Latest / Earn Your Leisure / 144,000 Evictions The Economic Crisis Nobody Sees Coming
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Let's get right to it.
- 0:02Speaker 2: What do you want to talk about first? 144 evictions
- 0:05Speaker 2: in Atlanta?
- 0:07Speaker 1: 144,000 evictions in Atlanta? Yeah. This is scary.
- 0:13Speaker 3: I'm not going to say this reminds me of 2007,
- 0:16Speaker 3: but it's adjacent. The cities that I looked at in 07,
- 0:20Speaker 3: 08 were Atlanta, Las Vegas, Miami, to see how the
- 0:25Speaker 3: economy was doing. Part of a few people in Atlanta,
- 0:29Speaker 3: I'm like, how's the economy? They're like, it's kind of dry.
- 0:31Speaker 3: I'm not going to lie. And even in Miami, I
- 0:35Speaker 3: was having some conversations about how things have been flowing
- 0:37Speaker 3: over the last two years. And I'm starting to get
- 0:40Speaker 3: slightly concerned about the economy. And I think Atlanta is
- 0:44Speaker 3: a canary in a coal mine that we have to
- 0:47Speaker 3: keep our eyes on.
- 0:48Speaker 1: But when you saw this number come out, what was
- 0:50Speaker 1: your first thought?
- 0:52Speaker 2: The first thought. So and MG had a good video.
- 0:58Speaker 2: He kind of gave a little bit more context to it.
- 1:00Speaker 2: The first thought was I just didn't think that it
- 1:02Speaker 2: was right. Because they were saying like 500,000 people live
- 1:04Speaker 2: in Atlanta and like 144,000 eviction.
- 1:07Speaker 4: It's like 20% of the population.
- 1:10Speaker 2: So I just didn't actually think that that was an
- 1:14Speaker 2: accurate number. But when MG broke it down and made
- 1:17Speaker 2: a little bit more sense, where he was like, you
- 1:20Speaker 2: can file for eviction for the same person four times,
- 1:23Speaker 2: five times. So the real number is But it's still
- 1:28Speaker 2: a high number. But instead of like 25%, it might
- 1:31Speaker 2: be like 12%, right? Or 10% because it's like you
- 1:35Speaker 2: have a tenant. Like I said, you can actually... Three
- 1:41Speaker 2: eviction filings can happen for one person. But on paper,
- 1:46Speaker 2: that looks like it's just three filings. So it looks
- 1:49Speaker 2: like most people would say, oh, that's three different people.
- 1:53Speaker 2: But regardless of anything... He also brought up good points
- 1:57Speaker 2: as far as what is, this says a few things.
- 2:03Speaker 2: As landlord, your goal is not to evict anybody.
- 2:06Speaker 4: For sure. Because it's not helpful. It's not beneficial. You
- 2:09Speaker 4: lose money.
- 2:10Speaker 2: It's not like you don't want to evict somebody as
- 2:13Speaker 2: a landlord. That's your last resort. So you have to
- 2:16Speaker 2: select people better as a landlord, right? This goes into
- 2:21Speaker 2: the selection process. This also goes into the rents that
- 2:24Speaker 2: you're charging. the risk that you're charging might be potentially
- 2:27Speaker 2: too high.
- 2:28Speaker 1: Yes.
- 2:29Speaker 4: And that needs, and it potentially may be needs to
- 2:32Speaker 4: be adjusted.
- 2:32Speaker 2: When you see a weekend in the economy, as far
- 2:35Speaker 2: as people losing their jobs, the money, money is not,
- 2:38Speaker 2: may not be flowing as, and, and this is happening nationwide,
- 2:43Speaker 2: but obviously this problem, it's, it's more glaring in Atlanta.
- 2:49Speaker 4: Yes. I think it speaks to the economy. No, we've
- 2:53Speaker 4: been saying this for a while.
- 2:54Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 2:55Speaker 1: At least a year and a half.
- 2:57Speaker 4: It's definitely spooky hours out here.
- 3:01Speaker 2: Like I said, I hate to keep saying the same
- 3:03Speaker 2: thing over and over again, but you can't get a
- 3:08Speaker 2: job right now. It's hard to get a job. College
- 3:12Speaker 2: graduates are struggling for employment. Rent is up. It's almost
- 3:19Speaker 2: impossible for the average person to buy a home because
- 3:21Speaker 2: home prices have gone up so much. when you look
- 3:24Speaker 2: at inflation, we was just in LA seeing $ 8 gas,
- 3:27Speaker 2: $ 8 a gallon for gas. Um, artificial intelligence has only
- 3:33Speaker 2: taken a small amount of jobs. And so this is
- 3:36Speaker 2: just starting.
- 3:37Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 3:37Speaker 2: Imagine when it really goes at scale, how many people
- 3:40Speaker 2: are going to be losing their job from artificial intelligence,
- 3:43Speaker 2: low level labor, but high level, high labor as well,
- 3:45Speaker 2: high level labor as well. So I think it speaks
- 3:50Speaker 2: more to what's to come. This is a, um, a
- 3:55Speaker 2: early indicator of, of economic hardship. And when you have
- 4:03Speaker 2: record level debt, it doesn't seem like there's a, there's
- 4:08Speaker 2: a quick solution out of this.
- 4:09Speaker 3: Yeah. And there's no governance on how to even work
- 4:15Speaker 3: out of it. We'll talk about some of the crazy
- 4:17Speaker 3: stuff Trump has said later.
- 4:19Speaker 1: Um, But it says.
- 4:21Speaker 3: One in four renters in Fulton, DeKalb, Cobb, Clayton, and
- 4:25Speaker 3: Gwinnett counties receiving an eviction filing during the last 12 months.
- 4:29Speaker 3: Even if, let's say, they double filed or triple filed,
- 4:33Speaker 3: the renters still relate. And then also the rise of
- 4:36Speaker 3: the cost, like you said, of rent is too exorbitant.
- 4:40Speaker 1: There are almost no normal rent levels anymore.
- 4:42Speaker 3: Even for some places here in Houston, like someplace at $ 2, 500,
- 4:47Speaker 3: $ 3, 000 a month when Houston used to be an affordable
- 4:51Speaker 3: place to live. So when you have that GDP, we
- 4:55Speaker 3: have a private credit risk crisis on our hands. Oracle's
- 5:01Speaker 3: default swaps are through the roof because of the value
- 5:03Speaker 3: of the company. It's a lot of stuff going on,
- 5:06Speaker 3: and I don't hear anyone giving any solutions on how
- 5:09Speaker 3: to fix it, and government isn't trying to fix it
- 5:11Speaker 3: because they're just trying to get through the midterms. They
- 5:14Speaker 3: know if they get the midterms, they don't need to
- 5:16Speaker 3: fix anything. And that's the scary part. And I was
- 5:19Speaker 3: telling Stock Club, we're going to see what the real
- 5:21Speaker 3: effects are of this around May to June of next year.
- 5:25Speaker 1: When everyone keeps asking, like, when is the crash going
- 5:27Speaker 1: to happen?
- 5:28Speaker 3: The stock market may not feel it, but the economy overall.
- 5:33Speaker 3: Late spring, early summer, I think we'll see what the
- 5:36Speaker 3: real deal is. So stack your coins. Listen, they just
- 5:40Speaker 3: left L.A. I'm going to L.A. I'm sure they're going
- 5:42Speaker 3: somewhere next week. When you see us getting back in touch,
- 5:46Speaker 3: I told my mom yesterday, hey, it's election season for
- 5:48Speaker 3: me too. Got to go talk to the California delegates tomorrow.
- 5:53Speaker 3: It is time for you to put your foot on
- 5:55Speaker 3: the gas. If you're not, you're seeing the greatest entrepreneurs
- 6:00Speaker 3: on earth doing more. And I've been belaboring this point.
- 6:04Speaker 3: Even Trump is working at a pace he's never worked
- 6:07Speaker 3: at before. Elon, did the super intelligence counsel All of
- 6:13Speaker 3: them are working at a higher clip.
- 6:16Speaker 1: And I keep saying it.
- 6:17Speaker 3: Jensen is looking more presidential than ever and making sure
- 6:21Speaker 3: those relationships are intact to keep his company solvent. When
- 6:25Speaker 3: everyone keeps telling me, well, NVIDIA is the new Bear Stearns.
- 6:30Speaker 1: I'm like, how?
- 6:32Speaker 3: He's literally flying around the world. Like, back to your
- 6:35Speaker 3: billionaires don't sleep point. He's traveling around the world with
- 6:39Speaker 3: China and Trump and Singapore and to make sure.
- 6:43Speaker 1: That his deals are in place. Three years ago, he
- 6:46Speaker 1: wouldn't have to do that.
- 6:48Speaker 3: These are the concessions you're going to have to make
- 6:51Speaker 3: when the economy is looming.
- 6:54Speaker 4: Yeah, 100%. You're right.
- 6:57Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 6:58Speaker 4: So, yeah.
- 6:59Speaker 2: So, prayers first and foremost to anybody that's getting evicted.
- 7:03Speaker 2: But for sure, the city of Atlanta, it seems like
- 7:05Speaker 2: there's a lot of evictions that's happening. Like I said,
- 7:07Speaker 2: nobody wins in that situation. It's not like landlords. That's
- 7:10Speaker 2: what people need to understand as well. Are there some
- 7:13Speaker 2: bad landlords out there that try to take advantage of
- 7:15Speaker 2: their tenants?
- 7:16Speaker 4: Yes. But a lot of landlords are not bad people.
- 7:20Speaker 2: They don't get enjoyment for evicting people, but they also
- 7:24Speaker 2: have a responsibility for their family as well. And if
- 7:26Speaker 2: you have a tenant that's not paying, well, you're paying, right?
- 7:30Speaker 2: Like you're paying the mortgage. So I know landlords don't
- 7:35Speaker 2: really get sympathy a lot.
- 7:36Speaker 1: No.
- 7:37Speaker 2: But it's like, you know, when a landlord puts yourself
- 7:40Speaker 2: in their situation, They purchased a building, they purchased a home,
- 7:44Speaker 2: they purchased a multifamily home, right? And their way of
- 7:50Speaker 2: actually keeping things afloat is actually providing housing for somebody else. Now,
- 7:55Speaker 2: if somebody is living in said house and just stops
- 7:59Speaker 2: paying rent, well, they're getting all the benefits of living
- 8:02Speaker 2: in a house. They get in the heat, they get
- 8:03Speaker 2: in the gas, they get in the water, they get
- 8:05Speaker 2: in showers, and you're paying for that. They're not paying
- 8:11Speaker 2: for it because they stopped. Now I get it. They like, look,
- 8:14Speaker 2: I can't pay. I understand completely. But at a certain
- 8:19Speaker 2: point in time, that's not the person's responsibility. It's not,
- 8:24Speaker 2: it's not, it's not the landlord's responsibility. So I just
- 8:27Speaker 2: want people to understand that too, because it's not like,
- 8:30Speaker 2: I don't think people have sympathy for landlords and a
- 8:32Speaker 2: lot of landlords have gone under.
- 8:35Speaker 4: File bankruptcy. For sure.
- 8:37Speaker 2: And as we talked about with Ish, there's a lot
- 8:38Speaker 2: of risk. There's a lot of risk that comes with
- 8:39Speaker 2: being a landlord, right? So, and that's why people do
- 8:43Speaker 2: Section 8 housing, guaranteed from the government. But also, what's new,
- 8:48Speaker 2: and I think we might got to do an episode
- 8:49Speaker 2: on this for our new leisure, is the sober living facilities.
- 8:52Speaker 2: I've been hearing about the sober living thing. They said
- 8:54Speaker 2: that they're making a lot of money on that sober
- 8:56Speaker 2: living side, but... Yeah, and that medical side, shout to Ty.
- 9:01Speaker 2: Ty and drug treatment facilities, Yeah, that's what I'm saying. Yeah,
- 9:06Speaker 2: that's the sober living. It's like a rehab center. The
- 9:08Speaker 2: rehab center, they were saying like you could rent those
- 9:11Speaker 2: out and it's almost another Section 8, but it's even
- 9:14Speaker 2: better because the tenants, they're short-term tenants. They stay for
- 9:17Speaker 2: like three months, two months at a time. And insurance
- 9:20Speaker 2: companies actually pay.
- 9:21Speaker 1: Cover it and it's a premium on it.
- 9:23Speaker 4: Yep, for sure. And so it's a guaranteed bill as well.
- 9:28Speaker 2: So I met a few people, even in L.A., that
- 9:31Speaker 2: was telling me how much money they was making from
- 9:33Speaker 2: sober living facilities. And they said, like, that's the real
- 9:38Speaker 2: thing that's bringing in a lot of money right now.
- 9:40Speaker 2: But if you're a landlord, you want to kind of
- 9:44Speaker 2: mitigate risk as much as possible. So, like I said,
- 9:48Speaker 2: look to see what tenants you're renting to.
- 9:52Speaker 1: Yes. Yes.
- 9:53Speaker 2: If you buy a hospital, try to, you know, because
- 9:55Speaker 2: those jobs are stable. Look at the jobs that's actually stable, right?
- 9:58Speaker 1: Yes.
- 9:59Speaker 4: Nursing.
- 10:00Speaker 1: Nurses, anesthesiologists, doctors. Yes.
- 10:03Speaker 4: Stuff like that.
- 10:05Speaker 1: Military. Yeah. At certain levels, yep. School. Yes.
- 10:09Speaker 4: Colleges.
- 10:11Speaker 2: For the time being. Like, you know, if you got
- 10:13Speaker 2: off-campus housing, the colleges.
- 10:20Speaker 2: Don't put yourself in a situation where you're going to
- 10:24Speaker 2: have to evict somebody.
- 10:26Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 10:29Speaker 3: I know even for Ish, because he's talked about this publicly,
- 10:32Speaker 3: he had a few tenants that owed him four or
- 10:34Speaker 3: five months and he didn't put them out.
- 10:37Speaker 1: That's like, that's tough.
- 10:39Speaker 3: Because you're still having to carry the mortgage and all
- 10:41Speaker 3: the expenses and then his thought was like, okay, if
- 10:45Speaker 3: I put them out, it's going to be on their
- 10:48Speaker 3: record and then I know they're not going to be
- 10:51Speaker 3: able to go anywhere else and then show a year's
- 10:54Speaker 3: worth of statements to be able to cover it. Like,
- 10:57Speaker 3: I don't think enough landlords get enough credit for the
- 11:00Speaker 3: grace they show when they don't immediately file. And then
- 11:03Speaker 3: you're taking those costs.
- 11:05Speaker 1: So be careful. But the economy is tight.
- 11:10Speaker 2: And as a tenant, you got to be responsible.
- 11:15Speaker 4: Never, never.
- 11:16Speaker 3: Yeah, don't be in your stories popping bottles talking about,
- 11:19Speaker 3: I can't cover, because some of them do that.
- 11:21Speaker 2: Yeah, and don't put yourself in a situation that you
- 11:23Speaker 2: know you can't afford. That happens as well. Sometimes people,
- 11:26Speaker 2: they'll falsify documents. They'll get somebody to write them a
- 11:29Speaker 2: letter saying that they make this amount of money. Like,
- 11:31Speaker 2: a lot of times, you put yourself in a situation
- 11:33Speaker 2: where you just one paycheck away and things fall apart.
- 11:36Speaker 2: From disaster. Yeah, that's a bad thing. Like I said,
- 11:39Speaker 2: even the roommate thing, right? That's becoming big. Like, Look,
- 11:42Speaker 2: sometimes we're in a difficult economy. Sometimes you got to
- 11:45Speaker 2: make difficult decisions. Hey, instead of moving in here, I'm
- 11:47Speaker 2: going to move down. I'm going to move in this
- 11:50Speaker 2: one bedroom apartment instead of two bedroom. Or I'm going
- 11:52Speaker 2: to have a roommate. I'm going to live with a roommate.
- 11:56Speaker 1: It's uncomfortable, though.
- 11:58Speaker 4: It's better than being evicted.