Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NHL DFS | January 21, 2025 | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Skaters, Goalies and Stacks
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All systems going clear. We lift up.
- 0:35Speaker 2: What is going on ship at Nation YouTube station. We're
- 0:38Speaker 2: back Tuesday. Nice eight game slate here in the NHL streets.
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- 1:00Speaker 2: in the discord for some free cheese out there for everyone.
- 1:05Speaker 2: But let's jump in, let's talk this slate, pretty fun
- 1:09Speaker 2: one overall. In general, we have kind of one spot
- 1:12Speaker 2: where I think majority of the ownership is going to
- 1:15Speaker 2: condense around that. We'll talk about one teams playing really
- 1:18Speaker 2: good right now, faces one of the worst teams in
- 1:22Speaker 2: the league. So definitely ownership, especially at their salaries, is
- 1:25Speaker 2: going to kind of condense there around the Predators. Kind
- 1:29Speaker 2: of in the middle slate of games that we're gonna
- 1:33Speaker 2: talk about there. But I got the stone up here
- 1:35Speaker 2: on the screen. First game on the docket, we have
- 1:38Speaker 2: Tampa and Montreal here this game at home. Earlier this year,
- 1:44Speaker 2: Montreal came into Tampa and kind of Lada whooping on
- 1:48Speaker 2: the lightning and beat them five to two. Here, I'm
- 1:51Speaker 2: not kind of I'm not confident that that's gonna kind
- 1:55Speaker 2: of stay the same. This is back December twenty ninth,
- 1:58Speaker 2: about a month ago.
- 2:00Speaker 1: I think this is a pretty solid spot here for Tampa.
- 2:04Speaker 2: They are expensive, it is the only issue here, but
- 2:09Speaker 2: I don't mind them. I think Sorelli, Hagel and Paul
- 2:13Speaker 2: is a pretty good stack here in general, just cheaper
- 2:17Speaker 2: than the Brandon Point Kutrov gunso line it just for me,
- 2:22Speaker 2: it takes a lot to play ninety eight hundred eighty
- 2:24Speaker 2: three hundred and seventy hundred a full line stack a
- 2:27Speaker 2: team here against Montreal, who can dictate some matchups at
- 2:32Speaker 2: home here. So for me, I like line two here
- 2:37Speaker 2: for Tampa. I think it's a pretty solid spot for them.
- 2:39Speaker 2: Look at the numbers here. Montreal twenty eighth in the
- 2:42Speaker 2: league and expected the goals against on home ice. They
- 2:46Speaker 2: allow the twenty first most shots on net, sitting about
- 2:49Speaker 2: twenty eight on average per game. They do have a
- 2:52Speaker 2: good penalty kill, but they give up the second most
- 2:54Speaker 2: high danger chances in the entire NHL here, So it
- 2:58Speaker 2: is a pretty good metric and matchups wise for Tampa
- 3:02Speaker 2: here and Tampa should be looking to get revenge as
- 3:05Speaker 2: well off of the earlier season beating where they kind
- 3:09Speaker 2: of got smashed. The only issue is was Tampa is
- 3:13Speaker 2: on a back to back. They did play in Toronto
- 3:15Speaker 2: last night. Now on now play Montreal. They lost a
- 3:18Speaker 2: tough one last night five to three. We're kind of
- 3:21Speaker 2: in that game, but Vaz is gonna be in that
- 3:24Speaker 2: here tonight. So I do like Vaz quite a bit.
- 3:26Speaker 2: At ak Here Jonas Johansson was was in that game
- 3:30Speaker 2: last night, gave Vas a break and did actually keep
- 3:34Speaker 2: him in the game for the for the most part
- 3:36Speaker 2: against a very good Toronto team on home ice. So
- 3:39Speaker 2: you could see this go one of two ways. Tampa
- 3:42Speaker 2: comes out here flat on the back to back, or
- 3:45Speaker 2: they come out here went with some spite. Earlier season
- 3:48Speaker 2: they got smashed by it by this Montreal team. They
- 3:51Speaker 2: got beat up last night. So for me, I'm playing
- 3:54Speaker 2: it more like I think Tampa kind of comes in
- 3:58Speaker 2: tries to slow the game down and over. So I
- 4:01Speaker 2: like Tampa to win the game, but at these price points,
- 4:04Speaker 2: it's tough to play them. On Montreal side, Suzuki, Cawfield,
- 4:08Speaker 2: and Slovkowski. I'm going right back to the well on those.
- 4:11Speaker 2: You can always play those those three, and then Lane Hudson.
- 4:14Speaker 2: You got a really nice cheap pairing there. And maybe
- 4:18Speaker 2: maybe Tampa does come in flat right on the back
- 4:21Speaker 2: to back with the road road the road trip here.
- 4:25Speaker 2: But the only issue I have with that is vez
- 4:27Speaker 2: Levski is going to be a net and uh he's
- 4:30Speaker 2: one of the best goalies in the league. So for me,
- 4:32Speaker 2: if any interest, it'd be on the Tampa side. Montreal
- 4:35Speaker 2: is fine in tournaments, but at this kind of ownership,
- 4:38Speaker 2: it's a little absurd to me. So Montreal pretty much
- 4:42Speaker 2: a fade here for me. Tampa Tampa line two would
- 4:45Speaker 2: be where I would look the most. Victor Headman really
- 4:48Speaker 2: really good option as well as the spin up demon
- 4:50Speaker 2: on this slate. Next team on the slate here five
- 4:53Speaker 2: and a half total in this one. But I do think
- 4:55Speaker 2: this is a decent game. I have some interest in
- 4:57Speaker 2: the Rangers here, Trocheck, Paneren, Lafarnir. That's where I'm kind
- 5:01Speaker 2: of cutting it off. Trocheck has been playing incredible the season,
- 5:04Speaker 2: Paneren eighty two hundred fair price point, and Alexis lafarniir
- 5:08Speaker 2: is playing good. Fifty one is a good option as
- 5:11Speaker 2: well there. So I like line one here for the
- 5:14Speaker 2: Rangers quite a bit. Adam Fox is a solid option
- 5:17Speaker 2: as well if you're looking there at key. Andre Miller
- 5:19Speaker 2: at three point two k is fine on the cenator side.
- 5:24Speaker 2: Levi Murlaine in if you're not playing any Rangers, I
- 5:26Speaker 2: think is fine in tournaments five and a half total
- 5:28Speaker 2: seventy three hundred price makes sense. Not a massive dog
- 5:32Speaker 2: here by any means. It is the Rangers. He's gonna
- 5:34Speaker 2: see some volume. Rangers are kind of middle of the
- 5:38Speaker 2: road in terms of shots on net. They're sitting eighth
- 5:41Speaker 2: right now in the league at home on shots in
- 5:44Speaker 2: that so Levi Merlaine in here should see a decent
- 5:48Speaker 2: amount of shots and have some upside. I prefer the
- 5:52Speaker 2: Rangers offense personally, but in teams where you're not getting
- 5:55Speaker 2: no Rangers, they need to save that goalie. I think
- 5:58Speaker 2: Levy here is definitely a good good option in tournaments
- 6:02Speaker 2: on the center side. No skaters really for me, Claude
- 6:05Speaker 2: Durose is a fair price point at thirty eight hundred.
- 6:08Speaker 2: Our tem Zub at three point two K is a
- 6:10Speaker 2: good option as well. In terms of defense, Shane Pintel
- 6:15Speaker 2: I think is fine, but definitely more interest On the
- 6:18Speaker 2: ranger side. Mika is avantage at a four point a
- 6:20Speaker 2: k I think is a fair price as well. It's
- 6:24Speaker 2: been Trochick's year, but Mika is still a very good
- 6:26Speaker 2: hockey player in general, and four point eight k is
- 6:29Speaker 2: a little ridiculous for his talent and his upside. He's
- 6:31Speaker 2: still in my top power play, so don't mind some
- 6:34Speaker 2: of him for sure. Next game on the slate here
- 6:40Speaker 2: we had the Red Wings and the Flyers six total
- 6:44Speaker 2: in this one.
- 6:45Speaker 1: Pretty good spot for line one For the Flyers.
- 6:48Speaker 2: I expected a decent amount of ownership to go their
- 6:50Speaker 2: way here.
- 6:51Speaker 1: Cam talvits just not very good in general. Frost has
- 6:54Speaker 1: been really good.
- 6:55Speaker 2: I love him connected and Tippett Flyers line one is
- 6:58Speaker 2: definitely a really good spot.
- 7:00Speaker 1: Detroit's been horrible in the last ten games and actual
- 7:03Speaker 1: goals against.
- 7:04Speaker 2: However, their expected goals against is top six in the league,
- 7:08Speaker 2: sitting at two point sixty seven.
- 7:10Speaker 1: It's almost a full.
- 7:11Speaker 2: Goal less than what we're currently seeing on actual goals,
- 7:15Speaker 2: so they do some for some regression here in a
- 7:19Speaker 2: good way. Positive regression could could could stiphen the Flyers
- 7:24Speaker 2: a little bit here, but the Flyers are playing really good.
- 7:26Speaker 1: They're at home.
- 7:27Speaker 2: I still have interest in line one here with connecting
- 7:30Speaker 2: Tippett and Frost at those price points. Jami Drees dial
- 7:33Speaker 2: at three K is a really good option. Risk, the
- 7:35Speaker 2: Linon is a great option. Cam York's a great option.
- 7:37Speaker 2: There's really three really good value options here from the
- 7:41Speaker 2: Flyers side of things.
- 7:42Speaker 1: In terms of defense, I like all three of those guys. Flyers.
- 7:44Speaker 2: Line one, like I said, is good play on the
- 7:46Speaker 2: red wing side, full faith for me, not getting to
- 7:50Speaker 2: anyone on the red wing side here, Patty Kine and
- 7:53Speaker 2: to Brink it would be the two guys I would
- 7:54Speaker 2: look at if I was getting there. But I just
- 7:57Speaker 2: rather play the flyer side or pass in in this
- 8:00Speaker 2: game here for me takes us to the chalk of
- 8:05Speaker 2: the slate, and I mean, this could be some of
- 8:08Speaker 2: the highest ownership we've seen all season.
- 8:11Speaker 1: It's Tuesday Forstburg.
- 8:12Speaker 2: Smashes on Tuesday Forstburg also has been smashing as of late.
- 8:16Speaker 2: He's now seventy three hundred and gets to face Giorgiev
- 8:20Speaker 2: and the Sharks here. It's hard to say anything bad
- 8:25Speaker 2: about the Preds here outside of ownership, I mean Stamkos
- 8:28Speaker 2: O'Reilly Forstburg, Marchasov, gustav nyquis Roman Yosi. I mean mega
- 8:35Speaker 2: mega mega mega mega mega chalk. Some of the biggest
- 8:39Speaker 2: chalk we've seen and probably will see all year long.
- 8:43Speaker 2: Hard to argue against. The only one I don't like
- 8:47Speaker 2: is Sorrows for the most part. I mean looking to
- 8:50Speaker 2: get different, I mean it's just there's no there's no
- 8:54Speaker 2: way around it, to be honest. Outside of ownership, that
- 8:57Speaker 2: that I can say. The Preds are playing really good
- 8:59Speaker 2: right now. Now it's Tuesday. Forrestburg's mashes on Tuesdays. He's
- 9:04Speaker 2: also playing great hockey right now, coming off a forty
- 9:06Speaker 2: five point game. I think he's averaging like twenty six
- 9:09Speaker 2: points or something over the last five. It's a great matchup,
- 9:13Speaker 2: great spot. All things point to the pred smash in here.
- 9:17Speaker 2: If you want to get different. In contrarian and going
- 9:19Speaker 2: to the other side with Celebrini William Auckland, I think
- 9:23Speaker 2: makes a lot of sense. I don't mind those two guys,
- 9:26Speaker 2: Zetelin will Smith are fine, but it'd be Eckland and
- 9:31Speaker 2: Celebrini to get off of the chalk and the pred
- 9:34Speaker 2: side just flip the script. So I don't mind celebrini
- 9:37Speaker 2: Ekland and then a Jake Wollman to kind of flip
- 9:42Speaker 2: the game on his head. But Cred's top spot on
- 9:44Speaker 2: the slate by far, no questions about it. Hence you
- 9:47Speaker 2: see this projected ownership. I think this is true as well.
- 9:50Speaker 2: I do think fifty to sixty percent of the teams
- 9:54Speaker 2: in your tournaments at least are gonna be being on
- 9:59Speaker 2: the the pred stacks there.
- 10:02Speaker 1: Next game on the slate here Stars and Carolina.
- 10:06Speaker 2: Carolina on a back to back here now heads into
- 10:08Speaker 2: Dallas to face the Stars. I like the spot a
- 10:10Speaker 2: decent amount here for the Stars. Only issue is swich
- 10:15Speaker 2: Cheeze Anderson went last night for Carolina, so it is
- 10:18Speaker 2: to Chekhov here He is the better goalie in general,
- 10:21Speaker 2: so does limit my interest a little bit five and
- 10:24Speaker 2: a half total in this one. I do think this
- 10:26Speaker 2: is a pretty solid spot though for offense that the
- 10:28Speaker 2: Stars could produce, it's just gonna be very limited goals.
- 10:31Speaker 2: But I still have interest in Dushen and Johnston with Robertson,
- 10:36Speaker 2: I still like those three guys with mirohiskin In In
- 10:39Speaker 2: terms of d Man Jamie Ben's also fine as a
- 10:41Speaker 2: power play specialist there, but I have some interest in
- 10:46Speaker 2: why Johnston, Duschen, Jason robertson those main three for sure
- 10:50Speaker 2: on the Hurricane side, probably not getting to Tony of
- 10:54Speaker 2: the Carolina side on a back to back here facing Dallas.
- 10:56Speaker 2: Dallas is just a pretty good hockey team in juneral.
- 11:00Speaker 2: They allow the second least shots on net as well,
- 11:03Speaker 2: so opportunities. You just got to be super efficient going
- 11:06Speaker 2: up against Dallis, especially at home when they can dictate
- 11:09Speaker 2: the match.
- 11:09Speaker 1: Was there. Jake Odender is a fine option is well
- 11:12Speaker 1: in the tournaments at seventy nine hundred.
- 11:14Speaker 2: Only issue is I can't get any goalies right as
- 11:16Speaker 2: of late, and I definitely can't get auto right, So
- 11:19Speaker 2: tread lightly there. Next GM on slate here Oilers and
- 11:27Speaker 2: the Caps Edmonton at home. This is a decent spot
- 11:30Speaker 2: for Edmonton at home here. Caps are typically a pretty
- 11:33Speaker 2: tough team to go up against. But Leon Driyingsidel has
- 11:37Speaker 2: absolutely destroyed the Caps in his career. So I like Leon,
- 11:41Speaker 2: I like McDavid, Heyman, NuGen Hopkins, Victor Arbison, those six,
- 11:45Speaker 2: Himan and Himan and Leon have destroyed, Like I said,
- 11:51Speaker 2: destroyed the Caps in their career, so good price or
- 11:55Speaker 2: not good prices, but solid plays there.
- 11:58Speaker 1: Nine K for Leon is kind of getting up there now.
- 12:01Speaker 2: He's right there in the same caliber, and tier is
- 12:04Speaker 2: McDavid in terms of pricing. So if you want to
- 12:07Speaker 2: get away cheap, going like a Higman Ninja Hopkins, I
- 12:09Speaker 2: don't hate that sixty six, I think that's fine.
- 12:13Speaker 1: Bouchard, Darnielle Nurse are are good options as well.
- 12:17Speaker 2: In terms of defense on the Cap side, you can
- 12:21Speaker 2: always play a PLD with Protas and Tom Wilson.
- 12:24Speaker 1: The crew is back together there.
- 12:27Speaker 2: Don't hate that strom Ovetskin, Connor McMichael, you can play
- 12:31Speaker 2: them too. Skinners nothing crazy. Edmonton is nothing crazy in
- 12:34Speaker 2: terms of defense in general, but I think there's better
- 12:38Speaker 2: stacks than going to the Cap side. It'd be Edmonton
- 12:40Speaker 2: or Pass For me. I do actually really like Leon
- 12:43Speaker 2: and Hyman quite a bit just looking at their history.
- 12:46Speaker 2: They have destroyed Washington in their careers. Two games left
- 12:52Speaker 2: to talk about. Both good ones here Vancouver at home.
- 12:55Speaker 2: I think there's a pretty solid spot and not many
- 12:58Speaker 2: people are going to go to them from what I'm seeing.
- 13:00Speaker 1: In terms of projected ownership here, the Savers are just
- 13:02Speaker 1: horrend us.
- 13:03Speaker 2: Sorry, Kay Gould, if you're out there listening, give you
- 13:06Speaker 2: a little shout out in the slate plan as well,
- 13:08Speaker 2: But man, your Sabers are just absolutely horrible, especially on
- 13:12Speaker 2: the road.
- 13:13Speaker 1: I think this is a pretty solid spot here for Vancouver.
- 13:15Speaker 2: I like Petterson, I like Miller, I like both of
- 13:17Speaker 2: those guys, Brock Besser, kind of Garland, Jake Debrusk, those
- 13:21Speaker 2: five skaters are like a lot. And then Quinn Hughes
- 13:23Speaker 2: is a pivot off of Yosi more expensive, I think,
- 13:26Speaker 2: is a solid pivot there as well. Philip Pronic for
- 13:30Speaker 2: for cheap in terms of a punt demon is a
- 13:33Speaker 2: good option as well here. But Sabers are brutal upl
- 13:36Speaker 2: averaging over three goals on average per game. Both are
- 13:39Speaker 2: just pretty brutal in general defensively, especially on the road
- 13:44Speaker 2: for sure. So pretty good late night Hammer spot for Vancouver.
- 13:49Speaker 2: And we'll get you off of that, uh that Nashville
- 13:52Speaker 2: chalk for sure. So I like it quite a bit.
- 13:56Speaker 2: Take us to the last game in slate here, Florida
- 13:58Speaker 2: in the Ducks. I think Gibby's gonna be in net
- 14:03Speaker 2: here tonight for the Ducks. Not quite sure, but either
- 14:06Speaker 2: way if it is Gibby or Dosto, both are solid
- 14:09Speaker 2: options and tournaments if you wanted to spend down at
- 14:12Speaker 2: at goalie. But I do like this spot here for
- 14:15Speaker 2: the Panthers. I'll continue to tack the Ducks. I don't care.
- 14:20Speaker 2: I mean, you're really relying heavily on what Dostal or
- 14:24Speaker 2: Gibby doo in net to kind of see if they're
- 14:28Speaker 2: going to stop all the shots they fit see or not,
- 14:32Speaker 2: because the Ducks are just not very good defensively in general.
- 14:35Speaker 2: I think this is a good spot for the returning
- 14:37Speaker 2: Stanley Cup champs. Really really good power play matchup here,
- 14:40Speaker 2: So it'd be the top power play guys for me
- 14:42Speaker 2: from Florida Barkoff, Chucky, Ryan Hart, Verheg and Nate Schmidt.
- 14:48Speaker 1: I love all five of those guys. Stack them up
- 14:50Speaker 1: any which way.
- 14:51Speaker 2: No ownership is really going to go to them, obviously,
- 14:53Speaker 2: because all the ownership is going to Nashville. If you
- 14:56Speaker 2: want to get contrarian with upside going Vancouver and Pan
- 15:00Speaker 2: and Florida stack just fading Nashville and just hoping that
- 15:04Speaker 2: Nashville scoring has spread, or it's just like a three
- 15:07Speaker 2: to zero type game or three to one type game
- 15:09Speaker 2: something like that, and and getting getting your ownership with
- 15:12Speaker 2: the Canucks and the Panthers in two really good spots
- 15:14Speaker 2: as well at no ownership compared to Nashville. I think
- 15:17Speaker 2: that's an interesting way to go in tournaments there. So
- 15:20Speaker 2: definitely like the Panthers here late Night Hammer, like I said,
- 15:24Speaker 2: I'm i'm I'm looking at the top five power play
- 15:27Speaker 2: guys for me on the duck side, you could definitely
- 15:31Speaker 2: play some. I just think there's much better spots on
- 15:33Speaker 2: an eight game slate here than to play any uh
- 15:36Speaker 2: any stacks against the returning Stanley Cup champs and Bob here.
- 15:40Speaker 1: So overall, excuse.
- 15:44Speaker 2: Me, overall, do you like the two late games here
- 15:48Speaker 2: Vancouver and Florida. It's uh, it's pretty tough slate in general,
- 15:52Speaker 2: just because, like I said, kind of all the ownership
- 15:55Speaker 2: is going to uh to Nashville, and it's tough for
- 15:59Speaker 2: me to argue outside of ownership. So I think, uh,
- 16:03Speaker 2: I think I'll kind of be leaning into the Florida
- 16:06Speaker 2: and Vancouver stuff a little bit here to get off
- 16:09Speaker 2: of that that ownership. But good luck tonight in those contests.
- 16:12Speaker 2: Hope to see your Ship of Nation logos at the
- 16:14Speaker 2: top four of myself nate Let Ship. It