Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 161 - 11/12/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 161 - 11/12/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello and welcome to episode 161 of the All Systems Go sports
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betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Tuesday, the work week rolls on and we got a lot to get
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to on today's podcast. This is kind of my favorite time
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of year guys, because we have college football, college
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basketball, NBANHLI mean we got it all we got, we got biting, we
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got UFC biting on the weekends. So it's a great time to be
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betting on sports and for whatever reason, I'm gravitating
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toward the college sports a little bit more than the pros
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here. And today for you guys, I have a
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six pack of sweats that I'm excited to share with you,
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including three bets in matching tonight, we have 3 college
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football games, all the crazy matching.
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Of course, I'm going to give you my kind of takes on the sides,
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but I'm going to focus on the totals.
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I noticed with all three games tonight, very similar things are
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happening, so I'm going to go in the same direction for all three
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games and see if we can go 2 and one with this angle that I have
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here for tonight and then also a matching stat with totals that
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might surprise you. Hopefully we have an edge that
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we're operating with tonight in the matching.
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Secondly, right back to college basketball guys.
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I love the fact we got college basketball back on my favorite
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sports to sweat three games overall, including couple added
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game extra games, super sharp, obscure line moves and again,
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continuing to kind of hone in on what we look for in college
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basketball. Start with the market.
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I would like a sharp line move, a good bet split.
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Then let's layer in a Ken palm edge.
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Then let's layer in a rhythm edge.
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And if we feel like we can check off all those boxes, boom, it's
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a play worth firing on. So if 6 pack overall tonight,
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guys, all college, 3 college football, 3 college basketball.
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You guys know the drill. Let's see, we can get four of
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these and eke out a winning day. Now what are we doing?
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Yesterday had another good winning day.
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Guys 3 and 1 + 1.21 units. Had a nice sit there with the
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Rams under. I know people got maybe a little
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bit nervous because under 48 1/2, under 49, it did take up to
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49 1/2 right before closing. So I had a couple people DM me
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and say do you still like the under?
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Let me just tell you guys this if you don't know yet.
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I always stick with my original bet.
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I don't try to buy it out, I don't cash out.
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I don't bet the other side. I stick with my original bet.
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So I always make the joke of dancing with the one who brung
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you. If little Samantha invites you
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when you were a 6th grader to the Sadie Hawkins dance, when it
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comes down to to dance into Stairway to Heaven for that
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final song, you dance with her. You don't try to find a cuter
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girl, you don't try to dump her. You stick with the one and dance
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with the one who brung you. So great hit there with that
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Miami and Rams under. And then then also we lean
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pretty hard on Miami. I didn't play it, but if you
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guys noticed it got down to 2 or 1 1/2.
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So maybe you guys catch the Miami only loser there was
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DeMarcus Robinson. Guy was just not involved in the
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offense whatsoever. He had one catch in the the
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fourth quarter late for 22 yards and I'm like, OK, maybe we'll
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get this one. But came up short there on the
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over 27 half. So got the Rams under.
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Maybe you got Miami didn't get Robinson.
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But then a great night 2 and O in college basketball citadel
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absolutely rolling for the team. Obscure sharp line move, getting
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the money line there and then really the coup de grace, the
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best play of the night that I thought Cal State Bakersfield.
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Did. You guys see what happened in
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that Cal State Bakersfield game? They were down big much of the
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game, down 1520 points. second-half, last 10 minutes.
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They stormed back. They're knocking down threes,
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making plays left and right. They had some huge shots late.
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I was going nuts. You know, I don't know, it was
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like midnight, 1:00 AM on the East Coast for me.
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But I love seeing the fact that Bakersfield came back so nice,
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nice winner there, which turned it from a two and two night to a
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three in 1 + 1.21 unit night. So good night last night guys.
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Good start to the week. Let's see if we can keep it
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rolling as we move on to a big Tuesday.
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So without further ado, let's get right into some college
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football again. I'm going to bypass NHL and NBA
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today. I could have squeezed out a
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play, didn't want to force it. I feel like, hey, we're doing
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pretty well with college football and basketball, so
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let's stick with the games and the sports that are doing well
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for us. I think that's important just in
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general as a sports better, you know, do you want to diversify
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your portfolio? Of course you want to be good at
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all sports, but if you feel like you're doing really well at a
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couple in particular, why not try to maximize your edge?
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That's my goal going into today. So let's start off with first a
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complaint that I always have on a night like this.
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Three matching games, all at 7:00.
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Can you give me a 6:00, an 8:00 and a 10:00?
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For whatever reason, schedule makers just can't do that.
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Excuse me, but I digress. Let's start off with the first
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one here, Central Michigan and Toledo.
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Now this one's interesting for a couple reasons #1 Central
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Michigan set the stage and I'll give you my play here.
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They come in three and six. They've lost four straight, just
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felt a Bowling Green 23 to 13, but they did cover as a 16 point
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home dog. Meanwhile, Toledo, six and three
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complete opposite. They just took down Eastern
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Michigan 2928 but did not cover as a 10 point Rd. favorite.
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So what have you seen here in terms of the total?
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Well, it's kind of or sorry in terms of the side.
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It opened around Toledo as a 14 point home favorite.
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Toledo got all the way up to -17 then you started to see some
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buyback bring it back down to around 14 1/2.
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Now public is leaning Toledo 59% bet 60% money.
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You have seen these maxion dogs that are double digit dogs
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getting 10 points or more. They've been pretty good.
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They're nine and four against the spread this year.
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They're 62% ATS since 2021. You would have a little bit of
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correlative betting value. Central Michigan as A2 touchdown
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dog and a hook and a low total game of 51 1/2.
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So kind of what I'm thinking is, you know, again, Toledo is a
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favorite at home laying a big number.
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The line shot up in their favor. Now it's starting to come back a
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little bit. You can make a case here for
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Central Michigan, but what I'm going to do is focus on the
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total because I told you guys tonight that, you know, we have
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three games where they're all very similar and you're going to
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notice on the similarities here in a second.
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But I'm going to go over in this one, Central Michigan, Toledo
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over. Now the first thing I notice is
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we had a total that opened here around 48 and a half 49.
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It's now been bet up to 51 1/2. Now, if you look at kind of what
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we're seeing across the board, it's been nothing but over
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movement here. Some books are at 52, so
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definitely shop around. I got Toledo over 51 1/2.
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You can get it available right now at ESPN Bet bet MGM and
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FanDuel, but there are some shops at 52.
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So again, Lance 52. We want to cash that over 51
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1/2, not push and over 52. So I'm on over 51 1/2.
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The other angle that I like about this aside from this total
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just rising up is you look at the weather.
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It's a perfect night here for football.
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You know, again, we've seen, you know, college football games
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where we have a lot of wind or maybe there's rain and you lean
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under. Not the issue here.
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Toledo, their home stadium here tonight, it's about 40°, about
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five mile per hour. Winds, clear skies, really great
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football weather. But here's the little cherry on
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top that I noticed. I was dialing it up and I said,
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man, matching. It feels like there's a lot of
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high scoring games in matching. For whatever reason.
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This is one of the reasons why you love matching or maybe you
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hate it. It's just it's volatile, it's
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unpredictable. But we have seen a lot of points
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scored. And then I dialed up in my
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database, OK, matching totals, where do they lean?
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And I was right because I looked at the updated stats here.
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If you look at, let me just double check here and get it for
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you. But when you look at a total in
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college football, when it comes to the matching 2 teams in the
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Mac play each other, the over is 20 and eight this year, 20 and
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871 percent, 34% ROI. So we have the total rising up.
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There's been no under buyback. We got great weather and we've
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seen a lot of points scored when 2 maxions play, teams play each
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other, so that's enough for me. Again, I think if you tell me
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you like Toledo, you're getting the best of it now at 14 1/2, it
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was as high as 17, but then you're with the public Mac Big
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dogs do well. The lines coming back to Central
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Michigan, I just didn't see a clear edge one way or the other
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with the side, but I did see consistent movement upward with
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that total. So I'm going to go over Central
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Michigan and Toledo again, Matching overs are 20 and eight
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this year. Great weather and I'll also add
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that Rhythm has a predicted total here of 52.7.
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So again, if you get 51 1/2 rhythms closer to 53, a little
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bit of an edge there to the over.
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So give me Central Michigan, Toledo shop for that. 51 1/2 /
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51 1/2 next one for you. Western Michigan and Bowling
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Green going to this one. Western Michigan five and four
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just had their four-game winning streak come to an end.
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They lost to NIU 4228, which is fine by us because we had that
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dog to fave NIU play there as a 2 point home dog who didn't
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cover or for Bowling Green but did cover 2 point favorite for
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for NIU. Then flip side, Bowling Green
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five and four as well. They've won three straight, just
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took down Central Michigan. Just mentioned that 2313 didn't
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cover though as a 16 point Rd. favorite.
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So what do you see across the market here?
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Well, I was leaning a little bit on Bowling Green Bowling Green
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open as a 7 point home favorite and Bowling Green is all the way
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up to 9 1/2. So on the one hand, it's like,
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oh, how can you play Bowling Green?
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You're getting the worst of the number.
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But then the other thing you kind of like about Bowling Green
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is it's all been Bowling Green money with no buyback
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whatsoever. Like I'm interested to see
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between now and 7:00, does it even get up to 10?
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Like it's been all one movement in favor of Bowling Green.
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Bowling Green is only getting 57% bets, but 67% dollars.
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So a low bets, higher dollars bet split.
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And also, this isn't like a 5050 move because it's technically
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57%, but 57% really shouldn't move a number.
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You know, 2 1/2 points tells me a lot of wise guy money hammered
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Bowling Green. But again, probably a little bit
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sooner. I think a lot of my sharp
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indicators are Bowling Green at like -8 or less or like -7 half
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-8 even 8 1/2. Now 9 1/2 you're again, you're
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not getting the the best of it. But I did notice Bowling Green
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much better defensively giving up 3121 a game versus 35 for
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Western Michigan. But once again, I'm going to
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play the total here. I'm going to go over.
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I told you all three games that are very similar.
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Why are they similar? Well, let's start with the
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total. Western Michigan Bowling Green,
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it opened at 56. You've now been bet up to 57
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1/2. And if you look at the bet
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splits, it's interesting the overs only getting 47% of bets,
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but 57% of money. So 47% bets on the over.
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That technically means public is leaning under.
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So if the public's leaning under, why did this total rise?
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This is kind of a very rare contrarian over opportunity.
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It's very rare that you get, you know, I'm action game or any
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just nationally televised college football game where the
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public is leaning under And again, the public wants to root
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for the over psychologically, it's more fun to root for
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points. So the fact that the public is
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leaning under yet this total rose, this is again a rare
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contrarian reverse line overplay.
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Why is the total like think of it this way.
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If the majority of bets are going under wise line going up
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to give under betters an even better price tells me that wise
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guys took in some money here on this over great contrarian bets
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With the weather once again is great low 40s, five to seven
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mile per hour winds, clear skies and then you add it up once more
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with that great system. Maxion overs are 20 and eight
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this year, 71% in Western Michigan.
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They've been a lot of these high scoring games.
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So let's hope that they can put up some points and give up some
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points. But I will be going with the
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over here shop around. It's pretty widely available.
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I got Bowling Green Western Michigan over 57 1/2 last play
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of the night, Ball State in Buffalo.
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Let's set the stage here. This was a pretty hard lean for
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me on the dog. But once again, I'm going to try
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to play these three totals to the over and try to get two of
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them. But I think there's reasons like
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Ball State of all the dogs tonight or all the sides, this
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is probably my favorite with Ball State.
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I was close to playing it. Maybe I should, maybe I
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shouldn't. But again, I don't want to force
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too many bets, but Ball State comes in three and six.
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They've rotated wins and losses than their last four just came
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up short against Miami, Ohio, they lost 2721 but did cover as
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a 13 point home dog. Buffalo, by the way, five and
12:15
four just snapped A2 game losing skid with a 4130 win over Akron
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covering as a one point Rd. favorite.
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So what are we seeing across the market here?
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Well, Lions pretty clearly going to Ball State.
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Buffalo open this game around a 5 1/2 point home favorite.
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They're down to -4 some shops are even down to -3 1/2.
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Now what's notable here is that the public is going Buffalo 68%
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of bets, but the line is falling toward Ball State.
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So a pretty good sharp reverse line move there.
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Ball State only getting 32% bets, but 46% money, low bets,
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higher dollars, sharp RLM in their favor.
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They'll be that conference dog that we like to look at.
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All three dogs tonight would be conference dogs built in
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familiarity, leveling the playing field, benefiting the
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team getting points. You also have Ball State in that
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short Rd. dog system match. Remember the one that we like +4
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or less on the road. It's 54% against the spread the
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last decade. Think of it this way.
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If you're going to get typically three points for home field, if
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you're a road dog getting 4 or less, it basically means on a
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neutral site it's around a pick em game.
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So there's some value there to take the points.
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I'm action dogs 57% against the spread since 2021.
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Ball State would be that buy low dog off a loss for sell high
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opponent off a win and they're a bit of a dog who can score
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system match. Ball State's putting up 25
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points a game. So I leave pretty heavy or
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pretty hard here on Ball State, but I'm going to lean.
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But I'm going to officially just go with the So I'm room for Ball
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State. Let's just make that very clear.
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They look pretty sharp here tonight.
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But I'm going to try to test this theory and try to get two
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out of three. Give me the over Ball State in
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Buffalo, I got over 54 1/2. Now shop around.
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It's 54 1/2 -, 110 to the over at FanDuel.
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But some of their books are at 55.
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So once again, if this lands 55, you want to cash that over 54
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1/2. But I noticed a really good bet
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split to the over 66% bets, but 82% of money is on that over.
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It's also risen it open at 51 1/2.
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It's up to 54 1/2, no buyback. It's been all consistent
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movement to that over. And then again, two over teams
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in the Mac or two teams in the Mac face off over 20 and 871%.
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And once again, weather not an issue whatsoever in in Buffalo
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in upstate New York, because we are looking at, you know, 40°
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ish high 30s, pretty much no wind, two mile, two or three
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mile per hour wind, partly cloudy skies.
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Guys, I think Ball State to me would be my favorite dog today,
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but I'm going to test this theory.
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We got three games tonight in all three matching games where
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the totals been great to the over 71% are rising with pretty
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good bet splits with rhythm edges with good weather.
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I'm playing all three overs, so shop around.
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Give me Ball State over 54 1/2. So the three bets tonight,
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Toledo over 51 1/2, Bowling Green over 57 1/2 and Buffalo
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Ball State over 54 1/2. And once again, can we find a
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way to go 2 and one. He got a winning night.
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That is the goal. Now over to some college hoops.
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By the way, who loves the fact that college hoops are back in
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our lives? I am just ecstatic.
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I forgot how much I missed and love betting on college
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basketball. I know March Madness is, you
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know, the absolute best, but again, I like playing some some
15:28
college hoops year round. So anyway, first bet of the
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night for me. 7:00 game. Once again our model.
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Low bet, obscure game, sharp line moves.
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That's something to look toward and I found a system at here
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Monmouth and northern Northern Illinois.
15:42
So first thing I noticed about this one is it is very low bet,
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very low bet game. 7:00 game here for tonight and we have a
15:50
very sharp dog to fave line move in favor of Monmouth.
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Now Monmouth comes in O and two. Northern Illinois is one and
15:56
one, but Northern Illinois opened as a 2 point home
15:59
favorite or 1 1/2 point home favorite.
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And now we flip to Monmouth -1 1/2 - 2.
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So right off the bat, low but obscure game, we flip dog to
16:10
fave in favor of Monmouth. Monmouth open getting a point or
16:12
two. Now they're laying 1 1/2 or two.
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So dog to fave, really good bet split here.
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Monmouth is only getting on the spread, 65% bets, but 96% money
16:23
and a low bet game. So good low bets, higher
16:26
dollars. The money line split, which is
16:28
where I'm going here. I'm on the money line.
16:30
Shop around. I got Monmouth on the money line
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at -130 that was at Caesar's. But money line splits 53
16:37
percent, 82% dollars. So both the spread and the money
16:40
line really good low bets, higher dollars, which would tell
16:43
us that we have the bigger, sharper wagers laying the points
16:46
and going money line. Now Ken Palm has Monmouth
16:48
winning by one point. So we are checking off again Ken
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Palm edge here. He's also got Monmouth ranked
16:55
much higher. He's got him ranked 263 in the
16:57
country. Northern Illinois is ranked 324.
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Rhythm, by the way, is predicting around A2 point
17:04
Monmouth win. They're predicting Monmouth 74.3
17:07
to 72.7. And then just a classic fishy
17:10
play here like Monmouth is. Oh, and two yet on the road they
17:15
just flip dog to favorite. Tells me we've got a lot of
17:17
smart money here on Monmouth. Hopefully get back on track.
17:19
So I'm laying it and can anyone tell me the Monmouth mascot?
17:23
It's the Hawks, the Monmouth Hawks.
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So let's go Hawks here tonight, guys.
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We got a Ken palm edge, we got a rhythm edge.
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We got a dog to fave line move. We got great bet splits, higher
17:32
ranked team. I'm going Monmouth on the money
17:34
line at -130 next one for you added another added game, extra
17:40
game. This is a let me just pull it up
17:42
7:00 game here between Fairfield and New Hampshire kind of in my
17:47
neck of the woods in New England here.
17:49
But anyway, Fairfield comes into this one O and two.
17:53
They pretty much got enrolled in both games this year.
17:56
New Hampshire comes in one and two.
17:58
Yet we're seeing Fairfield open as a favorite and become more of
18:02
a favorite. This game open Fairfield around
18:04
a one point favorite on the road.
18:05
Now they've embed up to -1 1/2, so I know it's only 1/2 point
18:09
move, but remember, this is an added game, extra game, game
18:11
three O 651-330-6514. So again, these are the games
18:16
that public can't even find on their app.
18:19
You got to click that added or extra game tab on your app.
18:21
They're not sexy. They're not popular.
18:23
Now you can watch it on ESPN Plus, but we've seen that
18:27
obscure sharp line move in favor of Fairfield.
18:29
Do a little bit more digging here.
18:31
Fairfield is expected to win by two points.
18:33
According to Ken Palm, Fairfield is ranked much higher than UNH.
18:37
Fairfield is 289 in the country may not sound great, but New
18:41
Hampshire is almost dead last 333.
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The other angle I like here is a really good rhythm edge.
18:46
I have two models with rhythm on this game and one says rhythm
18:51
says Fairfield should be -6 the other one says Fairfield should
18:55
be -3.2. So even if you take the 3.2,
18:58
that's a that's a spot where again, rhythm is really telling
19:01
us we're getting good value here to money line Fairfield.
19:05
Fairfield also motivation O and two, trying to get get right,
19:09
get a win. You got to think that they're
19:11
hungry and motivated to get their first win of the year.
19:14
And then also again, money line play.
19:17
So I was able to find that ESPN bet Fairfield on the money line
19:21
at -115. So that's my play.
19:24
Fairfield stags on the money line -115 we got a line move.
19:28
We got a Ken Palm edge, better ranking, great rhythm edge and
19:31
AO and two team that's hopefully hungry for a win.
19:33
So give me Fairfield -115 now last bed of the night.
19:38
Let's let's stay up late, put on a pot of coffee. 10:00 tonight,
19:41
Eastern Time, California Baptist against UC Riverside.
19:47
So let me just pull up this one for you because this one's a
19:50
little bit difficult to locate. By the way, anyone know the Cal
19:54
State or sorry, Cal Cal Baptist mascot, the Lancers?
19:59
So Lancers at home. Now this is one of those games
20:01
where, you know, I like to buy low so high I'm not afraid to
20:04
take the team on a losing skid because they're undervalued.
20:07
But I would argue this is a game that is one of those don't
20:10
outsmart yourself games. So going into it, we have UC
20:13
Riverside, O and two O and two on the road, Cal Baptist 2 and
20:17
O2 and O at home. Cal Baptist at Open as a 2 point
20:22
home favorite. Cal Baptist is now up to -3 1/2.
20:27
Ken Pop has Cal Baptist winning by three.
20:30
Rhythm has Cal Baptist -4 1/2. Cal Baptist has the better
20:34
offense, 86 points a game versus 78.
20:37
Big advantage on the boards. 36 a game versus 30.
20:40
It's also a schedule spot. UC Riverside is playing their
20:44
third straight Rd. game. Cal Baptist is playing their
20:47
third straight home game. So Cal Baptist has been the
20:50
better team. They don't have to travel.
20:52
UC Riverside continues to be on a road trip and this line
20:56
continues to move in favor of Cal Baptist.
20:59
So I'm going to go money line here.
21:00
Cal Baptist, by the way, Cal Baptist only getting 63% bets,
21:04
but 87% dollars. So again, Rhythm Edge has it at
21:08
4 1/2. Ken Palms got a winning by
21:10
three. I'm going to money line this -3
21:13
1/2 with Cal Baptist that is around.
21:16
I got it at -155 at bet MGM. So pretty good price there.
21:21
You have other books closer like -160 -, 170.
21:24
So as always, shop around, find that best price.
21:27
But Cal Baptist late night on ESPN plus don't outsmart
21:31
yourself type play. We got the better team at home.
21:34
Good schedule spot. Couple couple good edges from
21:37
rhythm and and Ken Palm and we have a good bet split as well.
21:40
So give me Cal Baptist money line at -155 so Fairfield money
21:44
line -115, Cal Baptist money line -155 and Monmouth money
21:49
line -130 can we find a way to get two out of those three?
21:53
That is the goal. So that about does it everybody.
21:55
Another podcast here in the books, the All Systems Go Pod
21:58
powered by rhythm. This is the part of the pod
22:00
where we wrap things up. And I start by asking a favor of
22:03
you. If you enjoy the All Systems Go
22:06
pod, if you look forward to it dropping each day, if it's
22:08
hopefully helped you to get a little bit sharper, think about
22:11
sports betting a little bit differently, not based on what
22:14
your gut tells you. You know, everyone's like always
22:16
follow your gut. Well, sometimes following your
22:18
gut can be good and certain things in life.
22:20
I wouldn't say following your gut and betting, that's not a
22:23
good thing. Stick to the data.
22:24
Stick to what the the market is telling you.
22:26
There's a lot of money in this market.
22:28
Let's try to find that smart money and be with that smart
22:30
money. Let's try to find that dumb
22:32
public money and go against that dumb public money.
22:35
But anyway, if you enjoy the all Systems go pod, could you please
22:38
do me a favor, help me grow the pod by giving it a five star
22:41
review on either Spotify or iTunes.
22:44
It would be, it would be great if you could, you know, leave a
22:46
good review if you want to do that, if you want to click the
22:48
follow button. That way you get alerted as soon
22:50
as it drops each day. If you also want to recommend it
22:52
to a friend, that would be fantastic.
22:54
But please, a five star review will only take you 2 seconds and
22:57
really help us to grow the pod and continue to rise up the
23:00
ranks and, and gain more listens and gain more gain more eyeballs
23:03
and ears. How about that?
23:05
Secondly, if you enjoy the All Systems Go pod because now
23:08
you've been introduced to data-driven sports betting and
23:10
now you're hooked. You're thinking, hey, we might
23:13
be on to something here by betting with our head and not
23:15
our heart and reading the market, learning to understand
23:17
and piece together the clues that the market gives us.
23:20
If this style of betting appeals to you and you want to learn
23:22
more about data-driven betting or you just want to maybe make
23:26
my day and let me know you appreciate the pod, or maybe
23:29
someone's got a birthday in your life coming up or the holidays
23:31
are coming up and you want to just get some some Christmas
23:34
gifts or Hanukkah gifts out of the way right now, then guess
23:37
what? I got a great idea.
23:38
You should go buy my book. I wrote a book, it's called the
23:41
Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
23:42
Very proud of it. It's got everything I've learned
23:44
in the industry, how lines are set, how and why they move, how
23:47
to read line move and how to locate sharp action, how to
23:49
place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best line,
23:52
how to set up a bankroll management plan, chapters on all
23:55
the major sports, all included in the Everything Guide to
23:58
Sports Betting. So just go to Amazon, type it
24:00
in, pick up a copy, Bezos will drop it on your front porch with
24:03
a drone or if you want to get it at at Barnes and Noble as well.
24:07
It's also available there. Are there still bookstores?
24:09
I thought everything was online now.
24:11
But anyway, pick one up, bring it to the book when I see you,
24:13
I'm going to sign it for you and I'll buy you a beer or ginger
24:16
ale next. Have you taken advantage of a 7
24:19
day free trial of Juice Reel or Rhythm yet?
24:21
My two favorite sports betting apps on the market and to me, I
24:25
always start with the data-driven model and then I use
24:27
rhythm and juice Reel as a kind of cherry on top or another box
24:31
to check off to feel confident in a play.
24:33
So rhythm fantastic with their AI backed models and predictions
24:36
for game bets and player props. Again, I think it's a great time
24:39
to download rhythm because college hoops.
24:41
What other what other data-driven app is going to give
24:43
you projections on Monmouth or Cal Baptist or Fairfield?
24:47
Again, this is a great edge when it comes to especially these
24:51
kind of obscure college games, but then also rhythm fantastic
24:54
for if you just want to tail the AI driven Robo Jackson best bets
24:59
each day. Or you can take advantage of
25:01
arbitrage opportunities. You can look at sharp mush
25:03
indicators, find out where all the sharp people in the app are
25:06
playing versus where the losing players in the app are AT.
25:09
And then also you would get those dollar breakdowns bets in
25:12
dollars for every single matchup, which are coming from
25:15
people who have a who have synced up their sports books in
25:18
rhythm make or in juice real. So make sure you sync up your
25:21
books and it becomes very easy. You bet you better game it.
25:24
Bet MGM, FanDuel, DraftKings, whatever it goes right to juice
25:27
real. Once you've synced up your apps
25:28
and you get that running report card to keep you honest, learn
25:31
your strength, strengths and weaknesses as well.
25:33
So both juice real and rhythm 7 day free trial.
25:36
Go give it a shot if you haven't done it yet, but please click
25:39
those custom links. If you're going to sign up,
25:40
click the custom links that are located in the bio description
25:43
of this podcast. For example, it'll say something
25:46
like for today's episode and episode 161, Josh dishes out a
25:49
six pack of college basketball and football sweats, yadda,
25:53
yadda yadda, Scroll down. There should be a link to Juice,
25:55
Feel and Rhythm. Click those links, then you'll
25:57
be ready to go with a 7 day free trial.
26:00
But that about does it guys. As always, another pod here in
26:02
the books. But reminder, I'm going to leave
26:04
you with two things. One, whether I see you at the
26:07
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
26:09
Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
26:12
Connecticut, at the Encore in Boston or Plainridge Park Casino
26:15
or MGM Springfield in my neck of the woods in Massachusetts.
26:18
Or, of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
26:21
down, where Billy Walters sends his number runners, where the
26:23
lowest juice possible is found at the South Point or sweating
26:26
some sharp contrarian plays and jumping in the stadium swimming
26:29
pool. When you cash a big ticket at
26:30
Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
26:33
You're going to show me some nice tickets from last night.
26:35
Show me your Rams under show me a citadel college hoops, show me
26:40
a Cal State Bakersfield. I just I can't get over that.
26:43
You know how you like you lose a game at the at the, you know, at
26:45
the buzzer heartbreaking game. You can't sleep at night.
26:48
It annoys you, pisses you off. You can't get over it.
26:50
The beauty in the the opposite of that is when a play like Cal
26:54
State Bakersfield happens, you're down big, you come back,
26:56
you storm back, you got to win. It gives you a little pep in
26:59
your stuff the next day, you feel good about it.
27:01
So let's see if we can build that momentum and continue it
27:04
here on a big Tuesday. But as always, guys, little
27:07
parting advice. Whether we were three and one,
27:10
one and three yesterday, whether we're treading water, doing
27:12
well, struggling. The model never changes.
27:15
Why? Because we're playing the long
27:17
game, so we can consistently stick to the model, make bets
27:20
with our head and not our heart. Learn to follow the sports
27:22
betting market. We're not betting based on what
27:24
we think or want or hope will happen.
27:26
We're betting based on what the data is telling us.
27:29
So if we can continue to stick to that model, fearless but
27:32
disciplined against the public, with the house, with the pros,
27:35
flat bet, avoid parlays, get that closing line value.
27:38
If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports betters
27:41
long term. So enjoy the sweats everyone.
27:43
Have a great Tuesday night again, 6 pack.
27:46
Let's see if we can find a way to get four of them and produce
27:48
another profit. But as always, guys, we'll be
27:50
right back at it tomorrow for a big Wednesday edition of the All
27:54
Systems Go Sports Betting pod. That'll be episode 162.
27:58
And of course, ASG is always powered by rhythm.
28:01
So have a great night everybody. Enjoy the sweats.
28:04
Let's see if we can eat. Got a profit here tonight and
28:06
I'll see you guys for tomorrow. But good luck and hopefully you
28:09
can catch some tickets tonight. Take care.