Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NCAAF Bowls Best Bets 12/23/25
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Yep.
- 0:02Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own seven
- 0:07Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
- 0:09Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
- 0:12Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
- 0:15Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that. I
- 0:18Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore.
- 0:19Speaker 2: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
- 0:23Speaker 2: slump continuing.
- 0:24Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
- 0:28Speaker 1: I have not had a good season.
- 0:32Speaker 2: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
- 0:36Speaker 2: slump continues, I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going
- 0:41Speaker 2: to burn my browins hat man, I don't know what
- 0:43Speaker 2: is going on with the bruins arch hape?
- 0:46Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
- 0:48Speaker 1: March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I don't
- 0:52Speaker 1: know what day is anymore. But I don't even know what.
- 0:54Speaker 2: Data is anymore. Man, back with you after the worst
- 0:58Speaker 2: day that I could possibly have, Back with you as
- 1:01Speaker 2: I always am.
- 1:02Speaker 1: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
- 1:06Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me.
- 1:08Speaker 2: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
- 1:12Speaker 2: my eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to
- 1:14Speaker 2: even tell you about this anymore. The slumpy praise, the
- 1:17Speaker 2: slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
- 1:21Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:23Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
- 1:25Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
- 1:34Speaker 2: It's towed back with you. Toadstool Sports, December twenty third.
- 1:40Speaker 2: Happy Festivus, everybody. We got the Festivus poll ready to
- 1:45Speaker 2: go right here. I don't really have any grievances to
- 1:48Speaker 2: air here. It's mostly mostly feats of strength on the
- 1:52Speaker 2: show here and from from the the teams that we
- 1:57Speaker 2: that we had plays on yesterday three and a day yesterday.
- 2:01Speaker 2: With the bounce back yesterday, UTSA, that line went up
- 2:05Speaker 2: to ten and a half kind of worried me. So
- 2:08Speaker 2: people that got on it later in the day got
- 2:10Speaker 2: a better number and whatever. Either way, it didn't matter.
- 2:13Speaker 2: I think they lost by three. They were right in
- 2:14Speaker 2: that game right at the end. They might have lost
- 2:16Speaker 2: by two whatever it was. They were in that game
- 2:18Speaker 2: at the end, man, so it might have gone into
- 2:21Speaker 2: overtime as well. I'm not sure, but it was closed
- 2:23Speaker 2: at the end. We won with Mississippi Valley State. Like
- 2:29Speaker 2: I said, man, it's just one of those games where
- 2:32Speaker 2: the line is just too high in West Virginia, like
- 2:35Speaker 2: they were gonna have to get into the nineties to
- 2:36Speaker 2: cover that, and I just didn't see them doing that
- 2:39Speaker 2: or caring to do that. So Mississippi Valley State loses
- 2:43Speaker 2: by thirty five and covers fairly easily. So how about
- 2:47Speaker 2: that it was a wire to wire cover, baby. I
- 2:50Speaker 2: think at most they were down thirty seven or maybe
- 2:53Speaker 2: thirty eight, but so I guess a little bit dicey.
- 2:56Speaker 2: And then the Columbus BJ's got it done for us
- 2:59Speaker 2: as well, got out to a two to nothing lead
- 3:01Speaker 2: and then wound up winning the game three to one.
- 3:03Speaker 1: So we'll take that as well.
- 3:06Speaker 2: The scoop the pot with the Blue Jackets money line cash,
- 3:11Speaker 2: if you just went straight up money line, money line,
- 3:14Speaker 2: puck line, whatever it all hit. Today, I'm being real
- 3:19Speaker 2: selective again today.
- 3:20Speaker 1: We have a few.
- 3:20Speaker 2: Bowls today that these bulls are such a mess now, dude,
- 3:24Speaker 2: I'm being unbelievably selective.
- 3:26Speaker 1: With the bulls.
- 3:26Speaker 2: It's way easier to handicap the playoff games because it's
- 3:30Speaker 2: like a straight handicap rather than a gay one. But
- 3:33Speaker 2: we'll talk about these Bowl games today. The balls are
- 3:36Speaker 2: a mess, dude, Like just with the transfer portal and
- 3:39Speaker 2: everything else that's going on, it's crazy. Only one of
- 3:42Speaker 2: the three games today is really a straight handicap, and
- 3:45Speaker 2: that's like the game that I would have the strongest
- 3:48Speaker 2: opinion on today, and I still don't want it. There's
- 3:51Speaker 2: a huge NHL card and an NBA card because the
- 3:54Speaker 2: leagues are going to be off for a couple of
- 3:56Speaker 2: days except for the Christmas NBA games.
- 4:00Speaker 1: But I only have one play over there too.
- 4:01Speaker 2: I'm gonna have one college basketball play and one NHL
- 4:04Speaker 2: play and that's it. I don't like the NBA board
- 4:07Speaker 2: at all. Jeffrey, what's up? Thanks for hanging out, Stacks,
- 4:10Speaker 2: Thanks for having me on your show last night. I
- 4:12Speaker 2: was on Stacks show last night, which is, uh, what
- 4:15Speaker 2: is it called again?
- 4:16Speaker 1: Shoot the shit? Shit talking? What is it called again?
- 4:19Speaker 1: Whatever it was.
- 4:20Speaker 2: I had fun on that show. You guys can hopefully
- 4:22Speaker 2: go find that.
- 4:24Speaker 1: It was fun.
- 4:25Speaker 2: The Pelicans what did they What did they do? I
- 4:27Speaker 2: didn't even see.
- 4:28Speaker 1: I was. I was happy with their performance when they
- 4:30Speaker 1: beat Houston the other night. I was happy about that.
- 4:36Speaker 2: Siana and Bethune Cookman bullet both coffered barely. All Right,
- 4:41Speaker 2: well that's good hopefully you uh, I don't know, got
- 4:44Speaker 2: to bang Buffalo Wild Wings waitresses or something, whatever's going
- 4:47Speaker 2: on over there.
- 4:48Speaker 1: All right, let's let's get into it. Man.
- 4:52Speaker 2: We have a small college basketball board today. I do
- 4:55Speaker 2: have one play maybe one other slight lean here.
- 4:58Speaker 1: And most of these games are just kind of lame.
- 5:02Speaker 2: There's a game at noon between green Bay Doug Gottlieb's
- 5:06Speaker 2: team he's out there throwing chairs and whatever against Campbell.
- 5:10Speaker 2: And this is a game where if you look at
- 5:11Speaker 2: the line, you're gonna think, like, what is going on here?
- 5:13Speaker 2: Where Campbell's five and seven, green Bay six and seven,
- 5:16Speaker 2: but Campbell's laying five and a half. I mean that
- 5:19Speaker 2: should tell you right away. Oddsmakers are telling you Campbell's
- 5:22Speaker 2: the better team. Yeah, they get some home court advantage,
- 5:24Speaker 2: but green Bay also sucks on the road one in five.
- 5:27Speaker 1: Campbell four and zero at home.
- 5:30Speaker 2: I mean, I don't really have much of a situation
- 5:31Speaker 2: to talk about here, but if I was gonna play it,
- 5:33Speaker 2: I would probably lay it with Campbell. Green Bay did
- 5:36Speaker 2: also actually beat you see Santa Barbara. I mean that's
- 5:38Speaker 2: a pretty decent win there. I think Green Bay might
- 5:41Speaker 2: have actually still been favored in that game at home.
- 5:43Speaker 2: But you see Santa Barbara decent team.
- 5:47Speaker 1: Campbell.
- 5:47Speaker 2: They're coming out of a bigger couple of games against
- 5:49Speaker 2: Gonzaga and Minnesota on the road, But I mean, you
- 5:54Speaker 2: didn't expect them to beat those teams.
- 5:56Speaker 1: They weren't really close in either of those games. So
- 5:59Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 5:59Speaker 2: I don't really hate the situation for Campbell there either.
- 6:02Speaker 2: The money looks like it's disagreeing. Campbell went up to
- 6:04Speaker 2: a five point favorite, seventy one percent of tickets and
- 6:07Speaker 2: only sixty four percent of the cash on them, so
- 6:10Speaker 2: the money is saying otherwise. But my opinion would probably
- 6:13Speaker 2: be to lay the points there. We got another game
- 6:16Speaker 2: at noon between Binghamton and Army. Binghamton is just an
- 6:19Speaker 2: atrocious team. They just lost pretty badly to Mercyhurst. Army
- 6:25Speaker 2: is coming off I think something bigger than that. Yeah,
- 6:27Speaker 2: Army pulled up a little bit of an upset over UMBC,
- 6:32Speaker 2: which I think UNBC was the favorite at home in
- 6:35Speaker 2: that one, so Army maybe in a little bit of
- 6:37Speaker 2: a letdown.
- 6:37Speaker 1: Spot of that.
- 6:38Speaker 2: They're not exactly a good team, although they're laying a
- 6:40Speaker 2: lot of points here up to eleven. The money looks
- 6:43Speaker 2: like it is coming back on Binghamton. It's a low
- 6:45Speaker 2: total in this game too, at one forty, so I
- 6:48Speaker 2: don't disagree with taking the points with Binghamton in that
- 6:51Speaker 2: one fifty five percent of the tickets on Army and
- 6:53Speaker 2: sixty two percent of the cash on Binghamton.
- 6:57Speaker 1: SEC network at one pm.
- 6:59Speaker 2: Bell in Kentucky, I almost consider giving out a play
- 7:03Speaker 2: on this. I think Kentucky is kind of in an
- 7:06Speaker 2: iffy spot here, and on top of that, Bellerman is
- 7:09Speaker 2: an in state little brother because Bellerman is in Louisville, Kentucky.
- 7:13Speaker 1: If I'm not mistaken, nobody knows who the hell they are.
- 7:15Speaker 1: But I'm pretty sure that's accurate.
- 7:18Speaker 2: They've only been in Division one for a few years now,
- 7:20Speaker 2: but Kentucky is definitely one of the games on their
- 7:23Speaker 2: schedule that they're gonna try to get up for. Although
- 7:25Speaker 2: obviously Kentucky's the way better team. Kentucky likes to play
- 7:29Speaker 2: a bit faster, so that could throw Bellerman off a
- 7:33Speaker 2: little bit. But do we really see Kentucky like totally
- 7:35Speaker 2: showing up in this game and going all out for it.
- 7:39Speaker 2: I'm not so sure, Kentucky's coming off with two nice
- 7:41Speaker 2: wins against Indiana, and then they beat Saint John's and
- 7:44Speaker 2: knocks Saint John's out of the rankings.
- 7:46Speaker 1: That was a nice win.
- 7:48Speaker 2: I believe I had my leen on that one correct
- 7:50Speaker 2: in that game. Nice win for Kentucky. And now they
- 7:53Speaker 2: played Bellerman, which again, how much do they really care
- 7:57Speaker 2: about this? They got the holidays coming up after this,
- 7:59Speaker 2: and then coming out of the holidays, SEC play starts
- 8:03Speaker 2: with Alabama. That is a huge game too, So this
- 8:06Speaker 2: is basically a sandwich spot. Plus Bellerman is an in
- 8:09Speaker 2: state little brother. Although Bellerman is atrocious on the road
- 8:13Speaker 2: one in four Kentucky seven and one at home. Though
- 8:16Speaker 2: obviously you're gonna be asking Kentucky to cover a giant
- 8:19Speaker 2: number in this game if they're gonna actually try to
- 8:21Speaker 2: cover this thing Bellerman. Though they're coming up a pretty
- 8:25Speaker 2: nice upset win here against Chattanooga. They played pretty tough
- 8:28Speaker 2: against Northern Kentucky the game before that, which is another
- 8:31Speaker 2: in state big brothers in them, and Northern Kentucky is
- 8:34Speaker 2: not that bad, so Bellerman. This is my hesitation with
- 8:37Speaker 2: it is that Bellerman is playing like three kind of
- 8:40Speaker 2: step up games in a row and coming off an upset.
- 8:43Speaker 2: I mean, I would still lean to their side if
- 8:46Speaker 2: I was gonna play this game, but it's not gonna
- 8:48Speaker 2: be on my card. Kentucky has seventy one percent of
- 8:51Speaker 2: tickets in eighty eight percent of the cash on them.
- 8:53Speaker 2: For whatever reason, They're up to a thirty six point
- 8:57Speaker 2: favorite in this one. But I would look to take
- 8:59Speaker 2: the point with Bellerman again if I was gonna play
- 9:02Speaker 2: at The total has increased up into the one fifties,
- 9:06Speaker 2: very similar to the game. That actually is a play
- 9:08Speaker 2: for me, which this number looks like it's going up
- 9:11Speaker 2: and up and up, But we're gonna We're gonna take
- 9:14Speaker 2: the points with Grambling plus thirty.
- 9:17Speaker 1: Oh webs, I forgot best bets. Yeah, here we go, baby.
- 9:22Speaker 2: This is my play in college basketball today is Grambling,
- 9:25Speaker 2: which is kind of a similar spot to the Bellarmine one,
- 9:29Speaker 2: except I think I like this one better. I also
- 9:32Speaker 2: think this line is a little bit out of control.
- 9:34Speaker 2: I mean, it keeps going up and I don't know why.
- 9:36Speaker 2: It's up to thirty and a half now from twenty
- 9:39Speaker 2: seven fifty six percent. They get seventy five percent of
- 9:41Speaker 2: the causal on Ohio State. I'm not gonna buy it.
- 9:46Speaker 2: The total is all the way up to one fifty four,
- 9:48Speaker 2: which does worry me a little bit. But Ohio State
- 9:50Speaker 2: doesn't exactly play that fast, and I've talked about how
- 9:53Speaker 2: Ohio State is not that battle tested, except yeah, they
- 9:57Speaker 2: did look pretty good, and there are two step up
- 9:58Speaker 2: games against Illinois and North Carolina.
- 10:02Speaker 1: But this is kind of why I want to.
- 10:03Speaker 2: Fade them here, because they had a huge game against
- 10:06Speaker 2: North Carolina and they almost pulled off the upset. I mean,
- 10:09Speaker 2: this is a game that was I think tied with
- 10:11Speaker 2: a minute to go, huge, huge step up game for
- 10:14Speaker 2: Ohio State. They lost by one point. Now they play
- 10:18Speaker 2: Grambling before going into the holidays, and after the Holidays
- 10:21Speaker 2: they start Big ten Play or continue Big Ten Play,
- 10:25Speaker 2: but they start like official Big Ten Play. And yeah,
- 10:28Speaker 2: they only started with Rutgers. I know Rutgers is a
- 10:30Speaker 2: horrible team, but still I just don't know what Ohio
- 10:34Speaker 2: State's really gonna have after this run of games here. Man,
- 10:37Speaker 2: After they played you know, they beat Northwestern in their
- 10:41Speaker 2: conference opener, they played Illinois tough. They had a really
- 10:44Speaker 2: tough physical game against West Virginia that went double overtime.
- 10:47Speaker 2: I believe I talked about that yesterday and then they
- 10:49Speaker 2: had another huge game against North Carolina.
- 10:53Speaker 1: So yeah, I just don't know what they have left
- 10:55Speaker 1: in the tank here.
- 10:55Speaker 2: I don't really see them really having all this motivation
- 10:59Speaker 2: to cover this number. And yes, I know, similar to
- 11:01Speaker 2: what I said with Bellerman, Grambling is offul on the
- 11:03Speaker 2: road one and six, Ohio State six and one at home.
- 11:06Speaker 2: But Grambling, I mean there are somewhat battle tests at least.
- 11:11Speaker 1: I mean some of their road games.
- 11:12Speaker 2: They got blown out by Iowa State. We know how
- 11:15Speaker 2: good Iowa State is. Grambling was actually fairly competitive on
- 11:18Speaker 2: the road against Southern miss Tulane cal Baptist wasn't even
- 11:23Speaker 2: that bad of a loss uc Riverside. I mean, Grambling
- 11:27Speaker 2: is kind of hanging around in a lot of these games.
- 11:29Speaker 2: And I know Ohio State is a beast. Ohio State,
- 11:32Speaker 2: well not a beast, but a different animal from the
- 11:34Speaker 2: rest of these teams, except Iowa State is really the beast.
- 11:38Speaker 2: Ohio State is definitely significantly worse than they are. But
- 11:41Speaker 2: this is one of the big games on Grambling schedule, man,
- 11:44Speaker 2: so I think they will show up.
- 11:45Speaker 1: And yes, I know they did just win. Whatever.
- 11:47Speaker 2: This historically black college tournament. Thing is they beat Hampton,
- 11:53Speaker 2: which I was wrong about that game after they pulled
- 11:57Speaker 2: off an opposite of Norfolk State. So yeah, yeah, I
- 12:00Speaker 2: mean they did do that. But are they really going
- 12:02Speaker 2: to be in a letdown spot when they're facing Ohio
- 12:04Speaker 2: State here?
- 12:05Speaker 1: I don't really think so.
- 12:06Speaker 2: And Ken Bomb basically has this line in like the
- 12:09Speaker 2: low twenties, so the fact that this line is thirty
- 12:11Speaker 2: and a half seems pretty ridiculous.
- 12:14Speaker 1: Like you know that you're getting some.
- 12:16Speaker 2: Live value playing Grambling in this one, and that is
- 12:19Speaker 2: what we're gonna do here. I know Ohio State is
- 12:21Speaker 2: more battle tested now. Like I said, I was saying
- 12:23Speaker 2: up until like recently that they hadn't played anybody.
- 12:26Speaker 1: Now that's no longer the case.
- 12:28Speaker 2: But now because they did just play the biggest somebody
- 12:31Speaker 2: that they played so far, pretty much, I think they're
- 12:33Speaker 2: gonna be in a hangover spot after that huge performance.
- 12:36Speaker 1: So that's really the handicap there.
- 12:37Speaker 2: So we're going to be on Grambling plus the points
- 12:41Speaker 2: in that one. All right, we got I don't know
- 12:47Speaker 2: if I don't think I'm gonna talk about every one
- 12:49Speaker 2: of these games. I mean, if you want me to
- 12:50Speaker 2: talk about any of these other games, I will, but
- 12:53Speaker 2: none of the rest of these games are really any
- 12:55Speaker 2: big games there is. I mean, the games are all
- 12:59Speaker 2: throughout the day by the so you get some afternoon
- 13:01Speaker 2: basketball whatever, And then we do have Villanova and Seaton Hall.
- 13:06Speaker 2: Was the only Power Conference game today. It's on Peacock
- 13:10Speaker 2: tonight at seven pm. Two Big East teams going at it.
- 13:14Speaker 2: They both play ugly and slow, so and under maybe
- 13:19Speaker 2: it's worth a look in this game because because of
- 13:21Speaker 2: the way these teams play, the totals up to one
- 13:23Speaker 2: hundred and thirty two and a half. The money looks
- 13:25Speaker 2: like it's it's coming in on the over a little bit.
- 13:27Speaker 2: But I don't know if I would really agree with that.
- 13:30Speaker 2: We know that both of these teams play super ugly.
- 13:33Speaker 2: Villanova is coming off an overtime upset win of Wisconsin
- 13:37Speaker 2: on a neutral That was a big win.
- 13:39Speaker 1: Man.
- 13:39Speaker 2: This was in Milwaukee too, so it was kind of
- 13:41Speaker 2: a favorable location for Wisconsin. Wisconsin's falling apart. Man, I
- 13:46Speaker 2: don't know what's going on with them, but that was
- 13:48Speaker 2: a nice upset win for Villanova. Now that you've got
- 13:51Speaker 2: to come back and play Seaton Hall on the road.
- 13:53Speaker 2: It is the conference opener. So I don't think Villanova's
- 13:56Speaker 2: really gonna overlook Seaton Hall, especially because Seaton Hall is
- 13:59Speaker 2: off to a good are, although as I keep saying,
- 14:01Speaker 2: I don't think Seaton Hall is that good. I think
- 14:03Speaker 2: Villanova is the better team. Seton Hall does have a
- 14:07Speaker 2: conference win already, They're coming off beating Providence on the road,
- 14:11Speaker 2: and alright, win, but Providence isn't exactly good, So I
- 14:15Speaker 2: still I worry about Seton Hall man as far as like,
- 14:18Speaker 2: I just don't think their record is really indicative of
- 14:21Speaker 2: what they are. Like They've had a couple of step
- 14:23Speaker 2: up games. They beat NC State, they lost by two
- 14:26Speaker 2: to USC. Other than that, not really battle tests like
- 14:29Speaker 2: Kansas State is down, Rutgers is not very good, Providence
- 14:32Speaker 2: is not very good. Villanova I believe it is the
- 14:36Speaker 2: more battle testing team really, just because they faced BYU
- 14:39Speaker 2: and Michigan and they did beat Pitt and then they
- 14:41Speaker 2: beat Wisconsin, still a decent win there, So you could
- 14:45Speaker 2: argue Villanova's in a letdown spot for pulling off the upset.
- 14:48Speaker 1: I see both teams.
- 14:49Speaker 2: Showing up here, so I kind of start resorting to
- 14:53Speaker 2: like the numbers in a case like this, and I
- 14:55Speaker 2: think taking the points does make sense here where it
- 14:57Speaker 2: might be a low like you know, low score wearing
- 15:00Speaker 2: ugly game, getting any points kind of makes sense here.
- 15:04Speaker 2: Plus I think Villanova is the better team, so giving
- 15:07Speaker 2: you know, having Seaton Hall laying two and a half,
- 15:09Speaker 2: even though yes, you have to give them home court
- 15:11Speaker 2: advantage here, I don't know. To me, I think the
- 15:14Speaker 2: correct line is probably closer to the one one and
- 15:16Speaker 2: a half sixty seven percent of ticket, sixty six percent
- 15:20Speaker 2: of the cash on Seaton Hall. I would take the
- 15:22Speaker 2: points with Villanova on that one though. If I was
- 15:25Speaker 2: gonna play it all right, we have NHL here, I
- 15:28Speaker 2: am gonna have one play on this massive NHL board.
- 15:32Speaker 2: We have big NHL and NBA boards. Man, I just
- 15:35Speaker 2: don't like what I see at all. We got Pittsburgh
- 15:38Speaker 2: at Toronto to kick this off in the afternoon at
- 15:40Speaker 2: four pm.
- 15:42Speaker 1: Pittsburgh.
- 15:43Speaker 2: We were correct with Pittsburgh on the show with that
- 15:46Speaker 2: zig zag win over Montreal.
- 15:47Speaker 1: That's a pretty nice win.
- 15:48Speaker 2: So I could see this kind of going both ways,
- 15:50Speaker 2: like is Pittsburgh gonna be in a letdown off of
- 15:53Speaker 2: a shootout win over a pretty good Montreal team or
- 15:56Speaker 2: are they gonna have new momentum because they broke losing
- 16:00Speaker 2: streak there, maybe and carrying that momentum out on the
- 16:03Speaker 2: road sometimes is a good thing. Although it's just a
- 16:06Speaker 2: single road game before they celebrate the holidays. Toronto has
- 16:10Speaker 2: really been struggling recently. Toronto, they just got smashed by
- 16:16Speaker 2: Dallas five to one. Although Dallas is really good, Toronto's
- 16:20Speaker 2: returning from a road trip, and you know, I talk
- 16:21Speaker 2: about I don't like playing teams returning home from a
- 16:24Speaker 2: road trips.
- 16:25Speaker 1: I'm basically never gonna do it.
- 16:26Speaker 2: It was a short road trip though they were only
- 16:28Speaker 2: on the road between Thursday and Sunday, but they did
- 16:31Speaker 2: go all the way. I mean, Dallas was the furthest
- 16:33Speaker 2: they went coming back home from that, you know, I
- 16:37Speaker 2: mean overall, I think I do have to lean Pittsburgh
- 16:39Speaker 2: here because Toronto is technically still returning home from a
- 16:42Speaker 2: road trip. That can be a bit of a distracted spot,
- 16:45Speaker 2: especially when you're returning home the holidays are coming in,
- 16:48Speaker 2: you know, so the holidays I think can kind of
- 16:50Speaker 2: distract the home team a little bit more, whereas if
- 16:53Speaker 2: you're on the road, you're not really thinking about that.
- 16:56Speaker 2: Pittsburgh may carry that momentum into this, even though I
- 16:58Speaker 2: could see the argument for the let down, but the
- 17:01Speaker 2: money the market, Reid says, Pittsburgh here, Toronto's down for
- 17:04Speaker 2: minus one fifty to minus one twenty eight. Eighty one
- 17:07Speaker 2: percent of the tickets is seventy seven percent of the
- 17:09Speaker 2: cash on Toronto. Public being on Toronto seems wild to
- 17:12Speaker 2: me because you'd think the public could be taking Pittsburgh
- 17:15Speaker 2: as an underdog with the better record. But either way,
- 17:19Speaker 2: I think Pittsburgh is probably the way that I would
- 17:21Speaker 2: lean in that one. Dallas at Detroit. Dallas obviously one
- 17:26Speaker 2: of the top teams in the NHL. They're coming off
- 17:27Speaker 2: that win over Toronto that I just mentioned. Single road
- 17:31Speaker 2: game here, going to Detroit before the holidays a little
- 17:34Speaker 2: bit of a weird spot that'd have to travel, you know,
- 17:37Speaker 2: just this single game where it's not really a road trip.
- 17:40Speaker 1: But the situation for Detroit I think is worse.
- 17:43Speaker 2: Detroit's playing a third game in four days, and the
- 17:47Speaker 2: other two of those games were both beating Washington. Those
- 17:50Speaker 2: are huge wins for Detroit. Now they shouldn't overlook Dallas,
- 17:54Speaker 2: but it's more of a question of like, what does
- 17:56Speaker 2: Detroit have left in the tank here? And they do
- 17:59Speaker 2: face line after this, and I think maybe they have
- 18:02Speaker 2: a little bit more attention on the conference foes than
- 18:05Speaker 2: the out of conference foes. The money is saying Detroit here,
- 18:08Speaker 2: but I kind of disagree with that. Dallas is minus
- 18:11Speaker 2: one thirty seventy eight percent to take a sixty seven
- 18:13Speaker 2: percent of the cash on them as the road favorite,
- 18:16Speaker 2: so they're public. The money is seemingly coming in a
- 18:19Speaker 2: little bit against Dallas here, But there's no way that
- 18:23Speaker 2: I could play Detroit after that run of games, after
- 18:25Speaker 2: they had the home and home sweep of Washington. I
- 18:29Speaker 2: think it would have to be Dallas or leave the
- 18:31Speaker 2: game alone in that one, and you can see why.
- 18:34Speaker 2: You can start to see why I don't like this
- 18:36Speaker 2: board today. Rangers and Washington. The Rangers they just lost
- 18:43Speaker 2: on the road. Go figure the Rangers lost. Jeffrey had
- 18:46Speaker 2: the under in that game, definitely correct. This is a
- 18:48Speaker 2: one nothing game. Like late in the game as well.
- 18:51Speaker 2: Rangers just won two lost two to one. Excuse me,
- 18:56Speaker 2: they should be focused on Washington and the Rangers, as
- 18:58Speaker 2: we keep pointing out, there better on the road than
- 19:00Speaker 2: they are at home. They're coming up a pretty bad loss.
- 19:03Speaker 2: So the way this sets up, I don't know. I'm
- 19:06Speaker 2: probably not really gonna disagree with the Rangers in this one.
- 19:09Speaker 2: Washington is coming off those two losses to Detroit, but
- 19:12Speaker 2: I think those are tougher losses. They do it to Vase,
- 19:15Speaker 2: New Jersey and Florida coming out of the break. Maybe
- 19:17Speaker 2: they overlook this Ranger team. It's still kind of been
- 19:20Speaker 2: struggling most of the season, So probably gonna lean Rangers here.
- 19:25Speaker 2: But the Rangers look like a public underdog here. Eighty
- 19:28Speaker 2: two ticket seventy nine percent of the cash on them,
- 19:31Speaker 2: not something I'm really gonna want to deal with. Washington
- 19:34Speaker 2: down from minus one seventy to minus one sixty five
- 19:36Speaker 2: on the money line. Osbeker's telling you Washington is the
- 19:39Speaker 2: better team here.
- 19:40Speaker 1: But again, there's no way.
- 19:43Speaker 2: That it's a game that I could get involved in.
- 19:45Speaker 2: Montreal and my Boston Bruins. This is an old school
- 19:49Speaker 2: Original Six rivalry here. These these two teams don't like
- 19:53Speaker 2: each other, like Montreal is one of the biggest rivals
- 19:55Speaker 2: of the Bruins. Montreal is coming up that home and
- 19:59Speaker 2: home against Pittsburgh. The last game went into a shootout.
- 20:02Speaker 2: Now they get Boston, then they go into the break,
- 20:05Speaker 2: and then they have Campa Bay coming out of the break,
- 20:07Speaker 2: which is probably a bigger game, Like, I think this
- 20:10Speaker 2: game means more to the Bruins, and the Bruins are
- 20:13Speaker 2: staying at home, and they've had an awful home stand here.
- 20:16Speaker 2: I think they're gonna want to try to salvage the
- 20:17Speaker 2: last game of this home stand after losing three in
- 20:19Speaker 2: a row and losing six to two with Corpa.
- 20:22Speaker 1: Salo and Net.
- 20:23Speaker 2: It will be swaying back in Net here, so they'll
- 20:25Speaker 2: get their better goaltender here. It would be Bruins or
- 20:29Speaker 2: passed for me in this one, and hopefully I'm right
- 20:31Speaker 2: about it as a fan, Boston up from minus one
- 20:34Speaker 2: twenty to minus one twenty one here. Public is probably
- 20:37Speaker 2: gonna be leaning towards Montreal because they have the better
- 20:39Speaker 2: record and getting an underdog with the better record seems tempting.
- 20:43Speaker 2: Seventy nine percent of tickets on them, but eighty nine
- 20:45Speaker 2: percent of the cash on Boston. So it does look
- 20:47Speaker 2: like it's kind of one of those pros versus Joe's
- 20:50Speaker 2: markets kind of setting up in that game. Got to
- 20:53Speaker 2: see what the market looks like as the day progresses.
- 20:56Speaker 2: But yeah, I would lean towards my Boston Bruins in
- 20:58Speaker 2: that one, hopefully, I'm right, Pinzy. What's up man, Thanks
- 21:02Speaker 2: for hanging out all right, we have a Buffalo in Ottawa.
- 21:09Speaker 1: Both of these teams.
- 21:10Speaker 2: Actually, I was gonna say, I think both of these
- 21:12Speaker 2: teams are hot right now. Right, I'm pretty sure. Buffalo's
- 21:14Speaker 2: surprisingly won six games in a row.
- 21:16Speaker 1: They just beat New Jersey.
- 21:18Speaker 2: They are playing a third game in four days, all
- 21:20Speaker 2: in different cities, though, so maybe it starts catching up
- 21:22Speaker 2: to them a little bit. Ottawa, though, they're also on
- 21:25Speaker 2: a hot streak right now. Yeah, they've won four games
- 21:28Speaker 2: in a row, including beating my Bruins. They're also playing
- 21:32Speaker 2: a third game in four days, with two of them
- 21:34Speaker 2: at home, but with a trip to Boston in the middle.
- 21:37Speaker 1: There.
- 21:38Speaker 2: They do have their rival Toronto up next, so that's
- 21:41Speaker 2: gonna be after the break. I mean, I don't know.
- 21:44Speaker 2: I could see Buffalo being in a letdown spot though,
- 21:46Speaker 2: after a pretty big win over New Jersey. So I
- 21:49Speaker 2: don't like this game either. Really, so this game, I mean,
- 21:53Speaker 2: I would kind of just have to resort entirely to
- 21:56Speaker 2: the market. Read here, and the market is saying Ottawa
- 21:58Speaker 2: seventy five percent take it's on Buffalo seventy five percent.
- 22:02Speaker 1: Of the cash on.
- 22:02Speaker 2: Autawa was sitting at minus one fifty five on the
- 22:05Speaker 2: money line. I guess I'll have to agree with the
- 22:08Speaker 2: Autawa side there looking at the market. But that's that's
- 22:11Speaker 2: a game that I really like. I have a hard
- 22:13Speaker 2: time forming any opinion on that game at all. New
- 22:17Speaker 2: Jersey is going to the Islanders. So New Jersey going
- 22:22Speaker 2: up to Queen's here, New Jersey off that ugly home
- 22:24Speaker 2: loss to Buffalo.
- 22:26Speaker 1: Maybe it'll be good to just leave and take.
- 22:27Speaker 2: A short trip up to Queen's to play the Islanders.
- 22:31Speaker 2: Although they're gonna play Washington after this, but I don't
- 22:33Speaker 2: think they're gonna overlook the Islanders, especially after coming off
- 22:36Speaker 2: a loss. The Islanders are on a three game losing
- 22:40Speaker 2: street now. They just lost to Buffalo. So both teams
- 22:42Speaker 2: just lost to Buffalo. The Islanders have had more days
- 22:46Speaker 2: off though to try to break.
- 22:48Speaker 1: This losing streak. But being back a home.
- 22:50Speaker 2: Like I say, sometimes it is a bit of a
- 22:51Speaker 2: distraction because you have family stuff to get back to.
- 22:54Speaker 2: A though of course New Jersey you could argue is
- 22:56Speaker 2: still home distracted here because really they're just taking this
- 23:00Speaker 2: They basically just have to drive like up to up
- 23:03Speaker 2: to Queens for this as they really want to. Money
- 23:07Speaker 2: is coming out of New Jersey in this one. They're
- 23:09Speaker 2: off of minus one twenty to minus one twenty six,
- 23:11Speaker 2: ninety one percent of the cash on them, sixty eight
- 23:13Speaker 2: percent of tickets are on the islander, So the odds
- 23:15Speaker 2: makers really disrespecting the Islanders. The odds makers are telling you,
- 23:20Speaker 2: even without Jack Hughes, I'm pretty sure he's still out
- 23:22Speaker 2: that New Jersey.
- 23:23Speaker 1: Is the better team.
- 23:26Speaker 2: I guess I just can't disagree with it based on
- 23:28Speaker 2: looking at the market read. But a lot of times
- 23:30Speaker 2: I will if I have a strong situational read, but
- 23:33Speaker 2: obviously in that game I do not. We got Florida
- 23:36Speaker 2: at Carolina, probably the big game of the day. This
- 23:40Speaker 2: is a huge game. This is I think the best
- 23:42Speaker 2: game of the day here. Florida's starting to play better here.
- 23:45Speaker 2: They did just beat Carolina, so it is one of
- 23:48Speaker 2: those kind of quick revenge spots. So though, really I
- 23:51Speaker 2: think you consider it more of a zigzag spot because like, okay,
- 23:54Speaker 2: Florida just won in a shootout against Carolina. The team
- 23:58Speaker 2: that loses has like the adjustment to make you know
- 24:00Speaker 2: what I mean, And Carolina is still the better team here.
- 24:03Speaker 2: So for those reasons, yeah, it makes sense to maybe
- 24:06Speaker 2: start looking towards Carolina. Florida did just lose ugly to
- 24:09Speaker 2: Saint Louis in the Hurricane Sandwich. That was a winner
- 24:13Speaker 2: for us on the show playing the Blues in that game,
- 24:17Speaker 2: playing the Blues baby Florida. That did kill a wind
- 24:22Speaker 2: streak for them though, so sometimes losing a win streak
- 24:24Speaker 2: will hang you over into the next game.
- 24:25Speaker 1: But again, I think that was a sandwich for a reason.
- 24:29Speaker 2: I think they're gonna show up for this game against Carolina.
- 24:33Speaker 2: Carolina should show up as well, because again it's against
- 24:36Speaker 2: Florida and Florida did just beat them. Carolina has lost
- 24:39Speaker 2: two games in a row. They lost in the Florida Sandwich.
- 24:42Speaker 2: They had a bigger game though, against Tampa Bay. And
- 24:45Speaker 2: Carolina is technically returning over from a road trip here,
- 24:49Speaker 2: although it was only a road trip that started on Wednesday.
- 24:51Speaker 2: They only went to Nashville and then down to Florida
- 24:54Speaker 2: to play both Florida teams, so it's not exactly one
- 24:57Speaker 2: of these really long road trip returns. But still, the
- 25:01Speaker 2: holidays could kind of become a distraction when you're at
- 25:04Speaker 2: home as well. Man, So I have a hard time
- 25:06Speaker 2: with this game as well, Carolina. You know, playing Tampa
- 25:11Speaker 2: Bay in the middle there was a much more difficult
- 25:12Speaker 2: game than Florida's was against the Blues. So you know,
- 25:19Speaker 2: I'm gonna kind of lean towards Florida in this game
- 25:21Speaker 2: to win.
- 25:22Speaker 1: Again.
- 25:24Speaker 2: The money I think is disagreeing with this one, though
- 25:26Speaker 2: Carolina's up to minus one fifty one. They're kind of
- 25:28Speaker 2: public though, seventy percent take us ninety nine percent of
- 25:32Speaker 2: the cash on Carolina, So the money is kind of
- 25:35Speaker 2: saying Carolina right now. But I kind of disagree with
- 25:38Speaker 2: it in that one, just the way that that spot
- 25:40Speaker 2: sets up. So I would lean slightly towards Florida again,
- 25:44Speaker 2: but not a huge jub Well, I actually lean to
- 25:47Speaker 2: Carolina in the first of the two games, I think
- 25:49Speaker 2: if I remember correctly, Oh, Jack Hughes is back, I
- 25:52Speaker 2: get him confused with Luke Hughes Man. I don't know, uh,
- 25:57Speaker 2: but anyway, Yeah, so Florida is my opinion in that game, slightly,
- 26:01Speaker 2: but not a strong opinion at all. On New Jersey
- 26:05Speaker 2: Devil's here.
- 26:05Speaker 1: What have we got here?
- 26:06Speaker 2: I'm just double checking my I think I'm losing my
- 26:10Speaker 2: mind here or something. Yeah, Luke Hughes. Let me see, Yeah,
- 26:16Speaker 2: Luke Hughes, the defenseman. Yeah, where's there's Jack Hughes.
- 26:20Speaker 1: Let me see.
- 26:21Speaker 2: How long has he been back? Oh, he just came back.
- 26:25Speaker 2: That's good to know. He just came back in that
- 26:27Speaker 2: game against Buffalo. Good to know, Thank you, Jeffery. So
- 26:30Speaker 2: that was I guess technically a reverse injured player spot there.
- 26:34Speaker 2: So maybe the Devils will do better you know, in
- 26:37Speaker 2: the second game that he's back. Although I don't put
- 26:39Speaker 2: that much into the injured player theory stuff in hockey
- 26:42Speaker 2: because again, an individual can't affect the hockey game as
- 26:45Speaker 2: much as in other sports, except for a goaltender. Nashville
- 26:51Speaker 2: at in Minnesota, Uh, all right, for this game Nashville,
- 26:57Speaker 2: I mean they're coming off nice win over the Rangers,
- 27:00Speaker 2: ar a road trip, well, not really starting a road trip,
- 27:02Speaker 2: because I think they're gonna have this single game at
- 27:03Speaker 2: Minnesota and then the holidays and then they.
- 27:06Speaker 1: Have a road trip after that. But they will be focused.
- 27:09Speaker 2: You would have to imagine they got some momentum. They're
- 27:12Speaker 2: going out on the road to face a pretty good
- 27:14Speaker 2: Minnesota team, a team that's been hot. Minnesota did just
- 27:18Speaker 2: lose a long wind streak, and I talk about how
- 27:21Speaker 2: when you lose a win streak somebidys, it will hang
- 27:23Speaker 2: you over. It was a big game too against Colorado,
- 27:25Speaker 2: and Colorado just crush them five to one. But I
- 27:30Speaker 2: kind of see this being more of a hangover spot
- 27:32Speaker 2: for Minnesota here after losing that wind streak, playing a
- 27:35Speaker 2: really good team like Colorado, kind of getting sent back
- 27:38Speaker 2: down to Earth. I would lean towards Nashville here. You
- 27:41Speaker 2: could get get a decent underdog price on this one.
- 27:44Speaker 2: Minnesota is down for minus one nine one.
- 27:47Speaker 1: Eighty eight here.
- 27:47Speaker 2: Don't really see the percentages yet. I think Nashville is
- 27:50Speaker 2: the way to lean in that game, but obviously I
- 27:53Speaker 2: have no play there.
- 27:55Speaker 1: Philadelphia at Chicago.
- 27:58Speaker 2: Philadelphia just beat Vancouver in return home spot.
- 28:01Speaker 1: Still beat Vancouver five to two. That was yesterday, and now.
- 28:05Speaker 2: They're going to Chicago for one game before the holidays.
- 28:10Speaker 1: Very very weird spot.
- 28:11Speaker 2: Man to have to turn around after a home win
- 28:14Speaker 2: and go back out on the road for one game
- 28:16Speaker 2: and then you're back home again. I don't know if
- 28:18Speaker 2: I love that for Chicago. I mean Chicago, they're returning
- 28:24Speaker 2: over from a road trip. They've been on the road
- 28:26Speaker 2: since last Tuesday, they did have to go up to Toronto, Montreal, Ottawa, they.
- 28:29Speaker 1: Did the Eastern Canada road trip. They're returning back home.
- 28:33Speaker 2: They do have multiple days off to try to break
- 28:35Speaker 2: this five game losing streak that you're on and that
- 28:38Speaker 2: they're on. And usually I talk about how having that
- 28:40Speaker 2: extra time off will help you snap that losing momentum.
- 28:44Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, because it's a return home.
- 28:46Speaker 2: Spot, it's the holidays, they could get distracted potentially here.
- 28:49Speaker 2: And they do play Dallas next, which I think is
- 28:52Speaker 2: gonna be a bigger deal than playing Philadelphia. So I
- 28:54Speaker 2: don't love how it sets up for Chicago. I don't
- 28:57Speaker 2: love it for either team. Philadelphia is public and the
- 29:01Speaker 2: money looks like it is kind of moving against them.
- 29:03Speaker 2: Eighty seven percent of tickets and cash on them. They're
- 29:06Speaker 2: down for minus one twenty to minus one thirteen. Odsmaker's
- 29:09Speaker 2: still telling you Philly is the better team over Chicago,
- 29:11Speaker 2: and I think both teams. Well, Chicago wasn't as good
- 29:15Speaker 2: as their record looked early in the season.
- 29:16Speaker 1: I still think Philly is.
- 29:17Speaker 2: Not as good as their record looks either. Really really
- 29:21Speaker 2: tough handicap in this one. It's a tough read I mean, yeah,
- 29:25Speaker 2: I have to stay away completely. I mean I would
- 29:27Speaker 2: start kind of leaning towards Enno over in that game,
- 29:30Speaker 2: because that's kind of what I do when I think
- 29:31Speaker 2: both teams are kind of in bad spots. But I
- 29:35Speaker 2: want pretty much nothing to do with that.
- 29:37Speaker 1: Man.
- 29:38Speaker 2: The market read is slightly indicating to Chicago Utah Colorado.
- 29:42Speaker 1: I considered this game.
- 29:44Speaker 2: I kind of like Utah in the spot, and you'd
- 29:46Speaker 2: be getting them at a big price, Like you can
- 29:48Speaker 2: probably take the plus one and a half on the
- 29:50Speaker 2: on the puck line here at a pretty decent price,
- 29:53Speaker 2: almost like a spread bet for Utah.
- 29:55Speaker 1: Utah did just play tough.
- 29:56Speaker 2: Games though, beating Detroit, close game against New j and
- 30:00Speaker 2: then they beat Winnipeg in overtime two days ago. Now
- 30:03Speaker 2: they have this single trip, single game road trip to
- 30:06Speaker 2: Colorado before the holidays.
- 30:08Speaker 1: They're not gonna overlook Colorado.
- 30:09Speaker 2: Though, you know, I mean, Colorado is the best team
- 30:11Speaker 2: in the NHL probably, so they're gonna be focused on it.
- 30:15Speaker 2: But I wire, you know, if they're gonna have that
- 30:17Speaker 2: much left in the tank, whatever, But I think the
- 30:19Speaker 2: spot is worse for Colorado again. Being at home right
- 30:22Speaker 2: around the holidays is kind of an issue could be
- 30:26Speaker 2: a bit of a bit of a distraction. Colorado just
- 30:28Speaker 2: beating Minnesota after beating Winnipeg, Colorado, you know, that's a
- 30:34Speaker 2: pretty satisfying win to knock down one of the hottest
- 30:37Speaker 2: teams in hockey, Minnesota and beat them five to one.
- 30:40Speaker 2: And then after they played this middle in Utah team,
- 30:42Speaker 2: they get Vegas after the holidays.
- 30:45Speaker 1: That is a bigger game as well.
- 30:47Speaker 2: So I think it's kind of a sandwich spot that
- 30:49Speaker 2: Colorado is in. I would look towards Utah and this
- 30:52Speaker 2: one Colorado down for minus two forty five to minus
- 30:55Speaker 2: two forty eighty eight percent of the tickets one hundred
- 30:58Speaker 2: percent of the cash. That's obviously not accurate. Again, yeah,
- 31:02Speaker 2: I would, Uh, I would be leaning towards Utah in
- 31:05Speaker 2: this one. And this one is almost on my card.
- 31:08Speaker 2: You can probably get, like I said, a pretty good
- 31:10Speaker 2: puck line price on Utah in that one.
- 31:14Speaker 1: Under in the Penguins leafs. I don't know.
- 31:18Speaker 2: I mean again, I don't have good reads on the
- 31:20Speaker 2: totals anyway, although I was good that one day with
- 31:23Speaker 2: the totals. The money looks like it's coming in towards
- 31:26Speaker 2: the over after the line did drop from six and
- 31:28Speaker 2: a half. Well, this wasn't really much of a drop though,
- 31:31Speaker 2: from six and a half juiced heavily to the under
- 31:33Speaker 2: to six juice to the over. That's not really that
- 31:35Speaker 2: much of a move at all on that total because
- 31:38Speaker 2: they really just kind of shifted the juice a little bit.
- 31:40Speaker 2: And this is also a pre game, just kind of
- 31:43Speaker 2: picking whatever they think the consensus line is based on
- 31:46Speaker 2: all the different books, so that really isn't that much
- 31:48Speaker 2: of a move. It kind of looks like the money's
- 31:51Speaker 2: somewhat indicating on the over in that game. And you
- 31:53Speaker 2: know me, I don't like Pittsburgh's goaltending at all. I'm
- 31:57Speaker 2: not really a fan of Toronto's either, so I don't
- 31:59Speaker 2: know that that kind of worries me. I mean, I'm
- 32:02Speaker 2: I'm almost never on unders in hockey, you know me.
- 32:05Speaker 2: Although I was correct about that Dallas one the other day,
- 32:08Speaker 2: I don't like it though they've lost three in a row,
- 32:13Speaker 2: given up four to four and five goals. Well, then
- 32:15Speaker 2: why would you want to Why would you want an
- 32:17Speaker 2: under then, other than the fact that you know that
- 32:20Speaker 2: you think that recency bias is affecting the number, but
- 32:24Speaker 2: the total can't really move that much.
- 32:26Speaker 1: This is a hockey total.
- 32:27Speaker 2: They like they pretty much are forced to put it
- 32:29Speaker 2: in that range around five to six.
- 32:31Speaker 1: Like they can't really move it otherwise. So it's like,
- 32:35Speaker 1: I don't know, like fading the recency on that.
- 32:38Speaker 2: There isn't really a whole lot there as far as
- 32:41Speaker 2: like line value, you know what I mean. Yeah, the
- 32:45Speaker 2: Penguins scored four in the last game. Yeah, I just
- 32:48Speaker 2: think both teams just are not good at U it's
- 32:53Speaker 2: stopping their opponents from scoring. Calgary is at Edmonton. I mean,
- 32:58Speaker 2: this is a probably kind of a big game for
- 33:00Speaker 2: both teams. It's the Alberta rivalry. Calgary just beat Vegas
- 33:04Speaker 2: six to three. Kind of a ridiculous win for Calgary.
- 33:08Speaker 2: There are they really gonna be in a letdown when
- 33:11Speaker 2: they're playing Edmonton though probably not. They've had a couple
- 33:13Speaker 2: of days off. I don't think that's gonna really break
- 33:17Speaker 2: their momentum or anything. I mean, they're gonna be focused
- 33:19Speaker 2: on Edmonton regardless. For Edmonton, Edmonton's coming into this off
- 33:24Speaker 2: of beating Vegas. So both teams actually just beat Vegas.
- 33:28Speaker 2: Edmonton did it in a return home spot. Don't remind me,
- 33:31Speaker 2: because that was a game that we lost on the
- 33:33Speaker 2: other day, pissed me off. Vegas actually kind of outplayed
- 33:37Speaker 2: them in the game to well. To a lot of
- 33:39Speaker 2: an extent, Edmonton got the win. Pretty big win coming
- 33:43Speaker 2: off of that, you know, maybe a little bit of
- 33:45Speaker 2: a letdown spot for Edmonton. Slight opinion for me on
- 33:48Speaker 2: Calgary in this one. Edmonton's all the way down for
- 33:51Speaker 2: minus one ninety to minus one, sixty ninety percent of
- 33:54Speaker 2: tickets on them, eighty four percent of the cash on Calgary.
- 33:57Speaker 2: I'm gonna lean towards Calgary and that one not a
- 34:00Speaker 2: play though I don't want to touch it.
- 34:04Speaker 1: Toronto will focus more on defense, that is true.
- 34:06Speaker 2: And when a team is when a team is allowing
- 34:07Speaker 2: a lot of goals, yeah, I mean that is an argument. Yeah,
- 34:10Speaker 2: they will typically, yes, they will try to focus more
- 34:13Speaker 2: on defense after that happens.
- 34:16Speaker 1: So I do not disagree with that.
- 34:18Speaker 2: Next up is my other play, and I don't have
- 34:20Speaker 2: any other plays today, So best bet here we go.
- 34:27Speaker 2: This is gonna be We're gonna go on the puck
- 34:29Speaker 2: line with San Jose. I found it at minus one eighteen.
- 34:32Speaker 2: I'm sure you can find it in this range, maybe
- 34:34Speaker 2: minus one twenty. I mean, if you want to start
- 34:36Speaker 2: doing like a split bet like I've showed you in
- 34:38Speaker 2: other on other games. You could do that too, but
- 34:41Speaker 2: this is we're getting, you know, a larger underdog line here,
- 34:44Speaker 2: so playing it as a spread bet. And then of
- 34:46Speaker 2: course it's hockey, so of course if you do it
- 34:49Speaker 2: like this, you gotta put like ten percent of the
- 34:51Speaker 2: bet on the money line as well. If you do
- 34:53Speaker 2: it this way, we're gonna be on the San Jose Sharks.
- 34:56Speaker 2: We're gonna fade Vegas. Vegas is at home, and again
- 35:00Speaker 2: I think you could have maybe a little bit of
- 35:01Speaker 2: a holiday distraction here for Vegas. But look at this
- 35:05Speaker 2: run of games that Vegas just had. Man, I mean,
- 35:08Speaker 2: they're returning over from a road trip, so you know,
- 35:10Speaker 2: I don't like that.
- 35:11Speaker 1: But although it was a.
- 35:12Speaker 2: Short road trip that was just over the weekend, but
- 35:15Speaker 2: returning over from a road trip still you can fall
- 35:17Speaker 2: into a distracted spot. But they're playing a third game
- 35:21Speaker 2: in four days, all in different cities, which I don't
- 35:23Speaker 2: like it. Back on Wednesday, back at home, they had
- 35:25Speaker 2: a shootout against New Jersey. They had an ugly loss
- 35:28Speaker 2: to Calgary, but I think they were looking ahead to
- 35:30Speaker 2: Edmonton and they played Edmonton. They didn't go away in
- 35:33Speaker 2: that game against Edmonton. They were losing four to one.
- 35:35Speaker 2: I know because we lost some Vegas in this game.
- 35:38Speaker 2: And that was a huge game for Vegas because it
- 35:40Speaker 2: was also they're looking for playoff revenge because Edmonton eliminated
- 35:45Speaker 2: them last year and they came back and they teased
- 35:48Speaker 2: us by getting back to within one goal with like
- 35:50Speaker 2: several minutes left in the game and still fell short
- 35:53Speaker 2: by a goal. Huge performance from Vegas. They're in a
- 35:56Speaker 2: big emotional get up game. Now they're back at home.
- 36:00Speaker 2: They got holidays to deal with here facing a mediocre
- 36:03Speaker 2: at best San Jose team that they did just beat
- 36:06Speaker 2: not that long ago that it was only four to
- 36:08Speaker 2: three on November twenty ninth. And of course look who
- 36:11Speaker 2: they have next after the holidays, they play Colorado and Minnesota.
- 36:15Speaker 2: I mean, I think this is definitely a sandwich spot.
- 36:18Speaker 1: And for San Jose. San Jose is coming off two
- 36:22Speaker 1: straight losses.
- 36:23Speaker 2: We faded them with Seattle the other day. They're going
- 36:25Speaker 2: out on the road for one game and that might
- 36:27Speaker 2: actually be good for them, and they've had two days off,
- 36:29Speaker 2: so they're the more rested team. They're coming off a
- 36:31Speaker 2: couple of losses, and I talked about how when a
- 36:33Speaker 2: team gets rest after a couple of losses, it will
- 36:36Speaker 2: help break that losing streak. The reason why we had
- 36:39Speaker 2: Seattle against San Jose was Sandwich spot. San Jose had
- 36:42Speaker 2: played Dallas a tough game before that, and they had
- 36:45Speaker 2: Vegas upcoming. So part of that handicap is that they
- 36:48Speaker 2: were going to be focused on Vegas.
- 36:50Speaker 1: I think they will be.
- 36:51Speaker 2: They get to leave home for a game, short trip,
- 36:53Speaker 2: go out to Vegas, focus on hockey, then do the
- 36:57Speaker 2: holiday stuff after that. I like how it sets up
- 37:00Speaker 2: a lot better for the Sharks here. That's what we're
- 37:01Speaker 2: gonna do. Vegas looks like they're taking some of the
- 37:04Speaker 2: money right now, even though the line dropped from minus
- 37:06Speaker 2: two forty one to minus two thirty sixty four percent
- 37:09Speaker 2: of the tickets seventy nine percent of the cash on Vegas.
- 37:12Speaker 2: But we'll see what it looks like at ten pm
- 37:15Speaker 2: Eastern when the game actually happens. I like San Jose
- 37:18Speaker 2: to keep this thing close. We're on, We're on the
- 37:21Speaker 2: Sharks on the on the puck line and that one.
- 37:26Speaker 1: Correct. Yeah, Vegas won about a month ago, which I.
- 37:30Speaker 2: Think that like revenge again is overstated, Like I don't
- 37:33Speaker 2: really think it's revenge that's really the thing. It's more
- 37:36Speaker 2: that Vegas is already in a bad spot here, and
- 37:38Speaker 2: I just don't think San Jose is really the team
- 37:40Speaker 2: that is gonna like draw, like they're like one hundred
- 37:44Speaker 2: percent of their focus.
- 37:45Speaker 1: You know what I mean.
- 37:46Speaker 2: Uh So that's uh what I think about that. And
- 37:49Speaker 2: then we do have Seattle at LA to finish off
- 37:51Speaker 2: this huge hockey board today. We got thirteen hockey games
- 37:56Speaker 2: and I think ten NBA games today. Uh, Seattle, they're
- 38:01Speaker 2: finishing a road trip. They just beat Anaheim yesterday, so
- 38:04Speaker 2: they're on a back to back. They're playing a third
- 38:06Speaker 2: game in four days, fourth game in six days, all
- 38:09Speaker 2: in different cities. Fifth game and eight days, all in
- 38:11Speaker 2: different cities. That's pretty difficult to do. Nice road upset
- 38:15Speaker 2: win over Anaheim. Not loving how it sets up for
- 38:19Speaker 2: Seattle here, even though we do keep talking about how
- 38:21Speaker 2: the Kings are not very good at home this year.
- 38:23Speaker 2: The Kings coming off that lost to Columbus yesterday, that
- 38:27Speaker 2: was a win for us. They were in the return
- 38:30Speaker 2: home spot, in a letdown spot also after beating Tampa Bay,
- 38:33Speaker 2: so it was a spot to fade the Kings. We
- 38:36Speaker 2: got it right. So they're also on the back to back,
- 38:39Speaker 2: but they're just staying at home. Of course, Seattle's really
- 38:41Speaker 2: only going up the road from Anaheim to LA, so
- 38:44Speaker 2: that's not that bad either.
- 38:47Speaker 1: LA.
- 38:47Speaker 2: I mean they do face Anaheim, Colorado, Tampa Bay, and
- 38:49Speaker 2: Minnesota twice coming out of the break.
- 38:51Speaker 1: Those all seem like bigger games to me than Seattle.
- 38:54Speaker 2: Even though LA did lose to Seattle on the road
- 38:58Speaker 2: on December tenth, I still think it is quite possible
- 39:02Speaker 2: they kind of overlook them, even though, yes, I know,
- 39:04Speaker 2: it's a second game back home, and usually I talk
- 39:06Speaker 2: about when a team returns home they do bad in
- 39:09Speaker 2: the first game, Usually they do better in the second game.
- 39:12Speaker 1: Man, I don't know.
- 39:15Speaker 2: I mean, the money is saying LA in this one.
- 39:17Speaker 2: I know Seattle's in a bad spot. All that being said,
- 39:21Speaker 2: I guess I'll agree with it and lean towards LA.
- 39:24Speaker 2: But there's no way I'm gonna touch this game. LA
- 39:27Speaker 2: down for mine is two forty tons, two thirty five,
- 39:29Speaker 2: sixty percent of the cash on them, sixty two percent
- 39:32Speaker 2: of tickets on Seattle. All right, NBA hate the board
- 39:37Speaker 2: in the NBA today, Absolutely despise it.
- 39:41Speaker 1: I'm not gonna have anything today tomorrow.
- 39:42Speaker 2: Actually, this is a massive NBA board. I think it's
- 39:45Speaker 2: more than ten games. Whatever it is, it's huge. It's
- 39:48Speaker 2: all night games, and somehow I do not see any
- 39:52Speaker 2: spot that I like here.
- 39:53Speaker 1: In all these games.
- 39:55Speaker 2: But you know, sometimes you just gotta do it, man,
- 39:58Speaker 2: know when to fold. Washington at Charlotte. This is an
- 40:01Speaker 2: ugly one. Washington just lost to San Antonio. Going back
- 40:07Speaker 2: out on the road for a single game against Charlotte.
- 40:09Speaker 2: I mean, when you're Washington, you can't really overlook anybody.
- 40:12Speaker 1: But I don't know. I don't know if this is
- 40:14Speaker 1: really the greatest spot from them.
- 40:15Speaker 2: They did lose my double digits to San Antonio, so
- 40:18Speaker 2: it wasn't exactly close. Although I think do we get
- 40:22Speaker 2: the cover on that one with Washington on the show,
- 40:24Speaker 2: I forget. Charlotte actually played a closer game against Cleveland,
- 40:28Speaker 2: coming to within seven of them yesterday on the road,
- 40:31Speaker 2: So this spot is worse for Charlotte. They're playing a
- 40:34Speaker 2: third game in four days, all in different cities. They
- 40:38Speaker 2: got blown out at Detroit, played really close against Cleveland.
- 40:42Speaker 1: Cleveland is definitely struggling.
- 40:43Speaker 2: Though, with a lot of injuries and stuff, and then
- 40:46Speaker 2: now Charlotte back home, maybe getting into kind of a
- 40:50Speaker 2: distracted spot here. Maybe they won't focus on a bad
- 40:53Speaker 2: team like the Wizards. The money is coming in on
- 40:55Speaker 2: the Hornets, but I don't agree. I would take the
- 40:57Speaker 2: points with Washington if I was gonna play at Hornets
- 41:01Speaker 2: down from six to five and a half, sixty percent
- 41:04Speaker 2: of tickets ninety four percent of the cash on them.
- 41:06Speaker 1: But I don't agree with that under in Pelican's.
- 41:11Speaker 2: Calves h, I don't know, I don't I don't have
- 41:14Speaker 2: much of a feel for that game at all. I mean,
- 41:17Speaker 2: that line has skyrocketed from two thirty seven to two
- 41:20Speaker 2: forty five, But the question is why, Like, why did
- 41:22Speaker 2: the line move like that? That wasn't all just market
- 41:26Speaker 2: activity on the over I wouldn't imagine, you know, So
- 41:29Speaker 2: like was there some player who wasn't expected to play
- 41:32Speaker 2: that's now back, like Donovan Mitchell or something. I don't
- 41:35Speaker 2: know how that line would have moved like that, So,
- 41:39Speaker 2: I mean, you're right, it could be in overreaction. So
- 41:41Speaker 2: maybe there is some value on the under there, but
- 41:43Speaker 2: I mean I don't want anything to do with that. Patrick,
- 41:47Speaker 2: what's up man? Thanks for hanging out. Yeah, you two
- 41:49Speaker 2: have a great Christmas as well. Thanks for checking out. Yeah,
- 41:52Speaker 2: the show last night, Stacks, It was a fun show
- 41:55Speaker 2: last night.
- 41:58Speaker 1: Pelicans were forty in the fourth court. Yeah the Cavs.
- 42:00Speaker 2: Yeah, we're really really ridiculous from three, That's true, So
- 42:04Speaker 2: there should be some regression coming off of that. Yeah,
- 42:06Speaker 2: I don't disagree with that Brooklyn at Philadelphia for this Brooklyn,
- 42:14Speaker 2: I mean, Brooklyn's coming out of a pretty nice win
- 42:16Speaker 2: over Toronto. Man, they could be in a letdown spot
- 42:19Speaker 2: off of that. That was a big win, nice upset
- 42:21Speaker 2: win over one of the better teams in the East.
- 42:23Speaker 1: But I don't know if they really overlook Philadelphia. Man.
- 42:26Speaker 2: I mean, you're Brooklyn, You're a bad team. I think
- 42:29Speaker 2: you just kind of keep playing and keep focusing. For Philadelphia.
- 42:34Speaker 2: They just beat Dallas, I mean, not really a great
- 42:36Speaker 2: win or anything, but continuing their momentum at the very least,
- 42:39Speaker 2: a couple of days off could hurt their momentum maybe
- 42:42Speaker 2: a little bit.
- 42:43Speaker 1: They only play.
- 42:43Speaker 2: Chicago after this though, in Chicago's been struggling, so I
- 42:46Speaker 2: don't know if it's necessarily a.
- 42:48Speaker 1: Look ahead there.
- 42:50Speaker 2: Overall, I would lean towards laying it with the Sixers
- 42:52Speaker 2: in this one, their ten point favorite. Of course, always
- 42:55Speaker 2: with the Sixers, you gotta see who's actually in their lineup.
- 42:58Speaker 2: Although I don't even know if it really matters whether
- 43:01Speaker 2: it beads in or out. I think laying it is
- 43:03Speaker 2: probably the move in this game with the nets coming
- 43:05Speaker 2: off that upset win sixty percent of ticket, seventy eight
- 43:08Speaker 2: percent of the cash on the Sixers. Don't really have
- 43:11Speaker 2: a whole lot else to say about that. Good night
- 43:15Speaker 2: last night, Thank you, sir. Oh A nice A nice lay?
- 43:19Speaker 1: Is that is?
- 43:20Speaker 2: Is that a parlay? Thanks for hanging out again, Garrett?
- 43:23Speaker 2: Is what I meant to say. You had you had
- 43:27Speaker 2: the straits, the straight people were all on the money.
- 43:30Speaker 2: You mean that, you mean the straight bets that you made,
- 43:32Speaker 2: So you had straight bets and a parlay. Nice night
- 43:35Speaker 2: there you go. Good nights all around here yesterday, So
- 43:39Speaker 2: that's good. The nets Whisper, I don't know where's he at?
- 43:45Speaker 1: Wait, which which one is? The nets whisper against Sob.
- 43:48Speaker 2: Sob is in in Poland right now, so that's where
- 43:52Speaker 2: he is. Right, He's in Poland, so he should be around.
- 43:54Speaker 1: Maybe he's at work.
- 43:55Speaker 2: I don't know, uh, because it's probably the afternoon where
- 43:58Speaker 2: he is right now, right, so he should be around
- 44:01Speaker 2: but probably at work, all right. Chicago at Atlanta, this
- 44:05Speaker 2: is a zigzag ish potential spot here where I thought
- 44:09Speaker 2: Atlanta would win a cover yesterday and they did not. Jeffery,
- 44:12Speaker 2: I'm surprised you're not going to play the under in
- 44:14Speaker 2: this game. Chicago and Atlanta combined to score to score
- 44:21Speaker 2: three hundred two points last night in regulation. In this game,
- 44:27Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty two to one hundred and fifty
- 44:29Speaker 2: was the final, and no, that game did not go
- 44:31Speaker 2: into overtime.
- 44:33Speaker 1: Unbelievable.
- 44:35Speaker 2: Chicago is known for playing a fast pace, but I mean,
- 44:39Speaker 2: this is ridiculous. Chicago got the win, the upset win
- 44:44Speaker 2: as well, So it could be a bit of a
- 44:45Speaker 2: zig zag spot where maybe you want to look to
- 44:47Speaker 2: lay the points of Atlanta here off of that, because again,
- 44:50Speaker 2: you want to fade whatever the outlier was usually though,
- 44:53Speaker 2: of course, the major outlier there was the fact that
- 44:56Speaker 2: game was unbelievably high scoring. The total is at two
- 45:00Speaker 2: fifty three year But I don't think I want to
- 45:03Speaker 2: do I don't think I want to fade that though,
- 45:05Speaker 2: like I mean, yeah, I mean, it looks like you
- 45:09Speaker 2: should fade that sentiment. But the number is, this is
- 45:13Speaker 2: one of the highest totals you'll ever see in the NBA.
- 45:15Speaker 2: And when it's that high of a total, I don't
- 45:18Speaker 2: want to go under it because it just still looks
- 45:20Speaker 2: too easy to go under it.
- 45:22Speaker 1: Because the total is just.
- 45:24Speaker 2: So unbelievably high. Here, I wouldn't do it, to be honest.
- 45:30Speaker 2: We have fifty percent of tickets on the under, ninety
- 45:32Speaker 2: nine percent of the cash on the over. Yeah, I
- 45:37Speaker 2: wouldn't do it. The Hawks are getting a little bit
- 45:39Speaker 2: more value. They were like a five to five and
- 45:41Speaker 2: a half point favorite yesterday and now I think just
- 45:43Speaker 2: because of last night, they were a four point favorite.
- 45:45Speaker 2: Now the money's coming back in on the Bulls. But
- 45:47Speaker 2: I wouldn't agree. I would lay it with the Hawks
- 45:49Speaker 2: if I was gonna play it. Fifty three percent of
- 45:52Speaker 2: tickets on the Hawks, fifty seven percent of the cash
- 45:54Speaker 2: coming back on the Bulls. Uh. The one other thing
- 45:57Speaker 2: to be concerned about with the total is that if
- 46:00Speaker 2: both teams are running up and down the court that fast,
- 46:03Speaker 2: you're gonna have like really tire defenses, and that worries
- 46:07Speaker 2: me as well.
- 46:07Speaker 1: Like this game can go over the total without.
- 46:09Speaker 2: Even getting close to as extreme as it was last night,
- 46:13Speaker 2: So I'd be worried about that.
- 46:17Speaker 1: The total is that high for reason.
- 46:18Speaker 2: The only other time I can remember being an NBA
- 46:21Speaker 2: total being that high was last year.
- 46:24Speaker 1: It was a game between like Memphis and who was it.
- 46:28Speaker 1: I forget who it was.
- 46:29Speaker 2: It was definitely Memphis. I forget who the other team was.
- 46:31Speaker 2: But I was like, no, it's gonna go over because
- 46:33Speaker 2: there's a reason why the totals that high, and it
- 46:35Speaker 2: still went over.
- 46:38Speaker 1: So I don't know. New Orleans at Cleveland. New Orleans
- 46:41Speaker 1: seems to have some new life here. They're starting to
- 46:43Speaker 1: play better.
- 46:46Speaker 2: I mean, they weren't as bad as that three and
- 46:48Speaker 2: twenty two record, look man, and now they're a little
- 46:50Speaker 2: bit healthier. Uh, they're on a nice little role here,
- 46:53Speaker 2: but they aren't a back to back having to travel.
- 46:55Speaker 1: Up to Cleveland for one game here. They beat Dallas yesterday.
- 46:59Speaker 1: I mean, they're not gonna overlook Cleveland. I don't think though,
- 47:03Speaker 1: when you're in New Orleans, you're not really gonna overlook anybody.
- 47:06Speaker 2: But Cleveland is still known as one of the better
- 47:08Speaker 2: teams in the Eastern Conference. You know, Cleveland coming on
- 47:11Speaker 2: a win over Charlotte. That wasn't a great win though,
- 47:13Speaker 2: that was also yesterday. They're staying at home, but they
- 47:16Speaker 2: do have kind of a major look ahead to the Knicks.
- 47:19Speaker 2: They play the Knicks on Christmas, so again, today's the
- 47:23Speaker 2: day where you gotta look at the Christmas look aheads man.
- 47:25Speaker 2: So I'm actually shocked that I don't like any of
- 47:28Speaker 2: the games today, but I don't. I don't want to
- 47:31Speaker 2: come in and play New Orleans in the spot because
- 47:33Speaker 2: Cleveland's coming of a bad performance New Orleans, you know,
- 47:36Speaker 2: both teams were in the back to back. New Orleans
- 47:38Speaker 2: has travel. I can't do it. The money is actually
- 47:42Speaker 2: kind of indicating on Cleveland for now. They're at nine
- 47:44Speaker 2: and a half, sixty percent of the tickets, sixty five
- 47:47Speaker 2: percent of the cash on them. You got to see
- 47:49Speaker 2: who's in and out for Cleveland though, because they've had
- 47:51Speaker 2: a lot of injuries this year.
- 47:53Speaker 1: Mobley has been out for a long time, which does
- 47:55Speaker 1: hurt their deeppense.
- 47:56Speaker 2: It looks like basically everybody else is pretty much back
- 47:59Speaker 2: for clean of them, though, I mean they're without Nance
- 48:01Speaker 2: and Strew still, but like most of their big players
- 48:04Speaker 2: or most of their like big name players are playing tonight, though,
- 48:10Speaker 2: Will the coaches tell the teams to go nuts again?
- 48:13Speaker 1: I think it's more that, like, I don't.
- 48:14Speaker 2: Know if the defenses will totally show up in that game,
- 48:18Speaker 2: especially especially leading into the holidays.
- 48:20Speaker 1: I don't know. I'm Milwaukee at Indiana.
- 48:23Speaker 2: One of you guys, are the chats that you that
- 48:25Speaker 2: you wanted Indiana in this spot?
- 48:27Speaker 1: I I don't. I mean, I don't want. I don't
- 48:30Speaker 1: want Milwaukee either. Milwaukee's coming off playing at Minnesota really close.
- 48:35Speaker 2: They had a close game against Toronto on Thursday, then
- 48:38Speaker 2: Minnesota on Sunday. They almost pulled off the upset on
- 48:41Speaker 2: the road. Now they're going to Indiana. But look at
- 48:44Speaker 2: the spot that Indiana's in. I think it's even worse
- 48:47Speaker 2: than the spot that Milwaukee's in. Indiana played in Boston
- 48:51Speaker 2: last night. They're playing a third game in four days, all.
- 48:54Speaker 1: In different cities.
- 48:55Speaker 2: And if you saw what they did in Boston last night,
- 48:57Speaker 2: Indiana was winning that game in the second half by
- 49:00Speaker 2: like twenty points. The Celtics literally packed it in. They
- 49:05Speaker 2: were like, we're not gonna win this game. And the
- 49:06Speaker 2: Celtics put in all their backups, and the backups won
- 49:10Speaker 2: the game pretty much for the Celtics, and then when
- 49:12Speaker 2: the Celtics got close again and the Celtics were like,
- 49:14Speaker 2: oh shit, we can win this game, and they like
- 49:16Speaker 2: put Jalen Brown back in, and they put their starters
- 49:19Speaker 2: back in and they won the game. That is a
- 49:22Speaker 2: brutal loss for Indiana, dude. They should have had the
- 49:25Speaker 2: win against the Celtics.
- 49:27Speaker 1: It would have been a huge win. Now they're on
- 49:29Speaker 1: the back to back coming off of that.
- 49:30Speaker 2: I hate the spot for Indiana here, and it's a
- 49:33Speaker 2: Celtics sandwich. It's a nice corn beef Irish sandwich here
- 49:38Speaker 2: because they got the Celtics again on Friday. This is
- 49:41Speaker 2: an unbelievably bad spot for the Pacers, dude. The problem
- 49:44Speaker 2: is I don't like the spot for Milwaukee either, so
- 49:47Speaker 2: I just can't do it with either team.
- 49:49Speaker 1: A Milwaukee is up from a pick them to a one,
- 49:51Speaker 1: and it might just one and a half.
- 49:52Speaker 2: Here, fifty percent of tickets on them, sixty seven percent
- 49:56Speaker 2: of the cash coming back on the Pacers. So the
- 49:58Speaker 2: market Reid is saying the pace there is a hilarious
- 50:01Speaker 2: total here that's like almost fifty points lower than in
- 50:04Speaker 2: that forty points lower excuse me, than it is in
- 50:06Speaker 2: that Bulls Hawks game. Both these offenses struggling.
- 50:10Speaker 1: Man.
- 50:11Speaker 2: I mean, you got Giannis know that not there for
- 50:13Speaker 2: the Bucks, Haliburton, not there for the Pacers. But I
- 50:16Speaker 2: mean I kind of have to lean to the Bucks
- 50:18Speaker 2: in that game or pass the spot. Is just that
- 50:21Speaker 2: bad for the Pacers, man. But it's not good for
- 50:24Speaker 2: either team. So it's a complete stay away in my opinion.
- 50:28Speaker 2: I mean again, I mean, I don't I don't want
- 50:30Speaker 2: to tell everybody what to do, you know what I mean.
- 50:32Speaker 1: I'm telling you how I look at it. I'm telling
- 50:34Speaker 1: you what I do.
- 50:35Speaker 2: I've been doing well recently, so if you want to,
- 50:37Speaker 2: you know, just follow me, obviously do it, but also
- 50:41Speaker 2: of course do your own handicapping.
- 50:43Speaker 1: Although I get like stubborn and start disagreeing with people.
- 50:45Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean people might see something that I
- 50:48Speaker 2: don't for sure because I just see things a certain way.
- 50:50Speaker 2: And that's about it, you know. All Right, Toronto is
- 50:55Speaker 2: playing Miami. This is a pretty big game Toronto coming
- 50:58Speaker 2: off that ugly loss Brooklyn. They got blown out by
- 51:02Speaker 2: Boston the game before that, Toronto should kind of be
- 51:04Speaker 2: in a bounce back mode here. You would think Miami
- 51:07Speaker 2: remembers without Tyler Hero again. He got hurt again fairly recently.
- 51:13Speaker 2: Miami's in I think a tougher spot because they're returning
- 51:16Speaker 2: over from a road trip that they've been on since
- 51:18Speaker 2: only Thursday though, and they stayed on the East coast.
- 51:21Speaker 2: They just went up to the northeast. So it's not
- 51:23Speaker 2: exactly the worst road trip return spot, but it is
- 51:25Speaker 2: still a return home and it's going into the holidays,
- 51:30Speaker 2: you know, so it could be difficult, could definitely be
- 51:32Speaker 2: a distraction spot.
- 51:34Speaker 1: Miami's coming off that game.
- 51:36Speaker 2: Where they were really close to the Celtics until the
- 51:39Speaker 2: Celtics exploded in the fourth quarter. Celtics playing some really
- 51:43Speaker 2: nice late game basketball recently, so that was kind of
- 51:46Speaker 2: a brutal loss. And then Miami turned around and played
- 51:49Speaker 2: close against the New York Knicks on Sunday and fell
- 51:52Speaker 2: just short again. Now they get Toronto and up next
- 51:55Speaker 2: they got Atlanta. I don't know if it's really gonna
- 51:58Speaker 2: be a look ahead to Atlanta, but man, I mean,
- 52:02Speaker 2: well no, so the issue is right, So Hero is
- 52:04Speaker 2: actually out now. Hero, I believe played against the Knicks,
- 52:07Speaker 2: so I think he's injured now because I'm like, wait
- 52:10Speaker 2: a minute, why did I not want Toronto here because
- 52:12Speaker 2: I think Toronto is the right side in this game.
- 52:15Speaker 2: But the problem is the Heat are kind of in
- 52:17Speaker 2: an injured player spot here because Hero got hurt in
- 52:20Speaker 2: the game against the Knicks, so he's this is his
- 52:22Speaker 2: first game out again since coming back, so the team
- 52:26Speaker 2: might step.
- 52:27Speaker 1: Up their game with him out, you know what I mean.
- 52:28Speaker 2: So I worry about that part of the game here,
- 52:32Speaker 2: so I'm staying away. If I was gonna play it,
- 52:35Speaker 2: I would take the points with Toronto though eighty one
- 52:37Speaker 2: percent of tickets, eighty four percent of the cash on
- 52:39Speaker 2: the Heat, they're up to a five and a half
- 52:41Speaker 2: point favorite. Again, still lean to Toronto in that game
- 52:44Speaker 2: for me, though. Denver and Dallas is gonna be the
- 52:49Speaker 2: first of the doubleheader on NBC and Peacock Denver, I mean,
- 52:55Speaker 2: Denver's one of the better teams in the league, and
- 52:57Speaker 2: of course they could be in a spot where they're
- 52:58Speaker 2: looking ahead to playing Minnesota on Christmas because that's gonna
- 53:02Speaker 2: be that big televised ESPNA know this is also a
- 53:05Speaker 2: televised game, but it might mean a little bit more
- 53:07Speaker 2: to Dallas. Denver's on a back to back. They're coming
- 53:12Speaker 2: off a blowout game against Utah, and they have this
- 53:15Speaker 2: one weird travel spot now to Dallas.
- 53:18Speaker 1: It is kind of a weird spot for Denver. Man.
- 53:21Speaker 1: Dallas is coming off a loss in New Orleans.
- 53:24Speaker 2: That's a pretty ugly loss that was also yesterday though,
- 53:27Speaker 2: So Dallas is playing three games in four days, all
- 53:30Speaker 2: in different cities, and they also play on Christmas against
- 53:32Speaker 2: Golden State. But Dallas is not going to overlook Denver
- 53:37Speaker 2: and they're coming off an ugly loss at the Pelican.
- 53:39Speaker 2: So I think the only way that you can look
- 53:40Speaker 2: at this game is to take the points with Dallas.
- 53:43Speaker 2: But the money is saying otherwise. Nuggets are down from
- 53:47Speaker 2: seven to six and a half, but they got sixty
- 53:48Speaker 2: six percent of the cash on them, sixty two percent
- 53:51Speaker 2: of tickets on Dallas.
- 53:53Speaker 1: I don't want to either side here.
- 53:55Speaker 2: Again, I'm trying to be really selective here, but I
- 53:56Speaker 2: would lean to Dallas if I.
- 53:58Speaker 1: Was gonna play it, but I can't do it.
- 54:01Speaker 2: Then we got Knicks Minnesota, which I still considered to
- 54:04Speaker 2: be like the the Randall Kat trade battle here, which
- 54:08Speaker 2: that happened a couple of years ago. Now though the
- 54:10Speaker 2: Knicks are coming off that win over Miami, decent win,
- 54:14Speaker 2: even though I think the Knicks were the favorite at
- 54:16Speaker 2: home there, so they didn't win by that much. Now
- 54:18Speaker 2: they go on the road to face Minnesota, and they
- 54:20Speaker 2: do have Cleveland to kick off the Christmas slate on ESPN,
- 54:26Speaker 2: as I said, probably a bigger look ahead for Cleveland
- 54:29Speaker 2: than it is for the Knicks, though, because Cleveland hasn't
- 54:31Speaker 2: been playing that well.
- 54:33Speaker 1: Will the Knicks overlook Minnesota? I don't know. I mean,
- 54:36Speaker 1: they are a Western Conference team.
- 54:37Speaker 2: It is kind of a weird spot for the Knicks
- 54:39Speaker 2: to have this one game travel spot out to Minnesota
- 54:42Speaker 2: before playing on Christmas. Minnesota just barely got by Milwaukee.
- 54:47Speaker 2: And remember I said that was a sandwich spot because
- 54:49Speaker 2: Minnesota had been Oklahoma City the game before that monster
- 54:53Speaker 2: win there barely got by Milwaukee. I thought they'd be
- 54:56Speaker 2: looking ahead to the Knicks, and then they have Denver
- 54:58Speaker 2: on Christmas, though, So will they overlook the Knicks because
- 55:01Speaker 2: they have Denver on Christmas?
- 55:04Speaker 1: I don't think so.
- 55:05Speaker 2: Because part of that handicap was they're going to be
- 55:07Speaker 2: focused on the Knicks as well.
- 55:09Speaker 1: So I think the t Wolves are the right side here. Now.
- 55:12Speaker 2: The public is all over the Knicks, sixty four percent
- 55:14Speaker 2: of tickets and only fifty eight percent of the cash
- 55:16Speaker 2: on the Knicks. So the t Wolves are an anti
- 55:19Speaker 2: public home favorite. And you know, I like anti public
- 55:21Speaker 2: favorites because you're getting to lay points, usually a small
- 55:25Speaker 2: number with a good team, so you know you're backing
- 55:28Speaker 2: a good team. Now, the problem with that is part
- 55:31Speaker 2: of the reason why the public is coming in on
- 55:32Speaker 2: the Knicks. Because the t Wolves are up to an
- 55:34Speaker 2: eight and a half point favorite. Well, why, like, there's
- 55:38Speaker 2: no way they would be an eight and a half
- 55:39Speaker 2: point favorite without some significant injury for the Knicks. Well, yeah,
- 55:43Speaker 2: that is what's going on. Brunson is not playing in
- 55:45Speaker 2: this game for the Knicks.
- 55:47Speaker 1: Brunson.
- 55:48Speaker 2: I don't know if it's more of a like a
- 55:50Speaker 2: rest thing to get him ready for the Cavs game
- 55:52Speaker 2: on Christmas. But Brunson is hurt and he's not playing
- 55:55Speaker 2: in this game. I can tell you that. So technically
- 55:58Speaker 2: it does set up as an injured player spot for
- 56:00Speaker 2: the Knicks where they're getting more value on the line
- 56:02Speaker 2: now and they might have a bigger effort just because
- 56:05Speaker 2: they know Brunson is not in the lineup.
- 56:07Speaker 1: We also don't really know the status of.
- 56:09Speaker 2: Anonoby, so I don't know there's some things to look at,
- 56:13Speaker 2: like prior to this game happening, I would say. Now,
- 56:16Speaker 2: the other thing that worries me is the team will
- 56:17Speaker 2: still have not done well like stepping up in class,
- 56:20Speaker 2: although they are playing better recently. I know they beat
- 56:22Speaker 2: Oklahoma City, so I mean that's as good as it
- 56:24Speaker 2: gets beating them. But prior to that, they only had
- 56:27Speaker 2: two wins against winning teams all season, and one was
- 56:30Speaker 2: as a favorite against Boston at home where they didn't cover,
- 56:33Speaker 2: and the other ones against San Antonio without Wemby. So
- 56:37Speaker 2: Minnesota has not done well playing against winning teams this year.
- 56:40Speaker 2: So that does worry me as well. So I have
- 56:42Speaker 2: to just stay away, man. Unfortunately, I know it's a
- 56:47Speaker 2: lot of stay away saying. Now, Oklahoma City at San Antonio.
- 56:49Speaker 2: We remember the last time Oklahoma City played San Antonio,
- 56:53Speaker 2: San Antonio bounced Oklahoma City from the NBA Cup semi finals.
- 56:58Speaker 2: It pulled off that upset, so Oklahoma City might have
- 57:01Speaker 2: this game circled just because of that. Oklahoma City did
- 57:05Speaker 2: just bounce back with an easy win over Memphis. I
- 57:07Speaker 2: think they did wind up covering barely at home. Now
- 57:11Speaker 2: they aren't a back to back though, having to travel
- 57:14Speaker 2: to San Antonio and they play San Antonio again on Christmas,
- 57:18Speaker 2: which sets up as a potential zig zag scenario depending
- 57:21Speaker 2: on what happens here today. But I still think they
- 57:24Speaker 2: show up for this man, because again san Antonio is
- 57:27Speaker 2: the team that bounced them from the cop not that
- 57:29Speaker 2: the cup matters that much.
- 57:31Speaker 1: San Antonio is going to show up as well, though
- 57:33Speaker 1: of course they're playing the Thunder.
- 57:35Speaker 2: San Antonio is coming on of an easy win over Washington,
- 57:38Speaker 2: they are returning home and again returning home for the
- 57:41Speaker 2: holidays maybe an issue, And of course they have to
- 57:43Speaker 2: go out on the road on Christmas, so san Antonio
- 57:46Speaker 2: might have to get some Christmas stuff done now while
- 57:49Speaker 2: they're at home, so it could be a bit of
- 57:50Speaker 2: a distraction for them for that reason. So overall, I'm
- 57:55Speaker 2: going to lean towards the Thunder in this game. They're
- 57:59Speaker 2: down for six and a half to five, though the
- 58:00Speaker 2: money kind of coming into the Spurs fifty three percent tickets,
- 58:03Speaker 2: fifty eight percent of the cash on them. But you know,
- 58:06Speaker 2: I mean, I think this is kind of a short
- 58:08Speaker 2: line on the Thunder here.
- 58:09Speaker 1: I mean the Thunder.
- 58:10Speaker 2: We're ten and a half point favorite in Vegas on
- 58:13Speaker 2: a neutral and like what has really changed now unless
- 58:15Speaker 2: there's some injury on the Thunder, Like teams in it
- 58:19Speaker 2: in the NBA do not get that much for home court,
- 58:21Speaker 2: and like the strongest home court in the NBA is
- 58:24Speaker 2: probably like two points at most. So if the Thunder
- 58:27Speaker 2: were ten and a half on a neutral and I
- 58:30Speaker 2: know they lost that game, like them being a five
- 58:33Speaker 2: point favorite, it seems like there is some value on
- 58:36Speaker 2: the Thunder. On this line, it does seem a little
- 58:38Speaker 2: bit short, like kind of based on what's happened more recently.
- 58:43Speaker 1: Got to look at the status of Wemby.
- 58:44Speaker 2: Of course he's a game time decision, but I think
- 58:47Speaker 2: the line is basically indicating he is playing. There are
- 58:50Speaker 2: a lot of game time decisions for the Thunder here,
- 58:52Speaker 2: mostly home Grin and Hartenstein.
- 58:54Speaker 1: They're gonna need those guys in there.
- 58:56Speaker 2: So that they have the size and I guess Caruso,
- 58:59Speaker 2: but they're all same time decisions.
- 59:01Speaker 1: So we'll see.
- 59:04Speaker 2: It's gonna depend on how much Oklahoma City wants this
- 59:07Speaker 2: game versus the Christmas one, I think, so we'll see.
- 59:11Speaker 2: But yes, whatever happens in this game, you might want
- 59:13Speaker 2: to zig zag in on Christmas. If San Antonio wins
- 59:18Speaker 2: to say, Okay, see money line on Christmas. Yeah, but
- 59:21Speaker 2: it's gonna be at Oklahoma City. The money line is
- 59:23Speaker 2: gonna be like minus nine hundred probably.
- 59:27Speaker 1: Or worse.
- 59:28Speaker 2: So Oklahoma City should be like a twelve point favorite
- 59:31Speaker 2: in that game on Christmas at home. So yet I know,
- 59:35Speaker 2: I mean I would lay the points with Oklahoma City
- 59:38Speaker 2: in that game. If San Antonio wins this game, I
- 59:40Speaker 2: think laying the points with the Thunder on the Christmas
- 59:42Speaker 2: game makes sense.
- 59:44Speaker 1: What's up, Zach?
- 59:45Speaker 2: What's going on? Jesus married Joseph in the Talking Wallnut? Yes,
- 59:52Speaker 2: then that's the Nativity? Yes, all right? We have a
- 59:56Speaker 2: LA Lakers at Phoenix here. Seems like these teams have
- 1:00:00Speaker 2: played a lot recently. These teams have played twice recently,
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: and Phoenix beat LA by seventeen at LA and then
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: LA got revenge winning on the road by two. But
- 1:00:11Speaker 2: Phoenix has kind of had the upper hand in this matchup.
- 1:00:13Speaker 2: The problem is the Lakers have had two days off
- 1:00:16Speaker 2: and they're coming off a horrible loss to the Clippers.
- 1:00:19Speaker 2: I mean, it doesn't get much uglier than that, so
- 1:00:22Speaker 2: the Lakers should be in bounced back mode here. However,
- 1:00:25Speaker 2: they do face Houston on Christmas. But I don't really
- 1:00:29Speaker 2: know that they're gonna overlook a Phoenix team that's been
- 1:00:31Speaker 2: playing pretty decent.
- 1:00:33Speaker 1: Phoenix, you know they're gonna show up as well.
- 1:00:36Speaker 2: Phoenix did just lose to Golden State in the back
- 1:00:39Speaker 2: to back scenario there or two straight games against Golden State.
- 1:00:43Speaker 2: I should say, both close games, big games. I mean,
- 1:00:46Speaker 2: Golden State has curried back whatever. Now Phoenix is back
- 1:00:50Speaker 2: at home for this, but they get to play this
- 1:00:53Speaker 2: and then they go out on the road and they
- 1:00:54Speaker 2: face the New Orleans. So I think their focus will
- 1:00:56Speaker 2: be on this game against the Lakers here. So I mean,
- 1:00:59Speaker 2: how do we hand you can at this? The money's
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: all coming in on the Lakers. But also there's a
- 1:01:03Speaker 2: reason why the Suns are favored like this throughout, from
- 1:01:07Speaker 2: a five point favorite to a six point favorite. I
- 1:01:09Speaker 2: remember Reeves didn't play in that game for the Lakers
- 1:01:13Speaker 2: against the Clippers, although they shouldn't have lost horribly, sixty
- 1:01:18Speaker 2: percent of the tickets are on the Suns. Surprisingly, seventy
- 1:01:22Speaker 2: eight percent of the cash coming back on the Lakers.
- 1:01:25Speaker 2: There's gotta be some injury for the Lakers here for
- 1:01:27Speaker 2: the Suns to be favored by this much. Yeah, it
- 1:01:31Speaker 2: looks like Luca is now out, so Reeves might come back.
- 1:01:34Speaker 2: But Luca is now out, He's estimated to return for
- 1:01:39Speaker 2: the Christmas game. You know, I think you gotta play
- 1:01:44Speaker 2: the Lakers plus the points here or leave the game alone.
- 1:01:46Speaker 2: I mean, they're still coming off a disgustingly bad loss,
- 1:01:49Speaker 2: and they might step up their game with Luca out.
- 1:01:52Speaker 2: It becomes like the injured player theory spot because I'm
- 1:01:54Speaker 2: pretty sure he played in the previous game, right, So
- 1:01:58Speaker 2: I think that's the way I would look at the game.
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: Let me say Luca Reeves.
- 1:02:02Speaker 2: Is still out, by the way, and so is Hachimore,
- 1:02:04Speaker 2: So I don't know. It gets a little bit more
- 1:02:06Speaker 2: concerning there. Actually still Reeves is a game time decision.
- 1:02:09Speaker 2: I think he might actually come back. He's questionable, so
- 1:02:12Speaker 2: I think he'll play if he can. Luca is definitely
- 1:02:16Speaker 2: out though, and he played. He it looks like he
- 1:02:18Speaker 2: did get hurt or they just pulled him from the
- 1:02:20Speaker 2: game against the Clippers because it was becoming out of hand.
- 1:02:23Speaker 2: And then for Hatchi Moura, he's not playing in this
- 1:02:28Speaker 2: game either, so I don't know's it does make it
- 1:02:30Speaker 2: a difficult handicap but I do think the line has
- 1:02:33Speaker 2: kind of overreacted to all those injuries. So still probably
- 1:02:39Speaker 2: towards taking those points with the Lakers, but the public
- 1:02:42Speaker 2: doesn't even look like they want it with all the
- 1:02:45Speaker 2: injuries a Memphis at Utah and with what the Lakers
- 1:02:48Speaker 2: looked like in the last game Memphis at Utah. Memphis
- 1:02:52Speaker 2: coming off the loss at Oklahoma City. Now they go
- 1:02:54Speaker 2: into elevation with no days off. They're playing a third
- 1:02:57Speaker 2: game in four days, having to go to Utah, but
- 1:03:01Speaker 2: they only have Milwaukee after this is not exactly.
- 1:03:03Speaker 1: A huge look ahead spot here.
- 1:03:05Speaker 2: They weren't that close to Oklahoma City in their last
- 1:03:07Speaker 2: game either for Utah. Utah got blown out by Denver
- 1:03:11Speaker 2: in their last game on the road that was yesterday
- 1:03:14Speaker 2: as well, so they were returning home off of that,
- 1:03:17Speaker 2: and then they do have Detroit on Friday, so maybe
- 1:03:22Speaker 2: a little bit of a sandwich here in. Utah did
- 1:03:24Speaker 2: go into Memphis and beat them back on December twelfth,
- 1:03:26Speaker 2: which I don't remember if that was a game that
- 1:03:28Speaker 2: I gave out on the show or not.
- 1:03:29Speaker 1: Probably wasn't, but I don't know.
- 1:03:33Speaker 2: Utah is coming up the uglier loss in the last game,
- 1:03:35Speaker 2: but still travel back to back, big game.
- 1:03:39Speaker 1: Up next as well. I don't know.
- 1:03:40Speaker 2: I mean, it's kind of looking like Memphis might be
- 1:03:42Speaker 2: the right side in this one.
- 1:03:45Speaker 1: Grizzlies are from two and a half to three and
- 1:03:46Speaker 1: a half.
- 1:03:47Speaker 2: Is a road favorite, fifty percent of tickets, fifty eight
- 1:03:49Speaker 2: percent of the cash on them. I'm not really going
- 1:03:52Speaker 2: to disagree with the Grizzlies, but again, I don't want it. Unfortunately,
- 1:03:57Speaker 2: I just don't see anything that strong in the NBA today. Man,
- 1:04:01Speaker 2: even with all these games, Orlando is at Portland.
- 1:04:04Speaker 1: I think I was wrong about that game yesterday.
- 1:04:06Speaker 2: Orlando got absolutely wrecked by Golden State in that game, Orlando,
- 1:04:10Speaker 2: I mean, they're just not holding up with this really
- 1:04:13Speaker 2: injured roster they have right now.
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:04:15Speaker 2: Now they're on a back to back and they're playing
- 1:04:17Speaker 2: a fourth game in six days, all in different cities,
- 1:04:20Speaker 2: which is pretty brutal. Although you think they should bounce
- 1:04:23Speaker 2: back from such a horrible loss yesterday, Portland just lost
- 1:04:28Speaker 2: to Detroit. That was a fairly close game. Losing to
- 1:04:30Speaker 2: Detroit yesterday. So they were also on a back to back.
- 1:04:33Speaker 2: Staying at home makes it a little bit easier for them.
- 1:04:36Speaker 2: But so that was a big game against Detroit and
- 1:04:38Speaker 2: Orlando might come into this a little bit angry at
- 1:04:42Speaker 2: the very least because of how that game went yesterday.
- 1:04:45Speaker 2: A lot of things to look at with the injuries.
- 1:04:48Speaker 2: Wagner is still out for for Orlando.
- 1:04:52Speaker 1: They might get Sugs back, so you gotta pay attention
- 1:04:54Speaker 1: to that.
- 1:04:55Speaker 2: He didn't play against the Warriors, so we'll see if
- 1:04:57Speaker 2: he comes back. Of course, that will obviously help Orlando
- 1:05:00Speaker 2: if he comes back, and I don't think it really
- 1:05:03Speaker 2: will put them in a reverse injured player spot. Grant
- 1:05:07Speaker 2: is somebody to look at for Portland. It looks like
- 1:05:10Speaker 2: Drew Holiday will not be coming back yet for the holidays.
- 1:05:14Speaker 2: Jeremy Grant, we gotta look at what's going on with him.
- 1:05:17Speaker 2: He didn't play against Detroit, so we'll see what happens
- 1:05:19Speaker 2: with him. He's one of the better players on Portland.
- 1:05:22Speaker 2: The Magic are down from a three point favorite to
- 1:05:24Speaker 2: one and a half point favorite, but it looks like
- 1:05:25Speaker 2: they are getting some of the money. Sixty takes seventy
- 1:05:29Speaker 2: three percent of the cash on the Magic. I would
- 1:05:32Speaker 2: lean that way. I would lean towards the Magic in
- 1:05:34Speaker 2: the game just because the loss that they had yesterday
- 1:05:37Speaker 2: was just that bad. It just looks awful, like nobody's
- 1:05:42Speaker 2: gonna want them. So, yeah, Portland doesn't really have a
- 1:05:45Speaker 2: point guard good point, good point ah without yeah Holiday there, Yeah,
- 1:05:53Speaker 2: I don't. I don't even know who else they have
- 1:05:54Speaker 2: that runs point. We got Detroit at Sacramentum. Detroit did
- 1:06:00Speaker 2: just kind of escape. That game against Portland wasn't a
- 1:06:03Speaker 2: good game for them. That was yesterday though. Now they
- 1:06:05Speaker 2: have to travel down to Sacramento. But they don't really
- 1:06:08Speaker 2: have any big games after this, so Detroit might show
- 1:06:11Speaker 2: up for this.
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: Game, even though it isn't back to back.
- 1:06:13Speaker 2: A lot of back to backs here, no back to
- 1:06:16Speaker 2: back for US Sacramento, but they're coming off that upset
- 1:06:19Speaker 2: of Houston, which that was a win for us on
- 1:06:22Speaker 2: the show, one of my huge underdogs that won outright
- 1:06:26Speaker 2: for us.
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: Those have been happening recently for us on the show.
- 1:06:30Speaker 2: Huge win for Sacramento, So in a way, yeah, it
- 1:06:34Speaker 2: is a letdown spot, but they're playing Detroit, so they
- 1:06:37Speaker 2: still might show up for a game against Detroit because
- 1:06:39Speaker 2: we know Detroit is good and that game did break
- 1:06:43Speaker 2: a losing streak for Sacramento, so usually that is a
- 1:06:45Speaker 2: good thing.
- 1:06:46Speaker 1: But Sacramento did just lose to Portland twice.
- 1:06:51Speaker 2: I don't know it's gonna look maybe easy to play
- 1:06:53Speaker 2: Detroit because Detroit still just did beat Portland. But still,
- 1:06:57Speaker 2: I think the big factor here is that Sacramento is
- 1:06:59Speaker 2: in a spot. I mean, in overtime win over Houston.
- 1:07:03Speaker 2: Doesn't get much better than that as far as like
- 1:07:05Speaker 2: wins are concerned. And this is still a Sacramento team.
- 1:07:08Speaker 2: It's without some bonus. You know, things are not going well.
- 1:07:12Speaker 2: The money is saying to fade the Pistons other down
- 1:07:15Speaker 2: from nine to eight and a half. Here seventy nine
- 1:07:17Speaker 2: percent of tickets, only seventy percent of the cash on them.
- 1:07:20Speaker 2: So the market read to Saint take it with the Kings.
- 1:07:23Speaker 2: I struggle with that game again. Man, I don't want
- 1:07:26Speaker 2: any of this today. I mean, it's ridiculous how bad
- 1:07:29Speaker 2: this board is today. The second game, I forget if
- 1:07:35Speaker 2: it was the second or the first game Sacramento Portland.
- 1:07:37Speaker 1: One of the games was way overscoring than the other.
- 1:07:39Speaker 2: Yeah it was, yeah, the second game, right, was way overscoring.
- 1:07:44Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:07:44Speaker 2: The first game was unbelievably highest scoring. So there was
- 1:07:47Speaker 2: a total zigzag that happened there where. I think both
- 1:07:50Speaker 2: teams must have just fixed shit. On defense and focused defense,
- 1:07:55Speaker 2: or maybe the first game was like a major like
- 1:07:57Speaker 2: shooting outlier Sacramento.
- 1:08:00Speaker 1: With all these injuries, they're not really.
- 1:08:02Speaker 2: Scoring a lot, and really Portland doesn't have a great
- 1:08:06Speaker 2: offense either right now. But yeah, that Detroit Sacramento game
- 1:08:10Speaker 2: is difficult, and then we do have Houston at the
- 1:08:13Speaker 2: Clippers to finish this off. Now, this one is close
- 1:08:18Speaker 2: because you look at the situational set up. Houston just
- 1:08:21Speaker 2: lost to Sacramento, so they should be in a bounce
- 1:08:25Speaker 2: back mode here. The problem is they're playing a third
- 1:08:29Speaker 2: game in four days, all in different cities, fourth game
- 1:08:31Speaker 2: in six days, all in different cities, and they have
- 1:08:34Speaker 2: to play the Lakers on Christmas, which is a pretty
- 1:08:37Speaker 2: major look ahead spot. So I do worry about that
- 1:08:40Speaker 2: and the fact that they're already gonna be in LA.
- 1:08:42Speaker 2: It's like the big event is really the Christmas game.
- 1:08:44Speaker 2: So I worry that maybe Houston doesn't bounce back immediately here.
- 1:08:49Speaker 2: But the Clippers, they got to be in a letdown
- 1:08:51Speaker 2: spot here because they just beat the Lakers, even though
- 1:08:54Speaker 2: it was without Reeves, huge win and now did break
- 1:08:56Speaker 2: a losing streak, so sometimes that will give them give
- 1:08:59Speaker 2: you new momentum here, and I don't think they're gonna
- 1:09:02Speaker 2: overlook the Houston Rockets really, so I have a lot
- 1:09:05Speaker 2: you know, there are a lot of things going on
- 1:09:06Speaker 2: in this game too where I can't play it because
- 1:09:08Speaker 2: on the surfaces, it's like, well, Houston just.
- 1:09:11Speaker 1: Lost as a big favorite.
- 1:09:12Speaker 2: The Clippers pulled off a big upset, so you want
- 1:09:15Speaker 2: to look towards Houston for those reasons, right, But there
- 1:09:17Speaker 2: are all these other things coming into play where that
- 1:09:19Speaker 2: might not be the case. And again, the Clippers still
- 1:09:22Speaker 2: might get up for a game against Houston. So and
- 1:09:25Speaker 2: the Clippers don't play on Christmas. The money is saying
- 1:09:28Speaker 2: Houston seventy nine percent of tickets, ninety two percent of
- 1:09:31Speaker 2: the cash, and then they're up from five and a
- 1:09:33Speaker 2: half to seven and a half. I'm not gonna disagree.
- 1:09:36Speaker 2: I would still lay it if I was gonna play
- 1:09:37Speaker 2: it with the Rockets. So they went through that key
- 1:09:40Speaker 2: ish number seven and a half there. But again, unfortunately
- 1:09:43Speaker 2: I can't get involved in any of the NBA today, man.
- 1:09:46Speaker 2: So again, sometimes you just gotta pass. And that's what
- 1:09:50Speaker 2: we're doing today, all right. College football, some real craziness
- 1:09:55Speaker 2: here with the college football, man, it's an ESPN tripleheader.
- 1:09:59Speaker 1: ESPN focusing on these.
- 1:10:01Speaker 2: Bowls that really don't mean a whole lot for the
- 1:10:04Speaker 2: most part. Starting out at two pm Eastern with the
- 1:10:07Speaker 2: Bushes Baked Beans Boca Raton Bowl in Boca Raton, Florida,
- 1:10:13Speaker 2: A Boca Ratone the mouth of the raft. The rats
- 1:10:16Speaker 2: are eating the beans. Man, I'm pretty sure it must
- 1:10:19Speaker 2: be Bush's Baked beans. Right, It's Bush's Boca Ratona, is it,
- 1:10:22Speaker 2: George Bush? I have no idea the rich Republicans living
- 1:10:26Speaker 2: in Boca Raton.
- 1:10:27Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 1:10:28Speaker 2: This game is Toledo against Louisville. Now, this is a
- 1:10:32Speaker 2: game where you got to pay attention to the opt outs.
- 1:10:34Speaker 1: Now.
- 1:10:34Speaker 2: I've been saying that Toledo underperformed this season, even though
- 1:10:38Speaker 2: they did finish with a pretty solid eight and four record, Toledo,
- 1:10:43Speaker 2: they were a lot better than the record looked all season.
- 1:10:45Speaker 2: They had a couple of strange losses in here where
- 1:10:48Speaker 2: they were actually favored on the road against like Western
- 1:10:50Speaker 2: Michigan even the Western Michigan aunt up winning the MAC
- 1:10:53Speaker 2: and then.
- 1:10:53Speaker 1: Against Bowling Green.
- 1:10:55Speaker 2: Very strange losses there, and Toledo was actually favored on
- 1:10:58Speaker 2: the road against Washington State too.
- 1:11:00Speaker 1: But they finished strong.
- 1:11:02Speaker 2: They won four games in a row, and they tried
- 1:11:03Speaker 2: to make a run at the MAC Championship and then
- 1:11:07Speaker 2: they fell short because of tiebreakers. Basically, like I don't
- 1:11:11Speaker 2: know what happened, Like the MAC does these weird tiebreakers
- 1:11:13Speaker 2: where Miami Ohio wound up having the tiebreakers over both
- 1:11:17Speaker 2: Toledo and Ohio and getting into the MAC Championship for
- 1:11:21Speaker 2: whatever reason Toledo.
- 1:11:24Speaker 1: So there are a lot of things going on here.
- 1:11:26Speaker 2: Like I like, the teams finished strong, which kind of
- 1:11:28Speaker 2: means they might want to be in the bowl game.
- 1:11:30Speaker 2: But then again, having a lot of time off means
- 1:11:33Speaker 2: that it might kind of.
- 1:11:34Speaker 1: Ruin your winning momentum.
- 1:11:36Speaker 2: But then again, Toledo is not as bad as they
- 1:11:39Speaker 2: looked at some of these games this year. But then again,
- 1:11:42Speaker 2: Toledo might be disappointed because their goal this year was
- 1:11:45Speaker 2: to win the MAC and they.
- 1:11:46Speaker 1: Didn't do it.
- 1:11:47Speaker 2: And then that kind of leads into looking at the
- 1:11:50Speaker 2: opt outs for this game here. It's a problem for Toledo, man,
- 1:11:54Speaker 2: they got some opt outs here, and some of their
- 1:11:57Speaker 2: players are opting out which aren't really being shown here
- 1:11:59Speaker 2: other than Davis, their edge rusher, but I think they
- 1:12:03Speaker 2: have other guys opting out as well. But the main
- 1:12:05Speaker 2: problem here is they're losing their head coach and their
- 1:12:07Speaker 2: DC and they're both not playing in the in the game.
- 1:12:10Speaker 1: They're both not gonna be there at the game.
- 1:12:12Speaker 2: I should say, Candle the flame has gone out because
- 1:12:17Speaker 2: he's leaving and he's going to Yukon, which apparently is
- 1:12:20Speaker 2: a step up from Toledo to go to a team
- 1:12:23Speaker 2: that's not even in a conference.
- 1:12:25Speaker 1: Don't know what that move is. It's weird.
- 1:12:27Speaker 2: But he won't be coaching, and then their DC is
- 1:12:31Speaker 2: going to Syracuse, so they're gonna have some interim coach here.
- 1:12:36Speaker 2: I believe Toledo already has another coach lined up so
- 1:12:39Speaker 2: they know who their new coaches, but I forget.
- 1:12:41Speaker 1: I'm not sure about that actually, but I don't think that.
- 1:12:43Speaker 2: Their interim coaches coaching the game today is going to
- 1:12:46Speaker 2: be their future coach. So that's a you have to
- 1:12:49Speaker 2: try to gauge, like is this a negative or a
- 1:12:52Speaker 2: positive when a head coach leaves, You know what I mean?
- 1:12:54Speaker 1: Because in some.
- 1:12:55Speaker 2: Ways it can mean like, oh, they're abandoning the team
- 1:12:58Speaker 2: and the team just won't get excited anymore. In another way,
- 1:13:02Speaker 2: it's like if the team likes the interium coach they'll
- 1:13:05Speaker 2: get up for. And it's really hard to figure out
- 1:13:07Speaker 2: do they like the interium coach. But I think if
- 1:13:09Speaker 2: the interium coach is staying and he's gonna be the
- 1:13:11Speaker 2: coach next year, the team will play hard for him
- 1:13:14Speaker 2: because they want to, you know, get that guy's career
- 1:13:17Speaker 2: off on the right foot.
- 1:13:18Speaker 1: But I don't know if that's the case here.
- 1:13:19Speaker 2: I think the interium coach for Toledo today is not
- 1:13:22Speaker 2: necessarily gonna be their coach.
- 1:13:23Speaker 1: So there are some problems with Toledo here. Now.
- 1:13:27Speaker 2: One thing that still might get them up for this
- 1:13:28Speaker 2: game is they do get to play Louisville, which is
- 1:13:31Speaker 2: an ACC team, so maybe they will still get excited
- 1:13:34Speaker 2: for that reason. Now, for Louisville, they only have a
- 1:13:37Speaker 2: couple of guys entering the transfer portals, so for the
- 1:13:39Speaker 2: most part, Louisville is actually intact, and it seems like
- 1:13:42Speaker 2: they're showing up for this game now. Louisville, they looked
- 1:13:46Speaker 2: like they were gonna finish the season just as a
- 1:13:48Speaker 2: dead team. Basically, after they lost to Clemson, it looked
- 1:13:52Speaker 2: like they'd packed it in. They got blown out by SMU,
- 1:13:54Speaker 2: but shockingly, they came back and they absolutely obliterated Kentucky.
- 1:13:58Speaker 2: And I know Kentucky's not that good, but I was
- 1:14:01Speaker 2: shocked that Louisville actually showed up with that amount of
- 1:14:04Speaker 2: intensity in that game. So that actually kind of shows
- 1:14:06Speaker 2: you that maybe Louisville will actually show up for this
- 1:14:09Speaker 2: Bowl game. And when you're the better team like Louisville is,
- 1:14:13Speaker 2: that may not be a good sign for the dog here.
- 1:14:16Speaker 1: Louisville's up to a ten point favorite, though.
- 1:14:18Speaker 2: This line has been all over the place, So it
- 1:14:20Speaker 2: opened nine and a half, and it initially was all
- 1:14:22Speaker 2: the way down I think below the seven. I think
- 1:14:24Speaker 2: it was six and a half for a while, but
- 1:14:26Speaker 2: then once Toledo's coach left and whatever, the line went
- 1:14:29Speaker 2: back up through the back, through the key number and
- 1:14:32Speaker 2: all the way up to ten.
- 1:14:33Speaker 1: And it's headed through that key number of ten.
- 1:14:36Speaker 2: Seventy five percent of tickets, eighty seven percent of the
- 1:14:38Speaker 2: cash on Louisville. I think, if you're gonna play it,
- 1:14:41Speaker 2: you gotta lay the points here. I mean, if Louisville
- 1:14:43Speaker 2: shows up and they are the better team, they have
- 1:14:45Speaker 2: the way better offense as well, they should be able
- 1:14:48Speaker 2: to get it done here.
- 1:14:49Speaker 1: But I mean Toledo. They're actually fairly.
- 1:14:51Speaker 2: Good defensively though, So that's the one thing you do
- 1:14:53Speaker 2: have to worry about if they if they still are
- 1:14:55Speaker 2: gonna show up with any amount of focus in this game,
- 1:14:59Speaker 2: their defense might be decent enough to maybe keep this
- 1:15:02Speaker 2: game close. And the way that you know, again, this season,
- 1:15:06Speaker 2: Toledo wasn't that bad. Total is very low though now
- 1:15:10Speaker 2: for forty six and a half to forty three and
- 1:15:12Speaker 2: a half, I don't know really what caused that drop.
- 1:15:14Speaker 2: Seventy five percent of tickets and only sixty percent of
- 1:15:17Speaker 2: the cash on the over. So you know, me, I
- 1:15:18Speaker 2: don't like laying double digit points in a football game
- 1:15:21Speaker 2: with a total that's that low either, though.
- 1:15:23Speaker 1: So obviously it's a pass for me.
- 1:15:26Speaker 2: It would be a slight lean for me towards laying
- 1:15:29Speaker 2: the points though with Louisville. With Toledo just seeming like
- 1:15:32Speaker 2: they're in a little bit of a messy situation here
- 1:15:35Speaker 2: right now, it's really hard to gauge their motivation though,
- 1:15:38Speaker 2: so I don't know, we just have to pass on it.
- 1:15:40Speaker 1: Bush's baked Beans, Tyson, what's up man? Tyson? B Tyson Chicken,
- 1:15:45Speaker 1: what's up man?
- 1:15:46Speaker 2: They should sponsor a Bowl Game, the Tyson Chicken Nugget Bowl,
- 1:15:52Speaker 2: the Potato Bowl. I dude, I told you. I said
- 1:15:54Speaker 2: that on my show. Maybe you had left before I
- 1:15:56Speaker 2: talked about the game. I talked about the total in
- 1:15:59Speaker 2: that game on my show, Yeah, and I said that
- 1:16:00Speaker 2: I thought the the line moved down was an overreaction.
- 1:16:04Speaker 2: The reason why the line moved the line moved like
- 1:16:06Speaker 2: seven or eight points I think lower on the total,
- 1:16:10Speaker 2: just because there were opt outs on both sides. And
- 1:16:12Speaker 2: I said that that was an overreaction most likely. I
- 1:16:15Speaker 2: said that the over was the way to look at
- 1:16:18Speaker 2: that total.
- 1:16:19Speaker 1: In that game. Although I preferred the side with Washington
- 1:16:22Speaker 1: State slightly. I didn't love the.
- 1:16:24Speaker 2: Game either way, but but yeah, I did not agree
- 1:16:26Speaker 2: with the under in that one at all. Plus, Washington
- 1:16:29Speaker 2: State was stepping way down in class to face a
- 1:16:31Speaker 2: really bad Utah State defense. Utah State played all Mountain
- 1:16:35Speaker 2: West teams this year, and Washington State played like multiple
- 1:16:38Speaker 2: ACC teams and whatever. They played a much much more
- 1:16:41Speaker 2: difficult schedule, so they were like stepping down in class
- 1:16:45Speaker 2: defensive way to face a much weaker defense than some
- 1:16:48Speaker 2: of the defenses that they faced. Got gotta watch the
- 1:16:52Speaker 2: show Man. Although the under did almost hit. I mean,
- 1:16:56Speaker 2: it was just Utah State's offense just really fall at
- 1:17:00Speaker 2: points in that game.
- 1:17:02Speaker 1: All right. We have a lot of movement in this game.
- 1:17:04Speaker 2: In the New Orleans Bowl, which is obviously in New Orleans.
- 1:17:09Speaker 2: This game gets played every year in the super Dome.
- 1:17:13Speaker 2: It used to be the RNL Carriers New Orleans one.
- 1:17:15Speaker 2: I guess they no longer are carrying them as a sponsor.
- 1:17:18Speaker 2: I think this is the first year for a long
- 1:17:21Speaker 2: time that it's not RNL Carriers, which I think was
- 1:17:23Speaker 2: a I forget who they I don't even know who
- 1:17:25Speaker 2: they are, but there's no sponsor anymore.
- 1:17:28Speaker 1: It's just the New Orleans Bawl whatever.
- 1:17:30Speaker 2: This is a Western Kentucky and Southern miss Now, this
- 1:17:33Speaker 2: is the cleanest handicap out of the three games. There
- 1:17:35Speaker 2: are not many opt outs in this game, so pretty
- 1:17:38Speaker 2: much both teams are showing up. Western Kentucky does have
- 1:17:40Speaker 2: a couple of guys hitting the transfer portal, one of
- 1:17:43Speaker 2: their cornerbacks and one of their running backs, although I
- 1:17:47Speaker 2: think Western Kentucky is more of a passing offense, so
- 1:17:49Speaker 2: I don't know how much that really matters. But there's
- 1:17:52Speaker 2: been a huge move on the line towards Southern Miss,
- 1:17:55Speaker 2: and I do not disagree with it. If you're gonna
- 1:17:58Speaker 2: play this game, I think you got to try to
- 1:17:59Speaker 2: get Other Miss still at least as an underdog, but
- 1:18:02Speaker 2: you missed the best numbers at three and a half.
- 1:18:04Speaker 2: But of course in these bulls, you have to try
- 1:18:07Speaker 2: to gauge, like has the line moved too much or
- 1:18:10Speaker 2: you know, like when the line moves like this, you
- 1:18:12Speaker 2: gotta trust that that movement means something that there is
- 1:18:16Speaker 2: like actual like professional money slamming that line down and
- 1:18:19Speaker 2: the like, there is a reason for well, not just
- 1:18:21Speaker 2: professional money, but the line has moved just because of
- 1:18:24Speaker 2: stuff that's happened, like you know, like new information that's
- 1:18:27Speaker 2: come out. Although again in this case, I think it
- 1:18:29Speaker 2: was more just professional money hitting this because there hasn't
- 1:18:33Speaker 2: been that much information. There just really aren't that many
- 1:18:35Speaker 2: opt outs or anything here, So I think it's a
- 1:18:37Speaker 2: legitimate move.
- 1:18:38Speaker 1: I like Southern Miss.
- 1:18:39Speaker 2: Anyway, in this game, like when the Bulls were announced,
- 1:18:44Speaker 2: wish I kind of took it to the three and
- 1:18:45Speaker 2: a half. I mean, at this point, I'm gonna pass,
- 1:18:47Speaker 2: even though I know I did give out Old Dominion
- 1:18:50Speaker 2: back in their other game because they were still at
- 1:18:52Speaker 2: like three to three and a half. They actually got
- 1:18:54Speaker 2: up to a four point dog again and they had
- 1:18:56Speaker 2: an easy cover. Southern Miss might get this game fairly,
- 1:19:00Speaker 2: but I think I just have to stay off of it.
- 1:19:03Speaker 2: Fifty three percent of tickets, sixty seven percent of the
- 1:19:05Speaker 2: cash on Southern Miss. If you do want to play
- 1:19:07Speaker 2: it again, you could probably get like a plus one
- 1:19:10Speaker 2: on Southern Miss right now, and that's probably what I
- 1:19:13Speaker 2: would do, or play the money line as an underdog here.
- 1:19:16Speaker 2: Total is pretty high up to fifty eight and a
- 1:19:18Speaker 2: half from fifty five and a half, but its like
- 1:19:20Speaker 2: money kind of coming in towards the under to some extent,
- 1:19:24Speaker 2: seventy percent of tickets on the over, fifty seven percent
- 1:19:27Speaker 2: of the cash on the over.
- 1:19:29Speaker 1: I wouldn't want to deal with the total in this
- 1:19:30Speaker 1: one though.
- 1:19:32Speaker 2: I mean, I don't think either defense is really necessarily
- 1:19:35Speaker 2: that great, so I mean, I wouldn't be shocked if
- 1:19:37Speaker 2: it was a higher scoring game. But I think the
- 1:19:40Speaker 2: Southern Miss side is the way to look at this game.
- 1:19:43Speaker 1: It's a game where Western Kentucky.
- 1:19:45Speaker 2: I mean, bowls like this are just kind of going
- 1:19:48Speaker 2: through the motions for them in my opinion, Like I
- 1:19:50Speaker 2: don't really know if they're gonna be excited to get
- 1:19:52Speaker 2: to play a Sun Belt team in New Orleans. Western
- 1:19:55Speaker 2: Kentucky they're in bowls basically every year. I think they
- 1:19:58Speaker 2: want to bowl last year or they they won at
- 1:20:00Speaker 2: least one bowl within the last couple of years. I
- 1:20:02Speaker 2: think they've won multiple bowls in the last few years.
- 1:20:05Speaker 1: Like I think they've won three of their.
- 1:20:06Speaker 2: Last four bowls all in the last four years. So
- 1:20:09Speaker 2: how excited does Western Kentucky really get here?
- 1:20:13Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 1:20:14Speaker 2: I mean, they were trying to win their conference to
- 1:20:16Speaker 2: the CUSA and they fell short. They lost to Jacksonville State,
- 1:20:20Speaker 2: so they missed getting into the CUSA title game. For
- 1:20:23Speaker 2: that reason, that was kind of their goal. They played
- 1:20:25Speaker 2: those tough games against LSU and Jacksonville State, although you
- 1:20:29Speaker 2: got to give them credit. I mean, they played hard
- 1:20:31Speaker 2: in both of those games, and it was just kind
- 1:20:34Speaker 2: of a spot where maybe they were going to be
- 1:20:35Speaker 2: hungover because they played too hard against LSU and then
- 1:20:39Speaker 2: kind of fell flat a little bit against Jacksonville State
- 1:20:42Speaker 2: in that game. But you know, they still might show
- 1:20:46Speaker 2: up for the game. But I think the game does
- 1:20:47Speaker 2: mean more to Southern miss Now. I don't like the
- 1:20:50Speaker 2: way that Southern Miss finished on three straight losses. Although yes,
- 1:20:53Speaker 2: when you have a lot of time off, almost a
- 1:20:55Speaker 2: month off, that could break your losing momentum and it
- 1:20:58Speaker 2: could be like a reset, right, But also that was
- 1:21:01Speaker 2: ugly the way they lost to Troy. Troy's not that
- 1:21:04Speaker 2: good man. Southern Miss took the loss there. But of
- 1:21:08Speaker 2: course whoever won that game was just gonna lose to
- 1:21:11Speaker 2: James Madison in the Sun Belt title game anyway, So
- 1:21:14Speaker 2: Southern Miss realistically was not gonna win the sun Belt,
- 1:21:17Speaker 2: but they probably should have been in that game against
- 1:21:19Speaker 2: James Madison. Now, for Southern Miss, I think this game
- 1:21:22Speaker 2: does matter more to them. It's also closer to their home,
- 1:21:25Speaker 2: but enough of a destination that I they'll also be
- 1:21:28Speaker 2: excited about it. And teams that are smaller teams that
- 1:21:31Speaker 2: want to be in a bowl, they'll still show up
- 1:21:34Speaker 2: in bowls that are close to their home too, But
- 1:21:36Speaker 2: this one is kind of both, right, Like, they get
- 1:21:38Speaker 2: to go somewhere. They get to play in the super Dome,
- 1:21:40Speaker 2: which is fun, and their crowd should be there because
- 1:21:44Speaker 2: New Orleans is not that far from Hattiesburg, Mississippi, Like
- 1:21:48Speaker 2: their crowd can really just drive here pretty easily, so
- 1:21:51Speaker 2: they should have the better crowd than Western Kentucky has
- 1:21:53Speaker 2: in this game, I would imagine, so a little bit
- 1:21:56Speaker 2: more crowd support I'm expected for Southern Miss here. Now
- 1:22:01Speaker 2: for Southern Miss, though, I believe that Southern MISSUS coach did.
- 1:22:04Speaker 1: Leave, which is Charlie Hoff.
- 1:22:07Speaker 2: And you remember last year, this Southern Miss team, A
- 1:22:11Speaker 2: huge like a huge portion of what's now Southern Miss
- 1:22:14Speaker 2: was Marshall last year, and if you remember, Huff and
- 1:22:17Speaker 2: a bunch of his players and his staff left Marshall they.
- 1:22:21Speaker 1: Refused to play in their bowl.
- 1:22:23Speaker 2: Well they didn't refuse really, but they just had so
- 1:22:25Speaker 2: many people leave that they couldn't even feel the team
- 1:22:28Speaker 2: in their bowl game. So they got replaced in their
- 1:22:30Speaker 2: bowl game, so they didn't. So Marshall didn't play in
- 1:22:33Speaker 2: a bowl last year, and those guys became Southern Miss basically.
- 1:22:38Speaker 2: So these guys that are the core of Southern MYSS
- 1:22:41Speaker 2: didn't play in a bowl last year, so I think
- 1:22:43Speaker 2: that's gonna pump them up a Southern Miss. Their program
- 1:22:46Speaker 2: also didn't play in a bowl last year, so I
- 1:22:48Speaker 2: think that will also pump them up here to be
- 1:22:50Speaker 2: in this game.
- 1:22:52Speaker 1: Now, Huff did leave so that might be a little
- 1:22:55Speaker 1: bit of a concern.
- 1:22:56Speaker 2: But their interim coach, who I believe is their offensive coordinator,
- 1:23:00Speaker 2: they elevated him to head coach and they've already given
- 1:23:02Speaker 2: him the head coach job for next year. So I
- 1:23:04Speaker 2: do think that means Southern Miss is gonna play hard
- 1:23:07Speaker 2: for this guy because they know he's gonna be their
- 1:23:09Speaker 2: coach next year.
- 1:23:10Speaker 1: And of course he's in the system.
- 1:23:12Speaker 2: He knows the system, so they're not gonna change their
- 1:23:14Speaker 2: you know, what they're doing or whatever because he's the OC,
- 1:23:17Speaker 2: so they're gonna stick to what they've been doing.
- 1:23:20Speaker 1: So I think that's all good.
- 1:23:21Speaker 2: Like the continuity is still there for something Miss. The
- 1:23:24Speaker 2: players haven't left. I think they're gonna be excited. Southern
- 1:23:27Speaker 2: Miss hasn't won a bowl in like a few years
- 1:23:29Speaker 2: at this point, I think, as far as their program
- 1:23:31Speaker 2: is concerned, so I think the game means more to them. Man,
- 1:23:36Speaker 2: am I talking myself into a play on Southern Miss here?
- 1:23:39Speaker 2: I know I've been really stingy with playing the bowls
- 1:23:42Speaker 2: because there are so many moving parts.
- 1:23:44Speaker 1: In all these bowls here. Man, Uh, you know I'm.
- 1:23:48Speaker 2: Gonna stay away, but especially because we've missed out on
- 1:23:51Speaker 2: some of the best numbers, like through the key number.
- 1:23:54Speaker 2: Well though, of course the next key number is just
- 1:23:56Speaker 2: basically who's gonna win the game? I mean, if you're
- 1:23:58Speaker 2: just playing who's gonna win the game? I do think
- 1:24:00Speaker 2: Southern miss wins this game. So that's what I think
- 1:24:03Speaker 2: about the game. Did I buy a lot of gifts?
- 1:24:07Speaker 1: No?
- 1:24:07Speaker 2: I don't have that much money to work with here,
- 1:24:11Speaker 2: so I'm I'm an unemployed individual, so no, all right,
- 1:24:18Speaker 2: And I have no friends and virtually no family, So
- 1:24:21Speaker 2: what am I supposed to do?
- 1:24:25Speaker 1: UNLV and Ohio is the last game here.
- 1:24:28Speaker 2: In the Scooter's Coffee Frisco Bowl, which is in Frisco, Texas. Now,
- 1:24:33Speaker 2: for this game, UNLV has moved up from a four
- 1:24:36Speaker 2: point favorite to a six and a half point favorite.
- 1:24:38Speaker 2: It's about hitting that key number of seven almost here
- 1:24:41Speaker 2: unbelievably high total up to sixty six and a half.
- 1:24:44Speaker 2: I wouldn't disagree with an over. When you see a
- 1:24:46Speaker 2: total that high usually means you should be looking towards
- 1:24:49Speaker 2: an over. These teams both are better offensively than defensively.
- 1:24:54Speaker 2: UNLV actually is balanced offensively as well. Sixty percent tickets
- 1:24:59Speaker 2: seventy four percent of the cash coming in on UNLV here.
- 1:25:03Speaker 1: I don't really disagree with this move.
- 1:25:04Speaker 2: I actually think the move in this game is to
- 1:25:06Speaker 2: probably go UNLV over their team total, because their offense
- 1:25:11Speaker 2: is pretty good, and I expect their offense to be
- 1:25:14Speaker 2: able to handle an Ohio team. It's not really that great.
- 1:25:17Speaker 2: And there's a reason why the line is moving like this,
- 1:25:20Speaker 2: and this is because Ohio's coach got fired for impropriety
- 1:25:26Speaker 2: because he was he was sleeping with an assistant or
- 1:25:30Speaker 2: something on the staff I'm assuming a chick. So he's
- 1:25:34Speaker 2: fired now for that, and because he was gambling or
- 1:25:37Speaker 2: something like or no drinking.
- 1:25:39Speaker 1: I think.
- 1:25:39Speaker 2: So he got fired for sleeping with an assistant coach,
- 1:25:42Speaker 2: which I mean, all right, fine, you can fire him
- 1:25:44Speaker 2: for that, although even that I think is maybe a
- 1:25:47Speaker 2: little bit stupid, but I guess it was because it
- 1:25:50Speaker 2: was also an affair that didn't look good.
- 1:25:52Speaker 1: Whatever.
- 1:25:54Speaker 2: But the other thing they fired him for was because
- 1:25:56Speaker 2: he was drinking with his staff in his office.
- 1:25:59Speaker 1: Like who cares about that? Like they were.
- 1:26:00Speaker 2: Adults, They're not allowed to drink like at night or
- 1:26:03Speaker 2: whatever in his office.
- 1:26:04Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 1:26:05Speaker 2: That's stupid, but whatever. So that's Ohio. Their coach is
- 1:26:08Speaker 2: gone for that reason. So I think that's gonna kind
- 1:26:12Speaker 2: of throw Ohio into a bit of turmoil here, even
- 1:26:15Speaker 2: though we don't really see any opt outs yet really
- 1:26:17Speaker 2: on either side here, but Ohio.
- 1:26:19Speaker 1: Was in turmoil after that happened. Man.
- 1:26:21Speaker 2: I think you might see, even though I don't see
- 1:26:23Speaker 2: the news yet, but sometimes it happens came of You
- 1:26:26Speaker 2: might see some of the Ohio players actually just ditching
- 1:26:29Speaker 2: the bowl game.
- 1:26:30Speaker 1: I don't really know, man.
- 1:26:32Speaker 2: Now, for UNLV, I do worry that UNLV is a
- 1:26:34Speaker 2: bit of a disappointed team because they did have their
- 1:26:37Speaker 2: sights set on winning the Mountain West once the season
- 1:26:40Speaker 2: got going, and I talked about how they were overrated
- 1:26:43Speaker 2: and they weren't gonna win the Mountain West and we
- 1:26:44Speaker 2: did have a win with Boise in the Mountain West
- 1:26:47Speaker 2: championship game.
- 1:26:49Speaker 1: So UNLV fell short of that.
- 1:26:51Speaker 2: But I mean the reward they missed out on, a
- 1:26:53Speaker 2: guest was playing in the LA Bowl. But you know,
- 1:26:56Speaker 2: like Boise got to get smacked by Washington, so that
- 1:27:00Speaker 2: that was the reward. But UNLV is not even as
- 1:27:03Speaker 2: good as Boise, so that is a little bit of
- 1:27:04Speaker 2: a concern. But Ohio is a MAC team and they're
- 1:27:07Speaker 2: not really that good either. I mean, they're not even
- 1:27:09Speaker 2: as good as UNLV obviously, So will you NLV show.
- 1:27:12Speaker 1: Up in this game? Maybe?
- 1:27:14Speaker 2: I mean UNLV, they're a program that hasn't been to
- 1:27:16Speaker 2: that many bowls over the last decade or so, so
- 1:27:19Speaker 2: maybe they will still be excited for this. On the
- 1:27:21Speaker 2: one hand, they didn't really expect to be here when
- 1:27:23Speaker 2: the season started because it was an overhaul year for
- 1:27:26Speaker 2: UNLV with Dan Mullins coming in there.
- 1:27:29Speaker 1: You guys have said that you like him.
- 1:27:30Speaker 2: I don't think he's that good, but they had a
- 1:27:32Speaker 2: good season, man, and maybe they do want to cap
- 1:27:34Speaker 2: it off with a bowl win to get him a
- 1:27:37Speaker 2: Bowl win in.
- 1:27:37Speaker 1: His first season.
- 1:27:38Speaker 2: So there are some reasons why they might show up
- 1:27:41Speaker 2: for this thing. And Ohio, as I said, they're in turmoil.
- 1:27:45Speaker 2: And Ohio barely missed out. Like they finished the season
- 1:27:47Speaker 2: pretty strong, beating well you Mass sucks. But then they
- 1:27:50Speaker 2: did beat Buffalo to make their shot at the MAC Championship,
- 1:27:55Speaker 2: but they didn't get in because of the tiebreakers.
- 1:27:58Speaker 1: So Miami Ohio.
- 1:27:58Speaker 2: With law or excuse me, oh Ohio had lost some
- 1:28:01Speaker 2: of its eyebreakers. Even though they actually beat Miami Ohio
- 1:28:04Speaker 2: during the regular season, they didn't have its eyebreaker against
- 1:28:06Speaker 2: them because a computer said so isn't isn't that great?
- 1:28:12Speaker 2: Which I usually will go with like the numbers, But
- 1:28:14Speaker 2: in that case, I think it's a little bit weird.
- 1:28:16Speaker 2: So maybe Ohio is a little bit disappointed they didn't
- 1:28:19Speaker 2: make the MAC Championship game.
- 1:28:20Speaker 1: That was kind of their goal.
- 1:28:23Speaker 2: You know, they're coming into this Bowl with all the
- 1:28:25Speaker 2: turmoil with their coach and whatever. I assume one of
- 1:28:28Speaker 2: their like other like one of their coordinators or whatever,
- 1:28:31Speaker 2: must be stepping into the coaching role here, But I
- 1:28:34Speaker 2: don't know if I like it.
- 1:28:36Speaker 1: Man Ohio. I mean, their offense has been all right,
- 1:28:40Speaker 1: so again I mean an over.
- 1:28:42Speaker 2: I wouldn't really disagree with the over in this game.
- 1:28:44Speaker 2: I think again UNLV over the team total does make
- 1:28:47Speaker 2: sense as well. I think if you play the game,
- 1:28:50Speaker 2: you probably gotta lay the points with UNLV, but I'm
- 1:28:53Speaker 2: staying away from it completely. Out of all three of
- 1:28:55Speaker 2: these games, the best lean for me is the Southern
- 1:28:58Speaker 2: Miss game, which is the cleanest handicap out of all
- 1:29:01Speaker 2: of them, and that's the way I would lean in
- 1:29:03Speaker 2: that game. But unfortunately, again I think I'm gonna pass
- 1:29:06Speaker 2: on these ones.
- 1:29:08Speaker 1: Tower Gang.
- 1:29:09Speaker 2: I don't know, man, I mean I was talking to
- 1:29:11Speaker 2: Cole a little bit last night about the l Way documentary.
- 1:29:16Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, yeah, I mean those guys are friends.
- 1:29:18Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 1:29:19Speaker 2: I don't talk to them that often though. I messaged
- 1:29:21Speaker 2: back and forth with some of them occasionally. But yeah,
- 1:29:25Speaker 2: we don't buy each other Christmas gifts. That is not
- 1:29:27Speaker 2: that's not a thing. No players at the hotel bar.
- 1:29:32Speaker 2: That's a good rule for your players, uh, for the
- 1:29:35Speaker 2: for the the coach though, Like, why do I give
- 1:29:37Speaker 2: a shit if he's drinking in his office?
- 1:29:43Speaker 1: Yeah, that's right.
- 1:29:44Speaker 2: These these guys are all uh yeah, pussy whipped.
- 1:29:47Speaker 1: They're they're putting pussy on a pedestal. Man, that's true.
- 1:29:51Speaker 2: I forget the guy's name already too, but yeah, that
- 1:29:53Speaker 2: was Ohio's coach and it already happened with them with
- 1:29:57Speaker 2: the Michigan coach as well. I'm only halfway through at
- 1:30:01Speaker 2: the Lway doc I like it so far.
- 1:30:03Speaker 1: It's entertaining.
- 1:30:04Speaker 2: It's nostalgia for me because I remember some of these games,
- 1:30:07Speaker 2: especially the ones like later.
- 1:30:09Speaker 1: In his career.
- 1:30:11Speaker 2: It has a lot of Elway himself in it because
- 1:30:13Speaker 2: a lot of it is set up. It's like him
- 1:30:15Speaker 2: being interviewed and him like kind of telling the story
- 1:30:18Speaker 2: of his career and whatever.
- 1:30:20Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean it's it's interesting.
- 1:30:21Speaker 2: His wife is in it. Dan Reeves is in it
- 1:30:25Speaker 2: being interviewed as well. Yeah, I mean I like it
- 1:30:27Speaker 2: so far. It's it seems like it's a pretty well
- 1:30:30Speaker 2: made documentary, all right.
- 1:30:33Speaker 1: But yeah, that's gonna do it, man.
- 1:30:34Speaker 2: I mean, I'm tempted for Southern miss here, but I'm
- 1:30:37Speaker 2: gonna stay away. I probably will give you a couple
- 1:30:39Speaker 2: more Bulls as the Bowl season goes, and I probably
- 1:30:42Speaker 2: will have one playoff game over the weekend here. But
- 1:30:45Speaker 2: I know I'm being really stingy with it. But again,
- 1:30:47Speaker 2: the Bulls are just so unpredictable now that it's really
- 1:30:50Speaker 2: hard to figure it out. I think I only had
- 1:30:52Speaker 2: like maybe four of them last year, and I think
- 1:30:55Speaker 2: we did win barely on the bulls last year.
- 1:30:58Speaker 1: But yeah, we'll stay off of this one.
- 1:31:01Speaker 2: I mean, I'm mostly looking to fade like the most
- 1:31:03Speaker 2: disappointed teams in the Bowl season. So there are a
- 1:31:05Speaker 2: couple more that I do have my eye on, but
- 1:31:07Speaker 2: we're gonna pass today. So once more, my plays, say,
- 1:31:10Speaker 2: are college basketball Grambling plus the points and San Jose
- 1:31:15Speaker 2: Sharks put line in hockey. I mean, if you want
- 1:31:17Speaker 2: to if it's getting a little bit pricey on that,
- 1:31:19Speaker 2: if you want to start splitting the bat puck line money,
- 1:31:22Speaker 2: like you can do that too. Thank you, I thank you,
- 1:31:25Speaker 2: mister Pinsey, Thank you, sir. And Elway Colts Jersey. I
- 1:31:28Speaker 2: don't even think he had a number because he was
- 1:31:30Speaker 2: never officially like on the team, Like he got drafted
- 1:31:34Speaker 2: by the Baltimore Colts and then he was just like nah,
- 1:31:37Speaker 2: and like he he never had a number with them
- 1:31:39Speaker 2: out of the thing. Maybe I'm wrong about that, but
- 1:31:41Speaker 2: I don't know. They haven't really gotten They didn't really
- 1:31:44Speaker 2: get it. That's the one thing my complaint about the
- 1:31:46Speaker 2: documentary is they unless they talk about it later, they've
- 1:31:50Speaker 2: kind of like just they kind of just skipped over that.
- 1:31:52Speaker 1: Thank you sir. It is Festivus today. They've kind of.
- 1:31:55Speaker 2: Just skipped over the whole Baltimore Colts situation. They talked
- 1:32:00Speaker 2: about it a little bit, so they didn't they didn't
- 1:32:02Speaker 2: totally skip over it, I guess, but I don't know.
- 1:32:04Speaker 2: It's a it was a weird situation. I mean, I
- 1:32:06Speaker 2: don't know, they didn't really skip over it. This documentary
- 1:32:09Speaker 2: did talk about it, and Elway talked about it as well.
- 1:32:12Speaker 2: But yeah, I don't know that was a whole weird thing.
- 1:32:16Speaker 2: But yes, thank you guys.
- 1:32:17Speaker 1: That's gonna do it.
- 1:32:18Speaker 2: Learn it Toad on Instagram, Learn it Toad on Twitter.
- 1:32:20Speaker 2: You can subscribe to me there, like subscribe give me
- 1:32:23Speaker 2: comments here on the YouTube channel. Uh, we got the
- 1:32:27Speaker 2: Patreon Patreon dot com slash learn to Toad, which is
- 1:32:30Speaker 2: yuke stuff right now covered in you because the Yuke
- 1:32:33Speaker 2: channel on YouTube.
- 1:32:34Speaker 1: We got audio.
- 1:32:35Speaker 2: We are on audio here, Spotify and Apple, so you
- 1:32:38Speaker 2: can give me a good review over there for this show.
- 1:32:42Speaker 1: So you can go do that as well. Loser Cast,
- 1:32:45Speaker 1: we might be doing a show tonight. I don't know.
- 1:32:48Speaker 2: I mean I thought I might not be able to
- 1:32:49Speaker 2: do it, but I probably can because I'm not leaving
- 1:32:52Speaker 2: for any of the Christmas.
- 1:32:52Speaker 1: If I do have.
- 1:32:53Speaker 2: Family, we are gonna there is gonna be a little
- 1:32:55Speaker 2: bit of a gift exchange still with family, so and
- 1:32:59Speaker 2: the usual holiday festivities. So in the next two days
- 1:33:02Speaker 2: I'm gonna be with family. I'll still do this show
- 1:33:06Speaker 2: like in the morning before I get out here. It'll
- 1:33:08Speaker 2: be a really small board tomorrow, and I probably I'm
- 1:33:11Speaker 2: not gonna play the Hawaii Bowl, so like there's probably
- 1:33:14Speaker 2: gonna be nothing. I'll give you a show just for
- 1:33:17Speaker 2: the Hawaii Ball tomorrow.
- 1:33:18Speaker 1: Isn't that awesome?
- 1:33:19Speaker 2: It'll be hilarious, and to not give out a play
- 1:33:22Speaker 2: on it, and then Christmas will be a small morning
- 1:33:25Speaker 2: show as well with the five NBA games, and then
- 1:33:27Speaker 2: we do have the three NFL games. Oh boy, Christmas. NFL,
- 1:33:33Speaker 2: It's unbelievable, dude. You're looking at three teams that might
- 1:33:37Speaker 2: be on a third string quarterback playing on Christmas.
- 1:33:41Speaker 1: And only one team.
- 1:33:43Speaker 2: The Broncos, are a playoff team, and none of the
- 1:33:45Speaker 2: games really have any playoff implications at all, and all
- 1:33:49Speaker 2: the rest of the teams are eliminated.
- 1:33:50Speaker 1: So it's unbelievable.
- 1:33:53Speaker 2: Netflix, the NFL, they got all got to be pissed, dude,
- 1:33:57Speaker 2: the Netflix.
- 1:33:57Speaker 1: Christmas.
- 1:33:58Speaker 2: It worked out okay last year, even though the one
- 1:34:01Speaker 2: of the games is a massive blowout last year, but
- 1:34:04Speaker 2: still this year, like they thought these are gonna be
- 1:34:07Speaker 2: big games. Whoops, Now they're all horrible games on Christmas?
- 1:34:11Speaker 2: So isn't that just great? And I don't really love
- 1:34:13Speaker 2: any of them. From a betting perspective. I don't like
- 1:34:15Speaker 2: this week from betting perspective either. Really, I'll probably have
- 1:34:18Speaker 2: maybe two, maybe three plays in the NFL.
- 1:34:21Speaker 1: But I don't know. Elway was considered mobile. That's true.
- 1:34:25Speaker 2: He ran a bit and he ran into people. Dude,
- 1:34:28Speaker 2: he lowered his shoulder like Jackson Dart of his day, man,
- 1:34:32Speaker 2: Jackson Elway. Elway was definitely running into people, though he
- 1:34:36Speaker 2: was getting out of bounds better better than better than
- 1:34:39Speaker 2: Jackson Dart was. And I think Elway was a bit
- 1:34:42Speaker 2: bigger than Jackson Dart as well. But yes, true, you
- 1:34:47Speaker 2: like the Sharks puck line, You're gonna play a prop
- 1:34:50Speaker 2: on Celebrini as well, parlaying it. You know, you know
- 1:34:55Speaker 2: I worry about the Parlways.
- 1:34:57Speaker 1: Man.
- 1:34:57Speaker 2: For me, it's just straight bets. But anyway, what I'll
- 1:35:00Speaker 2: that I have to promote, Oh yeah, loser cast. We
- 1:35:01Speaker 2: might be doing the show tonight, but we'll see.
- 1:35:05Speaker 1: So that's gonna do it.
- 1:35:06Speaker 2: And then I don't know when the Giants podcast is starting,
- 1:35:09Speaker 2: but I will let everybody know if and when it is.
- 1:35:12Speaker 1: But that's gonna do it for now. I will be
- 1:35:14Speaker 1: back tomorrow with.
- 1:35:14Speaker 2: Literally a show that's probably I think just gonna be
- 1:35:17Speaker 2: the Hawaii ball.
- 1:35:18Speaker 1: There might actually be a little bit of college basketball.
- 1:35:20Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 1:35:20Speaker 2: I'll have to look, but it'll be the shortest show
- 1:35:23Speaker 2: in show history.
- 1:35:24Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Happy Festive as.
- 1:35:26Speaker 2: Everybody, go air your grievances, go pin your father in
- 1:35:30Speaker 2: the feats of strength, you know. Make sure to observe
- 1:35:34Speaker 2: the poll. And that's and that's gonna observe the loser
- 1:35:38Speaker 2: cast poll. By the way, uh I retweeted the one
- 1:35:41Speaker 2: from last week, which combined the two episodes Lighton made
- 1:35:44Speaker 2: the poll. You can vote for my my answer which
- 1:35:48Speaker 2: I don't know if I'm allowed to pump it up
- 1:35:50Speaker 2: and promote it. But Rob Ryan Or was my loser
- 1:35:53Speaker 2: pick of the week.
- 1:35:53Speaker 1: So that was mine.
- 1:35:54Speaker 2: If you want to, if you want to go throwing
- 1:35:56Speaker 2: a vote for him and get me my first win
- 1:35:59Speaker 2: on the show, first win by picking the biggest loser.
- 1:36:03Speaker 2: All right, that's gonna do it. Thanks guys, I appreciate it.
- 1:36:06Speaker 2: As always.
- 1:36:07Speaker 1: Peace