Latest / International Flavor: Where the Truth Tastes Better / Risk vs Diplomacy: Putin on Gas, Khazin on Insurance, Iran War’s Global Economic Shock
Transcript
- 0:00Hello, good morning. Welcome. I am
- 0:01Samuel Trap. This is International
- 0:03Flavor. You are listening to
- 0:06damnadio.com.
- 0:08Very glad to have you this morning. I uh
- 0:12actually got some sleep last night. So,
- 0:14you know, there's a switch. Um pretty
- 0:17crazy. Uh but it's pretty sad because I
- 0:21never sleep and on the days that I do
- 0:23sleep, it's like I'm ready to go and
- 0:25some some kind of lunatic and all I do
- 0:27is work. Um, I I wanted to let you know
- 0:29before I get started on my topic today
- 0:31that uh tomorrow is uh civic outlaws day
- 0:35here on um DAM radio and our program.
- 0:42Why is it always why does something feel
- 0:43echoey in here? I don't know what's
- 0:45going on. Um but it is it is echoey and
- 0:48I don't like it. Um, at any rate, uh,
- 0:52tomorrow is Civic Outlaws Day and I have
- 0:54a another analysis, another bit of an
- 0:58article. Um, as you know, uh, our focus
- 1:01for the last, oh, gee, several months
- 1:05and then a couple of, uh, we have
- 1:07several topics that we're working on.
- 1:08The the the two most important uh, well,
- 1:12there's three. One is licensing in
- 1:14general issues that I spoke about here.
- 1:16The other one is uh legislative action
- 1:20to expand the police state. In my view,
- 1:25uh I noticed that uh in my email uh this
- 1:29morning when I when I uh checked it, I
- 1:33got a response to the sunshine request
- 1:36that I sent out to uh
- 1:39uh Representative Benny Cook. Um I
- 1:41haven't read it yet. Haven't uploaded
- 1:43anything. haven't haven't checked out
- 1:45any of the documents he sent me or what
- 1:47the answer is. Nothing. I chose uh since
- 1:49I didn't have the time to look at it and
- 1:51give it any respect, I chose not to. And
- 1:54uh but I will after the show and uh I'll
- 1:57go dig in. I've already written another
- 1:59article regarding one of his one of his
- 2:03uh another sponsored bill that he has
- 2:06done.
- 2:09Where's this echoing coming from? Uh
- 2:12it's driving me crazy. Anyway, uh the I
- 2:16I've written this article and this one
- 2:18is uh with the help of glasses I can
- 2:21tell you what it is. And so for
- 2:24tomorrow's show I'll be going through my
- 2:27fifth article and this one's kind of a
- 2:29combination. Um there's uh two there's a
- 2:33Senate bill and a House bill. The Senate
- 2:35bill is the companion of the House bill
- 2:38and it's about ATC. The House bill is
- 2:403154. The Senate bill is 1407 and
- 2:44basically it's it's really interesting
- 2:47to me and I don't have any concrete
- 2:49convictions. I have my first impressions
- 2:52of it and my first impressions are I
- 2:55don't like it. I think anything and if
- 2:57you get to know me, you will know that I
- 3:00don't like the expansion of state power.
- 3:02I just don't like it. I believe they
- 3:04have enough power. They don't need
- 3:05anymore. I believe the bureaucrat needs
- 3:07to uh tone it down a little bit and turn
- 3:10into an administrator like they're
- 3:12supposed to be and and not a uh not gez
- 3:15I'm God's gift to the planet cuz I
- 3:17happen to run an agency you know hell
- 3:19with you know no offense but who cares
- 3:23it's
- 3:26what makes you God's gift to the planet
- 3:28you're not none of us are it's live and
- 3:32let live you need to uh work with people
- 3:35and allow people to expand their own
- 3:38dreams, not just you and yours. And if
- 3:40and if you're in the bureaucrat position
- 3:42because it's the easy route, well, I
- 3:44don't have as much respect for you as I
- 3:46would of somebody else. You know, when I
- 3:48look at a bureaucrat, the sad truth is
- 3:50is I see a person who's learned how to
- 3:53kiss ass or has had people kiss ass up
- 3:55to them. That's how you get there
- 3:58truthfully. There's no other you you get
- 4:01your positions because you're connected.
- 4:04That's why people that aren't connected,
- 4:06we get a [ __ ] from the sidelines. And
- 4:09uh uh that's how it works. That's
- 4:12America. That's mostly every other
- 4:14country on the planet, too. It doesn't
- 4:16matter the form of government. The
- 4:18government is not your friend. Very
- 4:22seldom is that the case. And the
- 4:24government is is is, you know, just
- 4:26because they're not out to get you
- 4:29doesn't mean you shouldn't be paranoid.
- 4:32No, it's a it's a simple equation and
- 4:35and and I'm telling you things that
- 4:37expand the power of the police state
- 4:41drive me crazy. But that is not my topic
- 4:43for today. But tomorrow's article will
- 4:45be it's called and I've already written
- 4:48it. It's done. It's civic outlaws series
- 4:50article number five, House Bill 3154,
- 4:54Senate Bill 1407, the 10% owner drag
- 4:57net, and the return of discretionary
- 5:01licensing policy. This is BS. This is
- 5:04not this this is these are not good
- 5:06bills and you should be uh sending
- 5:10things to your representatives and
- 5:12saying, "Look, anything that expands the
- 5:14power of the state, I'm not for it." And
- 5:17you know the only thing they listen to
- 5:19is losing their position unfortunately
- 5:22and if but but that means you got to
- 5:24participate and I don't claim to be the
- 5:26greatest of participants in my life but
- 5:30I've I make my opinions known but most
- 5:32of the time for me it's more of a well
- 5:34there you go you've I've understood this
- 5:37ever since I served in the military and
- 5:39watched the BS that went on at the very
- 5:42high levels as a diplomatic interpreter.
- 5:44I'm telling you, I got some stories
- 5:46about those I have some horror stories
- 5:49about those times. I had fun in it. I
- 5:51enjoyed it, but boy, they made it
- 5:53difficult. And uh and and that's the
- 5:57problem is is a government made up of
- 6:02sickopantic a-holes who just want to
- 6:06improve their power and get to the next
- 6:08level. and they're lifelong bureaucrats
- 6:11with no ambition except to be a lifong
- 6:15bureaucrat. Now, a lifelong
- 6:18administrator that I can respect, but a
- 6:21lifelong I am more important than the
- 6:24system, I'm against. And so, I will call
- 6:28it out if I see it that way because I
- 6:32don't like it. And so, that's what I
- 6:34will do anyway. But that is not my topic
- 6:37for today. My topic for today is back on
- 6:39the international thing. I watch some
- 6:41pretty cool um several of them and I'm
- 6:43going to share them with you uh because
- 6:46it's important. Everybody knows that I
- 6:48uh watch religiously uh just like I do
- 6:52uh watch uh news and events and stories
- 6:57and YouTube and Telegram and things like
- 7:01that from the western point of view.
- 7:04I also watch it from different points of
- 7:07view. Al Jazzer, Times of India, uh, uh,
- 7:11Moscow Times
- 7:13that that I participated and watch. I
- 7:18watch especially Russian language
- 7:20programming, news channels. They have a
- 7:2360 minutes, which is a good one that's
- 7:24really longer than 60 minutes. It was
- 7:26like two through two, three hours. And
- 7:29so it's hard to get through the 60
- 7:30minutes when it's really not 60 minutes.
- 7:32Um, I read Russian newspapers. I'm kind
- 7:35of uh partial to Ukraine.
- 7:38And uh uh RT because RT you can do in
- 7:42Russian and in English. The Russian
- 7:43version is better. And uh if you do the
- 7:46Russian uh ukrina. One of the reasons I
- 7:49like them is because they publish my
- 7:51articles and they've published four or
- 7:53five of them, you know, in Russian over
- 7:55there. And so uh I'm I I kind of
- 7:58impartial to them and they have opinions
- 8:00which I like. And I met those people
- 8:02when I was at Kazan for the bricks
- 8:03conference a couple years ago, year and
- 8:05a half. Um, so anyway, I follow uh I try
- 8:09to get it as much as possible from the
- 8:11horse's mouth. Um, I don't like uh I
- 8:15listen to other interpretations and I
- 8:17like doing it, but it all it's mostly to
- 8:19say, oh, uh, this is some of the topics
- 8:21that people are talking about. I've
- 8:23picked three things for today to go over
- 8:26with you and uh they're all war related,
- 8:29but not from the war point of view or
- 8:31from the war uh issue, but from the
- 8:34effects of the war, the economics of it
- 8:37all. And uh Vladimir Putin yesterday uh
- 8:40gave a an interview to one of the
- 8:43Russian channels uh I think it was
- 8:46channel one uh Peter V. Canel and I
- 8:49think but I'm not positive. I know. I've
- 8:51seen that reporter before and he uh uh
- 8:55you know is he's a young man and I mean
- 8:57he's pretty good. So I I'm telling you
- 9:00I'm I'm looking and I want to take this
- 9:02from the point of view of this in order
- 9:04to begin the show and begin this topic
- 9:06anyway. I want to say the following that
- 9:08you know and and I've sort of kind of
- 9:11used this before as an analogy but I'm
- 9:13going to try it again. When I was a
- 9:15young man, I used to play, especially at
- 9:17home, you know, I've uh uh grew up with
- 9:2010 siblings. Uh would have been 11, but
- 9:22one passed away. And so when I was
- 9:24younger, I was right in the middle of
- 9:25this, you know, five younger than me,
- 9:28five older. And uh when I was younger,
- 9:30we used to play a lot of board games, a
- 9:32lot of sports outside, too. And one of
- 9:34the most famous games that we played all
- 9:36the time is risk. It's a classic, you
- 9:39know, Milton Bradley world domination
- 9:41game. Most Risk is simple. It's an easy
- 9:44game, an easy concept once you
- 9:47understand the mechanics and the
- 9:49limitations. There's essentially only
- 9:52one optimal way to play it. Trouble is,
- 9:55we all knew it. So, it got boring pretty
- 9:57quickly. And if you, you know, you'd
- 9:58either and the only way to win is all
- 10:01risk right now and take whatever little
- 10:04chunk of either the South American
- 10:06portal or the Australian portal. They've
- 10:08changed the rules. uh Christmas time I
- 10:11played it at my son's house and they've
- 10:12changed some of the rules and some of
- 10:13the connections probably to get rid of
- 10:15this particular uh avenue. But if you
- 10:19didn't pick one of those two options,
- 10:21you weren't going to win. That's all
- 10:23there is to it. You can't defend Europe.
- 10:25Nobody ever starts a land war in Asia.
- 10:28You're not going to win. And so it's
- 10:31nonsense. But if you start in Australia,
- 10:33you can slowly build and take over the
- 10:35world. It's an economic concept. If you
- 10:37start in in South America, you have a
- 10:40fairly good chance. But when's the last
- 10:42time Australia in reality started a war?
- 10:45I mean, seriously, when when's the last
- 10:48time in South America, other than the
- 10:50United States, when when did they have
- 10:52war down there? Seriously. I mean, ask
- 10:55yourself that question. We've been
- 10:56involved in all kinds of wars. Wonder
- 10:59who the aggressor is. Who's the
- 11:01aggressive person on the planet? We're
- 11:03protected by two oceans and two allies
- 11:06that we control. Okay? And so the the
- 11:09the fact is nobody really it's it's not
- 11:12going to be easy for somebody to bring
- 11:14the war to us. So we take it to them
- 11:17because our defensive measures are so
- 11:19powerful that that that things have have
- 11:21come up and that's what we're doing
- 11:22right now. So but risk assumes something
- 11:25very convenient. And here's the problem.
- 11:27the, you know, if you don't play one of
- 11:29the on the actual board game, if you
- 11:31don't pick one of those two strategies,
- 11:33the chances of winning are virtually
- 11:36non-existent. They're very, very tiny.
- 11:38You can still do it, but you got to have
- 11:40somebody who doesn't know what the hell
- 11:41they're doing. Or more importantly, luck
- 11:44has to be with you because it's nothing
- 11:46but a dice game. And so the the the but
- 11:49the chances once you understand the uh
- 11:52chances of uh of rolling a particular
- 11:55number you know that as well. So
- 11:58sometimes the cards are with you
- 11:59sometimes they're not. Anyway the uh
- 12:02there's risk assumes something
- 12:04convenient that the board stays
- 12:06identical, the rules stay identical and
- 12:10every move happens in sequence. Meaning
- 12:14not everybody's attacking at once. It's
- 12:17only one one movement. That's it. But
- 12:20we're in a world. So the you take in and
- 12:24risk, you attack, next player takes
- 12:26turn, next player attacks. It's neat.
- 12:28It's orderly and completely unrealistic.
- 12:32There was another war game that I
- 12:33enjoyed uh much more. I don't remember
- 12:36who did this one. Uh something hill I
- 12:39think. I don't remember. But uh uh it's
- 12:40called diplomacy. And diplomacy was a
- 12:42very different game. In diplomacy, all
- 12:45the moves happened simultaneously.
- 12:48Nobody knows what the other players are
- 12:49going to do until the movement of
- 12:52everything, you know, everybody moves at
- 12:54the same time. You have a negotiation
- 12:56phase and you have a moving phase. And
- 12:57so every day you make a move and and
- 13:01during the day you meet with other
- 13:03players or phone and talk to other
- 13:04players and try to make uh make uh deals
- 13:08or say, you know, what if I did this,
- 13:10what if I did that? And you you learn,
- 13:12you can negotiate, you can make
- 13:14alliances, and you can betray those
- 13:17alliances. And that one is a little bit
- 13:19more
- 13:21interesting for sure. And especially if
- 13:24somebody is uh prone to uh saying
- 13:27something but not following through, you
- 13:29learn that pretty quickly. And and uh uh
- 13:32you know, but it's a game. You have to
- 13:34kind of leave that out. And the
- 13:36consequences ripple across the whole
- 13:38board all at the same time. that game is
- 13:40much closer to how real world domination
- 13:45actually works.
- 13:47And then so I watched something pretty
- 13:49pretty critical last night. This
- 13:50interview of Vladimir Putin, which I'm
- 13:52going to share with you. It's short,
- 13:54five five 10 minutes. I think the whole
- 13:56thing that uh uh I transcribed is uh is
- 14:00um 8 minutes and I'm as close as
- 14:02possible to the original translation as
- 14:05uh to the original intent. But
- 14:09something is always lost in translation
- 14:11anyway that the tiny nuances. But I'm
- 14:14trying to get it as close to the way he
- 14:15said it. Okay? Because I watched it. I
- 14:18saw it. I know what he means. And uh I'm
- 14:20trying to get very close because this is
- 14:22how the world actually works. And this
- 14:24is where there was a second interview I
- 14:26watched with an economist that I follow.
- 14:28And this economist, his name is Mikail
- 14:31Kazin, and he's from uh Moscow. I think
- 14:34he's a Moscow based um uh e economist
- 14:38and very very very smart and remember a
- 14:42lot of these people that are my age grew
- 14:44up and and went to college dur went to
- 14:47uh economic school during the Soviet
- 14:49Union which was a very very very
- 14:52different econ in well economics degree.
- 14:55I have an economics uh focus in my
- 14:58degree which means I took enough to be
- 15:01dangerous of economics but it's not a
- 15:03full economics. Mine is economics and
- 15:06Russian and so I'm I have Russian
- 15:08studies you know which is Russian
- 15:10history, Russian culture, Russian stuff
- 15:12like that and University of Illinois. So
- 15:14it's not like I went to God's gift of uh
- 15:16universities, you know, and then I have
- 15:18a lot degree afterward, but e economics
- 15:20was basically my base. And so uh I like
- 15:25watching how these people think and how
- 15:28Kazine especially thinks and Mik I'd
- 15:30love to have him on the show. His
- 15:32English sucks, but uh I' I'd like to
- 15:34have him on the show or I thought about
- 15:35interviewing him in Russian and getting
- 15:37something interesting because he's very
- 15:38interesting guy. and he was interviewed
- 15:41by uh Vladimir Soliv and that's another
- 15:46I think the interview went forever but I
- 15:47got a 10 15 minute segment that I want
- 15:49to share with you because that's
- 15:51important and uh and and and I want to
- 15:53talk about the focus so
- 15:56explained that in the Soviet Union e
- 15:58economics was not taught as it is in the
- 16:01west and he's absolutely right and it
- 16:04was taught in in the west economics is
- 16:07all math Okay. But it's taught as uh in
- 16:12the Soviet Union it was taught as a
- 16:14political economic model because the
- 16:18state is important in those type of
- 16:20models and virtually the rest of the
- 16:22world follows those kind of things in
- 16:25the US some of Europe little bit these
- 16:27western models of only mathematics
- 16:30presume all these other things that
- 16:33don't necessarily exist and you have
- 16:36imperfect data because the data only
- 16:38comes if you presume
- 16:42production systems
- 16:44are are not going to be bothered.
- 16:47Logistics aren't going to be bothered,
- 16:49you know, or a stable model because you
- 16:52have to you put it in there. Assuming
- 16:54the very first thing you say when
- 16:55building an econ economic model is
- 16:58assuming all the facts are unchanged,
- 17:01assuming these facts, then we can
- 17:05project the following model. Assuming
- 17:08that uh the the spring comes on March
- 17:1423rd like it normally does, we you know
- 17:18can predict that uh you know and people
- 17:22are able to start their planting in
- 17:24Minnesota of whatever it is they choose
- 17:26to grow or corn in Iowa, you know, that
- 17:30they're going to grow. They plant that
- 17:31assuming they can plant between March
- 17:3423rd and April 15. the crops will be
- 17:37blah, but the world's imperfect. You get
- 17:40tornadoes, you get you get craziness,
- 17:42you get these other things and they all
- 17:44affect. That's why economic models are
- 17:46so difficult to do. And in America and
- 17:49in western uh capitalistic sorts of
- 17:52governments, there is no go there is
- 17:55government modeling. But there it's like
- 17:57assuming your government doesn't turn
- 17:59into some raging bureaucratic nonsense
- 18:01and and they they try to uh destroy your
- 18:04mode of life because that's what they
- 18:06do. They're bureaucrats. They have
- 18:08nothing else to do. But assuming they
- 18:10leave you alone and don't create new
- 18:12rules, my uh Shell oil platforms in the
- 18:16Gulf will perform as blah, you know, but
- 18:19the model has to be stable. So real
- 18:22economics how it functioned in practice
- 18:24in the west is far different than the
- 18:26stable models that they used in the
- 18:29Soviet practice because there the means
- 18:31of production were all controlled by the
- 18:33state. Okay? And so there they had a far
- 18:36more stable set of models. And so they
- 18:38did learn the mathematical things, but
- 18:40they also learned other impacts that uh
- 18:43maybe weren't so stable. They learned
- 18:46about sanctions. They learned about uh
- 18:49targeting of their markets by other
- 18:51people. The the the world isn't stable.
- 18:54Okay? And every time Donald Trump or a
- 18:56president opens his mouth, the world
- 18:58changes. And this is what we were
- 19:01talking about because our models always
- 19:03assume rational actors,
- 19:07right? Perfect information, a balanced
- 19:10market, and most important of all,
- 19:13stable logistics.
- 19:15But real economics do not behave that
- 19:17way. Real economics behave like the game
- 19:20diplomacy, not like risk. Everything
- 19:22moves at the same time. Supply chains
- 19:25are moving, military forces moving,
- 19:27energy markets are moving, financial
- 19:29markets are moving. Okay, so with that
- 19:33in mind, I want to get to if I can find
- 19:35it real quick. I have to find the
- 19:38translation of
- 19:41uh Vladimir Vladimir.
- 19:44And it's coming. I'm almost there. I I
- 19:48went through a lot today. I got to get
- 19:50all the way back to where I was that I
- 19:52have my interpretation
- 19:55cuz that I ran in Dubai and oil with
- 19:58Kazin was very interesting and I
- 20:00definitely want to share that. So we're
- 20:03going to talk about this interview. It's
- 20:07pretty short and basically it's uh uh
- 20:10this is a very close English translation
- 20:13of his entire interview which wasn't
- 20:15more than seven eight minutes. So, I'm
- 20:16going to read the question to you and
- 20:18then I'm going to follow up with the uh
- 20:20answer by Vladimir Putin and then give
- 20:22you my own opinion on it. So, basically
- 20:24the journalist says, "We watched your
- 20:26meetings this morning. May I question
- 20:29right off the bat? You yourself just
- 20:31said what is happening in global gas
- 20:34markets and many countries are already
- 20:37practically in a panic over what is
- 20:40happening. Prices have skyrocketed and
- 20:42is unclear what will happen next with
- 20:45prices. It is unclear what will happen
- 20:47next with supply. And of course, it
- 20:50inevitably comes to mind that Europe
- 20:52keeps banning our gas, banning it,
- 20:55banning it, and no new bans are
- 20:58approaching in April. Bans on short-term
- 21:01delivery of liqufied Russian gas are
- 21:03supposed to enter into force. Then there
- 21:06will be some other bans as well that
- 21:08they are talking about on the European
- 21:11side. Vladimir Putin says yes and this
- 21:14is under contracts that were concluded
- 21:18sometime around the summer of last year.
- 21:20So they entered into contracts last year
- 21:22in the summer and the journalist says
- 21:24yes. And then there are more bans and
- 21:26today they've already begun to say that
- 21:28maybe the date for the bands should be
- 21:30shifted
- 21:31pushed back. Europeans are asking that
- 21:33the dates for these bans get pushed back
- 21:36because the US invaded with Israel.
- 21:40Well, the US backed Israel. Uh Israel
- 21:43invaded. We're just the the lap dog of
- 21:46Israel. And so we're we're we're in, you
- 21:49know, we're in all the way. And so, uh
- 21:51given what is happening in the world, uh
- 21:54today I've begun to say that these dates
- 21:56should be shifted. Thoughts, please. And
- 21:59then Vladimir Putin says, first of all,
- 22:02and this is a direct translation and and
- 22:05he he says, first of all, Russia has
- 22:07always been and remains a reliable
- 22:10supplier of energy resources for all of
- 22:13our partners, including, by the way,
- 22:16European ones. And we will continue to
- 22:19work in exactly this mode with those of
- 22:21our partners who themselves are reliable
- 22:24counterparts
- 22:26for example such as those in Eastern
- 22:28Europe, Slovakia and Hungary. We supply
- 22:31our energy s resources there both oil
- 22:35and gas and we intend to continue doing
- 22:38this in the future if of course the
- 22:40leadership of these countries continue
- 22:43to pursue the same policy as today
- 22:46namely that they remain a reliable
- 22:48partner for us. As for Europe, what is
- 22:52happening today on the European market
- 22:54is of course first and foremost the
- 22:57results of the erroneous policy of
- 23:01European authorities in the fields of
- 23:03energy. This is an abuse of the green
- 23:06agenda. This is the use of all of these
- 23:09instruments for domestic political
- 23:11activity and for achieving some sort of
- 23:15party
- 23:17uh or some group objective. Such policy
- 23:22has nothing in common with the interests
- 23:24of the people of these countries. Now
- 23:28indeed prices have risen both for oil
- 23:31and for gas across the board. As for
- 23:35oil, that is understandable. This is
- 23:37connected among other things with
- 23:39restrictions on Russian oil and
- 23:41additionally everything that is
- 23:43happening now in the Middle East with
- 23:45the aggression against Iran. All of this
- 23:48overlaps one on top of the other and
- 23:51leads to difficult and frankly very
- 23:54serious results for consumers.
- 23:57As for gas, the surge in prices on the
- 24:00European market is not even directly
- 24:03connected today with restrictions on gas
- 24:05supplies to the European market. After
- 24:07all, the main gas suppliers have to
- 24:10Europe have not reduced their volume.
- 24:13And who are the main suppliers today?
- 24:17Algeria, the US, Norway, and to some
- 24:21extent Russia. No one has reduced supply
- 24:24and prices have already jumped to 700.
- 24:28Why? Because the general situation on
- 24:31the world market including oil market
- 24:33and in this case gas market because the
- 24:36overall situation because buyers have
- 24:38appeared who are ready to purchase the
- 24:40same natural gas at a higher price in
- 24:44this case due to the events in the
- 24:46Middle East due to the blocking of the
- 24:48straits of Hormuz and so on. If such
- 24:51premium buyers appear then from the
- 24:54European market I think some traditional
- 24:56suppliers including Americans and
- 24:59American companies will of course move
- 25:01their resources there where they pay
- 25:04more. This is natural. There is nothing
- 25:06political about it. It's only business.
- 25:09That's all. Therefore I repeat once
- 25:12again this is the result of the mistaken
- 25:15policy of European authorities over the
- 25:17course of many years. And in this
- 25:20regard, I think about the following. As
- 25:22you just said, and this is serious what
- 25:25he says right here. This this is how
- 25:27Vladimir Putin thinks. Okay? And that's
- 25:30why it's important to provide for you
- 25:32the whole thing. This is how he thinks.
- 25:34And this is not uncommon. This is a very
- 25:37Russian thought process. And and by the
- 25:39way, this is a very American thought
- 25:41process at the same time. Those people
- 25:43who understand the world and understand
- 25:45what they're doing are pretty blunt
- 25:47about what they can do. And here his he
- 25:49continues this as you just said Europe
- 25:53plans in a month the 24th is the last
- 25:56day from the 25th on March he's talking
- 25:59about to introduce restrictions on the
- 26:02purchase of Russian gas including
- 26:05liqufied gas and then in a year in 2027
- 26:09even more restrictions up to a full ban
- 26:12of gas from Russia. But now other
- 26:16markets are open to us. And perhaps for
- 26:20us, it's more profitable for us right
- 26:22now to stop supplying the European
- 26:25market and move those markets that are
- 26:28opening and secure ourselves there,
- 26:30which they've already done by the way.
- 26:32And here too, I want this to be clear.
- 26:34There is no political background, no
- 26:37political agenda. But if in a month or
- 26:39two they're going to close us anyway,
- 26:42then perhaps it would be better for us
- 26:44to stop right now and move to where the
- 26:46countries that are reliable, move toward
- 26:49reliable partners instead and strengthen
- 26:52our positions there. But this is not a
- 26:55decision. This is as meaning he says
- 26:58this isn't a decision right now. I am
- 27:00just thinking out loud. But I will
- 27:03certainly instruct the government so
- 27:05that together with our companies we will
- 27:07work together through this issue. Now in
- 27:11the west all you'll get is a little
- 27:13blurb about uh you know Putin said he's
- 27:15cutting us off. No, that's not what he
- 27:17said. He said I'm considering cutting it
- 27:20off cuz hell you're going to cut us off
- 27:22in a year anyway and on the 24th there's
- 27:25some serious restrictions coming up this
- 27:27month. You don't want us here. we've
- 27:29already been making counter uh
- 27:32uh counter plans, you know, we're going
- 27:34to go somewhere else. This is what he's
- 27:36talking about. This is how the world
- 27:38thinks, right? And the journalist says
- 27:41to him says, "Well, today there's
- 27:42another important piece of news. Our gas
- 27:45tanker, so I don't know if you're aware
- 27:47of this or not, uh but I'll give you the
- 27:49short question, then I'll give you some
- 27:50stuff. One of our gas tankers has been
- 27:53attacked in the Mediterranean Sea." Now,
- 27:56we're not talking in the Black Sea.
- 27:58We're talking in the Mediterranean and
- 28:00the Mediterranean is wide open, right?
- 28:03And it was seriously attacked. So
- 28:06Ukraine did what the US did outside of
- 28:09Sri Lanka and and sent a missile. Well,
- 28:12this one was drones cuz Ukraine doesn't
- 28:14have any sea-based missile capability.
- 28:17All they got is drone. And the Russia
- 28:19blew up their only ship is what I
- 28:21understand. And uh but I I could be
- 28:23mistaken on that, but I know that this
- 28:25action was with drones and some pretty
- 28:28serious drones because they they uh I I
- 28:30I don't know that the ship actually
- 28:32sank, but its cargo was destroyed. Never
- 28:34got to where it was going. So the war is
- 28:36expanding, friends and neighbors. The
- 28:39war is expanding. And now the Russian
- 28:42ship was uh targeted. and uh the US in
- 28:46Sri Lanka in open international waters
- 28:49blew up an Iranian ship and just to say
- 28:52look what we can do. Okay. And then you
- 28:56know we can do this. Well, we knew you
- 28:58could do that. That hasn't happened
- 28:59since World War II. And now it's
- 29:02happened. And you know all the guys on
- 29:04the submarine will get new rewards and
- 29:07get awards to pin on their uniforms to
- 29:10say, "Hey, this is a great thing. We
- 29:12blew up the first boat since uh World
- 29:14War II. No, this is the first salvo,
- 29:18unfortunately. Well, it's not really the
- 29:20first. This is a the first sea-based
- 29:23salvo against another uh ship
- 29:27that is going to lead to we are we are
- 29:30being dragged in to a world war. That's
- 29:34my belief. And each step be will become
- 29:38more and more like a dice roll in risk
- 29:42because you have nothing else that you
- 29:44can do. But don't think that the
- 29:46Iranians are giving up cuz they're not
- 29:48going to. And uh we we we've created a
- 29:52religious martyrdom over there by the
- 29:54decapitation strike. And that's what I
- 29:57think. But anyway, this guy, the
- 29:58journalist, asked a question. What do
- 30:00you think about to Putin? What do you
- 30:03think about our ship getting blown up in
- 30:05the Mediterranean Sea? And this is this
- 30:08is a serious escalation by Ukraine.
- 30:12Ukraine can't win on the ground. So the
- 30:14Ukraine is is is is
- 30:17hard pushing to get the US and NATO
- 30:20involved against Russia. And I think the
- 30:22US and Israel are in the same boat, you
- 30:24know, with the Iranian thing. And so,
- 30:27uh, Zalinski is trying to get the
- 30:30attention back on him. Look what we can
- 30:32do. Hey, we can send our our Ukrainian
- 30:35experts. Yeah, they're really experts.
- 30:38If they were experts, Russia wouldn't
- 30:40have advanced as far as they're getting.
- 30:42And oh, gee, we can attack deep inside
- 30:44of Russia. Well, good for you. What are
- 30:46you going to do to defend yourself
- 30:47against the attacks that are going on
- 30:49deep inside of your territory? So now
- 30:51the Ukrainian people are being sent as
- 30:54experts to the Middle East to say,
- 30:57"Here's how you beat Russian drones."
- 30:59Well, you aren't beating Russian drones
- 31:00now.
- 31:02Anyway, this ship blew up. The the
- 31:05Ukrainians attacked a ship in the
- 31:07Mediterranean. Serious escalation. And
- 31:09Vladimir Putin's answer to this, he's
- 31:11the guy says, "What do you think of
- 31:12this?" He said, "Well,
- 31:14we think this is a terrorist attack. We
- 31:18have encountered things of this kind
- 31:19more than once. What is surprising is
- 31:22that this only worsens the situation in
- 31:25the global energy market including the
- 31:28gas market and in this case primarily
- 31:31for Europe. It turns out that the Kiev
- 31:35regime is actually biting the hand that
- 31:38feeds it, namely the hand of the
- 31:41European Union.
- 31:43The European Union provides Kiev, the
- 31:46Kiev regime, with endless assistance,
- 31:48both weapons and money, and the Kiev
- 31:50regime creates nothing but problems for
- 31:52the European Union one after another.
- 31:55Vladimir Putin's very blunt. As for the
- 31:58general behavior, this behavior is quite
- 32:00aggressive on the parts of the Kiev
- 32:02regime and very dangerous because, as
- 32:05I've already said, according to the
- 32:07information available to our special
- 32:09services, just as in the Nordstream
- 32:11pipelines, they were once blown up with
- 32:14Kiev with the support of certain Western
- 32:17intelligence services. An operation is
- 32:20being prepared to blow up the Blue
- 32:22Stream and Turk Stream gas pipelines. We
- 32:26have already informed our Turkish
- 32:28friends about this matter. We will see
- 32:30what happens in this sphere. But this is
- 32:33a very dangerous game especially in
- 32:36today's world. End of the interview and
- 32:40uh it was well it's not the end of the
- 32:42interview went on for a while but that
- 32:44was only two questions that I took out
- 32:45of the interview because I think uh the
- 32:48analysis of the world uh gas and oil
- 32:51market is important. Okay. And because
- 32:54we're not insulated from it, even
- 32:56ourselves. Okay, the I told you
- 32:58yesterday went to the gas station and uh
- 33:01I paid uh two I was I was all happy
- 33:04about paying 260 259
- 33:07um a month ago, you know, and uh I only
- 33:11fill up a couple times a month. I don't
- 33:13go anywhere. And uh uh so I filled it
- 33:17up. Didn't cost anything. The difference
- 33:19was uh $12 I think this time when I
- 33:22filled it up. Overall, it's only a
- 33:2425gallon tank, you know, and 12 bucks
- 33:27over 20. That's 50 cents a gallon. And
- 33:29we're not done. It's it's on the way up.
- 33:31It's going to be worse, you know. It's
- 33:34going to get worse. And that is why I
- 33:37wanted to include um this Russian guy,
- 33:41Mikail Kazin, in his interview with uh
- 33:44Salv. And this is from something called
- 33:48uh uh well it was Vladimir Soliv's radio
- 33:52program. He has a morning radio program.
- 33:54This guy works and works and works. I
- 33:56mean he's got his show every night is
- 33:58like three hours and then he has a radio
- 34:00program that's like two hours or three
- 34:03and it goes on and I forgot I forget
- 34:05what that's covered.
- 34:07Open something with Soliv. I forget what
- 34:09it's called, but he's he's got also the
- 34:12news um well his um awesome format where
- 34:16he has all these uh political and
- 34:19economics and professors and artists and
- 34:22people that talk about the the the views
- 34:25and he has a show uh evenings with
- 34:27Vladimir Soliv and I try to watch the
- 34:29Sunday one. I don't, you know, the
- 34:31Sunday one is usually a, you know, kind
- 34:32of a big deal and I try to watch that
- 34:35one and get as much out of it as I can,
- 34:37but it's three hours long and so I
- 34:39usually only get in the first couple
- 34:41hours, you know, and uh then um I keep
- 34:45but but the this is a radio interview.
- 34:47This was not with Mikail Kazin, who
- 34:49sometimes is a uh commentator on the
- 34:52Soliv show, but uh he was uh being
- 34:55interviewed on the radio program this
- 34:57time. Kazine has his own channel on
- 35:00YouTube as well and and Telegram and
- 35:02I've watched him on that too. He's an
- 35:04interesting cat and he knows some stuff.
- 35:06Uh he's a he's an economics uh guru and
- 35:11he uh he understands the world quite
- 35:13well. So Vladimir Soliv he says
- 35:16Mkinidovich Iran is delivering uh
- 35:19asymmetric strikes against the world
- 35:21economy and it is happening in a harsh
- 35:24manner. And Kazim says well not so much
- 35:27against the American economy as against
- 35:30the BritishAmerican infrastructure in
- 35:32the Middle East. Now this this is he he
- 35:36pointed immediately uh Soliv in the
- 35:40right direction in in what is critical
- 35:43here and this is important. He says
- 35:45moreover there are questions here. I
- 35:47mean it was so interesting to watch. I
- 35:49was glued to this guy and and it was
- 35:51only uh the the portion I'm reading to
- 35:54you is only like 10 15 minutes of it and
- 35:56uh I got time to get us there for sure.
- 35:59And uh he says moreover there they're
- 36:01they're uh taking out BritishAmerican
- 36:05infrastructure in the region not
- 36:06American economy British American.
- 36:09Moreover, there are also questions here
- 36:11because information is already
- 36:13circulating. Tucker Carlson even spoke
- 36:15about it that Iran did not strike these
- 36:18um economic facilities in Saudi Arabia
- 36:22that it was actually a diversionary
- 36:24operation carried out by Israel this to
- 36:27get Saudi Arabia involved. So this talk
- 36:30is out there that uh these strikes
- 36:32against uh infrastructure in uh other
- 36:35countries you know and he says as for
- 36:37the strikes on Bahrain and Dubai yes
- 36:39those are strikes against American
- 36:41infrastructure but considering that they
- 36:43have partially blocked the straight of
- 36:44Hormuz then yes this is going to be a
- 36:47huge blow to the global economy and as
- 36:50we can see at least regarding oil pro
- 36:53prices this is instantly visible to the
- 36:56naked eye. However, if we look at
- 36:58markets, we see that there is no serious
- 37:00panic yet. That is, everyone thinks that
- 37:04this will end quickly now and everything
- 37:07will return to normal. And then get this
- 37:10key sentence. He says, "I, by the way,
- 37:13do not believe this.
- 37:16But I hope but hope does sustain the
- 37:19young." I mean, this guy's this guy's
- 37:21slick. And Soliv says to him, "What do
- 37:24you mean you don't really believe it?
- 37:26what do you believe? And Hazine says, I
- 37:29think this is the beginning. And this
- 37:31unfortunately is also what I believe.
- 37:33And so I suppose this is this is kind of
- 37:36a self- validation thing because this is
- 37:39what I believe. And what he is saying is
- 37:42a different economic models, different
- 37:44everything like that. But this is
- 37:45exactly how I think. Okay. And and he
- 37:48said, I think this is the beginning of
- 37:50the fundamental destruction of the
- 37:52economic model itself. The whole model
- 37:55is now changing the whole model. And
- 37:57this is me commenting on that. I should
- 37:59read his entire thing first and then
- 38:00comment. But but I I can't do it. But
- 38:04this is the beginning of the destruction
- 38:06of the fundamental economic models. And
- 38:08people aren't paying attention to this
- 38:10except for people like Jeffrey Sachs,
- 38:12people like Mikail Kazin and me. Okay?
- 38:15And I'm no genius though. Those two are
- 38:18but uh but I I I believe the same basic
- 38:21principles. Okay. on the economic
- 38:24sphere. Regardless of what these idiots
- 38:26do, you know, you know, trying to show
- 38:28who's got the biggest weenie, you know,
- 38:30I got the bigger weenie. Look at all
- 38:31these missiles I can throw your way. We
- 38:34shouldn't be involved in this war
- 38:35anyway. This is why you can't play risk
- 38:38and you got to play diplomacy because
- 38:41risk, who is the instable partner? It's
- 38:45always America out creating wars
- 38:48somewhere or Israel creating wars on
- 38:50America's behalf somewhere. I'm telling
- 38:53you, it's an unstable world. But where
- 38:56does the un instability come from?
- 38:59When's the last time China ever started
- 39:01a war? When's the last time India ever
- 39:03started a war?
- 39:07When is the last time that Russia ever
- 39:10started a war?
- 39:13Think about those things. Think about
- 39:16them and then answer these questions
- 39:18because Mikail Kazin says, "I think this
- 39:21is the beginning of the fundamental
- 39:23destruction of our economic model, the
- 39:25world economic model." And he's talking
- 39:27about the very next sentence, the very
- 39:30same Breton Woods model, the dollar
- 39:33system and so forth. The Western model
- 39:36is what he's talking about. It has been
- 39:38cracking, cracking, cracking for many
- 39:40years, but it has held. But now the
- 39:44collapse is beginning even more quickly.
- 39:46And the main reason is not even the
- 39:49strikes that still may occur. The main
- 39:51reason is logistics.
- 39:55The fact is that when the first tankers
- 39:57began to be attacked in the straight or
- 39:59attacked in the straits of Hormuz,
- 40:02notice Iran announced that oil tankers,
- 40:05if they are not American, may calmly
- 40:07pass through the straits of Hormuz, but
- 40:09the other ships are not moving. Why? And
- 40:13here I can expose uh uh my own
- 40:16hypothesis. This is Hazine, but it seems
- 40:18to me to be the answer. The fact is, and
- 40:22this is what I believe and and and he
- 40:24says it exactly why I think it this way.
- 40:27The fact is that no tanker will go
- 40:30anywhere if it cannot be insured. All
- 40:35insurance policies were withdrawn as
- 40:38soon as the operation began. New
- 40:40insurance is required. Now notice uh I'm
- 40:44going to take a break here because Qatar
- 40:45stopped supplying natural gas
- 40:47immediately and they're like number
- 40:49three in the world of natural gas
- 40:51supplies and they shut down. Now Iran
- 40:54did bomb one of their production
- 40:56facilities and um right on the straits
- 40:58but but uh Qatar shut down right right
- 41:01away. And why? Because of the insurance
- 41:05issue because we're not going to do this
- 41:07and take the risk that our we're not
- 41:09idiots. You know, we don't just send new
- 41:11tankers out and wait for somebody to
- 41:13blow them up. Look what Look in the
- 41:14Mediterranean's not even safe. You got
- 41:16these idiots in Kiev blowing [ __ ] up. We
- 41:20got the US blowing [ __ ] up in Sri Lanka
- 41:23and we have Iran blowing [ __ ] up. People
- 41:26are
- 41:27uh constricting. They are they are
- 41:30sucking them back into their own. Russia
- 41:34Putin just said what? He said, well, you
- 41:36know, hell with them. We'll just cut
- 41:37them off ourselves. you know, we've
- 41:39tried the the route of let's, you know,
- 41:41let's figure this out. You know, there's
- 41:43no reason to hate us and, you know,
- 41:45obviously they're going to still hate
- 41:46us, so screw them. We'll send our gas
- 41:50somewhere else. And he said, it's only a
- 41:52hypothesis, but damn, they're definitely
- 41:53leaning that way. It's all the the if if
- 41:56Brit if the you um European
- 42:01um communities are restricting, why in
- 42:04the world would you want to do business
- 42:05with them anyway? Hell with you. You
- 42:07know, it goes up. Oh, fine. I'll sell my
- 42:09stuff to Pakistan. So what? You know,
- 42:12you're still going to sell it. He's
- 42:14still going to make money and uh you
- 42:16know, then he can continue to swat at
- 42:18the fly of Ukraine, right? And and
- 42:21that's it. And so let's continue with
- 42:23Kazim. He says neither insurance
- 42:25companies nor reinsurance companies and
- 42:28it is the reinsurance companies that
- 42:31actually pay the money in the case of an
- 42:33emergency have calculated their new
- 42:37rates going forward. So and moreover
- 42:41that is difficult to do because they
- 42:43don't know what's going to happen next.
- 42:45Nobody does. You think the insurance
- 42:48companies are going to ensure your
- 42:49tanker so you can say, "Oh, J, the US is
- 42:52going to escort your tanker, that
- 42:55doesn't mean it ain't going to get blown
- 42:56up."
- 42:58It's like your chances might go down,
- 43:00but an actuarial table isn't going to
- 43:02change because there's a boat next to
- 43:04you. It's not going to happen. And so
- 43:07for these, moreover, this is difficult
- 43:09to do. And for this reason, everything
- 43:12economically in these markets has simply
- 43:15stopped. When the situation settles down
- 43:17and it's unclear how long that will
- 43:19take. It won't be two weeks in my view.
- 43:22It will become clear that the cost of
- 43:24logistics has increased dramatically and
- 43:28it will affect everyone. And if the cost
- 43:30of logistics sharply increases, then
- 43:33small carriers are going to be forced
- 43:35out of the market and large carriers
- 43:37will begin significantly raising prices
- 43:39to cover the cost of insurance and
- 43:42transit. And this is a much stronger
- 43:45blow to the world economy than bombs
- 43:48being thrown somewhere. Now, that's a
- 43:51direct quote of everything that Mikail
- 43:54Khazine answered in response to that
- 43:56question with some little Dbavichki um
- 43:59additions from Samuel and that's me. And
- 44:03so Salv says, "Well, then what's the
- 44:06price of oil going to be?" And uh Kazine
- 44:10says,"Well, what kind of question are
- 44:11you asking?"
- 44:13So because he's, you know, he thinks
- 44:15it's going to go back over $100 a
- 44:17barrel. And he says, "These are not
- 44:19questions I'm asking personally." He
- 44:21said, "The Israelis say the conflict
- 44:23could last till August." Bloomberg
- 44:25writes that the price will go above 100.
- 44:27And Kazim says it will go above 100. But
- 44:30the point isn't even that. Here's what
- 44:32he says. The point isn't even that. The
- 44:35point is that if logistics collapse, the
- 44:37cost of everything
- 44:40will rise sharply and that's the problem
- 44:44and then inflation will rise everywhere.
- 44:48Moreover, this inflation will not be
- 44:51monetary inflation where central banks
- 44:54can just print more money. It will be
- 44:57structural inflation when prices rise
- 45:00because the real cost of moving
- 45:03everything rises. And this is a much
- 45:06more serious global problem. This guy's
- 45:10extremely smart friends and neighbors.
- 45:12And this is what I, you know, some of
- 45:14the things I tried to express and can't
- 45:16do it as well as this guy. Because with
- 45:18monetary inflation, you can at least try
- 45:20to do something through interest rates
- 45:23at your national bank. But with
- 45:26structural inflation, there is nothing
- 45:28you can do. You just have to rebuild the
- 45:32entire economic model itself. Soliv
- 45:36says, "Do you mean the entire global
- 45:38system?" And Kazine says yes the global
- 45:42system because the entire system is
- 45:45built on cheap stable logistics cheap
- 45:49oil cheap transportation cheap money and
- 45:53now all of that is ending and Vladimir
- 45:56Soliv says but then this means it will
- 45:59be a completely different world says
- 46:02that's of course and this is exactly
- 46:04what we are entering right now and Soliv
- 46:08says but this means destruction of the
- 46:10previous model. And he Mkhazim says,
- 46:13"Yes, I've been saying this for 20
- 46:15years. The Bretonwood system cannot last
- 46:18forever and it is ending." Now, I've
- 46:21been saying that for two years. I
- 46:23haven't been saying it for 20. I've been
- 46:24worried about it for 20. And Soliv says
- 46:27to him, "You once told an interesting
- 46:29story." And this is where he gets into
- 46:31the interesting story on economics. And
- 46:33to me, this is very interesting. I hope
- 46:34it is to you because here's what he
- 46:36said. He said, "You once told me an
- 46:37interesting story about how economics
- 46:40was taught in the Soviet Union and how
- 46:42it is taught now." And he said, "Yes,
- 46:45and this is an interesting story." And
- 46:47he's a global level economist, right? He
- 46:50says, "In the Soviet Union, economics
- 46:52was not taught as a separate science. It
- 46:54was taught as part of a political
- 46:57economics class, which meant the study
- 47:00of real economic processes. how
- 47:02production works, how resources move,
- 47:05how the balance between sectors sectors
- 47:08function and so forth. But after the
- 47:11collapse of the Soviet Union, we began
- 47:13to copy the western model of economics
- 47:16education. And western economic
- 47:19education is not the study of the
- 47:21economy. That's true. It's the study of
- 47:25mathematics and mathematical models. And
- 47:28as an economist myself, you know, not
- 47:31anywhere near his level, I still
- 47:34remember the supply demand curves and
- 47:36how you how you take time and function
- 47:38it in and all those things. I can still
- 47:40do it. That's not what I do for a
- 47:42living, but I still understand it, you
- 47:44know, for the most part. And uh uh but
- 47:47these guys live it every day. And he
- 47:50says, "Economists today study models
- 47:52that have nothing to do with real life.
- 47:56They're studying mathematics. And Soliv
- 47:59says, meaning they study formulas
- 48:02instead of reality. It's actually true.
- 48:05And and Hazen says, exactly. They study
- 48:08models, but these models are built on
- 48:10assumptions that are completely
- 48:12unrealistic. For example, that markets
- 48:15are balanced, that participants behave
- 48:18rationally, that information is the same
- 48:20for everyone. But in real life, none of
- 48:23this is true. So when a crisis begins,
- 48:27all these models collapse because they
- 48:30simply do not describe reality.
- 48:34This is this is classic stuff. I love
- 48:36this. But of course, I like economics.
- 48:38And Soliv says, meaning economists have
- 48:41been taught something that doesn't work.
- 48:43And Hazin says, yes. Basically, he's
- 48:46saying Soviet uh learning about market
- 48:50inputs instead of uh
- 48:54mathematical equations that might be
- 48:57able be able to explain why something
- 49:00happened after the fact or even
- 49:02something that you can predict in the
- 49:04future. It has nothing to do with
- 49:06reality. Economics is basically at a
- 49:08point in time and you got to understand
- 49:10all these other things and you got to
- 49:12assume that well assuming supply and
- 49:14demand are equal you know assume there's
- 49:15nothing impacting supply assume there's
- 49:18nothing impacting demand but right now
- 49:20they're impacting both supply and demand
- 49:22and economists are going well I don't
- 49:24know my model doesn't say anything about
- 49:26that you know my what what in the hell
- 49:28am I going to predict now and stability
- 49:31exists which is why actuarial tables
- 49:34don't tell you how much you're going to
- 49:35pay for insurance on your next load of
- 49:38of gas, liquid gas through the straits
- 49:41of Hormuz. And so, Qatar is not going to
- 49:45ship it until things stable down and
- 49:48they can't get insurance. And that's why
- 49:49Trump yesterday, it might have been day
- 49:52before he made some comment about, well,
- 49:54we're going to guarantee all insurance
- 49:55because he knows this. Do you remember
- 49:57that quote? I wasn't able to find the
- 49:59exact quote, but he said something about
- 50:01it the other day. He said, well, I'm
- 50:03going to ensure everything. Oh, there's
- 50:04a good plan. He'll ensure everything.
- 50:07What are we going to do? Print more
- 50:08dollars. That's why Miley Kazim says
- 50:11that this is the collapse of the
- 50:12Brettonwood system if we keep doing it.
- 50:15And I'm telling you, Pete Heg says and
- 50:16these generals and even even Lindsey
- 50:19Graham out there thumping the drum for
- 50:21more uh for more war against people that
- 50:24aren't going to give up. They're going
- 50:26to fight to the death. You know, that's
- 50:27it. And if that means they die, well,
- 50:30you know what? They will too become
- 50:32martyrs. And we've created a generation
- 50:34of martyrs. Another generation of
- 50:37martyrs. So if you think this is going
- 50:39to end in two weeks, you better think
- 50:41again. I believe differently. And it
- 50:44might calm down in two weeks, but this
- 50:47ain't over. And it never will be. And
- 50:50has it been over in the Middle East in
- 50:52the last 3,000 years? Seriously,
- 50:55it won't be over anytime soon. The
- 50:58Persian the Persian culture has been
- 51:00around for 2500 years. They've seen
- 51:04people like us come and go. They've seen
- 51:06uh things come and go. It's not it's
- 51:09it's this is this is just the beginning
- 51:13sadly friends and neighbors.
- 51:16So Mikail Kazim says yes they're uh
- 51:19learning something that doesn't work.
- 51:21We're entering a new era economically.
- 51:24Hazine says yes and the main thing that
- 51:26will determine this era will be the
- 51:29destruction of the previous financial
- 51:32architecture, the dollar system, the uh
- 51:35logistics chain, which by the way he was
- 51:37talking about this logistics change or
- 51:39chain is uh Lloyds of London uh the
- 51:43global supply system, all of it will be
- 51:46rebuilt, he says. And those are that's
- 51:49the last of his uh his uh
- 51:53commentary. I then uh reviewed one more
- 51:58and this one has to do with the US now
- 52:02funding uh Kurdish
- 52:06land troops supplying them to take the
- 52:10mountainous areas. No. Okay.
- 52:13Anybody who knows even a remote little
- 52:16bit about what happened in Afghanistan
- 52:18over the last 20 years knows that it's a
- 52:20mountainous region that uh you know we
- 52:23don't want. I mean who we we didn't go
- 52:26there because we wanted it. We went
- 52:28there allegedly to get rid of terror
- 52:31cells and the the Taliban and ISIS and
- 52:34all those things that are still in power
- 52:37after we gave up 20 years later. and ran
- 52:41away like uh in Monty Python. Run away.
- 52:44Run away. Uh how many did we lose? Gane,
- 52:49Edka, and Borg. That's five. Three, sir.
- 52:52Three. Uh uh. Anyway, sorry. My Monty
- 52:55Python slipped in yet again. Sorry about
- 52:59that. Um so there are reports that uh um
- 53:04of this. So, here's what I I want to
- 53:07discuss this uh next uh portion. Let me
- 53:12roll down to where it is. The troops
- 53:14crossing the border. Okay.
- 53:17Troops have broken through Iran's border
- 53:20and NATO is really entering the combat.
- 53:23Just like we fund Ukraine and NATO is
- 53:26really funding Ukraine, this is NATO and
- 53:28the US's next forever war on behalf of
- 53:32Israel. That's what this is. And it's
- 53:34really the US and not NATO in this
- 53:36instance. But uh Israel, I mean, I'm
- 53:39sorry, Ukraine was all the United
- 53:41States, too. So, here's our next forever
- 53:43war from our peace president, right? Uh
- 53:47so, uh let's see. Troops are crossing
- 53:51the border. Military offensive against
- 53:52Iran has begun and new emergency
- 53:56measures from Thrron are appearing.
- 53:58Putin has announced evacuation of
- 54:00Russians from the um from uh the
- 54:03embassies and stuff like that. He he uh
- 54:05went through a whole list of people and
- 54:07how they are able to get out. Maria
- 54:09Zakarava gave her report yesterday from
- 54:12the Ministry of Defense and that was
- 54:13very very interesting. I I I was hoping
- 54:15to include a bunch of that but uh it's
- 54:17too too much. I won't get to it. But uh
- 54:20she had a really good uh you know she
- 54:22was talking about um g giving specific
- 54:24instructions for how the uh uh
- 54:29people are supposed to get out through
- 54:30Tajikistan through uh uh wherever else
- 54:34is connected former Soviet Republic. She
- 54:36says they have they have uh methods in
- 54:39place and partnerships with the
- 54:42countries surrounding Iran and Russians
- 54:45who work at the embassy or have private
- 54:47uh corporations that they work for. They
- 54:49need to go to the consulate or to the
- 54:52mission, the Russian mission, get their
- 54:54passport stuff and then they will
- 54:55receive instructions on how to get
- 54:57through and then they will be escorted
- 55:00basically through the systems in
- 55:02Tajikistan, couple other places that
- 55:04they can cross. And she listed out the
- 55:06places of crossing where they can go and
- 55:08stuff like that. It was an interesting
- 55:09uh broadcast for how they how they plan
- 55:12to assist the Russians in getting out of
- 55:15harm's way. And uh so that's how they're
- 55:17doing. the US has announced uh leaving,
- 55:20you know, get your get your poop in a
- 55:22group and get out of these uh countries,
- 55:24you know, let's uh let's get you out of
- 55:26there and uh here's how we do it. I
- 55:28don't know if it's as formal, but I you
- 55:29know, I I saw some uh some steps in that
- 55:33for going to the embassy and whatnot at
- 55:35least in places like Qatar, Bahrain,
- 55:37places like that. Um because of the air
- 55:40how what's going on in the air and in
- 55:42Saudi Arabia. So any rate, the uh um
- 55:45will article 5 on collective defense be
- 55:48invoked if I if um
- 55:51if will everybody in Europe get
- 55:54involved? Will the US now be pushing
- 55:57what they've been what Europe has been
- 55:58trying to push about Ukraine? And will
- 56:01it be some court? We don't know what
- 56:03these decisions will be. If we know
- 56:04anything, we know that it's completely
- 56:06unstable. That you don't know what
- 56:08Trump's going to do today, tomorrow,
- 56:09next day. Nobody knows. There's talk.
- 56:12What was it? Lind Marjorie Taylor Green
- 56:14was saying she thinks he's going scenile
- 56:16now. So that stuff's going to start. You
- 56:18know, people are going to be asking
- 56:19about what in the hell is he trying to
- 56:21do? Frankly, I want to know what in the
- 56:23hell is he trying to do? This is
- 56:24[ __ ] Pardon my French. This is just
- 56:26stupidity all the way down the line.
- 56:29This is moronic and we shouldn't be
- 56:32involved. Not at all. I'm one of the 60%
- 56:36who say that he's absolutely wrong and
- 56:38this isn't what we voted for you for,
- 56:40Mr. Peace President. So, but you know,
- 56:43again, um I think that internationally
- 56:46the guy's a mess. And uh so, uh the
- 56:50policies are are crap that we've been
- 56:53putting in um internationally. Now,
- 56:55we've gone to the other extreme from the
- 56:58idiocy of the Democrat party and uh
- 57:01Hillary Clinton days idiocy to and
- 57:05corruption, corrupt, corrupt, corrupt.
- 57:08Now, it's the the opposite. I'm king of
- 57:10the world and uh this is what you're
- 57:12going to do. There's no negotiation.
- 57:14There's no discussion. There's only
- 57:15power. That's it. And that is not a
- 57:18world that I appreciate. I just don't
- 57:20appreciate, you know, a bully in a
- 57:23sandbox. I don't appreciate it. Uh but
- 57:27will article 5 on collective defense be
- 57:30invoked? Iran doesn't intend to raise
- 57:32the white flag. Trump has been warned
- 57:35about a heavy price for starting this
- 57:37war in a very sharp statement. The
- 57:40Pentagon has launched an investigation
- 57:42after a strike at the girl school in
- 57:44Iran. Now, that girl school has been all
- 57:47over the news. 160 to 165 middle school
- 57:52age girls in school, 14 teachers blown
- 57:56up by an Israeli or American missile.
- 58:01And uh they show it and they're digging
- 58:03the graves. And this is in the first day
- 58:08as part of the first strikes when the
- 58:11decapitation strike took out um uh the
- 58:16um what do you call it? Uh um the
- 58:18Ayatollah and um uh it's not the
- 58:22Ayatollah, but anyway took out the
- 58:25leader, the supreme leader. And uh uh
- 58:27the the fact is that's when that um that
- 58:31is exactly when the same time period
- 58:34another strike hit and that strike took
- 58:37out this school. 14 teachers, 106
- 58:40students, parents, you know, holding uh
- 58:43backpacks of their girls at school and
- 58:45stuff like that. It was an all girls
- 58:47school, so it's all girls that were
- 58:49blown up and uh you know, bits and
- 58:51pieces. They can't they haven't even
- 58:53identified all the bodies yet. It was so
- 58:56destructive. You don't hear a damn thing
- 58:58about it over here, but trust me, you're
- 59:00hearing about it in other in other
- 59:01sources. And the Pentagon itself has
- 59:04said it's going to launch an
- 59:05investigation after the strike to find
- 59:07out what happened. And you know, nothing
- 59:10will ever happen cuz nothing ever does.
- 59:12But uh but there you have it. And uh you
- 59:15know, war sucks. War is but but these
- 59:17are not pretty things. That's why they
- 59:19don't want you to see them. And
- 59:21Republicans and Democrats are sounding
- 59:23the alarm. Uh, Representatives of Tran
- 59:26are speaking of sacrifice. They're
- 59:28already doing it. Death to America
- 59:31chants don't go down after this. They go
- 59:33up. Okay. Uh, questions are being raised
- 59:36about Trump's psychological state.
- 59:38Marjorie Taylor Green. Republicans and
- 59:41Democrats sound the alarm, emphasizing
- 59:43the age of the president. Fear inside
- 59:46America. Russian strikes against Europe.
- 59:48They're afraid of that. The Kremlin
- 59:50decides to get a hold of Brussel or get
- 59:52ahead of Brussels. Moscow's move after
- 59:55negotiations that he had with the uh
- 59:58Hungarian minister. Zalinski sends
- 1:00:01specialists from the armed forces of
- 1:00:02Ukraine to the Middle East.
- 1:00:05A decision has already been made and at
- 1:00:08the same time the Russians massively
- 1:00:10support negotiation between Kiev and
- 1:00:13Moscow. But how many support the war and
- 1:00:17how many it has just become background
- 1:00:20noise poll results and and all of this
- 1:00:23noise the the US has unleashed war that
- 1:00:27has undermined the security of all
- 1:00:29America's partners in the Middle East
- 1:00:32and it is beginning to strike the entire
- 1:00:35global economy and it is not only about
- 1:00:38oil Iran is striking not only military
- 1:00:41targets of the United States and Israel
- 1:00:44but also the infrastructure of Persian
- 1:00:47Gulf countries, oil platforms, ports,
- 1:00:50airports, commercial ships. And this is
- 1:00:53from an um magazine called Foreign
- 1:00:56Policy. And the consequences of these
- 1:00:58attacks go far beyond just the Middle
- 1:01:02East region. About a third of the
- 1:01:04world's oil and enormous volumes of gas,
- 1:01:08fertilizer, and chemicals pass through
- 1:01:11the straight of Hormuz. Any disruption
- 1:01:15immediately hits prices and markets. In
- 1:01:18addition, the ports and airports of Gulf
- 1:01:20countries handling key routes of global
- 1:01:23trade, aviation transport, financial
- 1:01:26flow, and money transfers. I've told you
- 1:01:28this before. When you fly into uh when
- 1:01:31you try to get to Russia or you try to
- 1:01:33get to uh India from America, you try to
- 1:01:36get where do you go? Your choices.
- 1:01:38Frankfurt on Maine, which is a a pretty
- 1:01:40good one if you're going the northern
- 1:01:42part. But in the southern part, where do
- 1:01:44you go? You end up usually in Dubai. You
- 1:01:48end up in Doha, Qatar. You end up in uh
- 1:01:51um um Riad, you know, you end up you end
- 1:01:55up in one of those three place or
- 1:01:57Istanbul. I've spent a lot of time in
- 1:01:58Istanbul on connecting flights, but you
- 1:02:01have to connect through the Middle East
- 1:02:03somewhere or the Persian area somewhere.
- 1:02:05You have to do it. And if you're going
- 1:02:08to get anywhere east to west, that's how
- 1:02:11it works. And all of that is effectively
- 1:02:13paralyzed. And and already the movement
- 1:02:16of ships through Hormuz is sharply
- 1:02:18decreased. Flights in the region are
- 1:02:20cancelled. Exchanges and markets
- 1:02:22including the gold market in Dubai.
- 1:02:26This is going to be frightening to
- 1:02:27everybody and all the people hoarding
- 1:02:29gold are going to be happy. All of them
- 1:02:31are paralyzed because, you know, trade's
- 1:02:33not happening. Experts interviewed uh
- 1:02:36warned that a prolonged war will cause a
- 1:02:38global economic shock. the conquer of
- 1:02:42which will be far more serious than a
- 1:02:44simple rise in oil prices. And here they
- 1:02:48recall the famous words of US President
- 1:02:51Woodro Wilson. Now I have a u a book of
- 1:02:56quotes and I forgot to bring it but I
- 1:02:57was going to look it up and see if I
- 1:02:59could find the actual quote because this
- 1:03:00is just a paraphrase.
- 1:03:03who w and Woodro Wilson 100 years ago
- 1:03:07warned that in the modern world the
- 1:03:10consequences of war are not limited to
- 1:03:13the battlefield. They affect the life of
- 1:03:17the entire planet. That's Woodro Wilson
- 1:03:21100 years ago talking about planet. And
- 1:03:23if you want to know the truth, it's far
- 1:03:26worse today.
- 1:03:29You think there something that is that
- 1:03:31blowing up or stealing a leader in uh
- 1:03:35Venezuela didn't cause problems? You
- 1:03:38think that oh gee, we're going to take
- 1:03:39over Cuba even if you never do. Even if
- 1:03:42you just threaten it and your saber
- 1:03:44rattling doesn't affect markets or you
- 1:03:47think that I'm going to steal Greenland,
- 1:03:48too. And now we're still in Iran. We're
- 1:03:52we're we're not against ground troops.
- 1:03:53Who's we? You a-holes. Who's we? We're
- 1:03:57against it. The the American public
- 1:04:00spoke pretty strongly that we don't want
- 1:04:0320 more years like Afghanistan,
- 1:04:06Iraq, we don't want Syria. We don't want
- 1:04:10those Libyans. We don't want to fight
- 1:04:13with the Houthis. We don't want anything
- 1:04:15to do with that crap. But now here we
- 1:04:18are again. And so we we elected the guy
- 1:04:21on the fact that he was not going to do
- 1:04:23these. He was the peace president. He
- 1:04:25can make a deal. Well, he can't make a
- 1:04:27deal. He just blows people up. But
- 1:04:30that's not him. We're doing it on behalf
- 1:04:33of the only people we can't control or
- 1:04:36refuse. And we must join in. We're doing
- 1:04:39it for Israel. And that's that. And uh
- 1:04:42Trump, you know, this is why people
- 1:04:44think he might be losing it because
- 1:04:45anybody normally would have told uh
- 1:04:48Netanyahu, screw you. I'm not doing
- 1:04:50that. Americans aren't for it. And we're
- 1:04:53not. So more more more more against than
- 1:04:57for that's for sure. The number is
- 1:04:59growing by the way.
- 1:05:02So it appears that today's American
- 1:05:04politicians have forgotten Wilson's
- 1:05:06warnings. And by starting this war,
- 1:05:08Trump has exposed his partners in the
- 1:05:10Gulf to unprecedented attack. Qatar
- 1:05:14isn't going to supply gas. No way.
- 1:05:16They're disrupting the flow that serves
- 1:05:18as the life system of financially and
- 1:05:22life of the global economy. And a war
- 1:05:26with Iran will become a new problem for
- 1:05:30Ukraine as well. While the attention of
- 1:05:32the US and Europe ships to the Middle
- 1:05:34East, Kiev is losing its own military
- 1:05:37and political support. That is why it's
- 1:05:39blowing crap up in the Mediterranean.
- 1:05:41Hey, we're still here. Look at us. We
- 1:05:45can help you take out those Iranians.
- 1:05:48Just send us more money, more arms. We
- 1:05:52can't win. They're not going to win
- 1:05:54anyway.
- 1:05:56The whole thing is a waste. And we
- 1:05:58aren't going to win long-term in Iran
- 1:06:01any more than we won long-term in any
- 1:06:04conflict started since freaking Vietnam,
- 1:06:07Korea, and before. We haven't won any of
- 1:06:10these. And this is going to be the same.
- 1:06:14And Lindsey Graham is out there doing
- 1:06:16the exact same thing he's been doing for
- 1:06:1825 years. It's the exact same thing. Oh,
- 1:06:22we're gonna kick the crap out of these
- 1:06:23guys. Yep. Next. Next. Next. I'll tell
- 1:06:29you what. The Telegraph said that if the
- 1:06:31conflict continues, the US and its
- 1:06:34allies will send air defense systems and
- 1:06:36missiles, including Patriots, to protect
- 1:06:39their own bases in the region of the
- 1:06:41Middle East instead of Ukraine. That's
- 1:06:44already happening, by the way. And this
- 1:06:46will seriously weaken even further
- 1:06:49Ukrainian air defense, which barely
- 1:06:51exists right now. And it already has a
- 1:06:54severe shortage of missiles. And it's
- 1:06:57already sending up a million for U
- 1:07:00Defense Patriot missile to defend
- 1:07:03against 30 drones that cost 5,000 bucks
- 1:07:07a piece. And uh you know so the the
- 1:07:11lopsidedness of Patriots with drones
- 1:07:15originally manufactured by Iran for the
- 1:07:18Russians well for themselves but for the
- 1:07:20Russians too.
- 1:07:23Patriots aren't going to help him
- 1:07:25against those and they're not helping
- 1:07:28against those. So it'll seriously weaken
- 1:07:31Ukraine. Uh this is also a risk of uh
- 1:07:36getting rid of any sort of diplomacy.
- 1:07:38diplomacy is dead. You're not going to
- 1:07:39bring the Iranians back to the table.
- 1:07:41That's not going to happen. Um,
- 1:07:43negotiations between Kiev, Moscow, and
- 1:07:46Washington are also impacted. They might
- 1:07:49stop uh, you know, they are stopped and
- 1:07:52because of Trump's focus on the Middle
- 1:07:53East. So, it is in Ukraine's interest
- 1:07:56that the operation in Iran doesn't drag
- 1:07:58on because they need to bring attention
- 1:08:00back to themselves and they want to
- 1:08:03punish. If they can help, they want to
- 1:08:05jump in too. Another fear is that the
- 1:08:08crisis in the Middle East will will uh
- 1:08:10you know be prolonged. Um there's no
- 1:08:13significant process in either event
- 1:08:16anyway. Zalinski is trying with all his
- 1:08:19might to turn Trump back toward Ukraine,
- 1:08:21says the Telegraph. And they emphasize
- 1:08:24that Kiev has offered Ukraine Ukrainian
- 1:08:26assistance in repelling Iranian drones
- 1:08:31in the Middle East.
- 1:08:33uh the day before uh it was confirmed
- 1:08:36that negotiations are on pause. Russia,
- 1:08:39US and uh Ukraine and specialists from
- 1:08:43Ukraine will still be sent to the Middle
- 1:08:45East and that's not going to hurt
- 1:08:48Ukraine at all. Of course,
- 1:08:51uh Ukrainian specialists are going to
- 1:08:53work. They're going to be ready to help
- 1:08:55protect civilians. Oh, yeah. Yeah. Yeah.
- 1:08:57Same old crap. The military offensive
- 1:08:59against Iran is begun. Troops have
- 1:09:02crossed the border. Kurdish forces have
- 1:09:04begun a ground operation. Thousands of
- 1:09:06fighters from the US funded Kurdistan
- 1:09:10free life party are already on Iranian
- 1:09:13territory and have taken positions
- 1:09:15inside the country. Now this is a pro a
- 1:09:18pro Kurdish pro- Ukraine source that I
- 1:09:22got this from. So it will be twisted you
- 1:09:25know into their effect. So, thousands of
- 1:09:27fighters from Kurdistan, units are
- 1:09:29advancing in the mountainous areas in
- 1:09:32western Iran. We don't want any of that
- 1:09:34either, just like nobody wanted any of
- 1:09:37the stuff in um um
- 1:09:40what do you call it?
- 1:09:42Uh Afghanistan. Nobody's interested. Uh
- 1:09:45it is reported and they've lived there
- 1:09:47for centuries. You know, the Kurds have
- 1:09:49as well, you know. So, we'll we'll we'll
- 1:09:52claim, you know, we took a little chunk
- 1:09:53of Iran and look at this and our Kurds
- 1:09:56are there and we support the Kurds and
- 1:09:58the Turks hate the Kurds and the Kurds
- 1:10:01hate the Turks and it's and they all
- 1:10:03hate Israel and it'll be just the next
- 1:10:07iteration of the same old crap. Then the
- 1:10:10US gets sucked into it and it has
- 1:10:12nothing to do with us. It has everything
- 1:10:16to do with Israel and if we're their lap
- 1:10:18dog, which it appears to me, especially
- 1:10:21in this instance, then um you know, it's
- 1:10:24really not in our favor and people
- 1:10:26aren't for this. According to a
- 1:10:27representative of the coalition of the
- 1:10:29political forces of Iran uh Iranian
- 1:10:33Kurdistan, fighters of the Kurdistan
- 1:10:35Free Life Party have taken positions in
- 1:10:37the area of the southern mountains in
- 1:10:38the city of Maravan in western Iran. and
- 1:10:43he said thousands of fighters have been
- 1:10:45deployed in the mountainous region. At
- 1:10:47the same time, the Iranian media denied
- 1:10:50the Kurdish offensive. The US and Israel
- 1:10:53continue to strike Iran. A number of
- 1:10:55high-profile statements have been made,
- 1:10:57of course, by the Minister of War. We're
- 1:10:59going to kick the crap out everybody.
- 1:11:01Yep. Iran is doomed and will never
- 1:11:04obtain a nuclear bomb. in the force of
- 1:11:06Washington and Jerusalem. The Holy will
- 1:11:09soon gain full air control over the
- 1:11:11entire territory of Iran.
- 1:11:14Well, good for you. So what? It ain't
- 1:11:17going to end the war. It ain't going to
- 1:11:19end what happens on the ground. The
- 1:11:21statement was made by Pete Hegsth. He
- 1:11:23also said the operation is only in its
- 1:11:26beginning phases and the US is ready to
- 1:11:28continue. Here are the words that you
- 1:11:30need to fear Americans as long as
- 1:11:32necessary. In addition, the US published
- 1:11:37video footage of a strike against the
- 1:11:39Iranian warship in Sri Lanka. US Navy
- 1:11:42carried out strike. We So now instead of
- 1:11:44uh boats in uh now instead of boats
- 1:11:47outside of Venezuela, that had nothing
- 1:11:49to do with the seizure of Maduro and the
- 1:11:51stealing of of oil from Venezuela,
- 1:11:55the US Navy's going to blow up boats um
- 1:11:59in a submarine did it yesterday in the
- 1:12:01Indian Ocean. An American submarine sank
- 1:12:05an Iranian warship that felt it was
- 1:12:07safe. Instead, it was sunk by a t
- 1:12:09torpedo. The first sinking of an enemy
- 1:12:12ship by torpedo since the Second World
- 1:12:16War.
- 1:12:17We are fighting to win. Yeah, we've
- 1:12:20fought everything to win and we've never
- 1:12:22won. Iran, however, does not intend to
- 1:12:24raise the white flag. In Thran, they
- 1:12:27describe and declared that Trump will
- 1:12:30pay a heavy price for his actions. And
- 1:12:32the statement came from the secretary of
- 1:12:34the National Security Council. Here's
- 1:12:36the quote. Trump has dragged the
- 1:12:38American people into an unjust war with
- 1:12:41Iran. Because of Netanyahu's
- 1:12:45impulsiveness and absurd actions, now he
- 1:12:49himself will answer. After the death of
- 1:12:52more than 500 American servicemen in
- 1:12:54recent days, now that's a obviously
- 1:12:57inflated number. Does the slogan America
- 1:13:00first still remain? That slogan is long
- 1:13:03gone.
- 1:13:05I'm in I I I don't support him with the
- 1:13:07500. That's not truthful. But America
- 1:13:10first that this is definitely not
- 1:13:12America first. The Trump administration
- 1:13:15is running out of time to explain the
- 1:13:17war with Iran to Americans, writes
- 1:13:21political and emphasize the
- 1:13:23contradictory statements of US
- 1:13:25officials. The publication claims that
- 1:13:28dissatisfaction is growing within the
- 1:13:30MAGA movement. I read this too. It was
- 1:13:33interesting. Trump supporters fear a
- 1:13:36prolonged war, rising gas prices, and a
- 1:13:39new foreign conflict that contradicts
- 1:13:41his own promises and America first. The
- 1:13:45danger for the Trump administration is
- 1:13:47that it may lose control when the war
- 1:13:50ends. I think he's this is going to
- 1:13:53result in the loss of the House and the
- 1:13:56Senate. That's what I believe. And Iran
- 1:13:59also has its own words to say. Now, its
- 1:14:03attacks are forcing the US to close
- 1:14:05embassies in the region, evacuate
- 1:14:08American citizens, and ensure all oil
- 1:14:12tankers because Lloyds of London will
- 1:14:16not. This affects the global economy.
- 1:14:19So, what's the easy answer for Trump?
- 1:14:21Well, hell with it. We'll pay for it.
- 1:14:22You know, we'll charge insurance. We'll
- 1:14:24pay your insurance and they don't. We'll
- 1:14:26pay. So, we're the global uh reinsurance
- 1:14:29policy because we started the war once
- 1:14:32again. Who's going to fund it with no
- 1:14:34explanation? The US taxpayers. Right?
- 1:14:39So, uh, difficulties also been caused by
- 1:14:42the words of Trump's former supporter,
- 1:14:45Miss Marjorie Taylor Green, who asked
- 1:14:47whether Trump's psychological condition
- 1:14:49is stable. She said, uh, and I had the
- 1:14:52quote somewhere, but this is not, this
- 1:14:54is a paraphrase, Donald Trump has
- 1:14:56repeatedly said on camera and in
- 1:14:58interviews that he does not think he
- 1:15:01will go to heaven.
- 1:15:04What does that have to do with anything?
- 1:15:06And I want to ask a serious question.
- 1:15:08What's in his head? What psychological
- 1:15:11condition is he in? If he himself
- 1:15:14believes he's not going to go to heaven
- 1:15:16and he's already a man at the end of his
- 1:15:18life's path, what does that mean and how
- 1:15:20will it affect all of us? He's already
- 1:15:23said he doesn't care about his own
- 1:15:25ratings. Representatives of the
- 1:15:27Democrats are demanding answers and say
- 1:15:30Trump doesn't have a clear plan. I agree
- 1:15:34he doesn't. I just left a closed
- 1:15:36briefing on Iran and here is what I can
- 1:15:38say. Everything is much worse than you
- 1:15:41thought. You have every reason to be
- 1:15:45concerned. The Trump administration has
- 1:15:47no plan for Iran. Oh yeah, let's fund
- 1:15:51the Kurds. There's a good plan. No, it's
- 1:15:54not. It is. They say anyway, this is
- 1:15:57more commentary from that article. This
- 1:15:59illegal war is based on lies started
- 1:16:02without any immediate threat to the
- 1:16:04United States. How do you not agree with
- 1:16:06that? There is no threat to us at all.
- 1:16:10Even if Iran has a nuclear weapon, we
- 1:16:12don't give a crap. What do we care?
- 1:16:14Pakistan has them. You know, Pakistan's
- 1:16:17got nuclear weapons. North Korea has
- 1:16:20them. Who's going to attack North Korea?
- 1:16:22Nobody. Why? Because they have weapons.
- 1:16:24Why does Why does Ukraine want them? You
- 1:16:26think Vladimir Zalinski is not a [ __ ]
- 1:16:28or not a nutcase? He's a nutcase. And if
- 1:16:32we gave him nuclear weapons, he'd lob
- 1:16:34them out into Russia somewhere. I'm
- 1:16:36afraid Netanyahu is going to do that. I
- 1:16:38really am. I don't think that guy's
- 1:16:39stable at all. He's chosen by God. You
- 1:16:42want to say that you're going to [ __ ]
- 1:16:43here about Trump not be not going to
- 1:16:45heaven or thinking he's not going to
- 1:16:47heaven so he can still do whatever he
- 1:16:48wants? The worst scenario if he can do
- 1:16:51whatever he wants is Netanyahu. He's
- 1:16:53worse. He thinks he's already in heaven.
- 1:16:56He thinks he's there. He is the chosen
- 1:17:00one. Period. End of sentence. He gets to
- 1:17:03control the United States. And he does.
- 1:17:06At least as far as this goes. So anyway,
- 1:17:09I'm ranting a little bit after that. And
- 1:17:11uh Donald Trump has not presented one
- 1:17:14single clear reason for this war. And
- 1:17:17apparently he has no plan to end it
- 1:17:20either. Instead, he has to show who's
- 1:17:22got the bigger weenie by going, "Oh, we
- 1:17:24got endless weapons. We got him
- 1:17:26everywhere. You know what I'm going to
- 1:17:27do? I'm going to send out that HEG. He
- 1:17:28was in the army before. Let's let's have
- 1:17:30him root rah rah troops. You know, let's
- 1:17:33have him do it." And that's all he's
- 1:17:35doing. That's it. Meanwhile, NATO has
- 1:17:38opened fire on an Iranian missile flying
- 1:17:40toward Turkey. According to Turkish
- 1:17:42Ministry of Defense, the ballistic
- 1:17:43missile launched from Iran flew through
- 1:17:46Iraq and Syria and headed toward Turkish
- 1:17:48border intercepted by a NATO air defense
- 1:17:50system. This is the first case since the
- 1:17:52beginning of the current war when
- 1:17:54Iranian missiles were directed toward a
- 1:17:56NATO country. The alliance condemns this
- 1:17:59attack. However, the Pentagon stated
- 1:18:01there are no grounds for activating
- 1:18:03article 5 on collective defense. Turkey
- 1:18:06summoned the Iranian ambassador and car
- 1:18:08stated it may respond uh in kind, you
- 1:18:11know, Ankara, Turkey. That means for
- 1:18:12those of you that don't understand where
- 1:18:14the capital of Turkey is, all necessary
- 1:18:16steps to defend our territory and
- 1:18:18airspace will be taken decisively and
- 1:18:20without hesitation, say the Turkish
- 1:18:22foreign ministry. So now we're going to
- 1:18:25suck Turkey into a war. We remind
- 1:18:27everyone that we reserve the right to
- 1:18:29respond to any hostile action against
- 1:18:31our country. The US Ministry of War,
- 1:18:34Department of War, has announced, oops,
- 1:18:39uh, the beginning of an investigation
- 1:18:40into the circumstance of the strike on
- 1:18:42the girls school in southern Iran.
- 1:18:44According to Thran, more than 160 people
- 1:18:46were killed. The victims were all school
- 1:18:47girls. Pentagon chief uh, P. Heg says
- 1:18:51said while answering journalist
- 1:18:53questions, can you provide updated
- 1:18:55information about what the
- 1:18:56administration knows reporting or
- 1:18:58regarding reports of strikes on girls
- 1:19:00school in southern Iran on Saturday? All
- 1:19:03I can say is we are investigating. We of
- 1:19:05course never strike civilian targets.
- 1:19:07Yeah, right. But we are studying this
- 1:19:09incident and conducting an
- 1:19:10investigation. The issue has caused a
- 1:19:13major reaction. Iranian authorities
- 1:19:16claimed the strike occurred on February
- 1:19:1828th. the city of Minab and among the
- 1:19:20victims were students of primary and
- 1:19:21secondary school. Al Jazer Alazer says
- 1:19:24the school probably educated the
- 1:19:27daughters of members of the Islamic
- 1:19:29Revolutionary Guard Corps. So these are
- 1:19:31important girls.
- 1:19:34Yeah, let's cause harm. I I you know I I
- 1:19:37am so cynical this we're we're killing
- 1:19:41we're decapitating. Why not kill their
- 1:19:43whole families? What if you think that
- 1:19:46uh somebody important's kid was in there
- 1:19:48and you can take care of him by killing
- 1:19:50one of his family? I'm Heg says not
- 1:19:52above that. Neither is Trump. Netanyahu
- 1:19:57definitely isn't above that. In fact,
- 1:19:59this is the preferred method. We
- 1:20:02targeted individuals
- 1:20:05leaders of countries. And why? Because
- 1:20:08we have the biggest wiener. That is why.
- 1:20:11And that's the only reason that we did
- 1:20:13it. We're not doing it to encourage
- 1:20:14them. Do we're doing it to dominate.
- 1:20:17Period. We are going to be world
- 1:20:19dominant. And the world is not going to
- 1:20:21like it. And now we are probably in the
- 1:20:25very beginnings of people realizing that
- 1:20:28we got three more years of this [ __ ] and
- 1:20:31it's going to keep on coming. I I don't
- 1:20:34believe in the stability of any of these
- 1:20:37people.
- 1:20:39Netanyahu especially, that guy needs to
- 1:20:42be examined. You know, I don't know
- 1:20:44about Trump. I don't know. But I'm I'm
- 1:20:46seriously questioning these latest
- 1:20:48actions. And when you watch Hegsth, I've
- 1:20:50seen a million sergeants like him. He
- 1:20:52just gets to get up, you know,
- 1:20:54commanders, whatever. Oh, rip rip. We
- 1:20:57got him, boys. Let's We're going to go
- 1:21:00kill us. And so he's going to hang us.
- 1:21:04He's He's one of those people. More war.
- 1:21:06More war. He's a cheerleader. That's it.
- 1:21:10And uh it's not good. So um anyway, I'm
- 1:21:13ranting again. At the same time, Iran's
- 1:21:16ambassador
- 1:21:18uh oh, by the way, uh I I meant to
- 1:21:20finish this last thing. Uh that the
- 1:21:22daughters of the members of the Islamic
- 1:21:24Revolutionary Guard Corps, but next to
- 1:21:26that facility, a military facility is
- 1:21:29located near that school. And uh this
- 1:21:32building previously was part of the
- 1:21:35infrastructure. At the same time, Iran's
- 1:21:38ambassador to Bellarus,
- 1:21:41his name is Sun, connected the strike
- 1:21:44with a sacrifice made for the success of
- 1:21:46the armies of Israel in the United
- 1:21:48States. And uh you know, they're they're
- 1:21:50turning these people, I'm telling you,
- 1:21:53into martyrs everywhere. And that is the
- 1:21:56danger. You can't convince a martyr. It
- 1:22:00won't happen. And at a press conference
- 1:22:03in Minsk, Bellarus after a meeting with
- 1:22:05Lucena, the following statement was
- 1:22:08made.
- 1:22:09This may be connected with the Epstein
- 1:22:12cult. Perhaps they carried out a ritual
- 1:22:15there for sacrificing children. For some
- 1:22:18it is war. For others it is profit
- 1:22:20against a background of the situation in
- 1:22:22the Middle East. Now I think that
- 1:22:25comment was nothing but inflammatory.
- 1:22:27But entrepreneurial people in Dubai are
- 1:22:30making money off of this. Tourists and
- 1:22:32expat expats are willing to pay enormous
- 1:22:35sums to leave the city. Prices have
- 1:22:38soared uh airline prices for evacuation
- 1:22:42from Dubai. Families are paying up to
- 1:22:46$250,000.
- 1:22:50This has been reported in the Financial
- 1:22:52Times. Cuz you can't get out of Dubai.
- 1:22:55You can't get out of Egypt. You can't
- 1:22:57get out of any place there. You're not
- 1:23:01getting out. You're there. You're
- 1:23:03trapped. That's why the Russians are
- 1:23:05trying to come up with ways to get their
- 1:23:07people out of Iran and out of these
- 1:23:09other countries.
- 1:23:10And uh you know, interesting times.
- 1:23:13According this is also reported by the
- 1:23:16Financial Times. According to insurance
- 1:23:18companies that deal with crisis
- 1:23:20assistance, evacuating one f evacuating
- 1:23:24one family of two adults and two
- 1:23:26children can cost up to a quarter of a
- 1:23:28million dollars if a private jet has to
- 1:23:31be used. Commercial air is certainly
- 1:23:33unreliable. Prices for charter flights
- 1:23:36doubled in the last few days. Even
- 1:23:38ground evacuation is extremely
- 1:23:41expensive. A taxi or minibus from Dubai
- 1:23:44to Muscat, the most popular escape
- 1:23:46destination, now costs thousands of
- 1:23:49dollars instead of several hundred. Some
- 1:23:51flights from Dubai and Abu Dhabi are
- 1:23:54gradually resuming, but most regular
- 1:23:56flights remain cancelled and tens of
- 1:23:58thousands of passengers are stranded in
- 1:24:01the largest airports in the region. Um,
- 1:24:03that was another Soliv commentary. It's
- 1:24:06pretty damn funny actually. uh when he
- 1:24:09was talking to um Kazine, they were
- 1:24:12saying that the people couldn't get in
- 1:24:14and out of Dubai and Russians couldn't
- 1:24:16get out and uh Vladimir Soliv says well
- 1:24:19because Dubai is full of Russian
- 1:24:22escorts. I mean everywhere they all go
- 1:24:25there and just start selling and they
- 1:24:27get incredibly wealthy because you know
- 1:24:29how uh how good-looking they are and all
- 1:24:31the young girls are in Dubai and are in
- 1:24:34Abu Dhabi and you know they fly there
- 1:24:36from all over the world and he's and
- 1:24:38Soliv says something like uh well that's
- 1:24:41going to cause a a a rise in the prices
- 1:24:43of an escort
- 1:24:46price and escort is going to triple you
- 1:24:48know overnight too and so that's not
- 1:24:50going to be good. And so uh uh anyway,
- 1:24:52most flights remain cancelled. Tens of
- 1:24:55thousands are stranded. Um European
- 1:24:57countries have already begun
- 1:24:59repatriation flights for their own
- 1:25:00citizens. So, you know, they're sending
- 1:25:03their own planes. And uh Putin has
- 1:25:05announced evacuation measures for
- 1:25:06Russians. Russians stranded in the
- 1:25:08Middle East are evacuated by the
- 1:25:10Ministry of Emergency and the Ministry
- 1:25:12of Defense. Financial Times says we are
- 1:25:15seeing taxis starting from $5,000 and
- 1:25:18higher, said one insurance executive.
- 1:25:21The main problem is the US State
- 1:25:23Department recommends leaving the region
- 1:25:25using available commercial flights, but
- 1:25:28right now such flights are non-existent.
- 1:25:30Although companies in the region are
- 1:25:32asking employees to work remotely, more
- 1:25:34and more residents tourist expates are
- 1:25:37trying to leave because a conflict shows
- 1:25:39no sign of ending soon. US is preparing
- 1:25:43to identif in indefinitely remove the
- 1:25:46German subsidiary of Ross Neft from
- 1:25:48sanctions.
- 1:25:50So because of the the US creating
- 1:25:54problems in the gas and oil industry,
- 1:25:57they are talking removing Neft, which is
- 1:26:00the Russian uh oil company that has been
- 1:26:03sanctioned individually, taking and Luke
- 1:26:06Oil, which has a lot of Russian stuff.
- 1:26:08I've been I talked about it a little bit
- 1:26:09on here. Removing them from the list of
- 1:26:11sanctions so they can sell gas and oil
- 1:26:14in eastern Russia. This will be a
- 1:26:16serious diplomatic victory uh after test
- 1:26:19tense negotiations with Washington says
- 1:26:22Bloomberg because Germany wants to work
- 1:26:25with Ross Neft. They are this is a
- 1:26:30messed up muddled up shook up world
- 1:26:33except for Lola. The decision is
- 1:26:35expected to be announced by the Office
- 1:26:37of Foreign Assets Control of the US
- 1:26:39Treasury soon. The issue concerns
- 1:26:42Rosenef Germany whose assets Berlin took
- 1:26:45control of after the start of the war in
- 1:26:47Ukraine in 2022. Since then, they remain
- 1:26:50under straight state administration in
- 1:26:52legal uncertainty. Rosenef Germany owns
- 1:26:55three major German oil refineries that
- 1:26:58provide 12% of the country's oil
- 1:27:01refining. Among them is the refinery in
- 1:27:03Schwet near Berlin as a stake in
- 1:27:05Transalpine pipeline through which oil
- 1:27:08enters central Europe. Putin decided to
- 1:27:10get ahead of Europe and instructed his
- 1:27:12government to study the possibility of
- 1:27:15stopping European or Russian gas
- 1:27:17supplies to the European Union. As I
- 1:27:19described to you earlier, he described
- 1:27:21the statement not a decision but as
- 1:27:23thinking aloud and I fold shared the
- 1:27:25full statement with you. He noted
- 1:27:27Moscow's uh will consider such step
- 1:27:29because European countries are nuts. Uh
- 1:27:32the Kremlin is going to consider
- 1:27:34leaving. The statement came after his
- 1:27:35meeting with the Hungarian foreign
- 1:27:37minister. So Russians are massively
- 1:27:40supporting peace negotiations.
- 1:27:42Uh
- 1:27:44as well as let's see where are the
- 1:27:46latest numbers. According to Bloomberg,
- 1:27:4967% support negotiation, 24% support
- 1:27:54continuing the war. Now, that's
- 1:27:55Bloomberg reporting that and I'm not
- 1:27:58sure uh I h haven't seen the actual
- 1:28:01report yet. This is a report of a
- 1:28:03report. And that's all for today on uh
- 1:28:06uh international flavor. I'm very glad
- 1:28:08you are with me. Uh tomorrow is uh civic
- 1:28:12outlaws. I'm going to share with you uh
- 1:28:14my latest article on HB House Bill 3154
- 1:28:20and its companion bill, Senate Bill
- 1:28:221407.
- 1:28:24uh more government bureaucratic
- 1:28:28overreach in my humble opinion which we
- 1:28:31at Civic Outlaws take very seriously and
- 1:28:33wish to inform people about. Um
- 1:28:37that show will go from 7:30 tomorrow
- 1:28:40morning to approximately 8:30
- 1:28:43and that is it. That'll be my last show
- 1:28:47for the week. This is my last
- 1:28:48international flavor for the week. I'm
- 1:28:50very glad you showed up. The um uh at
- 1:28:53the Lake Ozark real estate of the art
- 1:28:55studio. Um you can listen live at
- 1:28:57damradio.com to fantastic music all
- 1:29:01through the day uh except when uh
- 1:29:03wonderful talk radio is on board. And we
- 1:29:08hope you do. You can find all former
- 1:29:11shows uh from DMRadio at damradio.com
- 1:29:17uh podcast. My show, International
- 1:29:20Flavor, you can always find at
- 1:29:22internationalflavor.com.
- 1:29:24All of my prior programs are
- 1:29:28safely tucked away out there. We hope
- 1:29:31you join Civic Outlaws tomorrow morning
- 1:29:34and continue listening to DAM radio each
- 1:29:37and every day where you can get the
- 1:29:41truth only here on International Flavor.
- 1:29:44It just tastes better. Have a nice day.