Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 92 - 8/7/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 92 - 8/7/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:18
  Hello, and welcome to episode 92 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:24
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:27
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:33
  Happy Wednesday. We are halfway through our work
• 0:36
  week, guys grinding in the arena like we always do, and we have
• 0:40
  another big Major League Baseball slate for it today.
• 0:42
  So 16 games overall. Got some double headers, got
• 0:45
  some day sweats, but I picked out a three pack of sweats for
• 0:49
  you today. Trying to be as always, fearless
• 0:51
  but disciplined playing the system matches.
• 0:53
  But we have three good opportunities here today, guys
• 0:56
  hopefully eke out. What do we always say?
• 0:58
  3 bets, try to go two and one eke out a profit here.
• 1:01
  But I have a couple favorites with good sharp line moves.
• 1:03
  Then I have a dog they've been betting on last couple nights
• 1:05
  and I'm hoping they come through once again tonight because just
• 1:08
  like they have been last couple nights, they're sharp,
• 1:10
  contrarian with good reverse line movement and good
• 1:13
  correlative betting system matches.
• 1:14
  So a three pack today and Major League Baseball.
• 1:17
  Also, I wanted to mention one thing, Rhythm.
• 1:20
  Rhythm, who does a great job of powering this podcast.
• 1:23
  Rhythm has some great opportunities to bet the Wyndham
• 1:26
  Championship. Now that is the next big golf
• 1:29
  tournament. It Tees off tomorrow.
• 1:30
  I think it's very early. I always get screwed up with the
• 1:32
  timing of golf. I think tee times are maybe 6:00
• 1:34
  AM. But for the Wyndham
• 1:36
  Championship, I popped open my Rhythm app.
• 1:39
  And if you want to bet golf guys, Rhythm is going to help
• 1:41
  you cash some tickets. So I popped open my app for
• 1:44
  Rhythm. I was looking at the Wyndham
• 1:46
  predictions here in models from AI Rhythm based projections.
• 1:50
  Guys like Luke Clanton plus 250 for a top 20 Rhythms got him
• 1:54
  projected third ranked, second ranked player Mark Hubbard plus
• 1:58
  300 ranked third Keith Mitchell 4th ranked plus 300.
• 2:02
  These are all top 20 opportunities, but rhythm also
• 2:05
  has you covered for top 10s, top fives if you want to play the
• 2:08
  winner. And then what I really find
• 2:10
  fascinating is the AI caddy. So you could literally bet maybe
• 2:13
  you don't have a play on the whole tournament, but you can
• 2:15
  bet hole to hole or just watch the tournament and pop open
• 2:19
  rhythm. Now it's going to be a quick
• 2:20
  time frame here because you got to get it in before the next
• 2:23
  hole starts. So by the time like hole one
• 2:25
  ends and before hole two starts, you pop open your AI caddy.
• 2:29
  They do a great job of comparing basically what they're
• 2:32
  projecting. So for example, maybe Rhythm is
• 2:35
  projecting Keegan Bradley on hole number one.
• 2:38
  He is 50% to get a simulated par or sorry, let me flip it, give
• 2:44
  you another one. The whole point being I tweeted
• 2:46
  this actually earlier today if you want to give it a shot.
• 2:49
  But you look for when the orange bar is higher than the Gray bar.
• 2:52
  So for orange, Keegan Bradley hold number one for the Wyndham
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  Championship. 24% expected to be a birdie.
• 2:59
  The betting market is 21 percent or that that's actually the
• 3:02
  field. So anytime you have the higher
• 3:04
  orange than than than Gray, it may sound wonky.
• 3:07
  It's kind of hard to explain. But when you can visually see it
• 3:10
  in the rhythm app, you can actually bet hey, hole one, I
• 3:13
  want to bet Keegan Bradley to get a birdie.
• 3:15
  So that's how you can use it to your advantage hole to hole.
• 3:17
  Or you can play some top ten, top five, top 20, some winners.
• 3:21
  I gave you a couple guys right, right there off the bat that
• 3:24
  have some good actual value to finish top 20.
• 3:27
  But I don't talk a ton about golf, but I know there's a lot
• 3:29
  of great golf betters out there. And I know you probably a lot of
• 3:32
  you guys and maybe gals listening like to bet golf.
• 3:35
  So I want to do a better job of highlighting beforehand before A
• 3:38
  tournament starts, how Rhythm can help you cash some tickets.
• 3:41
  So if you want to take advantage, you can just go to my
• 3:43
  Twitter page at Josh under score Insights, click that Rhythm
• 3:47
  custom link, give it a shot with a 7A free trial.
• 3:50
  Hopefully it'll help you cash some Wyndham Championship bets
• 3:53
  starting tomorrow. Now, looking back toward
• 3:55
  yesterday, guys two and two, but we gave back 1/4 of a unit -0.25
• 4:00
  units. We had a couple great hits.
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  The Red Sox once again sharp contrarian reverse line move,
• 4:06
  going from plus 125 to plus 1/15.
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  They hang on six to five. Kenley Jansen came in and shut
• 4:12
  the door. So big one with the socks with
• 4:14
  some plus money, and then also the fathers getting it done for
• 4:17
  the team. We had a great San Diego line
• 4:19
  move or they -140 ish up to like -160 -, 170 even they won 6
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  nothing. So we won our first two bets and
• 4:28
  like, hey, this could be a big night.
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  We got two big favorites left, Seattle playing the lowly Tigers
• 4:33
  and Oakland playing the terrible God off of White Sox.
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  As long as we go one and one with these -200 favorites week
• 4:40
  out, a winning night. What happens is why betting?
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  Sometimes it can humble you. It can, it can make you, I don't
• 4:46
  know, tear your out, tear your hair out or, I don't know, got
• 4:49
  gouge your eyes out, smash the TV.
• 4:52
  But are you kidding me, man? Seattle lost to Detroit.
• 4:55
  Oakland lost to the White Sox. That was pathetic.
• 4:58
  Both 200 favorites, both losing. So, hey, what are you going to
• 5:02
  do? All we needed was one.
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  We didn't get either. So instead of a three in one
• 5:05
  night in the positive, we're two and 2 -, 1/4 of a unit.
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  But hey, the goal as always is to flip the page, whether you
• 5:13
  are up, down, treading water, turn the page attack the next
• 5:16
  day and try to post a winning day.
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  So that's what I'm looking forward to toward today.
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  And I'm in particular kicking myself like I don't really
• 5:23
  regret the Oakland play. That a really sharp line move.
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  White Sox are God awful. We beat the closing line a
• 5:29
  little bit with Oakland, but the Seattle play, I'm kicking myself
• 5:32
  because I feel like I may be forced that a little bit.
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  They didn't have a huge line move had some good system
• 5:36
  matches had a good quarrel to betting favorite low total.
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  But of course the Mariners let us down against a Detroit team
• 5:43
  that stinks. So I'm I wish I I wish I laid
• 5:45
  off of that Seattle game and that would have been a two in
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  one night with a winning night. Anyway.
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  What did Frank Sinatra say regrets.
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  I got a few. I regret Seattle, but again,
• 5:55
  Castillo against Montero and Castillo gets the loss.
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  That's unexpected, but that's baseball for you.
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  So turning the page three pack today, guys.
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  Let's go two and one. Let's get back to our winning
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  ways first. But on the board, 6:40 PM
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  Eastern Time, first pitch, we're going right back to Pittsburgh,
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  San Diego Padres facing the Pittsburgh Pirates.
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  Little background here. Padres come in 62 and 52.
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  They've really turned it on here last month or so.
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  They won the series opener for us last night 6 to nothing as a
• 6:24
  -, 165 road favorite. And tonight's rematch, the
• 6:27
  Padres are going to go with ready Michael King nine and six
• 6:31
  3.26 ERA. Remember he was part of the Soto
• 6:34
  trade with the Yankees. Pirates, meanwhile, who are now
• 6:36
  back to 556 and 56, they're going to go with the lefty Marco
• 6:41
  Gonzalez, who's one and one with a 3.72 ERA.
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  What do we see across the market here?
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  Well, this looks like an ain't broke don't fix a play.
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  I played the fathers last night and playing dad again here
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  tonight. San Diego Padres open this game
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  around a -, 140 -, 145 road favorite.
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  We've now seen the Padres get bet up to -160 so about a 15 or
• 7:02
  20 cent Steam move in favor of San Diego.
• 7:06
  Again, $0.10 or more. That really gets us interested
• 7:08
  because it tells us, hey, it's not just a slight adjustment,
• 7:10
  but a lot of money came in to move that number.
• 7:13
  So San Diego taking in currently around 80% of bets, but nearly
• 7:17
  90% of dollars. So good low bets, higher dollars
• 7:20
  bet split both pros and Joes here in favor of San Diego.
• 7:25
  I don't like being with the Joes, but I like being with the
• 7:27
  pros. So based on that line movement,
• 7:29
  it seems to me like we're on the sharp side with San Diego here
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  tonight. And a lot of good system matches
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  for the Padres Rd. favorites that are getting $0.10 of steam
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  or more. Great system, 65 and 37 this
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  year, 64%, 7% ROI. Often times people ask me like,
• 7:45
  hey, what's a good ROI? To me a good ROI is like 2% or
• 7:49
  more. If you can get above 2%, you're
• 7:51
  a good winning system, especially if it's a big sample
• 7:53
  size. But another good system, non
• 7:55
  division Rd. favorites off a win.
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  We have the classic non division favorite value with San Diego
• 8:00
  just because again, lack of familiarity.
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  Two different divisions, San Diego and the NL W Pittsburgh
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  and the NL Central, you don't play each other very often.
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  Therefore, the lack of familiarity benefits the better
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  team. But if you're favored, you're
• 8:13
  coming off a win, you got momentum, you're expected to win
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  and you have that non division system match.
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  Those teams are 128 and 9557% with a 2% ROI.
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  San Diego, of course, has some good correlative betting.
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  We got a favorite low total total.
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  This one is 8 with San Diego the line moving further in their
• 8:31
  direction off the opener. So that's a good sign.
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  Fewer amount of expected run scored.
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  More likely to come from quote UN quote that better team who's
• 8:38
  favored to win Underbank on the Padres offense.
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  They're hitting 265 on the year, 532 runs scored.
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  Pirates only hitting 233 on the year with 468 runs scored.
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  Also, we mentioned this yesterday, but really
• 8:51
  interesting home Rd. splits. Actually, the Padres are really
• 8:55
  good on the road. They're 32 and 23 on the road.
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  Pittsburgh is only 27 and 29 at home.
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  So on a back, San Diego, the road Warriors dad plays well on
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  the road versus Pittsburgh, not great at home.
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  Also look at Michael King. Guy's been really good this
• 9:10
  year. He's he posted a 1.82 ERA and
• 9:13
  four July starts. He's also been better on the
• 9:16
  road than at home. Ironically, on the road, 2.62
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  ERA at home, 4.25. And in his last five starts,
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  Padres have won four of those four and one his last five.
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  Meanwhile, Gonzalez, he had a 5.25 ERA and three July starts.
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  So we have a sharp line move towards San Diego.
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  We got a good low bets, higher dollars bet split Coral to
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  betting couple good system matches, better bats and the
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  better pitcher. You know, at least recently here
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  or basically the year long and recently.
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  That sounds like a good play to me.
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  Guys. I'm going to go.
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  San Diego played them last night, playing them again
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  tonight. I got the Padres at -160 keep on
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  cruising. San Francisco.
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  The G men visiting the Nationals in our nation's capital.
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  This is a 6:45 PM Eastern Time. First pitch.
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  This is the third game of a four-game series and these teams
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  have split the first couple games.
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  Giants who are 57 and 58. They took the opener 4 to one,
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  took care of business as a -, 170 Rd. favorite Nationals who
• 10:15
  are 52 and 62. They bounce back yesterday with
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  an 11 to five win cashing as a plus one O 5 home dog.
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  So pitch a match up for tonight, which is very important.
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  Blake Snow, the lefty, he's on the bump for the G Men.
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  He's one and three, 4.29 ERA, but more on him later.
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  Pitching very well, just threw a no hitter.
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  He'll be opposed by the righty Jake Irvin for the Nationals.
• 10:36
  He's 8:00 and 9:00 with a 3.56 ERA.
• 10:39
  So what do we see across the market here?
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  Well, if you like Sharp Rd. steam on San Diego, you like
• 10:44
  Sharp Rd. steam here on San Francisco.
• 10:46
  The G Men open this game around a -, 145 -, 150 Rd. favorite.
• 10:52
  Now the G men are up to -160 some shops even as high as -165
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  S again very similar to that Padres move Rd. favorite with
• 10:59
  Steam tells us smart money is laying it with Blake Snell in
• 11:03
  the G men here today. The G men are getting 82% bets,
• 11:07
  89% dollars. So a good pro and Joe bet split,
• 11:10
  but also a good low bets, higher dollars bet split in their favor
• 11:13
  and a lot of good system matches.
• 11:15
  Looking at #1 Rd. favorites off a loss, playing an opponent off
• 11:19
  a win, kind of a buy low system match. 132 and 8960% this year
• 11:24
  with a 5% ROI system we just mentioned that was on San Diego.
• 11:28
  Those Rd. favorites getting $0.10 of steam or more.
• 11:31
  They're 65 and 3764% this year with a 7% ROI.
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  When two teams who are below 500 play each other.
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  The road favorite is 74 and 5160% with a 4% ROI.
• 11:44
  So we've just layered on three really good systems, all
• 11:47
  matching with San Francisco. And again, this is kind of how
• 11:50
  I, if you haven't really, you know, gotten it yet, this is how
• 11:53
  I like to look at betting. I like to combined the current
• 11:56
  market. So like lines, movement of San
• 11:58
  Fran, good bet split, correlative betting, favorite,
• 12:01
  low total told this one is 7 1/2.
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  It fell from 8:00 with the line moving to San Fran.
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  So boom, all the current data is telling me San Fran.
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  But then I love it when I can layer on my system matches that
• 12:12
  can go into the past and tell me, hey, this is a profitable
• 12:14
  spot for any team as long as they fit these parameters.
• 12:17
  So I'm always trying to marry the present data with the past
• 12:20
  data. So a little commentary there.
• 12:22
  Why? And again, why is this podcast
• 12:24
  called all systems go? Because I got a lot of systems
• 12:26
  maybe. But anyway, Giants as well as
• 12:29
  the correlative betting value, they also have a great pitcher
• 12:33
  on the bump, Blake Snell. Remember he got signed late.
• 12:36
  Was it 2 years, 60 million with Scott Boris kind of screwing him
• 12:40
  there, missing spring training, but he's really turned it on as
• 12:42
  of late. Starting to get his groove.
• 12:44
  Look at Blake Snell, he's coming off a no no Remember, we
• 12:47
  actually bet him in that no hitter against the Reds, but he
• 12:50
  now has a has a 0.54 ERA in his last five starts.
• 12:55
  This guy's been awesome. And then when you say
• 12:57
  unhittable, he literally was unhittable his last time out.
• 12:59
  So I want to back Snell when he's throwing the ball so well.
• 13:02
  Right now, Nationals are only hitting 244 against lefties.
• 13:05
  That's 19th in baseball, So not dead last, but it's toward the
• 13:09
  bottom. And then Irvin, his numbers on
• 13:11
  the year aren't bad, eight and 93.56 ERA, but he is not
• 13:16
  pitching very well lately. He's got a 6.42 ERA in his last
• 13:20
  five starts. So add it all up here, guys.
• 13:23
  Very similar cap to San Diego. You have a road favorite with a
• 13:26
  good sharp line move with a bunch of good system matches
• 13:29
  here, as well as a pitcher on the bump that we want to get
• 13:32
  behind who's throwing the ball great.
• 13:34
  So I want to back San Francisco. I'm going Snell in the G men.
• 13:38
  I got G men at -160 You might be looking toward around a -, 165
• 13:43
  at this point. Last bed of the night, 8:10 PM
• 13:46
  Eastern Time. Man, this is a great matchup.
• 13:49
  Red Sox, Royals. We've played the Red Sox the
• 13:52
  last two nights. And what have I told you the
• 13:54
  last two nights when they posted wins for us?
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  I told you, hey, I'm a Sox fan, born and raised Massachusetts.
• 14:01
  Red Sox are my team since birth until I they throw me in the
• 14:04
  grave. But guess what?
• 14:06
  I don't want to bet on my favorite team just cuz they're
• 14:08
  my favorite team. But also when my favorite team
• 14:10
  is sharp, I'm happy to play them.
• 14:11
  So they've been sharp the last two nights.
• 14:14
  Guess what guys? Wash, rinse, repeat.
• 14:17
  Death, taxes and another Red Sox sharp reverse line move today.
• 14:20
  So I'm going to Boston. But here, let's set the stage.
• 14:23
  I'll give you the number I got. Red Sox 61 and 51 on the year,
• 14:27
  taking the first two games of this three-game series.
• 14:29
  They won the opener for us nine to five, getting plus 110.
• 14:32
  They won again last night six to five, getting plus 115.
• 14:36
  So for the series finale tonight, the Red Sox are going
• 14:38
  to go with ready Cutter Crawford.
• 14:40
  He's seven and eight with a 3.81 ERA.
• 14:43
  Royals, meanwhile, who are 63 and 52, they're going to go with
• 14:46
  the lefty Cole Reagan's, who's eight and seven with a 3.36 ERA.
• 14:50
  So what have you seen across the market here?
• 14:52
  Well, just like the last few nights we opened Kansas City
• 14:55
  favored Kansas City open this game as high as a -, 150 home
• 14:59
  favorite. And the public is saying, hey,
• 15:01
  Red Sox, I know you're, you're playing well right now.
• 15:04
  But in a three-game series, the Royals are at home.
• 15:06
  The Royals have a slightly better record.
• 15:07
  The Royals can't possibly get swept, right?
• 15:10
  Well, I think the answer to that is they can and they might and I
• 15:14
  hope that they are. And this really goes back to the
• 15:16
  gamblers fallacy, which we talked about a few episodes ago
• 15:19
  in terms of, oh, this team is due, Kansas City is due to win
• 15:23
  tonight. They have to win tonight.
• 15:25
  They're a good team and they can't get swept.
• 15:27
  Those are all generalities. Those are all kind of opinion
• 15:31
  based betting plays that really have no merit based on the data.
• 15:35
  So you don't want to fall into the trap of, oh, this is this
• 15:37
  got is got to happen. They're due.
• 15:40
  You know, it has to do this, it has to do that.
• 15:42
  I always give the example, which you guys have probably heard
• 15:45
  before about the roulette table. If it lands on red five times in
• 15:48
  a row, isn't everyone going to bet black the 6th time because
• 15:51
  it has to be black? No, it might be red.
• 15:53
  Again. The whole point being is don't
• 15:55
  just bet based on what what is due or what you think or want or
• 15:58
  hope will happen. Bet each game individually based
• 16:01
  upon what the market is telling you.
• 16:03
  So why am I going Red Sox here? Because the public is on Kansas
• 16:06
  City. 60% of bets on the Royals, but they open -150 they're down
• 16:11
  to -140 -, 135. I see one book down to -130.
• 16:15
  So it's pretty consistent here that even though nearly 2/3 of
• 16:18
  bets are on the Royals, the line keeps dropping away from Kansas
• 16:22
  City toward Boston. So the Red Sox only getting 40%
• 16:25
  of bets. One of the top contrarian plays
• 16:28
  and one of the most heavily backed games of the night.
• 16:30
  But also the lines moving in their direction.
• 16:32
  They open plus 135. They're down to plus 125.
• 16:36
  So why is line going to Boston If the public's on?
• 16:38
  Kansas City tells me we got smart money RLM on the Red Sox,
• 16:43
  which is why I want to get behind them.
• 16:44
  So I took Boston at plus 125. So it looks a little a little
• 16:47
  bit lower now, closer to plus 120.
• 16:50
  But in addition to that contrarian reverse line move,
• 16:53
  Red Sox also, the bats are really good right now.
• 16:55
  Knock on wood, but they're hitting 263 on the year, 142
• 17:00
  homers, 559 runs scored. Kansas City's hitting two 53123
• 17:06
  homers, 972 runs scored. Red Sox also are a dog high
• 17:10
  total. So total, this one is 8 1/2 a
• 17:13
  good sign for a dog. Remember that's that's kind of
• 17:15
  the lower end of a high total. You want 8 1/2 or more favorite,
• 17:19
  obviously 8 or less. That would be a good sign.
• 17:21
  More expected runs scored, more variants, more upset
• 17:23
  opportunities, hopefully in favor of the Red Sox here
• 17:26
  tonight. And then let's dig into the
• 17:28
  pictures a little bit. Cole Reagan's 3.8 O sorry, 3.8
• 17:32
  OERA at home, 2.86 on the road. So he's been worse at home.
• 17:36
  He's home tonight. He's got a 3.94 ERA at night
• 17:40
  versus 2.44 in the day. He's been really good in the
• 17:42
  day, worse at night. Tonight's a night game.
• 17:46
  Red Sox, by the way, are four and one head, head head to head
• 17:48
  against Kansas City. Hopefully that continues.
• 17:51
  In particular, Red Sox facing a lefty.
• 17:53
  Hopefully that's an advantage to these red hot bats.
• 17:55
  They're hitting 254 against lefties this year.
• 17:58
  That's 11th best in baseball. And then I've been giving you
• 18:01
  guys this stat last couple nights.
• 18:02
  It's only been improving. But the Red Sox as a dog,
• 18:06
  they're 29 and 26 on the year, 53%.
• 18:09
  But what did I tell you? When you're a dog and you're
• 18:11
  above 500 with a record in a money line sport like baseball,
• 18:15
  you're doing very well. You're really producing a good
• 18:17
  ROI. Return on investment in this
• 18:19
  case of 16%. Red Sox are the 4th best dog
• 18:22
  team in baseball. But let's take it a step
• 18:24
  further. When the Red Sox are a dog
• 18:26
  playing a team who missed the playoffs the previous year,
• 18:29
  which would match for tonight. Kansas City didn't make it to
• 18:31
  the playoffs last year. The Red Sox are 19 and 1359
• 18:35
  percent, 29% ROI. Also, last 10 games, Red Sox
• 18:40
  really crushing the ball. They're hitting 312 over their
• 18:43
  last ten games. Royals are hitting 269.
• 18:46
  So again, the obvious play is Kansas City.
• 18:49
  They've lost two in a row at home.
• 18:50
  They got to win tonight. No, no, no, no, I'm going to go
• 18:53
  with the sharp money. I'm going to take the value play
• 18:55
  here with Boston. Wouldn't it be nice if the Red
• 18:57
  Sox could win a third straight dog play for us at plus 125?
• 19:01
  That would be fantastic. So I'm going Red Sox plus 1:25
• 19:05
  tonight in Kansas City, so San Diego, San Francisco and Boston.
• 19:10
  Can we get two out of three, go two and one eke out a winning
• 19:13
  night. That is our goal.
• 19:15
  That about does it for episode 92 of the All Systems Go sports
• 19:19
  Betting podcast powered by rhythm.
• 19:21
  But this is the part of the pod where I give you a lot of
• 19:23
  information leading up to now. And now I want to ask a favor of
• 19:26
  you. Could you please make me very
• 19:28
  happy, make my day, help me grow this podcast organically by #1
• 19:33
  recommending it to a friend. But #2 could you please give
• 19:36
  this podcast a 5 star review? If you're listening on iTunes or
• 19:40
  Spotify again, just go to the podcast overview page.
• 19:44
  Should be an option there to rate and review.
• 19:46
  Give it five stars. It would really make my day,
• 19:48
  help us to grow the pod as well as gain more, more eyeballs and
• 19:52
  gain more respect and also rise up the rankings.
• 19:54
  That would be very much appreciated.
• 19:56
  Also, if there's an option for you to follow the podcast,
• 19:59
  that'll be great as well. I don't mention this too much,
• 20:01
  but do you want to follow the podcast on Twitter?
• 20:04
  You can follow me at Josh under score Insights, but you can also
• 20:07
  follow the pod at under score ASG under score podcast.
• 20:12
  I always tweet out the pod as well as other, you know,
• 20:14
  retweets and important things in terms of the betting market.
• 20:18
  So give it a follow and again, make sure you give it a 5 star
• 20:22
  review. That would really mean a lot to
• 20:23
  me. Secondly, if you enjoy this
• 20:26
  style of betting. Data based betting.
• 20:29
  No opinions, no parlays, no same game parlays.
• 20:33
  Not what I think or want or hope will happen.
• 20:35
  We look at the market, we study the market, we examine the
• 20:37
  market. We take a contrarian approach.
• 20:40
  We try to identify sharp action and layer on sharp betting
• 20:43
  system matches and look at system plays as well as low
• 20:46
  bets, higher dollars, bet splits, yadda yadda yadda.
• 20:49
  If this style of betting, data-driven betting appeals to
• 20:51
  you, then #1 I'm right there with you.
• 20:54
  It appeals to me too. I've based my entire career on
• 20:57
  this strategy because I know it works if you grind it and stick
• 20:59
  with it. But if you want to learn more
• 21:01
  about data-driven, sharp, contrary and betting, or maybe
• 21:03
  you have a friend of yours who loves betting on sports but
• 21:07
  loses all the time and needs to find a new approach and a way to
• 21:11
  make some money, limit the losses and increase the wins,
• 21:14
  Well then guess what? I wrote a book.
• 21:16
  Just go to Amazon.com and type in the Everything Guide to
• 21:19
  Sports Betting. Pick up a copy for you or for a
• 21:22
  friend. It's got everything I've learned
• 21:23
  in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
• 21:26
  they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
• 21:28
  action, how to place the bet in person or online, how to shop
• 21:31
  for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management plan.
• 21:34
  It's all included in my book, The Everything Guide to Sports
• 21:37
  Betting. So pick one up for you or for a
• 21:39
  friend. And when I see at the sports
• 21:40
  book, I'm going to sign my book for you.
• 21:42
  At the book I'm going to buy you a beer or a ginger ale.
• 21:46
  Lastly, I mentioned at the outset of the pod how Rhythm is
• 21:49
  one of my favorite sports betting podcasts here to help us
• 21:52
  make data-driven sharp bets with their AI backed models and
• 21:55
  predictions. Specifically, I was talking
• 21:58
  about the Wyndham Golf tournament starting tomorrow,
• 22:01
  which Rhythm has projections and or predictions and models for.
• 22:05
  So sign up for a Rhythm 7A free trial, but also wanted to
• 22:08
  mention Juice Reel. Drewsreel is my second favorite
• 22:11
  podcast. How do you pick between your
• 22:13
  your two? You know, you got two dogs, you
• 22:15
  got two kids. I'm sure maybe you think one's
• 22:17
  better than the other, but you can't say that.
• 22:18
  You got to say you love them equally, right?
• 22:20
  But seriously, I love Drewsreel. Drewsreel does a great job with
• 22:24
  helping sports betters win first by syncing your sports books to
• 22:28
  the app. So whether you bet through
• 22:30
  DraftKings, FanDuel, ESPN Bet Fanatic, Caesar's Bet MGM,
• 22:35
  whatever the case may be, you sync it up.
• 22:37
  Then when you place a bet in your sports book app, it goes
• 22:40
  right to juice rail gives you a running record of your
• 22:42
  performance. You can learn about yourself in
• 22:44
  the running report card for your for your action.
• 22:48
  Also, you got the Robo Jackson best bet picks that come out
• 22:51
  each day at noon. Robo has been hot if you want to
• 22:53
  play lows. And then, of course, you're
• 22:55
  going to get the sharp mush opportunity plays, looking at
• 22:58
  the games where the sharpest people on the app are on one
• 23:01
  side and the worst people on the app around the other.
• 23:04
  And then also the arbitrage bets, which I love mentioning
• 23:07
  and tweeting out because I think they're fascinating because it
• 23:09
  kind of allows you to grind out a profit.
• 23:11
  I'm not going to say you're going to get rich overnight, but
• 23:14
  you can grind out profits here there by playing arbitrage bets.
• 23:17
  All available when you download and get a 7 day free trial of
• 23:20
  juice Reel. So sign up for Juice Reel and
• 23:22
  rhythm just by clicking the custom link located inside the
• 23:26
  bio description of this podcast. So that about does it everyone.
• 23:29
  Another podcast here in the books tomorrow.
• 23:32
  Did you know we have NFL football?
• 23:35
  So I might have a best bet for you here.
• 23:37
  Looking at tomorrow's games, Panthers and the Patriots,
• 23:40
  Detroit and the G men. So stay tuned for that.
• 23:43
  Actually have preseason games on Friday as well and then a big
• 23:46
  round of preseason games on Saturday.
• 23:49
  But I'm very much looking forward to that.
• 23:50
  But for the time being, let's eke out a 2IN1 winning night.
• 23:53
  How about that? That about does it, guys.
• 23:56
  A couple things to end with. Number one, whether I see you at
• 23:59
  the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
• 24:02
  Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
• 24:05
  Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park
• 24:08
  Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of the woods and
• 24:11
  Massachusetts. Or of course out in the desert
• 24:13
  where the true grinders get down or Billy Walter sends his number
• 24:16
  runners where lowest use possible is found.
• 24:18
  The South Point or Sweat and sharp contrarian plays, jumping
• 24:21
  in the stadium swimming pool at Circa, wherever it may be.
• 24:24
  You're going to walk up to me. You're going to show me a couple
• 24:26
  of nice tickets from last night. Red Sox, Padres, whatever you do
• 24:31
  A's, Mariners. You're telling me you couldn't
• 24:33
  get one of those big favorites to win?
• 24:35
  That was pathetic. Hey, that's baseball though.
• 24:37
  What are you going to do? But anyway, guys, first one's on
• 24:39
  me, next one's on you. We're going to post about the
• 24:41
  book. Sweat, Sharp and train plays all
• 24:43
  night long. So wish you the best luck
• 24:45
  everyone. Enjoy your Wednesday again, pre
• 24:48
  season football for tomorrow. We got more baseball for
• 24:50
  tomorrow and then on Friday, just a couple days away,
• 24:54
  hopefully I'll have a biting UFC play for you.
• 24:57
  See if we can extend our win streak to nine straight.
• 25:00
  Joe Demaggio, where where you at?
• 25:01
  56 game win streak. We're coming for you in the UFC.
• 25:05
  But anyway, guys, have a fantastic night.
• 25:07
  My parting words, as always, stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet
• 25:11
  against the public, place yourself on the side of the
• 25:13
  house. Always be with the smart money,
• 25:15
  never against it. Will smart money win every time?
• 25:17
  Of course not. But here's the thing, over the
• 25:19
  long haul, it is going to win a majority of the time.
• 25:22
  So if we can stay true to the model, bet with our head and not
• 25:24
  our heart, against the public, with the house, with the pros,
• 25:28
  flat bet, avoid parlays, get that closing line value.
• 25:31
  If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
• 25:34
  So enjoy the sweats everyone. Have a great Wednesday night.
• 25:37
  I'll see you back tomorrow for big Thirsty Thursday edition,
• 25:40
  episode 93 of the All Systems Go sports betting podcast powered
• 25:44
  by Rhythm. Have a great night everybody,
• 25:47
  good luck.