Latest / The Curve / RTC18: How to invest if you have short-term money goals
Transcript
- 0:00Welcome to season two of Raising the Curve, a conversation for women who want to
- 0:06learn more about money, via money. For the future they want to have. The pursuit
- 0:11for financial confidence and increasing your wealth should be a simple one. So
- 0:16this is a place for you to learn about investing in finance in a non-scary or
- 0:20intimidating way. Thank you for being here and for listening. Because together we
- 0:25really can raise the curve. I'm scared about this episode and it's because of
- 0:30seeing the title, Capital Preservation. Oh my god, it sounds foreign language.
- 0:35It's not just sounds very boring. Well, let's try and make it lighthearted and fun.
- 0:40I'm fine at seeing you. Okay. So I'm going to start with the question. So if you had a
- 0:45thousand dollars invested and your investment fell by 25%, how much would you
- 0:51have? How much did I have? $750. Nice. So now you have $750. What percentage does
- 1:04that investment now have to increase to to get back to a thousand dollars? I was in
- 1:09the alternative math class. So this is not a question I feel comfortable
- 1:14answering. You're trying to give me the answers by like writing it in the air. You
- 1:20know that I'm facing the opposite way, do you? 25%. No, but that's what a lot of
- 1:26people think. You know, if I, if I, oh wait, because 25% of $750. It's not 100. But
- 1:34people think, okay, cool. I've started with a thousand and it's 425. So to get it back
- 1:37up there, I just need to grow by 25 again, but it doesn't. Because you're coming off a
- 1:42smaller base, you need to grow by over 30%. Wow. So this is why capital
- 1:50preservation is, is, is really important at an insert in types of investment
- 1:54strategies. The less you fall, the less you have to make up again. Yes, exactly. So
- 1:59people think, hey, well, if it's 425%, then it's going to be 25% to get back up. But
- 2:03it's not. It's actually a bigger climb, even though the fall is less, if that makes
- 2:08sense. So the less you can fall, the less you have to climb back up. So there's an analogy
- 2:12that we're using industry. It's like stocks always take the elevator down, but the stairs up.
- 2:18And if you see any corrections, like Ella COVID. Ella? Ella COVID. Yeah. We'll go with that. Yeah.
- 2:25So COVID took all of the stocks down in the elevator. Yes. Any charts they go, you're going up
- 2:30stairs and you go down the elevator and then now the climb back up the stairs. And now they're up
- 2:34above where they were previously. But I guess what I'm saying is that don't just think because
- 2:39your stocks have fallen or your investments fall in 25% that it's going to take 25% to get back
- 2:43to where you were. So the more you can try and preserve your capital, then the more it can grow.
- 2:49This means that the lesser investments fall, the less they have to increase again. Does that
- 2:54kind of make sense? You just want to stay at the top of the hill. Yes. You want to say don't,
- 2:59don't fall down the hill. Easy said thing done. But look, I know I've given you a lot of
- 3:04ships about keeping your money in the bank, but it's still on there. But this episode is all
- 3:11around having a more low risk investment strategy. So you're preserving your capital,
- 3:16rather than growing your capital. But I thought the whole point was because I'm 30 and I've got
- 3:21a long time horizon and I can invest for the long term that I'm better to go risky. Yes.
- 3:26Yes, you are. So the younger time horizon, the more risk you can take, therefore invest in
- 3:31riskier assets or invest in more riskier shares. But what we're talking about today is that say you
- 3:38want to buy a car in two years' time. You're going to take more of a capital preservation approach
- 3:43or a lower risk approach. So we're just talking about different investing strategies.
- 3:47So this is kind of an episode one when we briefly touch on the idea of having different
- 3:51investing goals and you might have different investing buckets. Yes. So it might be say I had a
- 3:56short-term goal of buying a car or paying for a wedding. Yeah, need a boyfriend first, but
- 4:02then you know I think the discussion from the day of you don't want to be interested.
- 4:07It's like we love because we all live true. It's got a date today though.
- 4:13I just knew driving it that that was going to come up in today's episode.
- 4:25It's a part of a day guy like a book. Oh gosh. You look hot though, you know. I've got a
- 4:30spray tin. You're looking fire. Thanks. Okay, so. So yeah, I know I give you shit about keeping
- 4:37running the bank and that's but that's fine. A lot of people have a portion of their portfolio
- 4:43with a capital preservation approach. So a lower risk approach and a larger portion and more high
- 4:47risk because we're younger, we should have a greater skew to more of a higher risk approach. But
- 4:54if your investing goal is shorter than five years or if you're older and you have only
- 5:02less than five years into retirement, then you're going to be more taking more conservative
- 5:06approach and taking more of a capital preservation approach rather than the opposite, which is a
- 5:12capital appreciation approach. Capital appreciation is essentially knowing that it's going to fall
- 5:19probably quite a bit in the short term, right? And that then in the long term, it's going to
- 5:23like climate's way back. Capital appreciation. Yes. Yeah. So if we looked at say if we took an
- 5:29example, so say you had $10,000 and you needed this in two years time, which in the scheme of things
- 5:35is short term. So you had a goal of you want to buy a car or go overseas. Then if you put that in
- 5:41a term deposit, right now, they're kind of about 2% less than 2% per year. So ANZ is like 1.85%
- 5:50per year at the moment, which is pretty low than after two. Why bother? Honestly, I remember
- 5:56it's like calling you and being like, Hey, I'm thinking of a term deposit. You should have just
- 6:00been like, absolutely not. I thought I sounded quite smart, being like, I know what a term deposit
- 6:06is. I mean, for some people, it's great. They're defensive, stable, low risk. But at the end of
- 6:12that two years, you're only going to have like $10,300. So you're going to have very, very low,
- 6:17you know, you would have only made $3 to $400 on your investment after two years. Whereas if you
- 6:22invested in the stock market, so the ANZX50, the New Zealand stock market. I know what that is now.
- 6:28Why that? Listen to season episode two. Listen to episode two.
- 6:32Then last year, the market was up 11%. But this year, so far, it's down 4%. So,
- 6:40this is what I mean, but it's increased risk, increased volatility. And if you're worried about
- 6:45preserving your capital, not growing it, then you might not want to take that extra risk.
- 6:52And you at the end of that period, you'd have $10,600. So you should have a bit more,
- 6:57but you could be sitting on the edge of your seat going, oh my gosh, oh my gosh, please,
- 7:00don't go down any further because you can't afford it. Yeah. So it's balancing up what is
- 7:05your investing goal? And if it's shorter term, maybe take more of a capital preservation approach.
- 7:11If it's longer term, then you can take more risk. So it's just a different, different investing
- 7:17strategy. It's kind of like capital preservation is the goalie on a soccer field. And capital
- 7:24appreciation or growing your portfolio investment is the rest of the team. So I'm in charge of the
- 7:30goal nobody can get in. And so it's kind of taking that that approach of protecting what you've
- 7:36got. Do you think it's rather an offence? Yes. Yeah, slam dunk. Got it. We shouldn't have a
- 7:43use for this analogy. So yeah, if you're time rising as shorter, then you might be a goalie instead
- 7:49of a team player. Exactly. Exactly. So how do you figure out what you want, what bucket or how much
- 7:54to put in each with you doing appreciation or preservation? Preservation. Yeah. So it really
- 8:01comes down to your risk appetite. And we keep coming back to this and it's so subjective about what
- 8:05how much risk you want to take. But what we spoke about in episode one around depends on your
- 8:11time horizon. And with this, it's really important to define what your time horizon is. And work
- 8:17backwards. So figure out, okay, how much it might be that you want to remodel your kitchen.
- 8:21Okay, how much do I need to remodel my kitchen? Okay, you need how much do you even need to remodel
- 8:26your kitchen? I'm going to close. It's 50 grand or is it less than that? I mean, yeah, 50 grand
- 8:30would give you a very, very decent kitchen. I mean, you could do it for 20 grand, but say you wanted
- 8:35a really fancy remodeled kitchen, $50,000, then you'd work back and go, okay, I say you have 43 at
- 8:42the moment. Yes, then what do I need to achieve that 50,000? I might need to take a bit more risk
- 8:48or am I happy to just keep that 43,000 in a term deposit and not get much for it and save up the rest.
- 8:57You know, do I not want to take the risk? You've just got it's completely up to you. You just
- 9:01need to weigh up. There's so many different options though it sucks that there's not like a one-size-fits-all
- 9:06or this is the answer. Because everybody's different. You know, one-size-fits-all for you might not fit
- 9:11me. I hate it when clothes say one-size-fits-all. It's quite like it because you know it's
- 9:17being fun and it's not mean to be fun. Oh, it's begging on you. Oh, come on. You know, I am just
- 9:23milking more compliments. There is nothing worse though than being in tight jeans and feeling like
- 9:28a sausage and a casing that's too small. So I've came round to put another night. I put a
- 9:33dinner party. In the afternoon, she's like, can I just go? No, mid, midway. I feel like a sausage
- 9:39and a sausage casing. Can I borrow a spence? I went into the next wardrobe and just had to get
- 9:44changed because I was so uncomfortable. It's like anxiety-inducing being in clothes that are too tight.
- 9:49Oh, totally. You can't really hold a conversation. You can't focus. You think everyone's looking at you.
- 9:53And you get winded. I swear it's like it's like cutting into all your organs. Yeah.
- 9:57Sorry, but I've taken it way off track. I can't remember. My fault as well. Something about, oh,
- 10:03it's annoying that you don't have like a one-size-fits-all. No. And you can't, with investing,
- 10:08you know, some people might get frustrated if I don't give you correct answers on things,
- 10:13but it totally depends on your situation, what you're investing in, what you're,
- 10:18what your risk tolerance is. There's just so many different factors when it comes to,
- 10:23we're all individuals. So therefore, no two portfolios are going to look the same.
- 10:29And we need to figure out what our goals are and work back from there. If we've got a 30-year
- 10:33goal, we work back from there. We've got a two-year goal. We work back from there. And it's all about
- 10:38putting those, you know, processes and goals and targets in place so that you can, you can get it.
- 10:45Make a plan from there. Yeah. And not be like, oh shit, I'm 64 and I need to start saving from
- 10:49our retirement. You know, you want to start that now? Let's get out of it. Well, we're supposed to
- 10:55be doing it in my chest. Yes. So with capital preservation, would it be most important with short-term
- 11:03goals? Yes. Yes. So if you're trying to have a financial goal around five years or less,
- 11:10or you're trying to, yeah, you've got a time horizon goal that's just in five years or you've got
- 11:14a dollar figure goal that's less than five years. So say you wanted to get to 10,000 or you just
- 11:20like, look, I want to take this all out in five years. And the reason is because there's
- 11:26volatility within, say, if you're in shares, that you may have two or five bad years. And therefore,
- 11:33if you're really needing X amount of money, you can't afford to weather the volatility. Exactly.
- 11:38And we've seen in episode one how if you zoom out, you know, over time, she markets go up and
- 11:45they go up to the right. So they're increasing. But if you zoom in in the short term, like I said,
- 11:51might be some shark. Yeah. You have one good year and then one bad year. And that bad year might
- 11:56be a worse year than the better year if we end up with less. And you've lost your capital. And
- 12:00you haven't preserved your capital. Exactly. One other thing though, it's really important with
- 12:06capital preservation is to at least get some return because of inflation. This is why my money
- 12:12in the back is a terrible idea. Exactly. Yeah. Because inflation is eating away, you'll
- 12:16purchasing power. So you may have a hundred dollars in there and then in 12 months time, you
- 12:21might have a hundred dollars in there and be able to buy X amount of groceries without a hundred
- 12:25dollars in 12 months time. That hundred dollars is going to be able to buy you less groceries
- 12:29because they're more expensive. Well inflation ever go to deflation? Possibly. Yeah. Yeah. If we
- 12:35would be so good. Not really. No. It's not good for stimulating the economy and in growth.
- 12:43And it's usually when the world is not in a good place. But yeah. So. So that was so selfish,
- 12:51wasn't it? Yeah. I just want more money so that I can buy more things. You've got to think about
- 12:54number one. I take it back. I don't want the world to go backwards. Yeah. So it's just all around
- 13:00playing it a bit more safe. The opposite of risk it to get the biscuit. What should we call that?
- 13:04Capital preservation. What the title of the episode is called?
- 13:11Oh, really sinking in. Really listen to everything I just see. No, I am getting it.
- 13:17But there is there is actually if you wanted to get both, there is a way to get both and that's if
- 13:22you gave your money to an active fund manager. So we talk about fund managers and we throw them
- 13:28around, you know, we talk about fund managers in general, but there's actually two buckets. There's
- 13:32these kind of passive fund managers and active fund managers. Now an active fund manager is
- 13:36someone that's literally sitting there. It's what I do. You're literally sitting there and they're
- 13:40actively trying to preserve your capital and grow your capital at the same time. So they should
- 13:44do both. You're so clever. Just loving all these compliments. Great. So they're constantly trading,
- 13:52they're checking market indicators, they're monitoring a whole lot of things to try and make sure
- 13:58they're growing your portfolio. I think you should not be so humble. We are doing this. We are
- 14:02doing this. So to make sure that you get the best return because the less you fall, the less you
- 14:09have to climb up. So that's what they're constantly doing. So that's why you pay them a fee to be in
- 14:14there constantly trying to grow your investment as much as they can to beat the market or to do better
- 14:22than the index like we talked about in the previous episode. So what's a passive fund manager?
- 14:26So a passive fund manager. So that's where they just follow the index. So they're just investing
- 14:32in these and P500 and no matter what that index does, your money will do. So they're not worried
- 14:37about capital preservation. No, it's literally just going to mirror the market. They're not trying to
- 14:43jump in and jump out and trade around timing the market, timing the market. No, they're very much
- 14:50just. What are they even doing? I feel like they don't deserve it. But you tell them. But I mean,
- 14:56if you're just following along, sure. Well, that's why you pay like minimal, minimal fees because
- 15:01it's pretty much computers and they're not really doing much to be honest. And some people just don't
- 15:05mind that. Some investors just want access to the US or they just want access to Europe or Asia and
- 15:10they just will buy the index through an ETF, which is an exchange traded fund. Which is a bundle
- 15:18of lots of different shares and lots of different areas. So it's very good for diversification.
- 15:25Such a good student. A plus student. And so that's why if you're choosing an active manager or
- 15:32passive manager, you just look at the fees because passive managers should not be charging large fees
- 15:37because they're, you're right, they're not doing a lot. So you're not, they're not taking too much
- 15:42of a return because so like as in the fees are less and therefore your return might be higher.
- 15:49Yes. So it depends how the index performs. But with an active manager, there are bad active managers.
- 15:56So you give your bad. Are you bad? I mean, I have my days. If anyone has ever used Victoria before
- 16:02and she's been disappointing, please get into. Please let us know. No, please don't. Surely you
- 16:07wouldn't have a job if you were bad. If you have, you always have bad periods where it's a month,
- 16:12six month, a year. But if you're consistently bad, then you're not going to get money. People aren't
- 16:17going to invest with you. Therefore you've really got no business or no fund. Whereas if you're
- 16:22consistently good and you consistently beat the market, which is what we call about, you know, doing
- 16:29better than the market or doing better than the passive investors, then you're going to be the
- 16:34fund manager that people want to invest with. That's so cool. Yeah. And so people would Google
- 16:38different fund managers and see what they've. Yes. So you need to look at their long-term
- 16:42performance because you want that consistency in that ability. When I Google you. Well, I'm not
- 16:47a fund manager. I'm not a fund manager. I'm not a fund manager. I'm a portfolio manager.
- 16:57Ad a fund manager. Okay. Yeah. So I did come up with some stuff. All the curve. No, actually.
- 17:05So amazing. Devon funds, here we go. So essentially you can do your research though to find out
- 17:12yes. Wow, your face is big. Look at that. Oh, that is your first. That's your top Google search
- 17:21page. Wow. Look at that. It's like you're coming out of the computer screen. Yeah. So active
- 17:29fund managers, they do charge you a higher fee. So it's really important to make sure that you're
- 17:33looking after fees performance because then that'll give you a good indication of whether that
- 17:39fund manager is actually doing a good job for you. And look at it in relation to the index
- 17:43performance or the benchmark of what they call it. If the fund manager, the active fund manager,
- 17:49you still giggling me. Actually, she just bought a top online and I had to reply saying sold
- 17:55transfer. It was tie-dye. It was cool. I really didn't want to start. I'm so sorry. I'm concentrating
- 18:01now. Are you? You know, I promise. I'm back. Here I am. So as I was saying, which is much
- 18:08interesting than online shopping, is that with active fund managers, you need to make sure that
- 18:15you're looking after fees performance because they do charge a higher fee than passive fund managers
- 18:20because they're actually doing more for you. They're not. I'm happy to pay more. If you're doing
- 18:25a good job, if you're running around and they outperform the market for me, then you want to be
- 18:29but that's the key thing. They have to be outperforming the market for you. Otherwise,
- 18:34you're just paying them for doing nothing, doing nothing. So if they are consistently underperforming
- 18:38the market, how do you measure that? So you just they should have a benchmark that they a benchmark
- 18:43themselves against, which would be the NZX50, for example, or the S&P500. And so would that be say,
- 18:49for that year, the S&P500 went up 7% say, and your return went up 6%, so it didn't beat the market.
- 18:58Yeah. So if that was after fees, you got 6%, then you'd be like, hang on a sec. Why am I paying you to...
- 19:03When you're doing worse than that? When I could just invest passively and get 7%.
- 19:08And that's fine. If it's like, it's fine managers usually have off years or off months,
- 19:13that's why it's really important to look at the most historical performance that you can get.
- 19:17So amount, so amount, so amount, so amount. Always amount. If they've constantly done that,
- 19:21then that's a big red flag. I take my money out of your fund. And I won't long to a new one.
- 19:29And I drop it in the passive fund? Yeah. Or just find somebody else.
- 19:33Or find somebody else. Exactly. So it's just really important that you look at after fees as well.
- 19:36And the long-term performance. What's the difference in, say, DIY investing?
- 19:42So for example, stake, hatch, share, z's, versus using a fund manager. Is it really worth DIY
- 19:52investing in terms of you do make more and you get to keep a decent amount more returns? Or is it
- 19:57much of a muchness? It completely depends what you invest in. You might invest in handful of stocks
- 20:03that you think are really interesting. I might invest in handful that I think are really interesting.
- 20:07They're going to be completely different stocks. So therefore, you're not going to know who's doing
- 20:10better. What I mean is there is benefit in learning how to do it yourself.
- 20:17Totally. Because that margin that you would lose by going through somebody else is worth keeping
- 20:23if you can. Yeah, it depends. I mean, I do both. I give some of my money to someone else to look
- 20:29after. And then I also do some myself because it's diversification. So DIY investing and using
- 20:35the platforms that are available are great because it's a great way to learn. And you can invest
- 20:40in the companies you want and you can pick and choose. You can get in and out when you want.
- 20:45There's more liquidity I guess, right? Because you can pull it straight out if you want. Exactly.
- 20:49Whereas with a fund manager, you give your money to a fund manager. It's like on a ship to
- 20:54England that takes six weeks. You can't just be there in a second. It's a lot slower.
- 21:00I mean, it's got a lot quicker, but you can't keep withdrawing and depositing because they
- 21:07get frustrated because they please leave. Can I get $5 out because I need five coffee?
- 21:13Absolutely not. Take your $1,000 and go. But it's good because you're giving it to an expert
- 21:21and you can learn a lot from them too. So they give you monthly updates and you can see what they
- 21:25invest in and why and you can use it as a research tool as well. But the key thing with a fund manager
- 21:33is that another big thing with investing with a fund manager, whether it's passive or active,
- 21:39is that you can't choose what you want to invest in. You're pulled together in a fund with
- 21:45hundreds, thousands of other investors in their money and then the portfolio manager,
- 21:50which is what I do, makes those decisions on behalf of everyone. So that's why you own a portion
- 21:58of company X, a portion of company Y, but you can't be like, hey, Vic, I want to be more in Facebook.
- 22:03I'd be like, it's stuffed. Right. Yeah, because it's a collective whole.
- 22:08Imagine how annoying that would be if everyone invests in your fund with that. Hey, I've just got
- 22:12a little top tip for you. What do you think about investing in this? Yes. So annoying.
- 22:17Yeah, so. But essentially being able to DIY invest plus give your money to fund managers plus,
- 22:23you know, if you're able to invest in property, all of those things are diversifying, diversifying,
- 22:28diversifying. And I also think there's something really amazing about learning to do it yourself,
- 22:32so that you can understand what's going on, because it's great to think like, I'm going to dump
- 22:37all my money with a fund manager. But if you have no idea or you don't understand it at all,
- 22:43I don't know if it's like it takes the power away a little. Totally. And some people,
- 22:46look, some people just want to kind of give it to a fund manager and forget about it and watch
- 22:51it grow. And that's fine. But a lot of other investors, they actually want to get in there and
- 22:56buy companies that they see around them, that they know that they can be on the journey with.
- 23:03And so it's completely up to you what your preference is in terms of investing. But if you are
- 23:10trying to preserve your capital, then you need to be aware of when you're investing in the
- 23:15share market, that it's risky in that. It's probably not the best approach if you are preserving
- 23:21your capital. So potentially if I was looking to buy a new car in four years, I'd be best maybe
- 23:29to give my $10,000, $15,000 to a fund manager so that I can maybe buy better car in five years,
- 23:36knowing that I'm probably not going to lose too much of my capital. Or keep the majority of it
- 23:41in a lower risk investment, so a term deposit. I mean, I think this is the first and only time I'll
- 23:46ever say. But it's because I know you and I know that your time horizon is much longer than four
- 23:52years is why I've been harping on about getting it out of the bank. But if you had a goal yet that
- 23:57was four years time, then you need to look at the makeup of your investments. So you might
- 24:02increase the amount in a lower risk cash type investment and have less with a fund manager or
- 24:10a DOI. So it's just about balancing that. And hey, once you've bought your car in four years time
- 24:16and you're like, right, cool, now I've got a 20 year horizon, then you can just go all guns blazing
- 24:21into high risk shares. I want to even take off the bank. You need to make some goals. Yeah.
- 24:26I really need to figure out what I actually want to say for what I need because I feel like a bit
- 24:31of a blind bat wandering around with no clue what's going on. So you can either preserve capital
- 24:36by giving it to an active fund manager and putting it in a lower risk fund with them and then that's
- 24:42their job to preserve capital for you or you can do it yourself and you can do that through the DOI
- 24:46platforms by really low and also with really low risk stocks. Yes. And you could put maybe a
- 24:52maybe a bit in the DOI platforms and maybe keep a keep majority in cash or term deposits.
- 24:57But you can also you can invest in low risk companies on the DOI platform. So we call them
- 25:04blue chip companies. Didn't blue chip go totally bus? No, it's not a company. Oh,
- 25:10it's because wasn't there blue chip or chip or something that went like terribly wrong?
- 25:14Like 15, 20 years ago. Oh, I have a feeling my granddad invested in it and it was really,
- 25:20really bad. One moment please while we just have a quick Google bankrupt. Blue chip bankrupt.
- 25:26Oh, there was. Yeah. Well, that's terrible. Blue chip is believed to be New Zealand's biggest
- 25:32bankrupt C. Wow. Because I think my granddad had invested a lot of shares in it when
- 25:38it totally bad. Well, we're not talking about that blue chip in. Capital
- 25:43reservations guys. Invest in bankrupt companies. No, we are talking about blue chip companies in
- 25:50general. And what I mean by this is they are companies that have very stable earnings growth
- 25:56and they've got earnings growth of a several decades. So they're companies that have been
- 26:01around friever. They pay dividends. They've got stable earnings. So it's like a granddad stock.
- 26:06It's like a boring, but it's a Microsoft, isn't it? Surely it's a Microsoft. It's a Walmart.
- 26:14It's Coca-Cola. It's Costco. It's all those long standing brands. Yeah, those kind of
- 26:20consumer staples are a lot of them. You know, Johnson and Johnson, all those kind of companies.
- 26:26And I actually want to, I was like, why are they called blue chip? I've always just called
- 26:30them blue chip and I was like, why? I'm going to Google this. And it comes from poker,
- 26:35which I don't play. So I don't know. I was begotten when I found out this definition because
- 26:39I thought it was just black and red. Is that blue? Yeah. So apparently it's the most valuable
- 26:43playing chip color. Really? Yeah. That's so bad that they're associating. I know, gambling
- 26:50and investing. Yeah. We do not condone that. That's interesting though. So obviously it's like
- 26:55the go to the easy money maker. Yeah. A lot of older people because they want to, they're
- 27:02nearing their retirement age and they want to preserve their capital. A lot of older people
- 27:06invest in these blue chip companies. It's sensible to. Yes. Yeah. And so if you want to buy a new
- 27:12Nissan leaf in four years time, I'd love one. I'd just anything but the Honda Jazz.
- 27:18Then oh my god, I got the name wrong. I thought the Honda Jazz. Do you think I want to buy a
- 27:25new Honda Jazz? Well, I just so you know, I'm definitely upgrading when I can. Then you might
- 27:30invest in blue chip companies because you've got a shorter time horizon. So it's just adjusting
- 27:34your portfolio slightly. You can still invest in some of the companies you want, just maybe not as
- 27:39many higher risk ones and find ones that are more in the blue chip kind of kind of camp.
- 27:44The other way that you can diversify and preserve your capital. Me specifically or anyone?
- 27:48You in the general way. Yeah. The people in the preserve my capital camp
- 27:55is invest in different regions. So it's always coming back to diversifying.
- 28:00diversifying is a way of preserving your capital. So if I looked at the past year,
- 28:06so the S&P 500 or the US stock market is up 30%. Is it 30%? I know. Wow, that's massive.
- 28:12The ASX is up 15%. And New Zealand's down 4. Yeah. Got it. Good memory. Thank you.
- 28:21Yeah, so that's what I mean. Is that anything to do with the COVID government handouts, etc?
- 28:27And there's a lot of tech companies like Tesla is up, you know, 40% or 40% and that makes up a lot
- 28:32of the index in the US. So you can get skewed by certain companies, yeah. But this is what I
- 28:38mean. That if you had a capital preservation approach and you'd just invest in the New Zealand
- 28:43stock market, you'd be down 4%. So it's kind of saying, okay, well, maybe I'll be some in New Zealand
- 28:49and some in the US and diversify. This is why diversification. This is a great example of why
- 28:55diversification and cross-different regions. We were talking about companies and asset classes,
- 28:58but different regions as well. You can diversify. You can diversify. And then you can diversify
- 29:06more. That's gracious. Yeah. That's a great example though. Up 30% in America, up 20% in Australia
- 29:12and down 4% in New Zealand. If you've had companies in all three stock exchanges.
- 29:19You would have had a much more balanced portfolio and a better return than if you just put
- 29:24all your eggs in the New Zealand basket and you would have been down 4%. Yeah, you can diversify
- 29:29different companies, different regions, different asset classes. So say you've got a goal that's
- 29:33in four years time and you're going to contribute $2,000 every couple of months to that investment
- 29:39because you're trying to get that investment goal and you're going to invest in a really conservative
- 29:43fund or really conservative blue chip companies because you want to achieve that target.
- 29:48Another approach might be insurance, taking out insurance. But aren't you paying for insurance?
- 29:53You're paying for insurance, but if you lose your income, you're not going to be able to achieve
- 29:57that goal. So it's just another way when you're thinking about limiting the downside is that
- 30:05yeah, what would happen if you lost your job, especially if you're a mother or like you're the
- 30:09sole owner of your household, your investing journey and your investing goals are really going
- 30:14to be hampered if you don't have that income coming in to achieve them. So it's just another
- 30:19little thing to think about. I mean, we don't really talk about insurance a lot. We just talk about
- 30:23investing, growing your wealth, but it's really hard to do that if you don't have any income.
- 30:28So it's basically what you're saying is it's a risk that you should, it's not a risk you should
- 30:32take. You'll better be losing some of that money to paying for insurance than what might happen if
- 30:39you lost your job or. Yes, yeah, it's just another way of protecting your wealth.
- 30:44I really don't want to weigh insurance too much longer because it's so boring.
- 30:48I know. Do you have insurance? I do. Do you? Yeah. You have finance insurance? I mean,
- 30:55income. Really? No, I don't have income insurance, but I do have insurance on my assets.
- 31:02Yes, I don't even have insurance on my go. Well, it's quite, oh, I know, I thought that was like
- 31:08a non-reaction. It's still up. It's a long story that we don't need to go into, but you have
- 31:12insurance on your assets. And I also think if you don't have any dependence, like for me,
- 31:18I mean, me so would probably just be in the world for anyone that has not seen her on Instagram.
- 31:23I think she would be absolutely fine if I was to. You're not leaving the house to me so far.
- 31:30No, I feel like she would be totally fine if I if I lost my job. It would be more about me.
- 31:34You know, but if I had three or four children that I needed to provide for, then yes, I would
- 31:39definitely have income insurance because that needs to be considered about their well-being
- 31:44and how I'm going to look after them. So it's kind of when you have dependence or people that rely
- 31:49on you, then you should be thinking about insurance to preserve capital as well.
- 31:55Preserving capital. Be the goalie. Be the goalie. Protect your goal.
- 32:00All situations, though, only if that you've got a short-term goal, though, right?
- 32:03Yes, only if you've got a short-term goal. Otherwise, the goal is wide open
- 32:07for attacking towards it, trying to get the ball in the net. Do you know I had a soccer team at
- 32:13school that I was in for an entire season. It was a social team and we didn't get one goal across
- 32:19all of our games. Like we literally were goalless. We didn't get one ball in a net.
- 32:24And that's why so far is not in all ways. We're investing queen yet. Yet. Yet on my way.
- 32:32So if you've got a shorter-term goal, so say you want to buy a car or pay for that wedding
- 32:37in less than five years, or if you're going to reach your time in age in less than five years,
- 32:41then yes, it's probably good to take more of a capital preservation approach. And just remember,
- 32:47if your investment falls by 25%, then it takes more than 25% to get back up to where it was.
- 32:54Should we do a quick Q&A because we haven't done that. We're on episode three and I feel
- 32:58I've done an idea. So there was one. Should I invest? This is a good idea. Should I invest in an
- 33:05active fund with a fund manager or in an ETF via stake? That is a great one. And we've just
- 33:12kind of been talking about it. So good question. So again, that's saying should I invest
- 33:17passively or actively? Now again, it completely depends on what you're trying to achieve.
- 33:23Are you trying to outperform the market and have capital preservation and growth,
- 33:28or are you just trying to ride the wave? Long-term. So riding the wave long-term would maybe be a stake
- 33:35ETF approach, right? Yes, so that's the passive approach. So again, low fees and you're riding the
- 33:41waves of the market. You have no, you're just on the boat riding the wave. You can't get off
- 33:46on, you're there and you're on the boat. Whereas an active fund and a fund manager, they're trying
- 33:52to get the best performance for you and you're paying a fee for that. So over the long term, if
- 33:57they're a good active fund manager, then they will be able to outperform the market on the way down
- 34:02and outperform the market on the way up. So it depends what your goal is, what you're trying to achieve,
- 34:06are your goals short, long-term. And the great thing with an ETF is that you can get exposure to
- 34:11different regions. So with the example we had earlier, with the S&P up 30 and the NZX down 4,
- 34:20you might invest in the ETF via stake that is just the US and then you've got 30, you've got
- 34:2630% return on your investment. Can you get ETFs that are companies in the US, companies in Australia,
- 34:30companies in New Zealand? You can get global ETFs. How on earth would you decide what one to go on?
- 34:34There's so many. I feel like that would be overwhelming. I think ETFs that play themes as well.
- 34:39So you could get a cybersecurity ETF. Conscious investing. Conscious investing. You can get a
- 34:45health care. And there'd be millions in each one there. There's ETFs that invest only
- 34:52in women-led businesses. There's ETFs on everything pretty much. So what was your answer to
- 34:57the question? So it depends on what your goal is really. So if your goal is that you want growth
- 35:06and capital appreciation, then you can invest in an active fund manager, but remember you're
- 35:12paying a fee for that, but your performance might be better. Whereas if you're investing in an ETF
- 35:18via stake, then you're just riding the way for the market. And if you're happy with that and you're
- 35:23taking a long-term approach, then that might be better for you because you'll remember the zoom
- 35:28out thing over time, markets go up. So if you're taking a 2030 of you, maybe an ETF is better because
- 35:35you're paying this fees. But also if you're with a good active fund manager, that return might actually
- 35:40be better over the long-term as well. So there's no... There's no right or wrong. There's no
- 35:46right or right. It depends on your success. And they're both if you want it. So you could diversify
- 35:50and invest in an active fund with a fund manager and invest in an ETF by stake. You could do both.
- 35:55There's so many debates out there at the moment in the industry and they have been for many,
- 35:59many years about where the passive or active investing is better. And I think it just completely depends
- 36:06what your view is on investing and what you're trying to achieve. I mean, I'm biased. I'm an
- 36:11active fund manager. She's not going to be like, yeah, let's all just like, we're out of a job now.
- 36:17We're redundant. I don't have to say this, but I do believe that if you give your money to a good
- 36:25fund manager, you can get superior returns over the long term. When it makes sense, you've studied it.
- 36:30You look at the markets every day. You've been looking at different companies for 10 plus years.
- 36:35Of course, your view and your decisions are going to be somewhat superior to the Sophie Hall
- 36:40rights of the world. You know, I mean, it makes sense. Yes. Yeah. I don't think we've got time
- 36:46to answer any more questions. No. However, if you do want to ask one, you can either slide into our
- 36:51messages on Instagram. You can send us an email or like go to our website, the curve.co.nz.
- 36:56Fick, what are we going to be talking about in the next episode?
- 36:58No, so exciting. We're going to do a stock story.
- 37:01So this is basically when we choose a stock and we look at whether or not it should be a buy
- 37:07hold or sell. Yes, buy hold or sell. Are we going to do a New Zealand Australia or
- 37:10something from the S&P 500? Let's do the S&P 500. Yes, I would love to do one in the states.
- 37:18Yeah, okay. I get my thinking ahead on. Great. If you've got any suggestions on stocks,
- 37:23you want us to look at to definitely get in touch. Yes. Okay, bye.
- 37:27Thank you so much for joining us for today's episode of Raising the Curve. Please subscribe and
- 37:33leave a review on whatever platform you're listening on. We would also love for you to share this
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- 37:42you can learn more, head to the curve.co.nz or find us on socials at the underscore curve nz.