Latest / Doctor AI: Rebuilding Trust in American Healthcare / Your State. Your Vote. Your Health.
Transcript
- 0:01Hello, this is Robin Blackstone.
- 0:03It is Tuesday, October twenty-seventh, one week before election day in the United
- 0:09States, and this is the second of four pieces on who decides your healthcare.
- 0:14Yesterday, we drew a map.
- 0:17Today, it's about your state and your vote.
- 0:21Thank you for joining me
- 0:23Texarkana is one town with a state line down the middle of it.
- 0:28In Arkansas, about nine people in a hundred have no health insurance.
- 0:33In Texas, nearly seventeen in a hundred.
- 0:37Same town, same hospitals, same jobs, and a resident's odds of being
- 0:42uninsured depend on which side of State Line Avenue she sleeps on.
- 0:48The difference is a decision made in two state capitals.
- 0:52That is why this piece of writing exists.
- 0:55Yesterday, I gave you a map of who decides what in your healthcare.
- 1:01Today, I give you your state.
- 1:03One page for each of the fifty and the District of Columbia with the
- 1:07numbers that describe your state and the names of the offices on
- 1:11your ballot that will change them.
- 1:14Find yours at robin.blackstone.com/yourstate.
- 1:20Read it in five minutes.
- 1:22Download it to your phone and vote.
- 1:24This is what the fifty pages show when you lay them side by side.
- 1:29The number that differs most.
- 1:32Uninsured means a person who has no health coverage of any kind.
- 1:37No employer plan, no Medicaid, no Medicare, nothing
- 1:41bought on the marketplace.
- 1:43The Census Bureau measures it two ways.
- 1:47One survey asks whether you went the whole year without coverage.
- 1:51That is the twenty-six point seven million person figure, seven point
- 1:56nine percent of the American public that I used yesterday in our talks.
- 2:02The other, the American Community Survey, asks whether coverage right
- 2:06now and is large enough to give a figure for every single state.
- 2:11The state figures below come from that.
- 2:15For twenty twenty-four, the latest year published.
- 2:18The twenty twenty-five state figures come out this Thursday, and I
- 2:22will update every page that day.
- 2:26The gap between states is wide.
- 2:29In Massachusetts, fewer than three people in a hundred are uninsured.
- 2:33In Texas, nearly seventeen in a hundred Hawaii, Vermont, and
- 2:40the District of Columbia and New Hampshire are under five in a hundred.
- 2:45Georgia, Oklahoma, and Nevada are over eleven.
- 2:50Alaska sits right at eleven.
- 2:54Most states are moving in the wrong way.
- 2:57From twenty twenty-three to twenty twenty-four, the uninsured rate
- 3:00rose in thirty-nine states, fell in eleven, and stayed the same in one.
- 3:06That was before the twenty twenty-five reconciliation law,
- 3:10which the Congressional Budget Office estimates will add about ten million
- 3:14people to the uninsured by twenty thirty-four, and before the lapse
- 3:20of the enhanced marketplace credits, another four point two million.
- 3:25Depending on how the country votes, the United States moves toward one
- 3:29person in eight without coverage, about twelve percent, or toward
- 3:34fewer uninsured than we have today.
- 3:37That's a large responsibility, and the outcome probably reaches
- 3:41you or someone in your family, and that's not an abstraction.
- 3:47This matters because through July this year, employers announced four hundred
- 3:51and seventy-seven thousand job cuts, and the reason they named most often?
- 3:57Artificial intelligence.
- 4:00One hundred and thirteen thousand of them by Challenger,
- 4:03Gray, and Christmas's count.
- 4:06Seven in ten Americans expect AI to take jobs away, and the young expect it most.
- 4:12In this country, when the job goes, the coverage goes with it.
- 4:17The decision that explains most of it.
- 4:20Since two thousand fourteen, the Affordable Care Act has offered
- 4:23every state the same deal.
- 4:25Cover adults earning up to a hundred and thirty-eight percent of the poverty line,
- 4:30which under this year's guidelines is twenty-two thousand twenty-five dollars
- 4:35for one person and forty-five thousand five hundred and forty dollars for a
- 4:39family of four, and the federal government pays ninety percent of the cost.
- 4:45Forty states and the District of Columbia took it.
- 4:49Ten states did not.
- 4:51They are Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Texas Kansas, Mississippi, South Carolina,
- 5:00Tennessee, Wisconsin, and Wyoming.
- 5:04The ten that said no are home to roughly eleven point six million of the country's
- 5:09uninsured by my arithmetic from the census state rates and populations.
- 5:15Texas alone, about five point two million.
- 5:19The typical expansion state that took Medicare has an insured
- 5:23rate of six point eight percent.
- 5:26The typical non-expansion state, nine point seven percent.
- 5:31Wisconsin is the exception that proves the rule.
- 5:35It covers adults to the poverty line through a different arrangement and
- 5:39sits at five point three percent Twenty-four states and the district
- 5:44took the offer on the first day it was available, January one, twenty-fourteen.
- 5:49The rest came one at a time over the next ten years, and in seven of them, the
- 5:54legislature still has never agreed to it.
- 5:57the voters did it themselves by ballot measure.
- 6:01Maine in twenty-seventeen, Idaho, Nebraska, and Utah in twenty-eighteen,
- 6:06Oklahoma and Missouri in twenty-twenty, and South Dakota in twenty-twenty-two.
- 6:13Which brings me to South Dakota.
- 6:15On November third, its voters will decide Constitutional Amendment One.
- 6:21The Attorney General's official title for it is "Repeals Expanded Medicare
- 6:26Coverage if Federal Funding for Expanded Coverage Drops Below Ninety Percent."
- 6:32The sponsors say it only removes the state's obligation to pay if Washington
- 6:37breaks the ninety percent promise.
- 6:40The Attorney General's explanation says it ends the expanded coverage in that case.
- 6:46Either way, it reaches back to the to an expansion that voters approved four
- 6:51years ago, under which about thirty thousand people in the state are covered.
- 6:57It is the only measure in the country this year that asks voters to loosen
- 7:02their own grip on Medicaid, and it is worth watching from wherever you live
- 7:07because the question it asks will be asked in other state houses next year.
- 7:13So what is on your ballot?
- 7:16Governors matter most, and the reason is simple.
- 7:20In most states, the governor appoints the medical board, the
- 7:24Medicaid director, and the insurance commissioner, and signs the budget
- 7:29that pays state's share of Medicaid.
- 7:32Thirty-six states elect a governor this year.
- 7:36When you watch an incumbent decide or a candidate promise, ask whether
- 7:42the decision is driven by the numbers or by a political philosophy.
- 7:46Then ask how you would make that decision, knowing your family
- 7:50might be the ones at risk.
- 7:53The rest of what you will see by the official counts.
- 7:57Number one, what is being decided on November third, twenty twenty-six, is
- 8:02all four hundred and thirty-five seats in the US House of Representatives
- 8:07and thirty-five Senate seats, thirty-three regular elections, plus
- 8:12special elections in Florida and Ohio.
- 8:16Number two, eighty-eight of the country's ninety-nine legislative
- 8:21chambers in forty-six states.
- 8:24In four states, Louisiana, Mississippi, New Jersey, and Virginia, they elect
- 8:29no legislators, legislators this year.
- 8:32Kansas, New Mexico, and South Carolina elect only their state
- 8:36House of Representatives this year.
- 8:39Number three, thirty attorneys general.
- 8:44These are the officials who review hospital mergers and police
- 8:47the medical debt collectors.
- 8:50Number four, eleven states elect their insurance commissioner rather than
- 8:55letting the governor appoint one.
- 8:57They are California, Delaware, Georgia, Kansas, Louisiana, Mississippi,
- 9:03Montana, North Carolina, North Dakota, Oklahoma, and Washington.
- 9:09Four of those states are on the ballot this year: California,
- 9:13Georgia, Kansas, and Oklahoma.
- 9:17Five, in thirty-six states, through the governor you elect, the next
- 9:21appointments to the medical board, the body now writing the rules on
- 9:25whether you may use AI for your own health without a doctor's permission.
- 9:32Your state's page lists which of these apply to you.
- 9:37So where do you vote on health directly?
- 9:40Most people assume election day comes with a stack of propositions.
- 9:44It actually does not in most places.
- 9:47This year, there are a hundred and sixty-four statewide measures in forty
- 9:51states, a hundred and forty-five of them on the ballot for November 3rd,
- 9:57but only a handful are about health.
- 10:00In nine states, you will decide a health question yourself.
- 10:04Everywhere else, the health decisions are made by the people we just
- 10:08discussed, whose names will be on your ballot The nine places.
- 10:14In these nine states, we've got propositions on the ballot.
- 10:17Here's what they are.
- 10:19In California, Proposition three makes permanent the top income tax rates that
- 10:25fund schools, and in its title, healthcare
- 10:29. Proposition thirty-eight borrows eight point four billion dollars
- 10:33for immunology research, including cancer, heart disease, and Alzheimer's.
- 10:39Proposition forty is a one-time tax of up to five percent on the net worth of
- 10:45people with more than a billion dollars in assets, with ninety percent of the
- 10:49money directed to your healthcare.
- 10:53Proposition forty-four requires community health clinics to spend ninety
- 10:57percent of their revenue on services.
- 11:01Number two, Colorado.
- 11:03Proposition one thirty-two makes possession of any
- 11:07amount of fentanyl a felony.
- 11:10Proposition one thirty-five bans certain surgeries on minors to
- 11:13alter sex characteristics and bars Medicaid from paying for them.
- 11:19Amendment eighty-seven raises income tax rates above five hundred thousand dollars
- 11:24and directs the new money to schools, healthcare, and early childhood care.
- 11:29In Idaho, Proposition one A right to reproductive freedom into state law.
- 11:36HJR4 gives the legislature sole authority over legalizing marijuana and other
- 11:42controlled substances, closing the door to citizen initiatives on the subject.
- 11:49In Massachusetts, Question 8 ends the retail sale of recreational marijuana
- 11:55ten years after voters approved it.
- 11:58In Missouri, Amendment 3 repeals the Reproductive Rights Amendment voters
- 12:03passed in twenty twenty-four, allows abortion only in cases of rape or incest
- 12:09before twelve weeks, medical emergency, or fetal anomaly , and prohibits gender
- 12:14transition procedures for minors.
- 12:17In Nevada, Question 6 is the second and final vote on a constitutional
- 12:22right to abortion before viability.
- 12:25It passed sixty-four to thirty-six in twenty twenty-four.
- 12:30In North Dakota, initiated constitutional measure number 2
- 12:34requires public schools to serve free breakfast and lunch every school day.
- 12:40In South Dakota, Amendment 1 described above.
- 12:44In Virginia, Question 1 adds a right to reproductive freedom to the state's Bill
- 12:49of Rights, recovering prenatal care, childbirth, birth control, abortion,
- 12:55and miscarriage care and fertility care.
- 12:59Your page quotes the official wording of your state's measures if there is one,
- 13:05and states plainly if there is none.
- 13:08The board you have never voted for.
- 13:11Every state has a medical board.
- 13:13It licenses doctors, takes licenses away, and decides what
- 13:17tools may be used in practice.
- 13:20Its members are, in the words of the board's own national federation, in
- 13:24most cases, appointed by the governor.
- 13:27You will never see their names on a ballot.
- 13:30You will see the name of the person who chooses them.
- 13:34Those boards are now drafting through your their federation model rules
- 13:38on AI that work with limited or no direct physician supervision.
- 13:44That drafting is happening in a closed committee with no member of the public.
- 13:50The governor you elect next week will appoint the people whose
- 13:53vote on those rules in your state How to use your state page.
- 13:59Each page has the seven same seven parts, so you can compare your state with your
- 14:05sisters, brothers, or family members.
- 14:08Your numbers, population, uninsured rate, and count, and whether your state
- 14:13expanded Medicaid at with the date.
- 14:16Number two, where your state stands, how those numbers compare with the
- 14:20other fifty, which way they moved, and how the Medicaid decision was made.
- 14:25Number three, your ballot, which of the offices above are you electing this year?
- 14:31Number four, health measures, your states in the official wording or
- 14:35none, and the nine states deciding a health question directly.
- 14:40Number five, where health decisions are not keeping up with future health.
- 14:44Three places where decisions made for a system built around rescue
- 14:49are being outrun by what is now possible, each with a question to
- 14:53ask any candidate of any party.
- 14:56The pages take no side.
- 14:58There is no agreed definition of the minimal health every American
- 15:02should have, and that argument is part of what this election is about.
- 15:08Your medical board, who appoints it.
- 15:11Your next step, your state's official election site with early voting
- 15:15dates and your polling place, and the seven questions to ask any
- 15:20candidate which come tomorrow.
- 15:23Find your state at robinblackstone.com/yourstate.
- 15:28Where I stand.
- 15:30I am not a party, a member of any party.
- 15:34No party's platform was written with me in mind, and I would rather judge
- 15:38each candidate on what they will do about the things on these pages than to
- 15:42adopt an agenda somebody else assembled.
- 15:45This is not a paid announcement.
- 15:47I'm not raising money.
- 15:49Nobody is paying me to write this or do the work.
- 15:52I am a surgeon who ran a national surgical society, worked inside one
- 15:57of the largest health providers in the country, and finished a formal career
- 16:01inside a large medical device company.
- 16:04But my major qualification is that I've personally treated thousands
- 16:08of people who needed my care.
- 16:12I have conflicts of interest like everybody in this field.
- 16:15I founded companies and the charity that carry this work,
- 16:19and I write books about it.
- 16:21None of them profit from how you vote.
- 16:24On Wednesday, seven questions to ask anyone who wants your vote.
- 16:29And on Thursday, five gifts the public already paid for and who can give them.
- 16:36Your Vote Your Health already paid for.
- 16:39First opinion from AI.
- 16:42This is robinblackstone.com/yourstate is where to find your page.
- 16:48And listed, uh, on all of these are the sources that I've used
- 16:53to put the article together.
- 16:55Find your state at robinblackstone.com/yourstate.
- 17:00One page.
- 17:01Save it to your phone.
- 17:03Take it with you to vote.
- 17:05Tomorrow, seven questions to ask anyone who wants your vote.
- 17:09I'm Robin Blackstone.
- 17:11Vote your health.
- 17:13Thank you for listening