Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 493 - 4/16/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome to. Episode 4. 93 of the all
- 0:18systems. Go sports betting podcast.
- 0:21Powered by. Rhythm, I am your.
- 0:23Host Josh. Applebaum.
- 0:30What's going on, everyone? Happy.
- 0:31Thirsty. Thursday, another day.
- 0:34Here in the arena guys, and now we are.
- 0:35Officially just one week. Away.
- 0:38That's right, a week from tonight, round one.
- 0:41Of the NFL. Draft.
- 0:42And did you guys? Notice what's going on with the
- 0:44number. Two overall pick again.
- 0:46Lot to get to today. We got the rhythm run out
- 0:48tonight. At six PMI.
- 0:49Got another? 3 pack of MLB.
- 0:51Plays for including someday. Sweats here, but this?
- 0:54#2 Pick. In the NFL has got me kind of
- 0:56interested guys because. This is a test.
- 0:58Case in information. You know, tracking.
- 1:00INFO What does it mean tracking line movement?
- 1:03You know, looking. For late sharp action.
- 1:05And then also playing different books off.
- 1:07Of each other so. Let's say this.
- 1:08Little bit yesterday. Again, Mendoza.
- 1:11He's. Going to go first overall.
- 1:12I saw a tweet that. Oh, a lot of.
- 1:14Teams are interested. In, you know, moving.
- 1:16Up to the number. One pick, I don't think the
- 1:17Raiders are going to make that that trade.
- 1:19They're going to probably take Mendoza here.
- 1:21He's minus. 20,000 of DraftKings to go first overall.
- 1:24But this number two pick is really interesting.
- 1:27Because we talked about it throughout the week.
- 1:29And not. Jumping into like big favorite
- 1:31numbers too early cuz things can change what what appears to be.
- 1:35You know a locker quote UN quote guarantee today.
- 1:38It might move by tomorrow or the next day.
- 1:39So the number two overall pick what?
- 1:41Will The Jets do? At number.
- 1:43Two, this is interesting. To me because.
- 1:45For a. While it was.
- 1:47Arvel Reese. The stud you know.
- 1:50Edge rusher there from Ohio State.
- 1:51He was a big. You know -150 -?
- 1:54200 favorite. And then it flipped.
- 1:56To David Bailey. Who is from Texas Tech?
- 1:59Another edge rusher. And he was sitting.
- 2:01Around -150. -175 well, now both guys.
- 2:06If you go to. DraftKings today are -115.
- 2:09So it is literally a coin. Toss.
- 2:11A coin flip again, you can shop around and maybe find one of
- 2:14these guys. A little bit of plus money at a
- 2:15different book, but it came on the heels.
- 2:17Of this tweet. Where Adam Schefter quote
- 2:20tweeted a guy. Connor Hughes and it said.
- 2:22Sources Texas Tech pass rusher David Bailey was supposed to
- 2:25have. A 30.
- 2:26Visit with The Jets. The team decided to cancel that
- 2:29visit, and then Schefter piggybacked on that and said
- 2:32quote. Jets had all the.
- 2:33Information they already. Needed on David Bailey.
- 2:36They felt. There was no.
- 2:37Reason for a visit. So what does that mean?
- 2:40They have all the information they need, They don't need a
- 2:42visit. Does that mean they love the
- 2:44guy? And meeting with him isn't going
- 2:45to change anything. And they're going to.
- 2:47Take David Bailey. Who's -115 just a, you know.
- 2:51Decent little you know. Standard truck price, they're
- 2:53basically. Or does it mean?
- 2:55And I've read reports about this, something about David
- 2:58Bailey. I forgot what it was.
- 2:59I don't want to slander the kid. But some kind of red?
- 3:01Flags or something. Or maybe he doesn't have a.
- 3:05You know, a 20. 47 motor. I forgot what I read but.
- 3:07There was something negative. Written about him.
- 3:09And does that mean they're not? Bringing him in.
- 3:11Because they know they're. Not drafting David Bailey.
- 3:15So again, it's. Hard to tell Twitter, you know.
- 3:18Sometimes has great info, sometimes it's a smokescreen.
- 3:21But it just. Is very interesting to me that
- 3:23both of. These guys, David Bailey, Arvel
- 3:25Reese at 1:00. Time they were like -150 -, 200
- 3:29Now it is. Literally a coin flip.
- 3:31For the number two, pick so again.
- 3:33We'll see how this thing develops.
- 3:35Ideally kind of maybe what you want to.
- 3:37See is all these final mock? Drafts that these.
- 3:40Guys were really tied in all have.
- 3:42You know. Reese going #2.
- 3:44Or they all have. Bailey going #2.
- 3:46And then you can jump. On Bailey maybe?
- 3:48-115. Or or Reese before they get.
- 3:50Steamed up back to -150 So that's just fascinating.
- 3:53To me again. We all know it's Mendoza 1.
- 3:56Draft really starts. At pick #2, so let's keep an eye
- 3:58on. Bailey versus Reese.
- 4:00Again, literal coin flip. -115 both.
- 4:03Sides at. At DraftKings.
- 4:06Because look at me, I'm a nerd. I'm paying attention all these
- 4:09again. I wake.
- 4:10Up every day. Look at it throughout the.
- 4:11Day all these markets that have screenshot it and I'm tracking
- 4:15the numbers for and again I want to fire on a lot of these people
- 4:18asking me like you know what did you bet for the draft?
- 4:20I'm still. Going to wait, guys.
- 4:21I'm still going to wait. Ideally until early next.
- 4:24Week because the draft is on Thursday.
- 4:26And again, we want to get. This late movement.
- 4:28In our favor. You'd hate to.
- 4:30You know, bet Bailey or reset. -115 and.
- 4:32Then the line goes way the other way, and then they're, you know,
- 4:34+200. So we're going to.
- 4:36Wait it out, but again, test case in terms of tracking, you
- 4:40know what the market is. Doing along with.
- 4:42What the mock drafts and the, you know, the overall narrative
- 4:45analysis is doing. So week away from the draft.
- 4:47That's what I'm looking at right now.
- 4:49Reminder it is a. Thursday so.
- 4:51That means it's a rhythm rundown day, so 6:00 PM Eastern Time.
- 4:55Stream live on Twitter. My but myself and my buddy.
- 4:58Kate Harper, we're. Going to be hosting you can
- 5:00follow me. At Josh under Score Insights.
- 5:02As we always do. Thursday nights. 6:00 to 7:00 PM
- 5:05Eastern Time, we'll be talking. Baseball.
- 5:07Maybe we'll be. Talking some NBA.
- 5:09Because we do have. The playoffs, of course.
- 5:12You know. Going on right now and maybe
- 5:13we'll get into. Some prop bets as well, so
- 5:15always look forward to those Thursday.
- 5:17Nights because. It's a lot of fun.
- 5:19We get to kind of. Stretch our legs, talk through
- 5:21rhythm, create systems. And again, kind of.
- 5:24Highlight some some sharp bets of the AI models like.
- 5:27So if you ever want to get into Rhythm Reminder, you can always
- 5:29download the app. It's.
- 5:30Rhythm RIT. HMM.
- 5:32And then? If you want a. 7 day free trial
- 5:34and then. A big discount. 25% off.
- 5:37Use promo code. Start 25 now.
- 5:40I buried the lead. Because what are we into the pod
- 5:42now? I mean I'm 5 minutes into the
- 5:43pod and I didn't even mention that we.
- 5:45Busted out the brooms. Last night 3 and O massive.
- 5:49Sweep +2. .7 units made our third straight winning day to
- 5:53start. The week, so the challenge.
- 5:54Today, of course, is to try to post the.
- 5:56Fourth straight winning day to start the week.
- 5:58With some incredible. Hits guys, the Rays.
- 6:00Came through for the team. 8:00 to 3:00.
- 6:02They're up 8. Nothing.
- 6:03Got a? Little interesting they're late
- 6:04because they're bullpen just in the 9th inning kept giving up
- 6:07hits but. Nice eight to three winner with
- 6:09the. Rays, the A's.
- 6:11I almost call. Them the Oakland A's.
- 6:12The the Sacramento. Athletics The homeless Athletics
- 6:15before they go to Vegas, 6:00 to 5:00.
- 6:17Winner for us that game was. Tied 2:00 to 2:00.
- 6:20Shay Langilliers hit an absolute.
- 6:22Bomb I think. It was 4. 167 feet to give him a
- 6:25four to two lead and. Then Jacob Wilson hit another
- 6:28two run bomb to give him a six to two lead, but then it got
- 6:31dicey. Berger hit a three.
- 6:33Run bomb to. Make it 6:00 to 5:00 and they
- 6:35brought. In this guy I want to.
- 6:35Give a shout out to Joel Kunal. He's a journeyman 31 year old.
- 6:41But he came in for a four out save.
- 6:43Slam the door shot. Great win there with the A's.
- 6:47But the best of all? And I must.
- 6:49Admit guys. Me and my wife, you know, we
- 6:51have a newborn. Here, so we're just trying to
- 6:53survive each day. You know the crying.
- 6:55The feeding. Sometimes she.
- 6:57Just likes to be held and will you know just.
- 6:59Rage, cry and. Unless she's held.
- 7:01But I've been doing the night shifts recently and I was in
- 7:05our. Backroom.
- 7:06Which is our quote. You know our baby room.
- 7:08For a baby apple. Bomb.
- 7:10And I am, you know, watching. I watched.
- 7:13The Rays win. And then I saw.
- 7:15We were watching. The A's A's came through and I
- 7:18saw the, you know, back and forth, A.
- 7:19Little bit of the. Padres game, they're down 6.
- 7:21Nothing. I'm like, OK, we'll go 2 and.
- 7:23One, I'll take that. Again, a winning day is all you
- 7:25want, but then I I turn. The A's game.
- 7:28Off I said OK, just just for s, s and G's.
- 7:32Shits and giggles as I like to. Say, let me.
- 7:33Just see what's going on with the.
- 7:34Padres game. I turn it on and it's six to
- 7:37four, bottom of the ninth. I'm like, OK, am I right?
- 7:39We got a chance. Here 2 outs though.
- 7:42So no room for error. What happens unbelievably?
- 7:46Jackson, Merrill, They're down. Six runs they claw.
- 7:51All the way back. And they walk it off on a
- 7:54Jackson Merrill unbelievable oppo down the left field line.
- 7:59Don Orsolo. Had the incredible call.
- 8:01It's Merrill madness. Unbelievable.
- 8:04So just incredible. And you know what?
- 8:05Why that meant to me. That meant so much to me.
- 8:07Yeah. 3 and O you love to. See it plus 2.7 units.
- 8:11But my wife is from San Diego. She was fast asleep.
- 8:14She she needs her sleep. She's she's, she's exhausted
- 8:1624/7. But there I am.
- 8:19I don't. Know it was 1.
- 8:20AM. 2:00 AM. I'm in the room all all quiet
- 8:23all. Dark, I got my.
- 8:24IPad with the game on. And I am.
- 8:26Holding my daughter. As we watch fingers.
- 8:29Crossed. Can can San Diego come through
- 8:33for mom? Who's from San?
- 8:34Diego yes, they did. And that was my.
- 8:36Baby's Margo is her name. Her first walk off her and her
- 8:40dad, 2:00 AM and she's drunk off the milk and we're able to cash
- 8:44a walk off there. So that was pretty incredible.
- 8:46That's something I will never forget.
- 8:48But. A three and O + 2.7 unit night.
- 8:50Bust out the brooms. Guys, let's see.
- 8:52If we can keep. It rolling and.
- 8:53Post a fourth straight. Winning day, which would be even
- 8:56better than a three straight winning day.
- 8:58With that being said. Let's waste no more.
- 8:59Time because I got. Some day sweats here got to get.
- 9:01The pot out in time if you want. To hear the analysis and ride
- 9:04some of these bets. So first, but overall guys?
- 9:06Let's look at an early game here.
- 9:08This is a 12. 40 PM. Eastern Time, first pitch.
- 9:11We have. The San Francisco.
- 9:13Giants visiting the. Red Legs of Cincinnati.
- 9:17So setting a stage for this one. Reds come in 11 and seven.
- 9:21They've taken the first two games of this three-game set.
- 9:23They won the opener 2 to one as -115 home favorites.
- 9:26Then they won again. Yesterday, 8:00 to 3:00.
- 9:28As a -, 110 home pick. And play so.
- 9:31For the series finale final game of the.
- 9:33Series here early afternoon. The G men who are. 6 and 12
- 9:37they're. Going to go with the righty
- 9:38Landon Roop. He's two and one with a 3.24
- 9:41ERA. Reds, meanwhile, are going.
- 9:42To go with the righty Chase Burns top.
- 9:44Pick in the draft last year. I don't think he's.
- 9:47Won overall. He's he was high.
- 9:49One in one 3.31 ERA so. What are we seeing across the
- 9:52market? This game opened.
- 9:54Reds very short. -120 Home. Favorite San Fran around A +
- 9:58100. Road Dog and anytime you get a
- 10:00very short number there, it's. Interesting to me.
- 10:02You know, hey, do the wise guys. Say yeah, they've won.
- 10:05The 1st 2:00 but. Short number.
- 10:07San Fran's going. To win this one.
- 10:09And avoid the sweep. Or do they say hey, ride the
- 10:11hot? Hand -120 is a short price.
- 10:14Play Cincinnati. Well, it looks to be the latter.
- 10:16Because this line is moved towards Cincinnati, the Reds
- 10:19have gone from -120 up to -130. Now we've.
- 10:23Also seen a ton of big money actually go -1 1/2 the run line
- 10:27with the Reds at plus 170. I don't.
- 10:29Blame them, that's a pretty good payout. 75% bets. 99%.
- 10:34Spread dollars at Circa. 61% spread.
- 10:37Bets 86%. Spread dollars at DraftKings.
- 10:40Now again, you want to go 1 1/2. I hope you win by two, I went.
- 10:43Cincy just to win the game. Good Sharp.
- 10:45Line move in their favor. We have a really good system
- 10:48match here if you. Are a non division home favorite
- 10:50-150 or less. You're coming off a win and the
- 10:54line is moving in your favor. So non division lack of
- 10:56familiarity benefits a better team.
- 10:58Home. You got the crowd in the last at
- 11:00bat favorites -150 or less so you're.
- 11:02Expected to win, but you're not a huge.
- 11:04Minus number coming. Off a win with momentum and the
- 11:08lines moving your direction so the betting market the big
- 11:10money. Is in your favor as well.
- 11:12That system which? Matches the Reds here.
- 11:13Today is 1. 15 and 76, that's a 60.
- 11:17Percent win rate 7%. ROI.
- 11:20Since the start of 2025, Reds. Also have that correlative
- 11:24betting value. Favorite in a?
- 11:25Low total game. So a total in this game is. 8.
- 11:29Fair amount expected. Run score more likely to come
- 11:31from quote UN quote. The better.
- 11:32Team, they're also that. Non division favorite, of
- 11:33course, a lack of. Familiarity also.
- 11:36Benefiting the better team. I'm going to bank on Cincy,
- 11:38hopefully Burns pitching well and and the.
- 11:40Offensive Cincy getting to. Roop, But the Reds do have.
- 11:43The better and more productive offense.
- 11:45They've scored 64 runs with a three O 4.
- 11:48On base percentage, San Fran has scored. 55 runs with a 280. 7 on
- 11:53base percentage. Lastly, nothing huge.
- 11:55But the Reds are. 6:00 and 5:00. At home, five and four in day.
- 11:59Games Giants three and five on the road, one and five in day
- 12:03games lastly. Pulled up juice.
- 12:06Reel and looked. At the sharp mush.
- 12:08Indicators for this game. And noticed a 25% sharp mush
- 12:12indicator. On the red legs.
- 12:14So those of you out. There who have downloaded.
- 12:16Juice Reel synced up your books and all you wise guys and wise
- 12:20guys out there. Cashing tickets also.
- 12:23Leaning with the Reds? So add it all up here guys.
- 12:25Let's see if the red legs. Can get a sweep and I can.
- 12:28It'll be an excuse for me to. Tell you my favorite joke of all
- 12:31time. Which is from my.
- 12:32My buddy Lars's grandfather. And you know what it was?
- 12:36Pete Rose. Sat on attack.
- 12:38Pete Rose you get. It you get it.
- 12:41If you. Don't get it, I'll explain it
- 12:43later, but you should get it. It's.
- 12:45A terrible but. Awesome joke.
- 12:46Either way, let's go Reds. I got the Reds. -120.
- 12:49Three at Valley Bet. Shop around though, Reds.
- 12:51Are as high as -130 across the market.
- 12:54Next one for you. Another.
- 12:56Kind of late afternoon. Or early afternoon ish, I guess
- 12:58you'd say. Meet What's a medium?
- 13:00Afternoon matinee, whatever you. Want to call it?
- 13:02But anyway, 2:10 PM Eastern Time first.
- 13:04Pitch. Let's go right back to the South
- 13:06side, Tampa Bay Rays. Visiting the White Sox.
- 13:09I'm calling this the ain't. Broke.
- 13:10Don't. Fix it.
- 13:11Play so. Rays 10 and seven on the year.
- 13:14They've won the first two games of this three-game set.
- 13:16They won the opener. 8:00 to 5:00 as a -. 135 road favorite.
- 13:20They won again yesterday. For us 8 to. 3 as a minus. 115
- 13:23road favorite. So in the series.
- 13:25Finale for today. The Rays are going with the.
- 13:27Lefty Steven Matz, He's 3 and O with a three. .94 ERA.
- 13:31Meanwhile, the Chai Sox were. 6 and 12 they're.
- 13:34Going to go with the ready Jordan Leisure.
- 13:36Who's one and O with an ERA of four now?
- 13:38What are we seeing across the market for this one?
- 13:40Well, Tampa Bay opened. As a relatively modest -120 -,
- 13:44120. Five Rd.
- 13:45Favorite Chicago. Around a plus. 100.
- 13:47Plus one O 5 home dog and as I mentioned.
- 13:50Sharp seem to be saying if it. Ain't broke, don't fix.
- 13:52It Let's keep riding the Rays. Let's keep betting against the
- 13:55White Sox. Especially with.
- 13:56Tampa Bay laying. A pretty short number here.
- 13:59So we've seen Tampa get steamed up -120 -, 125 now up to -130
- 14:05and I'm seeing some shops creep even higher.
- 14:07It's like. -135. South clear movement.
- 14:10Toward the rays. Then we go to Circa.
- 14:13Good bet. Splits on Tampa 50.
- 14:15Percent money line bets. And 72%?
- 14:18Of money line. Dollars from the sharps out
- 14:20there in Vegas. So tells us.
- 14:22Even though it's only half the tickets.
- 14:23It's three out of $4.00 so. Theoretically, those are bigger.
- 14:26Wagers from sharp betters who who don't get turned away at
- 14:29circa they circa. Accepts their action, which is
- 14:32smart so they can. Get Intel on where the sharps
- 14:34are leaning. But then also I'm.
- 14:36Going to bank? On the raised bats, hopefully to
- 14:37continue to. To light up Chicago.
- 14:39Here because the rays. Are hitting 260. 6 on the year.
- 14:4386 runs scored. 337 on base percentage.
- 14:46White Sox only hitting $1.93. 57 run.
- 14:50Scored 284. On base percentage.
- 14:53Also, we got righty on the bump for Chicago the.
- 14:56Lefty on the bump for Tampa? Well, guess what, Tampa is
- 14:59hitting two. 71 against righties.
- 15:01This year, that's fifth best in baseball.
- 15:03White Sox are only hitting $1.96 against.
- 15:05Lefties. That ranks 24th.
- 15:07Oh, by the way. Steven Matz.
- 15:09He's made. 3 starts this year. The Rays are three and O.
- 15:11And those start, so hopefully they got some confidence with
- 15:14with mats on the bump. Lastly, popped open juice.
- 15:17Reel 29% sharp mush edge in. Favor of the Rays.
- 15:23So. Again, rays have come.
- 15:24Through for us two times in this series.
- 15:26Let's cross our fingers. Make it 3.
- 15:28I got Tampa Bay -125 at bet MGM. Again, shop around lot.
- 15:33Of books -130 even. -135 at this point.
- 15:37Now final bet of the night, 6:10 PM Eastern Time, first pitch.
- 15:41Let's go check out the Rock and Roll Hall.
- 15:43Of fame, let's go to Cleveland. Ohio I I've never been to.
- 15:46Cleveland. But one day I do want to see the
- 15:47Rock and Roll Hall of Fame. My sister went there a few years
- 15:50ago and loved it. Anyway, Orioles Guardians 6. 10.
- 15:54PM Eastern Time, first pitch. Orioles come in nine and nine on
- 15:57the. Year did just drop 2 out of
- 15:59three against the snakes. Though they lost. 8:00 to.
- 16:01Five in extras yesterday. As a. -140 home favorite.
- 16:05You know the Guardians 10:00 and 9:00 on the year.
- 16:08Also lost two out of three. Against the Cardinals.
- 16:10And lost 5 to 3 yesterday. As a minus. 110 road pick em so
- 16:15pitching. Match up here for tonight, we
- 16:18got Shane. Baz, the righty going for the
- 16:19Orioles O and. 14 point. Five O ERA Guardians.
- 16:22Meanwhile, are going to go with the lefty Parker.
- 16:24Messick I had never. Heard of this guy until today.
- 16:27I did a little research. His numbers look good.
- 16:29He's. Two and O.
- 16:30With a 0. .9. 1 ERA this year. And you might be thinking I'll
- 16:33flash in the pan. But I actually was reading.
- 16:35Up on this guy in his baseball reference.
- 16:37He was a second round pick. And he had a really good career
- 16:40in College in the minor, so maybe this guy's legit.
- 16:43Knock on wood, but anyway, we. Open this game with Cleveland, a
- 16:47very short -115 home. Favorite Baltimore?
- 16:49Around a minus. One O 5 road dog.
- 16:51Once again, short number. To the wise guys, hit that short
- 16:54favorite because they should be higher or hit the dogs.
- 16:56It should be closer to pick them.
- 16:58Well, it. Looks like the former here
- 16:59because this line has moved up. Toward Cleveland.
- 17:02We've seen Cleveland get steamed up -115 up to -125 -, 130.
- 17:07Good bet splits at circa. Guardians are getting. 82% of
- 17:11money line. Bets.
- 17:12Nearly 90. Percent of money line.
- 17:15Dollars, so tells. Us a lot of big money out in
- 17:17Vegas. Laying it here with Cleveland.
- 17:19To get the the. Winner here in the opener.
- 17:22Cleveland has betting system. Value.
- 17:24As a non division favorite. And correlative betting value as
- 17:27a favorite low total. Total this game is 8, so once
- 17:30again lack of familiarity. As well as the fair amount of.
- 17:33Expected run scored historically.
- 17:34Benefits that better team. Here's a system play for you.
- 17:38Home favorites. Coming off a loss in game one.
- 17:40Of a new series. So off a loss trying to get back
- 17:44and bounce back your home favorite.
- 17:46Expected to win. Got the crowd last at bat.
- 17:49And it's the game. One of a new.
- 17:50Series well. Again, that system is.
- 17:52Pretty good this year at. 17 and 9. 65 percent, 7% ROI guards are
- 17:59three. And O and Messick.
- 18:00'S three starts this year, he's given up 1 and run or.
- 18:02Less. In all three starts.
- 18:05And nothing huge. Here, but guardians are four and
- 18:07two at home. Seven and six in night games.
- 18:09Orioles three and three on the Road 3.
- 18:11And four in night games. Lastly, popped open juice reel,
- 18:15noticed a 15% sharp mush. Edge on the Guardians.
- 18:19And what I like even more is when I opened.
- 18:21Rhythm. I had two.
- 18:23Rhythm recommended AI model predictions, both lighting up on
- 18:27Cleveland. So add it all up here guys, I'm.
- 18:30Going to go guardians again. Game one of a new.
- 18:32Series home favorites have done well.
- 18:34Good splits line movement. Let's hope this Messick kid,
- 18:37I'll be watching him for the first time tonight.
- 18:39Hope he can pitch well. I got the guardians. -125 at
- 18:42Fanatics again, shop around some books closer to minus. 1:30.
- 18:46So all relatively cheap prices. -130 or.
- 18:49Less Reds, Rays, Guardians. Let's try to get 2 out of 3.
- 18:53See if we can post another winning day.
- 18:55So that about does it for episode 4. 93.
- 18:58Of the all systems go sports betting.
- 19:00Podcast powered by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod, of
- 19:03course, where we wrap things up, but I always.
- 19:05Start by saying thank you. Thank you for listening, thank
- 19:08you for tuning in, Thank you for grinding in the arena with me.
- 19:11Every single day. Through the good and the bad,
- 19:13the UPS and the downs, the epic Jackson.
- 19:15Merrill Walk off winners or Dom Smith from the other night.
- 19:19I'll be either way. Guys, I'm very.
- 19:21Proud and honored to. Host this pod.
- 19:23So I feel like it's just, you know, a bunch of us friends.
- 19:25Going to the virtual bar again, talking, talking sports.
- 19:29And and not making opinion based bets but data.
- 19:31Driven bets. So if you do enjoy this pod.
- 19:34Please could you do me a? Couple couple favors here.
- 19:36Could you give this podcast a five star review if.
- 19:38You haven't done it yet on Spotify or iTunes.
- 19:42Leave a nice comment under the rate and.
- 19:43Review. Section Click the follow button
- 19:45Recommend the pod to a friend or.
- 19:47Retweet the pod on Twitter at Josh under score Insights.
- 19:51When I put it on, put it up. Each day next.
- 19:54If you enjoy the style of sports betting and you want to learn
- 19:57more about data-driven betting. I'd love for you to go to
- 19:59Amazon.com and type in either. The.
- 20:02NFL sharp betting playbook. Or the everything.
- 20:05Guide to sports betting the two books that I've written very
- 20:07proud of both but if you want to grab one or both of them, bring
- 20:11the sports book I'll sign them for you I'll.
- 20:12Buy you a beer. Or ginger ale and.
- 20:14I'll sweat some more baseball together.
- 20:16Next, have you downloaded? Rhythm and juice real yet my two
- 20:19favorite sports betting apps they.
- 20:20Help me win. They're going to help you win.
- 20:23Rhythm great for their AI backed.
- 20:24Models and predictions. For game bets and player props
- 20:27reminder. We have a rhythm rundown
- 20:28tonight, 6:00 PM Eastern Time. Stream live on Twitter so hope
- 20:31to see you guys all there. Then of course Juice Reel.
- 20:33So many great features. With the Juice Reel app you can
- 20:36get the Robo Jackson best bet picks.
- 20:37Sharp mush indicators. Arbitrage play Shop for the best
- 20:40line features. You can sync.
- 20:42Up your sports books, get a running report card of your.
- 20:44Action Track your CLV. And also, if you're coming off a
- 20:47sweep, got a couple extra bones in your pocket?
- 20:49This pod is free. Why don't?
- 20:51You sign up for a week of. The ASG best bet picks.
- 20:54On Juice Reel. It'll cost you. 499 a week.
- 20:57No, not 400. And 99.
- 20:58Dollars a week 4. Dollars and $0.99 a.
- 21:01Week so 5 bucks support the pod. You know, put a $5.00 bill in
- 21:04the tip jar. And you'll get those places.
- 21:06You'll get them early too, so hopefully you'll beat some
- 21:08closing lines. But download rhythm, download
- 21:11juice reel, give them. Both A5.
- 21:12Star Review in the App Store. Next, do you have a live odds
- 21:15page? Well, if you don't have one, you
- 21:17need 1 you. Got to be able to track the
- 21:19market. First question I always need.
- 21:21To know is you know what are the line open and where is it?
- 21:23Now I start with line movement. That's my first.
- 21:25Indicator tells me. Where the respected.
- 21:27Money is leaning. I got to be able to shop for the
- 21:29best line find the book. Offering the best odds I need,
- 21:32live scoring, live in game wagering odds.
- 21:34I got to pull up the line. History if a game opened at
- 21:37minus. 120 it's still -120 Don't assume it didn't move.
- 21:41Maybe it got up to -130 and came down or down to -115 and came
- 21:45up. These are the little things you
- 21:46got to know. Got to see which.
- 21:47Direction the juice is. Leaning.
- 21:49Got to identify those. Lines that get that?
- 21:51Get a little. Lit up in red.
- 21:53Because that means late money and late steam is coming in.
- 21:55You can do all of this. With a live odds page.
- 21:58From odds logic, it's the best one around if you want to give
- 22:01it a shot. All you got to do is go to
- 22:02oddslogic.com/josh 12. 3 then of.
- 22:08Course, if you're looking to add another.
- 22:09Book. To maximize your.
- 22:12Your winnings here. And get the best juice prices.
- 22:15I would recommend. Giving a shot to profit XPRO.
- 22:18PHET. Profit X.
- 22:20It's a sports betting. Exchange not a sports book.
- 22:23So you're going up? Against other betters and if I
- 22:25lose a bet, I'd rather. Another better like me.
- 22:27Gets the money versus again giving money to.
- 22:30The house, but the whole point is that in exchange you're.
- 22:32Getting better juice prices. Because you don't have.
- 22:34To pay. The -120.
- 22:36Of the of the house makes you pay so you can get. -1 O 2.
- 22:39Plus one O 5 + 1 O3, better juice prices.
- 22:42Makes it. Easier to be winning better.
- 22:44And produce a profit. So go download.
- 22:46The Profit X app use the promo code Josh.
- 22:49Josh for 20% deposit match. So that about does it for
- 22:53episode. 493 on a big Thursday. Of the ASG pod as always guys,
- 22:57two final thoughts. 1. Whether I see?
- 23:00You at the Borgata? In Atlantic.
- 23:01City Twin River in. Rhode Island.
- 23:03The Brooklyn, New Hampshire. Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
- 23:06Connecticut at the Encore in Boston Plain Ridge park casino
- 23:09MGM. Springfield or the Nash?
- 23:11And my neck of the woods on. The border of.
- 23:13Massachusetts in New Hampshire. We're out.
- 23:15In the desert where the true grinders get down.
- 23:17Or Billy Walter sends his number runners.
- 23:19Where the lowest juice possible is found.
- 23:20At the South point or sweat and sharp contrarian plays.
- 23:23Jumping in the stadium, swimming.
- 23:24Pool when you catch. A big ticket at Circa we're.
- 23:27Going to meet up. At the book.
- 23:28I'm going to. See you from across the book.
- 23:30We're both going to knock on the janitor's closet, grab a broom,
- 23:34do a little Fred Astaire dance, because.
- 23:35What an epic sweep, that. Was last night, guys?
- 23:38Man. Watching the Watching the pods.
- 23:40Come back and Jackson Merrill walk it off.
- 23:42I mean, that's why you love betting on sports.
- 23:44That that thrill is is. As good as it gets.
- 23:47But show me an A's ticket. A Rays ticket, A Pods ticket.
- 23:51First one. 'S on me, next one's on you a.
- 23:53Post about the book. Sweatshop Contrarian.
- 23:55Plays all night long. So as always, guys coming off a
- 23:58three and O or. An O and 3A2 and one or an O and
- 24:00two. Three straight winning days.
- 24:02Three straight losing days. Whether we're hot or cold or
- 24:05just grinding. We got to stick with it.
- 24:07Not get too high, not get. Too low.
- 24:09When things are going. Our way We're never as good as
- 24:11we think when things are going against us, we're never as bad
- 24:13as we. Think.
- 24:14We always got to find those system matches.
- 24:16And avoid the games with red flags.
- 24:18So as always, we're looking for games that are against the
- 24:20public, with the house, with the pros.
- 24:23Flat bet, avoid parlays and get that CLV if we can.
- 24:26Do that. We're going to be successful
- 24:27sports bettors. So if everyone has a great.
- 24:30Thirsty Thursday? Let's get a couple.
- 24:32Winners on the diamond guys hope to see.
- 24:34You tonight 6. PM Eastern Time Stream live on
- 24:36Twitter with the rhythm rundown and.
- 24:37Then we'll be. Back at it tomorrow for a big
- 24:39episode. 490. Four of the all systems go
- 24:42sports betting podcast powered. By rhythm.
- 24:46Good luck everybody. I'll see you at six for the
- 24:48rhythm rundown.