Latest / The Hannah Hammond Show / The Exact Framework to Build a Real CRE Business | Gary Linhart
Transcript
- 0:00Best advice you would give when it comes to.
- 0:01Calvary, the deal, the market, the team.
- 0:03Get someone interested in those three things.
- 0:06We're always telling a story. When you're raising money or
- 0:08you're getting people to invest or bet on you, learning how to
- 0:11tell a story very tightly is important.
- 0:13Begin with the end in mind. Yeah.
- 0:15And plan for the worst case. Usually when you talk to people,
- 0:17they're like God, you know, never lost.
- 0:19I've never lost a deal or I never lost investor capital or
- 0:21never that it's all sunshine and roses.
- 0:23But I know that that's not just not the case.
- 0:24They say they've never lost. They're they're not humble in
- 0:27facing the things that can inevitably go wrong, wrong in a
- 0:30transaction. If you're the 22 or 3 year old
- 0:32in your office, you should be the tech expert.
- 0:34You should know how to utilize AI.
- 0:36You should be the person who knows all the tech tools so that
- 0:40you get an early seat at the table.
- 0:41If you had to start over today from scratch and you had no
- 0:44network, no knowledge and you had to make your first
- 0:47$1,000,000 all over again, what would you do?
- 0:51Welcome back to the Hannah Hammer show.
- 0:52I'm here today with Gary Linhart, the founding partner of
- 0:56West Hawk Capital and he is a very dynamic entrepreneur and
- 0:59real estate investor who has been involved in over a billion
- 1:02dollars of real estate transactions over his 20 plus
- 1:05years in real estate. And you are not.
- 1:07You've been on the development side and the construction side.
- 1:10You've also been on the capital raising side and you're also on
- 1:13the LP side and Co GP, JV, all the things.
- 1:16So you have seen real estate? All the letters.
- 1:18Exactly, all the all the letters, but it's so cool
- 1:21because I love to see the dynamics of somebody who's
- 1:24literally been on every side of the deal and you still are.
- 1:26You're on you're on multiple sides as AGP and an LP.
- 1:30So happy to dive into your story today.
- 1:32And you're also local here to Arizona, so it's nice to meet
- 1:34you. Thanks for having me.
- 1:35Thanks for coming on. So what mission are you on with
- 1:39W Hawk Capital? So I founded W Hawk Capital
- 1:43little under six years ago after having found Co founded and and
- 1:49built a company up to probably 50 people and so on.
- 1:54And what I realized when I left my prior company was that I
- 1:58loved the process of building the company and starting the
- 2:02company as much as I did the deal side of real estate.
- 2:05And so W Hawk's mission is that this success is achieved by
- 2:10contributing to the success of others.
- 2:12So it's a little bit of a real estate, it's a real estate
- 2:14company, but also I'm kind of like a player coach with
- 2:18emerging managers in real estate and emerging companies in real
- 2:21estate. That's amazing.
- 2:22And we'll dive into some of the projects that you're working on
- 2:25right now, including capital raising for a night golf
- 2:29tournament here in Arizona that you guys are.
- 2:31Expanding. Actually.
- 2:32All right, yeah, a golf course. OK, cool.
- 2:35And then I think you're expanding those to some other
- 2:37states as well, but going back into how you got into
- 2:42entrepreneur in real estate development, can you kind of
- 2:45share what that process looked like for you?
- 2:47And when, when was that like defining moment where you said
- 2:49I'm going to be in the I'm going to become an entrepreneur or a
- 2:52real estate developer? So I actually grew up in the
- 2:55real estate business or around it.
- 2:57My father was in the real estate business and I always loved the
- 3:01combination of kind of understanding populations and
- 3:06patterns of how people interact with the work environment, where
- 3:10they live and so on. But I kind of avoided real
- 3:13estate earlier in my career. And then after having some ups
- 3:17and downs and some other things, but really getting my, I guess
- 3:20cutting my teeth outside of real estate, I gravitated back
- 3:24towards it in like 2002. So like 10 years into my career.
- 3:29And what did you do initially? Were you just like, I don't want
- 3:32to be involved in the family business.
- 3:33I want to do my own thing type thing.
- 3:35Yeah, just sort of spread my wings.
- 3:37So I actually studied. I was an economics major
- 3:40undergrad, but I also studied Japanese.
- 3:42And at the time Japan was kind of taken over the world, much
- 3:45like people fear about China today.
- 3:47And so I spent a year of College in Japan and three years working
- 3:52after undergrad working in Japan in a Japanese company.
- 3:56I was the only non Japanese person in the entire department.
- 4:01And then came back for Business School and was in consulting in
- 4:05New York for media companies. Was at a hedge fund for a while
- 4:10and just sort of realized that that thing that I grew up with
- 4:13was drawing me back. And so I entered the real estate
- 4:18business kind of on my own in 2002 and invested in some deals
- 4:22and then realized I wasn't, I wasn't a lone wolf.
- 4:25And so I sought out a partner and then that's I found a
- 4:28partner and we started by OS Group and I was there building
- 4:32that company over a 16 year period.
- 4:34OK. And then you recently sold out
- 4:36your. Equity, yeah, about six years
- 4:39ago, little under six years ago that kind of had run its course
- 4:43and and so I sold my interest in the company and then I was still
- 4:49in the deals. So when real estate you have the
- 4:51operating business, they call it the Opco and then there's the
- 4:54Propco, which is the individual assets or deals or LLCS that you
- 4:59form for individual projects. So those got those individual
- 5:03projects harvest over time and I get my returns over time on
- 5:06those. But I got bought out of the
- 5:08business about six years ago. And was that your plan or did
- 5:13that just kind of start to evolve?
- 5:14And I guess from a partnership perspective, how did that
- 5:17transition look and how did you approach that with your partner,
- 5:19like maybe it was time for you to?
- 5:21Yeah, I think it was just sort of time and and the things that
- 5:24I was wanting to focus on and they were wanting to focus on,
- 5:28it just made sense at that point and it was about a six month
- 5:31process. And you guys were able to come
- 5:34to an agreement, like what what advice do you have when you for
- 5:37those who are thinking about making a big shift in their
- 5:40business or in their career, Like how did you approach that
- 5:43situation and come up with a agreement that made sense for
- 5:46you and your partner at the time?
- 5:48Well, you have kind of a, there's certain details I can't
- 5:51get into, but you, you have a operating agreement at the
- 5:54beginning and the most important thing in an operating agreement
- 5:58with partners is thinking through a default separation
- 6:04plan upfront. So that is A and often those are
- 6:08maybe more, they call it a buy sell agreement.
- 6:11Those are more draconian than what actually happens, but it
- 6:14brings people to the table to work out something that makes
- 6:17sense. So you've already.
- 6:18Had your plan kind? Of yeah, but you worked through
- 6:20that was a, that's the backup plan.
- 6:23But then you just sort of work through how the there's so many,
- 6:28there's so many specific details on any given business.
- 6:31You have to kind of go through them and it the longer you've
- 6:34been in business, the longer it takes to kind of work through
- 6:36all those details. But yeah, you could go through a
- 6:38process in terms of what advice I'd give people.
- 6:42I think it's really important to seek legal advice at the
- 6:46beginning of a partnership and and have a clear plan for if, if
- 6:52we want to part ways, there is some sort of document or process
- 6:58for for getting out. Otherwise emotions can can, can
- 7:03take too much a part of that. OK.
- 7:06Yeah, begin with the end in mind and plan for the worst case.
- 7:10Yeah. And then that just sort of
- 7:11brings people to the table to negotiate something that's more
- 7:15specific because you can't predict everything upfront.
- 7:20But if you have kind of a a, a, a process laid out at the
- 7:26beginning, it brings people to the table to figure it out.
- 7:30So going back, I know we had talked yesterday, you had
- 7:33mentioned that you had, you said something that I really liked
- 7:37that you said. Yes, you you learn from your
- 7:39failures, but you don't learn much if you lose five times in
- 7:43a. Row Yeah.
- 7:43So people, people always say you lose more from your failures
- 7:47than your. You win, you learn more.
- 7:49But you only learn more from your failures than your
- 7:51successes if you also have successes, right?
- 7:54Like if someone's O and nine, they haven't learned anything
- 7:57from their failures. If someone's 10 and one, they've
- 8:00probably learned a lot from their failure.
- 8:03But you, you know, you want at the end of the day when you're
- 8:07evaluating entrepreneurs, you can kind of break it down to,
- 8:12does a person know how to make money?
- 8:14Do they know how to figure out how to work their way out of a
- 8:16difficult situation? And ultimately we're held
- 8:19accountable to our track records.
- 8:21And so having a successful track record is really important.
- 8:24And as much as maybe the ethos in Silicon Valley as they love
- 8:28that sort of, they had an early failure and it gave them
- 8:31grittiness and they bounced back.
- 8:32And all of that stuff's important.
- 8:35But it's also important to to learn how to make things work
- 8:41and how to choose things that ultimately work and and so on.
- 8:45So I encourage people, particularly in real estate,
- 8:48because I think that we're more in a wealth preservation
- 8:51business in terms of the kinds of returns that one should
- 8:56expect in real estate relative to venture, right?
- 8:59Like you could have 100X on your investment in venture.
- 9:02You're not really going to look at opportunities like that in
- 9:05real estate unless it's some sort of crazy land deal or
- 9:08something like that. But so it's really important to
- 9:11learn how to preserve capital first and make capital 2nd, So
- 9:16if someone's owing 3IN in in real estate deals, there's a
- 9:20problem. Yeah, what is, I think it's
- 9:22Warren Buffett number one rule don't lose money.
- 9:24Yeah, I was just thinking of that before you said it.
- 9:27And you know, it's funny because I meet so many incredible people
- 9:31and you know, a lot of people on the podcast and just in life,
- 9:35and usually we talk to people, they're like God, you know,
- 9:38never lost. I've never lost a deal or I
- 9:40never lost investor capital or never that it's all sunshine and
- 9:42roses. But I know that that's not just
- 9:44not the case. And loss has happened a lot and
- 9:46people have lost investor capital.
- 9:47And I know that you have lost investor capital and I would
- 9:50love to kind of dive into. Only on like one or two deals
- 9:53out of about 90. That's insane, and for you it
- 9:58was early on. Well, we, we started our
- 10:00company, original company in O3. So we were about four or five
- 10:06years in when the great financial crisis hit and we
- 10:11probably had 7 or 8 deals going at the time.
- 10:14And there was one or two that we had to work through with lenders
- 10:19and then there was one that we had to to give back.
- 10:23But we never, there was never anything contentious.
- 10:27There were never any lawsuits. We were always very forthcoming
- 10:32with our investors and with our lenders.
- 10:35And there were a lot of people whose entire companies blew up
- 10:40or they lost tremendous amounts of money.
- 10:42Ours was very much on the margin.
- 10:45And even some of the deals that worked out there were things in
- 10:47retrospect you look at and you're like, whoa, we got lucky
- 10:49there. So I think to your point about
- 10:52people who are all sunshine and roses or unicorns and
- 10:57butterflies or whatever those analogies are, I think it's
- 11:01really important to understand when you go into a deal, there's
- 11:04the how do we make money side of the equation, but there's also
- 11:08what can go wrong. And I think when people describe
- 11:11situations or they've never lost or they say they've never lost,
- 11:15they're they're not sort of open to and, and, and humble in
- 11:20facing the things that can inevitably go wrong in a
- 11:24transaction. And I think if you're objective
- 11:26about looking at that, you're a lot more sort of calmer in how
- 11:30you describe a situation. And when investors or prospects
- 11:34or partners ask about a deal, you're very transparent about
- 11:39here's why we like it, here's why we're doing it, here's the
- 11:42things that maybe keep us up at night or concern us, and then
- 11:44here's our plan for mitigating those risks.
- 11:47But you can never get it to 0. Right, because then you might
- 11:51just not, you're just, you might not play the game at all.
- 11:53If you you get, there's always a level of risk.
- 11:55There's always a level of risk, but but you know, and I'm more
- 11:59focused on the investment side of the business currently than
- 12:02the development side. There's a lot of things that can
- 12:04go wrong with development, but if it goes well, the returns can
- 12:07be very high in my current. So within W talk we have, I have
- 12:13a, as I mentioned, it's kind of like a player coach.
- 12:16One of my affiliated company is Alignment Realty Capital.
- 12:19We're primarily focused on buying existing buildings at
- 12:23below replacement cost where there's upside to rents if the
- 12:26tenants leave in really good locations.
- 12:28We own some buildings here nearby in the Scottsdale
- 12:31Airpark, for example. So we go into it with a lot of
- 12:35risk mitigation, but there's always things that can go wrong.
- 12:38What is your advice when it comes to risk mitigation?
- 12:44Well, I think having processes in place and having resources
- 12:49that you can tap that are experts.
- 12:52It's good to have a lot of expertise internally.
- 12:54But knowing what you know and sort of having a process for
- 12:57finding out what you don't know and then assessing those risks
- 13:01very objectively. Not falling in love with a deal.
- 13:06You can be enthusiastic about it, but really open minded to
- 13:09what can go wrong and making sure that you've got all the
- 13:12different bases covered and you're always adding things to
- 13:15your due diligence list because there's all, there's a million
- 13:17different things that can go wrong.
- 13:19There's probably a few things that can go right.
- 13:22So it's really important to at least know how to look under the
- 13:25hood and be really eyes open when something comes back.
- 13:29Never negative in a report. And then I think the other
- 13:32thing, the flip side to that is not over weighing a risk.
- 13:40Like we look back on some deals that we should have done.
- 13:45Maybe we we overestimated how much that risk really was.
- 13:49Now it's easy to Monday morning quarterback, if there was a 20%
- 13:53chance of something going wrong, but it would have blown up the
- 13:55deal and that thing didn't go wrong and the next person bought
- 13:59it and they ended up being successful.
- 14:00You go shoot, we should have we should have done that deal.
- 14:04Well, well, there was there was still a 20% chance it could blow
- 14:07up. So I think you have to, you have
- 14:09to understand what your risk tolerance is and then you have
- 14:12to be really good at getting to where you've uncovered the
- 14:16risks. And then you look at it, eyes
- 14:18wide open and say, OK, we're comfortable taking that, or
- 14:20we're not comfortable taking that.
- 14:22Right. And how do you evaluate your
- 14:26risk tolerance, like what you know, when you're competing with
- 14:29other offers? And like, I was talking to one
- 14:31of our clients at HP Capital the other day and he's like, God, I
- 14:33just can't believe I'm losing these deals.
- 14:35I can't believe these, you know, REITs or institutions or any
- 14:38other buyers are paying these prices still for these deals.
- 14:41So like how have you navigated that tolerance for risk and
- 14:45knowing where to set your parameters of, OK, are we
- 14:48actually going to win this deal or is this deal too much risk
- 14:51for us to take on? I think that's where a lot of
- 14:53the art of the business comes in, right?
- 14:56Like the science is maybe putting the spreadsheet together
- 15:00that shows you the IRR and, you know, multiple uninvested
- 15:04capital at each particular price point.
- 15:07But I think a lot of the art is when to actually step up outside
- 15:12of your comfort zone to buy a deal because of some feel or
- 15:17understanding of where the market is or where the markets
- 15:21going and so on. And I don't know if there's any
- 15:25textbook answer for that. I think there are some people
- 15:29who could just stay by the spreadsheet and say we're never
- 15:33going outside of this and we're going to have to look for off
- 15:35market deals or we're going to have to find some alternative
- 15:38way to source something. I think if you're competing in
- 15:42the open market with really there's really good brokers in
- 15:44this market and it's broadly marketed, you're going to be
- 15:47competing with everyone who has all the information.
- 15:50So you have to believe something that other people don't about
- 15:53where things are going. And I think over time you learn
- 15:58what are the seasons in the market, when it it's OK to step
- 16:02out and when are the seasons where you're like, I don't think
- 16:06we should do it. And generally, you know, if
- 16:08things have fallen a lot in pricing and you start to see
- 16:11things, the early signs of things improving, it might make
- 16:15sense to step up. If you're in a pattern of the
- 16:18last year, people have just been bidding crazy amounts for deals.
- 16:22We haven't gotten anything. You know, you're losing sleep at
- 16:25night because you haven't won any deals.
- 16:26That's when it gets dangerous to step up because that's probably
- 16:30a sign that things are beginning to get overheated, right?
- 16:33That's probably like the apartment business three or four
- 16:37years ago before interest rates went up, the kinds of numbers
- 16:41that people were buying, paying for 50 year old apartment deals,
- 16:45it just didn't make any sense. And a lot of really
- 16:48sophisticated apartment people pulled back.
- 16:51And those same people in the last year or so have re entered
- 16:54the market and pricing is down 20 or 30% from where it was.
- 16:58Yeah, What is I was going to ask you what's your favorite asset
- 17:03class is looking for, but we'll circle back to that.
- 17:05I want to dive into your biggest failure as an entrepreneur.
- 17:11You know, when when you were launching your startup back in
- 17:15the day and you it didn't go well, What did that process look
- 17:18like? What what business did you
- 17:19start? How were you raising capital and
- 17:21how did you emotionally handle that failure so early on when so
- 17:26many people might not have the confidence to try again or, you
- 17:30know, get burnt out of even taking on that kind of risk?
- 17:33So about a year after I graduated from Business School,
- 17:37I was in consulting in New York and a buddy of mine was a year
- 17:42behind me at Business School and I were, we had the
- 17:46entrepreneurial itch and through a, a series of events, it's a
- 17:50long story that I'll just, we'll just sort of take it at face
- 17:53value. We were, we ended up looking at
- 17:55doing a roll up or a consolidation of independent
- 18:00auto recycling facilities in the Southeastern United States.
- 18:06And as we were doing that, it's like 1998, there was also all
- 18:12these marketplaces were forming on the Internet that are were,
- 18:16were buyers and sellers could come together in previously very
- 18:19inefficient markets and get some transparency into pricing.
- 18:22And so we said, hey, why don't we look at instead of doing a
- 18:26roll up of these automotive recycling facilities, salvage
- 18:29yards, maybe there's a opportunity for an online
- 18:32marketplace. So we pivoted to that.
- 18:35We ended up raising about 7 and a half million dollars of
- 18:38venture capital and, and built up a company.
- 18:41We had 30 people. We were in New York City and
- 18:45then kind of the bell rung on the Internet one point O and I
- 18:51remember it was like pets.com had a really bad Christmas and
- 18:55that was kind of like the Canary in the coal mine of things
- 18:58falling apart. And so we ended up selling to a
- 19:04traditional player in the recycling business and then he
- 19:09ended up going under and our investors ended up losing their
- 19:11money. And it was very, very difficult
- 19:14thing to go through. And I think in retrospect, I was
- 19:18probably a little early in my business career to do something.
- 19:23I didn't have a tech background. And I think we were exposed on
- 19:26that front. We, you know, we brought in some
- 19:29tech people, but it wasn't the same as having like a tech as a
- 19:33tech person as part of the, the founders.
- 19:36And I don't think we understood or appreciated the power
- 19:40dynamics of the industry and how hard it would be to accomplish
- 19:44certain things. So I developed definitely a
- 19:47sense of assessing where the power levers were within a
- 19:51particular market. And do you have a plan?
- 19:56Can it be disrupted? How hard is it and so on.
- 19:58So I kind of, I call it like looking through lenses.
- 20:01So like, I have that lens now. And then from the emotional
- 20:04standpoint, you know, I went O and one and you talk about
- 20:08learning from your losses. I think the thing that going O
- 20:11and one, what it does is it, it can be a real confidence killer
- 20:16and, and, and what it probably did is it it probably swung my
- 20:20risk tolerance way that I was risk tolerant.
- 20:25And then I went way, maybe way to the other side and I ended up
- 20:28turning down some opportunities in my bounce back that would
- 20:32have been very lucrative because I didn't want to take this risk
- 20:35or that risk. And I ended up going a little
- 20:39more traditional route. And that really didn't make
- 20:41sense for me. So I ended up making mistakes
- 20:44because of my failure, because of an emotional response to it
- 20:47and kind of had a little bit of a, a reset after that of like,
- 20:51hey, I, I developed and I learned, I had developed an
- 20:55understanding and learned a lot about myself.
- 20:58And, and I, that's advice I give to people is like you're really
- 21:02in the business, particularly early in your career, but really
- 21:05continually through your career, through your career of
- 21:07understanding who you are and you understand who you are and
- 21:11your strengths and weaknesses and blind spots and, and all
- 21:14that you can start to kind of navigate your own path through
- 21:19the world. And how did you have the
- 21:22awareness of, OK, I have an emotional reaction to this fear
- 21:28of failure that I had in the past.
- 21:30So I'm not taking on maybe any risk or hardly any risk to be
- 21:34able to take advantage, to really grow and continue to
- 21:37develop as an entrepreneur and a leader.
- 21:40When did you recognize like because I know for me, I've had
- 21:43so many self sabotaging patterns that I've developed in my life.
- 21:47And the difficulty was even getting the awareness that I had
- 21:49them right. It's like, oh, these beliefs
- 21:51that I have aren't actually serving me or these aren't
- 21:53actually a fact or reality. It's just what I'm perceiving to
- 21:57be true from my previous experiences.
- 21:58And how do I rewire my brain to to move forward and actually
- 22:02grow from this experience? So like how, where, what was
- 22:05that process like for you to come really come back from that
- 22:08and start to take on a level of risk that you were comfortable
- 22:11with, but weren't letting go of opportunities?
- 22:12Yeah, I think it's, it's probably like when you hear
- 22:16about people who go through a A and 1st you have to admit that
- 22:20you have a problem. I think that's what it the first
- 22:23step is. So I think it's, it's a process
- 22:26like that and, and I think that ultimately the world's going to
- 22:31give you feedback and the feedback can continuously be
- 22:35failure if you're not listening. Now, if you take risks, you can
- 22:41do everything right and still fail and, and hopefully that
- 22:45doesn't knock you down. But I think in every win and in
- 22:48every loss, there were things that we could have done better
- 22:50and we can learn. So I think the earliest stage is
- 22:53just sort of removing the ego layer and making myself open for
- 23:00both direct feedback from people and then just sort of feedback
- 23:04from the world about whether things are working or not
- 23:07working. And then learning how to quickly
- 23:10adjust whatever it is that I'm doing or however I'm approaching
- 23:13something, realizing that it's not going the way that I want it
- 23:18to. So I think it's sort of an
- 23:19openness and a removal of ego. It's like it's OK for us to all
- 23:23kind of learn and ultimately run this long journey.
- 23:28And when you realize too, as you achieve some successes or
- 23:32hopefully as you achieve some successes along the way, that
- 23:36those successes are just a point on a path that includes ups and
- 23:40downs and that you're ultimately on just this, this journey.
- 23:43Yeah. And what did you do after you
- 23:47that company was a failure? How long were you like?
- 23:49You're really grinding on that, yeah.
- 23:52But I mean, like what was the the that transition, you know,
- 23:56for to come back or to shift into real estate and start to
- 24:01get some optimism of a new. Venture.
- 24:03So I did a couple things in between that I don't, you know
- 24:06need to go into the detail. One was a big company, 1 was a
- 24:09smaller hedge fund investment firm.
- 24:12And I think what I realized in both cases was as much as my
- 24:17first entrepreneurial venture didn't go as planned, that I
- 24:21would rather be grinding it out and maybe not making much but a
- 24:26chance to kind of carve my own path as my journey than working
- 24:32for someone. And so I went off and, and
- 24:37because I had kind of grown up around real estate and I knew
- 24:40people in the business and some of the people who had invested
- 24:44in my Internet startup, we're still willing to invest with me
- 24:48because they like the way that I handled things through that
- 24:51rough period. So that maybe is the silver
- 24:54lining of that is if you, no matter how hard things are, if
- 24:57you are transparent and, you know, deliver both good and bad
- 25:00news and don't surprise people late in the process, like be
- 25:05upfront and get ahead of stuff that people will trust you.
- 25:08And so I had a combination of things that enabled me to get a
- 25:12start in the business. And so I moved back here in O2.
- 25:18And as I mentioned, I was on my own for about a year.
- 25:21But I also realized that again, with the learnings about
- 25:25yourself, I'm not a lone wolf, that I like the process of
- 25:28collaborating with partners. I see myself as someone who's a
- 25:32generalist, but I have some areas where I'm very strong and
- 25:35some areas that I'm not as strong, and I need someone at a
- 25:39partner level working with me on those maybe weaker points of my
- 25:44skill set than someone who's an employee that might be more
- 25:49inclined to say yes to everything.
- 25:51So that's kind of how I charted that path.
- 25:54I was on my own for a year, realized that wasn't for me, got
- 25:57a partner, we had a great 16 year run and now I've got
- 26:00partners again. And what would you say your like
- 26:04unique gift and ability is? And it because it sounds like
- 26:07you've had multiple partnerships, you have a lot of
- 26:10trust and you've raised a lot of capital and trust is the
- 26:13foundation of all that. So like, how would how have you
- 26:15identified good partners? How did you find them and seek
- 26:18them out? And what kind of questions do
- 26:19you ask or what does that conversation look like to get a
- 26:21feel for if it if that could be someone you actually want to
- 26:24partner with? Yeah, I think, I think there
- 26:26were people who were like born with incredible natural talent
- 26:30and the world seems like an easy place to them and they just sort
- 26:34of see a little opening in the door and they go through it.
- 26:37And then there were those of us. And I put myself in the second
- 26:39category of people who maybe have certain natural talents,
- 26:43but they don't necessarily all come together at an early stage
- 26:47or early part of your career. And as I've kind of put built my
- 26:52skill set and my network and my knowledge base and, and and so
- 26:57on that, you know, a lot of the greatest coaches aren't
- 27:01necessarily weren't necessarily the best players that they had
- 27:04to kind of grind and, and and work it out and be very
- 27:07objective at learning their own skills.
- 27:09So I think that that call it talent scout or assessment of
- 27:14strengths and weaknesses in both myself and in other people has
- 27:18come to be the thing that I'm, I'm, I'm good at.
- 27:22And so when I'm seeking out partners, I'm looking for
- 27:25certain things that are complementary, certain things
- 27:28that are overlapping because it's really important to have
- 27:31shared values and complementary skill sets and and so on.
- 27:36So that's kind of the process that I go through.
- 27:38Or what are the pieces that are important for this in particular
- 27:41venture or team to be successful?
- 27:44And then how do I put those pieces together?
- 27:47And do you throughout your organizations or you know, do
- 27:52you guys, do you believe in certain personality assessments
- 27:56or certain interview type questions or are you more like
- 28:01intuitional about your, your kind of gut feel or?
- 28:04I think it's, I think it's a combination of I, I first of
- 28:07all, I, I like to look at those things.
- 28:12My current organization isn't big enough for that to kind of
- 28:16matter where you have 20 different people in a role and
- 28:19you've really sifted through what does and doesn't work.
- 28:22I think I use those more for a going in understanding of how
- 28:27this person works in general and how this person might work work
- 28:31with me. And then there are obviously
- 28:34some red flags on some of these things.
- 28:36I've, I've gone in and out of asking certain types of
- 28:40interview questions and at times thinking they work and at times
- 28:43thinking they don't work. Ultimately in a big or like in a
- 28:48big organization, you have just statistically, you know that
- 28:52you're going to go through, you're going to come up with the
- 28:53process and then some percentage of the people are going to work
- 28:57out and some percentage of the people aren't going to work out.
- 29:00Right now I'm in a much smaller organization and to the degree
- 29:03that we're hiring people, there's not a large enough
- 29:07sample set of people for that to necessarily apply.
- 29:11And ultimately you're not going to know until you work with
- 29:14someone in a smaller environment.
- 29:16So I tend to do like now if I'm going to hire someone, I try to,
- 29:21if it's an early in the career person, I might do an
- 29:24internship. So get someone while they're in
- 29:27school and they can do some work with me while they're in school.
- 29:31And then by the time they graduate, I'm going to know
- 29:33whether they're a fit. I think if you're getting
- 29:36someone mid career, it's going to be, I think at this time of
- 29:40at this point in time, if I hired someone mid career, it's
- 29:43probably someone I'm going to have worked with or maybe they
- 29:45were on the other side of the table or something like that.
- 29:47Because it's the smaller you are, the higher the cost.
- 29:52The cost isn't just money but time of someone not working out.
- 29:56Right. Yeah.
- 29:57And it really take, you know, because I'm going through that
- 29:59in my organization of growing and scaling and all that is it's
- 30:03hard to, I want to get better at vetting upfront, you know, put
- 30:09potential talent and, and partnerships.
- 30:12And it's really hard until they're working with you and you
- 30:15see, it's kind of like dating, right?
- 30:16Their profile can say anything. But to really understand
- 30:19someone, to get to know someone, to take some time.
- 30:21And sometimes that cost can be a lot, especially if you're
- 30:23working with recruiters or different things like that.
- 30:25And so trying to really get that clarity sooner.
- 30:29I would imagine AI is going to have some really cool stuff over
- 30:32the next five years on on creating processes to simulate
- 30:38working in the interview process so we can get more clarity than
- 30:41these kind of off the shelf tests.
- 30:45I really like that idea. Yeah, you actually just gave me
- 30:47idea right when you said that. We can work on it offline.
- 30:50Yeah, that's perfect. That's really cool.
- 30:53OK. So shifting into capital
- 30:55raising, I'm in the capital markets, you've been heavily in
- 30:58the capital markets. What are the most important
- 31:03things when it comes to capital raising?
- 31:05If someone's going to go out there and try to raise money for
- 31:07their real estate development deal or their their business
- 31:10ventures, you know, venture capital, startup, anything like
- 31:13that, What would you best advice you would give when it comes to
- 31:15capital? Raising, well, I think
- 31:16ultimately in real estate, I mean we're in a less complicated
- 31:20business than a lot of the venture stuff out there, but
- 31:24there's still a lot of complexity to decision for an
- 31:27investor to invest in a deal and it's going to in some order of
- 31:31the following the deal, the market, the team, right.
- 31:36And you're, you're trying to sell those sell for lack of a
- 31:40better term or get someone interested in those three
- 31:44things. And I think as it pertains to
- 31:46the team, I think it's starting, it starts and ends with trust
- 31:50and building trust and deserving and earning trust.
- 31:55And then there's sort of the, do they know how to assess
- 31:58opportunities and can they can they execute on opportunities in
- 32:04terms of the market, whether it's a geographic market or a
- 32:07property type market? I think from a there's telling
- 32:12the story and I think storytelling, the positive of
- 32:16storytelling, not they all that he's just a storyteller, not
- 32:18that we're always telling a story.
- 32:20When you're raising money or you're getting people to invest
- 32:22or bet on you, whether they're betting time or investing time
- 32:26or they're investing capital, learning how to tell a story
- 32:30very efficiently, effectively, tightly is important.
- 32:36We used to. We realized that before Phoenix
- 32:39is now most of our current deals are in the Phoenix market and
- 32:43that they were initially in my prior company as well.
- 32:45And what we learned over time as we were raising money, we raise
- 32:49money both from individual investors for certain types of
- 32:51deals and then institutional partners who are looking for
- 32:54local operating partners or sponsors as they call them.
- 32:57And what we found is we would talk to certain groups and they
- 33:01were either in New York or San Francisco or in LA and they'd
- 33:04say, Oh yeah, we're interested in Phoenix.
- 33:06We haven't really spent any time there.
- 33:08When you have a good deal, show us a deal.
- 33:12And we learned over time that if someone hadn't invested the time
- 33:15to come out to the Phoenix market to understand the market
- 33:19and do their homework and meet with the right people to know
- 33:23what a good deal is going to look like when they see it, they
- 33:26didn't have the time. Really good deal.
- 33:29The better the deal, the shorter the fuse.
- 33:31It's sort of like, you know, if every, if you have a lot of
- 33:34time, it's it and it's going to be a much more competitive
- 33:39thing. If you find a situation and it's
- 33:43a really good opportunity, you probably don't have a long time
- 33:45to make a decision. It just sort of works out that
- 33:47way. So if someone hasn't done the
- 33:49homework, an investor hadn't done the homework at an
- 33:51institutional level. So this is someone investing
- 33:54other people's money that they've raised to then go, they
- 33:57have a fiduciary to their investors and they're going to
- 34:01have to go through a process and they're going to have investment
- 34:03committees and so on. So in vetting an investor, for
- 34:07example, this may be a long answer, but it's understanding
- 34:10if the person is actually in a position to say yes to an
- 34:15opportunity, because all you have is time when you're raising
- 34:20funds. And so assessing whether
- 34:23someone's going to invest in the market is important and do they
- 34:26understand the market? So we talked about the trust and
- 34:29the track record and the execution of the sponsor.
- 34:32And then there's the market. Is someone going to to some if,
- 34:36if the person is investing, are they and you're raising money
- 34:40for an apartment deal? Do they understand the apartment
- 34:42market? Do they need to understand the
- 34:43apartment market? Are they an individual investor
- 34:47who can make a quick yes or have they invested in real estate
- 34:49before? So sort of filtering out the
- 34:54investors to understand if they can assess a market is important
- 35:00and how do they do that? And then in terms of the deal,
- 35:02it's really have you, do you put the story to the financial
- 35:08analysis component of the storytelling together?
- 35:11Do you know the numbers? Have you diligenced it properly
- 35:14and so on. And a good, a sophisticated
- 35:17investor is going to know how to poke through that.
- 35:20An unsophisticated investor and and or an experienced investor,
- 35:25they may not know how to Pierce through those numbers, but it's
- 35:29really still your responsibility of it as a sponsor to to have
- 35:34done that homework. Yeah.
- 35:35So those are sort of the three pillars.
- 35:36Sorry the long answer, but the market, the sponsor, the deal.
- 35:41And have you found it to be or I guess do you think like when
- 35:47does it make sense for you to go retail investors versus
- 35:52institutional capital? Because I know different people
- 35:55have different preferences. And it also depends on the size
- 35:57of the project or the size of the company or the, you know,
- 35:59amount of capital you're looking for.
- 36:01But some people say like for instance, we, we're, we're not
- 36:04broker dealers, we're a capital advisory firm.
- 36:06So most of the Capital Partners we have, they're look, they're
- 36:08institutional PE firms, family offices, they're looking to JV
- 36:11or Co GP. They want control rights and
- 36:13voting rights and things like that, larger projects, right?
- 36:16But then the retail investors, you have to go find, you know,
- 36:205000 investors that are doing $100,000 checks and they don't
- 36:23want it, the control and it is passive.
- 36:25So what is your opinion on if people should go retail or
- 36:29institutional or both? And and some of the lessons
- 36:31you've learned from working on both sides.
- 36:34Yeah, I think it's very deal and sponsor specific.
- 36:38So I don't necessarily it's hard to paint it.
- 36:41I have an opinion of what someone should do globally.
- 36:44It really comes down to the situation and we're not a group
- 36:46that's heavily self promotional. So for us like getting 5000
- 36:51retail investors and doing a, a, a video that they're, that's not
- 36:57really who we are, but it might be the right thing for other
- 37:00people. I think as it pertains to us and
- 37:03the opportunity set that we look at, I think it's, it relates to
- 37:06the size, the complexity, the time horizon and maybe the
- 37:13nature of the return. So when I say the nature of the
- 37:17return, we have cash flow and we have appreciation and then we
- 37:22have do you fund all the money upfront and then you buy it and
- 37:26you're never going to have to make another capital call.
- 37:27Hopefully that's one way or you know it.
- 37:31The deal could go in four or five different directions and
- 37:34that pivot point isn't until three years in the future.
- 37:37And in one scenario we won't need any additional capital and
- 37:40another we might need millions of dollars.
- 37:42That's complexity and it's also sort of a time it impacts the
- 37:47timing of the capital calls. So I say the more complex, the
- 37:50larger and the more time related sort of forks in the road there
- 37:57are, the more likely it's better to be a have institutional
- 38:01partners. So you're only needing to kind
- 38:03of explain this complexity to 1 group as opposed to if you have
- 38:09100 investors in a deal or 50 investors in a deal and you got
- 38:13all these different forks in the road and complexity happening at
- 38:16different times or that may or may happen at different times.
- 38:19That's a real complicated situation to navigate.
- 38:22So I would say syndication is where is the term that you use
- 38:27for like where you have a bunch of private individual investors
- 38:30that might be 50,000 or $500,000 a check for.
- 38:34So I would say smaller deals where it's one capital call and
- 38:39it's cash flowing out the door right away where you're going to
- 38:42have like we do monthly distributions on our cash
- 38:45flowing properties. That's a plain vanilla kind of
- 38:48deal that's more suitable to an individual investor.
- 38:52It may not have the same kind of upside, but it also doesn't have
- 38:56all this different stuff that could go right and wrong and
- 38:59would be you'd be managing the emotions of 50 different people
- 39:03that may not have really understood the nuance of what
- 39:06could happen in the deal. Right.
- 39:08And what about how do you, how have you identified who to reach
- 39:12out to as far as capital goes? So you're like, OK, we have to
- 39:15raise. I don't know what what, what's
- 39:17an average deal size that you would have to go?
- 39:19Raise, I mean if we're doing a syndication, I would say 5 to 10
- 39:22million is probably normal for us.
- 39:25If it gets larger than that and the and the fuse on how quickly
- 39:29we need to close a deal gets shorter, we'll go more an
- 39:32institutional partner. Sorry, can you repeat the
- 39:35question one more time? How do?
- 39:36You. Yeah.
- 39:37How do you identify who to reach out to for?
- 39:38Capital. So we've, we've done it more
- 39:40organically. Again, everyone does it
- 39:42differently. And in this, this social media
- 39:44world, there's a lot of people who've expanded very quickly
- 39:48from nothing over the course of a few years by doing a very
- 39:52broad reaching marketing. That's not really how we've done
- 39:56it. We've just sort of done it
- 39:58through organic word of mouth overtime and and repeat
- 40:03investors and that kind of keeps us honest.
- 40:06I mean we were honest anyway. But I mean when I say keep you
- 40:08honest, it's sort of like accountability.
- 40:10We're relying on repeat business and we have we're repeat
- 40:14business minded people. So it's really going back to.
- 40:19The same people and they refer people and so on.
- 40:21OK, cool. And are these mostly mostly
- 40:25institutional capital or? Or again, it depends on the
- 40:27deal. I would say we'd probably do a
- 40:30third of our deals have an institutional partner and 2/3 of
- 40:33our deals are mostly private investors, but that could change
- 40:37through the cycle depending on the size of deals.
- 40:39Right now, we've been, we've really found a liking to some of
- 40:44these smaller industrial flexi kind of buildings that have like
- 40:50a little bit of a retail, can have a little bit of a retail
- 40:52component or a little bit of a office component and industrial.
- 40:56So kind of playing in that space.
- 40:59It's been smaller deals, so they're smaller capital raises.
- 41:03So we go to individual investors, but if the
- 41:06opportunity set starts to evolve and we also, you know in our
- 41:12venture, we're now 5 1/2 years in.
- 41:14As we continue to build track record, bigger deals may come
- 41:17across our plate and that percentage of it private
- 41:21investors versus institutional could could change and and sway
- 41:24back and forth. Right.
- 41:26And I really like Small Bay too, especially in the Phoenix
- 41:29market, it's a great asset class.
- 41:32What so 'cause you are you still actively investing as an LP in
- 41:36people's deals as well? Yeah, there's a few property
- 41:39types that I like the investment profile and opportunities, but I
- 41:45don't have the expertise in and, or the scale.
- 41:49So for example, I have a cousin who's a senior executive at one
- 41:53of the larger data center investment firms.
- 41:56And so I'm I've invested in a couple of their funds, one's
- 42:00domestic US, one's Europe and it's data center growth and
- 42:03they're a global leader. And like I would never get the
- 42:06opportunity to do that on my own.
- 42:09And and then I have a friend who's a real specialist in a
- 42:12very capable firm in the self storage and they do development.
- 42:16It's very data-driven and how they do their site selection and
- 42:18they're in some very unique markets like Nantucket and Maui.
- 42:22And that are once you get the entitlements done, you've sort
- 42:26of you're half the battles one or even more.
- 42:29And I'm getting to invest once those milestones have been
- 42:33achieved. Yeah, yeah.
- 42:35And it's, I love that because some people, you know, they're
- 42:38either like, oh, I'm just the sponsor and they don't invest
- 42:40anywhere else. And then some people are just a
- 42:42passive investor, but they're never the sponsor.
- 42:44So it's cool to be able to really have your hands in all
- 42:46areas and understand the scope and scale of it's not that easy
- 42:51to just go enter a new market or go build a massive team or
- 42:54develop, right? But there's good opportunities
- 42:57there. And so sometimes it makes sense
- 42:58to allocate a portion of your capital.
- 43:00In my opinion, I think it always makes sense to allocate a
- 43:02portion of your capital to other investments.
- 43:05And when you're making those decisions though, because
- 43:08there's so it goes both for raising capital or choosing A
- 43:12sponsor to invest your capital in, right?
- 43:14How, what questions are you asking or what process are you
- 43:17going through to identify is this a good investment that I
- 43:20actually want to make on the LP side?
- 43:25Yeah, I, I guess it's interesting, depending on where
- 43:28you come from, those three things we talked about like
- 43:32market, which it could be geographic, geography or
- 43:35property type, sponsor and deal. I probably go sponsor first.
- 43:45If I, if it's someone who knows their space, has a track record
- 43:50of success and they're trustworthy and they report both
- 43:54good news and bad news, then that's kind of the first filter
- 43:58for me. If you don't get through that
- 43:59filter, I'm not interested in the deal or the market.
- 44:03And then I probably look at the, I've probably had a sense of
- 44:09it's a market that I'd want to be in.
- 44:11So then I probably look at the deal level thing and then I go
- 44:13step back and look at the market.
- 44:15And is the, the intuition that I had about the market or what I
- 44:18had read about the market still hold true and I might do a
- 44:21deeper dive on the market. So that's probably my order with
- 44:25a third party LP investment is sponsor deal and then a relook
- 44:30at the market. Yeah, I talked about this with
- 44:33one of our clients, but we say that the jockey, the horse, the
- 44:37racetrack and then the grooms, the whole team right around it.
- 44:41And so the jockeys, the sponsor, and you have to, you have to bet
- 44:45on the jockey for just like in PE, right?
- 44:47They're betting on founders. Then you have the horse, which
- 44:50is the actual deal, and then you have the racetrack, which is the
- 44:54market and the overall macro economy.
- 44:56I mean, even go one level higher.
- 44:58I was with a friend who's in the real estate fund business.
- 45:02So he's a $650 million fund. And then there's even, do I want
- 45:08to be betting on horse racing? So he's talking to global
- 45:11investment firms and pension funds and so on who are saying,
- 45:15you know, do I want to be investing in real estate right
- 45:18now? Is that an allocation that I
- 45:20want to go deeper or shallower, I guess move the dial down or up
- 45:28And that that's an issue too. And I think the bigger you get,
- 45:31the more you, you face that, that you're having investors
- 45:35who've been investing in AI stuff and they're like, I don't
- 45:40need 14% IRS in real estate. I'd rather get, I'd rather be in
- 45:45cash or I'd rather, you know, go for 10X stuff and AI.
- 45:49So I think I've had a couple people say that to me, yeah,
- 45:52that have had exposure to some interesting AI opportunities.
- 45:55So I think you always have to be aware if you're in the capital
- 45:58market side of the business of all the different alternatives,
- 46:01right, And that the capital you're talking to has in terms
- 46:05of investments. Yeah.
- 46:08How do you diversify your portfolio?
- 46:13Do you follow like a set, you know, 10% goes into cash and 15%
- 46:19goes into LP or this goes into AI or this goes into P or this
- 46:22goes into real estate or like how have you created a
- 46:25well-rounded investment portfolio?
- 46:26Obviously, you're very successful investor in many
- 46:28areas. I try.
- 46:32I don't do it as methodically probably as some other people,
- 46:37whether they're family offices or just sit in front of their
- 46:42computer looking at their assets every day and their allocations.
- 46:46I have what I think is a reasonable percentage of my, my
- 46:54net worth in, in the stock market.
- 46:58I try to then within that I, I, I like investing and sometimes I
- 47:03can maybe with my own money that that risk aversion because I'm
- 47:08not accountable to someone else can go away.
- 47:11And I know that about myself. So I try to have a certain
- 47:14amount of my money in like just the indices where I'm just
- 47:19playing, yeah, the S&P low cost ETFs and most of my retirement
- 47:26funds are in those kinds of things that I'm not looking at
- 47:29it every day. And then I have some allocation
- 47:32to things that I'm hearing about or reading about or researching
- 47:36myself or have some instinct, but I try not to make that
- 47:39portion of my stocks too much so that if, if I'm wrong, I'm not
- 47:43like changing my lifestyle. And then, you know, being in
- 47:48real estate where things the market can, can change, it sort
- 47:53of goes up slowly and goes down quickly.
- 47:55And so I have a very conservative perspective on
- 47:58personal debt. I have a primary residence and a
- 48:02secondary residence. I have a very small mortgage at
- 48:05a very, very low rate on my primary residence and I have no
- 48:08debt on my secondary residence because I don't want a the
- 48:13pressure of a loan changing that thing that I worked so hard to
- 48:16be able to have in my life. So I put 0 sort of risk on that
- 48:21that thing. So I look at things in terms of
- 48:24that and then in terms of my private non direct investing,
- 48:29we're in the GP in real estate. It's probably pretty small
- 48:32because I feel like as a practitioner in real estate, I
- 48:36should mostly be in my own deals.
- 48:37And then I probably am over allocated to private business
- 48:44deals because I'm a little bit of a business junkie and I need
- 48:48to kind of slap myself on the wrist once in a while and say
- 48:50it's enough for now. And I'm I'm right there right
- 48:52now. I've made some private business
- 48:55investments recently. I really thoroughly enjoy that.
- 48:59But I'm not at that expertise seat at the table every day kind
- 49:05of on the board or whatever of those companies.
- 49:08So I need to kind of make sure I don't over allocate to that.
- 49:12And this is just like private equity.
- 49:13Private equity venture, yeah. So I and I make sure even within
- 49:17those spaces, I've got some money with a couple funds so
- 49:21that the people who are really doing it every day are investing
- 49:25for me. And then through my business
- 49:27contacts and and such, I'm investing directly in some
- 49:31deals. And I do, I do that a lot of the
- 49:33direct investing, whether it's in the stock market or whether
- 49:36it's in the private market. I feel like it, it keeps me
- 49:39sharp by having made some decisions on my own.
- 49:43It's kind of call it like pointing the compass and and it
- 49:48it keeps me a little bit more alert, but I just going to need
- 49:51to make sure I don't over allocate on those things because
- 49:53I'm not in it enough every day to consider myself a pure
- 49:57expert. Right.
- 49:58And so I mean, you've been playing this game for over 2
- 50:01decades now. So you've been through market
- 50:03UPS, market downs, both on the venture side and the and the
- 50:07real estate side. What patterns do you continue to
- 50:11see repeat in the market? Like when you're making these
- 50:14decisions, how are you taking into effect where the market is
- 50:18today and the past, you know, the past cycles in the market,
- 50:23Do you think about that in any specific way or well?
- 50:26I think the first thing I think about along those lines is just
- 50:28keeping a certain percent of my net worth in like super liquid
- 50:35stuff so that if the, you know, proverbial shit hits the fan,
- 50:40that it, I'm not under, under pressure.
- 50:44And so I think that's the most important thing is to, is to
- 50:48have sort of a comfortable level and very, very low risk assets.
- 50:54And then I, I think that it's also important to realize that
- 50:58anything can happen. And I think we're generally like
- 51:03particularly in real estate, if you look back to kind of
- 51:06starting in the 80s and, and, and, and onward, there's been an
- 51:12increasing trend of institutionalization of real
- 51:15estate. Like the, the real read, the
- 51:19readization of real estate happened to post SNL crisis.
- 51:22So in the early 90s, a lot of these master limited
- 51:26partnerships went limited partnerships went public as a
- 51:32way to recapitalize. And then you had publicly traded
- 51:35real estate and the big like the Black Stones and the Goldman
- 51:39Sachs and the Sam Zales created their Odyssey funds and they
- 51:43brought a lot of large capital to real estate.
- 51:47And then pension funds started investing through those vehicles
- 51:50and now you have a much more professionally managed real
- 51:56estate industry. So the bottoms of the cycles are
- 52:00higher each time. So while there may be ups and
- 52:02downs, it's generally on an upward trend.
- 52:06There's more liquidity in real estate.
- 52:07There's more money on the sidelines, there's more
- 52:10analytical expertise, there's more research tools, whether
- 52:14it's costar and so on. And so I think the ups and downs
- 52:17are less harsh than they used to be in the bottom feeding is less
- 52:23obvious as maybe it used to be. But realizing that still things
- 52:28can, things can go wrong. But I think what that's created
- 52:31is back to a question you asked earlier about boy, it's getting
- 52:34hard to buy things and so on. I think the margin, the the
- 52:40opportunity for outsized returns, I think over time thins
- 52:45out because there's just more players in the market and more
- 52:47information and more capital. Right.
- 52:50And how do you stay? I don't know if you've read the
- 52:56book Who Moved the Cheese? But like how, how do you decide?
- 53:00Because I know so many people right now in, in real estate and
- 53:02we're starting to kind of make a turn with rates starting to have
- 53:06some relief and things like that.
- 53:07But the past 2-3 years have been a rough patch in real estate
- 53:10because we're still prices are high, but deals are really hard
- 53:13to find and capital is more expensive.
- 53:14But the market didn't crash either, you know, drop it, all
- 53:18these things. So like, how do you decide when
- 53:22to cut your losses? Like when when it's time to make
- 53:24a pivot, either in an asset Class, A market, or an entire.
- 53:27Industry cut your losses in terms of this deal isn't going
- 53:30well or I'm not getting enough opportunity, I need to look at
- 53:33something else. I'm not getting enough
- 53:35opportunity. I need to look at something else
- 53:37versus sticking it through and staying the course and staying
- 53:40committed versus realizing, OK, I need to shift my strategy here
- 53:44and well. I think that's a very, I think
- 53:47it depends on sort of where you are in your own business, right?
- 53:51Like if you're a multi generational multifamily
- 53:55investor and you've got a portfolio that sustains you and
- 53:59you don't need to do a deal and you don't necessarily need to
- 54:03pivot. I think like I was, I have a
- 54:06investor friend in the real estate business and they're in
- 54:09the third generation of the business right now out of
- 54:11California and they're sticking to their core.
- 54:14But they're also looking at adjacent stuff, maybe a property
- 54:19type that they hadn't hadn't done before and they're open to
- 54:23it because the next generation wants something to do as well.
- 54:28So it makes sense for them. I think if you're look, if
- 54:31you're getting started in the business and you only know one
- 54:34property type and that property type has a three or four or five
- 54:38year window where there's not really good opportunities, you
- 54:42have to either pivot or you have to either begin.
- 54:45What I see people starting out and we did this a little bit
- 54:48too, is you may need to do some advisory work to stay in the
- 54:52game and keep the lights on, right.
- 54:55So if you're, if you know how to do, you know, small retail part
- 55:00like a parcel development of coffee shops and, and
- 55:05chick-fil-A's or whatever, but you can't find the deal, but
- 55:08there's someone who's doing it that you might advise to them.
- 55:11So I think it just depends on what your staying power is and
- 55:15what your urgency and need to do things are.
- 55:19And then you can pivot either where you are like vertically
- 55:22and do a different service in the space or you have to look
- 55:26for something different. I mean, if you, if you need the
- 55:30money, what you don't want as an investor is be investing with
- 55:34someone who if they don't get this deal done, they can't put
- 55:37food on the table. Then they have it.
- 55:39They have their own bias in terms of selling that deal.
- 55:42They're selling it out of desperation and pitching it out
- 55:46of desperation at rather than because they think it's a good
- 55:49deal. Right when Speaking of pitch,
- 55:53what are you, What do you think is like a red flag when
- 55:56someone's pitching you a deal that immediately turns you off?
- 56:00They don't know what can go wrong if someone's overly
- 56:03optimistic and they can't even tell a compelling story.
- 56:05I call it the bear case, not I call it the bear case.
- 56:08It's called the bear case. Like what's the bold case?
- 56:10Why is this a good deal? And what could go wrong?
- 56:12And, and I think when people are unable to articulate sort of
- 56:17transparently, truthfully, objectively what can go wrong, I
- 56:23get very nervous. And I think the more
- 56:27sophisticated people can present both cases now, obviously if
- 56:31they're moving forward with something, they like the bold
- 56:33case more than the bear case. But I think you really have
- 56:35blind spots if you're not willing to accept and search for
- 56:40and and sort of digest the what can go wrong on a deal.
- 56:44Yeah, yeah, yeah. And what when, what advice do
- 56:47you have for those who maybe they're newer investors that
- 56:49have only seen a bull market like maybe if they don't know
- 56:52what can go wrong? Investing in someone else's
- 56:54deals or doing their own deals? Which which group are you?
- 56:57Talking about doing their own deals, yeah.
- 57:01Boy, I mean, the magic is really in getting those first couple
- 57:05deals done And, and you know, I think there's a difference
- 57:09between people who are doing their first deal who are coming
- 57:12from the industry or someone who's doing their first deal and
- 57:16they're not coming from the industry, right?
- 57:18Like I have a mentee of mine and she and her partner, business
- 57:22partner were brokers for small retail and now they develop
- 57:29coffee shops for a particular brand.
- 57:32So they knew it, they have a trusting relationship and they
- 57:36got friends and family money and they're off and running and they
- 57:39got, you know, 5 or 6 deals going at a time.
- 57:42So that doing what you know and having a real sharp focus
- 57:50initially is very good. If you're coming at it and
- 57:53you're new to the business, it's a tougher, it's a tougher
- 57:56equation if particularly if it's tough to get a deal.
- 58:01But I mean, I but the advice when people are kind of talking
- 58:05about leaving whatever they're doing and it's not right and
- 58:08they can't move up or activity is slow and I want to go do
- 58:11something and what it Gary, what do you think I should do in our
- 58:15business? I mean, what's great about the
- 58:17real estate business is there's always going to be local young
- 58:22up and coming entrepreneurs who are hungry and they can go find
- 58:26a deal. And it's like, go find a deal.
- 58:28People find a good deal, but they need to know how to find
- 58:31it. And then they need to know how
- 58:32to assess that it's a good deal. Don't just throw spaghetti at
- 58:35the wall and hope it sticks with someone.
- 58:37Like, go find a good deal. And you got to know why it's a
- 58:39good deal. And then, you know, pound on the
- 58:41table. Yeah, my, my best friend and,
- 58:44and one of our clients, he, he made his first $10 million by
- 58:47just being a dirt dog and sourcing deals for a experienced
- 58:50sponsor and learned how they underwrite and what they look
- 58:52for and kind of got to see their process and their mistakes and
- 58:56their wins and all that and then took that equity and then
- 58:58started his own development firm ultimately, but.
- 59:00When I look at the people that I know who've kind of started from
- 59:04nothing and bootstrap and then and then grew, they either like
- 59:11the example I just gave you of the woman who had a client that
- 59:15was, that was a coffee shop and they just wanted a trusted
- 59:19developer. So that's a real in, call it an
- 59:22in. And then I think, you know, if
- 59:26you look at the different skills that complete a skill set for
- 59:30real estate, where there's analysis and due diligence and
- 59:32execution and development and management and so on.
- 59:36I think the real lone wolf entrepreneurial skill is is
- 59:42finding unique or off market transactions for whatever
- 59:46magical way that that person does it.
- 59:49That seems to be like the the best go find like you, you
- 59:55you're able to find a deal or you see something differently
- 59:58than someone else or you see the sort of unlocking of value
- 1:00:02opportunity in a particular asset.
- 1:00:04When I think of the people who started from nothing that were
- 1:00:07able to ham an egg it and and get sort of.
- 1:00:09Get going. It was those two things seem to
- 1:00:12stand out. They had a real in or a real
- 1:00:14trusted source of opportunity for them or they had a real
- 1:00:17unique way of being able to uncover and originate deals.
- 1:00:21And the analytical stuff, the analytical skills and those
- 1:00:24other skills you can hire more than like really unique
- 1:00:29origination. I think really unique
- 1:00:31origination is a magical skill. Yeah, it's hard.
- 1:00:34I mean, I think he he who controls the deal controls, all
- 1:00:37right. And because if you have a great
- 1:00:39deal, it's get the capital that I would say the capital is the
- 1:00:42next hard piece. But the deal is always like the
- 1:00:44the main piece because you don't have anything without the deal.
- 1:00:47Yeah. I mean, you have to solve the
- 1:00:49capital problem. And we had a situation recently
- 1:00:53where we had a really interesting deal, but there were
- 1:00:57two very binary outcomes for what could happen with that
- 1:01:02deal. And we couldn't find a potential
- 1:01:06investment partner that was willing to live with.
- 1:01:09Even if it was a 5% chance or 10% chance outcome, it would be
- 1:01:15at a low return over a very long period of time where there was a
- 1:01:19big upside. But it might be 25 years because
- 1:01:21there was a lease in place with renewals.
- 1:01:24But we were, we would have been buying the property at like 30
- 1:01:26cents on the the dollar. Like we knew if the property
- 1:01:29were vacant. And usually you want a tenant in
- 1:01:31the building. But in this case, if you have a
- 1:01:33really far below market rent on a building and that lease has a
- 1:01:38very long term or options to renew, you could end up, you
- 1:01:44know, 30 years out a triple on your money IRR wise isn't that
- 1:01:47attractive. So we are actually unable to
- 1:01:50find the right capital that would partner with us.
- 1:01:52And we ended up selling it to a family office that was OK with
- 1:01:56either outcome because they didn't mind the lower return
- 1:01:59because they have, you know, they're already thinking for a
- 1:02:02generation out and they understood the value of the
- 1:02:04property. They owned other properties
- 1:02:05nearby and if the tenant left, they had a use for it.
- 1:02:09So that was a really unique situation.
- 1:02:11So the money isn't always there for good opportunities.
- 1:02:18So finding the money is important and hard, but I think
- 1:02:21finding the deal for an entrepreneur is really
- 1:02:25important. And then if I were to give
- 1:02:27advice to an entrepreneur that maybe doesn't know the money but
- 1:02:31is really good at at at finding opportunities, is to go find
- 1:02:36someone who has access to the money and partner with them as
- 1:02:41opposed to finding a deal and then scrambling to raise from
- 1:02:44friends and family, particularly if you're not connected to a lot
- 1:02:48of wealthy individuals. Right.
- 1:02:52Yeah, it's so important your capital relate all your
- 1:02:54relationships. Do you know who your net worth
- 1:02:57really is? In my opinion, a reflection of
- 1:02:59your your network and the quality of those relationships
- 1:03:02and your trust within that network.
- 1:03:03Because 7° is separation. And that's why I'm in so many
- 1:03:06masterminds and things like that.
- 1:03:07Because if you, you know, need anybody that you really want to
- 1:03:10trust and you can have that that resource to go to, to get people
- 1:03:14that you can trust and that get those good advisors to help you.
- 1:03:18I'm friendly with a gentleman named Harvey McKay who's written
- 1:03:21a bunch of business books, and one of his books was Dig Your
- 1:03:23Well Before You're Thirsty. And it's kind of about
- 1:03:26networking. And so I think it's important
- 1:03:29for people to be parallel processing and looking for
- 1:03:32deals, but also building those relationships when you're not
- 1:03:36necessarily when you don't necessarily have a deal.
- 1:03:39Because once you have a deal, if you're meeting someone for the
- 1:03:41first time, it puts a very transactional nature on the
- 1:03:44relationship. So I encourage people to go out
- 1:03:48and network, but you have to really create a context for
- 1:03:50networking, right, if you don't have a reason.
- 1:03:53So I think there's industry organizations that you can join
- 1:03:57and mentorship organizations that people can join.
- 1:04:00I'm very involved with the Urban Land Institute and I've been a
- 1:04:03mentor for their Young Leader program for the past 12 to 15
- 1:04:08years. And each year I get a dozen new
- 1:04:11mentees. And those people are me and we
- 1:04:14bring in speakers every month. And those people are constantly
- 1:04:17meeting influencing influencers in the old school sense within
- 1:04:22the within the industry. And then if they have an
- 1:04:24opportunity, they've they've gone and got an outlet to get to
- 1:04:28the capital. Right.
- 1:04:30And what, what are you most excited about in 2020?
- 1:04:34I guess 6 we're, we're going to be nearing the end of 2025 here.
- 1:04:37So what asset classes or business opportunities, you
- 1:04:40know, whether it's in real estate or or AI or the other
- 1:04:43things like that or what are you excited about or where do you
- 1:04:45think the trends going moving forward?
- 1:04:47Boy, that is the the $1,000,000 billion dollar question right
- 1:04:53now. You know, we continue to like
- 1:04:57the asset class that we're mostly focused on within
- 1:05:00alignment Realty Capital, which is a small Bay industrial and
- 1:05:04kind of flexi where there's like we have an office in Old Town
- 1:05:09Scottsdale where we, we office, we have a like an executive
- 1:05:13suites on a second floor. And then we have a, a, a woman
- 1:05:17who's got 100,000 followers on Instagram who does hair
- 1:05:21extensions. We have a woman who does Botox
- 1:05:24and health and Wellness things. We're getting a coffee shop in
- 1:05:27there, so it's quasi retail. We bought it as an office
- 1:05:31building and it's kind of morphed into both.
- 1:05:33We're buying some office buildings right now, single
- 1:05:36story office buildings that we can make a kind of industrial
- 1:05:42flex by adding some grade level doors and so on.
- 1:05:46So we like really well located real estate with a good basis IE
- 1:05:51price per foot and either a good going in yield or we can see a
- 1:05:55short path to getting to an attractive yield.
- 1:05:58So that key metric that we look at is a stabilized yield to
- 1:06:02cost. So that's an unlevered net
- 1:06:05operating income divided by your all in cost.
- 1:06:08To us that's the magic metric. It doesn't take into account
- 1:06:11that and it it, it sort of accounts for any short term
- 1:06:15releasing. So it's stabilized yield to cost
- 1:06:18at year one or year 2 or year three or whenever it is that you
- 1:06:21get to that stabilized. What is there a certain yield
- 1:06:26you're you're looking for for it to meet?
- 1:06:27Your I think it just depends on the risk and the day one, like
- 1:06:31we might buy an asset that doesn't require any work that's
- 1:06:34a 7% yield to cost day one and the rents are way below market.
- 1:06:40They may be longer term leases, but we know that at some point
- 1:06:43in the future or we have a high level of confidence at some
- 1:06:46point in the future that it'll be even higher.
- 1:06:48But it's a good enough going in return that that everything else
- 1:06:52is gravy. If it's something that we got to
- 1:06:54do a lot of work for and it's a smaller deal, we got to make
- 1:06:58sure the juice is worth the squeeze and you know that
- 1:07:02there's enough upside worth the work where it might be higher,
- 1:07:05where we're looking to get to a nine or a nine and a half two or
- 1:07:08three years out after repositioning the property and,
- 1:07:12you know, new painting and and converting some suites from
- 1:07:18office to flex or industrial and redoing the parking lot.
- 1:07:21It's a lot of work. And particularly on a smaller
- 1:07:23deal, you want to make sure you get to something that's juicy
- 1:07:26enough. But if something's kind of plug
- 1:07:28and play day one and it's just a good basis by with good yield,
- 1:07:31we might have a little bit of a lower threshold.
- 1:07:33So some sort of work return Yeah matrix.
- 1:07:37So you guys are more stay on the course of your expertise and
- 1:07:40what you know look for opportunities but don't go too
- 1:07:43far. I think it's.
- 1:07:43Kind of like an 8020 rule, like 80.
- 1:07:46It should be 80% focused on I, I call it the grass is green,
- 1:07:50right? Not the grass is greener.
- 1:07:51You want to be 80% focused on the grass is green and 20%
- 1:07:55focused on the grass is greener. And that might lead to another
- 1:07:58opportunity I'm involved in that I've been involved in for a
- 1:08:01little under three years, which is the night golf course at
- 1:08:06Rolling Hills, which is my partners in the deal are grass
- 1:08:08clippings. So it's the grass is green there
- 1:08:11and the grass is greener. So they had worked very hard for
- 1:08:14three years to prompt and then win an RFP to convert the
- 1:08:21executive golf course within Papago Park in Tempe right next
- 1:08:26to the Phoenix Zoo into a night golf kind of entertainment and
- 1:08:32and golf venue. And we've been doing that for
- 1:08:35since we took it over in July of 2023.
- 1:08:37And now it's, it's a real unique asset both to this market and
- 1:08:44it's kind of one O 1 nationally. And so we're hoping to take that
- 1:08:48and maybe potentially do more of those.
- 1:08:50So that's a, that's a little bit more of an entrepreneurial
- 1:08:54outside the box type opportunity.
- 1:08:56But what I brought to the table to these young hungry creative
- 1:09:00entrepreneurs was some institutional processes of
- 1:09:04investment, private investment management and, and, and what we
- 1:09:09call asset. The difference between asset
- 1:09:11management and property management is property
- 1:09:13management. You're managing like the very
- 1:09:15specific day-to-day things at a property and asset management is
- 1:09:18kind of the strategy of a property and the investment.
- 1:09:21So that's kind of my expertise is more on the asset management
- 1:09:24side, strategic direction and allocation of capital and things
- 1:09:28like that. That's yeah, that's I want to
- 1:09:32talk to you more about that offline, but OK, so couple rapid
- 1:09:36fire things. If you had to start over today
- 1:09:38from scratch and you had no network, no knowledge, and you
- 1:09:41had to make your first $1,000,000 all over again, what
- 1:09:44would you do? Boy, you got to think it'd be
- 1:09:47something in AI that that from everything you're hearing it
- 1:09:50this is another industrial revolution.
- 1:09:55And I have two sons and one of my sons had that insight.
- 1:09:59He was in consulting in Chicago. He got a job in AI because he
- 1:10:02didn't have like a software or tech background.
- 1:10:05He went into sales and he's working in sales for an AI
- 1:10:09customer service company. My other son went completely the
- 1:10:12other way and he's working for an office read in Atlanta.
- 1:10:16So we'll see who gets to $1,000,000 first.
- 1:10:18Yeah, I wonder how that office office read is going.
- 1:10:22Yeah. Well, it's a great company, well
- 1:10:24established company in Atlanta that has a great history.
- 1:10:26And I think look there, there's a lot of, there's a lot of
- 1:10:32carnage in office. So one would think if you're a
- 1:10:35contrarian, there's going to be a lot of opportunity as well.
- 1:10:37And one of my mentors, super smart guy who's done very well
- 1:10:41in both office and industrial has been buying office buildings
- 1:10:45the last few years as a contrarian play that you just
- 1:10:49look at the basis, it's so far below replacement cost and he
- 1:10:52has some belief that people were going to be coming back to work.
- 1:10:55So building an expertise in that space, I think it translates to
- 1:10:59other property types, but it may also lead to opportunities.
- 1:11:03Right. So I have I have someone who's
- 1:11:07riding the wave and someone who's riding against the trend
- 1:11:09and my two sons. So I'll come back in five years
- 1:11:12and tell you who's closer. I love it.
- 1:11:13It's perfect. You may you know, one could make
- 1:11:16make millions in in AI and then the other one can invest in real
- 1:11:19estate to save on taxes and preserve cash.
- 1:11:21There you go. Preserve wealth.
- 1:11:24And what what? What's the best piece of advice
- 1:11:26you've ever heard or received? Best piece of advice look, I
- 1:11:32think that I think expertise and focus works any stage of the of
- 1:11:43your career. And so I think that, you know,
- 1:11:47focus on, focus on a, on, on a particular type of opportunity
- 1:11:53as opposed to trying to have exposure to 10 different things
- 1:11:58and hope that one of them hits. You can maybe as an investor
- 1:12:01allocating, allocating a portfolio, you can take that
- 1:12:05approach. But I think if you're early in
- 1:12:06your career, getting an expertise and getting a focus
- 1:12:10and developing skills, it within that focus I think is is really
- 1:12:15important. Yeah, stay the course.
- 1:12:18Yeah, stay the course is, is, is almost like a, an add on to that
- 1:12:22in terms of resiliency. But I, I think that it's, it's
- 1:12:27having an expertise in something that's valuable and advice that
- 1:12:33I give the. So that's sort of maybe what
- 1:12:35I've what I've gotten. And then in terms of, of what I,
- 1:12:39what I give it, particularly the young people is the earlier you
- 1:12:47get an important seat at the table, the better.
- 1:12:49So bring a seat at the table that's needed that the incumbent
- 1:12:53people are less likely to have. And I think that usually,
- 1:12:56particularly in real estate where we're not really tech
- 1:12:59experts, is if you're the 22 or 3 year old in your office, you
- 1:13:04should be the tech expert, which means that you should know how
- 1:13:07to utilize AI within the context of real estate.
- 1:13:10You should be the person who knows all the tech tools and the
- 1:13:14the level up tools so that you get an early seat at the table.
- 1:13:18So I think it's, it's really for the young people is figure out
- 1:13:22what expertise is needed on your team that is new and growing and
- 1:13:28important and, and go after it. Don't lose sight of your 80,
- 1:13:32which is the job that's on your plate, but focus your extra
- 1:13:36time. You're not going to be
- 1:13:37successful working 40 hours a week in that extra 10 or 20
- 1:13:42hours or however many hours more you're willing to work, work on
- 1:13:46The X Factor stuff that's outside the the the core to
- 1:13:51bring to the table. So you're kind of pushing your
- 1:13:53team and raising the level of your team, but you're earning a
- 1:13:56seat at the table early. I love it.
- 1:13:59Well, thank you so much for coming on the show.
- 1:14:01It's been great to. Get thank you for having me.
- 1:14:02Sorry for all the rambling but hopefully there's some Nuggets
- 1:14:04in there that. Was excellent.
- 1:14:06Thanks, Gary. Thanks.