Latest / The Epstein Chronicles / Tyler Robinson Preliminary Hearing Transcripts (Day 2 Part 14) (9/25/26)
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: What's up, everyone, and welcome back to the program. In
- 0:04Speaker 1: this episode, we're going to pick up where we left
- 0:06Speaker 1: off with the Tyler Robinson Day 2 transcript. Question. On
- 0:14Speaker 1: another topic, I mentioned studies before. One of the studies
- 0:17Speaker 1: that you're familiar with is called the PCAST report. Are
- 0:20Speaker 1: you familiar with that report? Answer, yes, I am. Question.
- 0:24Speaker 1: Tell the court what it is. Answer. PCAST stands for
- 0:27Speaker 1: the President's Council of Advisors on Science and Technology. And
- 0:31Speaker 1: this was a committee that was found, I believe, under
- 0:34Speaker 1: the Obama administration that gave guidance on different areas of forensics. Question.
- 0:40Speaker 1: Including how to deal with mixed samples and how to
- 0:43Speaker 1: deal with samples that have low quality DNA. Answer. I
- 0:47Speaker 1: don't know that I would agree that that's how to
- 0:49Speaker 1: deal with them. They gave some of their concerns on
- 0:52Speaker 1: low level samples and mixtures. Question. And they also did
- 0:56Speaker 1: a follow-up report to assess whether using that kind of
- 0:59Speaker 1: software that you used, in this case, had been established
- 1:02Speaker 1: as reliable, correct? Answer. That is correct. Question. What was
- 1:06Speaker 1: the software that you used, in the case, to reach
- 1:09Speaker 1: your statistical results? Answer. The software is called STR-MIX. Question.
- 1:16Speaker 1: The PCAST report specifically addresses whether reliability has been established
- 1:20Speaker 1: with respect to the STR-MIX, correct? Answer. I don't believe
- 1:25Speaker 1: that reliability came into the question. I think PCAST thought
- 1:29Speaker 1: that there needed to be additional testing as far as
- 1:31Speaker 1: mixtures and low-level samples go. Question mixtures and low-level samples
- 1:36Speaker 1: that had certain characteristics, right? Answer, that is correct. Question,
- 1:40Speaker 1: including mixtures, where what's called minor contributor was a sample
- 1:44Speaker 1: below 20%? Answer, that is correct. The minor contributor would
- 1:49Speaker 1: be an individual that donated less DNA to the sample.
- 1:53Speaker 1: PCAST called into question mixtures of three or more individuals
- 1:57Speaker 1: with that minor or low-level contributor making up 20% or less.
- 2:03Speaker 1: Seven and eight samples in the case would be both mixtures, correct? Answer,
- 2:07Speaker 1: that is correct. Question, and did you determine that the
- 2:11Speaker 1: proportion of mixture was between what I'll call the major
- 2:14Speaker 1: contributor and the minor contributor? Answer, I did not calculate
- 2:18Speaker 1: that personally. Part of the STR mix software, it does
- 2:22Speaker 1: a couple different things. One, takes a mixture, and it
- 2:25Speaker 1: uses math and biological modeling to try to break that
- 2:28Speaker 1: mixture into its individual contributors. And then, it also calculates
- 2:32Speaker 1: a likelihood ratio, which is the statistic that I report.
- 2:36Speaker 1: During that process, it does give an estimate of the
- 2:40Speaker 1: breakdown of those potential contributors. Question, first of all, for
- 2:44Speaker 1: the 7 sample, was the minor in there less than
- 2:47Speaker 1: 20% according to the STR mix? Answer, yes it was.
- 2:52Speaker 1: For one of the runs when I compared to Mr.
- 2:54Speaker 1: Robinson's condition, on Mr. Twiggs, it was 5% to 95%. Question,
- 3:00Speaker 1: and how about the other sample? Answer, for item 8,
- 3:04Speaker 1: one of the contributors was 11%, and the other was
- 3:07Speaker 1: approximately 89%. Question, so inaudible. Answer, correct, yes. Question, and
- 3:15Speaker 1: the concern expressed in this report, which was written by
- 3:18Speaker 1: experts in your field, correct? Answer, no, that is not correct.
- 3:23Speaker 1: The PCAST report was written by individuals that were not
- 3:26Speaker 1: practitioners of any type of laboratory personnel. Question, but they
- 3:31Speaker 1: list the experts who provided input into the report, do
- 3:34Speaker 1: they not? Answer, yes, they did. Question, one of them
- 3:38Speaker 1: was Bruce Budewal, correct? Answer, correct, yes. Question, who's Bruce Budewal? Answer,
- 3:47Speaker 1: he's a DNA expert within the field. Question, Well, he
- 3:50Speaker 1: was the head of your unit for a number of
- 3:52Speaker 1: years before you came on board, wasn't he? Answer, yes,
- 3:55Speaker 1: he was. Question, and he's written extensively on forensic DNA testing,
- 4:00Speaker 1: has he not? Answer, he has, yes. Question, the report
- 4:04Speaker 1: also lists Eric Gilkerson, correct? Answer, I do not recall
- 4:08Speaker 1: that name. Question, forensic examiner for the Federal Bureau of
- 4:13Speaker 1: Investigation Laboratory. Answer, I don't recognize the name. Question, how
- 4:18Speaker 1: about Brian McVicker? Forensic Examiner, Federal Bureau of Investigation. Now
- 4:24Speaker 1: to this, the prosecution objects. Objection, Your Honor. I'm going
- 4:28Speaker 1: to renew my objection. I think this is beyond the
- 4:31Speaker 1: scope and determining probable cause. The standards that apply here
- 4:36Speaker 1: are that the court weighs the evidence in the light
- 4:38Speaker 1: most favorable to the state and avoids credibility and balancing
- 4:42Speaker 1: the evidence at this stage. I think we're far into
- 4:45Speaker 1: 702 territory at this point. Judge Graff, Defense. Answer, I'm
- 4:51Speaker 1: not sure I understand the objection into 702 territory. 702
- 4:55Speaker 1: deals with the reliability of evidence. That's what the court's
- 4:58Speaker 1: here to determine. So again, it's directly relevant to reliability.
- 5:02Speaker 1: This report criticizes, for the specific sample she's using here,
- 5:06Speaker 1: the reliability of the testing. And her response was, oh,
- 5:09Speaker 1: but they weren't experts. But the report indicates that three
- 5:13Speaker 1: were experts who were consulted on this report. So I
- 5:16Speaker 1: think that it's relevant, and I think it goes to
- 5:18Speaker 1: the issue of reliability. And it's the only question I
- 5:22Speaker 1: have on this area as well. Judge, anything further, prosecution?
- 5:27Speaker 1: Or do you wish to respond to that? Prosecution, just
- 5:30Speaker 1: that 702, deals with admissibility. It doesn't discuss reliability, but
- 5:35Speaker 1: it's directly related to admissibility of the testimony at trial
- 5:38Speaker 1: under the Utah Constitution. And under the robust case law
- 5:42Speaker 1: in this area, the court does not weigh the evidence,
- 5:45Speaker 1: draws the inferences, in the light most favorable to the state.
- 5:48Speaker 1: And I think we're beyond that point. Now getting into
- 5:50Speaker 1: the admissibility questions. All right, anything else the judge asks? Response, nope.
- 5:58Speaker 1: So back at it, judge. All right, well, as this
- 6:02Speaker 1: is the last question, I'm going to overrule the objection.
- 6:05Speaker 1: But as a reminder to all parties that this is
- 6:07Speaker 1: a probable cause standard. And as it relates to, well,
- 6:10Speaker 1: I'll just leave it at that. Defense. Question. Are you
- 6:15Speaker 1: familiar with that analyst? Answer, no, I'm not. Question. Just
- 6:19Speaker 1: to close the loop on the PCAST report, what they
- 6:22Speaker 1: said in the report was that the published evidence supports
- 6:26Speaker 1: the foundational validity of probabilistic genotyping with some programs of
- 6:30Speaker 1: DNA mixtures of three individuals in which the minor contributor
- 6:35Speaker 1: constitutes at least 20% of the intact DNA in the
- 6:38Speaker 1: mixture and which the DNA amount succeeds the minimum required
- 6:42Speaker 1: level for the inaudible. Isn't that what they concluded? Answer,
- 6:47Speaker 1: that sounds accurate, yes. Question, and do you know why
- 6:51Speaker 1: the level 20% raises reliability issues? Answer, I do not know. Question,
- 6:56Speaker 1: but you do know that in this case, both your
- 6:58Speaker 1: samples had minor contributors below 20%? Answer, that is true,
- 7:03Speaker 1: but in this case, it was also only a mixture
- 7:06Speaker 1: of two individuals. Question, that was the next thing I
- 7:09Speaker 1: was going to ask you about, which is what is NOC? Question,
- 7:13Speaker 1: or answer, excuse me, NOC stands for number of contributors. Question,
- 7:18Speaker 1: and when you use the program, this genotyping program, STR Mix,
- 7:22Speaker 1: who decides what the number of contributors is? Answer, that's
- 7:27Speaker 1: my determination based on my experience and training looking at
- 7:30Speaker 1: the data. That's something I input into STR Mix. Question,
- 7:35Speaker 1: that's a complex determination, is it not? Answer, not necessarily. Question,
- 7:40Speaker 1: but it can be in some cases, correct? Answer, it
- 7:43Speaker 1: could be. Again, If there's a mixture of a lot
- 7:46Speaker 1: of individuals and a lot of the peak heights, the
- 7:49Speaker 1: size of the spikes are relatively the same. It could
- 7:52Speaker 1: cause some trouble for me as an examiner. Question, one
- 7:56Speaker 1: of the groups that studies your field is the National
- 7:58Speaker 1: Institute of Standards and Technology, correct? Answer, that's correct, yes. Question,
- 8:03Speaker 1: they're in the Department of Commerce. Answer, I believe so, yes. Question,
- 8:07Speaker 1: federal agency? Answer, yes. Question, they published a report in
- 8:12Speaker 1: 2024 saying called Forensic DNA Interpretation and Human Factors, Improving
- 8:17Speaker 1: Practice Through a Systems Approach. You're familiar with that publication, right? Answer,
- 8:22Speaker 1: yes I am. Question, and was that publication written by scientists? Answer,
- 8:27Speaker 1: I don't recall exactly who the authors of that publication were. Question,
- 8:31Speaker 1: just to make sure that it's a long report, right? Answer,
- 8:35Speaker 1: yes it is. Question, and you've read it? Answer, I've
- 8:38Speaker 1: read highlights of it. Question, is it true that one
- 8:41Speaker 1: of the things that they say in the report is
- 8:44Speaker 1: that they have a section on the complexity or the
- 8:46Speaker 1: number of contributor estimations? To that, the prosecution jumps in. Objection.
- 8:53Speaker 1: Same objection, Your Honor. This is beyond the scope of
- 8:55Speaker 1: a prelim hearing. Again, we're talking about expert reports. We're
- 8:59Speaker 1: talking about scientific studies. These materials are all fine to
- 9:03Speaker 1: consider at a 702 admissibility hearing. At the stage we're at, again...
- 9:08Speaker 1: The evidence is viewed in the light most favorable to
- 9:11Speaker 1: the state. This is unhelpful to the court's determination, therefore
- 9:15Speaker 1: irrelevant to the proceeding. Defense, Your Honor, I think that
- 9:20Speaker 1: the report that the state put into evidence as clarified
- 9:23Speaker 1: by the witness indicates that she reached the conclusion that Mr.
- 9:27Speaker 1: Robinson and Mr. Twiggs were, quote, possible contributors to these
- 9:31Speaker 1: two samples. One thing the court has to weigh is
- 9:34Speaker 1: what is the weight of that opinion given the science
- 9:37Speaker 1: or lack thereof. One of the important issues here is
- 9:40Speaker 1: how she derived those statistical numbers. As an offer of proof,
- 9:44Speaker 1: I'll indicate to the court that the numbers derived from
- 9:46Speaker 1: this software program and that the software program is dependent
- 9:50Speaker 1: in large part on how many contributors the analyst puts
- 9:53Speaker 1: into the input of the software. And the numbers can
- 9:56Speaker 1: change if the number of contributors is changed. In this case,
- 10:00Speaker 1: as I'll show through examination, this examiner originally thought that
- 10:04Speaker 1: there were three contributors. And I will show the court
- 10:07Speaker 1: why she changed her analysis and will indicate through the
- 10:10Speaker 1: publication that there has been criticism of the way in
- 10:13Speaker 1: which she determined the number of contributors. So I think
- 10:16Speaker 1: it's important for the court to assess whether you've got
- 10:19Speaker 1: accurate numbers in front of you. The state put these numbers,
- 10:23Speaker 1: these astronomical numbers, and are asking the court to give
- 10:25Speaker 1: weight to them. And I'm asking the court to consider
- 10:28Speaker 1: how those numbers were arrived at, and whether there are
- 10:31Speaker 1: reliability issues with regard to those numbers. Judge Graff, the
- 10:35Speaker 1: concern that I have is, I turn to State v. Ramirez, 2012,
- 10:38Speaker 1: Utah 59, at paragraph 10. It states, furthermore, the magistrate's role...
- 10:45Speaker 1: does not encompass an assessment of whether such inference is
- 10:48Speaker 1: more plausible than an alternative that cuts in favor of
- 10:52Speaker 1: the defense. That is a matter-of-fact finding which is left
- 10:55Speaker 1: for the jury at trial. So, when I'm staying in
- 10:58Speaker 1: my role as a magistrate, I hear what you're saying.
- 11:01Speaker 1: But my concern is based off case law that dictates
- 11:05Speaker 1: what I as a magistrate should be doing. If I
- 11:07Speaker 1: want to stay in that lane, my fear is that
- 11:09Speaker 1: if we go down further down the path, which again
- 11:12Speaker 1: is not precluding if this were to proceed... if this
- 11:15Speaker 1: were a bind over, if this were a trial, that
- 11:18Speaker 1: certainly that could be determined. But at this point, at
- 11:21Speaker 1: this stage, how do you weigh the issue as I'm
- 11:23Speaker 1: weighing State v. Ramirez and deciding whether we're going past
- 11:27Speaker 1: the probable cause stage? Defense, sure. And I think the
- 11:31Speaker 1: answer to that is we have to take into account
- 11:33Speaker 1: the ruling that you made in the case, which is
- 11:35Speaker 1: the law of the case. which is when we objected
- 11:38Speaker 1: to the hearsay aspect of these DNA reports and other reports,
- 11:42Speaker 1: you ruled that you are the ultimate determiner of the
- 11:44Speaker 1: reliability of the hearsay evidence being admitted. You will recall
- 11:48Speaker 1: that our argument was the statute was unconstitutional because it
- 11:52Speaker 1: was dictating that you find certain evidence to be reliable
- 11:55Speaker 1: without considering whether it was reliable. Your ruling, as I
- 11:58Speaker 1: understand it, was no, you retain the ultimate determination of
- 12:02Speaker 1: whether the evidence is reliable. And that's not a credibility issue.
- 12:07Speaker 1: It is this reliable hearsay that the state is offering.
- 12:10Speaker 1: Issues that go whether these numbers that the state is
- 12:14Speaker 1: putting in front of you are reliable, I think go
- 12:16Speaker 1: directly to the substance of your ruling, which is that
- 12:19Speaker 1: your role here is to determine reliability of the evidence.
- 12:23Speaker 1: I'm familiar with the case that the court cites, but
- 12:26Speaker 1: I think has more to do with weighing evidence and
- 12:29Speaker 1: making credibility assessments, whereas I'm focused on what the court ruled,
- 12:33Speaker 1: which is we have to look at reliability here. and
- 12:36Speaker 1: that's my job as a magistrate. Judge, prosecution, any final thoughts? Prosecution, yes.
- 12:44Speaker 1: Under Rule 1102B4, the Exhibit 31 is considered reliable hearsay.
- 12:49Speaker 1: In addition, credibility determinations are not proper for the court
- 12:52Speaker 1: to make. Here, for the whole reason that studies supporting
- 12:56Speaker 1: this science, studies opposing the science, testimony from this expert
- 13:00Speaker 1: or that expert about what is reliable, what is not,
- 13:03Speaker 1: what's more reliable, what's less reliable, factors that affect all
- 13:07Speaker 1: those determinations, those are all very, very complex decisions. There
- 13:13Speaker 1: will probably be multiple-day hearings dealing with that. And a
- 13:16Speaker 1: probable cause determination is just not the place to conduct
- 13:20Speaker 1: that kind of thorough, in-depth, and searching analysis. Rather, the
- 13:24Speaker 1: case law, the Constitution of Utah, that says the only
- 13:27Speaker 1: purpose of a prelim hearing is determining probable cause. The
- 13:31Speaker 1: case law, the rules that say that the court does
- 13:34Speaker 1: not weigh the evidence at this stage, but leaves that
- 13:36Speaker 1: for a finder of fact, the jury in the end,
- 13:39Speaker 1: that all supports cutting this line of questioning off at
- 13:41Speaker 1: this point, rather than going into greater depth, Your Honor.
- 13:45Speaker 1: Judge Graff, all right, based on what's been presented before me,
- 13:48Speaker 1: I'm going to sustain in part and deny in part
- 13:51Speaker 1: the objections made. I'm going to allow this question to
- 13:53Speaker 1: be asked. So that is denying but sustained in the
- 13:57Speaker 1: sense that it would be the last question. And if Mr.
- 14:00Speaker 1: Burt chooses to, may go on to a different subject
- 14:03Speaker 1: or a different line of questioning. All right, folks, we're
- 14:06Speaker 1: going to wrap up right here. And in the next episode,
- 14:08Speaker 1: we're going to pick up where we left off. All
- 14:10Speaker 1: the information that goes with this episode can be found
- 14:13Speaker 1: in the description box.