Latest / Financial Survival Network / Gold In A Vault Can't Be Sanctioned -- Dana Samuelson #6092
Transcript
- 0:00So these countries that want to do less business and dollars are having a hard
- 0:04time doing that. But what they can do is buy gold as fast as
- 0:07they want to, and that's what they are doing because gold and a vault
- 0:11can't be sanctioned. And over the last ten years, central banks have been
- 0:14buying about five hundred tons of gold a year. In the last two years
- 0:18they've double that to over a thousand tons, And this to me is really
- 0:22material at the margin, and I do think that this is what's helping to
- 0:26drive this gold market higher and what has caught the experts off guard. You
- 0:30are listening to Carrie Letz's Financial Survival Network, where you get valuable information you
- 0:36just can't find anywhere else to thrive in today's trying times. You need the
- 0:41Financial Survival Network now more than ever. Go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com and
- 0:48get your free newsletter and gift. Financial Survival Network now more than ever,
- 0:58and welcome. You aren't listening to and watching the Financial Survival Network. I'm
- 1:02your host, Carrie Lutz. Well, our good friend Data Samuelson is with
- 1:07us from American Gold Exchange. You find him at a mirror a M E
- 1:11R Goold dot com and Hey, if you got a question, comment,
- 1:15or you got something you'd like to share, just shoot me an email kl
- 1:19at Carrie LUTs dot com. Dana, it's great to have you back on
- 1:22the show. I wish I could say a lot happened between now and the
- 1:26last time you were on, but not a whole heck of a lot.
- 1:30It's we're back to the normal precious metal markets where pretty much you're watching paint
- 1:37dry. Well, nothing's really normal these days, Carrie. But yeah,
- 1:42we're in a consolidation phase where things are a little quiet after a really exciting
- 1:47March and April into May for precious metals, right, So is this just
- 1:53a little reprise, a little pit stop along the way to five thousand?
- 1:57What's your take here? Oh? I think that gold the fundamentals that are
- 2:04driving gold, there's a lot of them that are all in place at the
- 2:07same time right now, which is unusual. And I do think we're going
- 2:10to see gold go substantially higher over time, and a double from here is
- 2:15entirely likely over the next couple of years. I'm argeting right now twenty seven
- 2:20to fifty to three thousand over the next twelve to twenty four months myself.
- 2:24Hey, well, you know, like when you see the headlines on the
- 2:29mainstream financial news, they always say experts surprised about gold sudden increase. You
- 2:36know, the experts are always taken by surprise. If there's such experts,
- 2:39why are they surprised at anything? Correct, Well, markets make moves you
- 2:46don't expect sometimes. But as I said earlier, we've got a lot of
- 2:51drivers all in place at the same time. Fundamentally, you've got debt which
- 2:54is just ever increasing, especially in the US, and that's the main big
- 3:00picture driver over the last twenty years. Now, we've got two wars going
- 3:05on, so gold climbs the wall of worry. And it happened to peak
- 3:09coincidentally or not not coincidentally, with Iran and Israel exchanging direct shots for the
- 3:16first time ever in April. Thank god, we walked back from that a
- 3:21bit. You've got the potential for a US recession and falling treasure yields and
- 3:29falling interest rates and perhaps some more economic stimulus, which I think could give
- 3:34the gold market a real big tailwind if and when that occurs. And I
- 3:39do think a recession is in the cards for the US consumer spending is seventy
- 3:47percent of the economy, and the consumer is pretty stretched out right now with
- 3:51record debt and record low savings and who else. Who knows what other wild
- 3:58cards might be out there right now. And that's everything you mentioned there.
- 4:02None of that really qualifies as a black swan here. Imagine if a black
- 4:08swan gets mixed into the equation exactly. But it's unusual to see all of
- 4:14these things coming together at the same time in the same place. And I
- 4:18didn't even mention records central bank gold buying. You know, central banks have
- 4:24doubled their gold buying over the last two years. They want to get out
- 4:27of the dollar of the countries that are afraid of being sanctioned by the US,
- 4:30like we sanctioned Russia after they invaded the Ukraine. So there's this big
- 4:34d dollarisation movement, but practically it can't really happen because there's no viable alternative
- 4:41to the dollar. The dollars entrenched in the financial system. So these countries
- 4:45that want to do less business than dollars are having a hard time doing that.
- 4:48But what they can do is buy gold as fast as they want to,
- 4:51and that's what they are doing because gold and a vault can't be sanctioned.
- 4:57And over the last ten years, central banks have been buying about five
- 5:00hundred tons of gold a year. In the last two years they've double that
- 5:02to over a thousand tons, And this to me is really material at the
- 5:06margin, and I do think that this is what's helping to drive this gold
- 5:11market higher and what has caught the experts off guard. Yeah, so golden
- 5:15of all can't be sanctioned, and that's another kind of way of just saying
- 5:21that there's no counterparty risk here. Exactly. That's gold's greatest attribute. It's
- 5:29got no counterparty risk. So you think it's a bargain here at to twenty
- 5:34three twenty and change, Well, I do think that we are in a
- 5:39bull market that's going to continue. And it's a little hard to wrap your
- 5:42head around buying something at an all time high, but when you think the
- 5:46market's just going to keep going higher, I do believe it's a good deal,
- 5:50especially at around twenty three hundred. If we get a little cheaper,
- 5:55I think there'll be a lot of buying coming in at the first If the
- 5:58numbers are twenty two something, I do think silver, Yeah, I do
- 6:02like silver better as an investment at these levels because gold it's about fifteen percent
- 6:08above its previous all time high in twenty eleven, while silver is about thirty
- 6:13percent, still under its previous two all time highs and right around fifty dollars
- 6:17announce in about twenty nine to fifty today, Silver to me seems to be
- 6:21the better value because silver lags and then plays ketchup, and when it plays
- 6:27ketchup, it tends to do so with a vengeance. So we see that
- 6:29a couple times over the last four or five years, and it's but right
- 6:33now it's it's in a bit of consolate of a consolidation phase, just like
- 6:38gold is. How far do you think silver can go? Oh, I
- 6:43think silver could easily get over forty dollars. In fact that this gold price,
- 6:46I'm surprised silver isn't already over forty dollars. I think forty to forty
- 6:50five is a range I'm targeting in my own mind. So you're thinking triple
- 6:56digits here, I do think sixty to seventy five dollars silver is entirely possible.
- 7:03Triple digits is a bit of a stretch for me. I don't like
- 7:06to look too far over the horizon, because things can change. But I
- 7:12do think, you know, one hundred dollars silver is entirely possible given enough
- 7:16time. Really one hundred dollars yeah, well it could go even higher than
- 7:21that, right, I mean when you start thinking about what's in the ground
- 7:27and the fact that you know, we're in silver deficit now, right right,
- 7:31Yeah, for the last two years, we've been in a fundamental supply
- 7:34deficit where the world's consuming more silver than it's mining, and there's a lot
- 7:41of silver use in EVS solar panels, so that demand factor is likely to
- 7:47increase. And silver is not really an economical metal to mine. It usually
- 7:53comes as a byproduct of other metals, as mars, I remember, if
- 7:57I remember correctly, so, I do think silver is a better Yeah,
- 8:01around thirty bucks an ounce. That's a great deal right now. Usually it's
- 8:05a byproduct of copper and other base metals. Of course, certain countries like
- 8:13Mexico, Peru, a few others. You know, there's a few pure
- 8:18silver mines still kicking around. There's a few under development out there, but
- 8:24like you say, generally not that economical unless you're talking at about Bonanza grades,
- 8:30you know, like kilo pertn silver. Then it becomes very economical.
- 8:35You know, some of the largest silver mines in the US have been shut
- 8:41down over the years for that very reason. So it's going to be interesting
- 8:46to see if silver rises again. Certainly at one hundred dollars an ounce,
- 8:52it becomes very economical to produce. Right, We'll see some greater a lot
- 8:58greater exploration if number gets that high. All right, So when we're looking
- 9:03at you know, how you buy it, what's your favorite means of buying
- 9:09it? I mean, I know that depends upon your your particular circumstances,
- 9:13but somebody just getting into it Joe sixpack, for instance. I'm a physical
- 9:18precious metals dealer. National Physical Precious Metals Mail order Company is my business.
- 9:24So we deal in the sovereign minted one ounce coins, which are really just
- 9:30round bars made by the US Mint, Canadian Mint, Austria, and Mint.
- 9:33Those are the big three, both in one ounce gold and one ounce
- 9:37silver. I call them vanilla, chocolate and strawberry simply because of their most
- 9:41widely traded, competitively priced, and easiest to sell when you want to sell
- 9:48what you've already purchased. I favor the US mint products over the Canadian and
- 9:52the Austrian But we've had situations over the last few years when demand has been
- 9:58really strong in the US, mint cannot eep ace with demands, so we've
- 10:01seen premiums higher for US ounces of gold and silver US eagles than we have
- 10:09for maple leafs and philharmonics. And when that's the case, I say buy
- 10:13the cheaper of the three alternatives. That's what I truly like the most.
- 10:18So you know, there's a lot of fake stuff out there, fake gold,
- 10:22counterfeit bars, counterfeit rounds, and the same with silver. I've even
- 10:26heard recently some of them popping up. It's the best way to avoid fakes.
- 10:33Deal with a long standing dealer who's been in business for decades. You
- 10:39know, I'm an old timer. Deal with someone who's got a lot of
- 10:41experience. Do not buy on auction online platforms or through private chat groups.
- 10:48That's really where most of the trouble is. I'm a member of the Professional
- 10:52Numismatists Guild, which is the leading organization of rare coin dealers in the country.
- 10:58In fact, I was pressed of the Professional Numismatist Guild when this Chinese
- 11:03counterfeiting problem came to light, and I helped to conceive of and establish the
- 11:07Industry Anti Counterfeiting Task Force that today works with Homeland Security and Secret Service to
- 11:15interdict shipments of fake precious metals items coming in from China. A real dealer
- 11:22that really knows what he's doing can spot fakes a mile away. They're so
- 11:26far different than the sovereign minted products. It's easy for us to see the
- 11:31difference. But if you're not used to looking at these metals, you could
- 11:35be fooled. And this is why I don't really recommend refinery made bars one
- 11:41ounce gold bars or silver one ounce bars in particular, primarily gold bars actually,
- 11:48because the Chinese can replicate those more readily. The designs are less intricate,
- 11:52and they're easier for the Chinese to pass off a bad hungsten core bar
- 12:00plated by gold. Uh. The sovern Mints have added tiny, little minute
- 12:05design elements into their striking features of the coins to make it harder for the
- 12:09Chinese to knock them off to replicate them. So the soverer mints are trying
- 12:13to defend their own product. Uh. So what if somebody comes to you
- 12:18with some rounds, say some silver rounds is you know, I've heard even
- 12:24that they're replicating the weight now almost precisely in these fakes. Right, we
- 12:28have ways of testing them to make sure they're real silver. We have density
- 12:31measuring devices. Uh, there's a couple other little tricks that we have.
- 12:37You know. One thing is sound. You know what, I go through
- 12:39inventory that I have not sold that I'm buying back by buying from someone.
- 12:45These coins that are pure silver have a very specific ring to them. Pay
- 12:50man. I can hear it to literally hear it when they hit each other.
- 12:54The ping test. Yeah, yeah, well it's just ding ding ding
- 12:56versus funk funk funk. Yeah. So what about those guns, those X
- 13:03ray guns? Those are good. Yeah, XRF guns are good, but
- 13:07their cost prohibitive. They cost about twenty grand and they're a bit of an
- 13:11overkill unless you're doing a lot of buying of metal that you really don't know
- 13:18what it is, I mean, purity wise, like jewelry other things.
- 13:24But they're good for testing for fakes as well. And scanners too, any
- 13:28scanners you like out there. Well, there's one device that we use as
- 13:33an industry called the Sigma SYGM and a Yeah, we use the Sigma device
- 13:37mostly and a lot of it's just looking at coins and knowing what's you know,
- 13:43I've seen hundreds and thousands and millions of ounces of gold and silver,
- 13:48so I just know what the various mints products look like, sound like,
- 13:52feel like, yeah, feel like too. And it's kind of like a
- 13:56bank teller when they get those counterfeit bills, they feel so many you know,
- 14:01like you say, millions of dollars of currency going through their hands and
- 14:05then it just hits their hits their figure tips and they just instantly know.
- 14:11So that expertise is a good reason to buy from a accredited, acknowledged source
- 14:20like yourself, right right. And there's a lot of good dealers around the
- 14:24country in the US that RP and G members professional and Mismatistic Guild members.
- 14:28We tend to be the leaders in the industry with the most experience. Yeah,
- 14:33I bought from you many many years ago. I haven't bought metals much
- 14:35in the recent years, no need to, but you know I bought from
- 14:41you probably back around two thousand and eight or nine ten in that area,
- 14:46so very happy with the service. They just tell us, Dania, Dana,
- 14:52where we find you, how we connect with you on the web.
- 14:56Find out more about about your company. So again, we're American Gold Exchange.
- 15:01Where willis We're in based Boston, Texas. We're in our twenty sixth
- 15:07year this year. Website is a M E R g O l D dot
- 15:13com. People can email us at info I n f O at A M
- 15:18E R G O l D dot com. Phone numbers eight hundred six one
- 15:24three nine three two three if you'd like to give us a call. All
- 15:28right, excellent. Hey, really appreciate you coming on data again and uh
- 15:33talking about this. I think a lot of valuable info there. If you've
- 15:37got a question for Data myself, shoot me an email KL at Carrie Lets
- 15:41dot com. The link to data sites and the show that's this interview on
- 15:46Financial Survival Network dot com. And while you're there, please sign up for
- 15:50our free newsletter at Data. Always a pleasure. Thanks for the info.
- 15:54Thank you, Kerry. Great to see you again. Thanks for listening to
- 15:58Carrie Lets's financial service Bible network your solution to today's trying times. For the
- 16:03latest, go to Financial Survivalnetwork dot com. Financial Survival Network now more than ever