Latest / Toadstool Sports / Tuesday BEST BETS | The Slump Continues | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/28/26

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Tuesday BEST BETS | The Slump Continues | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB | 4/28/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: Tonight it was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you above that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: never seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all all
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: in four that have not had a good season. Man
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new pink.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the bruins.
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: Arch hate? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: I don't know what data is anymore. I'm not I
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: don't even know what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: can possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this, I don't know what to
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. To the slump, praise,
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 3: other than potentially end at all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: It is Tuesday, April twenty eighth, one and two. On
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: the show yesterday. I'm not happy about this. I mean,
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: I told you this run could not last, but I'm
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: trying to get wins here. A couple of my leans
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: wound up being correct. The Red Sox were a correct lean.
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: Denver Nuggets team total over was a correct lean. Should
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: have just added those to my car. Those are probably
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: my strongest leans that did not go on the card.
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: Cubs San Diego was ruined right away. I mean, there's
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: nothing you can do about that. BOYD gives us up
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: three runs in the first inning, and then the Cubs
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: hit a Grand Slam right after that.
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: It was done in like three innings. It's over.
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: Absolutely terrible pistons. I don't know, man, I mean, they
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: had some chances there and they obviously blew it. Yeah,
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to tell you. Like the it's
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: a game of runs. The runs kind of went the
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: wrong way. Detroit's offense was absolutely terrible again, and Vegas got.
• 2:40
  Speaker 2: Us the win. They were winning three to nothing.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: So if you're up three to nothing in a hockey game,
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: you probably should be able to put that thing away.
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: And no, they gave up two goals in a minute
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: and then actually wound up falling behind in the game.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: And they wound up actually tying it late and then
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: winning it in overtime, thankfully in the final minute of
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: the first overtime, after having a goal called back on
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: and off sides by the way, which was correct.
• 3:09
  Speaker 2: But you never like to see that. I mean, it's
• 3:12
  Speaker 2: always such a like close call too.
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: All right, move on to today. I don't like the
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: board today. I have one baseball play. The board on
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: pregame it's not even showing me the percentages right now,
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: and I'm gonna have one hockey play and I'm gonna
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: skip NBA today.
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: A little bit odd for me, I guess.
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: So I did bring up wager Talks odd screen here
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: to try to get a gauge on where some of
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: these percentages are and then I decided to not even
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: use it because my one play is going against that anyway.
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: I just I can't get a good grasp on baseball today.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: There are a few games where we don't even know
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: who's starting the game. Let's just go through this. Tampa
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: Bay at Cleveland. These two teams did play yesterday. Tampa
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: Bay used two relief pitchers. Cleveland used four, but they
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: only use Festa for three pitches. Matt Festa, not David Festa.
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know where that guy is. Fester, Uncle Fester. Uh,
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: that's how we say it in Boston anyway, Uncle Festa kid.
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: Bullpen wise, Tampa's bullpen has definitely been pretty bad this year.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: They've moved up a little bit though to twentieth. I
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: thought maybe they weren't as bad as maybe they looked
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: early in the season. Cleveland's bullpen at tenth. This is
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: based on whip. Their eras are both worse than that, though.
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: I think that maybe both bullpens will come around a
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: little bit. I don't fully trust them, but they're not
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: like the worst either. I wouldn't say far as far
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: as hitting is concerned, I think Tampa does have the
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: better hitting.
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: I'll give Cleveland a.
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: Bullpen edge, though Tampa Bay ninth in offense. Cleveland is
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: twenty first. That's based on ops. Nick Martinez pitching for
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay two point one ERA, one point one WHIP.
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: These pretty good numbers this year. Twenty to eight strike
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio. It's not great, but the strike out
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: rates is not that high. Twenty five hits allowed in
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: thirty innings. Overall, these numbers are not bad. He's allowed
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: two or few runs in every start this year, and
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: Tampa has actually won four of his five starts, so
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: he's been alright.
• 5:16
  Speaker 2: Numbers against to Cleveland are a little bit of a mix.
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: It's a small sample size.
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: Twenty two at bats, five to three, strike out walk
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: ratio two, twenty seven batting average allowed eight twenty ops.
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: So the OPS is a little bit high because he
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: allowed a home run to hedges. But there's not a
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: lot you can really gauge from a small sample size
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: like that. Tanner Biby is pitching for Cleveland. He has
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: not had a great season here. He was really good
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: a couple of years ago. Last year not so much.
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: This year, not so much. Four point four to five,
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: one point four or five whip Overall numbers here twenty
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: six to eleven, strike out walk ratio, thirty three hits
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: a lot in thirty to third innings. None of that
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: is great, Like the strike cut rate is fine, but
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: a little bit down. Too many walks, too many hits allowed.
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's lost five starts in a row that he's made,
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: although his last two were not that bad except that
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: he did walk five guys along with eight strikeouts over
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: that span. But he only allowed two runs and twelve innings,
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: so that is the good part. But still he wasn't
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: that great, like he definitely wasn't dominant in those starts.
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: Numbers against Tampa Bay are good, though in fifty at
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: bats ten to three, strikeout walk ratio, one to eighty
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: batting average allowed six twenty six ops.
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: It's tough to gauge this game.
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna lean Cleveland a little bit here. I know
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: they lost yesterday three to two. Maybe could be a
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: little bit of a bounce back for them. They actually
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: lost with Messek pitching, which usually you don't see that happen.
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: Cleveland isn't minus one thirty five up for minus one thirteen.
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: The total is seven and a half, so it is
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: a somewhat low total.
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: I could see the arguments.
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, neither pitcher is I mean it looks like
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: Bibby has a good match up here. Martinez has been
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: in decent form.
• 7:07
  Speaker 2: Bibby a little bit better.
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: Last couple of starts under makes sense to me here,
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: Maybe you do it first five inning if you don't
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: trust the bullpens, which maybe we don't.
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: Yeah, so I don't know.
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: Maybe the strongest ways to play this our first five
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: inning under and Cleveland side, maybe slightly, just because I
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: think Bibby might get overlooked a little bit in this game,
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: and I think he is still maybe the pitcher with
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: more upside because he is still younger and when he
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: said his best, we've seen him be pretty good. Josh,
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: what's up? Yeah, we better turn it around. I mean
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: I picked the wrong plays yesterday. I'm pissed. Red Sox
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: would have been an easy win as an underdog. I
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: got that right, just based on the pitching matchup numbers.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: Denver team totals should have been a play for me
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: to bounce back after two very Undnver like offensive performance.
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: It says you had to know Denver was gonna pull
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: up a ton of points last night, which they did.
• 8:05
  Speaker 2: I'm pissed about that.
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: The Nuggets I'm talking about should have done it, should
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: have gone with that. Yeah, all right, Houston and Baltimore.
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: Hold on a second, yep, these two teams were off yesterday.
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: A lot of teams are off.
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: Baltimore is staying at home off of losing two games
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: to the Red Sox. Houston won their last game against
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: the Yankees, although they lost the series.
• 8:28
  Speaker 2: They're coming in starting a road trip. Now.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: On the one hand, Houston might be in a letdown
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: because they beat the Yankees. But on the other hand,
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: they need to win some games and they're starting a
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: road trip, so I think it's more likely they will
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: show up with some focus here. Both teams with yesterday off,
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: like I said, but I don't know if that's gonna
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: help Houston's bullpen because they've been the worst bullpen in baseball,
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: so I don't even know if the rest even really
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: have really even helps. Baltimore's been a top four bullpen
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: and whip although their ERA is a little bit worse
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: than that. A lot of the teams near the top
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: have eras aren't really that good. Houston's been a good offense.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: There's still third in ops Baltimore tenth, so we have
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: decent hitting teams here. Kaiwai Tang is getting the start
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: for Houston. I don't know how many innings he's gonna go.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: He's got good numbers on the season, two point one six,
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: ERA point nine whip. He's been working out of the
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: bullpen all season, though, and he hasn't gone more than
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: two innings in any outing. Oh, sorry, two and a
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: third in his first outing, which he did twice. I
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: guess I don't know. I don't know how many innings
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: he's gonna go in this game. He might be an opener,
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: he might go a little bit deeper than that. He
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: was starting for a bit for the Giants last year
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: and he was not very good. But he did start
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: pitching a little bit better very late in the season
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: last year. He's really a mystery, very hard to handicap.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: It looks like he's better as a reliever, though, so
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know if him starting is gonna be that good. Baltimore,
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: only his two hitters have ever faced him before. They
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: are two for three off him, with an Alonzo home run,
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: one strikeout, two walks very hard to gauge based on
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: a small sample size like that. Shane boss is pitching
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: for Baltimore. He has not been very good this year.
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: Five point eight RA, one point five to five whip,
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: twenty three to ten strike at walk ratio. Overall, that's
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: not very good. Twenty eight and a third innings pitch,
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: thirty four hits allowed. He's allowed too many hits and walks.
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: He's allowed no more than four earned runs in any outings,
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: so at least he's kind of holding his team in
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: the game. But Baltimore has lost four starts in a
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: row of his facing Who are we talking about here,
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: He's facing Houston.
• 10:46
  Speaker 2: Right, Yeah, let me see.
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: I hate this because ESPN doesn't update when the new
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: series starts. Even though they had a day to do
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: it yesterday, they had a day off, they still didn't
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: do it. Boz against Houston twenty nine at bats seven
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: to two, strike out walk racio, forty one batting average allowed,
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: seven at seventy three OPS. Most of those numbers are fine.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: The OPS is a little high because of home runs
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: from Altuve and Diaz, who was also fourth to eight
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: off and it's another game where there's a lot of
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: mystery here. I don't really want much to do with
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: this thing. Baltimore's at minus one thirty two. I could see,
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: as you know, the situation looks okay for both teams.
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: I mean, you could make an argument for an over here.
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: You have at least one very bad bullpen with Houston.
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: Both starting pitchers are not that steady. The total is
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: pretty high at nine, although it flipped to nine juice
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: to the under.
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, another game where I just want nothing
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: to do with it. Colorado at Cincinnati. Cincinnati is staying
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: at home. These teams both were off yesterday. Cincinnati lost
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: their last game to Detroit. Staying at home maybe could
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: be a bounce back for them. Colorado could be in
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: a down spot. They did just sweep the Mets, and
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: I know the Mets have been a laughing stock, but
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: I think if you're Colorado you feel pretty good about
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: that sweep. So they might be in a little bit
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: of a letdown mode here. Both bullpens have actually been decent.
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: Colorado at eleventh. Cincinnati has a good bullpen era below three,
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: but sixteenth and whip. I think Cincinnati probably is the
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: better of the two. Bullpens though, but both bullpens have
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: pitched decently this year. I think Colorado has more room
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: to kind of drop off, though Colorado offensively, they have
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: kind of fallen off. I think where they at there
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: at sixteenth now the Reds have been really bad though
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: the Reds are twenty fifth, so Colorado has had the
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: better offense this year. Starting pitching is a huge edge
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: to Cincinnati, though. Kyle Freeland is listed as the starter
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: for the Rockies on ESPN, but pregame doesn't even have
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: a listed starter here for Colorado. It looks like it's
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: going to be Freeland if he is able to pitch,
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: but it looks like he he is injured. He has
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: some sort of shoulder injury. He hasn't pitched since April.
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: He was going to pitch on April twelve. Then I
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: guess he didn't make the start because he was injured.
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know it's on his game log though, but
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: if he's on the injured list, well, I guess he's
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: eligible to come back because that was sixteen days ago.
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: So it looks like if he's eligible to come back,
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: he probably will pitch here. He's got a two point
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: three ERA and one point zero nine WHIP on the season.
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: You know, it's just not a huge sample sized engage.
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: But he actually has pitched okay this season, not allowing
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: more than touring runs in any outing so far, thirteen
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: to four strike a walk raceio, thirteen hits allowed in
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: fifteen to two thirds innings. So we don't know if
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: it's actually gonna be him pitching though, but he is.
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: He's been Colorado's best starter, probably against Cincinnati. His numbers
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: are not good though, in fifty four bats to ninety
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: six batting average, eight thirty three ops, twelve to three
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio. That's fine, but the rest of
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: the numbers not good. And even if it is Freeland,
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: I think pretty clearly you have to give the edge
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: to Chase Burns in the starting pitching matchup here. Two
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: point five to seventy RA, one point oh seven whip
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: on the season. Basically, he's had one bad start against Anaheim.
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: Other than that, he's pitched well. Thirty to eleven strike
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: at walk ratio. It is too many walks, but it's
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: not that bad. Nineteen hits allout in twenty eight innings,
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: four home runs allowed, Maybe a little bit of a concern,
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: but some of that's kind of the nature of pitching
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: in this ballpark, great American, very hitter friendly ballpark. Colorado
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: has fourteen at bats against some seven strikeouts, two walks,
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: one extra base hit a double from Willie Castro, one
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: forty three batting average allowed four to sixty four ops burns.
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: He's just clearly the better pitcher here, but you're paying
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: a price for it at minus one ninety four.
• 14:58
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna get involved in it.
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think Cincinnati probably wins the game, but
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: I know if it's Freeland pitcher for Colorado, Colorado does
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: have a chance. I'd probably still I guess lean maybe
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati run line. But that's really getting a little bit dicey,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: because again, you're at home, you might not get the
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: bats in the ninth inning. Freeland is at least a
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: capable pitcher who's used to pitching and hit her friendly ballparks,
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: So I gotta stay away from that, all right. San
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: Francisco at Philadelphia. These teams also didn't play yesterday, and then
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna mention it again. When teams haven't played the
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: previous day, a lot of times the offense is cool
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: off a little bit and the bullpen's arrested, So I
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: tend to lean unders in most of those games, but
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: I just didn't really see a spot to really want
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: to do it. Philadelphia is returning on from a road trip.
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: They went to the Cubs and Atlanta, so I talk
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: about this too. When a team returns on from a
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: road trip, a lot of times they don't play well,
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: they get distracted, they have to get back to home life.
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: For Philadelphia, I'm not entirely sure that'll be the case,
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: because you know, they're facing a giant team that does
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: have name recognition. Philadelphia just you know they can't afford
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: to keep losing, so maybe they do show up with focus,
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: but it is generally a bad spot for Philadelphia. San
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: Francisco they're starting a road trip, so they are having
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: a travel cross country. But I think it is easier
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: for a West Coast team to play on the East
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: Coast than the opposite, and an East Coast team going
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: out west playing a really late game Biologically, that's much worse.
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: San Francisco with a little bit of momentum. They beat
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: Miami the last couple of games, so San Francisco may
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: be in a better spot here. Because starting a road
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: trip is always a focused spot. Well, generally it's a
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: focused spot. Team returning home generally it's an unfocused spot,
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: and we have both going on here. Giants are definitely
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen. They're sixth in bullpen Whip. They have
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: one of the best bullpen e Rays. Philadelphia not so much.
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: They're eighteenth in WHIP. Their ERA is very mediocre. Giants
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: have not hit well this year though, they're third worst,
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: but Philly is actually a spot below them offensively, but
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: looking at who they have in the lineup, Philly is
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: the better offense though, but they have really struggled this year.
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: Tyler Mally is pitching for the Giants. He's like very
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: he's almost impossible to figure out. His numbers on the
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: season are bad five point six two ERA, one point
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: six WHIP. He seems to alternate good and bad starts
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: this season, though, and that would mean this one's gonna
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: be bad because he's coming off a seven inning shutout
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: of the Dodgers and he picked up a win after
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: coming off his worst start of the season. That's what
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: he did, so after doing that to the Dodgers, he
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: might be in a letdown spot because that is his
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: best start of the season easily.
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: He did just face Philly, by the way.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: He went five to two thirds on April eighth, shut
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: them out, but he walked four guys, six strikeouts, three
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: hits allowed, so he might do worse here. Man Philly
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: just saw him, so they might be at a little
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: bit of an extra advantage. For that reason, I'm gonna
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: lean towards Molly not doing that well here in this game.
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: So that's why I can't really get on board with
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: the Giants here. His numbers against Philly are not that
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: bad though, sixty eight to bats, twenty to ten strike
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: aut walk race. We are talking about Philly, right, Did
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: I fuck that up?
• 18:29
  Speaker 2: No? Yeah, I'm right.
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: Twenty to ten strike out walk ratio against them not
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: very good. Two thirty five batting average is pretty low.
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: Seven oh one oh ps is low enough as well,
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: So his matchup numbers are not too bad, but I
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: don't trust them. I don't trust Jesus Lozardo on the
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: other side either. He's got bad numbers this year for
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: Philly six point nine to one ERA, one point five
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: to four whip, But if you look at his numbers,
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: it's I don't know they're not that bad. Like thirty
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: three to nine strike a walk ratio in two seven
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: to third innings. Those numbers are actually good. He's been
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: too hittable, though thirty three hits allowed one really bad
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: start against the Cubs is kind of skewing his numbers.
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: But he did walk three or more guys in three
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: of his last four outings though, so he's not exactly
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: a good.
• 19:16
  Speaker 2: Form right now.
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: He did not play in that previous series against the Giants,
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: he did not pitch, so he has a little bit
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: of an unfamiliarity edge. I guess not really though, because
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: he's been around for a while, so the Giants have
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: seen him. Fifty four at bats where thirteen to four
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio two twenty two batting average six
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: forty six ops. And by the way, like for strike
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio, my Mendoza line is kind of three. Basically,
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: I consider three to be where you should be, and
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: if it's above that, it's good, if it's below that,
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: it's not that good. Batting average wise, I think maybe
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: about two sixty is probably the Mendoza line I used there,
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: and then ops. I care about more of though, and
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: I think seven fIF about the Mendoza line you want
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: to look at there. So yes, generally Lozardo does have
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: good numbers against the Giants offense Phillies all the way
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: up to minus one sixty four.
• 20:10
  Speaker 2: Though I don't know man in a.
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: Return home situation, there's no way that I would want
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: to do it. I yeah, I mean they might have
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: a pitching matchup edge here, Like I think I probably
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: prefer Lozardo over Mally in a spot like that, But
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: I do not trust Phillies' bullpen. I do not trust
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: the spot that Phillies in. They're just way too many
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: conflicting factors. Like I can't even really look at this game,
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: and like I could not even determine, you know, like
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: how do you even play this game? I don't even
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: see like a way to attack this game at all. Really,
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: this is one of the worst games on the board
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: for me, to be honest, I mean, just because of
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: the situation and because I think the price is too
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: high on Philly. If you want to go San Francisco
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: and you know, make your own plus one run line
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: or something like that, and go with San Francisco to
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: keep it close, they have the better bullpen, So full
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: game maybe that makes sense, but I don't want to
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: do that.
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: Saint Louis at.
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh this game. We don't know who Pittsburgh has starting.
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh lost the game yesterday. Not happy about that because
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: it means Dustin May probably pitched well again, which that
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: really really irritates me because I think he sucks, and
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: because the Red Sox made a horrible trade for him,
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: and then it would only make sense that he's good
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: now that he's not on the Red Sox, although I
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: still don't think he's good. Pittsburgh had a bullpen game yesterday,
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: so they burned out most of their bullpen. They used
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: seven relief pitchers yesterday. A few of them are going
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: to have to pitch again today, especially because they don't
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: even know who their starter is going to be.
• 21:49
  Speaker 2: That's not good.
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh's bullpen is running out of gas here. Saint Louis
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: has a weaker bullpen, but they only used two relief
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: pitchers yesterday, so even though I think they used some
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: of their better bullpen arms and generally, Saint Louis is
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: a pretty bad bullpen. Twenty second in Whip, Pittsburgh is fourteenth,
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: but Pittsburgh with that situation. Their bullpen is in Their
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: bullpen looks pretty bad coming into this game. We don't
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: even know who they're starting. Kyle Lay He is pitching
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: for Saint Louis. That's also not good. Five point sixty
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: three ERA, one point sixty seven whip. Those are some
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: bad numbers. He's walked three guys apiece in three of
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: his last four outings. Fifteen to eleven strike out walk
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: ratio really bad. He's inducing a lot of ground balls
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: and even that is not keeping his numbers really totally
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: in check. And he's given up more than one hit
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: per inning as well. Twenty nine hits and twenty four innings.
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: Not much to like about Lay. He numbers against Pittsburgh
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: not particularly good. Seventeen at bats, seven to three strike
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: out walk ratio, two ninety four batting average, but he's
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: allowed no extra base hits, so the ops somewhat low
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: at six ninety four. I think I think the only
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: way to really look at this game is to go
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: over the total. It's it eight and a half year.
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: Yesterday's game was pretty low scoring. This Pittsburgh pitching situation,
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, because it's undecided. The only way that you
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: could play this right now is to go action on it,
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: which means that it's gonna the BET's gonna be counted.
• 23:19
  Speaker 2: Regardless of who starts.
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: But I think that's okay here because again, you're you're
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: not gonna get like, I don't think Pittsburgh is gonna
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: move up Paul Skeens or whatever, because I think Skeens
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: when is Skeen's pitching hold on.
• 23:32
  Speaker 2: Let me say, I want to see if.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh has like their rotation set up for the next
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: few days. Yeah, so Chandler is pitching tomorrow, Skeens is
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: pitching the day after that, then Keller. Yeah, because Skeen's
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: pitched on Friday, so he's not ready to pitch yet,
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: so it's not gonna be him. If they moved anybody up,
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: it would be Chandler because he pitched the day before that,
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: so he'd be pitching on almost regular rest. But he
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: he's already slated in for tomorrow or slotted in for tomorrow,
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: so it looks like they're not gonna move him up
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: to this game. So yeah, I mean, I'm almost tempted
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: to do this looking at the team's batting. Let me say,
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: I don't love either of these offenses, but I think
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: they could definitely score in this pitching matchup here. Saint
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: Louis is thirteenth offensively, which is, you know, not bad.
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh has phone all the way to twenty second. They
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: were hot to start the season. Oh boy, I kind
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: of want to do it, man, I like this one.
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: Mm yeah, the more I think about it, I mean
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: I am yeah, I'm still thinking about it, you know what. Yeah,
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: let's do it. Let's add another play here. We're gonna
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: go over the total in this game and make it
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: action because I just think whoever's gonna pitch for I mean,
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: I think you have to do action because there's no
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: other listed starter here.
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: Hold on, I'm looking for it right now. What's the
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: best number we can get on this It's just eight
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: and a half across the board pretty much. It looks like, uh,
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: you can find it at reduced juice, you can get
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: it at even money.
• 25:18
  Speaker 2: I think that's fine.
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: I mean, you might be able to find an eight somewhere,
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: but it's not really much of a difference between eight
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: and eight and a half.
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: All right, let's do it.
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: Hopefully my baseball totals will continue being all right, we
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: got an overrighte with Leahy two starts ago. So hold on,
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: I'm putting it into the system. All right, that's gonna
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: be an extra play for me. There my other, my
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: actual baseball play that I had already locked in as
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: a side. So there you go over in Cardinals Pittsburgh.
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: Like I said, make it action because I think Pittsburgh
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: is not going to move up one of their starters
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: to this Boston at Toronto. My Red Sox got the
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: shutout yesterday Ronyr Suarez really good start yesterday. Cease was
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: mediocre as he usually is, didn't last that long into
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: the game. Suarez outlasted him by like three innings. Good
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: situation for the Red Sox really, Like, I think their
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: situation is actually pretty good coming into today's game because
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: of that. The Red Sox only used Weissert out of
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: the bullpen yesterday, so their bullpen is quite rested. Although
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: Toronto's you know, they only use three relief pitchers, but
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: Red Sox have the better bullpen their seventh and whip
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: Toronto is fifteenth and their era is worse as well,
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: so Red Sox have the bullpen edge here for sure.
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: Red Sox offense is starting to come alive a little bit,
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: but they're still somewhere near the bottom bottom four right now.
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: Toronto's not that much better right now. Twenty fourth though,
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: and then the starting pitching matchup is very interesting, totally
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: versus your savage, so we have the two young guns
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: going at it here. Totally has made one start so
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: far against the Yankees. He went six innings, three hits allout.
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: He only allowed one earned run, which is a very
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: very bullshit home run off pesky poll by Jazz Chisholm.
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: Totally had eleven strikeouts in one walk. He was excellent
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: in that outing. The problem is if you saw like
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: the emotion that he was putting into that start, he
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: was really hyped up for that start. That worries me
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: that this is gonna be a little bit of a
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: letdown after that because that start was so good.
• 27:36
  Speaker 2: Totally is good.
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's got a good pitch mix, he throws
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: really hard, he's got some pretty nasty breaking stuff, like
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: guys were just not able to figure out his curve
• 27:46
  Speaker 1: ball at all. And that was against that Yankee lineup.
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: That is very potent, So maybe he will do well
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: again here. He does have an advantage of unfamiliarity. Only
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: Clement or Clement has ever faced him before, oh for one,
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: so totally. You know he's got the unfamiliarity edge. Year,
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: trey Is Savage is gonna make his season debut for
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: the Blue Jays. I think he's been injured, so I
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: don't know what we're gonna get out of him. Man,
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: I should probably look and see what he did in
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: the minors this year, because he obviously must have had
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: some rehab starts here ya Savage. I mean, he was
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: known for making that one really good start against the
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: Yankees last year. But I mean, he's definitely good. He
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: has huge upside. He's obviously a good pitcher. But I
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: don't know exactly what we're to get out of him.
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: In his first start back. He actually did not pitch
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: well in the minors this year. He went he was
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: in Single A for one start and then Triple A
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: for one start this year.
• 28:42
  Speaker 2: Neither start was good.
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: Actually, his ERA was over eight in the single AS
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: start and six point seventy five and the Triple A start.
• 28:50
  Speaker 2: That's not a great sign.
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: So you know, he looks a little bit shaky right now,
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: But I mean, we know what he can do. Last year,
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: he had a three point two one, but he had
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: a one point four to three whip, which is higher
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: than you'd want to see. He didn't go that deep
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: into most of his starts, and of course he was
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: notorious for having a couple of really good starts in
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: the playoffs, that Yankee one, and then he had one
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: really good start against the Dodgers in the World Series
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: as well. So yeah, he's certainly capable of having a
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: dominant start, There's no doubt about that.
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: He might.
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: You know, he could be shaky as well, Like I
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: think he is a question mark coming into this game.
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: He'll be pumped to get back out there, though, so
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: he very well might pitch well. And the Red Sox
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: have never faced him before, so he might have a
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: good start for that reason too, because of the unfamiliarity.
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: I think totally might have a little bit of an
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: advantage though, having already pitched once, you know what I mean.
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: So that's the trade off, Like, is totally gonna be
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: in a letdown because he had a huge start against
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: the Yankees, or does he have an advantage because he
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: pitched already in the majors this year And just savage
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: as not I don't know, man, that Like I think, yeah,
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: one of them is a disadvantage, one of them is
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: an advantage, and it's like which one of those is
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: gonna win out? Toronto dropped for minus one twenty five
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: to minus one oh nine. I think if I was
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: gonna give out a play on this game, I think
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: I would go under. I mean, again, you got two
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar young like stud pitchers pretty much here, and the
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: bullpens are in decent enough shape I would say. I mean,
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: if you wanted to go first five and avoid Toronto's bullpen,
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: you could do that too. But yeah, I mean you're
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: getting seven and a half close to eight on the
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: full game. I think under does make sense in that game.
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: Uh, but I don't know. It seems a little bit
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: risky to me.
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: The strongest lean, uh, my strongest leans are the actual plays.
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: Though that's the problem, Like I don't like giving out
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: like I give out my opinions on every game, but
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: it's like it's hard to weigh how strongly I feel
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: about these games. And yesterday my additional leans, if you
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: want to call them, that were both correct, Like I said,
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: like the two that I felt strongly about. All that
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I really got that across during
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: the show. Should have added them as plays.
• 31:12
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: Washington had the Mets. Neither of these teams played yesterday.
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: The Mets just got embarrassed at home by Colorado. You
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: gotta think the Mets are gonna show up here. They
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: have a day off, they just had a horrendous series.
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: They're staying at home. They're playing a Washington team that
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: really is not very good. Even though Washington has hit
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: better than the Mets this year. That's the only thing
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: that you could really say about Washington. Washington's coming off
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: of a winning series, but it was against the White Sox.
• 31:39
  Speaker 2: Who cares.
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, if the Mets have anything, they gotta show
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: up here, man. Even though they did not show up
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: in that second game after the rain out against Colorado,
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: they couldn't even win with McClain on the mound. The Mets,
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: let me see, where's their bullpend?
• 31:57
  Speaker 2: Is not that bad? I don't know where it is.
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's twelve right now, they're an okay bullpen. They're
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: going up against the White Sox, right, No, Washington, my mistake,
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: some bad bullpen, Yeah, Washington Divisional series. Washington's bullpen is bad,
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: twenty fifth in WHIP. Their ERA is one of the worst,
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: so yeah, the Mets definitely have a bullpen advantage here.
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: Mets have been the worst offensive baseball, which I really
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: I still don't see that continuing.
• 32:26
  Speaker 2: Man Like.
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: Out of these bottom offenses right now, Milwaukee Red Sox, Giants,
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: I buy, I don't think their offense is that good, Phillies,
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: Mets like. I think all these teams are gonna move
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: up offensively, Like it's just insane to see those teams
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: being at the bottom. Washington has hit okay, but they've
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: fallen off a little bit. They're eleventh after they were
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: top several on the whole season until recently. I don't
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: like the pitching matchup for Washington here. Zach Lttel is
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: pitching seven point five six ERA, one point six.
• 33:00
  Speaker 2: To eight WHIP. That is not good.
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: Obviously, fifteen strike outs and eight walks and thirty four
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: hits allout in twenty five innings not good.
• 33:09
  Speaker 2: He's way too hittaball that's usually. He's alloted eleven home
• 33:13
  Speaker 2: runs already.
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: That has to be the most that anybody's allowed in baseball.
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: He's allowing almost a home run every other inning. That's
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: like unheard of, dude. Uh, that's Lattel. I mean he
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: usually has a decent strikeout rate and not a lot
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: of walks. He's putting pitches right over the plate and
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: getting hammered. That's the way that it is with him.
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: I don't trust him at all, obviously going up against
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: the Mets. Yeah, his numbers are not great against the Mets,
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: and forty one at bats ten to three strike a
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is fine. Two ninety three batting average allowed,
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: seven fifty six ops. Those are not great numbers. So yeah,
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: I think Lattel could definitely get hit in this game,
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: even though he is facing a struggling Mets lineup. Mets
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: have Clay Holmes pitching. I'm a huge fan of him,
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: but I'd take him over Lattel, especially right now. Two
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: point one ERA, one point zero three whip those are
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: good numbers. Nineteen to ten strike a walk ratio from
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: him is not good though, but only twenty one hits
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: allowed in thirty innings, so he's been pretty unhittable. He
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: gets a lot of ground ball outs, man, that's his thing.
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: He usually walks too many guys and I like, look
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: at him, and usually his whip is too high. Right
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: now it isn't, but I like the walks just really
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: worry me from him.
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: But he's walked only one.
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: Guy a piece in his last couple of outings, including
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: against the Dodgers on the road. You know, the ground
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: balls do keep him in these games. He hasn't allowed
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: more than two earned runs in any outing. He's obviously
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: much preferable to lattel against Washington. His numbers are fine
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: in twenty four at bats, no extra base hits allowed,
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: two strikeouts, no walks, two fifty batting hours allowed, five
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: hundred ops. This game, it's Mets or passed in this game, man,
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: Mets are up to minus one seventy seven, and it's
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: a juicy price. But you got to say that they
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: have the pitching edge across the board in this game.
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: I said that when they were playing the Rockies, though,
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: in Game two with McClain on the mound and the
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: Mets offense is so bad they couldn't even get it
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: done in that one. The Mets scored one run in
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: that doubleheader. They had two games on one day and
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: they scored one run. They only allowed six I think,
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: and they didn't win either game, absolutely ridiculous. Mets pitching
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: really hasn't been the problem, and it's been the hitting.
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I think if you play this game, make
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: your own minus one run line on the Mets.
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: I guess, is what I would say to do here.
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, if you could go Washington under their
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: team total. But I don't know if I trust homes
• 35:49
  Speaker 1: that much, you know, I think I prefer the combination
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: of homes over Latl. Yeah, I think I would go
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: Mets run line here, the minus one run line.
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: I don't really want.
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: To do it, but that's probably one of the stronger
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: opinions I have. Detroit at Atlanta's on TBS. All these
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: other games I talked about, we're on MLB Network. These
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: teams I think were both off yesterday as well. Atlanta
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: is staying at home. They just beat Philadelphia in a
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: weekend series. I don't remember. Was that the night game
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: on Sunday? Let me see, No, the Mets Colorado or no?
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: That was the doubleheader?
• 36:27
  Speaker 3: What?
• 36:27
  Speaker 2: Oh? It was a Cubs I think? Wait? What?
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I think the Peacock night game I think was
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: Cubs Dodgers, which I forgot to mention that with the
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: Cubs handicapped yesterday because I mentioned San Diego was returning
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: home from Mexico City. Thought that was a bad spot,
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: but the Cubs coming off that night game. I mean,
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: I kind of alluded to it anyway, though, because the
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: Cubs are coming up that big series against the Dodgers.
• 36:51
  Speaker 1: I should have mentioned it with the Dodgers yesterday too,
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: But I also kind of alluded to the fact that
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: I thought the Dodgers were laying a bit too heavy
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: of a price in that one and they barely got
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: the win, which I'll mention in a minute. Detroit and Atlanta,
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: though neither of these teams played yesterday. Detroit is coming
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: in from Cincinnati. They won the last game of the
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: series against Cincinnati. Atlanta has been good this year man.
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: Both teams have rested bullpens here. Atlanta is still the
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: number one bullpen and whip. I think they're, you know,
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: a top several bullpen. I don't think they're actually the
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: number one, but they're up there. Detroit's bullpen has been struggling.
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: They're at twenty fourth. I don't think they're quite that bad,
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: but they're not a great bullpen. So Atlanta bullpen edge.
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: Atlanta's been second in offense.
• 37:37
  Speaker 2: Detroit sixth.
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: I think that's a little bit more of a question
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: mark which offense is better. You could make the argument
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: it is Detroit, because I think Atlanta's overperformed.
• 37:46
  Speaker 2: A little bit there.
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: Starting pitching, I think I got to tilt the scales
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: towards Casey Miyes of Detroit. He's actually having a pretty
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: good season, man, and he's the younger of the two
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: pitchers here. Two point five to one ERA one I've whip.
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: I've never really been a fan of his, but you
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: can't really argue with his numbers here. He's had one
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: bad start on the season against Minnesota, and if you
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: throw that and that was on the road though, so yeah,
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: you know, but his other road starts were good. You
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: throw that start out, he's allowed one or zero earned
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: runs and all of his other starts thirty two to
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: ten strike out, walk, raceiar twenty three hits a lot
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: in twenty eight and two thirds innings. He's pitching well
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: this season. Against the Braves, they have thirty six at
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: bats against him, three walks, three strikeouts, two to fifty
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: batting average seven to fifty two ops. Ops is a
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: little bit high because a couple triples in there and
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: then a home run from Olsen. But overall, I like myes.
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: He's in good form right now. I mean, I don't
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: want to say I like him, but I like the
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: way he's pitching right now. At the very least, he's
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: going up against the veteran Martin Perez, who does have
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: good numbers this year for the Braves two point seventy
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: ra point nine to four whip. I mean, he's a
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: guy they basically just had to get an arm for
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: their rotation because they have way too many injuries in
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: their starting rotation, and he's filled in fine.
• 39:07
  Speaker 2: You know, he's a veteran. He knows what he's doing
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: out there.
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: He doesn't blow guys away or anything, but he's been
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: able to keep his team in these games.
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: For sure. His overall numbers don't look great.
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: He's not a strikeout guy though, fourteen to six strikeout
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: walk ratio, sixteen hits a lot in twenty three and
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: a third innings. He's been hard to hit this year,
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: which is kind of strange because again he is not
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: a hard thrower, but he'll try to, you know, fool
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: you with off speed stuff and location and whatever. Decent
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: numbers overall, I expect some regression here, though. He's more
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: of a guy that's gonna put up like a four
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: something era and like a one point two something whip probably,
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: you know, that would be more in line with what
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: I would expect out of him.
• 39:50
  Speaker 2: But he's pitching okay right now.
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: I think Miz has like the much much higher ceiling
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: though Perez going up against Detroit on the task. Although
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: MYS facing Atlanta is not gonna be that easy either,
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: Perez does have decent numbers against him in one hundred
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: and sixteen at bats because he's been around for so
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: long and on all these different teams, including I think
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: he was on the White Sox somewhat recently, so he
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: was in Detroit's division. Twenty six to eleven strike out
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: walk ratio against them. That's not great, but again, he's
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: not really a high strikeout guy. To twenty four batting average,
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: six eighty six ops allowed, those.
• 40:26
  Speaker 2: Numbers are fine.
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: You know, I'm gonna slightly lean Detroit here, Atlanta down
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: for minus won twenty five to minus one seventeen.
• 40:36
  Speaker 2: I think Myz a little bit more trustworthy.
• 40:38
  Speaker 1: If you want to go first five innings, you could
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: do that just to avoid the bullpen disadvantage that Detroit has.
• 40:45
  Speaker 2: I think an under is okay in this game too, though.
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: The totals at nine, which seems a little high, and
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: you're looking at teams, like everybody knows these teams can
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: hit pretty well, so the public might think over in
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: this game.
• 40:59
  Speaker 2: But both pitchers.
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: Maybe a little bit under the radar here, you know,
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: and then you get at least one pretty good bullpen
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: with Atlanta and under you know a key number there,
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: well that looks like it might be more than the
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: eight and a half range there. I think it under
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: kind of makes sense in the game. So, you know,
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: those would be my opinions in that game. Anaheim at
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: the White Sox, these teams did play yesterday in a
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: high scoring affair. The White Sox won the game eight
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: to seven. I thought Anaheim had a little bit of
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: an edge in that game. It was Kohanowitz against k
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: But both bullpens are bad, so the over kind of
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: made sense in that game. It just generally in this
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: series it kind of seems to make sense. Anaheim used
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: three relief pitchers yesterday, the White Sox used four.
• 41:46
  Speaker 2: Uh, they only used Hudson for four pitches.
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: Though, and I think he was the opener yesterday, like
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: he didn't have a Did he have a four pitch inning?
• 41:54
  Speaker 2: Maybe he did, I don't know, or he got hurt.
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: I don't think so, though, because I think it would
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: show the injury list designation there if he did. I
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, but I don't trust these bullpens obviously,
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: the White Sox they are where are they at? They're
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: twenty seventh and Anaheim's twenty eighth.
• 42:11
  Speaker 2: They're both bad.
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: Bullpens, so you want to fade these two teams bullpens.
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: Anaheim is seventh in offense, but again, yeah, a lot
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: of their offense is power hitting, So I don't know, man.
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: White Sox offense definitely not as good as Anaheim's, though
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: they're at twenty third, and I think Anaheim has been
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: a good offense on the road, so that's something to
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: keep in mind this game. I would not want to
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: play an over though, even though generally this series looks
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: like an over series. You got Jose Soriano pitching for Anaheim.
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: He's been the best pitcher in baseball this year.
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: He's got a.
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: Point two four ERA and point eight to two whip Man.
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know how you can possibly have an era
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: lower than your whip. He's allowed one and run all season.
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: Anaheim's won all six of his outings, and he somehow
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: didn't get a win in his last outing despite pitching
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: another shutout for five innings. He's been lights out, dude,
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: and last year his problems all came pretty much at
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: home last year. He was really good on the road
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: last year, and he is on the road right now too.
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: I would not want to fade Soriano right now. He's
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: facing a bad lineup as well. He's on fire right now.
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: I do expect some regression here though. I mean, these
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: are unsustainable numbers, but he's pitching great this year.
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: Forty three to thirteen strike up walk ratio.
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: It is too many walks, that's kind of the concern
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: with him, although he didn't walk any in his last outing,
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: but he's had multiple multi walk outings. He's been unhittable though,
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: eighteen hits in thirty seven to two thirds innings. That's
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: pretty crazy, and the only run that he allowed was
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: a solo home run against Atlanta. White Sox don't even
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: have that much experience against him. Three of their hitters
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: have faced him six at bats and the only hit
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: is a single from Ben and ten days they have
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: one hit, one for six, three walks, two strikeouts, one
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: sixty seven average, six to eleven ops. Again, Soreano looks
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: like he sets up nicely in this one. He's going
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: up against Davis Martin, who I don't think is that good.
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: But he is having a good season right now. Two
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: point oh one ERA, one point oh two whip. He's
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: been a big time surprise man. His numbers are good.
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: He's allowed three or fewer earned runs in every outing.
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: He's allowed two or fewer in all of his April outings.
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: Twenty six to seven strike out walk ratio. That's pretty good,
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: twenty five HiT's allowed, thirty one and a third innings.
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: None of these numbers are bad. And he's had three
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: road starts in a row. He had to pitch at
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: the A's stadium at Arizona.
• 44:43
  Speaker 2: That's not easy. Those are hitter friendly ballparks. Had good
• 44:46
  Speaker 2: starts in both.
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: Yeah, he's pitching well right now, and his numbers against
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: Anaheim are fine and twenty three at bats three to three,
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio, two sixty one average allowed, seven
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: to thirty seven ops.
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: That's not horrible this game.
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean that's why I said I don't think
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: the over makes a lot of sense in this one.
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: Even though the bullpens are bad, I think the best
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: way to play.
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: This is first five under.
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: You're looking at a total seven and a half maybe
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: eight full game first five under makes a lot of
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: sense to me in this one. Both pitchers look like
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: they have decent matchup numbers. They're both pitching well, even
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: though I think there is gonna be some regression, especially
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: from Davis Martin. But the way these guys are pitching
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: right now, again, the matchup numbers are not that concerning
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: to me. Yeah, I like the first five under in
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: this one. I don't think I quite want to put
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: that on my card. You're probably looking at three and
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: a half there, but that's what I would do, and
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: you get one bad offense to it. The White Sox.
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: I would also lean to Anaheim. I think Soriano is
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: the better starter here. Bullpens basically are a wash in
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: my opinion. Anaheim's got the better hitting, so if you
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: will go full game on it, you'll get full advantage
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: of that. Minus won twenty nine is the price there,
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: But my preference there is first five under in that game.
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: Arizona at Milwaukee. Milwaukee did just end a losing streak.
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: They had a four game losing streak, and they won
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: against Pittsburgh to finish that series. And I talk about
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: how when teams end the losing streak sometimes that will
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: break that losing momentum. So it might be an okay
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: spot for Milwaukee. They're staying at home and Arizona is
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: coming back from Mexico City, and unlike San Diego, they
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: did have yesterday off, but returning from Mexico City, well,
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: going from Mexico City to Milwaukee kind of a weird
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: travel spot, unfamiliar travel spot for Arizona, so that's not
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: necessarily great. So situation to me sets up better for
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee here. As far as the bullpen's, Milwaukee's bullpen has struggled.
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: They're at twenty third, although their era is actually better
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: than the Diamondbacks, who are third in whips. So it's
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: crazy how these early seasons numbers work out. I don't
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: think Arizona's bullpen is that good. I think there are
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: some arguments to be made that the Brewers bullpen is
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: actually better than Arizona's, so I don't put that much
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: weighted to those numbers.
• 47:12
  Speaker 2: I think at the.
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: Very least, it's a lot closer than the Whip makes
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: it look. Arizona's been hitting better than the Brewers. I'll
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: give them that.
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: They're eighth right now on offense.
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: Brewers are twenty six, although again they're another one of
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: those teams where I think their offense is better than that,
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: but they've had injuries, which I think they still do.
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: ESPN is Merril Kelly listed as the starter for Arizona,
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: but I don't know if that's gonna be the case
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: because the screen here on pregame doesn't have them as
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: having a listed starter. I mean we can handicap him
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: here briefly. I fucking hate you Firefox, all right, Merril Kelly.
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, he hasn't had a good season so far,
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: even though I think he's an alright pitcher. He's getting
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: up there in age though, nine point three one ERA,
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: two point two eight WHIP. Really, the numbers are just
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: all really skewed by one really bad start against the
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: White Sox, but it was against the White Sox. They're
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: not a good offense, and he's walked three or more
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: in both of his outings so far. So yeah, that
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: is concerning. He's not pitching well right now. He might
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: turn it around, because you know, just what he did
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: last year with Texas. He was much much better than this,
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: although Texas has better pitching coaching and a more pitcher
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: from the environment. But in most of his career I
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: think has been with Arizona, if I'm not mistaken, So
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: he is used to pitching with Arizona. Yeah, and his
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: numbers throughout his career, his numbers have been a lot
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: better than this, So I do think he will get
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: better than this at some point.
• 48:38
  Speaker 2: I don't know if it's gonna be here.
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: He's gonna have to go up against Milwaukee. Numbers against
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee are good though, in fifty one at bats fourteen
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: to two strike at walker ratio one seventy six average
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: allowed four forty three oh ps. But we don't know
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: if he's actually pitching in this game, but it looks
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: like it would be a decent matchup for him, at
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: least going up against Milwaukee. Chad Patrick is going to
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: pitch for Milwaukee here. Decent numbers on the season. Two
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: point three five ERA obviously is good, one point two
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: six whip is fine. He doesn't go that deep into
• 49:11
  Speaker 1: his outings for the most part, though, and his strikeout
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is concerning, but he just doesn't strike guys out.
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: Eleven strikeouts in twenty three innings, eight walks, twenty one
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: hits allowed.
• 49:21
  Speaker 2: His numbers are pretty good overall.
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: He just had his worst start of the season at Detroit,
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: though not a great outing from him in that one.
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: He was pitching well.
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: All of his other starts were pretty good prior to that,
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: so he might bounce back here. But again, he's not
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: a guy that comes in in like Moe's hitters down,
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: like he's gonna try to get you out with getting
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: you know, inducing like soft contact and stuff like that.
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: Numbers against Arizona are not that good, but it's only
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: eleven at bats worth. They have five hitters who faced
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: him one to one, strike out walk ratio three sixty
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: four average, seven to eighty ops. They don't have any
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: extra base hits against him, not that you can really
• 50:00
  Speaker 1: take away from that. It's a small sample. Milwaukee's at
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: minus one to eleven here. It's very, very difficult. You
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: can't really do much with this game if you don't
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: know who's pitching for Arizona, dude, because I think Merrill Kelly.
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, he is a total mystery too, because he's
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: pitched so poorly so far this year, but he's much
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: better in his career, and you know, we don't know
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: if he's fallen off a cliff yet because he is
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: kind of old now. The Milwaukee matchup doesn't look that
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: bad for him, So it's very, very difficult to figure
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: out this game. This game, yeah, it's got to be
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: a stay away from me, although I will reiterate the
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee does have some matchup edges or some excuse situational
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: edges there, so maybe lean Milwaukee a little bit for
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: that reason, just based on the situation. You got Chad
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: Patrick behind you, who's not that bad typically, So I
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: don't know. Next game up is my other play, the
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: one that I had locked in for the whole show.
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: Although should I take my usual quick break before I
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: do this?
• 51:08
  Speaker 2: You know what?
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: Yeah I will, So I'm gonna have this play. We
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: don't really have what the market read looks like on this,
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: but this game is the Seattle Minnesota game. You might
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: not be able to guess where I'm going with this
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: because it looks like I might have one way that
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna approach this, but I'm actually not doing well.
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: I already told you it's a side, so I think
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: you might think that I would go under in this game,
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: but that's not actually what I'm gonna do.
• 51:31
  Speaker 2: I'll be back in a second though.
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 51:55
  Speaker 2: Inside I want to kill myself. We are on and seven.
• 52:00
  Speaker 2: Run over the last two days after tonight it was
• 52:02
  Speaker 2: just complete bullshit.
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five.
• 52:08
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 52:11
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: never seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing.
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: Two straight losses, not a good day at all, own
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: four that.
• 52:23
  Speaker 2: Have not had a good season.
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: slump continues.
• 52:31
  Speaker 2: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: my browins hat man. I don't know what is going
• 52:37
  Speaker 2: on with the Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 52:40
  Speaker 2: I don't even know it's March ninth, I think who
• 52:44
  Speaker 2: even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what day it is anymore? Man,
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I could
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: possibly have, Back with you as I always am until
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: I die at least oh and two yesterday and yesterday
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: it did not go well for me. Own five the
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen years
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: doing this.
• 53:07
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 53:09
  Speaker 3: To the slump, perise, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 53:14
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 53:17
  Speaker 3: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 53:19
  Speaker 3: other than potentially end it all.
• 53:27
  Speaker 2: All right.
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: The play in this game is gonna be the Seattle
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: Mariners money line minus won twenty five. Here, we're gonna fade,
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: Joe Ryan, I know you might be able to get
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: a better price on this. It looks like minus one
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: eighteen right now.
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: I didn't love what.
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: I saw here on the wager Talk screen. Here, I
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: should look at the other one here. It looks like, Yeah,
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: it looks like the money's coming out in the under.
• 53:52
  Speaker 2: In that game, I gave out the over, so that's
• 53:55
  Speaker 2: a concern.
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: But I don't know, man, This is just the way
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: that I'm handicap these and then the money looked like
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: it was disagreeing with me on this game too.
• 54:06
  Speaker 2: No, it doesn't.
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: Now it looks like all the money's coming in on
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: Seattle now eighty four percent of the money, fifty four
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets on the Minnesota side. But yes,
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: we're gonna take Seattle for a number of reasons here.
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: Minnesota won the game yesterday despite the return home spot.
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: They won eleven to four yesterday. That's something I'm not
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: gonna really buy into. Man, this Minnesota team, they are
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: not as good as Seattle, and the oddsmakers are telling
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: you Seattle is the better team by listing him as
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: a favorite on the road. Despite the fact that Minnesota's
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: ace Joe Ryan is pitching, the oddsmakers are still telling
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: you Seattle is supposed to win this game.
• 54:45
  Speaker 2: Seattle's been playing a little bit better. They just swept
• 54:48
  Speaker 2: the road series.
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: So they had one road win going into that series
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: against Saint Louis. But they were able to sweep that series.
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: They got a better road record. Now, Minnesota, I know
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: they've been good at home eight and six. I don't
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: buy it. I don't buy this Minnesota team. Yes, I
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: do like Joe Ryan, but I don't think it's enough.
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: I think there are just too many edges to Seattle here.
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: Minnesota did only use two relief pitchers yesterday, but I
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: don't like their bullpen. Seattle only used two as well,
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: and all of Seattle's best relievers are available here, so
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: you have, I think a big bullpen edge for Seattle here.
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: High leverage arms all available, and Minnesota's bullpen is not good.
• 55:28
  Speaker 2: They're twenty sixth in whip, their ray is almost five.
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: Seattle's bullpen is only nineteenth in whip, but their ray
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: is in the threes. They're obviously the better bullpen. I mean,
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: they have a lot of the same guys as last year.
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: They're all available today, so we have a big bullpen
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: edge for Seattle Offensively. I don't really even think Minnesota
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: is that good. They're thirteenth. They're starting to drop down
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Seattle's nineteenth, so the gap is closing.
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: Seattle hit pretty well on the road last year because
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: they were outside of their hitter friendly outside of their
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: pitcher friendly environment.
• 56:03
  Speaker 2: Excuse me, So Seattle was able to hit on the road.
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: They certainly have enough bats that they can produce offensively.
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: Logan Gilbert is pitching for Seattle. You know, he's got
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: numbers that are gonna get him overlooked. I think in
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: this game he's got a four point three six ERA one.
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: Point two to seven whip.
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: That's not excellent, but and I know he usually does
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: pitch better at home, but not this year.
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: This year.
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: He actually has a three ERA on the road this year,
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: so he's actually been fine on the road this year.
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: His numbers are kind of being skewed by like one
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: bad start against the Yankees, and then his last start
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: wasn't great against the A's, but he had strung together
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: a few good starts in a row before that, So
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: I'm not about to say he's going out of form
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: or anything like that. I think Gilbert is good. I
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: think he's gonna bounce back. His overall numbers are pretty
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: good this year. He's got thirty five strikeouts, seven walks.
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: That's a really good race. So his command numbers are there,
• 57:03
  Speaker 1: thirty five hits allowed in thirty three innings. He's got
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: to get that under wraps a little bit along a
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: few too many hits, but it's not that bad. And
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: against Minnesota he's got dominant numbers in fifty five at bats.
• 57:15
  Speaker 2: Sixteen strikeouts, three walks.
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: He has a lot a couple of home runs in
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: there to Caratini and Jeffers, but I'm not that concerned
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: about it. One twenty seven batting average allowed four to
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: oh nine ops allowed in fifty five is a pretty
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: good sample. And Gilbert has done well against these Twins batters,
• 57:34
  Speaker 1: some of it probably in Seattle though, And yes, he's
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: going up against Joe Ryan. I know we're gonna have
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: to fade. We're yeah, I get it, we're fading Joe Ryan.
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: Getting Joe Ryan as an underdog almost seems like a
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: gift man. But I think it's a trap, you know.
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: I think the oddsmakers again, they're telling you something by
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: giving you Joe Ryan as an underdog here. Why would
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: they do that, Well, it's because Seattle is the better
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: team in every other aspect of this game. Even if
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: you think Joe Ryan is better than Logan Gilbert, and yeah,
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: he probably is, but I'm gonna show you the matchup
• 58:05
  Speaker 1: numbers here, and I think that at least cancels out
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: the fact that Ryan is generally better than Logan Gilbert.
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: Ryan as a three point ninety array one point oh
• 58:15
  Speaker 1: to whip obviously He's got good numbers, good stuff on
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: the season numbers a little bit lesser than Gilbert's as
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: far as the strike out walk numbers, thirty three to
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: eight still good though, and twenty five it's allowed in
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: thirty two and a third innings.
• 58:28
  Speaker 2: So yes, he's difficult to hit.
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: But I think it's a little concerning that he did
• 58:33
  Speaker 1: just allow four earned runs against the Mets who haven't
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: been able to hit it at all.
• 58:38
  Speaker 2: That's a little bit weird. So was that a fluke? Maybe?
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean, maybe he'll come back
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: into form here. You know, we don't know yet if
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: he's going out of form or not. But his numbers
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: against Seattle are actually not good. We have seventy at
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: bats to work with here. Nineteen to four strike out
• 58:56
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is good, but he's a lot of three
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: fourteen batting average in eight nine four ohps to them.
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: So Seattle has been able to tee off on Joe
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: Ryan in the past, and some of those numbers have
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: to be in Seattle most likely as well, So it
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: goes both ways. The matchup numbers look like they actually
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: strongly favor Logan Gilbert plus you get the better team
• 59:16
  Speaker 1: with Seattle in a bounce back spot with the better bullpen.
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: Yeah, let's do it, Seattle. That's the player there, all right?
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: Yankees at Texas. This is on Amazon Prime. Texas lost
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: the game four to two yesterday. I was correct about
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: the under lean in that game too. What else is new?
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: Another small, you know, slight opinion was correct. Texas used
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: two relief pitchers yesterday. Most of their better relievers are
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: available today. The Yankees used three, including a couple of
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: their better relievers.
• 59:51
  Speaker 2: So I think Texas does have a bullpen. Heads here.
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: They would anyway because they have one of the top
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: bullpens in baseball. There's second in whip right now, in
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: one of the best ball eras. I think maybe the best.
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: Actually yeah, I think they have the best bullpen.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: Era. Yankees bullpen not as good. Where are they at?
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: They're at seventeenth, not horrible, but yeah, Texas has the
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: better bullpen.
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 2: Yankees have the better offense.
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: They're at fifth in OPS, Texas is twentieth, so you know,
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: probably about what is expected. Yankees have Cam Schlittler pitching,
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: and he's having a really good season. Obviously, one point
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: seven to seven e ra point seven to three whip,
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: ridiculous forty one to four strike out walk ratio on
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: twenty two hits a loud in thirty five and two
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: thirds innings. He's alloted three or fourer earned runs in
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: every outing. The Yankees have won all but one start
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: of his and that one wasn't even exactly his fault.
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 2: Even though it was.
• 1:00:49
  Speaker 1: One of his lesser starts, it still wasn't even bad.
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: He's obviously pitching really well. He is coming up a
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: big emotional game where he matched up against Peyton Totley
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: against the Red Sox, so he might be in a
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: little bit of a letdown spot after that. But he's
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: pitching well just day in and day out. He's in
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: a pitcher friendly environment here in Texas. Has never faced
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: him before, so that's another advantage to a young pitcher. Again,
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: when the opposing offense has never seen him before, Yeah,
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: that is an advantage. I don't really think Schlitler is
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: gonna do poorly here. The only worry is maybe the
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: letdown after facing the Red Sox. Jacob de Grom is
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: pitching for the Rangers. He's been really good as well.
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: Two point one three ERA one point oh seven whip
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: He's the much older of the two pitchers here. Though,
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: we have a I don't know, like a fourteen year
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: age gap between the two pitchers here either there or no,
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: not quite that.
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: I think Schlitler's a little bit older than that.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: Right still, we probably have about a decade age gap here.
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: De Grom, He's got good numbers on the season, thirty
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: five strikeouts, seven walks, twenty hits, a lot on twenty
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: five and a third innings.
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 2: Texas has won all five of his starts so far.
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: He's not going quite that deep into most of his
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: outings though, you know, I mean, he's getting a little
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: bit up there in age.
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 2: I think they're trying to limit his pitch count a
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 2: little bit.
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: But he has been really good, and then they're following
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: him up with their bullpen.
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 2: That is pretty good.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: His numbers against the Yankees, though, are a little bit iffy.
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: One hundred and one at bats thirty nine to ten
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio that's pretty good, two forty eight
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: batting average all out. His fine nine seventy nine ops
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: is where you get a little bit worried. He's allowed
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: twelve home runs to them. That is a very high
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: home run rate. Uh Stanton nine for twenty seven with
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: four home runs, and greet Shock five for thirteen with
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: two home runs. Bellinger five for nineteen with two home runs.
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: So those are the guys that have done a lot
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: of that damage, not the guys that you would necessarily expect.
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: That makes me worry about to Grom a little bit there.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: I still think the under does make sense though in
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: that game. It's a low total though, seven and a half,
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: and it's headed towards seven. You know, there are some
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: question marks with like the Yankees bullpen there, first five
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: inning under maybe makes some sense. The Yankees re minus
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: one twenty on the money line. You know, I'd probably
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: see more arguments for the Yankees than Texas there. Schlittler
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: has been better than de Grom. I mean, he has
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: the higher ceiling right now, I would say, because he's
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: the younger pitcher. But I think if you want to
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: go Yankees, maybe first five though makes more sense because
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: Texas does have the bullpen edge there. You know, de
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: Grom's numbers against Yankees kind of concerning, but it is
• 1:03:33
  Speaker 1: a picture friend.
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 2: The environment here.
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: I still think probably my preference is first five under
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: in that game, all right, Cubs at San Diego. San
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: Diego won in that game that got way out of
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: control nine to seven yesterday. The under was not even close.
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: Both started pitchers got tagged in that game. I don't
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: know what happened in that game. San Diego used three
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: relief pitchers, which is not good for them really because
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: they used basically their three beats best relief pitchers, So
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: that's not good. The Cubs use three as well. Both
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: bullpens generally are pretty good. San Diego's is really good,
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: but they're a little bit less good if they don't
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: have their best relievers available. Mason Millery think finally allowed
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: a run in last night's game, where he had gone
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: some ridiculous amount of innings without allowing one. But I
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: think San Diego, yeah, they do have a really, really
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: good bullpen, but it's a little bit less good coming
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: into this game because of the guys they used last night. Cubs,
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, they are kind of in a similar situation
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: though they have a decent bullpen. These teams are eighth
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: and ninth and whip respectively here. But Cubs, you know,
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: use some of their I think better relievers as well yesterday,
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: so maybe that kind of cancels that out a little bit.
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 1: The Cubs have been the better offense. They are let
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: me see, ninth offense. No, no, that's Whip one of my
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: come on, No, they're fourth defensively and San Diego is eighteenth,
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: which is probably about what you would expect from them.
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: Cubs do have the better offense, and I think the
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: Cubs definitely have a starting pitching edg hear.
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: Edward Cabrera is pitching for them.
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: He's having a good season two point seven to three ERA,
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: one point one to eight WHIP. He's allowed no more
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: than three earned runs in every outing. He's been pretty consistent.
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: The Cubs have won four of his five starts. Twenty
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: two to eleven strike out walk race is a little concerning,
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: too many walks. Didn't walk any in his last outing
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: against Pittsburgh, though. Twenty four hits or Philadelphia excuseally not
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Philadelphia. Twenty four hits allowed in twenty nine to
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: two thirds innings.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 2: That's good.
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: The only really really bad number here is the walks.
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: Although the strikeout rate is down, which is a little
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: bit worrisome as well because Cabrera is usually more of
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: a strikeout guy. I think so that is a little
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: bit concerning. Numbers against San Diego are really good, though
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: in fifty four at bats, fourteen to five strike at
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is not that good. Again, too many walks,
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: but one sixty seven average for seventy eight ops allowed.
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 2: He definitely could.
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: Come in and pitch well here, obviously, and he's going
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: up against the much maligned Walker Bueller, who still doesn't
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: really show many signs of being able to come back
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: from all the Tommy John and whatever he's had. So
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: we'll go one for two with him and Dustin May
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: for the guys that couldn't come back from Tommy John surgery,
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: who were briefly on the Red Sox five point seven
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: five ERA, one point six to two whip not good.
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: Just generally this season hasn't been that good. Twenty to
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: nine strike out walk ratio, too many walks, twenty four
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: hits allowed in twenty to third innings, too many hits
• 1:06:40
  Speaker 1: as well. San Diego has won three of his five outings,
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: but I don't know. I don't expect much from Bueller.
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: His numbers are not horrible against the Cubs seventy two
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: at bats, sixteen to five strike out walk ratio, two
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: sixty four average seven to twenty eight ops very mediocre.
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: I like the Cubs in this one, you know, maybe
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: even full game because you get to dodge basically not
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers, but you get to avoid the best relievers
• 1:07:08
  Speaker 1: that San Diego has. For the most part, Cubs re
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: minus one to fourteen on the money line here Cabrera,
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: that clearly is better than Bueller. You could go first
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: five with it as well if you wanted to. But yeah,
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: that would be my opinion there.
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 2: I like the Cubs.
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: Maybe they bounce back from losing yesterday too, so uh, situationally,
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: it doesn't look that bad for the Cubs either. There's
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: a reason why they're favored on the road. So yeah,
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: it looks like a little bit of a piss pissing,
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: little bit of a pitching mismatch, but not one that
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: I quite want to jump in on. Kansas City at
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: the A's an ESPN Unlimited game. The A's are returning
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 1: over from a road trip. Both of these teams were
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: off yesterday, so we have rested bullpens, but the bullpens
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: have stunk this year for these teams. The a is
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: returning over from going to Seattle and Texas. Again a
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: return home spot not the greatest spot for a team
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: to get back to home life. You know, it could
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: be a distraction. You got stuff to do back at home.
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: Kansas City is starting a road trip, which again these
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: teams that have to go out west sometimes that first
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: game kind of messes with their biological clock. Maybe Kansas
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: City is in a little bit of a letdown because
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: they did sweep Anni in their last game, but their
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: offenses started to come around. Then again, they were doing
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: that against bad pitching. But then again, they're going to
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: a very hitter from the environment here and they're also
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: facing bad pitching in this game, So Kansas City's offense
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: might actually continue to do okay here. Bullpen wise, Kansas
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: City's had the second worst. They've been atrocious. That's not good.
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: The Aas have been a little bit better than that,
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: but twenty first, I don't think they have a particularly
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: good bullpen. A's are starting to hit there at fifteenth.
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: Kansas City has started to hit as well, moved up
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: to sixteenth in ops, So some aspects of this look
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: like there are gonna be some runs scored in this one.
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: Chris Bubitch is pitching for the Rule though he's got
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: pretty good numbers this year. Four point eight ra isn't great,
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: but one point one two whip indicates his era should
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: be a little bit better than that. The walks are
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: concerned from him, though. Man, he's walked three guys in
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: every outing except one. Twenty nine to thirteen strike out
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: walk ratio. That is way too many walks. Nineteen hits
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: all out of twenty eight and two thirds innings. The
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: rest of the numbers are good, it's all the walks
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: that are the problem right now.
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 2: He's got to get that under control. Man.
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: Going up against the A's, they basically haven't seen him.
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: Only two of their hitters have ever faced them before.
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: They only have one hit, a single from wins. They're
• 1:09:37
  Speaker 1: combined one for eleven off him, three strikeouts, no walks,
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: So not a lot you can take away from that,
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: other than the fact that maybe Boo Bitch'll actually pitch
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: well here because the A's are unfamiliar with him. But
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: this is a very hitter friendly ballpark, this bad Triple
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: A stadium the A's playing, so maybe you know it's
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: not all good there. Aaron Savali is pitching for the
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: A's three point eight to sixty RA looks pretty good,
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: but one point three two whip not so much. He's
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: not really that good. Twenty one to seven strike a
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: walk ratio, that's fine. It's like right on the Mendoza line.
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: Twenty seven hits a lou on, twenty five to two
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: thirds innings. None of these numbers are egregiously bad or anything.
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: He's an okay pitcher going up against Kansas City. Where
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: we are, Dude, I can't even find it here? What's
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: going on?
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 2: Here? We go? His numbers are okay.
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: It's a big sample size, one hundred and sixteen at bats,
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 1: nineteen to four strike a walk ratio, two forty one
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: batting average allowed, seven to twenty four ohps allowed. It's
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: not a spot where I really want to come in
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: and actually go over here.
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: I mean, if you.
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: If you went full game on the total, I think
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: you probably do have to lean over because the bullpens stink,
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: so that might help get you there. But I don't
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: love fading the starting pitchers here. I think I'm gonna
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: lean Kansas City. They're starting a road trip. A is
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 1: a returning over from a road trip. Boob is overall
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: better than savale, and people might maybe think otherwise because
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: they look at the era and they see that his
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: eray is a little bit worse. I'm gonna slightly lean
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: to the Royals in that one, but that one's definitely
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: not making my card or anything. Royals are at about
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: minus one thirteen there on the money line. Miami at
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers is the last game we have here. The
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: Dodgers won yesterday barely five to four. Looking at the
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: bullpen usage here, the Dodgers used four relief pitchers, including Henriquez,
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: so I think it's like their closer or whatever. I
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: think he or maybe Tanner Scott is I don't know.
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: They used both of them yesterday, though I don't know.
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: Henriquez is the guy that.
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 2: Throws the hardest, though I don't know.
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: But yeah, the Dodgers their bullpen, yeah, a little bit
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: questionable and the best relievers I think it might be
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: unavailable here tonight. Miami their bullpen is kind of falling
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: off a little bit.
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 2: They use a lot of guys.
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: Yesterday they used five really pitchers, I think is what
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: that is. So that's not great either. Miami bullpen wise
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: is at thirteenth. The Dodgers are fifth, believe it.
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: Or not in Whip.
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: But yeah, both bullpens look like they're probably I think
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: they're not as good as maybe they've.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: Quite looked so far the season.
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: I think the bullpens might be a little bit fadable
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: given what the usage was yesterday.
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 2: Dodgers number one in offense.
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: Obviously Miami has fallen off a little bit there at twelfth.
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: We know that the Dodgers have the better offense, though
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: these are not starting pitchers that I'm really like jumping
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: out of my seat to fade though. Jansen Junk is
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: pitching for the Marlins or Yunk three point six seventy
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: RA one point one to five Whip. He's actually put
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: up five numbers this year. Not the greatest pitcher or anything,
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: but he's been definitely more than okay, seventeen to seven
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio is not really that good. He's
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: not really a strikeout pitcher though, twenty seven innings, twenty
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: four hits allowed, that's pretty good. He's allowed no more
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: than four earned runs in any outing. Not bad numbers
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: against the Dodgers. They actually haven't even really seen him.
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: They only have three hitters have ever faced him. The
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: only hit is a Kyle Tucker hit. He hit the
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: walk off home run last night, I think, or something
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: like that for the Dodgers. So dramatic finished for the
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: Dodgers last night. But of course the Marlins were also
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: involved in that, so that's kind of a wash. I
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: give you think the Dodgers are in a letdown after that.
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: I think it's more likely that Miami might be a
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: little bit hung over after that, because they almost pulled
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: off the huge upset last night and they put a
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: scare into the Dodgers. So the Dodgers might play better
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: in this game. But I don't really want to fade
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: Junk here because again, the Dodgers in one for five
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: off him, Tucker the only hit, a single, one strikeout,
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: no walks. Unfamiliarity there. Yet, Junk might actually do okay
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: in this game. He's going up against Shoey o'tan and
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: he's gonna get the start here. ESPN has not changed
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: him back over to a starting pitcher, so I can't
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: see his pitching matchup numbers. Whoops, you can see his
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: pitching game log at least, and he's pitched well. I
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: can't really see what his overalls overall era is. Yeah,
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: point three eight is that right, I guess it is.
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: He's got he's gone twenty four innings, twenty five strike.
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 2: Got six walks, twelve it's allowed.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: He's allowed one earn run across four starts, or he's
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: gone exactly six innings in everyone.
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 2: He's been quite consistent. Man.
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: Somehow the Dodgers lost two of his starts where he
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: didn't allow run in either of them. That's not on him, obviously,
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: and you'd think that he would get a lot of
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: run support, but apparently he doesn't. He lacks in run
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: support quite a bit. But I don't really buy into
• 1:14:45
  Speaker 1: stuff like that, although I guess, you know, the the
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: argument would be that if the offense thinks that they're
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: the pitcher that's backing them, is good that the offense
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: like kind of figures they could take the day off
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: a little bit, you know what I mean.
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 2: There is maybe a little.
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: Bit to be said about that, but I don't think
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: it's you know that crazy Otani's whip this year is
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: point seventy five, by the.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 2: Way, for what that's worth.
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: He's bitched really well, obviously, and we don't see his
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: matchup numbers against the Miami hitters. So these are his
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: batting numbers against their pitchers, so.
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 2: I don't know what his matchup numbers look like.
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: They're probably I would guess fine, But you can't really
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: lay this price anyway with the Dodgers that minus two ninety.
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: There's no way the totals at eight dropped from eight
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: and a half. I mean, maybe, you know, I mean,
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: there's some argument to be had for a first five
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: inning under in this one, and both starting pitchers might
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: actually do okay. Dodgers seem to not be able to
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: hit with Otani on the mound, So if there is
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: something to be said for that unfamiliarity with junk, you know,
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: somebody to be said for all that. You know, maybe
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: the early part of this game will be a little
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: bit lower scoring. I wouldn't really want to do it
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: full game because of the state of the bullpens. Dodgers
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: would bounce back and win this game, but you know,
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: I don't really see that much of an angle for that.
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: So those are my thoughts on that. All right, let's
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: go to the NHL, where pregame does give us most
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: of the numbers. Here for the NHL, I'm gonna have
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: one play in the NHL, and it is in the
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: first game up in the game with my Boston Bruins.
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: This game and the Anaheim Edmonton game were both on TNT,
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: True TVHBO Max, and Minnesota Dallas. The best game of
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: the night probably is the ESPN two game. But we're
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: gonna have a play in this Boston Buffalo game.
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 2: Really excuse me.
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: We are going to take my Boston Bruins on the
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: puck line split bet plus one and a half pucks
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: or goals at minus won seventy five and the rest
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: of it plus one forty five on the money line.
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: If you wanted to just play the money line, I
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: think that's fine, but you know, I'm mitigating risk a
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: little bit here. These are what the numbers came out to.
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: If you want to do it based off of a
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: winning one hundred seventy of it or so goes on
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: the minus one seventy five part of it, and then
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: whatever you win with that is what you put on
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: the money line. So that means that if they lose
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: by exactly one, you'll push the bet. It comes to
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: a minus one and eleven plus one puck line. So
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: basically you're just playing like a spread bet essentially on
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: this and I know it's hockey, so not a lot
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: of goals happen, so there's a pretty decent chance that
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: it does push. That's just the nature of it. Buffalo
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: is down for minus one seventy eight to minus one
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: sixty two here ninety four percent of tickets and only
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: seventy nine percent of the cash on Buffalo. The public
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: is all over Buffalo because of recency bias the Bruins.
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: I do worry about the Bruins on the road. I'm
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: not gonna lie. The Bruins are a lot better at home,
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: but they just lost two fucking home games. Dude. The
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: Bruins are facing elimination here and they're getting a massive
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: underdog price.
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 2: You gotta think the Bruins are gonna show up here man.
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: And everybody is bashing Swayman for some reason because at
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: the end of the game the last game, Swayman was
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: like yelling at the bench and people were like, oh,
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: Swayman is so entitled because he's paid so much. I'm like,
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: they're like, he allowed six goals in the game. I'm like,
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: did you watch the fucking game. It wasn't even his fault.
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: The Bruins were like turning the puck over in their
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: own zone. They were completely setting up Swayman for failure,
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: like there's only so much that he could do if
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: the team's not gonna defend, if the team's gonna throw
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: the puck away in their own zone. It was absolutely atrocious.
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 2: So Swayman is right.
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: I think the Bruins are gonna show up with more
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: intensity here man, Buffalo being up three to one with
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: two home games remaining, they might take their foot up
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: the gas a little bit here. I'm really fucking pissed
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: about this because obviously I thought the Bruins had a
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: good shot to win this series.
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 2: But that's also kind of the reason why I think.
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: They could win this game is the Bruins are the
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: better goaltending teams. Still, they're the more physical team. I
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: like all that, they're more experienced than Buffalo. I still
• 1:18:59
  Speaker 1: think those kind of a fraudulent one seed, and if
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: you look at the six to one results, nobody's gonna
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: want the Bruins after that. But looking at the what
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: happened in this game, yeah, Buffalo outshot the Bruins. That's
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: one issue, I guess. So the Bruins were the much
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: more physical team as expected, forty two to twenty three
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: and hits sixty seven percent of the face offs won
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: by the Bruins. There's almost no excuse, like this game
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 1: is not a game that a team loses six to one. Like,
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: looking at the stats, it looks like if the Bruins lost,
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: it would have been a lot closer than that. So yeah,
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: I'm not buying it. The Bruins gave up a ton
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: of goals on bad turnovers, bad play. If ever, they're
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: gonna bounce back, it's gonna be a spot like this.
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: This is a zig zag spot where the final score
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: was not indicative of what actually happened in the game. Yeah, Bruins,
• 1:19:52
  Speaker 1: they're gonna come out with some physicality here. Man, I
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: realize they're not very good on the road at all.
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: Sixteen sixteen and nine, I know that's bad. Buffalo I
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: still think is beatable though. And the Bruins they won
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: one game in the series, and it was in Buffalo,
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: and I believe they were not this big of an
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: underdog in those games either.
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 2: What were they in.
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: The game that they won, Yeah, Buffalo was minus one
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: sixty six, So yeah, I guess it was about close
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: to this line. But it was a little bit lower
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: than this, So we're getting a little bit of a
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: better price on the Bruins, or at the very least
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: the same. We're fading the public, we're zigzagging Bruins. Make
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: your own plus one puck line is the play. The
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: second game up is that Minnesota Dallas game. The series
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: is tied to two. Oh and, by the way, I
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: guess I should mention, the money is kind of hitting
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: the over in the Bruins Buffalo game, for whatever that's worth.
• 1:20:45
  Speaker 1: I don't really have a good sense for that total though,
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: and I don't we don't see the percentages on the
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: anim Edmonton game Minnesota Dallas. The money's sort of hitting
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: the over here as well, But you know, don't I
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: don't know if I love that in a two to
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: two series with two days off, the series returns back
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: to Dallas. Here, I think an under makes some sense here.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, some of these games were a little bit
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: higher scoring, Like, some of these games look higher scoring
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: than they actually were because I think multiple games went
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: into overtime, So that's something you gotta consider here. Yeah,
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: the last two games both went into overtime, so those
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: games were not as high scoring as they looked, So
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: I kind of lean under in this game, but it's
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: gonna get a little bit dicey again. If it's a
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: close game, tiede game, you gotta worry about that final
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: goal being scored, right Like, if it's a three to
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: three game, obviously you're fucked, but then it's already over.
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: If it's a two to two game, you're all right
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: because it'll stay under five. So under is the way
• 1:21:46
  Speaker 1: that I would lean on the total here. It doesn't
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: mean a whole lot. Minnesota won and overtime in the
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: last game. Dallas had won an overtime the game before that.
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: I think on a penalty on a power play, on
• 1:22:01
  Speaker 1: a delay of game penalty. Very brutal way for Minnesota
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: to lose two to two series, you know, tide series.
• 1:22:09
  Speaker 1: I think typically the home team is the better team,
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: and usually that team comes out on top. You know,
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: whoever wins this game is going to be fairly likely
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: to win the series, obviously, because they'll only have to
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: win one of the remaining two. Dallas is it Minus
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: went twenty seven down for Minus won thirty five. But
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: it does look like they are getting the money. Eighty
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: one percent of tickets ninety two percent of the cash
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: on them. I kind of agree. Dallas still the more
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: experienced team. I think they're the slightly better teams still,
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna lean Dallas in that one. And then we
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: have an Anaheim at Edmonton. Edmonton on the verge of elimination. Man,
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: I think they're going to show up here. They've lost
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: the last three games. Their goaltending and deepfense have been awful, though,
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: but Anaheim's isn't really that much better, and Anaheim is
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: not very good on the road. Anaheim just won two
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: home games. They're good at home, but they're below five
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: hundred on the road, even without the overtime losses. And
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: Edmonton is definitely better at home than on the road.
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: Their road record is not good, so Edmonton definitely has
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: some advantages here. They're the better team, they're back at home.
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: They could be in bounced back mode after three straight losses.
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: The way they lost that game was brutal, though if
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: you guys didn't see it.
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 2: It was an overtime win for Anheim.
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: I think double overtime maybe, and the win was on
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: a goal where they had to review the goal. And Edmonton,
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 1: their fan base is saying there wasn't enough evidence to
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: you know, confirm that it was a goal, which is bullshit,
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: Like the puck definitely went past the goal line. The
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: only reason they were saying that is because Jerry whatever
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: his name is in net for Edmonton, his skate was
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: taking up the space between the goal and the goal line,
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: so you couldn't actually see the white there, but you
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: know it was there, like it's you know, it's common sense.
• 1:23:59
  Speaker 1: You could see where the puck actually would be and
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: where it like where it is. Because you could see
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: most of the puck, you knew that it had crossed
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: the goal line.
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 2: It's just ridiculous. It was the right call. It was
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 2: a goal.
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: It's a brutal way for Edmonton to lose, but it
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: was a very dramatic win for Anaheim and they were
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: celebrating that. So now going to Edmonton, Edmonton is going
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: to put up a fight again the home road split.
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: Support Anaheim or support Edmonton. Here, excuse me, we have
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: another high total because these teams have not been able
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: to play defense or goaltend. It's at seven again here
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna lean Edmonton. They dropped for minus one seventy
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: five to minus won sixty three. Obviously, I would not
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: be unhappy if Edmonton loses this series because I'm not
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: a fan, but I think they do win this game.
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: They're at home. I would lean to Edmonton, you know,
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: because it's playoffs. Maybe you just suck it up and
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: play the Edmonton money line. I know it's juicy, and
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: I know they've lost three games in a row, but
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: I think they probably.
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 2: Do win this game.
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: They're minus won sixty three, but it is hard to
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: lay a price like that with a team that doesn't
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: play defense. So that is what we're what we got
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: going on there. They still have like one of the
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: best offenses in hockey.
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 2: Though. All right, NBA, we have.
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: Three games, Uh, you know, they're not really the greatest games.
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: The first game up is seventy six Ers Celtics, with
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 1: the Celtics winning three to one in the series. It's
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: a closeout game. If the Celtics win, they win the series.
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: I think they will probably their minus eleven and a
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: half year and they know the last time they were
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: here on this floor, they lost to the seventy six
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: ers and didn't play well, so maybe that keeps them
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: focusing off here. Eighty one percent of tickets ninety two
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Celtics. The Celtics are
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: taking the money. The Celtics, I believe, were about thirteen
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: and a half in that last game at home. The
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: number has dropped a little bit because the seventy six
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: Ers do have Joel Embiid back now and he had
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: a pretty good game in the last game. But it
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: was still a blowout win for the Celtics, even with
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: them playing well. I don't know, it just seems like
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: maybe with them beedback, the Sixers don't gel that much.
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: But second game with them beaedback, you know, I talk
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: about this, they reverse injured player spot right like the
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: first game.
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 2: With that star player.
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: Back, sometimes the team will kind of take their foot
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: off the gas a little bit or step back a
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: little bit. I think his second game back, you might
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: get a better performance out of the Sixers year and
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: it might be a zigzagg just because they got absolutely
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: annihilated by the Celtics in that game. And the one
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: thing that might regress the most is the Celtics three pointers.
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: I know the Celtics take a ton of threes, but
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: they hit twenty four to three pointers and they could
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: have gone for tying the record, which the playoff record
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: in the NBA is twenty five. The Celtics set a
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: new team record with twenty four. But they didn't try,
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: like they just you know, Joe Mizzoula doesn't He does
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: not fuck around, dude, Like he did not even want
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: the Celtics taking another three at the end. They just
• 1:26:57
  Speaker 1: ran out the clock at the end, so, you know,
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: good for them. I guess I was kind of hoping
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: they were going to try to tie that record though,
• 1:27:05
  Speaker 1: but that was clearly the one outlier. The Celtics had
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: fifteen more threes made than the Sixers did. I mean,
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: even for a Celtics team that takes way more. They
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: took twenty three more threes than Philadelphia did. I know,
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: that's what the Celtics do, but there is gonna be
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: some regression here. I mean, the Celtics do usually shoot
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: in the high thirties from three, but still forty five
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: percent hitting twenty four threes, that is still an outlier.
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: Celtics did dominate other aspects of this game, though. They
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: were plus twenty one and rebounds. They led by thirty
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: two at one point in the game. Actually, that was
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: what the final was thirty two. Yeah, So, I mean,
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: I don't want anything to do with this game. I'll
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: probably slightly lean sixers plus the points just because I
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: think the Celtics might have a little bit of regression there.
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: Maybe Celtics under their team total might make some sense.
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: I don't know what the number is gonna be on that.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: It'll be a bit high though, you know, because I
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: think the main regression point probably will be Celtics three pointers.
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: They're not gonna make twenty four to threes again, you know,
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: but they still might make like eighteen and still win
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: the game by double digits, you know, because that's just
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: what they do. The totals down to two thirteen money
• 1:28:16
  Speaker 1: coming in on the under here. I don't have a
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: good feel for the total a game like this. I mean,
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: if it's gonna go under, it might be because if
• 1:28:23
  Speaker 1: the Celtics have a big lead at the end and
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: they just kind of start slowing the pace of the
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: game down and whatever. That's kind of the thing about
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 1: that that might be the issue there. I don't know,
• 1:28:33
  Speaker 1: I don't have a good feel for the game at all, really, though.
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: The next game is probably my strongest opinion, and that
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: game's on ESPN, by the way, the first and last
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: games of ESPN. The middle game here is on NBC
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: and Peacock Atlanta and the Knicks with a series tied
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: to two. On the one hand, the Knicks probably should
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: win their six and a half point favorite here at home,
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: which is about what they were in the first couple
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: games back at home. By the way, the Celtics are
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 1: a better home team than this Sixers are a road team,
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: by the way, I forgot to point that out. But
• 1:29:02
  Speaker 1: of course we do expect that the Celtics should at
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: least win because they are a double digit favorite, and
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: the Celtics usually dog, you know that game two, and
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: then they usually kind of turn it around and take
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 1: care of business. Otherwise in the playoffs, it's kind of
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: been what they do. The Knicks, though, you know, they're
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: the more experienced team here. Game five, where whoever wins
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: this game is probably pretty likely to win the series.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: You know, I'm not saying much by saying that, but
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: probably it will be the Knicks winning. But I don't
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: know if I like that. I think my strongest opinion
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: on the NBA board today is to take the Hawks
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: plus the points, though, and I know the Hawks won
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: outright the last time they played here, so the Knicks
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: might flip it around and do better here. But the
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: public is on the Knicks eighty percent of the tickets,
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: only seventy six.
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 2: Percent of the cash.
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: Of course, I'm no fan of the Knicks, so I
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: would not be upset if the Hawks won this game,
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: even if it's not on my card. I'm not gonna
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: be upset if the Hawks win, you know, in fact,
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: I'll be happy about it.
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 2: But I think the biggest.
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: Regression is going to come from the Knicks yere. Now,
• 1:30:07
  Speaker 1: the Knicks are better at home, I'm not going to
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: deny that, but they just blew Atlanta out in Atlanta
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: in the last game in Game four, And the biggest
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: outlier here was the really was kind of overall the shooting.
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: Both teams had the same amount of field goal attempts.
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: The Hawks only hit forty one percent from the field,
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: the Knicks were almost fifty percent, and the Knicks were
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: forty five percent from three. They only had four more
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: threes because Atlanta took way more of it.
• 1:30:32
  Speaker 2: That's still I think a pretty big outlier.
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna see some regression from the Knicks shooting,
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: and I think Atlanta probably will shoot a little bit
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: better this time. They only shot twenty four percent from three.
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: The rebound battle was pretty close, so the game was
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: not as much of a blowed as it looked on
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: the scoreboard. So it is a bit of an outlier.
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna lean to the Hawks here for that
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: reason because I think more of the regression points the zigzag,
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: if you will, kind of supports the Hawks more so here,
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: So that's the way I would lean towards the Hawks.
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: So like I think the Knicks probably do win, but
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: if you like the Hawks plus the points, there's a
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: decent chance to win the games. So those are my
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: thoughts on that. You know, the money also is hitting
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 1: the under pretty strongly in that game, and I agree
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: with that.
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 2: I think these to two games, like the defenses bear
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 2: down a lot more in these In these two two games,
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 2: even though the teams are a little bit less rested.
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: I think the unders tend to show up more in
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: game five of a Tide series and Game seven of course,
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: because it becomes like a championship type of atmosphere with
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: the defenses have to bear down, you know, even though
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: tiredness can kind of affect it a little bit, but
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: the money is definitely hitting the under in that game.
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: Seventy five percent of tickets on the over, ninety two
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the under total of two
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: fourteen and a half.
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 2: I would agree under in that game.
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: And you know, the under might help the style of
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: play that the Knicks want to play, because the Hawks
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: want the game to probably be higher scoring.
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 2: But there's a scenario.
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: Where it goes under end the Hawks cover as well,
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: because the Knicks need to cover a big number there.
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: You know, Blazers at the Spurs. The Spurs are just
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: clearly the better team here.
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: I think the Spurs probably just end it here. They're
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: up three to one, they're back at home. If you
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: look at what happened in the last game, that was
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 1: the game for Portland, dude. It was the game that
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 1: when min Yama came back, I said it was a
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: reverse injured player spot. I leaned to Portland in that game,
• 1:32:30
  Speaker 1: and it looked like it was a sure cover for Portland.
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: Portland was winning that game by nineteen points and then
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: they basically disappeared completely in Portland want to winning the
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: game by twenty one.
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 2: So there was Yeah, what is that?
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: That's a forty point swing that happened in that game.
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 2: Unbelievable. I think Portland might just have nothing left after that.
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: Dude, if you're beating san Antonio by twenty points, you
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna win the game, and then you lose
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: like that. I don't really see this as being like
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: a zigzag Reportland is really gonna be able to bounce
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: back from that? Yeah, I don't know. I kind of
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: like san Antonio in this one. The money agrees with me,
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: and san Antonio lost the last game on this floor too,
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: so that might keep them focus. Uh, they're in fact,
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: it's kind of crazy. All three home favorites and I
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: lost the last time they were playing on their home floor.
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: Spurs are minus twelve sixty eight percent of ticket seventy
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: to seven percent of the cash on the Spurs. The
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: total looks like it's getting a little bit of overaction
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: at two sixteen and a half.
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 2: I don't have a good feel for the total there.
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: Uh, but the Spurs also second game with Wembin Yama back,
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: you know again, you get used to having him back again.
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: Usually play a lot better once you're back in rhythm
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: and whatever. So I like the Spurs in that one.
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: I think they win and cover. But I'm not gonna
• 1:33:51
  Speaker 1: give out a play in any of those. And that
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: is it a little bit of a yeah, not quite
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: as long I was able to get through it a
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: little bit faster.
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 2: Today once again.
• 1:33:59
  Speaker 1: The place today we have over in Cardinals Pittsburgh. I said,
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: go action with it, because we just don't even know
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: who's gonna start for Pittsburgh. But the pitching situation looks
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly, so we'll go over. We're going Seattle Mariners.
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: I almost said Seahawks.
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 2: Mariner's money line.
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: And in hockey, we're gonna make your own puck line
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: or find a plus one puck line on the Bruins.
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: And if you find your own plus one puck line,
• 1:34:24
  Speaker 1: I would still sprinkle some on the money line. If
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: you want to just go money line with it, you know,
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: put less money at risk to win more.
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 2: You can do that too. That's gonna do it. Man.
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: Learn a tone on Twitter, learn a tone on Instagram.
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 2: It all helps me out. Man.
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: If you subscribe on Twitter, I appreciate that, Like subscribe
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: to the channel here.
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 2: Man, we need to boost these numbers.
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 1: I know I've been stagnant for a few days now
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: after that really hot rum. We need another hot streak here.
• 1:34:51
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• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: hopefully it's entertaining. Hopefully there's a good info here on
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 1: the show deep dives every mon. Warning man, We're on
• 1:35:01
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• 1:35:05
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• 1:35:10
  Speaker 1: Yuke channel on YouTube, I have done a couple of
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: new yuke covers, but I haven't uploaded the under the
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 1: channel yet. They're on Twitter right now. But gotta get
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: those up. Actually, I think I put one of them up.
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: No, I think I have two more than I did
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: the last couple days. I gotta put up whatever. You
• 1:35:25
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• 1:35:27
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• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: And Loser casts will be back tonight.
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 2: We do have.
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: Dude I already forget his name. I want to say, squeeze, squeeze.
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 2: Whatever that what is his name? I don't even know.
• 1:35:40
  Speaker 1: He was in the chat here yesterday. He will be
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: the guests on Loser casts tonight. Hopefully we get hopefully
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: we have some chemistry right away very gay. Hopefully we
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: have that going on, So check that out tonight, and
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: then I am on the Giants g Spot podcast. We're
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know if we're gonna do a draft recap
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: or not. That's with Ben the emo An Cap and
• 1:36:03
  Speaker 1: Adam Nutter potentially, so you can be on the lookout
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: for that and I'll be back at some point. I'm
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: gonna do a Kentucky Derby special at some point, probably
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: later in the week because that is Saturday. I gotta
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: finish my analysis on that and figure out what I
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: want to do with that. But basically I just kind
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: of I don't really offer an actual betting structure on
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: it because it's a lot of like exotics and like
• 1:36:25
  Speaker 1: the way that I do it, I just kind of
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: combine exact as trifectors and do a whole bunch of
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: different things. But I basically just give you the list
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 1: of the order that I would put the horses in
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: so to try to give you a gauge on what
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: I think. So I'm not that much. I'm not a
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: horse racing guy really, but I basically just pay attention
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: to the Triple Crown races, especially the Derby.
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 2: That's gonna do it, but be on the lookout.
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: If you subscribe here, you'll get notified when I go live,
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: hopefully peace