Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 05/06/26
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: Fall systems, going clear the left, What is going on?
- 0:41Speaker 2: Shipping Nation?
- 0:42Speaker 3: YouTube station back with my guy g Rozen, each and
- 0:46Speaker 3: every Tuesday and Wednesday, breaking it down Wednesday.
- 0:50Speaker 2: We love Wednesday baseball.
- 0:51Speaker 3: You got early baseball, you got afternoon baseball, you got
- 0:55Speaker 3: night baseball, right, we we love baseball.
- 0:57Speaker 2: Baseball.
- 0:58Speaker 3: Junkies over here, crack you some cold ones after work,
- 1:01Speaker 3: kick your feet up, throw up the old multicast on
- 1:05Speaker 3: on the TV screens, and man watch all I'll watch
- 1:08Speaker 3: all the action there. So yeah, should be a fun
- 1:10Speaker 3: night ahead early slate. If you played Tyler Glass now
- 1:15Speaker 3: he has to go to the store and gets some
- 1:18Speaker 3: that starts with the V and you put it down
- 1:19Speaker 3: between your legs there because he got pulled in that game,
- 1:24Speaker 3: left with the trainer. You love to see that. So
- 1:27Speaker 3: that ended my early slate pretty pretty quickly, just like
- 1:30Speaker 3: it did for a lot of others there. But yeah,
- 1:33Speaker 3: let's see if we can't find our way to the
- 1:35Speaker 3: top here tonight in this nine game main Draftking slate.
- 1:40Speaker 2: We got coors Field on tap.
- 1:42Speaker 3: We got chalk mets in thirty degree weather, potential snow
- 1:45Speaker 3: in coors Field, So it should be a fun slate
- 1:48Speaker 3: ahead here breaking it down. We got your tigers on
- 1:50Speaker 3: the slate that look pretty damn interesting to me. Pitching
- 1:54Speaker 3: pretty spread out. I think it's a really deep pitching slate.
- 1:57Speaker 3: I mean we got a lot of good name recognition
- 1:59Speaker 3: arms the slate obviously got Wheeler and Schimes at the top,
- 2:02Speaker 3: what Warren, who's been elite? And then the rest of
- 2:04Speaker 3: the guys will we'll talk about. But it should be
- 2:06Speaker 3: a fun slate. I had g rosen, what's going on?
- 2:08Speaker 2: Brother? Happy h Happy Wednesday? How are you good?
- 2:12Speaker 3: Good?
- 2:12Speaker 4: I'm still my stomach's still trying to recover from all
- 2:14Speaker 4: them coronas and burritos and tacos and all that shit
- 2:18Speaker 4: I woofed down yesterday. But uh yeah, I mean get
- 2:23Speaker 4: right back at it. We got interesting kind of slate.
- 2:26Speaker 4: I think pitching's kind of good up at the top.
- 2:28Speaker 4: When it gets down below. I mean, obviously usually every
- 2:31Speaker 4: day it's you know, kind of shitty. But there's some
- 2:32Speaker 4: guys that generally don't get beat up per se either,
- 2:35Speaker 4: So I mean, you know, consistent type pictures.
- 2:37Speaker 5: But I say there's like probably ten guys.
- 2:39Speaker 4: That I consider playing today that that you know, you
- 2:43Speaker 4: can feel pretty decent about. But I think there's a
- 2:46Speaker 4: couple of them that stand out. You know, we'll get
- 2:48Speaker 4: there here in a minute. But uh yeah, I mean, hey,
- 2:51Speaker 4: them tigers in that Red Sox. I don't know if
- 2:53Speaker 4: you saw, you know, like it almost had a little
- 2:55Speaker 4: brawl action going on, and it was like great when
- 2:57Speaker 4: I turned it on, and because I was like, man, man,
- 3:00Speaker 4: Framber is gonna start melting downs. I was watching it
- 3:02Speaker 4: on my phone and I thought I was out in
- 3:05Speaker 4: the key roge having a little safety meeting and I
- 3:08Speaker 4: was watching it. I thought I should probably turn on
- 3:11Speaker 4: that game because I know Framber well enough.
- 3:13Speaker 5: He's gonna melt down like a damn baby here in
- 3:15Speaker 5: a minute.
- 3:16Speaker 4: And then when I kind of figured out that they
- 3:18Speaker 4: were stealing his grip from second base all game, and
- 3:20Speaker 4: then they were you know, I mean they were on
- 3:22Speaker 4: second base every damn att batt seemed like, so they
- 3:25Speaker 4: were like relaying his grip, like moving their hair or
- 3:28Speaker 4: touching their foot. I don't know what the fuck they
- 3:30Speaker 4: were doing, but either way, Framber figured it out. That's
- 3:33Speaker 4: really why he drilled story on top of the fact
- 3:35Speaker 4: he didn't give up a couple of homers in a row.
- 3:37Speaker 4: But you know, I think they didn't fight because they
- 3:40Speaker 4: all realized like, yeah, you know we were doing that,
- 3:42Speaker 4: you caught us. Whatever, we're still whipping your ass ten zip.
- 3:46Speaker 4: But old Framber gonna get a suspension. That's probably coming
- 3:49Speaker 4: down the pipe. I would I would assume he'll get suspended.
- 3:53Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean one thing that we're gonna have
- 3:55Speaker 4: to watch too here today we'll get there will be
- 3:57Speaker 4: the bats, but man, them Tiger's pitching staff is text
- 4:00Speaker 4: as hell. Man, they ain't got anybody. I think they're
- 4:02Speaker 4: gonna call me up, go down there and throw some
- 4:05Speaker 4: innings down there. I can give them a good seventy
- 4:07Speaker 4: probably I gotta probably close to seventy. I'd say, still
- 4:10Speaker 4: my old ass age, but uh, you know, I'll give
- 4:13Speaker 4: them a knuckler fuck. I could throw some knuckleballs with
- 4:16Speaker 4: them fools, and we'll see if.
- 4:17Speaker 5: They want to hit some of them nids.
- 4:19Speaker 4: I used to throw them underhand pitch and softball, and
- 4:22Speaker 4: you pitch them up high and knuckleball, and them things
- 4:25Speaker 4: suck trying to hit them things. But yeah, hey, fun,
- 4:28Speaker 4: say we can break down. I got all this fake
- 4:31Speaker 4: money in my hand. I wish it was real. However,
- 4:33Speaker 4: you seen me keep waving around the ship. I you know,
- 4:35Speaker 4: I got gotta keep my hands busy here.
- 4:37Speaker 5: I'm in trouble.
- 4:38Speaker 2: But yeah, both of us here to ady HD masters
- 4:43Speaker 2: on screen at the same time, trying to trying to
- 4:45Speaker 2: keep her cool for for an hour and ten minutes
- 4:48Speaker 2: or so here. But yeah, no, I should be a
- 4:51Speaker 2: fun one.
- 4:51Speaker 3: And yet I mean when you when you tip pitches
- 4:53Speaker 3: and the hitters know what pitch is coming, if you
- 4:56Speaker 3: don't hit some home runs, there there's an issue there, right,
- 4:59Speaker 3: the margin they're very thin for the pitchers as it be,
- 5:03Speaker 3: right facing these offenses, facing these hitters. So yeah, that
- 5:06Speaker 3: was that was pretty interesting there. And uh yeah, I
- 5:10Speaker 3: mean you throw me an underhand.
- 5:11Speaker 2: Knuckleball and baseball needs yeah no, never never astro.
- 5:17Speaker 4: Football, but not, you know, just to clarify with everybody,
- 5:20Speaker 4: you know, all the people that I'm a Michigan fan.
- 5:22Speaker 4: You stole signs, you cheated Connor Stallion's, well fucking change
- 5:25Speaker 4: your signs.
- 5:26Speaker 5: It ain't hard, you know, like jeez O Pete's.
- 5:29Speaker 4: But you know, everybody, all of a sudden, you know,
- 5:31Speaker 4: it's okay in baseball. It's just the rules. You just
- 5:33Speaker 4: get beaned. You know, it's not in the rule book.
- 5:36Speaker 4: But still you know what, Uh yeah, I thought that
- 5:38Speaker 4: was interesting. That was the top of conversation on one
- 5:41Speaker 4: of the radio stations here Detroit today. They're talking a
- 5:43Speaker 4: little bit about the sign stealing in baseball, and you
- 5:46Speaker 4: know it's really not permitted, but they know what goes on. Man,
- 5:49Speaker 4: even though they got the thing, now they're stealing his
- 5:51Speaker 4: grip behind them, Like.
- 5:53Speaker 5: Dude, frambergh hold your grip, like you got to change
- 5:57Speaker 5: some ship up, bro, Like what are you doing? Man?
- 6:00Speaker 5: Come on, you're.
- 6:01Speaker 2: Pro tough, tough scenes up there and Detroit.
- 6:04Speaker 3: I mean, school ball probably last the last time he's
- 6:06Speaker 3: pitched it in the Tigers uniform. He's probably on the
- 6:09Speaker 3: shelf on where they sit. So school balls out out
- 6:13Speaker 3: of Detroit, Framber Framber, all that money they spent on him,
- 6:16Speaker 3: got his ass kicked. So yeah, I mean, I'll tell
- 6:18Speaker 3: you what, g rosen you might sign up and guess
- 6:21Speaker 3: what you throw me in underhand knuckleball and slow pitch softball.
- 6:24Speaker 2: It's coming back straight between your eyeballs. I'll send.
- 6:28Speaker 3: Yeah, that's that's the easiest hole on the on the
- 6:30Speaker 3: softball diamond.
- 6:33Speaker 5: A little too. Then I'll tell you what next.
- 6:38Speaker 2: Yeah, that cash your your audio is all walked up there.
- 6:44Speaker 3: Uh, you better take your knuckleball and go go to
- 6:47Speaker 3: best Buy and get a new microphone over there. But
- 6:50Speaker 3: our guy wins a lot here heart Ricky Rose dig Swales,
- 6:53Speaker 3: Anthony Newan's Philly Fantom. Uh, everybody else tuning in Higo,
- 6:58Speaker 3: hit that like button, hit that suscribe button. Helps us
- 7:00Speaker 3: out a ton I know we got good, good contest
- 7:02Speaker 3: over on DraftKings here tonight.
- 7:04Speaker 2: You know, a couple of our boys, Tambo and Kenny,
- 7:07Speaker 2: are in the fifty one to eighty live final qualifier.
- 7:09Speaker 3: I think it's a ten man contest there, So hopefully
- 7:12Speaker 3: one of them gets all the way home and punches
- 7:14Speaker 3: their ticket to to the live final, and everyone out there,
- 7:18Speaker 3: hopefully you guys have a successful night ahead and we'll
- 7:21Speaker 3: do our best to break it down here. I'm gonna
- 7:23Speaker 3: go ahead and pull our partner Sabersin up on the screen.
- 7:27Speaker 3: Guy Newan says, Gee, Risin's audio is in the same
- 7:31Speaker 3: safety meeting. I think I don't know if it's him.
- 7:34Speaker 3: He's usually doesn't have issues. I think I know stream
- 7:36Speaker 3: Yard has issues. Yeah it's way better now, Yeah, yeah,
- 7:43Speaker 3: it's way better. It was horrible there for a second.
- 7:47Speaker 3: You good, Yeah, yeah, you're good.
- 7:48Speaker 2: Can you hear me? All right, you're good.
- 7:53Speaker 3: Let's uh, let's talk pitching here gem rise and we'll
- 7:55Speaker 3: go eight k and above. I do think we have
- 8:00Speaker 3: already the pitching pool gonna come from me Kane above.
- 8:02Speaker 3: Actually probably probably almost all of it, uh, to be honest,
- 8:07Speaker 3: like you said, right, the value pitching on this late
- 8:09Speaker 3: is pretty gross in general, because Zach Wheeler all the
- 8:12Speaker 3: way up the top Paul Skeens ninety eight hundred and
- 8:14Speaker 3: ten k for for Wheeler, Will Warren, who's been really
- 8:17Speaker 3: really good, I think he's just a complete stud in general,
- 8:21Speaker 3: ninety three hundred for him, decent price point. Col Reagan's
- 8:24Speaker 3: been kind of shaky here, has a decent matchup here.
- 8:28Speaker 3: Obviously he's really good against lefties.
- 8:30Speaker 2: The righty's that the Guardians do have to throw out
- 8:33Speaker 2: there aren't anything crazy, So Reagan's at eighty eight hundred
- 8:37Speaker 2: feels like a pretty safe play.
- 8:39Speaker 3: He'll definitely command a decent chunk ownership. But really up
- 8:42Speaker 3: here above ak, I mean, there's so many arms up
- 8:45Speaker 3: here that it's all gonna they're all gonna kind of
- 8:46Speaker 3: cannibbuse each other for ownership so ownership really isn't isn't
- 8:51Speaker 3: gonna be much of a concern from the pitching side
- 8:53Speaker 3: of things when we talk hitting. Obviously we're gonna have
- 8:55Speaker 3: the Mets, which are commanding pretty much all the ownership
- 8:58Speaker 3: in terms of projections of the dry run here. So
- 9:02Speaker 3: break down this top tier eight K and above. Obviously, Wheeler, Skeens,
- 9:06Speaker 3: Warren are kind of the top three on the slate.
- 9:08Speaker 3: Freddy's got a really good weather boost matchup, even pitching
- 9:12Speaker 3: in course field, and he's eight three there hasn't hasn't
- 9:15Speaker 3: been great to start the year, but he's still got
- 9:17Speaker 3: obviously a really good arm behind him and really good talent,
- 9:21Speaker 3: and there is still strikeouts in that Rockies lineup.
- 9:22Speaker 2: Break Down this top tier.
- 9:24Speaker 4: Here, Yeah, I mean we got two pretty good arms
- 9:28Speaker 4: with Skeens and Wheeler up at the top. I mean
- 9:31Speaker 4: you look, you look at Skeens, And when I first
- 9:33Speaker 4: started looking at in Aids, I was like, all right,
- 9:34Speaker 4: I started with Skiens. I was just looking and I'm like, yeah,
- 9:37Speaker 4: he's been pretty decent. He hasn't been bad, and you
- 9:39Speaker 4: know you can't complain. I mean, the A's matchup I
- 9:42Speaker 4: don't really particularly like for strikeouts I was looking at
- 9:46Speaker 4: A's lineup, but it looks like Langler is going out
- 9:48Speaker 4: having a baby. So that kind of took a bat
- 9:50Speaker 4: out of the A's lineup. But I mean, Wheeler's been,
- 9:54Speaker 4: you know, pretty good. Here I'm talking about the fucking
- 9:57Speaker 4: I'm talking about Wheeler. I ain't talking about Skins. I'm sorry,
- 10:00Speaker 4: but you know, when I was looking, Skeens is the
- 10:02Speaker 4: highest price on FANDUL Wheelers down the other way.
- 10:05Speaker 5: It's it's just, you know, that's the way they always work.
- 10:07Speaker 4: But anyway, Wheeler's been really good after coming back from
- 10:10Speaker 4: that shoulder surgery. He's got what two starts under his belt.
- 10:14Speaker 4: I means his strikeouts are there. I don't particularly like
- 10:17Speaker 4: the match up with the A's kind of similar to Skeens,
- 10:19Speaker 4: is what I was saying. I don't like the match
- 10:21Speaker 4: up with Skings either with against the d Backs. It's
- 10:23Speaker 4: not generally a matchup that we like to generally pick on.
- 10:27Speaker 4: But I'll give these both to the benefit of the doubt,
- 10:30Speaker 4: just because they are those, you know, above average type,
- 10:34Speaker 4: strikeout type arms.
- 10:35Speaker 5: Even though schemes.
- 10:36Speaker 4: You look at him, he's got a bunch of five
- 10:38Speaker 4: spots in that K column for so far this season.
- 10:42Speaker 4: He's he had that ninth spotter here last week, which
- 10:45Speaker 4: which was decent. But I mean I put those two
- 10:48Speaker 4: up at the top. Will Warren I really wanted to
- 10:51Speaker 4: like more than these two. I just I just can't
- 10:54Speaker 4: get there for him. But I'll put him like one
- 10:57Speaker 4: a against with Skeens and Wheeler up at the top.
- 11:00Speaker 4: So I mean that's why I think when you said
- 11:02Speaker 4: there's gonna be a lot of mix, you know, a
- 11:04Speaker 4: lot of ownership kind of spread out through these top
- 11:07Speaker 4: guys here. I think it's just there's so many good guys.
- 11:10Speaker 4: Even if you look at the different optimizers, they're not
- 11:12Speaker 4: too far apart in points. It's only like two three
- 11:15Speaker 4: points from you know, the top to the eighth guy.
- 11:18Speaker 4: I mean there's a they're all jammed in there pretty
- 11:20Speaker 4: well bunched up. So you know, Warren's definitely in play
- 11:24Speaker 4: for me against Texas.
- 11:26Speaker 5: I like him. I think Reagan's is the interesting one.
- 11:30Speaker 4: Like dude, we were talking before we came on, and
- 11:33Speaker 4: Reagan's giving up seven homers in his last fucking three games.
- 11:36Speaker 4: I mean, the dude's been getting just absolutely bombed. But
- 11:39Speaker 4: I mean his strikeouts have been there too.
- 11:41Speaker 5: I mean.
- 11:43Speaker 4: You can't argue the strikeouts he's had. What in those
- 11:46Speaker 4: three games he gave up seven seven homers. He's had
- 11:50Speaker 4: literally twenty five strikeouts. So I mean, he's kind of
- 11:55Speaker 4: like you were. You know, I just wish the Indians
- 11:57Speaker 4: had a little bit more power on the right side.
- 11:59Speaker 4: I was excited about then, me wanting to jam in
- 12:02Speaker 4: a David Frye and you know, a couple of you know,
- 12:04Speaker 4: a couple of other Ruddy's Martinez and stuff. So I
- 12:07Speaker 4: just don't I just not really enamored with it. But
- 12:10Speaker 4: you know, I think Reagans. I guess if I had
- 12:12Speaker 4: to flip a coin, I think I would rather play
- 12:15Speaker 4: a cold Reagan's today, especially over on Fando, the cheaper
- 12:19Speaker 4: as he is. And then maybe if I had a
- 12:21Speaker 4: bunch of lineups, maybe I played like one Indians lineup,
- 12:24Speaker 4: just in case he does maybe he doesn't get those
- 12:26Speaker 4: k's and gets bombed out a little bit.
- 12:28Speaker 5: Maybe, you know, that's a possibility.
- 12:30Speaker 4: I don't love it, but I mean the dude's been
- 12:32Speaker 4: obviously on both sides of the spectrum, so that's interesting. Soroka,
- 12:38Speaker 4: you know, I was looking at Soroka a little bit.
- 12:41Speaker 5: I just I mean, you're looking at a game total
- 12:43Speaker 5: seven and a half names.
- 12:44Speaker 4: We got two games at nine and a half in
- 12:46Speaker 4: the slate, and we got two at seven and a half,
- 12:48Speaker 4: and then the other five are sitting in the eight.
- 12:50Speaker 4: So this is one of the seven and a half games,
- 12:52Speaker 4: you know, we're sitting and looking at obviously with Skins
- 12:55Speaker 4: on the other side. Can Soroka keep up with Skins?
- 12:58Speaker 4: I mean, he's been pretty good so far to start
- 13:00Speaker 4: the year. I just I'm not really sure i'd like
- 13:03Speaker 4: his price to see who he's like bunched up with,
- 13:05Speaker 4: Like maybe if he was a little bit cheaper, i'd
- 13:08Speaker 4: be a little bit more excited about Soroka. But I
- 13:10Speaker 4: think if you're talking about the ownership game, I think
- 13:13Speaker 4: Soroka is the guy that's probably gonna be left out
- 13:16Speaker 4: the most, and I think he's not too far off
- 13:19Speaker 4: from some of these other guys, So I'd probably leave
- 13:21Speaker 4: him in my pool, just because you know, I'm not
- 13:24Speaker 4: really all that worried about the h the Pirates.
- 13:27Speaker 5: I mean, I'm just not so I think.
- 13:31Speaker 4: I mean, I don't love it, but I think if
- 13:32Speaker 4: I was playing a bunch of teams, i'd probably leave
- 13:34Speaker 4: him in my pool and then you got fastball Freddie
- 13:37Speaker 4: out here in Colorado. It's really cold, right like I
- 13:40Speaker 4: don't know, I mean on paper, and you all think
- 13:43Speaker 4: about it, You're like, oh, I could play fastball Freddie
- 13:45Speaker 4: out here in Colorado day and you know, really cold weather,
- 13:48Speaker 4: you know, I you know, like, man, the last thing
- 13:50Speaker 4: you want to do is get one on the hands
- 13:52Speaker 4: and have that beat sting your hands a little.
- 13:54Speaker 5: Bit in that cold. You know that's not gonna be
- 13:56Speaker 5: any fun.
- 13:57Speaker 4: But uh, you know, fastball Ford for me, I don't
- 14:02Speaker 4: think I could do it now. Uri Perez, I think
- 14:04Speaker 4: is really interesting. I think he's a guy I really
- 14:06Speaker 4: like eighty two hundred. I really like his price, the cheaper,
- 14:10Speaker 4: cheaper of the cheaper of the bunch. Yuri's been pretty
- 14:13Speaker 4: good here in recent times. He especially at home. I
- 14:16Speaker 4: mean he's been lights out at home so far this year.
- 14:19Speaker 4: He's twenty five percent k rate at home. He's eighteen
- 14:21Speaker 4: percent so far on the road, you know, I mean
- 14:25Speaker 4: twenty eight percent actually, I mean he's been a little bit.
- 14:27Speaker 5: Higher at home. So I think he's he's in play too.
- 14:32Speaker 4: I mean, you know, the Orioles do have some strikeouts
- 14:35Speaker 4: in that lineup too, which which I like to attack.
- 14:38Speaker 4: I mean, they got a little bit of power, sure,
- 14:40Speaker 4: sure they do, but I also think they have some
- 14:42Speaker 4: k's to be had. I'm not interested in Avaldi, but
- 14:45Speaker 4: I guess if you're asking me to break it down,
- 14:47Speaker 4: like who I really like, you know, on DraftKings, I
- 14:51Speaker 4: put Wheeler in skiens, they're only two hundred apart. They're
- 14:53Speaker 4: four hundred apart over on FanDuel leaning for skiing side.
- 14:58Speaker 4: I like Wheeler a little bit more on then I
- 15:00Speaker 4: think I do on DK. I'd probably put the two
- 15:02Speaker 4: of them probably the same on DK, and then i'd
- 15:05Speaker 4: have Warren coming behind, and then I think i'd have
- 15:07Speaker 4: Uri Perez probably ahead of I think I got them
- 15:11Speaker 4: ahead of Reagan's to be truthful, just because I'm so
- 15:13Speaker 4: worried to how bad he's been pitching here recent times, Nate.
- 15:16Speaker 5: So, but yet there's a lot of options.
- 15:18Speaker 4: I think today is another day you got to kind
- 15:20Speaker 4: of live up here in the high end of pitching.
- 15:22Speaker 4: I mean, you can make it work with an eighty
- 15:24Speaker 4: two hundred dollars, you know, Yuri, or if you want
- 15:28Speaker 4: to go Soroka. Reagan's is only eighty eight. So I
- 15:31Speaker 4: mean there's some decent you know, opportunities for recipe toos,
- 15:34Speaker 4: but pitching overall, I think today is pretty strong.
- 15:37Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with a lot of what you said.
- 15:39Speaker 2: I'll start with the two guys at the top, the
- 15:41Speaker 2: big dogs, right.
- 15:41Speaker 3: The highest potential ceiling in my opinion on the slate
- 15:44Speaker 3: resides with Zach Wheeler and Paul Skeives.
- 15:47Speaker 2: Neither of them are good matchups, really well, not great matchups.
- 15:50Speaker 3: I mean, right, you look at you look at the
- 15:51Speaker 3: A's bats current season against right hand to pitching below.
- 15:54Speaker 3: At twenty percent K rate, Wheelers looked really good, obviously
- 15:57Speaker 3: coming back from that shoulder surgery. In his first two starts,
- 16:01Speaker 3: the k's are there, the props would suggest, right, he's
- 16:04Speaker 3: sp one in the slate. But at ten k there
- 16:07Speaker 3: is some risk there obviously, But again it's not like
- 16:09Speaker 3: he's going to be fifty percent on on the slate, right,
- 16:11Speaker 3: So if you like him, play him. I think he's
- 16:14Speaker 3: a serviceable play for sure. I don't mind it. Paul
- 16:18Speaker 3: Skian the same thing, right, you like it the strikeout stuff
- 16:22Speaker 3: that he has, right, He's obviously a great strikeout arm
- 16:24Speaker 3: in general. But you look at the Arizona offense, right,
- 16:28Speaker 3: twenty percent k right against right handed pitching. On the year,
- 16:30Speaker 3: you got Predomo Marte, Carrol del Castillo, and there Vargas
- 16:33Speaker 3: has been really good. You got these lefty bats in
- 16:36Speaker 3: there that just put the ball in play. They have
- 16:38Speaker 3: power right, and the roof is going to be open
- 16:42Speaker 3: in Arizona right, one of the better.
- 16:44Speaker 2: Places they hit.
- 16:44Speaker 3: It's gonna be like eighty some degrees when we're talking
- 16:46Speaker 3: about thirty degrees out out in Coors Field.
- 16:49Speaker 2: So there is risk with those two guys.
- 16:51Speaker 3: I do think they are SP one and two on
- 16:53Speaker 3: the slate projections wise, everything, it's probably one of those
- 16:57Speaker 3: guys in cash and then probably a hodgepodge for SP
- 17:01Speaker 3: two options I would assume there. So I do think
- 17:04Speaker 3: both of those guys in play. But I really like
- 17:06Speaker 3: Will Warren a ton. I do differ than you a
- 17:09Speaker 3: little bit here. I just I trust this guy. I
- 17:12Speaker 3: think he's a good arm. I like the props. I
- 17:15Speaker 3: like the strikeout matchup everything there. Yeah, Texas doesn't strike
- 17:19Speaker 3: out a ton, but adding Andrew mccutchon in that lineup
- 17:22Speaker 3: adds probably three free strikeouts for Will Warren.
- 17:25Speaker 2: He gets Shioka, Jake Berger, those guys.
- 17:27Speaker 3: I mean, that's two strikeouts probably each potential for those guys,
- 17:31Speaker 3: and even the other guys I mean right do have
- 17:34Speaker 3: strikeouts in there. So with the discount off the top
- 17:37Speaker 3: two arms, I do think Will Warren is in play.
- 17:40Speaker 3: I like the Yankees bats to give him some run
- 17:42Speaker 3: support as well, so if you can get those extra
- 17:44Speaker 3: four points, I do think he has a good chance
- 17:48Speaker 3: to score well on the slate. So I do like
- 17:50Speaker 3: Wil Warren quite a bit up there. I'm with you
- 17:53Speaker 3: on Reagan's. Issue I have with Reagan's is not just
- 17:57Speaker 3: his recent form, but I mean, yeah, Cleveland doesn't have
- 18:01Speaker 3: a lot of right handed power. Right team isso not
- 18:04Speaker 3: not great. But you look at their strikeout rate on
- 18:06Speaker 3: the current season, it's left handed pitching fourteen percent ge
- 18:09Speaker 3: Risen fourteen percent strikeout rate for this Cleveland projected lineup
- 18:14Speaker 3: against left handed pitching. So for me, I think he's good.
- 18:18Speaker 3: I think he's in play. But I'm seeing him as
- 18:20Speaker 3: the highest owned of any of these guys up here,
- 18:22Speaker 3: at least projected wise, I'd rather take a shot on
- 18:26Speaker 3: Will Warren for a little bit more or mess with Soroka, Pelton,
- 18:29Speaker 3: Perez behind Reagan. So I get the reason with the
- 18:33Speaker 3: Reagans but I like Soroka. I'm I don't think he's
- 18:38Speaker 3: incredible by any means, but the Pirates offense I think
- 18:41Speaker 3: has been playing over their heads lately. They have strike
- 18:45Speaker 3: outs in there. I think Soroka's fine at home, even
- 18:48Speaker 3: with the wind or the weather excuse me, and the
- 18:52Speaker 3: roof being open out there in Arizona.
- 18:53Speaker 2: I think he's serviceable. I'm in on Freddy.
- 18:56Speaker 3: I know you weren't really in on him. The thing
- 18:59Speaker 3: with Freddy is, yeah, the cold doesn't really effect. I mean,
- 19:02Speaker 3: he's a fastballer, right, I mean fastball Freddie. Obviously you
- 19:06Speaker 3: hate pitchers in course field that rely on breaking balls
- 19:09Speaker 3: and that because obviously it just doesn't do the same
- 19:12Speaker 3: it does in course field in that elevation as it
- 19:14Speaker 3: normally would. But his main pitch is the fastball, right,
- 19:18Speaker 3: So I mean the Colorado hitters thirty degrees windy there,
- 19:23Speaker 3: I mean, do they really want to mess with the
- 19:26Speaker 3: upper nineties fastball from Freddy and have a chance to
- 19:29Speaker 3: get selling off there? So, I mean, I think Peralta
- 19:32Speaker 3: is really interesting. Eight three feels like a good discount
- 19:35Speaker 3: on him. You know, he has the pitch leash there,
- 19:38Speaker 3: So I do like him. He probably has a good
- 19:40Speaker 3: chance at a win as well, so I don't mind him.
- 19:43Speaker 3: And then I'm with you Yury Prez. I like him
- 19:45Speaker 3: a lot. At eighty two hundred. You do worry about
- 19:48Speaker 3: the Stolton bases and that that Yuri Perez can give up.
- 19:51Speaker 3: But the strike cuts are there. I mean, you look
- 19:54Speaker 3: at the K props. The K props are good for
- 19:56Speaker 3: Yuri Prez, so I'm in there. I mean, Freddy Pearl
- 20:00Speaker 3: the six and a half k prop, he's right there,
- 20:02Speaker 3: so I have interest. You look at your press six
- 20:04Speaker 3: and a half k prop, He's right there as well.
- 20:06Speaker 3: So I'm kind of living in the lower eight k
- 20:09Speaker 3: range over kind of the upper tier in terms of pitching.
- 20:12Speaker 3: But I do think all eight of these guys are
- 20:17Speaker 3: are great plays up in this eight K range. The
- 20:20Speaker 3: only run I'm really out on completely is e Evaldi
- 20:23Speaker 3: and then I'm a little hesitant on Cole Wagan's, But
- 20:26Speaker 3: I do think they all have ceiling. They're all great plays.
- 20:29Speaker 3: I know, we just broke down the top tier pitching
- 20:32Speaker 3: here and didn't really have any any kind of super
- 20:36Speaker 3: big stands or anything and told you to kind of
- 20:38Speaker 3: play them all. But that's just the way the pitching is.
- 20:40Speaker 3: Once we get down below, it's gonna be gross really quickly.
- 20:44Speaker 3: Same thing with Evaldi. I'm not playing the Evaldi at
- 20:47Speaker 3: ak against the Yankees. I mean, Yankees just jumped on
- 20:50Speaker 3: the ground, they're red hot. I mean, you're not going
- 20:52Speaker 3: to really want a right hand pitcher against the Yankees
- 20:54Speaker 3: much this year, regardless of who it is. So I'm
- 20:57Speaker 3: definitely not taking a shot with Eovaldi, who's been really
- 20:59Speaker 3: really bad against left He's actually like the Yankees offense
- 21:02Speaker 3: side there. So for me up in this top tier,
- 21:04Speaker 3: I guess i'll rank them. I'll go Will Warren number one.
- 21:08Speaker 3: I'll go Peralta to Perez Wheeler, Skeins Soroca Reagans. I'll
- 21:14Speaker 3: put Reagan's last. But again, you could rank these guys
- 21:18Speaker 3: any which way, and I won't won't yell at anyone
- 21:21Speaker 3: for ranking these guys. But I do like all of
- 21:23Speaker 3: those guys above eight K besides Eovaldi.
- 21:28Speaker 2: Jump down below a K, it's really gross quick. I'm
- 21:31Speaker 2: not messing with Jeffrey Springs.
- 21:33Speaker 3: I do think in large field stuff you could play him,
- 21:36Speaker 3: but really good hitting weather there in Philly.
- 21:39Speaker 2: He's a fly ball guy. I don't love it.
- 21:43Speaker 3: Colin Rays probably the only guy I really liked down
- 21:46Speaker 3: below a K sixty five hundred, favorable pitching weather there
- 21:50Speaker 3: in Riggley, you know, the reds against right hand and
- 21:53Speaker 3: pitching nothing crazy, But outside of that head it's it's
- 21:57Speaker 3: pretty girls quick.
- 21:58Speaker 2: Any any gems you see down here.
- 22:01Speaker 4: I mean, Colin Ray is interesting just because it always
- 22:04Speaker 4: seemed like when he was on the with the Brewers,
- 22:06Speaker 4: they never let him pitch too long.
- 22:08Speaker 5: He never really went too long, it seemed like.
- 22:10Speaker 4: But he's got ninety pitches in his last couple of starts,
- 22:12Speaker 4: so I don't mind that. I mean against against Cincinnati,
- 22:16Speaker 4: they haven't been all that good against righty, so I
- 22:19Speaker 4: don't mind that for sixty five hundred, you know, and
- 22:22Speaker 4: if if you want to get out your liquor bottle
- 22:24Speaker 4: to night, you could try Flarty if you want to
- 22:27Speaker 4: go there. I mean, he's just he can't fucking get
- 22:29Speaker 4: the ball or the plate, but his strikeouts have been there. Surprisingly.
- 22:32Speaker 4: I still think he's got some upside. He is way
- 22:34Speaker 4: too cheap at sixty seven hundred. I mean, I think
- 22:37Speaker 4: that's just it's he's too cheap. But I mean, yeah,
- 22:41Speaker 4: like I said, man, you'd have to get the bottle
- 22:43Speaker 4: out for that one, because that might.
- 22:45Speaker 5: That could get ugly real quick.
- 22:46Speaker 4: That dude could have like three innings in a row
- 22:48Speaker 4: and the next one not get anybody out for like
- 22:50Speaker 4: twelve batters in a row.
- 22:52Speaker 5: Like that's how bad he's been. He's just been.
- 22:54Speaker 4: I think he's got like a twenty one percent walk right, Like,
- 22:57Speaker 4: holy shit, dude, that's terrible, man, And I mean that's
- 23:01Speaker 4: just terrible. But I mean down below it is ugly quick.
- 23:05Speaker 4: I mean it's not even funny. I mean, Sonny Gray
- 23:07Speaker 4: against the Tigers. Hell no, I can't even think about
- 23:10Speaker 4: that springs like you mentioned, you know, it's just been
- 23:12Speaker 4: a fly ball pitcher. And you know, I I don't mind.
- 23:15Speaker 4: I don't mind the Phillies today. So I think I'd
- 23:19Speaker 4: just rather kind of leave him alone. I'm not interested
- 23:22Speaker 4: interested in, you know, Singer, I'm not interested even though
- 23:26Speaker 4: that weather is more pitching friendly there in Wrigley today, Lorenzen,
- 23:31Speaker 4: I couldn't even do that. Might as well go play
- 23:33Speaker 4: in the freeway and Nicholas I can't do that either.
- 23:36Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean, like like you said, I think
- 23:40Speaker 4: pitching's up top is kind of heavy. You got a
- 23:42Speaker 4: couple of e K guys. It should be easy to
- 23:44Speaker 4: build a lineup that you like today. You can go
- 23:45Speaker 4: two AK guys, you can go one or split it
- 23:48Speaker 4: up a little bit. Uh So, yeah, I think it's interesting.
- 23:51Speaker 4: I think pitching, as you mentioned at the top, will
- 23:53Speaker 4: be spread out a little bit today, So I wouldn't
- 23:56Speaker 4: overthink you're pitching.
- 23:57Speaker 5: Just play who you like and uh jam of mine
- 24:00Speaker 5: in there.
- 24:00Speaker 4: You should be you should be fairly good on on ownership,
- 24:04Speaker 4: but interesting.
- 24:06Speaker 5: Pitching slate names.
- 24:07Speaker 4: I like. I kind of like him when they're like
- 24:08Speaker 4: this man, Like when we got like Chalky pitching and
- 24:11Speaker 4: it's like so obvious that there's like one or two
- 24:13Speaker 4: guys and we know they're gonna be fifty percent plus
- 24:16Speaker 4: and you know, a single entry, small field shit, it's
- 24:19Speaker 4: like and it ain't as much fun.
- 24:21Speaker 5: I kind of like it when it's this way.
- 24:23Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree, I'm good.
- 24:25Speaker 3: I'm looking at kind of these a pitchers as kind
- 24:28Speaker 3: of my pitching pool on this nine game slate Wheeler Skeimes,
- 24:31Speaker 3: Warren reg and Soroca, Peralta Perez and Colin Ray. I
- 24:36Speaker 3: will have definitely some cold Bruskis and maybe poor some Bourbon,
- 24:40Speaker 3: but I'm not messing with Flairty. I get it if
- 24:42Speaker 3: you wanted to. His K prop is sitting right there.
- 24:45Speaker 3: I mean, it's decent. I just I like the Red
- 24:48Speaker 3: Sox against him, just because, I mean, when this dude
- 24:51Speaker 3: starts walking, a small village has to come over. I
- 24:54Speaker 3: just I'm not a buyer. But he does have a
- 24:56Speaker 3: five and a half K prop, very very slight juice
- 24:59Speaker 3: to you. They're minus one thirty on the under there,
- 25:01Speaker 3: so in terms of K props below eight K, he's
- 25:04Speaker 3: by far and away the best play. It's maybe I'll
- 25:08Speaker 3: put him back in the pool in large field stuff,
- 25:10Speaker 3: but I don't. I don't know if I can can
- 25:12Speaker 3: mess with it. I do think the Red Sox bats
- 25:15Speaker 3: are more interesting against him overall the other guys down
- 25:19Speaker 3: here in terms of K props, Colin Ray is the
- 25:22Speaker 3: best four and a half minus.
- 25:23Speaker 2: One fifty seven. He's by far and away the best.
- 25:26Speaker 3: So if I'm spending down there and need the extra salary,
- 25:30Speaker 3: that extra two K savings off of that kind of
- 25:33Speaker 3: lower eight K range, he'd be the guy go to.
- 25:36Speaker 3: He's going to be popular, but again, I mean ownership
- 25:39Speaker 3: on the slates really not going to be crazy from
- 25:41Speaker 3: the pitching year. We're gonna probably see majority of these guys,
- 25:43Speaker 3: and it would be between twenty and twenty five percent
- 25:46Speaker 3: on the high end, right, just because there's so many
- 25:48Speaker 3: and there's a lot of unknowns. Right, none of these
- 25:50Speaker 3: matchups feel safe, none of them feel great. I won't
- 25:53Speaker 3: be shocked if any of these pitchers post a ceiling.
- 25:55Speaker 3: I won't be shocked if any of these pitchers have
- 25:57Speaker 3: one of the worst starts of the year.
- 25:59Speaker 2: Right. So that's just the way the pitching slate sex
- 26:02Speaker 2: sets up. So it's a really good mmy slate in
- 26:04Speaker 2: my opinion.
- 26:05Speaker 3: It's pretty tough to narrow it down in single entry,
- 26:07Speaker 3: three three max things like that. But yeah, I think
- 26:12Speaker 3: these kind of eight are kind of the main guys.
- 26:14Speaker 3: I'm looking at any any closing takes here before we
- 26:17Speaker 3: jump over and talk to hitting side.
- 26:20Speaker 4: No, I was just laughing about thinking about playing Flarity,
- 26:24Speaker 4: like you know that would be I mean, I like
- 26:26Speaker 4: the k prop, like you said, he's been really bad.
- 26:29Speaker 4: But I just look, Flarity and Reagan's have the same
- 26:31Speaker 4: amount of walks in the last three games, so that's
- 26:35Speaker 4: not good either, and one's one's a little you know,
- 26:38Speaker 4: getting a little bit more love than the other. They've
- 26:39Speaker 4: both been terrible. So but yeah, i'd like I don't
- 26:49Speaker 4: think I don't think he's going to really go that
- 26:51Speaker 4: low either today. To be honest with you, you can
- 26:53Speaker 4: make it work.
- 26:54Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean Colin Ray is the guy that.
- 26:58Speaker 2: I don't know what the hell's going on with you
- 27:00Speaker 2: over there?
- 27:01Speaker 3: Uh maybe maybe you're your microphone and that is still
- 27:03Speaker 3: at the at the Mexican restaurant from Sinkle to Mile yesterday,
- 27:07Speaker 3: or maybe maybe you left it in the bathroom when
- 27:09Speaker 3: when you were praying to the porcelain God over there
- 27:11Speaker 3: after after the long night uh with the missus there
- 27:15Speaker 3: and joined some coronas in some burritos and Selsa and
- 27:19Speaker 3: the and the rest of the glorious food food over there.
- 27:22Speaker 3: But let's jump over and talk to hitting side. I
- 27:25Speaker 3: think we broke down pitching pretty well. Let's uh start
- 27:31Speaker 3: here with the first game. This is messing me up
- 27:35Speaker 3: with these early games. Usually we don't have a.
- 27:36Speaker 5: Lot of I closed then it seemed to work better.
- 27:41Speaker 2: Now there you go, Yeah, get that, get that off
- 27:45Speaker 2: of there.
- 27:45Speaker 3: You better better get that off before you kids get
- 27:48Speaker 3: home from school and walk in and see what the
- 27:50Speaker 3: hell Dad's doing in his office there with the bottle
- 27:53Speaker 3: of Jurgons on his desk.
- 27:54Speaker 2: But uh, let's jump in and talk. First game here.
- 27:58Speaker 3: We're up in Philly, one of the better hitting weather
- 28:00Speaker 3: spots on the slate. There is, uh, there is some
- 28:03Speaker 3: risk in this game. Roth has it takes yellow right now,
- 28:06Speaker 3: but it's more yellow green, So don't really think there's
- 28:08Speaker 3: there's much of.
- 28:09Speaker 2: A worry here. But winds blown out to right field,
- 28:14Speaker 2: I believe right center field. Uh, flyball guy uh in
- 28:18Speaker 2: Jeffrey Springs. Phillies pretty cheap.
- 28:21Speaker 3: They fit the build in terms of a valley stack
- 28:23Speaker 3: in this late I mean Trey Turner at four to three,
- 28:26Speaker 3: that's just that's too cheap for Trey Turner. I mean
- 28:28Speaker 3: you got a super super cheap a Doulas Garcia, the
- 28:31Speaker 3: corpse of what's left of him. But he's three k
- 28:34Speaker 3: hitting clean up against a flyball guy in good hitting conditions.
- 28:37Speaker 3: I don't hate that. I think the Phillies are pretty
- 28:40Speaker 3: interesting here. We know that A's bullpen's not great behind Springs.
- 28:43Speaker 3: We know Springs, Yeah, he can strike out some of
- 28:45Speaker 3: these guys, especially the lefties, but the right's are gonna
- 28:48Speaker 3: hit him in the air. The balls have a chance
- 28:50Speaker 3: to leave the yard, and the Phillies aren't commanding a
- 28:53Speaker 3: ton of ownership, So I do think they're they're They're
- 28:55Speaker 3: pretty interesting here the eight side of things. Nick Kurtz, Soderstrom, Rooker,
- 29:01Speaker 3: Carlos Cortez if you wanted to pull some leverage off
- 29:04Speaker 3: of Zach Wheeler, but I don't think it's going to
- 29:06Speaker 3: be anything massive, Like it's not fifty sixty percent on
- 29:09Speaker 3: Zach Wheeler. It's probably thirty thirty five percent on. So
- 29:13Speaker 3: I do think they're in play. They get the same
- 29:15Speaker 3: hitting conditions there. But I'd rather attack Jeffery Springs than
- 29:18Speaker 3: Zach Wheeler. What do you see here?
- 29:20Speaker 4: Yeah, I like going after Springs, especially with Schwarber. I
- 29:23Speaker 4: think Schwarber is in a pretty good spot. Dude's got
- 29:26Speaker 4: a three ninety one WOLBA against freaking lefties, So, I mean,
- 29:30Speaker 4: guys just been smashing lefties for years. But Springs, like
- 29:33Speaker 4: you said, fly ball pitcher, he's been getting barreled up
- 29:36Speaker 4: quite a bit by lefties. He's kind of reversed Splitzy,
- 29:38Speaker 4: So I think that's interesting in a good hitting weather game.
- 29:41Speaker 5: As you mentioned, I think they'll be lower own. I'd
- 29:43Speaker 5: put him in my low own bucket.
- 29:45Speaker 2: Maids.
- 29:45Speaker 5: I wouldn't call him a top stack today, but I
- 29:47Speaker 5: put my low own bucket.
- 29:49Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 29:50Speaker 3: I do think they're they're pretty interesting, even some of
- 29:53Speaker 3: those guys at the back half. I mean, you got
- 29:54Speaker 3: a dirt treat Stone minimum Felix Reyes Alec Baum historical
- 29:58Speaker 3: lefty lefty by average hitter real mood has been good
- 30:02Speaker 3: against lefties, so I do think the Phillies are pretty
- 30:05Speaker 3: interesting here. And then Nick Kurtz by far and away
- 30:08Speaker 3: the best play on the A side of it. Fifty
- 30:10Speaker 3: one is fairly steep against Zach Wheeler, but I do
- 30:14Speaker 3: think he's he's interesting there and won't be so shocked
- 30:17Speaker 3: to see him tag Wheeler or even that Phillies bullpen.
- 30:21Speaker 2: For a home run there.
- 30:22Speaker 3: Next game on the slate, Orioles and the Marlins, we
- 30:26Speaker 3: did have a lot of interest in Yurie Perez. I
- 30:28Speaker 3: will just say this is the best stolen base matchup
- 30:31Speaker 3: on the slate, so Stone based guys for the or
- 30:34Speaker 3: the Orioles interesting to me. Denner Henderson will run, Tavera's
- 30:40Speaker 3: ill run, Jackson o Ron Taylor wardill run a little
- 30:43Speaker 3: bit too, So it's not great, but Prez does have
- 30:47Speaker 3: the strikeouts, he can get wonky at times, and he
- 30:49Speaker 3: starts getting base guys on base. I mean, these these
- 30:53Speaker 3: catchers aren't throwing anyone out. Prez gives up a ship
- 30:56Speaker 3: to a stone basis, so you do have added upside
- 30:58Speaker 3: built in there. But if I'm playing this game, my
- 31:00Speaker 3: interest is more attacking. Brandon Young just not a great
- 31:04Speaker 3: arm by any means. This park sucks for hitting. But
- 31:08Speaker 3: the Marlins do have do have some good guys, and
- 31:11Speaker 3: they sent Augustine Ramirez down, and hey, I don't know
- 31:14Speaker 3: what the hell's going on in the Miami farm system
- 31:17Speaker 3: over there. I mean, they just must breed catchers. Liam
- 31:20Speaker 3: Hicks is just looking like Pete Barry's and they sent
- 31:23Speaker 3: Augustine Ramirez down, who looked really really good last year
- 31:26Speaker 3: when he came up. And they bring up another guy
- 31:29Speaker 3: who has I think like nine home runs and eight
- 31:31Speaker 3: stone bases or something so far in the minors. And
- 31:33Speaker 3: he's two k at catcher, which we don't love. So
- 31:37Speaker 3: I do think he's interesting on Casey. Interesting to me, Marcy,
- 31:41Speaker 3: you want the lefties against Brandon Young in particular, that
- 31:44Speaker 3: O's bullpen.
- 31:45Speaker 2: Is really good.
- 31:46Speaker 3: It's been really really good, so does downgrade the stack
- 31:49Speaker 3: along with the park. So I do prefer mini stacks
- 31:51Speaker 3: here if the Marlins, but I think the Marlins are
- 31:54Speaker 3: pretty interesting and pretty sneaky. On a slate where I
- 31:57Speaker 3: could see nine to ten of these offenses doing doing
- 32:00Speaker 3: their thing, that's just type of slate we have.
- 32:03Speaker 2: What do you see here?
- 32:05Speaker 4: Yeah, Brandon Young has just been a kickball pitcher to
- 32:10Speaker 4: a lefty so far this year, as I like to say,
- 32:12Speaker 4: he's got a nine percent k rate to lefties and
- 32:15Speaker 4: he's got a flyball rate of forty percent. He's just
- 32:19Speaker 4: absolutely getting smashed almost fifteen percent barrel rate.
- 32:22Speaker 5: That's that's ridiculous.
- 32:24Speaker 4: And Kyle Stowers sitting there in that four hole had
- 32:27Speaker 4: a three ninety eight. Well, he's been smashing some righties
- 32:30Speaker 4: wOBA so far this year, so I think he's interesting
- 32:33Speaker 4: as you meant Hicks. So I kind of like those
- 32:36Speaker 4: two with Marci in a in a little mini stack
- 32:39Speaker 4: if you want to look at that.
- 32:40Speaker 5: Like you mentioned, I don't like the park. I don't
- 32:41Speaker 5: really like.
- 32:43Speaker 4: The attacking that bullpen, but Young's been so bad. I
- 32:47Speaker 4: just think even if you want to look at some
- 32:49Speaker 4: one offs, I think these guys are potentially in play today.
- 32:53Speaker 4: On the other side, I really don't want to attack
- 32:55Speaker 4: Eerie Perez. I mean, you mentioned the stolen bases, you
- 32:58Speaker 4: know that that's definitely in play. I'd just rather kind
- 33:01Speaker 4: of use them today. I mean, we'll just keep it
- 33:03Speaker 4: in the back of our pocket that we know Yuri
- 33:04Speaker 4: Perez is kind of easy to steal on, and it's
- 33:07Speaker 4: good just to keep bringing it up just so we remember,
- 33:10Speaker 4: you know that that's in play, you know, when when
- 33:12Speaker 4: things come through, which is you know, something that I
- 33:15Speaker 4: generally like to try to remember things as we you know,
- 33:18Speaker 4: move along through the season eight. So I think for me,
- 33:21Speaker 4: Miami isn't a favorite stack. I'd put him out there.
- 33:24Speaker 5: In like a low loaned you know, the sneaky category.
- 33:27Speaker 4: But man, Young's just been terrible, man Like seriously, that's
- 33:30Speaker 4: just that's got awful, Like I don't even know what
- 33:33Speaker 4: he's paid. Well, why the hell they're wronging them out there?
- 33:35Speaker 4: Like it's that's how bad it is. I it's terrible.
- 33:39Speaker 2: Yeah, they don't really have much of a choice, they
- 33:41Speaker 2: have some injuries there, but yeah, he's been really really
- 33:44Speaker 2: bad against lefties and the Marlins are sometimes a pretty
- 33:48Speaker 2: sneaky offense. I mean you can run on on Brandon
- 33:51Speaker 2: and Young a little bit too.
- 33:52Speaker 3: He's giving up two stolen bases on the year in
- 33:53Speaker 3: three starts, which isn't anything crazy, but guys like Xavier
- 33:56Speaker 3: Edwards will run Norby O run so that that add
- 34:00Speaker 3: some extra flare to their offense too. So we probably
- 34:03Speaker 3: spent way too much time talking about Miami, but I
- 34:05Speaker 3: do think it's one of the teams that makes the
- 34:07Speaker 3: list in terms of the stacking potential here, just because
- 34:10Speaker 3: I like targeting pictures that I don't think are any good,
- 34:12Speaker 3: especially that have severe splits to to the left side
- 34:16Speaker 3: and Xavier Edwards being a switch hitter in there. Like
- 34:19Speaker 3: I said, with the stone base up side there too,
- 34:20Speaker 3: I do like that top Edwards, Hicks Stours Marcy and
- 34:25Speaker 3: then if you want to add in a Joe Mack,
- 34:27Speaker 3: you got a nice five man stack there that's gonna
- 34:28Speaker 3: be unowned and a stone minimum catcher there. So I
- 34:33Speaker 3: do like that next game on the slate, one of
- 34:35Speaker 3: the best spots in terms of offense on both sides.
- 34:38Speaker 2: I'm going to leave the liftor bottle to you.
- 34:41Speaker 3: In terms of Jack Flaherty, he could walk this entire
- 34:44Speaker 3: small village in the Red Sox. They haven't been great, yeah,
- 34:49Speaker 3: I mean, but I do have interest here just picking
- 34:53Speaker 3: on a pitcher who I don't think is right right now.
- 34:56Speaker 3: I mean, his velocity's down. He hasn't been great. You
- 34:59Speaker 3: talk about it, right, Yeah, he could strike out some
- 35:01Speaker 3: of these guys. But Red Sox are pretty interesting to me.
- 35:05Speaker 3: But more so I like the Tiger's side of this game.
- 35:07Speaker 3: Sonny Gray is declining in my opinion. He's still a
- 35:10Speaker 3: ground ball guy. But the issue is is groundbles just
- 35:12Speaker 3: don't matter against the Tigers. They all hit the ball
- 35:14Speaker 3: in the air. Mcgonagall's a stud. Vierling probably the biggest. Actually,
- 35:19Speaker 3: Vierling's probably safe in there being ready righty. I don't
- 35:21Speaker 3: really like him much. But Coke Keith is a pinchhit concern.
- 35:24Speaker 3: Carpenter is a pinchit concern. Jase Young probably a pinchit
- 35:28Speaker 3: concern too. But you want the lefties against Sunny Gray.
- 35:31Speaker 3: I think the Tigers are super interesting here. They're unknowned
- 35:33Speaker 3: and if you're looking for an unknown stack that can
- 35:36Speaker 3: break the slate, I think it's Detroit here on this spot.
- 35:40Speaker 3: Decent place for hitting tonight as well. In terms of
- 35:42Speaker 3: the weather, what a is he here in this one?
- 35:45Speaker 4: Yeah, I think it's interesting. Tigers are interesting. As you mentioned,
- 35:48Speaker 4: they all hit fly balls up in the air. I
- 35:51Speaker 4: mean they got to be up there at the top
- 35:52Speaker 4: of the list with fly balls percentages up there against
- 35:56Speaker 4: against righties.
- 35:57Speaker 5: I mean Sonny Gray, I mean he hasn't really been straight.
- 36:00Speaker 4: Can anybody out so far that she's got like an
- 36:01Speaker 4: eight and a half percent strikeout right against right handed bats?
- 36:05Speaker 4: And I mean we know the Tigers has some really
- 36:07Speaker 4: good left handed bats mcgonag Go, Keith Green and Carpenter.
- 36:11Speaker 4: I mean, Torko Sen's been hitting here in recent times,
- 36:14Speaker 4: and I think the pinch hit thing maybe maybe put
- 36:17Speaker 4: on pause.
- 36:18Speaker 5: A little bit. They just lost Labor torres Man.
- 36:20Speaker 4: They've I don't know what they did to the baseball guys,
- 36:23Speaker 4: but they don't piss somebody off because they're like but
- 36:26Speaker 4: half their Dan team seems to seems to be hurt.
- 36:30Speaker 4: And as far as against Flairty, I mean, you're right,
- 36:32Speaker 4: that's what I was saying. If you want to get
- 36:33Speaker 4: the liquor bottle out, go ahead. I mean reason I
- 36:37Speaker 4: was saying that. I mean, as a Tiger fan, I
- 36:39Speaker 4: mean he's frustrating us. How to watch. I mean he's
- 36:42Speaker 4: just walking bases loaded a few times and then he's
- 36:45Speaker 4: given up, you know, the inopportune hit at you know,
- 36:48Speaker 4: and it's just like it's just been terrible. It just
- 36:51Speaker 4: seems like it just spirals out of control quick. You'll
- 36:54Speaker 4: have a decent inning here and there, but I mean,
- 36:57Speaker 4: it just hasn't been good overall.
- 37:00Speaker 2: You know.
- 37:00Speaker 4: I just think too, there was a lot of emotion
- 37:02Speaker 4: spent in that game yesterday. There's a lot of finger
- 37:04Speaker 4: pointing going on between these two games. I think, you know,
- 37:09Speaker 4: this game could be too where I would watch to
- 37:12Speaker 4: where either one of these pitchers could be so I
- 37:15Speaker 4: could turn it into beanball game today, because you know,
- 37:17Speaker 4: they're they're accusing each other at cheating. I mean, they
- 37:20Speaker 4: had the Red Sox radio guys on. I mean, it
- 37:24Speaker 4: just they were going back and forth. So I mean,
- 37:27Speaker 4: we'll see what ends up happening. Usually it never does,
- 37:30Speaker 4: but I think, you know, the wick has been lit,
- 37:32Speaker 4: that's for sure in the series, So we'll see. I
- 37:36Speaker 4: did see Frambur somebody put in the chat Framberg got
- 37:39Speaker 4: six games. I kind of thought it'd be six or
- 37:41Speaker 4: seven because they just want them to miss a start,
- 37:43Speaker 4: that's all. Basically, but Tigers are in no spot to
- 37:46Speaker 4: be missing any damn starts. But yeah, I mean this
- 37:49Speaker 4: one's definitely interesting. I mean, if you look at it,
- 37:52Speaker 4: Nate's this is one some of the bets I like
- 37:55Speaker 4: to make, consisting when I just straight up been on
- 37:57Speaker 4: baseball or pitcher k props, and I like the bet
- 38:00Speaker 4: on the first five innings of a game because I
- 38:02Speaker 4: already understand pretty much who the pitching is going to be.
- 38:04Speaker 4: I don't have to really worry about it. Most times,
- 38:07Speaker 4: I like to go over in the first five innings.
- 38:09Speaker 4: I think this is a potential good spot for that
- 38:12Speaker 4: here today the over Flarity could give it up hi
- 38:15Speaker 4: damnself in the first inning. So yeah, I think this
- 38:18Speaker 4: one's definitely got potential for offense. And it ain't a
- 38:21Speaker 4: bad day here in Detroit either, so suns shining out
- 38:24Speaker 4: a little bit so I could see them balls flying
- 38:27Speaker 4: out at America.
- 38:29Speaker 2: The thing that gives me more interest to is not
- 38:31Speaker 2: just Flarity right with his walks against the Red Sox.
- 38:33Speaker 3: You look at the bullpen usage. I mean fifty seven,
- 38:37Speaker 3: fifty three, forty six, thirty nine, thirty eight, thirty eight.
- 38:40Speaker 3: I mean that's a lot of damn pitches from in
- 38:44Speaker 3: the last three days from majority of your bullpen. Right,
- 38:48Speaker 3: So you've got a tax bullpen, which I don't think
- 38:51Speaker 3: is a great bullpen in general already. Right, and then
- 38:55Speaker 3: you've got a pitcher who struggles with command at least.
- 38:58Speaker 3: I mean, this dude's walking twenty four percent the left
- 39:00Speaker 3: handed hitters. I mean, yeah, there's only four lefties in there.
- 39:03Speaker 3: But he's also getting hit hard for power and barrels
- 39:06Speaker 3: to the right side. I mean, he's almost fourteen percent
- 39:08Speaker 3: barrel right to right handed hitters. So you start getting
- 39:10Speaker 3: behind counts, you start putting guys on base, and now
- 39:13Speaker 3: you have to come across the heart of the plate.
- 39:15Speaker 2: And yeah, these right handed.
- 39:17Speaker 3: Hitters aren't sexy by any means from the Red Sox,
- 39:20Speaker 3: but I mean, you start throwing a fastball across the
- 39:23Speaker 3: heart of the heart of the plate. When a guy
- 39:25Speaker 3: knows you can just sit on your fastball because you
- 39:27Speaker 3: can't command any of your pitches, things can go sell
- 39:31Speaker 3: with in a hurry. So I do love this game
- 39:32Speaker 3: for offense, prefer the Tigers lefties more. But two of
- 39:36Speaker 3: these both of these teams may make kind of my
- 39:39Speaker 3: short list of main stacks that I'm looking at taking
- 39:44Speaker 3: us right into the next game, which is a top
- 39:46Speaker 3: my charts overall both sides of this game.
- 39:48Speaker 2: My number one in probably number three stacks in general
- 39:51Speaker 2: are the Twins in the Nationals. Here. You've got two.
- 39:54Speaker 3: Strike throwers here who pitch the contact and give up
- 39:58Speaker 3: hard hits and fly balls in a really good hitting environment,
- 40:02Speaker 3: the best on the slate here. There is some concern
- 40:05Speaker 3: here for weather, but I think we should be good
- 40:09Speaker 3: in general. You've got the wind blown out here to
- 40:12Speaker 3: right center field, Twins bullpen not any good. Nationals bullpen
- 40:16Speaker 3: really really not any good, and two guys who I
- 40:19Speaker 3: like picking on. I mean, I don't think Bailey over
- 40:21Speaker 3: is a good pitcher, Mikolas at the corpse that he is.
- 40:25Speaker 3: I mean, this dude's been passed around like like your
- 40:29Speaker 3: you know, middle school girl that walked the halls in
- 40:32Speaker 3: high school, right and didn't have any supervision at home.
- 40:35Speaker 3: So I think this is a really good spot for offense.
- 40:38Speaker 3: What do you see here, Minnesota Nationals?
- 40:41Speaker 4: Yeah, like you said, like both sides, this is the
- 40:43Speaker 4: nine and a half total games.
- 40:45Speaker 5: So Vegas agrees with us too.
- 40:47Speaker 4: I think the thing with the Twins are they're really
- 40:49Speaker 4: cheap when you start adding like you know, Walner to
- 40:53Speaker 4: your lineup, Larnick, I mean these guys are cheap. I
- 40:57Speaker 4: mean brooks Lee, I mean all these guys are cheap.
- 41:00Speaker 4: That's what I was saying today. Like, you know, like
- 41:02Speaker 4: when we're talking about pitching, you don't really need to
- 41:04Speaker 4: get too cute and pitching because there's some fairly cheap
- 41:06Speaker 4: stacks today. NAT's being one of them too, So uh,
- 41:10Speaker 4: that is definitely both sides are in play. I think
- 41:13Speaker 4: I like the lefties for the Gnats a little bit more.
- 41:15Speaker 4: I think Buckston is really strong for the Twins today.
- 41:18Speaker 4: But uh, I mean you could stack them both. You
- 41:20Speaker 4: could game stack this one. I think it that's in play.
- 41:23Speaker 4: Another one you could, you know, look at the first
- 41:25Speaker 4: five innings.
- 41:26Speaker 3: Uh.
- 41:27Speaker 4: But uh, I mean if you had to ask me,
- 41:29Speaker 4: probably between the two who I like the most, I'd
- 41:33Speaker 4: probably go a little bit more on the Gnats side
- 41:37Speaker 4: then I would the Twins just because I just think
- 41:40Speaker 4: they got a little bit more power with wood Abrams.
- 41:44Speaker 4: Uh So I think, you know, especially with that matchup
- 41:47Speaker 4: against Bailey over who hasn't been very good against lefties
- 41:50Speaker 4: at all. Fourteen percent k rate, almost thirty eight percent
- 41:53Speaker 4: fly ball rate been getting barreled up quite a bit,
- 41:56Speaker 4: So yeah, give me the Gnats and then the Twins
- 42:00Speaker 4: definitely would be my favorite cheap stack in the day.
- 42:03Speaker 3: Yeah, I do like the Twins a lot, but when
- 42:05Speaker 3: you are full stacking them, there is a lot of
- 42:06Speaker 3: Pinchick concerns in here. Looking at the Nats bullpen, they
- 42:10Speaker 3: do have three left handers in there. One of their
- 42:12Speaker 3: lefties is probably, I mean he should he might be available.
- 42:16Speaker 3: He threw thirty six pitches on Sunday, hasn't pitched yesterday
- 42:18Speaker 3: or Monday, so he could come back out there. But
- 42:23Speaker 3: love Lady for sure is available. And then Parker, their
- 42:26Speaker 3: other lefty, is available as well. So they do have
- 42:29Speaker 3: three left handers in that bullpen. So guys like Larnock,
- 42:34Speaker 3: Cody Clemens, Matt Wallner, Tristan Gray for sure, he is
- 42:39Speaker 3: some Pinchick concerns there, but uh not all of them
- 42:42Speaker 3: can get pitch hit four at the same obviously in
- 42:44Speaker 3: the same game. So I do think that Nats bullpen
- 42:48Speaker 3: is just not good in general, right, So I do
- 42:51Speaker 3: think overall I put the Nats a little ahead just
- 42:55Speaker 3: when you add in the Pinchick concerns but I like
- 42:57Speaker 3: both these offensive ton James Wood stud Lyle Abrams really good.
- 43:03Speaker 3: Don't forget about in the scene new and as their
- 43:05Speaker 3: switch hitter thirty five hundred hitting ninth, nobody's would play him.
- 43:08Speaker 2: He has stolen base potential too.
- 43:10Speaker 3: You can steal on Bailey over as well, and Nationals
- 43:12Speaker 3: will definitely run James Wood to run c j Abrams
- 43:15Speaker 3: will run for sure, Nunia will run for sure, So
- 43:18Speaker 3: I do think that's interesting. Then you can run on
- 43:21Speaker 3: Miklas two in Buxton will obviously take off. So I
- 43:24Speaker 3: do like the offense in this game quite a bit.
- 43:27Speaker 3: Good hitting conditions is well there. Next game, Yankee Stadium.
- 43:31Speaker 3: Nathan Yavaldi a good arm, but does struggle against lefties,
- 43:36Speaker 3: and any right hander going against the Yankees, especially when
- 43:40Speaker 3: you do struggle against left hand airs, doesn't vote too well.
- 43:44Speaker 3: Obviously a really good place to hit, especially for that
- 43:47Speaker 3: left handed.
- 43:47Speaker 2: Power down the line there. And this is a spot
- 43:51Speaker 2: where I mean the same Yankees just got to Jacob
- 43:55Speaker 2: deGrom last night.
- 43:56Speaker 3: They're red hot right now. They should get Ben Rice back. Nope,
- 44:00Speaker 3: never mind, Ben Rice is still not in that lineup.
- 44:02Speaker 3: He was projected there, so he's still not in but
- 44:04Speaker 3: doesn't matter makes the stack cheaper.
- 44:06Speaker 2: You got Ryan McMahon, who hit a bomb last night.
- 44:09Speaker 3: Caballero steal when he gets on, you can run on
- 44:11Speaker 3: the Valdi, so right away Jazz and Cavallero both will steal.
- 44:16Speaker 3: I mean, I think they got twelve and thirteen stone
- 44:18Speaker 3: bases between the two of them. I like the Yankees
- 44:22Speaker 3: here a ton, and I'm shocked that they're not getting
- 44:25Speaker 3: more ownership. I know, I know, Nathan Eovaldi is a
- 44:28Speaker 3: good name, but when you peel back the kind of
- 44:31Speaker 3: onion a little bit, and look, he struggled so far
- 44:34Speaker 3: to start the year against lefties, and Yankees have a
- 44:37Speaker 3: lot of lefties that can hit the ball over that
- 44:40Speaker 3: short porch in right field there.
- 44:41Speaker 2: What do you see here? I agree with you.
- 44:43Speaker 4: I think the Yankees in and out great spot. I
- 44:46Speaker 4: mean k percentage for Evaldi against lefties eighteen percent, as
- 44:49Speaker 4: Woba's three ninety two. He's been giving up thirty percent
- 44:52Speaker 4: fly balls and getting burreled up twelve percent.
- 44:54Speaker 5: You wouldn't want to be getting buriled up twelve.
- 44:56Speaker 4: Percent against against any lefties. Ye doesn't literally get hard hit.
- 45:02Speaker 4: Hasn't been hard hit at all by any righties so
- 45:05Speaker 4: left he's been absolutely you know, smashing him so far.
- 45:09Speaker 5: And like you said, I mean the Yankees too.
- 45:11Speaker 4: You look at team stats needs for the last fifteen days,
- 45:14Speaker 4: the Yankees are forty some percentage points higher in slugging
- 45:20Speaker 4: percentage than the second team, which is the Braves, and
- 45:23Speaker 4: they're sixty some points higher in OPS than.
- 45:27Speaker 5: The second place team.
- 45:28Speaker 4: I mean, like over the middle team, they're like almost
- 45:33Speaker 4: one hundred and sixty hundred and seventy freaking points higher
- 45:37Speaker 4: than everybody else. That's how good they've been in the
- 45:39Speaker 4: last couple of weeks, just absolutely smashing the shit out
- 45:42Speaker 4: of the baseball. I mean, we saw what he did
- 45:44Speaker 4: to de graam Evaldi. You know they're gonna see another wrighty.
- 45:47Speaker 4: I mean, he's no way near anything to gram Is
- 45:50Speaker 4: so man, I'll tell you Aaron Judges seeing you.
- 45:53Speaker 5: Know we talked about him yesterday. He just keeps all hitting, man,
- 45:56Speaker 5: that just keeps all hitting, keeps on hitting something else.
- 46:00Speaker 4: I mean, he's got a four to fifty one. But
- 46:01Speaker 4: against righty so far, I mean it's sick. So I mean,
- 46:05Speaker 4: you know, you want to play the Yankees or do
- 46:07Speaker 4: you want to play the shitty Mets?
- 46:09Speaker 5: In cold weather. Give me the Yankees all damn day long.
- 46:13Speaker 4: I would take that bet one hundred times out of
- 46:15Speaker 4: one hundred. They're no damn way that I would even
- 46:19Speaker 4: consider playing the Mets over the Yankees today. So yeah,
- 46:23Speaker 4: give me the Give me the Yankee's pretty easy for me.
- 46:25Speaker 4: I mean, the Yankees are in a great spot today.
- 46:29Speaker 2: Yeah, that bullpen got I mean, the the Rangers bullpen
- 46:33Speaker 2: is is rested, which is a slight downgrade there, but
- 46:37Speaker 2: I mean, I mean, I don't really care. It's it's
- 46:39Speaker 2: the Yankees offense.
- 46:40Speaker 3: You look at the Texas bullpen there, kind of middle
- 46:43Speaker 3: of the road in general. Actually, I mean in terms
- 46:46Speaker 3: of X fIF they're eighth worst in baseball. So yeah,
- 46:49Speaker 3: they're rested, but I don't really care. I mean, yeah,
- 46:52Speaker 3: you said that you've always been good against righties, especially
- 46:55Speaker 3: long term, but it doesn't matter. It's Aaron Judges, best
- 46:58Speaker 3: hitter in baseball, right, the dude's red hot. And the
- 47:01Speaker 3: Yankees aren't even expensive to stack up. I mean, you
- 47:04Speaker 3: got a super cheap catcher, you've got a super cheap
- 47:06Speaker 3: third baseman, which if you're not spending up on a
- 47:08Speaker 3: guy like Jay Ram or something like that, right or
- 47:11Speaker 3: Mark Vente, Sir Bolba Schett right from the Mets. I mean,
- 47:16Speaker 3: you got cheap guys, and you got Cavallero at shortstop,
- 47:18Speaker 3: which is a fairly.
- 47:21Speaker 2: Weak position usually night in and night out. Outside of
- 47:23Speaker 2: the top obviously, we've got Ellie Dayla Cruz and Bobby
- 47:25Speaker 2: Witt and some of those guys on this slate, But
- 47:27Speaker 2: I mean, he's always got stolen base upside there. Nobody
- 47:29Speaker 2: ever plays him at the back half, and all it
- 47:31Speaker 2: takes is for him to get a walk, and he's
- 47:33Speaker 2: got seven Draftings points sitting there because he's.
- 47:35Speaker 3: Gonna swipe second base. So I love the Yankees here tonight.
- 47:38Speaker 3: They're They're a top of my board. I like that
- 47:41Speaker 3: the ownership's not going crazy with them because we do
- 47:44Speaker 3: have the Mets in course field. So yeah, sign me
- 47:46Speaker 3: up for the Yankees. I'm right back on the well here.
- 47:50Speaker 3: I do think Corey Seeker is an interesting play against
- 47:52Speaker 3: Will Ward, who's gonna definitely get some ownership.
- 47:56Speaker 2: Josh Young's been really good on the year.
- 47:58Speaker 3: Evan Carter I think is a solid value lefty there,
- 48:00Speaker 3: but I'm not really signing up to stack against Will Warren,
- 48:04Speaker 3: who's probably all things considered, my favorite starting pitcher going
- 48:07Speaker 3: on the slate here, and Yankees bullpen's really good behind him.
- 48:10Speaker 3: So yeah, if you wanted a mini sack some of
- 48:12Speaker 3: those Rangers, but more one off with Seeger, Evan Carter,
- 48:16Speaker 3: Josh Young, those three bats.
- 48:18Speaker 2: I do have a little bit of interest in from the.
- 48:21Speaker 3: Ranger side of it, head up to Wrigley, Colin Ray
- 48:23Speaker 3: on the mountin, Brady Singer on the mound. Singer nothing special.
- 48:26Speaker 3: Cubs interesting for me for offense wise, nobody's playing this team.
- 48:29Speaker 3: They do have a good implied team total for what
- 48:31Speaker 3: it's worth, despite the weather. But it's nothing crazy here.
- 48:34Speaker 3: It's not like the weather is massive wind blown in
- 48:38Speaker 3: or something like that. It's more kind of blown across
- 48:40Speaker 3: the fields. Gonna be in the mid fifties, so not
- 48:42Speaker 3: crazy bad temperatures. I mean, we've seen the Cubs last
- 48:45Speaker 3: year smashing like thirty degree weather in Wrigley. It's gonna
- 48:48Speaker 3: be in the mid fifties here. Red's bullpen's really bad.
- 48:50Speaker 3: Brady Singer pitches the contact, nothing crazy. He might strike
- 48:54Speaker 3: some of these guys out, but you look at the
- 48:55Speaker 3: last thirty days. I mean he's sitting at like a
- 48:57Speaker 3: ten percent k rate to both sides, the play getting
- 49:00Speaker 3: hit hard by both sides, getting barreled up, giving them
- 49:02Speaker 3: a ton of power. And the Cub's been really really
- 49:05Speaker 3: good at home in general on this offense has a
- 49:08Speaker 3: ton of upside. So I think the Cubs are really
- 49:11Speaker 3: interesting here tonight as well. What do you see here?
- 49:13Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean the Cubs have been another hot team
- 49:15Speaker 4: in baseball here the last few weeks, So I don't mind.
- 49:19Speaker 4: I love riding hot teams. I think that's one of
- 49:21Speaker 4: the things that I generally try to do. I mean,
- 49:24Speaker 4: you know, Covey's just been smashing. I think Suzuki is
- 49:27Speaker 4: in a really good spot here today too. I like
- 49:30Speaker 4: O saw today to potentially hit a homer off Brady Singer.
- 49:35Speaker 5: But I mean, up and down they've been. They've been
- 49:38Speaker 5: really good.
- 49:38Speaker 4: So I think during play, when you got PCA hitting eighth,
- 49:42Speaker 4: I mean, that just says the depth of your lineup.
- 49:46Speaker 4: But I mean I think everybody's in play. He's just
- 49:49Speaker 4: Singer has not been good. He's been striking out seven
- 49:51Speaker 4: percent so far of righty so far this year, sixteen
- 49:56Speaker 4: percent of lefties. I mean a little bit, we've kind
- 50:00Speaker 4: of splitzy there. Obviously, he's been giving up the barrels
- 50:05Speaker 4: a little bit more to the right side. So I
- 50:07Speaker 4: mean he's he's just been a little bit reverse splitch.
- 50:10Speaker 4: I mean, does that mean to me like Horner would
- 50:13Speaker 4: be in play. I still think I like the lefties
- 50:15Speaker 4: a little bit more. I mean, I think say I
- 50:17Speaker 4: was my favorite play. Then after that, I think half
- 50:20Speaker 4: Bush and Bellosteros we all like Bush, you know, would
- 50:24Speaker 4: be in played PCA. I think all those guys here
- 50:26Speaker 4: and play. But I'll put the copies down there in that,
- 50:29Speaker 4: you know, maybe maybe a little bit above the low
- 50:32Speaker 4: owned or you know my you know, sneaky stack. But
- 50:35Speaker 4: I think they'd be in play if I was playing,
- 50:37Speaker 4: you know, a handful of teams.
- 50:38Speaker 5: I think they've being played.
- 50:40Speaker 4: They probably wouldn't make my top two or three teams,
- 50:42Speaker 4: but I think there definitely can be had even with
- 50:45Speaker 4: that wind blown in a little bit.
- 50:47Speaker 3: Yeah, it's more blown kind of across the field. Obviously,
- 50:50Speaker 3: we know the right winded regularly can always change. It's
- 50:52Speaker 3: actually kind of blown out to right field if anything,
- 50:54Speaker 3: so it does boost those lefties. I did want to
- 50:56Speaker 3: talk about the Reds though, because Colin Ray is definitely
- 50:59Speaker 3: gonna get a lot ownership on the slate is the
- 51:01Speaker 3: cheap guy right, sixty five hundred makes it easy to
- 51:03Speaker 3: spend up for a lot of the guys right. That
- 51:06Speaker 3: that people want to play right makes makes it easy
- 51:09Speaker 3: to spend up for guys like Judge and and that
- 51:11Speaker 3: Blade has been absolutely smashing baseballs. You know, Colin Ray
- 51:15Speaker 3: historically is not good against lefties, so Blada is really
- 51:18Speaker 3: interesting to me. Nathaniel Lowe is really interested me. You
- 51:21Speaker 3: got a Will Benson who's super cheap. I do like
- 51:24Speaker 3: that Ellie. Dana Cruz shot me in the foot last night.
- 51:28Speaker 3: I had a really good team in one of the
- 51:30Speaker 3: main DraftKings contest and Ellie went zero for five. He
- 51:34Speaker 3: got my at bats with guys in scoring position in
- 51:37Speaker 3: extra innings and grounded out, so that that was glorious
- 51:41Speaker 3: to watch there. But I think he's a really interesting
- 51:43Speaker 3: play as well. You want the lefties, so I think Friedo, Bladay, Ellie,
- 51:48Speaker 3: Nate Lowe are are really interesting. And then Will Benson
- 51:51Speaker 3: as well, who who I know, we don't show right now,
- 51:54Speaker 3: but with the the confirm lineup, he's in there hitting seventh.
- 51:57Speaker 2: So I do think this is a pretty trusting spot
- 52:00Speaker 2: for the Reds.
- 52:01Speaker 3: They got the job done last night, and I think
- 52:04Speaker 3: they could do it here again against a starting pitcher
- 52:06Speaker 3: who is everybody's favorite kind of cheap value pitcher on
- 52:10Speaker 3: the slate, Colin Ray. He's gonna be upwards of twenty
- 52:13Speaker 3: to thirty on the slate. So I do think the
- 52:15Speaker 3: Reds are are pretty interesting overall, mainly those lefties. Next
- 52:20Speaker 3: spot on the slates Kaufin Stadium co Reagan's Joey Cantillo
- 52:24Speaker 3: on the mound. You can run on Cantillo, So Bobby
- 52:28Speaker 3: witt Garcia, I do think our interesting Isaac Collins are
- 52:32Speaker 3: run as well. This is a game I don't really
- 52:33Speaker 3: love from offense here on this one. But what do
- 52:36Speaker 3: you see here at Casey and in the Indians.
- 52:41Speaker 4: Yeah, like I said when we were talking about pitching,
- 52:43Speaker 4: I'd kind of like to light the righties more on
- 52:45Speaker 4: the Indians to maybe attack Reagans because you could probably
- 52:48Speaker 4: get potentially a little bit of leverage today. But I
- 52:51Speaker 4: just don't really like the rightings. But like I said,
- 52:53Speaker 4: Reagan's been walking a lot of guys. He's last three starts,
- 52:55Speaker 4: he hasn't been very good. The strikeouts have been there,
- 52:59Speaker 4: for sure. I mean he's been up there with strikeouts,
- 53:02Speaker 4: but I think he needs to you know, obviously keep
- 53:06Speaker 4: the ball over the play as walks have been up.
- 53:08Speaker 4: But you know, you look at some of these walk
- 53:09Speaker 4: percentages for these India I mean, the top of the
- 53:11Speaker 4: lineup are all around six percent, which is fairly low.
- 53:15Speaker 4: So I mean, they got a handful of guys that
- 53:18Speaker 4: just generally don't take walk So maybe that is gonna
- 53:21Speaker 4: be in Reagan's side, But I just wish they had
- 53:24Speaker 4: a little bit more power on the Indian side. I
- 53:26Speaker 4: think that wouldn't be a bad chance to take on
- 53:29Speaker 4: a pitcher who's just not been good in recent times
- 53:31Speaker 4: that potentially you can garner some ownership. But I'm gonna
- 53:35Speaker 4: pass on it. But I mean, if somebody sent me
- 53:37Speaker 4: a screenshot tomorrow that they ended up winning with the
- 53:41Speaker 4: righty's on the Indians against Reagan's, it really wouldn't surprise
- 53:45Speaker 4: me much. But I'm not gonna do it.
- 53:48Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, the guys you look at would be
- 53:50Speaker 2: Jay Ram, Hedges, Rochio and then Sheetaman and Chase. The
- 53:55Speaker 2: latter also hit left.
- 53:56Speaker 3: He's really good and actually when you look at Cole
- 53:59Speaker 3: Wagan's over the last month, he's been all of his
- 54:01Speaker 3: strikeouts have actually come to the right side.
- 54:03Speaker 2: Right.
- 54:03Speaker 3: Yeah, he gets hit hard by the rights and gives
- 54:06Speaker 3: up fly balls to the right side. But he also
- 54:09Speaker 3: doesn't strike out the lefties. I mean, his strikeouts have
- 54:12Speaker 3: come against the righties. So two lefties that can hit
- 54:14Speaker 3: left handed pitching in Cheethaman and Chase The latter I
- 54:18Speaker 3: do think are in play. But yeah, this is a
- 54:19Speaker 3: game that I don't love. It's not a great weather
- 54:22Speaker 3: game here. It's kind of in the low sixties. Win
- 54:25Speaker 3: kind of really blown across this game. This stadium is
- 54:27Speaker 3: going to be really good in kind of the hardest summer,
- 54:30Speaker 3: especially if we do get some wind blown out with
- 54:32Speaker 3: the new dimensions of them moving in that porch there.
- 54:34Speaker 3: But don't love either side of that game.
- 54:37Speaker 2: For offense on a slate where I do think there's
- 54:40Speaker 2: plenty of other offenses that's already hard enough to narrow down,
- 54:43Speaker 2: this is one that.
- 54:44Speaker 3: I don't have a ton of interest myself. Jose Ramirez
- 54:48Speaker 3: would be far and away the best player. Reese Hoskins
- 54:50Speaker 3: hit a bomb last night. He's still dirt cheap at
- 54:52Speaker 3: twenty eight hundred hits left as well. David Frye hit
- 54:55Speaker 3: a bomb a couple of nights ago as well on
- 54:57Speaker 3: Monday night. I think he's dirt cheap, so you do
- 55:00Speaker 3: have guys to play if you wanted to get in there.
- 55:02Speaker 3: That again, you get that leverage word against Cole Wagan's
- 55:08Speaker 3: next game on the slates, the chalk of the slates,
- 55:12Speaker 3: the New York Mets, who are bottom five in ops
- 55:14Speaker 3: against right handed pitching. I don't care if it's Michael Lorenzen,
- 55:17Speaker 3: I don't care who it is. I'm full fading the
- 55:21Speaker 3: Mets tonight. I'm full fading this game in general on
- 55:23Speaker 3: both sides. I'm not playing anyone but pitching in this game.
- 55:26Speaker 3: The Mets beat me.
- 55:27Speaker 2: They beat me.
- 55:28Speaker 3: It's thirty degrees in Colorado. No, we'll really win to
- 55:32Speaker 3: worry about. I know it's course field. I know it
- 55:34Speaker 3: plays above average for runs, but the Mets have been
- 55:37Speaker 3: dogshit against right hand and pitching. They're not good. Lorenz
- 55:40Speaker 3: is not good, so one of them is going to
- 55:41Speaker 3: have to win out. But then you look at the bullpen.
- 55:43Speaker 3: The Rockies bullpen is actually good. I mean it's regressing
- 55:46Speaker 3: a little bit, but as it stands right now, they're
- 55:49Speaker 3: top ten in baseball in terms of whip and X
- 55:52Speaker 3: fip in the major leagues, right, and the Mets offense
- 55:56Speaker 3: is just not good. So for me seeing all these
- 56:00Speaker 3: he's projected there. I mean, sure, if you wanted to
- 56:02Speaker 3: play a want Soto at thirty percent at sixty six
- 56:05Speaker 3: hundred in Coors Field, do it.
- 56:07Speaker 2: But I'm full fad in this game. I'm out on
- 56:09Speaker 2: Cooris Field tonight.
- 56:11Speaker 3: I'm always typically not a big fan of Coors, but
- 56:15Speaker 3: definitely when it's thirty degrees. And I mean, the next
- 56:18Speaker 3: game we're talking about is gonna be in the eighties
- 56:19Speaker 3: with the roof umpin. So I get the match up,
- 56:22Speaker 3: I get the reasonings, I get Lorenzo's bad.
- 56:25Speaker 4: I just I can't do it here. But what do
- 56:27Speaker 4: you see in course? All right, I can't do it either.
- 56:32Speaker 4: I'm not playing the Mets. I mean, I let everybody
- 56:35Speaker 4: else make that mistake, and like you said, beats me.
- 56:37Speaker 5: It beats me.
- 56:37Speaker 4: I don't want to play a shit ass team's been
- 56:39Speaker 4: just garbage all year two.
- 56:41Speaker 5: Like I don't care where, what field they're in or
- 56:43Speaker 5: what not.
- 56:44Speaker 4: Now it's gonna be cold any like it's eighty five
- 56:46Speaker 4: in Colorado or something, But I will take note. I
- 56:49Speaker 4: think there's a really good play in the rocky side. Today,
- 56:52Speaker 4: Mickey Moniac has been absolutely crushing the baseball.
- 56:58Speaker 5: I mean, you look at even in the last couple
- 57:00Speaker 5: of weeks.
- 57:00Speaker 4: The dude's got a higher ops than Aaron Judge and
- 57:03Speaker 4: Matt Olson, by the way, So Mickey Moniac's been smashing
- 57:07Speaker 4: the crap out of the baseball.
- 57:09Speaker 5: And then if you know, we know we call fastball
- 57:11Speaker 5: Freddy or you.
- 57:12Speaker 4: Know that for a reason, he's just gonna wear back
- 57:15Speaker 4: and zing some fastballs at him. And Moniac is pretty
- 57:18Speaker 4: good against the fastball. He's got a four to h
- 57:20Speaker 4: three BOB against the fastball. So I really like Moniac today.
- 57:25Speaker 4: I'd venture to say that'd be a pretty good bet
- 57:27Speaker 4: for a home run.
- 57:28Speaker 5: But you know, I just I don't like it. It's
- 57:31Speaker 5: cold there.
- 57:32Speaker 4: But I mean, if anything that stands out to me,
- 57:34Speaker 4: it's the Mickey Moniac against the fastball thrower there, especially
- 57:38Speaker 4: how hot he's been. I mean, if he's just gonna
- 57:40Speaker 4: sit on a fastball as hot as he's been, I
- 57:42Speaker 4: think Moniac's got a really good chance to burrow one up.
- 57:45Speaker 2: Yeah, I'll second that with Moniac.
- 57:48Speaker 3: But I'll also say TJ. Runfield another really really good
- 57:50Speaker 3: hitter against fastballs. We know Freddy throws a fastball well
- 57:53Speaker 3: fifty fifty five percent of the time. So Moniac Runfield
- 57:58Speaker 3: I think would be the two guys you'd want from
- 58:01Speaker 3: this game, and I put them ahead of any of
- 58:03Speaker 3: the mats. I put them ahead of any of the
- 58:05Speaker 3: other offense in this game in general. So I do
- 58:08Speaker 3: think that's a nice little two man ministag four K
- 58:10Speaker 3: fifty two hundred unowned. I mean against the pitcher, who
- 58:15Speaker 3: is one of my better arms that I do like.
- 58:18Speaker 3: But in lineups where I'm not playing Freddie, I think
- 58:21Speaker 3: Moniac Runfield are really interesting in tournaments that no one
- 58:26Speaker 3: are going to play, and yeah, the weather's not great,
- 58:28Speaker 3: but I mean they can steal bases too, So in terms.
- 58:33Speaker 2: Of Moniac that I do like.
- 58:34Speaker 3: That last game on the slate, Paul skiins Michael Soroka
- 58:39Speaker 3: on the mound here.
- 58:40Speaker 2: The roof is going to be open there in Arizona.
- 58:43Speaker 3: It is in the mid eighties by far and away
- 58:46Speaker 3: the warmest temperatures on the slate. The issue is is
- 58:50Speaker 3: it's two of the better pitchers that we had interest
- 58:52Speaker 3: in on the slate here both ranked really good in
- 58:54Speaker 3: our pitcher rankings. The Pirates offense I think is going
- 58:57Speaker 3: to start regressing.
- 58:58Speaker 2: They started off the year red hot Ononeo Cruz has
- 59:01Speaker 2: kind of fell back a little bit from where he was.
- 59:05Speaker 2: If I had to pick a side, it'd probably be
- 59:07Speaker 2: more so on the Pirates. Just I'd rather I check
- 59:09Speaker 2: Michael Soroka than Paul Skeen's. I get it.
- 59:12Speaker 3: People that said Paul Skeens has not been great this year,
- 59:14Speaker 3: I mean's he's still good. I mean, he's still good.
- 59:19Speaker 3: Any starting pitcher can have some hiccups here and there,
- 59:22Speaker 3: but I mean you're still looking at a thirty two
- 59:23Speaker 3: per k rate pitcher to both sides of the plate,
- 59:26Speaker 3: keeps the ball on the ground above fifty percent of
- 59:28Speaker 3: the time, doesn't get.
- 59:29Speaker 2: Barreled up at all.
- 59:30Speaker 3: Really, I mean, d Backs can get to really any
- 59:34Speaker 3: right handed pitcher just because the top of their order
- 59:37Speaker 3: is really really hard to navigate through for any starting pitcher.
- 59:40Speaker 3: I mean when you go Perdomo, Corbyn, Carroll, Ketl, Marte,
- 59:44Speaker 3: del Castillo, and Vargas, I mean that top five is
- 59:47Speaker 3: really really good, at least especially the start the year.
- 59:50Speaker 2: So I get it. But I'm more on the pitching
- 59:53Speaker 2: in this one than hitting.
- 59:55Speaker 3: Could haunt me if I had to pick a side,
- 59:57Speaker 3: to be more of the Pirates side, But I'm not
- 1:00:00Speaker 3: really gonna get too much offense front from this game.
- 1:00:03Speaker 2: What do you see here? Though?
- 1:00:04Speaker 4: To close us out, one thing I want to see
- 1:00:07Speaker 4: is Paul Skene's woman. That's about it. She's a one.
- 1:00:11Speaker 4: That one was a smoker, that's for sure. I forgot
- 1:00:14Speaker 4: she was on the cover of Sports Illustrated swimsuit model.
- 1:00:17Speaker 4: Like man that got him and Verlander got it got
- 1:00:21Speaker 4: it going. I must be that pitching something. He's either
- 1:00:23Speaker 4: the quarterbacks or the pitchers, it seems like, Nates. But uh, yeah,
- 1:00:27Speaker 4: this one I don't really like for offense. Like I said,
- 1:00:30Speaker 4: we like both pitchers a little bit earlier. This one's
- 1:00:32Speaker 4: got a low total too, so seven and a half.
- 1:00:34Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean interesting slate overall, I think it's uh,
- 1:00:39Speaker 4: it should be a good one. I mean, hopefully Mets
- 1:00:41Speaker 4: are way over owned. I'd be make me pretty happy today,
- 1:00:44Speaker 4: that's for sure.
- 1:00:45Speaker 2: Nates. Yeah, I'm with you there. I was just trying
- 1:00:48Speaker 2: to find Libby Donna in the playerpool.
- 1:00:50Speaker 3: She's not in there, so unfortunately you can't play hurt tonight,
- 1:00:52Speaker 3: g Risen, so that'll hurt your feelings a little bit there,
- 1:00:54Speaker 3: but hey, maybe you can reopen that tab and send
- 1:00:58Speaker 3: your mic off often to never Never Land right after
- 1:01:03Speaker 3: the show's done, because the mic won't matter and you
- 1:01:05Speaker 3: can have yourself some fun there. But let's close out
- 1:01:08Speaker 3: the show here, your favorite pitching combination, your top three stacks.
- 1:01:11Speaker 3: Make sure to have a sneaky stack in there, and
- 1:01:14Speaker 3: then a home run call before the people.
- 1:01:15Speaker 2: I'll do the same, and then we'll get out of here.
- 1:01:18Speaker 4: Well, top stacks, I'm going to go with we like
- 1:01:24Speaker 4: that game there with the Twins in Washington. I think
- 1:01:28Speaker 4: that's definitely played. Yankees are definitely up there for me too.
- 1:01:31Speaker 4: I think the Yankees would be my favorite stack overall.
- 1:01:34Speaker 4: But then that two teams in that Twins Washington game
- 1:01:38Speaker 4: home run call, Mickey Moniac, I think that was that
- 1:01:41Speaker 4: stands out to me. I think that's where I would
- 1:01:44Speaker 4: look at today. I think that'd be a good low
- 1:01:45Speaker 4: Owned say it was a Zookie too, I think he
- 1:01:48Speaker 4: had a Homer. I think they'll be my two guys
- 1:01:50Speaker 4: day at Homers today.
- 1:01:51Speaker 5: But yeah, a sneaky low owned snack stack. I'll live
- 1:01:56Speaker 5: with the Phillies.
- 1:01:57Speaker 4: I think the Phillies would be my low owned stack
- 1:02:00Speaker 4: that i'd roll with today.
- 1:02:02Speaker 2: Yeah, I do like that. In terms of my pitching,
- 1:02:06Speaker 2: I really like Will Warren. I'll throw I'll go Will Warren, Soroka,
- 1:02:13Speaker 2: Freddie Peraltas is three guys that aren't gonna command it
- 1:02:16Speaker 2: as much ownership as some of the guys around them.
- 1:02:18Speaker 3: So I do like all three of those pitchers. I'm
- 1:02:21Speaker 3: gonna go for my offense, I'm gonna go Yankees. I'll
- 1:02:25Speaker 3: throw in the Tigers and the Nationals. So so those
- 1:02:34Speaker 3: three are kind of the main ones there. Home run
- 1:02:38Speaker 3: reports for me, I'll give the people. I'll go up
- 1:02:42Speaker 3: to New York. I'll say Jason Dominguez, think he gets
- 1:02:46Speaker 3: another one thirty six und I like Jason Dimingez quite
- 1:02:50Speaker 3: a bit. And then I will go to the Twins.
- 1:02:53Speaker 3: I'll go to Cody Clemens. Probably only gets two at bats,
- 1:02:57Speaker 3: but good chance he hits a home run before he
- 1:02:59Speaker 3: gets young out of there if he does three K
- 1:03:02Speaker 3: two value home run calls for me, Cody Clemmens, Jason
- 1:03:05Speaker 3: Domingez to round us out, appreciate everyone tuning in and
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- 1:04:08Speaker 3: ton for g Risen, omn aids. Good luck tonight in
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- 1:04:14Speaker 2: Peace,