Latest / INSIGHT TODAY / Why are Germans rejecting mainstream parties
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: On the day after an unprecedented state election disaster for
- 0:03Speaker 1: the German Chancellor's Conservative Party, Chancellor Merz is vowing to
- 0:07Speaker 1: stay in office. On Sunday, the Conservative CDU party suffered
- 0:10Speaker 1: defeats in two state elections. On Sunday, in the state
- 0:14Speaker 1: of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the far-right AFD enjoyed another strong showing.
- 0:20Speaker 1: And here in Berlin, it was the far-left Left Party
- 0:23Speaker 1: that won the most votes. Sunday brings the total state
- 0:26Speaker 1: election losses for the Chancellor's party this month to three.
- 0:30Speaker 1: We have more in this report.
- 0:32Speaker 2: A double blow for German Chancellor Friedrich Merz. Two state elections,
- 0:37Speaker 2: two very different winners, and both of them a verdict
- 0:40Speaker 2: on him. In Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the far-right AfD won over
- 0:45Speaker 2: 38 percent, its second victory in state elections in two weeks.
- 0:50Speaker 2: Merz's center-right CDU took just 4.9 percent, its worst-ever result
- 0:55Speaker 2: on the state and short of the 5 percent threshold
- 0:58Speaker 2: required to get back into the state parliament. Taking stock
- 1:01Speaker 2: on Monday, the chancellor recognized the serious blow to his party.
- 1:07Speaker 3: This election marks a major turning point. It is a
- 1:10Speaker 3: dramatic and unprecedented result for the CDU in Germany. It's
- 1:15Speaker 3: a devastating signal for the CDU and that's why the
- 1:18Speaker 3: Chancellor won't make it to the end of the year.
- 1:20Speaker 4: The Chancellor's twilight has begun.
- 1:21Speaker 3: In Berlin, voters swung the other way.
- 1:23Speaker 4: The far-left-left party.
- 1:24Speaker 2: Won with 25.7 percent, pushing the CDU out of government.
- 1:34Speaker 2: They're set to lead the Berlin Senate for the first time.
- 1:38Speaker 2: The left party, too, is taking the results as a
- 1:40Speaker 2: signal to the federal government. Friedrich Merz must see this,
- 1:45Speaker 2: the CDU must see it and the SPD, too. The
- 1:47Speaker 2: policy of social cuts must come to an end. The
- 1:50Speaker 2: important thing is there is a policy shift underway. The
- 1:53Speaker 2: government must recognize that. Otherwise, they'll pay an even higher price.
- 1:58Speaker 2: Pressure is also mounting on Chancellor Merz from within his
- 2:01Speaker 2: own camp. But alternative leadership candidates are scarce.
- 2:05Speaker 4: So we have a weakened chancellor, but a chancellor who
- 2:08Speaker 4: wants to continue, especially with very unpopular reforms.
- 2:14Speaker 3: Our coalition has made some real progress over the past
- 2:17Speaker 3: 16 months. We know that this isn't enough yet, that
- 2:20Speaker 3: we face major problems gaining public support, and that we
- 2:23Speaker 3: are no longer reaching significant segments of the population. In
- 2:29Speaker 3: this regard, I would like to talk to the Social
- 2:31Speaker 3: Democrats about how we can work together. But I believe
- 2:34Speaker 3: it is the right thing for us to continue working together.
- 2:37Speaker 2: Both election winners came from the fringes. In both states,
- 2:41Speaker 2: the parties of the political center lost ground, revealing an
- 2:44Speaker 2: increasingly polarized Germany.
- 2:46Speaker 4: This started with the AfD and now we see that
- 2:51Speaker 4: the other parties react to this polarization differently. Not only ideologically,
- 2:56Speaker 4: but we have especially what we call effective polarization because sentiments,
- 3:01Speaker 4: emotions are much stronger.
- 3:04Speaker 2: The dismal results could put pressure on the CDU to
- 3:06Speaker 2: start looking for a new chancellor. For now, Friedrich Merz
- 3:10Speaker 2: says he's determined to finish the job.
- 3:13Speaker 1: All right, I want to bring in our political correspondent
- 3:16Speaker 1: Hans Brandt. He was with us last night covering these elections. Hans,
- 3:20Speaker 1: we have two regional elections in Germany, the far right
- 3:24Speaker 1: winning one, the far left winning the other. What happened
- 3:29Speaker 1: or what has happened to Germany's big tent centrist political parties?
- 3:35Speaker 5: Yes, indeed. The centre cannot hold, you could say. People,
- 3:40Speaker 5: voters are very concerned about their future. They feel insecure.
- 3:44Speaker 5: They feel dissatisfied with the policies of the government, of
- 3:49Speaker 5: the centrist parties, the governing coalition of the Christian Democrats
- 3:52Speaker 5: and the Social Democrats. There is a war going on
- 3:56Speaker 5: in Ukraine. Russian aggression against Ukraine has been going on
- 4:00Speaker 5: for about four years, not more than about 2,000 kilometres
- 4:05Speaker 5: east of here. There is a war going on in Iran.
- 4:09Speaker 5: Prices are rising across the board. So people are feeling
- 4:13Speaker 5: very insecure. And in this kind of situation, we've seen
- 4:17Speaker 5: this elsewhere in the world, in the United States as well,
- 4:20Speaker 5: people tend to go for.
- 4:23Speaker 5: Political offerings that seem to offer clearer answers, that seem
- 4:28Speaker 5: to speak a clearer language, that seem to offer easy solutions.
- 4:32Speaker 5: And in Germany, that means right-wing or left-wing parties.
- 4:37Speaker 1: Chancellor Merz's conservative CDU party did miserably last night, putting
- 4:42Speaker 1: it that way. For the first time in post-war German history,
- 4:46Speaker 1: the CDU does not have enough votes to get a
- 4:49Speaker 1: single seat in a state parliament. Can the chancellor, with
- 4:54Speaker 1: all of this happening on his watch, can he survive this?
- 4:59Speaker 5: That's a big question. He really is under a lot
- 5:01Speaker 5: of pressure. He said himself that the result was a disaster.
- 5:04Speaker 5: And he spoke of what he now regards as a
- 5:07Speaker 5: fact that his conservative party is no longer a party
- 5:11Speaker 5: with a broad base across the population, no longer what
- 5:14Speaker 5: in Germany is called a Volkspartei, a people's party. So
- 5:19Speaker 5: he is very clear about, very, very surgical about the
- 5:24Speaker 5: way he talks about this himself. He has said that
- 5:29Speaker 5: he wants to continue as chancellor. He wants to continue
- 5:32Speaker 5: as chairperson of this party, of the conservatives. He wants
- 5:35Speaker 5: to finish the job of bringing new reforms to Germany's
- 5:41Speaker 5: social security system. And at the moment, there is nobody
- 5:45Speaker 5: openly in his party saying, planning his downfall, although there
- 5:50Speaker 5: have been sections in various regions that have openly criticized him.
- 5:55Speaker 5: But there have been secret meetings of top leadership without
- 5:59Speaker 5: including Mautz, so his position certainly is not secure at
- 6:03Speaker 5: the moment.
- 6:04Speaker 1: Here in Berlin, the Conservatives lost the election to the
- 6:08Speaker 1: far-left Left Party. Now, this means that the next mayor
- 6:12Speaker 1: of Berlin could be from the Left Party. That would
- 6:15Speaker 1: be a first. What are the implications of that?
- 6:20Speaker 5: Yes, indeed. It wouldn't be the first time that the
- 6:22Speaker 5: left party is part of a government here. They have
- 6:24Speaker 5: been part of governing coalitions here in the past, but
- 6:27Speaker 5: it would be the first time that they would have
- 6:30Speaker 5: a mayor and it would also be the first time
- 6:33Speaker 5: that a woman would be mayor, a woman president. who
- 6:36Speaker 5: speaks Turkish from a Turkish background, that would also be
- 6:40Speaker 5: a first. And, of course, the policies that this party
- 6:43Speaker 5: proposes would also potentially change the face of Berlin quite substantially.
- 6:48Speaker 5: But that is not secure at all at the moment.
- 6:52Speaker 5: The left party still has to form a coalition with
- 6:54Speaker 5: the environmentalist Greens and with the Social Democrats. Both of
- 6:58Speaker 5: those parties are basically prepared for such a coalition, but
- 7:02Speaker 5: they are not entirely agreed on the policies that the
- 7:06Speaker 5: left party proposes, especially on housing, where the left party
- 7:09Speaker 5: has said that it wants to expropriate housing. tens of
- 7:13Speaker 5: thousands of apartments in Berlin in order to ease the
- 7:16Speaker 5: housing crisis. The other two left-wing, also left parties, are
- 7:20Speaker 5: not really that convinced of that proposal. And also there
- 7:25Speaker 5: are questions about anti-Semitism within the left party that also
- 7:29Speaker 5: would need to be cleared up.
- 7:31Speaker 1: And I want to ask you about the far right party,
- 7:33Speaker 1: the AFD as well, Hans. The party had a very
- 7:37Speaker 1: strong showing last night in the state of Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania.
- 7:40Speaker 1: That's just two weeks after basically winning the election in
- 7:43Speaker 1: the state of Saxony-Anhalt. How significant is this basically this
- 7:50Speaker 1: going from strength to strength for the far right party
- 7:52Speaker 1: in Germany?
- 7:55Speaker 5: It's very significant. It shows how strong the party has become.
- 7:58Speaker 5: You have to say that both of these states we're
- 8:00Speaker 5: talking about are in the eastern part of Germany, in
- 8:03Speaker 5: former communist part of Germany, where protest votes have become
- 8:08Speaker 5: ingrained in the last few years. Also regions where there
- 8:11Speaker 5: are fewer voters, regions that are older, that are less well-educated,
- 8:16Speaker 5: that are less diverse. But if you look at the polls,
- 8:20Speaker 5: general polls in the last few weeks and months, The
- 8:23Speaker 5: AfD is now the strongest party across Germany, according to
- 8:27Speaker 5: those opinion polls, well over 20 percent. So it has
- 8:31Speaker 5: become a party with a broad popular base in contrast
- 8:35Speaker 5: to the Christian Democrats, in contrast to the conservatives. It's
- 8:39Speaker 5: a problem for political parties across the spectrum in Germany.
- 8:43Speaker 1: Our political correspondent Hans Brandt on the story for us tonight. Hans,
- 8:47Speaker 1: as always, thank you.