Latest / Betfair Trading Community Podcast

Over 2.5 Goals Strategy: The Positives, Negatives & What I’d Test
Send us Fan Mail
In this episode, I’m breaking down the positives and negatives of an Over 2.5 Goals strategy on Betfair.
On the surface, it looks like one of the simplest football strategies out there.
You just need three goals.
Doesn’t matter who scores them. Doesn’t matter who wins. A 2-1, 3-0 or even 4-4 all do the job.
But simple doesn’t necessarily mean profitable.
I’ll look at:
Why Over 2.5 Goals is such an easy market to understand
Why there are so many potential qualifiers
The stats I’d actually test
Why “high-scoring teams” isn’t automatically an edge
The problem with lower strike…
The skinny
The skinny isn't ready yet — notes appear once the transcript is processed.