Latest / INSIGHT TODAY / Trump in Japan 'New deal on rare earths and other critical minerals signed'
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: US President Donald Trump is in Japan on the second
- 0:03Speaker 1: leg of his Asia tour. In last hour, Trump has
- 0:06Speaker 1: met the new Japanese Prime ministers Sene Takaichi in Tokyo.
- 0:10Speaker 1: She's keen to strengthen ties between the two nations. Local
- 0:13Speaker 1: media reports say a deal on rare earths and other
- 0:16Speaker 1: critical minerals needed for high tech manufacturing is almost complete.
- 0:24Speaker 1: Sheila Smith is a Senior Fellow for Asia Pacific Studies
- 0:27Speaker 1: at the Council on Foreign Relations in Washington, d C.
- 0:30Speaker 1: Welcome to the.
- 0:30Speaker 2: Program, Thank you, Aman, delighted to be with you.
- 0:34Speaker 1: Trump and Takeicha are on a lot of ways ideological allies.
- 0:39Speaker 1: What can we expect from their meeting?
- 0:43Speaker 2: So I think this is important for the new Japanese
- 0:46Speaker 2: Prime minister. She's just been elected Prime minister by the
- 0:49Speaker 2: parliament there just within the week, so this is a
- 0:52Speaker 2: very important diplomatic meeting for her. She'll want to establish
- 0:56Speaker 2: a personal relationship with the President Trump. She is a
- 1:01Speaker 2: mentee of former Prime Minister Abe Shinzo, who, as you
- 1:04Speaker 2: may remember, was Prime Minister during President Trump's first term
- 1:07Speaker 2: in office, so she is very anxious to make sure
- 1:11Speaker 2: that she has the same kind of connection with Trump
- 1:14Speaker 2: that he did well.
- 1:15Speaker 1: The US over the years has been a pretty unpredictable
- 1:19Speaker 1: ally under Trump. What kind of challenges will the new
- 1:22Speaker 1: prime minister face when she's trying to maintain strong ties with.
- 1:26Speaker 2: The US well, of course, the two issues for US
- 1:29Speaker 2: allies Japan obviously, but Europeans as well has been trade
- 1:35Speaker 2: and defense spending or defense contributions for the alliance. The
- 1:39Speaker 2: trade agreement with the US and Japan, of course, was
- 1:41Speaker 2: resolved over the summer and the previous Prime minister is guidance,
- 1:46Speaker 2: but there's still some unknown questions about five hundred and
- 1:50Speaker 2: fifty billion dollars in Japanese foreign direct investment that was
- 1:53Speaker 2: promised alongside the teriff productions that the President Trump agreed to.
- 1:59Speaker 2: I think you saw pieces of that deal stretch into
- 2:02Speaker 2: this meeting. For example, there were a question there were
- 2:05Speaker 2: the Japanese government has agreed to buy forward trucks for
- 2:09Speaker 2: its supply and also apparently there's a new deal on
- 2:13Speaker 2: cooperation between Japan the United States on the supply chain
- 2:17Speaker 2: for rare earth and other critical minerals. So there's still
- 2:20Speaker 2: an economic dialogue ongoing and there will be I think
- 2:24Speaker 2: in the months and the year to come. A deepening
- 2:26Speaker 2: question about how much Japan is going to spend on
- 2:29Speaker 2: its defense as well.
- 2:31Speaker 1: So it sounds like you don't expect those questions to
- 2:34Speaker 1: be resolved at this meeting. The ongoing negotiations are going
- 2:38Speaker 1: to take a lot longer than that.
- 2:41Speaker 2: I think so on the defense piece, I think the
- 2:42Speaker 2: economic piece will continue to be central to the US
- 2:45Speaker 2: Japan alliance as it is with other US allies, but
- 2:49Speaker 2: the defense piece will be probably next year, will become
- 2:53Speaker 2: a little bit more on the front burner. Japan has
- 2:57Speaker 2: a host Nation Support Agreement with United States, which is
- 3:00Speaker 2: Japanese government spending on US forces stationed in Japan. That
- 3:04Speaker 2: is up for renewal and negotiation next year. But of
- 3:07Speaker 2: course there's also this question that the Trump administration really
- 3:10Speaker 2: wants to see its allies spend more on defense. Now,
- 3:14Speaker 2: whether there'll be a numerical target as there was in
- 3:17Speaker 2: Europe for five percent of GDP spending, I doubt it
- 3:21Speaker 2: in the Japanese case, but there may be pressures like
- 3:24Speaker 2: that coming from the Trump administration further down the road.
- 3:28Speaker 1: Both leaders are quite hawkish on China. Do you think
- 3:32Speaker 1: they're going to find common ground there? So?
- 3:35Speaker 2: I think so, you know, President Trump is heading towards
- 3:38Speaker 2: the next set of meetings in Korea, the APEC meetings,
- 3:42Speaker 2: and here it's on Thursday. He's expected to meet with
- 3:45Speaker 2: President Shijimpin. There is a framework agreement, according to the
- 3:50Speaker 2: Secretary of Treasury in the United States government. He says
- 3:53Speaker 2: he's reached a framework, a basic framework of understanding with
- 3:56Speaker 2: the Chinese, but until Trump meets she, we won't really
- 3:59Speaker 2: know for sure what the details of that are. The
- 4:02Speaker 2: expectation is that rare earth exports from China to the
- 4:06Speaker 2: United States will resume they've been halted, and also that
- 4:11Speaker 2: Trump will not go forward with his idea of placing
- 4:16Speaker 2: one hundred percent tariffs on Chinese goods. But make no
- 4:20Speaker 2: mistake about it, this is going to be a difficult
- 4:22Speaker 2: conversation and I don't expect all of the US China
- 4:26Speaker 2: economic issues to be resolved on Thursday. But this is
- 4:29Speaker 2: one of the big pieces of the President's Asia trip.
- 4:33Speaker 1: Okay, Sheila Smith from the Council on Foreign Relations in Washington,
- 4:36Speaker 1: d C.
- 4:36Speaker 2: Thanks, thank you.