Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 548 - 7/13/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 548 - 7/13/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
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Hello and welcome to Episode 5. 48 of the all.
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Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I am your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
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Happy Monday, a new week begins. We're smack dab in the middle of
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July and welcome guys to the slowest.
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Week of the year. That's right, the least amount
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of action in the entire sports betting calendar.
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Again, we can, we can, you know, hope and pray and wait for
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football or we can try to make the most of this, this quiet
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week here because we got the Home Run Derby tonight, we got
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the All Star game tomorrow night.
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And it was kind of surprising to me.
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The All Star game I was looking at the total under 7 1/2 but
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it's actually 7 1/2 / -, 120 so a little.
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Juice to the over so I have to. Keep an eye on that.
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But we do have the Home Run Derby tonight and I do have a
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play on the Home Run Derby for you.
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So I'm going to focus on a bet that is cash for me last couple
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years. So we're going to see if we can
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continue to cash one here for tonight.
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And it doesn't matter who does it.
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It's just got to happen from someone someone's got to produce
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this, this, this bet. It doesn't matter who it is.
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So might be knowing where I'm leaning here for this one, but
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I'll talk to you about it here in a second.
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Has to do with the weather. It has to do with the market.
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And again, you know, a little bit of action on the Home Run
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Derby, putting a unit on it. See if we can go want to know
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that, of course, is the goal. But then, you know, mentioning
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how this is the quiet and, you know, most quiet and then really
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slowest and most boring week of the year.
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There's really nothing to bet on yet The All Star break again,
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you have the Derby tonight. You got the game tomorrow, but
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then Wednesday and Thursday there's no MLB whatsoever.
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Yeah, You want to dabble in WNBA again?
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I used to be a bit of a WNBA better, but, you know, kind of
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didn't have a great edge and haven't really bet on it here in
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quite a while. But I tip my cap to anyone who's
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still grinding WNBA. I know Rhythm does have some
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great WNBA models you guys can take advantage of, but really,
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we'll have a bet for today. We'll probably have a bet for
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the All Star game and then I don't know what we're going to
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do Wednesday and Thursday. Maybe that'll be just, I don't
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know, talk bankroll management concepts, or maybe we'll take it
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off, who knows. But this is a week where if you
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are on vacation or got something to do or you're too busy to
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sweat some games, that's OK. It's the.
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Slowest week of the year. And I always think of the All
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Star Break guys as smack dab middle of the summer.
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I always think about The Sandlot when the fireworks are on and,
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you know, the catcher grabs the hot dog and he's running under
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the to the game under the lights.
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But it also reminds you that once you get through the All
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Star break and get back to MLB, it really means football's right
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around the corner. So you're looking at, again,
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before you know it, we'll be back to sweating, you know, dogs
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plus 3 1/2 or, you know, whatever sharp contrarian plays
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are available to us. So really, you turn the page and
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get ready for football once the All Star break is over.
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But I don't just have one bet for tonight, guys.
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I do have a play in the Home Run Derby, and it's a little
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different this year. There's different rules, but I
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also have two awards that I want to share with you because I bet
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2 MLB awards. Is it MVP?
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Is it Cy Young? Is it rookie?
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Of the year, Well, there's two of them.
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I got one for the Cy Young. Is it AL or NL?
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Stay tuned. I got one for Rookie of the Year
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Allnl. Again, you're gonna have to stay
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tuned, but as I was writing my daily article for vson.com,
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which I do everyday, I was like, OK, what am I going to write
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about? And typically what I do on the
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and I've been doing this for a while.
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I've been working at VSON since 2019, the Home Run Derby.
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It's really hard to break down where sharp money's leaning
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because some of these numbers are hard to find.
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And it just, it's a bit of a crapshoot in terms of who's
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going to win how many homers. It's just it's very difficult to
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to cash, but if you look at you know what, what you can talk
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about, we can think about is, hey, maybe there are some bets
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there in the awards market that are offering some value.
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So it's not Otani to an MVP. He's -10,000.
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No reason to bet that. That's like Mendoza going first
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overall. But a couple of these bets.
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I wrote about all of the categories for vsend.com.
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Again, you can always check out the sharp reports at Josh under
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score Insights. I tweet them every day, but I
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have a couple bets here where I was looking at, OK, you know
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who's in first, you know who's the favorite, who's the runner
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up, You know where the bet splits at.
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And then there's this one player in particular that I thought
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there was really interesting nugget that I think means he's
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hopefully going to win this thing for us.
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So one's a very short favorite number, one's a short dog
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number, but I do have two. Awards.
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Bets that I'll share with you and you can join me or not it's
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up to you and then we will have a bet here on the Home Run Derby
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here for tonight. Now looking back to the weekend
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guys hope everyone had a great weekend Nice way to little to to
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end the you know the All Star kind of go into the All Star
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break. If you read the sharp reports or
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got the best bet picks from juice reel, you were able to go
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2 and one on Saturday 2:00 and 1:00 on Sunday.
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So nice little winning weekend there and I had a great weekend
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because we brought my my daughter who is 3 months old,
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almost four months old, brought her down into Boston.
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We went to the New England Aquarium.
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She went by Faneuil Hall. We had a great time.
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It was pretty hot, but that was pretty awesome.
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You know having a good dinner and watching the fireworks and
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Margo's first trip to to downtown Boston.
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That was that was a lot of fun. So hope you guys had a lot of
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fun and again, let's see if we can make the most of the slowest
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week of the year. So I want to start off with the
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Home Run Derby because again. I see every year people.
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Betting on you know who's going to win the Home Run Derby, You
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can do head to You can do, you know, over under home runs by
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each guy. I'll just tell you guys, you
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know, I used to be one of those those those young bucks who
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would bet, you know, this guy to win it, that guy to win it.
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But I learned over time that it really is a crapshoot.
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It's hard to predict. The favorite doesn't always win
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it. Sometimes it's someone you're
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not expecting. So I'm just saying to myself, I
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really don't have an edge on who's going to win it here for
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tonight. So I'm thinking, OK, what are
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what are the ways we can capitalize on this bet without
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just, you know, throwing darts and saying, oh, I need the
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action. There's the only thing on is the
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Derby. So we got a bet on the Derby.
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So I'm just going to throw a dart with with no thought
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process behind it. I know Schwarber, obviously, you
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know, huge home run hitter. He is the favorite tonight.
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The Home Run Derby is at Citizens Bank Ballpark, so it's
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his home ballpark. He's plus 270.
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Junior Caminero is second runner up, best odds plus 340, Murakami
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plus 650, Jordan Walker plus 700, Caglione plus 800, Bryce
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Harper plus 900, Ben Rice plus 950, Wilson Contreras plus 1500.
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So there's eight guys you know, you think you have a one and
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eight chance to pick who's going to win it all.
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But then think of it the other way.
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You're seven of eight chance to to not pick the right guy.
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So I'm going to bypass on who's going to win it and I'm going to
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focus on, as I mentioned before, a bet that is cash for me in the
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last couple years. And what I've been focusing on
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is the distance of the longest home run.
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And what I like to do is kind of approach this bet similar to the
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hot dog eating contest. Now, if you remember back on 4th
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of July, it feels like forever ago.
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It's only like barely a little bit more than a week ago, we
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were talking about how that under with Joey Chestnut over
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under, hot dogs kept getting juiced under.
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So it was 73 1/2, got down to 72 1/2, ended up closing at 70 1/2.
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There was great steam on the under.
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It never let up. So the market was always leaning
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liability under. He ended up with 66 hot dogs.
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So we were able to cash that bet partly just from by, you know,
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reading the market, respecting the line movement, understanding
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where the juice liability was and kind of seeing which
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direction the wind was blowing now for the longest home run
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odds, kind of looking at the same thing here.
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Now, what I like about this bet is it doesn't matter who does.
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It can be anybody. Could be Schwarber, Caminero,
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Murakami, Walker, Caglio and Harper, Ben Rice, Wilson,
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Contreras. We basically can bet on
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everybody and we just have to have.
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The over or. Under longest home run go.
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Over 480. 5 1/2. Feet.
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Now the reason why I like. This bet over 480. 5 1/2.
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Is that #1 the betting market is showing liability on the over
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now? When I woke up this morning and
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I looked at DraftKings. The over under was 480. 4 1/2 so
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again, someone's got to hit it 485 to catch that bet.
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But when I woke up. It was over 480. 4 1/2 - 120 Now
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as I'm recording the pod, right before I hit record it got
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juiced up. Over 480. 4 1/2 - 125 So the
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juice is rising on the over. Then I'm of course always trying
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to compare other books to each other.
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See if there's an outlier book. Like if you remember at the time
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for the 4th of July, we're able to get Joey Chestnut 73 1/2
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under -130 at Who's at Caesar's when everyone else was 72 and a
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half, 71 1/2 now. There isn't a huge.
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Discrepancy, but this is. What jumped out to me,
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DraftKings right now is. Over 480. 4 1/2 - 125 That is
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the lowest number on the board. Every other book.
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And I'm in Massachusetts so I have like 6 or 7 books.
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Is leaning liability over SO. DK is over 480. 4 1/2 - 125.
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Fanatics is over 480. 4 1/2 - 135.
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Caesar's is over 480. 4 1/2 - 140 BET MGM.
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Is over 485. And 1/2 -. 110 and the.
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Score is over 480. 5 1/2. -120. So every book is basically.
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You know, wind blowing, you know, lick your finger, hold it
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up in the air. The wind is blowing toward the.
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Over. Because it's all 484 1/2 juiced.
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Over or even 480. Five and a.
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Half and juiced over as well. So that's my first indicator
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here that all liability movement is on this over.
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My second reason to bet this. Over 480. 4 1/2 and actually I
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was able to use an odds boost. I was debating, you know, do I?
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Lady over 480. 4 1/2 - 125 at DraftKings.
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That is the best number. I got down on bet.
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MGM, they offered me a Home Run Derby odds boost.
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Over 480. 5 1/2. It was -110 I got it down to -1
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O 5, so I gave up a foot, but I was able to save a bunch of
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juice, like $0.20 of juice. So that's what I'm riding.
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Bet MGM with the boost. Over 480. 5 1/2. -1 O 5 again,
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we got to have somebody hit it. 486.
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Or more so, market liability. Just over try to take advantage
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if you have bet MGM of the odds boost.
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Here's my second reason why I like the over.
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We have a new format tonight. Now if you've been paying
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attention, basically the new format is there's no clock
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anymore. So if you've been watching the
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last few home run derbies, you know you would see that there be
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a time clock. I forgot what it was.
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Was it 2 minutes again, you could have as many pitches as
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you want within that 2 two-minute time frame.
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Well, that is no more. There's no more clock.
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And instead you just get the number of swings.
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So I forgot the total number of swings.
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I think it's 20 swings or something.
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I could be off. Maybe it's 30, maybe it's 25.
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I think it's around 20. But the reason why I think that
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that's a benefit to the longest home run is that it gives the
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players and the hitters more time to reload, rest, and then
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go right back at it. Because when you're with a
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clock, just psychologically as a human, the clock clocks counting
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down, you feel that anxiety of the clock counting down.
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That means you go faster when the clock is removed and you
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know, it's just pitch pitches. You can take your time, you can
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step out-of-the-box, you can take a deep breath.
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You can readjust your batting gloves.
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You can get right back in there. Take a deep breath, you know,
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power up, load up and then crush each home run.
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Now, maybe I'm over blowing this.
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Maybe maybe it doesn't have the effect that I think it does, but
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I just feel like psychologically, you know, if
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you're playing Home Run Derby with your buddies and you have a
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2 minute clock. I used to do this all the time.
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We always played Wiffle ball Home Run Derby and it was in my
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front yard and we'd be hit toward the house.
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If you hit it over the house was a Homer.
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If you hit the roof, it was a triple, you know, side and
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whatever. Thankfully never broke a window.
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My dad would have killed us, but whole thought there is if you're
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in the All Star Home Run Derby, you know, and you're in a tied
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to a clock, it's just psychologically that you're
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going to have to, you know, go faster to get it, to get it all
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in it within the two minutes. Now that there's no clock again,
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I feel like that is a way to relax more, you know, and if you
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can relax more, it's almost like in baseball when there wasn't a
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pitch clock, like it took much longer, but you saw a really
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high velocity because guys could, you know, deep breath,
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load up and then really just Chuck it.
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Maybe that could benefit here. The home runs with the with the
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lack of a clock, more time to rest between pitches, more time
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to reload. Hopefully that gives your
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energy. So that's my second reason.
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So the markets juiced over no clock.
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My third angle here is the weather.
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Yes, the weather. This is a very important.
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You know, we're going to get back to betting football here
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before you know it and, you know, get back to those windy
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unders when the wind blows 10 mph more.
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The under in the NFLI think it's like 56% the last decade.
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Don't worry about that. We're not there yet.
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But if you're betting and over or you're betting you got a hit
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home run. What do you want?
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You want good weather with the wind blowing out And that's
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exactly what we have tonight. So I want to give a shout out to
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Kevin Roth. It's at Kevin Roth WX on
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Twitter. He does a great job.
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Used to be with rotor grinders. Think he's independent now or
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maybe he's created his own, his own website.
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But he had a great tweet that made me more confident to play
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this. Over for 80. 5 1/2.
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His tweet was quote, if only we knew exactly how much the
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weather matters for tonight's Home Run Derby dot dot .0.
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Wait, we do overcast. I think that's his name of his
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new site. Overcast shows some very solid
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hitting weather tonight. Enjoy.
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And he's got a little graphic here, and basically it says 8:00
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Citizens Bank Ballpark, Philadelphia, PA. 82°.
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With Six Mile per hour winds blowing out to right center.
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So versus this park, the home run percentage is 13% higher
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than other parks. It's 22% higher than all of MLB.
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So basically that's another cherry on top when you're
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building a case, you're trying to make a bet, you're not trying
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to throw a dart. We're trying to again have the
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market tell us it's liability over, you know, you know, doing
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our own handicapping. Yes, you could say lack a clock
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again, rest, reload. Hopefully you hit longer home
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runs. And then the third reason is the
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weather. Now it's not 20 mph blowing out
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to dead center, but it's a good 82°.
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I think that's a good number because number one, it's not 90,
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it's not 100. If it's really hot, then you get
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sweaty. And if you don't hit it as far,
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82° is like a perfect temperature, 6 mile per hour
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winds. It's not 10 or 20, but it's
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blowing out, blowing out to right field.
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So you got a lot of lefties here, Schwarber, Murakami,
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Caglione, Harper, Ben Rice, a lot of lefties who could really
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just crush it and, and hook it and, and pull it to right field
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and hopefully and again, or you got a couple of righties here
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like Caminero as well as Jordan Walker and Wilson Contreras who
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could also crush 1. So we have good weather, wind
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blowing out. We have liability over in the
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market and we have no clock, which hopefully means you're
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rested and reloaded and you can crush it.
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So all that combined together, I'm sweating the longest home
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run. Over 4. 85 1/2.
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Feet Again, if you want to get the best number per SE, you're
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going to pay more juice, but you get.
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Over 480. 4 1/2 - 125 at DK. I save some juice.
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I use the Bet MGM promo. I got over 480. 5 1/2.
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Down to -1 O 5 but Long story short, let's get someone hit
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1486 and I was also reading this article from ESPN and I stumbled
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on an angle here. There's fielding or they were
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talking to a lot of different, you know, baseball experts at
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ESPN, and the question was who will hit the longest home run of
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the night and how far? Jeff Passan said.
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Jack Caglione. 4. 86 that would catch this by the skin of our
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our teeth. Schoenfeld, Caminero 489 Buster
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Olney, Schwarber 511 Rogers, Caglione five O 6.
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Castillo Schwarber 492. So these are the baseball
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experts. They're all saying the longest
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one will be 486 up to, you know, into the low 5 hundreds.
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We just need one of them to go 486 or more.
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That's my play for tonight. Over 480. 5 1/2. -1 O 5 now to a
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couple awards. Just want to mention this
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because, you know, again, we got a slow week and hopefully the
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beauty of playing a futures bet is that you got to have some
17:05
patience. You got to have liquidity in the
17:07
bankroll, but you bet it now, you cash it later.
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It's always nice. We can cash it later.
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So I wanted to just mention all these awards quickly and then
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give you 2 bets that I thought were worthy of betting.
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Let's start with the ALMVP. And all this data comes from Bet
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MGM, the odds as well as the Bet Splits leader for ALMVP, Jordan
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Alvarez. He's -160 he's leading in pretty
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much the entire Triple Crown. Have an incredible year.
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Aaron Judge was the leader for much of the year, but he got
17:35
hurt, so he's off the board now. I'm not betting this one.
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Alvarez -160 you know, feels like he's probably going to win
17:42
this thing. But I would respect Junior
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Caminero plus 450. He, he plays the field.
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Alvarez is just the DH. He's got great numbers and he
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plays for the team with the best record in the American League.
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So, you know, if you're looking for a maybe a quote UN quote
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value play, Caminero plus 450, you know, not a bad idea.
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You want to lay chalk with Alvarez, that's fine too.
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I really didn't want to do either.
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I didn't touch it, but here's one of the first two bets that I
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made, AL Siyoung. I got Cam Schlittler.
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I was able to find Cam Schlittler plus 1/25 at the
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score. The reason why I like
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Schlittler, it's really a two man race.
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There's no one else other than Schlittler who at Bet MGM is
18:23
plus 1/15 and at with Bet MGM Dylan ceases plus 140.
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So you got two guys sub plus 150.
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No one else is even a + 1000 or less.
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I went and got down on Schlittler because he's got more
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wins than Cease. He's got the better ERA.
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He's second in strikeouts. Cease does have more strikeouts,
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but a lot of this has to do with the the ticket count.
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Low bets, higher dollars. Because Schlittler at Bet MGM is
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getting 8% of tickets, 19% of the money.
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You look at Cease, 6% of the tickets, 10% of the money.
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So Schultler has the better ERA, more wins.
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He's right behind him in strikeouts.
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He's got a sharper low but higher dollar split at BET MGM.
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He's made more starts, 20 versus C to 17.
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Any place for a team with a better record with the Yankees,
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Second place in the American League, second best record.
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Blue Jays fifth worst record. So if you tell me like cease
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with a little more plus money, I get it.
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They're neck and neck. But Schlittler has the way
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sharper low bets, higher dollar split and the stats are better.
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He's made more starts and he plays for a better team.
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So I took a shot on Schlittler again, shop around because at
19:36
bed and Jimmy's plus 1/15 he is plus 1/10 at Caesars plus 1/25
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at FanDuel, plus 1/25 at the score plus 1/20 at DK plus 1/20
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at Bally bet plus 1/25 at Fanatics.
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So I bet it at the score at plus 1/25.
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So I am taking a shot on Cam Schlittler, AL Rookie of the
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year Kevin mcgonagall -250 he's a pretty big favorite here.
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He is pretty much the odds on favorite.
20:04
Of course, next guy is Murakami. He's plus 700.
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I didn't touch this. Mcgonagall looks like he's going
20:10
to get it. He's got the highest number of
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tickets, 25%, thirty, 2% dollars.
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Murakami, you know, he was injured, but if he really turns
20:19
it on, maybe that gets a little closer.
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But -250 for Mcgonigal was a little bit too high for me.
20:24
And Murakami, yeah, you know, he's had a great year.
20:26
But, you know, we'll see what that injury, how he plays.
20:29
So I didn't touch it. But Mcgonigal of the Tigers is
20:32
the favorite NLMVP. It's Shohei Otani.
20:35
He's -10,000 his, you know, I don't even have to tell you,
20:38
just his numbers are incredible both on the mound as well as at
20:42
bat. He's got an incredible bet split
20:44
7% bets, 40% dollars. Problem here guys is he's way
20:49
too expensive to bet -10,000. He's going to win it.
20:52
He was -1 O 5 to start, so maybe you just bet him, you know prior
20:55
to opening day. That's the only chance you're
20:56
going to get with a guy like Kotani NL Sai Young.
20:59
I didn't play this either, but this is interesting because
21:01
Mesirowski is -500 guys incredible.
21:05
The area of 1.62. He's throwing the ball like 107
21:08
mph. Bet best bet, split 9% tickets,
21:12
20% handle. But here's the thing.
21:15
Is there an injury concern here? Miss Zarowski is -500 but he is
21:20
getting scratched from the All Star game and just got scratched
21:23
from his first start after the All Star game.
21:25
So if he's out and when you're throwing the ball 107 mph, I
21:29
don't know if anyone's arm can, it can last that long.
21:32
So if you're looking for a value play, Christopher Sanchez, he's
21:35
going to start the All Star game.
21:37
He's +700, but one guy would kind of think about is Zach
21:41
Wheeler. He's plus 2000, but he's 1010
21:45
and one with a 2.13 ERA. And he got really pissed off
21:48
because he didn't make the All Star team even though he had
21:51
great numbers. And then they said, oh, you want
21:53
to be a replacement. He said, no, screw you.
21:54
You didn't want to get me again. I kind of respect that.
21:57
So is he so mad that he's going to prove everybody wrong?
22:01
And plus 2000 again? If Mizrowski is healthy, he's
22:04
going to win this thing. But there's a question about his
22:06
health. Zach Wheeler.
22:08
Not a bad dark horse play there. But here is my second bet again,
22:14
Schlittler plus 125, Cy Young. My other bet guys NL.
22:18
Rookie of the Year JJ. Weatherholt -155 JJ Weatherholt,
22:24
He has got some good numbers, hitting 25913 homers, 36 RBI's.
22:29
It's kind of a two man race. The guy closest to him would be
22:33
Sal Stewart, the slugger first baseman of the Reds.
22:36
He's plus 280. But what really got me in the
22:40
other angle here is Connor Griffin, Pirates Stud shortstop.
22:44
He had a ton of bets in dollars, 16% bets, 34% money.
22:48
But he just got hurt placed on the 60 day DL, so he's pretty
22:52
much done. It's really between Weather Hole
22:54
and Sal Stewart, and here's why I got down on Weather hole -155
23:00
Now he's -155 at Bet MGM. That's where I bet it -155 DK
23:05
-155 fanatics. He's -160 at FanDuel on the
23:09
score. He's -167 at Bally Bet and
23:12
Caesars. What are you doing?
23:13
He's -200 at Caesars. Don't bet him at Caesars, but I
23:17
bet weatherholt -155. I can tell you the Red Sox play
23:21
the series. I'm a Red Sox fan.
23:22
I watch every game even though what's crazy is they're hot as
23:25
you know what, right now they've won, what is it nine straight
23:28
there what, 14 and 2 the last 16.
23:30
It's unbelievable. But I do remember watching And
23:34
the other thing is that MLBTV. So I watch if I bet on the
23:37
Cardinals, I'm watching these games.
23:39
This is a very, you know, basic take, but Weatherholt has
23:42
impressed me. I've seen him make some really
23:44
good plays in the field. He's got good numbers at the
23:47
plate and in particular when the Red Sox played the Cardinals
23:51
that he he killed him. He made some great, great plays
23:53
at at the plate end in the field.
23:56
But here's why I'm I'm betting weatherholt -155 First off -155
24:00
it's not -250 like Mcgonigal, it's not -10,000 like Ohtani.
24:05
It's kind of in that neighborhood of yachts minus
24:07
money, but it's not that expensive.
24:09
So it feels like a bettable number.
24:11
But the reason why I'm betting Weather Hole in particular is I
24:14
was reading an article today doing some handicapping about
24:17
the analytics, and the analytics absolutely love Weather Hole.
24:21
He's actually graded as the best.
24:24
I think it is the best because he said it was better than Bobby
24:26
Witt or one of the best fielders.
24:29
But you know how MLB has become a nerd sport?
24:33
It always, kind of always has just because numbers are so
24:35
important. It's a number based sport.
24:37
But what what's one of the most important stats or categories
24:42
that can really influence a lot of these awards?
24:45
It's war, WAR, war, wins above replacement.
24:49
And did you know I was reading this article that JJ Weatherholt
24:53
has a 3.7 WAR and not only is that really good, it's the 7th
24:59
best war in baseball. And as I'm reading this article,
25:02
it's like they're giving all these other stats.
25:04
I I'll be honest with you guys, I'm 39 years old.
25:07
I remember when it was average home runs.
25:10
RB is again and maybe you can do run score too but now it's like.
25:14
WZR Weighted. Plus da da da da bop it.
25:17
But it's getting ridiculous and and I can tell I'm getting older
25:20
because I'm getting annoyed at these young kids that love these
25:23
crazy analytics. Again, what was wrong with home
25:26
runs, RBIs, and an average? But anyway, all these other
25:30
stats that I can't even tell you what they are all had
25:32
Weatherholt by far and away not only just the best rookie, but
25:37
also one of the best players in Major League Baseball.
25:40
But when I read that he's got a 3.7 more 7th best in baseball, I
25:46
don't think this guy's going to lose this award.
25:47
Or at least I hope. I hope he doesn't.
25:49
So I did play weatherholt -155 at Bet MGM for.
25:54
Rookie of the Year. Along with Schlittler plus 125
25:58
AL Cy Young at the score and lastly the over home runs
26:02
distance 485 1/2 -. 1 O 5 boosted down at BET MGM.
26:07
So that about does it for episode 5. 48 of the all.
26:10
Systems go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
26:13
This is the part of the pod. We wrap things up and always
26:15
start first by saying thank you. Thank you for listening,
26:18
especially on daily today when there's not much going on, but
26:21
you guys tuning in means the world to me.
26:23
If you'd like to help me grow this pod, please give it a five
26:26
star review on Spotify or iTunes, recommend the pod to a
26:29
friend, retweet or like the pod when I put it out on Twitter.
26:32
Any or all of those things would be very much appreciated.
26:35
Next, if you enjoy this style of sports betting breakdown
26:38
data-driven sharp contrarian betting focusing on line
26:42
movement pet split system matches, taking a contrarian
26:44
approach, focusing on the numbers, not what our gut and
26:47
our bias is telling us. But if this style of betting has
26:49
appealed to you, you want to learn more about data-driven
26:52
betting, or you have someone in your life who could use some
26:55
data-driven tips, then I would love for you to go to Amazon.com
26:59
and type in the everything guide to sports betting or the NFL
27:02
sharp betting playbook. Grab one or both of my books,
27:05
bring them to the sports book. I'll sign up for you buy a beer
27:08
and we'll sweat the longest Homer tonight.
27:10
Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Real yet?
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My two favorite sports betting apps.
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They help me when they're going to help you win.
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Rhythm is great for their AI backed models and predictions
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for game bets and player props as well as Juice Reel.
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So many great features of Juice Reel.
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You can sync up your sports books, get a running report card
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of your action. You can shop for the best line.
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You can also get the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the
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sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays.
27:35
You can also tip your podcast toast through the Juice Reel
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app. You can get my plays directly
27:41
from Juice Reel. As soon as I bet them, they go
27:43
right to the Juice Reel app. You can get those plays
27:45
immediately for $9.99 a week. So 10 bucks a week or $24.99 for
27:52
a month, 25 bucks for a month. And again, you got the plays
27:55
immediately, hopefully beat some closing lines and and hey,
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you'll help me pay for my my daughter's ridiculous upcoming
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childcare payments. But seriously, if you've already
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paid for the plays, it means a lot to me.
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I really appreciate it. Download rhythm, download
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juicer. I'll give them both a five star
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one. It's such a critical tool.
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It'll make your life so much easier to be able to track the
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market in real time. As soon as the line changes,
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you're made aware of it. Shopping for the best number,
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You just got to use this special link Odds logic.com/josh 123.
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So that about does it for episode 548 of the ASG pod.
28:46
As always guys, two final thoughts.
28:48
One whether I. See you at the.
28:49
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island.
28:54
Of course I'm screwing up my thing now.
28:57
Twin River in Rhode Island if you're looking at screw it out
29:01
in Vegas, getting getting the best number there at the South
29:04
Point where Billy Walters sends his number runners getting
29:07
lowest as possible or jumping in the stadium swimming pool when
29:10
you cash a big ticket at Circa. Actually, my phone started
29:13
ringing, that's why it was thrown off.
29:15
It ended up being Spam. So thanks.
29:16
Thanks Spam for screwing up my spiel at the end of the pod.
29:20
I'll be the way guys. You're going to walk up to me,
29:22
hopefully show me a longest home run ticket, Cash 486 or more.
29:26
You can show me some tickets over the weekend.
29:29
How about let's see White Sox in Tampa Bay, Saint Louis,
29:34
Baltimore, Chicago, show me a couple winners.
29:37
First one's on me, next one's on you.
29:38
Will post about the book Sweatshop Contrarian plays all
29:41
night long. So coming off a winning weekend,
29:43
a losing weekend, a hot streak, a cold streak, guys, we just
29:46
can't get too high or too low. You know, stick to the model,
29:48
stick to the blueprint and continue to grind the system
29:52
matches looking for games that are against the public with the
29:54
house, with the pros flat bet, avoid parlays and get that COV.
29:58
If we can do that, we're going to be successful betters.
30:01
So enjoy the Derby tonight, guys.
30:02
See if we can get someone hit 1486 or more.
30:06
Be right back at it tomorrow. Having a best bet for the
30:08
Midsummer Classic? That'll be episode 549 of the
30:12
All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
30:16
Good luck everybody and have a great Monday night.