Latest / Earn Your Leisure / The Stock Market's Record Breaking Quarter: What To Do if You Missed Out
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- 1:51Speaker 2: So what advice would you get to anyone who missed
- 1:53Speaker 2: out on this record breaking quarter that we just finished.
- 1:57Speaker 3: Number one, I think you need to remember that the market,
- 2:00Speaker 3: especially the S and P five hundred, is permanently rid
- 2:03Speaker 3: to stay up. People always ask me is their market
- 2:06Speaker 3: manipulation going on? And I say yes every single day,
- 2:09Speaker 3: especially when it comes to SMPN N as that because it's
- 2:11Speaker 3: the main two index that we're putting money into.
- 2:15Speaker 2: Number two. Decide how much money you're going to put in.
- 2:17Speaker 3: Every month, whether that's to fifty five hundred one thousand,
- 2:20Speaker 3: two thousand or more per month, and then thirdly block
- 2:24Speaker 3: out a lot of the negative news around crashes the
- 2:28Speaker 3: market falling apart. Like if the market does crash, great,
- 2:33Speaker 3: it's a better buying opportunity. But I think sometimes here
- 2:36Speaker 3: like robber Kiyassak and people that are like dooming gloomers,
- 2:41Speaker 3: it will cost people not to dollar cost average in
- 2:44Speaker 3: every month, and then you look up the quarter ends
- 2:47Speaker 3: and then you're like, we had a record month, but
- 2:49Speaker 3: not enough shares were bought.
- 2:51Speaker 2: If you look we started at four to sixty six.
- 2:56Speaker 3: And now we're at fifty three oh four on a
- 2:59Speaker 3: S and P few, You're like, that's incredible growth for
- 3:03Speaker 3: the S and P five hundreds. So make sure to
- 3:05Speaker 3: buy every month, no matter what anyone else is saying,
- 3:08Speaker 3: because if nothing else, the S and P is not
- 3:09Speaker 3: gonna crash.
- 3:10Speaker 2: And then so you're going to see it all over
- 3:11Speaker 2: the news. It'll be on Steven A.
- 3:12Speaker 3: Smith, Pat mcabee, ABC, Oprah, gonna talk about like special news.
- 3:17Speaker 3: You'll see it everywhere. But I think one of the
- 3:20Speaker 3: things that we forget is that they'll tell us to
- 3:22Speaker 3: buy everything else on sale, but assets to really matter
- 3:27Speaker 3: so it can continue to buy every single month.
- 3:30Speaker 2: Amazing quarter.
- 3:31Speaker 3: For those of you who've been traded it and holding
- 3:33Speaker 3: the long term, congrats, But we've had a record run up.
- 3:36Speaker 3: I mean even if if you go back to twenty
- 3:39Speaker 3: back to October, I mean, there's a thirty six oh
- 3:42Speaker 3: four in October of twenty two.
- 3:45Speaker 2: Now we're fifty three oh four for an index fund
- 3:49Speaker 2: hope for the long term.
- 3:51Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm gonna add more color to this because this
- 3:53Speaker 1: is interesting if we want to like peel back a
- 3:56Speaker 1: little bit. There have been seven times in the past
- 4:00Speaker 1: since nineteen seventy five that the S and P has
- 4:03Speaker 1: gone on a five month win streak. So we just
- 4:05Speaker 1: ended March the first quarter obviously, but this has happened
- 4:08Speaker 1: seven times where it's going on a five month win
- 4:11Speaker 1: streak over twenty five percent, right, so it's increased by
- 4:15Speaker 1: twenty five percent. First time was in seventy five. What
- 4:18Speaker 1: happened twice in seventy five, happened in eighty two, happened
- 4:20Speaker 1: in eighty six, what happened in January of ninety nine,
- 4:25Speaker 1: August of two thousand and nine, April of twenty twenty,
- 4:28Speaker 1: and now March of twenty twenty four. It ended at
- 4:31Speaker 1: twenty four point six, So I guess we can count
- 4:33Speaker 1: that a seven. Now, in those seven times that that
- 4:35Speaker 1: has happened, I know people are saying missed out. I'll
- 4:38Speaker 1: use different language. I'll say that they didn't participate in
- 4:40Speaker 1: this first quarter and the seven times that it has
- 4:43Speaker 1: done that, that five month win streak, and it has
- 4:45Speaker 1: appreciated over twenty five percent in the six months following.
- 4:49Speaker 1: It's only gone down once, and so a lot of
- 4:53Speaker 1: people are, hey, it's going to pull back. Is just
- 4:55Speaker 1: time to get It's only one time and it was
- 4:58Speaker 1: like byzero point one percent. That was in nineteen eighty six.
- 5:01Speaker 1: Obviously we know what happened in nineteen eighty seven. So historically,
- 5:06Speaker 1: when we see a win streak like this and we
- 5:09Speaker 1: look at the momentum, and I'm glad we had JC
- 5:12Speaker 1: on to talk about the charge. Yeah, follow momentum, follow
- 5:15Speaker 1: the trend, block out the noise, block out the news, right,
- 5:18Speaker 1: because's now that we've hit. When we hit four months,
- 5:20Speaker 1: it was like, all right, well there's a pullback coming.
- 5:22Speaker 1: It can't happen five. Now we're at five and it's
- 5:24Speaker 1: like eyes five, it can't be six. Will it be
- 5:27Speaker 1: a pullback at some point. Sure, sure, sure, but the
- 5:31Speaker 1: fact if you didn't participate in the first three months
- 5:34Speaker 1: doesn't mean you should not participate in the second and
- 5:37Speaker 1: definitely by the end of the year. Historically, from what
- 5:40Speaker 1: the market has done six almost one hundred percent of
- 5:44Speaker 1: the time, if it's going up twenty five percent in
- 5:46Speaker 1: five month streak by the end of the year and
- 5:48Speaker 1: it's also gone.
- 5:48Speaker 3: Up absolutely Also, you can look at the inflows, which
- 5:52Speaker 3: means how much money hedge funds are putting into the
- 5:54Speaker 3: S and P five hundred. When they get to record
- 5:57Speaker 3: low outflows, that's a good time to buys for the sugget.
- 6:00Speaker 3: You can write down and buy when the outflows are
- 6:01Speaker 3: at record lows. But I mean this has been on
- 6:04Speaker 3: a tear for my traders. You can look at the
- 6:05Speaker 3: day chart, or if you aren't finding a good entry,
- 6:08Speaker 3: you can look at the hourly chart to place a
- 6:11Speaker 3: long term investment. So if the market drops tremendously on
- 6:15Speaker 3: a one hour chart, you can then get in and
- 6:17Speaker 3: then buy it for a long term. But I think
- 6:19Speaker 3: it's a huge mistake to think that the S and
- 6:21Speaker 3: P five hundred is going to fall apart, and even
- 6:24Speaker 3: when it has fallen twenty twenty five percent. The returns
- 6:27Speaker 3: over the next four or five years have been absolutely tremendous,
- 6:31Speaker 3: even since.
- 6:31Speaker 2: We started the show.
- 6:33Speaker 3: Like if we look where we were at in twenty twenty,
- 6:35Speaker 3: it was a spy was at two twenty.
- 6:38Speaker 2: It's now a five to twenty three for an index. Fine, yeah, yeah, And.
- 6:46Speaker 1: Just by sector, I'll read off the year of the date, right,
- 6:48Speaker 1: communication services it leads aways up fifteen percent, Technologies up
- 6:52Speaker 1: twelve percent, Energy is up eleven percent, Financials up eleven percent,
- 6:56Speaker 1: even with interest rates where they are.
- 6:57Speaker 2: Financials is up eleven percent. Industrials are up ten percent.
- 7:01Speaker 1: But the sector we talk about, and we spoke about
- 7:03Speaker 1: it over the past month maybe two months, and I
- 7:05Speaker 1: know you talk about all the time, and is healthcare,
- 7:07Speaker 1: and that's single bit is that's up eight percent.
- 7:10Speaker 2: Yeah, But there is a sector.
- 7:11Speaker 1: Which I think definitely with interest rates coming down over
- 7:16Speaker 1: the next six to eight months, right the Feds saying
- 7:19Speaker 1: that they're going to bring rights down, real estate. That
- 7:23Speaker 1: sector is off by three percent in the first three
- 7:26Speaker 1: months of this year, the first quarter. So if you're
- 7:28Speaker 1: looking at conditions lower interest rates. We've talked about a
- 7:32Speaker 1: home buying crisis with a home building crisis with Don Peebles.
- 7:38Speaker 1: They're starting to see some indicators that this might be
- 7:42Speaker 1: an area that, hey, if we're not looking at it,
- 7:44Speaker 1: and especially if we looked at all these other sectors,
- 7:46Speaker 1: that there might be some growth ahead.
- 7:48Speaker 3: I would keep it out on real estate. Yeah, agree,
- 7:52Speaker 3: one thousand percent. Hope for the long term. I don't
- 7:55Speaker 3: know how to say it any simpler. If we keep
- 7:58Speaker 3: at this pace, the we should end around we want.
- 8:02Speaker 2: Second, you're about to raise a price target for the
- 8:05Speaker 2: sm B.
- 8:06Speaker 3: Yeah, I gotta go on to five fifty three. I mean,
- 8:12Speaker 3: and listen an election that's coming up. You need every
- 8:15Speaker 3: advantage to be able to win. We'll talk about Trumping
- 8:19Speaker 3: a little bit and his financial thing that he's doing
- 8:22Speaker 3: with the stock.
- 8:22Speaker 2: But you need everything going in your favor.
- 8:25Speaker 3: So if the overall economy is slowing down for the
- 8:28Speaker 3: regular person, you at least need the stock market to
- 8:31Speaker 3: be going up so people can look at their retirement
- 8:33Speaker 3: and have like a semblance of safety.
- 8:37Speaker 2: So you continue to hold for the long term because in.
- 8:39Speaker 3: Four years we may be talking about S and P
- 8:41Speaker 3: being that a thousand, which is crazy.
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