Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Honeywell to Sell Productivity Business in $1.4 Billion Deal
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- 0:24Speaker 2: Honeywell to sell productivity business in a one point four
- 0:27Speaker 2: billion dollar deal. To break that down, Forest landa baker
- 0:31Speaker 2: from Bloomberg News, joins us here, and I talked to
- 0:34Speaker 2: us about Honeywell here because I'm looking at this Dock's
- 0:36Speaker 2: off just a couple, you know, about a buck and
- 0:38Speaker 2: a half here today, but it's up nineteen percent year
- 0:40Speaker 2: to date. What's Honeywell doing with this transaction.
- 0:43Speaker 3: Honeywell has been four years now trying to you know,
- 0:49Speaker 3: reshape its portfolio. They've never met a spinoff. They don't like.
- 0:52Speaker 3: They're spinning off their aerospace division. They've already spun off
- 0:55Speaker 3: their chemicals unit. That's a whole separate company called Solstice.
- 1:00Speaker 3: So they love doing deals. They also, you know, do
- 1:04Speaker 3: acquire things, but in this one, it's been a long
- 1:08Speaker 3: simmering situation. They announced last July that they were exploring
- 1:12Speaker 3: options for this unit along with another unit that they
- 1:14Speaker 3: haven't sold yet, and we had been tracking this one
- 1:17Speaker 3: for months. We thought private equity would come in, but
- 1:19Speaker 3: ultimately Brady Corporation, another public company based in Milwaukee, is
- 1:25Speaker 3: souping in for this and it's going to make it
- 1:27Speaker 3: a much larger company.
- 1:29Speaker 4: And it's not just Honeywell either. Three M has looked
- 1:32Speaker 4: into selling assets too. What is it about these big
- 1:34Speaker 4: industrials that at one point like to be big, like to.
- 1:37Speaker 5: Be diversified, are now in love with the idea.
- 1:40Speaker 4: Of slimming down, realigning their portfolios, divesting assets.
- 1:45Speaker 5: What happened in the thinking.
- 1:46Speaker 3: We're seeing it across industries, not just in the industrial space.
- 1:50Speaker 3: For whatever reason, every few years, diversification becomes popular with
- 1:54Speaker 3: investors and we see ge buying NBC and those types
- 1:58Speaker 3: of things to look back at history. And then eventually
- 2:01Speaker 3: we get into spin offs which are now investor friendly
- 2:05Speaker 3: and it doesn't take much to you know, boost your
- 2:08Speaker 3: stock if you say you're going to sell units or
- 2:10Speaker 3: spin off into public companies. Some public companies are now
- 2:15Speaker 3: have turned into a dozen companies. It's quite amazing to watch.
- 2:18Speaker 2: So it looks like I'm just going to at the
- 2:19Speaker 2: PGeo function on the Bloomberg terminal. Honeywells down the kind
- 2:22Speaker 2: of four lines of business airspace technologies, building automation, industrial automization,
- 2:27Speaker 2: and energy and sustainability. Are they comfortable with their portfolio
- 2:31Speaker 2: generally speaking now or do you think we'll get more
- 2:33Speaker 2: deals here?
- 2:34Speaker 3: I wouldn't rule them out for doing more M and
- 2:37Speaker 3: A to actually, you know, as they reshape their portfolio,
- 2:40Speaker 3: think what makes sense. We've definitely seen industrial companies get
- 2:45Speaker 3: more into software. I know software has kind of fallen
- 2:47Speaker 3: out of favor right now, but there's definitely these sort
- 2:51Speaker 3: of big hardware software products that are might be hard
- 2:57Speaker 3: to disintermediate with AI. So that's where to look. They've
- 3:01Speaker 3: also invested in quantum Computing Quantineum, a company that Honeywell owns.
- 3:05Speaker 3: They've been trying to take that one public. That's another
- 3:07Speaker 3: one to watch, but we'll see under their CEO, Vimol Kapor,
- 3:12Speaker 3: they've definitely been making a lot of moves to just
- 3:15Speaker 3: reimagine what Honeywell is.
- 3:17Speaker 5: And what about Brady? Is Brady looking to get bigger?
- 3:20Speaker 4: I mean, it's buying this business from Honeywell, but can
- 3:22Speaker 4: we expect more deal making from Brady?
- 3:24Speaker 3: They'll definitely get bigger. Before this deal, they had about
- 3:27Speaker 3: a three point nine billion dollar market cap and they're
- 3:30Speaker 3: paying one point four billion dollar cash. So this is
- 3:32Speaker 3: by far the largest deal ever for Brady, a Midwest
- 3:35Speaker 3: company founded in nineteen fourteen. They make some of these
- 3:38Speaker 3: products already, so this will help them maybe corner the
- 3:43Speaker 3: market in this sort of industrial barcode logistics scanning type stuff.
- 3:48Speaker 5: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 3:54Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
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- 4:08Speaker 4: Speaking of AI, when every industry is navigating rapid change
- 4:12Speaker 4: driven by this technology, one company is focused on helping
- 4:15Speaker 4: them unlock better performance through data collaboration.
- 4:18Speaker 5: So I want to bring in now Scott Howe. He's
- 4:20Speaker 5: CEO of.
- 4:20Speaker 4: Live Ramp, and Scott, before we get into exactly how
- 4:23Speaker 4: your company does what it does, just explain what live
- 4:26Speaker 4: Ramp does, what's the mission behind Live Ramp, what problems
- 4:29Speaker 4: are you trying to solve?
- 4:31Speaker 6: Sure, you just talked about how fuel stocks are up
- 4:34Speaker 6: today and data is the fuel for the future in
- 4:37Speaker 6: a technology world. What live ramp does is it makes
- 4:41Speaker 6: data safe and easy for companies to use. We manage
- 4:45Speaker 6: their integrations, their security, their permissions, and their accessible their
- 4:50Speaker 6: acceptable uses through our data collaboration platform.
- 4:55Speaker 2: So to what extent are retailers brands embrace AI because
- 5:00Speaker 2: it feels like these are super super early innings here,
- 5:04Speaker 2: and I think companies buy and large across all industry types.
- 5:07Speaker 2: They're trying to figure out what this thing is. Is
- 5:09Speaker 2: it friend or foe? What are you finding?
- 5:12Speaker 6: Yeah, well, I'll tell you retailers are going to follow consumers,
- 5:15Speaker 6: and consumers are embracing AI. Search is being replaced by
- 5:22Speaker 6: AI in terms of discovery and if you've done any
- 5:28Speaker 6: kind of AI driven commerce where you're looking for products,
- 5:32Speaker 6: you know it's just a transformational experience. So companies have
- 5:37Speaker 6: to move, they have to stay current, and so for
- 5:41Speaker 6: the next five years, AI is going to be probably
- 5:45Speaker 6: the only thing retailers are talking about.
- 5:49Speaker 4: So when you talk to brands right now, how AI
- 5:52Speaker 4: ready are they? How do you assess their level of readiness?
- 5:57Speaker 6: Well, I'd say it's early stages that said, we don't
- 6:02Speaker 6: work with a company that isn't collecting information, creating a
- 6:06Speaker 6: value exchange for consumers, and doing things with that information
- 6:12Speaker 6: to give their customers a better experience, items that they
- 6:16Speaker 6: might like, different value propositions, access to unique content. And
- 6:22Speaker 6: so they're getting increasingly sophisticated about how to have the
- 6:27Speaker 6: conversation with consumers. And every company in the world is
- 6:33Speaker 6: looking at who the winners have been in the stock
- 6:35Speaker 6: market for the last twenty thirty years, and the winners
- 6:38Speaker 6: have been companies that are really sophisticated with data. And
- 6:43Speaker 6: so if you want to be a winner in the
- 6:45Speaker 6: stock market, you have to be more sophisticated. So I
- 6:48Speaker 6: think consumers and the market forces, both of those things
- 6:52Speaker 6: are driving adoption.
- 6:54Speaker 5: What is data collaboration.
- 6:58Speaker 6: Yeah, it's a great question, and because what companies have
- 7:02Speaker 6: realized is they can't go it alone. It's really hard
- 7:06Speaker 6: to out Amazon Amazon. Amazon has so much information. But
- 7:11Speaker 6: when a company like Nike gets together with its retailers,
- 7:16Speaker 6: or a company like Disney gets together with its advertisers,
- 7:21Speaker 6: and they start to collaborate on the data that they have,
- 7:25Speaker 6: they can actually out Amazon, Amazon, out Google, Google and
- 7:29Speaker 6: create really interesting insights that drive better value to their customers.
- 7:36Speaker 4: That all sounds great, but how do they I guess,
- 7:39Speaker 4: maintain control, ensure privacy and really have a handle over
- 7:44Speaker 4: governance over their own data because they're collaborating with other
- 7:47Speaker 4: partners and they're sharing this information.
- 7:50Speaker 6: Yeah, so two words, live ramp. That's why we exist.
- 7:55Speaker 6: Rather than a big company having to go secure, if
- 8:00Speaker 6: not thousands eventually of one off business development agreements governing
- 8:06Speaker 6: how data can be utilized. Instead, they can just use
- 8:10Speaker 6: live ramp. We manage all those things for them. Any
- 8:14Speaker 6: participant can set their permissions and their acceptable use so
- 8:18Speaker 6: that they know that their partners are respecting their data.
- 8:23Speaker 6: And ultimately, we think there's a big role for consumers
- 8:26Speaker 6: to play in this long long term as well. AI
- 8:30Speaker 6: means that the power of data eventually swings to consumers.
- 8:35Speaker 6: And as a consumer, I would want my data to
- 8:37Speaker 6: be portable and I'd want it to be very transparent.
- 8:41Speaker 6: If I go surf on, say I watch programming on Netflix,
- 8:46Speaker 6: shouldn't I be able to download my viewing history and
- 8:49Speaker 6: use it next time I'm on Prime to get similar
- 8:52Speaker 6: recommendations of shows that might matter to me.
- 8:56Speaker 2: How are I know we're early in scott How are
- 8:58Speaker 2: consumers using AI and just kind of their shopping behavior
- 9:02Speaker 2: and now and maybe how do you think that's going
- 9:04Speaker 2: to evolve?
- 9:05Speaker 6: Yeah, it is early, but I would say, you know,
- 9:10Speaker 6: particularly amongst the younger generation folks that are you know,
- 9:14Speaker 6: up to age thirty, it is absolutely essential because you're
- 9:21Speaker 6: using it to help you do the research on what
- 9:24Speaker 6: products that you might want to buy, gather testimonials, and increasingly, say,
- 9:30Speaker 6: like through Google AI Shopping, you can actually consummate a
- 9:34Speaker 6: purchase within the AI browser that you're using.
- 9:39Speaker 4: I can understand brands and consumer brands in particular, really
- 9:43Speaker 4: embracing this. How are you seeing this show up among
- 9:46Speaker 4: companies and industries that are also consumer facing but maybe
- 9:50Speaker 4: have not had to go out and chase consumers in
- 9:52Speaker 4: quite the same way healthcare companies for instance.
- 9:56Speaker 6: Yeah, you know, it's interesting. Probably the product this moment
- 10:00Speaker 6: I've had in one of our town halls is we
- 10:02Speaker 6: had a company called Truth Social, that's the settlement of
- 10:05Speaker 6: Big Tobacco come in and speak to our folks a
- 10:08Speaker 6: few years ago, and they talked about how they're using technology,
- 10:12Speaker 6: how they're using data, how they're using live ramp, and
- 10:15Speaker 6: the punchline was it's saving lives, and they shared how
- 10:21Speaker 6: many lives they think that they've shared, they've saved by
- 10:25Speaker 6: applying data, helping to market to young people about the
- 10:29Speaker 6: dangers of tobacco and drugs. So I think, you know,
- 10:34Speaker 6: data has such an important role to play in perhaps
- 10:38Speaker 6: industries we don't even think about. Because wherever we can
- 10:42Speaker 6: bring information to bear to make a better decision, whether
- 10:47Speaker 6: it be for a business or for a consumer, shouldn't
- 10:50Speaker 6: we want to do that, of course, but always within
- 10:55Speaker 6: the control of those that are being affected by that decision.
- 11:00Speaker 2: More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 11:06Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 11:10Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Apple, Cocklay and Android
- 11:13Speaker 1: Auto with the Bloomberg Business App. Listen on demand wherever
- 11:17Speaker 1: you get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 11:20Speaker 4: Oil prices have reverse Friday's declines. They're marching higher, with
- 11:25Speaker 4: Brent now up about five point seven percent, WTI gaining
- 11:28Speaker 4: more than six percent, just below eighty nine dollars a
- 11:31Speaker 4: barrel here in the US. Mike mcloan is our senior
- 11:34Speaker 4: commodity strategist joining us from Miami. So, Mike, I'm trying
- 11:39Speaker 4: to understand these latest headlines from President Trump saying that
- 11:44Speaker 4: he is not going to open up the straight of
- 11:46Speaker 4: Horror moves, even though around desperately wants him to do so.
- 11:51Speaker 4: That presupposes that the US is the one that's blocking
- 11:54Speaker 4: the straight of horor moves and iron is not playing
- 11:56Speaker 4: a role. But I want to get from you a
- 11:58Speaker 4: sense of what is actually moving oil price is right
- 12:00Speaker 4: now these days.
- 12:02Speaker 5: Is it an opening of the street of Hormuz?
- 12:05Speaker 7: It definitely is scarlett.
- 12:06Speaker 8: I think the market's getting past that a little bit
- 12:08Speaker 8: and realizing it's a bit of a battle of bulls.
- 12:10Speaker 7: It'll figure it out. It'll be opening up. Question how
- 12:13Speaker 7: you do it.
- 12:13Speaker 8: I think the idea way mister Trump bought it was
- 12:16Speaker 8: wanted was to repress the offensive abilities of Iran to
- 12:19Speaker 8: close this strait, which they still have.
- 12:22Speaker 7: But from a crueil standpoint, the rest of the world
- 12:25Speaker 7: is breaking and breaking hard.
- 12:27Speaker 8: Pretty severe demand destruction, and US so far is okay.
- 12:30Speaker 8: Now right now, WTI is around eighty nine dollars a barrel.
- 12:33Speaker 8: I think that high at one twenty is as during
- 12:36Speaker 8: as that peak in twenty twenty at one point thirty was,
- 12:39Speaker 8: and now it's probably stuck between eighty and one hundred
- 12:41Speaker 8: dollars a barrel.
- 12:42Speaker 7: And there's one key thing I reiterated today.
- 12:45Speaker 8: Wanted to point out is if prices don't go down,
- 12:48Speaker 8: that surplus of supply versus demand in the US and Canada,
- 12:51Speaker 8: which is running around eight million barrels a day, it's
- 12:54Speaker 8: going to go to ten million barrels a day by
- 12:56Speaker 8: twenty twenty eight. So I look at this as this
- 12:59Speaker 8: is a mark. It's a bear market that's bounced months,
- 13:02Speaker 8: much more likely to go down. And the key thing
- 13:04Speaker 8: that might make it go down to that level by
- 13:07Speaker 8: the end of the year is the stock market dropping
- 13:09Speaker 8: a bit.
- 13:10Speaker 2: So, Mike is when you talk to people, you know,
- 13:13Speaker 2: traders that the trade this comodity here, the oil and gas,
- 13:17Speaker 2: they are they factoring in supply coming from other parts
- 13:21Speaker 2: of the world coming into the marketplace, or maybe even
- 13:24Speaker 2: Saladi crewed or Amidi screwed finding other ways to get
- 13:27Speaker 2: out to the marketplace.
- 13:28Speaker 8: Yeah, so people keep using that narrative twenty percent of
- 13:32Speaker 8: world supply from the golf. It's really probably dropping closer
- 13:35Speaker 8: to ten percent now as Saudi Arabia has found ways
- 13:37Speaker 8: to get its pipelines through the red scene out other ways,
- 13:40Speaker 8: and they're finding other ways. We'll get it The key
- 13:43Speaker 8: theme I think is people remember what happened in twenty
- 13:46Speaker 8: twenty two when Krudel popped at one thirty, and the
- 13:48Speaker 8: thing that led us back down was natural gas, and
- 13:51Speaker 8: that's done the same thing again this year.
- 13:53Speaker 7: It was up one hundred percent and now it's down
- 13:55Speaker 7: almost twenty percent on the air.
- 13:57Speaker 8: It's already done what I think Krudel is going to do,
- 13:59Speaker 8: and it's I've seen what's really happening in a global
- 14:01Speaker 8: basis that pricemaker status has switched from the Gulf to
- 14:06Speaker 8: the western hemishere led by the US from Canada, Venezuela
- 14:09Speaker 8: all the way down to Argentina. And that's the key
- 14:12Speaker 8: theme that's been pressuring prices forever, and that I think
- 14:15Speaker 8: is what's accelerating. I think people also realizing if natural
- 14:18Speaker 8: gas is a guy and corn guide peeking, corn pinking
- 14:22Speaker 8: and soybean pinking, this is a I think, just a
- 14:26Speaker 8: dump that it's very think, just right, a pomp that's
- 14:28Speaker 8: ready to dump again. And it's all these things predicated
- 14:32Speaker 8: on that wealth effect continuing in the US.
- 14:36Speaker 4: Okay, So there's US not gas futures, which you highlighted,
- 14:38Speaker 4: and then there's European gas futures which have not fallen
- 14:41Speaker 4: in quite the same way because they do depend on
- 14:44Speaker 4: the straight of horror moves. How is that looking at
- 14:46Speaker 4: How does that compare to what we saw in twenty
- 14:48Speaker 4: twenty two Scarlet.
- 14:50Speaker 8: It's not nearly as high, but it's the demand destruction
- 14:54Speaker 8: I'm worried about. Typically these kind of things, as you've
- 14:56Speaker 8: seen and not know as it psychological makes people cut off.
- 14:59Speaker 7: Their consumer spy, but it's actual physical.
- 15:01Speaker 8: Now prices are pumped up so much, particularly in gas,
- 15:05Speaker 8: soil and diesel in view in this country diesel, but
- 15:08Speaker 8: in the rest of the world most nobling as maybe
- 15:10Speaker 8: not so much China, so much in Europe that you
- 15:13Speaker 8: can't help but not cut your capital budgeting decisions, certainly
- 15:16Speaker 8: from a personal consumer standpoint.
- 15:19Speaker 7: And that's the stuff that's not really coming out yet.
- 15:21Speaker 8: It's one key thing that on Along pointed out in
- 15:23Speaker 8: our morning meeting our chief economists is you're not seeing
- 15:26Speaker 8: that top twenty percentile of wag journers.
- 15:27Speaker 7: Yet because the stock market's still doing well. That's why, unfortunately,
- 15:30Speaker 7: is a commodity guy.
- 15:31Speaker 8: I look at the stock markets everything now, most nobly
- 15:34Speaker 8: from things like industrial metals and even Crudel could push
- 15:36Speaker 8: things lower.
- 15:37Speaker 5: Stay with us. More from Bloomberg Intelligence coming up after this.
- 15:44Speaker 1: You're listening to the Bloomberg Intelligence podcast. Catch us live
- 15:47Speaker 1: weekdays at ten am Eastern on Applecarplay and Android Auto
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- 15:54Speaker 1: get your podcasts, or watch us live on YouTube.
- 15:57Speaker 4: I want to bring in Uma Moriarty s your investment
- 16:00Speaker 4: strategists over at Center Square and Oma. When you look
- 16:04Speaker 4: at something like long term yields remaining stuck in a
- 16:07Speaker 4: range and concerns about inflation, what does that mean for
- 16:11Speaker 4: your space for real estate?
- 16:13Speaker 9: Great to be here, and that's a great question to
- 16:16Speaker 9: start this conversation with. I think we've been talking about
- 16:19Speaker 9: the ten year treasury yield long term rates being in
- 16:22Speaker 9: this four to four and a half percent range for
- 16:24Speaker 9: several years now, and that's really because of the underlying
- 16:28Speaker 9: components of that. Right. So when I think about the
- 16:29Speaker 9: ten year treasury yield, I'm really decomposing not into three
- 16:33Speaker 9: kind of main categories, one being nominal growth, one be inflation,
- 16:37Speaker 9: and then one being the term premium. And I think
- 16:40Speaker 9: from an inflation perspective, obviously we have a little bit
- 16:42Speaker 9: of a shock here, but there have been other things
- 16:44Speaker 9: that are structurally driving inflation a little bit higher. Think
- 16:48Speaker 9: about what's happening from a deglobalization perspective. For a long time,
- 16:52Speaker 9: the US was really importing deflation as a lot of
- 16:56Speaker 9: manufacturing was happening elsewhere. But as we start to think
- 16:58Speaker 9: about more nearshore on shoring, this deglobalization phenomenon, that's going
- 17:03Speaker 9: to be driving interest rates a little bit higher. AI
- 17:06Speaker 9: should be net deflationary, I think long term. But in
- 17:09Speaker 9: the meantime, we're spending a lot of capital building this out.
- 17:13Speaker 9: We've now got geopolitical conflicts as well. They are expensive,
- 17:17Speaker 9: so we have a lot of things that are driving
- 17:19Speaker 9: up the deficit, for example, driving into that term premium
- 17:22Speaker 9: as well, and so all these things really compounding is
- 17:25Speaker 9: creating this ten year treasure yield, which is somewhat range found.
- 17:28Speaker 9: When we think about this from the real state perspective,
- 17:31Speaker 9: I think it really helps to underscore the fact that
- 17:33Speaker 9: we are in a new interest rate era right and
- 17:36Speaker 9: real estate really has to think about operating in this
- 17:39Speaker 9: new regime. For a long time, a lot of real
- 17:42Speaker 9: estate owners and operators were really hesitant to accept the
- 17:45Speaker 9: fact that we were structurally in a higher interest rate
- 17:48Speaker 9: phenomenon this period. Now that we've had kind of consistent
- 17:53Speaker 9: couple years of remaining in this range, I think you're
- 17:55Speaker 9: going to get a lot more acceptance from the broader marketplace,
- 17:58Speaker 9: which should also mean that transaction activities should start to
- 18:01Speaker 9: pick back up again because that bid ask spread is
- 18:05Speaker 9: narrowing as sellers are accepting the fact that interest rates
- 18:08Speaker 9: will be higher for longer.
- 18:09Speaker 2: Here, oom my, what sectors in the real estate business
- 18:12Speaker 2: are attractive to you guys these days?
- 18:15Speaker 9: You know, from the perspective of what we're doing here
- 18:17Speaker 9: at Center Square, we're focused on a couple specific areas
- 18:21Speaker 9: where we think that demand is really strong and also
- 18:24Speaker 9: a place where supply doesn't really exist, and so that
- 18:27Speaker 9: supply demand and balance as creating really strong fundamentals. One
- 18:31Speaker 9: of those areas happens to be what we call essential
- 18:33Speaker 9: service retail. These are unanchored neighborhood shopping centers where we
- 18:38Speaker 9: just have not seen you construction. And at the same time,
- 18:40Speaker 9: retailers have really evolved between the growth of e commerce
- 18:45Speaker 9: between what happened during COVID, you've now seen retailers really
- 18:50Speaker 9: come to embrace an omni channel retail strategy where that
- 18:54Speaker 9: physical ural state footprint for them is really critical to
- 18:58Speaker 9: drive brand recognition, to really drive loyalty for their customers,
- 19:02Speaker 9: and also deliver goods at the place where the customers
- 19:05Speaker 9: want at the right time. And so from that perspective,
- 19:08Speaker 9: we're really seeing retailed real estate getting a moment in
- 19:11Speaker 9: the sun. Here another great area from a supply demand
- 19:14Speaker 9: and balanced perspective, we see really a senior housing. A
- 19:17Speaker 9: lot of the senior housing space, especially within listed real
- 19:20Speaker 9: estate space, is really compelling today. The healthcare sector has
- 19:24Speaker 9: had a bit of a pullback in the last couple
- 19:25Speaker 9: of days, and so that's an interesting opportunity for investors.
- 19:28Speaker 9: Maybe add in a little bit there, and then it
- 19:31Speaker 9: would be we'remiss to not mention an area like data
- 19:33Speaker 9: centers within the real state space that's saying so much
- 19:36Speaker 9: demand that is somewhat insatiable as we continue to build
- 19:40Speaker 9: out not only AI, but really just the global digitalization
- 19:44Speaker 9: that we're seeing across companies across the board.
- 19:47Speaker 4: Yeah, that is a secular growth story on its own
- 19:49Speaker 4: that's kind of separate from everything else. What about residential
- 19:53Speaker 4: and here I'm really focused on multifamily because that's where
- 19:56Speaker 4: a lot of the institutional money has been that's.
- 19:59Speaker 9: A great question. The multifamily is an area where I
- 20:01Speaker 9: think there's a little bit of a mismatch from a
- 20:03Speaker 9: valuation perspective between the public markets versus the private markets.
- 20:07Speaker 9: If you take a big step back, really, what's happening
- 20:09Speaker 9: from a multi family perspective is that over the last
- 20:12Speaker 9: couple of years, we've had an enormous amount of supply
- 20:15Speaker 9: that has delivered into the marketplace, and we're still absorbing
- 20:19Speaker 9: that supply. But one of the things that really shifted
- 20:21Speaker 9: last year was that demand became a big question mark.
- 20:24Speaker 9: We've really shut off immigration as a demand driver for multifamily,
- 20:28Speaker 9: and we've also had a bit of a question mark
- 20:30Speaker 9: in terms of what's happening from a labor growth perspective,
- 20:33Speaker 9: both in terms of companies really trying to maintain their
- 20:37Speaker 9: margins as we see inflation picking back up again, but
- 20:41Speaker 9: also in terms of what AI means for the workforce.
- 20:43Speaker 7: Right.
- 20:44Speaker 9: So, I think from a labor market perspective, we've seen
- 20:47Speaker 9: this malaise, which also means that demand for new multi
- 20:50Speaker 9: family renters is a little bit low. You've heard a
- 20:53Speaker 9: lot about college grads having a hard time finding new jobs.
- 20:56Speaker 9: I mean they are graduating in the spray and coming
- 20:58Speaker 9: into the rental marketplace, and so there are a lot
- 21:01Speaker 9: of question marks from a demand perspective. Meantime, supply still
- 21:05Speaker 9: keeps coming right, and so the listed real estate market
- 21:08Speaker 9: has really discounted what's happening here from a fundamental perspective,
- 21:11Speaker 9: and so you're seeing the listed reads trading on a
- 21:14Speaker 9: pretty material discount to what you're seeing in the private marketplace.
- 21:17Speaker 9: And so if I'm thinking about deploying new capital today
- 21:19Speaker 9: and multifamily, I'm really doing that in the listed real
- 21:23Speaker 9: estate space if I'm deploying equity. But what's really interesting
- 21:26Speaker 9: in the private markets is that you are seeing a
- 21:28Speaker 9: lot of existing capital stacks for multifamily, for really great assets,
- 21:34Speaker 9: but that have a hiccup from an operational perspective because
- 21:37Speaker 9: of the supply demand mismatch that really just needs a
- 21:40Speaker 9: little bit of structured capital to get to the other side.
- 21:43Speaker 9: And so when we're thinking about deploying capital and multifamily
- 21:46Speaker 9: in the private markets, that's really through kind of a
- 21:48Speaker 9: structured equity pref equity space within the capital stack to
- 21:52Speaker 9: provide a little bit more risk protection for us and
- 21:56Speaker 9: the capital stacks there, and if we're looking at deploying equity,
- 22:00Speaker 9: really doing that through the listed rule state marketplace, where
- 22:03Speaker 9: we do see the reads are being discounted for the
- 22:06Speaker 9: supply demand mismatch. That's creating a bit of a hiccup
- 22:09Speaker 9: from an operational perspective for the sector right now.
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