind of up in the air
- 56:58Speaker 2: on what happens. But Perkins the fly ball guy too,
- 57:01Speaker 2: which does help the case because the whole Brewers lineup
- 57:03Speaker 2: outside of maybe one or two guys Chario Turing, Bowers
- 57:07Speaker 2: hit hit the ball on the ground there, so that
- 57:09Speaker 2: does help their case as well. I would say Self
- 57:12Speaker 2: Freelich David Hamilton are probably the two biggest pitch hit
- 57:15Speaker 2: guys there for the Brewers next game or last game.
- 57:19Speaker 2: To talk about Red Detmers Peter Lambert two arms that
- 57:21Speaker 2: I think are in play, definitely read Detmers. However, I
- 57:24Speaker 2: will throw out Gee Risen, Jeremy Pana, Alvarez, Paritis is
- 57:30Speaker 2: starting to hit the ball. Christian Walker is usually good
- 57:32Speaker 2: against lefty Deptmers is good. The Astros against lefties don't
- 57:37Speaker 2: strike out like they do against the right side Deptmers,
- 57:39Speaker 2: and Singlean Tree sing three Max stuff Gonna. I mean
- 57:43Speaker 2: Saber has Deptmers projected at seventy percent on right now
- 57:46Speaker 2: in high stake Singlean Tree. It's still a seven game slate.
- 57:51Speaker 2: There is other cheap pitchers to go to. I don't
- 57:54Speaker 2: think some of the astros is the craziest plays in
- 57:56Speaker 2: the world. Probably not a full stack, but again, you
- 57:59Speaker 2: still have a bad bullpen behind Deptmers as well. It's
- 58:02Speaker 2: not like Detmer's is a cy young by any means.
- 58:04Speaker 2: So Alvarez, Pards, Walker, Jeremy Pinia. I think those guys
- 58:09Speaker 2: are are pretty interesting. Cam Smith historically hits lefties really well.
- 58:13Speaker 2: He's twenty nine hundred. I probably have a little bit
- 58:16Speaker 2: more interest in the astras than I should here, but
- 58:19Speaker 2: it's just a game theory. When a pitcher is gonna
- 58:21Speaker 2: be seventy percent owned, I get the reason why. It's
- 58:25Speaker 2: just as little two man one off mini stacks. You
- 58:28Speaker 2: can play Chalk everywhere else and play a two man
- 58:31Speaker 2: Astro stack, and now you're your Vegas game stack or
- 58:34Speaker 2: your Coors Field, your Cubbies. You're instantly different and still
- 58:38Speaker 2: eighty two degrees in Angel Stadium with seven to ten
- 58:42Speaker 2: mile an hour wins. Blown out is what I'm seeing
- 58:44Speaker 2: the whole duration of this game. So talk to me
- 58:46Speaker 2: here to run us out.
- 58:49Speaker 3: I mean, I think this one's interesting, But I actually
- 58:52Speaker 3: kind of like the other side of it with the
- 58:54Speaker 3: Angels against Lambert, who has not been good against right
- 58:57Speaker 3: He's a low sixteen and a half percent and k
- 59:01Speaker 3: raid as Woba's up at three sixties fly ball percentage
- 59:04Speaker 3: a little higher. I mean, I like the top of
- 59:06Speaker 3: top two dudes, Netto and Trout, like I think they're
- 59:09Speaker 3: on par for me. You know where you could look
- 59:12Speaker 3: at a little mini stack with those guys. I think
- 59:15Speaker 3: those guys definitely have, you know, a combination of like
- 59:18Speaker 3: some of the other teams we have with some Rangers,
- 59:19Speaker 3: the lefties that we like, we like some of the
- 59:21Speaker 3: lefties on the Phillies. I think this kind of fits
- 59:24Speaker 3: in there too, with these two up here at the
- 59:26Speaker 3: top of this lineup against Lambert. We know Dan well
- 59:28Speaker 3: that Houston bullpen really has not been good either, So
- 59:32Speaker 3: I think that would be interesting for me on that
- 59:35Speaker 3: side of it. You know, they've both been Trout has
- 59:38Speaker 3: been good as we know so far this year. I
- 59:41Speaker 3: don't even mind Meckler from the other side. I mean,
- 59:44Speaker 3: Lambert has a seventeen percent walk percentage to the left side.
- 59:49Speaker 3: He has not been good to the lefties either, so
- 59:51Speaker 3: he definitely could get hit so but the barrels have
- 59:55Speaker 3: been more on the right side, the flyball percentage of
- 59:58Speaker 3: ted higher on the right side. But he just can't
- 1:00:00Speaker 3: get the ball over the plate to the left side
- 1:00:02Speaker 3: at all, so he starts walking. Guy's lengthening innings. I
- 1:00:06Speaker 3: definitely like the two guys at the top of that
- 1:00:07Speaker 3: Angel lineup as far as the Astros go against Reed
- 1:00:12Speaker 3: Debt Meers. You know, I definitely know what you're saying.
- 1:00:14Speaker 3: I don't mind. Alvarez has been really good actually against
- 1:00:17Speaker 3: lefties himself. I mean he think dude can hit anything
- 1:00:21Speaker 3: or anybody. I mean, he's been absolutely smashing it. But
- 1:00:25Speaker 3: Penya top in the line up. He said four twenty two,
- 1:00:27Speaker 3: wob he's been hitting lefties really well. I don't mind
- 1:00:30Speaker 3: that at all. I just I mean read det Meers.
- 1:00:34Speaker 3: I mean, he's just been he's been better. He started
- 1:00:36Speaker 3: out the season not so good, and his recent starts
- 1:00:39Speaker 3: he's been pretty good. I just I don't want to
- 1:00:41Speaker 3: go there with too many astros. I like Detmers enough
- 1:00:45Speaker 3: to think where he's actually my sp one, and I wouldn't.
- 1:00:49Speaker 3: I wouldn't. I don't really want to overthink it and
- 1:00:51Speaker 3: try to jam in any any any astros. I see
- 1:00:55Speaker 3: your point about, you know, playing some one offs. I
- 1:00:57Speaker 3: get it. It is a good theory, a good play.
- 1:01:00Speaker 2: Uh.
- 1:01:00Speaker 3: You know, they do have a little bit of pop
- 1:01:03Speaker 3: there at the top of that lineup, but uh, you know,
- 1:01:06Speaker 3: maybe with some with a Walker Parid's or you know,
- 1:01:09Speaker 3: or a Pinya, But uh, I mean overall, Nay, it's
- 1:01:12Speaker 3: pretty good slate. Almost kind of like yesterday. I'm just
- 1:01:15Speaker 3: gonna take the stance on this Vegas game. I mean,
- 1:01:17Speaker 3: I see no reason why not to, like we said,
- 1:01:20Speaker 3: I mean, that was the floor game yesterday, I feel,
- 1:01:22Speaker 3: and we still had a team hit five bombs yesterday,
- 1:01:25Speaker 3: so definitely interesting. I think I'm going there. I'm gonna
- 1:01:29Speaker 3: figure out what my pitching is where I got a
- 1:01:31Speaker 3: little bit of room left. Pitching's way different on the
- 1:01:34Speaker 3: two sites. As I said, Dept. Meer's this price way
- 1:01:36Speaker 3: higher up on FanDuel than he is on DraftKings. He's
- 1:01:38Speaker 3: much more attractive on DraftKings at that price. I think
- 1:01:41Speaker 3: he's way under price on DraftKings.
- 1:01:43Speaker 2: But yeah, I think I have a little bit more
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: interested in some of the astros as you do, just
- 1:01:49Speaker 2: because I'm playing twenty max I'm playing larger field stuff.
- 1:01:52Speaker 2: And you look at the last month against lefties as
- 1:01:54Speaker 2: astro's team twenty strike away, but at two thirty eight,
- 1:01:57Speaker 2: I so Alvarezpin, Cam Smith, Jake Myers Walker, all of
- 1:02:02Speaker 2: these guys right, and even if you pull it back
- 1:02:04Speaker 2: to the whole season, twenty percent strikeout rate as a team,
- 1:02:08Speaker 2: almost a ten percent walk rate, IO approaching two hundred
- 1:02:12Speaker 2: WOLBA three thirty three. I mean, Detmer is going to
- 1:02:15Speaker 2: be seventy percent owned. It's in Glenturion three max. I
- 1:02:19Speaker 2: think there's much morese spots than to get some of
- 1:02:22Speaker 2: these astros. Probably they probably get blanked here tonight, but
- 1:02:24Speaker 2: I've seen much crazier shit happen. I didn't want to
- 1:02:26Speaker 2: call it Wade Mackler. This dude continues just murder baseballs
- 1:02:29Speaker 2: and he's thirty eight hundred, doesn't ever get a price bump.
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: So he fits that to the top three angels I
- 1:02:34Speaker 2: think are in play for sure. That's all seven games.
- 1:02:37Speaker 2: Do you rise in your favorite pitching combination, your top
- 1:02:39Speaker 2: three stacks and a home run call for the people.
- 1:02:42Speaker 3: I mean, Chris Sale is definitely the top pitcher, but
- 1:02:45Speaker 3: I want some bats, so I'm willing to go down
- 1:02:47Speaker 3: to read Dettmers. As I said, he'd be the guy
- 1:02:50Speaker 3: that I'd be looking at. I got a tighter pool
- 1:02:54Speaker 3: than probably most. I mean, I think debtmer Sale, Polante
- 1:02:58Speaker 3: is in Lozardo is buzz for as I go. Probably
- 1:03:00Speaker 3: on DK, I might throw in Kirby and Valdez over
- 1:03:05Speaker 3: on FanDuel and of course Shohey as well. I think
- 1:03:08Speaker 3: he's right there with Sale. But as far as my
- 1:03:10Speaker 3: favorite stacks, it's the four in that game, the Athletics,
- 1:03:14Speaker 3: the Brewers, the Covees, and the Rockies, and I'd put
- 1:03:17Speaker 3: him in that order in particular for me, if you
- 1:03:21Speaker 3: ask me the teams outside of that, Like I said,
- 1:03:23Speaker 3: I think Rangers are interesting. I think you got definitely some.
- 1:03:28Speaker 3: I'd have some interest in some of those Phillies, as
- 1:03:30Speaker 3: I said, and maybe the couple top bats of the
- 1:03:33Speaker 3: Angels I do like a little bit too. But as
- 1:03:37Speaker 3: far as the home run call goes and aids, I'll
- 1:03:40Speaker 3: stay away from those other games. And I am gonna
- 1:03:44Speaker 3: go you know what, well, I'm bout say. Bryce Harper's
- 1:03:49Speaker 3: gonna hit a home run. He needs to get back
- 1:03:51Speaker 3: in my good graces. He's always been in my doghouse.
- 1:03:53Speaker 3: I played in a couple live finals. Took shit for me.
- 1:03:56Speaker 3: I still don't forget. But either way, nids, let's everybody
- 1:03:59Speaker 3: remember six forty start over on FanDuel. They got the
- 1:04:02Speaker 3: four more games, so you got about thirty six minutes
- 1:04:05Speaker 3: to get over there and get your lineup straight. But
- 1:04:08Speaker 3: DK for you know, only has the seven games. But yeah,
- 1:04:11Speaker 3: a lot of fun. Hopefully we get in there, start
- 1:04:14Speaker 3: getting some of these fun coupons in our count there need.
- 1:04:18Speaker 3: It's always a good time, always fun being on with you.
- 1:04:20Speaker 3: I know, won't see you tomorrow, but definitely look forward
- 1:04:25Speaker 3: to talking some baseball with you next Tuesday when we
- 1:04:27Speaker 3: get back on here.
- 1:04:29Speaker 2: Oh absolutely always fun for me. It's Chris Sale up top,
- 1:04:32Speaker 2: and then I like Andre Plante quite a bit as well,
- 1:04:37Speaker 2: So that's kind of where I'm going my stacks. Obviously,
- 1:04:40Speaker 2: I'm I'm going in heavy on on the Vegas game,
- 1:04:43Speaker 2: so both sides of that game, A's and the Brewers.
- 1:04:46Speaker 2: But outside of that game, I think some of those
- 1:04:49Speaker 2: Astros bats that I talked about good leverage on this slate.
- 1:04:51Speaker 2: I think they're under own. And then the Phillies as well,
- 1:04:55Speaker 2: not including obviously the course field game there, So for
- 1:04:58Speaker 2: me my home ern call, I was gonna say Bryce Harper,
- 1:05:00Speaker 2: I'm glad you said him, because I'm going to his teammate.
- 1:05:02Speaker 2: I'm going to Brandon Marsh. I'm running the hot bat there.
- 1:05:05Speaker 2: Lefties get to Max Scherzer. Brandon Marsh hitting good, good
- 1:05:08Speaker 2: right now. I like his price point as well in
- 1:05:11Speaker 2: the ownership. Give me Brandon Marsh to round out the
- 1:05:14Speaker 2: show here. For g Rosen, I'm Aid's good luck tonight
- 1:05:17Speaker 2: in those contests. Hope to see those shipping nation logos
- 1:05:20Speaker 2: at the top. We're out of here, peace,