Latest / Construcción Plural - Radio Trend Topic / Construcción Plural - Programa 1146
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- 0:01Plural construction, the renowned journalistic program of political analysis and current in its twentieth
- 0:08season, with the leadership of Fernando Mauri and a team of prestigious analysts.
- 0:14Listen to him on radio train topic. Our President was the Argentine Nation,
- 0:22Dr Raviero Mirey was the President hello. To all there is no stabilization plan,
- 0:41not good, but the delay to change. There' s a problem
- 0:44with currency exchange here. It is impossible to achieve the zero deficit in the
- 0:48twenty- four thousand. Ah well. It' s very little motasiara.
- 0:53It' s already a lot of equator, but you' re not liberal.
- 0:56There were taxes how about the province not, but if I add one
- 1:02plus three hundred sixty five times and give me three sixty s it won'
- 1:04t last. If there is no video and there is no You who invited
- 1:07me to federo you noodle Cotuk. They want to know how the economy is
- 1:11going to grow, it' s going to go up like a diver'
- 1:15s fart, but very anchor. Well, because there' s no comprehensive
- 1:18plan, but you should set the path. This is not a liberal government
- 1:22because it did not release the drug. Not because today' s appreciation changed.
- 1:25There is appreciation for changing, but freedom was little. Trestas have my
- 1:33friends very but good afternoon. Here we are once again in outer construction sixteen
- 1:37one fifteen degrees. He' s got a little more. It is cold
- 1:38from tomorrow season than Friday and not talk about the weekend of the state of
- 1:42dolando. There we are with Don Javier Estrella Intergalactica, spiritual leader should say
- 1:51for the world, please, as the world, the concert very alecto,
- 1:53that is, is intergalactic. There' s a lot of growing Marxism.
- 1:57I got a notification from the Internet at some point. There is Marxism the
- 2:02same growing Mars and because not the Saturn. So there' s Andy and
- 2:06he' s killing him. And that' s why, today, at
- 2:08last weekend in Madrid, some Saturday in Cordoba, the man is out and
- 2:12full every day. It' s a speech plus interviews. I was going
- 2:17to say the report, I could say more the friendly talks of serviles on
- 2:23Monday they also talk at night RCN on Tuesday morning with donlaje for the nation,
- 2:29more talks of friends centers and more centers. Realize me to read too
- 2:34much bowl. I' m not going to talk about river because he learns
- 2:36at night again and I know myself. Well, I say this and that
- 2:39everyone on the moon today with Javier, with Jamoncito, we must support the
- 2:45national government there and forgive populism of extreme roughness. Well here, either way
- 2:49we' re on the diego program. We' ll have it for a
- 2:53little while economist Daniel Mar in the ras interview that we' ll close with
- 2:58our correspondent in North America, Don Gustavo Pasa Golfinson. Yesterday we remember them
- 3:00passed Juan Pablo Le Daniel Clip, but tomorrow Alejandro Rosman will also take the
- 3:06week with economy, with Don Camino de Chorle and the economy. The note
- 3:09today is night. Again. The blue comes back up Now he' s
- 3:15down a little bit. He touched the ceiling of one thousand two hundred and
- 3:19eighty, surpassing the historical record of the end of January of one thousand and
- 3:21fifty- five. That was the roof of the day of or that still
- 3:23not stolen is closing low to one thousand two hundred seventy and thank you.
- 3:27A thousand two hundred and seventy- five will be the new record. The
- 3:29country risk has gone up half a point, like a thousand three eighty-
- 3:34five. The opposition asks for more government changes for the base law if the
- 3:38signature of the dizinfo dictor in the Senate is complicated at that time with this
- 3:42gift arrived that says framework a new record and parallel uses are above the thousand
- 3:45two hundred and all the blue above should be higher, naturally, when normally
- 3:50the counted with liquiy the duo is too on the rise. Up to hundreds
- 3:53of sixty the CCL and one thousand two thirty- two reveal a new video
- 4:00of how the terrorists of Jamas in this totally rediable and obviously critical fact of
- 4:04already in our terrorist cada sequestered five young people that I realized it is him
- 4:09who you October last year. What the show' s gonna be like.
- 4:12It' s not a presentation, it' s a welcome show to the
- 4:15show with fifty- five percent poor is having trouble there social mission tension.
- 4:19Apparently there' s been some sort of first deal, principle of agreement and
- 4:23let' s see I have some urgent on the nation screen more how the
- 4:27President helps him in a couple of which songs you' ll sing to watch
- 4:30I say sing This seems to me to take him away from his electorate.
- 4:32Now let him sing. Alberto Hernandes has also sung menemajo, fu less,
- 4:36era men It is not this, but of course it is like no.
- 4:41There' s circus bread and circus bread. It doesn' t tell me
- 4:44very well the production and no longer rock it. In this sense, cl
- 4:46se las nia nia picando ves que no uniss promulgates seventy percent of children with
- 4:50poverty. We' ll settle it with an honor. I fly in a
- 4:54good part. What happens is that the rock says where chimerism comes from,
- 4:57which is the chismerism that is playing with Axelti Filco' s new song two
- 5:00thousand twenty- seven, President two thousand twenty- seven, is being tried
- 5:06by the precandidacy of Xis who does not have to magazine in the Provista de
- 5:10Buenos Aires. But of course the quisnerism that we give Milaver as a good
- 5:15friend because of the mistakes and defects of macrism. But above all, the
- 5:17quisneg or What an advance adri Miley is a new book all about the delivery
- 5:23of tickets in the prea presentation of Millay' s book and his musical show
- 5:27and his musical self difo in one part I want to kill myself well today
- 5:31there we are in this sense with the news at this time I reiterate to
- 5:40see yes clear circus distraction. We also talked about it yesterday with pure exception
- 5:43in the era of cruelty, in the era of cruelty as well. And
- 5:46madness. Not because it' s Fernando, it' s the freedom to
- 5:50move forward. It' s not insanity progresses. Not that Master Class Totto
- 5:55dropped the dollar a little from two thousand two eighty thousand two seventy, but
- 5:58he raises it again five, as I said this toto, which is,
- 6:00according to Flores, a criminal, nobody listens. So, well, over
- 6:05there, over there we go the chismerism. They' re probably going to
- 6:10accuse you with everything I have to criticize you for that, the gin.
- 6:13I have to be moving the luo not so as to be jio to speak
- 6:15to Pedro Sanchez, the quinnerimos surely is the one moving the blues with an
- 6:20ornament pardon ador, nor the bunner who has come out to say that they
- 6:24are not calm. People be calm. The dollar has nothing to do with
- 6:26prices. Well I want to see because those that this consolidates in lava that
- 6:30there is in a mirror of very fast. Well, at some point it
- 6:33' s going to have an impact on the products. For now we want
- 6:36that they didn' t tell me good our world doesn' t have to
- 6:40make it so complicated. My law is an absentee and co- heir of
- 6:42Martinez, of och fobraica valo. It doesn' t get out of there
- 6:46in the middle of the harsh criticism one can be. We' re just
- 6:48talking about the two thousand twenty- seven of saying that it' s not
- 6:53good that he' s tying up spiny support, that he' s an
- 6:58mayor of the almighty killing, that he has judicial problems because of this cause
- 7:02of gender violence, not rape, but he' s almost abused, and
- 7:06that if we don' t do it, he' s already a respender
- 7:09or not an institutional act of handing over cars because of patrol insecurity. Well,
- 7:09it' s really terrible. On this side, saying well, let
- 7:13' s review then in the economy. We' ve got it online.
- 7:15He' s waiting for us, Daniel mart as promised, Daniel, Good
- 7:18afternoon, Fernando Salute, how it goes. Good afternoon, well, how
- 7:21are you out there? Well, all right. Thank you for taking care
- 7:25of us first. Like, yeah, well let' s see, Daniel,
- 7:29how many of us should be worried at this hour about this strong blue
- 7:36rise that went up almost two hundred and thirty pesos in ten days, no
- 7:40less than we know that it was late and others that have lowered in too
- 7:45much the sizes of interest on the part of the Central. To what extent
- 7:46this adornis has already quickly gone out to cross and say that this is not
- 7:49what presidential mouthpieces or governments are always saying anymore is not going to have an
- 7:54impact on short notice. I would like to say to what extent it is
- 7:58more suitable and to combat the delay of the financiers. We have to worry.
- 8:01Daniel, I think that well, as was just said, the free
- 8:09exchange rate and let' s love it was very ironed compared to prices that
- 8:18came to a major gallop. And it' s a kind of exchange that
- 8:24' s generally quite free, that is, it' s handled by circumstances
- 8:31of high demand that vary substantially. Now let' s go to the motivations
- 8:37and go to the discussion. The exchange rate in Argentina has had many fluctuations
- 8:43throughout history and this had to do in part with trade conditions, which I
- 8:48think have not changed one day for another. But if in part also with
- 8:58the situation let' s call it financing, trust, investment, and that
- 9:09perception is turning and it has also to do much to evaluate the possibilities of
- 9:18Argentina compared to other sides. And that' s where it seems to me
- 9:24that one of the circumstances that was discussed is the interest rate. For example,
- 9:28if Argentina sees that it does not defend the weight and that it also
- 9:35puts you quite low interest rate for what would be expected is a return to
- 9:45maintain some kind of purchasing power. Well, people prefer something else and that
- 9:50manifests itself in the quote. Now the effect on general prices of goods.
- 9:58I think that' s something to look at. Well, now the uba
- 10:01has been relatively smaller than the other priced grapes. But yes, this can
- 10:11remain volatile and can have effects on prices. There' s one will say
- 10:18good, but there' s an official market that hasn' t moved pretty
- 10:22much. But what happens on the other mark is behavior unifying. He also
- 10:30said to come and see. I want to take that definition. Perception is
- 10:33turning in terms of economic agents. There' s some of this. There
- 10:37is some change in expectations or some doubts that entered the horizon. Okay.
- 10:43I believe that all this discussion of what price competition is going to be has
- 10:48effects. Price, like competition. For this reason your competence of mounty forgiveness,
- 11:01I said yes, I meant competition coins, yes, yes, thank
- 11:07you for correcting no competition currency. That' s why he pointed out who
- 11:13' s going to defend the weight. It is supposed to be the monetary
- 11:16authorities and the authorities of a country. It is true that the weight has
- 11:24been very despised previously, but that does not take away the right to try
- 11:31to defend it and the obligation in some way. How do you deal with
- 11:35an advertised currency competition, which is logical that it has so far been relatively
- 11:43limited but informal. But I say relatively limited, because, despite all the
- 11:52restrictions, we all took if we knew what was going on in the other
- 11:58market. At least as a reference I say and I think they' re
- 12:05more distraction. You will correct me more distracting than the President uses to buy
- 12:11time with something else. But I say these rumors. The President, after
- 12:15a few months, in the long days, from talking again about collapsing until
- 12:18the Central Bank is eliminated, may have what is minimally. But another factor
- 12:24has to do with the blue rise. Let' s say good to that
- 12:31we were talking, because it is clear that it is highlighting the moment of
- 12:37formalization of currency competition and we must see how it is done. It is
- 12:41one thing to compete against other currencies but with someone who weakens it. And
- 12:48it' s another thing that strengthens him. The strengthening comes from the fiscal
- 12:54side. That went a long way, but it' s not just the
- 12:58physical part. Well, I read some interview I recently announced in the sense
- 13:05that you think recovery looks slow. I do not know whether to put this
- 13:11in the letters that you see it short difficult, that perhaps a ship I
- 13:15do not know say you in principle b slow. I was also reading some
- 13:18clarification of some blue school ironing barriers that I calculated as twenty months. I
- 13:22think the good principle is a little bit like that. The perception is that
- 13:24this comes in terms of achievements goes into the hip recessive context of inflation matter,
- 13:31but that in terms of recovery comes too slow. And the word is
- 13:35too much, but it comes very slow. Well if slow for what we
- 13:43are seeing in these weeks, but I think we are facing very important moments
- 13:48of decisions that are going to give some sense to what recovery is going to
- 13:56be like. I explain yes and we can move forward quickly in the saying.
- 14:07This is the defense of the currency and the Central Bank. It begins
- 14:16to accumulate reserves at a speed, or it continues to accumulate reserves, but
- 14:22it makes it a much stronger speed. Well, Sister, I' m
- 14:28sorry I' m interrupting. A little bit of wine has come down like
- 14:31the tendency to correct me, it' s the other way around. I
- 14:33wasn' t accumulating much and it goes on, but it was less.
- 14:35It' s not a bit upside down the clear trend. That' s
- 14:39why I say check. But he' s bought reserves and accumulated some of
- 14:45what he' s bought anyway. The net keeps giving her positives, but
- 14:52I say well, I will have to if this gives the conditions to speed
- 14:58it up and the bank goes in, plays it in that sense and people
- 15:05give the weight the confidence. That leads to increases in demand, ultimately,
- 15:11and it helps recovery a lot and also helps stabilize prices, because the exchange
- 15:18rate would no longer escape under those circumstances. But if, on the other
- 15:24hand, the decisions and perceptions that Argentina has issues of governance, it does
- 15:37not end up defining well how it will sustain a fiscal path beyond what has
- 15:46been done so far. But I say, in the future there are a
- 15:50number of things that there give you more medium- term sustenance and go a
- 16:00long way in the climate of investment in practice did or did not say sorry.
- 16:07That will mark the pace of economic recovery, first by some functioning demand
- 16:14and consumption in general, and secondly by investments that make it sustainable over time.
- 16:26Well, for this to happen, Congress also has to do with five
- 16:30metres. The government took out a law, set out to take it out,
- 16:33but with no forter and no delay that will surely end the issue is
- 16:37juanto, it also remains of what the government pushed. Not courterect, yes,
- 16:42yes. That' s why, when we talk about governance, it
- 16:47' s a whole. It is not just one or two people, but
- 16:51rather beyond people, how institutions function in remente and in terms of governance,
- 16:56social humor. If we talk about a slow recovery network beyond it in quotation
- 17:00marks the achievement of the inflation slowdown. You believe that social humor holds up,
- 17:07that it will enter a little bit already in a climate of macer,
- 17:11rarer. We see it in some province, this dollar thing a little bit.
- 17:15We must how he has it in time. If this is cut off
- 17:18or it follows a little bit in radio the weather too. My impression is
- 17:23that social humor depends a lot on not only the situation of the moment,
- 17:33but also on the perspective that is given. If you say I have to
- 17:38make a sacrifice today because things are going to get better and things are being
- 17:45done on that road, social humor or it' s going on. Let
- 17:52' s call it, but if not these deteriorating plation, let' s
- 18:03say, suppose the government effectively, as economic consultancies say and takes them four
- 18:07and a half five percent in May, following this generation. Then, in
- 18:10the beginning, he does not see that it will cost much from that inertia
- 18:15of that place and even postponing increases in fuels, in transports, in services
- 18:18that will arrive sooner rather than later. It seems difficult that from here,
- 18:22at least until Fitanio and Daniel, you can get too far off that one
- 18:26on that scale, from this four- five percent ladder. I' m
- 18:29not saying I don' t know a very plausible two or talk a three.
- 18:32It seems, in any case, to make a challenge for next year.
- 18:34I' m not mistaken, yes, but here you don' t
- 18:38just have to look at the calendar year. We set this calendar year.
- 18:44What we had was very high inflations in the first few months. Now it
- 18:49' s going down, but it' s also substantially high inflation. I
- 18:55believe that when you look at the years from the moment you could apply it
- 19:03as a stabilization program in Argentina and many other countries, several of them in
- 19:11Latin America, inflation went from stratospheric levels this to levels around forty percent per
- 19:19year. When I say forty percent per year, it is not necessarily starting
- 19:26the year on one January of each year, but from the moment it is
- 19:32perceived that the stabilization plan would already start to work. After going from forty
- 19:41to twenty it cost and from twenty to less than ten it cost even more.
- 19:49But the first step is to call it forty percent per year, which
- 19:56is three percent per month. That is a step, I think it is
- 20:02necessary and that it can be done relatively quickly and that it should be done
- 20:07quickly, because if not, the economy enters with a negative dynamic that is
- 20:12much more expensive to turn around later. How we talk. As you passed
- 20:18you mentioned it as it would be. No one seems to be quite clear
- 20:22what this transition to this currency competition will be like. Let' s say
- 20:29what a day- to- day phantic system I paint, as an aneutous
- 20:32in the life of pink doña day by day. Let' s say yes,
- 20:36to see how it would be implemented. First, I think it'
- 20:40s good. It is in the fiscal condition that the state does not ask
- 20:45the Central Bank for more money. There is the monetary condition, which is
- 20:56to remunerate and defend the weight so that it can compete against other currencies.
- 21:03That' s what institutional guards are for. There is also the question of
- 21:08investment climate, which is, among other things, and very important, governance.
- 21:15Now if that is going to happen and where we are today is to
- 21:23move to a much more open market that allows buying of peso with weights and
- 21:36that people can alternatively use pesos or other currency. And the experience is that
- 21:42the local currency was increasingly used by the countries that kept it, which are
- 21:49the majority and which went through these circumstances. Now there' s the poyo.
- 22:00Some say good can' t be released overnight, but well you can
- 22:04' t either. Nor would it be convenient to close it and we can
- 22:12open it up seeing it today in Argentina, for example, leaving some restriction
- 22:22regarding turning certain concepts abroad, for example, to buy savings, let'
- 22:30s call it, put a ceiling for relatively loose people, for more restrictive
- 22:40companies, let' s call it and in terms of remission of profits of
- 22:41importers. Yeah, yeah, well, that would handle some bumps. Also
- 22:48initially we do not agree that the exit of the stocks, which I believe
- 22:52is being delayed. It seems to me that the government had it for the
- 22:56first semester is no longer going to crystallize. It is going to be clearly
- 23:00gradual imposed country that has good also from the regrouping, because it is the
- 23:03other, for example, what I collect from the state. You know,
- 23:06it' s gonna go on until the end of years. In that sense,
- 23:07there is not going to be that little big news. Not good.
- 23:11That' s part of it. When we talk about sustainable tax over time,
- 23:15tax countries, a particular tax that on circumstances let' s call it
- 23:22emergency, but it' s not good. Well also the arsences in Argentina,
- 23:29the belongings in Argentina remain no, but yes, yes. We got
- 23:34him from not living in emergency all the time. Yes, yes, but
- 23:41I say the way out of the sempo, as we say, is gradual
- 23:44or gradual or not. There' s another one. No, yes,
- 23:47but we must not stop doing it and move forward in it. There are
- 23:52times that you can move forward faster than others and when you can start.
- 23:59I don' t think something started. It seems to me that in a
- 24:08few months' time, forgiveness should be made much faster when it started.
- 24:14In what sense do you have. That is where ignorance, I do not
- 24:17say because, for example, all that was called the restrictions of the CNBs
- 24:26were flexing. This is for moments of the counting with liquidation, how some
- 24:36times are done. Perfect, perfect. We are talking here in plural construction
- 24:42under takeability, with the economist Daniel Marx. Daniel overtakes it how much these
- 24:48first five months are likely to accomplish. The sixth does not take to intesalinal
- 24:52the tractors of the delantoplay, how sustainable they are, how much they have
- 24:57to do with the effect of Ecuadora, how much to kick debts like that
- 25:03of the shirt in energy matter. I say if anyone, if they see
- 25:04a specialist, someone after and ask Daniel what you' re saying is sustainable,
- 25:08they' re true. They are a little bit of makeup to gain
- 25:14more important time, sorry more about the imprint of having a fiscal adjustment,
- 25:18insane a fiscal anchor, which is virtuous, let' s say in macroeconomic
- 25:26terms, according to super having achieved in the first months of this year is
- 25:33cash. Let' s get this straight for starters and it' s focused
- 25:41on what we call worse and primary, that is, before the service when
- 25:48I say it' s cash, because there' s a difference between what
- 25:56was actually paid out and what are obligations that were accumulated between them, we
- 26:06said, the cashier' s debts or other things, than to the suppliers
- 26:11contractors of the state. There are many things that have not been paid,
- 26:14but they are still due and perhaps some are onerous debts. Also on the
- 26:22income side, we had an extraordinary income linked to devaluation, that is,
- 26:32higher tax collection country, higher collection for withholding exports, than that more than
- 26:40countered drop in revenue that was noticed more recently in VAT, for example,
- 26:49which is linked to activity. On the spending side, the item that weighs
- 27:00the most is that of care and tension, where the indexation was delayed or
- 27:08not implemented all, but now we have a new formula and that contributed a
- 27:18lot and that seems to me it is also going to be corrected in part,
- 27:26not all that has been lost. The other important item of expenditure relates
- 27:33to subsidies for the consumption of public services. That greatly reduced that spending,
- 27:44but now something of what recovery was going to be was postponed. But that
- 27:52seems to me to be bound to be a reduction in sustainable spending over time
- 28:00and very important. And finally, we have the debt issue. Well,
- 28:07there' s a lot of new debt, some that we just said to
- 28:17recognize and another that went from the Central Bank, to the National Treasury and
- 28:23within the National Treasury inflation- adjustable debt. That' s not shown in
- 28:27spending. But, anyone would say in short, it' s how many
- 28:36of these numbers were closed, so it turned out to have and has its
- 28:45cost out there even higher than what may be the cost of an interest rate
- 28:49far below the inflation rate. I mean, there' s everything in there,
- 28:56in there, and how sustainable. Let' s say to the future
- 29:00little world semester. I believe that the second semester and thinking for the future,
- 29:07Argentina goes beyond a primary decade. Last year it is also affected by
- 29:15harvest and other factors. It was almost three points of product, two seven
- 29:21of product to a primary superr that will be roughly one or one and a
- 29:27half of the product and the difference is financeable if there are these circumstances that
- 29:37we talked about before and in that sense it would be sustainable and part of
- 29:45Fina, the reason why it is financeable, because Argentina should also be put
- 29:52in consequence in a less sporadic, less cyclical growth path that we had historically.
- 30:04Finally, when and not just in particular you and much less, but
- 30:07when you see that the President takes it up against his colleagues of a certain
- 30:11alien, also orthodox liberal, as we call it, you are not attacking
- 30:18me to laugh at Marxists or a Claudio Lozano model, to say something when
- 30:22colleagues hear you tell them and of the stick, so to speak so many
- 30:27idiots that I am reading textuals of honest, intellectually square, evaluators and reliable
- 30:32cereals. A renowned economist like Danielmaz remembers less seasoned teeth. Economist was director
- 30:38of the Central Bank, was representative of special financier and I said this sor
- 30:42negociation of Argentina' s doubt of eighty- nine to ninety- three.
- 30:45Daniel Marti, what' s the first feeling you have? I believe that
- 30:52every society is important that there is respect for people and that is a right
- 31:00and an obligation. It' s good then. You can get in sometimes
- 31:08or you can escape some form of rea once, but once you can seem
- 31:14not to be the economist field. Don' t be economists We have this
- 31:22tea. I asked the economists to tar runo I did not ask him when
- 31:26I made rats to the legislators and asked him in his intro and said I
- 31:29did not want to go any further, but I say in present of the
- 31:34stick and of the economists, how it feels there that there were never veiled
- 31:40references as I was going to Brothal with Ian Cabalo, not any of the
- 31:44Marxens, but he gave how they environment this, from that realm, what
- 31:48is his first Mayan feeling that you say in all your ideas should prevail respect
- 31:49among people. Well, I repeat to myself, if I can if not
- 31:56economists, that each one can have lived his training. We could earn a
- 32:06lot more and be a much better society if we respect each other well,
- 32:15Daniel, thank you very much, uh, thanks equally a big hug the
- 32:21economist Daniel Mancha here in construction plan man that states very close to many government
- 32:24efforts, or I say they are concentrating. Edurtin is an authoritative word in
- 32:29that sense. Okay, let' s go to pause sixteen, thirty-
- 32:31two. The moon will be dined there with tamila and the mile more forgiveness,
- 32:36the nation more is to play as I heard it. Well, we
- 32:38' re going to have a pause, as I say other science, we
- 32:42' re probably connecting with friend Gustavo ferrari Bol to the pause with Juan I
- 32:46yabulemos. We remind you that you can find us on social networks, on
- 33:07our website, where we extend our journalistic work. We find ourselves on Twitter
- 33:10under the Nick Arroba, approaches, on Instagram, fer m two thousand twenty
- 33:16- two, firmn de faermoury two thousand twenty- two and as always where
- 33:22we upload audios of the program analysis of columnists specialists. Our website adds approaches,
- 33:28blogs, s fan of beef and beef Argentina and found the best tips,
- 33:37tricks and recipes to prepare the best meat in the world and enjoy it
- 33:43with family and friends. All right, we' re good. I'
- 33:55ve got Don Gustavo' s line for my friend good afternoon. How he
- 33:59' s doing, how you' re walking so good afternoon. I'
- 34:02m not on moon park I' m not on moon park. Of course,
- 34:06despite my sympathy for our new interplanetary prophet, I do not find myself
- 34:09in a parma in which I find myself here doing plural construction. Since my
- 34:13ecrelium I thought you were doing a manual on how Penadez gets caught, but
- 34:22I' m not telling him I was seeing anything in Netflix, nor did
- 34:24I see River' s game, not Argentina. Beyond that, a river
- 34:27paper, but there' s a quiet reality. You wanted to talk about
- 34:34political violence. One more thing, in Mexico, he lets me pull something
- 34:37out of the stirrup of our talk last week. I can go ahead.
- 34:40Well, I remind you of how hearing you don' t always follow us.
- 34:44You also hear it a lot later when you send audio, that uploads
- 34:46the audio to social networks, but so much in duvo that you saw it.
- 34:49I put it on. We had agreed with Gustavo. He should do
- 34:52a little bit of it, as a political consultant, to explain to me
- 34:54if I was Mauridioma Cris, what I saw to the fame Crial pro in
- 35:00the context of good the presence of libertaris has the is. You told me
- 35:02a little bit as good that pro was no longer the change, that it
- 35:05was a little bit like the old has eclipsed, that he has almost no
- 35:09choice but to dock up, to approach. I ask, then, if
- 35:13that were the case, what a sting of a Nacho Torres who yesterday declared
- 35:19to Novadecio that if there is going to be an electoral union, as Bulrich
- 35:22asks, he leaves the pro What remains of that most centrist, minimal Social
- 35:30- Democratic agenda, but part of that pro agenda with this support for the
- 35:37decriminalization of abortion making the state management efficient, but he is not putting a
- 35:42bomb in the state, inclusive in part of the theme villas, in the
- 35:45city government, with good management. I mean, I mean, you understand
- 35:46what I mean by a part of certain looks, a certain part of the
- 35:51pros and center trend. And I' m going to say that it'
- 35:54s also inevitable or inevitable to run to the right. What remains of those
- 35:59principles or part of those ideas are erased by or run or swept away by
- 36:04the current running to the right. Marta on the right. Question Good look,
- 36:08Fernando. I think we' re part of an analysis of magical realism.
- 36:15And I, given the circumstances and events that happen all day in the
- 36:22country, the behavior of the actors on both sides, I think we should
- 36:27rethink what those ideological variables are and if I really tell you. A while
- 36:37ago. I have a brother of mine who still belongs to a famous nostalgic
- 36:50institution, which is the Committee on Economic Affairs of the Radical Civic Union,
- 36:55an institution founded I believe in the 1950s, because great economists at the time
- 37:00García Vázquez, felicalizales, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera, et
- 37:08cetera. Well, a while ago he sent me my brother saying and that
- 37:15they raised or rescued a book from the 1950s, the need to save the
- 37:21country, prologue, to hoist Aldo Ferrer, etcetera, etcetera. And it
- 37:29tells me this is again to say what the Radical Civic Union is proposing in
- 37:36economic matters from this historic committee, something of a decade ago, something of
- 37:42seventy years ago. It' s like saying that Peronism goes out to do
- 37:47what' s in the famous Fortnight Plan. So I think we' re
- 37:54saying we' re in a society of permanent changes, of evolutions, of
- 38:00a dynamism Google the most recent teacher, what for the good, but it
- 38:05' s a lot to see from pro When did Mauricio Man assume I ask
- 38:12year well, in two thousand fifteen, ten years ago. You are going
- 38:15to tell me that this is recent, ten years, that is, unfortunately,
- 38:20and with everything that was charged in the middle of those ten years from
- 38:23a social situation beyond sanitary, that was the pandemic, that changed all the
- 38:30prototypes, ways of acting, ways of behaving, even of incapacity or of
- 38:38solving the problems that emerged from the pandemic. Then I' d tell you
- 38:46that even today the Macris government is old and everything that happened at the time
- 38:52has happened. Then I don' t know if I' ll argue,
- 38:59if you make that decision. I don' t hang out. I'
- 39:01m going to another space, create a new space, etcetera. I believe
- 39:06that the issues have not yet landed beyond the ideological paths with which they can
- 39:10be analyzed from this political realism we are living for, where, obviously,
- 39:17we continue with a goal how we solve the problems for the people and we
- 39:27still have no answers, including those being rowed out by the President, within
- 39:32the South act of today, to sing and present the Book of Moon even
- 39:37because until that we do not let go of the President' s transgressive personality.
- 39:47But you couldn' t imagine and that in the opinion of any political
- 39:52virgin of our country. Beyond the ideological, not what we would have a
- 40:00rebel who had the audacity to go to Spain, say in the face of
- 40:05the Spanish Head of Government. Your wife is a corrupt woman. Don'
- 40:10t turn around and it' s like nothing else happened. That seems to
- 40:16me like the times we saw, crazy times we live in, let'
- 40:22s say, but I don' t doubt them Fernando at any time I
- 40:27doubt them. But before they didn' t even put themselves in the imagination
- 40:31to think about it. And now and now, even our imagination, to
- 40:37say eye that is possible and that' s why we criticize it. But
- 40:43no one would have thought before of taking that point of irreverent of making that
- 40:51kind of deal in a relationship more than historical friendly. I don' t
- 40:57know brotherly or whatever I want to call her with Spain. Not then.
- 41:02I believe that we are in stopping the ball and putting ourselves to rethink absolutely
- 41:07everything, including alliances or political behaviors and pro as I tell you what he
- 41:19did and in some aspects that I share, let' s say the themes
- 41:25of rapprochement, social inclusion, on the topic of urbanism, in the city
- 41:29of Buenos Aires, and they handled it with some responsibility and success. Okay,
- 41:35but also what' s next. That' s it, what keeps
- 41:39doing the same thing again, reinventing itself. I believe that today political structures
- 41:44have to be reinverted, even if you want to stay, not go back,
- 41:50for example, with abortion. Not that there' s a project,
- 41:52but at least it' s in the imagination, in the libertarian. The
- 41:57Secretary of Worship said so the other day he spoke of even the woe of
- 42:00vigor. I don' t care about it 20 years ago, let'
- 42:05s say we' re good, but let' s see, but I
- 42:09think the scheme and I would answer it within the President' s thinking say
- 42:15liberal, do what you want to do. I' m not going to
- 42:19hurt him or condemn him. Make your life out of what you want a
- 42:23potato, as they say. There' s this good one, just as
- 42:30the official has that opinion. Okay. The citizenry or character at the time
- 42:34will have the decision whether to do it or not. I think that all
- 42:38of a sudden we are too many, too obsessed with the coma, the
- 42:45word, etcetera, which is said on either side, are subjects of conversation,
- 42:52of debate, of filling pages, but they are not really solving problems.
- 42:58That' s a person who does or doesn' t abort, thinks
- 43:01about getting divorced, or doesn' t plan to get divorced, and that
- 43:07doesn' t affect him, let' s say, or doesn' t
- 43:07solve him. Rather this is the weight of the handmaiden, of the school,
- 43:10and let' s not say the work. The economy, not everything
- 43:15in the economy. There are also social issues that affect the VI, but
- 43:19that, that' s after. The issue of divorce contains a madness and
- 43:24well, it doesn' t have something, it doesn' t have,
- 43:30but well, to see the issue is to lift it and measure it.
- 43:34I' m asking you, and as you say, there' s no
- 43:37point. You' ve permeated that in society. He' s up at
- 43:43these points. Then to see are perhaps inappropriate expressions of a person who perhaps
- 43:51should not be in that position. Okay, well, on Sundays, he
- 43:57kicks off in Mexico, which long ago knows the winning candidate sung, which
- 44:01is the official candidate that Manuel López Obrador put. I' ve talked to
- 44:06you, too, we' ve talked enough already. Let' s say
- 44:08here so much that we got a little bit into Mexico, which was the
- 44:13first woman president in Mexico' s history. We have also talked about it
- 44:15that way, but beyond the process that I believe, Fernando, which is
- 44:22the elections of greater political mobility that he has had in history. We are
- 44:30voting approximately or are voting because it was voted by twenty- seven hundred public
- 44:37officials. Nearly ninety- nine million people are voting Ninety- nine million people
- 44:45are voting. No, it' s not mandatory. The electoral roll made
- 44:49it ninety- nine million and it votes half a little more than half.
- 44:54Historically, the average is half and sometimes less than half. We' ve
- 45:02got the case past. Peña grandchild came to power with thirty- three percent
- 45:06of the population. There aren' t three. Or thirty- three had
- 45:10thirty- three percent share. No, and also his tumbers were also in
- 45:22low percentage. You don' t have representative districts, where you have an
- 45:30average of twenty- three to twenty- five percent and compared to six years
- 45:38ago, you don' t have. Today the candidate doesn' t amount
- 45:44to anything but what adds up to you. The sea is no longer lukewarm
- 45:49or true forgiveness. Give everything you say, forgive me. The split mark,
- 45:53the party mamarca, or I see the mark, or it' s
- 45:59in the past, Manuel creates a mark where he' s not represented,
- 46:05but it leaves the imprint of his party mark. I mean, I'
- 46:07m voting for Morena, which is her party. No, and I think
- 46:10today the brand openly outstrips the candidates. But, on the other hand,
- 46:16this very broad process is becoming the most violent choice in Mexico' s history.
- 46:24Since the electoral process began last October, there are already forty- five
- 46:31candidates killed mainly at the municipal level for land disputes and transit routes. I
- 46:43don' t know if, well, I' m Mike clearer than the
- 46:49routes traffic organized crime. Let us say fundamentally also, in provinces in the
- 46:54State of the Federation, where there is a very strong share of the crime
- 46:59carried out warrior. Much is being said about Chiapas, which is the southern
- 47:02border at this very difficult time. For that matter, let us say of
- 47:10all the migratory flows from Central America and other countries that use as a crossing
- 47:16point for the United States. We are talking practically about fifteen zero councillors who
- 47:23are going to vote throughout the country, one thousand eight hundred intendents and so
- 47:30on, which generates us say different states of feeling about the violence that is
- 47:42taking place this weekend in the town of Chiapas of those forty- five.
- 47:45Well, there were fifteen municipal authorities killed by different acts of violence to the
- 47:54point that practically the federal government has to that at this time today, four
- 48:06hundred and seventy or so candidates are receiving direct protection from the federal government to
- 48:14guarantee their safety. Four yes, and there is approximately forgiveness of the data,
- 48:20but the dimension also compares those of our country. Not approximately is the
- 48:29National Guard, that is, the Security Force, already destined to today three
- 48:32thousand elements that are protecting candidates for popular positions. So, if we analyze
- 48:45all that, obviously, we can understand and analyze by pardoning to the redudance
- 48:57the state of virulence that is perceived above all at local levels in the process
- 49:02that is going to take effect next June 2, and that the management of
- 49:07López actador was far from having achieved political victories in that sense. So,
- 49:12in terms of security and arcs of course, that is, it has been
- 49:17a failed strategic, because there are still very strong interests. There' s
- 49:27interest, let' s say. I do not stop thinking with some optimism
- 49:30that his strategy of violently attacking the causes that generate violence is important, but
- 49:40obviously it has not been managed operatives or a strategy. Let' s say.
- 49:47Okay, on the one hand, I warn, but also what'
- 49:55s going on upstairs, not, and that' s where we practically say
- 50:02the opposition most condemns him in the sense that he hasn' t put his
- 50:09hand in front of other stages in frontal fights against organized crime. How is
- 50:19the topic was talking organizes How is the topic of prisons. You saw that
- 50:22each time you read there are problems in Ecuador, etcetera, etcetera. There
- 50:25are not so many jail inmates and they continue to run their prison businesses as
- 50:30is the cartel issue, for example, Look at the prison system. There
- 50:36are virtually maximum- security prisons where they are supposed to be occupied by high
- 50:47- ranking maximum- security criminals. But that' s also not what we
- 50:52talk about, not the privileges of those leading bosses in certain prisons. Practically
- 51:00first it will be sane, it won' t be analyzed, it won
- 51:09' t talk and I' ll tell you. It is not an issue
- 51:10on the daily agenda of the prison state. Prisons are missing, but it
- 51:16is not a human rights state to be seen routine visits are made, but
- 51:22they do not enter the gene agenda curiously, of any candidate you say well,
- 51:28our proposal is to do more jail and nothing else. Not that.
- 51:32You don' t talk, no, no, no, and you don
- 51:37' t think of any singing, that is, no candidate has an interest
- 51:40in doing it for others. No, because that could be a vicious circle.
- 51:45On the one hand, we have the role of justice. We'
- 51:52re not having ninety- eight percent of the cases that come to justice unsolved.
- 52:00So there begins the whole beginning of the circle no, with which I
- 52:08believe that what follows is a very interesting process, where we are going to
- 52:15have the absence of the leading figure who marked the political line and political agenda
- 52:22of the last six years or much more in the country, more than six
- 52:27years and we are going to really find ourselves with enough factors that are going
- 52:38to be necessary much capacity, much dialogue and much more than the brand.
- 52:44I could tell you today with total analytical honesty that that brand, which today
- 52:51is going to triumph in the elections, is not going to have or will
- 52:55not retain the same weight for the next six years. And that does not
- 53:02mean that the opposition is going to grow, but it is going to be
- 53:06the wear and tear of the lack of a leading figure, as it is
- 53:10the one that marked Andrés Manuel. Andres Manuel passes to invier barracks no.
- 53:14I remember a bit like the history of Mexico not according to itself. Well,
- 53:17obviously, Mexican politics as well as the pre- Hispanic politics of indigenous
- 53:27dynasties. The Authority enters a state of wintering until the last day of their
- 53:34lives. At another time he didn' t even have a chance to give
- 53:40an opinion, or to appear his name in any column or even media.
- 53:46Now that' s not going to be because it can have its own networks,
- 53:52but in itself it stops talking and being a reference for the country'
- 53:55s politics for the rest of its life. But the king is dead.
- 54:01Long live the clear king. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah,
- 54:05something we can' t even imagine here. No. That' s
- 54:07why not at all. You don' t decide the exact doctor. Yeah,
- 54:14yeah, yeah. In fact, in times they sent him to diplomatic
- 54:17destinations, but not even of hierarchy. No guy sent you to an African
- 54:25country and all that so you could enjoy the bonoms of diplomatic franchises. But
- 54:32the further it was, the better it would be. Sure, well,
- 54:39well, yeah, then you can do a story with us. For example,
- 54:44Andrés Manuel may have the challenge. I get it, because he'
- 54:46ll talk outside, even if it' s not even a joke, yes
- 54:51way in Time magazine or construction, but he calls it. He could talk
- 54:52like that. Let' s say to the select, you could talk to
- 54:58yourself. I say again if there has been a lot of atomization in recent
- 55:01years. The issue is really what your role is going to be. No,
- 55:07because there are also the interests and political history of the daily life of
- 55:15Mexico, always the successor, even if he has had the satisfaction of his
- 55:23predecessor, does everything possible to keep the predecessor saying in the catacombs, without
- 55:34being able to speak and without being able to give an opinion and mantle,
- 55:42for years we know how much this anecdote applies. It was you, I
- 55:45don' t think you told me years ago. If I' m not
- 55:49mistaken that your predecessor leaves you, he says look here you have the drawer.
- 55:52Any problems. One of the saternances opens this envelope that says to blame
- 55:55it on the ancestor. You didn' t tell me twenty- three,
- 55:59millions of years ago, how it applies in Mexico. I mean, there
- 56:01' s a problem, and the new president can blame him. Lopez Orador,
- 56:06no, no, not between them, as I think I told you.
- 56:10I do not know whether the past programme foresaw, or whether there are
- 56:15economic problems and, above all, within it this political space. Well,
- 56:23where did your campaign come from? It' s not like I' d
- 56:29say today. It' s if he had been the president and the issue
- 56:36of numbers, Alberto would tell him to see your campaign came out of these
- 56:42levels of inflation, evaluation adjustments and so on. No, I mean,
- 56:46don' t complain. You have six years to fix your problem and return
- 56:52the money that was spent on your campaign. Not those covenants, not written,
- 57:02but respected. It' s very possible. Let' s say that
- 57:12first, within an economy that may have several but ordered to be the main
- 57:19issue, let' s say an economic problem. It' s usually a
- 57:23social problem. It is not economic and it is economic where it is distributed.
- 57:29That' s a bit of a schedule. Nobody says they left the
- 57:32box empty, not even the intents. Interestingly well, but well like a
- 57:44taste, as always we find, a hug eximo Wednesday, okay, a
- 57:49hug yes, big hug. Gustavo Carrerily Golfes are our co- responsible North
- 57:53America. He' s more of a correspondent than ever. Speaking of the
- 57:55Presidential of Te Viera in Mexico with a sung result, and the successor of
- 58:00López Orlador will be the one that he says was ex o s hours.
- 58:04It must be announced mayor' s license of the ruling city of Méxifolds.
- 58:08Wednesday comes just when he' ll be back with us with so much Gustavo.
- 58:12I tell you that we have an interesting debate of half an hour forty
- 58:15minutes, twenty- five minutes with Agustín Monteverde close to the government of Miley,
- 58:22very close to our official and Alejandro Peyrú, collaborators our Facebook this time
- 58:29Montehore also on the economy, with two very very, very different looks or
- 58:31societies. We' re leaving, we' ll find out tomorrow at four
- 58:36o' clock in the afternoon and tomorrow we' ll do another day next
- 58:39to Camilo Tifornia, we' ll see what happens with Don Friend Blue tomorrow,
- 58:44as I tell you all, to back up our intergalactic leader, to
- 58:49the moon part, I' m already running. I' m going to
- 58:50find Juan on the radio, also everyone Silvia, because he' s in
- 58:52Italy, in our Pocoulitarian production, but I already am. Juan is ready
- 58:54for you, I' ll pick you up in half an hour. Thank
- 58:59you. It will be until tomorrow by Bay plural construction led by Fernando Mauri
- 59:10by Radio Trentopic