Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Lawrence Lepard - Bank of England Pivot, Hyperinflation? - Simply Bitcoin IRL
Transcript
- 0:00Hello, hello. Hello everybody.
- 0:02Welcome to another episode of Simply Bitcoin IRL.
- 0:06Once again, I am streaming live from the Bitcoin magazine
- 0:10headquarters in Nashville, Tennessee.
- 0:13And I have a very special guest today.
- 0:16Lawrence lip hard, and he coincidentally, I was talking
- 0:20about this about with him off, are coincidentally.
- 0:25We had this plan for a couple weeks now.
- 0:28And this just happened to be the day.
- 0:30Day that the bank of England pivoted.
- 0:33And from my perspective, they turned on the money.
- 0:37Printer once again. Now I know that on Twitter, we
- 0:41see a lot of the heavyweights James lavish Craig, Foss,
- 0:46yourself, Lawrence. And so many people talking about
- 0:51what exactly is going on and they'll put, you know, these
- 0:55Bloomberg terminal pictures and all that stuff.
- 0:58And I think that You know, I've had to learn a lot about this
- 1:02stuff, making Bitcoin content, but I'm sure there's a lot of
- 1:05people out there that don't quite understand, the
- 1:08significance of what happened today.
- 1:11So, from your perspective, Lawrence, what happened today?
- 1:15Was it a big deal? Was it, was it the inevitable
- 1:18that they were always going to turn on the money printer once
- 1:20again. Yeah, absolutely.
- 1:21So for those who haven't followed the news, obviously,
- 1:25the biggest thing it happen today is the Bank of England
- 1:28pivoted. You know, they had been doing
- 1:30cutie and pushing rates up and pretending like everything was
- 1:34fine. And in fact, they and headlines
- 1:39were rather 2008 ish. You know, they said that they
- 1:42had to reverse the policies. Not necessarily on the interest
- 1:45rates, but on the QT side, they're going to increase kiwi
- 1:49and they had to intervene in the markets to prevent the collapse
- 1:53of the guilt market and the British pound and they were
- 1:57going to do so by Direct. Into the marketplace, which is
- 2:03which is really historic and important and kind of reminds me
- 2:08of 2008. You know, things were breaking
- 2:11are breaking their breaking so fast that they had to do it
- 2:14without delay. And I don't have these to pull
- 2:16up in front of me. Maybe you can access charts and
- 2:18pull them up but you know, if you go look at a chart of the,
- 2:21the British guilt, the 30-year Bond, I mean it was almost in a
- 2:24freefall. And the, the interest rate was
- 2:28in turn Our pound. I'm sorry was also in a freefall
- 2:32and this is because of the policies that they've had to put
- 2:35in to protect their citizens, from the outrageous increase in
- 2:39electrical costs. And we've all seen the tweets of
- 2:42guys who are running pubs and bakeries and so forth, and even
- 2:46in their homes. People seeing, you know, two
- 2:49three, four X increases in their underlying electricity rates,
- 2:53and then new British prime minister trois came in and said,
- 2:57well, okay, what we're going to do is we're going to cap.
- 3:00We're going to cap your costs and we're going to cover the
- 3:02difference over 2,500. I believe it was for households
- 3:04and some similar number, right? For businesses.
- 3:07I don't know the specifics, but of course, that's fine.
- 3:10And one could argue that, that is the right policy to protect
- 3:13their citizens. The question is, of course,
- 3:14where they going to find the money to do it.
- 3:16And they don't, it's not like they're running a big Surplus,
- 3:18right? They don't really have the
- 3:20money. Oh, thank you.
- 3:20That's very helpful. They don't really have the money
- 3:23to do it and as a result there have to print the money to do
- 3:27it. And so, This printing was
- 3:32started, you know, I think they announced the coverage or
- 3:36protection of the electrical costs.
- 3:39A couple, you know, ten days ago or so.
- 3:41And you know, obviously the bond market and the the guilt Market
- 3:46by market in gilts and the pound reacted quite negatively and it
- 3:50was becoming kind of a route and so they got in there and they
- 3:54reverse their policies. It was a huge pivot, incredibly
- 3:57important and I think what it says What it shows is this
- 4:01problem is coming to all central banks.
- 4:04And you know, it the Japanese have been doing this for a while
- 4:07but everyone can looks at Japanese.
- 4:09Well, yeah, that's old. That's old news over there.
- 4:11But in Britain, they had not been pursuing these policies and
- 4:14they suddenly changed, you know, and the headlines were scary
- 4:19right to everybody. And what it said to me is, you
- 4:23know, the system is breaking, it reminds me very much.
- 4:26I mean, I feel like we're in July or August of Eight hasn't
- 4:30totally broken the FED hasn't pivoted but it shows that you
- 4:34know what the FED is doing in terms of tightening monetary
- 4:37policy and withdrawing accommodation quantitative
- 4:39tightening it's just not going to work.
- 4:41I mean they can't do it, they can't effectively do it.
- 4:44They're going to be forced into pivoting or else.
- 4:45They're going to have a big hole in the ground that used to be
- 4:48the economy. And it's gonna look like 1929.
- 4:50So to me it was enormously significant and the Bitcoin
- 4:55price firmed up a tad, I believe.
- 4:57But more importantly, the gold market smelled it.
- 4:59It you know in size and the gold market was up $30 on a day at
- 5:02one point. Nine percent silver was up 53
- 5:05cents on a day which is two point eight six percent.
- 5:08And so you know the markets took note and of course the US
- 5:13markets, caught a bit everything.
- 5:15Everything changed S&P was up. I mean, pretty much everything
- 5:18was up and gold stocks which is what my fun focuses on mostly
- 5:22although I have a lot of Bitcoin as well, you know, the gxj was
- 5:26up seven point seven six percent in one day.
- 5:30That's a pretty large move. And so, you know what, I, what I
- 5:35see, and what I've seen for some time, I mean, all these
- 5:37governments are bankrupt, right? We know that and all these Fiat
- 5:40currencies are worthless. We know that, but they've been
- 5:44trying to pretend like those two things aren't true.
- 5:47And, you know, the result was a run on their currency and a run
- 5:50on their bonds. And so, in order to hold things
- 5:53together, they had to step into these markets and change their
- 5:56policies, and I think that it's only a matter of time.
- 6:00Until the FED is forced to do the exact same thing.
- 6:03So and I think the market realized that you know worldwide
- 6:08and you know, in my opinion, you know, the bottom is in now for,
- 6:13you know, gold and Bitcoin very clearly and it's only a matter
- 6:17of time until the probe accelerates in other areas.
- 6:20I mean, look there you know, trillions and trillions of
- 6:24dollars of derivatives and most of those derivatives are bets on
- 6:28interest rates and bonds. And and you know, when you get
- 6:32the moves of the Nate of the size that we've had in the last
- 6:34few weeks, you know, the u.s. tenure going straight up and
- 6:39other bond market yield on the u.s. 10, you're going stripper,
- 6:42bonds, going, straight down and all these other things, what you
- 6:44see is a system breaking apart and you know that, which is
- 6:52fine. I mean, it is what it is.
- 6:55But, you know, the policymakers, you know, are going to be forced
- 6:58to respond because They can't have their bonds falling apart.
- 7:03I mean, the US treasury bond is the ten-year is the measure of
- 7:06interest rates for the entire world and the government is
- 7:09unable to fund itself. You know, AT&T Bond rates.
- 7:13You look at the what you're looking at.
- 7:15We should look at. That's is that the shorter?
- 7:17That's a shorter term, right Abdi?
- 7:19Pull it. Pull it to a five-year scale,
- 7:20please. Yeah, I do a fighter, you know.
- 7:24Well, that's cold. Yeah, go to if you're able to
- 7:26put in u.s. to year or u.s. tenure on the bond, Which what
- 7:30are you on for charting so software?
- 7:32There, put up, pull up the two year and 10 year treasury bond,
- 7:37optishot, see what was going on? Grocery pain, and the 2-year
- 7:42Bond while the treasury bonds gone up substantially and you
- 7:48know, the two year has gone up even faster.
- 7:50And so, you know, when the US has got 30 plus trillion dollars
- 7:54of debt, you know, at an average interest cost of, you know, kind
- 7:57of to trending towards 3:00. But as that all Trolls.
- 8:01You know, it's going to go to the three, four five six, you
- 8:04know, basically you cannot you know, you can't fund yourself.
- 8:08And so you get into what you know lavage myself Foss and
- 8:11others have said is a debt death spiral, which is to say higher
- 8:16interest rates are going to cost cause, you know, the the fund
- 8:22the government to be unable to fund itself.
- 8:25And so, okay, fine. So how does the government react
- 8:28to that they react the way Boe just did and they, you know,
- 8:33they buy treasury bond. How do they buy it?
- 8:36They buy it with money, they don't have money, they print it.
- 8:39And that is really kind of the that's the Crux of the matter
- 8:44that they are going to be forced into printing.
- 8:46Because as Max said, so many times, you can't take R upon Z.
- 8:50You know, we're kind of in a print or die environment and so
- 8:55you know that's that couldn't be better for sound money,
- 8:58Alternatives gold. And A coin.
- 9:02So and another aspect, right? It's with the with the rates
- 9:08being raised at this level and when you were talking Lawrence,
- 9:11I was getting boost Goosebumps. And the reason is because I
- 9:15don't think in 2008, they're turning on the money printer.
- 9:20When the UK has a 10% inflation rate, not to mention the energy
- 9:25crisis where people can't, you know, people can't afford power,
- 9:29right? Then the response by Ursula the
- 9:33the president of the European Union was price controls.
- 9:36We're going to nationalize this stuff.
- 9:38We're going to tax the energy companies.
- 9:43It again from my perspective. Then I get and like, I always
- 9:47say guys, I went straight into the Bitcoin world, I miss the,
- 9:50the traditional world. But just basic Common Sense
- 9:53here. If you're going to print money
- 9:59to try to rescue yourself from this situation and you're
- 10:02already dealing with 10% inflation.
- 10:07Are you looking? You're gonna make it worse.
- 10:09I mean, this is going at it, but, but dot, not just worse.
- 10:12This is a catastrophe that I'm seeing unfolding before.
- 10:16My eyes in the next 6, or 10 years, if you're under the age
- 10:20of 35, you're not going to be able to own anything because
- 10:24it's becoming so expensive to borrow.
- 10:27This is a, this is worse than 2008, and that's just from my
- 10:32perspective, you know, you're absolutely right.
- 10:33And this is much worse than 2008.
- 10:35I mean 2008 was Focused on, you know, the banks in the United
- 10:39States and the housing market in the United States and obviously
- 10:412008 was quite bad. But this isn't a level above
- 10:45that which is a sovereign debt level.
- 10:47And you know what we're seeing here is Pension funds and
- 10:50governments, you know, that created this everything bubble
- 10:53by mispricing fiat currency for so long.
- 10:56I mean, you know zirp interest rates from you know, 2009 to
- 11:002015 just created enormous distortions.
- 11:04And this is why we call it the everything bubble.
- 11:07There's just so much money out there flying around and nobody
- 11:09really knows what the price of anything should be or is and
- 11:13nobody really knows what fiat currency is is worth.
- 11:17In fact, you know, you and I think believe that's worth
- 11:19nothing but the world certainly the normies certainly haven't
- 11:23believed that for some long time and they you know are coming to
- 11:28see the fundamental mathematical problem that Greg is so
- 11:32accurately and consistently pointed out great, fossa
- 11:35referring to You know, the bond market is schooling, the central
- 11:39banks and they've got a real problem.
- 11:42I mean there's you can bet that there are people in, you know,
- 11:46all the central banks all over the world right now who are
- 11:50looking at this and going, oh shit, you know, what do we do
- 11:53now? And, you know, it's it's it's
- 11:59going to be zigzaggy. It's, you know, I don't want to
- 12:01get carried away and say it's definitely all over right here
- 12:04right now, but but it kind of feels That way to me, it's it's
- 12:09very, very serious and are unlikely to be able to unspool
- 12:13this milk. So, you know, I think it's only
- 12:18a matter of time, I mean, I think it's interesting that that
- 12:21gold smelled. It first usually does gets
- 12:23bigger more widely distributed. In the more traditional, it's a
- 12:26more traditional sound money asset, but Bitcoin, I smell it
- 12:28too. And Bitcoin will follow gold it.
- 12:32I think it's very interesting that when they did it in 2020
- 12:34which was kind of a miniature of this, you know, the The covid
- 12:37Driven money printing episode gold took off immediately.
- 12:42I mean, it just out of the hole in March of twenty, twenty gold
- 12:45shot up like a rocket. And Bitcoin went up, not as
- 12:48much, but then, if you notice a few months later, you know,
- 12:51Bitcoin came on and passed gold in Spades, I mean it's a better
- 12:55alternative but it took a while for that to occur.
- 12:59And so I've long contended that Bitcoin leads gold, you know, or
- 13:04I'm sorry the gold leads Bitcoin in terms.
- 13:07Of these price moves but Bitcoin outperforms gold once it gets
- 13:10going so and I hold both but the fundamental just more focused
- 13:14about 80% gold, gold stocks and twenty twenty percent Bitcoin
- 13:18related. So yeah look at look at that
- 13:20move you know off the bottom you can see the that's the leave it
- 13:25there for a moment that's the US 10-year.
- 13:26Notice how on a spike law was this low as, you know, 30 or 40
- 13:29bits, you know? And now it today actually before
- 13:33all this happened, it had just crossed four percent.
- 13:36I was Making it bet on Twitter about one that would happen.
- 13:39I guess it would happen today. It was a lucky guess.
- 13:41But, you know it across four percent this morning and then I
- 13:46went and did my workout. I came back and somebody said,
- 13:48the Boe pivoted, and I said, oh yeah, big deal.
- 13:51But then I looked at it and, you know, hey, Jose gold is not
- 13:57shit, okay. Gold's been around for five
- 14:00thousand years. All right, get a grip.
- 14:04So, You know, it's it's a mess. It's a real mess.
- 14:11Oh man. So we're where does this go from
- 14:15now? So look, the reaction that I saw
- 14:24in and I'm going to change the topic a little bit.
- 14:26It's all connected, right? The recent digital assets
- 14:31framework by the White House and there is actually a report by
- 14:36the US Treasury called the future of money.
- 14:39In this report, we covered it on the show.
- 14:45There was no mention of Bitcoin. There was the, the the the only
- 14:49innovations that they spoke of was payment systems like venmo
- 14:56and PayPal and cash app, and all that stuff.
- 14:59And, of course, Central Bank, digital currencies and stable
- 15:04coins. There was no mention of Bitcoin.
- 15:07So the reason I'm bringing this up Lawrence is because clearly
- 15:10they're positioning themselves. In a way.
- 15:14And it was actually druckenmiller that tweeted this
- 15:16out. It was Zero Hedge that actually
- 15:18tweeted on, he was quoting. Had said, if this situation gets
- 15:22worse, for central banks, people are going to start seeking
- 15:26Alternatives and cryptocurrencies, but from my
- 15:30perspective, maybe it's selfish. I don't know.
- 15:34I think that's a good thing and not cryptocurrencies, but
- 15:38specifically Bitcoin. I was just quoting the Zero
- 15:41Hedge tweet. From your perspective, how will
- 15:47this giant bureaucratic State? These administrative state?
- 15:52That will do anything to ensure its survival, right?
- 15:55I know that you're a believer in a VCI assassinating.
- 15:59JFK. How will they react to this?
- 16:02At the end of the day? The United States government is
- 16:05the most powerful government in the world.
- 16:07It is the largest employer in the world employees.
- 16:10Nine million people Federal full-time workers on Top of
- 16:13that. It's 16 million Federal
- 16:15contractors. If you add the full time
- 16:17workers, that is a machine. That is a monster that is a
- 16:21creature in itself. Absolutely.
- 16:23I mean, look, what we know is that they'll do anything, they
- 16:26can to protect the privilege. They've done in the past, they
- 16:29change the rules, you know, we don't know.
- 16:33I mean, that's, you know, that's that's the unfortunate thing.
- 16:36We can make guesses as to what they'll do, you know, in a
- 16:40similar, similar sovereign debt. - I mean you know Roosevelt
- 16:45confiscated the golden 6102 we stole it from the people and
- 16:48devalued it by 70% which is one of the flaws with gold but it's
- 16:54very hard to say. I mean they could you know, they
- 16:57could theoretically they could shut the markets, they could
- 17:00pivot j-pal could get fired. Which I'm actually beginning to
- 17:03think, is a real possibility. You know, the you know they need
- 17:10they need to change this policy. It's going to be.
- 17:12It's meant Thematically obvious that they need to change this
- 17:15policy and they will, because is bad.
- 17:19As, you know, the inflation we have is, you know, driving the
- 17:23economy into a complete depression where nothing
- 17:27functions because you know, money is too expensive in the
- 17:31government, can't pay its bills and you know, the markets all go
- 17:33to 0. That's a that's a worse
- 17:36alternative than high inflation. I mean, High inflation is bad.
- 17:39Don't get me wrong. I mean, the sad thing is that
- 17:42what they've I've done is painted themselves and us into a
- 17:46corner. We're all going to suffer
- 17:47greatly as a result of this and but, you know, we're not the
- 17:51ones who were pulling the levers at the top and we didn't design
- 17:55this broken system in the, you know, the bright news is Nico
- 17:59that, you know, the system is going to fail, and a better
- 18:03system is going to emerge. It's based on a sound money
- 18:05alternative, which will be Bitcoin, ultimately, but in the
- 18:09interim, I think gold play a role as well.
- 18:13Oh man. So Lawrence, what kid the
- 18:17individual? What could the average person do
- 18:22to protect themselves from what is coming?
- 18:26Because you're not the only person that, you know, has been
- 18:29saying this but I think that, you know, the the old first of
- 18:34all this has never happened in my lifetime.
- 18:35Okay, so again happen to my neither, I mean obviously Chris
- 18:38of happen, I mean, I've seen big Financial disruption.
- 18:42But this is a bigger in at a higher level than anything I've
- 18:44seen to date. This is bigger than 2008 or it
- 18:46will be when it's all said and done.
- 18:49How long will this? Last people are saying that this
- 18:51is not a recession, that's incoming, people are saying that
- 18:54this is, this is a depression, this will be multiple years.
- 18:59There is no easy fix out of the, there is no easy out.
- 19:03Would you agree with that? I would agree with that.
- 19:06Although, you know, the there, you know, people often say,
- 19:10well, you're critical of the system.
- 19:11Mm. You know what would you do to
- 19:13fix it? I mean, there actually is a
- 19:14solution, you know, they need to, they need to confess and do
- 19:17a monetary reset to a sound money standard.
- 19:20The odds of them doing that, you know, are in my opinion quite
- 19:25low, you know, they won't do that until they're forced to do
- 19:28it. But you know, the problem is too
- 19:31much debt and they should, you know, they should devalue the
- 19:34currency, you know, in Bitcoin and gold terms.
- 19:38But as I say, I say they're not going to do it because they're
- 19:40trying to protect their privilege.
- 19:41So Will do is they'll do everything they can to not you
- 19:44know, to try and prevent us from succeeding.
- 19:47But you know there are millions of us are billions of us.
- 19:50And there are only a small number of them and we're just
- 19:52going to run them over, you know, they're screwed, I mean
- 19:57they're completely screwed. Now, you know, the sad thing is
- 20:00that, you know, at least people watching.
- 20:02This are probably very much aware of the problem and have
- 20:05taken the moves to protect themselves and I get a lot of
- 20:07emails and just a regular guy out here working in the middle
- 20:10of America. You know, what do I do to Like
- 20:12myself. You know, I'm not supposed to
- 20:13get financial advice so this is just my own personal opinion.
- 20:16Anyone is not Financial advice, right?
- 20:18However, the worst thing anyone could ever own right now is
- 20:22bonds bonds are absolutely worthless, their reward.
- 20:25You know, the reward free risk. So you got to be totally out of
- 20:29bonds. I happen to think that stocks
- 20:31will ultimately suffer as well. They haven't yet.
- 20:34It's kind of been a surprise to me, how well the stock market is
- 20:36held together is teetering right on making new lows, but it
- 20:40hasn't done it yet. You know, the II Advocate and I
- 20:45believe that everybody needs to have a portion of their wealth,
- 20:49intangible things. I mean, when the money is
- 20:51failing things have value. I mean, what's happened here is,
- 20:55you know, the moves by Russia have basically made Commodities,
- 20:59you know, the new form of money, you know, oil, gas, Etc, and and
- 21:06and Bitcoin. And gold are both tied to
- 21:08Commodities because you can't produce either one without
- 21:10commodity inputs. And so, there are proxy for the
- 21:13underlying Commodities. And, you know, therefore, I
- 21:16think, you know, the worst thing you could do would be to have
- 21:18your money in bonds. Probably the second worst thing
- 21:21you could do would be to have your money in cash.
- 21:23And then maybe the third worst thing to do would be to be in
- 21:25stocks in a particularly, you know, Meme stocks, or technology
- 21:30stocks or, you know, growth stocks because I don't think
- 21:34I've been going through this, the world isn't going to grow
- 21:36very much. The world's going to be in a
- 21:38it's going to be a very messy and chaotic transition period.
- 21:41It's gonna look a lot like the 70s in the 70s, you know, the to
- 21:45Great investments in the 70s were three.
- 21:47Great Investments. Really one was housing.
- 21:50If, you know, if you owned a house and you didn't lose it, I
- 21:53you weren't to levered, your house, went up enormously in
- 21:56value. I mean, my parents bought a
- 21:57house in Ann Arbor Michigan in the 60s for 40, 50 thousand, the
- 22:00end of the 70s was probably the three or 400, which investment
- 22:03terms is a pretty good deal, you know?
- 22:06And then the other two areas the performed extraordinarily.
- 22:08Well, we're gold and oil. You know, both commodity-based
- 22:14and inflation heavily inflationary environment.
- 22:17But Paula Paula has made a colossal error here.
- 22:19He thinks he's Paul volcker and he's not, he can't be because of
- 22:22the debt levels that we've accumulated.
- 22:24It's not the same set of circumstances.
- 22:25And so, you know, to degree, he tries to solve this by raising
- 22:30interest rates, it's just plain stupid.
- 22:32It's not going to solve the problem, and part of the reason
- 22:34why these commodity prices are going up so much is because, you
- 22:37know, we've had supplied destruction and, you know, we
- 22:40need more Supply. I mean, I'm should be doing, you
- 22:43know, is he should have, I mean, the way to create more supplies
- 22:46to let the prices go up, you actually should have let the
- 22:48price of oil go up. Not released the oil from the
- 22:53Strategic petroleum Reserve. He shouldn't, you know, keeping
- 22:56interest rates low would have allowed people to invest in and
- 22:59build more capacity to produce more oil and gas, which is what
- 23:02we badly need. So you know, they're doing it
- 23:06all wrong. I mean, these guys are idiots,
- 23:08they're absolute idiots and their evil in my opinion because
- 23:11they You know, they change the rules to suit their own needs.
- 23:14I mean, notice, you know, I love the way the FED guys all got,
- 23:18you know, there were insider trading, you know, they resigned
- 23:21at the top and sold all their stocks.
- 23:23I mean, they're not stupid, they're evil but not stupid.
- 23:26So you know, it's the average person, in my opinion should
- 23:31batten down the hatches. Hold sound money live within
- 23:34your means, don't be overly levered.
- 23:37It's going to be extremely volatile.
- 23:38I mean, the stuff is gone up and down quite a bit.
- 23:42You know, and I mean, it's been hard, you know, my fund is down
- 23:45substantially this year, but, you know, I'm not, I'm not
- 23:50long-term, I'm not concerned about it, you know, I do find it
- 23:53annoying because I just feel like we've got these idiots
- 23:57driving the clown car. So, so you mentioned something
- 24:02interesting, and I want to explore that topic, right?
- 24:05From your perspective, of course, and you said that
- 24:07they're going to try to do anything and everything to try
- 24:10to protect. T' that privilege.
- 24:13Yeah, what is that? Privilege Lawrence.
- 24:15What are you talking about? Well, the privilege is the
- 24:17privilege to print money to control and print money.
- 24:21You know they you know it the Fiat game has enabled them to
- 24:27become enormously rich and the people closest to the source of
- 24:30the money, it's the continuing effect, right?
- 24:32I mean Ken Griffith should be bankrupt and in jail you know
- 24:38trying to crawl. The name of the fellow who ran
- 24:39who used to run run Goldman Sachs he Tweet somebody help me
- 24:43out here. He used to tweet all the time
- 24:45you know about various things and I just thought you know,
- 24:47that's really rich. Here's a guy who in 2008 would
- 24:51have been bankrupt if the government hadn't bailed him
- 24:53out. And now he's offering you know
- 24:56advice on Military matters and so on and so forth.
- 25:00You know, it's ridiculous it's just ridiculous and you know,
- 25:04they protect themselves and at the expense of the rest of us,
- 25:10we all pay for it. That's Sy Millennials, can't buy
- 25:13houses because they're competing with BlackRock who's buying a
- 25:16house has you know? I mean it's just it's incredibly
- 25:20incredibly broken and you know we haven't seen in the problem.
- 25:27Most investors face is that you know they're betting on when you
- 25:30enter the market and how old you are.
- 25:32You know if you enter the market anytime after 2008 you haven't
- 25:34seen a bear Market, all you've seen is a buy the dip
- 25:36environment and you know, I'm here to say that there's no
- 25:40doubt in my mind that we are going to Bear stock market
- 25:42before this is over. So I think you got to be out of
- 25:46stocks and I think you have to hold sound money or things that
- 25:50are tied to sound money and that case it would be you know
- 25:53Bitcoin Bitcoin miners gold miners silver miners.
- 25:57So what you're describing, right?
- 26:00And you know the the the infamous example of 2008, right
- 26:07where the federal government picked and choose which ones of
- 26:11these Investment Banks survived in the case of, you know, the
- 26:16recent what just happened? With the bank of England.
- 26:19Lawrence. Correct me if I'm wrong but that
- 26:21doesn't sound like capitalism to me.
- 26:23So, not even close to capitalism.
- 26:26I mean, this is, this is crony. Capitalism is a state
- 26:29capitalism? Yeah, thanks for thinking of
- 26:31Lloyd, blankfein. I sadly, at my age, sometimes
- 26:33you forget obvious shit. But yeah, he's the guy who ran
- 26:39Goldman Sachs. No, it's not, it's not anything
- 26:43close to capitalism and it's completely unfair.
- 26:46And, you know, it what it speaks to is.
- 26:50Why we in the sound money movement, all need to educate as
- 26:55many people as we possibly can. That the only solution to this
- 26:58problem is to End the Fed. We should not have a federal
- 27:02reserve, the notion of having a group of people sitting in
- 27:05Washington, like they've got 40,000 employees and hundreds of
- 27:08phds on their staff telling us what the The price of money
- 27:12should be, that's ridiculous. I mean, when I was younger, you
- 27:16know, the Soviets used to set the price of grain because it
- 27:20was a communist system and that's what they did.
- 27:23And, you know, they always said it wrong.
- 27:26So that you have a surplus or they may be starving and they
- 27:28have a deficit. I mean, you know, capitalism is
- 27:32based on prices prices or information.
- 27:34Information is, what drives human activity and human
- 27:37activity is not correct. If you don't have the right
- 27:40price information You make the wrong decisions and we've been
- 27:43making so many wrong decisions for so long that nobody really
- 27:47knows what the price of anything is today but the real true price
- 27:50of anything is today. And you know, that's that's why
- 27:55we are where we are, and that's why we're going to suffer.
- 27:57The way we're going to suffer. And before this is over, I mean
- 28:01Jay Powell and burn a key and all these Fed chair even grima
- 28:06Greenspan and these guys are going to be in history books,
- 28:08you know, right there with John Law, who ran the Mississippi,
- 28:11bubble bath Back in France, the 1700s and so, you know, they
- 28:16broke the system, you know, they broke the system for their own
- 28:19benefit and they're very rich and the average person's
- 28:22working. You know, the average person's
- 28:24purchasing power wages since 1971 have not kept up with the
- 28:28increases in productivity and we should all be working 30, hour
- 28:32weeks, and living better than our parents did in the 60s and
- 28:3570s. And in fact, you know, we all
- 28:37have to have two people working to support a household.
- 28:39Some I mean, well, the reason I think the Preserved as good as
- 28:42they are as people are hurting so bad.
- 28:44They've had to take extra jobs. You know, the people you know,
- 28:47people working two and three jobs just to just to cover their
- 28:49costs. I mean I just got an electrical
- 28:51bill that was 65 percent higher than my electrical bill for the
- 28:54same month last year. And you know, this is it's
- 28:58horrible. I mean, it's horrible.
- 28:59It's unfair, it's why for so many years.
- 29:03I've been fighting for sound money.
- 29:04I background. Paul.
- 29:05I ran some advertisements and National papers to support him
- 29:09before Bitcoin even in, you know, I stood, there were a lot
- 29:12of us who are talking and gold bugs who were talking about how
- 29:15broken the system was, and then Bitcoin came along, which is
- 29:19fabulous because it educated a whole Facebook which was really
- 29:23going to go down as one of the great historical economics books
- 29:27educated entire generation of 30 year olds 20, 30 year olds, what
- 29:31sound money is all about and the Austrian School of economics and
- 29:36you know, so now I feel like at least I've got reinforcements.
- 29:38I'm not I mean, I was, I was truly a voice in the wilderness.
- 29:4120 years ago, you know even even in 2008 there weren't that many
- 29:45people who were fighting for sound money and I've been
- 29:48fighting for pretty much for my whole career.
- 29:51Yeah. It's you know and once again
- 29:55just to kind of my personal experience and what you said
- 29:59about safe and his book, I skipped that entire, you know,
- 30:03just I went straight to bitcoin. Bitcoin is the sound as money
- 30:08that's ever been created, right exist, right?
- 30:11And looking back. I'm perplexed.
- 30:16I'm like, how do people function on this mindset?
- 30:20But here's another thing Lawrence and I was actually
- 30:24talking to a buddy of mine about this, right?
- 30:27Is that in 2008? Right?
- 30:29Well you know what the Austrian School would say, listen, booms
- 30:33and busts normal, you know, when the bust happens the less
- 30:39efficient companies will go under and from From the, From
- 30:42the Ashes. The Phoenix will rise and become
- 30:44better companies, right? Right.
- 30:46That's the theory. That's the theory, right?
- 30:48But that is very painful. I think what I've learned or
- 30:52what I've noticed in the last two years is that people like
- 30:57bailouts like they perhaps they're not thinking about the
- 31:01long-term consequences but the political willpower is there to
- 31:06soften the short-term blow and at the expense, of course, the
- 31:11future. Generations.
- 31:12Right. That's correct.
- 31:14Point. I mean he's you know he's in
- 31:15this fight for the kids and I am too.
- 31:17I mean I look I don't I don't have to be doing this but I feel
- 31:22passionate about doing this. Could have an understanding of
- 31:24it and I just think the world is were spinning towards a really
- 31:27bad outcome. And you know, the only way to
- 31:30avoid that bad outcome is to return to sound money.
- 31:32I mean, studying hyperinflations, I mean I've
- 31:35studied economics my entire life of women best for my entire life
- 31:37and stunning hyperinflation. One thing I can say is it when
- 31:40they're over and you resent, To a sound currency things.
- 31:42Get better real quickly. I mean, it's this is not an
- 31:45unsolvable problem, it is a solvable problem.
- 31:48I'm very optimistic about how the world will look on the other
- 31:51side of this monetary reset, which is in the process of
- 31:55taking place. So, you know, like Jeff, I, you
- 31:58know, I'm extremely positive about where we can go, but we're
- 32:02not there yet. And I think you've heard me say
- 32:05in the past, this is a fourth turning, right?
- 32:07I mean that this is a crisis, it's going to get to be a bigger
- 32:10crisis and the Crisis is centered on the fact that we've
- 32:14built our house on Sand you know, unsound money Fiat money
- 32:19and you know Fiat always returns to zero you know and it's in the
- 32:24process of doing so right now. Absolutely.
- 32:27So you mention monetary the, the monetary reset, and I'm a big
- 32:33believer in the fourth turning Theory as well, right?
- 32:35We are definitely in it. There, there's this famous
- 32:37quote, where there is years that there is decades, that nothing
- 32:43happens. And then there's years that
- 32:45decades happen, I think, really, since 2016, 2017, we're
- 32:51experiencing decades and Decades of occurrences that I think
- 32:55there's waking a lot of People up.
- 32:57It's uprooting Society completely.
- 33:00What is this monetary reset? Lorentz, what does that mean?
- 33:04What does that entail? Well it's you know I can't tell
- 33:08you because I wish I could give you a kind of a simple answer
- 33:10but but I can't because there are so many variables involved,
- 33:14so many people involved and there's a lot of history and
- 33:17momentum and Fiat Fiat is not going to go away overnight.
- 33:22But you know what we're seeing are these, increasingly large
- 33:27waves and swings of the Fiat system not working and being out
- 33:32of control. I mean, you know, and I mean, we
- 33:35saw We saw a little bit of it in 98 with ltcm when they first
- 33:39started printing money to the Russian crisis in the bail out
- 33:42bear Stearns. And all those companies we saw,
- 33:46you know, the housing bubble was a part of it.
- 33:48And that was when I really got radicalized for sound money.
- 33:51I mean, when they did the bailout in 2008, that was
- 33:53probably the biggest crime. The biggest economic crime has
- 33:56occurred in the United States almost since the founding of the
- 33:59country. I mean, the notion that they
- 34:01would protect one class of people to just and disadvantaged
- 34:04the rest of the country. Was just, it was an incredible
- 34:07crime, you know, Ben Bernanke should be in jail.
- 34:12But the, you know, and I thought, by the way I thought,
- 34:16right? Then, and this is why I'm
- 34:17hesitant to say how quickly it's going to happen this time,
- 34:20right? Then I thought okay, that's it,
- 34:21this is over, you know, this Fiat system is going to blow
- 34:23apart, well guess what? They put it all back together
- 34:26and they you know, they created, you know, they printed 44
- 34:29trillion dollars. Course it took three years in
- 34:31the covid crisis. They did the same amount or
- 34:33slightly more in, you know, 18 months.
- 34:36And they you know that so that was kind of it was one swing and
- 34:42then they got it all back under control.
- 34:43They took it up to the next level, which was a sovereign
- 34:45debt level. They held interest rates at zero
- 34:48with zirp and that distorted everything.
- 34:50Even further, you know, they created the everything bubble.
- 34:53I mean they you know they statistically they say there
- 34:56wasn't a lot of inflation from 08 to say Coleman 2017 2018.
- 35:01I mean they had it pinned at 2%. I mean they were lying because
- 35:04Shadow government numbers are much higher.
- 35:05But, you know, there was a lot of inflation and financial
- 35:08assets, right? All that all.
- 35:10That those reserves that they created put on the balance
- 35:13sheets of banks. Those all got cycled into the
- 35:15stock market and, you know, so we've created really, this
- 35:19potemkin Village of fake prices in financial assets based on too
- 35:24much money, flowing around and you know, all the deflation is
- 35:28said, well it's going to be deflation forever, don't worry
- 35:30about it. I mean, the Lacey hunts of the
- 35:31world. We're just dead, a strong and
- 35:34obviously covid. It and it really got started
- 35:37before covid. They'll because, when the repo
- 35:39blow up occurred and one of the 2018, you know, pivot and then
- 35:42the repo blowout following, that was the beginning of it.
- 35:45And then, of course, you know, when covid hit and you know,
- 35:49Paul had his, you know, whatever it takes moment, where he, you
- 35:52know, imitated draghi and and came over the top with just an
- 35:56enormous set of accommodations and of course, Congress went
- 35:59crazy, and we handed out all these PPP loans.
- 36:02I mean, some of those loans went to businesses that did not need
- 36:05them. I don't people have perfectly
- 36:07healthy. Business has got huge loans.
- 36:08All they had to do is say we're going to fire anybody and you
- 36:12know they got to collect millions of dollars.
- 36:14I mean, you know, it was nuts and you know, then they claimed
- 36:19it wouldn't be inflation which was an enormous policy mistake.
- 36:21They kept loose for far too long more policy mistake now they see
- 36:25that got inflation. And as I said, I think I've used
- 36:28this analogy in the past. I mean, they're driving a clown
- 36:30car on an icy Road, 11 guardrail is, you know, massive inflation
- 36:35and the other Third rail is massive deflation and so by all
- 36:38the printing and the activities they took post covid, they drove
- 36:41us towards the massive inflation guardrail and sure enough.
- 36:45We got it, right? I mean rents were up 18%.
- 36:47Housing prices, were up, 20 percent, or bidding wars for
- 36:51houses. And then the cost of everything
- 36:52was going up relentlessly when they finally woke up to the fact
- 36:55that they screwed up and they even admitted they screwed up
- 36:58and they thought, oh shit, and they grabbed the steering wheel
- 37:00and drove hard in the other direction.
- 37:02And so we go, all we can solve this, our credibility is real We
- 37:05can we can tighten up and will control inflation and you know,
- 37:10okay, fine. That's kind of what they've
- 37:13tried to do, but the fact of the matter is that you know, by
- 37:16doing so, you know, they're going to, they're going to
- 37:19destroy the economy. I mean, you know, you cannot I
- 37:22mean these all these asset prices are going to, you know,
- 37:25plunge. And so I mean it's like the meme
- 37:28on Twitter, were you know, pick one, you know, control inflation
- 37:33or you know, create the Great Depression.
- 37:35In the policies are following right now, will literally take
- 37:38all the financial markets to 0 if they don't change policy
- 37:42because nobody has any cash right now and all these dollar
- 37:46debts are coming due and there, no new dollars, flowing into the
- 37:48system. M2 is flat to down.
- 37:51I mean it's never slowed you know it went up enormously and
- 37:54and now it's flat to slightly declining and so as a result of
- 37:58that they you know they're there in a in a box and you know we
- 38:04talked about kind of the You know, the little micro moves
- 38:07that they've made, you know, one way or the other, but you know,
- 38:10they're screwed and so I think the good news is that, I think
- 38:14what's going to happen here is that there.
- 38:18Yeah, thanks. You see, I'm to us, it's just
- 38:19slightly declining but given how much it has grown and the rate
- 38:23notice that notice the steady rate from 2010 to you know to
- 38:282020 you know that if you don't have that you know this a Fiat
- 38:34credit based system does not work.
- 38:35Look, it won't. There's I mean you're creating
- 38:38more and more debt. You've got to pay interest on
- 38:40that. You know, unless you unless you
- 38:43can get GDP growth to match the growth of the debt, which it
- 38:45hasn't for years, you know, you don't have the income to service
- 38:49the debt. And so the debt goes bad unless
- 38:53you unless you print the money to give people the ability to
- 38:57service the debt. And so, you know, they can, they
- 39:00can try, I mean, they can continue to try.
- 39:02He can take rates up to nine or ten percent, but But, you know,
- 39:06half the world's going to go bankrupt.
- 39:09Yeah, that's exactly. That's from my Twitter.
- 39:12I mean, that that's it. That's the story, right?
- 39:15And I think that might be a little bit older.
- 39:16I think the deadline might have gotten a bit steeper and, you
- 39:20know, so forth. So it's a, it's just, it's a
- 39:23mathematical fact. It's this isn't, you know, this
- 39:27is my opinion. It's just math as Greg says.
- 39:30So, you know, it's it's, it's sad.
- 39:34It's really sad. But you know, the good news is
- 39:37it's going to come to a head and at least bring it to a head will
- 39:41then I think lead to a better system.
- 39:43It has to lead to a better system but you know how we get
- 39:47from here to there. I'm not smart enough to know.
- 39:49I don't think anybody really is. We don't know what they're going
- 39:51to do. We don't know how it's going to
- 39:52unfold. My suspicion is that they will
- 39:55pivot and they will try to print money and you know we'll have a
- 40:00very highly inflationary environment and I mean there
- 40:03might be an Argentinian like June, where we kind of get out
- 40:06of it by having high inflation for a bunch of years and getting
- 40:10GDP growth. And if they can do that, then
- 40:12theoretically you know the debt burden would become more
- 40:16manageable at higher prices in you know throughout the economy
- 40:20but everyone would have suffered greatly through inflation.
- 40:24I mean the bottom line is that the really there's just no free
- 40:27lunch in economics, right? And and they've kind of tried to
- 40:31create and and you know Actually, they've tried to
- 40:37create a free lunch and, and it's politics.
- 40:40I see wonder if Lawrence has ever seen the double?
- 40:41Yeah, absolutely. I go to the website, all the
- 40:43time. I know the guy who I know the
- 40:47guy who developed it, he's great, I've met him many times,
- 40:50it's a great website. Yeah, I mean in Jeff's, right?
- 40:53You can't have infinite growth in a planet with limited
- 40:56resources. I mean, what we should be,
- 40:58aiming for is not growth and this is the Keynesian error,
- 41:00right? Keynesian say you got to just
- 41:03continue to grow. Growth is good intrinsically.
- 41:05Both is good bullshit growth isn't good.
- 41:07You know, in on a limited resource Planet misallocated,
- 41:11you know, resources and growth, you know, we'll run out of
- 41:14stuff. What's good is efficiency and
- 41:17what's good is productivity, what's good is deflation and
- 41:20that's where the Keynesian Tsar wrong, and that's what we built
- 41:22our system on a Keynesian system and as a result of it, we're in
- 41:27this, you know, we're in this box canyon and we can't we can't
- 41:30turn around and get out of it. And I don't think the board's
- 41:35part of it. The way the political system is
- 41:36constructed, you know, most people don't even realize what's
- 41:40going on. And the policymakers are smart
- 41:43enough to even begin to contemplate this issue.
- 41:46And to the degree that they do, they realize that changing
- 41:48things would ruin their privilege and so they're not
- 41:50going to change things. So, you know, I mean, I think, I
- 41:53think Bitcoin is god-given and I think that there is a higher
- 41:57power and I think the higher power is basically going to
- 41:59school us all into why, you know, our grandkids are going to
- 42:03sit around and say you guys were idiots.
- 42:05I mean, how did you ever let the government get control of the
- 42:07money supply and set the interest rates, but the fuck
- 42:10were you thinking? It's pretty obvious that the
- 42:13whole system is going to blow up eventually, right?
- 42:16So you you mentioned earlier about how we the potential
- 42:21solution would be an Argentinian type of situation where there's
- 42:26a lot of and there's High inflation, but they're still GDP
- 42:29growth. Jack Dorsey tweeted I think it
- 42:32was in 2021 to His coming. And this one of the reasons that
- 42:40I believed it was we saw the Legacy Media machine go into
- 42:45overdrive basically saying that his words are dangerous, you
- 42:50know, usually that's not a good sign where if you speak a
- 42:55certain word about it, you can say anything you want about
- 42:57Bitcoin. It's been said that any
- 42:59criticism but just the word triggered people.
- 43:02My question for you Lawrence is do.
- 43:05You believe there could be a potentially a hyperinflationary
- 43:08environment in the next 10 years or so.
- 43:11Sadly, I do. I mean, I you know, I it's I'm
- 43:14not, I'm not proud of that, I'm not looking forward to it.
- 43:17I know that it will cause enormous pain, but if you
- 43:20analyze what's going on here, I think it's a, I think it's a
- 43:23likely. I think it's a likely outcome
- 43:26because I don't see a lot of intelligent.
- 43:30You know, discourse at policy maker levels about what the
- 43:33problem is and how to solve it. And so, you know, I think
- 43:36they're going to continue to stumble around between these two
- 43:39extremes with a, you know each few go ahead wave is going to
- 43:43get bigger and bigger. I mean it's, you know, and
- 43:48ultimately I mean this is is goes back to gresham's law,
- 43:51right? I mean, money is just what
- 43:52everyone can considers to be, you know, a medium that you can
- 43:57exchange for goods and services and so it's what people believe
- 44:00in and you know, for a long time Fiat was somewhat stable.
- 44:03I mean, I emphasize somewhat and so You know, the whole world is
- 44:06conditioned to believe in Fiat but you know once they begin to
- 44:10realize that their Fiat has a melting Ice Cube.
- 44:12You know they're going to gresham's law is going to kick
- 44:14in with says the good money shows out bad and you know gold
- 44:18is going to go plus 3000 Bitcoins going to go plus
- 44:20100,000 and the bombs are going to continue to sell off and the
- 44:24race is going to be on and in today's interconnected world
- 44:28where everybody knows, you know what's going on very, very
- 44:31quickly as a result of the internet, you know, this this
- 44:34may not take that long. I mean, it might actually all be
- 44:37over within five years, you know?
- 44:39But I can't say, I mean, nobody, can anybody tells you, the can
- 44:42is full of shit. I mean, I, I always tweet
- 44:45hyperinflation chart of the day because I believe there's a
- 44:47chance, we're not even close to hyperinflation.
- 44:49Now, it's going to take a lot to get us into hyperinflation, but,
- 44:53you know, I'm not suggesting that, you know, when push comes
- 44:56to shove, if you read the history of why, Mars is an
- 44:58example, you know, they knew they should stop printing, but
- 45:02they couldn't, I mean, the alternative was to just collapse
- 45:04everything. And so you know with each with
- 45:08each of these waves, they get further and further away from
- 45:11sound money and the Bitcoin and gold people.
- 45:15You know, grow in terms of understanding and knowledge and
- 45:18the values grow. And the most natural human
- 45:21instinct is to want to save the fruits of your labor.
- 45:23So if you work and you have savings, you say to yourself,
- 45:27where am I going to put it so that this has value in the
- 45:29future because I want to be able to feed myself when I'm older
- 45:33and you know the people are going to realize Is that they've
- 45:36got to go for for sound money Alternatives.
- 45:38And so, you know it, it's I'm pretty sure, that's where it's
- 45:44going. I can't really see any other way
- 45:47out. Like I said, they could reset
- 45:48it. I mean, if there was, you know,
- 45:50there is there is an intelligent government policy.
- 45:52That could be pursued. I mean they could do a, you
- 45:55know, one time. Reset D, Val where they say, you
- 45:58know, five old dollars equals one new dollar.
- 46:00One, new dollar is backed by a combination of gold, Bitcoin,
- 46:03and oil or whatever. And you know, the new dollar
- 46:07would be something that would be trustworthy.
- 46:08But I don't think I don't see any talk or discussion of going
- 46:13in that direction. And I don't think with the
- 46:14political situation that we have, I don't think that's
- 46:18likely to arise anytime soon and I could change, but that's kind
- 46:24of how I see it. So you said something really
- 46:27interesting there about there being potentially a political
- 46:31solution. If they're, you know, at the in
- 46:34the in You know, the late 70s early, the 70s that's boot.
- 46:39You had Ronald Reagan, okay? In the white house, right?
- 46:41And you had Paul volcker, okay? You don't have those heavy
- 46:44weights, you have our own Powell.
- 46:46Who's a lawyer and you have Joe Biden.
- 46:49Who doesn't know where he is? Okay.
- 46:50So you don't have the, you don't have the political heavier,
- 46:55intellectual heavyweights or the cojones.
- 46:59You might say that they that you know, that they were that they
- 47:03had in the the late 70s Right tough to fix that.
- 47:07But my perspective on this, right?
- 47:10Is that would just find it? Would it would fix it.
- 47:15We would go on a sort of a sound money psycho us sound money
- 47:19standard but it the cycle would just repeat, right?
- 47:22Because if you look back in human history, right?
- 47:25You know the Romans did the same thing right?
- 47:27In the Roman Republic you started as the their currency
- 47:31was called the denarii. It started at like .83 silver.
- 47:35And then by the end of the Roman the Roman Empire, right?
- 47:39It was a point zero zero, zero zero.
- 47:41So those yeah, is worth as a you can make the argument that we
- 47:45have been repeating this endless cycle over and over again.
- 47:49And I think with Bitcoin we have a chance to fundamentally break
- 47:54that cycle and perhaps, yes, there's political solutions to
- 47:59it, but that won't be a long-term solution.
- 48:02And human beings, being human beings will Inevitably repeat
- 48:06the same mistakes. I repeating in the past, we
- 48:09agree. I mean that's and that's why I
- 48:11as I say I don't think the odds of a political solution are very
- 48:14high and I think, you know, it will become obvious that.
- 48:20I mean, this is why this is why we will eventually get to a
- 48:23Bitcoin standard. You know the it will become
- 48:26obvious that it is a superior form of money that will just
- 48:29become obvious. But you know, the thing I
- 48:31emphasize is you know that you know that could be in a year.
- 48:35Two unlikely. I mean, it could be in 10 years,
- 48:38it could be in 20 years but we're going there quickly and
- 48:42you know, they'll be lots of twists and turns along the way
- 48:45and that's going to make it somewhat tough to navigate.
- 48:47But if I had to pick one thing I wanted to give my grandkids, it
- 48:51would be Bitcoin. There's no doubt about that.
- 48:54Yeah, absolutely. So a couple things.
- 48:57No, just one thing clearly governments are putting their
- 49:03hopes and their dreams in. Central Bank, digital
- 49:07currencies. Yeah, to use your word.
- 49:10I love that to maintain their privilege of creating money for
- 49:14free that, everybody how everybody else has to work for
- 49:18Lawrence, what are your thought on Cell Bank?
- 49:21Digital currencies? I hate them.
- 49:22I mean it's evil because they want to control you and
- 49:24everything else but the thing to keep in mind about CBD sees I
- 49:28mean probably the only way they can have that somewhat work as
- 49:32they could say. You know you've got to pay your
- 49:34taxes and CBD Seas. We would all have to have a
- 49:37little bit of CBD, see to pay taxes, but I can't think of any
- 49:40Bitcoin Ur that would ever accept the CBD.
- 49:43See, I mean it's you know it's just digital Fiat and so yeah
- 49:48they're hoping they can come in with some you know, alternative
- 49:53solution and you know take away. I mean this is kind of like all
- 49:56the crypto grifters who are hoping that crypto becomes the
- 49:59solution and it's not I mean it's a Bitcoin is Bitcoin is
- 50:03unique unto itself, it's not do a Bitcoin is an incredible
- 50:07invention. It's it's an immutable form of
- 50:09digital scarcity, that can't be corrupted.
- 50:13Having said that there is one risk in Bitcoin and that is that
- 50:16there are Bitcoin derivatives. And you know, the point is that,
- 50:23you know, if people are stupid enough to accept paper Bitcoin,
- 50:27and not the real thing where they hold their own Keys, you
- 50:30know, there's a chance that, you know, they can try and
- 50:33manipulate Bitcoin the way they've been employed.
- 50:35Gold, you know, and in fact I watched, you know, they black
- 50:41rock is kind of pivoted and talk more about Bitcoin being
- 50:44involved in Bitcoin and it wouldn't surprise me if they
- 50:46actually got the nod to be the first Bitcoin ETF.
- 50:50And so they could do with that similar to what they've done
- 50:52with gold, which is to say they would say, you know, Bitcoin
- 50:57are, I'm sorry yeah they create a Bitcoin ETF and then they
- 51:01people would buy that ETF and they wouldn't use it to buy the
- 51:04Bitcoin. So they You know, be a form of
- 51:06paper Bitcoin and they be sucking away demand and
- 51:09therefore able to suppress the price.
- 51:11I mean, they're already about six billion dollars worth of
- 51:14bitcoin derivatives in the world.
- 51:15I'm going to the Futures market and you go to Glass node and you
- 51:19look at the chain there, you know, you can see that people
- 51:23are trading Bitcoin. Derivatives, I've never be
- 51:26stupid enough to own one, but that doesn't mean others won't.
- 51:30And you know when somebody, when somebody buys a Bitcoin
- 51:33derivative I mean that is That is money.
- 51:36That is not used to buy the real thing, right?
- 51:39So there is a risk there, but then look, the point is, I
- 51:44think, you know, that these governments going to fail
- 51:46because they can't, they can't fund themselves.
- 51:49If we really have a complete and total hyperinflationary
- 51:53collapse, the government's going to fail to and it's going to
- 51:57have to be restructured and you know, hopefully what will happen
- 52:01is that bitcoiners will be felt you know, successful enough and
- 52:05Out of office, some of them will decide to enter public life and
- 52:10lead the way to doing what's right and returning us to sound
- 52:14money. And, and you mentioned there,
- 52:18and he's really interesting, right?
- 52:19Is that the money printer? The ability to, it's created an
- 52:25administrative state, so large and it's starting to consume
- 52:29itself. It's so big that it can no
- 52:31longer fund itself. To the point where, you know,
- 52:35you In the inflation reduction act, right?
- 52:38Right absurd. They hire an army of 87,000
- 52:43Agents by the way. That's larger than the United
- 52:47Kingdom's Army today, which I find ironic because America was
- 52:51created because they want to pay taxes anymore.
- 52:54And I, you hired an RV is bigger than the current United Kingdom
- 52:58Army to extract even more wealth from your populace in a bill.
- 53:03That's called inflation rate and This is what I'm talking about,
- 53:06right? It's that it's no longer a
- 53:08government by the people for the people.
- 53:10It's a government by the government for the government
- 53:13employees. Now, you said something really
- 53:16interesting about Bitcoin derivatives and I'm going to tie
- 53:18this in with the government thing that I was talking about.
- 53:21Just now it's really curious because the SEC approved -1
- 53:29right. Is that amazing Futures, right?
- 53:31But spot. No.
- 53:33Yeah. And well, and they also didn't
- 53:35have Approve, a short Bitcoin ETF I believe they did.
- 53:40And isn't that interesting, right?
- 53:42I mean political I can't come to another conclusion, right?
- 53:45Well look they understand. I mean Bitcoin is an existential
- 53:48threat to fiat currency. I mean, there's just there's no
- 53:51two ways about it and they're not all smart enough to know
- 53:54that but some of them are. And so, you know, they're going
- 53:58to throw sand in our face for as long as they possibly can.
- 54:01We know that to be the case. But you know in turn we just
- 54:07keep marching along you know every 10 minutes is a new block
- 54:10and you know we own sound money they don't mean the problem with
- 54:14the Bitcoin. Derivatives them as well, you
- 54:16know. Okay.
- 54:17You know, they start selling paper Bitcoin, they're going to
- 54:19get wrecked. Well, the thing you got to keep
- 54:21in mind is that, you know, the government has an unlimited
- 54:24balance sheet. I mean, they and they probably
- 54:26keep two sets of books. And so I've seen him do it with
- 54:30the gold market for 30 years now, you know, to the Cayman
- 54:33Islands and other sources they sell paper.
- 54:35Gold. They don't have to suppress the
- 54:37gold price and you know if the gold price goes up and
- 54:41somebody's getting rekt, you know they can just follow them
- 54:43the paper and their the parts of the government that basically
- 54:48are off the books in my opinion and they view having a sound
- 54:52dollar. I'm sure as part of, you know,
- 54:54it's talked about in the Pentagon, I mean, because
- 54:57records and others, they were gamed it.
- 54:58And so, you know, they basically will do whatever they can.
- 55:05To keep the dollar alive. And if that includes selling
- 55:10unlimited paper Bitcoin, so be it.
- 55:13And you might say, Well, they're going to get rekt.
- 55:15Well, why they have a printer? They take a loss.
- 55:17They just print the money to fill the loss up.
- 55:20See what I'm saying? I mean, in a game, in a game,
- 55:23like, the game we've got, they've got the biggest balance
- 55:25sheet and they've got the printing press, so that's
- 55:28somewhat of a problem. So, we've got overwhelm them.
- 55:31I mean, I think a much better. I think the way will overwhelm
- 55:34them, is that Gresham's law will get them, we just need, you
- 55:38know, we need very consistent, you know, adoption and growth in
- 55:42the price so that more and more people over longer and longer
- 55:46periods of time. Come to realize that this is the
- 55:48way and, you know, Bitcoin will be more fully distributed.
- 55:51It won't be as volatile and it'll be going up forever.
- 55:54And as a result, you know, people will realize holy shit I
- 55:58got to get out of this Fiat, you know?
- 56:00But again, I mean, you know, who knows?
- 56:03I mean, to some extent, it's possible that This volatility is
- 56:06created by the government. I mean, I know Caitlin and
- 56:08others have done pretty in-depth analysis that suggests that the
- 56:12last cycle should have gone much higher than sixty seven, sixty
- 56:15eight thousand dollars but it was capped, you know, in the
- 56:18Futures market. So that's not my strong suit
- 56:23rain. Caitlin's done a great job on
- 56:24that, but from the perspective of a minor, right the Chinese
- 56:29Communist party Band Bitcoin mining literally in the middle
- 56:34of the Run. Yup.
- 56:35Of the last Bitcoin bull market, right?
- 56:38Is that a coincidence, right? So yeah, no, Lawrence, is it too
- 56:43much to say that governments today are actively price
- 56:48suppressing Bitcoin in order in the hopes of slowing down
- 56:53adoption enough to implement Central Bank, digital currency
- 56:57regimes. I can't prove it but it feels to
- 57:00me, like, there might be a little bit of it.
- 57:01I don't think they've got it suppressed nearly the way they
- 57:04suppress gold, but I do know that the odds, you know, when it
- 57:07took off in the in the fall of 2020 when it went from kind of
- 57:11in the 510 K range and shot up to 50.
- 57:15I mean you can you can just bet that every single finance
- 57:18ministry throughout the world said holy shit we got a serious
- 57:22problem here. So and and they and I'm sure
- 57:27they've been thinking about wargaming, how do we address
- 57:30this problem? Oh man.
- 57:34Yeah, I mean you saw Oh the the bipartisan, by the way, there
- 57:40was a law in Congress. That was passed very quickly.
- 57:44When El Salvador, which GDP wise is very extremely small country
- 57:49saying Bitcoin is potentially, it could potentially become a
- 57:53threat. So a littler absolutely some
- 57:56Center without hammering. You Kelly for, I don't know what
- 57:59reason it's like why would he even give a shit about El
- 58:01Salvador? I mean, you know why would even
- 58:03care? Yeah.
- 58:06You know why? I know why he cares.
- 58:08I mean, you know, they know look, they, you know, here's the
- 58:12thing. The, the best piece of news is
- 58:16there are so many more of us and the internet.
- 58:19I mean, look, we have a centralized system and you know,
- 58:23you really worked well for them. I mean the New York Times told
- 58:25you what the truth was the government told you what the
- 58:27truth was, etc, etc. I mean, the internet coming
- 58:31along has been wonderful, right? Because it allowed us all to
- 58:34communicate with one. Another very interesting.
- 58:35And as inexpensively and to create an alternative views, or
- 58:39I believe much more accurate views of what the truth is.
- 58:42And so, you know, and so you're seeing the internet is basically
- 58:45messing with their narrative and, you know, consider the
- 58:48Legacy news networks. I mean some great charts that
- 58:51show how Joe Rogan is basically burying Sienna and that's
- 58:56because people know when they're being lied to I mean if you piss
- 58:58on their leg and say it's raining, they figure it out.
- 59:01And so all we got to do is educate as many Is as we
- 59:06possibly can and and guess what, you know, having your electrical
- 59:10bill go up 100 percent, having a hard time, buying food, having
- 59:14your family suffer being a millennial is getting screwed.
- 59:17I mean, you tend to get educated it's like, you know what the
- 59:20fuck you're messing up my life in a big way, you know.
- 59:23God damn it. I mean, you've seen these
- 59:25protests in Europe, you know, the farmers and others, you saw
- 59:27the trucker's protest. I mean, this is only going to
- 59:30grow, you know, this movement, it's only going to grow, you
- 59:34know, pure Reliever of the guy who's now the conservative party
- 59:38leader in Canada. He might get elected right, and
- 59:41that would be fabulous. And so, he's a bit Corner, he's
- 59:44a friend of booth and Foss. So, you know, it's common, it's
- 59:48common, I mean, we don't have our Ron Paul yet.
- 59:51We need a, we need a Bitcoin Ron Paul but that's come.
- 59:55You know, it'll happen. And, you know, it's people are
- 1:00:01smart and, and, you know, it can take Time.
- 1:00:06No doubt. But you know we've got a much
- 1:00:08better hand. I mean, I like the side that
- 1:00:10we're on in this whole fight I mean we're going to win and
- 1:00:13Marty bent has it, right? We are going to win.
- 1:00:15There is no doubt. We are going to win.
- 1:00:17Now, the time scale, that's a different matter and I prefer it
- 1:00:21happened sooner rather than later cause I'm not as young as
- 1:00:22you and I want to see it. So yeah.
- 1:00:28The the V and you know, if talk to Opti about this many times
- 1:00:33the 4 / Nuclear My Generation the millennial generation.
- 1:00:38We don't have an alternative. So for us, it's like, it's this
- 1:00:43or slavery. Regs.
- 1:00:44Right. And they, they're even telling
- 1:00:46the contain errors are even telling you you own nothing to
- 1:00:49be happy. We're at that.
- 1:00:51Part of the movie already. Oh yeah.
- 1:00:54But the problem is, you know, the problem is that you are an
- 1:00:58incredibly, you know, astute educated, you know, on the ball
- 1:01:02person because you're in our world I mean, you know and I'm
- 1:01:06sure you hang around with people that are similar to you.
- 1:01:09But you know what percentage of Millennials are where where you
- 1:01:13are in terms of the understanding of this.
- 1:01:15I mean, I don't know, I hope it's large.
- 1:01:17I know it's growing. I mean I, you know, I think
- 1:01:21basically everybody should, you know, be be handing out copies
- 1:01:26of safes book to their friends. I mean, I do it all the time.
- 1:01:29I mean, I think the only way we win this fight is we recruit as
- 1:01:33many people as we possibly can All over the world to understand
- 1:01:38the nature of the fight. And you know, we all feel.
- 1:01:41I mean, it's hard. I mean, what do you often think
- 1:01:43to yourself? What can one person do, right?
- 1:01:46I mean, their billions of people in the world and these people at
- 1:01:48the top, have all the levers and they can lie and they can, you
- 1:01:51know, they can do all the stuff they do and, you know, true.
- 1:01:56But you know, there's that great mean where they're standing out
- 1:01:59on the end of the board and we're all standing on the other
- 1:02:01end of it, right? Yeah, if we decide to walk away,
- 1:02:05You know, they're fucked and and so and that's happening.
- 1:02:10I mean, you know, they're going to get older and die off and you
- 1:02:12guys are going to get into more positions of power and so on and
- 1:02:16so forth. Yeah, it's it's unfortunate that
- 1:02:21it has to be pushed to an extreme where people feel pain
- 1:02:25specifically for my generation Netflix and Tick-Tock are hell
- 1:02:29of a drugs and they are very good at distracting people.
- 1:02:32From what's going on I've lost. Lost most of my Normie friends
- 1:02:37because I can't commit it. First of all, they don't wanna
- 1:02:40hang out with me. I don't want to hang out with
- 1:02:41them. Why don't they want to hang out
- 1:02:42with me? Because if they hang out with me
- 1:02:43for beers and it's like, bro, there's a Revolution going on,
- 1:02:46they're trying and trying to enslave us.
- 1:02:49I gotta answer this one question.
- 1:02:50Totally cast-iron. I mean, what the fuck I was
- 1:02:53about to end the show Jesus Christ.
- 1:02:56I mean, you know how hard it is to clean?
- 1:02:58Stainless stainless. Sucks cast iron is so much
- 1:03:07better. I don't get that you guys.
- 1:03:09This is the towards the end of the podcast.
- 1:03:11So drop your questions in the chat and you have a chance to
- 1:03:14ask, Lawrence yourself. So now you know, cast iron, he
- 1:03:19runs a node. What temperature, do you like
- 1:03:21your steak Lawrence kind of a medium rare sort of guy?
- 1:03:25Yeah, yeah, I think one of the guys on the chap made a great
- 1:03:27point. It was a small minority that
- 1:03:30that fought the British. I mean it's you know, You know,
- 1:03:35it's if we're small and we're loud and we've got the truth on
- 1:03:39our side. We're, you know, we're going to
- 1:03:41win. I don't have any doubt.
- 1:03:44We're definitely going to win. I have no doubt in my mind, but
- 1:03:47what keeps me up at night is definitely the transition and I
- 1:03:50think that's the part that. Well, that's right.
- 1:03:52I mean, it's, it's pretty sad but, you know, it's like, you
- 1:03:56know, the Billy, Joel's on, we didn't start this fire, you know
- 1:03:58what I mean? I mean, we started this fire but
- 1:04:02we're definitely going to put it out.
- 1:04:03That's Like, that's right. I mean, I think your generation
- 1:04:05is going to be the hero generation.
- 1:04:07I mean, I Look At, You Know, Jack Mahler saying, you know,
- 1:04:09he'd die on this hill. I mean, I had tears in my eyes.
- 1:04:12I mean, Marty bent, you guys all you guys.
- 1:04:15It's, you know, you guys are going to do it.
- 1:04:18I mean, and you got some older guys here along to help you.
- 1:04:21Along the way, you've seen it all before, I mean, you know, we
- 1:04:24try to, you know, try to guide you a little bit just based on
- 1:04:28our experience because, you know, I've been watching these
- 1:04:31people for 40 years. I mean, Earlier you alluded to
- 1:04:34it. You know, I mean I I'm a, I'm an
- 1:04:37analyst, right? I like to figure shit out.
- 1:04:39That's kind of that's why I was put here.
- 1:04:41That's my highest and best use. And you know, the biggest thing
- 1:04:47I dug into for many, many years with the JFK assassination,
- 1:04:51right? And I've read just about
- 1:04:54everything there is to read including a lot of private
- 1:04:56stuff, it's not published and I am so certain that without a
- 1:05:01doubt the CIA in our Murdered Kennedy.
- 1:05:04I mean, it's just it's beyond there's just no question in my
- 1:05:07mind and so rather, sadly, we were the greatest country in the
- 1:05:11world, you know, post World War Two, we save the world.
- 1:05:14Although, you know, the Russians played a big role in that
- 1:05:16because they lost nine million people fighting the Germans
- 1:05:18before we got involved. But, you know, you know, the the
- 1:05:27people who took control of the CIA post-world War Two and some
- 1:05:31of the things they did, we're just Believably evil and you
- 1:05:36know, on American and you know it's it's really sad and we got
- 1:05:43we got to take, we got to take the controls away from them.
- 1:05:46You know, we gotta we gotta go back to the founding principles,
- 1:05:49you know the founding documents of this country and and adhere
- 1:05:53to those principles. 100%. Some people call it, the Deep
- 1:05:57State. I call it the administrative
- 1:05:58State because it's right up in your grill and it is funded by
- 1:06:01the money printer. Exactly.
- 1:06:04So one last question and then we're going to we are going to
- 1:06:08we're going to close up the stream.
- 1:06:11Lawrence, we have a question from Jeff Ross, it was so much
- 1:06:14fun. Having breakfast with you at
- 1:06:16Broadmoor Larry. Oh yeah, he's great from your
- 1:06:21time at the Gold conference. What are a few of your favorite
- 1:06:24gold miners at Colonel? Oh yeah, sure.
- 1:06:27I'm happy to share a few names because of what you're trying to
- 1:06:30achieve gold buying business shitty business, okay?
- 1:06:33I mean, Breaking rocks, you got to replace them and as we know,
- 1:06:37you know, ultimately gold will be replacement Bitcoin.
- 1:06:39But you know, that's going to take some time because all the
- 1:06:42all the Boomers have all the money and all the Boomers
- 1:06:43believe in Gold not Bitcoins. So to answer Jeff's question,
- 1:06:47probably the my favorite large minor is Equinox.
- 1:06:52My my favorite smaller miners are some of the silver miners,
- 1:06:57like Guanajuato silver, which I have a big piece of and I love.
- 1:07:01I also like so. Tiger, which is a drill story
- 1:07:05and these are risky stocks but they're also stocks that could
- 1:07:08go up to 10x. I just did a call for real
- 1:07:14Vision where they ask me. My top three ideas, my top three
- 1:07:17ideas were Equinox, a Cisco Mining and want to walk, do
- 1:07:21silver, but I hesitate in offering those because even one
- 1:07:28of those could not work anyone who's going to invest in gold
- 1:07:31stocks needs to have 10 of them and the Reason for that, is that
- 1:07:34they're just there's too much Murphy's Law going on in Gold.
- 1:07:38I mean something could go wrong in any one of these companies
- 1:07:41they all in my opinion, have the ability to be five to ten
- 1:07:44Baggers but one of them won't be.
- 1:07:47One of them will go to 0. So if you just buy one Gold
- 1:07:49stock, you're really doing yourself a disservice, although
- 1:07:53I would say probably, you know, at the absolute safest level, I
- 1:07:57mean, if I were putting my mother's money into gold stocks,
- 1:08:00I'd probably buy agrico. It's the safest big major.
- 1:08:03You're but it's you know it's a three Apprentice to my way of
- 1:08:06saying it princes at or three-bagger, whereas most of
- 1:08:10what I'm trying to do. I'm trying to get 5 and 10 mm
- 1:08:13and they have slightly more risk.
- 1:08:15If you just got some pure Alpha from the man, the myth, the
- 1:08:19legend Lawrence. Look so ugly.
- 1:08:22Alright guys, that was the show Lawrence where can people find
- 1:08:26you? What are you working on
- 1:08:27nowadays? So well, I live outside of mass
- 1:08:32set of Boston. Chooses, it's not like that DMV
- 1:08:37is a with. I don't drink, I don't drink
- 1:08:41alcohol, but I've been off for coffee with lots of bitcoiners
- 1:08:44up here. So, I come on.
- 1:08:46I'm on Twitter. A lot is, I'm the ultimate shit
- 1:08:49poster. I hate the fed and it's the
- 1:08:51Twitter is my way of expressing, you know, my hatred for the fed,
- 1:08:56and I love it. You know, I also have a fund
- 1:09:00that I manage and a website, I published quarterly.
- 1:09:03Letters a lot of papers with talks about, you know, various
- 1:09:08things and they're all free and that website is Ema.
- 1:09:11Edward, Mark Alpha the number two.com, so you can and there's
- 1:09:15a free mailing list there. I won't spam you.
- 1:09:17So you can, you can look at things there but, you know, I'm
- 1:09:22going to the Edinboro conference will be a speaker there.
- 1:09:25I'm going to the New Orleans gold shoul be a speaker there.
- 1:09:28I'm going to Pacific Bitcoin will be a speaker there.
- 1:09:32So you know what I'm fortunate enough to make some great
- 1:09:35friends in the space. We have enormous respect for
- 1:09:37starting with Jeff Booth. Craig Foss, James labiche.
- 1:09:42You know Natalie Brunell all those folks I mean core eclipsed
- 1:09:46and who I think it's done fabulous work.
- 1:09:49You know Corey and calling out all the shit coiners.
- 1:09:52I have enormous respect for safe, just enormous Caitlin
- 1:09:56long, have enormous respect for her as well.
- 1:09:58There's so many great people in this space and out of respect
- 1:10:02for you guys at people. Magazine and so forth.
- 1:10:05So I was at a Nashville Meetup met, a lot of great people
- 1:10:09there, really enjoyed that. So, it's a great Community.
- 1:10:12I mean, the one thing I've said this many times, I mean it's
- 1:10:15really fun because if you meet somebody is a Bitcoin almost
- 1:10:18instantly know you're going to like him.
- 1:10:19I mean I know they're there, I'm hard-pressed to think of a
- 1:10:22Bitcoin or that I don't like I mean if they're really a Bitcoin
- 1:10:25or if their shit corner, I don't like them, but some people are
- 1:10:28both. But if you're if you're a pure B
- 1:10:30corner, you know I'm sure we get along great.
- 1:10:34Well, I really, really appreciate you.
- 1:10:36You coming on the show? Lawrence I had a great time.
- 1:10:40I just was just want to mention simply Bitcoin will be at the
- 1:10:44Pacific Bitcoin conference. Hopefully we can get a live
- 1:10:47interview with Lawrence there and you can take advantage of
- 1:10:51the promo code simply to get a big discount on your tickets to
- 1:10:54Pacific point. I also want to thank our friends
- 1:10:57at Bitcoin magazine for allowing me to record in their Studio
- 1:11:03till Pretty pretty late. So shout out to everybody at
- 1:11:07Bitcoin mag, we love you all. Check out Bitcoin Amsterdam.
- 1:11:10It's a conference in Europe, it's in two weeks.
- 1:11:14You definitely want to go check it out guys.
- 1:11:16That was that was another episode of Simply Bitcoin.
- 1:11:19IRL Lawrence, I'm gonna close it out.
- 1:11:23Who put your leg back actually, goes always great to be with
- 1:11:25you. I love being with guys who get
- 1:11:27it you obviously get it. Thanks Lawrence.
- 1:11:30All right guys, take it easy right.