Latest / Toadstool Sports / Sunday BEST BETS | Selective Sunday | MLB & WNBA | 8/16/26

Transcript

Sunday BEST BETS | Selective Sunday | MLB & WNBA | 8/16/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: your chicks.
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: Black coffee on the felt. Man, you look like a mess.
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head.
• 0:29
  Speaker 2: Now you stare at the chips like they made you
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: this man. But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: from the floor.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Your name steal means something on somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Put the glass down.
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: Baby, look at me. Now, hold on, hold on nothing line, now,
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: hold on, hold on.
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: Me, but it'll get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on.
• 1:17
  Speaker 2: And stay with me.
• 1:19
  Speaker 4: Now, what's up?
• 1:28
  Speaker 5: Eerdbody, It's Toad back with you. Toadstool Sports Sunday, August sixteenth,
• 1:36
  Speaker 5: one and one on the show. Yesterday it was a
• 1:38
  Speaker 5: loss because we had two favorite plays. Detroit Tigers did
• 1:43
  Speaker 5: not get there, you know, a close game.
• 1:46
  Speaker 4: They were not the better team in the game. It
• 1:48
  Speaker 4: was not good.
• 1:50
  Speaker 5: I thought they had the better of the starting pitchers
• 1:53
  Speaker 5: by a significant margin and that did not really play
• 1:56
  Speaker 5: out that way in the game.
• 1:58
  Speaker 4: I'm not happy about that.
• 1:59
  Speaker 5: We did at the Milwaukee Brewers correct in the night game,
• 2:03
  Speaker 5: so that was a one to one a day with
• 2:05
  Speaker 5: those two plays. I'm gonna have two plays today as well.
• 2:09
  Speaker 5: Both in baseball. I have one side one total. I'm
• 2:13
  Speaker 5: not loving this board, really, but I don't think I
• 2:16
  Speaker 5: have much else to say. Let's get into it. And
• 2:18
  Speaker 5: there's no football even though it's a Sunday. All the
• 2:20
  Speaker 5: preseason games were Thursday through Saturday, I believe, so I
• 2:24
  Speaker 5: think we have no football again until Thursday. But I mean,
• 2:30
  Speaker 5: I'm not doing anything with the preseason anyway. My reads
• 2:32
  Speaker 5: on those games have been kind of all over the place.
• 2:36
  Speaker 5: We do have some WNBA today as well, but I'm
• 2:38
  Speaker 5: not interested in the WNBA games today either.
• 2:41
  Speaker 4: All right, a lot of afternoon baseball here.
• 2:44
  Speaker 5: Baltimore Tampa Bay twelve fifteen Eastern Peacock. So once again
• 2:49
  Speaker 5: I have a play in this game, and once again
• 2:52
  Speaker 5: you get a play for me.
• 2:53
  Speaker 4: That's in the first game on the slate, and.
• 2:56
  Speaker 5: It happens to be a TV game to some extent
• 2:59
  Speaker 5: as well. It's just the way that it is, man,
• 3:02
  Speaker 5: It's the way that.
• 3:02
  Speaker 4: It works out.
• 3:06
  Speaker 5: We're gonna take Tampa Bay in this one. On the
• 3:08
  Speaker 5: money line, A minus one thirty eight or so is
• 3:10
  Speaker 5: the price here.
• 3:11
  Speaker 4: I know.
• 3:11
  Speaker 5: It's one of those ones in this range where you
• 3:14
  Speaker 5: got to pay some money for it if you wanted
• 3:16
  Speaker 5: to do it a little bit differently and like make
• 3:18
  Speaker 5: it into a minus one run line to get the
• 3:20
  Speaker 5: price down. I'm not gonna really disagree with that, but
• 3:24
  Speaker 5: I say we just roll with this. I think Tampa
• 3:27
  Speaker 5: Bay is in a bounce back spot here at this point.
• 3:30
  Speaker 5: This is a wrap around series, so these teams are
• 3:32
  Speaker 5: actually playing tomorrow as well.
• 3:35
  Speaker 4: So it's a four game series.
• 3:36
  Speaker 5: But Tampa Bay's lost the first two games of the series.
• 3:39
  Speaker 5: I think you can kind of explain both of them.
• 3:41
  Speaker 5: They only lost each one by one run. The first
• 3:44
  Speaker 5: one was a return home spot, and you know, I
• 3:45
  Speaker 5: talked about how difficult that is, especially when you're traveling
• 3:48
  Speaker 5: across country, have to adjust to the time zone, and
• 3:51
  Speaker 5: then you have the distractions that might come into play.
• 3:53
  Speaker 5: So Tampa lost that game. Then they lost again yesterday
• 3:57
  Speaker 5: in a game where I thought maybe losing that win
• 4:00
  Speaker 5: streak that they had would hang them over into the
• 4:02
  Speaker 5: next game, and maybe that is what happened there. Baltimore
• 4:05
  Speaker 5: is showing up in this series, There's no doubt about that.
• 4:07
  Speaker 5: And I'm not saying they're gonna not be motivated here.
• 4:09
  Speaker 5: But Tampa Bay is the better team. They're really good
• 4:12
  Speaker 5: at home typically and they're now in a spot where
• 4:16
  Speaker 5: they're on the verge of potentially getting swept in the series,
• 4:18
  Speaker 5: although again they have to play tomorrow as well.
• 4:21
  Speaker 4: I think you'll get the effort out of Tampa Bay here.
• 4:23
  Speaker 5: Man. They're still the best home team in baseball. I'm
• 4:26
  Speaker 5: pretty sure based on their home record. Their bullpen is
• 4:30
  Speaker 5: in decent shape coming into this one. The only is
• 4:32
  Speaker 5: three guys out of the bullpen yesterday Baltimore used five,
• 4:36
  Speaker 5: and Tampa Bay is ranked higher in bullpenal though they're
• 4:39
  Speaker 5: ranked second, and I don't think they're that good, but
• 4:41
  Speaker 5: I do think they have a bullpen edge in this
• 4:43
  Speaker 5: game over Baltimore, who is thirteenth. Although if you wanted
• 4:47
  Speaker 5: to take the bullpen's out and just focus on starting pitching,
• 4:50
  Speaker 5: I'm not gonna disagree with going Tampa Bay in the
• 4:52
  Speaker 5: first five here either, but I think the price is
• 4:55
  Speaker 5: probably gonna be higher if you do it that way.
• 4:57
  Speaker 5: Tampa's the better offense as well, they're sick. I arranged
• 5:01
  Speaker 5: this by ops. Baltimore is fifteenth, tied with the A's,
• 5:05
  Speaker 5: and I arrange the bullpen by whip, as you guys
• 5:08
  Speaker 5: know if you watch my show. But I actually think
• 5:10
  Speaker 5: Tampa Bay has the starting pitching edge here as well,
• 5:14
  Speaker 5: which people might not think that by looking at these
• 5:17
  Speaker 5: surface numbers. Here, Trevor Rodgers is pitching for Baltimore. He's
• 5:20
  Speaker 5: had the better season over Peralta here, There's no doubt
• 5:23
  Speaker 5: about that. I don't think he's the better pitcher if
• 5:26
  Speaker 5: you look the bigger picture of the career and you
• 5:29
  Speaker 5: look at how these pictures are trending, and we'll look
• 5:31
  Speaker 5: at the matchup numbers, so I actually think we have
• 5:33
  Speaker 5: a sneaky edge with Tampa's pitching here. But Rogers, yeah,
• 5:36
  Speaker 5: he's had a pretty good season. Four point two to
• 5:38
  Speaker 5: one e RA, one point twenty five whip for Baltimore.
• 5:41
  Speaker 4: Not too bad.
• 5:42
  Speaker 5: He is a little bit better on the road four
• 5:44
  Speaker 5: point seven Roady RA. He had three really good starts
• 5:48
  Speaker 5: in a row. But then he looks like he's kind
• 5:50
  Speaker 5: of trending in the wrong direction if you think this
• 5:52
  Speaker 5: is a trend, because his last outing was kind of
• 5:54
  Speaker 5: shorter and it wasn't really as good against Minnesota. But
• 5:58
  Speaker 5: the kicker really is he's not good against Sampa Bay.
• 6:01
  Speaker 5: In forty eight bats, three seventy five average, one thousand
• 6:04
  Speaker 5: and seven oh ps, allowed four to four strikeout walk ratio.
• 6:08
  Speaker 4: So Rogers he has very well.
• 6:11
  Speaker 5: I would say he has yeah, below average numbers against
• 6:13
  Speaker 5: Sampa Bay. They've been able to hit him there. Rodgers
• 6:16
  Speaker 5: overall does have a decent hit right here. It doesn't
• 6:19
  Speaker 5: really walk that many guys in a strike up rate
• 6:21
  Speaker 5: is okay, But I'm looking at the matchup numbers, they
• 6:24
  Speaker 5: don't look that good to me. Throughout his career, really,
• 6:27
  Speaker 5: he hasn't been that good until last year.
• 6:29
  Speaker 4: He did have a really good season with Baltimore last year.
• 6:31
  Speaker 5: For a little bit more than half the season. This
• 6:34
  Speaker 5: year has been a little bit worse than that. He
• 6:36
  Speaker 5: was struggling early in the season. He's got a really
• 6:39
  Speaker 5: average strikeout walk ratio, like right at three strikeouts per
• 6:43
  Speaker 5: nine or pretty much average as well. I would say.
• 6:46
  Speaker 5: So he's not a great pitcher. Freddie Peralta pitching for Tampa.
• 6:50
  Speaker 5: But when he's been good in his career, he's been
• 6:52
  Speaker 5: the better of these two pitchers, like over the Like
• 6:55
  Speaker 5: I said, over his career, all of it with Milwaukee
• 6:58
  Speaker 5: until this year, he was quite good. Until this year.
• 7:01
  Speaker 5: He has had some real struggles here. He had a
• 7:03
  Speaker 5: really bad majority of the season with the Mets. I
• 7:07
  Speaker 5: still kind of think that was just an environment thing.
• 7:10
  Speaker 5: Maybe pitching for a team it's not in contention wasn't
• 7:13
  Speaker 5: motivating enough for him. I don't know, so I don't
• 7:17
  Speaker 5: know how much you want to dig into these numbers here.
• 7:19
  Speaker 5: He has a five point three to three ERA one
• 7:21
  Speaker 5: point five whip. Those are bad numbers. His strikeout walk
• 7:25
  Speaker 5: ratio is not very good, lower than three. He's walked
• 7:27
  Speaker 5: too many guys this year. His strikeout up er nine
• 7:30
  Speaker 5: rate is down this year as well. For me, it's
• 7:33
  Speaker 5: usually above ten throughout his career. But he's not that
• 7:36
  Speaker 5: old and he hasn't had any significant injury, so you
• 7:40
  Speaker 5: could see why I've been saying that I don't think
• 7:42
  Speaker 5: he's this bad, like as bad as he's shown this year,
• 7:45
  Speaker 5: and he might be turning it around. He's made two
• 7:48
  Speaker 5: starts with Tampa. The first one was kind of a
• 7:51
  Speaker 5: bad draw, I would say in Colorado. He did do
• 7:54
  Speaker 5: well there, but he pitched in the A's Stadium after that,
• 7:56
  Speaker 5: which is another difficult stadium to pitch in, and he
• 7:59
  Speaker 5: did well well in that start in the next one,
• 8:02
  Speaker 5: so he's trending in the right direction.
• 8:04
  Speaker 4: I would say.
• 8:04
  Speaker 5: In Tampa did actually win both of those games, so
• 8:07
  Speaker 5: they gave him a lot of run support there. So
• 8:10
  Speaker 5: I do think the change of scenery is actually going
• 8:12
  Speaker 5: to help Paralta. I do think he looks like he's
• 8:14
  Speaker 5: moving in the right direction. I think he's going to
• 8:16
  Speaker 5: improve with Tampa Bay. His career tells you he's not
• 8:20
  Speaker 5: as bad as what we're seeing out of him this year.
• 8:22
  Speaker 5: And he's been good against Baltimore in his career in
• 8:24
  Speaker 5: thirty nine at bats two h five average allowed, six
• 8:27
  Speaker 5: 't eighty five ops, fifteen to five strike out walk ratio,
• 8:32
  Speaker 5: and you'll get his numbers.
• 8:33
  Speaker 4: Overall. His issue has been the walks this year.
• 8:35
  Speaker 5: That's really been well, Actually, he's been too hittable as well,
• 8:38
  Speaker 5: so my mistakes. So yeah, he's been putting your guys
• 8:41
  Speaker 5: on base just all over the place.
• 8:43
  Speaker 4: That's true. Bad season.
• 8:46
  Speaker 5: Usually the walks are his main issue, but usually it's
• 8:48
  Speaker 5: not this bad. And again I'm saying I think he's
• 8:51
  Speaker 5: going to turn it around and maybe have a decent
• 8:53
  Speaker 5: stretch run here. His strike out rate has been decent
• 8:56
  Speaker 5: over the course of the season, so he does still
• 8:58
  Speaker 5: have strike cut ability here. Again, I think maybe it
• 9:01
  Speaker 5: was a problem with motivation. I guess we'll see but
• 9:04
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna back Tampa Bay here in this one. Seventy
• 9:07
  Speaker 5: two percent of tickets, eighty six percent of the cash
• 9:09
  Speaker 5: on them. They're in the minus one thirty something range.
• 9:12
  Speaker 5: As I said, they opened a little bit higher than that.
• 9:15
  Speaker 5: Actually full game total is seven and a half right now,
• 9:19
  Speaker 5: juice to the over money kind of coming in on
• 9:21
  Speaker 5: the over in this one. I mean, I can understand why,
• 9:25
  Speaker 5: Like you could make the argument that there could be
• 9:28
  Speaker 5: some runs here on both sides, I suppose, but I'm
• 9:31
  Speaker 5: focusing on the side obviously. Tampa Bay is I think
• 9:34
  Speaker 5: one of the better plays of the day and the
• 9:36
  Speaker 5: only side that I have on my card here.
• 9:39
  Speaker 4: Arizona and Atlanta.
• 9:40
  Speaker 5: This is the end of this series, and Atlanta is
• 9:43
  Speaker 5: trying to avoid the sweep at home. These home teams
• 9:46
  Speaker 5: trying to avoid sweeps. Man, a lot of times you
• 9:49
  Speaker 5: do want to look their way. Atlanta's had a really
• 9:51
  Speaker 5: bad series too. Mean, I would score twelve to three
• 9:54
  Speaker 5: shut out in the first game, then they allowed ten
• 9:56
  Speaker 5: runs yesterday. Arizona's hot right now and Atlanta maybe kind
• 10:00
  Speaker 5: of in cruise control mode here. But I think you're
• 10:03
  Speaker 5: gonna get motivation out of them here because you don't
• 10:05
  Speaker 5: want to get swept at home, man, you know, and
• 10:07
  Speaker 5: maybe Arizona gets a little bit high after those first
• 10:11
  Speaker 5: two wins.
• 10:12
  Speaker 4: Arizona's playing Boston next.
• 10:13
  Speaker 5: I don't think they're gonna be like looking ahead or
• 10:15
  Speaker 5: anything like that, So I'm not too concerned with Arizona
• 10:18
  Speaker 5: as far as that's concerned. So I think Atlanta is
• 10:21
  Speaker 5: the situational play here. The problem is, I don't really
• 10:25
  Speaker 5: love Atlanta necessarily in the starting pitching. Although you'll actually
• 10:29
  Speaker 5: see the matchup numbers actually are not that bad for
• 10:32
  Speaker 5: Atlanta here. Atlanta did use three relief pitchers yesterday, some
• 10:36
  Speaker 5: heavy usage from those guys, lighter usage from Arizona's three
• 10:40
  Speaker 5: relief pitchers they use yesterday.
• 10:41
  Speaker 4: Atlanta's still the.
• 10:42
  Speaker 5: Better bullpen, though their ranked third Arizona's fifth, but I
• 10:45
  Speaker 5: don't think it's that close. Atlanta's half a run better
• 10:48
  Speaker 5: in the era, So I think those rankings, even though
• 10:52
  Speaker 5: I like whit better, I think those rankings tend to
• 10:54
  Speaker 5: be somewhat misleading in a way. Atlanta's the better offense
• 10:58
  Speaker 5: there ain't eighth, although Arizona had has been good since
• 11:00
  Speaker 5: the All Star break. There's seventeenth, tied with the Yankees.
• 11:04
  Speaker 5: Michael Sraka is getting the start for Arizona. He just
• 11:08
  Speaker 5: came back from injury. I think in his last start.
• 11:11
  Speaker 5: He's had a good season two point nine two ERA
• 11:13
  Speaker 5: one point one whip and this might be Oh. No,
• 11:16
  Speaker 5: I was gonna say, is this his first time facing
• 11:18
  Speaker 5: his former team? No, he was on three different teams
• 11:21
  Speaker 5: after Atlanta.
• 11:21
  Speaker 4: My mistake. It was all really quick though.
• 11:23
  Speaker 5: I barely remember any of that, Like, I only remember
• 11:26
  Speaker 5: him being on Atlanta and then Arizona.
• 11:28
  Speaker 4: So I don't know.
• 11:30
  Speaker 5: Maybe he'll still get up for it because Arizona is Orsuzi.
• 11:33
  Speaker 5: Atlanta is the team where he spent most of his career,
• 11:36
  Speaker 5: and he's going to pitch against them here. Soroka, Yeah,
• 11:40
  Speaker 5: so two point nine two e RRA one point one
• 11:42
  Speaker 5: whip on the season, that's good. He's not as good
• 11:44
  Speaker 5: on the road four point five to four Roady Ray,
• 11:47
  Speaker 5: so you might be able to fade him here his
• 11:49
  Speaker 5: first start back. They I think they kind of limited
• 11:51
  Speaker 5: his pitch count here. He had some control issues. He
• 11:54
  Speaker 5: didn't allow any runs against the Rockies. It was at home,
• 11:58
  Speaker 5: but he did walk too many guys there. Still, I'm
• 12:00
  Speaker 5: not gonna put too much weight into that because we've
• 12:02
  Speaker 5: seen what he's done over the course of the season.
• 12:04
  Speaker 5: Hasn't walked many guys, not a lot of many hits,
• 12:07
  Speaker 5: a decent strikeout rate.
• 12:09
  Speaker 4: We can see all that.
• 12:10
  Speaker 5: The strike out walk ratio is good because he doesn't
• 12:12
  Speaker 5: walk many guys. So yeah, strikeouts per nine looks all
• 12:16
  Speaker 5: right as well. So Raka against Atlanta, though, has not
• 12:19
  Speaker 5: been that good in thirty seven at bats to seventy average,
• 12:22
  Speaker 5: allowed seven to seventy four ohps, six to four.
• 12:25
  Speaker 4: Strikeout walk ratio.
• 12:27
  Speaker 5: So you might be able to look towards Atlanta here
• 12:30
  Speaker 5: based on both the situation and the specific matchups here.
• 12:34
  Speaker 5: And so Raka is not as good on the road,
• 12:35
  Speaker 5: and Bryce Elder is actually better at home, even though
• 12:38
  Speaker 5: there's still just something in the back of my head
• 12:40
  Speaker 5: like I can't do it, man, because Soroka is the
• 12:44
  Speaker 5: better pitcher over Elder, and I don't really want to
• 12:46
  Speaker 5: back Elder here, and Elder was not good in its
• 12:49
  Speaker 5: last star but I do think I'm gonna be leaning
• 12:52
  Speaker 5: towards the Braves.
• 12:53
  Speaker 4: And this one. Elder four point zero three r A
• 12:57
  Speaker 4: one point.
• 12:57
  Speaker 5: Two to five whip mediocre stuff here, but like I said,
• 13:00
  Speaker 5: better at home three point five to six home last start,
• 13:04
  Speaker 5: though at home, he got wrecked by the Mets, and
• 13:06
  Speaker 5: I did actually give out a play on the Mets
• 13:08
  Speaker 5: in that game. We got that one correct. Elder was
• 13:11
  Speaker 5: and was not good in that one. He was pitching
• 13:14
  Speaker 5: pretty well for the few starts prior to that, but
• 13:16
  Speaker 5: he's got some issues here.
• 13:18
  Speaker 4: His walk rate is a little bit high.
• 13:20
  Speaker 5: He allows a lot of home runs, so some of
• 13:22
  Speaker 5: the contact that he allows us too hard. Doesn't really
• 13:25
  Speaker 5: strike many guys out. That's kind of a problem. His
• 13:28
  Speaker 5: hit rate isn't too bad though advanced analytics guys again
• 13:31
  Speaker 5: have issues with him because he doesn't strike anybody or
• 13:33
  Speaker 5: he doesn't strike that many guys out. To strike out
• 13:35
  Speaker 5: walk ratio has never really been that good. It's below three,
• 13:39
  Speaker 5: and to strike out per nine is in the seven,
• 13:42
  Speaker 5: so that's some really mediocre stuff. But he's good against
• 13:45
  Speaker 5: Arizona typically and sixty at bats two hundred average five
• 13:49
  Speaker 5: twenty eight ohps allowed fourteen to five strike out walk ratio,
• 13:53
  Speaker 5: So the matchup numbers do seem to support this. I
• 13:57
  Speaker 5: would lean Atlanta here. Atlanta's trying to avoid the sweep,
• 14:00
  Speaker 5: They're at home, their small favorite here. Soroka not as
• 14:03
  Speaker 5: good on the road, Elder better at home. I think
• 14:06
  Speaker 5: Atlanta will have the better bullpen behind them here, Atlanta
• 14:09
  Speaker 5: with the better offense, better matchup numbers supporting Elder over
• 14:15
  Speaker 5: Soroka as well here, So yeah, I would lean Atlanta here.
• 14:18
  Speaker 5: The money is not agreeing with that though. Atlanta dropped
• 14:21
  Speaker 5: from minus one thirty one down to minus one nineteen
• 14:24
  Speaker 5: or so here, and they're the public side seventy percent
• 14:27
  Speaker 5: of tickets fifty nine percent of cash on them, so
• 14:30
  Speaker 5: the public's still just playing the team with the better record,
• 14:33
  Speaker 5: I guess, even though Arizona's kind of been the hudder
• 14:35
  Speaker 5: of these two teams here, although I think Atlanta was
• 14:38
  Speaker 5: on a nice win streak not too long ago, so
• 14:42
  Speaker 5: maybe you know that is also kind of keeping the
• 14:44
  Speaker 5: public sort of on their side.
• 14:46
  Speaker 4: But yeah, I would lean to Atlanta here.
• 14:47
  Speaker 5: The market reed doesn't support it, though, and the money
• 14:51
  Speaker 5: is coming in on the over for whatever that's worth
• 14:53
  Speaker 5: at about nine. I don't really have a good read
• 14:57
  Speaker 5: on the total there, but I think if I was
• 14:59
  Speaker 5: going to play game, I would just play Atlanta on
• 15:01
  Speaker 5: the money line market not agreeing with it. Red Sox
• 15:05
  Speaker 5: and Pittsburgh my Boston Red Sox with the win yesterday,
• 15:09
  Speaker 5: Sonny Gray, good start from him again yesterday. Man, I
• 15:13
  Speaker 5: think I was kind of correct with my read yesterday.
• 15:15
  Speaker 5: I believe I did say Red Sox and first five
• 15:18
  Speaker 5: under or something like that. In the game, both of
• 15:20
  Speaker 5: those would have hit. Red Sox won four to nothing,
• 15:23
  Speaker 5: but they put up three runs in the ninth inning
• 15:25
  Speaker 5: against Luke Weaver, and really nobody in the Red Sox
• 15:28
  Speaker 5: lineup was doing a whole lot yesterday except WILLI or
• 15:31
  Speaker 5: Bray you although you you know it was one nothing
• 15:35
  Speaker 5: Red Sox leading to the ninth inning. But what I
• 15:36
  Speaker 5: will say is the Red Sox stranded a lot of
• 15:38
  Speaker 5: base runners in that game.
• 15:40
  Speaker 4: So the Red Sox were the better team in that game.
• 15:42
  Speaker 5: They had a lot of opportunities with the runners in
• 15:44
  Speaker 5: the scoring position where they completely failed, and Jared Jones
• 15:48
  Speaker 5: was getting some really crucial strikeouts. I think Jones is
• 15:50
  Speaker 5: pretty good. This is gonna be a much weaker pitching
• 15:53
  Speaker 5: matchup here. Paul Skeens was supposed to start this game,
• 15:56
  Speaker 5: and then it was gonna be Skeens against Sandoval, which
• 16:00
  Speaker 5: I would say, yeah, the Red Sox would have no
• 16:02
  Speaker 5: chance to win that game, even though schemes has been
• 16:05
  Speaker 5: having some issues, Like I think he's hurt Man. There's
• 16:08
  Speaker 5: something going on. It's velocities down. I don't know what
• 16:10
  Speaker 5: the deal is. Even though he was able to get
• 16:12
  Speaker 5: through his last start with a pretty like a quality start,
• 16:16
  Speaker 5: there's still something wrong with him. But he's not pitching today,
• 16:18
  Speaker 5: So the Red Sox is gonna avoid him and they're
• 16:21
  Speaker 5: gonna basically get a Pittsburgh bullpend game here. Problem is
• 16:24
  Speaker 5: the Red Sox are pitching Patrick Sandoval here, and that
• 16:27
  Speaker 5: guy sucks. So my first instinct looking at this game
• 16:31
  Speaker 5: was this pitching blows across the board, so I was thinking,
• 16:34
  Speaker 5: probably the over might be the way to look at
• 16:36
  Speaker 5: this game. The Red Socks are gonna have the better
• 16:39
  Speaker 5: bullpen here, these two guys out of the bullpen yesterday.
• 16:42
  Speaker 5: They did use Chapman though, even though they had a
• 16:44
  Speaker 5: four run lead. I don't know if I liked that
• 16:46
  Speaker 5: move or not, but he hadn't had any work in
• 16:49
  Speaker 5: a while. However, maybe they should have let him rest
• 16:52
  Speaker 5: more because they might actually need him to come in
• 16:54
  Speaker 5: for a save situation at some point, and you kind
• 16:57
  Speaker 5: of want to rest him as you're going down the
• 16:59
  Speaker 5: stretch run here sort of as much as you can
• 17:02
  Speaker 5: because he's old.
• 17:03
  Speaker 4: So I don't know, or you know, maybe.
• 17:05
  Speaker 5: The Red Sox should I don't know if they should
• 17:07
  Speaker 5: switch to a different closer. I don't know if I
• 17:09
  Speaker 5: want to go that far, but I don't know. Chapman
• 17:12
  Speaker 5: seems to allow guys to get on base quite a bit,
• 17:14
  Speaker 5: though I don't think he did yesterday. Pittsburgh used three
• 17:17
  Speaker 5: relief pitchers yesterday. Luke Weaver was terrible in the ninth inning.
• 17:21
  Speaker 5: Maybe not the greatest pick up for them. There's a
• 17:23
  Speaker 5: reason why the Yankees got rid of him and then
• 17:25
  Speaker 5: the Mets traded him away at the trade deadline. Here,
• 17:28
  Speaker 5: Pittsburgh is not a good bullpen really. They're twenty third.
• 17:31
  Speaker 5: The Red Sox are number one, so Red Sox have
• 17:35
  Speaker 5: a bullpen advantage here. Pittsburgh is the better offense. They're
• 17:38
  Speaker 5: ranked fourth, and I keep pointing out I think there's
• 17:40
  Speaker 5: still the number one home offense, although I don't know.
• 17:43
  Speaker 5: They scored zero yesterday, so I don't know. Sonny Gray
• 17:46
  Speaker 5: really good performance from him yesterday. Red Sox fourteenth in
• 17:50
  Speaker 5: offense here. Seems kind of wild to have the Red
• 17:53
  Speaker 5: Sox ranked higher offensively than the Yankees. Man, because I
• 17:56
  Speaker 5: just don't think that that's really accurate, but it's kind
• 18:00
  Speaker 5: of hilarious. The way things are working out right now,
• 18:02
  Speaker 5: Red Sox are not gonna make it as far as
• 18:04
  Speaker 5: the Yankees though.
• 18:05
  Speaker 4: I'm sorry, Yeah.
• 18:08
  Speaker 5: I don't know, man, I'm not liking what we're seeing
• 18:09
  Speaker 5: out of the Red Sox recently. Patrick Sandoval remains in
• 18:12
  Speaker 5: their rotation. He's pitching today. He looks good because he
• 18:16
  Speaker 5: has a three point three RA, but his whip is
• 18:18
  Speaker 5: one point seven. I mean, come on, man, he's putting
• 18:22
  Speaker 5: more than one and a half guys on base per inning. Yeah,
• 18:25
  Speaker 5: you can't do that. He's getting extremely lucky. He has
• 18:28
  Speaker 5: a two point nine to three Roady Ray, yet his
• 18:30
  Speaker 5: opponent batting average both home and road over three hundred.
• 18:34
  Speaker 4: So yeah, he can't sustain this. He sucks. You look
• 18:37
  Speaker 4: at his career numbers. They're not very good. He's putting too.
• 18:40
  Speaker 5: Many guys on base in basically every way you could imagine,
• 18:43
  Speaker 5: too many hits, too many walks. Strike got rad is fine,
• 18:47
  Speaker 5: but this is otherwise not good. Strike out walk ratio,
• 18:51
  Speaker 5: not good. Streke out per nine is like the only
• 18:54
  Speaker 5: number that he.
• 18:54
  Speaker 4: Has that's really tolerable.
• 18:57
  Speaker 5: I would say, although, yeah, like he's had pretty much
• 19:00
  Speaker 5: all quality starts.
• 19:01
  Speaker 4: Well not, I wouldn't say that.
• 19:02
  Speaker 5: A couple of the starts didn't make it five innings,
• 19:04
  Speaker 5: but he's allowed two reviewer earned runs in all but
• 19:07
  Speaker 5: one start. So do with that what you want. I
• 19:10
  Speaker 5: guess the Red Sox had won his first five starts
• 19:13
  Speaker 5: and then they finally lost one last time out, and
• 19:15
  Speaker 5: he wasn't really that bad in that one, but it
• 19:18
  Speaker 5: was against Toronto. He had the lead over Dylan Cease
• 19:21
  Speaker 5: in that game. Then the Red Sox blew it late
• 19:23
  Speaker 5: and they had they allowed some unearned runs. Now, Pittsburgh
• 19:27
  Speaker 5: is unfamiliar with Sandoval. They have three guys so have
• 19:29
  Speaker 5: faced him nine at bats. He only hit is a
• 19:31
  Speaker 5: home run from Brandon low Or it seems like the
• 19:34
  Speaker 5: announcers call him Lao. I'm like, it's Low. Like what
• 19:38
  Speaker 5: I'm gonna still call him low?
• 19:39
  Speaker 4: I can't do it, man.
• 19:41
  Speaker 5: But Pittsburgh, Yeah, they have a one to eleven average
• 19:43
  Speaker 5: against Sandoval five fifty six ohps five, zero strikeout walk ratio.
• 19:47
  Speaker 5: So yes, he has been good against them in a
• 19:49
  Speaker 5: small sample, but I don't trust him. I don't think
• 19:52
  Speaker 5: there's any way you can and Pittsburgh since they pushed
• 19:55
  Speaker 5: Skeens back. They're gonna use basically a bullpen game here.
• 19:59
  Speaker 5: They're using Lake Bashar or wherever you pronounce this guy's name.
• 20:03
  Speaker 5: They got him at the trade deadline from Miami. He's
• 20:06
  Speaker 5: had a good season, I mean three point nine to
• 20:08
  Speaker 5: seventy RA one point oh wait, whip. He was good
• 20:11
  Speaker 5: at home pitching with Miami at two point three seven
• 20:13
  Speaker 5: Homi RA. That might wind up going up with Pittsburgh, though,
• 20:17
  Speaker 5: you know, because Pittsburgh it's not as pitcher friendly here
• 20:20
  Speaker 5: as Miami Stadium is. It looks like he strouddled a
• 20:24
  Speaker 5: little bit since coming over to Pittsburgh's last outing was
• 20:27
  Speaker 5: kind of bad, giving up three runs in three innings
• 20:29
  Speaker 5: against his former team Miami.
• 20:31
  Speaker 4: He did not do well there. What I will say
• 20:34
  Speaker 4: about this game is.
• 20:36
  Speaker 5: Bashar might not be the I think he will probably start,
• 20:39
  Speaker 5: and he'll be like an opener, and he'll probably go
• 20:41
  Speaker 5: about three innings here, I would imagine or something like that.
• 20:44
  Speaker 5: Maybe they'll let him go a little bit longer because
• 20:47
  Speaker 5: they probably don't want to use their bullpen that significantly.
• 20:49
  Speaker 5: I think they do have to play tomorrow too, but yeah,
• 20:53
  Speaker 5: they do. They're playing Detroit tomorrow. I think a lot
• 20:55
  Speaker 5: of most teams are playing tomorrow. Unfortunately we have a
• 20:59
  Speaker 5: longer Monday than we usually do. But what I was
• 21:03
  Speaker 5: gonna say is, you could play this. If you're gonna
• 21:04
  Speaker 5: play this game, you could play it as Sandoval must start.
• 21:07
  Speaker 5: Don't pick a starter for Pittsburgh because it's going to
• 21:09
  Speaker 5: be some bullpen mix.
• 21:11
  Speaker 4: Here for Pittsburgh.
• 21:12
  Speaker 5: You know, uh, Bashar Red Sox have faced him a
• 21:15
  Speaker 5: little bit. They have five guys who have faced him
• 21:19
  Speaker 5: six at bats. The only hit as a single from
• 21:21
  Speaker 5: Wilson Contrera's two strikeouts. No walks to what you want
• 21:25
  Speaker 5: with that, but it's a small sample size on both sides.
• 21:28
  Speaker 5: The numbers look good, but it's so small I don't
• 21:31
  Speaker 5: think you read into it at all. Bashar has been
• 21:33
  Speaker 5: the better of these two pitchers, for whatever that's worth.
• 21:37
  Speaker 5: You'll get just as overall numbers, but most of it
• 21:39
  Speaker 5: is coming out of the bullpen. You know, his strike
• 21:41
  Speaker 5: out rates decent. It's above one per inning, so that's good.
• 21:44
  Speaker 5: He doesn't allow many hits at all, so he's much
• 21:46
  Speaker 5: harder to hit than sand of all is.
• 21:48
  Speaker 4: His walk rate is kind of.
• 21:49
  Speaker 5: Mediocre, though, But I don't think we really need to
• 21:52
  Speaker 5: dig into his numbers too much because I don't think
• 21:54
  Speaker 5: he's gonna be out there that long.
• 21:56
  Speaker 4: I think the over is still probably the right move
• 21:59
  Speaker 4: in this game.
• 21:59
  Speaker 5: If are gonna try to play this game, I don't
• 22:01
  Speaker 5: want to do it. But the money looks like it
• 22:04
  Speaker 5: doesn't agree with me. Uh, sixty four percent of tickets
• 22:07
  Speaker 5: on the over, sixty two percent of the cash on
• 22:08
  Speaker 5: the under, totals at eight eight and a half. I
• 22:11
  Speaker 5: guess I don't. I don't agree with the market read there.
• 22:15
  Speaker 5: I would play the game over. I think you have
• 22:17
  Speaker 5: lackluster pitching here.
• 22:18
  Speaker 4: Both ways.
• 22:19
  Speaker 5: You're gonna get a lot of Pittsburgh's bullpen in here,
• 22:21
  Speaker 5: and they're not that good. Sandoval's way worse than his
• 22:24
  Speaker 5: numbers look as far as the side, probably a slight
• 22:27
  Speaker 5: lean towards Pittsburgh for me, maybe just in the first five,
• 22:31
  Speaker 5: because the Red Sox do have a bullpen edge eighty
• 22:34
  Speaker 5: nine percent of tickets, ninety two percent of the cash
• 22:36
  Speaker 5: on the Red Sox. They're a small favorite in the
• 22:38
  Speaker 5: Pickham range, they're public.
• 22:40
  Speaker 4: It looks like they did flip.
• 22:41
  Speaker 5: It looks like it was gonna be minus one twenty
• 22:43
  Speaker 5: if it was Skiens, which seems like a really low
• 22:46
  Speaker 5: price on a Skiens game, to be honest, like that,
• 22:49
  Speaker 5: if it was Skiens, I might be coming in on
• 22:52
  Speaker 5: Pittsburgh here, to be honest, although this seems like there's
• 22:54
  Speaker 5: something not right with him. But since the pitching change
• 22:58
  Speaker 5: was announced, the Red Sox flipped to the favor because
• 23:00
  Speaker 5: of that. I don't think Sandoval should be a road
• 23:03
  Speaker 5: favorite really against anybody, So Pittsburgh first five might be
• 23:06
  Speaker 5: a way to look. Although Pittsburgh might be a favorite
• 23:09
  Speaker 5: in the first five because the odds makers know Sandoval's
• 23:12
  Speaker 5: terrible and the Red Sox bullpen is good. So if
• 23:15
  Speaker 5: you're gonna fade the Red Sox pitching, probably you should
• 23:18
  Speaker 5: be limiting it to the first five and then Bashar
• 23:22
  Speaker 5: or however he pronounce his name, probably be out there
• 23:24
  Speaker 5: for at least the majority of the first five innings
• 23:27
  Speaker 5: for you.
• 23:27
  Speaker 4: If you do it that way, I guess all right.
• 23:31
  Speaker 5: Yankees Toronto. The Yankees are trying to avoid getting swept here.
• 23:34
  Speaker 5: Toronto beat Cam Schlitler yesterday with a three to one
• 23:37
  Speaker 5: win two days ago and a four to one win yesterday.
• 23:40
  Speaker 5: Yankees offense continuing to struggle. This has been a low
• 23:44
  Speaker 5: scoring series. Man with two struggling offenses.
• 23:47
  Speaker 4: I don't know how else to put it.
• 23:49
  Speaker 5: Yankees have the better bullpen here, and they should have
• 23:52
  Speaker 5: a significant bullpen advantage here because the usage was less
• 23:55
  Speaker 5: these four guys, but really their better relievers didn't come
• 23:58
  Speaker 5: into the game yesterday and it was somewhat lighter used
• 24:01
  Speaker 5: as Toronto used a bullpen game yesterday and somehow beat
• 24:05
  Speaker 5: Schlittler with it.
• 24:06
  Speaker 4: Not good, not a good sign for the Yankees offense.
• 24:11
  Speaker 5: Toronto used seven relief pitchers in that effort, so their
• 24:15
  Speaker 5: bullpen is not in good shape here.
• 24:17
  Speaker 4: Yankees are number four in.
• 24:19
  Speaker 5: Bullpen whip, but then the number two era, which I
• 24:22
  Speaker 5: think is I think basically that is what they are
• 24:24
  Speaker 5: the second best bullpen. Toronto is sixteenth, so they're not
• 24:27
  Speaker 5: a bad bullpen, but you can see that they're really
• 24:30
  Speaker 5: overworked right now. Yankees have the better offense, as much
• 24:34
  Speaker 5: as they've been struggling. Their seventeenth tied with the Arizona.
• 24:37
  Speaker 5: Toronto is dead last thirtieth. Starting pitching, though, does favor
• 24:42
  Speaker 5: Toronto here. Ryan Weathers is pitching for the Yankees, so
• 24:46
  Speaker 5: not one of their better starters.
• 24:48
  Speaker 4: He's not been that bad.
• 24:49
  Speaker 5: Three point six to nine e Ra one point two
• 24:51
  Speaker 5: to one whip he's actually a little bit better on
• 24:54
  Speaker 5: the road three point three to five roady RA.
• 24:57
  Speaker 4: He's been decent.
• 24:58
  Speaker 5: Pretty much for the whole seas man. His hit rate's
• 25:02
  Speaker 5: not too high, doesn't really walk that many guys. His
• 25:04
  Speaker 5: strike out rate is actually pretty good and he gets
• 25:07
  Speaker 5: a lot of ground balls, so looking at it overall,
• 25:09
  Speaker 5: strike out walk ratio is actually the best that it's
• 25:11
  Speaker 5: been in any season in his career, and this is
• 25:14
  Speaker 5: the longest season that he's had, so that's not bad
• 25:18
  Speaker 5: for him. His strike out walk ratio, I was gonna say,
• 25:20
  Speaker 5: I think that or starguts for nine, I mean, is
• 25:22
  Speaker 5: probably at its highest as well, and that is basically
• 25:26
  Speaker 5: the case as well. Yes that's true, so yeah, do
• 25:30
  Speaker 5: with that what you want. But Weathers has had his
• 25:32
  Speaker 5: best season this year. However, he's not good against Toronto
• 25:36
  Speaker 5: and thirty seven at bats even though this is not
• 25:38
  Speaker 5: a good offense three point fifty one average allowed one
• 25:40
  Speaker 5: thy seventy one oh ps nine to one strike out
• 25:44
  Speaker 5: walk ratio. Good ratio there, but the rest of these
• 25:46
  Speaker 5: numbers not good. So Toronto might actually be able to
• 25:50
  Speaker 5: do some damage here offensively against him and Toronto is
• 25:53
  Speaker 5: going with Dylan Cees here, So the Yankees should be
• 25:56
  Speaker 5: the more motivated team here because I try to avoid
• 25:58
  Speaker 5: the sweep even they're they're not going to miss the
• 26:02
  Speaker 5: playoffs the Yankees, you know, but believe it or not,
• 26:04
  Speaker 5: Toronto is in like a five way tie for the
• 26:09
  Speaker 5: last wildcard spot right now.
• 26:10
  Speaker 4: It's completely insane.
• 26:12
  Speaker 5: I think it's a five way tie between like Minnesota, Toronto, Baltimore,
• 26:16
  Speaker 5: Texas and is it Detroit Maybe I forget something like that,
• 26:21
  Speaker 5: And yeah, Seattle isn't really too far back from that.
• 26:24
  Speaker 5: It's the al is insane, man Like, nobody is really
• 26:29
  Speaker 5: exert Like I don't know what's what's the word I'm
• 26:31
  Speaker 5: looking for. Nobody is nobody has emerged as the team
• 26:35
  Speaker 5: that's gonna take that last wildcard spot. So I don't know, though,
• 26:39
  Speaker 5: you know, knowing the Red Sox, they might just completely
• 26:41
  Speaker 5: fall apart.
• 26:42
  Speaker 4: I have no idea. But Cease is pitching here.
• 26:44
  Speaker 5: The Blue Jays will at least probably have motivation here
• 26:47
  Speaker 5: because why wouldn't you when it's a series against the Yankees.
• 26:50
  Speaker 5: But also technically they can make the playoffs, so technically
• 26:54
  Speaker 5: they're a tie for the last spot right now. Two
• 26:57
  Speaker 5: point four ERA, one point seven width for c He's
• 27:00
  Speaker 5: obviously having a really good season. Not as good at
• 27:02
  Speaker 5: home though, three point zero four home RA, but still
• 27:05
  Speaker 5: good numbers. Had some command issues last time with the
• 27:08
  Speaker 5: Red Sox. Last time against the Red Sox, Red Sox
• 27:12
  Speaker 5: blew that game. The Red Sox were beating Dylan Cease
• 27:15
  Speaker 5: with Sandoval in the mound, which is insane to think
• 27:18
  Speaker 5: about the Red Sox bullpen and some bad fielding kind
• 27:22
  Speaker 5: of did them in in that game.
• 27:23
  Speaker 4: That's kind of crazy.
• 27:25
  Speaker 5: But seas overall he's been good, although, yes, his walk
• 27:27
  Speaker 5: rate is kind of an issue, but he's very unhittable.
• 27:30
  Speaker 5: He strikes out a ton of guys. It's just yeah,
• 27:32
  Speaker 5: he does have some command issues. That's been the case
• 27:35
  Speaker 5: throughout his career, which does keep his strikeout walk ratio
• 27:38
  Speaker 5: from really being ever that good. But his strikeoup per
• 27:41
  Speaker 5: nine is insane. It's really high this year. It's the
• 27:44
  Speaker 5: highest that it's been in any season over thirteen, which
• 27:48
  Speaker 5: is really crazy. And he is also good against the
• 27:51
  Speaker 5: Yankees and eighty nine at bats two thirteen average allowed
• 27:54
  Speaker 5: six six thirty oh ps, twenty three to ten strikeout
• 27:58
  Speaker 5: walk ratio. You know, I mean I'm not gonna come
• 28:04
  Speaker 5: in on this game because I do think the Yankees
• 28:05
  Speaker 5: are gonna be the more motivated team here, and you
• 28:07
  Speaker 5: know you're gonna have to pay a price with Dylan Cees.
• 28:10
  Speaker 5: The money is back in Toronto. It looks like though
• 28:12
  Speaker 5: somewhat sixty nine percent of ticket seventy six percent of
• 28:15
  Speaker 5: the cash on them. It's a reasonable ish price if
• 28:19
  Speaker 5: you do want to try to play Toronto minus like
• 28:21
  Speaker 5: one twenty or something. If you play Toronto, I would
• 28:23
  Speaker 5: say take them in the first five only, and maybe
• 28:27
  Speaker 5: that is actually the best approach in this game, just
• 28:30
  Speaker 5: to play cease out pitching Weathers in the first five.
• 28:33
  Speaker 5: You probably have to pay more of a price for it, though,
• 28:36
  Speaker 5: Like you're probably gonna be looking at like minus one
• 28:38
  Speaker 5: forty on Toronto if you do it that way, or
• 28:40
  Speaker 5: maybe even higher. And if it's higher than that, maybe
• 28:42
  Speaker 5: you do a minus half a run on the run
• 28:44
  Speaker 5: line there. You need Toronto to score if you do that,
• 28:48
  Speaker 5: but they might be able to do that a little
• 28:50
  Speaker 5: bit against Weathers. The money is coming in on the
• 28:52
  Speaker 5: under as well. The total seven that tells you how
• 28:56
  Speaker 5: how weak these offenses have been recently. A total of
• 28:59
  Speaker 5: seven man some of it is obviously the cease factor,
• 29:03
  Speaker 5: cease and desist.
• 29:05
  Speaker 4: But still, this is a low It's a pretty low.
• 29:08
  Speaker 4: It's a little man.
• 29:08
  Speaker 5: So the oddsmakers seem to think it's gonna be low
• 29:10
  Speaker 5: scoring the money it seems like it actually agrees with that.
• 29:14
  Speaker 5: I'm not gonna come in and try to play an
• 29:16
  Speaker 5: under in that one though, no way. But I think
• 29:19
  Speaker 5: Toronto first five makes some sense. I think you have
• 29:21
  Speaker 5: to exclude their bullpen though it's not the better bullpen
• 29:24
  Speaker 5: and it's the less rested bullpen there. But motivationally, the
• 29:29
  Speaker 5: Yankees kind of make sense. And if you want to
• 29:32
  Speaker 5: if you want to take the Yankees, you'll get them.
• 29:33
  Speaker 4: As an underdog.
• 29:34
  Speaker 5: And if you do take the Yankees, you should do them.
• 29:37
  Speaker 5: Do that in the full game. But yeah, I don't
• 29:40
  Speaker 5: have a great read on that game. But my slight
• 29:41
  Speaker 5: lean would be Toronto first five. All right, White Sox
• 29:46
  Speaker 5: and Detroit. Detroit man not on my good side right now.
• 29:51
  Speaker 5: Losing by one run yesterday, you know it was it
• 29:54
  Speaker 5: was a legitimate loss. They lost a game. They were
• 29:56
  Speaker 5: not the better team in the game. I don't know
• 29:58
  Speaker 5: what else to say. Detroit's good. Recently, Chicago has now
• 30:03
  Speaker 5: sort of started pulling away a little bit in this division.
• 30:06
  Speaker 4: Again, they're four and a half games up over Detroit.
• 30:08
  Speaker 5: Like I said, I think Detroit is tied in the
• 30:10
  Speaker 5: last wildcard spot right now with all those other teams,
• 30:12
  Speaker 5: and I think out of all those teams, I think
• 30:15
  Speaker 5: Detroit is the best out of that mix.
• 30:17
  Speaker 4: And the run differential supports that.
• 30:21
  Speaker 5: Detroit has a very positive run differential, one of the
• 30:23
  Speaker 5: best in the entire American League, which is ridiculous to
• 30:27
  Speaker 5: think about. That tells you Detroit is better than their
• 30:30
  Speaker 5: record looks, although some of that was back when they
• 30:32
  Speaker 5: still had school ball and whatever. But they've been playing
• 30:34
  Speaker 5: pretty well since the trade deadline, except they haven't been
• 30:38
  Speaker 5: doing well in this series. Maybe Detroit shows up here, man,
• 30:41
  Speaker 5: they're another home team trying to avoid a sweep here.
• 30:45
  Speaker 5: White Sox probably will still be motivated here, but maybe
• 30:48
  Speaker 5: after they've won the series, maybe they do kind of
• 30:51
  Speaker 5: take their foot off the gas a little bit. The
• 30:53
  Speaker 5: White Sox here, they do have a big series next
• 30:56
  Speaker 5: against the Cobs. So they have their Subway Series or
• 30:59
  Speaker 5: whatever you want to call it, coming up next against
• 31:01
  Speaker 5: the Cubs, and they've already won this yeraries they already
• 31:03
  Speaker 5: have a bigger lead over Detroit, So yeah, I mean, situationally,
• 31:06
  Speaker 5: I think it does favorite Detroit with the situation. The
• 31:09
  Speaker 5: problem is the pitching matchup definitely does not favorite Detroit here.
• 31:14
  Speaker 5: So Detroit's another one of those teams trying to avoid
• 31:17
  Speaker 5: like the Yankees, Detroit trying to avoid a sweet but
• 31:19
  Speaker 5: they don't have the starting pitching edge here. So it's yeah,
• 31:23
  Speaker 5: a little bit difficult to try to figure the game out,
• 31:27
  Speaker 5: like which one of those do you way more heavily right,
• 31:29
  Speaker 5: like situation slash motivation or the way better starting pitcher?
• 31:35
  Speaker 5: You know, Detroit used three relief pitchers yesterday. They're probably
• 31:39
  Speaker 5: gonna need They're both going to be pretty rested here
• 31:42
  Speaker 5: because it looks like they're basically going with a bullpen
• 31:44
  Speaker 5: game here.
• 31:45
  Speaker 4: White Sox use three relief pitchers yesterday.
• 31:48
  Speaker 5: These teams are ranked pretty closely in both bullpen and
• 31:51
  Speaker 5: offense Detroit fourteenth, White Sox fifteenth in bullpen and offensively
• 31:57
  Speaker 5: Detroit twelfth. White Sox are actually up to nine now
• 32:00
  Speaker 5: again offensively, so they've been doing pretty well recently there.
• 32:03
  Speaker 5: White Sox are going with Sean Burke. Like I said,
• 32:06
  Speaker 5: they have the better starter here. He's had a really
• 32:09
  Speaker 5: good season two point nine to nine ERA one point
• 32:11
  Speaker 5: oh wait whip. He's established himself as like their best
• 32:15
  Speaker 5: starter two point sixty three roadyra so he's been good
• 32:18
  Speaker 5: on the road as well, really good in his last
• 32:20
  Speaker 5: downing against the reds wasn't really good in his previous
• 32:23
  Speaker 5: one against the Red Sox, but over the last month plus,
• 32:26
  Speaker 5: that Red Sox start was like the only bad one
• 32:28
  Speaker 5: that he had. Weird because he was going back home
• 32:31
  Speaker 5: because he's from Sutton, mass So, I don't know.
• 32:34
  Speaker 4: What that was.
• 32:37
  Speaker 5: But yeah, he's got a low hit rate on the season,
• 32:39
  Speaker 5: doesn't really walk that many guys. His strike up rate
• 32:41
  Speaker 5: is nice and high. All that stuff looks good. Strike
• 32:45
  Speaker 5: out walk ratio close to four, that's good, strike out
• 32:48
  Speaker 5: for nine above ten that's also good. Numbers against Detroit
• 32:52
  Speaker 5: are fairly good as well. In thirty at bats to
• 32:55
  Speaker 5: sixty seven average allowed, six to sixty seven ops five
• 32:58
  Speaker 5: to three. Strikeout walk ratio is not good, but the
• 33:01
  Speaker 5: rest of these numbers are good.
• 33:02
  Speaker 4: So I think Burke should probably do well again here.
• 33:05
  Speaker 4: He's in the better of his home road splits. He's
• 33:07
  Speaker 4: good against Detroit.
• 33:09
  Speaker 5: Detroit is good at home, though typically, so you know,
• 33:13
  Speaker 5: they do fall into that team trying to avoid the
• 33:15
  Speaker 5: sweep at home, and they're better at home. But if
• 33:18
  Speaker 5: you want to back them, you have to back Drew
• 33:20
  Speaker 5: Anderson and a bullpend game basically against Burke. I wouldn't
• 33:26
  Speaker 5: really want to do that. Anderson three point nine to one,
• 33:28
  Speaker 5: ing ra one point three whip. He did go four
• 33:30
  Speaker 5: innings last time against Cleveland, so they're kind of letting
• 33:33
  Speaker 5: him go deeper into the game. Maybe it's depending on
• 33:37
  Speaker 5: pitch count matchup, you know, I mean, everything does kind
• 33:39
  Speaker 5: of depend on that, but whatever. I wouldn't really trust
• 33:42
  Speaker 5: him though. The White Sox when they have faced and
• 33:44
  Speaker 5: they have twelve at bats against him a four to
• 33:46
  Speaker 5: seventeen average, fourteen to seventeen ops. Yeah, I mean, basically
• 33:52
  Speaker 5: it looks like it's gonna be a bullpen game. The
• 33:54
  Speaker 5: motivation is there on the Detroit side. But I think
• 33:57
  Speaker 5: if I was forced to play this game, I think
• 33:59
  Speaker 5: I would have to lead to the White Sox. I
• 34:01
  Speaker 5: just think the pitching is too much of an edge
• 34:04
  Speaker 5: for them in my opinion, and the money seems to agree.
• 34:06
  Speaker 5: Seventy nine percent of tickets eighty seven percent of the
• 34:08
  Speaker 5: cash on them it's basically a pick them price there,
• 34:12
  Speaker 5: and because it's the Detroit bullpen game, I would basically yeah,
• 34:15
  Speaker 5: I would just say do it full game. I think
• 34:17
  Speaker 5: if you do it, you should pick Burke must start
• 34:19
  Speaker 5: because he's a huge part of that handicap. Don't pick
• 34:22
  Speaker 5: a starter for Detroit because it's going to be some
• 34:24
  Speaker 5: sort of bullpen game. Probably it will be Anderson, but
• 34:26
  Speaker 5: I don't know if that's completely guaranteed. So that's what
• 34:30
  Speaker 5: I think about that game. Miami in Cincinnati. These teams
• 34:33
  Speaker 5: to split this series at this point. I mean, I
• 34:36
  Speaker 5: think Miami, I guess technically is trying to get a
• 34:39
  Speaker 5: wildcard spot, but I don't know, man, you might be
• 34:41
  Speaker 5: able to argue these teams are trying to play out
• 34:43
  Speaker 5: the stretch here as well.
• 34:47
  Speaker 4: This split the series so far.
• 34:48
  Speaker 5: Like I said, so, probably some motivation here from both sides.
• 34:51
  Speaker 5: The Reds bullpen is bad. They used whatever this is
• 34:55
  Speaker 5: five guys yesterday. Miami used four. Miami will have the
• 34:58
  Speaker 5: bullpen edge in this game. They're number six, although I
• 35:01
  Speaker 5: don't think they're quite that good, but they're better than Cincinnati,
• 35:04
  Speaker 5: who's twenty fifth. I feel like I just repeat myself,
• 35:07
  Speaker 5: but you know, just going through the process. Miami's number
• 35:10
  Speaker 5: nine in offense, tied with the White Sox that we
• 35:13
  Speaker 5: just talked about, Cincinnati twenty third, tied with San Diego.
• 35:17
  Speaker 5: That's not a good sign. So Miami has the better
• 35:20
  Speaker 5: offense as well. On the surface, just first glance at this,
• 35:23
  Speaker 5: Miami has the better pitcher on the mound here too,
• 35:26
  Speaker 5: Juri Perez. He's definitely the picture with the much higher
• 35:29
  Speaker 5: ceiling out of the two pitchers today, and the picture
• 35:32
  Speaker 5: with way more talent. The problem is the matchup numbers
• 35:34
  Speaker 5: don't really look great for him. But he's had a
• 35:37
  Speaker 5: good season. This has been like his best season so far.
• 35:39
  Speaker 5: Three point three to ninety Ray, one point one to
• 35:41
  Speaker 5: one whip. That's all good. He's not quite as good
• 35:44
  Speaker 5: on the road three point nine Roady Ray. However, his
• 35:47
  Speaker 5: opponent batting average on the road is good. It's just
• 35:50
  Speaker 5: he walks too many guys on the road for whatever reason.
• 35:53
  Speaker 5: But the batting average is below two hundred there. Perez
• 35:56
  Speaker 5: has been striking a lot of guys out recently. He's
• 35:58
  Speaker 5: been in pretty good form over the past last month plus.
• 36:01
  Speaker 5: Like he's only a lot more than tour in runs
• 36:03
  Speaker 5: twice in here He's had multiple shutouts in here. The
• 36:07
  Speaker 5: offense isn't back him very well, like Miami's losing most
• 36:11
  Speaker 5: of his games, but most of it isn't his fault.
• 36:13
  Speaker 5: He's got a low hit rate, his walk rate is
• 36:15
  Speaker 5: not too bad, like he's had problems with walks in
• 36:19
  Speaker 5: his career, but this year he's kind of figured that
• 36:21
  Speaker 5: out a bit. And his strikeout rate is high as well,
• 36:23
  Speaker 5: so these numbers look good. He's got his strikeout walk
• 36:26
  Speaker 5: ratio right around three, although that's basically in line with
• 36:30
  Speaker 5: his career number, so I think his strikeout rate kind
• 36:33
  Speaker 5: of actually has gone a little bit down from what
• 36:36
  Speaker 5: he's done in the past. Yeah, it's it's around the same.
• 36:38
  Speaker 5: I guess strike out for nine, so I don't know.
• 36:42
  Speaker 5: Perez against the Reds though not great in forty four
• 36:45
  Speaker 5: at bats to seventy three average allowed ninety seven ops
• 36:48
  Speaker 5: thirteen to four strikeout walk ratio, so the strikeouts are
• 36:52
  Speaker 5: still there, but he does kind of struggle against the Reds,
• 36:55
  Speaker 5: and the Red's playing a much more hitter friendly ballpark
• 36:58
  Speaker 5: than Miami does, so that type of transition might be
• 37:01
  Speaker 5: a little bit negative for him. He's still overall better
• 37:05
  Speaker 5: than Nick Lodolo's pitching for Cincinnati.
• 37:07
  Speaker 4: Lodolo's had some issues.
• 37:09
  Speaker 5: Four point eight six ERA, one point four to six
• 37:11
  Speaker 5: whip is definitely not good, although if you look at
• 37:14
  Speaker 5: his career numbers, he's put up better numbers than this
• 37:16
  Speaker 5: throughout his career. Not a good season for him, though,
• 37:19
  Speaker 5: and he's not been good at home. Five point two
• 37:21
  Speaker 5: seven ERA at home. Came back from injury after missing
• 37:24
  Speaker 5: a month and had a pretty bad start at the
• 37:27
  Speaker 5: White Sox. Good command though, five strikeouts, no walks in
• 37:30
  Speaker 5: four innings, but he got hit around. You give it
• 37:32
  Speaker 5: three home runs, maybe you could argue you got a
• 37:35
  Speaker 5: little bit unlucky there. Hasn't really pitched that much this season.
• 37:40
  Speaker 5: He's got a high hit rate though high walk rate.
• 37:42
  Speaker 4: None of that is good.
• 37:43
  Speaker 5: Strike out rate is kind of mediocre. Strike out walk
• 37:47
  Speaker 5: race just kind of bad here at two that's not good.
• 37:51
  Speaker 5: Strikeouts for nine some of the worst that he's had
• 37:53
  Speaker 5: throughout his career. So his numbers, like I said, he's
• 37:56
  Speaker 5: been better throughout his career, which kind of does indicate
• 37:58
  Speaker 5: to me he should improve somewhat. But maybe the injuries
• 38:02
  Speaker 5: really affecting him. I don't know, but he has not
• 38:04
  Speaker 5: had a good season. However, Miami doesn't hit him well.
• 38:07
  Speaker 5: In thirty two at bats one eighty eight average allowed
• 38:10
  Speaker 5: four to seventy six ops.
• 38:13
  Speaker 4: This is a pass for me, obviously. What do you
• 38:15
  Speaker 4: do with this game?
• 38:16
  Speaker 5: When you have Miami has the better offense, Miami has
• 38:19
  Speaker 5: the better bullpen, Miami has the better starter. As far
• 38:22
  Speaker 5: as like talent level, Cincinnati.
• 38:25
  Speaker 4: Has a better starter.
• 38:25
  Speaker 5: As far as overall matchup numbers, Cincinnati starter isn't good
• 38:30
  Speaker 5: at home, Perez might struggle a little bit on the road.
• 38:33
  Speaker 4: Like what does that equate to?
• 38:34
  Speaker 5: Really, I'm not entirely sure what the best way to
• 38:37
  Speaker 5: play this game is. I mean, if you look at
• 38:39
  Speaker 5: if you weigh the matchup numbers, you could say Cincinnati
• 38:42
  Speaker 5: maybe is the right approach here. If you're gonna play Cincinnati,
• 38:45
  Speaker 5: you should do it in the first five because their
• 38:47
  Speaker 5: bullpen is very bad. Seventy four percent of tickets are
• 38:50
  Speaker 5: on Miami, fifty three percent of the cash on Cincinnati,
• 38:53
  Speaker 5: So the money does support that. The money's coming in
• 38:55
  Speaker 5: on Cincinnati. Miami has dropped a little bit down to
• 38:59
  Speaker 5: the minus eighteen range on the money line. Cincinnati first five, though,
• 39:03
  Speaker 5: you're probably gonna be looking at looking at.
• 39:05
  Speaker 4: A favorite price there.
• 39:06
  Speaker 5: If you do that there, there's probably an argument for
• 39:10
  Speaker 5: that though, like that Cincinnati in the first five might
• 39:13
  Speaker 5: actually be the better way to play this. Just looking
• 39:16
  Speaker 5: at the matchup numbers total in the games, eight and
• 39:18
  Speaker 5: a half money is coming in on the over. I
• 39:20
  Speaker 5: don't really disagree with the over either. I think there
• 39:23
  Speaker 5: are more arguments for the over than the under, Like
• 39:25
  Speaker 5: Perez might have some issues pitching in this stadium. But
• 39:29
  Speaker 5: it's just I keep going back to I don't know, man,
• 39:31
  Speaker 5: Like Cincinnati's offense just isn't that good, but they've been
• 39:35
  Speaker 5: able to hit Perez, so he doesn't have good matchup
• 39:37
  Speaker 5: members here. Lodolo has just struggled for most of the season,
• 39:40
  Speaker 5: hasn't been good at home. Yeah, so the over probably
• 39:44
  Speaker 5: is a lean for me there, But also Cincinnati in
• 39:46
  Speaker 5: the first five, I don't want anything to do with
• 39:48
  Speaker 5: any of that though.
• 39:49
  Speaker 4: It's it's ugly man.
• 39:51
  Speaker 5: San Diego and Cleveland on the I mean, this has
• 39:54
  Speaker 5: looked like an under series, and that's been the case.
• 39:57
  Speaker 5: Both games, I think have gone under the total. Oh no,
• 39:59
  Speaker 5: the first went over the total. What did I say?
• 40:01
  Speaker 5: I forgot that seven to five? That was crazy. I
• 40:04
  Speaker 5: liked the under in that one. I didn't put it
• 40:05
  Speaker 5: on my card.
• 40:06
  Speaker 4: I was close to.
• 40:07
  Speaker 5: Doing it and it got destroyed, so I'm glad I didn't.
• 40:11
  Speaker 5: Yesterday was much lower scoring. Cleveland won the game yesterday
• 40:14
  Speaker 5: six to one. I did give out a lean on
• 40:16
  Speaker 5: Cleveland yesterday, kind of mad. I didn't put it out
• 40:18
  Speaker 5: on my card because that was one of the closer
• 40:20
  Speaker 5: ones for me to putting it on my card. Cleveland
• 40:24
  Speaker 5: got the.
• 40:24
  Speaker 4: Wins, so this is an even series here. Now.
• 40:26
  Speaker 5: Cleveland's still trying to stay alive in the wildcard race. Here.
• 40:30
  Speaker 5: San Diego is looking pretty good as far as their
• 40:33
  Speaker 5: wildcard positioning right now. I think, actually, well maybe not,
• 40:36
  Speaker 5: because it's the National League. There are just too many No,
• 40:38
  Speaker 5: actually I don't think they are. There are too many
• 40:40
  Speaker 5: teams in that mix in the NL. So both teams
• 40:43
  Speaker 5: do have to keep playing hard here. Cleveland used three
• 40:45
  Speaker 5: relief pitchers yesterday. San Diego is the better bullpen. San
• 40:49
  Speaker 5: Diego used three as well, but not really they're better
• 40:52
  Speaker 5: relievers for the most part. San Diego is eighth in bullpen,
• 40:57
  Speaker 5: tied with the Mets. Cleveland is nineteenth, but they're not
• 41:00
  Speaker 5: that bad. Their eras at least below four, so I
• 41:02
  Speaker 5: think they're a little bit better than that would suggest.
• 41:05
  Speaker 4: But not as good as San Diego.
• 41:07
  Speaker 5: San Diego twenty third offensively tied with the Reds. Not good,
• 41:10
  Speaker 5: but Cleveland is worse Cleveland twenty ninth. So Cleveland does
• 41:14
  Speaker 5: not have the offensive edge here either. They probably don't
• 41:18
  Speaker 5: have the starting pitching edge here either. Casey My is
• 41:20
  Speaker 5: this pitcher for San Diego. They got him at the
• 41:23
  Speaker 5: trade deadline. He's had one bad start for them and
• 41:25
  Speaker 5: one good start for them so far, a three point
• 41:28
  Speaker 5: three eighty ra one point zero nine whips. He's been
• 41:30
  Speaker 5: good on the season. He's not been as good on
• 41:33
  Speaker 5: the road to four point four to seven. Roady Ra
• 41:37
  Speaker 5: got battered on the road in his first start with
• 41:40
  Speaker 5: San Diego at Arizona, but settled down had a nice
• 41:42
  Speaker 5: outing against Milwaukee after he had a bad second inning,
• 41:45
  Speaker 5: he settled way down and wound up having a really
• 41:47
  Speaker 5: nice start there. Good for us because we had the
• 41:50
  Speaker 5: under here on the show in that game and that
• 41:52
  Speaker 5: wound up winning. So Maz seems like he's bounced back
• 41:56
  Speaker 5: from that bad start. I think he's gonna continue pitching
• 41:59
  Speaker 5: well in my opinion, but he is going up against
• 42:01
  Speaker 5: a Cleveland team. It's very familiar with him, so he
• 42:04
  Speaker 5: was just on Detroit. Now he's going back to face
• 42:07
  Speaker 5: a former divisional foe here. However, maybe that's not a
• 42:10
  Speaker 5: bad thing because Cleveland's offense isn't good and they have
• 42:13
  Speaker 5: not been good against mis seventy at bats one to
• 42:16
  Speaker 5: eighty six, average allowed, five to sixty nine oh ps
• 42:19
  Speaker 5: eleven to five strikeout walk ratio is the only number
• 42:22
  Speaker 5: in here that really looks that bad, other than the
• 42:25
  Speaker 5: fact that I guess Jose Ramirez does do some damage
• 42:27
  Speaker 5: here against him, and Brian Rokio kind of also does,
• 42:31
  Speaker 5: but Miz generally does well against him. It looks like
• 42:34
  Speaker 5: it's a decent matchup for him there, so I don't
• 42:37
  Speaker 5: think that's bad. My first instinct on this game was
• 42:40
  Speaker 5: to look at the under here. I thought the under
• 42:42
  Speaker 5: might wind up being a play for me. The reason
• 42:44
  Speaker 5: it's not gonna happen is because of this guy, Tanner Biby,
• 42:47
  Speaker 5: even though generally I like him and I think he's
• 42:49
  Speaker 5: under the radar because his record looks so bad, but
• 42:52
  Speaker 5: that's because he's been getting no run.
• 42:54
  Speaker 4: Support this year.
• 42:55
  Speaker 5: He's a pretty good pitcher though, three point nine to
• 42:57
  Speaker 5: ninety RRA one point one to three.
• 42:59
  Speaker 4: Whip is not bad.
• 43:00
  Speaker 5: He's pretty good at home three point nine to two
• 43:02
  Speaker 5: homie RA last time, but he gave up some runs
• 43:06
  Speaker 5: against Detroit in a gamer.
• 43:07
  Speaker 4: I think maybe we lost on it.
• 43:09
  Speaker 5: Under in that one, I don't remember there was an
• 43:11
  Speaker 5: unearned run that came home against him, though, wound up
• 43:13
  Speaker 5: giving up five earned runs on five hits and two walks,
• 43:16
  Speaker 5: so he got a little bit unlucky or most of
• 43:18
  Speaker 5: the base runners that got on scored against him.
• 43:23
  Speaker 4: He's struggled a.
• 43:24
  Speaker 5: Little bit the previous outing two though against the Mets,
• 43:26
  Speaker 5: just in that they hit three home runs off him,
• 43:28
  Speaker 5: But he had a ton of strikeouts in that one too,
• 43:30
  Speaker 5: So I don't know what to think because Biaby was
• 43:32
  Speaker 5: pretty good for the majority of the month of July.
• 43:35
  Speaker 5: Looking at his overall numbers here, low hit rate, doesn't
• 43:38
  Speaker 5: really walk that many guys, but he allows a lot
• 43:41
  Speaker 5: of home runs though he's a very fly ball heavy
• 43:44
  Speaker 5: pitcher and he doesn't strike enough guys out. That is
• 43:46
  Speaker 5: kind of the issue here. His strikeout up walk ratio
• 43:50
  Speaker 5: is the lowest that it's been in his career this year,
• 43:52
  Speaker 5: which is not great. So his strikeout stuff has gone
• 43:55
  Speaker 5: down his strikeouts for nine or the worst that he's
• 43:57
  Speaker 5: had in his career, so there's something going on there,
• 44:00
  Speaker 5: or strikeout rate has gotten more so. However, his numbers
• 44:03
  Speaker 5: still are not that bad. But against San Diego they're bad.
• 44:07
  Speaker 5: In fifty two at bats, four to twenty three average allowed,
• 44:11
  Speaker 5: twelve eighty three ohps, eight to four strikeout walk ratio,
• 44:14
  Speaker 5: these numbers are not good. Man rin hefo hits him
• 44:18
  Speaker 5: really well in a decent amount of at bats, and
• 44:20
  Speaker 5: Freddy Furman, not to be confused with Freddy Freeman or
• 44:24
  Speaker 5: for mean, I don't know, does a lot of damage
• 44:26
  Speaker 5: to him as well. Not a good matchup for bibing Man.
• 44:30
  Speaker 5: So looking at all those numbers, yeah, I think San
• 44:35
  Speaker 5: Diego is probably the right side in that game. Like
• 44:38
  Speaker 5: I think the motivation will be there on both sides.
• 44:40
  Speaker 5: Looks like the money somewhat agrees with that, although the
• 44:43
  Speaker 5: public is also on that side. Seventy percent tickets, seventy
• 44:47
  Speaker 5: seven percent of the cash. It's basically a pick em price,
• 44:50
  Speaker 5: and to me, it looks like you're getting the better
• 44:53
  Speaker 5: of the starting pitching matchup. You're gonna have the better
• 44:55
  Speaker 5: bullpend behind you as well, and actually the better offense
• 44:59
  Speaker 5: because Cleveland's is the that bad. So yeah, I think
• 45:01
  Speaker 5: San Diego is the way to look in that game.
• 45:03
  Speaker 5: Not that strong of an opinion for me, though. Washington
• 45:06
  Speaker 5: and the New York Mets on ESPN Unlimited, the Mets
• 45:10
  Speaker 5: are on the verge of a sweep.
• 45:11
  Speaker 4: Believe it or not.
• 45:13
  Speaker 5: Washington seems to be kind of packing it in for
• 45:15
  Speaker 5: the season. Their offense seems to be dwindling a little bit,
• 45:18
  Speaker 5: even though there's still the number one ranked offense in ops.
• 45:22
  Speaker 5: Mets have had a good series, though, But are they
• 45:23
  Speaker 5: going to overlook Washington in the last game of the series.
• 45:27
  Speaker 5: I don't know, man, They're playing San Diego next. Maybe
• 45:30
  Speaker 5: that's a big series just because San Diego is in
• 45:35
  Speaker 5: the playoff picture whereas Washington is not. So maybe after
• 45:39
  Speaker 5: winning the first two games, maybe the Mets do start
• 45:41
  Speaker 5: looking ahead here. Issue is if you want to look
• 45:44
  Speaker 5: towards Washington because they might be the more motivated team here,
• 45:49
  Speaker 5: you're not getting the better pitching really, in any face
• 45:51
  Speaker 5: of the game. If you're trying to play Washington here,
• 45:54
  Speaker 5: you'll get the better offense behind you, but not the
• 45:56
  Speaker 5: better pitching. The Mets use two guys out of the
• 45:58
  Speaker 5: bullpen yesterday, they have the bullpen. Washington also used a
• 46:02
  Speaker 5: bunch Washington's five, so Washington should be at a pretty
• 46:05
  Speaker 5: significant bullpen disadvantage here. Mets are eighth ty with San
• 46:09
  Speaker 5: Diego not bad, Washington twenty sixth in bullpen not good.
• 46:15
  Speaker 5: Washington is number one in offense though, like I said,
• 46:18
  Speaker 5: so they're over the course of the season, they've still
• 46:20
  Speaker 5: been able to do that. The Mets twenty fifth. The
• 46:23
  Speaker 5: Mets have been at least less bad recently, and the
• 46:28
  Speaker 5: Mets are going up against Jake Irvin, and that's kind
• 46:31
  Speaker 5: of the problem again. If you want Washington to try
• 46:33
  Speaker 5: to avoid the sweep, you have to back the worst
• 46:34
  Speaker 5: pitcher here with Jake Irvin. Five point seven to ninety RA,
• 46:38
  Speaker 5: one point three to whip not great. He is better
• 46:41
  Speaker 5: on the road though, so maybe he is possibly backable
• 46:44
  Speaker 5: four point three to eighty RA on the road, one
• 46:46
  Speaker 5: sixty four opponent batting average, so he's been significantly better
• 46:50
  Speaker 5: on the road. But he came back from injury. He's
• 46:53
  Speaker 5: made three starts since coming back from injury after missing
• 46:56
  Speaker 5: like two months, and he hasn't been very good. He
• 46:59
  Speaker 5: made one decis starting there against Philly he's had too
• 47:02
  Speaker 5: many walks, really, and the other starts none of these
• 47:04
  Speaker 5: have gone deep, and the other two starts are both
• 47:06
  Speaker 5: bad at Atlanta and against the Cubs. Though those are
• 47:09
  Speaker 5: good offenses, the Mets are not as good as those
• 47:11
  Speaker 5: two teams, obviously. Irvin has been mediocre against the Mets
• 47:16
  Speaker 5: in seventy four at bats good, strikeout walk ratio twenty
• 47:19
  Speaker 5: two to four really good, but seven sixty nine ohps
• 47:23
  Speaker 5: allowed as a little higher, though the two forty three
• 47:25
  Speaker 5: average a lot isn't too bad, but he's still allowed
• 47:28
  Speaker 5: some power to these guys. And as far as Irvin,
• 47:32
  Speaker 5: you know overall, he's got a low hit rate here.
• 47:35
  Speaker 5: That's not too bad as walk rate is too high
• 47:37
  Speaker 5: though strike out rate is fairly good above one per inning,
• 47:41
  Speaker 5: but the walk rate is too high, so that's knocking
• 47:43
  Speaker 5: a strike out walk ratio down. So it's below average,
• 47:47
  Speaker 5: I would say. And strike up for nine is actually good.
• 47:50
  Speaker 5: It's the highest strike up for nine that he's posted
• 47:53
  Speaker 5: in his career, so he is striking guys out, so
• 47:55
  Speaker 5: at least there is that. So there are some okay
• 47:59
  Speaker 5: signs for Irvin, but not enough that I would want
• 48:01
  Speaker 5: to trust him at all. Really, and he's going up
• 48:04
  Speaker 5: against Christian Scott for the Mets, so I think is
• 48:06
  Speaker 5: the better pitcher here three point four to five. R
• 48:08
  Speaker 5: Rail Those whip is a little bit questionable at one
• 48:11
  Speaker 5: point three. Scott better Rray at home three point one
• 48:14
  Speaker 5: to nine. But his opponent batting average is a little
• 48:16
  Speaker 5: bit worse at home at two point fifty, I think
• 48:19
  Speaker 5: is what that was not great in his last outing
• 48:22
  Speaker 5: against Atlanta, four runs in four innings. Was too hittable there.
• 48:25
  Speaker 5: Those strikeout walk ratio is still good. He's still striking
• 48:28
  Speaker 5: guys out, so his strike out rate remains high, very high. Actually,
• 48:34
  Speaker 5: his hit rate is pretty low. His problem is the walks. Obviously, walks, Yeah,
• 48:40
  Speaker 5: the biggest issue with him by far. His strike out
• 48:42
  Speaker 5: rate is quite good, good enough that his strikeout walk
• 48:45
  Speaker 5: ratio is still good straight ups for nine, very high
• 48:48
  Speaker 5: at eleven point three. So he's got talent. Can definitely
• 48:51
  Speaker 5: strike guys out. He's got to do.
• 48:53
  Speaker 4: Something about his command, man, That's the one thing.
• 48:56
  Speaker 5: But he does have good numbers against Washington and sixteen
• 48:58
  Speaker 5: at bats one twentive average allowed, four to ten ops.
• 49:02
  Speaker 4: Those are good numbers.
• 49:03
  Speaker 5: Four to two strikeout walk race, You're not good but
• 49:05
  Speaker 5: the rest of those numbers are good, even though the
• 49:10
  Speaker 5: Washington side should be the more motivated side.
• 49:13
  Speaker 4: I don't think I could do it.
• 49:14
  Speaker 5: The money's actually coming in on the Mets seventy five
• 49:16
  Speaker 5: percent of tickets, eighty seven percent of the cash on
• 49:18
  Speaker 5: the Mets. I think I probably still agree with the Mets.
• 49:21
  Speaker 5: But the price is kind of insane and minus one's
• 49:24
  Speaker 5: sixty six or whatever. But the oddsmakers are telling you
• 49:27
  Speaker 5: something with that price, right, like, why would the Mets
• 49:29
  Speaker 5: be that heavily favored. The oddsmakers are telling you they
• 49:32
  Speaker 5: don't think the Mets are as bad as their record looks.
• 49:35
  Speaker 5: They think Scott has an advantage over Irvin to that degree,
• 49:39
  Speaker 5: and I might agree with that. And I think the
• 49:42
  Speaker 5: Mets do have the bullpen edge as well. They don't
• 49:43
  Speaker 5: have the hitting edge. I think they have the pitching
• 49:45
  Speaker 5: edge throughout this game. You have to lay the minus
• 49:48
  Speaker 5: one run line with the Mets, but that might be
• 49:51
  Speaker 5: the approach in this game. Man. I certainly don't want
• 49:54
  Speaker 5: to do it because the price does seem high to
• 49:56
  Speaker 5: me and it's not a great like it's not a
• 49:59
  Speaker 5: great spot at least for the Mets, you know, So
• 50:02
  Speaker 5: I'm definitely avoiding it. But matchup. The matchup supports the
• 50:06
  Speaker 5: Mets situation, not really. Philadelphia at Minnesota is another situation
• 50:12
  Speaker 5: with a home team trying to avoid a sweep, although
• 50:14
  Speaker 5: the first game was in the Field of Dreams Field,
• 50:17
  Speaker 5: so it wasn't really in Minnesota Stadium. But Minnesota followed
• 50:20
  Speaker 5: up that seven to one loss with a nine to
• 50:23
  Speaker 5: one loss at home yesterday, So yeah, Lozarno had the
• 50:27
  Speaker 5: upper hand in that one. I'm not too surprised by
• 50:29
  Speaker 5: that outcome, really, though. I thought pre Lip would probably
• 50:32
  Speaker 5: be a little bit better in that game. But Minnesota,
• 50:35
  Speaker 5: they're trying to avoid the sweep.
• 50:36
  Speaker 3: Here.
• 50:36
  Speaker 5: Both teams probably motivated because both teams are trying to
• 50:39
  Speaker 5: make wildcard spots. Minnesota maybe a little bit extra motivated
• 50:44
  Speaker 5: because they're one of those home teams trying to avoid
• 50:46
  Speaker 5: a sweep. If you're gonna try to play Minnesota, you
• 50:50
  Speaker 5: gotta avoid their bullpen. They used four relief pitchers yesterday.
• 50:54
  Speaker 5: Their bullpen is bad. Philadelphia's is not that much better.
• 50:57
  Speaker 5: They only used two guys out of the bullpen yesterday.
• 50:59
  Speaker 5: But I don't think you get back Minnesota's bullpen. They're
• 51:02
  Speaker 5: worse and less rested. They're twenty eighth out of the bullpen.
• 51:05
  Speaker 5: The Phillies are eighteenth, but Philly's era is still not good.
• 51:09
  Speaker 5: In the mid Forest offensively, Minnesota has been the better team.
• 51:13
  Speaker 4: They're thirteenth.
• 51:14
  Speaker 5: Philadelphia has moved up, I think slightly recently their twentieth
• 51:17
  Speaker 5: right now.
• 51:18
  Speaker 4: They struggled a.
• 51:19
  Speaker 5: Lot of the season though, and they're not as good
• 51:20
  Speaker 5: on the road Philadelphia. I don't think they have the
• 51:23
  Speaker 5: starting pitching at ye. When I first looked at this though,
• 51:25
  Speaker 5: I was like, this is a very bad pitching matchup,
• 51:29
  Speaker 5: you know. Like to me, my first instinct about this
• 51:31
  Speaker 5: game was to look at the over and maybe that
• 51:34
  Speaker 5: is still.
• 51:34
  Speaker 4: The right way.
• 51:36
  Speaker 5: Andrew Painter is pitching for Philly. Not a good season
• 51:40
  Speaker 5: for a man. I think he's been up and down
• 51:42
  Speaker 5: between the miners and the majors. I don't know if
• 51:44
  Speaker 5: there might have been an injury in there too. This
• 51:46
  Speaker 5: is rookie season. I'm pretty sure it has not gone well.
• 51:49
  Speaker 5: Six point two seventy RA, one point five to three WHIP.
• 51:52
  Speaker 5: He's been somewhat better on the road in some ways
• 51:55
  Speaker 5: five point nine to five ROADRA, but a higher.
• 51:57
  Speaker 4: Opponent batting average on the road.
• 52:00
  Speaker 5: He's been maybe a little bit better since I think
• 52:03
  Speaker 5: they brought him back up from the Miners after about
• 52:05
  Speaker 5: a month and he's had a couple.
• 52:07
  Speaker 4: Of decent starts in here.
• 52:09
  Speaker 5: He's been better at least, but the walks are still
• 52:11
  Speaker 5: a problem here. His hit rate is still a problem
• 52:14
  Speaker 5: over the course of the season. He's a lot too
• 52:16
  Speaker 5: many home runs, the walk rates too high. The strikeout
• 52:19
  Speaker 5: rate isn't even really that good, So there's still really
• 52:21
  Speaker 5: not a lot to like here. Bad strikeout walk ratio,
• 52:24
  Speaker 5: strikeouts for nine not impressive, So not much to like
• 52:28
  Speaker 5: other than Minnesota hasn't seen him before, so that might
• 52:30
  Speaker 5: be a little bit of an extra advantage to him
• 52:32
  Speaker 5: because he has the unfamiliarity there. But I can't trust
• 52:36
  Speaker 5: Painter here. Dean Kreamer is pitching for Minnesota, and I
• 52:39
  Speaker 5: think he might be the better starter here. Well, I
• 52:42
  Speaker 5: mean probably he is, even though maybe Painter has some
• 52:47
  Speaker 5: ceiling there, like maybe he starts to improve because he's
• 52:50
  Speaker 5: really really young. Creamer, we know what he is at
• 52:52
  Speaker 5: this point, right like he's thirty. He's established. We know
• 52:55
  Speaker 5: he's a mediocre pitcher. Five point two to five yr
• 52:58
  Speaker 5: ra this year doesn't really tell the whole one point
• 53:01
  Speaker 5: one to seven whip is actually pretty good. And he's
• 53:03
  Speaker 5: been a good home pitcher this year three point one
• 53:05
  Speaker 5: to three home ERA. But he mostly pitched with Baltimore.
• 53:10
  Speaker 5: Like his whole season pretty much was with Baltimore. It
• 53:12
  Speaker 5: was a short season. He pitched a little bit in April,
• 53:14
  Speaker 5: and then I think he was injured. And then he
• 53:16
  Speaker 5: came back and pitched throughout July, and he was not
• 53:18
  Speaker 5: good in July. Baltimore traded him away and he's actually
• 53:22
  Speaker 5: been okay and its two starts with Minnesota. Was decent
• 53:26
  Speaker 5: at Kansas City, and then he was really good against
• 53:28
  Speaker 5: his former team Baltimore. Like I said, I think he
• 53:30
  Speaker 5: was motivated to go up against the team that got
• 53:33
  Speaker 5: rid of him.
• 53:34
  Speaker 4: He really shredded Baltimore.
• 53:35
  Speaker 5: It was a seven inning, one hit performance there, one run,
• 53:38
  Speaker 5: allowed seven strikeouts, one walk. He might regress a little
• 53:42
  Speaker 5: bit from that because Creamer is not that good. He
• 53:45
  Speaker 5: is good against Philly though, in forty one at bats,
• 53:48
  Speaker 5: one ninety five average five point thirty five ops allowed
• 53:52
  Speaker 5: nine to four strikeout walk ratio. Now, Painter remains kind
• 53:56
  Speaker 5: of a mystery. I don't know what we're gonna get
• 53:59
  Speaker 5: out of Creamer. After that big performance of his and
• 54:01
  Speaker 5: his last owning al though at least for him, he
• 54:03
  Speaker 5: didn't throw that many pitches in that outing. Minnesota has
• 54:07
  Speaker 5: the motivation here trying to avoid the sweep, and I
• 54:11
  Speaker 5: think they do have the starting pitching edge here Creamer
• 54:13
  Speaker 5: over Painter or even though it's probably not the better
• 54:15
  Speaker 5: of the two jobs. I don't know, man, well, I
• 54:19
  Speaker 5: don't know. He's a milkman. I like myself a milk Sameli,
• 54:23
  Speaker 5: a milk connoisseur teen Creamer, although yeah, I don't love
• 54:27
  Speaker 5: Creamer because he played for the Israel team in the
• 54:30
  Speaker 5: World Baseball Classic. But whatever, my lead in this game
• 54:33
  Speaker 5: would be Minnesota in the first five. I think they
• 54:37
  Speaker 5: do have the better starter here, better matchup numbers, and
• 54:40
  Speaker 5: the motivation, So that is the way I would play this.
• 54:42
  Speaker 4: You gotta avoid their bullpen.
• 54:44
  Speaker 5: Philly is a small favorite, basically a pick them price
• 54:48
  Speaker 5: for the game, but Minnesota will likely be a favorite
• 54:50
  Speaker 5: in the first five.
• 54:52
  Speaker 4: I don't know what the price will be.
• 54:53
  Speaker 5: It might be minus one twenty, minus one thirty, but
• 54:55
  Speaker 5: I think that is the right.
• 54:56
  Speaker 4: Way to play.
• 54:57
  Speaker 5: This is money line. Minnesota first five eighty four percent
• 55:00
  Speaker 5: of tickets, ninety percent of the cash on Philly, so
• 55:04
  Speaker 5: the money slightly indicating on Philly, but they're very public,
• 55:07
  Speaker 5: so I don't really know if it means that much
• 55:10
  Speaker 5: money is also back in the over pretty strongly, sixty
• 55:13
  Speaker 5: four percent of tickets, ninety percent of the cash on
• 55:15
  Speaker 5: the over nine and a half. It's on it's above
• 55:18
  Speaker 5: that key number, you know, so you have to lay
• 55:19
  Speaker 5: the hook if you're gonna do that the nine and
• 55:21
  Speaker 5: a half. But I still agree with the over. I
• 55:24
  Speaker 5: think it's mostly bad pitching throughout that game. Both bullpens
• 55:28
  Speaker 5: are bad generally. I don't think either starter is really
• 55:30
  Speaker 5: that good, So the over my first instinct in that game.
• 55:33
  Speaker 5: I think does still make some sense in that one
• 55:35
  Speaker 5: as well. All right, Saint Louis and the Cubs, which
• 55:41
  Speaker 5: is an ABC games that's nationally televised, the nationally televised
• 55:46
  Speaker 5: afternoon game, big divisional matchup kind of. I mean, Saint
• 55:49
  Speaker 5: Louis is refusing to go away, so there is that,
• 55:52
  Speaker 5: and they might have extra motivation because they're playing against
• 55:55
  Speaker 5: a team that's above them in the standings. Cubs trying
• 55:58
  Speaker 5: to maintain a wildcards, but it's highly likely they're gonna
• 56:02
  Speaker 5: get one. They have a really good record, so I
• 56:03
  Speaker 5: don't see the Cubs not making the playoffs.
• 56:05
  Speaker 4: I think that would be a bit insane. These teams
• 56:08
  Speaker 4: is split.
• 56:09
  Speaker 5: The Cubs lost yesterday mostly because Joshua bye As I
• 56:12
  Speaker 5: think is his name. I think he's from Boston as well,
• 56:15
  Speaker 5: the Cardinals prospect they called up, hit three home runs
• 56:18
  Speaker 5: in his major league debut. I don't know if he's
• 56:21
  Speaker 5: gonna continue to be that good, but that was one
• 56:24
  Speaker 5: of the best major league debuts for a hitter that
• 56:26
  Speaker 5: we've ever seen, so that was one of the big
• 56:29
  Speaker 5: storylines yesterday. Saint Louis generally not a good offense, though
• 56:34
  Speaker 5: Saint Louis also not the better bullpen here. These three
• 56:36
  Speaker 5: guys out of the bullpen yesterday. Cubs also did it
• 56:39
  Speaker 5: a little bit lighter usage, and the Cubs are the
• 56:42
  Speaker 5: better bullpen. They are tenth here and Saint Louis is
• 56:47
  Speaker 5: twenty first. Hitting wise, the Cubs have been better as well.
• 56:50
  Speaker 5: They're third, even though I know Saint Louis is the
• 56:53
  Speaker 5: talk of the town right now, or Saint Louis is
• 56:54
  Speaker 5: the talk of major League baseball really because of that
• 56:57
  Speaker 5: bye As performance, But I would, you know, bring that
• 57:02
  Speaker 5: level of hype down a bit because their offense still
• 57:04
  Speaker 5: isn't good. They're twenty six. Even if he improves their
• 57:07
  Speaker 5: offensive bit, he's not gonna hit three home runs in
• 57:09
  Speaker 5: every game. Starting pitching, I think, does go to the
• 57:12
  Speaker 5: Cubs here as well, So I think the Cubs have
• 57:14
  Speaker 5: an advantage like basically everywhere in this game, bullpen, hitting
• 57:18
  Speaker 5: and starting pitching. No shade to a Hunter Dobbins pitching
• 57:22
  Speaker 5: for the Cardinals here. I like him, but he's a
• 57:25
  Speaker 5: very mediocre pitcher. Three point four era looks pretty good,
• 57:28
  Speaker 5: one point three to one whip is not that good.
• 57:30
  Speaker 5: He's been basically the same home and away, so he
• 57:33
  Speaker 5: is pretty consistent. He's basically not going to kill you
• 57:37
  Speaker 5: for the most part. When he goes out there. He'll
• 57:39
  Speaker 5: give you somewhere around five innings and allow a couple runs,
• 57:43
  Speaker 5: maybe a few runs, mediocre stuff, but generally that's what
• 57:47
  Speaker 5: he'll give you, like a mediocre start. He's got an
• 57:50
  Speaker 5: okay hit rate here, does walk too many guys. Just
• 57:53
  Speaker 5: strike out rate is okay as well, a lot of
• 57:55
  Speaker 5: mediocre stuff here. Kind of a low strikeout walk ratio
• 57:58
  Speaker 5: because the walk numbers high strike up for nine isn't
• 58:01
  Speaker 5: too bad here, so at least there is that against
• 58:04
  Speaker 5: the Cubs, he has not been good though forty at
• 58:07
  Speaker 5: bats against some three hundred average, allowed eight seventeen ops
• 58:10
  Speaker 5: nine to one at strike out walk ratio is the
• 58:13
  Speaker 5: only good thing in those numbers. There.
• 58:16
  Speaker 4: Edward Cabrera pitching for the Cubs.
• 58:17
  Speaker 5: I forgot about him. Man. He's been good throughout his career,
• 58:22
  Speaker 5: but he has not had a good season with the Cubs. However,
• 58:25
  Speaker 5: he's been injured for a while, and you know, veteran pitcher,
• 58:29
  Speaker 5: which he is. I like veteran pitchers coming back from
• 58:32
  Speaker 5: the injured list, man, because they've worked their way back.
• 58:35
  Speaker 5: Usually they're pumped to get out there to give you
• 58:36
  Speaker 5: a good start. I know some guys don't like it
• 58:38
  Speaker 5: and they worry about, oh, the guy's gonna be shaky.
• 58:41
  Speaker 5: But I think if he's gone through all his rehab
• 58:43
  Speaker 5: and he's about to start, he's a veteran, he's kind
• 58:45
  Speaker 5: of done this thing before. I think they tend to
• 58:48
  Speaker 5: actually give you a better start. Like they're excited to
• 58:51
  Speaker 5: get back out there, they want to do well. A
• 58:53
  Speaker 5: lot of times the team gets a little bit extra
• 58:55
  Speaker 5: motivated because, oh, yeah, we're getting one of our starters back.
• 58:58
  Speaker 5: You know a guy who's had a good care Cabrera's
• 59:00
  Speaker 5: career has been better than what his numbers look like
• 59:02
  Speaker 5: this year. Five point one era, one point four whip.
• 59:05
  Speaker 5: That's pretty ugly. And I know he's going from being
• 59:08
  Speaker 5: in Miami, who had a more pitcher friendly park, to
• 59:12
  Speaker 5: playing in Wrigley here, but I think Cabrera should be
• 59:15
  Speaker 5: better than what he's shown so far. He hasn't been
• 59:18
  Speaker 5: that good at home though, five point seven to one
• 59:20
  Speaker 5: homie area that is just a Wrigly hasn't really been
• 59:23
  Speaker 5: his thing man. And before he went down, yeah, he
• 59:25
  Speaker 5: was having some walk issues stuff like that. His hit
• 59:28
  Speaker 5: rate was not great. It was average for the most part.
• 59:32
  Speaker 5: Walk rate was a little bit high. Strike cut rate
• 59:34
  Speaker 5: was just okay, so not great here, strike got walk
• 59:38
  Speaker 5: race SHO was a little bit down from what it
• 59:39
  Speaker 5: was last year. Straight gouts for nine a bit down
• 59:43
  Speaker 5: from this has been. Like why I like him is
• 59:45
  Speaker 5: because he's been a really good strikeout pitcher throughout his career.
• 59:47
  Speaker 4: At least this year.
• 59:49
  Speaker 5: His strike cut rates gone down, so that doesn't look great.
• 59:53
  Speaker 5: He's facing a pretty weak Saint Louis offense here, but
• 59:57
  Speaker 5: Saint Louis's offense they've done okay some it's he doesn't
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 5: really have much of an advantage over them. I wouldn't
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 5: say they have much of an advantage over him either though.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 5: They have six hitters to have faced some twenty eight
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 5: at bats two eighty six average seven to thirty nine ops.
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 5: So that ops is lower than that seven point fifty
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 5: cutoff that I look for by a little bit.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 4: So they haven't really hitten for much power.
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 5: Burlison does have a home run off him, seven strikeouts,
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 5: one walk, Yeah, I mean, I think my lee would
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 5: be to the Cubs here after losing yesterday, possible bounce
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 5: back there. I think the Cubs do have the better
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 5: starter on the mound, they should have the better bullpen,
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 5: and hitting the money doesn't agree with that. One eighty
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 5: three percent of tickets sixty nine percent of the cash
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 5: on the Cubs. It is a TV game, so a
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 5: lot of times there's more public influx on those TV
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 5: games because people like to bet games that they're gonna watch,
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 5: you know. So there's gonna be a little bit more
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 5: public money on this game. And it's a divisional matchup,
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 5: you know, with decent markets going on in this game,
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 5: like decent TV markets or whatever in these cities. Eighty
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 5: three percent of ticket, sixty nine percent of the cash
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 5: on the Cubs. Like I was saying, minus one seventy
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 5: is about the price on them. It is kind of
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 5: a high price, which maybe isn't totally warranted. So the
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 5: money is coming in against the Cubs. I think the
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 5: Cubs will get the win.
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 4: I don't love the price.
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 5: I think if I was gonna play it, I would
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 5: probably be making like a minus one run line with
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 5: the Cubs there to get that price down.
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 4: I definitely do not want to do it, though. All right,
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 4: I'll be right back.
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 5: Five more games to talk about then, WNBA as well,
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 5: five more baseball games. One more play in here. You
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 5: might be able to guess what it is, and it's
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 5: a it's a very toad to play. I will tell
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 5: you that, and then WNBA. I'm avoiding, but I will
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 5: talk about it as I usually do.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 4: I'll be right back.
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 5: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We were on
• 1:01:54
  Speaker 5: OHN seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 5: It was just complete bullshit.
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 4: So that's that's how I'm gonna start off this show.
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 4: Horrible Sunday one and five.
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 5: I don't even know what to tell you above that
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 5: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 5: never seen anything like this.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 4: Man with the slump continuing.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 5: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 5: four next have not had I had a good season.
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 5: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 5: slump continues.
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 4: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm gonna burn my
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 4: Bruins hack.
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 5: Man, I don't know what is going on with the
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 5: Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 5: even know it's lists March ninth.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 4: I think who even knows? Man, I don't know what
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 4: data is anymore. But I don't even know what data
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 4: is anymore.
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 5: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 5: can possibly have, Back with you as I always am
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 5: until I die at least oh and two yesterday and
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 5: yesterday it did not go well for me. Own five
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 5: the worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 5: years doing this. I don't know what to even tell
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 5: you about this anymore. Slump series, slump, discontinuous, The slump continues.
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 4: Somebody fucking kill.
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 5: Me, please. I don't even know what I should do
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 5: at this point other than potentially end it all all right,
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 5: Colorado San Francisco is the next game. As we get
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 5: into the later evenings slate of games here, these seems
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 5: to split the series.
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 4: I was kind of wrong about yesterday. I'm the better
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 4: pitcher won yesterday.
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 5: Logan Webb was able to pitch well in that game,
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 5: even though typically is not good. I guess Colorado, but
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 5: you saw my handicap yesterday. I struggled to kind of
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 5: figure that game out, but maybe I should have just
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 5: simplified it. Oh yeah, Web is better than Lorenzen.
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 4: Let's not make it hard.
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 5: But the matchup numbers are kind of against it. But
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 5: Webb was able to put in another good start. This
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 5: matchup doesn't exactly have great pitching here. Even though I've
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 5: said some decent things about Hughes, he is not doing
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 5: as well recently. I don't like Colorado's bullpen. These two
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 5: guys yesterday, but they're not good. San Francisco's bullpen is
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 5: not really that much better, and they used two guys
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 5: as well. I don't like the bullpens, like I said,
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 5: Colorado twenty seventh and bullpen San Francisco twenty fourth. Yeah,
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 5: they've been surprisingly bad out of the bullpen this year.
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 5: Both these teams are going nowhere, so they're just playing
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 5: out the stretch, although they'll probably both try to win.
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 5: You know, it's a divisional series. San Francisco's nineteenth. In offense,
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 5: they've kind of dropped off again. Like I said, they're
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 5: not good at home offensively. It's a pitcher friendly park here,
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 5: and their offensive numbers got kind of overrated by some
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 5: big road performances they had. What are we talking, oh, Colorado, Yes,
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 5: obviously the better offense. They're fifth offensively. Gabriel Hughes, like
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 5: I said, he's getting the start for Colorado. He looked
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 5: pretty good for a while and I was Eerra is
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 5: up to five points six to one of those whip
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 5: is one point two eight, so his whip still does
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 5: indicate his era shouldn't be this bad. But he's been
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 5: bad on the road, which is kind of insane. Like
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 5: he's been significantly better at home in course field. All right,
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 5: seven point eight. Roady Ray not good. He got beat
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 5: up in his last start. That's why Arizona. A horrible
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 5: start in Arizona, skewing his numbers. Though he wasn't very
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 5: good at home against Tampa to start before that, but
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 5: really in that start, I think he actually got a
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 5: little bit unlucky. So he's actually been fairly good, except
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 5: that last start was really bad, and his walk rate
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 5: has kind of gone up recently. But overall numbers, his
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 5: hit rate is okay, his walk number is not really
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 5: that bad. He's getting a decent amount of strikeouts here,
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 5: so he's got an okay ish strikeout walk ratio. It's
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 5: a little bit below what I would really want. Strike
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 5: out up for nine not too bad, So I don't
• 1:05:49
  Speaker 5: think he's as bad as his ra makes him look.
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 5: I think that one start is skewing it. I got
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 5: some concerns though San Francisco has seen him now, so
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 5: the unfamiliarity isn't there. Because his first start of his
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 5: career is actually against San Francisco in Colorado. He only
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 5: went three innings, but he shut them out for three innings.
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 5: He had a pretty good outing there, so San Francisco
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 5: doesn't have good numbers against him. Eight at bats, they
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 5: have one twenty five average, three forty seven oh ps,
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 5: one to one at strake out walker ratio. Only seven
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 5: of their current hitters have faced him. But unfamiliarity is
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 5: a thing. Man so I think the unfamiliarity that he
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 5: had the first time around helped him in that start.
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 5: But now that San Francisco has seen him once, maybe
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 5: they'll do better against him this time. So that's one
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 5: thing you have to be concerned about, is that second
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 5: time a lineup faces a guy, they might do better
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 5: against him after they.
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 4: Know what to expect.
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 5: Blade Tidwell is going to be pitching for San Francisco.
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 5: I thought he was kind of a converted reliever, but
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 5: he's still young, and it looks like they might just
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 5: kind of be seeing how it goes, turning him into
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 5: a starter. He does have good numbers two point seven
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 5: to eighty RA, one point one WHIP. He's been really
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 5: good at home, point seven to one ERA at home.
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 5: It's a very small sample size though. He was mostly
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 5: pitching out of the bullpen early in the season in April,
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 5: and then I'm assuming he was in the minors probably,
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 5: and then they brought him back up in August and
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 5: he's made two starts and he's actually been good. He's
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 5: given up two or fewer runs in both of them.
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 5: He's got at least five innings in both of them,
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 5: nine strikeouts, two walks, and ten to two thirds innings,
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 5: ten hits allowed.
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 4: One at Texas, which just pitcher friendly.
• 1:07:24
  Speaker 5: At home was the other one, which is also pitcher friendly,
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 5: but it was against Houston, who's a pretty good offense,
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 5: and he did pretty well there as well. The San
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 5: Francisco lost both of those games because they can't back
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 5: him up with anything else. Like their bullpend's not good,
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 5: their offense isn't good. But Tidwell has actually been okay.
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 5: Looking at his overall numbers, strikeout rate is okay, doesn't
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 5: really walk many guys. It doesn't look like his hit
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 5: rate is okay, so he's not really putting many guys
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 5: on base. Strake out walk Razier is actually pretty good
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 5: because his walk.
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 4: Number is so low.
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 5: Strake out rate is not really that high though Colorado's
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 5: never faced him, so he might actually do well here
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 5: against Colorado. As far as the fact that he's unfamiliar
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 5: to Colorado here, I mean, I don't know what to
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 5: do with this game, to be honestly, this is one
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 5: of the most unpredictable games on the board. Like I
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 5: could see both young pitchers still doing well here. I
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 5: could see that potentially not happening. If you're gonna play
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 5: this game. I don't know if you should. If you
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 5: should definitively pick Tidwell must start here, like Hughes is
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 5: almost definitely gonna start. Tid Well probably will because that's
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 5: what he's been doing since they called them back up,
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 5: So I think they both will start. But if you
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 5: want to actually make the play and be safe about
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 5: that and want your play to actually definitely count, probably
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 5: you pick Hughes must start, and don't pick a starter
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 5: for San Francisco.
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 4: But I think Tidwell will.
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 5: Start and be out there for probably around five minutes,
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 5: as long as he's pitching all right. The money's coming
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 5: in towards Colorado seventy eight percent of tickets on San Francisco,
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 5: seventy eight percent of the cash in Colorado. San Francisco
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 5: around minus one thirty or so. I don't have a
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 5: good read on the side at all money saying Colorado.
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 5: I would say if you do that, you should exclude
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 5: their pullpen. Though if you do Colorado, you should just
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 5: take them in the first five. You'll probably still get
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 5: them as an underdog. Money is coming in.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 4: On the over at eight and a half.
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 5: If you go with the over, you should go full
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 5: game because the bullpens are bad and would definitely help
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 5: with the over. I was actually kind of thinking an
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 5: under in the first five though, and the total isn't
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 5: really that high. It's basically sitting around eight. I think
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 5: both starting pitchers actually might not do too badly here.
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 5: First five under might make some sense here in that one,
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 5: you're probably looking at like a four and a half.
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 5: I'm not gonna actually do it, but that might be
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 5: a way to lean that game is really difficult to
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 5: figure out Texas at the A's. The A's won the
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 5: first game of this year. Is Texas bounced back with
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 5: a win yesterday. Texas is trying to make the playoffs
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 5: here man playoffs. They're right there in the mix there
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 5: for the wild cards, but I think there also they
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 5: might also be one of the teams that's tied.
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 4: I think they are. I forgot to mention Texas.
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 5: I think they're in that whatever it is, five to
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 5: six way tie in the American Leaf for the last
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 5: while card. I think Texas is in that mix as well,
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 5: so they do a motivation. Texas has more motivation than
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 5: the A's do As still might want to play spoiler
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 5: though against a divisional rival, Tech or whatever you want
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 5: to call a divisional foe.
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 4: Texas used three relief pitchers just today.
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 5: The A's used two. But the A's are the lesser bullpen.
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 5: Texas has been a disappointment from the bullpen this year.
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 5: The rank twentieth, the A's are still worse. I think
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 5: they're the worst bullpen in baseball. They're the rank twenty
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 5: ninth out of thirty based on whip. They're somehow beating
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 5: Kansas City in that stat but they're I think the
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 5: worst bullpen. The A's mediocre offense at this point fifteen,
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 5: Texas is worse than that though.
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 4: Texas twenty first. Although this is a hitter friendly.
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 5: Ballpark here at the A Stadium, I think Texas does
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 5: have the better starting pitcher going here.
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 4: Cody Bradford.
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 5: If you look at his career, he pitched back in
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 5: twenty twenty three twenty twenty four, and he actually put
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 5: up some pretty good numbers Texas. Then he was hurt
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 5: and missed all of last year. He's only made two
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 5: starts so far with Texas this year, but his numbers
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 5: were really good in twenty twenty four. We'll see if
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 5: he is able to come back from injury, but he
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 5: seemed to have pretty good command numbers back when he
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 5: was pitching before two point three eighty RA this year
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 5: one point one to five whip that's pretty good so far.
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 5: Wasn't as good as his road start three point eight
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 5: six Roady ra still pitch fairly well in both outings,
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 5: though he had a kind of shortened outing. Didn't make
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 5: it five innings in the first one at home, but
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 5: he shut out San Francisco for four and a third.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 5: Followed that up with a seven inning, three run performance
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 5: at Anaheim, but only struck out one guy, which is,
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 5: you know, a bit curious because he's not a horrible
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 5: strike up pitcher typically, So I don't know if I
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 5: love that that low strike out number, but it is
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 5: one start, So how can you really gauge that much
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 5: from that had a decent strikeout rate in the other start?
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 5: I don't know how we gauged this man, you know
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 5: what I mean, Like he's been good in the past,
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 5: and that's kind of what I'm looking at hair, because
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 5: we just don't have a big sample size to look
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 5: at yet.
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 4: You got to look at like how much of a
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 4: fly ball pitcher is he?
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 5: Though? And he is kind of a fly ball pitcher,
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 5: which isn't good in the a stadium, so that's one
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 5: concern with him is he might allow some home runs.
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 5: He's been good against the A's though, when he's faced them.
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 5: They have five hitters, will face them twenty three at bats,
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 5: one seventy four average, five eighty eight ops allowed, six'
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 5: two strike a walk, Ratio So bradford actually has.
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 4: Put up good numbers against The.
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 5: A's a's Have Jacob lopez, going and he's massively struggled,
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 5: here especially at. Home has a five point three EIGHT
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 5: era overall this year one point five to six whip
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 5: is really. Bad he's been bad at, home which you
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 5: can understand why it's not a good pitching, park but
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 5: five point eight Seven Homy ray not. Good although his
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 5: opponent patting, average believe it or, not is actually better at.
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 5: Home but, yeah it's been a. Struggle, however he's actually
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 5: been pretty good over his last three. Starts got the
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 5: walk rate kind of, down hasn't allowed many, runs allowed
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 5: two or fewer runs in all three of, them two
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 5: of them at home as, well so he's actually pitching.
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 5: Better had a good start last time out Against Tampa.
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 5: Bay so he's actually in better form right, now BUT
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 5: i don't know if we can really trust that because
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 5: his overall numbers is so. Ugly he's a fly ball,
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 5: pitcher which doesn't play well in this. Stadium he's a
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 5: lot a lot of home. Runs his hit rate is too,
• 1:13:18
  Speaker 5: high his walk rate is too. High strike out rate
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 5: is just, okay not a lot to. Like the walk
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 5: rate is so high that even with an okay strikeout,
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 5: rate strike gout for nine in the eight which by the,
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 5: way dropped from last. Year last year he was actually
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 5: an impressive strikeout. Pitcher this year not so much by the.
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 5: Way he was On Tampa bay to start his, career
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 5: so maybe that pumped him up and got him motivated
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 5: for that start Against Tampa, bay although he probably pitched
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 5: against him last year or, TWO i would, imagine but maybe.
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 4: Not but, yeah his strikeout.
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 5: Walk ratio has gone down this year as. Well at
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 5: the walk rate has just been a real problem for.
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 5: Him and again his strike out rate has gone down as.
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 5: Well but, yeah the strike out walk ratio in the
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 5: one is really not. Good, however he's actually been good
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 5: Against texas in his.
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 4: Career in eighteen at.
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 5: Bats it's not a huge, sample but most of their
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 5: hitters have faced him two twenty two average eight sixteen
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 5: ops allowed five to nine strikeout walk. Ratio though ACTUALLY
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 5: i take that. BACK i was looking at the batting.
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 5: Average the batting average is, low but he's allowed some
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 5: power and a lot of walks to, Them so THE
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 5: ops is not good and the walk ratio is not,
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 5: Good SO i take that. Back so looking at this,
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 5: Game texas is a possible lean. HERE i, MEAN i
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 5: think you get the motivation With. TEXAS i think you
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 5: get the better starting. Pitcher probably you get the better
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 5: bullpen as. Well they got eighty percent of the, tickets
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 5: so they're. Public the public Knows texas is gonna be
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 5: the more motivated team most, likely and just they have
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 5: the better, records so the public will come in that.
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 5: Way eighty percent of, tickets eighty five percent of the
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 5: cash On. Texas maybe the money's joining the public in this.
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 5: Case they dropped a little bit from the opener around
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 5: minus one, thirty BUT i think that is a way
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 5: to look in this game Is texas AND i.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 4: Probably do also agree with the.
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 5: Over although the totals at, ten which is a little bit,
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 5: high but it's right around what you expect from an a's,
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 5: game but still a double digit total and the money
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 5: actually coming in on the under in the. Game i'm
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 5: not so sure about that. Though, BRADFORD i, think did
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 5: have good matchup, numbers AND i Looked lopez is bad at. Home,
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 5: YEAH i, MEAN i don't. Know Man texas is probably
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 5: the better way to play that, game, really BUT i
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 5: don't have a very strong opinion on. It Kansas city
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 5: And anaheim.
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 4: Got a good start From Reed Debt mersey.
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 5: YESTERDAY i mentioned THAT i Liked anaheim in the first
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 5: five in the game, yesterday and that would have been
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 5: a push, though Because anaheim scored their only run. Late
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 5: But re debtvers was awesome in the game, yesterday So
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 5: anaheim got the. Win these teams have split this series so.
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 5: Far it's an ugly. SERIES i, mean both teams are
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 5: just playing out the. Stretch they're bad, Teams they're both bad,
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 5: offenses they're both bad. Bullpens Kansas city used two guys
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 5: out of the bullpen, Yesterday anaheim used one just behind
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 5: And debt ME'S i think when eight innings in that,
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 5: Game royals are ranked dead last in. BULLPEN i think
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 5: they're the second worst, bullpen though in actuality behind or
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 5: only ahead of the As anaheim not that much better
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 5: at twenty, second but they are better at.
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 4: Least Than.
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 5: Kansas city. Offensively Kansas city is a little bit. Better
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 5: they're twenty, second which is still not. Good anaheim twenty
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 5: seven Than anaheim not good offensively at. Home Noah cameron
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 5: getting the start For Kansas. City he's the more established
• 1:16:32
  Speaker 5: pitcher in the matchup. Today he's been okay this, year
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 5: not as good as he was last. Year four point
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 5: four to five yre rail though one point two to
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 5: nine whip not too. Bad his numbers are all right,
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 5: here just not as good as what he did last.
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 5: Year Strike out walker ratio is actually about the, same,
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 5: though and his strikeouts for nine have actually increased this.
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 5: Year so last, year, YEAH i mean that basically just
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 5: means last year he WAS i don't know what it
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 5: means this, year excuse this. Year it means he's more.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 4: Hittable this, Year, yeah because last year his whip was.
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 5: Better, Right, Yeah so the only thing that wasn't factory
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 5: into those other stats is the, Hits and that is.
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 5: True he's been a little bit more hittable this, year
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 5: which isn't that. Great his walk rate is, okay strike
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 5: out rate is all, Right. Cameron he's been pitching all right.
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 5: Recently last like four starts have been. Okay last one
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 5: wasn't as, good but it was against The, dodger So
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 5: i'm not going to really knock him for. That he's
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 5: been good Against anaheim in the past in nineteen at
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 5: bats two eleven average six' ninety, one ohps but a
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 5: six' five strike out walk issues a. Little bit questionable
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 5: three of those walks, are TROUT though so i think
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 5: he kind of just. Pitches around him anaheim only has
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 5: six hitters who. Have, FACED him Overall i think cameron might.
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 5: PITCH well, here i mean he's not a Bad pitcher
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 5: and anaheim is not. A Good offense ryan johnson is
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 5: getting the Start. For the angels he's still a. Really
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 5: young guy he's definitely STRUGGLED in what i believe is
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 5: his rookie season, here or no he actually pitched out
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 5: of the. Bullpen last year didn't do well in, That
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 5: role either but a small sample size this year six POINT,
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 5: seven one era one point five to six whip and
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 5: we have a bigger. Sample size year he, hasn't pitched
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 5: well although he's been better at home five point three
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 5: to Four, home the ray so he's significantly. Better at
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 5: home he's not going deep.
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 3: Into.
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 5: His outings man he allowed fewer runs in his, last
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 5: two outings which, isn't too bad but his walk rate
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 5: is still. Way too high he's not going deep. Into
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 5: these outings there's not a lot to like. Here with
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 5: him he's got a, high hit rate, high walk rate
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 5: kind of. Low strikeout rate none of. That looks good
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 5: strike out, walk ratio therefore. Is not good, it's below
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 5: two which is. Really Not good strike out per nine
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 5: doesn't look. Very good either it is better as a
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 5: relief pitcher. Does Have unfamiliarity kansas city has never. Faced
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 5: him before but with the guy that's just, NOT pitching
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 5: well i don't think the unfamiliarity, is that helpful YOU know?
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 5: What i mean like the offense is going to be
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 5: more likely to. Figure HIM out so i Think Looking
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 5: at kansas city first five to bounce back and get
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 5: the win and win this series might be the way.
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 4: TO look Here i think cameron's. The better starter the money.
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 5: Seems to agree seventy percent of tickets eighty three per
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 5: cent of The Cash.
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 4: On kansas city they're.
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 5: A small favorite they dropped from an opener minus one
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 5: thirty basically down into the minus one.
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 4: Ten range here you're.
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 5: Gonna have to pay more if you do it in,
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 5: the FIRST five but i think it will still be a,
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 5: reasonable money line like maybe close to minus one. Thirty
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 5: OR so but i think that's how to Play This
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 5: because kansa city's bullpen is. Just A disaster so I
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 5: Would play kansas, city first five just play camera And.
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 5: TO outpitch johnson i think THAT'S the way i would.
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 5: Play that GAME milwaukee and la we're gonna have a
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 5: play in. THIS one again i gave it a play
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 5: yesterday in this game and we got it Right with.
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 5: The milwaukee side let's go back to.
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 4: This, series again?
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 5: Man why not you probably know what this is under seven.
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 5: And a, HALF you know i like the pitching matchup.
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 5: In this game that's what we're gonna go with here
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 5: in the one of the big games. Of the day
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 5: this is surprisingly this IS Not The, nbc night GAME
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 5: Although The nbc night game is an. Interesting MATCHUP two
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 5: this i thought was gonna be, the night game but.
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 4: It is not they did HAVE a primetime tv, game.
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 5: Last night though so maybe that's why the schedule, makers
• 1:20:02
  Speaker 5: are like let's not give them two.
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 4: In a row but.
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 5: YOU never, know I mean the dodgers seem to get that.
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 5: Benefit a lot if it even, IS a benefit. I
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 5: don't know it's a benefit to. THEIR fan Base i
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 5: guess dodgers only use one guy out, of The bullpen
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 5: so i'm fine with, backing their bullpen even though it's not.
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 4: The greatest bullpen they're.
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 5: Not that bad milwaukee used two guys but not really
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 5: any of their, better relievers yesterday so and they're, a.
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 4: Good bullpen so i'm fine with backing.
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 5: The bullpens here, Milwaukee's ranked, seventh dodgers twelve but they
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 5: BOTH have an rra. In, THE threes milwaukee i think
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 5: is one of the best four. Or five, Bullpens so
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 5: yeah i'm okay with leaving the bullpens.
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 4: In this equation we're definitely fading.
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 5: Some good offenses dodgers, Are number two milwaukee is number where?
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 5: Are they eleven milwaukee not as much of a, power
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 5: hitting team although both offices. Are definitely, CAPABLE but again
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 5: i think good pitching, stifles good hitting and we've, had
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 5: low games low scoring games in the last Two games
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 5: here man the first game of the, series ON nine
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 5: which i think just went. OVER the total i think
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 5: it was eight and a half. In that game last
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 5: two games have both gone way under and this definitely
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 5: looks like an under to me. In this one so
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 5: that's what We're Going with logan henderson Pitching. For the
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 5: brewers i'm gonna continue, to, back him man because people
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 5: still don't. Know his name he's, under the radar and
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 5: he's pitched Really well for milwaukee between last year. And
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 5: this year two point EIGHT to eight era point nine.
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 5: To one whip that's some, really, good stuff man and.
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 5: He's still young he's been only a little bit worse.
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 5: On the road three point twenty six roadra doesn't concern me.
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 5: A whole lot he's still striking a lot. Of guys
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 5: out he's not really, walking many guys not giving up.
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 4: That many runs this all looks pretty.
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 5: Good. To me obviously he's a lot more than. Two
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 5: hour runs, only one time no two times excyears ago
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 5: though one was his last Time Out. AT san diego
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 5: i think we won on the under, in That game if.
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 5: I'm not mistake That was the. Henderson maz game he
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 5: saw a lot. Of strikeouts there. He wasn't bad he
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 5: got a little bit unlucky, in my opinion and didn't
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 5: giving up two on. Them, runs there overall, good numbers here,
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 5: low hit rate, low walk rate, high strikeout. Rate everything
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 5: good nice strikeout walk ratio. Is really nice. Six point
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 5: three that's. That's really good strike out up for nine
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 5: these are like. Borderline elite numbers strike up for nine
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 5: in the elevens like it.
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 4: Was, last year.
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 5: Yeah that's good And, against the dodgers he has faced
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 5: them a little bit twelve at bats and they have
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 5: not done. Much against him one, sixty seven average five.
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 5: Hundred oh ps the, only issue here a little bit
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 5: is the only issue here, is the walks like. A
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 5: small issue i, guess five strikeouts, three walks here. Small
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 5: sample size they have no extra base. Hits, AGAINST them
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 5: yeah i mean you could argue that maybe because they've
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 5: seen him before and maybe they'll do better against. HIM
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 5: this time i don't even remember, when THAT was so
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 5: i don't think they've seen him for at least. Quite
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 5: a while although, LET me see i could be, wrong
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 5: ABOUT that but i don't even know if it.
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 4: Was This year really. Actually it was it Was, back
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 4: in may so it.
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 5: Wasn't that recent he pitched well in that when He
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 5: shut the Dodgers out in milwaukee, for five innings did have,
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 5: those three walks but had a lot, Of strikeouts there
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 5: so that. Was that, outing but yeah it. Wasn't that
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 5: recent so he's a good enough pitcher that he should
• 1:23:14
  Speaker 5: be able to overcome, whether or, not you Know whether
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 5: the dodgers are familiar with them or not, at this
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 5: point And We're back guitaric schooball on the, other side
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 5: here which seems like. An obvious move two point nine
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 5: three ra point nine. To three whip we know he's
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 5: one of the best. Pitchers In baseball the dodgers made
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 5: waves by getting him at. The trade deadline he hasn't
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 5: been as good of a home pitcher this year three
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 5: point seven to one, home he ara but his opponent
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 5: batting average is, still really low both. Home and away
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 5: most of That.
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 4: Was with detroit he's.
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 5: Made two, STARTS so, far i Believe, with the dodgers
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 5: and he did pretty well in. Both of them he
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 5: went at least five innings and both of them allowed
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 5: three or, fewer earned runs and both of them, had twelve.
• 1:23:53
  Speaker 5: Strikeouts four walks not elite, by any, means but good
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 5: and one of Them Was, at wrigley field which is
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 5: not really that. Easy to do and Then, HE was,
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 5: yeah i mean he was a little Bit Worse against
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 5: kansas city.
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 4: Here at home maybe that's a, little bit. CONCERNING but.
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 5: WHATEVER i mean i just think maybe he just went
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 5: out and went through the motions. IN that one, i
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 5: DON'T know but i think he'll step it up for
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 5: a big. Game like this milwaukee also has not done
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 5: well against him. In the past they have seventy one at.
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 5: Bats against him he has a ridiculous twenty nine to
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 5: three strikeout walk, ratio against them a one ninety, seven
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 5: average allowed which is really low for how big the
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 5: sample size is four eighty. Three, Ops allowed yeah milwaukee
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 5: has not done well. Against school ball so we'll take
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 5: the under. In THIS one and i believe the market is,
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 5: agreeing with this or it was at least earlier. In
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 5: the day we're still getting market Agreement With the. Tampa
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 5: bay play, by the way let me see no more
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 5: market agreement on The Under in San, diego, and cleveland
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 5: though WHICH looked like i wanted to, do THAT earlier
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 5: but i decided to. Not do that but this will,
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 5: be a play and the money looks like it strongly,
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 5: with this under you might have to. Go. UNDER seven
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 5: now i found a good price. ON this, earlier i
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 5: mean this, is, The thing man IT sucks because i
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 5: do this show and. The market moves even though it's
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 5: only been like AN hour since i. Found this, NUMBER
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 5: you know i would still do it.
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 4: At under.
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 5: SEVEN you can i think you can find about a
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 5: minus one, twenty out there probably somewhere.
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 4: On the under seven.
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 5: AND a, half i mean at worst it'll, be UNDER
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 5: seven but i would still be okay. With doing that
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 5: sixty percent of tickets, on the under ninety four percent
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 5: of the cash. On the unders the money, Agrees with
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 5: this but seven and a half is of course better
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 5: because seven is. A key number so that's a key,
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 5: half run there because if it's a three, to three
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 5: tie you got to. BREAK the tie i would pay
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 5: up to probably about minus one twenty five maybe to
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 5: get the under seven, and a half maybe minus one
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 5: twenty two or. Something like that it looks like you
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 5: can find that. Number out there though eighty seven, percent
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 5: of tickets ninety five percent of the Cash, on the
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 5: dodgers they're about. MINUS one eighty i don't have a great.
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 5: FEEL for that i think. A venue thing it's one
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 5: of those situations where if you think it's an underdog.
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 5: Type Of, game AND milwaukee like, i said yesterday has
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 5: been really Good at THE dodgers reason i think they
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 5: have won like six of their last seven or seven
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 5: of their last Eight, at the dodgers And you're getting
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 5: milwaukee is a, big underdog price and they probably do have,
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 5: the better bullpen and their starter might be good Enough
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 5: to dual schoolble here at. THE very least i think
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 5: Another lean towards milwaukee kind of makes sense. Here As
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 5: well getting milwaukee is a pretty, big underdog here like
• 1:26:28
  Speaker 5: a run line play that seems to make a, lot
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 5: of sense like plus one and a Half on the.
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 5: Milwaukee RUN line but i still like the over better or,
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 5: the under excusing don't, listen to me the under obviously
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 5: under under under under that. Is the play it's on.
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 5: The board, there but yes the market agrees With me
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 5: under Milwaukee and The, dodgers are dodgers. YOU know me
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 5: i like taking a lot of, unders as well so
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 5: that looks like AN under that i would be, on,
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 5: AND indeed Yes i Am seattle and HOUSTON is the
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 5: nbc game.
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 4: At night here.
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 5: This is.
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 4: An interesting one it's.
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 5: A playoff battle houston still needs to maintain their Lead
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 5: In the al west here and or at least make
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 5: sure they're going to. Be a wildcard seattle is in,
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 5: desperation MODE here, like i said trying, to win Here
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 5: trying to they could potentially still, get the division but
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 5: they're closer. TO the Wildcard i think seattle's maybe only
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 5: two games out of the wildcard or, something like that which,
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 5: seemed maybe three which seems kind of crazy because the record.
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 5: Doesn't look good they've had a very battle. Offense this
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 5: year seattle could have won both games. In the series
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 5: first game was an extra Inning win for houston despite
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 5: being in a, return home spot And then the mariners
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 5: were able. To win yesterday both games are, ridiculously high
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 5: scoring which seems a little bit. Insane to me on
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 5: my first instinct looking at the starting pitching in this
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 5: game was under, in THIS one and i probably do
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 5: still agree, with THAT sentiment but i have some. Reservations about,
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 5: It for sure seattle's bullpend and they've actually been kind.
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 5: Of struggling recently these two guys out of, THE bullpen
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 5: yesterday i still think they're Pretty good though houston. Only
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 5: is one houston has completely turned their. Bullpen season around.
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 5: They're ranked eleventh they're fine out.
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 3: Of the.
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 5: Bullpen seattle's SEVENTEENTH in their earra is going. Up to
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 5: four i've been saying they're, a GOOD bullpen which i
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 5: still think they. Are, ALL year yeah i would still
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 5: be okay with back in. The bullpen's here if you
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 5: are going to be looking towards an under or, Something
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 5: like that. Houston, is seventh offensively they've, Been good offensively.
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 5: Seattle has not. Seattle's twenty eight seattle's had some major,
• 1:28:29
  Speaker 5: offensive issues here so. That does help if you're looking at,
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 5: an under here We're not, In seattle Here, we're in
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 5: houston so we're in a more hitter front of The.
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 5: Park Than seattle brian wu Is. PITCHING for Seattle. I
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 5: like wu i think he's like a borderline elite pitcher.
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 5: In my, opinion you see you saw what he did
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 5: the last. Couple of seasons he. Had great numbers this
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 5: year not. Really as much four POINT one five era
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 5: is by far the worst that he's had, over that
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 5: stretch excepting his kind of shortened rookie season that's kind
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 5: of similar.
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 4: To those numbers but he has a one, point one whip.
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 5: Which is still a lot better, than that season not
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 5: as good as it was the last two seasons where
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 5: he had a, sub one whip and it's because he
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 5: hasn't bitchwall. On.
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 4: The road man his whip is.
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 5: Still good overall he's, still good overall but he's had
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 5: major issues on the. Road this year he pitches really really,
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 5: well at home which Makes sense because seattle's a very
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 5: pitcher front, of The park but wu was such a
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 5: good pitcher it's insane to see how bad he's been.
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 5: On the road six point Two, To two rodeo and.
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 5: That's MY concern and i mentioned, that LAST time and
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 5: i should have just gone with it THE under which
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 5: i think Was.
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 4: Against the yankees maybe he had a really.
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 5: Good start, in that one so he was good on
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 5: the road and, his last start and that was my
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 5: main concern with THAT under lean i still, leaned that
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 5: way should have actually put it, on my card especially
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 5: BECAUSE the under i gave out in that. Series was
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 5: HORRIBLE wu though i mean almost a three hundred batting
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 5: average allout.
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 4: On the road this.
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 5: Isn't good all the, last time out he was Good.
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 5: Against the yankees it was only a, five, inning performance
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 5: though but he did shut them out. For five innings
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 5: he was a little bit inefficient, with his pitches but
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 5: his entire pitching line is. Pretty good otherwise he's been pitching,
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 5: well this month at least over his, last two starts
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 5: but he was kind of struggling before that towards The,
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 5: end of july and again it was road starts that
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 5: were doing the. Damage, to him like he's really had
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 5: a couple of good road, starts this season and the
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 5: one of them was. That LAST outing but i, STILL
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 5: don't really i can't trust him on the. Road, right
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 5: now man THAT'S the issue i.
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 4: HAVE with them.
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 5: I like him i.
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 4: Think he's a. Very good pitcher he's got a low,
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 4: hit rate here he doesn't.
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 5: Really walk anybody his strike out rate is still pretty,
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 5: decent here overall still has a pretty good strike, out
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 5: walk ratio though not as good as it was the.
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 5: Last two years and actually he's kind of regressed since
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 5: his very excellent.
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 4: Twenty twenty four.
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 5: His strike up for nine is similar and actually it went,
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 5: up last year and it's actually closer to last year
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 5: than it was in that twenty. Twenty four campaign he's
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 5: not a huge, strike up pitcher but Decent numbers against
• 1:30:59
  Speaker 5: houston or good as you, could probably guess well maybe,
• 1:31:02
  Speaker 5: you shouldn't assume but, ninety at bats, two hundred average
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 5: five ninety, four ohps allowed twenty nine to six.
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 4: Strikeout walker ratio those, are. Good numbers.
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 5: OBVIOUSLY you, KNOW i again i still would be Okay
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 5: with backing woo. IN this one i, JUST you know
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 5: i have my. HESITATIONS with it i don't really want
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 5: to actually make it a PLAY because it's wu on
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 5: the road and that. Really Concerns me hunter brown is
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 5: on the Other. SIDE for houston i. Think he's good
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 5: he's got a. Lot of talent his issue has been the.
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 5: Wildness the walks he's got a three point SIX to
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 5: eighty ra one point, twenty seven whip and it's that
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 5: whip is a little bit high because. Of The walks
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 5: man last year he had an, excellent season though but still.
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 5: Had some wildness but he was just basically like unhittable
• 1:31:46
  Speaker 5: almost last year and had a, lot of strikeouts which
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 5: is usually. What he does he's trying to bounce back
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 5: from having some. Injuries and stuff but overall he's had an.
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 5: Okay season here he's been a little bit worse at
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 5: home though four point one to. Seven homie rays walk
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 5: issues have been a, concern at home and there's.
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 4: Still an issue he's still walking.
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 5: Too many guys his last couple outings don't inspire, that
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 5: much confidence even though they. Were okay outings houston lost.
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 5: Both of them like he didn't allow, that Many runs
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 5: but houston lost. Both of them he only made it
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 5: five innings, last time out and They were Against Toronto,
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 5: and san Francisco And the san francisco Game Was.
• 1:32:20
  Speaker 4: In san francisco that's.
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 5: Concerning because those are bad offenses and that was a
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 5: pitcher Friendly Park, In San francisco so brown you expect
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 5: him to come out and kind of dominate, offenses like
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 5: that and that's not really. What he did he's got a.
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 5: Low hit rate he's still really. Hard to hit he
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 5: still strikes out a.
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 4: Lot of guys.
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 5: That's all good the walks, or the issue that's what we're,
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 5: looking at here and it's been such an issue that
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 5: his strike out walk ratio has. Gone way down it
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 5: was at least above three last couple of seasons or really.
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 5: Throughout his career this year, it's below two so he's
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 5: having some major. Walk issues here strike out rate is still, pretty,
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 5: good HERE though, Like i said Brown against the mariners
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 5: actually has not done that well in ninety one at
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 5: bats two, sixty four average seven to eighty ops allowed
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 5: twenty six to fifteen strike. Out walk ratios so again
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 5: the walks coming into play as An. ISSUE here Wu
• 1:33:11
  Speaker 5: i think wu is the better pitcher man like he's
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 5: the guy that puts fewer. Guys on base he doesn't
• 1:33:16
  Speaker 5: walk guys very very concerning though his road. Numbers very
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 5: concerning but last year was good for, our last, outing
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 5: excuse me was good for him. On the road my
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 5: first instinct on this game. Was the under the totals
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 5: at eight sixty percent of tickets, on the over eighty
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 5: seven percent of the cash, on the under money is
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 5: coming in. On the under looking at who, THE pictures
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 5: are i still don't. Disagree WITH that like i think bullpens,
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 5: are alright here both starting pitchers are.
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 4: GENERALLY good pictures i still think the under is a.
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 5: Decent opinion here the better Way might be seattle believe.
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 5: It OR not and, i don't, know You know maybe
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 5: seattle first five if you don't want to rely, on
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 5: their bullpend because maybe they don't have a.
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 4: Bullpen Edge anymore here.
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 5: SEATTLE first five i think you Get motivation with seattle
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 5: because they're just in. Total desperation mode and you saw.
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 5: The matchup numbers the matchup Numbers do support wu as the.
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 5: Better pitcher HERE it's just i DON'T know if i
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 5: could do it with. His road numbers with the initial
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 5: move seemed To.
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 4: Be towards seattle.
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 5: Houston was minus one thirty four and they're down to
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 5: minus one sixteen now seventy three, percent of tickets eighty
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 5: three percent of The cash on houston's the money looks
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 5: like maybe it's coming Back in on houston. A little bit, I,
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 5: don't know seattle you'll probably get them If you play, seattle,
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 5: first five though it's probably Gonna be maybe seattle is
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 5: a favorite in the, first FIVE though but i think
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 5: that might be the better way, To play this. Seattle
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 5: FIRST five but i do still agree. With the, under
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 5: but yeah it's not gonna make make the, cut, for me.
• 1:34:49
  Speaker 5: No thank you and that is the, baseball Board, here
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 5: mister pinsey what's up and theys. For hanging out THEN,
• 1:34:56
  Speaker 5: we Have wnba which i'm. Not INTERESTED in. These wnba
• 1:34:59
  Speaker 5: games two of them are, Pretty ugly Games chicago at
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 5: seattle being. ONE of them a couple of early. Evening
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 5: games here. Seattle bad team i'm mad at them because
• 1:35:10
  Speaker 5: they were not able to get the job done for
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 5: us in. Their last game they were not Good. Enough
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 5: against portland they're. Staying at home their only win in
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 5: their last like twelve game stretch or whatever this was
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 5: thirteen game stretcher was against the team, They're. Playing Today
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 5: chicago so chicago actually just came In here To seattle
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 5: and seattle won and that was their Only win since,
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 5: june twenty seventh Or no, since july. Sixth my mistake
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 5: so they definitely have the Ability. To beat chicago chicago is,
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 5: not That good but chicago might be able to make
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 5: the adjustments man and actually show up. And change things
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 5: Chicago did beat Seattle back In chicago. ON july fifteenth.
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 5: I don't know i don't have much of a read.
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 5: On this though seattle's coming off kind of a disappointing
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 5: Lost a. Bad portland team They do have dallas on
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 5: deck which might be a little bit of. A look ahead.
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 4: Chicago is concerned if this.
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 5: Would even low chicago is Already on, the pacific coast
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 5: so they don't have to adjust to the, time zone
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 5: here so that's. Good for them they're not, at, that
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 5: disadvantage which, by the way they were at that disadvantage
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 5: when They, lost IN seattle and I mentioned That i
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 5: liked seattle, in that one.
• 1:36:16
  Speaker 4: So that's interesting it was a really Bad spot for chicago.
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 5: In that game chicago had had a Close, call WITH
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 5: indiana which i gave out as a winner on the
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 5: show prior to THE last WINNER i think i HAD,
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 5: in the wnba although my plays are.
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 4: Kind of sporadic chicago then had To.
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 5: Go to seattle they had to Adjust to the, pacific
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 5: time zone And They had golden, state ON deck so
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 5: i thought it was. A bad spot it was. A
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 5: sandwich spot THE only reason i Didn't give out seattle, in,
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 5: that game Unfortunately was that seattle was also in a
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 5: bad spot returning home from, the ROAD trip so i
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 5: didn't like. Either Side there but CHICAGO got caught i
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 5: think in the sandwich part of the. Reason they lost
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 5: They Went to golden state and they. Got blown out
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 5: they might bounce. Back from that They Do have, new
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 5: york next which is a bigger Game but, than seattle
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 5: here but they did just lose here in the Same venue.
• 1:37:03
  Speaker 5: To seattle before then you can see that it was.
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 5: A worse spot like having to adjust to the time
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 5: zone and. In a sandwich neither of those are the
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 5: case here. IN this, game i mean if you want
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 5: to argue it's a sandwich Because It's between Golden State, And,
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 5: new york yeah it's between two bigger games that they
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 5: Got Annihilated. By GOLDEN state so i don't consider this
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 5: to be a sandwich because it was not one of
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 5: those huge effort games you're.
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 4: Really gonna be in a.
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 5: Letdown spot, AFTER so yeah i think looking at, THIS
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 5: game overall i Would. Lean to chicago the money doesn't
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 5: agree with, me, at all though and. They're heavily public
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 5: they moved up from a one point favorite to a
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 5: two and a, half POINT favorite though i don't know
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 5: if there were.
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 4: Some injuries Going, ON in seattle.
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 5: I don't know ninety percent of tickets eighty eight percent
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 5: of The, cash on chicago so they're a public side
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 5: with less of the money coming. In on them so
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 5: the market read Does. NOT like chicago i would slightly,
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 5: lean that way but it's not a strong. Opinion at
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 5: All indiana AND, atlanta on espn WHICH is. The espn
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 5: doubleheader this is the only good GAME on, the wnba
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 5: slate if you even want to.
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 4: Call it that it's two of the better teams.
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 5: In the.
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 4: League at least atlanta is coming off.
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 5: Two straight wins They just annihilated connecticut, on the road
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 5: and a lot of times they do not like to
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 5: play on a team that's coming off a blowout win
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 5: like that because it makes them. Look too good it
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 5: was against A really, bad, connecticut team though and that
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 5: was only a single. Game road trip and they're not Going.
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 5: To overlook indiana you. Know these teams most Teams don't
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 5: like Indiana Because of soviet, cunningham And Whatever. And caitlyn
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 5: clark it's. All pretty ridiculous indiana has some. Other Players Here,
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 5: the kelsey mitchell whatever. Her name is she's having a
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 5: really Good. Season For indiana This indiana and, boston as
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 5: well is a good. Player for them they have a
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 5: lot of good Players on. This indiana team indiana's coming
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 5: off a couple of Nice Wins against New. York and
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 5: dallas now they're starting. A road trip they have a
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 5: little bit less Time off, THAN indiana, does i think
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 5: but usually starting, a road trip. YOU are folks i
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 5: don't know how big of a deal That was beating
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 5: dallas in. THAT last Game i think dallas was a
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 5: little bit injury played in that. Game, AS well indiana
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 5: i think did pull away late, in that game though
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 5: IT'S kind of i think it was kind of a
• 1:39:11
  Speaker 5: closer game than the. Final score looked let me. Make, sure,
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 5: that yeah yeah it was until like the fourth quarter,
• 1:39:18
  Speaker 5: was pretty Close and then.
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 4: Indiana Pulled away.
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 5: Maybe indiana is in the slightly, worse spot here although
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 5: usually you're focused in the first game of, a Road
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 5: trip but, indiana's coming, off you know some more. Difficult,
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 5: games here atlanta they are coming off, a blowout win
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 5: but it was Against a. TERRIBLE connecticut team I would. Lean,
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 5: atlanta here plus the public probably Slightly sides with indiana
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 5: because they're, a good offense and that's what, the public.
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 5: Likes The offense but indiana's defense leaves something to, be
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 5: Desired here and atlanta is, the better deepfense, AND you
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 5: know i lean towards better deepfense a lot, of THE
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 5: times because i think deepfense. Can stifle offense fifty four
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 5: percent of tickets fifty percent of The, cash on indiana
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 5: so they were a little public with less of the.
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 4: Money on them it's about a one and a half Or. One.
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 5: On atlanta here you might be able to play the
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 5: money line as well at. A decent price i THINK
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 5: that's what. I would Do, lean towards indiana or Excuse.
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 5: Lean towards Atlanta. EXCUSE me Atlanta i like atlanta a
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 5: little bit. In that, game better defense slightly better spot,
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 5: in my opinion not, a strong opinion though total's really
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 5: high at one eighty seven. And a half indiana plays
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 5: that style where, it's high. TEMPO high scoring i think
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 5: the side of total is correlated. In this game, IN
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 5: my Opinion i think indiana and the over are correlated because.
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 5: That's the style they, want to play, high tempo. Scoring
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 5: bad defense atlanta wants to, slow it down most likely.
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 5: Play BETTER defense so i think. Those ARE correlated so
• 1:40:47
  Speaker 5: i would also probably.
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 4: Lead to the under.
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 5: For that reason but the money is coming in, on
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 5: the over, so and again, You know me i'm not really.
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 4: A totals guy in any.
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 5: Sport besides baseball So And then portland phoenix is the
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 5: other GAME OF the espn dot will head of, the
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 5: later game although it's not really LATE, it's SEVEN pm
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 5: but i don't think we really have to worry about
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 5: the time zone shifting for. These two teams phoenix, is
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 5: staying well not really. Staying at home they JUST played
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 5: in la in a, neutral site game but IT.
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 4: Was in, La but whatever they're Returning.
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 5: Back to. Phoenix who cares they've had a bunch. Of
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 5: days OFF hosting an espn game usually you will get.
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 5: Up for this one thing that we need to know
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 5: is The. Status of plumb is she actually gonna play.
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 5: In this game it looks like the, answer is no.
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 5: She's Still out so plumb is still. Gonna be out
• 1:41:35
  Speaker 5: phoenix just got HER man from la and, she's hurt
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 5: again so she's like basically their best player even though they.
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 4: Just got her.
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 5: But she's out portland is not, a, Good team though
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 5: phoenix is the better Team. Even without plumb portland Just,
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 5: playing ON friday so i think they have they're at.
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 5: A rest disadvantage portland is they're Coming, in from seattle
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 5: so the travel is a little bit worse for. Them
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 5: as well, other than that there's not a whole lot
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 5: to see here as far as this. GAME is concerned
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 5: i Would lean to phoenix. Even without plumb They're. Better
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 5: than portland they're laying.
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 4: Five and a half here.
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 5: Now or five it almost looks too Easy to take portland,
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 5: as an underdog right given what these teams. Records look
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 5: like the public is not gonna come in and want
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 5: to lay four. Or Five points but phoenix actually has
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 5: the Worst record. Than portland does but obviously the oddsmakers
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 5: Are telling you phoenix is actually. The better team phoenix
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 5: has had, a difficult schedule they're. The better team portland
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 5: started out the season a little bit hot because teams
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 5: Didn't know what portland was gonna. Throw at them but
• 1:42:37
  Speaker 5: now that everybody's gotten A, look at portland they've. Been
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 5: more so portland's not good. On, DEEPFENSE either yeah i
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 5: Would lean. To phoenix here sixty seven percent Of, tickets
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 5: on portland fifty one percent of The. Cash on phoenix
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 5: money agrees with me. On that one laying The, POINTS
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 5: with phoenix i think is, the move there and it
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 5: is one of, those, ones where yeah it's, a misleading
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 5: line like the line. Makes no sense it's almost like
• 1:42:59
  Speaker 5: the books are begging You to take, portland, almost there like,
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 5: oh my god the team with the better record is.
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 5: A big underdog it looks so easy. To do that
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 5: that IS not what. I would do and WE have,
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 5: NO nfl, today, i believe right let me make.
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 4: Sure OF that but i.
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 5: Don't think so it feels Weird on a SUNDAY after
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 5: the nfl has.
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 4: Kind of started. But it's, preseason so.
• 1:43:19
  Speaker 5: Yeah that was the End of, preseason week one and
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 5: we won't have football again until these Two. Games on
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 5: thursday so but. It's pre season it is. What, IT
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 5: is oh i was not, screen sharing, anymore but yes that's.
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 5: Gonna do it my two plays today. Both in Baseball
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 5: We have tampa bay on the money line and we
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 5: have under seven and A Half.
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 4: In brewers dodgers.
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 5: Let's do it learn A, tone on twitter and learn A,
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 5: Tone on instagram like subscribe to this channel here you'll
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 5: GET notified when i go live with some of my
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 5: football content, that's coming up more football preview. Stuff probably
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 5: soon college. Is starting suits i'll probably get the college,
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 5: one DONE first and i haven't previewed. It AT. ALL
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 5: yet nfl i kind. OF have already i gave out
• 1:44:03
  Speaker 5: some WIND totals that i do like and kind of did.
• 1:44:06
  Speaker 5: My Divisional arrangement but i'm gonna probably preview it again
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 5: and maybe change my opinions slightly.
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 4: On some of.
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 5: THE division arrangements, i Don't know but i'll probably do a.
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 5: Show like that so subscribe and you'll get notified. When that,
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 5: happens you know give, me good comments, hype the show
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 5: whatever the hell. That even does listen On, An audio.
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 5: Apple spotify spreaker that all helps me. Out as well
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 5: covered in you because my yuke. Channel on YouTube you can, Check,
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 5: that out, patreon, dot com slash learn to toad if
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 5: you want to support. Me that way it's all on.
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 4: My link tree it'll be. In the description it's Also
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 4: on my twitter or.
• 1:44:40
  Speaker 5: X what else i Have to promote Loser casts every
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 5: tuesday Night And The new york giants. G spot podcast
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 5: i know, they played yesterday but it was. A preseason
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 5: game the only thing to really Talk About is jackson
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 5: dart taking. Too many hits but yesterday that, wasn't his
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 5: fault like he wound to be, in the tent but
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 5: it was because his team completely missed all. Their blocking
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 5: assignments it was a blitz and he, just got wrecked
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 5: like he had no time.
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 4: To do anything so that.
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 5: Wasn't his fault it wasn't, like he, ran you know
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 5: and didn't get down or something like that or. Did
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 5: anything stupid it was the blocking just completely failed and
• 1:45:15
  Speaker 5: he got nailed instantly. By A blitzer so. I, don't
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 5: know yeah that one. Wasn't his fault but he wound
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 5: up in the tending and he, came back in so Luckily.
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 4: For the giants. Seems not serious he, came back in.
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 5: Threw a touchdown maybe he shouldn't have been out there
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 5: at all though in preseason game one you don't want him.
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 4: To get hurt but he, came back in threw a touchdown.
• 1:45:33
  Speaker 5: And then they. Took him out whatever that's, Gonna do,
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 5: IT and yeah i think. That's, It Right, yeah. Happy
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 5: sunday everybody we'll Be back on monday with a shorter board,
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 5: to break. Down somewhat shorter that's. Gonna.
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 4: Do it peace.
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 3: If the, doc starts talking hand, me the, phone that's
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 3: somebody and. So, that's somebody know you do not have to.
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: Lose this round lone hold.
• 1:46:10
  Speaker 3: On hold, on nothing nice not. Now hold, on hold
• 1:46:21
  Speaker 3: on let me. Pull you out that bad, luck by.
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 2: Time but it don't.
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 3: Get The, crown hold, on hold on, Stay.
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 5: With me, now.
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: Hold, on hold on.
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 2: You're still here