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NCAAF Week 8 Best Bets · Toadstool Sports

0:00
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
0:05
Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
0:08
Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
0:11
Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
0:14
Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
0:17
Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
0:20
Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
0:25
Speaker 1: not a good day at all all in four, I
0:29
Speaker 1: have not had a good season. Man with wookends the
0:33
Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've reached
0:37
Speaker 1: a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins
0:41
Speaker 1: hat man. I don't know what is going on with
0:43
Speaker 1: the bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I
0:46
Speaker 1: don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think who
0:49
Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
0:52
Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man's
0:54
Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
0:58
Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
1:02
Speaker 1: I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
1:06
Speaker 1: did not go well for me. Own five the worst
1:10
Speaker 1: month that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this,
1:13
Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
1:15
Speaker 1: To the slumpy praise, the slump discontinuous, The slump continues.
1:20
Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
1:24
Speaker 1: I should do at this point, other than potentially end
1:27
Speaker 1: it all. What's up, everybody, it's towed back with you
1:34
Speaker 1: better off dead. This is college football Week eight? That
1:39
Speaker 1: is even what it is. I don't even know, man,
1:42
Speaker 1: I think it's probably week eight. Uh we got one
1:45
Speaker 1: college football player right with Louisville. Good thing I added
1:48
Speaker 1: that late because they won outright. So if you guys
1:50
Speaker 1: got that, the uh price crashed down to ten and
1:53
Speaker 1: a half, didn't even matter. They won outright. So hopefully
1:56
Speaker 1: people did get on that one money line and spread
1:59
Speaker 1: that was a winner. The Chicago Blackhawks. The black Hawks
2:03
Speaker 1: decided to fuck me by blowing a tune to nothing
2:07
Speaker 1: lead and then losing in a shootout in the end
2:09
Speaker 1: of the game, which it was still the right call.
2:12
Speaker 1: I think to go with them. It's the underdog. The
2:14
Speaker 1: market shifted to be in favor of them, and then
2:18
Speaker 1: I think it might have shifted back a little bit.
2:19
Speaker 1: I don't even know whatever. I think it was the
2:22
Speaker 1: right spot. It was. I think it was still the
2:24
Speaker 1: right move. It was a slight winning day. Yeah, I
2:28
Speaker 1: mean I'll take it, I guess when I'm still kind
2:31
Speaker 1: of pissed about it. But because of the money line,
2:33
Speaker 1: I always say, sprinkle the money line a little bit
2:35
Speaker 1: when you play an underdog, man money an underdog of
2:38
Speaker 1: that capacity with Louisville, just maybe like three percent of
2:42
Speaker 1: that bet maybe on the money line, and that gets
2:46
Speaker 1: you know, that little bit of extra. And then the
2:47
Speaker 1: of course the Blackhawks being an underdog play, I recommend
2:51
Speaker 1: playing it to win the same amount that you're playing
2:54
Speaker 1: other like minus won ten bets to win, so you
2:57
Speaker 1: put a little bit less money on that. So it
2:58
Speaker 1: was a winning day slightly. Move on to college football here, man,
3:03
Speaker 1: I mean, it's a huge college football slate. It seems
3:06
Speaker 1: like it's bigger than usual, just the amount of games,
3:10
Speaker 1: the amount of I don't know, seeming top twenty five matchups,
3:13
Speaker 1: I don't know. I do have the San Jose State
3:15
Speaker 1: game on here right now. It's oh, it was a
3:20
Speaker 1: fourth down play at the end of the game. San
3:22
Speaker 1: Jose State just attempted to hail Mary and lost the game.
3:26
Speaker 1: By five, so they did not cover. I think it
3:29
Speaker 1: looked like they probably should have covered. They were covering
3:31
Speaker 1: a lot of that game. Not one of my plays,
3:33
Speaker 1: but I gave it out as a lean North Carolina football.
3:38
Speaker 1: I'm gonna switch to North Carolina. Here's that game is on.
3:41
Speaker 1: Cal was winning by a touchdown and I think they're
3:44
Speaker 1: up four at the half. But let's get into today. Man.
3:47
Speaker 1: Nobody's even in the chat right now, so whatever I'm
3:49
Speaker 1: talking to myself, that's cool. It's late and I don't
3:52
Speaker 1: want this to be another two hour show, but maybe
3:54
Speaker 1: it will be. Jump right into it, man, I'm gonna
3:57
Speaker 1: have four more plays. I've had to wheedle the down
4:00
Speaker 1: because I do have some other opinions, which I'll kind
4:03
Speaker 1: of tell you, like as far as how strong my
4:06
Speaker 1: opinions are, I'll try to make that clear. I guess
4:10
Speaker 1: let's jump right into it, man. We have a top
4:12
Speaker 1: twenty five matchup, multiple of them, I guess, right in
4:15
Speaker 1: noon or not one of them right at noon, number ten,
4:18
Speaker 1: LSU at number seventeen, Vandy in this SEC matchup here
4:22
Speaker 1: on ABC at noon. What typically would not be a
4:25
Speaker 1: huge matchup in the past is now because Vandy is good.
4:29
Speaker 1: Both of these teams are five and one. They're both
4:31
Speaker 1: one lost SEC teams right now. LSU, for some reason,
4:36
Speaker 1: even though they brought nus Meyer back, their offense has
4:38
Speaker 1: actually been pretty bad this year. They're a better defensive
4:42
Speaker 1: team than offensive team, which has not been the case
4:44
Speaker 1: over the last couple of years. They have the better
4:46
Speaker 1: defense in this matchup. Vandy's defense isn't terrible though, and
4:49
Speaker 1: Vandy has the better offense in this matchup. It is
4:53
Speaker 1: a revenge spot, as I believe LSU beat Vandy by
4:56
Speaker 1: I think seven or something like that was not a blowout.
4:59
Speaker 1: I don't think last year. Well let me look real quick.
5:01
Speaker 1: I don't want to get that wrong. Yeah, they won
5:04
Speaker 1: twenty four to seventeen last year at home. So it's
5:06
Speaker 1: a little bit of a revenge spot for Vandy. I mean,
5:08
Speaker 1: it's a big game for both teams, but it is
5:11
Speaker 1: a really big game for Vandy because typically they just
5:13
Speaker 1: get annihilated in the past by some of these top
5:17
Speaker 1: tier SEC teams. But Vandy, if they want a shot
5:20
Speaker 1: to try to beat LSU, which I don't think they've
5:22
Speaker 1: done in I don't know, maybe in program history. I
5:25
Speaker 1: don't even know. This might be their chance to do it. Man.
5:28
Speaker 1: I mean, they're actually a favorite in this game, so
5:30
Speaker 1: they might be able to do it. LSU is in
5:33
Speaker 1: exactly in a terrible spot necessarily though, I mean they're
5:35
Speaker 1: coming off they came out of the bye after they
5:39
Speaker 1: had that tough game against oh Miss, played South Carolina,
5:42
Speaker 1: didn't really play them that well, only beat them twenty
5:44
Speaker 1: to ten. Kind of a bad offensive showing on both
5:47
Speaker 1: sides there. You could say that it was a good
5:49
Speaker 1: defensive showing, but the way South Carolina's offense has been,
5:53
Speaker 1: I mean, maybe it wasn't that good as far as
5:56
Speaker 1: LSC's defense, so their defense hasn'ten playing well generally. I mean,
6:00
Speaker 1: they held this Old Miss offense in check, so that's
6:02
Speaker 1: a good sign. But now they're going to Vandy. They
6:05
Speaker 1: do have Texas A and M and Alabama in their
6:07
Speaker 1: next two games, so potentially a look ahead spot. I mean,
6:10
Speaker 1: normally you wouldn't really think it's a look ahad spot
6:12
Speaker 1: playing a ranked team, but those are both two top
6:15
Speaker 1: ten teams and teams that have more weight behind their names,
6:19
Speaker 1: So it is possible that maybe LSU is maybe slightly
6:23
Speaker 1: looking ahead here Vandy coming into this game. They're coming
6:26
Speaker 1: out of a bye, so they do have an extra
6:28
Speaker 1: week to prepare for this game. They did lose. They
6:32
Speaker 1: did take their first loss last time out against Alabama.
6:34
Speaker 1: I mean didn't really expect them to beat Alabama. I mean,
6:37
Speaker 1: of course they did last year, but that just meant
6:39
Speaker 1: Alabama was more motivated this time, wanting the revenge for
6:43
Speaker 1: that high profile loss last year. Alabama got their revenge.
6:46
Speaker 1: Alabama is the better team of the two. I talk
6:49
Speaker 1: about how when a team loses, takes their first loss
6:51
Speaker 1: of the season, like Vandy did, it does tend to
6:54
Speaker 1: have a bit of a hangover effector I mean, that
6:55
Speaker 1: was a big game. You get up emotionally for it.
6:57
Speaker 1: But maybe they'll kind of get over that hangover effect
7:00
Speaker 1: a little bit because they do have an extra week
7:02
Speaker 1: to prepare for this might help them kind of fix
7:05
Speaker 1: some things. And it's still a big game. It's ABC,
7:08
Speaker 1: it's against LSU at home, high profile game, probably their
7:12
Speaker 1: biggest remaining game on the slate. I mean, Vandy still
7:16
Speaker 1: actually could potentially make the SCC title games. So it's
7:19
Speaker 1: a big game here. Man. Neither of these teams want
7:23
Speaker 1: to take their second loss here, so and then looking
7:26
Speaker 1: at what's going on in the market here LSU is
7:29
Speaker 1: getting the money. Surprising the number went up a little
7:32
Speaker 1: bit on Vandy, up from one and a half to two.
7:34
Speaker 1: We have fifty three percent of tickets. You think the
7:36
Speaker 1: LSU would be more public than that, though, and sixty
7:38
Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on LSU. I kind of
7:41
Speaker 1: disagree with that. I mean, I kind of lean to Vandy.
7:43
Speaker 1: I think this is just a more it's a bigger
7:46
Speaker 1: motivational spot for Vandy in my opinion, and I think
7:50
Speaker 1: the extra rest is actually going to be somewhat helpful
7:52
Speaker 1: in this spot. So slight lean to Vandy in this
7:55
Speaker 1: one for me certainly not gonna be one that I'm
7:57
Speaker 1: gonna give out a play on. There was something else
8:01
Speaker 1: I just had in my mind that I was gonna say,
8:02
Speaker 1: oh yeah, well, with the rankings right because LSU's number
8:05
Speaker 1: ten in the country, Vandy's number seventeen. It's kind of
8:08
Speaker 1: that ranking disparity thing going on again, where the public
8:11
Speaker 1: you would think would be thinking, well, LSU, I mean,
8:14
Speaker 1: they always beat Vandy. They're the high ranked team, they're
8:16
Speaker 1: the more known quantity, the bigger name team, so you'd
8:21
Speaker 1: think that they would kind of tend to want to
8:23
Speaker 1: play LSU as the underdog here for those reasons, but
8:26
Speaker 1: maybe Vandy's offense is good looking enough right now in
8:29
Speaker 1: LSUS has look bad enough this year that the public
8:32
Speaker 1: actually isn't really holding that sentiment that much here, But
8:36
Speaker 1: for me, I would still lean to Vandy slightly there. Also,
8:40
Speaker 1: at noon, we have number twelve, undefeated, six and oh
8:43
Speaker 1: Georgia Tech against Duke at Duke, who was also undefeated. Well,
8:49
Speaker 1: Duke's undefeated in the ACC. I mean, both teams are
8:52
Speaker 1: three and oh in the ACC. Duke's two losses are
8:55
Speaker 1: both out of conference, and one of them, as I
8:57
Speaker 1: keep harping on, was Illinois, where we just had a
9:00
Speaker 1: ton of turnovers in the game and should have won
9:03
Speaker 1: that game. Probably they dominated the game statistically. This is
9:07
Speaker 1: another interesting one because you see unranked Duke is a
9:10
Speaker 1: favorite against ranked Georgia Attack, who's ranked twelfth in the country.
9:13
Speaker 1: Even though yeah, I think Georgia Tech is a pretty
9:15
Speaker 1: good team. I think maybe the rankings makers have got
9:18
Speaker 1: a little bit too far with Georgia tack here. Now. Man,
9:21
Speaker 1: I talk about this a lot. When you see it
9:23
Speaker 1: seems like we're seeing a situation like this every week
9:26
Speaker 1: where you have an unranked team in college football that's
9:29
Speaker 1: favored over a ranked team, And that's the oddsmakers telling
9:33
Speaker 1: you something different than what the rankings makers are telling you.
9:35
Speaker 1: The odsmakers are telling you these teams are pretty evenly matched,
9:39
Speaker 1: whereas the rankings makers are making it seem like Georgia
9:41
Speaker 1: TACK is a way better team. Public is going to
9:44
Speaker 1: kind of lean that way slightly, even though we do
9:46
Speaker 1: see fifty three percent of tickets on Duke, which kind
9:49
Speaker 1: of surprises me. I would think the public would be
9:51
Speaker 1: just running to take the points. With a ranked, undefeated
9:54
Speaker 1: Georgia TACH team sixty eight percent of the cash though
9:57
Speaker 1: on Duke, Duke has moved up from two and a
9:59
Speaker 1: half to three. I'm gonna lean to Duke just because
10:02
Speaker 1: it is one of those rankings versus oddsmaker disparities here.
10:07
Speaker 1: I don't really see it really much of a situation
10:10
Speaker 1: to call for it. But the money is still coming
10:12
Speaker 1: in on the Duke side as well, so I think
10:14
Speaker 1: it is still kind of a public fade to some
10:16
Speaker 1: extent if you do like Duke in this one. Georgia Tech,
10:21
Speaker 1: I mean, they haven't really played that difficult of a schedule,
10:23
Speaker 1: to be honest, I mean their big win was the
10:25
Speaker 1: one over Clemson mcclemson. Following that up, I think with
10:29
Speaker 1: a loss to Syracuse, I mean, Clemson not maybe as
10:33
Speaker 1: good as we thought they were to start the season. Man,
10:36
Speaker 1: I don't know, I'm maybe not that great. So that
10:40
Speaker 1: kind of takes some of the luster off of that
10:42
Speaker 1: win for Georgia Tech there and since then, I mean,
10:44
Speaker 1: they haven't done great since then. I don't even know
10:49
Speaker 1: what I would say is their best win since that.
10:51
Speaker 1: I mean last week against Virginia Tech. I guess which
10:54
Speaker 1: Virginia Tech was bad enough to start the season they
10:57
Speaker 1: fired their coach, although they've been a bit better since then.
10:59
Speaker 1: But I mean, it's crazy like Georgia Tech just doesn't
11:02
Speaker 1: have any other great wins. Maybe at Colorado, I guess
11:06
Speaker 1: you could say that was a difficult environment to go
11:08
Speaker 1: in and wins. They played well in that game, but
11:11
Speaker 1: their one other road game, which was in the ACC,
11:14
Speaker 1: they almost lost to a pretty bad Wake Forest team.
11:16
Speaker 1: So all the wake Forest did I think play well
11:19
Speaker 1: the following week, maybe against Virginia Tech or something like that,
11:22
Speaker 1: although Virginia Tech still struggling team. I'm going around in
11:25
Speaker 1: loops here, but yeah, Georgia Tech. I mean, their resume
11:28
Speaker 1: is not massively impressive, even though they are six and zero.
11:32
Speaker 1: They're having to go out on the road again, and
11:33
Speaker 1: they have not been quite as good on the road again.
11:35
Speaker 1: They did struggle, had to go into overtime against wake
11:38
Speaker 1: Forest last time on the run, and Duke is a
11:40
Speaker 1: better team than wake Forest. Duke, you know they're gonna
11:44
Speaker 1: show up for this one. I mean it's a ranked
11:45
Speaker 1: team coming into their place. Duke. Yeah. I mean their
11:48
Speaker 1: schedule isn't particularly impressive either. They played more road games.
11:52
Speaker 1: I was impressive. They were able to win out on
11:55
Speaker 1: the West Coast in California in kind of dominant fashion
11:59
Speaker 1: in what should have been kind of a bad spot
12:01
Speaker 1: for them, And they are coming out of a bye,
12:03
Speaker 1: so they do have an extra week of rest here
12:05
Speaker 1: because they went into a buye after that. The problem
12:07
Speaker 1: is they did go into the buy and a good
12:09
Speaker 1: note with three straight wins. So I do talk about
12:11
Speaker 1: that when a team goes into a bye on a
12:13
Speaker 1: good note like that, the buye tends to not be
12:15
Speaker 1: that helpful because you don't really have anything to work
12:18
Speaker 1: on because everything is working for you. Even though yeah,
12:20
Speaker 1: they're going to try to prepare something for Georgia Tech,
12:24
Speaker 1: which crazy that Georgia Tech might be the game that
12:26
Speaker 1: they that they have more focus on despite having Clemson
12:29
Speaker 1: up next. They have another buy in between those two games,
12:33
Speaker 1: which is probably a helpful spot to have a buye
12:36
Speaker 1: for Duke there. But I do think Duke will show up.
12:38
Speaker 1: I mean this is a ranked team, of course, the
12:39
Speaker 1: last time they hosted a ranked team they turned it
12:42
Speaker 1: over a ton of times and lost to Illinois. But
12:44
Speaker 1: I think they'll show up. I'll lean to Duke slightly again,
12:47
Speaker 1: just because mostly because of the oddsmaker versus ranking disparity there.
12:54
Speaker 1: Twelve forty five pm Eastern on SEC Network, Number fourteen
12:58
Speaker 1: Oklahoma at Cell Carolina, Oklahoma. They're in a spot where
13:03
Speaker 1: they took their first loss last week, so again could
13:06
Speaker 1: be a bit of a hangover spot. When a team
13:08
Speaker 1: takes their first loss, it can tend to hang them
13:10
Speaker 1: over a little bit. They can in effect kind of
13:12
Speaker 1: lose that game twice sometimes if it was a big game,
13:15
Speaker 1: and it was so it's somewhat of a hangover spot
13:18
Speaker 1: here in my opinion. For Oklahoma, and coming off their
13:22
Speaker 1: first loss of the season, that can also add to
13:24
Speaker 1: the hangover. But it was also the red River rivalry,
13:27
Speaker 1: the red River shootout against Texas, which was not even
13:31
Speaker 1: close to a shootout. And I told you guys, I
13:33
Speaker 1: gave up Texas on my show as a play. We
13:34
Speaker 1: got that right. I told you guys that the under
13:37
Speaker 1: was worth of looking that game as well, and that
13:39
Speaker 1: wound up also being correct. But Oklahoma coming off that game,
13:42
Speaker 1: I know it was a bad game for them. They
13:44
Speaker 1: only scored six points. Texas's defense is definitely for real.
13:49
Speaker 1: Their offense is another story. But you could argue that well,
13:51
Speaker 1: because Oklahoma the final score, they really just had a
13:54
Speaker 1: bad offensive game there. You could kind of argue that
13:57
Speaker 1: maybe they'll kind of bounce back from that because it
13:59
Speaker 1: was such a bad offensive performance. But then again, it
14:03
Speaker 1: was still a fairly close game. I think they were
14:05
Speaker 1: only down seven fairly late in that game, and it
14:08
Speaker 1: was again a game you get up emotionally for against Texas.
14:11
Speaker 1: Huge game, so coming up that I still don't like it.
14:13
Speaker 1: It's only gonna be their second road game of the season.
14:16
Speaker 1: Although granted they did do well the first road game
14:18
Speaker 1: against Temple, they absolutely blew them out and Temple I
14:22
Speaker 1: took a loss on that one. On the show with Temple.
14:24
Speaker 1: Temple is not really that bad of a team, but
14:26
Speaker 1: Oklahoma does also have big games up next. They got
14:30
Speaker 1: all the remaining games are against ranked teams, with number
14:33
Speaker 1: five Ole Miss coming up next, and then they got Tennessee, Alabama, Missouri,
14:36
Speaker 1: and LSU remaining. So Oklahoma is a very difficult remaining schedule,
14:41
Speaker 1: which kind of makes it a little bit of a
14:42
Speaker 1: sandwich looking spot. There were maybe they're even going to
14:45
Speaker 1: look ahead to a match up against Ole Miss a
14:46
Speaker 1: little bit there, Although on the other hand, you got
14:49
Speaker 1: to think that with a one loss SEC team now
14:52
Speaker 1: they kind of have to focus on this game because
14:54
Speaker 1: they're probably not gonna end the season only with one
14:57
Speaker 1: loss that difficult of a schedule remaining. South Carolina you
15:01
Speaker 1: know they're gonna get up for this game as well.
15:04
Speaker 1: I mean, you know they're gonna get up for this game.
15:05
Speaker 1: Oklahoma might not. As I was saying, I was trying
15:08
Speaker 1: to find a reason why maybe they would, But Oklahoma,
15:10
Speaker 1: I do think they're less likely to get up for
15:12
Speaker 1: this game than South Carolina is. South Carolina, they actually
15:16
Speaker 1: fired their offensive line coach, even though I think their
15:19
Speaker 1: rushing attack has started improving a little bit recently, but
15:22
Speaker 1: for whatever reason, maybe try to spark the team. I
15:25
Speaker 1: don't know what was going on there, but they fired
15:27
Speaker 1: their old line coach. Their offense has been a problem,
15:29
Speaker 1: their defense has actually been okay. They're coming off losing
15:32
Speaker 1: to LSU, but that was a high profile game. It
15:35
Speaker 1: was a big game for South Carolina. I'd have to
15:38
Speaker 1: try to go into LSU try to get revenge on them,
15:40
Speaker 1: and they played fairly well, only losing twenty to ten.
15:43
Speaker 1: I think they were within seven points pretty late in
15:45
Speaker 1: that game too, So not exactly a spot right necessarily
15:49
Speaker 1: want to be on South Carolina coming off of that.
15:51
Speaker 1: They have to kind of put in that big effort
15:53
Speaker 1: two straight games like that. I know it is a
15:57
Speaker 1: home game. They're hosting Oklahoma, so they still should get
15:59
Speaker 1: up for I still lean to South Carolina because I
16:02
Speaker 1: do think the spot is worse for Oklahoma, but the
16:05
Speaker 1: market is kind of disagree with that. Although it almost
16:09
Speaker 1: looks too easy to lay the points with Oklahoma. I mean,
16:11
Speaker 1: you gotta ranked Oklahoma team one loss team only laying
16:15
Speaker 1: four to four and a half now here, So to me,
16:19
Speaker 1: I expected the public to be on Oklahoma. It's kind
16:21
Speaker 1: of weird to see fifty three percent of the cash
16:24
Speaker 1: or fifty three percent of tickets excuse me on South
16:26
Speaker 1: Carolina here in fifty two percent of the cash, which
16:28
Speaker 1: makes it look like South Carolina as a home public underdog,
16:32
Speaker 1: which I don't think could possibly really be the case. Here,
16:35
Speaker 1: I think that maybe we're going to see that market
16:37
Speaker 1: read shift a little bit come game time. I would
16:39
Speaker 1: lean to taking the points with South Carolina. It's also
16:41
Speaker 1: a very low total at forty three and a half,
16:44
Speaker 1: so that means the points are going to be more
16:47
Speaker 1: at a premium. Here you have two teams that are
16:49
Speaker 1: pretty good, pretty good defensively, excuseually, with teams that might
16:53
Speaker 1: be a little bit more questionable offensively, so that I
16:57
Speaker 1: think is also part of the reason for the game
16:59
Speaker 1: being that low score warring. But also it would kind
17:01
Speaker 1: of make more sense to look towards taking the points
17:03
Speaker 1: when you think it's gonna be kind of a defensive
17:05
Speaker 1: battle like that. Three point thirty pm Eastern CBS. We
17:09
Speaker 1: have undefeated number one in the country Ohio State at Wisconsin,
17:13
Speaker 1: who is not doing well. Wisconsin has seen better, better days,
17:19
Speaker 1: and they've seen better days, and the bottom has dropped
17:23
Speaker 1: out for them. Ohio State is probably indeed actually the
17:27
Speaker 1: number one team in the country. They're coming off a
17:29
Speaker 1: pretty big win against the team that's at least ranked
17:32
Speaker 1: in Illinois. Though I've been talking about how I think
17:34
Speaker 1: Illinois overrated. Ohio State did go in and they did cover,
17:38
Speaker 1: even though they didn't even get much through the air
17:40
Speaker 1: from their freshman quarterback, saying in that game, He's been
17:45
Speaker 1: worse on the road, for sure, man barely barely eclipsing
17:50
Speaker 1: two hundred yards passing at Washington, and the last time
17:52
Speaker 1: out against Illinois, who I'm not really sure has a
17:55
Speaker 1: very good defense, he only threw for one sixty six,
17:57
Speaker 1: So I don't know, Manhi, I mean, they've struggled a
18:01
Speaker 1: little bit offensively on the road. It looks like I
18:04
Speaker 1: haven't dug into that box score, which I should. I
18:07
Speaker 1: should do, although I'm not gonna give it a play
18:09
Speaker 1: on this one. I mean, I I handicapped these games.
18:11
Speaker 1: I'm just kind of like, you know, I mean, I
18:13
Speaker 1: should dig into the box scores more than I do
18:15
Speaker 1: for some of these games. But when I kind of
18:16
Speaker 1: decided I'm not going to play the game, then I
18:18
Speaker 1: just don't dig into it that much further. Although maybe
18:20
Speaker 1: I'm missing out on some things. If I had dug
18:23
Speaker 1: into the box score, maybe I would have seen something
18:26
Speaker 1: which I'm gonna tell you about one of those that
18:28
Speaker 1: I missed last week that could have been a winner
18:30
Speaker 1: for us, which I'll talk about in not too long
18:34
Speaker 1: of a period of time, because I think they're in
18:36
Speaker 1: a ranked matchup this week. But Illinois did a three
18:39
Speaker 1: turnovers in the game. They actually outgained Ohio State, so
18:43
Speaker 1: miss leading final result there, Man, Ohio State won the
18:45
Speaker 1: game by eighteen. They actually got outgained and they only
18:48
Speaker 1: won the game because Illinois turned the ball over so
18:50
Speaker 1: many times, which is kind of insane. So Ohio State
18:54
Speaker 1: actually didn't do that well, it looks like it was
18:57
Speaker 1: a good win on the scoreboard. They'll probably think that
18:59
Speaker 1: it was a good win. And they do have Penn
19:01
Speaker 1: State up next. It's after a bye, so that takes
19:04
Speaker 1: a little bit away from that. I know Penn State
19:06
Speaker 1: has fallen completely off. I know they're kind of a
19:09
Speaker 1: laughing stock right now, but that's still Ohio State versus
19:12
Speaker 1: Penn State. I mean, that is still a big matchup.
19:15
Speaker 1: I think that it does look kind of like a
19:17
Speaker 1: sandwich spot here to me, Man, and we're all looking
19:20
Speaker 1: at a second straight road game for Ohio State. We're
19:22
Speaker 1: looking at a third road game in four weeks as
19:26
Speaker 1: well as possible. They just don't take Wisconsin totally seriously
19:29
Speaker 1: here Sandwich inmetry two bigger games. Although again maybe the
19:32
Speaker 1: look ahead's a little bit less because or less of
19:35
Speaker 1: an effect because they do have a bye coming up
19:38
Speaker 1: after this Wisconsin. You know they're gonna at least show
19:42
Speaker 1: up because it is Ohio State coming into their places. Wisconsin.
19:45
Speaker 1: They're coming off getting shut out by Iowa. I mean,
19:48
Speaker 1: that is obviously a terrible sign. This wisconstant team has
19:51
Speaker 1: just been awful. Man. They I think their quarterback got
19:54
Speaker 1: hurt and then I don't even know what I think.
19:56
Speaker 1: They've had multiple quarterback injuries and now they've got Simmons
20:00
Speaker 1: quarterback and they just haven't been able to really do
20:01
Speaker 1: anything offensively. But the fact they're coming off getting shut out,
20:04
Speaker 1: even though I know Iowa is a very strong defense
20:07
Speaker 1: thirty seven and nothing at home, that is totally embarrassing.
20:11
Speaker 1: So you've got to think Wisconsin is gonna at least
20:13
Speaker 1: show up here. Like I mean, they're out of it
20:17
Speaker 1: for the season, we know, I mean, they still have
20:20
Speaker 1: some chance maybe at making a Bowl this year. It's
20:22
Speaker 1: gonna be difficult, though. They're gonna have to win four
20:24
Speaker 1: of their last six games, and they're not gonna win
20:27
Speaker 1: a year, or they're probably not gonna win at Oregon
20:30
Speaker 1: or at Indiana either. Maybe they can somehow pull off
20:33
Speaker 1: some sort of shock er. But when a team is
20:36
Speaker 1: in a situation like that, there are only certain games
20:38
Speaker 1: they are gonna get up for for the remainder of
20:40
Speaker 1: the season. If they think they're just not gonna hit
20:42
Speaker 1: their goals for the year, it's a game like this
20:45
Speaker 1: that they're gonna get up for, though, with number one
20:47
Speaker 1: Ohio State coming into their house. So I would need
20:49
Speaker 1: to taking the points with Wisconsin. You're getting a lot
20:52
Speaker 1: of points here, although you could have gotten the key
20:55
Speaker 1: number of twenty seven at one point earlier, it's down
20:57
Speaker 1: to twenty five. Still a huge number, though, and this
21:00
Speaker 1: total is unbelievably low, down to from forty two and
21:03
Speaker 1: a half to forty one. So it looks pretty tempting
21:06
Speaker 1: to take even twenty five points with a spread of
21:10
Speaker 1: forty one a total of forty one. Excuse me, It's like,
21:13
Speaker 1: what do you think Wisconsin is just not going to
21:15
Speaker 1: score in this game at all. I mean, I don't know, man,
21:19
Speaker 1: seventy or excuse me, eighty three percent of tickets, ninety
21:22
Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on Ohio States. The CASU
21:24
Speaker 1: looks think it's coming in that way. There's no way
21:26
Speaker 1: that I would lay the points with Ohio State, though
21:28
Speaker 1: I would take the points with Wisconsin or passed in
21:31
Speaker 1: this one. Even at twenty five, I think with an
21:33
Speaker 1: extremely low total like that, it looks like there is
21:36
Speaker 1: some pretty decent value at least in getting an amount
21:39
Speaker 1: of points like that. Three point thirty PM Eastern. Still
21:44
Speaker 1: Michigan State at Indiana Peacock is is airing this one.
21:50
Speaker 1: Michigan State has not won in the Big Ten yet
21:53
Speaker 1: this year. They it's a down program, man, Michigan State.
21:56
Speaker 1: They just haven't been very good. Indiana undefeated and they've
21:59
Speaker 1: worked their way up to number three in the rankings,
22:01
Speaker 1: which I don't know if I totally buy it. I mean,
22:05
Speaker 1: they're winning its Illinois. I talked about how I think
22:07
Speaker 1: Illinois is overrated, so I don't know how much weight
22:10
Speaker 1: to put into that. I know they put up a
22:11
Speaker 1: ton of points in the game. They came back down
22:15
Speaker 1: to earth a little bit coming off of that, I
22:17
Speaker 1: gave out Iowa plus the points on my show there,
22:20
Speaker 1: and Iowa did indeed play defense and hold Indiana's offense
22:23
Speaker 1: and check to get the cover there. But Indiana went
22:26
Speaker 1: out to Oregon last week and they pulled off a
22:28
Speaker 1: huge win over number three Oregon as an underdog. I
22:32
Speaker 1: did mention I leaned it to Indiana on that one.
22:34
Speaker 1: I thought the spot was not really great for Oregon
22:36
Speaker 1: in that one, even though Indiana was still difficult for
22:38
Speaker 1: them to go out to an unfamiliar environment on the
22:41
Speaker 1: Pacific coast and do that, although they did have a
22:43
Speaker 1: bye going into that, one of those sometimes that buy
22:45
Speaker 1: will be a momentum stopper. But you knew because they
22:49
Speaker 1: had not lost yet, but you knew that Indiana was
22:51
Speaker 1: probably gonna get up for that game. And that was
22:54
Speaker 1: a huge game, one of their biggest games on the schedule,
22:56
Speaker 1: probably the biggest game remaining on the schedule, for the
22:59
Speaker 1: biggest game at all on the schedule, because I actually
23:02
Speaker 1: it looks like they don't play Ohio State at all
23:05
Speaker 1: during the regular season, which is insane possible they match
23:08
Speaker 1: up with them in the Big Ten Championship. The way
23:10
Speaker 1: that things are looking right now, but it is possible
23:13
Speaker 1: they're in a letdown spot here. Man. They're having to
23:15
Speaker 1: travel back from the Pacific Coast off of their biggest
23:18
Speaker 1: win of the season, which you might argue that was
23:21
Speaker 1: kind of their real legitimizer win two, which is like
23:25
Speaker 1: the win where everybody starts to take notice that. You
23:27
Speaker 1: might argue it was the win over Illinois, but I
23:30
Speaker 1: mean beating Oregon on the road is a much bigger
23:32
Speaker 1: deal than that. So I do think it's a letdown
23:34
Speaker 1: spot for Indiana here. They don't really have anything big
23:37
Speaker 1: up next with UCLA up next, not really having a
23:40
Speaker 1: good season, of course, but you know, they might overlook
23:44
Speaker 1: this Michigan State team that just has been bad since
23:46
Speaker 1: the start a big ten play, although Michigan State did
23:49
Speaker 1: lose two games on the road, but of course this
23:51
Speaker 1: is also on the road. Here. They're coming off an
23:54
Speaker 1: embarrassing home game which unfortunately I gave out Michigan State
23:57
Speaker 1: in that game, and they started out up seven to nothing,
24:00
Speaker 1: looking all right early in that game from Michigan State.
24:02
Speaker 1: I thought it was a really huge letdown spot for
24:07
Speaker 1: UCLA coming off of that monumental upset over Penn State,
24:10
Speaker 1: and that was not to be in Michigan State. Totally
24:13
Speaker 1: embarrassing performance there. I think they were without their quarterback Childs,
24:18
Speaker 1: but I'm not sure if he actually got hurt, or
24:20
Speaker 1: if he or if he was just not playing that well,
24:24
Speaker 1: so they decided to switch quarterbacks to mill of Vojavic
24:28
Speaker 1: has an. He pronounces, I think I got that right.
24:31
Speaker 1: I don't know either way. I mean, I don't think
24:35
Speaker 1: it matters. I said that last week. I know, but
24:37
Speaker 1: I still don't really think it matters who Michigan State's
24:40
Speaker 1: quarterback is. I mean, their offense is pretty lackluster either way,
24:44
Speaker 1: but they're off that embarrassing results. I mean, they were
24:47
Speaker 1: seven and a half point favorite. I think they were
24:48
Speaker 1: up to nine and a half maybe in that game
24:51
Speaker 1: at some point in that game. I forget what I
24:53
Speaker 1: gave it out at on my show, but it's an
24:57
Speaker 1: embarrassing loss for them. So I would lean to miss
25:00
Speaker 1: you can State getting the points in this one. I
25:02
Speaker 1: think the stock is pretty high in Indiana right now.
25:04
Speaker 1: You're getting a ton of points at least if you
25:06
Speaker 1: do like that side up from twenty six and a
25:08
Speaker 1: half to twenty seven and a half might hit the
25:10
Speaker 1: twenty eight, which is another key number in the in
25:13
Speaker 1: football obviously the four touchdowns, sixty five percent of tickets
25:17
Speaker 1: and only fifty eight percent of the cash on Indiana,
25:19
Speaker 1: so the money is kind of agreeing with the Michigan
25:22
Speaker 1: State side. The total is way down from fifty two
25:24
Speaker 1: and a half to forty nine and a half. No
25:27
Speaker 1: public better is gonna want to play an under in
25:30
Speaker 1: an Indiana game, really, even though, like I said, it
25:32
Speaker 1: did go wing under against Iowa because Iowa was a
25:34
Speaker 1: capable deepfense. Not really sure Michigan State necessarily is. But
25:40
Speaker 1: seventy two percent of tickets around the over seventy percent
25:42
Speaker 1: of the cash on the under total plummeting for fifty
25:45
Speaker 1: two and a half down to forty nine, so the
25:46
Speaker 1: money is coming in on the under in this one.
25:50
Speaker 1: Maybe Indiana just kind of in the A mode where
25:53
Speaker 1: it's just like, after that huge win, let's just get
25:55
Speaker 1: in and get out of this game, and maybe Indiana
25:57
Speaker 1: will go a little bit of vanilla in this With
26:00
Speaker 1: an extremely low total like that, getting that many points
26:03
Speaker 1: on the spread seems pretty valuable. So I would take
26:07
Speaker 1: the points with Michigan State if I was gonna play
26:10
Speaker 1: that game. That would be the lean there also at
26:12
Speaker 1: three point thirty Eastern on ESPN, number four Texas A
26:16
Speaker 1: and M at Arkansas, who has not been good so far,
26:20
Speaker 1: they're own two in the SEC. They're only two and
26:22
Speaker 1: four Texas A and M up to fourth in the country.
26:25
Speaker 1: They're definitely a legit team. But how legit are they,
26:28
Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, they have had a decent
26:30
Speaker 1: schedule so far. The resume is decent. I mean, a
26:33
Speaker 1: road win over Notre Dame definitely a good win. Beating
26:37
Speaker 1: Auburn is pretty solid. Even though Auburn doesn't look like
26:40
Speaker 1: they're that good, They're I think a pretty underrated Auburn
26:43
Speaker 1: is right now. Auburn is not that bad. They have
26:45
Speaker 1: played competitively in all their losses to pretty good SEC teams.
26:49
Speaker 1: A blall went over Mississippi State, who's kind of upstart
26:52
Speaker 1: this year isn't bad either, and then all win over
26:54
Speaker 1: Florida last week. Florida's I mean, I know they're kind
26:57
Speaker 1: of all over the place, but when Florida is showing up,
27:01
Speaker 1: they're actually playing pretty well. So I mean, that is
27:04
Speaker 1: not a horrible win for Texas A and M. There
27:06
Speaker 1: by any means, yes, this is gonna be their only
27:08
Speaker 1: their second road game of the season, though their only
27:11
Speaker 1: road game was against Notre Dame, and yeah, they won
27:13
Speaker 1: that game in a pretty unfamiliar environment, which is a
27:16
Speaker 1: good sign. I mean, they stepped up. They played well
27:18
Speaker 1: on the road there. But now they're having to go
27:21
Speaker 1: on the road to face this struggling Arkansas team. They're
27:23
Speaker 1: coming up a pretty big win over Florida. Still even
27:26
Speaker 1: the Florida a little bit down this year, but it's
27:28
Speaker 1: still a big name, bigger than Arkansas is. And up
27:31
Speaker 1: next Texas A and M as LSU, and then they're
27:33
Speaker 1: gonna have Missouri, I guess after a bye and then Missouri.
27:38
Speaker 1: So they have a couple of big games coming up
27:40
Speaker 1: after this one. So it is possible A and M
27:42
Speaker 1: kind of overlooks Arkansas here. And Arkansas is the team
27:45
Speaker 1: I was talking about where I wish I realized they
27:48
Speaker 1: fired their coach. They fired their coach after that Notre
27:50
Speaker 1: Dame game. So I talked about Arkansas against Tennessee last week,
27:54
Speaker 1: and I leaned to Arkansas. If I'd known that they
27:58
Speaker 1: had fired their coach, I would have probably elevated it
28:00
Speaker 1: to a play man because Arkansas went into a buy.
28:05
Speaker 1: They went went into the buy in a horrible note,
28:07
Speaker 1: losing in a blowout to Notre Dame non competitive completely
28:11
Speaker 1: where I thought Arkansas would be competitive in that game.
28:14
Speaker 1: They fired their coach and it gave them a spark
28:16
Speaker 1: and they went in and they almost beat Tennessee last week. Man,
28:19
Speaker 1: although I think they were behind by quite a bit
28:21
Speaker 1: and they clawed their way back in this game. Yeah,
28:23
Speaker 1: they were down thirty four to seventeen in the fourth quarter,
28:26
Speaker 1: but they didn't go away and they cut it to three.
28:29
Speaker 1: Was still three minutes left in the game. So Arkansas
28:31
Speaker 1: gave a full effort in that one, so it may
28:34
Speaker 1: be difficult for them to get back up off the
28:35
Speaker 1: mat after that and now have another full effort against
28:38
Speaker 1: A and M. Although the fired coach definitely sparked them
28:41
Speaker 1: in that one game, we'll see if it continues to
28:43
Speaker 1: spark them, But that should have been a play for me. Man.
28:46
Speaker 1: I apologize that I missed out on the fired coach
28:49
Speaker 1: spot there, because, as I point out, the fired coach
28:51
Speaker 1: will spark a team. You know, the team will potentially
28:55
Speaker 1: like if they didn't like that old coach, which I
28:57
Speaker 1: forget who their coach was. He was some old coach.
29:00
Speaker 1: Now they have Bobby Petrino, I think stepped in. It
29:02
Speaker 1: was a pretty experienced coach at least may actually be
29:06
Speaker 1: a better coach. But if with the fire coach phenomenon,
29:09
Speaker 1: and if a team didn't like the previous coach, it
29:12
Speaker 1: can spark them because they are more motivated to play
29:15
Speaker 1: for that indrum coach, which is usually a guy that
29:17
Speaker 1: they already know who's been in their system, which was
29:19
Speaker 1: the case here, and the players are going to be
29:22
Speaker 1: motivated to play better just because they want to prove
29:24
Speaker 1: that the reason they were playing so poorly was not
29:27
Speaker 1: them and it was the coach and not them, so
29:30
Speaker 1: that's why they fired coach. Phenomenon intends to work. It
29:33
Speaker 1: did again there and Tennessee had gone into a buye
29:36
Speaker 1: prior to that game as well and went into it
29:37
Speaker 1: on a good note. So that was kind of a
29:39
Speaker 1: momentum stopper. And Tennessee had this big game up which
29:42
Speaker 1: I'm going to talk about in a little bit against
29:44
Speaker 1: Alabama this week too, So I think I've talked about
29:48
Speaker 1: it last week. It was a spot to look towards Arkansas,
29:50
Speaker 1: but it probably would have elevated it to a play
29:52
Speaker 1: for me if I had realized that they'd fired their coach,
29:55
Speaker 1: so that was a miss on my part. I think
29:57
Speaker 1: we left some money on the table there. It's kind
29:58
Speaker 1: of always the case when you kind of whittle your
30:00
Speaker 1: list down and then you those like final cuts are
30:03
Speaker 1: kind of like they're still pretty strong. So if I mean,
30:08
Speaker 1: if you do your job right, there's still like those
30:10
Speaker 1: final cuts are still gonna win, and you're gonna be
30:12
Speaker 1: like this, you know more of them, we're gonna win
30:14
Speaker 1: than lose, and you're still gonna be kind of disappointed
30:16
Speaker 1: you didn't do it. You just hope that the ones
30:18
Speaker 1: that you actually make players are the strong the strongest ones.
30:21
Speaker 1: But yeah, Arkansas could be a little bit difficult to
30:23
Speaker 1: put in that effort multiple games in a row like that.
30:26
Speaker 1: After that big effort against Tennessee on the road, I
30:29
Speaker 1: believe they upset Tennessee. I think actually that was the
30:32
Speaker 1: other reason why I didn't play it, because I think
30:34
Speaker 1: Tennessee was in kind of like I thought they might
30:37
Speaker 1: be in revenge mode because I'm pretty sure Arkansas did
30:40
Speaker 1: upset Tennessee last year, so I think that might have
30:42
Speaker 1: been one of the reasons why it didn't quite make
30:44
Speaker 1: the cut for me there. But with the fire coach.
30:47
Speaker 1: Maybe it would have. Maybe it still wouldn't have none
30:49
Speaker 1: that I think about it, I don't know. I'll tell
30:51
Speaker 1: myself that it wouldn't just make myself feel better. But yeah,
30:55
Speaker 1: I mean, Texas A and M is legit. I don't know.
30:57
Speaker 1: I mean, it's gonna be a big game for Arkansas,
30:59
Speaker 1: but can they maintain that effort two weeks in a
31:01
Speaker 1: row like that? I don't know. Usually I want to
31:03
Speaker 1: look to fade a team like Arkansas when they had
31:06
Speaker 1: that big effort against a big team like that in Tennessee.
31:09
Speaker 1: Texas A and M is just kind of rolling along.
31:11
Speaker 1: I mean, wait a minute, did I just wait? I
31:14
Speaker 1: just talked about Texas. Wait, what am I doing? I
31:16
Speaker 1: already talked about Texas and Oh yeah, I already did. Yeah,
31:18
Speaker 1: my apologies, I already talked about Texas A and And what
31:21
Speaker 1: am I doing? I'm losing my mind right now. I
31:23
Speaker 1: talked about the fact that I think they have a
31:24
Speaker 1: potential look ahead here. So both teams to me, are
31:28
Speaker 1: in kind of bad spots here with Texas A and M,
31:32
Speaker 1: with the stock being so high, with them being you know,
31:35
Speaker 1: all the way up to ranked fourth in the country.
31:37
Speaker 1: I have a tendency to want to say, well, I
31:39
Speaker 1: kind of want to fade them, but I mean it
31:42
Speaker 1: looks like such a difficult spot to me for Arkansas
31:45
Speaker 1: though in A and M. I mean, I don't know,
31:47
Speaker 1: you could argue that maybe that win over Florida wasn't
31:51
Speaker 1: I mean, it wasn't really as big of an effort
31:53
Speaker 1: as Arkansas I had to put into stay in that
31:54
Speaker 1: game against Tennessee. So Arkansas coming off having to put
31:57
Speaker 1: in a bigger effort last week. Yeah, still look ahead
32:00
Speaker 1: for A and M. Man, I mean, maybe I'll slightly
32:04
Speaker 1: lean to laying the points with A and M, but
32:06
Speaker 1: I obviously, I mean I would hesitate big time. I mean,
32:10
Speaker 1: I'm torn on this game. Really, seventy three percent to
32:13
Speaker 1: take A seventy eight percent of the cash on A
32:14
Speaker 1: and M. So they are public, but some of the
32:16
Speaker 1: money coming in on them as well. They've just sat
32:19
Speaker 1: there at seven and a half all week, So no
32:21
Speaker 1: real movement on that game, which makes it look like, well,
32:25
Speaker 1: because the public is on A and M and the
32:27
Speaker 1: line hasn't moved, kind of makes it seem like maybe
32:29
Speaker 1: the books just kind of want the A and M
32:32
Speaker 1: money there. But A and M is not on the
32:35
Speaker 1: the lower side of the seven. Like if A and
32:37
Speaker 1: M was six and a half and the books hadn't
32:39
Speaker 1: moved into the books are just taking all this A
32:41
Speaker 1: and M money, then I think I would be I
32:43
Speaker 1: would have more of a tendency to want to actually
32:44
Speaker 1: grab Arkansas seeing a market read like that in this case,
32:48
Speaker 1: was just at seven and a half on the other
32:51
Speaker 1: side of that key number. I don't know. It's like
32:54
Speaker 1: the books are maybe not quite tempting you as much
32:56
Speaker 1: to take A and M. So I don't know. I
32:58
Speaker 1: would lean to A and MS slightly now, just because
33:01
Speaker 1: it looks like a difficult spot to me for Arkansas there.
33:04
Speaker 1: But they I mean, if they can, they should still
33:07
Speaker 1: get up for that game though A three thirty also
33:10
Speaker 1: three thirty Eastern on ABC Old Miss and Georgia. I'm
33:14
Speaker 1: not sure which I always never know which one of
33:16
Speaker 1: these games is the college game day game. I don't
33:18
Speaker 1: know if it's this one or not, because this is
33:20
Speaker 1: number five Old Miss, who's six and oh against number
33:23
Speaker 1: nine Georgia was five and one of Georgia's only losses
33:25
Speaker 1: to a very good Alabama team. Both these teams are good, Man,
33:31
Speaker 1: but I think people are gonna look at this. The
33:32
Speaker 1: public's gonna look at this and see, Ole Miss is
33:35
Speaker 1: a top five team, George's ranked, but they're a little
33:37
Speaker 1: bit ranked below that, they have a loss already, and
33:39
Speaker 1: Old Miss is undefeated. They're gonna look at the line
33:41
Speaker 1: in this game and see, wait a minute, how am
33:43
Speaker 1: I getting seven points with Old Miss here when they're
33:46
Speaker 1: the higher ranked team and the the undefeated team. Well,
33:50
Speaker 1: this is one of those things I talked about again.
33:52
Speaker 1: It's a oddsmakers versus rankings makers discrepancy here, where the
33:56
Speaker 1: oddsmakers are telling you that Georgia is enough the better team,
33:59
Speaker 1: that they're laying a touchdown at home here, so probably
34:03
Speaker 1: you give them about maybe four ish for home field
34:06
Speaker 1: for Georgia, probably pretty strong old field, But the Osburgers
34:09
Speaker 1: are telling you there's still multiple points better than Old
34:12
Speaker 1: Miss on a neutral whereas the rankings makers are telling
34:15
Speaker 1: you something else. Of Course, as I always say, I
34:18
Speaker 1: would lean towards what the odds makers are saying because
34:20
Speaker 1: they're the ones that have the money at stake here.
34:22
Speaker 1: The public is indeed coming in an Old Miss, and
34:24
Speaker 1: not only just because of the rankings making it look
34:28
Speaker 1: like there's value on Old Miss because of the higher
34:30
Speaker 1: ranked team. They're the undefeated team, so the records as well.
34:32
Speaker 1: But also because Old Miss the public les offense, and
34:36
Speaker 1: that's what Old Miss is. Ole Miss they're the better
34:39
Speaker 1: offense and Georgia is the better defense here, so the
34:43
Speaker 1: public les offense is Old Miss team, it's Lane Kiffen.
34:47
Speaker 1: Even without Jackson Dart, their offense has been quite good
34:50
Speaker 1: this year, even though they lost their quarterback earlier this year. Simmons,
34:53
Speaker 1: I think they went to Chambliss and he's been no
34:56
Speaker 1: downgread at all basically, and Old Miss their offense is
34:59
Speaker 1: still is rolling. They go fast, but I think Georgia
35:04
Speaker 1: they're good enough to slow Ole Miss down. Man, I'm
35:06
Speaker 1: at Georgia. They're not unfamiliar with having to go up
35:09
Speaker 1: against Lane Kippvin, so they've done it before. Georgia legit team,
35:13
Speaker 1: legit defense. Kirby smart, even though sometimes he's not so smart,
35:17
Speaker 1: he knows how to beat this Old Miss team. I
35:19
Speaker 1: think he could still probably do it again. Uh, the
35:21
Speaker 1: cash is coming in on Georgia. Fifty percent of the
35:24
Speaker 1: cash on Georgia despite sixty percent of tickets on Old Miss,
35:27
Speaker 1: so it looks like a pros versus Joe's situation where
35:30
Speaker 1: the Joe's coming in and taking the higher ranked Old
35:34
Speaker 1: Miss team getting points, thinking there's value there, I would disagree.
35:38
Speaker 1: I would lay the points with Georgia if I was
35:40
Speaker 1: gonna play it, especially if you can only if you
35:42
Speaker 1: can lay them in a touchdown, They're gone up a
35:44
Speaker 1: little bit from seven to seven with juice. If you
35:47
Speaker 1: want to lay it with Georgia. Yeah, I mean obviously,
35:49
Speaker 1: like I just said, I would lay seven if you can,
35:52
Speaker 1: which the public be on Old Being on Old Miss,
35:54
Speaker 1: I think you should probably be able to get the
35:56
Speaker 1: seven because there hasn't been a whole lot of line
35:58
Speaker 1: move and I don't see seven and a half half
36:00
Speaker 1: Cassette consensus on this, So obviously laying the seven is
36:04
Speaker 1: a lot better than laying the seven and a half
36:06
Speaker 1: for Ole Miss as far as the schedules concerned. I mean,
36:10
Speaker 1: this is a game where both teams are gonna show
36:11
Speaker 1: up for the game. Ole Miss, you would think might
36:14
Speaker 1: be in a spot where they should do better because
36:16
Speaker 1: last week they had a really bad game against Washington State,
36:19
Speaker 1: and I said that I leaned to Washington State. I
36:21
Speaker 1: didn't give it out as a play, but man, Ole
36:23
Speaker 1: Miss was like a thirty something point favorite in that game,
36:26
Speaker 1: and they didn't even score the points spread, and that
36:29
Speaker 1: is a red flag. I mean, when you're ol Miss
36:31
Speaker 1: and you have a really good offense and you're a
36:33
Speaker 1: thirty something point favorite and you will only score twenty
36:36
Speaker 1: four against Washington State, you only beat them twenty four
36:38
Speaker 1: to twenty one, I think that's not a good sign. Man.
36:41
Speaker 1: I think that's a sign that Old Misses maybe not
36:43
Speaker 1: as good as they appear to be. They have one
36:46
Speaker 1: really good win against LSU, and other than that, their
36:48
Speaker 1: wins are not very good so far. Their SEC wins
36:51
Speaker 1: are Kentucky and Arkansas, and Kentucky was their only road
36:55
Speaker 1: game of the season so far, way back in early September,
36:58
Speaker 1: and they only won that game by seven, And we
37:00
Speaker 1: see Kentucky is not very good at this point. Although yeah,
37:03
Speaker 1: the public, I mean might look at that as a
37:05
Speaker 1: common opponent, be like, oh, well, Georgia crush Kentucky. Recently,
37:09
Speaker 1: Ole Miss barely got by Kentucky, and the public might
37:13
Speaker 1: want to lead to Georgia for that reason. But obviously,
37:15
Speaker 1: as we see, the public is not doing that, so
37:17
Speaker 1: they are probably not looking all the way back to
37:19
Speaker 1: a game that happened in September. I think when they
37:22
Speaker 1: do that kind of transitive thing, they're only looking at
37:24
Speaker 1: more recent games and it'll be you know, a situation
37:28
Speaker 1: where they're not being kind of misled by the rankings
37:31
Speaker 1: makers and stuff like that, which I think they are
37:33
Speaker 1: in this game. But yeah, Ole Miss, the fact that
37:35
Speaker 1: they played so poorly in that game, I know it
37:37
Speaker 1: was a bad spot. I know they went into the
37:39
Speaker 1: buy on that win over LSU with no losses. That's
37:43
Speaker 1: a very bad time to have a buye because you
37:46
Speaker 1: don't have anything to fix. So they were very lackluster,
37:49
Speaker 1: basically had their momentum stop coming out of that, and
37:52
Speaker 1: they had this Georgia game to look forward to. So yeah,
37:54
Speaker 1: it was a really bad spot for oll Miss. But
37:57
Speaker 1: there's still really not much of an excuse for only
37:59
Speaker 1: putting up two twenty four points. Man. So even though
38:02
Speaker 1: normally I would say, yeah, a thirty something point favorite
38:04
Speaker 1: that almost loses the game, like, yeah, they were in
38:08
Speaker 1: a bad spot, which was the case here, But normally
38:11
Speaker 1: I would also say they're gonna bounce back from that,
38:13
Speaker 1: like it's gonna cause them to have extreme focus the
38:15
Speaker 1: next week, and maybe they will. I mean, both teams
38:18
Speaker 1: are gonna be focused here in my opinion, but I
38:19
Speaker 1: just think george is just the better team. Man, in
38:22
Speaker 1: a situation like this where you think both teams are
38:25
Speaker 1: gonna show up, I think you want to tend to
38:27
Speaker 1: look towards the team it's actually the better team that
38:29
Speaker 1: is Georgia. Yeah, I mean, I know Georgia had a
38:32
Speaker 1: kind of a lackluster game last week too, where Auburn
38:35
Speaker 1: should have covered. I gave out Auburn as one of
38:38
Speaker 1: my plays on the show. Of course, Auburn I thought
38:40
Speaker 1: got screwed in the game. Auburn was winning ten to nothing,
38:42
Speaker 1: they were about to go up seventeen nothing. I didn't
38:45
Speaker 1: agree with that fumble call with Auburn basically getting into
38:49
Speaker 1: the end zone to go up seventeen to nothing. The
38:52
Speaker 1: refs took it away from them and they never scored again,
38:55
Speaker 1: and they were still only down thirteen to ten late
38:58
Speaker 1: in the game and Georgia put up late touchdown. There
39:01
Speaker 1: was that bullshit Kirby Smart calling a timeout and then
39:05
Speaker 1: claiming he didn't call a timeout or whatever happened there
39:08
Speaker 1: where he should have been charged of the timeout. All
39:10
Speaker 1: bullshit in my opinion, But I think after kind of
39:13
Speaker 1: a lackluster performance from George's perspective there as well, I
39:17
Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up for this game, So, I mean,
39:18
Speaker 1: part of the reason why I faded Georgia is because
39:21
Speaker 1: I thought it was a little bit of a look
39:23
Speaker 1: ahead spot to this old miss game. So I think
39:24
Speaker 1: both teams will show up too long of a handicap
39:29
Speaker 1: on that one, but I leaned to Georgia. At least
39:31
Speaker 1: it's one of the bigger games, so I talked about
39:33
Speaker 1: the game a bit more than I probably had to,
39:35
Speaker 1: but lean to Georgia on that game. Jamison, what's up man?
39:38
Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. T Money. Is that my new nickname?
39:41
Speaker 1: I kind of like it, man, I'm trying to think.
39:44
Speaker 1: I thought there was another gambling type of nickname that
39:47
Speaker 1: somebody gave me at one but I forget what it
39:48
Speaker 1: was though maybe not. I know Nate or one of
39:53
Speaker 1: the guys in the chat has called me t Bone,
39:57
Speaker 1: probably because I look like George Costanza. Though more than anything,
40:01
Speaker 1: am I gonna really talk about every one of these
40:03
Speaker 1: ranked games? Yeah? I think I am. I mean, it's
40:07
Speaker 1: gonna be another two hour show, maybe hopefully not, but
40:09
Speaker 1: maybe into the four PM Slate with Fox televising. Number
40:16
Speaker 1: seven Texas Tech undefeated at six and oh against four
40:20
Speaker 1: and two Arizona State, who's dropped from the rankings. The
40:22
Speaker 1: Arizona State's still not a bad team. I was just
40:26
Speaker 1: kind of looking to my side here to see what
40:27
Speaker 1: the score is in this col game, but they're showing
40:30
Speaker 1: a replay, so I can't see the score. Oh my god,
40:33
Speaker 1: it looks like Col just actually got sack fumbled there.
40:38
Speaker 1: I think the fumble must have gone out of bounds
40:39
Speaker 1: because it looks like it's a fourth down for Col.
40:42
Speaker 1: There Oither're up by eleven right now. How many plays
40:47
Speaker 1: do I have? I have four for tomorrow, and hopefully
40:51
Speaker 1: hopefully I'm picking the right ones, man, because I have
40:54
Speaker 1: some games that are fairly close to being plays which
40:57
Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about as well. I had one tonight,
40:59
Speaker 1: which was an outright huge underdog winner on Louisville, So
41:03
Speaker 1: that was a nice one. College football rolling along, man,
41:07
Speaker 1: we had a couple of really hot weeks. Started off bad,
41:10
Speaker 1: got really hot, and then we've been mediocre the last
41:12
Speaker 1: couple of weeks, like basically fifty to fifty, which is
41:14
Speaker 1: which is losing when you're a fifty to fifty but
41:18
Speaker 1: slight losses versus being really hot a couple of weeks
41:20
Speaker 1: before that. So I'm still up i think in college
41:23
Speaker 1: football this year. But yeah, Texas Tech Arizona State. Talk
41:28
Speaker 1: about this game here. This is a game where, Man,
41:34
Speaker 1: this game is hard to figure out because this is
41:36
Speaker 1: a who the hell is gonna play quarterback in this game?
41:39
Speaker 1: Pretty much we don't know who the quarterbacks are going
41:42
Speaker 1: to necessarily be in this game. Normally I would say,
41:46
Speaker 1: you know, you kind of want to look towards Arizona
41:48
Speaker 1: State in this one because the line is a little
41:50
Speaker 1: bit low. It almost looks too easy to lay the
41:53
Speaker 1: points with this Texas Tech team. Everybody likes Texas Tech.
41:56
Speaker 1: They have this really prolific offense. Their defense is decent too.
42:01
Speaker 1: Looks fairly easy to lay the points of Texas Tech here,
42:04
Speaker 1: so I'm gonna slightly lean against that. I am gonna
42:07
Speaker 1: lean to taking the points of Arizona State here, but
42:09
Speaker 1: I definitely have some hesitations with it now. Looking at
42:14
Speaker 1: the line here, Texas Tech was a ten point favorite.
42:17
Speaker 1: They're down to seven seventy seven percent of tickets on them,
42:20
Speaker 1: only fifty five percent of the cash, so they're public
42:23
Speaker 1: with less of the money on them. I'm gonna agree
42:24
Speaker 1: with that, Margaret read towards taking the points of Arizona State.
42:27
Speaker 1: But the reason why Texas Tech is down from ten
42:30
Speaker 1: to seven is because there are question marks surrounding whether
42:33
Speaker 1: their quarterback Morton is gonna play, and right now, I
42:37
Speaker 1: think we don't know, so I think the line is
42:39
Speaker 1: kind of just out there, kind of in the middle,
42:42
Speaker 1: like basically, is he gonna play? Is he not gonna play.
42:44
Speaker 1: I think if it's announced that he is going to play,
42:46
Speaker 1: the line will probably go back up to ten. If
42:49
Speaker 1: he's not gonna play, which looks like is more likely
42:51
Speaker 1: at this point, then I think the line will potentially
42:57
Speaker 1: maybe even drop a little bit further below that key
42:59
Speaker 1: number seven. And so if you do like Arizona State,
43:01
Speaker 1: you want to get the plus seven before before it
43:04
Speaker 1: drops to six and a half, which it might. However,
43:08
Speaker 1: I don't want to play this game. Even though, yeah,
43:10
Speaker 1: Texas Tech, I mean they're undefeated. I mean they haven't
43:13
Speaker 1: really done a whole lot yet except the big win
43:16
Speaker 1: over Utah, and that was a good performance, but Texas
43:18
Speaker 1: Tech is still kind of unproven to me, and Arizona
43:21
Speaker 1: State's still a decent defense that could potentially maybe check
43:25
Speaker 1: Texas Tech's offense a little bit here. But Texas Tech,
43:28
Speaker 1: if they're in the injured player theory spot, that means
43:32
Speaker 1: you're gonna get a little bit extra value on the
43:33
Speaker 1: line with Texas Tech. And you know, because Morton went
43:35
Speaker 1: down to their last game against Kansas last week. And
43:38
Speaker 1: you know, I always talk about this, when a team
43:41
Speaker 1: loses their quarterback, they tend to step it up a
43:43
Speaker 1: little bit with their backup quarterback coming in there because
43:47
Speaker 1: they know they have to step up their game a
43:48
Speaker 1: little bit. And I think Morton was hurt at some
43:51
Speaker 1: point earlier this season because ham And came in and
43:55
Speaker 1: actually was one of the quarterbacks. He was their leading
43:57
Speaker 1: passer in that game against Utah. So and even though
44:00
Speaker 1: I think he is a downgrade from Morton, he will
44:03
Speaker 1: be back in for Texas Tech. If Morton's not gonna go,
44:07
Speaker 1: maybe the injured player spot will apply here though because
44:11
Speaker 1: him and you know, maybe he's not that. I mean,
44:13
Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I don't know how much of
44:14
Speaker 1: a downgrade he is, to be honest, I mean, the
44:16
Speaker 1: Osbringers are telling you he's a decent downgrade here, But again,
44:20
Speaker 1: the Oswingers kind of have to do that with the
44:22
Speaker 1: line when they know there's an injured player, the kind
44:24
Speaker 1: of have to shift the line just to account for
44:27
Speaker 1: that fact. Anyway, and again the Texas Tech might step
44:32
Speaker 1: up their game a little bit for that reason. I
44:34
Speaker 1: think it's a big game for both teams. So it
44:36
Speaker 1: is the injured player spot for Texas Tech and it's
44:39
Speaker 1: actually gonna be reverse injured player spot for Arizona State,
44:42
Speaker 1: which I talked about last week. I still leaned to
44:45
Speaker 1: Utah last week just because I thought they were the
44:48
Speaker 1: way better team even though Arizona State was in the
44:50
Speaker 1: injured player spot last week, because they lost their quarterback
44:54
Speaker 1: Levitt prior to that, and Sims played last week and
44:57
Speaker 1: he really didn't do well against Utah. Arizona State's coming
45:01
Speaker 1: off that game, it was a big game for Arizona State,
45:03
Speaker 1: but they got totally embarrassed. So I don't know, I
45:06
Speaker 1: could see that going either way. But of course this
45:07
Speaker 1: will still be a big game for Arizona State. Like
45:10
Speaker 1: I don't think they'll be hung over off of that
45:12
Speaker 1: Utah game because Texas Tech coming in. They're still gonna
45:15
Speaker 1: step up their game for this but Levitt is probable,
45:17
Speaker 1: so he will be back for Arizona State. Most certainly
45:21
Speaker 1: he's gonna be back, so their quarterback is coming back.
45:24
Speaker 1: But then again, that does mean the players might kind
45:27
Speaker 1: of take a little bit of a step back and
45:29
Speaker 1: might take a little while for him to get his
45:30
Speaker 1: chemistry back with his team back out there, and you're
45:33
Speaker 1: gonna get a little bit a little bit less value
45:35
Speaker 1: maybe on Arizona State, because that is the case, because
45:39
Speaker 1: it's the reverse injured player spot with him coming back
45:42
Speaker 1: and normally with an injured player spot, which is where
45:45
Speaker 1: Texas Tech may be here against a reverse injured player
45:48
Speaker 1: spot where Arizona State is here. I'll be looking to
45:50
Speaker 1: lay the points, but I'm not looking to do that here.
45:53
Speaker 1: I just think Texas Tech they're still unproven. The market
45:56
Speaker 1: read is still saying take the points of Arizona State.
46:00
Speaker 1: I lean that way slightly, but I'm certainly not jumping
46:02
Speaker 1: out of my seat to do it. I mean, I
46:03
Speaker 1: don't see a whole, like a whole lot of a
46:06
Speaker 1: situation here. I don't know what a better way of
46:09
Speaker 1: phrasing that would be, but I don't see much as
46:11
Speaker 1: far as the situational aspects I don't see as far
46:16
Speaker 1: as the situational aspects. I don't see a whole lot
46:18
Speaker 1: going on in this game, is what I should say.
46:20
Speaker 1: It's late, man, I can't even talk anymore. I went
46:22
Speaker 1: and I saw Louis c k earlier tonight, even though
46:26
Speaker 1: I'm still doing this show around the same time after
46:29
Speaker 1: I had to handicap all the rest of the games
46:31
Speaker 1: right before this, So this is me doing my quick handicapping,
46:35
Speaker 1: and dude, I mean that's what it's me like, lazy
46:38
Speaker 1: quick handicapping. It still kind of works out. Jameson Yeah, Louisville, Yeah,
46:42
Speaker 1: I mean the line did crash. I gave it out
46:45
Speaker 1: of thirteen this morning. I didn't expect it to crash
46:47
Speaker 1: that much, crashed down to ten and a half. I
46:51
Speaker 1: did get asked about it when it was at ten
46:53
Speaker 1: and a half, and I said, yeah, I mean I
46:54
Speaker 1: would probably still take to ten and a half. I
46:57
Speaker 1: didn't like it as much, obviously, but between thirteen and
47:00
Speaker 1: still being above ten, I mean, those numbers eleven to
47:03
Speaker 1: twelve are not key numbers. So I was like, thirteen
47:05
Speaker 1: is kind of a key number, but still anything above ten,
47:08
Speaker 1: I think I basically said, yes, still play it. ESPN
47:12
Speaker 1: two at four pm. Memphis, who's now ranked twenty second
47:15
Speaker 1: in the country six and oh at UAB who has
47:19
Speaker 1: not one yet even in the American Conference. They have
47:21
Speaker 1: won two games and they haven't won in the American yet.
47:24
Speaker 1: This UAB team not good this year though. Memphis just
47:28
Speaker 1: cracked the rankings. So sometimes when a team is unranked
47:31
Speaker 1: all season and they just barely get into the rankings,
47:34
Speaker 1: you do kind of want to look to fade them
47:35
Speaker 1: because they're at kind of that peak value. And Memphis
47:39
Speaker 1: went into a bye last week on a roll. There
47:42
Speaker 1: were six and oh, I talk about this. When a
47:43
Speaker 1: team's undefeated and they go into a bye, that's not
47:47
Speaker 1: a good situation because they're not used to having their
47:50
Speaker 1: momentum stopped like that. It can definitely be a momentum stopper.
47:53
Speaker 1: So I think it's a bad spot for Memphis because
47:56
Speaker 1: they had the buye and into opportunity time when they're rolling,
47:59
Speaker 1: they'd blown out faun Tulsa going into that buy Now
48:04
Speaker 1: they get this road game against UA B and up
48:06
Speaker 1: next they got South Florida, who is ranked in the
48:09
Speaker 1: top twenty five right now. Again, that's a huge matchup.
48:12
Speaker 1: It's gonna be one of the biggest games on their
48:14
Speaker 1: slate Memphis. Probably it is their biggest game left, so
48:17
Speaker 1: I think it is sort of a sandwich spot really
48:20
Speaker 1: because they're coming out of a buy in an inopportunity time.
48:23
Speaker 1: They have a big look ahead next to their next game,
48:26
Speaker 1: so UAB looks like they should be the right side
48:29
Speaker 1: in this one. Man UAB coming off just an embarrassing
48:32
Speaker 1: performance really against Florida Atlantic. This UA B team is
48:35
Speaker 1: not good though. FAU was actually a five and a
48:39
Speaker 1: half point favorite in that one, but UAB lost really bad,
48:43
Speaker 1: the fifty three to thirty three. I don't know if
48:46
Speaker 1: there's anything to look at as far as the box score. Yeah,
48:49
Speaker 1: they did get pretty man handled in the game. FAU
48:51
Speaker 1: outgained them by over one hundred and fifty yards in
48:54
Speaker 1: the game, so it wasn't really a misleading result, but
48:57
Speaker 1: an ugly result nonetheless, And be at home against Memphis.
49:01
Speaker 1: It's gonna be one of their big remaining games. A
49:03
Speaker 1: UAB team that knows they're not really going anywhere probably
49:07
Speaker 1: this year. I mean, the remaining home games are pretty
49:09
Speaker 1: much all against really difficult opponents, so they're probably not
49:12
Speaker 1: gonna make a bowl this year. So the games on
49:14
Speaker 1: their schedule where this we're gonna they're gonna show up,
49:17
Speaker 1: or games like this or the ranked team coming in,
49:19
Speaker 1: and it's a bad spot for Memphis. So I would
49:21
Speaker 1: lean to UAB in that one. Not gonna make my card,
49:24
Speaker 1: but Memphis is public. You're getting a key number of
49:27
Speaker 1: twenty one and a half. It looks like you can
49:29
Speaker 1: find out there in UAB if you want to get
49:30
Speaker 1: it either twenty one and a half or twenty one.
49:33
Speaker 1: I mean, I would still lean that way. Eighty five
49:35
Speaker 1: percent of tickets on Memphis, they're very public, despite laying
49:38
Speaker 1: a huge amount of points, only fifty six percent of
49:40
Speaker 1: the cash on them though high total in the sixties,
49:43
Speaker 1: but it has dropped a bit from sixty four to
49:45
Speaker 1: sixty two and a half with money coming in on
49:47
Speaker 1: the under, so I mean I like to I tend
49:51
Speaker 1: to like to take points more with lows total games
49:53
Speaker 1: because they're more expected to be like Ugly in the
49:56
Speaker 1: points are worth more, which isn't really the case here.
49:58
Speaker 1: But the money is coming in on the under, so
50:00
Speaker 1: that's at least a decent sign there. I would still
50:02
Speaker 1: lean to taking the points with UAB, though in that
50:04
Speaker 1: one it's a bad spot that Memphis is in number eight.
50:08
Speaker 1: Oregon at Rutgers on the Big Ten network. Rutgers still
50:11
Speaker 1: has not won a Big Ten game yet. Oregon is
50:14
Speaker 1: still a very good team. I mean they took their
50:16
Speaker 1: first loss though last week to Indiana at home. I
50:20
Speaker 1: mean not great. I didn't as I mentioned, I leaned
50:23
Speaker 1: to Indiana in that game last week. Wasn't gonna be
50:25
Speaker 1: a play for me. But Indiana got the job done.
50:28
Speaker 1: And now that was a big game. Oregon's coming off
50:30
Speaker 1: two big games now, although they did have a buye
50:32
Speaker 1: in between them. But they went to Penn State beat
50:35
Speaker 1: them in double overtime, had a buy and then they
50:38
Speaker 1: lost Indiana. Both teams were coming out of buys last
50:40
Speaker 1: week in that one. But yeah, Oregon was a high
50:43
Speaker 1: profile game at home against Indiana. Took that first loss,
50:46
Speaker 1: And I talked about this when a team takes their
50:48
Speaker 1: first loss, especially in a high profile game like that.
50:51
Speaker 1: That was a fairly contested battle there. Oregon lost by ten,
50:55
Speaker 1: but the game was closer than that in the fourth quarter,
50:58
Speaker 1: and Oregon was the They were favorite in that game.
51:01
Speaker 1: So sometimes I argue, well, when a team loses as
51:03
Speaker 1: a favorite, they'll refocus and bounce back from that. But
51:06
Speaker 1: I don't think that's the case here, and it's such
51:07
Speaker 1: a high profile game. It was a close game, big battle,
51:11
Speaker 1: first loss of the season, so all those things can
51:14
Speaker 1: kind of hang that team over into the next game
51:15
Speaker 1: and they can kind of lose that game twice. But
51:18
Speaker 1: to make it worse, Oregon has to fly all the
51:20
Speaker 1: way to the East coast for this one, to New Jersey.
51:23
Speaker 1: And yeah, they've gone east ish a couple of times
51:26
Speaker 1: this year. The furthest east they went was Penn State,
51:29
Speaker 1: and they won both games at Northwestern and at Penn State.
51:32
Speaker 1: But if you want Rutgers here, you're obviously not asking
51:35
Speaker 1: Rutgers to win the game. You're only asking them to
51:37
Speaker 1: cover as a big underdog here. I think it's a
51:40
Speaker 1: bad spot. The Oregon had to go all the way
51:42
Speaker 1: out to the East coast. It's not an early start time,
51:44
Speaker 1: so that does help Oregon a little bit, but it's
51:47
Speaker 1: also a little bit of a trade off because you
51:50
Speaker 1: know Rutgers is gonna show up for a game. It's
51:52
Speaker 1: Oregon at home, and when the night games start coming
51:56
Speaker 1: into play, the crowd is more drunk at that time,
51:59
Speaker 1: so the home field advantage is actually sometimes greater in
52:02
Speaker 1: night games because the crowd is just so rowdy late
52:06
Speaker 1: in the games like that. So I do think it's
52:09
Speaker 1: not a very good spot for Oregon as far as
52:11
Speaker 1: Rutgers is concerned. They're actually they have a little bit
52:16
Speaker 1: of extra rest because they played last Friday, and everybody,
52:19
Speaker 1: well not everybody, but people did see that game on primetime,
52:22
Speaker 1: a Friday night game there, and they actually had a
52:24
Speaker 1: buy going into that game. So they're a little bit
52:26
Speaker 1: more somewhat more rested right now, having only played once
52:31
Speaker 1: since September twenty seventh, and I think Oregon has played
52:34
Speaker 1: twice since then now. But yeah, Rutgers does have that
52:36
Speaker 1: extra day off because they played on Friday, but it's
52:39
Speaker 1: a bit of an issue because they are also having
52:41
Speaker 1: to travel back to the East Coast from the Pacific Coast.
52:45
Speaker 1: So it doesn't it makes us about a little bit
52:46
Speaker 1: worse for Rutgers for that reason because they were out
52:48
Speaker 1: on the Pacific coast. But it was a primetime game
52:51
Speaker 1: that people watched, and Rutgers lost that game to Washington.
52:55
Speaker 1: Washington's a pretty good team though flying under the radar still,
52:58
Speaker 1: I think Washington did out gain them by almost one
53:01
Speaker 1: hundred yards. So it wasn't exactly a misleading final result.
53:05
Speaker 1: I mean, maybe a little bit. Just the fact that
53:07
Speaker 1: they won by nineteen Washington did maybe slightly misleading, but
53:11
Speaker 1: not a good performance from Rutgers. They're still looking for
53:13
Speaker 1: their first Big Ten win. I mean, they know they're
53:16
Speaker 1: pretty much not going anywhere, though. They could still potentially
53:18
Speaker 1: make a Bowl here, but they're gonna have to get
53:23
Speaker 1: one of these games against a better team probably if
53:25
Speaker 1: they're gonna make a bowl. I don't think they're gonna
53:27
Speaker 1: win this game, but I think they will at least
53:29
Speaker 1: show up for it. Coming in off some losses there,
53:34
Speaker 1: I think it's a worse spot for Oregon. I'll lean
53:36
Speaker 1: to Rutgers in this one. The line isn't as high
53:39
Speaker 1: as you would think. It is, up a little bit
53:41
Speaker 1: from fourteen and a half to seventeen and a half.
53:42
Speaker 1: Eighty three percent of tickets, only eighty two percent of
53:45
Speaker 1: the cash on Oregon, so they're very public Oregon as
53:48
Speaker 1: less of the money on them. Yeah, I would look
53:51
Speaker 1: to take the points with Rutgers, although it's a game
53:53
Speaker 1: of a fairly high total that's gone up through sixty
53:56
Speaker 1: up through sixty one, almost there so a little bit
53:59
Speaker 1: less tempt to take the points for that reason too,
54:01
Speaker 1: But that's the way I would lean Washington State at
54:05
Speaker 1: Virginia at six thirty on the c W with Virginia
54:09
Speaker 1: sitting in the rankings at number eighteen having a good season,
54:12
Speaker 1: Washington State not really. I think both of these teams
54:15
Speaker 1: are in bad spots. Though Washington State had that performance
54:20
Speaker 1: last week against Old MISSUS thirty whatever point underdwive in.
54:23
Speaker 1: Washington State hung in that game. Man, it only lost
54:26
Speaker 1: by three. And this is gonna be the third straight
54:28
Speaker 1: road game of though they did have a bye between
54:31
Speaker 1: Colorado State and Old miss But it's a difficult spot
54:33
Speaker 1: for Washington State. Man, I'm not used to playing out
54:36
Speaker 1: on the Eastern time zone. Coming off that big performance
54:39
Speaker 1: where they almost not almost beat really but they came
54:42
Speaker 1: within three of I think they backed they kind of
54:45
Speaker 1: not back door to but I think they kind of
54:46
Speaker 1: scored some of their points late in that game. But
54:49
Speaker 1: still a ridiculous performance from Washington and that Washington State
54:53
Speaker 1: in that game. So when a team does that, I
54:55
Speaker 1: usually think they're pretty hungover coming into the next game.
54:57
Speaker 1: So it's really not a good spot for Washington State.
55:00
Speaker 1: But I don't think the spot is very good for
55:03
Speaker 1: Virginia either. Virginia went into a bye, they had a
55:07
Speaker 1: bye last week, but they went into the buy and
55:09
Speaker 1: a good note. The buy might help maybe because they
55:12
Speaker 1: had back to back overtime games. They had that huge
55:15
Speaker 1: win in double overtime where I was on Virginia and
55:17
Speaker 1: that one against Florida State, massive win for them. Then
55:21
Speaker 1: they followed it up by pulling off a road upset
55:23
Speaker 1: at Louisville in overtime, which very unfortunate for me on
55:27
Speaker 1: this show because I gave out Louisville minus the points
55:30
Speaker 1: in that one in Louisville probably should have won the game,
55:33
Speaker 1: maybe even should have covered the game. Based on the statistics,
55:36
Speaker 1: Louisville outstat of Virginia quite a bit in that game,
55:39
Speaker 1: but it was still a big upset win Virginia. So
55:41
Speaker 1: they went into the buy in a very good note.
55:44
Speaker 1: So I don't think it's a good spot for Virginia. Man.
55:46
Speaker 1: They went into the buy. That can be a momentum
55:48
Speaker 1: stopper when you go into the buying a good note.
55:50
Speaker 1: Now they get this orphaned pack two team Washington State
55:53
Speaker 1: coming in, which isn't really gonna matter on their schedule.
55:56
Speaker 1: They resume ACC play next week against North Carolina. North
56:00
Speaker 1: Carolina is not good, but it is still Bill Belichick
56:02
Speaker 1: and it is still an ACC game. So this game
56:05
Speaker 1: doesn't mean as much for Virginia. So it's not a
56:07
Speaker 1: good spot for either team here. So I mean, what
56:10
Speaker 1: do you get when you get two teams that look
56:13
Speaker 1: like they might not show up? I mean, or well,
56:16
Speaker 1: Washington State might be tired and huntover. I think Washington
56:19
Speaker 1: State they'll try to show up because it's a ranked
56:21
Speaker 1: opponent that they're facing, whereas Virginia I think just might
56:24
Speaker 1: not show up. So it's like, how do you handicap
56:27
Speaker 1: that at all? Really, Like, as far as Washington State
56:30
Speaker 1: is concerned, because they's fatigued, I would think that would
56:33
Speaker 1: kind of affect their defense and make their defense worse.
56:36
Speaker 1: But with Virginia, I think that the fact that they
56:39
Speaker 1: might just overlook this game, I think that that can
56:41
Speaker 1: kind of affect both sides of the ball, offense and defense.
56:46
Speaker 1: So we will see. I mean, the total is getting
56:48
Speaker 1: a lot of traction on the under seventy five percent
56:50
Speaker 1: tickets on the over eighty five percent of catch on
56:52
Speaker 1: the under, it's a pretty strong market. Read on the under.
56:56
Speaker 1: I mean, I wouldn't really want to do it, but
56:59
Speaker 1: fifty six and a half is the total excuse me,
57:01
Speaker 1: down to fifty six and a half heavily juice to
57:03
Speaker 1: the under. Virginia is public set sixty seven percent of
57:06
Speaker 1: tickets on them, only fifty seven percent of the cash,
57:09
Speaker 1: and they've dropped a little bit from eighteen to seventeen
57:11
Speaker 1: and a half, so the money is actually coming in
57:13
Speaker 1: on the Washington State side there. Yeah, I mean it
57:16
Speaker 1: is definitely an overlook spot for Virginia, but I worry
57:18
Speaker 1: about Washington State's fatigue factor after such a huge performance
57:22
Speaker 1: last week, So I worry about that. The only ranked matchup, Wait,
57:26
Speaker 1: is it the only ranked matchup where I have a play?
57:29
Speaker 1: I don't know. It might be, but I'm gonna have
57:31
Speaker 1: a play in Texas and Kentucky. If you know how
57:34
Speaker 1: I handicapped, you might already know what it is. So
57:35
Speaker 1: I'm gonna wait on that ABC at seven thirty Tennessee
57:39
Speaker 1: and Alabama Big game here number eleven, Tennessee at number
57:44
Speaker 1: six Alabama both teams one loss on the season, although
57:49
Speaker 1: Tennessee's loss was in SEC played to Georgia. So I mean,
57:53
Speaker 1: people might look at that a little bit and see, oh, well,
57:55
Speaker 1: Tennessee lost to Georgia at home. Alabama actually beat george
58:00
Speaker 1: on the road, So that means Alabama is the better team. Well,
58:03
Speaker 1: yes they are. I mean the osbankers are telling you
58:05
Speaker 1: that Alabama is a better team. I don't know how
58:06
Speaker 1: much of that, like transitive handicapping the osmaker, I mean,
58:10
Speaker 1: the public is going to do in this one though.
58:12
Speaker 1: I think they see a big matchup like Tennessee against Alabama,
58:15
Speaker 1: they might actually have a tendency to take the points
58:18
Speaker 1: in a big matchup like this. Alabama, I mean, they're
58:21
Speaker 1: definitely legit. Tennessee is good as well. I think Alabama
58:24
Speaker 1: maybe still slightly under ranked Tennessee. I don't really know
58:27
Speaker 1: exactly as far as the situation is concerned here. Tennessee
58:32
Speaker 1: coming up that went over Arkansas last week, where Tennessee
58:35
Speaker 1: didn't play very well and they barely got by Arkansas
58:37
Speaker 1: as a big favorite. Like I said, I think Tennessee
58:39
Speaker 1: was in a bad spot. They'd gone into a buy
58:42
Speaker 1: that I think kind of stopped their momentum because they
58:44
Speaker 1: went into the buy on a multiple game win streak.
58:47
Speaker 1: They had this Alabama game up next, which I think
58:49
Speaker 1: they were probably looking ahead to. So Tennessee had a
58:52
Speaker 1: bad performance, so they should come, you know, with more
58:56
Speaker 1: focus in this game. But I think Alabama's going to
58:58
Speaker 1: be focused to Alabama. We went against them last week
59:01
Speaker 1: and I gave it out at either three or three
59:03
Speaker 1: and a half. I did say that you could wait
59:05
Speaker 1: on probably find the three and a half on Missouri
59:07
Speaker 1: last week, and it was there at a lot of
59:10
Speaker 1: books still on game day. So I wound up scoring
59:13
Speaker 1: that at three and a half for a winner on
59:16
Speaker 1: that one, which I won't do if the line, you know,
59:19
Speaker 1: doesn't show up again. But Alabama, Yeah, they had kind
59:24
Speaker 1: of a lackluster ish game as well there, and what
59:27
Speaker 1: I thought was a bad spot because Alabama was coming
59:30
Speaker 1: off beating Georgia and then getting revenge against Vandy for
59:33
Speaker 1: that high profile upset win the Vandy had against them
59:35
Speaker 1: last year. I think Alabama did have that game circled.
59:38
Speaker 1: They showed up, they won the game. The Missouri game
59:41
Speaker 1: I don't think meant as much, and they had this
59:43
Speaker 1: game against Tennessee up next, and this is also revenge
59:46
Speaker 1: for Alabama because Tennessee actually beat Alabama last year as well,
59:50
Speaker 1: So I think Alabama has this game circled too. I
59:53
Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up for it. Both teams are
59:55
Speaker 1: in focus spots here, coming off kind of lackluster performances.
59:58
Speaker 1: But I'm gonna lead to the better team when it's
1:00:00
Speaker 1: a situation like that, that is Alabama. They're down for
1:00:03
Speaker 1: May and a half to eight here. Fifty eight percent
1:00:05
Speaker 1: of ticket seventy six percent of cash on Alabama, So
1:00:09
Speaker 1: the money is saying to lay the points with Alabama.
1:00:12
Speaker 1: I agree. The total is not too low here. Both
1:00:16
Speaker 1: offenses are pretty good. I think Alabama is the better
1:00:18
Speaker 1: overall team though, the more balanced team. Even though yes,
1:00:22
Speaker 1: I know Alabama has a freshman quarterback here in Simpson.
1:00:26
Speaker 1: He's been good so he's played some high profile games
1:00:29
Speaker 1: already this season, so I don't think the pressure is
1:00:31
Speaker 1: gonna get to him or anything like that. He's already
1:00:34
Speaker 1: experienced in the revenge mode as well, because they were
1:00:37
Speaker 1: able to win and cover against Vandy two. So I'm
1:00:40
Speaker 1: gonna lean to Alabama here. And yeah, Alabama, out of
1:00:43
Speaker 1: the two teams, I think they have the better defense
1:00:45
Speaker 1: out of the two as well, whereas both teams I
1:00:47
Speaker 1: think have good offenses as well. So even though maybe
1:00:50
Speaker 1: Tennessee is the somewhat better offense, and normally I would
1:00:53
Speaker 1: I want to take the better defense getting points or
1:00:57
Speaker 1: rather than laying points with the better defense, which is
1:01:00
Speaker 1: the case here with Alabama. But in this case, Alabama
1:01:02
Speaker 1: I just think is the overall better team, so I
1:01:04
Speaker 1: would lay it there. And that's the thing I think
1:01:06
Speaker 1: I forgot to say with the Georgia game. Georgia in
1:01:09
Speaker 1: their game, it's old Miss is definitely the team with
1:01:11
Speaker 1: a better defense, and usually again I would want to
1:01:14
Speaker 1: take points with the better defense more often than not.
1:01:16
Speaker 1: But I would still lay it with Georgia in their game,
1:01:19
Speaker 1: and I would still lay it with Alabama in this one,
1:01:21
Speaker 1: because I just think it's kind of a ranking situation
1:01:26
Speaker 1: where it looks like it's gonna be a closer game
1:01:28
Speaker 1: than maybe it is, based on what the osmakers are
1:01:30
Speaker 1: telling you. So yeah, I'm leaning towards some favorites here,
1:01:33
Speaker 1: you know. I mean, I like to go contrarians, so
1:01:37
Speaker 1: it's gonna have me on a lot of underdogs, but
1:01:39
Speaker 1: not always. And I like another favorite here in USC
1:01:43
Speaker 1: and Notre Dame. Here, Notre Dame's laying a lot of
1:01:45
Speaker 1: points here, man, So the public's gonna look at this
1:01:47
Speaker 1: and probably think it's way too many points for Notre
1:01:50
Speaker 1: Dame to be laying, especially against the USC team that
1:01:52
Speaker 1: can score a lot. USC is ranked twentieth in the country.
1:01:56
Speaker 1: They have one loss, Notre Dame two losses, ranked thirteenth
1:02:00
Speaker 1: the country. I told you that everybody was kind of
1:02:03
Speaker 1: just overreacting to the fact that Notre Dame started owing two.
1:02:05
Speaker 1: I mean, we've seen Miami. Even though I know Miami
1:02:08
Speaker 1: lost tonight, thankfully we got it right with Louisville. Miami
1:02:12
Speaker 1: is still a really good team. At Texas, A and
1:02:14
Speaker 1: M also a really good team. And those are Notre
1:02:15
Speaker 1: Dame's losses. Yeah, I know they haven't played anybody as
1:02:18
Speaker 1: good as those teams since then. Their best win was
1:02:20
Speaker 1: at Arkansas, or well maybe not at Arkansas. They hosted
1:02:23
Speaker 1: Boise State and they won that game. That was probably
1:02:25
Speaker 1: a bigger game, a better win, but they demolished Arkansas.
1:02:29
Speaker 1: They pretty much had no problem with Boise State, and
1:02:31
Speaker 1: Notre Dames defense looks like they're finally showing up after
1:02:34
Speaker 1: their defense didn't look that good in a couple of
1:02:37
Speaker 1: those early games, especially giving up forty one to A
1:02:40
Speaker 1: and M and then thirty to Purdue, but it looks
1:02:41
Speaker 1: like maybe Notre Dame has kind of turned it around
1:02:44
Speaker 1: a little bit defensively, So I would still argue that
1:02:47
Speaker 1: Notre Dame probably does have the better defense here over USC.
1:02:50
Speaker 1: USC decent defensively kinda, but they're much more of an
1:02:54
Speaker 1: offensive team. USC is one of the top offenses in
1:02:56
Speaker 1: all of college football. Notre Dames offense has been fairly
1:03:00
Speaker 1: good as well. On Notre Dame, I mean, they're just
1:03:02
Speaker 1: kind of rolling along right now, though. I mean, their
1:03:04
Speaker 1: last game last week was an easy win over NC State.
1:03:07
Speaker 1: NC State not a good team, but Notre Dame took
1:03:10
Speaker 1: care of business, and they're coming off such an easy win.
1:03:13
Speaker 1: That means they're gonna be probably they're gonna have the
1:03:17
Speaker 1: ability to play better in this game just because well
1:03:20
Speaker 1: they're staying at home for three weeks in a row.
1:03:22
Speaker 1: But also that last game is just an easy effort game,
1:03:25
Speaker 1: so they're not coming off of like a grueling performance,
1:03:27
Speaker 1: so they won't be fatigued, is what I should say.
1:03:30
Speaker 1: And you know they're gonna be focused on this game
1:03:31
Speaker 1: against USC because Notre Dame not being in a conference,
1:03:34
Speaker 1: they're kind of like almost pseudo in the ACC. They
1:03:38
Speaker 1: play a lot of ACC teams. This is their biggest
1:03:40
Speaker 1: game left on the schedule, and it is also a
1:03:42
Speaker 1: rivalry game. But if Notre Dame is gonna want to
1:03:44
Speaker 1: try to get into the College Football Playoff or anything
1:03:47
Speaker 1: like that, they gotta beat USC. Because they don't really
1:03:51
Speaker 1: have much like they're gonna have to beat USC. They
1:03:53
Speaker 1: have to win this game, and they'll have to run
1:03:54
Speaker 1: the table, probably because they can't really afford another loss
1:03:57
Speaker 1: to any of these teams here, but they could still
1:04:00
Speaker 1: do it. Will they I don't know, but I do
1:04:03
Speaker 1: think they're gonna win this game. It's a big game.
1:04:05
Speaker 1: It's a big game for both teams. Yet it's the
1:04:07
Speaker 1: battle for the Golden challee. As I mentioned last week,
1:04:12
Speaker 1: you get a golden Irish walking stick if you win
1:04:15
Speaker 1: this game. I didn't really realize US was considered to
1:04:18
Speaker 1: be an Irish school, but I guess they are. I
1:04:20
Speaker 1: mean Notre Dame also has their Boston College rivalry with
1:04:23
Speaker 1: the two Irish Catholic schools. They are coming up next,
1:04:26
Speaker 1: so that's after a bybe and of course BC is
1:04:28
Speaker 1: so down this year. That's not a look ahead spot.
1:04:32
Speaker 1: Even though it is technically a rivalry this is the
1:04:36
Speaker 1: big one for Notre Dame. Man, so I think they're
1:04:38
Speaker 1: gonna show up. Notre Dame did lose their center, I believe,
1:04:42
Speaker 1: So that's one concern with Notre Dame. I don't know
1:04:45
Speaker 1: how that's gonna impact their offense. They still have a quarterback.
1:04:48
Speaker 1: It's not totally that experience in Car, so losing their
1:04:52
Speaker 1: you know, a key piece of their offensive line could
1:04:54
Speaker 1: hurt a little bit. So we'll see. But it's not
1:04:57
Speaker 1: gonna have me not leaning towards Notre Dame in this one.
1:05:00
Speaker 1: It's just maybe somewhat of a concern. But the spot
1:05:03
Speaker 1: for USC is not good Man USC. They had basically
1:05:07
Speaker 1: their legitimizing win last week because USC hadn't really I
1:05:10
Speaker 1: mean their biggest win before last week was against Michigan
1:05:14
Speaker 1: State basically, so they really hadn't played anybody, and then
1:05:18
Speaker 1: they lost a game where they were a road favorite
1:05:20
Speaker 1: at Illinois, which wasn't great. But USC is still putting
1:05:23
Speaker 1: up a ton of offense, and they had their biggest
1:05:25
Speaker 1: win man last week against Michigan, huge win ranked matchup
1:05:29
Speaker 1: like that against the team with such a big name
1:05:31
Speaker 1: like Michigan. It was a bad spot for Michigan I
1:05:33
Speaker 1: gave out USC as a lean last week. Maybe I
1:05:35
Speaker 1: should have elevated it to a play. I did like
1:05:37
Speaker 1: it quite a bit, but USC they got the job done.
1:05:41
Speaker 1: They beat Michigan, put up a lot of offense in
1:05:43
Speaker 1: the game. Very nice looking win. Yeah, I mean, I
1:05:47
Speaker 1: don't think there was anything really misleading about it necessarily either.
1:05:50
Speaker 1: I mean I looked at the box score, but I
1:05:52
Speaker 1: kind of forget. Yeah. USC pretty much dominated. They outgained
1:05:56
Speaker 1: Michigan by one hundred and seventy yards or whatever that is.
1:05:59
Speaker 1: So it was not a mislee eating final score on
1:06:01
Speaker 1: that one. So yeah, I mean, but USC, that was
1:06:04
Speaker 1: a huge win for them in Michigan. Having to go
1:06:06
Speaker 1: out to the Pacific Coast not exactly an easy spot
1:06:09
Speaker 1: for them. Now, USC has to go back out on
1:06:11
Speaker 1: the road, and they haven't exactly been great in doing that.
1:06:14
Speaker 1: It's they're still not totally used to it. I don't
1:06:16
Speaker 1: think in the Big Ten they only beat Purdue on
1:06:19
Speaker 1: the road thirty three to seventeen, and they lost at Illinois,
1:06:22
Speaker 1: and Notre Dame is a different animal. I mean, they're
1:06:24
Speaker 1: better than Purdue and Illinois obviously, so difficult smart for
1:06:29
Speaker 1: USC having to go to an environment, they're not really well,
1:06:31
Speaker 1: they're more used to going to Notre Dame. I guess
1:06:33
Speaker 1: because it's a I think it's a rivalry that happens
1:06:36
Speaker 1: every year, but it's they alternate venue. So this current
1:06:39
Speaker 1: iteration of USC, I don't think is really used to
1:06:42
Speaker 1: going there a bit of a difficult game. But for USC,
1:06:46
Speaker 1: it's interesting because this is an out of conference game
1:06:48
Speaker 1: because Notre Dame is an independent, so USC this is
1:06:51
Speaker 1: not going to affect their Big Ten record where they
1:06:54
Speaker 1: took that one Big Ten loss against Illinois. They gonna
1:06:57
Speaker 1: win the rest of their Big Ten games. Man, they
1:07:00
Speaker 1: don't really have to necessarily, I don't think worry that
1:07:03
Speaker 1: much about another like an out of conference loss. I
1:07:05
Speaker 1: don't think, because if they can make the Big Ten championship,
1:07:10
Speaker 1: they can still win that and get into the playoffs.
1:07:12
Speaker 1: So this game actually means a little bit less than
1:07:14
Speaker 1: the rest of their Big Ten slate kind of so
1:07:18
Speaker 1: I kind of like Notre Dame in this one. Even
1:07:21
Speaker 1: though they did lose their center. USC did lose their
1:07:23
Speaker 1: running back Jordan last week, but it looks like it
1:07:26
Speaker 1: didn't really affect them at all, as Miller came in
1:07:28
Speaker 1: and ran for one hundred and fifty eight, like it's
1:07:30
Speaker 1: a pretty good Michigan deep bench. So this USC offense
1:07:33
Speaker 1: is for real. Running backs tend to be plug and play,
1:07:35
Speaker 1: So the Notre Dame center injury is worse than USC's
1:07:38
Speaker 1: running back injury. But this is a situation where the
1:07:41
Speaker 1: public is coming in on USC. Man they're seeing this
1:07:44
Speaker 1: ranked matchup, they're seeing USC with a better record, and
1:07:47
Speaker 1: they're thinking this is way too many points here, and
1:07:49
Speaker 1: they're seeing the USC can score a lot. Publics still
1:07:52
Speaker 1: probably not really sold on Notre Dame just because some
1:07:55
Speaker 1: of their wins are just kind of more or they're
1:07:58
Speaker 1: less impressive. I guess I should say. So the public
1:08:01
Speaker 1: is thinking this is way too many points, So they're
1:08:03
Speaker 1: coming in on USC to the tune of seventy two
1:08:05
Speaker 1: percent of the tickets and only sixty percent of the cash.
1:08:08
Speaker 1: And you know, I talk about this. When you have
1:08:10
Speaker 1: a public road underdog like that and the spread is
1:08:15
Speaker 1: this big, you almost never see that the public coming
1:08:18
Speaker 1: in on a ten point underdog. Notre Name's up for
1:08:21
Speaker 1: May and a half to ten. Here, I would lay
1:08:24
Speaker 1: the points with Notre Dame even at ten. I think
1:08:26
Speaker 1: I would still lay it if I was gonna play
1:08:27
Speaker 1: this game, won't make my card. Might use Notre Dame
1:08:31
Speaker 1: and Survivor where they just have to win the game
1:08:33
Speaker 1: outright because they're unavailable I think on Slash Sports for
1:08:36
Speaker 1: the rest of the way, at least of the pool
1:08:38
Speaker 1: that I'm in is set up. I think you can't
1:08:40
Speaker 1: use them in the rest of their games for whatever reason.
1:08:44
Speaker 1: I think something about it being because they're not in
1:08:47
Speaker 1: a conference. Maybe, so I think you only get to
1:08:49
Speaker 1: play them when they're up against ranked teams. I don't
1:08:51
Speaker 1: know what the fuck the deal is, but I might
1:08:54
Speaker 1: do that, and yeah, I mean, we'll see. I'm probably
1:08:56
Speaker 1: gonna use them and maybe Cincinnati and hopefully that will
1:08:59
Speaker 1: get the job done for me this week. Teams that
1:09:02
Speaker 1: I don't really want to use in the future, and
1:09:03
Speaker 1: Notre Dame just because I can't use them in the future. Yeah. So, yeah,
1:09:09
Speaker 1: I don't think I really have much else to say
1:09:10
Speaker 1: about this. The total is high, up from sixty and
1:09:12
Speaker 1: a half to sixty one and a half, ninety percent
1:09:15
Speaker 1: tickets on the over eighty one percent of the cash
1:09:16
Speaker 1: on the over, so the money is somewhat saying to
1:09:20
Speaker 1: come in on the under in this one, but that
1:09:21
Speaker 1: seems dangerous to me. I mean, Notre Dames defense has
1:09:24
Speaker 1: started to play better. They are the better of these
1:09:26
Speaker 1: two depenses. USC is the better offense. Both offenses are
1:09:30
Speaker 1: the better units for the two teams though, so it
1:09:32
Speaker 1: kind of seems like more of an over type of game.
1:09:34
Speaker 1: But the public is all over the over. So yeah,
1:09:38
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not gonna I'm not gonna recommend doing that, certainly.
1:09:42
Speaker 1: I think if you're gonna play that game, I would
1:09:44
Speaker 1: lay the points at Notre Dame and at least with
1:09:47
Speaker 1: a higher total. It kind of makes sense to late
1:09:49
Speaker 1: points because it's easier for a team to cover a
1:09:52
Speaker 1: spread like that when the total is higher and they're
1:09:54
Speaker 1: gonna be more points scored in the game. Most likely.
1:09:57
Speaker 1: Florida Atlantic at South Florida. South Florida is up to
1:10:01
Speaker 1: nineteenth in the country again, which I think they're not
1:10:03
Speaker 1: really a top twenty five team. People saw kind of
1:10:07
Speaker 1: what they did because it was kind of the most
1:10:09
Speaker 1: high profile game last Friday or one of them where
1:10:11
Speaker 1: it was a high flying offensive game and South Florida
1:10:15
Speaker 1: put up sixty three points and beat North Texas on
1:10:19
Speaker 1: the road sixty three to thirty six. Just a ridiculous
1:10:21
Speaker 1: win for South Florida in that game. So I think
1:10:24
Speaker 1: the public's going to be back on the South Florida train.
1:10:27
Speaker 1: And maybe some of them watched that game because it
1:10:30
Speaker 1: was a high profile game on on Friday night primetime.
1:10:35
Speaker 1: There were not a lot of games being played. But
1:10:37
Speaker 1: I'm not sold on South Florida. I know they have
1:10:39
Speaker 1: those wins early in the season against Boising Florida. I
1:10:42
Speaker 1: went against the South Florida after that against Miami because
1:10:45
Speaker 1: the win over Florida was just so monumental and they
1:10:47
Speaker 1: got manhandled by Miami. And since then they I mean,
1:10:50
Speaker 1: their most impressive win is that in North Texas one
1:10:53
Speaker 1: since then, but people are just gonna love the fact
1:10:55
Speaker 1: they have this high flying offense. That was a big
1:10:57
Speaker 1: win in prime time, very satisfy win for South Florida
1:11:01
Speaker 1: against another pretty good team in North Texas who's pretty
1:11:04
Speaker 1: good in the same conference as they are. So that
1:11:07
Speaker 1: was a big win deal in North Texas. Their first
1:11:10
Speaker 1: loss to in North Texas was undefeated. Now they get
1:11:13
Speaker 1: this bad Florida Atlantic team and up next they get Memphis,
1:11:17
Speaker 1: as I pointed out a ranked Memphis seams. I think
1:11:19
Speaker 1: this is a sandwich spot that South Florida is in
1:11:21
Speaker 1: so I do not like it. Yeah, I think this
1:11:25
Speaker 1: game sandwiched in between the two is a much It's
1:11:30
Speaker 1: a much lesser game for them, Like they might just
1:11:33
Speaker 1: take Florida Atlanta pretty lightly. On the FAU, I mean,
1:11:36
Speaker 1: they can at least somewhat scoring in their offense. Definitely
1:11:39
Speaker 1: got back on track last week with fifty three points
1:11:41
Speaker 1: against UAB, so that's a decent sign. They got velt
1:11:44
Speaker 1: Camp at quarterback. As I keep mentioned, he's a pretty
1:11:46
Speaker 1: experienced quarterback, although the rushing attack hasn't been very good.
1:11:50
Speaker 1: But velt Camp is starting to get a go. I
1:11:52
Speaker 1: mean he's been getting to go. He's been fine, like
1:11:54
Speaker 1: most of the season where I don't know what I'm
1:11:55
Speaker 1: talking about. He's a decent quarterback though I think he
1:11:57
Speaker 1: was on Western Kentucky prior to being on FAU, which
1:12:03
Speaker 1: is really kind of a downgrade. Though the FAU has
1:12:05
Speaker 1: been a decent team in the last couple of years.
1:12:07
Speaker 1: But for their remaining schedule, this is a big game. Man.
1:12:10
Speaker 1: They get to face a ranked South Florida team here.
1:12:13
Speaker 1: This is close to being a play for me, man,
1:12:15
Speaker 1: I do like this one. I would fade South Florida
1:12:18
Speaker 1: they're very public, and they're up to twenty one. With juicy,
1:12:21
Speaker 1: you might even be able to get twenty one and
1:12:22
Speaker 1: a half. Here. Eighty one percent of tickets, only fifty
1:12:25
Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash on South Florida. It's an
1:12:27
Speaker 1: insanely high total, though, I mean, this is ridiculous. It's
1:12:31
Speaker 1: not from seventy two to seventy three. Oh, this is insane, man.
1:12:36
Speaker 1: I mean very rare that you see a total of
1:12:39
Speaker 1: that magnitude. I think we did see a couple that
1:12:41
Speaker 1: were even higher than that over the last several years.
1:12:44
Speaker 1: I think there was one that I remember, with like
1:12:46
Speaker 1: West Virginia and Baylor back in the day where both
1:12:48
Speaker 1: those offenses were crazy and the deepfenses are terrible. That
1:12:51
Speaker 1: might have even been in the high seventies. But this
1:12:54
Speaker 1: is still insane. Seventy eight percent of tickets on the over,
1:12:58
Speaker 1: only sixty four percent of the cash over. So the
1:13:01
Speaker 1: public looks like they're still coming in and playing it
1:13:03
Speaker 1: over at seventy three. I don't even buy that. I
1:13:06
Speaker 1: don't know what maniacal up like public better would want
1:13:09
Speaker 1: to lay an over seventy three, but it might happen.
1:13:13
Speaker 1: It's looking like it's gonna be a high scoring game,
1:13:15
Speaker 1: which is gonna kind of dissuade me a little bit
1:13:17
Speaker 1: for wanting to take the twenty one points here, but
1:13:20
Speaker 1: that is the way I would look eighty one percent
1:13:22
Speaker 1: to take is only fifty seven percent of the cash
1:13:23
Speaker 1: of South Florida. Again, it will be easier for them
1:13:27
Speaker 1: to cover a number like that if it's a very
1:13:29
Speaker 1: high scoring game. But I think it's a bad spot
1:13:31
Speaker 1: for South Florida. I'm gonna lean to FAU even though, Yeah,
1:13:34
Speaker 1: if you put up a lot of points last week too,
1:13:38
Speaker 1: so they are coming off that game, but I don't
1:13:39
Speaker 1: think they're gonna be a letdown spot or anything like that,
1:13:41
Speaker 1: and this is gonna be a big game for them. Uh,
1:13:44
Speaker 1: that's a seven thirty pm Easter on ESPNU. I forgot
1:13:47
Speaker 1: to measure the rest of these seven thirty pm is
1:13:49
Speaker 1: what USC and Notre Dame is as well on NBC
1:13:51
Speaker 1: and Peacock seven forty five pm Eastern. We've got a
1:13:56
Speaker 1: couple of ranked matchups left. I know I'm talking about
1:13:58
Speaker 1: all of them, but most of these are big games
1:14:01
Speaker 1: or games that I have opinions on. Number sixteen Missouri
1:14:05
Speaker 1: at unranked Auburn, Auburn owned three in the SEC. But
1:14:08
Speaker 1: Auburn has not had it easy. Man, Auburn, They've had
1:14:12
Speaker 1: a difficult schedule. I mean their three losses are to
1:14:15
Speaker 1: Oklahoma on the road, Texas A and M on the road,
1:14:17
Speaker 1: and then Georgia at home, where I think Auburn kind
1:14:20
Speaker 1: of got screwed in that game. We had Auburn plus
1:14:23
Speaker 1: the points. Don't want to keep reiterating that, but I
1:14:25
Speaker 1: think the refs screwed them in numerous ways in that game.
1:14:28
Speaker 1: But Auburn played competitively in all three of those games
1:14:31
Speaker 1: against very good teams. So this Auburn team is better
1:14:34
Speaker 1: than their record looks right now. Man, they're looking for
1:14:37
Speaker 1: their first SEC wins. Still, they got a ranked team
1:14:39
Speaker 1: coming in. I think they're gonna show up for this.
1:14:42
Speaker 1: I know it was a heartbreaking loss last week. That's
1:14:45
Speaker 1: basically the main reason why I'm not going to give
1:14:47
Speaker 1: it a play on Auburn is because they are coming
1:14:49
Speaker 1: off a tough game last week, which was a bit
1:14:52
Speaker 1: of a heartbreaker there because the refs kind of took
1:14:54
Speaker 1: it away from them. Was a big game for them
1:14:56
Speaker 1: against Georgia. They'll still try to show up for this
1:15:00
Speaker 1: game against Missouri, though, So I do think the spot
1:15:02
Speaker 1: is a little bit worse for Missouri. Missouri is, of
1:15:04
Speaker 1: course coming up that game where they almost could have
1:15:06
Speaker 1: beaten Alabama. Huge game for them, and that was their
1:15:09
Speaker 1: first SEC game. Yeah, oh no, it was their second.
1:15:13
Speaker 1: Excuse they beat South Carolina, my mistake. It was their
1:15:17
Speaker 1: first game against a really like strong team though, so
1:15:20
Speaker 1: we didn't really know how good Missouri was, although I
1:15:22
Speaker 1: liked them because the spot wasn't good for Alabama and
1:15:24
Speaker 1: that one and Missouri put up a nice fight and
1:15:26
Speaker 1: that one had chances to win the game. They did
1:15:29
Speaker 1: not win the game. And now they're coming off that
1:15:31
Speaker 1: big game, they got to go to this unranked Auburn
1:15:34
Speaker 1: team that doesn't have an SEC win. After that, they
1:15:36
Speaker 1: have ranked Vandy and then a bye and then ranked
1:15:38
Speaker 1: Texas A and M, so I think they might overlook
1:15:40
Speaker 1: Auburn here. It is a sandwich spot. It was also
1:15:43
Speaker 1: Missouri's first loss, and that can tend to hang you over.
1:15:46
Speaker 1: So in addition to it just being a hangover spot
1:15:48
Speaker 1: generally because it was a tough game against Alabama, that's
1:15:54
Speaker 1: gonna be a hangover just in and of itself, but
1:15:57
Speaker 1: it's also going to be a hangover spot because first
1:16:00
Speaker 1: loss of the season, and this is gonna be even
1:16:02
Speaker 1: more difficult because this laid into the season. This is
1:16:05
Speaker 1: their first road game. They've played at home this entire
1:16:09
Speaker 1: season so far until this point, which is just absolutely absurd,
1:16:12
Speaker 1: So that makes it even more difficult. They're not even
1:16:15
Speaker 1: used to traveling yet enough for the first time they
1:16:17
Speaker 1: have to do it this laid in to the season.
1:16:19
Speaker 1: That can be a bit disruptive too. And then, of
1:16:21
Speaker 1: course the line is gonna be really ridiculous here. The
1:16:26
Speaker 1: Missouri's flip from a two and a half dog to
1:16:28
Speaker 1: a two point favorite here for whatever reason, but it
1:16:31
Speaker 1: just looks way too easy to lay that with Missouri. Man,
1:16:34
Speaker 1: it's basically still a pick the winner price, so obviously
1:16:38
Speaker 1: I would not do that. The public is gonna come
1:16:40
Speaker 1: in oh ranked Missouri and their only loss is a
1:16:43
Speaker 1: close loss to Alabama Auburn three and three no wins
1:16:46
Speaker 1: in the SEC. It looks so easy, right, just playing
1:16:49
Speaker 1: Missouri to win the game. Fifty six percent of tickets,
1:16:51
Speaker 1: only fifty two percent of the cash on Missouri. If
1:16:54
Speaker 1: you do like taking the points here, you get some
1:16:56
Speaker 1: value in doing that with Auburn here because the total
1:16:59
Speaker 1: is really low, So It's one of those games where
1:17:02
Speaker 1: kind of misleading rankings. Missouri's way up in the rankings here,
1:17:05
Speaker 1: Auburn unranked, but Auburn definitely better than the record looks.
1:17:09
Speaker 1: Should I do it? I mean, this is this one
1:17:11
Speaker 1: is definitely close to a play for me. Man, ah Man,
1:17:18
Speaker 1: I think I'll stay off of it. But man, the
1:17:20
Speaker 1: thing that is almost putting it over the edge for
1:17:22
Speaker 1: me is that it's a the first road game for
1:17:25
Speaker 1: Missouri is what's kind of doing it for me, like
1:17:27
Speaker 1: making it very very close to being a play for me.
1:17:31
Speaker 1: So I definitely have a strong opinion on this one. Auburn,
1:17:34
Speaker 1: I will say that somewhat of a strong opinion on
1:17:38
Speaker 1: that FAU side still, but just I mean, I don't
1:17:40
Speaker 1: know about that. The fact that the total is so
1:17:45
Speaker 1: high in that one, money's coming in on the under
1:17:48
Speaker 1: in this Missouri Auburn game, dofter forty five to forty
1:17:50
Speaker 1: three and a half, seventy two tickets on the over,
1:17:53
Speaker 1: fifty four percent of the cash on the under. So
1:17:56
Speaker 1: looking like a low scoring game with a total down
1:17:58
Speaker 1: to forty three and a half means the points are
1:18:00
Speaker 1: worth more definitely lean to Auburn in that game at
1:18:05
Speaker 1: eight pm on Fox eight pm Eastern, Number twenty three
1:18:09
Speaker 1: Utah back in the rankings against number fifteen, undefeated BYU,
1:18:13
Speaker 1: Utah with one loss BYU, no losses. This is the
1:18:17
Speaker 1: Holy War. The rivalry has been renewed, I guess because
1:18:20
Speaker 1: these teams are both in the Big twelve now. It's
1:18:24
Speaker 1: a big matchup to Utah teams. They don't like each other.
1:18:28
Speaker 1: It was a big game last year. I think BYU
1:18:30
Speaker 1: won the game last year, and I think it was
1:18:33
Speaker 1: when you know, Utah was kind of in a spot
1:18:38
Speaker 1: where they were like dealing with other quarterback issues last year,
1:18:41
Speaker 1: didn't really know who their quarterback out was because the
1:18:45
Speaker 1: guy whose name I always forget kept getting injured there,
1:18:48
Speaker 1: Cam Rising, So they didn't really know who their quarterback
1:18:50
Speaker 1: was gonna be. And it was a dual man and
1:18:52
Speaker 1: BYU actually went into Utah and beat them twenty two
1:18:55
Speaker 1: to twenty one. So this is gonna be a revenge
1:18:57
Speaker 1: spot for Utah. Utah is gonna remember that, even though
1:19:00
Speaker 1: they have a new quarterback this year, Utah losing at
1:19:03
Speaker 1: home like that to BYU last year, you know, Utah
1:19:06
Speaker 1: is gonna want to show up and return the favor here.
1:19:08
Speaker 1: Man I know Utahs have a pretty satisfying win last
1:19:11
Speaker 1: week against Arizona State, but this is also a big
1:19:14
Speaker 1: game here, man, I think they're gonna show up for it.
1:19:18
Speaker 1: So even though yeah, it was a satisfying win last week,
1:19:21
Speaker 1: I kind of like Utah and in this one, BYU
1:19:24
Speaker 1: coming off a double overtime game last week at Arizona,
1:19:27
Speaker 1: which was a pretty big game for them, pretty big
1:19:29
Speaker 1: win for them. I know this is still a big
1:19:30
Speaker 1: game too against Utah. Beating Arizona was still a pretty
1:19:34
Speaker 1: good win. But BYU really has not been battle tested. Man.
1:19:38
Speaker 1: That game was their most difficult game, and I leaned
1:19:40
Speaker 1: to Arizona in that game, and Arizona wound up losing
1:19:42
Speaker 1: it in double overtime and not covering, of course, But
1:19:45
Speaker 1: besides that, who's by you even played their best win?
1:19:48
Speaker 1: Besides that is a three point win at Colorado, I guess,
1:19:52
Speaker 1: I mean, that's just ridiculous. So BYU they really have
1:19:55
Speaker 1: not played anybody yet Utah, I know they're the uh
1:20:00
Speaker 1: strongest opponent they faced was Texas Tech, and yeah, I
1:20:03
Speaker 1: know they lost that game, but hey, they won at
1:20:06
Speaker 1: UCLA where Penn State couldn't even win, So maybe that
1:20:09
Speaker 1: win isn't looking as uh useless as it was early
1:20:13
Speaker 1: in the season, and they did beat ranked Arizona State
1:20:15
Speaker 1: last week, so UTA still has faced some more difficult schedule.
1:20:18
Speaker 1: BYU is still coming off that tough overtime game, which
1:20:21
Speaker 1: usually also puts you in a fade spot. And you
1:20:25
Speaker 1: know the public is gonna see this and see, oh,
1:20:27
Speaker 1: BYU is the higher ranked team and undefeated, and we're
1:20:32
Speaker 1: getting points with them at home. It looks so easy
1:20:34
Speaker 1: to take BYU man right. Well, again, the odds bakers
1:20:37
Speaker 1: are telling you, no, the odds breakers are telling you
1:20:40
Speaker 1: that Utah is such the better team that they're actually
1:20:42
Speaker 1: a three to three and a half point road favorite here.
1:20:45
Speaker 1: So the oddspeakers are telling you something completely different than
1:20:47
Speaker 1: what the rankings makers are telling you. I agree with it.
1:20:50
Speaker 1: I would lay the points with Utah. I I was
1:20:52
Speaker 1: gonna play at fifty one percent tickets fifty nine percent
1:20:54
Speaker 1: of the cash on Utah up from three to three
1:20:57
Speaker 1: and a half. Of course, laying the three is a
1:20:59
Speaker 1: lot better than three and half. I would maybe still
1:21:02
Speaker 1: do it either way if I was gonna play the
1:21:04
Speaker 1: game at all. But maybe you can find Utah at
1:21:07
Speaker 1: a decent money line price. Or something. I don't know,
1:21:11
Speaker 1: but I'm gonna lean towards Utah in that game. Hopefully
1:21:14
Speaker 1: you can find the three and maybe if the public
1:21:17
Speaker 1: the public's just not that heavily on BYU in that
1:21:19
Speaker 1: one though, So I don't know if the public's gonna
1:21:20
Speaker 1: come in and influence the line, but maybe there are
1:21:23
Speaker 1: still threes out there for you with Utah there. Cincinnati
1:21:27
Speaker 1: against Oklahoma State on ESPN two at eight pm. Cincinnati
1:21:31
Speaker 1: up in the rankings now twenty four. I probably am
1:21:35
Speaker 1: gonna wind up using them in Survivor. I mean, at
1:21:37
Speaker 1: least they're a huge favorite, but at some point I'm
1:21:40
Speaker 1: gonna die and survive or. Man, I hope I don't
1:21:42
Speaker 1: because I want to win some money and I don't
1:21:45
Speaker 1: think I'm gonna win my money pick ems, which sounds
1:21:48
Speaker 1: ridiculous because my plays have been you know, all right,
1:21:52
Speaker 1: especially some of the ones that don't like. Some of
1:21:53
Speaker 1: my strong leans have been good too, and I'm using
1:21:56
Speaker 1: basically those the plays and the strong leans in my
1:21:59
Speaker 1: pick ems. But it's just you have to be so
1:22:02
Speaker 1: good to hit the money threshold. And some of those
1:22:04
Speaker 1: splash entries. I have two in college football and one
1:22:07
Speaker 1: in NFL and I think I'm not gonna make it,
1:22:10
Speaker 1: but we'll see. Cincinnati. They haven't lost since their opener
1:22:13
Speaker 1: against Nebraska. They've had some decent wins on the road
1:22:17
Speaker 1: at Kansas beat Iowa, stayed at home beat UCF last
1:22:21
Speaker 1: week in a kind of lackluster game. Really, you seef
1:22:24
Speaker 1: was able to kind of slow that game down Cincinnati
1:22:27
Speaker 1: really high flying offense, and UCF held them to twenty points.
1:22:32
Speaker 1: So Cincinnati, I mean, I don't know, I don't know
1:22:34
Speaker 1: what happened in that game, but you seef, maybe decent
1:22:37
Speaker 1: defensively at least a decent and slowing the game down
1:22:39
Speaker 1: there usually decent at running the football. Wasn't a great
1:22:43
Speaker 1: win for Cincinnati. Looked like kind of an ugly twenty
1:22:45
Speaker 1: to eleven win. But now they're going out on the
1:22:48
Speaker 1: road for only the second time this year, and they
1:22:50
Speaker 1: do have Baylor up next and then Utah in the Arizona.
1:22:52
Speaker 1: So it's not the greatest spot for Cincinnati, though I
1:22:56
Speaker 1: don't know if it's really like a terrible spot necessarily either.
1:22:59
Speaker 1: Oklahoma's date only as one win, of course, which they
1:23:03
Speaker 1: don't have any FBS wins. Their only win was their
1:23:06
Speaker 1: open or against FCSU team Martin. So they're playing so badly.
1:23:10
Speaker 1: They fired their coach, of course, and we took Oklahoma
1:23:12
Speaker 1: State plus the points against Baylor they were able to cover.
1:23:16
Speaker 1: But since then it's been pretty bad for them. They
1:23:18
Speaker 1: lost pretty badly at Arizona and against Houston. They get
1:23:22
Speaker 1: to host Cincinnati here. I mean, yeah, it's a game
1:23:24
Speaker 1: they'll get up for. I mean, do I think they're
1:23:26
Speaker 1: gonna win? No, I mean I do not. Cincinnati is
1:23:29
Speaker 1: all the way up from twenty and a half to
1:23:31
Speaker 1: twenty four here now seventy nine percent of tickets on
1:23:34
Speaker 1: the ninety percent of the cash, and those looks like
1:23:36
Speaker 1: the money's coming in on Cincinnati. Certainly, I would not
1:23:40
Speaker 1: want to lay that many points with Cincinnati in a
1:23:42
Speaker 1: spot where maybe they just kind of get in, get
1:23:44
Speaker 1: out take the game lightly, although I don't think the
1:23:46
Speaker 1: spot is horrific for them. But yeah, I mean, I
1:23:51
Speaker 1: would guess slightly lean to taking those points with Oklahoma State.
1:23:53
Speaker 1: But that's definitely not a strong opinion at all. All. Right,
1:23:57
Speaker 1: let's see if I have otherians here, Washington and Michigan.
1:24:02
Speaker 1: Surprisingly this is a non ranked game. Washington five and one,
1:24:06
Speaker 1: Michigan four and two and Michigan just dropped out of
1:24:08
Speaker 1: the rankings. I do think Michigan is probably a top
1:24:10
Speaker 1: twenty five team. Their defense is good. I think Washington
1:24:13
Speaker 1: actually is pretty close to being one as well. This
1:24:16
Speaker 1: Washington team is not bad. I mean they're one step
1:24:19
Speaker 1: up game. They did lose at home to Ohio State,
1:24:21
Speaker 1: but that's obviously an acceptable loss. They're going out on
1:24:26
Speaker 1: the road to Michigan, though, which is not an environment
1:24:28
Speaker 1: that used to playing because Washington is new to the
1:24:31
Speaker 1: Big Ten. They struggled a bit in their other road
1:24:34
Speaker 1: game in the Big Ten at Maryland, didn't really do
1:24:36
Speaker 1: that well in that when they beat Rutgers last week
1:24:38
Speaker 1: at home. And now there's zig zagging around. Man. They
1:24:41
Speaker 1: had to fly to Maryland short week, they had to
1:24:43
Speaker 1: come back home face Rutgers. Thought Rutgers might cover that
1:24:47
Speaker 1: one and wound up not being able to cover. And
1:24:49
Speaker 1: then Washington now has to go out to Michigan. Kind
1:24:52
Speaker 1: of an unfamiliar environment here, man, for all, Washington have
1:24:55
Speaker 1: to go out there. Washington's been good and their offense
1:24:58
Speaker 1: has been pretty balanced passing and rushing with Williams Junior
1:25:02
Speaker 1: their quarterback actually a dual threat too. But Michigan's defense
1:25:06
Speaker 1: may be able to slow them down. Michigan is coming
1:25:09
Speaker 1: off that difficult loss to USC, but I don't know, man,
1:25:13
Speaker 1: do we consider that to be an embarrassing loss. I
1:25:15
Speaker 1: don't know that was a step up game for them though,
1:25:16
Speaker 1: So I don't necessarily love the Michigan side here either.
1:25:19
Speaker 1: But they are coming back home and they I know
1:25:22
Speaker 1: they have Michigan State up next, which is usually a rivalry,
1:25:25
Speaker 1: but Michigan State is so bad right now that I
1:25:27
Speaker 1: don't really know if that's gonna distract Michigan at all.
1:25:31
Speaker 1: The money is saying Washington in this one, but I'm
1:25:34
Speaker 1: not sure I agree with that. Michigan down from six
1:25:36
Speaker 1: and a half to four and a half here, fifty
1:25:37
Speaker 1: three percent of take it, sixty one percent of the
1:25:39
Speaker 1: cash coming in on Washington. It's the money has driven
1:25:42
Speaker 1: the line down. It is coming in on Washington. You
1:25:46
Speaker 1: force me to lean, Maybe I will just slightly lean
1:25:48
Speaker 1: with the market read there, because Michigan is coming off
1:25:50
Speaker 1: that bigger game against USC. It was a game where
1:25:53
Speaker 1: they stepped up emotionally for it, at least in Washington
1:25:55
Speaker 1: had a bit more of a lackluster game against Rutgers
1:25:59
Speaker 1: Washington does have an extra day of rest after that
1:26:01
Speaker 1: at least, but unfamiliar environment going to Michigan, so I'm
1:26:05
Speaker 1: gonna leave that game alone. I'm not gonna want to
1:26:07
Speaker 1: play that game Arizona at Houston. I'm gonna hit some
1:26:11
Speaker 1: of these other big conference games. Hopefully this doesn't take
1:26:14
Speaker 1: too long, but as it always does, and nobody's even
1:26:16
Speaker 1: watching me. Now we're gonna go to two thirty in
1:26:18
Speaker 1: the morning again, and I'm almost out of col brew
1:26:23
Speaker 1: here and I haven't started brewing anymore, which I don't
1:26:25
Speaker 1: know if I'm going to because coldbroop season is kind
1:26:27
Speaker 1: of over now. It's getting cool outside. Finally feels like fall,
1:26:30
Speaker 1: which I like. I like this weather, the fall weather man, SOB,
1:26:35
Speaker 1: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out. Did you take Louisville? Hell? Yeah,
1:26:39
Speaker 1: you took Mariners Ah the Lightning. Lightning and Blackhawks both
1:26:44
Speaker 1: lost in ot that is yeah, that's brutal. Yeah, the
1:26:48
Speaker 1: Blackhawks had the two oh lead. I thought I was
1:26:49
Speaker 1: gonna get both of my plays today, right. That all sucks.
1:26:53
Speaker 1: That's why I don't parlay though, Well I don't know
1:26:55
Speaker 1: are you parleying, Sob? Or you making them straight up? Places,
1:26:58
Speaker 1: because if you if you all four of those straight up,
1:27:01
Speaker 1: and you had Louisville with a little bit of action
1:27:04
Speaker 1: on the money line there, and you play, you know,
1:27:07
Speaker 1: that underdog to win, maybe you wound up with a
1:27:09
Speaker 1: slight win today, although I don't know, because you might
1:27:11
Speaker 1: have laid a price on Tampa though, so I don't know.
1:27:15
Speaker 1: I don't know if that wound up being a win
1:27:17
Speaker 1: or a loss for you on that two and too,
1:27:18
Speaker 1: but it would have probably been at least close to
1:27:20
Speaker 1: an even break even Arizona against Houston here, Arizona's coming
1:27:25
Speaker 1: off difficult game. Man Like I said, they had a
1:27:28
Speaker 1: chance to beat ranked BYU at home, went into two
1:27:30
Speaker 1: overtimes and lost, and now they have to go out
1:27:34
Speaker 1: on the road to Houston. Not a great spot in
1:27:37
Speaker 1: my opinion here. It's only their second road game of
1:27:40
Speaker 1: the season two and the last time they went out
1:27:41
Speaker 1: on the road they got blown out by Iowa Stage,
1:27:44
Speaker 1: who I don't think is as good as the rankings suggested.
1:27:46
Speaker 1: So Arizona's not been good on the road so far.
1:27:49
Speaker 1: They haven't done it a lot this year. They're coming
1:27:51
Speaker 1: out of a DOUBLET kind of barn burner against BYU,
1:27:55
Speaker 1: so I do not love the spot here for them.
1:27:59
Speaker 1: Houston coming on an easy win at Oklahoma State, which
1:28:03
Speaker 1: was that was one of my Survivor picks last week.
1:28:06
Speaker 1: Much better spot for Houston here, in my opinion, I
1:28:08
Speaker 1: think they will get up for a game like this
1:28:10
Speaker 1: against Arizona. Houston probably is a team with the better defense. Interestingly,
1:28:15
Speaker 1: the money's coming out in Arizona though, and I just
1:28:17
Speaker 1: don't agree with it. Arizona's flipped from two and a
1:28:20
Speaker 1: half to one, from plus two and a half to
1:28:23
Speaker 1: minus one. Excuse me, fifty eight percent ticket seventy seven
1:28:25
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Arizona. So the money has
1:28:28
Speaker 1: flipped the favorite and it is coming out in Arizona.
1:28:31
Speaker 1: And yeah, I don't agree with it. I would take
1:28:33
Speaker 1: the one point or whatever with Houston, or play Houston
1:28:35
Speaker 1: on the money line or whatever. If I was gonna
1:28:37
Speaker 1: play that one straight up ninety five percent of the time.
1:28:40
Speaker 1: Hell yeah, man, you're a grinder. I like it. Baylor
1:28:45
Speaker 1: at TCU, Man, we're gonna hit a lot of these
1:28:48
Speaker 1: games here, man, this one just because it's a Texas
1:28:52
Speaker 1: matchup here. Baylor's coming up a pretty pretty decent win
1:28:56
Speaker 1: over Kansas State and went into a buye after that,
1:29:00
Speaker 1: so they went into a buy and a good note
1:29:01
Speaker 1: winning two games in a row. So that buy I
1:29:03
Speaker 1: think comes at a disadvantageous time because when you go
1:29:06
Speaker 1: into a buy and a good note, again, what do
1:29:08
Speaker 1: you have to fix? Don't have a whole lot to fix.
1:29:11
Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna look ahead to Cincinnati though,
1:29:13
Speaker 1: even though Cincinnati is ranked. TCU is still a pretty
1:29:16
Speaker 1: solid team. It's still a big conference game. It's still
1:29:18
Speaker 1: a big interstate kind of rivalry game. So I don't
1:29:21
Speaker 1: think they're gonna overlook TCU. But that buy might have
1:29:25
Speaker 1: been a bit a bit of a momentum stopper for Baylor.
1:29:29
Speaker 1: TCU coming into this game, they just lost to Kansas
1:29:32
Speaker 1: State on the road last week, so I think the
1:29:34
Speaker 1: public's gonna look at this and maybe think, oh, well,
1:29:37
Speaker 1: Baylor beat Kansas State and now TCU lost to Kansas State,
1:29:41
Speaker 1: so of course Baylor is gonna win this game, right,
1:29:44
Speaker 1: I don't know. I think Baylor that by might kind
1:29:46
Speaker 1: of hurt their momentum a little bit. TCU coming into
1:29:50
Speaker 1: this one, they didn't have last week off. They had
1:29:52
Speaker 1: kind of a bad game against Kansas State last week.
1:29:55
Speaker 1: I know, TCU is a one dimensional offense, so they
1:29:58
Speaker 1: just throw the football. Baylor's a little bit more balanced,
1:30:02
Speaker 1: but I will lean to TCU, even though Baylor does
1:30:04
Speaker 1: have the the bye. I think that buye came in
1:30:08
Speaker 1: a bad time for them, and I still think the
1:30:10
Speaker 1: transitive you know, handicappers or the transitive you know public
1:30:13
Speaker 1: when they look at this game, they're still gonna say, hey,
1:30:16
Speaker 1: you know, because TCU lost to Kansas State and Baylor
1:30:22
Speaker 1: beat Kansas State, they're gonna want to look to take
1:30:26
Speaker 1: the points with Baylor here and Baylor kind of the
1:30:29
Speaker 1: bigger name here as well. I would lean to TCU.
1:30:31
Speaker 1: They're down to three from three and a half. Fifty
1:30:33
Speaker 1: five percent. Takes fifty seven percent of the cash on TCUs.
1:30:36
Speaker 1: If you do like them, you get a little bit
1:30:37
Speaker 1: better of the key number there at least Washington nine
1:30:42
Speaker 1: am body clock star time. That's true. Yeah, that is
1:30:46
Speaker 1: a good point. You're laying Michigan minus five and a
1:30:49
Speaker 1: half Kentucky. I'm gonna talk about the Kentucky game. I
1:30:54
Speaker 1: already mentioned is going to be one of my plays,
1:30:56
Speaker 1: so you probably know what it is. At that point.
1:30:59
Speaker 1: Becau as we think alike, well, that's a good point
1:31:02
Speaker 1: about the body clock, and yet Washington I mentioned that
1:31:04
Speaker 1: it's a weird travel spot for them as far as
1:31:06
Speaker 1: like it's an unfamiliar venue. I know they've had a
1:31:08
Speaker 1: lot of travel this year. Yeah, because these stupid conference relignments.
1:31:12
Speaker 1: I mean, it's just bad, man. It kind of wrecks
1:31:15
Speaker 1: those teams. But I don't know, I mean, it surprises
1:31:18
Speaker 1: me kind of that the money's coming in to Washington.
1:31:20
Speaker 1: But I don't want to lay the points with Michigan.
1:31:22
Speaker 1: Michigan's traveling back from the Pacific coast too, off a
1:31:25
Speaker 1: big game at USC, So I just I don't know,
1:31:28
Speaker 1: I don't want to do that one. But hopefully hopefully
1:31:32
Speaker 1: you get the win on that one man, because I'll
1:31:37
Speaker 1: you know, it doesn't matter to me when it's just
1:31:40
Speaker 1: a small opinion, right, So so hopefully you get the
1:31:43
Speaker 1: win on that one man. I'd rather even though I
1:31:45
Speaker 1: want to be right about everything, but it'll be better
1:31:49
Speaker 1: if if you make money that makes me happier than
1:31:52
Speaker 1: than me having a small opinion being correct. So well,
1:31:56
Speaker 1: we'll hopefully you win that win that one man. Let
1:32:01
Speaker 1: me say, Army in Tulane somewhat of an interesting game.
1:32:06
Speaker 1: Tulane coming off that game against ECU where Tulane barely
1:32:11
Speaker 1: cover the spread. There they have extra time off because
1:32:14
Speaker 1: that was on Thursday. I think it's more of an
1:32:16
Speaker 1: interesting spot for Army though, because Army. Oh wait, this
1:32:19
Speaker 1: wasn't the game I was gonna talk about. I was
1:32:21
Speaker 1: gonna talk about Navy. I don't know, I was gonna
1:32:24
Speaker 1: talk about one of the one of the service academies
1:32:28
Speaker 1: that's not Army, been out whatever, I'm already talking about it.
1:32:30
Speaker 1: Army shorter week coming up an easier game over Charlotte,
1:32:33
Speaker 1: but they do have a look ahead, maybe an air
1:32:34
Speaker 1: force here. I don't know. I didn't really want to
1:32:38
Speaker 1: talk about this game because I don't have a strong
1:32:39
Speaker 1: opinion on it. But the public is coming out on Tulane.
1:32:42
Speaker 1: I mean, they're a five and one team right now
1:32:44
Speaker 1: with a mensa there wait, no mensa went from them
1:32:48
Speaker 1: to Duke right, who do they know? Tulane has retslaugh now,
1:32:51
Speaker 1: the guy who got kicked out of by U for
1:32:54
Speaker 1: having sex. So Tulane they got a stud quarterback. Man
1:32:57
Speaker 1: that dude focks you know that he does eighty two
1:33:01
Speaker 1: percent of tickets. It's confirmed, eighty two percent of tickets
1:33:03
Speaker 1: only eighty percent of the cash of Tulane here, though,
1:33:06
Speaker 1: down from minus ten and a half to minus nine
1:33:08
Speaker 1: and a half. Looks like the money's coming out on
1:33:10
Speaker 1: an Army. The only thing I will say is that Tulane.
1:33:13
Speaker 1: It is revenge for Tulane, I believe, because I believe
1:33:17
Speaker 1: Army pulled off the upset against them in what was
1:33:22
Speaker 1: the conference Oh no, that was yeah, it was right here,
1:33:25
Speaker 1: the conference championship game, I'm pretty sure, or is the
1:33:27
Speaker 1: last game of the season. I forget what it was.
1:33:30
Speaker 1: I think it was the conference championship though, because I remember,
1:33:33
Speaker 1: I'm pretty sure I had Tulane in that game and
1:33:35
Speaker 1: they just let me down completely in that game. And
1:33:38
Speaker 1: I think their quarterback maybe got hurt too, I don't remember,
1:33:40
Speaker 1: but it was a big game and Army beat Tulane.
1:33:43
Speaker 1: So I think it is going to be revenge for
1:33:45
Speaker 1: Tulane in this one. So that is something to consider here.
1:33:49
Speaker 1: But the money is fading Tulane, and I'm not quite
1:33:53
Speaker 1: so sure although it is a pretty strong market read
1:33:55
Speaker 1: and fading the public with Army here. Maybe I guess
1:33:58
Speaker 1: you could argue that maybe Tulane just doesn't defend the
1:34:01
Speaker 1: triple option well and they haven't seen it yet this year,
1:34:04
Speaker 1: so I don't know if that's something to keep in
1:34:07
Speaker 1: mind that that's a weird game. Man. What else do
1:34:10
Speaker 1: we want to talk about before I switch over some
1:34:14
Speaker 1: of these bigger conference games we want to skip. I'm
1:34:16
Speaker 1: still gonna have some plays Troy at Yo Monroell talking about,
1:34:19
Speaker 1: just because it is kind of a lean here. I'm
1:34:23
Speaker 1: gonna go to over two hours in this one too.
1:34:25
Speaker 1: Troy's coming off back to back overtime games, man, and
1:34:28
Speaker 1: they've pulled off three straight upsets too. They went on
1:34:32
Speaker 1: the road to Buffalo, they pulled off an upset in
1:34:34
Speaker 1: this one and six and a half point underdogs when
1:34:35
Speaker 1: the game went off. Then they played South Alabama into
1:34:40
Speaker 1: overtime and pulled off a small upset in this one
1:34:42
Speaker 1: at home and against the South Alabama team it's kind
1:34:45
Speaker 1: of struggling this year. Troy was still a two and
1:34:47
Speaker 1: a half point dog in that game even though South
1:34:49
Speaker 1: Alabama very bad record, and Troy pulled off the overtime
1:34:53
Speaker 1: win there. And then last week they went to Texas
1:34:55
Speaker 1: State and they were losing this game by a ton,
1:35:00
Speaker 1: losing this game thirty one to fourteen, although it was
1:35:04
Speaker 1: only in the second quarter, high scoring game. But Texas
1:35:07
Speaker 1: State was a big favorite in this one. They were
1:35:09
Speaker 1: well seven and a half. They opened a ten and
1:35:11
Speaker 1: a half. If they were down to seven and a half, still,
1:35:13
Speaker 1: Texas State pretty solid team, and Troy overperformed somehow again
1:35:18
Speaker 1: and they wound up winning this game in overtime. Again
1:35:22
Speaker 1: just crazy. And if you look at this game, Texas
1:35:24
Speaker 1: State outgained Troy by over one hundred yards, almost one
1:35:28
Speaker 1: hundred and twenty yards. So it's not like Troy was
1:35:31
Speaker 1: even good in that game. And Troy usually kind of
1:35:33
Speaker 1: had like recently has kind of played better defense. That
1:35:37
Speaker 1: was not the case. Texas State put up five hundred
1:35:39
Speaker 1: and seventy four yards of offense and Troy somehow was
1:35:41
Speaker 1: able to still beat them. A lot of it was
1:35:44
Speaker 1: that Texas State had a ton of penalties ten penalties
1:35:47
Speaker 1: in the game. That certainly didn't help. So Troy's coming
1:35:50
Speaker 1: off that ridiculous performance. They're coming off a bunch of
1:35:52
Speaker 1: big games like that, and now they got to face
1:35:56
Speaker 1: U All Monroe, who's not really a team that's gonna
1:35:58
Speaker 1: draw your focus. So they don't really have a look
1:36:00
Speaker 1: at spot because Louisiana hasn't really been that good either.
1:36:03
Speaker 1: But ul Monroe they're a bad team, even though they're
1:36:06
Speaker 1: three and three, which is a mediocre record, but still
1:36:09
Speaker 1: might not be a team that you really look at
1:36:11
Speaker 1: because they their wins are all kind of non impressive
1:36:16
Speaker 1: against an FCS Saint Francis team. They beat UTEP and
1:36:19
Speaker 1: we know it is a pretty ugly team, and then
1:36:21
Speaker 1: they beat Arkansas State, which Arkansas stayed very unimpressive as well,
1:36:28
Speaker 1: So I don't know what to think about that really,
1:36:31
Speaker 1: but yeah, I mean ul Monroe, Troy's probably gonna overlook
1:36:34
Speaker 1: them a little bit. You All Monroe's coming off another
1:36:36
Speaker 1: ugly game last yek They lost to a bad Coastal
1:36:39
Speaker 1: Carolina team on the road, but it was a second
1:36:41
Speaker 1: straight road game and they played four road games over
1:36:45
Speaker 1: a span of five games, though they did have a
1:36:47
Speaker 1: couple of buys mixed in there, I think. But I
1:36:49
Speaker 1: think it's a better spot for you all Monroe here
1:36:51
Speaker 1: to bounce back here. So that's the way I would
1:36:53
Speaker 1: lean in this one. Not strong. I don't think it's
1:36:56
Speaker 1: as strong as the plays that I'm gonna have because
1:36:58
Speaker 1: my play is also my players are basically like we're
1:37:01
Speaker 1: fading a team in a bad spot and also taking
1:37:03
Speaker 1: a team that I think is in a good spot
1:37:05
Speaker 1: more so. But yeah, I think it's a bad spot
1:37:08
Speaker 1: for Troy. Somehow the public is taking Joa Monroe to
1:37:11
Speaker 1: the two and seventy one percent. But I don't know
1:37:13
Speaker 1: if I would really say it necessarily a public side,
1:37:15
Speaker 1: because in a game like this, the public's not going
1:37:17
Speaker 1: to really be playing a Troy Yua Monroe game at all.
1:37:20
Speaker 1: So I think even some of those tickets I think
1:37:23
Speaker 1: are just professional tickets in this case. So it's something
1:37:26
Speaker 1: you've got to be aware of. It's why you got
1:37:28
Speaker 1: to look at the discrepancy, where have seventy one percent
1:37:30
Speaker 1: of tickets but been eighty seven percent of the cash
1:37:32
Speaker 1: is telling you that probably a lot of those tickets
1:37:34
Speaker 1: are actually professional tickets, and the majority of those professional
1:37:37
Speaker 1: tickets are Yoel Monroe in that one. So with all
1:37:41
Speaker 1: these bigger games on tap, I don't think the public
1:37:43
Speaker 1: is really getting involved in this game. So it's so
1:37:47
Speaker 1: jo Monroe isn't exactly like a public side Troy laying
1:37:50
Speaker 1: five and a half on the road there. I would
1:37:52
Speaker 1: take the points with Joa Monroe if I was going
1:37:54
Speaker 1: to play that one. What else do we want here
1:37:58
Speaker 1: SMU and Clemson crazy to think about this as a
1:38:01
Speaker 1: non non ranked matchup here. Clemson, yeah, they've followen, but
1:38:07
Speaker 1: they've been pretty good since they had a buye. They
1:38:10
Speaker 1: bounced back and they slaughtered North Carolina on the road,
1:38:12
Speaker 1: and then they stomped BC in a game where I
1:38:15
Speaker 1: thought it was kind of a bad spot for Clemson.
1:38:17
Speaker 1: I thought they might just kind of overlook BC. They
1:38:21
Speaker 1: beat them really bad, they forty one to ten. Now
1:38:24
Speaker 1: they're coming into this game against SMU. I think it
1:38:27
Speaker 1: might be a big game for both teams, but it
1:38:28
Speaker 1: might be bigger for SMU, I believe right, because this
1:38:33
Speaker 1: is gonna be a revenge game because it's a rematch
1:38:35
Speaker 1: of the yeah, rematch of the ACC title game last year,
1:38:39
Speaker 1: and Clemson won that game in a close game, winning
1:38:43
Speaker 1: by three. So SMU is gonna have this game circled,
1:38:47
Speaker 1: maybe more so than Clemson. Does I mean Clemson at
1:38:49
Speaker 1: this point, I don't know, man, I mean, do we
1:38:52
Speaker 1: think they can make the playoff at all? Is a
1:38:54
Speaker 1: two lost team? Can they make the ACC Championship? I
1:38:57
Speaker 1: don't know. They've started playing better, so they do a momentum.
1:39:00
Speaker 1: They do have a buy after this will they get
1:39:02
Speaker 1: up for SMU, maybe because it is still that rematch.
1:39:06
Speaker 1: SMU is still, you know, a pretty decent team. They
1:39:09
Speaker 1: still have the same quarterback from last year, Jenkins. They're
1:39:12
Speaker 1: at four and two right now, which isn't terrible. Obviously,
1:39:14
Speaker 1: they got some momentum too with two pretty much blowout
1:39:18
Speaker 1: wins against Syracuse and Stanford, although both in home. And
1:39:22
Speaker 1: SMU has not been as good on the road. I mean,
1:39:24
Speaker 1: they had that kind of lackluster game against Missouri State
1:39:27
Speaker 1: where we got the cover with Missouri State and that
1:39:29
Speaker 1: one is twenty eight point hunderdogs. I think SMU only
1:39:32
Speaker 1: scored twenty eight points and they did lose at TCU,
1:39:36
Speaker 1: so they haven't exactly been great on the road. I
1:39:38
Speaker 1: do think they're gonna have this game circle though, because
1:39:41
Speaker 1: it is the revenge spot. But the money's coming in
1:39:44
Speaker 1: on Clemson. But here's the problem with this game. So yes,
1:39:47
Speaker 1: I think revenge is a huge factor for SMU. They
1:39:50
Speaker 1: only have fifty two percent of tickets on them, but
1:39:52
Speaker 1: Clemson has sixty one percent of the cash and I
1:39:54
Speaker 1: think part of the reason for that is it's an
1:39:56
Speaker 1: injured player theory spot. I forgot to mention this, but
1:39:59
Speaker 1: it's kind of obvious now that Clemson is down from
1:40:01
Speaker 1: ten and a half to five, you were gonna be
1:40:03
Speaker 1: able to take ten and a half on SMU, but
1:40:04
Speaker 1: now it's down to five. I would not want to
1:40:07
Speaker 1: look towards SMU now that it's down to five because
1:40:10
Speaker 1: club Nick is hurt for Clemson. He hurt his leg
1:40:13
Speaker 1: late in that game I think against BC, and this
1:40:15
Speaker 1: line would indicate that he's probably not playing in this game.
1:40:18
Speaker 1: So that means it's an injured player spot for Clemson.
1:40:21
Speaker 1: So Clemson might actually show up for a game like
1:40:23
Speaker 1: that where they know their quarterbacks hurt, so they're gonna
1:40:25
Speaker 1: show up with more intensity in a game like this
1:40:28
Speaker 1: for that reason. So the cash percentage maybe actually is
1:40:32
Speaker 1: getting this one right. So maybe that kind of sways
1:40:35
Speaker 1: you in the direction of Clemson in that one a
1:40:37
Speaker 1: little bit. I don't love it though, Charlotte plus the points,
1:40:43
Speaker 1: I actually agree with that one. I agree with Georgia
1:40:45
Speaker 1: as well. No, I mean, I mean I would fade UNLV.
1:40:51
Speaker 1: I'll talk about that game. I hate UNLV, dude, I
1:40:54
Speaker 1: absolutely hate them. They're not good. They're not gonna win
1:40:57
Speaker 1: against Boise. Boise is definitely the better team. And it's
1:41:03
Speaker 1: kind of misleading. We'll talk about that game. I think
1:41:07
Speaker 1: Air Force was gonna be the game I was gonna
1:41:08
Speaker 1: talk about in the service academies. Here I'm talking about
1:41:11
Speaker 1: way too many games, of course, but we'll get there. Yeah.
1:41:15
Speaker 1: So air Force is coming up back to back barn
1:41:17
Speaker 1: burners on the road against Navy, which is a big game,
1:41:20
Speaker 1: of course because that's one of the rivalry games between
1:41:24
Speaker 1: the the armed forces. And then they had that huge
1:41:27
Speaker 1: game last week against UNLV that landed fifty one eight.
1:41:31
Speaker 1: Air Force almost able to pull off an upset as
1:41:34
Speaker 1: big underdogs of both those games. Now they're coming off
1:41:37
Speaker 1: those two huge games and they got to play Wyoming
1:41:40
Speaker 1: and up next they got an Army, although it's after
1:41:42
Speaker 1: a bye, so that kind of negates the look ahead
1:41:45
Speaker 1: just a little bit, the fact they have a bye
1:41:47
Speaker 1: after this and then they play Army. But of course
1:41:49
Speaker 1: Army is another the other one of the Armed forces
1:41:52
Speaker 1: games to them, so that is a bigger game. So
1:41:55
Speaker 1: this is a bad spot for air Force man almost
1:41:58
Speaker 1: pulling off those upsets. They do have a good offense,
1:42:01
Speaker 1: their defense is bad. Their offense they can actually throw
1:42:03
Speaker 1: the ball a little bit. They're certainly running the ball
1:42:05
Speaker 1: all over the place, Wyoming. I mean, I worry about
1:42:09
Speaker 1: Wyoming a little bit just because they haven't faced a
1:42:11
Speaker 1: triple option yet this year. I know they do it
1:42:14
Speaker 1: every year basically, but are they gonna be ready for it?
1:42:16
Speaker 1: I don't know. Wyoming's coming off a decent win over
1:42:18
Speaker 1: San Jose State, but it wasn't like a monster win
1:42:21
Speaker 1: or anything like that. So I'm gonna look, I'm gonna
1:42:25
Speaker 1: lead to Wyoming in this game. I think it's a
1:42:27
Speaker 1: pretty bad spot for air Force here. The money is
1:42:29
Speaker 1: agreeing on that one sixty nine percent tickets only fifty
1:42:32
Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash on air Force. They're down
1:42:34
Speaker 1: from six to four and a half here as well,
1:42:36
Speaker 1: as the line has moved on that. Try to get
1:42:38
Speaker 1: the four and a half of you confined it with
1:42:41
Speaker 1: Wyoming not gonna be a play for me. The spot
1:42:45
Speaker 1: for Wyoming, you know, doesn't necessarily seem positive, but it's
1:42:49
Speaker 1: a bad spot for air Force for sure. So yeah,
1:42:55
Speaker 1: their offense is great, Yeah, but that's what the public
1:42:57
Speaker 1: is gonna think that Wyoming can't keep up with Air
1:42:59
Speaker 1: Forces offense. Wyoming. I mean, they're kind of they kind
1:43:02
Speaker 1: of ugly up the game, man, So I don't know.
1:43:05
Speaker 1: I mean, it is just a really bad spot for
1:43:07
Speaker 1: air Force, So I don't know. I mean, yeah, I
1:43:10
Speaker 1: mean I guess. I mean, I agree with you that
1:43:11
Speaker 1: is a concern, but that alone, I mean it's not
1:43:14
Speaker 1: I mean, some of it is a concern enough that
1:43:17
Speaker 1: I'm not giving it out as a play. Let's put
1:43:19
Speaker 1: it that way. But if I was gonna play it,
1:43:21
Speaker 1: I would play Wyoming. I don't think it's like that's
1:43:24
Speaker 1: one of the ones that's closer to making my card.
1:43:26
Speaker 1: I would say the Wyoming side there. I mean, I
1:43:29
Speaker 1: was considering it fairly strong, and I think it's sort
1:43:32
Speaker 1: of a sandwich spot for air Force in that one.
1:43:35
Speaker 1: And of course the public is going to, you know,
1:43:38
Speaker 1: basically say air Force has the better offense of Wyoming
1:43:42
Speaker 1: is not gonna be able to keep up. That's why
1:43:44
Speaker 1: the public's gonna be on air Force. There. UNLV and
1:43:47
Speaker 1: Boise State, this is basically the de facto Mountain West
1:43:53
Speaker 1: Championship game. Basically, if you think either one of these
1:43:55
Speaker 1: teams is gonna run the table after this, which I'm
1:43:59
Speaker 1: not sure, man, I think Boise State is the better
1:44:01
Speaker 1: team and they have the better shot to do that
1:44:03
Speaker 1: than UNLV does. But this is gonna be revenge for UNLV,
1:44:08
Speaker 1: of course, because UNLV lost the Mountain West Championship to
1:44:11
Speaker 1: Bois last year. They lost both games to Boise last year.
1:44:16
Speaker 1: So yes, that is a concern if you do want
1:44:18
Speaker 1: to lay the points with Boise here. I think I
1:44:20
Speaker 1: still would if I was gonna play the game. I'm
1:44:23
Speaker 1: not gonna give it out as a play, but you
1:44:24
Speaker 1: got UNLV a is a huge public underdog. Here. By huge,
1:44:29
Speaker 1: I mean they're getting a lot of points, fifty eight
1:44:31
Speaker 1: percent of tickets, only fifty one percent of the cash
1:44:33
Speaker 1: on UNLV, So the public is all over UNLV as
1:44:36
Speaker 1: an underdogs. They see UNLV's undefeated still and they're getting
1:44:39
Speaker 1: a shit ton of points. Boise four and two right now,
1:44:44
Speaker 1: but Boise's laying a ton of points. So the oswigers
1:44:46
Speaker 1: are telling you what you need to know. They're telling
1:44:48
Speaker 1: you the Boise is way better than UNLV throughout from
1:44:51
Speaker 1: ten and a half to thirteen a though, of course,
1:44:52
Speaker 1: in the Mountain West Championship last year, Boise was only
1:44:55
Speaker 1: like a four and a half point favorite, although the
1:44:57
Speaker 1: teams are different personnel wise this year. But that does that.
1:45:00
Speaker 1: Maybe maybe the lines I don't know, maybe a little
1:45:03
Speaker 1: bit too high at this point on Boise, As I said,
1:45:06
Speaker 1: as the number dropped for Louisville tonight between thirteen and
1:45:10
Speaker 1: ten and a half, there's not that much of a
1:45:12
Speaker 1: difference between thirteen and ten and a half. So I mean,
1:45:14
Speaker 1: if you forced me to, I would still lean to
1:45:17
Speaker 1: laying the points with Boise, although I think the under
1:45:20
Speaker 1: is actually worth a look in this game, which I
1:45:22
Speaker 1: mentioned on my show either yesterday or two days ago,
1:45:26
Speaker 1: I had mentioned the total in this game. The public's
1:45:30
Speaker 1: gonna be on the over in this one because these
1:45:31
Speaker 1: teams had barn burners in their last game Boise forty
1:45:35
Speaker 1: one points against New Mexico last week. Orthough, we know
1:45:37
Speaker 1: New Mexico not a good team, but Boise putting up
1:45:40
Speaker 1: some offense UNLV fifty one points in that game that
1:45:43
Speaker 1: I just mentioned against air Force absolutely ridiculous. So public's
1:45:47
Speaker 1: gonna go over in this one, and I don't think so.
1:45:50
Speaker 1: Fifty nine percent of tickets are on the over, ninety
1:45:52
Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on the under. The total
1:45:54
Speaker 1: dropped a little bit from sixty three to sixty two,
1:45:58
Speaker 1: not a significant of really those sixty three I mean,
1:46:02
Speaker 1: I don't know, if six, when you get into the sixties,
1:46:04
Speaker 1: I kind of forget what the the key numbers really are.
1:46:08
Speaker 1: But yeah, I would lean to the under in this game,
1:46:10
Speaker 1: maybe even more strongly than Boise laying the points, although
1:46:13
Speaker 1: I would lean to Bois laying the points too still
1:46:15
Speaker 1: because it's one of those really misleading spreads there. But
1:46:19
Speaker 1: I think Boise they're gonna try to slow the game
1:46:21
Speaker 1: down here, man, That's what they do against UNLV. Boise
1:46:25
Speaker 1: plays better defense too, so I mean, there are much
1:46:28
Speaker 1: much better defense than you know air Force. Air Force
1:46:32
Speaker 1: has basically no defense UNLV. Coming off of that game
1:46:35
Speaker 1: against air Force, they're gonna have to step way up
1:46:37
Speaker 1: in class to face Boise State here. And UNLV they're
1:46:41
Speaker 1: the run rebels. They do still run the football too,
1:46:44
Speaker 1: so I think they're gonna try to be running the
1:46:45
Speaker 1: football as well here. So I think an under is
1:46:48
Speaker 1: potentially worth a look in that game. Undefeated teams catching
1:46:53
Speaker 1: way too many points. Yeah, that is a It's a
1:46:55
Speaker 1: spot that pros look for for sure, yep. I mean, yeah,
1:46:59
Speaker 1: I agree with that obviously. I think you weren't here
1:47:02
Speaker 1: when I talked about the old Miss Georgia game. It's
1:47:04
Speaker 1: not a play for me. But I do agree with
1:47:06
Speaker 1: laying the points with Georgia on that one too. Texas
1:47:10
Speaker 1: Tech that one. Were you here when I talked about
1:47:14
Speaker 1: that one. That's just a it's a quarterback situation I
1:47:18
Speaker 1: just don't want to get involved in because Texas Tech
1:47:20
Speaker 1: looks like they might be in an injured player theory
1:47:22
Speaker 1: spot and Arizona State's going to be in a reverse
1:47:25
Speaker 1: injured player spot with their quarterback coming back. I don't
1:47:29
Speaker 1: disagree with you on the lean with Arizona State, even
1:47:32
Speaker 1: despite the contrasting injured player theory spots going on there.
1:47:36
Speaker 1: But I don't love it. I mean, I'm staying away
1:47:38
Speaker 1: from that one. But that's just you know, I mean,
1:47:42
Speaker 1: it's the way that I look By the way, I
1:47:43
Speaker 1: forgot to mention, I think I said app State was
1:47:45
Speaker 1: one of my pick six or pick sevens last week.
1:47:49
Speaker 1: I meant to say George Well, no, I said Georgia's State,
1:47:53
Speaker 1: but I meant to say app State. I got it
1:47:55
Speaker 1: right when I handicapped the game last week. It was
1:47:57
Speaker 1: a really bad spot for Georgia State last week. So
1:47:59
Speaker 1: I threw app State in my pick six, pick seven
1:48:03
Speaker 1: whatever the pick seven I think, which was the one
1:48:05
Speaker 1: that I needed an extra pick, so that gave me
1:48:07
Speaker 1: a win on that one, because that was one of
1:48:09
Speaker 1: the ones that almost made my car last week. But
1:48:11
Speaker 1: I misspoke afterwards and said Georgia State, I met app
1:48:15
Speaker 1: State against Georgia State, Old Dominion and James Madison for you,
1:48:19
Speaker 1: sob here, this is man, I mean, this is a
1:48:23
Speaker 1: big game, this is a conference matchup here. It's a
1:48:28
Speaker 1: close line. The money is saying James Madison as they're
1:48:31
Speaker 1: up from two to two and a half of fifty
1:48:32
Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on them, but fifty nine
1:48:35
Speaker 1: percent of tickets on Old Dominion or ODU as you have.
1:48:40
Speaker 1: Virginians are telling me, oh, we got to call them
1:48:42
Speaker 1: ODU and JMU is what they is what they call
1:48:45
Speaker 1: them in the state of Virginia. ODU is certainly coming
1:48:49
Speaker 1: off an embarrassing performance, man. So I'm I'm guessing that's
1:48:55
Speaker 1: why you like ODU here, because that was just embarrassing.
1:48:58
Speaker 1: They went to Marshall and they lost forty eight to
1:49:00
Speaker 1: twenty four to this Marshall team that's really not very
1:49:04
Speaker 1: good and basically had to start over this season after
1:49:06
Speaker 1: they all left to go to Southern miss Probably Old
1:49:10
Speaker 1: Old probably Old Dominion was looking ahead to James Madison
1:49:14
Speaker 1: here because this is such a big game. So that
1:49:18
Speaker 1: kind of explains why they had a really lackluster performance.
1:49:20
Speaker 1: If you dig into this box score, it was lackluster.
1:49:24
Speaker 1: They did. They got out game, but only by six yards.
1:49:26
Speaker 1: But the reason why they lost so bad there was
1:49:29
Speaker 1: five turnovers in the game, So you know that that
1:49:32
Speaker 1: means they were just not focused, and you know that
1:49:34
Speaker 1: they're gonna be like drilling this week to fix that shit,
1:49:38
Speaker 1: because that's fixable, those turnovers like that, I think they
1:49:41
Speaker 1: got caught looking ahead. It was a very very bad,
1:49:44
Speaker 1: unfocused performance from them, where they looked worse than they
1:49:47
Speaker 1: actually are. But JMU didn't exactly play well last week
1:49:51
Speaker 1: either man. They only beat Louisiana in a spot where
1:49:54
Speaker 1: I liked JAMU in that game. My only hesitation was
1:49:57
Speaker 1: I thought they might look ahead to Old Dominion in
1:50:00
Speaker 1: this one because JMU was coming off a really lackluster
1:50:03
Speaker 1: game the previous game against Georgia State and Louisiana I
1:50:06
Speaker 1: think was coming off some sort of Barnburner type of
1:50:09
Speaker 1: game or something against Marshall maybe even I don't even know,
1:50:12
Speaker 1: but I thought it was a spot where James Madison
1:50:15
Speaker 1: was gonna like blow them out and they didn't do it.
1:50:19
Speaker 1: So it was kind of another bad game for James
1:50:22
Speaker 1: Madison where maybe they were looking ahead and I think
1:50:25
Speaker 1: they were kind of unfocused. They were an eighteen and
1:50:26
Speaker 1: a half pay favorite. They didn't cover. It was a
1:50:29
Speaker 1: bad game. They actually blew out Louisiana on the stat
1:50:34
Speaker 1: sheet four hundred and seventy seven to two eighty eight yards,
1:50:37
Speaker 1: so they almost outgained them by two hundred yards. Still
1:50:40
Speaker 1: only won the game by ten because they had three
1:50:42
Speaker 1: turnovers and they had a shit ton of penalties ten
1:50:46
Speaker 1: penalties in the game. They out first down Louisiana twenty
1:50:50
Speaker 1: one to eleven, and they dominated the possession by thirteen
1:50:53
Speaker 1: minutes too, So that game JMU played a lot better
1:50:58
Speaker 1: than it looked in that game. So I could kind
1:51:00
Speaker 1: of see almost the same argument for both teams in
1:51:02
Speaker 1: this game, where both teams, I think we're just unfocused
1:51:05
Speaker 1: last week and now you know they're both going to
1:51:07
Speaker 1: be focused here. So Odu's coach, who's their coach right now?
1:51:13
Speaker 1: I don't even know he's good as an underdog. This
1:51:18
Speaker 1: one is a tough read for me. Man. I know
1:51:20
Speaker 1: Odu is coming off the more embarrassing game last week.
1:51:23
Speaker 1: But both of these teams are going to show up.
1:51:25
Speaker 1: This is a big conference game, it's a game between
1:51:27
Speaker 1: two teams that are in the same state. I'm going
1:51:31
Speaker 1: to default to the market read right now and lean
1:51:33
Speaker 1: to JMU, but it's not a strong opinion, so hopefully
1:51:37
Speaker 1: you get it right. I mean, it is a low
1:51:39
Speaker 1: total here, expecting probably a lot of rushing in this game.
1:51:43
Speaker 1: These both teams I think played pretty decent defense and
1:51:45
Speaker 1: like to run the football. Sixty five percent of tickets
1:51:48
Speaker 1: on the over, only fifty of the cash on the over,
1:51:51
Speaker 1: and the total at forty seven and a half. Possible
1:51:54
Speaker 1: look towards an und during that game as well, because
1:51:58
Speaker 1: I think it's going to be a playoff type atmosphere
1:52:00
Speaker 1: in that game, to be honest, or something of the
1:52:03
Speaker 1: of the sort. So yeah, I mean, you might get
1:52:06
Speaker 1: it right. I would slightly lean the other way in
1:52:08
Speaker 1: that one, but I will root for your bet to
1:52:10
Speaker 1: win in that one. And then on the other side
1:52:14
Speaker 1: of thinks Texas State coming off a terrible performance, like
1:52:16
Speaker 1: we said against Troy, We're gonna hit a lot of games. Man.
1:52:19
Speaker 1: We're just talking about all these opinions. Here they were
1:52:22
Speaker 1: a favorite and they lost that game to Troy. Just
1:52:24
Speaker 1: an ugly game. Man. Now they're going on the road
1:52:27
Speaker 1: to Marshall. Yet it could be maybe a look ahead
1:52:29
Speaker 1: to jam you coming up next, which is gonna be
1:52:32
Speaker 1: in one of these off week games. I think it's
1:52:35
Speaker 1: in ten days, so it's you know, they have extra
1:52:37
Speaker 1: time to prepare for that. So will that be a
1:52:40
Speaker 1: look ahead spot to jam You, I don't know. I mean,
1:52:42
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be angry about that Troy loss
1:52:44
Speaker 1: and want of bounce back here. Whereas Marshall, they're in
1:52:48
Speaker 1: a bad spot because they pulled off that up set
1:52:50
Speaker 1: over Odu, very misleading up set where Odu turned it
1:52:54
Speaker 1: over five times in the game and Marshall came away
1:52:57
Speaker 1: looking way better than they actually are. So I'd be
1:53:00
Speaker 1: kind of basking in that. So this is kind of
1:53:01
Speaker 1: one of those spots I do tend to look for
1:53:03
Speaker 1: where you have the better team in Texas State is
1:53:06
Speaker 1: coming off a very bad performance and Marshall coming off
1:53:10
Speaker 1: of performance, so they look way too good. Texas State
1:53:12
Speaker 1: losing is a favorite, Marshall winning as an underdog, Yet
1:53:17
Speaker 1: for some reason, the money's coming in on Marshall, and
1:53:20
Speaker 1: I don't understand it. I would lean to Texas State
1:53:22
Speaker 1: in this game. Fifty percent of tickets on them, they
1:53:24
Speaker 1: drop from three and a half to two and a
1:53:26
Speaker 1: half or maybe three, I guess, so if you like
1:53:28
Speaker 1: Texas State, you're getting a little bit of a better
1:53:30
Speaker 1: number on that fifty three percent of tickets coming in
1:53:32
Speaker 1: on Marshall, I don't agree. The market might shift by
1:53:36
Speaker 1: the time the game starts, but I would go to
1:53:39
Speaker 1: I would go Texas State in that game. LSU Vandy
1:53:44
Speaker 1: under I could see that. I mean, both teams play
1:53:48
Speaker 1: pretty decent defense. Although I kind of lean to Vandy
1:53:51
Speaker 1: in the game that I think if you like Vandy,
1:53:53
Speaker 1: it's kind of correlated towards an over because Vandy is
1:53:57
Speaker 1: more of the offense and ls using more of the defense.
1:54:00
Speaker 1: But both defenses are actually decent and it could be
1:54:02
Speaker 1: kind of a playoff atmosphere. I agree with you on Charlotte,
1:54:06
Speaker 1: which is gonna be a fade of Temple. Temple had
1:54:11
Speaker 1: two pretty big games in a row here coming out
1:54:13
Speaker 1: of their by I mean they had a couple of
1:54:15
Speaker 1: big games going into the Bible. They kind of got
1:54:17
Speaker 1: blown out by Oklahoma and Georgia Tech. But coming out
1:54:20
Speaker 1: of that by they beat UTSA as a six and
1:54:23
Speaker 1: a half point home underdogs. They pulled off an upset there,
1:54:26
Speaker 1: and then they almost pulled off an upset last week
1:54:28
Speaker 1: against Navy in a high scoring barn burner of a
1:54:33
Speaker 1: game where they lost on a late touchdown. Navy was
1:54:35
Speaker 1: able to beat them and get the two point conversion
1:54:39
Speaker 1: going for the win right there rather than going into overtime.
1:54:42
Speaker 1: Navy is still undefeated and Temple almost pulled off the upset.
1:54:45
Speaker 1: It's ten and a half point underdogs, so it's gonna
1:54:48
Speaker 1: be a hangover spot for them coming out of that game. Man.
1:54:51
Speaker 1: And they haven't been good on the road so far really,
1:54:53
Speaker 1: although they won at you Mass, You Mass is terrible
1:54:57
Speaker 1: and they got not blown out at Georgia Tech by
1:55:02
Speaker 1: a decent margin. So yeah, I mean, going on the
1:55:04
Speaker 1: road difficult spot. I just don't know how much I
1:55:06
Speaker 1: could trust Charlotte. I mean this Charlotte team. It seems
1:55:09
Speaker 1: like every time the professionals are coming in on Charlotte,
1:55:11
Speaker 1: which has been multiple times this year, they just do
1:55:14
Speaker 1: real bad. So I don't know, but they're coming off
1:55:16
Speaker 1: of another bad game. It looks like they haven't figured
1:55:19
Speaker 1: out who the hell their quarterback is. They've had three
1:55:21
Speaker 1: different quarterbacks this year, so I don't love that, because
1:55:24
Speaker 1: when a team has three different quarterbacks, that means they
1:55:27
Speaker 1: don't have a quarterback. If a team has multiple quarterbacks
1:55:30
Speaker 1: at all, it means they don't have one. So I
1:55:33
Speaker 1: don't know if I can quite get there. I agree
1:55:35
Speaker 1: this is a bad spot for Temple though, Charlotte coming
1:55:38
Speaker 1: off only scoring seven points last week against Army that's
1:55:41
Speaker 1: pretty ugly as well, returning home off back to back
1:55:45
Speaker 1: road losses. So at least they get to come back
1:55:47
Speaker 1: home here. But Charlotte has not beaten an FBS team now.
1:55:50
Speaker 1: Their only win was barely a win against FCS Modmouth
1:55:54
Speaker 1: by seven. I just don't know if I can trust it.
1:55:57
Speaker 1: I agree with you on it though, Temple up from
1:55:59
Speaker 1: ten and a half to eleven. Eighty five percent of
1:56:01
Speaker 1: tickets only eighty three percent of the cash on Temple,
1:56:04
Speaker 1: so the money is agreeing with you as well. Saying
1:56:06
Speaker 1: to take the points with Charlotte, Yeah, I mean I
1:56:10
Speaker 1: don't disagree. So yeah, that's what I'll say about that one.
1:56:15
Speaker 1: I guess, man, so many fucking games to talk about.
1:56:17
Speaker 1: I mean, we're already at two hours. I haven't talked
1:56:18
Speaker 1: about my plays yet. Isn't that just great? Charlotte at
1:56:22
Speaker 1: Kentucky On the money line, Yeah, I mean, I recommend
1:56:25
Speaker 1: putting when it's when it's a spread of double digits,
1:56:30
Speaker 1: I recommend ninety seven percent of the bet on the
1:56:33
Speaker 1: spread and three percent on the money line. Is typically
1:56:36
Speaker 1: what I do when it's in that like ten to
1:56:40
Speaker 1: fifteen range. That's kind of what I do. UTSA In
1:56:44
Speaker 1: North Texas. I'll talk about an interesting game. North Texas
1:56:47
Speaker 1: had their first loss of the season, a step up
1:56:50
Speaker 1: game in primetime, and they just got I don't know,
1:56:53
Speaker 1: crushed by seuth Floor and it wasn't really that misleading either.
1:56:57
Speaker 1: A lot of yarders, a lot of points in that game.
1:57:00
Speaker 1: Some times, that is the type of game that will
1:57:01
Speaker 1: hang you over. Man. It's a game you get up
1:57:02
Speaker 1: emotionally for a primetime big game against South Florida and
1:57:07
Speaker 1: you lose. That game could be potentially a spot where
1:57:10
Speaker 1: in North Texas maybe will lose the game twice or
1:57:12
Speaker 1: at least not play that well against a UTSA team
1:57:15
Speaker 1: that's three and three. But I think they're actually not
1:57:17
Speaker 1: that bad. They got what Evan McCown. I think is
1:57:21
Speaker 1: his name Owen McCown. Sorry I got that wrong. Evan Owens,
1:57:24
Speaker 1: same thing. He's a he's one of the McCown's sons,
1:57:28
Speaker 1: one of the NFL mccowns, Josh McCown's son. Maybe I don't.
1:57:31
Speaker 1: I forget. There are too many mccowns. I don't know
1:57:34
Speaker 1: which is which. But UTSA they're not really quite as bad.
1:57:37
Speaker 1: I don't think as there three and three record looks.
1:57:39
Speaker 1: They lost to Texas A and m Texas State. Those
1:57:42
Speaker 1: are decent teams, and then they're only really kind of bad.
1:57:44
Speaker 1: Loss was that one I mentioned at Temple, which was
1:57:47
Speaker 1: kind of a close loss. I mean, I can't really
1:57:49
Speaker 1: explain that one. But they're coming off righting the ship
1:57:52
Speaker 1: after that with a blowout win of Rice last week.
1:57:55
Speaker 1: Rice sucks, but that was a nice win for them
1:57:57
Speaker 1: to kind of right the ship. So I think that's
1:57:59
Speaker 1: kind of a confidence boosting win. I don't know if
1:58:02
Speaker 1: they're gonna be over confident because they put up so
1:58:04
Speaker 1: many points there, but it's still a big game for
1:58:06
Speaker 1: them going to North Texas, so I would lean to UTSA.
1:58:10
Speaker 1: I actually think they're a little bit under the radar,
1:58:13
Speaker 1: right now at three and three, I think UTSA is
1:58:15
Speaker 1: a little bit better than that and UTSA. Oh yeah,
1:58:19
Speaker 1: I already mentioned the Texas A and M game they lost,
1:58:21
Speaker 1: but I didn't say I didn't explicitly say, oh yeah.
1:58:24
Speaker 1: They actually played fairly well in that game too, although
1:58:27
Speaker 1: I think they back door covered it, but they still
1:58:29
Speaker 1: They still only lost by eighteen points on the road
1:58:32
Speaker 1: at Texas A and M, which is pretty decent. North
1:58:36
Speaker 1: Texas is public fifty six percent tickets on them, fifty
1:58:39
Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on UTSA mine has dropped
1:58:42
Speaker 1: from five and a half to four, so the money
1:58:44
Speaker 1: is agreeing with that. Taking the points with the UTSA.
1:58:46
Speaker 1: It's a high total though in the mid sixties it
1:58:48
Speaker 1: has dropped though, down from sixty eight and a half
1:58:50
Speaker 1: to sixty five and a half, so money kind of
1:58:52
Speaker 1: coming in on the under in that one high total
1:58:56
Speaker 1: makes me worry a little bit about taking the points.
1:58:58
Speaker 1: But that's what I would do in that game. You
1:59:00
Speaker 1: lean that way as well, Sab, Yeah, I agree with it.
1:59:04
Speaker 1: I agree with you and myself. All right, how many
1:59:07
Speaker 1: more games we got here to talk about? I like
1:59:09
Speaker 1: to talk about any of the things that kind of
1:59:11
Speaker 1: you know, just kind of drawing my interest. At least
1:59:15
Speaker 1: I already talked about these ranked matchups Mississippi State and Florida.
1:59:19
Speaker 1: I'll talk about it's still two SEC teams that I
1:59:22
Speaker 1: still don't think of that bad Florida. I mean, they've
1:59:25
Speaker 1: had a difficult schedule. Three other four losses are all
1:59:29
Speaker 1: to really good teams LSU and Miami and Texas A
1:59:32
Speaker 1: and M. That's not easy. And they lost to Texas
1:59:34
Speaker 1: A and M last week kind of a brutal loss
1:59:37
Speaker 1: where they weren't a letdown spot. Kind of maybe off
1:59:40
Speaker 1: of that big win against Texas maybe they just ran
1:59:42
Speaker 1: out of gas having to face another good team two
1:59:45
Speaker 1: weeks in a row. Florida. Their rushing attack has not
1:59:48
Speaker 1: been good, though their defense has been all right. Lagways
1:59:51
Speaker 1: kind of getting going a little bit throwing the football.
1:59:53
Speaker 1: They can't run the football though, But they're coming up
1:59:57
Speaker 1: those big ranked matchups, four ranked matchups in a now
2:00:00
Speaker 1: they got Mississippi State coming off all that. I don't
2:00:03
Speaker 1: know if we could say the letdown happened last week
2:00:05
Speaker 1: against Texas A and M or not. I mean, Texas
2:00:07
Speaker 1: A and M did cover against them. Florida lost by seventeen.
2:00:11
Speaker 1: Florida goes into a bye after this, and they have
2:00:14
Speaker 1: their big rivalry game, the world's largest cocktail party or
2:00:19
Speaker 1: whatever outdoor cocktail party against Georgia huge game which is
2:00:24
Speaker 1: always in Jacksonville, I believe, which is the neutral site game,
2:00:27
Speaker 1: kind of halfway between the two schools. So that's coming
2:00:32
Speaker 1: up after this, so maybe it's a look aad spot
2:00:34
Speaker 1: a bit as well. I don't think it's that strong
2:00:38
Speaker 1: of a fade spot for Florida, but that's probably what
2:00:41
Speaker 1: I would do. Mississippi State's coming up an even uglier
2:00:44
Speaker 1: performance against Texas A and M, but they had a
2:00:46
Speaker 1: bye after that, so they went into the bye on
2:00:48
Speaker 1: the ugliest note where they lost thirty one to nine.
2:00:50
Speaker 1: And I gave out A and M in that game
2:00:53
Speaker 1: because Mississippi State had taken Tennessee into overtime the previous
2:00:56
Speaker 1: week and taking their first loss. It was a difficult
2:00:59
Speaker 1: spot for Missippi State and it was a positive spot
2:01:02
Speaker 1: for A and M coming off a lackluster game and
2:01:03
Speaker 1: think it gets Auburn the week before that, so A
2:01:07
Speaker 1: and M they were able to run away with it
2:01:08
Speaker 1: late and get us to cover in that one. Mississippi
2:01:10
Speaker 1: State went into a bye, so that will help them
2:01:12
Speaker 1: because going into a buy and a bad note, you
2:01:15
Speaker 1: use that buy to fix some things, and they had
2:01:17
Speaker 1: some things to fix going into that. So I think
2:01:21
Speaker 1: they will show up for this one. So I will
2:01:22
Speaker 1: have a slight lean to Mississippi State in that one.
2:01:27
Speaker 1: The money's agreeing with it. It looks like with Florida
2:01:29
Speaker 1: now from ten to nine and a half now, but
2:01:31
Speaker 1: seventy percent of the tickets, it's seventy one percent of
2:01:33
Speaker 1: the cash on Mississippi State. The public is actually taking
2:01:36
Speaker 1: the points of Mississippi State at this point. I think
2:01:38
Speaker 1: just because their record is better, Florida just getting no respect.
2:01:43
Speaker 1: Although the odds makers are still lining them as a
2:01:45
Speaker 1: heavy favorites. The osbeagers are still telling you Florida is
2:01:48
Speaker 1: the better team. So sometimes you look at that, that's
2:01:50
Speaker 1: like a you know, the ozbeakers are telling you something
2:01:52
Speaker 1: different than what the records are telling you. So that
2:01:55
Speaker 1: would sometimes have me looking towards Florida, right because you
2:01:57
Speaker 1: got a two and four team laying on ten points
2:02:00
Speaker 1: against a four and two team. It's like, well, that
2:02:04
Speaker 1: doesn't make any sense. The odsmakers are telling you Florida
2:02:06
Speaker 1: is the better team. But the spot isn't that good.
2:02:09
Speaker 1: So I would lean to Mississippi State just based on
2:02:11
Speaker 1: the spot, but that's not gonna be a play. Penn
2:02:15
Speaker 1: State at Iowa. I guess we gotta talk about it.
2:02:18
Speaker 1: We're gonna go two and a half hours on this
2:02:20
Speaker 1: fucking show tonight, man, the college Football Show. I don't
2:02:25
Speaker 1: mess around with the college football Show. Man. Penn State,
2:02:27
Speaker 1: what are we gonna do with them? Man? Are they
2:02:30
Speaker 1: gonna finally show up for a game because they've been
2:02:32
Speaker 1: embarrassed last couple of weeks. I mean, the lost to
2:02:36
Speaker 1: Oregon totally derailed them. They lost to UCLA as twenty
2:02:39
Speaker 1: whatever point favorites in that game, just absolutely brutal. And
2:02:43
Speaker 1: then you'd think they were gonna maybe bounce back at home. No,
2:02:46
Speaker 1: they just lost again last week at home is twenty
2:02:49
Speaker 1: and a half point favorites to Pennce to Northwestern Pence.
2:02:53
Speaker 1: Penn State losing back to back games is twenty plus
2:02:56
Speaker 1: point favorites. Absolutely ridiculous. Will they finally bounce back here?
2:03:01
Speaker 1: I don't know they go into a buy after this,
2:03:03
Speaker 1: and they do have Ohio State after this. In Penn
2:03:05
Speaker 1: State being at owned three in conference, they're done. They
2:03:10
Speaker 1: fired their coach so when did they fire their coach? Actually,
2:03:16
Speaker 1: that's that's one thing we need to consider here. When
2:03:18
Speaker 1: did Franklin get fired? Right? Let me see, is this
2:03:22
Speaker 1: the fire coach spot? Hold on? When when did? And
2:03:27
Speaker 1: it looks like, well, another thing to talk about here
2:03:30
Speaker 1: is al Or is out for Penn State. He went
2:03:33
Speaker 1: he had surge around a broken ankle, so he's not
2:03:37
Speaker 1: going to be back either. So we're gonna go with
2:03:38
Speaker 1: whoever their backup is. So, wait, did Franklin get fired
2:03:44
Speaker 1: after they just fired him? All right? So it's a
2:03:47
Speaker 1: fired coach spot for Penn State. All right, there we go,
2:03:51
Speaker 1: Thank you, sob, that's what I thought. But then it
2:03:53
Speaker 1: was like something going in my head. I'm like, wait
2:03:54
Speaker 1: a minute, when did they fire him? Uh? So we
2:03:57
Speaker 1: have a few interesting things going on here that kind
2:04:00
Speaker 1: would have you leaning Penn statement. They're coming off another
2:04:02
Speaker 1: embarrassing loss. They're gonna be in an injured player theory
2:04:05
Speaker 1: spot because their quarterback got hurt all Or, so he's
2:04:08
Speaker 1: not gonna play and I don't even think he's very good,
2:04:10
Speaker 1: So I don't really think it's a downgrade. Whoever the
2:04:12
Speaker 1: hell is coming in. It's not Pribula, who they had
2:04:15
Speaker 1: last year because he's on Missouri now. But whoever it is,
2:04:19
Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna be that much of a downgrade.
2:04:21
Speaker 1: And they're in the fire coach spot, so that can
2:04:24
Speaker 1: usually spark a team a little bit. Like I talk about,
2:04:26
Speaker 1: I think that could spark the team a bit coming
2:04:29
Speaker 1: out of that, you know, because again, maybe they didn't
2:04:32
Speaker 1: like Franklin, so maybe they'll play with more effort for
2:04:35
Speaker 1: whoever is their interim coach here, and because the players
2:04:39
Speaker 1: just want to prove that it wasn't our fault, it
2:04:42
Speaker 1: was the coach's fault. And they're gonna be coming up.
2:04:44
Speaker 1: I mean, they're gonna be totally embarrassed off of that game.
2:04:46
Speaker 1: Whereas Iowa they're coming off a thirty seven to nothing,
2:04:51
Speaker 1: very satisfying win over Wisconsin. I mean, it is still
2:04:56
Speaker 1: Penn State the name, so you gotta think maybe Iowa
2:04:58
Speaker 1: State will still show up for a game against Penn State.
2:05:01
Speaker 1: So I don't know if I can quite get there
2:05:03
Speaker 1: with Penn State, but I'm gonna lean to Penn State
2:05:05
Speaker 1: because of all those other reasons and the money is
2:05:08
Speaker 1: agreeing with it. I was up a little bit from
2:05:10
Speaker 1: three to three with heavier juice sixty percent of tickets
2:05:13
Speaker 1: on them, seventy three percent of the cash on Penn State. Yeah,
2:05:16
Speaker 1: I mean, I don't think the market's gonna be any
2:05:18
Speaker 1: lower on Penn State. I mean, what do you think
2:05:21
Speaker 1: this line was before the season started Penn State at Iowa,
2:05:25
Speaker 1: Penn State would have been a favorite of who knows
2:05:28
Speaker 1: how much. But of course now I know Penn State
2:05:29
Speaker 1: doesn't have their quarterback now. But how much of a
2:05:31
Speaker 1: downgrade is that really, I don't know, but I think
2:05:34
Speaker 1: this is the most value you're gonna get on Penn State.
2:05:37
Speaker 1: And it's a ridiculously low total down from thirty nine
2:05:40
Speaker 1: and a half. Well it's so up a little bit
2:05:41
Speaker 1: excuse you, to thirty nine and a half juice to
2:05:43
Speaker 1: the over, but that total is crazy low. A little
2:05:46
Speaker 1: bit of money coming in on the over, but still
2:05:48
Speaker 1: that means taking the points is worth more here Iowa.
2:05:52
Speaker 1: I mean, their offense isn't as horrible as it has
2:05:55
Speaker 1: been in the past. It's a mediocre offense now, but
2:05:58
Speaker 1: there's still more of a defensive team laying points here
2:06:01
Speaker 1: against a Penn State team that you're probably not gonna
2:06:04
Speaker 1: see more value on Penn State than this. So that's
2:06:07
Speaker 1: the way I would lean. Taking the points with a
2:06:09
Speaker 1: total that low also makes sense, So that is the
2:06:13
Speaker 1: way that I would go there. And then I think
2:06:17
Speaker 1: we just have my plays left. Now, finally we're gonna
2:06:19
Speaker 1: get to just the plays, just the plays. Let's go.
2:06:23
Speaker 1: Uh yeah, I think that's it. So that was a
2:06:26
Speaker 1: huge rundown. Man, Let's go to it. Let's go to
2:06:28
Speaker 1: the best bets, and then I'll get out of here.
2:06:30
Speaker 1: Sob we'll see if you agree with these. We know
2:06:32
Speaker 1: you agree with one of them because we're on the
2:06:34
Speaker 1: same side and one of them. All right, let's go
2:06:38
Speaker 1: and hopefully these are stronger than all those leans I had,
2:06:41
Speaker 1: because I just gave out a bunch of leans too.
2:06:44
Speaker 1: First one up, we're going to the MAC. We're going
2:06:47
Speaker 1: to these under the radar games, and we're gonna go
2:06:49
Speaker 1: with Central Michigan plus three and a half. I like
2:06:52
Speaker 1: how this line is up for both teams in this one.
2:06:55
Speaker 1: I believe we're also fading the public here. We're getting
2:06:58
Speaker 1: a little bit less of a line here. This though,
2:07:00
Speaker 1: Bowling Green was a six point favorite at one point
2:07:02
Speaker 1: and now they're down to three and a half. I
2:07:04
Speaker 1: wouldn't want to take less than three and a half here,
2:07:06
Speaker 1: But I think at anything around that, I think at
2:07:08
Speaker 1: anything three and a half are high or excuse me,
2:07:10
Speaker 1: I think I would still take I think it was
2:07:12
Speaker 1: it was mostly four throughout the week, so I don't
2:07:15
Speaker 1: really even know when it was six. I think it
2:07:17
Speaker 1: was not really six for a very long period of
2:07:20
Speaker 1: time at all. I think it really basically just dropped
2:07:23
Speaker 1: from four to three and a half. Recently, we do
2:07:25
Speaker 1: see Central Michigan was seventy two percent of the tickets,
2:07:27
Speaker 1: but I don't think that means they're really public necessarily.
2:07:30
Speaker 1: I think it just is kind of an indicator that
2:07:34
Speaker 1: the public isn't really on this game, and the professional
2:07:36
Speaker 1: money is on Central Michigan. Because we've seen the line
2:07:38
Speaker 1: drop eighty four percent of the cash on Central Michigan
2:07:41
Speaker 1: and low and behold, Low and behold. It is a
2:07:44
Speaker 1: low its total down from forty four to forty three here,
2:07:47
Speaker 1: so you're getting more value taking the points here. I
2:07:51
Speaker 1: like it. We're gonna fade Bowling Green in this one too.
2:07:55
Speaker 1: This one's gonna be at noon on CBS Sports. By
2:07:58
Speaker 1: the way, Bowling Green, I do not like the spot
2:08:01
Speaker 1: they're in. Man, They're coming off an upset of Toledo.
2:08:04
Speaker 1: And by the way, Bowling Green, I think that was
2:08:07
Speaker 1: an injured player theory spot too, So we have a
2:08:09
Speaker 1: lot going for us in this game. Bowling Green lost Pine,
2:08:12
Speaker 1: their quarterback, and they went with Anderson the third for
2:08:15
Speaker 1: the rest of that game, and assuming that Pine isn't back,
2:08:19
Speaker 1: we're gonna get the the second game and we'll actually
2:08:22
Speaker 1: hold on. Let me see, did Pine go down in
2:08:24
Speaker 1: this game, because it might actually be an injured player spot, No,
2:08:27
Speaker 1: he didn't. They mix it up with Anderson the third
2:08:30
Speaker 1: and Garcia the second, the two sons, my two sons,
2:08:36
Speaker 1: So that was the injured player spot. So I like
2:08:38
Speaker 1: this even better because Bowling Green that was their first
2:08:41
Speaker 1: game with a backup quarterback and they put in a
2:08:44
Speaker 1: huge effort and won the game. So now it's a
2:08:47
Speaker 1: natural letdown after that because now it's gonna be the set.
2:08:49
Speaker 1: It's either gonna be the second game without their quarterback
2:08:52
Speaker 1: or if Pine comes back, then that means it's gonna
2:08:55
Speaker 1: be the reverse injured player spot, and it means that
2:08:58
Speaker 1: they're gonna maybe take their foot off the gas a
2:09:00
Speaker 1: little bit. So either way, it's a bad spot for
2:09:02
Speaker 1: that reason for Bowling Green. So I'm gonna lean to
2:09:05
Speaker 1: Central Michigan either way, regardless of which quarterback it's gonna be.
2:09:10
Speaker 1: But in addition to that, they're in a major letdown spot.
2:09:12
Speaker 1: They just beat Toledo at home. Toledo is a ten
2:09:15
Speaker 1: and a half way favorite. Even though Toledo's three and
2:09:18
Speaker 1: three now and so was Bowling Green. Toledo is the
2:09:20
Speaker 1: way better of these two teams. Toledo, I still think
2:09:23
Speaker 1: they're the best team in the MAC probably and ten
2:09:27
Speaker 1: and a half point upset. Huge upset for Bowling Green.
2:09:30
Speaker 1: But look at how this game played out. Bowling Green
2:09:33
Speaker 1: was down twenty one to nothing right before halftime. They
2:09:35
Speaker 1: got a touchdown to get some momentum right before halftime
2:09:39
Speaker 1: on a ridiculous long pass, came out a halftime and
2:09:43
Speaker 1: wound up tying the game. Or no, wait a minute,
2:09:48
Speaker 1: excuse me, Toledo was winning. What am I saying to Yeah, yeah,
2:09:51
Speaker 1: excuse me, Yeah, Toledo was winning. And then Bowling Green
2:09:53
Speaker 1: came all, I'm all messed up right now, my apologies,
2:09:56
Speaker 1: and then yeah, Bowling Green came all the way back,
2:09:58
Speaker 1: roared back, and then actually took the and then on
2:10:01
Speaker 1: up winning the game after that, as Toledo. Yeah, I
2:10:05
Speaker 1: think Toledo only scored two points for the rest of
2:10:08
Speaker 1: the game after that. That's ridiculous enough. It was a
2:10:11
Speaker 1: huge upsett and a huge comeback for Bowling Green. But
2:10:14
Speaker 1: it was even more ridiculous. Toledo outgained Bowling Green by
2:10:17
Speaker 1: two hundred and three yards in the game. So what
2:10:20
Speaker 1: the how the fuck did Bowling Green win this game?
2:10:24
Speaker 1: Toledo outgained them four hundred and twenty nine to two
2:10:26
Speaker 1: twenty six. They lost the turnover battle by one two
2:10:30
Speaker 1: to one, but Toledo absolutely dominated them on stat sheet.
2:10:33
Speaker 1: I have no clue what happened in this game. It
2:10:36
Speaker 1: was an extremely misleading results. Toledo had thirteen penalties, so
2:10:40
Speaker 1: that was part of the reason why they had a
2:10:42
Speaker 1: ton of penalties, and they outgained Bowling Green by like
2:10:49
Speaker 1: eight They outpossessed them, excuse me, by eight minutes, and
2:10:53
Speaker 1: they had twenty three to ten in first downs. They
2:10:56
Speaker 1: had a twenty three to ten advantage of first downs,
2:10:58
Speaker 1: So Toledo absolutely dominated Bowling Green. Bowling Green was ass
2:11:02
Speaker 1: in that game, and they still won the game. So
2:11:06
Speaker 1: all that leads you to leads me to be saying
2:11:09
Speaker 1: you gotta fade Bowling Green here. I know they don't
2:11:11
Speaker 1: have a big gam up next against a terrible Kent
2:11:13
Speaker 1: State team here, but still I think it's a very
2:11:17
Speaker 1: bad spot. And I think it's actually a decent spot
2:11:20
Speaker 1: for Central Michigan to come in and get something going
2:11:24
Speaker 1: here because Central Michigan they're coming out of a bye,
2:11:28
Speaker 1: so they had the week off last week, and they
2:11:29
Speaker 1: went into the buy in a terrible note losing to Akron.
2:11:33
Speaker 1: Akron is a terrible team. Central Michigan went into Akron
2:11:36
Speaker 1: and Central Michigan was a six and a half point
2:11:38
Speaker 1: or seven point favorite basically at Akron, and Central Michigan
2:11:41
Speaker 1: lost this game outright, so you know they're gonna be
2:11:45
Speaker 1: using this buy to fix some things. And this wasn't
2:11:47
Speaker 1: really much of a misleading result. They actually did get out,
2:11:49
Speaker 1: gained to the game or whatever. It was a close
2:11:51
Speaker 1: game on the stat sheet, but it was a bad performance.
2:11:55
Speaker 1: So Central Michigan has a big advantage here coming out
2:11:57
Speaker 1: of a bye, went into the buying a really bad note. Yeah,
2:12:00
Speaker 1: we're gonna take the points with Central Michigan in that
2:12:03
Speaker 1: one that's playing number one. You're gonna add that. Hell yeah,
2:12:08
Speaker 1: hopefully I'm not misleading you, man, But I think it's
2:12:12
Speaker 1: we think the same way. So I think if if
2:12:14
Speaker 1: you had seen it, maybe you would have played it
2:12:15
Speaker 1: on your own too. Next up, we're gonna go with
2:12:19
Speaker 1: Purdue plus three. Uh, this is gonna be a fade
2:12:22
Speaker 1: of Northwestern for maybe obvious reasons. Northwestern's down for three
2:12:27
Speaker 1: and a half to three here, Yet it looks like
2:12:28
Speaker 1: the public's on Purdue seventy two percent of tickets, seventy
2:12:32
Speaker 1: three percent of the cash. Though on Purdue. Maybe it's
2:12:34
Speaker 1: a game where again, maybe the public's just not really
2:12:36
Speaker 1: getting involved much. In this one. The total is already
2:12:39
Speaker 1: down for forty seven and a half to forty six,
2:12:41
Speaker 1: so it's another low total game where taking the points
2:12:44
Speaker 1: means more. I just like the idea of fading Northwestern
2:12:48
Speaker 1: in this one, man. I think it's a huge letdown spot.
2:12:50
Speaker 1: I mean, we know what Northwestern just did. Uh, just
2:12:53
Speaker 1: ridiculous monumental win for Northwestern. They went into Happy Valley
2:12:57
Speaker 1: and they beat Penn State and appoint out of dogs.
2:13:01
Speaker 1: I mean, when does that ever happen? And Northwestern basically
2:13:04
Speaker 1: didn't even do anything offensively. Stone their quarterback at one
2:13:07
Speaker 1: hundred and sixty three yards of offense through the air, passing,
2:13:12
Speaker 1: I mean through the air. I mean whatever. This Northwestern team,
2:13:15
Speaker 1: I know they're foreign too, but I don't think they're
2:13:18
Speaker 1: really very good. Just a ridiculous win there. Yeah, they
2:13:21
Speaker 1: outgained Penn State as well. Penn State. I mean their
2:13:24
Speaker 1: quarterback got hurt in the game Penn State. I mean
2:13:27
Speaker 1: it's just it's a gone year for Penn State at
2:13:30
Speaker 1: this point. Man. So how good does that win? I
2:13:32
Speaker 1: don't know, But emotionally for Northwestern, getting a win like
2:13:35
Speaker 1: that for that program is absolutely insane. So you know,
2:13:39
Speaker 1: they got to be in a letdown spot here and
2:13:41
Speaker 1: then who do they play up next? Oh? Yeah, they
2:13:43
Speaker 1: got ranked Nebraska and then they go into a bye
2:13:46
Speaker 1: I guess, and then they have a Friday night primetime
2:13:48
Speaker 1: matchup against ranked USC both on the road. So I
2:13:51
Speaker 1: think this is a sandwich spot. I think they're gonna
2:13:54
Speaker 1: overlook Purdue potentially in this one. And this Northwestern team,
2:13:57
Speaker 1: I know they're foreign too, but besides the Penn State
2:14:00
Speaker 1: when what are their wins? They beat Ucla and I
2:14:03
Speaker 1: think that was the fired coach spot for Ucla where
2:14:06
Speaker 1: UCLA had their new coach there and UCLA did at
2:14:09
Speaker 1: least cover, so that was one of their wins. The
2:14:12
Speaker 1: UCLA team it's still not that good. And then there
2:14:15
Speaker 1: are other wins that are against FCS Western Illinois and
2:14:17
Speaker 1: Uel Monroe's terrible team. So Northwestern not really an impressive
2:14:23
Speaker 1: resume here. Purdue maybe a little bit under the radar
2:14:27
Speaker 1: two and four here. I'm I don't think the public
2:14:30
Speaker 1: is really actually on Purdue here with what we saw
2:14:32
Speaker 1: with the percentages, because seeing Northwestern beat Penn State in
2:14:36
Speaker 1: Northwestern better you know, record by two games over Purdue,
2:14:40
Speaker 1: there's no way the public is actually taking Purdue here.
2:14:43
Speaker 1: Purdue coming off a game where yeah, they played pretty
2:14:47
Speaker 1: well as an underdog. And by the way, I didn't
2:14:48
Speaker 1: realize how lucky I got with Minnesota was my was
2:14:52
Speaker 1: one of my Survivor picks last week. Purdue was winning
2:14:55
Speaker 1: this game late in the game and they're winning twenty
2:14:58
Speaker 1: to thirteen, and the third where they had a couple
2:15:00
Speaker 1: of seven point leads in the game and then it
2:15:02
Speaker 1: was tied, and then we had a pick six from
2:15:05
Speaker 1: Minnesota that helped us there, and then Purdue fell short
2:15:09
Speaker 1: at the end. They're almost able to get into the
2:15:11
Speaker 1: end zone at the end there, and yes, well I
2:15:13
Speaker 1: know Purdue did play pretty tough as a road underdog there.
2:15:17
Speaker 1: I know it is a second straight road game for
2:15:19
Speaker 1: Purdue here, but they're still looking for their first conference win.
2:15:23
Speaker 1: This is gonna be a winnable game for them, so
2:15:26
Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up for this one. That
2:15:29
Speaker 1: would be my opinion. I think I think they're gonna, yeah,
2:15:32
Speaker 1: still be looking for their first conference win, so they
2:15:34
Speaker 1: do have reason to still show up ors Northwestern. I
2:15:37
Speaker 1: think they might just maybe take the game lightly. I
2:15:40
Speaker 1: mean Northwestern. I don't think they had any delusions that
2:15:43
Speaker 1: they were gonna be competing for the Big Ten championship
2:15:45
Speaker 1: or anything like that. I know they're sitting at one
2:15:47
Speaker 1: Big Ten loss right now, but yeah, they're not delusional.
2:15:51
Speaker 1: They're coming off their monumental win, which is basically like
2:15:54
Speaker 1: their super Bowl. I think Northwestern basically is like mission
2:15:58
Speaker 1: accomplished at this point, although I guess their other mission
2:16:01
Speaker 1: is to make a bowl, but they're probably gonna do
2:16:03
Speaker 1: that anyway. They gotta get two more wins, although this
2:16:05
Speaker 1: is one of their more winnable games left, so maybe
2:16:08
Speaker 1: they will show up for that reason. But I think
2:16:09
Speaker 1: it's too early to start considering are they gonna get,
2:16:12
Speaker 1: you know, become Bowl eligible or not. So I'm gonna
2:16:16
Speaker 1: go with purduing this one. Yeah. Mostly it's a fade
2:16:20
Speaker 1: of Northwestern in that one though, But yeah, I like
2:16:23
Speaker 1: the produce side in that one. I just think it's
2:16:24
Speaker 1: a massive letdown spot. You're afraid about the bad red
2:16:29
Speaker 1: zone percentage for Purdue. Yeah, yeah, it's it's the spot
2:16:34
Speaker 1: is so bad that that I think Purdue is is
2:16:38
Speaker 1: worth the play there even though. Yeah, like you said,
2:16:40
Speaker 1: Purdue is often sucks, but so does Northwestern. So I
2:16:43
Speaker 1: think if it's a low scoring game could be close.
2:16:46
Speaker 1: My one hesitation is not enough to keep it off
2:16:49
Speaker 1: my card, but it would be Again, like I said,
2:16:50
Speaker 1: Purdue just played pretty well as an underdog last time out,
2:16:53
Speaker 1: But is Minnesota really, Like, are you really gonna consider
2:16:57
Speaker 1: that to be like a huge emotional game Purdue versus Minnesota.
2:17:01
Speaker 1: Probably not. So Next up your game and my game
2:17:07
Speaker 1: Kentucky plus the points plus twelve and a half, We're
2:17:09
Speaker 1: gonna go with this one too. I think it's a
2:17:12
Speaker 1: huge letdown spot for Texas. I don't get why the
2:17:15
Speaker 1: money looks like it's on Texas right now. Up from
2:17:16
Speaker 1: twelve to twelve and a half because I obviously don't
2:17:18
Speaker 1: agree with it. We got a low total here too.
2:17:21
Speaker 1: We're getting double digit points in a low total like this,
2:17:24
Speaker 1: down from forty four to forty three. You know, I
2:17:26
Speaker 1: like to take the points of the low total, So
2:17:29
Speaker 1: that's what we're doing here. Sixty nine percent of tickets,
2:17:31
Speaker 1: eighty percent of the cash on Texas for now. But
2:17:34
Speaker 1: I'm not buying that that's even accurate. Getting the double
2:17:38
Speaker 1: digit points in a spot like this, you know, letdown
2:17:42
Speaker 1: spot for Texas, which I'll talk about in a minute.
2:17:44
Speaker 1: And the fact that where are they at. I shouldn't
2:17:46
Speaker 1: have searched for Texas. I should have searched for Kentucky.
2:17:49
Speaker 1: Texas has dropped to twenty first, I know, or they're
2:17:53
Speaker 1: back up to twenty first. They're actually unranked last week.
2:17:56
Speaker 1: I know, Texas is still under ranked. I think they're
2:17:58
Speaker 1: probably like a top ten team even because their defense
2:18:01
Speaker 1: is so good. But their offense is terrible. So that's
2:18:04
Speaker 1: another thing about this arch Manning. I don't think he's
2:18:07
Speaker 1: the real deal. Texas's offense has been very, very lackluster,
2:18:10
Speaker 1: which is also going to make it very difficult for
2:18:12
Speaker 1: them to cover a number like this on the road,
2:18:15
Speaker 1: even though it is against a bad Kentucky team. Texas,
2:18:18
Speaker 1: they're in a big let down spot too, man, I
2:18:20
Speaker 1: mean that was the Red River rivalry Texas. I mean,
2:18:23
Speaker 1: with one loss in the SEC, are they still shooting
2:18:26
Speaker 1: to make the SEC championship or whatever? Still try to
2:18:29
Speaker 1: make the playoff? Maybe, But that was a huge win
2:18:33
Speaker 1: over Oklahoma. Man, like riding the ship. It was really
2:18:36
Speaker 1: kind of their legitimizer game because the other two games
2:18:39
Speaker 1: where they stepped up in class they lost to Ohio
2:18:41
Speaker 1: State and Florida, So that was their big their only
2:18:46
Speaker 1: big win of the season, so that's a huge game.
2:18:48
Speaker 1: So I think that puts them in a huge letdown
2:18:50
Speaker 1: spot here. They do have a an SEC team. Next,
2:18:53
Speaker 1: it's at least doing better in Mississippi State. I think
2:18:55
Speaker 1: it's four and two or something right now, and then
2:18:57
Speaker 1: Vandy and Georgia. So these remaining games are a lot
2:19:00
Speaker 1: bigger than this Kentucky team that's sitting at two and
2:19:03
Speaker 1: three and is I think they're all in three in conference.
2:19:07
Speaker 1: I think too, so they're really not going to get
2:19:09
Speaker 1: I don't think a second look from Texas here, and
2:19:12
Speaker 1: Kentucky's coming out of a bye and they went into
2:19:15
Speaker 1: a buy on a bad note. They lost two games
2:19:17
Speaker 1: by twenty one plus points against South Carolina and Georgia,
2:19:22
Speaker 1: both on the road. They're back at home here where
2:19:24
Speaker 1: they've been better. At least they beat Toledo at home.
2:19:26
Speaker 1: Toledo's not that bad of a team, and they played
2:19:29
Speaker 1: Old Miss tough, even though it was at least a
2:19:30
Speaker 1: revenge spot. I think for Old Miss coming into that one,
2:19:35
Speaker 1: as they think Kentucky beat Old Miss last year, So
2:19:38
Speaker 1: even though Old Miss that they kind of had that
2:19:39
Speaker 1: game circle, Kentucky played well in that game against a
2:19:42
Speaker 1: good Old Miss team. So Kentucky has been good at home,
2:19:46
Speaker 1: had two bad road games, and went into the bye
2:19:49
Speaker 1: on a bad note. So I think they're gonna use
2:19:51
Speaker 1: that buy to fix some things, and I think they're
2:19:52
Speaker 1: gonna be focused here. It's Texas coming into their place,
2:19:55
Speaker 1: still looking to try to get a win. I'm not
2:19:57
Speaker 1: saying they're gonna do that, but I think they'll come
2:19:58
Speaker 1: within this number. What I think might be an ugly
2:20:01
Speaker 1: game on both sides. I know Kentucky's offense isn't very
2:20:03
Speaker 1: good either. I know maybe part of the reason why
2:20:07
Speaker 1: they played well in those first two games was they
2:20:08
Speaker 1: had a different quarterback. It looks like in cal Zada
2:20:11
Speaker 1: and now they have Bowlie, but Bowie put up better numbers,
2:20:15
Speaker 1: so I don't know. Maybe some of it was in
2:20:16
Speaker 1: garbage time. I don't know. Texas can still I mean,
2:20:19
Speaker 1: excuse the Kentucky gets still run the ball too, though
2:20:22
Speaker 1: they weren't able to do it against Georgia, and maybe
2:20:24
Speaker 1: they won't be able to do it much against Texas
2:20:26
Speaker 1: because they know Texas's defense is still good. But generally
2:20:29
Speaker 1: Kentucky is able to run the ball and play defense,
2:20:32
Speaker 1: and that is at least what you want getting an
2:20:34
Speaker 1: underdog here like this, So I think we're gonna get
2:20:36
Speaker 1: that style of game. So yeah, I agree with you,
2:20:39
Speaker 1: Sab give me Kentucky. That'll be one of my plays.
2:20:43
Speaker 1: I like them in the coming out of a by spot.
2:20:46
Speaker 1: Maybe you could guess what my last play is. I
2:20:49
Speaker 1: have won more. I don't know if you can guess
2:20:50
Speaker 1: what it is or not. Because the game I haven't
2:20:53
Speaker 1: talked about yet and it's not one of the ranked matchups.
2:20:57
Speaker 1: We're gonna go with Syracuse plus ten, although I think
2:21:00
Speaker 1: maybe the line isn't there anymore. Where's the line at
2:21:04
Speaker 1: It's down from ten and a half to nine and
2:21:05
Speaker 1: a half. I know ten is a key number. I
2:21:09
Speaker 1: mean I saw it a little bit earlier in the week.
2:21:12
Speaker 1: I mean I would wait on this just to see
2:21:14
Speaker 1: if you can still get the ten and a half.
2:21:15
Speaker 1: I don't know if you will, because Pittsburgh is just
2:21:17
Speaker 1: not that public and fifty one percent of the tickets
2:21:20
Speaker 1: on them and eighty percent of the cash coming in
2:21:22
Speaker 1: on Syracuse. The public's not gonna really be heavily invested
2:21:25
Speaker 1: in this game, so you might not really get that
2:21:27
Speaker 1: number anymore. And I know this is the highest total
2:21:30
Speaker 1: that I'm going with here. It's down for fifty six
2:21:32
Speaker 1: and a half to fifty four and a half, though
2:21:34
Speaker 1: with money on the over, with money on the under,
2:21:36
Speaker 1: I mean, with ninety percent of tickets on the over
2:21:38
Speaker 1: and only eighty percent of cash on the over. So
2:21:40
Speaker 1: I'm still gonna do it with this one. I think
2:21:42
Speaker 1: it's a spot to fade pit at nine and a half.
2:21:46
Speaker 1: I mean, I guess I would still do it, and
2:21:47
Speaker 1: maybe maybe do it at a smaller like for a
2:21:52
Speaker 1: smaller amount of money, maybe on this one, just because
2:21:54
Speaker 1: the ten is a key number obviously, and you might
2:21:56
Speaker 1: not be able to get it anymore. Yeah, no one
2:21:59
Speaker 1: will want it to I agree with that. Kentucky is
2:22:01
Speaker 1: a public team for sure. I do think the line
2:22:03
Speaker 1: is too high in this game. We're gonna fade Pitt.
2:22:06
Speaker 1: I mean, I'm not impressed with Pitt. I don't think
2:22:08
Speaker 1: Pitt is that good. I mean, what has Pitt done
2:22:12
Speaker 1: so far this season? They're sitting at four and two.
2:22:15
Speaker 1: Their one good win was really last week. I mean,
2:22:18
Speaker 1: they played decently against Louisville, who we know is pretty decent.
2:22:22
Speaker 1: Other than that, what have they really done? Their best
2:22:24
Speaker 1: win besides Florida State was crushing Boston College, who are terrible,
2:22:29
Speaker 1: and they Pitt lost the backyard brawl at West Virginia.
2:22:33
Speaker 1: So I don't think this pit team is that good.
2:22:35
Speaker 1: And what do they do? Last week? They went in
2:22:37
Speaker 1: and they beat Florida State, And I told you I
2:22:39
Speaker 1: thought Florida State was in a bad spot. And I'm
2:22:42
Speaker 1: not even sure how good Florida State is. I mean
2:22:44
Speaker 1: Florida State. They opened the season by beating Alabama with
2:22:47
Speaker 1: their freshman quarterback Alabama there. Since then, Florida State has
2:22:51
Speaker 1: done nothing. They beat East Texas A and m n
2:22:54
Speaker 1: FCS team and Kent State and yet blew the doors
2:22:56
Speaker 1: off them. But those teams are awful. And then they
2:23:00
Speaker 1: lost that two overtime game to Virginia and they haven't
2:23:03
Speaker 1: done much since. I mean, yeah, they played that game competitively. Yeah,
2:23:05
Speaker 1: Virginia's pretty good. They played fairly competitively against Miami, but
2:23:09
Speaker 1: a game at home that they probably should have been
2:23:11
Speaker 1: able to maybe even win that game, they didn't play
2:23:14
Speaker 1: that well. They didn't even cover. And coming off of
2:23:18
Speaker 1: those two big games, Yeah, it was a bad spot.
2:23:20
Speaker 1: I mentioned it last week. I leaned to Pit plus
2:23:22
Speaker 1: the points there. But maybe this Florida State team isn't
2:23:25
Speaker 1: really that good. I mean, they can't really run the football.
2:23:28
Speaker 1: Castellanos is doing okay at throwing the football. But I
2:23:31
Speaker 1: don't know, man, Florida State. Yeah, they're better than they
2:23:34
Speaker 1: were last year, for sure. I mean last year they sucked,
2:23:37
Speaker 1: but at this point, I mean, they're not looking like
2:23:39
Speaker 1: they're that really good team that we thought they were
2:23:42
Speaker 1: earlier in the season. So yeah, I don't know, man.
2:23:46
Speaker 1: That Pit win maybe not necessarily that great, but it
2:23:49
Speaker 1: was a big win for Pitt and it looked good,
2:23:53
Speaker 1: you know, because they beat a ranked team in Florida
2:23:55
Speaker 1: State on the road. Florida State has already owned three
2:23:58
Speaker 1: in the ACC, so they're not going anywhere where now.
2:24:01
Speaker 1: Pitt did outgain them in the game by whatever, sixty
2:24:04
Speaker 1: something yards sixty one I think, so they did outplay
2:24:07
Speaker 1: them in the game. It wasn't really a misleading final result,
2:24:10
Speaker 1: but it was a big win for pitt And now
2:24:11
Speaker 1: they have to go up second straight road game after
2:24:14
Speaker 1: winning huge game in Tallahassee. They gotta go up and
2:24:16
Speaker 1: face Syracuse, who's one and two in the conference, and
2:24:20
Speaker 1: then up next. I know they have another one and
2:24:22
Speaker 1: two conference team in NC State, but at least at
2:24:25
Speaker 1: Sea State has a winning record next. I mean, I
2:24:27
Speaker 1: don't think it's really a look at spot, but I
2:24:29
Speaker 1: just think it's a big letdown spot for Pittsburgh. So
2:24:32
Speaker 1: I don't like the spot for Pitt at all. Here
2:24:35
Speaker 1: in pitt they switch quarterbacks from Holstein. It wasn't getting
2:24:38
Speaker 1: the job done to Hinscheal, So yeah, I know that.
2:24:41
Speaker 1: Somebody keep in mind Hindshoal has been good in those
2:24:44
Speaker 1: last two games. They've been good with him in there,
2:24:46
Speaker 1: But how good are they really? I mean, you switch
2:24:49
Speaker 1: your quarterback, I mean some of it is that the
2:24:51
Speaker 1: opposing defense just couldn't really prepare for it necessarily because
2:24:55
Speaker 1: they didn't know what you were gonna do with that
2:24:56
Speaker 1: new quarterback, and some of it kind of kind of
2:24:58
Speaker 1: like sparks the team a little bit when that new
2:25:01
Speaker 1: quarterback comes in there. So I don't know. Man, same
2:25:07
Speaker 1: with Bowling Green. You're talking about Pit or Syracuse. I
2:25:10
Speaker 1: mean you agree with Syracuse, Yeah, I mean I think
2:25:12
Speaker 1: one of the concerns is like, was that actually a
2:25:15
Speaker 1: huge upgrade from Holstein to Heinshaal. I'm not really sure.
2:25:19
Speaker 1: Hein I mean, Holstein did play for Pitt last year
2:25:22
Speaker 1: quite a bit so and he wasn't that bad, So
2:25:24
Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, I I played in a
2:25:27
Speaker 1: I had plays in a couple of different PIT games
2:25:29
Speaker 1: last year, and I did okay in those games. And
2:25:31
Speaker 1: then we got Syracuse. They're coming out of a bye,
2:25:34
Speaker 1: so we have three of my plays. I think are
2:25:36
Speaker 1: teams that are coming out of buys, and they went
2:25:38
Speaker 1: into the buys on bad notes. Syracuse definitely did. They
2:25:42
Speaker 1: lost two games going into the by against Duke and
2:25:45
Speaker 1: SMU and they lost badly, thirty eight to three and
2:25:47
Speaker 1: thirty one to eighteen. I know, Syracuse isn't good another
2:25:51
Speaker 1: quarterback got hurt in jelly. How good was he really?
2:25:54
Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, he did put up good
2:25:56
Speaker 1: numbers against Yukon and Colgate, but those two teams are
2:25:59
Speaker 1: not good. I know, you can almost beat Syracuse, and
2:26:03
Speaker 1: probably should have because Serius isn't that good either. But Syracuse,
2:26:07
Speaker 1: I mean, they played somewhat competitively against Tennessee. I guess
2:26:09
Speaker 1: in the opener they they beat Clemson on the road,
2:26:13
Speaker 1: which is at least something. But yeah, then I know
2:26:15
Speaker 1: they lost their quarterback. They have Collins in there now,
2:26:18
Speaker 1: but Collins has been okay. I mean to me, it
2:26:20
Speaker 1: seems like it didn't really downgrade them that much. But
2:26:23
Speaker 1: now they're coming out of a buy. That means they
2:26:25
Speaker 1: have an extra week to prepare. With the new quarterback,
2:26:27
Speaker 1: he can figure out the system more. I think that
2:26:29
Speaker 1: helps when you have a new quarterback in there, you
2:26:31
Speaker 1: get that extra week to prepare. They're gonna be at
2:26:34
Speaker 1: home here, They're gonna be looking for a win here
2:26:36
Speaker 1: against a pit team coming into their place. Can fix
2:26:39
Speaker 1: some things. Going to that buy on a bad note.
2:26:42
Speaker 1: So yeah, that's about it. We're gonna go with Syracuse
2:26:45
Speaker 1: plus the points in that one and that's it. That's
2:26:48
Speaker 1: gonna do it, man. So those are the four plays.
2:26:51
Speaker 1: One more time, Central Michigan plus three and a half,
2:26:54
Speaker 1: Purdue plus three, Kentucky plus twelve and a half, and
2:26:57
Speaker 1: Syracuse plus ten nine and a half. I don't know
2:27:01
Speaker 1: if I might have to grade it at nine and
2:27:03
Speaker 1: a half. I hope not, because like I was gonna
2:27:06
Speaker 1: take it, like a couple of days ago when it
2:27:07
Speaker 1: was ten ten and a half. Is you know when
2:27:10
Speaker 1: I would have actually taken it if I was still
2:27:12
Speaker 1: betting right now, So do what you will with that.
2:27:15
Speaker 1: I would still probably take it at nine and a half,
2:27:17
Speaker 1: maybe just for a little bit less money. That's gonna
2:27:20
Speaker 1: do it. Thanks Sob for hanging out and Jamison earlier
2:27:23
Speaker 1: in the show. You guys are my only two. I
2:27:24
Speaker 1: usually get a lot of people on the Saturday night
2:27:27
Speaker 1: on the Friday night I mean college football show, but
2:27:29
Speaker 1: not tonight. That's okay, that's gonna do it. I'll be
2:27:32
Speaker 1: back in the morning because we'll talk about baseball and hockey.
2:27:35
Speaker 1: I never it never stops, man, It's ridiculous. There's way
2:27:38
Speaker 1: too much to talk about. That's gonna do it, And
2:27:41
Speaker 1: I don't know what I'm gonna do with college basketball
2:27:43
Speaker 1: and college football having to do both, like on Friday
2:27:46
Speaker 1: nights or something. I might have to do the College
2:27:48
Speaker 1: Basketball Show earlier or something. I don't know. I gotta
2:27:50
Speaker 1: figure out what I'm gonna do when that shit starts.
2:27:52
Speaker 1: I did College Basketball Saturday Mornings last year, which was
2:27:56
Speaker 1: really ridiculous too, but I gotta get some sleep. Peace out, guys.
2:28:00
Speaker 1: Learned a tone on Twitter, and learn a tone on Instagram?
2:28:02
Speaker 1: Uh like it. Subscribe to the channel to hear of course.
2:28:05
Speaker 1: Uh you know, interact with the with the YouTube channel
2:28:08
Speaker 1: and let's pump, let pump these numbers up. Better off
2:28:11
Speaker 1: dead again. Probably have to change the name. Get more
2:28:14
Speaker 1: se o. I'm on the audio. If you listen on
2:28:16
Speaker 1: Spotify and Apple, that helps me out as well. Give
2:28:18
Speaker 1: me a good review and that helps me out as
2:28:20
Speaker 1: well over there. Yeah, and covered in you because my
2:28:24
Speaker 1: yuke project on YouTube. Gotta keep up with that, which
2:28:28
Speaker 1: I always lag a little bit behind on that. And
2:28:30
Speaker 1: then we got what else? Do I have a Patreon
2:28:35
Speaker 1: Patreon dot com slash learned tone. I'm just spacing at
2:28:38
Speaker 1: this point. It's way too late. Patreon dot com slash
2:28:41
Speaker 1: learn to tone, and you get some Bonus Yuke content there.
2:28:45
Speaker 1: I got something on my black shirt here. I don't
2:28:47
Speaker 1: even know what the hell is that. I don't even
2:28:49
Speaker 1: think it's too Did I brush my teeth when I
2:28:51
Speaker 1: got home? It's a tooth based I don't even it's calm. No,
2:28:53
Speaker 1: I don't think it is. I mean, it's definitely not,
2:28:55
Speaker 1: because I just put this shirt on after I took
2:28:57
Speaker 1: a shot. I think maybe I brush my teeth. I
2:28:59
Speaker 1: don't know, although I'm drinking coffee now. I'm so messed up.
2:29:03
Speaker 1: I don't even remember what I'm even doing. But that's
2:29:06
Speaker 1: gonna do it, man, Peace out until tomorrow morning. It'll
2:29:09
Speaker 1: be a shorter show in the morning, though, because I
2:29:11
Speaker 1: think it'll just be baseball on hockey, so i'll be
2:29:13
Speaker 1: back then. Peace for now.