Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 328 - 8/1/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 328 - 8/1/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello and welcome to episode 328 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:24
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:27
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:35
  Happy Friday, our work week is coming to an end.
• 0:38
  We're also saying hello to the month of August.
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  It is officially August 1st. We got our first NFL winner of
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  the year last night in the Hall of Fame game.
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  Love that. Over 33 1/2.
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  Remember that total open 32 1/2 got up to 33 1/2.
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  We had Circa which was bullish. I made the comparison with the
• 0:57
  hot dog contest how every book was 71 1/2 or even 72 and Circa
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  was 70 1/2 I believe. So anytime a sharp book like
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  that is kind of leaning one way more so than the entire market,
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  always an indicator. And then we had some good bet
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  splits. We had Dan Campbell 8:00 and
• 1:14
  4:00 to the over. We had the over 3 and over the
• 1:16
  last three years we had great weather.
• 1:19
  Shout out to our friends at Juice Reel with the sharp mush
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  edge 24% to the over. And wouldn't you know it, we're
• 1:24
  able to cash that one, which was great to see as we start off our
• 1:28
  NFL betting this year 1 and O, which is always a good sign.
• 1:31
  And this is also a way to say, hey, people that make fun of you
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  say what are you? What are you doing betting the?
• 1:36
  Preseason What are you? Degenerate.
• 1:38
  No, no, no. We check the data, we make data
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  and driven bets. If we don't have a case to bet a
• 1:43
  game, we lay off, but there's a pretty compelling case for that
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  over and we were able to cash it.
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  So I love seeing that. So after that winner last night
• 1:51
  in the NFL, you might be saying, hey, when's our next sweat?
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  I'm looking right now. It looks like on Thursday, next
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  Thursday, August 7th, 3 pack of pre season games.
• 2:01
  So getting excited. It's about the pre season and
• 2:03
  make information based bets. Looking toward today.
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  Guys do have a three pack of Emily Sweats for you.
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  No, no football to get down on, but a full slate of MLB trade
• 2:13
  deadline is over. We had the buyers, the sellers,
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  teams like the Mariners, Padres, Phillies, Mets making a bunch of
• 2:18
  moves, the Twins and the D backs completely selling off.
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  We've got a three pack for today so we can finish off the week
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  and go 2 and one take out a winning day.
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  Looking toward last night. That's exactly what we did. 2
• 2:29
  and 1 + 0.5 units. So got 1/2 unit.
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  We'll take it. I mentioned the winner there at
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  the Chargers in Detroit. Getting back to betting the NFL,
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  which was great, had another winner there with the Mariners.
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  Late night really wasn't a sweat there.
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  They won 6 to nothing. What kept us from a clean sweep
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  was the Reds. And you know what's frustrating
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  about the Reds game? They got up 3 I believe was 3,
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  nothing early. Their bullpen completely
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  implodes and they give up eight runs.
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  I think it was the 7th or 8th inning.
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  They come back and score eight runs to tie it only to lose by
• 2:59
  one run in extra inning. So the Reds are a bit of a tease
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  and don't you know anytime you this is like it's so insane
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  baseball how much how often this happens.
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  Bet the Reds last night they lose today.
• 3:10
  You could set your watch to it. Of course they won three to two.
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  There was a line move. I don't know if anyone played
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  Reds earlier today, but either way, guys two and one got 1/2
• 3:18
  unit last night got our first winner in the NFL.
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  Let's see if we can reinvest it to today and steam into the
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  weekend, hopefully with a little bit of a hot streak.
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  That being said, as I mentioned, 3 pack today guys, 2 short
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  favorites, one bigger favorite. One team in particular has a
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  really good sharp mush edge. So without further ado, let's
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  waste no more time and get right into it.
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  Hopefully have a winning day in baseball.
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  So first, but on the board for me, let's go out to the Big
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  Apple. New York Mets hosting the San
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  Francisco G Men 7:10 PM Eastern Time.
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  First pitch, let's set the stage.
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  Talk line movement, split system matches.
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  I'll give him my play for this one.
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  So going into it, we got the G men 54 and 55.
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  They've lost six straight. Just got swept by the Pirates.
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  Man at home getting swept by the Pirates.
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  Lost that series finale 2 to one as a -, 210 home favorite.
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  I believe the record is something like 13 and 25 since
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  picking up Raffi Devers and they sold off a couple guys yesterday
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  as well, Ystromsky and Rogers. But I mean look at the mats 62
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  and 47. They also just got swept by the
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  pods. They lost that series finale 5.
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  Nothing as a + 100 Rd. dog. But the Mets did buy, picking up
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  Cedric Mullins, center fielder from the Orioles, and they also
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  picked up Rodgers, Helsley and Soto.
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  Some bullpen arms. For tonight's series opener, the
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  Giants are going with the lefty Robbie Ray.
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  He's nine and five with a 2.93 ERA.
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  Meanwhile, the Mets going with the fellow southpaw David
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  Peterson, seven and four, 2.83 ERA.
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  So what have we seen across the market for this one?
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  This game open, Mets around a -, 135 home favorite San Fran A +
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  115 row dog and sharps are saying let's get the Mets back
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  on track. Let's fade the reeling in, in
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  fire sailing San Francisco Giants because we've seen the
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  Mets creep up -135 up to -140 now most books are -145 even
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  -150 it's not a massive, you know, $0.20 the move.
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  What about 10-15 cents in favor of the Mets?
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  Now if you look at circa pretty good split, 67% bets, over 70%
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  of dollars are coming in on the Mets.
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  So it tells us out in Vegas that wise guy money going with the
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  line move in favor of New York. I do have a bunch of system
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  matches lit up on the the Mets here.
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  Here are a few of them. When both teams are coming off a
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  loss, which is the case here, take the team getting $0.10 of
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  line movement or more in their favor.
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  Those teams are 43 and 2662 percent. 8% ROI When both teams
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  are coming off a day off again applies here as well.
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  The favorite is 98 and 5763% with a 4% ROI.
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  Then if you isolate the Mets in particular, yeah, they got swept
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  on the road recently, last series against the pods, they've
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  been really good at home in particular when they are a home
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  favorite. 33 and 1273 percent, 16% ROI.
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  That is the second best home team and all of baseball.
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  You might be asking yourself who's number one, Believe it or
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  not, it's the Texas Rangers. On top of the line move the
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  splits the system matches. The Mets are also a correlative
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  betting play here because they are around a -, 145 home
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  favorite with a low total of 7 1/2 in The under is actually
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  juiced around -120 So fair amount of expected runs scored,
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  more likely to come from quote UN quote, that better team.
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  Hopefully the Mets bats get going here.
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  I didn't see anything about Juan Soto.
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  He got hit in the hand, I think, or he got injured a few days
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  ago. He's been off a couple days.
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  Hope he's in the lineup tonight. But overall, the Mets, they're
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  hitting two 41135 homers, 473 runs scored.
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  You'll get the G men hitting two 32101 homers, 443 runs scored.
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  In particular, we got a couple lefties on the bump.
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  The Mets aren't amazing against lefties, only hitting 226, but
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  the Giants are hitting 215 against lefties.
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  That's dead last in all of baseball.
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  Dig a little deeper into Peterson.
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  Knock on wood. Hope he pitches well tonight.
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  But he posted a one point O 5 ERA in four July starts.
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  Only gave up three runs, three earned runs in 25.2 innings
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  pitch and at home 5 and O 1.91 ERA at Citi Field.
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  Meanwhile, Robbie Ray is having a good year, but kind of
• 7:24
  pedestrian in the month of July. Made 5 starts, 3.52 ERA, giving
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  up twelve runs in 30.2 innings pitched.
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  And then just some classic home Rd.
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  We got the Mets 37 and 16 at home.
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  One of the better home teams in baseball.
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  G men 26 and 29 on the road. So we got a line move toward the
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  Mets. We got some good splits.
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  Tons of system matches here. Hopefully better offense.
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  Hope Soto's in the lineup. And then, of course, we got a
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  correlative betting favorite, low total on a team that bought
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  and hopefully again today, teams that bought.
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  Does that give you a little momentum, a little juice?
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  Your team, you know, your organization believes in you
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  versus A-Team like San Fran, who's kind of selling off here.
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  So maybe that's a little supplementary factor.
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  But sticking with the data, looks to me like a Mets play
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  tonight, So I'm laying with New York.
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  I got the Mets at -140 I believe that's not available anymore.
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  But looks like your best price is -144 at FanDuel.
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  Shop around against some books as high as -145 -, 150.
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  But let's go Mets next one for you. 7:10 PM Eastern Time first
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  pitch. The Minnesota Twins visiting the
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  Cleveland Guardians setting the stage for this one.
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  The Twins 51 and 57 just dropped two or three against the Red Sox
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  lost that series finale 13 to 1 as a -125 home favorite or on
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  the Twins in a second. On the other hand, the Guardians
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  54 and 54500 club did just take two or three though against the
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  Rockies. They won that series finale 5 to
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  nothing as a -180 home favorite. So pitching match up here for
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  tonight. Twins are going with the ready
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  Joe Ryan 10 and five 2.82 ERA. Guardians meanwhile going with
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  fellow ready Gavin Williams. He's six and four with a 3.51
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  ERA. So what do you see across the
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  market here? Will this game open?
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  The Guardians listed as a very short -115 home favorite
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  Minnesota around a -, 1 O 5 Rd. Rd. dog and we've seen nothing
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  but movement in favor of the guardians.
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  Guardians of getting gotten crept up here or have crept up
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  -115 now up to -120 -, 125. I jumped on the guards at -120
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  at FanDuel again, shop around some books or most of the market
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  at -125 and the thought process here for me is Minnesota Twins
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  just traded away. I think it was like something
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  like 40% of the roster, pretty much all their bullpen arms, a
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  ton of their offensive players. I really don't understand
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  keeping Joe Ryan. Like if you're going to fire
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  sail, why not trade him too? As a Sox fan, there's a rumor he
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  was going to get dealt to the Sox and it never materialized.
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  But I think that might be the angle.
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  Just, you know, Minnesota's fire sail mode.
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  Korea too, who got traded. I think there was a quote where
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  like everyone's leaving and he's like, I got to get out of here.
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  So what kind of what kind of vibes does that send in the
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  locker room? So I want to bet against the
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  Twins after completely mailing it in at the trade deadline.
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  Whereas Cleveland technically 500 team still in the playoff
• 10:14
  race. Aside from the line move toward
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  the Cleveland Guardians, we also have a pretty good bet split 66%
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  of bets, 78% of dollars at DraftKings and at Circa.
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  Out in Vegas, 65% of bets over 90% of dollars on Cleveland.
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  So good low bets, higher dollar split at both the Wiseguy Vegas
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  book Circa and national public book DraftKings.
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  A bunch of system matches on Cleveland.
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  Some of them are going to be a repeat of the Mets, but both
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  teams coming off a day off. Take the favorite 98 and 5763
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  percent, 4% ROI this year. Home favorites off a win,
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  getting line movement in their favor who also made the playoffs
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  the previous year. I know it's a mouthful, but it's
• 10:56
  kind of straightforward. 134 and 6767 percent, 5% ROI.
• 11:02
  Also the Guardians 18 and 1064 percent 6% ROI as a home
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  favorite. I believe that's I think 9th or
• 11:08
  10th best in baseball and as a home favorite with a line move
• 11:12
  there 11 and 569 percent 14% ROI.
• 11:17
  Cleveland does have that correlative betting that just
• 11:19
  matched with the Mets because it's a very low total of 7
• 11:22
  actually open 7 1/2 got bet down to seven.
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  So if your amount of expected run scored more likely to come
• 11:27
  from quote UN quote that better team.
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  Not going to lie, Joe Ryan's a good pitcher got got a bunch of
• 11:31
  good numbers. But Williams no slouch, 5 and 2
• 11:35
  three-point O 5 ERA at home this year.
• 11:37
  He's at home tonight, hopefully pitches well.
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  And last 10. Cleveland six and four hitting
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  271, three .33 team ERA. Minnesota four and six over the
• 11:47
  last 10, only hitting 2:45 with a 5.61 ERA.
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  Also the Guards 27 and 26 at home.
• 11:54
  Nothing amazing, but you know, about 500 Twins, 21 and 33 on
• 11:59
  the road. And then a little cherry on top
• 12:00
  for the Guardians play tonight, popped open the Juice Reel app.
• 12:03
  Remember they had a 24% sharp mush edge on that Hall of Fame
• 12:07
  game over last night. Well, I noticed a 31% sharp mush
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  edge in favor of the Guardians telling us the bigger, sharper
• 12:14
  wagers who have downloaded Juice Reel synced up their books.
• 12:18
  They're fading the Twins in the spot as well.
• 12:20
  So we got a team that just sold off almost all their players.
• 12:23
  Cleveland still got something to fight for.
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  Line move, splits, system matches, sharp mush edge from
• 12:29
  Juice Reel. I laid it with the guardians
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  -120 at FanDuel again. Shop around.
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  Most of the market around -125 last bit of the night, Let's go
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  out to sunny San Diego. 9:40 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, Saint
• 12:43
  Louis Cardinals visiting the San Diego fathers.
• 12:46
  So going to it, we got the cards 55 and 55 dead. 500 here.
• 12:51
  Did sell some guys though, some pitchers, Helsley and Steven
• 12:54
  Matts and a couple others. Dropped two or three though,
• 12:57
  against the Marlins in their last series, lost the final game
• 13:00
  in that series. 2 to nothing as a -140 home favorite.
• 13:04
  On the other hand, the Padres 60 and 49 on the year, they've won
• 13:07
  five straight, just swept the Mets.
• 13:09
  They won that series finale. 5 nothing as a -, 125 home
• 13:12
  favorite. And also they were a team that
• 13:14
  was very active. And let me just give a shout out
• 13:17
  to, is it AJ Preller, who's the GM of the Padres?
• 13:21
  I love this guy. You have all these other GMs. I
• 13:23
  don't want to trade these prospects.
• 13:25
  It's like, you know, a lot of these prospects never pan out.
• 13:28
  He traded a bunch of top prospects, brought in Mason
• 13:31
  Miller, that stud flamethrower from the A's, JP Sears, picked
• 13:36
  up Ryan O'hearn and Loriano from the Mets.
• 13:38
  I love what the Padres did yesterday.
• 13:41
  So so shout out to AGM who actually likes to go for it
• 13:43
  other than my GM Craig Breslow. Can't can't, you know, make any
• 13:47
  deals and is afraid to give up any kind of prospects even
• 13:50
  though what is it, 80% of prospects don't pan out.
• 13:53
  You can tell I'm an annoyed Red Sox fan who's got the over 85
• 13:57
  1/2 who was wanting some additions, not just Dustin May
• 14:00
  and Matt's. Anyway, pitching match up for
• 14:03
  tonight, we got the Cardinals going with the lefty Matthew
• 14:06
  Liberator. He's six and eight with a four
• 14:08
  point O 4 ERA. Meanwhile, the pods going to go
• 14:11
  with the righty Nick Pavetta. He's had a Goodyear 10 and three
• 14:14
  2.81 ERA. So what is it across the market
• 14:17
  here? Will this game open pods around
• 14:19
  a -? 150 home favorite Saint Louis
• 14:21
  around a + 130 Rd. Dog and boy have the sharps
• 14:25
  pounded the dads tonight. Because we've seen San Diego get
• 14:28
  bet up -150 all the way up to -185 a $0.35 Steam move in favor
• 14:34
  of San Diego. So much even as high as -190
• 14:36
  just a massive, massive adjustment in favor of the
• 14:39
  Padres. Tells me a lot of big money came
• 14:41
  in on the dads here. Splits look pretty good at DK
• 14:45
  84% bets, 86% dollars Pro and Joe on the pods out in Vegas,
• 14:50
  79% bets. Over 90% of the money is on the
• 14:54
  dads. So further evidence of that
• 14:56
  desert sharp action going with San Diego.
• 14:58
  I got 8 system matches on the pods.
• 15:00
  Lot of matches here. Here's some of the best ones.
• 15:03
  Favorites off a win with a winning record, getting $0.05 of
• 15:06
  movement or more. Who also made the playoffs the
• 15:08
  previous year, 130 and 5869 percent, 7% ROI this year,
• 15:14
  Series opening home favorite. So game one of a new series
• 15:17
  getting big Steam $0.20 or more, 62 and 2571 percent, 9% ROI.
• 15:24
  Both teams coming off a day off. Take the favorite again.
• 15:26
  That matched a second ago with Cleveland and the Mets.
• 15:29
  That is a 63% system with a 4% ROI.
• 15:33
  Padres in particular 26 and 1367 percent, 11% ROI as a home
• 15:39
  favorite. That is the 5th best home chalk
• 15:41
  team in all of baseball. San Diego once again has that
• 15:44
  correlative betting value favorite almost a -, 200
• 15:47
  favorite. So big favorite here with a very
• 15:49
  low total of 7 1/2. Few amount of expected run
• 15:52
  scored more likely to come from again quote UN quote that better
• 15:55
  team who's favorite to win. Pavetta 1.17 ERA in five July
• 16:00
  starts only give up 4 earned runs and 30.2 innings pitched
• 16:04
  and at home 6 and O2 point O 7 ERA.
• 16:07
  Meanwhile, the Barrator he's been going the other way.
• 16:10
  He made three starts in July, gave up nine earned runs and
• 16:12
  12.1 innings pitch. That's an ERA of over 6 1/2.
• 16:17
  And then lastly some home Rd. San Diego 34 and 18.
• 16:21
  One of the better home teams in baseball.
• 16:23
  Saint Louis Cardinals 23 and 31 on the road.
• 16:26
  Definitely struggle. Padres bought at the deadline,
• 16:29
  Cardinal sold. Padres are getting big steam
• 16:31
  tonight. Great splits and really the my
• 16:33
  top system match. I got the most system matches
• 16:35
  lit up on San Diego. So even though it's a bit of a
• 16:38
  hefty number, you would have loved to have gotten this little
• 16:40
  bit earlier. I got San Diego -184 at FanDuel.
• 16:44
  But again, shop around. A lot of books are creeping up
• 16:46
  toward -190 so the Dads, the Guardians and the Mets see if we
• 16:51
  can get 2 out of 3. Eek out a winning day.
• 16:54
  Of course, that is the goal. So that about does it for
• 16:57
  episode 328 of the all systems go sports betting podcast on the
• 17:02
  post deadline day in Major League Baseball and we got
• 17:05
  football back in our lives again.
• 17:06
  Wasn't it great sweating that over last night?
• 17:08
  I'm I'm like, man, you know, I love baseball, but it's it's
• 17:11
  nice to have football back. But anyway, guys, it's the part
• 17:14
  of the pod where we wrap things up and I start first by saying
• 17:17
  thank you. Thank you for taking the time
• 17:19
  out of your day, out of your busy lives.
• 17:21
  It's the dog days of summer. But the fact that we've been
• 17:23
  grinding all summer long, you guys been tuning in, we've been
• 17:26
  sweating these data-driven plays together all summer long.
• 17:28
  It means a lot to me. Tells me you want to be a
• 17:31
  sharper, better, tells me you value the insights.
• 17:33
  That really means a ton to me. If you want to you know, do do a
• 17:37
  solid for your boy over here, please would you give this
• 17:39
  podcast a five star review on Spotify or iTunes.
• 17:43
  If you want to leave a nice comment in the review section.
• 17:46
  If you want to click the follow button that way you get alerted
• 17:49
  as soon as it drops each day or recommend the pod to a friend
• 17:52
  that would also be very much appreciated.
• 17:55
  Next, if you enjoy this style of betting breakdown, you notice
• 17:58
  last night we didn't say take the.
• 18:00
  Over because it's fun to root for points and let's just say
• 18:02
  take the over. No, we built a case.
• 18:04
  We looked at the line movement, the splits, the historical
• 18:07
  results, the weather we're able to cash and over again
• 18:10
  approaching bets from a data number driven perspective, not a
• 18:13
  biased, got In Sync perspective. That's really the whole point of
• 18:17
  this podcast cuz we all got thoughts, we all got biases.
• 18:21
  Hey, I got favoritism too, but I've learned over time, read the
• 18:24
  market, trust the market. The market won't get every game
• 18:27
  right, but it's gonna give you a blueprint to win a majority of
• 18:30
  your bets. So if you want to learn more
• 18:32
  about data-driven betting, or maybe you have a friend of yours
• 18:35
  or family member or colleague, someone who wants to get into
• 18:37
  sports betting or someone who bets and loses a lot and wants
• 18:40
  to get better and sharper, I'd love for you guys to go to
• 18:43
  Amazon.com and then type in the everything Guide to Sports
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• 18:57
  move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, how
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  to place a bet in person or online, how to shop for the best
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  line, how to set up a bankroll management plan, all included in
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• 19:10
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  playbook. It's my new book comes out just
• 19:18
  it's incredible. Comes out what, 11 days from
• 19:20
  now, August 12th, so a week from Tuesday cannot wait.
• 19:25
  But if you want to get a leg up on your NFL handicapping, you
• 19:27
  want to support the pod, you want to see what I've been
• 19:30
  working on for the last three years.
• 19:31
  I would love, love, love, love. If you wanted to pre-order a
• 19:34
  copy of the every of the NFL sharp betting playbook.
• 19:37
  It would mean a ton to me guys, and I think you're going to get
• 19:39
  a lot of good insights from it as well.
• 19:42
  But whether it's the Everything Guide or the NFL Sharp Betting
• 19:44
  playbook, bring them to the sports book.
• 19:46
  I'll sign up for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
• 19:49
  ale. We'll get some nachos.
• 19:50
  We'll sweat some baseball games together.
• 19:52
  How's that sound? Because that sounds pretty good
• 19:53
  to me. Also, have you downloaded Rhythm
• 19:57
  and Juice Real yet? Oh, Rhythm.
• 19:59
  Fantastic AI backed models and predictions for game bets and
• 20:02
  player props. I'm actually finalizing an
• 20:05
  announcement here with Rhythm. I got something big planned this
• 20:08
  fall with Rhythm and I think I'm going to announce it, I believe
• 20:12
  next week or the week after. We're getting close here, so
• 20:15
  stay tuned. And then also juice reel if you
• 20:18
  enjoy this pod and you want to get the all systems go best bet
• 20:21
  picks earlier in the day, beat some closing lines, support the
• 20:24
  pod again, you're listening this pod for free.
• 20:26
  It cost you nothing. So if you want to support the
• 20:28
  pod for $4.99 a week, a $5.00 bill, basically a couple a cup
• 20:34
  of coffee, I can get those plays and and again, you can tell fade
• 20:38
  do whatever you like, but you know, you know, I'm betting
• 20:40
  them. You know that's the side that
• 20:41
  I'll be sweating, but also the robo Jackson best bet picks, the
• 20:44
  sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays the shop for the
• 20:47
  best sign futures all available to you in the juice reel app.
• 20:51
  So download rhythm, download juice reel.
• 20:53
  Give them a five star review in the App Store while you're at
• 20:55
  it. Next, do you have a live odds
• 20:58
  page? Well, I can't stress enough the
• 21:00
  importance of a live odds page because again, without it,
• 21:03
  you're flying blind. You got to know all the games
• 21:05
  being played that day. What sports are are are
• 21:09
  available to you. Was funny as I was I tweeted
• 21:12
  this out like, hey, football's back with with the odds logic
• 21:15
  live odds page and I totally, you know didn't even really
• 21:18
  consider Canadian Football League CFL.
• 21:21
  There's CFL lines up there's there's college football lines
• 21:24
  up. There's NFL pre season in game
• 21:26
  in opening week lines up as well.
• 21:29
  So before we get even, you know, basketball or hockey or any of
• 21:32
  that, if you want to get ready for football, I think you should
• 21:35
  start to think about checking out and getting acclimated to
• 21:37
  the odds logic live odds page now so that the time the season
• 21:42
  is back in, you're not trying to figure out what means what.
• 21:45
  But there are again, a lot of live odds pages out there.
• 21:47
  But if you ask me, odds logic is the best because it's the best
• 21:50
  product at the cheapest price. What's wrong with that?
• 21:54
  It's got every game start times, live scoring, live in game
• 21:57
  wagering odds you'd be able to identify Steam numbers get lit
• 22:01
  up in red as soon as they change.
• 22:02
  So you know the markets moving and big money's coming in.
• 22:05
  Shop for the best line, get the best price, pull up the line
• 22:08
  history, notifications for injuries, all available with the
• 22:11
  odds logic live odds page. So give it a shot.
• 22:14
  There's no better odds page around.
• 22:16
  Go to oddslogic.com/josh 123. That'll give you a 7 day free
• 22:22
  trial and 50% off your first month of service.
• 22:24
  And if you like it and you want to keep it, it's only 99 bucks a
• 22:27
  month. I know 99 bucks is not is not
• 22:29
  nothing, but other odds pages are like 250 a month, $600 a
• 22:33
  month. This is the best one at the best
• 22:35
  rate, so give it a shot. Again, oddslogic.com/josh 123.
• 22:41
  So that about does it for episode 328.
• 22:44
  First day in August, last day of the week for the pod.
• 22:47
  As always, I'm gonna leave you with a couple things.
• 22:48
  Whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
• 22:52
  Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
• 22:54
  Sun, down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge
• 22:57
  Park Casino, MGM Springfield. The Nash and Nash from New
• 23:00
  Hampshire are out in the desert with the true Grinders.
• 23:03
  Get down where Billy Walters sends his number runners, where
• 23:05
  the lowest juice possible is found at the South Point.
• 23:08
  Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
• 23:11
  swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 23:13
  Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
• 23:15
  Show me that Mariners ticket. Don't show me the Reds ticket.
• 23:18
  What a tease that was coming all the way back only to lose in in
• 23:21
  the 10th. But you know what?
• 23:22
  Show me the Chargers Lions over 33 1/2 chef's kiss.
• 23:28
  First bet of the year in the NFL and we nailed it.
• 23:31
  So first one's on me, next one's on you.
• 23:33
  We'll sweat the Mets, Guardians and Padres together tonight.
• 23:36
  As always, guys two and one, one and two, three and OO and three.
• 23:40
  After a great night, a terrible night, mediocre night, whether
• 23:43
  we're hot, whether we're cold, whether we're grinding, you just
• 23:46
  got to stick to the model, stick to the blueprint.
• 23:47
  Never get too high when things are going well.
• 23:50
  Never get too down on yourself when things aren't going well.
• 23:52
  Remember, it's a hard market to be consistently because we got
• 23:55
  to overcome the juice, overcome bad beats, you know, ref
• 23:59
  screwing us. Whatever the case may be, we
• 24:01
  just got to keep grinding them. If we can find those system
• 24:03
  matches, games that fit our model, which you might know by
• 24:06
  now against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
• 24:10
  avoid parlays and get that CLV. If we can do that, we're going
• 24:13
  to be successful sports bettors. So have a great Friday night.
• 24:17
  Everybody have an even better weekend reminder.
• 24:19
  No podcast on the weekend, but you can get the official best
• 24:23
  bets for Saturday and Sunday on the Juice Reel ASG podcast page
• 24:30
  again for $4.99 a week. You can also follow me on
• 24:33
  Twitter at Josh under score Insights and I will be writing
• 24:36
  the sharp reports for tomorrow and for Sunday, so you can check
• 24:40
  that out as well. But hope you have a great
• 24:42
  Friday. But everybody hope you have an
• 24:44
  even better weekend and I'll see you back on Monday for episode
• 24:48
  329 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting Podcast powered by
• 24:53
  Rhythm. Good luck everybody and I'll see
• 24:55
  you soon.