Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB Best Bets 1/17/26
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
- 0:06Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
- 0:08Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
- 0:12Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
- 0:15Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you above that.
- 0:18Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore.
- 0:19Speaker 1: I have never seen anything like this. Man with the
- 0:23Speaker 1: slump continuing, two straight losses, not a good day at all.
- 0:27Speaker 1: Own four that.
- 0:30Speaker 2: Have not had a good season.
- 0:32Speaker 1: Man with bookends the slump that I'm on, and the
- 0:35Speaker 1: slump continues, I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to.
- 0:41Speaker 2: Burn my broins hat.
- 0:42Speaker 1: Man, I don't know what is going on with the
- 0:44Speaker 1: Bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't
- 0:47Speaker 1: even know it's March ninth, I think who even knows?
- 0:51Speaker 2: Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
- 0:53Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
- 0:55Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
- 0:59Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die,
- 1:03Speaker 1: at least oh and two.
- 1:05Speaker 2: Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well for me.
- 1:08Speaker 1: Own five. The worst month that I've ever had in
- 1:12Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to
- 1:14Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. Slump, the slump discontinuous,
- 1:19Speaker 1: the slump continues.
- 1:20Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:23Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
- 1:26Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
- 1:34Speaker 1: towed back with you TOAs still sports. I was gonna say,
- 1:38Speaker 1: better off dead again. It's a good thing I did not.
- 1:41Speaker 1: I just way too early running on no sleep here,
- 1:44Speaker 1: but I had to sleep. When I had to sleep,
- 1:48Speaker 1: I handicapped all the College of Basketball last night. I
- 1:50Speaker 1: was gonna do the show. I'm like, I'm not gonna
- 1:52Speaker 1: stay up until three am here, said I'm gonna do
- 1:54Speaker 1: it at six am or whatever.
- 1:57Speaker 2: No good options here.
- 1:58Speaker 1: If I want to get everybody called basketball information, I'm
- 2:01Speaker 1: gonna have six plays here.
- 2:04Speaker 2: Let's get into it, man.
- 2:06Speaker 1: Saturday. College of Basketball board is huge. Starts out right
- 2:10Speaker 1: away with the noontime slate. We got Yukon and Georgetown
- 2:15Speaker 1: on Fox at noon. Number three in the country. Yukon
- 2:19Speaker 1: at Georgetown. Obviously, Yukon is gonna be a huge favorite
- 2:23Speaker 1: in this game. I don't really have too many thoughts
- 2:26Speaker 1: on this, although if you look at Yukon's schedule here.
- 2:29Speaker 1: You could probably make the argument this is maybe a
- 2:32Speaker 1: bit of a sandwich spot because Yukon did just beat
- 2:34Speaker 1: Seaton Hall. They only beat them by five, but Seaton
- 2:38Speaker 1: Hall was close to the top of the Big East.
- 2:41Speaker 2: Yukon got that win, and next up they.
- 2:42Speaker 1: Do play Villanova, and Villanova is now the closest opponent
- 2:46Speaker 1: behind Yukon, so it is definitely possible they overlook Georgetown,
- 2:50Speaker 1: especially given that it's a second straight road game, a
- 2:53Speaker 1: third road game in the.
- 2:54Speaker 2: Last four days.
- 2:55Speaker 1: My hesitation with it would be that Yukon is a
- 2:58Speaker 1: big favorite in this game against Seaton Hall, and thankfully
- 3:01Speaker 1: the DraftKings widget is.
- 3:02Speaker 2: Up there now for.
- 3:04Speaker 1: ESPN. ESPN gives you that now for the games, so
- 3:07Speaker 1: you come, is a six and a half point favorite.
- 3:09Speaker 2: They didn't cover in this game.
- 3:10Speaker 1: Seaton Hall was down pretty much all game, but they
- 3:14Speaker 1: came all the way back and they pretty much got
- 3:17Speaker 1: right back into that game in the final minute or two.
- 3:19Speaker 1: So you know, I'm gonna have something to say about
- 3:21Speaker 1: Seaton Hall in a little while on the show. I
- 3:24Speaker 1: could see it going either way for Yukon, though in
- 3:26Speaker 1: this game for Georgetown, of course, they're gonna show up.
- 3:29Speaker 1: But for Yucon, you could either make the argument they're
- 3:32Speaker 1: gonna be hung over after a big win against Seaton Hall,
- 3:35Speaker 1: or you could argue, well, they didn't even cover, they
- 3:38Speaker 1: had an escape, so maybe they'll show up with more
- 3:41Speaker 1: effort this time. I'm kind of leaning towards the former though,
- 3:44Speaker 1: because you Come wasn't that big of a favorite. That
- 3:47Speaker 1: wound up being a pretty big game for Georgetown. Here
- 3:50Speaker 1: somebody's revving their engine outside at six point forty in
- 3:53Speaker 1: the morning, revving a motorcycle. I hate people, dude. Georgetown
- 3:58Speaker 1: just went to Creighton Georgetown. They had a pretty big
- 4:01Speaker 1: game as well there and losing to Creighton on the
- 4:03Speaker 1: road by three. Presumably Creighton was the favorite in this game. Yeah,
- 4:08Speaker 1: they were an eight and a half point favorite. So
- 4:09Speaker 1: Georgetown I believe, actually took them overtime in that game
- 4:12Speaker 1: as well. So Georgetown is coming up the more difficult games.
- 4:16Speaker 1: That's kind of my hesitation with this is like which
- 4:20Speaker 1: team is going to be more likely to show up
- 4:22Speaker 1: than the others? So I have to stay away from
- 4:24Speaker 1: this one. I feel like I'm just rambling early in
- 4:27Speaker 1: the morning. I can't feel anything, man, I got my
- 4:29Speaker 1: coffee people will see that Georgetown lost a seat in
- 4:34Speaker 1: the hall at home the game before that. Though obviously
- 4:36Speaker 1: people will probably have a tendency to jump on Connecticut
- 4:39Speaker 1: in this game, and obviously Connecticut's the better team, but
- 4:42Speaker 1: of course you I have to lay a ton of
- 4:44Speaker 1: points with them if you want them here. They're laying
- 4:47Speaker 1: eleven down for twelve here. It is a low total
- 4:50Speaker 1: one forty one and a half. Connecticut. They play slow
- 4:54Speaker 1: and not exactly the style that you would really want
- 4:56Speaker 1: to lay points with on the road like this, So
- 4:59Speaker 1: I guess I have to slightly lean towards taking the
- 5:01Speaker 1: boys in Georgetown. But no strong feeling on that Big
- 5:06Speaker 1: Ten network at noon has Minnesota at number thirteen. Illinois. Minnesota.
- 5:11Speaker 1: They got off to a decent start this season. They've
- 5:13Speaker 1: lost two in a row, but they're very competitive at
- 5:16Speaker 1: home against USC and Wisconsin. Although actually they were favored
- 5:19Speaker 1: against USC because we had USC in that game and
- 5:23Speaker 1: we got to win outright win on the underdog there.
- 5:26Speaker 1: Minnesota had beaten Iowa the game before that's that was
- 5:29Speaker 1: a big game. And then Minnesota fell short for us
- 5:32Speaker 1: against Wisconsin. We had Minnesota in that game, thought they
- 5:35Speaker 1: would bounce back. It was a horrible.
- 5:37Speaker 2: Spot for Wisconsin.
- 5:38Speaker 1: I thought coming off the Michigan upset, but Minnesota lost,
- 5:43Speaker 1: although only by three. Now they're going out on the
- 5:45Speaker 1: road to face Illinois. Will Minnesota be tired after playing
- 5:50Speaker 1: all these big games in a row, Iowa USC Wisconsin
- 5:52Speaker 1: having a big effort in all three. Maybe Obviously they're
- 5:57Speaker 1: not gonna overlook Illinois. So it kind of comes down
- 5:59Speaker 1: to will Illinois just be able to run them over Now?
- 6:03Speaker 1: Illinois is not as fast as they were in the past,
- 6:05Speaker 1: so that helps Minnesota a bit because Minnesota wants to
- 6:08Speaker 1: play really slow. Illinois won't completely push the tempo against them.
- 6:12Speaker 1: Illinois just won their rivalry game against Northwestern, winning by
- 6:17Speaker 1: eleven on the road there. They only have Maryland up
- 6:19Speaker 1: next to not a big deal for Illinois there, so
- 6:22Speaker 1: the spot really isn't bad for Illinois. The money is
- 6:25Speaker 1: coming in on Illinois up from fifteen to sixteen and
- 6:28Speaker 1: a half here, and you know, maybe Illinois will still
- 6:31Speaker 1: kind of try to push the tempo here a little
- 6:33Speaker 1: bit to throw Minnesota off a little bit.
- 6:35Speaker 2: They still play fast than the Minnesota does.
- 6:37Speaker 1: Obviously. I don't really disagree with Illinois in this one.
- 6:41Speaker 1: There's just no real.
- 6:44Speaker 2: Bad scheduling spot for Illinois.
- 6:45Speaker 1: Minnesota could be a little bit tired out there, so
- 6:48Speaker 1: I'll agree with the market on that with the move
- 6:50Speaker 1: on Illinois early, but it's not something I want to
- 6:53Speaker 1: deal with either. Next up, we're gonna have the first
- 6:57Speaker 1: bet as we go in chronological order. Here, let's go, baby,
- 7:04Speaker 1: We're gonna be on SMU plus one and a half here.
- 7:09Speaker 1: I heard this game being broken down and I'm like, like,
- 7:13Speaker 1: it sounded like it was gonna be a pass for
- 7:15Speaker 1: me until I looked at it myself and I'm like,
- 7:17Speaker 1: I think we actually want to do this. You might
- 7:19Speaker 1: be able to get two on this or fading Virginia
- 7:21Speaker 1: in this one. Virginia looks like they might go off
- 7:24Speaker 1: as a two point favorite and maybe a little bit
- 7:26Speaker 1: bigger than that. So obviously get whatever the best numbers
- 7:30Speaker 1: that you can here. This is on ESPN two. You'll
- 7:32Speaker 1: get SMU as a small underdog here. Virginia rank sixteenth
- 7:37Speaker 1: in the country. I think the public's gonna come in
- 7:38Speaker 1: and want Virginia here, right, because it's basically a pick
- 7:41Speaker 1: the winner. Well, I'm gonna pick the.
- 7:43Speaker 2: Ranked team, right.
- 7:43Speaker 1: That would be their thoughts on this Virginia also two
- 7:47Speaker 1: lost teams, so they have the better record. It's not
- 7:49Speaker 1: like SMU has been bad though, and SMU just dropped
- 7:52Speaker 1: out of the rankings not that long ago. Now ken
- 7:55Speaker 1: Bum does not have SMU as the top twenty five team.
- 7:59Speaker 1: He's got them already sixth, and their deficiency is mostly
- 8:02Speaker 1: on defense. So Virginia obviously is the better team, which
- 8:07Speaker 1: the odds makers are telling me. Virginia is way more balanced.
- 8:10Speaker 1: But SMU might be able to speed this game up
- 8:12Speaker 1: a little bit. Virginia wants to go slower, so SMU
- 8:16Speaker 1: is probably gonna try to push the pace a little bit.
- 8:18Speaker 1: That might help them, and they could basically score with Virginia.
- 8:25Speaker 1: It's just there is a big defensive disparity. That is,
- 8:28Speaker 1: that's the main advantage for Virginia. They have the better defense,
- 8:31Speaker 1: and usually I do lean towards the better defense, but
- 8:34Speaker 1: in this case, I'm not going to them. I'm gonna
- 8:35Speaker 1: hope that SMU is gonna speed the game up here.
- 8:38Speaker 1: I think Virginia is in a sandwich spot here. Man.
- 8:40Speaker 2: Virginia just won at Louisville.
- 8:42Speaker 1: That was a big win over ranked Louisville team. A
- 8:46Speaker 1: Louisville probably was favored in this game at home. Yeah,
- 8:48Speaker 1: they're four and a half point favorites. That big win
- 8:51Speaker 1: for Virginia. Now they have to go out to Texas
- 8:54Speaker 1: to play SMU. Seems like a little bit of a
- 8:57Speaker 1: weird spot to me for Virginia here and next, even
- 9:00Speaker 1: though I know it's not for a week.
- 9:02Speaker 2: Next Saturday, they play North Carolina.
- 9:04Speaker 1: Man, that is a huge game, almost always big when
- 9:08Speaker 1: you play North Carolina. They're a blue blood, but their
- 9:11Speaker 1: ranked team looks maybe a little bit concerning here. This
- 9:16Speaker 1: spot for Virginia, I think it's a sandwich spot. SMU
- 9:19Speaker 1: still fairly new to this conference as well, so it's
- 9:22Speaker 1: a little bit of a weird travel spot to have
- 9:24Speaker 1: to go out to Dallas or whatever to play SMU
- 9:27Speaker 1: and SMU they're coming off barely getting by Virginia Tech.
- 9:31Speaker 1: And if you remember, Virginia Tech was a winner that
- 9:34Speaker 1: we had on the show here. Virginia Tech covered, probably
- 9:37Speaker 1: should have won the game, but SMU had a prayer
- 9:41Speaker 1: three at the buzzer here to get by Virginia Tech
- 9:44Speaker 1: and win the game. Virginia Tech, yeah, they covered for us.
- 9:48Speaker 1: The reason why we faded SMU here is look at
- 9:50Speaker 1: the run that SMU had man they beat North Carolina,
- 9:53Speaker 1: which was a huge win, and then SMU was in
- 9:55Speaker 1: the rankings, and then what do they do well? They
- 9:57Speaker 1: fell out of the rankings pretty fast. They lost at Clemson,
- 10:00Speaker 1: but they put in a good performance at Clemson.
- 10:03Speaker 2: Then they had to go to Dukes.
- 10:05Speaker 1: So even though they're in a North Carolina sandwich, they
- 10:07Speaker 1: still played well against Clemson. I think we took a
- 10:10Speaker 1: loss on that game on the show or no, it
- 10:12Speaker 1: was a push excuse me, Clemson pushed for us in
- 10:15Speaker 1: that game, I believe. Then SMU played again really tough
- 10:18Speaker 1: against Dukes, so they were gonna have three huge games.
- 10:22Speaker 1: Then they really basically had the flat spot against Virginia
- 10:24Speaker 1: Tech at home is a favorite, and I think when
- 10:27Speaker 1: a team is flat like that as a favorite and
- 10:30Speaker 1: they barely get by, they're gonna be focused.
- 10:33Speaker 2: More often than not in the next game.
- 10:35Speaker 1: And again, you know why we played Virginia Tech in
- 10:37Speaker 1: that game because his SMU was sandwiched in between Duke
- 10:41Speaker 1: and Virginia. There. They had Virginia Tech sandwiched in between
- 10:44Speaker 1: those two big teams, so that was a sandwich spot
- 10:48Speaker 1: for them. Virginia is now taking their turn in the
- 10:51Speaker 1: Sandwich spot. So I like SMU coming off the escape.
- 10:54Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be more focused here. That's what
- 10:57Speaker 1: we're gonna do. SMU is my first play here of
- 10:59Speaker 1: the day.
- 11:02Speaker 2: All right, let's go, baby.
- 11:06Speaker 1: My players are not all in the big conferences, though,
- 11:08Speaker 1: I find the big conference games a little bit easier
- 11:10Speaker 1: to handicap. ESPN has a noon time game and it
- 11:13Speaker 1: is Kentucky and Tennessee, which is a big rivalry game.
- 11:17Speaker 1: And I know both teams look a little bit down
- 11:19Speaker 1: this year. Tennessee's ranked twenty fourth, but both of these
- 11:23Speaker 1: teams are actually not that bad man. They're actually probably
- 11:26Speaker 1: both maybe even a little bit underrated right now. Kent
- 11:28Speaker 1: Bum has Tennessee eighteenth in the country. In Kentucky just
- 11:31Speaker 1: outside that's off twenty five at twenty seventh, even though
- 11:35Speaker 1: they've been struggling.
- 11:36Speaker 2: This will be probably a bit of a pace in contrast.
- 11:39Speaker 1: Because Tennessee is gonna like to slow it down, and
- 11:42Speaker 1: that is what they will do at home. Kentucky wants
- 11:44Speaker 1: to go a little bit faster, although not as fast
- 11:46Speaker 1: as they have been in recent years.
- 11:49Speaker 2: Tennessee is the better defense here, although both teams.
- 11:51Speaker 1: Have actually been pretty good Kentucky has the slightly better
- 11:55Speaker 1: offense according to ken Bum. Although it is close, these
- 11:59Speaker 1: teams are actually somewhat similar. Really, they both are actually
- 12:03Speaker 1: better defensively than offensively. Believe it or not, this is
- 12:05Speaker 1: gonna be an interesting one man. Tennessee ranked twenty fourth
- 12:09Speaker 1: in the country according to the rankings makers.
- 12:10Speaker 2: Of course, now Kentucky.
- 12:13Speaker 1: They just went to LSU and they won by one.
- 12:16Speaker 1: And I believe Kentucky was actually a road favorite in
- 12:18Speaker 1: this game, believe it or not. So they did not cover,
- 12:21Speaker 1: but they did get by LSU. Maybe they were looking ahead.
- 12:23Speaker 1: Tennessee always a big game. These two teams don't like
- 12:26Speaker 1: each other. There's the whole whatever Kentucky bourbon versus Tennessee
- 12:31Speaker 1: whiskey battle that goes on there. I think Kentucky will
- 12:35Speaker 1: show up here, but I think Tennessee will also show up.
- 12:39Speaker 2: Tennessee just beat Texas A.
- 12:40Speaker 1: And M went into two overtimes, though it was not
- 12:44Speaker 1: an easy game for either team, although Tennessee was an
- 12:47Speaker 1: eleven and a half way favorite, so debatably it should
- 12:49Speaker 1: have been an easier game for them.
- 12:50Speaker 2: But Texas A and M came into that game with
- 12:53Speaker 2: a good record.
- 12:53Speaker 1: They still have a good record, So even if Tennessee
- 12:56Speaker 1: is the better team, it kind of seems like it
- 12:59Speaker 1: fell like a big game, you know, and the fact
- 13:02Speaker 1: that I had to go to two overtimes. Tennessee also
- 13:05Speaker 1: has Alabama on deck, so I don't really want any
- 13:07Speaker 1: part of Tennessee here either.
- 13:09Speaker 2: I'm passing on this game.
- 13:11Speaker 1: It's an interesting game to handicap though, and then Tennessee
- 13:13Speaker 1: will be a favorite in this game.
- 13:15Speaker 2: Yeah, they're six and a half point favorite.
- 13:19Speaker 1: Looks like no real movement in the market yet really,
- 13:23Speaker 1: so it's a tough game to figure out. Man. I've
- 13:26Speaker 1: heard some professional opinions on the Tennessee side in this game.
- 13:31Speaker 1: I have a slight opinion towards the opposite, just because
- 13:35Speaker 1: I think Kentucky's kind of the more under the radar
- 13:37Speaker 1: team right now. It is their second straight road game.
- 13:40Speaker 1: They did just pull off an upset though, or no,
- 13:42Speaker 1: excuse me, they didn't know. Why do I keep saying
- 13:44Speaker 1: that was an upset? It wasn't. They barely got buy
- 13:46Speaker 1: as a favorite. Tennessee also barely got buy as a favorite,
- 13:49Speaker 1: although a bigger favorite, but.
- 13:51Speaker 2: Tennessee had to go to double lot.
- 13:53Speaker 1: Tennessee has Alabama on deck, although probably they won't overlook
- 13:57Speaker 1: a rival at Kentucky, but I think Kentucky is the
- 13:59Speaker 1: more likely to be fully focused here based on what
- 14:02Speaker 1: I see in the scheduling. All Right, TNT at noon,
- 14:08Speaker 1: this is our next play man. We're gonna take the
- 14:11Speaker 1: points with Butler plus six and a half at Seton Hall.
- 14:15Speaker 1: I just mentioned Seton Hall a little while ago, so
- 14:17Speaker 1: you know what they just did. But the spot is
- 14:20Speaker 1: worse than just coming off a Yukon game. This is
- 14:23Speaker 1: on TNT and True TV here. Now, yes, I know
- 14:25Speaker 1: Butler plays a bit faster. Seton Hall is gonna want
- 14:28Speaker 1: to slow this thing to a halt, to a Seaton halt.
- 14:32Speaker 1: But of course you're asking Seaton Hall to lay a
- 14:34Speaker 1: ton of points. And Seaton Hall is much better on
- 14:37Speaker 1: the defensive end than the offensive end, and they play slow,
- 14:40Speaker 1: so they're not exactly the type of team you want
- 14:42Speaker 1: to lay points with totals one forty five, so it's
- 14:44Speaker 1: a pretty low total here, so taking the points makes
- 14:47Speaker 1: more sense in a game like this. Butler, they're coming
- 14:52Speaker 1: into this game off a pretty ugly loss to Xavier.
- 14:54Speaker 1: They lost by double digits on the road. They've lost
- 14:56Speaker 1: four games in a Row, although the prior to three
- 14:59Speaker 1: were on the road in a close game against Creighton
- 15:01Speaker 1: and then they lost their Villanova and Saint John's almost said,
- 15:06Speaker 1: San Jose, I'm so out of it, Saint John's.
- 15:10Speaker 2: We all have to I can't forget Saint Yeah, inside,
- 15:13Speaker 2: I want to kill myself.
- 15:15Speaker 1: So those games, I mean, we're against good teams at
- 15:18Speaker 1: the Big East. So though, yeah, maybe Butler should have
- 15:19Speaker 1: performed a little better at home, whatever, but I think
- 15:22Speaker 1: Butler's gonna be the more desperate team here. Man. They're
- 15:24Speaker 1: one in five in conference. They're quickly just plummeting out
- 15:28Speaker 1: of the tournament picture. They need to get a win.
- 15:31Speaker 1: This is a game they might be able to hang
- 15:33Speaker 1: in against number twenty five Seaton Hall, just because of
- 15:36Speaker 1: the style that Seton Hall plays and the spot. Again,
- 15:39Speaker 1: look at the spot for Seaton Hall. They just played
- 15:42Speaker 1: Yukon to within five points. So that was a monster
- 15:45Speaker 1: game for Seaton Hall. They were way behind in this
- 15:47Speaker 1: game and they did not go away. Man, Yukon probably
- 15:50Speaker 1: took their foot off the gas.
- 15:51Speaker 2: Thing of the game was over.
- 15:52Speaker 1: They were up eighteen points close to the middle of
- 15:54Speaker 1: the second half, and then Seaton Hall crept all the
- 15:57Speaker 1: way back, got to within two points, got to within
- 16:00Speaker 1: one point in the final minute of the game. So
- 16:02Speaker 1: it was a huge performance with Seaton Hall.
- 16:05Speaker 2: They didn't go away.
- 16:06Speaker 1: And then up next they play Saint John's, which is
- 16:09Speaker 1: a bigger game as well as Saint John's is quickly
- 16:12Speaker 1: establishing themselves again. It is a one loss team in
- 16:15Speaker 1: the conference, so this will be a bigger game after
- 16:18Speaker 1: Saint John's coming up.
- 16:20Speaker 2: Butler. I like Butler in this one.
- 16:23Speaker 1: Man, the more desperate teams, Seaton Hall is in a
- 16:25Speaker 1: sandwich spot. We got Butler plus the points in that one.
- 16:28Speaker 1: So two plays in the noon slate there, Tyson, what's
- 16:32Speaker 1: up man? Thanks for hanging out ridiculously early.
- 16:35Speaker 2: I apologize. I don't feel very good right now.
- 16:38Speaker 1: I'm way out of it. Man. Maybe I should be
- 16:40Speaker 1: doing these at night out. There's no good option, no
- 16:45Speaker 1: good option. If anybody wants to be to talk about
- 16:48Speaker 1: some game that I'm not talking about, I can because
- 16:49Speaker 1: I am skipping a lot of games here. I've talked
- 16:54Speaker 1: about every one of these games so far, though, because
- 16:56Speaker 1: they're all TV games. I notre Dame of Virginia texts
- 16:59Speaker 1: on the ac SEE network. Now, Virginia Tech just played
- 17:03Speaker 1: really tight at SMU. That was a big game for them.
- 17:06Speaker 1: Could be maybe a little bit of a hangover after that,
- 17:08Speaker 1: after you play well as a road underdog like that
- 17:11Speaker 1: and you fall short. I think maybe the move is
- 17:14Speaker 1: to go against a team after that. They play Syracuse next.
- 17:17Speaker 1: Syracuse at least has that established name and as an
- 17:21Speaker 1: okay record this year, and then Louisville after that, So
- 17:24Speaker 1: maybe Notre Dame a little bit under the radar here,
- 17:26Speaker 1: and Notre Dame not horrible this year, although the record
- 17:29Speaker 1: doesn't look good. Notre Dame's on a three game skid
- 17:32Speaker 1: right now, although it started out on the Pacific Coast.
- 17:36Speaker 1: They lost to Clemson, no real shame in that, and
- 17:38Speaker 1: then Miami. He's been on fire, So not gonna blame
- 17:41Speaker 1: Notre Dame for that, really, Notre Dame. That game is
- 17:44Speaker 1: a little bit closer though than the twelve point final indicates,
- 17:47Speaker 1: and they do play North Carolina next, so I guess
- 17:51Speaker 1: you could kind of make the argument. Notre Dame is
- 17:53Speaker 1: also in a sandwich spot here, so I'm staying away
- 17:55Speaker 1: from a Virginia Tech's actually up to a six point
- 17:58Speaker 1: favorite here. Total's fairly long, one forty two. I kind
- 18:02Speaker 1: of prefer taking the points in that game. But again
- 18:05Speaker 1: my weak opinions, Man, don't put too much too much
- 18:08Speaker 1: weight into these. Georgia Tech is at NC State here
- 18:13Speaker 1: also at noon on the CW network. This is a
- 18:17Speaker 1: bit of a mismatcher. Georgia Tech is no good. They're
- 18:20Speaker 1: coming off getting smoked by Pitt though at home, which
- 18:23Speaker 1: was really really bad game for Georgia Tech.
- 18:25Speaker 2: Man, Pitt's not good.
- 18:28Speaker 1: You lose by excuse me, by twenty three. You lose
- 18:31Speaker 1: by twenty three at home to anybody, You're probably gonna
- 18:34Speaker 1: show up focus in the next game. So at least
- 18:36Speaker 1: you're probably gonna get a focused effort at the very
- 18:39Speaker 1: least out of Georgia Tech NC State. There is the
- 18:42Speaker 1: possibility they overlook Georgia Texas. NC State just put up
- 18:45Speaker 1: one hundred and thirteen points against FSU Florida State. That
- 18:49Speaker 1: was a win. I gave that out on the show
- 18:51Speaker 1: last weekend. I believe that was the part of the
- 18:54Speaker 1: good start to Saturday that wound up not being very
- 18:57Speaker 1: good by the end of the day. Florida State was
- 19:00Speaker 1: in a horrible spot in that game. They just almost
- 19:03Speaker 1: upset Duke coming into that game. So it was an
- 19:05Speaker 1: obvious fade spot that Florida State was in there to
- 19:09Speaker 1: me at least, so NC State caught them at a
- 19:12Speaker 1: good time. Yeah. NC State is good, but you put
- 19:16Speaker 1: up one hundred and thirteen points against anybody and blow
- 19:18Speaker 1: them out like that by whatever that was, thirty four points,
- 19:22Speaker 1: you're gonna be feeling pretty good about yourself. And then
- 19:25Speaker 1: they have Clemson on deck, so that is a big
- 19:28Speaker 1: game as well. So this game, I think is Georgia
- 19:30Speaker 1: Tech or pass Georgia Tech plus the points. However many
- 19:34Speaker 1: points they're gonna hear sixteen and a half total is
- 19:37Speaker 1: a little bit higher in this one in one fifty six,
- 19:39Speaker 1: so behave accordingly. I suppose CBS Sports gets one of
- 19:45Speaker 1: these colonial games at twelve, the only colonial game that's
- 19:48Speaker 1: at twelve between Elon and Astra. Elon, they've been decent
- 19:54Speaker 1: to start the season. They just took a pretty ugly
- 19:57Speaker 1: loss in Northeastern. Elon was, I'm guessing probably a road
- 20:00Speaker 1: favorite in this game. Yeah, they were three and a
- 20:02Speaker 1: half point road favorite here, so not a very loss
- 20:05Speaker 1: for them losing to Northeastern. Maybe they were looking ahead
- 20:07Speaker 1: because Hostra is near the top of this conference and
- 20:11Speaker 1: right now It's kind of between Hofstra and UNC Wilmington.
- 20:14Speaker 1: I think as far as who's the best team in
- 20:15Speaker 1: this conference, Hostra is coming in off a pretty ugly
- 20:19Speaker 1: loss as well. They lost at stony Brook. Hostro was
- 20:22Speaker 1: definitely gonna be a favorite in this game. Now, Yeah,
- 20:26Speaker 1: they were six and a half. Now stony Brook I
- 20:28Speaker 1: think stepped up this game because I believe stony Brook
- 20:31Speaker 1: and Hostre I believe are both on Long Island if
- 20:34Speaker 1: I'm not mistaken. So that was kind of a little
- 20:38Speaker 1: brother situation for stony Brook where they really got up
- 20:41Speaker 1: for the game caught Hofstra by surprise. So I could
- 20:44Speaker 1: see Hofstra bouncing back nicely from that in this game.
- 20:47Speaker 1: But the problem is Hostra had not lost for a
- 20:50Speaker 1: long time. Man, They hadn't lost since out of conference play.
- 20:54Speaker 1: Their previous loss was December third at Columbia by two points.
- 21:00Speaker 1: So I don't love that. Man, So Hofs are losing
- 21:04Speaker 1: to the other New york eras schools. Basically, I don't
- 21:09Speaker 1: love it when a team's on a long win streak
- 21:10Speaker 1: and they lose the wind streak. I think that can
- 21:12Speaker 1: be a bit of a hangover effect where you're not
- 21:15Speaker 1: really used to losing anymore and then you lose, It's like, well,
- 21:17Speaker 1: what do you do? Like, how do you bounce back
- 21:18Speaker 1: from that when you're not really used to getting punched
- 21:21Speaker 1: in the mouth like that? So this game has some
- 21:25Speaker 1: things going on here. Man.
- 21:26Speaker 2: Obviously I don't love the game. From a betting perspective.
- 21:30Speaker 1: I'd probably still lean towards laying it with Ostro though,
- 21:33Speaker 1: because I think, again, you can kind of explain what
- 21:35Speaker 1: happened in that last game for them, looks like more
- 21:37Speaker 1: of a bounce back, but it's a stay away from me.
- 21:41Speaker 1: Next up is on my list of other games. I'm
- 21:44Speaker 1: gonna give about six plays, and I have seven other
- 21:47Speaker 1: ones that were close to making my card, and this
- 21:49Speaker 1: next one up is one of those, So I will
- 21:53Speaker 1: clarify if it's one of those, so you can know
- 21:55Speaker 1: kind of.
- 21:56Speaker 2: How I weigh these things.
- 21:57Speaker 1: Duquine at Fordham on the USA Network, A ten action
- 22:01Speaker 1: here at twelve thirty PM. I think Dukain is in
- 22:05Speaker 1: a bad spot here, man. Ducaine, they just played pretty
- 22:07Speaker 1: tough against Dayton. And now I know Dayton was only
- 22:10Speaker 1: a small road favorite here. It was that Ducaine, but
- 22:13Speaker 1: Dukane they played tough man and Dayton's undefeated in the
- 22:16Speaker 1: A ten. That's a big game playing against Dayton and
- 22:19Speaker 1: then falling just short, So that alone, I think could
- 22:22Speaker 1: make Ducaine a little bit flat. The game was pretty
- 22:24Speaker 1: close towards the end of it, but to make matters worse, well,
- 22:28Speaker 1: Ducane has to go on the road. Ducaine is in
- 22:31Speaker 1: Pittsburgh and now they're going to the Bronx, I believe
- 22:34Speaker 1: for this game. Up next, they got the best team
- 22:37Speaker 1: in the A ten up next man Saint Louis, so
- 22:39Speaker 1: that is a huge look ahead spot as well.
- 22:42Speaker 2: So I think this is a sandwich.
- 22:44Speaker 1: Fordham is one of the few teams that's below Ducaine
- 22:48Speaker 1: in the standings. Fordham coming in off losing to Saint
- 22:51Speaker 1: Louis by double digit by twenty two points, although of
- 22:54Speaker 1: course that was on the road. Saint Louis is very
- 22:56Speaker 1: very good. I think Fordham is in a nice position
- 23:00Speaker 1: to bounce back here. But I also like is that
- 23:02Speaker 1: they're returning home and they played pretty poorly their last
- 23:05Speaker 1: two home games as well, losing both of them, so
- 23:08Speaker 1: they actually don't have a conference home win yet, I believe,
- 23:12Speaker 1: so I think Fordham is gonna be hungry for one.
- 23:15Speaker 1: They lost to Richmond and George Mason at home, and
- 23:17Speaker 1: those two teams are a little bit better than Ducaine is.
- 23:21Speaker 1: So I like Fordham in this one. Man close to
- 23:23Speaker 1: being a play for me. The line has gone from
- 23:26Speaker 1: Fordham plus two all the way to a pick them,
- 23:28Speaker 1: So yeah, I would go Fordham pick them. Or if
- 23:31Speaker 1: you look at the money line market and there's a
- 23:33Speaker 1: cheaper money line price than what you're getting on the
- 23:35Speaker 1: pick them, you could do that as well.
- 23:37Speaker 2: That's the way that I would.
- 23:38Speaker 1: Play this one. That one is on my short list
- 23:41Speaker 1: if you will, not actually on my card, but but
- 23:46Speaker 1: I do like it. I guess one of my hesitations
- 23:48Speaker 1: is that Ducane is kind of hungry as well, perhaps
- 23:51Speaker 1: because they also only have one conference win. But other
- 23:54Speaker 1: than that, yet it looks like a pretty good setup
- 23:56Speaker 1: for Fordham in that one. A Number eighteen Alabama at Oklahoma.
- 24:01Speaker 1: I've talked about every game so far, Man, but most
- 24:04Speaker 1: of these games are TV games of big conference games.
- 24:06Speaker 1: Early this is the SEC network at one pm. Probably
- 24:12Speaker 1: the public's can have a tendency to want to play Alabama.
- 24:14Speaker 1: They know what they've seen out Alabama the last few years.
- 24:17Speaker 1: Alabama wants to go fast. That's what they do. They score.
- 24:20Speaker 1: The public likes that Oklahoma's going to try to slow
- 24:23Speaker 1: this thing down. Man, They're a slow paced team, so
- 24:26Speaker 1: they might be able to frustrate Alabama a little bit.
- 24:28Speaker 1: But Oklahoma plays poor defense, so that is kind of
- 24:32Speaker 1: the problem. Oklahoma is actually a much better offensive team,
- 24:35Speaker 1: even though they play slow. They're better offensively than defensively,
- 24:38Speaker 1: I should say, and Alabama also is better on offensive
- 24:41Speaker 1: defense significantly. So ken bum has Alabama second in the
- 24:46Speaker 1: country in offense. It's seventy first in defense. So a
- 24:51Speaker 1: couple of lopsided teams here towards the offensive end. Alabama
- 24:55Speaker 1: just broke a two game loss streak. Now I think
- 24:58Speaker 1: they're lost to Texas. I think was explained because Alabama
- 25:01Speaker 1: had lost that big game to Vandy the game before that,
- 25:04Speaker 1: and that was their first loss in a while, so
- 25:05Speaker 1: I think that was a hangover spot that they were
- 25:08Speaker 1: in after that against Texas. They bounced back with a
- 25:11Speaker 1: winner of Mississippi State last time out, but now they're
- 25:13Speaker 1: playing a second straight road game, third road game in
- 25:16Speaker 1: four games. They have Tennessee on deck, which could be
- 25:19Speaker 1: a look ahead. That's a bigger game. So even though
- 25:22Speaker 1: they had a nice bounce back and that could carry
- 25:24Speaker 1: momentum into this game. There are some things that are
- 25:27Speaker 1: negatives I think for the spot here for Alabama.
- 25:30Speaker 2: For Oklahoma, probably.
- 25:33Speaker 1: They're gonna be hungrier at least for a win because
- 25:35Speaker 1: they've lost three games in a row, including losing at
- 25:38Speaker 1: home and losing for ROST. I thought they caught Florida
- 25:40Speaker 1: on a good spot to catch them in a sandwich spot,
- 25:43Speaker 1: and Oklahoma was not very competitive in that game. Unfortunately,
- 25:48Speaker 1: now staying at home, maybe we'll get a better effort
- 25:51Speaker 1: out of Oklahoma in this one. I would lean towards
- 25:54Speaker 1: Oklahoma in this one. I think they're gonna be the team.
- 25:57Speaker 1: It's a bit more desperate at this point trying to
- 25:59Speaker 1: get a win here.
- 26:01Speaker 2: Their only conference wim was at home.
- 26:03Speaker 1: By the way, for what it's worth, they beat Old
- 26:05Speaker 1: Miss to start conference play.
- 26:06Speaker 2: Obviously Alabama is better than Old Miss.
- 26:10Speaker 1: It Ole Miss likes to play slow, so they weren't
- 26:12Speaker 1: gonna try to speed Oklahoma up, which Alabama might. Now
- 26:16Speaker 1: it's worry some of the totals really high, which might
- 26:19Speaker 1: mean Alabama's gonna be able to speed it up totally.
- 26:21Speaker 2: One seventy six.
- 26:23Speaker 1: But again, part of the reason for that is that
- 26:25Speaker 1: both deepfenses are bad, so that's also part of the
- 26:29Speaker 1: reason why the total is that high. If you like Oklahoma,
- 26:32Speaker 1: you're hoping they're gonna slow the game down a bit.
- 26:34Speaker 1: They're getting five and a half points. It looks too
- 26:37Speaker 1: easy to lay five and a half with Alabama, though,
- 26:39Speaker 1: so one of those lines looks too easy as well.
- 26:42Speaker 1: I would probably take it with Oklahoma, but yeah, that
- 26:46Speaker 1: one is not on my radar really. CBS at one
- 26:51Speaker 1: has a big ten game UCLA at Ohio State. UCLA
- 26:56Speaker 1: having to travel to Columbus maybe a little bit of
- 26:58Speaker 1: a weird travel spot for them, although at least for them,
- 27:00Speaker 1: they're already not that far away because they already just
- 27:03Speaker 1: traveled to Pennsylvania to play Penn State, so UCLA is
- 27:08Speaker 1: already in the area adjusted to basically the time zone difference. Whatever.
- 27:13Speaker 1: They beat Penn State. Now they're going to Ohio State.
- 27:17Speaker 1: I don't know that they're gonna overlook Ohio State because
- 27:19Speaker 1: Ohio State has been decent and like on the cusp
- 27:23Speaker 1: of maybe being a tournament team, but they are below
- 27:26Speaker 1: UCLA in the standings and UCLA does play per Due
- 27:30Speaker 1: next when they come back home in three days, so
- 27:33Speaker 1: there is there is the argument to me made. It
- 27:35Speaker 1: is a look ahead spot. UCLA is now playing a
- 27:38Speaker 1: fourth road game in five games, which is not that easy,
- 27:41Speaker 1: and a second straight road game, so not everything about
- 27:45Speaker 1: the spot is great for UCLA. Ohio State is coming
- 27:49Speaker 1: back from the West Coast and took a loss to Washington,
- 27:53Speaker 1: so you might get a better effort out of them,
- 27:55Speaker 1: even though they are having to adjust back to the
- 27:56Speaker 1: time zone here. At least they're coming back home here.
- 28:00Speaker 1: I would probably lead to Ohio State in this one.
- 28:04Speaker 1: They also they're more in need for some wins here.
- 28:07Speaker 1: They're actually laying up to four and a half now,
- 28:10Speaker 1: up from three to four and a half, which is
- 28:11Speaker 1: a little bit worrisome. Laying points in a game against
- 28:14Speaker 1: a UCLA team that plays slower and probably is gonna
- 28:18Speaker 1: come out and play some defense. Is the total there
- 28:23Speaker 1: as far as UCLA is concerned. Yeah, they're a little
- 28:26Speaker 1: bit more defensive minded. They play slow. Ken Bum actually
- 28:30Speaker 1: has Ohio State is the better team. Ohio State plays
- 28:33Speaker 1: more of a mid tempo game and is better offensively
- 28:35Speaker 1: than defensively, so maybe Ohio State would be able to
- 28:39Speaker 1: speed it up a little bit and make Ucla a
- 28:42Speaker 1: little bit uncomfortable, but yeah, I would lay it overall
- 28:45Speaker 1: with Ohio State. It also looks too easy to take
- 28:47Speaker 1: the points with UCLA. Right Like UCLA is the bigger
- 28:51Speaker 1: basketball name, they have the better record getting points, it
- 28:54Speaker 1: looks a little easy to take those points. Okay, I'm
- 29:00Speaker 1: skipping some of these smaller conference games here obviously. I mean, first,
- 29:05Speaker 1: we do have Buffalo in Miami Ohio here in Miami
- 29:07Speaker 1: Ohio eighteen and oher Man one of the remaining undefeated's. Man,
- 29:13Speaker 1: I think we're down to just Miami Ohio, Nebraska, and
- 29:17Speaker 1: Arizona at this point, I believe are the only undefeated's left.
- 29:20Speaker 1: And one of those things is not like the others obviously,
- 29:24Speaker 1: that is Miami Ohio. They face a very weak schedule,
- 29:27Speaker 1: but Buffalo is not as good as their start to
- 29:31Speaker 1: the season.
- 29:31Speaker 2: Look, they've been taking some losses recently.
- 29:33Speaker 1: Miami Ohio is obviously going to be the favorite here,
- 29:36Speaker 1: but there is the potential look ahead from Miami Ohio
- 29:39Speaker 1: to Kent State because that is an Ohio battle. Kent
- 29:42Speaker 1: State is the closest team behind them in the standings.
- 29:45Speaker 1: Possible look ahead spot from Miami Ohio there, and of
- 29:49Speaker 1: course again Miami o High is not as good as
- 29:51Speaker 1: the record looks, although neither is Buffalo. Miami Ohio is
- 29:54Speaker 1: a double digit favorite here. Buffalo did just play Kent State,
- 29:57Speaker 1: so that was a difficult game for them. Now Miami
- 30:00Speaker 1: Ohio on the road and they play Akronneckt so very
- 30:03Speaker 1: difficult run of games for Buffalo here. Man playing the
- 30:05Speaker 1: top three teams in the conference all one after the other.
- 30:09Speaker 1: That is not easy. So you could worry about the
- 30:11Speaker 1: fatigue factor for Buffalo here, so I got to stay
- 30:15Speaker 1: away from it. Miami Ohio did drop slightly from ten
- 30:17Speaker 1: and a half to ten. I would probably lean towards
- 30:21Speaker 1: taking the points, but Buffalo is coming off of a
- 30:25Speaker 1: more difficult game, so I do worry about that a bit.
- 30:28Speaker 1: I just I don't think they're going to overlook Miami Ohio.
- 30:31Speaker 1: Of course, both these teams are overrated, but Miami Ohio
- 30:35Speaker 1: has got to be the more overrated team just because
- 30:37Speaker 1: they're still undefeated. That's some MAC action there at one pm.
- 30:45Speaker 1: Also at one pm in the Soacon, Chattanooga in Western
- 30:49Speaker 1: Carolina actually is a little bit interesting to me. Chattanooga
- 30:53Speaker 1: just pulled off an upset at Wafford, so I'm looking
- 30:56Speaker 1: at it and I'm like, probably want to look to
- 30:58Speaker 1: fade Chattanooga.
- 30:59Speaker 2: That was a nice upset of Wafford on the road.
- 31:03Speaker 1: They have East Tennessee next, who's taught like near the
- 31:05Speaker 1: top of the conference. So Chattanooga basically looks like they're
- 31:08Speaker 1: in a sandwich spot against a Western Carolina team that
- 31:12Speaker 1: hasn't done a whole lot for the last who knows
- 31:15Speaker 1: how many years, probably since they had Kevin Martin if
- 31:17Speaker 1: you remember him in the NBA. He went to Western Carolina.
- 31:21Speaker 1: Probably they haven't been good since he was there. So Chattanooga,
- 31:25Speaker 1: that's the spot that they're in here. But for Western Carolina,
- 31:28Speaker 1: I don't think they're in a very good spot either.
- 31:31Speaker 1: They just beat East Tennessee so that's a big game,
- 31:34Speaker 1: and they have Mercer up next, and I'm pretty sure
- 31:37Speaker 1: that Mercer is actually the team that knocked Western Carolina
- 31:43Speaker 1: out of the conference tournament last year, so I think
- 31:46Speaker 1: that's a big look at spot. Mercer's been okay this year,
- 31:49Speaker 1: but yeah, so Mercer is the team that ended Western
- 31:52Speaker 1: Carolina season last year too, so I think they might
- 31:54Speaker 1: remember that, so they will be looking ahead to Mercer.
- 31:59Speaker 1: So to me, this looks like both teams are in
- 32:00Speaker 1: sandwich spots here, so it's a game that I'm staying
- 32:04Speaker 1: away from. Of course, both teams in sandwich spots. It
- 32:08Speaker 1: could be a look towards an over. Maybe the total
- 32:10Speaker 1: do go up from one nine and a half and
- 32:14Speaker 1: you think both teams might be a little bit tired.
- 32:16Speaker 1: It manifests more on the defensive side. Sometimes maybe we'll
- 32:20Speaker 1: see this thing get over. That total. Western Carolina has
- 32:23Speaker 1: gone up from one and a half to two and
- 32:24Speaker 1: a half for what it's worth. But again, I don't
- 32:26Speaker 1: love either side of this really. And then I don't
- 32:30Speaker 1: know if Chattanooga, I don't know if Wafford was any
- 32:35Speaker 1: sort of revenge game or anything like that. It looks
- 32:38Speaker 1: like No Furman was the team that knocked them out
- 32:40Speaker 1: of the tournament last year, the conference tournament.
- 32:42Speaker 2: So that's that game for you.
- 32:45Speaker 1: Two pmslate, we have number two in the country, Iowa
- 32:48Speaker 1: State going to Cincinnati on NBC Sports and Peacock for
- 32:53Speaker 1: this one. Now, I mean, first glance, you gotta think
- 32:57Speaker 1: the public's instinct is gonna be well, Iowa State's gonna
- 32:59Speaker 1: bounce bat. They've been awesome this year. They have one loss,
- 33:03Speaker 1: and that's what they just took. They just took a
- 33:05Speaker 1: blowout loss at Kansas. Kansas stepped it up, played really
- 33:09Speaker 1: well in that game, and then Kansas did not fall
- 33:12Speaker 1: into the letdown spot yesterday unfortunately. Which I'll talk about
- 33:17Speaker 1: that in my later morning show when I talk about
- 33:20Speaker 1: the rest of the sports today, when I get in
- 33:22Speaker 1: here and do that probably in a couple of hours. Now,
- 33:27Speaker 1: I talk about this a lot, man, when a team
- 33:29Speaker 1: is undefeated this deep into the season, like the public's
- 33:32Speaker 1: gonna have a tendency to say, well, that was just
- 33:34Speaker 1: a blip. Iowa State's gonna bounce back through the way
- 33:36Speaker 1: better team here. But I have a tendency to think
- 33:39Speaker 1: that loss can linger. I'm not gonna start singing the
- 33:42Speaker 1: Cranberrys here, but you can go see my zombie cover
- 33:45Speaker 1: that I put out as in my anti war ukulele releases.
- 33:50Speaker 2: I think i Awa State might be hung over here.
- 33:52Speaker 1: Man. Again, when a team's undefeated this deep into the
- 33:55Speaker 1: season and they finally take a loss, I think a
- 33:57Speaker 1: lot of times it hangs that team over more than
- 34:01Speaker 1: like I think that's usually that happens to be more
- 34:04Speaker 1: the case than the bounce back happens, if that makes sense.
- 34:07Speaker 1: So I think the public looks at this type of
- 34:09Speaker 1: thing the wrong way. Yes it was a blowout, yes,
- 34:13Speaker 1: somewhat embarrassing, but it was against a blue blood program
- 34:17Speaker 1: in Kansas, at Kansas where it's really difficult to win,
- 34:20Speaker 1: as we saw last night unfortunately. So yeah, I mean,
- 34:25Speaker 1: I think i Always State could be hung over here.
- 34:26Speaker 1: It's a second straight road game, third road game in
- 34:29Speaker 1: four games. Cincinnati is not exactly a familiar location for
- 34:33Speaker 1: Iowa State to goal though. Cincinnati has been in the
- 34:35Speaker 1: Big Twelve for a bit now, but they're probably pretty
- 34:38Speaker 1: easy to overlook. And Cincinnati's coming in off of ending
- 34:42Speaker 1: a three game loss Street with a win over Colorado,
- 34:45Speaker 1: and it was not a good win. Now, Colorado is
- 34:49Speaker 1: coming off that game where they covered for US against
- 34:51Speaker 1: Texas Tech, and they came all the way back late
- 34:54Speaker 1: in that game to cover and almost win the game
- 34:56Speaker 1: against Texas Tech. So I thought Colorado would have nothing
- 34:59Speaker 1: left in the tank in this game, and it looked
- 35:02Speaker 1: like that for a while. Cincinnati was annihilating them in
- 35:04Speaker 1: this game. They were winning fifty to twenty nine early
- 35:08Speaker 1: in the second half here monster lead for Cincinnati, and
- 35:12Speaker 1: then Cincinnati took their foot off the guests or went
- 35:15Speaker 1: completely cold whatever, I don't know. Cincinnati is not a
- 35:17Speaker 1: good offense, and Colorado crept back into this game, man.
- 35:21Speaker 1: So Colorado wound up putting in another big effort here
- 35:24Speaker 1: for a second game in a row. Is a big
- 35:26Speaker 1: underdog here. Cincinnati barely got through this thing. So I
- 35:30Speaker 1: think that actually makes Cincinnati more focused in this game.
- 35:34Speaker 1: And maybe they thought the game against Colorado was over
- 35:37Speaker 1: and maybe they started looking ahead to Iowa State and
- 35:39Speaker 1: that wasn't a good spot for Cincinnati either, because they
- 35:41Speaker 1: had covered against UCF, they had this big game against
- 35:44Speaker 1: Iowa State on deck, so they were in a bit
- 35:46Speaker 1: of a sandwich.
- 35:47Speaker 2: Both teams were in a bad spot in that one.
- 35:50Speaker 1: So if you saw my analysis when I broke down
- 35:53Speaker 1: that game the other night, I believe that's what I said,
- 35:55Speaker 1: which is why I passed on the game. Yeah, I
- 35:59Speaker 1: like Cincinnati, swim man. I think Iowa State might have
- 36:01Speaker 1: the hangover from taking their first loss, and I think
- 36:04Speaker 1: you know you're gonna get a focused effort out of
- 36:06Speaker 1: Cincinnati here. Cincinnati, they don't play slow. They actually play
- 36:12Speaker 1: on the faster side. But they're way better defensively than offensively.
- 36:16Speaker 1: So we'll see what Cincinnati could do here, man, but
- 36:18Speaker 1: Cincinnati is a very imbalanced team, but they're really really
- 36:23Speaker 1: good on defense. Our top ten defensive team again, pump
- 36:27Speaker 1: just outside the top two hundred offensively, and obviously Iowa
- 36:30Speaker 1: State's way more balanced, but both teams are better defensively
- 36:34Speaker 1: than offensively. I always state kind of a mid tempo team.
- 36:37Speaker 1: Cincinnati will probably play a bit fast, but the total
- 36:40Speaker 1: is low for reason because both these teams play good defense.
- 36:44Speaker 2: One is, the total probably.
- 36:46Speaker 1: Means that the points will be a little bit more
- 36:48Speaker 1: at a premium in a game like this, so taking
- 36:51Speaker 1: the points makes more sense in that game.
- 36:52Speaker 2: That's what I would do in that game.
- 36:54Speaker 1: Cincinnati plus the points would be my lean in that one.
- 37:00Speaker 1: All right, We got number nineteen Florida, number ten Vandy
- 37:04Speaker 1: here at two pm on ESPN. A little bit of
- 37:08Speaker 1: an interesting game here as well. I think both of
- 37:10Speaker 1: these teams are actually underrated right now, as Ken bombas
- 37:15Speaker 1: Florida tenth in the country and Vandy eleventh, So he's
- 37:17Speaker 1: got Florida severely underrated. He actually has these two teams
- 37:21Speaker 1: flipped in the rankings, but close ranking wise, which is
- 37:26Speaker 1: probably why you're not seeing Vandy getting a full home
- 37:29Speaker 1: court here. They're only two point favorite, so the oddsmakers
- 37:32Speaker 1: are actually also telling you Florida is a slightly better
- 37:35Speaker 1: team here, so that is interesting. It almost looks too
- 37:38Speaker 1: easy to play the higher ranked Vandy team here. Florida
- 37:43Speaker 1: may be still getting a little bit overlooked here, man,
- 37:46Speaker 1: because they have five losses, but they don't have any
- 37:49Speaker 1: bad losses. I mean, they lost to Arizona, Duke yukon
- 37:53Speaker 1: all close games too TCU, and then Missouri was obviously
- 37:57Speaker 1: their worst loss on the road, But those other teams
- 38:00Speaker 1: three out of the four are like top ten teams,
- 38:02Speaker 1: and then the other one not a horrible team in TCU.
- 38:06Speaker 1: Florida's on a nice little run here. They really had
- 38:10Speaker 1: a good game last time out against Oklahoma, and when
- 38:12Speaker 1: I thought was a sandwich spot after Florida beat Georgia
- 38:15Speaker 1: and Tennessee, they had to go out to Oklahoma with
- 38:18Speaker 1: Vandy looming on deck, and they still were able to
- 38:21Speaker 1: take care of business and cover. That shows you something, man,
- 38:25Speaker 1: Florida not getting caught in a bad spot like that,
- 38:29Speaker 1: and probably still will.
- 38:30Speaker 2: Be focused here.
- 38:31Speaker 1: I know it's a second straight road game, but I
- 38:34Speaker 1: kind of like Florida and this one Vandy, they're definitely
- 38:37Speaker 1: less battle tested man Florida, as I just showed you,
- 38:40Speaker 1: they had that crazy strength to schedule. For Vandy, their
- 38:43Speaker 1: best games are beating Saint Mary's I guess SMU pretty
- 38:47Speaker 1: decent win, and then Alabama is like their big legitimizing game.
- 38:51Speaker 1: So those are the three big wins. Florida has definitely
- 38:54Speaker 1: gone through a greater gauntlet than Vandy has. Vandy just
- 38:58Speaker 1: took a loss as well to Texas, So this is
- 39:01Speaker 1: the problem. Another problem with Vandy exactly what I said
- 39:04Speaker 1: with Iowa State, Man, we have another team that just
- 39:06Speaker 1: fell from the ranks of the unbeaten. That was Vandy
- 39:10Speaker 1: losing at Texas, and again, I think that could actually.
- 39:14Speaker 2: Hang you over a bit. Even though it was a
- 39:15Speaker 2: double digit loss.
- 39:16Speaker 1: Whatever, the public's probably gonna have a tendency to think
- 39:19Speaker 1: Vandy's gonna bounce back here. I look at it the
- 39:21Speaker 1: other way. I liked Florida in this game. I think
- 39:26Speaker 1: a loss like that this deep end of the season,
- 39:28Speaker 1: losing your undefeated status can linger. Sure Vandy will want
- 39:32Speaker 1: to show up because I think people still kind of
- 39:33Speaker 1: knock them for not having a strong straight the schedule.
- 39:36Speaker 1: So this would be a.
- 39:37Speaker 2: Big win for them for both teams.
- 39:39Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean, I just think the spot sets
- 39:43Speaker 1: up better for Florida. And again the odds makers are
- 39:46Speaker 1: telling you that the rankings makers have got this one
- 39:49Speaker 1: a little bit wrong and that Florida pretty much is
- 39:52Speaker 1: way better than you actually think that they are. So
- 39:55Speaker 1: Florida is the lean in that one for me. ESPN
- 39:58Speaker 1: two at two p and we have a Missouri Valley
- 40:01Speaker 1: game between Bradley and Illinois State. Both of these teams
- 40:04Speaker 1: are Illinois school They're both Illinois schools.
- 40:07Speaker 2: I believe this is a big game for both teams.
- 40:11Speaker 1: Now. Bradley has been one of the better teams in
- 40:13Speaker 1: this conference for a while and they are up near
- 40:16Speaker 1: the top of the conference with Illinois State being a
- 40:18Speaker 1: little bit behind them. Bradley coming in off a close
- 40:22Speaker 1: call against Evansville Mamor. I think Bradley was in a
- 40:24Speaker 1: sandwich in that game. They'd beaten Northern Iowa the game
- 40:27Speaker 1: before then, they had Illinois State on decks, so I
- 40:30Speaker 1: think they overlooked Evansville and they'd already beaten Evansville once too,
- 40:33Speaker 1: so it was a second matchup.
- 40:35Speaker 2: Had to go on the road at that time.
- 40:37Speaker 1: In Evansville played pretty well and came close against Bradley,
- 40:41Speaker 1: so that should focus Bradley more coming into this game
- 40:44Speaker 1: because they just weren't focused in that game and they
- 40:47Speaker 1: almost got caught. Now Illinois State, though they're also coming
- 40:50Speaker 1: off a number of bad performances. Actually they've lost three
- 40:55Speaker 1: in a row, losing to Valpo, Illinois, Chicago, and Indiana States.
- 40:59Speaker 1: They've lost to three teams that are not the better
- 41:02Speaker 1: teams in this conference, and Indiana State's a team that
- 41:04Speaker 1: had already beaten Maybe they started looking ahead. I don't know,
- 41:07Speaker 1: but I think after a bad run like that for
- 41:09Speaker 1: Illinois State, I think you're definitely gonna see focus out
- 41:12Speaker 1: of them here, like they are gonna be in need
- 41:14Speaker 1: of a win here. And those are ugly conference losses.
- 41:16Speaker 1: But if you look at the line in this game,
- 41:18Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are really telling you something with this line,
- 41:21Speaker 1: Illinois State, it's a six point favor in this game,
- 41:25Speaker 1: up from five to six. And like the public, if
- 41:27Speaker 1: they look at this game and want some TV action,
- 41:31Speaker 1: they're probably gonna want Bradley because they might remember Bradley
- 41:34Speaker 1: being in the conference championship last year. Bradley has the
- 41:37Speaker 1: better record both overall and in conference. So it looks
- 41:42Speaker 1: pretty easy to take the points with Bradley, but the
- 41:44Speaker 1: osweakers are telling you Illinois State is actually the better
- 41:48Speaker 1: team here despite their recent lull that they've had, and
- 41:53Speaker 1: I wouldn't disagree. I would lean to Illinois State in
- 41:55Speaker 1: that game as well for those reasons. So it's an
- 41:57Speaker 1: interesting one. Also at two PM, and man, so many games,
- 42:02Speaker 1: TNT has TCU and Utah.
- 42:05Speaker 2: It's a Big twelve game.
- 42:06Speaker 1: It's not the most interesting Big twelve game, but it's
- 42:10Speaker 1: on TV and I actually this one was on my
- 42:13Speaker 1: radar man as being a close one to making my
- 42:16Speaker 1: card here. I like Utah in this game, and really
- 42:21Speaker 1: it's almost entirely because TCU just putting a huge effort
- 42:24Speaker 1: at BYU in the last game.
- 42:26Speaker 2: So that's kind of why I'd be looking to.
- 42:29Speaker 1: Fade TCO TCU. Look at their last three games really,
- 42:34Speaker 1: starting back on January sixth, they took Kansas into overtime
- 42:37Speaker 1: on the road, then they had to go to Arizona.
- 42:40Speaker 1: They couldn't really put up the huge effort against Arizona.
- 42:43Speaker 1: They did lose by double digits at home. Excuse me.
- 42:46Speaker 1: TCU didn't play well in that game, but Arizona is
- 42:50Speaker 1: an elite team this year. TCU then had to go
- 42:54Speaker 1: on the road again into Elevation and played BYU really close.
- 42:57Speaker 1: So they're coming off a stretch of three big games though,
- 43:01Speaker 1: and this game they were close. In this game against
- 43:03Speaker 1: BYU Man, TCU was winning the game early in the
- 43:06Speaker 1: second half. They didn't go away. They were still within
- 43:08Speaker 1: three points in the final three minutes of the game,
- 43:11Speaker 1: and then they just fell a little bit short at
- 43:13Speaker 1: the end. And again, when a team falls short like
- 43:15Speaker 1: that in a big game, TCU was actually a thirteen
- 43:18Speaker 1: and a half point underdog in that game. When a
- 43:21Speaker 1: huge dog like that falls just short, you know, I
- 43:24Speaker 1: want to look to fade them in the next game
- 43:26Speaker 1: because I think they might come out flat here.
- 43:28Speaker 2: They do have Oklahoma State next.
- 43:31Speaker 1: I know Oklahoma State's kind of trailed off after playing
- 43:34Speaker 1: well out of conference.
- 43:35Speaker 2: They haven't been doing well in conference.
- 43:36Speaker 1: So maybe not really a total look atge spot there
- 43:39Speaker 1: for TCU, but probably Oklahoma State's still probably a bigger
- 43:45Speaker 1: game than Utah is.
- 43:46Speaker 2: I mean, Utah has just been down.
- 43:48Speaker 1: Utah doesn't have a conference win yet, they're at the
- 43:50Speaker 1: bottom of the conference now. TCU is already adjusted to
- 43:54Speaker 1: playing in elevation because both these games are in Utah.
- 43:56Speaker 1: Here BYU in Utah, but it is also second straight game.
- 44:01Speaker 2: In elevation, so I could see that going both ways.
- 44:04Speaker 1: And for Utah, yeah, they're coming off a game, a
- 44:09Speaker 1: pretty difficult game against Texas Tech where I liked Texas
- 44:12Speaker 1: Tech to cover in that game and they actually didn't.
- 44:15Speaker 1: Utah was coming off their own really difficult game against BYU.
- 44:19Speaker 1: That's a big rivalry game, so I thought they were
- 44:21Speaker 1: gonna be really flat in that game against Texas Tech,
- 44:24Speaker 1: and they were for a lot of it. Texas Tech
- 44:26Speaker 1: was winning by margin, but I think Texas Tech kind
- 44:28Speaker 1: of just packed it in or early in Utah snuck in
- 44:32Speaker 1: in the back door in that game. But I think
- 44:35Speaker 1: Utah will be more prepared for this one. They're back
- 44:37Speaker 1: at home. They did still lose by double digits in
- 44:41Speaker 1: that last game, is still looking for their first conference win.
- 44:44Speaker 1: I like Utah in this game. This is actually a
- 44:46Speaker 1: winnable game for them too. TCU only laying four and
- 44:50Speaker 1: a half five here in this one down for five
- 44:52Speaker 1: and a half total's not that low at one fifty six,
- 44:56Speaker 1: but yeah, it would be Utah in this game for me, man,
- 44:58Speaker 1: this one is almost on my card for what it's worth.
- 45:02Speaker 1: So and you know the public will if they look
- 45:06Speaker 1: at this game. The public is not going to be
- 45:08Speaker 1: playing Utah. You know that's obviously. They're a team that's
- 45:11Speaker 1: gonna be avoided by the public. So that's that game
- 45:15Speaker 1: for you. Big Ten Network. As Rutgers at Wisconsin at
- 45:18Speaker 1: two PM. Rutgers coming off a nice win as an underdog.
- 45:23Speaker 1: That was a win for us actually against Northwestern. I
- 45:25Speaker 1: think Northwestern was coming off a big game against Michigan State.
- 45:29Speaker 1: I want to say ann had Illinois on deck, so
- 45:32Speaker 1: I think that was a big sandwich spot the Northwestern
- 45:35Speaker 1: was in. We got the win with Rutgers as a
- 45:37Speaker 1: home underdog. Now Rutgers has to go to Wisconsin. You
- 45:42Speaker 1: gotta figure they'll still get up for a game against
- 45:44Speaker 1: a big name like Wisconsin, though, but they are coming
- 45:47Speaker 1: up pulling off an upset Rutgers is and having to
- 45:50Speaker 1: travel to Madison. Maybe not that easy Wisconsin. They just
- 45:55Speaker 1: beat Minnesota, and I thought that was gonna be their
- 45:57Speaker 1: letdown because Wisconsin had the monster win over Mission again
- 46:00Speaker 1: on the road the game before then in Minnesota almost
- 46:03Speaker 1: got the job done. For us and then we'll end
- 46:06Speaker 1: up missing by one two points here. As far as
- 46:08Speaker 1: the cover was concerned, it was a nice road win
- 46:12Speaker 1: for Wisconsin in a way because that's still a rivalry
- 46:14Speaker 1: game and whatever. But I don't know. To me, I
- 46:17Speaker 1: think it was a little still a little bit of
- 46:18Speaker 1: a flat performance from Wisconsin here, So I don't know
- 46:21Speaker 1: what we're gonna get out of them in this game.
- 46:24Speaker 1: I could see them playing better here, or I could
- 46:26Speaker 1: see them not really caring about Rutgers. They played Penn
- 46:29Speaker 1: State next, which is not really that much of a
- 46:31Speaker 1: look ahead or anything. So I don't know what to
- 46:34Speaker 1: do with this game. I have heard some professional opinions
- 46:36Speaker 1: on the Wisconsin side, and ear excuse me, on the
- 46:38Speaker 1: Rutgers side in this one. Wisconsin up from fifteen and
- 46:41Speaker 1: a half to sixteen here. Total's not that high at
- 46:44Speaker 1: one point fifty. Wisconsin does play a bit faster than
- 46:47Speaker 1: they used to, though, so I don't know. Rutgers. I
- 46:50Speaker 1: believe plays slow and it's gonna try to ugly it up,
- 46:56Speaker 1: So maybe if they're able to do that, like probably
- 46:59Speaker 1: it's in total or correlated in this one, I think
- 47:01Speaker 1: Wisconsin is able to speed it up. They probably will cover,
- 47:05Speaker 1: but if Rutgers is able to muddy the game up,
- 47:08Speaker 1: you're probably looking at a Rutgers cover here if it's
- 47:10Speaker 1: gonna wind up being lower scoring. I don't know much
- 47:13Speaker 1: of an opinion on the game, man, So yeah, I
- 47:17Speaker 1: don't know if I want to leave it at that,
- 47:18Speaker 1: Like I don't know. I just I don't want to
- 47:20Speaker 1: like give out like an opinion that I don't want
- 47:22Speaker 1: to give out an opinion that seems strong when it isn't,
- 47:25Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So I try to relay
- 47:26Speaker 1: that to people, like just give out all the information
- 47:29Speaker 1: that I can hear them, and you know, like try
- 47:32Speaker 1: to help people do their own analysis of these games
- 47:34Speaker 1: too and maybe think about things in a different way whatever.
- 47:37Speaker 1: But of course people might see something that I don't
- 47:39Speaker 1: as well. That's why we were like pooling information here really,
- 47:43Speaker 1: you know, although I know I get stubborn when I
- 47:45Speaker 1: disagree on on things. But yeah, but yeah, I probably
- 47:50Speaker 1: slightly lean to Wisconsin in that game, to be honest,
- 47:53Speaker 1: because I think Wisconsin's coming off a bit of a
- 47:55Speaker 1: flat effort where Rutgers just did pull off an upset
- 47:58Speaker 1: and doesn't have to travel. Next game up is Fox two.
- 48:01Speaker 1: PM more Big ten action here. Big ten gets a
- 48:06Speaker 1: lot of different networks now. Man, they're on Fox Fox
- 48:08Speaker 1: Sports one, They're on the Big ten network, They're on
- 48:11Speaker 1: which I think is associated with Fox Sports if.
- 48:13Speaker 2: I'm not mistaken.
- 48:14Speaker 1: They get NBC Sports and Peacock for some games. Yeah,
- 48:18Speaker 1: they're all over the place. Man, this is gonna be
- 48:21Speaker 1: one of my plays, I believe. Let me say, let
- 48:23Speaker 1: me make sure it is. I believe it is.
- 48:24Speaker 2: Yeah, we're gonna be Wait what hold on?
- 48:31Speaker 1: Why do I not have this list? And in my
- 48:33Speaker 1: let me see how many games do I thought I
- 48:34Speaker 1: had six? I have SMU Butler see whoa. I apologize, man,
- 48:49Speaker 1: I'm all discombobulated here. I actually have more than six
- 48:53Speaker 1: plays here. Holy crap, I was dude, I was so
- 48:56Speaker 1: out of it last night. I don't know what I
- 48:58Speaker 1: was doing. I have two plays here that I've not
- 49:01Speaker 1: added to the system. Hold on, so I think I no,
- 49:10Speaker 1: I have one play? Uh yeah, one play that I
- 49:14Speaker 1: haven't added to the system. Okay, so yeah, um yeah,
- 49:20Speaker 1: I apologize, man, I want to just I gotta figure
- 49:25Speaker 1: this out. Uh yeah, okay, all right, I think I'm
- 49:30Speaker 1: gonna have seven plays if I'm not mistaken here. On one,
- 49:33Speaker 1: I've not added to the system yet, which I will.
- 49:36Speaker 1: Or yeah, one, I've not added to the system, yew,
- 49:41Speaker 1: which I will when I get to it. Okay, yeah,
- 49:45Speaker 1: my mistake here, wop. And then let me make sure
- 49:48Speaker 1: I didn't skip any of these games yet here.
- 49:50Speaker 2: No, I did not.
- 49:51Speaker 1: I have two games in the two pm slate here,
- 49:53Speaker 1: but this is one of my games. We were on
- 49:56Speaker 1: Indiana minus two and a half here against Iowa.
- 50:01Speaker 2: Okay, let me see what the line is now here?
- 50:06Speaker 1: Where are they at? I'm like, that's not the line,
- 50:08Speaker 1: that's Iowa state. Yeah, Indiana's up from two to two
- 50:10Speaker 1: and a half here. I know it is a bit
- 50:11Speaker 1: of a low total here. I was gonna want to
- 50:13Speaker 1: play really slow and ugly this up, but I'm hoping
- 50:16Speaker 1: Indiana could speed this up a little bit. Indiana wants
- 50:18Speaker 1: to go a little bit faster than Iowa does. At
- 50:21Speaker 1: the very least. Indiana is more of a mid tempo team.
- 50:24Speaker 1: Indiana is still pretty good, man. They're not as good
- 50:27Speaker 1: as Iowa, but they're both balanced teams. Indiana is a
- 50:30Speaker 1: little bit more balanced, or a little bit more imbalanced
- 50:33Speaker 1: towards the offense. I was a little more imbalanced towards
- 50:36Speaker 1: the deepfense, but they're both balanced teams. I know i
- 50:39Speaker 1: aways been unlucky according to kem Bum, which does worrying
- 50:42Speaker 1: me a little bit. Indiana a little bit less unlucky,
- 50:46Speaker 1: but both teams are unlucky and his lucky index, so
- 50:48Speaker 1: I'm fine with that as well. But really this is
- 50:50Speaker 1: all about the spot. Man. We're fading Iowa in this one.
- 50:56Speaker 1: Look at what I was coming off of, dude, after
- 50:58Speaker 1: they got upset by minutes. So they've been a little
- 51:02Speaker 1: bit I don't want to say they've been spiraling, but
- 51:04Speaker 1: they've lost both games since then.
- 51:05Speaker 2: But look at the games they played.
- 51:07Speaker 1: They had a big game against Illinois, who's a legit
- 51:10Speaker 1: team right now, man, and Iowa was down big in
- 51:13Speaker 1: this game, and they came all the way back and
- 51:15Speaker 1: played them to within four points late in the game.
- 51:18Speaker 1: So Iowa didn't go away in that game. Then they
- 51:21Speaker 1: had to go to Purdue, which is a really difficult
- 51:23Speaker 1: place to win, and Iowa didn't go away in this
- 51:26Speaker 1: game either. Iowa was actually winning this game early in
- 51:29Speaker 1: the second half, close game almost the entire way, and
- 51:32Speaker 1: Iowa was still in this game all the way down
- 51:34Speaker 1: the stretch down four points in the final minute. Yeah,
- 51:37Speaker 1: so Iowa didn't go away in either game. They played
- 51:40Speaker 1: really close both games. I think this might be the flat.
- 51:42Speaker 2: Spot here, man.
- 51:45Speaker 1: Even though Indiana is slightly above them in the standings,
- 51:47Speaker 1: Indiana is still Indiana. I mean, they have a good
- 51:51Speaker 1: track record obviously, but I think this might be the
- 51:54Speaker 1: spat of Iowa just runs out of gas here, man,
- 51:56Speaker 1: after those two huge games, Indiana coming into this one
- 52:01Speaker 1: off a blowout loss to Michigan, and I know they
- 52:03Speaker 1: were in a Michigan sandwich. They got Michigan up next,
- 52:06Speaker 1: but Indiana's lost two games in a row and they
- 52:09Speaker 1: were to Nebraska in Michigan State. And I think you
- 52:11Speaker 1: could explain that loss to Michigan State because Indiana had
- 52:14Speaker 1: that tough game against Nebraska the prior game where they
- 52:17Speaker 1: could have pulled off that win and they fell short.
- 52:21Speaker 1: So I think this is more of a bounce back
- 52:22Speaker 1: spot for Indiana here. And I see Iowa maybe being
- 52:25Speaker 1: out of gas here. So I like Indiana in this one.
- 52:29Speaker 1: I think ken Bom has the number about where the
- 52:31Speaker 1: number actually is as well. Indiana is the play in
- 52:35Speaker 1: that one. Man. Now let me see as far as
- 52:37Speaker 1: my I'm looking at my let me see here we
- 52:45Speaker 1: have that one. Yeah, I apologize, I'm still looking at
- 52:48Speaker 1: my I have a notepad here, or I just have everything.
- 52:52Speaker 1: I have my notes of like which games are on
- 52:54Speaker 1: my short list.
- 52:55Speaker 2: Which games actually made my card?
- 52:58Speaker 1: Let me see which most of the games that made
- 53:01Speaker 1: my card are well, not most of them. I guess
- 53:04Speaker 1: less than half of them are big conference games.
- 53:06Speaker 2: That's my last big conference game.
- 53:08Speaker 1: Actually, I have three early ish big conference games, and
- 53:11Speaker 1: the rest of my games are not. Okay, but yeah,
- 53:16Speaker 1: I'm just making sure that I have everything in the
- 53:17Speaker 1: system here. I've six and then I know what my
- 53:23Speaker 1: seventh play is because I have it in my notepad here.
- 53:26Speaker 1: So I just remember to talk about that game. Okay,
- 53:30Speaker 1: I think we got it. The next game up is
- 53:32Speaker 1: my next play, by the way, and it is unc
- 53:35Speaker 1: Ashville plus the points. So we're going with this one
- 53:38Speaker 1: too against Winthrop. This is a spot man. This game
- 53:42Speaker 1: is on ESPN Plus if you want to watch it
- 53:44Speaker 1: at two pm. Winthrop, I know they're better than the
- 53:47Speaker 1: record looks, and I said that going into their last
- 53:50Speaker 1: game because that last game it looked really easy to
- 53:52Speaker 1: play High Point in that one Mancus High Point has
- 53:55Speaker 1: dominated this Big South Conference last couple of years, probably
- 53:58Speaker 1: should have won the conference both years, and they only
- 54:01Speaker 1: won it last year. But Winthrop is a very under
- 54:03Speaker 1: the radar team right now. Man, They're a solid team.
- 54:06Speaker 1: They played a difficult out of conference schedule, playing Nebraska
- 54:09Speaker 1: pretty close, Arkansas pretty close. This is a legit Winthrop team,
- 54:14Speaker 1: but we're gonna fade them here because they just demolished
- 54:18Speaker 1: high Point in that game.
- 54:19Speaker 2: And I gave up Winthrop as a lean in that game.
- 54:22Speaker 1: I liked it because Winthrop was actually either a really
- 54:25Speaker 1: small dog or a small favorite in this one. I
- 54:27Speaker 1: forget they were a small dog here. So the Oswiggers
- 54:30Speaker 1: are really telling you something that Winthrop not that much
- 54:33Speaker 1: worse than high Point and they got the job done.
- 54:35Speaker 1: And that was a huge win because not only did
- 54:38Speaker 1: they beat high Point to pull into a tie with
- 54:40Speaker 1: them atop the Big South, high Point was the winner
- 54:43Speaker 1: of the conference last year. They've been the best team
- 54:45Speaker 1: in the conference last two years. So huge win for
- 54:48Speaker 1: all those reasons. But also Winthrop lost to high Point
- 54:52Speaker 1: in the conference championship last year, so that was a
- 54:56Speaker 1: huge win for Winthrop for that reason too. First time
- 54:59Speaker 1: facing high Point since losing to them in the conference
- 55:01Speaker 1: championship last year. Big time revenge for Winthrop. Beating the
- 55:06Speaker 1: team that ended their season last year. That was huge
- 55:10Speaker 1: for Winthrop. Man, So Winthrop got that job done. But
- 55:14Speaker 1: now they're playing unc Asheville and oh yeah, guess who's
- 55:16Speaker 1: turn it is to be in the revenge role here? Yeah,
- 55:20Speaker 1: that would be unc Asheville because Winthrop knocked you unc
- 55:23Speaker 1: Asheville out of the Big Ceuth Tournament last year in
- 55:25Speaker 1: the semi finals of the tournament. So now unc Asheville,
- 55:29Speaker 1: I think, is gonna be the avenging team in this
- 55:32Speaker 1: one and want revenge here. And they actually beating U
- 55:34Speaker 1: and c Ashville in the regular season in March as well,
- 55:37Speaker 1: so maybe a little bit of double revenge there. And
- 55:39Speaker 1: Winthrop did lose to them on the road here where
- 55:42Speaker 1: we have the game today. By the way, Winthrop did
- 55:45Speaker 1: lose in this arena last year, so interesting to note.
- 55:51Speaker 1: But now you un cee Asheville has a little bit
- 55:53Speaker 1: of double revenge. The big revenge that matters, man, is
- 55:56Speaker 1: that they're the team that beat Winthrop, is team that
- 56:00Speaker 1: beat them in the conference tournament. That's the big thing.
- 56:02Speaker 1: And you would see Asheville is a bit down this year,
- 56:05Speaker 1: so they look pretty easy to overlook in this conference
- 56:07Speaker 1: right now. And Winthrop has Radford next, And by the way,
- 56:10Speaker 1: Radford is the only other one loss team in the
- 56:13Speaker 1: conference right now besides Winthrop and High Points. So this
- 56:16Speaker 1: is a sandwich spot. I think they might look ahead
- 56:18Speaker 1: to Radford here a little bit. So this spot, yeah,
- 56:23Speaker 1: to me, it's you. It's all you Wu and see
- 56:24Speaker 1: Asheville for me in this one, man, unc Ashevial's coming
- 56:28Speaker 1: out of a loss to Presbyterian.
- 56:30Speaker 2: It was on the road, it wasn't a great.
- 56:31Speaker 1: Loss for them, and you Wu and see Asheville had
- 56:33Speaker 1: beaten Radford on the road the game before this. Unc
- 56:36Speaker 1: Asheville was really good in the game against Radford is
- 56:39Speaker 1: a pretty big underdog. I would assume in that game
- 56:42Speaker 1: they pulled off a big win, and I think that
- 56:44Speaker 1: put them in a sandwich spot, man, between Winthrop and Radford.
- 56:47Speaker 1: So I think you unc Asheville kind of got caught there.
- 56:50Speaker 1: They lost to a not great Presbyterian team. I think
- 56:53Speaker 1: you would see Asheville might have been looking ahead here.
- 56:55Speaker 1: They're gonna show up in my opinion for this game
- 56:57Speaker 1: against Winthrop, the team that ended their season last year.
- 57:00Speaker 1: That's what we're going with unc Asheville plus the points,
- 57:04Speaker 1: even though I think Winthrop is not as good as there.
- 57:06Speaker 1: I think Winthrop is excuse me, better than They look
- 57:09Speaker 1: better than the record looks, and I think you would
- 57:11Speaker 1: see Asheville might actually be not as bad as the
- 57:14Speaker 1: record looks either. Ken Bum doesn't have them great, but
- 57:18Speaker 1: he does have them as a an unlucky team. He
- 57:20Speaker 1: has them playing slow. He has them as a balanced
- 57:23Speaker 1: team at the very least, so the balance in below mediocrity.
- 57:27Speaker 1: He's got Winthrop outside the top one hundred though. Winthrop
- 57:30Speaker 1: is a more imbalanced team though, and they're bad defensively,
- 57:33Speaker 1: although still better than Asheville I think, but Winthrop is
- 57:37Speaker 1: pretty weak on the defensive end. Man, Both teams are
- 57:40Speaker 1: low and ken Bump's luck index, so they're both unlucky
- 57:43Speaker 1: right now. But Winthrop goes a little bit faster. They're
- 57:46Speaker 1: mid tempo unc Asheville. The hope is that they're gonna
- 57:49Speaker 1: ugly the game up and slow it down. Total is
- 57:52Speaker 1: not that low though, in the one fifties, but I
- 57:55Speaker 1: think the spot definitely is shouting to me for unc
- 57:59Speaker 1: Ash in that one. So I like.
- 58:01Speaker 2: It all right A.
- 58:04Speaker 1: Rider at Saint Peter's kind of caught my eye when
- 58:07Speaker 1: I was looking at these games because Ryder they just
- 58:10Speaker 1: pulled off a big upset man at home against Iona.
- 58:13Speaker 1: Ryder is really really bad in the matt Act this year.
- 58:17Speaker 1: They're in a nept team pretty much, and beating Iona
- 58:20Speaker 1: is pretty crazy. Even though it wasn't home whatever, I
- 58:22Speaker 1: own A probably overlooked them, but Iona has been They're
- 58:26Speaker 1: usually one of the teams that's in the mix to
- 58:28Speaker 1: win this conference every year, so that was a big
- 58:30Speaker 1: win for Ryder. Now they're gonna go on the road
- 58:33Speaker 1: to Saint Peter's coming off that big effort. Now the
- 58:35Speaker 1: question is can Rider put in a big effort two
- 58:38Speaker 1: games in a row. That is the question, because I
- 58:40Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna overlook Saint Peter's, who's now sitting
- 58:43Speaker 1: atop the matt Ac Conference and has won it two
- 58:47Speaker 1: of the last like five years or something, so Rider
- 58:50Speaker 1: probably won't overlook them. I think both teams are in
- 58:53Speaker 1: New Jersey as well, if I'm not mistaken, so there's
- 58:55Speaker 1: a little in state sibling rivalry here as well. With
- 58:58Speaker 1: Saint Peter's. Basically, probably the role of the bigger brother
- 59:01Speaker 1: as well. I believe that's the case, But the question
- 59:05Speaker 1: is can ride or maintain the effort? Man? Oh yeah,
- 59:08Speaker 1: so that's in Jersey City. Now. The fact that Ryder
- 59:12Speaker 1: got their first conference win and broke a long losey
- 59:15Speaker 1: streak and that was actually their first Division one win,
- 59:18Speaker 1: that's actually kind of big, Like sometimes that will help
- 59:21Speaker 1: propel you forward, right, because it's like there's this monkey
- 59:24Speaker 1: on your back. Oh my god, we don't even have
- 59:26Speaker 1: a Division one win yet, And then once you get it,
- 59:28Speaker 1: it's almost like a relief, like that's off your back, right,
- 59:32Speaker 1: and you could start playing looser. So there are positives
- 59:35Speaker 1: here for Rioder despite coming off a pretty big upset win.
- 59:40Speaker 1: Saint Peters is also coming off an upset though. They
- 59:42Speaker 1: went on the road and they upset Quinnipiac after beating Merrimack,
- 59:47Speaker 1: and they have Iona next and then Merrimack again. So
- 59:50Speaker 1: this is sandwiched in between better teams than the conference. Man,
- 59:54Speaker 1: So they're in a sandwich spot here, And the last
- 59:56Speaker 1: time they were in a spot like this, I gave
- 59:58Speaker 1: out a play on Mount Saint Areas and we got it, right,
- 1:00:01Speaker 1: We got the win with that one. So I would
- 1:00:03Speaker 1: actually probably need to rideer in this game. I know
- 1:00:07Speaker 1: it's very very ugly. I don't want to do it
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: just because they are coming off a big upset. But
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: Saint Peter's is in the more difficult spot. They're down
- 1:00:15Speaker 1: from eleven to ten and a half. Here, we're asking
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: Saint Peter's to cover a big number here, man, and
- 1:00:21Speaker 1: these teams, You're probably not gonna see a lot of
- 1:00:24Speaker 1: scoring in this game, So asking Saint Peter's to win
- 1:00:26Speaker 1: by double digits is a pretty big ask. One hundred
- 1:00:30Speaker 1: and thirty five and a half is the total. It
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: has gone up, but it's still pretty low total. So
- 1:00:35Speaker 1: that's the information on that one. Syracuse is at Boston
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: College on the ACC network. We're still in the afternoons
- 1:00:43Speaker 1: late here after an hour, man, Man, these basketball shows
- 1:00:46Speaker 1: take forever. Syracuse is coming up beating Florida State, not
- 1:00:51Speaker 1: a big win for Syracuse going on the road to
- 1:00:54Speaker 1: face BC, though Virginia Tech, Miami, NC State on deck.
- 1:00:58Speaker 1: Those might be bigger games than be I mean, BC
- 1:01:01Speaker 1: is down right now, so potential look ahead for Syracuse there,
- 1:01:05Speaker 1: PC coming off losing pretty ugly to Louisville and Clemson
- 1:01:08Speaker 1: coming back home where they lost NC State, although they
- 1:01:11Speaker 1: played decently in that game. Yeah, I would prefer BC
- 1:01:16Speaker 1: in this game if I was gonna play it, But
- 1:01:18Speaker 1: no strong opinion on this one at all.
- 1:01:20Speaker 2: Syracuse up from five and a half.
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: To six totals in the one thirties, so it's low
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: so points at a bit more of a premium in
- 1:01:28Speaker 1: that one. So those are my thoughts on that. Not
- 1:01:31Speaker 1: a whole lot of thoughts there. The Summit League has
- 1:01:34Speaker 1: the top two teams in the Summit facing off and
- 1:01:37Speaker 1: it's not a TV game, Saint Thomas at North Dakota State.
- 1:01:40Speaker 1: These are both, like almost definitely the best two teams
- 1:01:44Speaker 1: in this conference. One of these two teams should win
- 1:01:47Speaker 1: the conference when all of a sudden done. I'm kind
- 1:01:49Speaker 1: of rooting for the Tommy's just because you know, North
- 1:01:53Speaker 1: Dakota State has done it before. Saint Thomas is kind
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: of new to Division one, so and for Tyler heroes,
- 1:02:00Speaker 1: you know, waiting on a hero to save them whatever,
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: But they're the newer team to the Division one in
- 1:02:08Speaker 1: general and have never won the conference before. So the
- 1:02:11Speaker 1: way this sets up, neither team is really in a
- 1:02:13Speaker 1: bad spot. And I think Saint Thomas just beating North Dakota.
- 1:02:17Speaker 1: They're playing a third straight road game, though, so that
- 1:02:21Speaker 1: makes it, I guess a little bit more difficult. North
- 1:02:23Speaker 1: Dakota State just beat one of their rivals, South Dakota State.
- 1:02:26Speaker 1: Or though celt Dakota State's a little bit down this year,
- 1:02:29Speaker 1: adsmakers are telling you St. Thomas is the slightly better team.
- 1:02:32Speaker 1: North Dakota State down for two and a half to
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: two here. I guess I'll agree with the market reading
- 1:02:38Speaker 1: LEAs slightly towards Saint Thomas in that one. But it's
- 1:02:40Speaker 1: difficult to play a third straight road game, man, so
- 1:02:43Speaker 1: I'm gonna stay off of it. H In the IVY League,
- 1:02:47Speaker 1: we have perhaps maybe the two top teams in the
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: IVY this year. I don't know, because Yale is definitely
- 1:02:53Speaker 1: the top team in the IVY. Cornell is okay, but
- 1:02:56Speaker 1: they just don't play a lot of defense. The Cornell
- 1:02:58Speaker 1: is off to an zero and two star in conference, man,
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: but I think they were a favorite in both games
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: against Columbia and Dartmouth. Let me see, yeah, they were.
- 1:03:07Speaker 1: So Cornell has lost two games a favorite so far,
- 1:03:10Speaker 1: and kind of an inexplicable loss to dat Meth, who's
- 1:03:13Speaker 1: currently at the top of the eye. Make no mistake
- 1:03:16Speaker 1: Dartmouth unless we have the power at his way off here,
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: Dartmouth is not the best team in this conference. Cornell
- 1:03:24Speaker 1: taking that loss is just bizarre. Cornell is just very
- 1:03:26Speaker 1: bad on the defensive end. Man, so that was an
- 1:03:29Speaker 1: ugly loss. Maybe they were looking ahead to Yale, so
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: they should show up against Yale. Problem is, Yale is
- 1:03:34Speaker 1: coming off an ugly loss on the road to Princeton.
- 1:03:38Speaker 1: Yale is not played at home yet. This is their
- 1:03:39Speaker 1: conference home opener, so they should show up as well.
- 1:03:42Speaker 1: That was an ugly loss man Princeton. Even though they're
- 1:03:45Speaker 1: two to zero conference, they're not that good this year,
- 1:03:47Speaker 1: so we'll see. They might be one of the better
- 1:03:52Speaker 1: Ish teams in the IVY still, but that was not
- 1:03:55Speaker 1: a good loss for Yale Man Yale. Let me see,
- 1:03:58Speaker 1: it was a seven and a half way faise in
- 1:04:00Speaker 1: this game, so not a good loss as a favor
- 1:04:03Speaker 1: for Yale. So I think both teams should show up
- 1:04:05Speaker 1: in this game. Yale's down from nine and a half
- 1:04:08Speaker 1: to nine total is pretty high, although it's down to
- 1:04:11Speaker 1: one to seventy six. But you're looking at it again.
- 1:04:13Speaker 1: Cornell likes to go fast. They don't play defense. Yale
- 1:04:18Speaker 1: is also actually very bad in the defensive end and
- 1:04:20Speaker 1: top fifty team offensively, So Yale very very weird team
- 1:04:25Speaker 1: and where they play slow, but they also don't play defense,
- 1:04:28Speaker 1: so I don't really hate the idea of an over
- 1:04:31Speaker 1: in this game. And the total is way high for
- 1:04:33Speaker 1: a reason. You know, I don't know which one of
- 1:04:38Speaker 1: these teams is coming up and more disgusting loss.
- 1:04:40Speaker 2: To be honest a lot. I'd probably lean to Yale
- 1:04:42Speaker 2: just because.
- 1:04:42Speaker 1: It's their conference home opener and they are still the
- 1:04:45Speaker 1: better team. They're laying nine points for a reason here,
- 1:04:48Speaker 1: so that's probably the way I would lean in that game,
- 1:04:50Speaker 1: although their overall record does make them look like the
- 1:04:53Speaker 1: better team anyway, which they are.
- 1:04:55Speaker 2: So that's that game.
- 1:04:57Speaker 1: Okay. Princeton is of course at Havevid. Princeton is coming
- 1:05:02Speaker 1: off that upset of Yale. That was a big upset
- 1:05:05Speaker 1: for Princeton. Man, now they have to go on the road,
- 1:05:07Speaker 1: first conference road game to HAVEVID, and Havid just won
- 1:05:11Speaker 1: at Columbia though, so Harvard probably was an underdog in
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: that game. They just pulled off an upset as a
- 1:05:18Speaker 1: road underdog. So both teams coming off upsets. Although I
- 1:05:21Speaker 1: think Princeton's upset was bigger because it was Yale, and
- 1:05:24Speaker 1: Yale's won this conference. Last couple of years, Columbia hasn't
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: been relevant in this conference, even though they started off
- 1:05:31Speaker 1: good in the out of conference last year, they proved
- 1:05:33Speaker 1: that they were not legit when.
- 1:05:35Speaker 2: Conference I started last year.
- 1:05:36Speaker 1: Columbia looks a little bit more legit this year, but
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: I would probably lean to Harvard in this one.
- 1:05:42Speaker 2: They're laying four and a half.
- 1:05:43Speaker 1: It's a low total though, one thirty two, so points
- 1:05:46Speaker 1: at a premium in that one, but I probably would
- 1:05:48Speaker 1: slightly lean towards Harvard and that one with Princeton coming
- 1:05:51Speaker 1: off the bigger upset. Also at two pm, East Tennessee
- 1:05:56Speaker 1: at Samford in the Soacon is on CBS Sports. East
- 1:06:02Speaker 1: Tennessee I think is still the best team in this conference.
- 1:06:04Speaker 1: Samford is a little bit down from where they were
- 1:06:06Speaker 1: the last couple of years. East Tennessee is coming up
- 1:06:09Speaker 1: that upset loss to West Carolina Western Carolina, so they
- 1:06:15Speaker 1: might be up for this game. Man, that was kind
- 1:06:17Speaker 1: of a bad loss so though it ended a four
- 1:06:18Speaker 1: game win streak for them, so they could be hungover
- 1:06:21Speaker 1: as well. Like when teams lose win streaks sometimes they
- 1:06:23Speaker 1: are hungover, but they could bounce back here because that
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: was kind of an ugly loss, and maybe they were
- 1:06:29Speaker 1: even looking ahead to a Samford team that's been pretty
- 1:06:32Speaker 1: good in this conference the last couple of years, although
- 1:06:34Speaker 1: not really this year.
- 1:06:35Speaker 2: Samford is coming up a more difficult game.
- 1:06:38Speaker 1: Against Furman, who is one of the better teams of
- 1:06:40Speaker 1: this conference as well over the last few years and
- 1:06:43Speaker 1: remains that way this year. Furman was a small favorite
- 1:06:46Speaker 1: in that one on the road. That was a tough game.
- 1:06:48Speaker 1: So I think Samford is coming up the more difficult
- 1:06:51Speaker 1: game here. Sure, they're going to try to get up
- 1:06:53Speaker 1: for a game against the top team in the conference,
- 1:06:55Speaker 1: East Tennessee, although Furman is actually slightly above them right
- 1:06:58Speaker 1: now in the standings, I think to sees a little
- 1:07:01Speaker 1: bit better. Still.
- 1:07:03Speaker 2: East Tennessee did drop.
- 1:07:04Speaker 1: From four to three here though, so the early market
- 1:07:07Speaker 1: move is towards the Samford side, but I kind of
- 1:07:11Speaker 1: disagree with it. I think East Tennessee isn't a bigger
- 1:07:13Speaker 1: bounce back spot off an ugly loss that should refocus
- 1:07:16Speaker 1: them more. So I would slightly lean towards East Tennessee
- 1:07:21Speaker 1: and that one. Kyle, what's up Man? Yes, I apologize,
- 1:07:26Speaker 1: Thank you, sir. It's just way too much for me
- 1:07:30Speaker 1: to get to. Man, I just I couldn't do it
- 1:07:32Speaker 1: last night. I'm like, I can't stay up until three
- 1:07:34Speaker 1: thirty am. Man.
- 1:07:35Speaker 2: Maybe I'm way too old now.
- 1:07:37Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 1:07:38Speaker 2: I just couldn't do it.
- 1:07:40Speaker 1: And now I'm doing this, and then I have to
- 1:07:41Speaker 1: come back and do my normal Saturday morning stream right
- 1:07:44Speaker 1: after this, which hopefully will be a lot shorter because
- 1:07:46Speaker 1: it won't be college basketball because I'm doing that all here,
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: and I'm planning on doing that around nine to thirty
- 1:07:55Speaker 1: am Eastern.
- 1:07:57Speaker 2: This show should be done within the next hour. I hope.
- 1:08:01Speaker 1: Let's try to get it done. Remember still in the
- 1:08:03Speaker 1: afternoon here. My next play is about to be up here.
- 1:08:08Speaker 1: Next best bet for you, We're gonna be on Delaware
- 1:08:13Speaker 1: plus the points here. I have to rearrange these, by
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: the way, because I've already given out four plays, Kyle,
- 1:08:17Speaker 1: I apologize again. I have three more. This is one
- 1:08:20Speaker 1: of the remaining three. Delaware plus four and a half
- 1:08:23Speaker 1: is the play for me in the Conference USA against
- 1:08:26Speaker 1: New Mexico State.
- 1:08:28Speaker 2: I think the spot is bad for New Mexico State.
- 1:08:30Speaker 1: Man. New Mexico State probably actually a little bit better
- 1:08:34Speaker 1: than they look.
- 1:08:34Speaker 2: But I don't like the spot at all.
- 1:08:36Speaker 1: I mean, they're coming off playing really all the top
- 1:08:39Speaker 1: teams in the conference, playing on the road against Missouri
- 1:08:42Speaker 1: State to within seven. Justin's Missouri State team. They're near
- 1:08:46Speaker 1: the top, and literally the teams the top four teams
- 1:08:49Speaker 1: in the conference standings conference standings right now are literally
- 1:08:53Speaker 1: the last four teams. New Mexico State played on the
- 1:08:56Speaker 1: road at Missouri State, coming to within seven. They beat
- 1:08:58Speaker 1: Western Kentucky at home, home, stayed at home, and they
- 1:09:01Speaker 1: lost barely to Middle Tennessee, and then they went on
- 1:09:05Speaker 1: the road again and they took Liberty to the wire
- 1:09:07Speaker 1: and Liberty was a double digit favor in that game.
- 1:09:10Speaker 1: Liberty is the team to beat in this conference at
- 1:09:12Speaker 1: this point. Man, that was a monster game for New
- 1:09:15Speaker 1: Mexico State. But again three excuse four big games in
- 1:09:19Speaker 1: a row with big effort at all four, I think
- 1:09:22Speaker 1: this has got to be the flat spot here. Second
- 1:09:25Speaker 1: straight road game coming in against Delaware, who's literally at
- 1:09:28Speaker 1: the bottom of the conference standings, probably won't pay attention,
- 1:09:31Speaker 1: and up next to New Mexico State as Missouri State
- 1:09:33Speaker 1: again at home, and that's gonna be revenge because they
- 1:09:37Speaker 1: just lost at Missouri State and it's the team it's
- 1:09:39Speaker 1: fourth in the conference standing, so that's a big game
- 1:09:42Speaker 1: as well. To me, this looks like a big time
- 1:09:45Speaker 1: overlook spot, and for Delaware, they're gonna be the team
- 1:09:49Speaker 1: that's looking for a win. Man. They do have one
- 1:09:50Speaker 1: win in the conference, but I think they're gonna be
- 1:09:53Speaker 1: looking for another. They could have had the win against
- 1:09:55Speaker 1: UTEP in the last game. UTEP is the only team
- 1:09:59Speaker 1: in the conference pretty much that's basically as bad as
- 1:10:01Speaker 1: Delaware is, and Delaware couldn't get it done in that game.
- 1:10:04Speaker 1: So I think Delaware staying at home New Mexico State
- 1:10:08Speaker 1: coming in. Yeah. I know Delaware does have Liberty next,
- 1:10:10Speaker 1: but when they've lost three in a row, I don't
- 1:10:13Speaker 1: think they're gonna be looking ahead to anybody. Man, especially
- 1:10:15Speaker 1: after losing to a pretty ugly UTEP team. I think
- 1:10:18Speaker 1: Delaware is gonna show up for this one. We don't
- 1:10:20Speaker 1: need them to win. They got to cover it. I
- 1:10:22Speaker 1: think they can do it. We're taking the points with
- 1:10:25Speaker 1: Delaware in this one. You can actually get five on
- 1:10:28Speaker 1: this now, and it is a low total as well,
- 1:10:30Speaker 1: at one thirty five, So points look like they might
- 1:10:33Speaker 1: be at a bit of a premium in this one,
- 1:10:35Speaker 1: which is good for taking the points. Now for Delaware,
- 1:10:38Speaker 1: they're at least better defensively than offensively. They're not a
- 1:10:41Speaker 1: good team, but ken Bum has them in the bottom
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: like sixty something in locks, so they're an unlucky team.
- 1:10:48Speaker 1: They play really slow. They're like bottom twelve or thirteen
- 1:10:51Speaker 1: in tempo, so they're gonna slow this game way down
- 1:10:54Speaker 1: and ugly it up.
- 1:10:55Speaker 2: They play okay, I.
- 1:10:57Speaker 1: Guess defensively at the very least, so their defense is
- 1:11:00Speaker 1: better than their offense. And New Mexico State slightly better
- 1:11:04Speaker 1: defensively as well, although they're more of a balanced team.
- 1:11:07Speaker 1: But New Mexico State also an unlucky team, by the way,
- 1:11:10Speaker 1: and they also do play slow. So I did say
- 1:11:12Speaker 1: New Mexico State is better than the record looks.
- 1:11:14Speaker 2: I know that, but.
- 1:11:17Speaker 1: You can kind of say that for both of these
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: teams on the spot is just really bad for New
- 1:11:21Speaker 1: Mexico State, as I just showed you, so Delaware is
- 1:11:24Speaker 1: one of the plays that we have here on the
- 1:11:26Speaker 1: board today.
- 1:11:27Speaker 2: On the card.
- 1:11:28Speaker 1: Let's say, so, yeah, that's that's it. They're both teams
- 1:11:33Speaker 1: playing slow. Delaware playing especially slow hopefully means it's going
- 1:11:36Speaker 1: to be a grind, a low scoring game whatever. C
- 1:11:39Speaker 1: W at two fifteen pm as Miami and number twenty
- 1:11:43Speaker 1: two Clemson. Ind a weird start time here, man, Hopefully
- 1:11:49Speaker 1: I can get through all these games. Man.
- 1:11:50Speaker 2: Oh my god.
- 1:11:52Speaker 1: Miami's playing well, man. I mean, they're undefeated in the
- 1:11:56Speaker 1: ACC right now. I haven't faced the most difficult conference
- 1:11:59Speaker 1: schedule yet, though they faced a pretty weak one. In fact,
- 1:12:02Speaker 1: they did just beat Notre Dame. Notre Dame was kind
- 1:12:04Speaker 1: of close in that game for a while. Maybe Miami
- 1:12:07Speaker 1: was looking ahead a little bit. They're not going to
- 1:12:08Speaker 1: overlook Clemson, though, and you know, Miami, especially because they
- 1:12:13Speaker 1: didn't even play that well against the Notre Dames, so
- 1:12:15Speaker 1: that might focus Miami a little bit more. Clemson is
- 1:12:18Speaker 1: staying at home. I doubt that they overlook Miami, although
- 1:12:21Speaker 1: they do play NC State next, which is kind of
- 1:12:23Speaker 1: a big game. But Miami is right behind them in
- 1:12:27Speaker 1: the standings. Man, so I don't really see Clemson overlooking Miami.
- 1:12:31Speaker 1: But Clemson is the better team still. The team is
- 1:12:36Speaker 1: a little bit more battle tested. They're up to a
- 1:12:37Speaker 1: four and a half point favor from four. I'd probably
- 1:12:41Speaker 1: have to lean towards Clemson in this one. Again, I
- 1:12:45Speaker 1: think Miami they got to show us something. Man. Clemson
- 1:12:49Speaker 1: has at least played SMU there in conference play. I
- 1:12:52Speaker 1: think they had a more difficult out of conference schedule
- 1:12:54Speaker 1: as well. But we can look and see what kem
- 1:12:56Speaker 1: Bom has to say about that real quick. Clemson's based
- 1:13:00Speaker 1: a fifty fifth or excuse a fiftieth most difficult schedule,
- 1:13:03Speaker 1: Miami two forty eighth. So there is a pretty big
- 1:13:06Speaker 1: disparity in the strangth the schedule. So non conference schedule,
- 1:13:10Speaker 1: especially CLEMSES was more difficult than Miami's. So Clemson is
- 1:13:15Speaker 1: definitely the more battle tested team there. That's probably the
- 1:13:18Speaker 1: way I would lean. Foxfords won as an interesting Mountain
- 1:13:21Speaker 1: West game with number twenty three Utah State at Grand Canyon.
- 1:13:25Speaker 1: Utah States is definitely legit. They have one loss on
- 1:13:28Speaker 1: the season on the road against South Florida. Yeah, they're
- 1:13:31Speaker 1: out of conference schedule was somewhat weak, of true. They
- 1:13:34Speaker 1: played a couple of good mid major teams in there, though,
- 1:13:37Speaker 1: and they've been playing well in conference Man, and now
- 1:13:39Speaker 1: they just beat Nevada, which I think Nevada was fairly
- 1:13:43Speaker 1: close in that game against Utah State. Nevada put up
- 1:13:45Speaker 1: a decent effort there, So Utah State maybe coming out
- 1:13:48Speaker 1: of a little bit of a scare here, but playing
- 1:13:50Speaker 1: a third road game in four games maybe not that easy.
- 1:13:53Speaker 1: Grand Canyons new to this conference, so it's not that
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: familiar with a venue for these conference teams to have
- 1:13:59Speaker 1: to go play. And Grand Canyon likely will be up
- 1:14:02Speaker 1: for this game, man, because they're new to the conference
- 1:14:05Speaker 1: and they know they have the best team in the
- 1:14:07Speaker 1: conference coming in. Grand Canyon was just on the road
- 1:14:10Speaker 1: at New Mexico, absolutely not an easy place to go, man,
- 1:14:13Speaker 1: and they lost by twenty three New Mexico. Yeah, I
- 1:14:16Speaker 1: mean the pit. It's one of the tougher venues at
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: college basketball to play in, although it's tougher for non
- 1:14:23Speaker 1: high elevation teams to go there, and Grand Canyon is
- 1:14:25Speaker 1: at least pretty used to playing in high elevation. They
- 1:14:29Speaker 1: do have San Diego State next, so it's a little
- 1:14:31Speaker 1: bit difficult that they have three big games in a row.
- 1:14:34Speaker 1: But I do kind of expect them to show up here,
- 1:14:38Speaker 1: you know, I kind of lean that way to Grand Candon.
- 1:14:40Speaker 1: I just think it's kind of a weird spot for
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: Utah State even though you could argue they're gonna be
- 1:14:45Speaker 1: refocused every the Nevada game. They're down from six to
- 1:14:48Speaker 1: five and a half here. I would lean that way
- 1:14:53Speaker 1: with the initial market move there towards Grand Canyon, but
- 1:14:56Speaker 1: no strong opinion on that game. Okay, we have another play.
- 1:15:02Speaker 2: Most of my players are in the afternoon.
- 1:15:03Speaker 1: Man, we have one like later play for me, but
- 1:15:06Speaker 1: everything else is earlier. This is the one I forgot
- 1:15:08Speaker 1: to add as a banner, so I'm doing it now.
- 1:15:12Speaker 1: We're going into the Missouri Valley for this one here,
- 1:15:15Speaker 1: where my Missouri Valley.
- 1:15:16Speaker 2: Results have been kind of mixed, I know, but it's
- 1:15:19Speaker 2: it's a.
- 1:15:20Speaker 1: More competitive conference, so it's kind of easier to find
- 1:15:22Speaker 1: good spots in this conference than in other games. We're
- 1:15:25Speaker 1: gonna be on Northern Iowa minus two here or I
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: guess actually money line might make sense in this game.
- 1:15:31Speaker 1: As I always say, the professionals will tell you, although
- 1:15:35Speaker 1: they look like they're almost two and a half here,
- 1:15:37Speaker 1: now they're out from one and a half to two
- 1:15:39Speaker 1: to two and a half here. The professionals will tell
- 1:15:41Speaker 1: you if you have a one, one and a half
- 1:15:43Speaker 1: or two point favorite, it's actually more positive expected value
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: to actually play the money line on it, although it
- 1:15:51Speaker 1: depends what money line you can get on it. Let
- 1:15:53Speaker 1: me just see what the money line is that we
- 1:15:54Speaker 1: can get on this. Should we play the money line
- 1:15:57Speaker 1: or should we just lay the two?
- 1:15:58Speaker 2: Is the question?
- 1:15:59Speaker 1: Let me say, uh, where are we at here with
- 1:16:03Speaker 1: Northern Iowa. I don't have it in my in the
- 1:16:06Speaker 1: system here either for me. Let me see. I believe
- 1:16:09Speaker 1: I have all the other plays in here though, although
- 1:16:12Speaker 1: I want to make sure that I apologize, man I
- 1:16:14Speaker 1: mess up. I have Indiana Butler, Delaware, let me see
- 1:16:19Speaker 1: unc Asheville, yep, SMU, and then I have my last
- 1:16:24Speaker 1: one that I haven't talked about yet. And then I
- 1:16:26Speaker 1: don't have Northern Iowa in the system. So I gotta
- 1:16:28Speaker 1: add that right now. Let me do that.
- 1:16:35Speaker 2: I don't know how. I'm looking at Action Network and
- 1:16:37Speaker 2: I don't know how they.
- 1:16:38Speaker 1: Have this this team listed for Northern Iowa and Iowa. Yes,
- 1:16:44Speaker 1: thank you. Yeah, they're minus two and a half in
- 1:16:48Speaker 1: most spots. I see a stray too. At Caesar's in Massachusetts.
- 1:16:52Speaker 1: I see a one and a half with only minus
- 1:16:55Speaker 1: one thirteen juice at Bally, So that's not bad either.
- 1:16:58Speaker 1: In Bally, you know Alli does have a pretty good
- 1:17:01Speaker 1: money money line on this at minus one twenty nine.
- 1:17:03Speaker 1: I think that's what I'm actually gonna do for this one,
- 1:17:07Speaker 1: bally Bet Baby. They're new in Massachusetts and they seem
- 1:17:10Speaker 1: to be one of the one of the stragglers that
- 1:17:14Speaker 1: straggles behind. So I'm gonna do it this way. But
- 1:17:17Speaker 1: if you want to lay the points, you could do
- 1:17:19Speaker 1: that as well. But I like the spot here, so
- 1:17:20Speaker 1: I'm gonna go money line on Northern Iowa here. I
- 1:17:24Speaker 1: think the spot sets up well for Northern Iowa in
- 1:17:27Speaker 1: this one. Northern Iowa was coming off a really really
- 1:17:30Speaker 1: hideous loss at home to Illinois Chicago. Illinois Chicago has
- 1:17:34Speaker 1: been pulling off some weird like good performances in this conference. Man,
- 1:17:40Speaker 1: Illinois Chicago has been around. Man, They've been I think
- 1:17:42Speaker 1: in the horizon for a while. Now they're in this conference.
- 1:17:46Speaker 1: Northern Iowa was a six and a half point favorite
- 1:17:48Speaker 1: in that game and they lost outright. It was a
- 1:17:50Speaker 1: bad game for Northern Iowa. I think they had a
- 1:17:52Speaker 1: horrible shooting game. I know I haven't been diving into
- 1:17:54Speaker 1: the box scores, but they were awful shooting in this game.
- 1:17:57Speaker 1: Thirty nine percent from the floor Illinois Chicago fifty three percent,
- 1:18:01Speaker 1: only thirteen percent from three for Northern Iowa. Though both
- 1:18:04Speaker 1: teams weren't hitting any threes in the game, and Northern
- 1:18:07Speaker 1: Iowa had a horrible turnover rate. They were minus five
- 1:18:10Speaker 1: and turnovers, So that's one of the main reasons they
- 1:18:13Speaker 1: lost that game. But they were coming off playing Belmont
- 1:18:16Speaker 1: and Bradley Man, and they'd come off that big game
- 1:18:19Speaker 1: against Bradley So for whatever reason.
- 1:18:21Speaker 2: I think they just kind of got caught there.
- 1:18:23Speaker 1: Now they're gotta go on the road to play Valpo,
- 1:18:25Speaker 1: and I know they already beat Valpo at home in
- 1:18:27Speaker 1: an ugly, low scoring game. I know, but I don't
- 1:18:30Speaker 1: think they're gonna overlook Valpo this time, even though they
- 1:18:32Speaker 1: do have Illinois State Murray State up next. You can't
- 1:18:36Speaker 1: overlook teams when you lost three games in a row, Man,
- 1:18:38Speaker 1: So I think Northern Iowa was actually gonna show up
- 1:18:41Speaker 1: after that ugly game. And for Valpo, even though it
- 1:18:44Speaker 1: is revenge here, Northern i was falling to fifth in
- 1:18:47Speaker 1: the standings here and look at what Valpo just did.
- 1:18:50Speaker 1: They just took Belmont to the limits. So Northern Iowa, excuse,
- 1:18:54Speaker 1: you have Valpo excuse me. Valpo just beat Illinois State.
- 1:18:58Speaker 1: Then they played Murray s to within thirteen on the road.
- 1:19:02Speaker 1: Murray State's been good this year as well, and that
- 1:19:04Speaker 1: game was close down the stretch too. Valpo is within
- 1:19:07Speaker 1: four points with less than three minutes to go in
- 1:19:11Speaker 1: that game, it looks like so that was a big game.
- 1:19:14Speaker 1: Then they turned around and they took Belmont almost to
- 1:19:17Speaker 1: the limit in their last game, and Valpo could have
- 1:19:20Speaker 1: won this game. This game was tied in the final
- 1:19:23Speaker 1: minute of the game, so Valpo almost pulled off a
- 1:19:26Speaker 1: huge up set against what I think is the best
- 1:19:28Speaker 1: team in the conference. Belmont as eleven and a half
- 1:19:31Speaker 1: away an underdog, So I really don't like the spot
- 1:19:34Speaker 1: for Valpo here, even though they did already lose on
- 1:19:36Speaker 1: the road to Northern Iowa. I'm not gonna be on
- 1:19:39Speaker 1: the in season revenge spot. In every situation, man, revenge
- 1:19:43Speaker 1: is only one factor. Sometimes it's a small factor, and
- 1:19:47Speaker 1: I think that's the case here. I just think the
- 1:19:49Speaker 1: setup is way better for Northern Iowa here, So that
- 1:19:52Speaker 1: is my play in that one. The money at least
- 1:19:54Speaker 1: seems like it's kind of agreeing with me early on.
- 1:19:56Speaker 1: I know it's a very low total one twenty nine
- 1:19:58Speaker 1: and a half. We're looking at teams that don't score
- 1:20:02Speaker 1: a lot. Let's just put it that way. On Northern
- 1:20:06Speaker 1: Iowa was almost in the top one hundred and ken Bump.
- 1:20:08Speaker 1: They're very good defensively thirtieth, very weak offensively, but they
- 1:20:12Speaker 1: also play one of the slowest tempos in all of
- 1:20:15Speaker 1: college basketball.
- 1:20:17Speaker 2: Valpo is also slow based team.
- 1:20:19Speaker 1: Valpo also weak offensively, decent defensively. So yeah, it looks
- 1:20:24Speaker 1: like one of those games is gonna be ugly and whatever.
- 1:20:26Speaker 1: But we're really just asking Northern Iowa to win the game.
- 1:20:29Speaker 1: I literally we are if we're only asking for the
- 1:20:32Speaker 1: money line there. So that's what we're gonna go with there,
- 1:20:34Speaker 1: Northern Iowa. All right, we got Drake at Illinois. Chicago's
- 1:20:39Speaker 1: again to the three pms here, hopefully not too much
- 1:20:42Speaker 1: left to talk about here. Drake just pulled off an upset. Man,
- 1:20:46Speaker 1: They're coming up a couple of big games in a row.
- 1:20:48Speaker 1: They took Belmont to the limit, and that's why here
- 1:20:51Speaker 1: on the show we faded Drake and they pulled off
- 1:20:54Speaker 1: another upset even though Southern Illinois was blowing them out
- 1:20:56Speaker 1: in that game. And I think Southern Illinois under the radar,
- 1:20:59Speaker 1: and Southern Illinois had been kind to us the first
- 1:21:02Speaker 1: time we played them. The Salukis didn't get it done
- 1:21:05Speaker 1: for us in that one man and they really really
- 1:21:08Speaker 1: blew it, but Drake wound up pulling off the upset.
- 1:21:11Speaker 1: There now a second straight road game, and Drake does
- 1:21:13Speaker 1: have Murray State next, so it looks like a bit
- 1:21:16Speaker 1: of a sandwich spot here for Drake in between all
- 1:21:19Speaker 1: these bigger games. But obviously, like I just said, Illinois Chicago,
- 1:21:25Speaker 1: they're coming on an upset themselves, a big upset on
- 1:21:27Speaker 1: the road at Northern Iowa, so I don't know what
- 1:21:29Speaker 1: they're gonna have left in the tank either. Although you
- 1:21:32Speaker 1: probably don't overlook the team that won the conference last year, Drake,
- 1:21:35Speaker 1: So I actually probably do lean to Illinois Chicago in
- 1:21:38Speaker 1: this game, but I don't like the spot for either team.
- 1:21:41Speaker 1: They're up to three and a half to three with juice,
- 1:21:43Speaker 1: Illinois Chicago actually favored against Drake.
- 1:21:47Speaker 2: Total's gone up a little bit to one forty and
- 1:21:49Speaker 2: a half.
- 1:21:49Speaker 1: You know, I don't hate the idea of I don't
- 1:21:52Speaker 1: hate the idea of an over in that game just
- 1:21:55Speaker 1: because I think both teams are in bad spots. But
- 1:21:58Speaker 1: it does have the makings of an other game as
- 1:22:00Speaker 1: well though, and we'll see what happens.
- 1:22:03Speaker 2: Man, Because the Drake is not on my good side.
- 1:22:06Speaker 1: Right boy, I'm really starting to dislike the Drake. I
- 1:22:11Speaker 1: hate the Drake, all right? Next up, what am I
- 1:22:19Speaker 1: gonna talk about here? Quinnepiac and Merrimack is a good
- 1:22:22Speaker 1: game in the matt Ac Conference. Also at three pm,
- 1:22:27Speaker 1: Quinnipiac just lost to Saint Peter's at home, So Quinnipiac
- 1:22:30Speaker 1: got upset.
- 1:22:31Speaker 2: That was an ugly loss.
- 1:22:33Speaker 1: They're probably gonna show up with a lot of focus
- 1:22:35Speaker 1: here after a loss like that. I know Saint Peter's
- 1:22:37Speaker 1: is atop the conference now, but Quinnepiac was.
- 1:22:41Speaker 2: The favorite in that one.
- 1:22:43Speaker 1: Merrimack also lost to Saint Peter's though in their last game,
- 1:22:46Speaker 1: but that ended along wind streak for them. That was
- 1:22:48Speaker 1: on the road. I believe Merrimack has had more time off.
- 1:22:53Speaker 1: Let me see, Actually maybe not. That was Wednesday. Oh no,
- 1:22:58Speaker 1: that was Quinnipiac played on my say, so I think
- 1:23:02Speaker 1: I'm right, yeah Merrimack. Yeah, they haven't played since Sunday,
- 1:23:04Speaker 1: so Merrimack has more time off at least than the
- 1:23:07Speaker 1: more rested team here kind of. I don't really look
- 1:23:09Speaker 1: at the rest that much in these college basketball scenarios.
- 1:23:12Speaker 1: Quinnepiack is a favorite on the road minus two their
- 1:23:16Speaker 1: favorite for a reason.
- 1:23:17Speaker 2: Man, They are the better team.
- 1:23:19Speaker 1: People. When I look at this and think that maybe
- 1:23:21Speaker 1: there's some value in grabbing Merrimack at home because they
- 1:23:23Speaker 1: have the better conference record, but I probably need to
- 1:23:26Speaker 1: Quinnipiac here. Losing at home to Saint Peter's is uglier
- 1:23:29Speaker 1: than losing on the road to them, especially because Quinnepiac
- 1:23:33Speaker 1: is actually the better of these two teams. So that's
- 1:23:34Speaker 1: the way I lean in that one. All right, What
- 1:23:40Speaker 1: else do we want to talk about here? Man? Jacksonville
- 1:23:44Speaker 1: and North Alabama as we get we have a sun
- 1:23:47Speaker 1: going on here. Jacksonville just lost at Central Arkansas and
- 1:23:53Speaker 1: came to the two points of them in Central Arkansas
- 1:23:55Speaker 1: is actually a big favorite in this one seven and
- 1:23:57Speaker 1: a half, so Jacksonville could be in a.
- 1:23:59Speaker 2: Little bit of a hangover here.
- 1:24:01Speaker 1: North Alabama just lost horribly at home to a really
- 1:24:05Speaker 1: bad North Florida team that's literally at the bottom of
- 1:24:08Speaker 1: this conference. That was a horrible loss for North Alabama,
- 1:24:12Speaker 1: although they do have Queens next and Queens. My guy,
- 1:24:15Speaker 1: the coach who follows me is up near the top
- 1:24:17Speaker 1: of the conference right now. I don't think North Alabama
- 1:24:20Speaker 1: can overlook anybody right now after such a horrible loss
- 1:24:23Speaker 1: to North Florida. So I like North Alabama in this game,
- 1:24:27Speaker 1: and you're asking Jacksonville to play well as a big
- 1:24:30Speaker 1: favorite two games in a row like this, probably not
- 1:24:32Speaker 1: gonna happen, or actually Jacksonville's excusely as an underdog.
- 1:24:35Speaker 2: Jacksonville is actually a favorite now.
- 1:24:37Speaker 1: So I don't know what's going on with that, because
- 1:24:39Speaker 1: I was assuming they were gonna be a dog in
- 1:24:41Speaker 1: this game and they were a three point dog. Now
- 1:24:43Speaker 1: they were a three point favorite. I don't understand why
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: that's the case. So there might be some personnel stuff
- 1:24:49Speaker 1: going on. But I still like North Alabama and that one.
- 1:24:51Speaker 1: Whatever's going on, I'm gonna assume it's an overreaction. Then
- 1:24:55Speaker 1: in that case, I would prefer North Alabama in that
- 1:24:58Speaker 1: game plus the point. Now in that case, all right,
- 1:25:04Speaker 1: what other games that we want to talk about here?
- 1:25:06Speaker 1: Let's see, we got SEC I'm talking about the TV
- 1:25:11Speaker 1: games at the very least, even though we're still in
- 1:25:12Speaker 1: the afternoon. Missouri at LSU in dressing game on SEC
- 1:25:19Speaker 1: Network at three thirty pm. Missouri coming off beating Auburn.
- 1:25:24Speaker 1: Auburn's down, but they still have that name recognition around them,
- 1:25:27Speaker 1: so decent win for Missouri there. They do have Georgia
- 1:25:30Speaker 1: up next, so I don't know if that's a potential
- 1:25:32Speaker 1: look ahead. Maybe LSU is kind of following off since
- 1:25:35Speaker 1: conference play started. LSU doesn't even have a win in
- 1:25:38Speaker 1: conference yet, so they looked good out of conference, but
- 1:25:41Speaker 1: they played a week out of conference schedule, so the
- 1:25:44Speaker 1: real LSU is kind of showing up here. LSU just
- 1:25:47Speaker 1: played well against Kentucky. They actually played our right in.
- 1:25:51Speaker 2: These conference games.
- 1:25:52Speaker 1: Even though they've lost all of them, they've been pretty
- 1:25:53Speaker 1: competitive in all of them. They got Florida up next,
- 1:25:57Speaker 1: but LSU is still looking for their first conference win,
- 1:25:59Speaker 1: so I don't think they're gonna overlook anybody really, although
- 1:26:02Speaker 1: that was a big game against Kentucky, but Kentucky is
- 1:26:05Speaker 1: kind of down a little bit this year, so I
- 1:26:08Speaker 1: don't know. It's a difficult handicap in this one. LSU
- 1:26:10Speaker 1: already dropped from a four point favorite a one and
- 1:26:13Speaker 1: a half point favorite, though, so the money has come
- 1:26:15Speaker 1: in towards the Missouri side in this one, or maybe
- 1:26:18Speaker 1: there's some personnel thing which I don't pay attention to
- 1:26:21Speaker 1: college basketball. I don't know. I mean, I kind of
- 1:26:26Speaker 1: was leaning towards LSU in this game, man, because they
- 1:26:28Speaker 1: don't have a conference win yet in Missouri is already
- 1:26:31Speaker 1: three and one in conference, So I don't know. I
- 1:26:33Speaker 1: don't know what's going on with that line move there,
- 1:26:35Speaker 1: but I don't have that strong of an opinion on it.
- 1:26:38Speaker 2: Four pm on.
- 1:26:39Speaker 1: ESPN, Arizona gets the ESPN billing even though they're not
- 1:26:43Speaker 1: playing that great of a team in UCF. Although you
- 1:26:46Speaker 1: seef was in the rankings for a little bit this year.
- 1:26:48Speaker 1: They're not a horrible team by any means. Although Arizona
- 1:26:51Speaker 1: is obviously elite second in Kenbom's rankings, a top ten
- 1:26:55Speaker 1: in both offense and defense, Arizona very very good and balance.
- 1:27:00Speaker 1: He's got UCF down at forty third, so not as
- 1:27:03Speaker 1: good of a team. Both of these teams on the
- 1:27:06Speaker 1: faster side of the Arizona plays faster. Arizona's coming off
- 1:27:10Speaker 1: a game where they didn't play well, or Arizona State
- 1:27:13Speaker 1: did play well. Arizona State really stepped up their game
- 1:27:16Speaker 1: for that game against Arizona Man taking Arizona right to
- 1:27:20Speaker 1: the limit pretty much. Arizona only got by that game
- 1:27:23Speaker 1: by seven in a game where they were like a
- 1:27:25Speaker 1: twenty point favorite probably in that game, so Arizona didn't
- 1:27:28Speaker 1: play well. Their little brother really showed up in that game, man,
- 1:27:31Speaker 1: So I think Arizona might show up after that, because
- 1:27:35Speaker 1: when you have a huge favorite like that that doesn't
- 1:27:37Speaker 1: play well, it usually forces them to focus in the
- 1:27:40Speaker 1: next game. Although it is a weird spot for Arizona
- 1:27:42Speaker 1: having to go all the way to Orlando to play
- 1:27:45Speaker 1: this game, UCF is certainly not a pushover here, and
- 1:27:48Speaker 1: UCF is coming off a win at Kansas State. Though
- 1:27:51Speaker 1: that was a decent win for UCF. There were a
- 1:27:53Speaker 1: little bit of an underdog on the road there. Now
- 1:27:57Speaker 1: coming back home, they're not going to overlook Arizona. But
- 1:28:01Speaker 1: you know, I actually probably prefer Arizona in this in
- 1:28:04Speaker 1: this spot, just because they're coming off that lackluster performance
- 1:28:08Speaker 1: in that game against Arizona State. Now, I do want
- 1:28:11Speaker 1: to see who Arizona State plays next, because I think
- 1:28:14Speaker 1: they're in a major fade spot. They're playing tomorrow against Houston.
- 1:28:19Speaker 1: I don't know, we'll we'll analyze that game tomorrow, But
- 1:28:22Speaker 1: I don't know. Like, when I saw what Arizona State
- 1:28:24Speaker 1: did in that game against Arizona, I was like, Man,
- 1:28:27Speaker 1: Arizona State's gonna be in a major fade spot in
- 1:28:29Speaker 1: the next game. Now the money is disagreeing with me
- 1:28:32Speaker 1: on this. Arizona dropped from eleven and a half to
- 1:28:35Speaker 1: nine and a half. Here sixty seven percent of tickets
- 1:28:37Speaker 1: on the fifty three percent of the cash coming in
- 1:28:39Speaker 1: on UCF. So the money is coming in on UCF.
- 1:28:43Speaker 1: I kind of disagree with it. The only thing that
- 1:28:46Speaker 1: you could say, I think is that it's a weird
- 1:28:49Speaker 1: travel spot for Arizona. It's an unfamiliar travel spot for them.
- 1:28:52Speaker 1: So that's the one thing you can kind of say
- 1:28:54Speaker 1: about that. Hopefully for ESPNS, athought. I don't like ESPN,
- 1:28:57Speaker 1: so I don't want to hope for anything for them,
- 1:28:59Speaker 1: but hopefully for the viewer's sake, it winds up being
- 1:29:01Speaker 1: a good game to watch. Number four Michigan is at Oregon. Here.
- 1:29:07Speaker 1: Michigan is still a legit team. Man, even though they
- 1:29:09Speaker 1: lost that one game they didn't cover at Washington. It
- 1:29:12Speaker 1: was a weird spot after losing their first game of
- 1:29:15Speaker 1: the season. I thought they'd be in a hangover spot
- 1:29:17Speaker 1: had to go out to the Pacific coast. Washington did
- 1:29:19Speaker 1: cover against them. Now Michigan plays again on the Pacific
- 1:29:24Speaker 1: Coast after getting adjusted a little bit playing at Oregon. Now,
- 1:29:29Speaker 1: excuse me, and after not covering, Man, I apologize. I
- 1:29:34Speaker 1: knew that sneeze was coming. Now Michigan playing a second
- 1:29:38Speaker 1: straight road game here, dude, the winter just rerecks my
- 1:29:41Speaker 1: signus says, and everything's so dry. I hate it. Now
- 1:29:46Speaker 1: Michigan does have Indiana on deck, so it is possible
- 1:29:48Speaker 1: they start looking ahead to Indiana. So I don't know, Man,
- 1:29:52Speaker 1: will Michigan play better or will they just overlook Oregon
- 1:29:55Speaker 1: because Oregon's is not that good. Oregon just got destroyed
- 1:29:59Speaker 1: by Nebra And now they're coming back home and Oregon
- 1:30:02Speaker 1: and ugly one in five in conference. Right now, you
- 1:30:05Speaker 1: gonna figure the at least show up for this game.
- 1:30:06Speaker 1: They get to host one of the big boys, one
- 1:30:09Speaker 1: of the best teams in college basketball, Michigan. So Oregon,
- 1:30:13Speaker 1: they're gonna really show up for this game. You gotta thing,
- 1:30:16Speaker 1: and Oregon's gonna try to muddy this thing up because
- 1:30:18Speaker 1: Oregon likes to play these ugly slow games. They weren't
- 1:30:21Speaker 1: able to do it at Nebraska. The man that was
- 1:30:24Speaker 1: an ugly loss ninety to fifty five. You lose like
- 1:30:27Speaker 1: that to anybody, I think you're gonna show up in
- 1:30:29Speaker 1: the next game. So I probably slightly lean to Oregon
- 1:30:32Speaker 1: in this game. But Michigan's up from seventeen to eighteen
- 1:30:35Speaker 1: and a half now seventy five percent. Takes ninety eight
- 1:30:38Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Michigan. Yeah, this game on
- 1:30:42Speaker 1: NBC again at four PM. I kind of disagree with
- 1:30:44Speaker 1: the Michigan side in that one, but I don't really
- 1:30:47Speaker 1: want any part of Oregon right now either, So Oregon
- 1:30:52Speaker 1: will try to slow this thing down, though. Oregon, they're
- 1:30:55Speaker 1: just not that good of a team. Although they're balanced,
- 1:30:57Speaker 1: they're not lopsided towards offense or defense. They'll try to
- 1:31:00Speaker 1: slow Michigan down though, and see if they can ugly
- 1:31:03Speaker 1: that thing up a little bit. The totals kind of
- 1:31:05Speaker 1: in the mid range at one fifty seven and a half,
- 1:31:08Speaker 1: so Oddsmaker's kind of not sure which team's pace is
- 1:31:12Speaker 1: gonna win out because Michigan wants to go faster. Nebraska,
- 1:31:17Speaker 1: speaking of them, they're at Northwestern on Big Ten Network
- 1:31:19Speaker 1: at four pm. Nebraska range eighth in the country. Ken
- 1:31:22Speaker 1: Bum has them probably sixteenth or so. Yep, I'm exactly
- 1:31:27Speaker 1: right about that. Excuse me, So Nebraska a little bit overrated.
- 1:31:33Speaker 1: The money is coming in on Northwestern sixty two percent
- 1:31:37Speaker 1: of tickets on Nebraska, fifty two percent of the cash
- 1:31:40Speaker 1: on Northwestern. Does look like a bit of a pros
- 1:31:42Speaker 1: versus Joe's market read here between Nebraska and Northwestern Nebraska
- 1:31:48Speaker 1: coming off that blowout win over Oregon, it's not a
- 1:31:51Speaker 1: horrible spot for Nebraska. Yeah, they're going on the road.
- 1:31:54Speaker 1: They've been a little bit worse on the road. That's
- 1:31:56Speaker 1: the one thing you can say. These road conference games
- 1:31:58Speaker 1: to them. I know one of them was a big
- 1:32:00Speaker 1: upset at Illinois, but then I guess the other two
- 1:32:03Speaker 1: were both upsets too though they were an underdog at
- 1:32:07Speaker 1: Ohio State and in Indiana, I'm pretty sure. And they
- 1:32:10Speaker 1: won all three of those road games, so they haven't
- 1:32:12Speaker 1: won by margin and any of those they were actually
- 1:32:14Speaker 1: an underdog in all of them, So they haven't exactly
- 1:32:17Speaker 1: been bad on the road. And now Northwestern is gonna
- 1:32:20Speaker 1: be the worst team out of all those teams that
- 1:32:23Speaker 1: they're playing on the road so far, I don't know
- 1:32:26Speaker 1: if they really have much to overlook here though, because
- 1:32:28Speaker 1: Washington's not that good either, So you know, I don't
- 1:32:32Speaker 1: really see much of a reason to fade Nebraska here.
- 1:32:35Speaker 1: Northwestern is coming in off a big game against Illinois,
- 1:32:38Speaker 1: so they're playing two big games in a row, two
- 1:32:41Speaker 1: meaningful games in a road to them. So I don't
- 1:32:44Speaker 1: love the Northwestern side, although yeah, the market is saying Northwestern,
- 1:32:48Speaker 1: you know, a strong market read like that with not
- 1:32:52Speaker 1: really a great situation to latch onto. I guess I'll
- 1:32:55Speaker 1: agree with the Northwestern side in that one, but I
- 1:32:58Speaker 1: just don't have a strong opinion on that at all.
- 1:33:02Speaker 1: Like it's not a game that I recommend playing, to
- 1:33:04Speaker 1: be honest, although probably you're gonna see a lot of
- 1:33:07Speaker 1: sharps coming in on the Northwestern side and that when
- 1:33:10Speaker 1: it looks like, give me one second, as I have
- 1:33:12Speaker 1: to blow my nose, I apologize. I'll be back.
- 1:33:19Speaker 2: And you guys can look at the.
- 1:33:22Speaker 1: Well, I'll show more of the board here and then
- 1:33:24Speaker 1: we'll see how because North Carolina is the next game up.
- 1:33:26Speaker 1: But you can see what's going on with that market
- 1:33:29Speaker 1: read all right, Yeah, I hate my sinuses in the
- 1:34:24Speaker 1: winter Man number fourteen, North Carolina Garrett's team at Cal
- 1:34:28Speaker 1: on ACC Network at four pm. North Carolina. They just
- 1:34:35Speaker 1: lost to Stanford on the road. Man, that was a
- 1:34:37Speaker 1: tricky spot having to go out to the Pacific Coast.
- 1:34:39Speaker 1: But now they're at least adjusted to the Pacific Coast.
- 1:34:43Speaker 1: Now Cal is not as good as Stanford, so maybe
- 1:34:47Speaker 1: North Carolina will bounce back now that they're adjusted out
- 1:34:49Speaker 1: there and they got and that they took a loss.
- 1:34:52Speaker 1: They don't really have anything to look forward to next
- 1:34:54Speaker 1: really against Notre Dame as their next opponent, so maybe
- 1:34:57Speaker 1: they do show up. I think calbably shows up as well.
- 1:35:01Speaker 1: Although Cal is having to play Duke and North Carolina
- 1:35:04Speaker 1: back to back. They lost that home by double digits
- 1:35:06Speaker 1: to Duke, so I don't really see Cal being in
- 1:35:09Speaker 1: a terrible spot here. But that was still a tough
- 1:35:11Speaker 1: game against Duke. So and well, if you look at
- 1:35:15Speaker 1: this game was fairly close until later in the game
- 1:35:17Speaker 1: and Duke pulled away in the final ten or zone
- 1:35:20Speaker 1: minutes of the game. Wasn't exactly close, but you know,
- 1:35:25Speaker 1: the Marga reta Saint Cal in this game, and I
- 1:35:27Speaker 1: kind of don't agree with it. North Carolina out from
- 1:35:30Speaker 1: four and a half to six, fifty to fifty on
- 1:35:32Speaker 1: the ticket, sixty four percent of the cash coming in
- 1:35:34Speaker 1: on cal money is saying cal. But I kind of
- 1:35:38Speaker 1: again disagree with that one a little bit too. It's
- 1:35:40Speaker 1: tough for them to play both North Carolina blue Bloods
- 1:35:43Speaker 1: and back to back games. You know, in North Carolina
- 1:35:46Speaker 1: after getting punched in the mouth and then adjusting to
- 1:35:50Speaker 1: the time zone, might be in a somewhat better spot there.
- 1:35:53Speaker 1: So I'm staying away though, Charles, what's up? Thanks for
- 1:35:57Speaker 1: hanging out. Uh seventeen Arkansas number twenty one Georgia is
- 1:36:02Speaker 1: an interesting one here. Now the odds makers have both
- 1:36:07Speaker 1: these teams a little bit over or the rankings makers
- 1:36:09Speaker 1: have both these teams a little bit overrated. Arkansas is
- 1:36:13Speaker 1: just not very good defensively. Ken Bom has them twenty
- 1:36:16Speaker 1: fourth and as Georgia thirty third. Both teams are better
- 1:36:19Speaker 1: on offense the defense. Both teams play fast, So this
- 1:36:23Speaker 1: game looks like a fairly obvious over. But you have
- 1:36:27Speaker 1: to go over one eighty one and a half if
- 1:36:29Speaker 1: you want to go over in this game, which is
- 1:36:31Speaker 1: one of the highest numbers that I've ever seen, probably
- 1:36:34Speaker 1: in college basketball. That is an insane total. But it's
- 1:36:37Speaker 1: that way for a reason. George is one of the
- 1:36:39Speaker 1: absolute fastest tempo teams out there. Both teams are gonna
- 1:36:42Speaker 1: be running up and down the floor. They don't play defense,
- 1:36:45Speaker 1: so definitely could see this game going over and I
- 1:36:49Speaker 1: would not play an under in this game, that's for
- 1:36:51Speaker 1: sure as far as the side is concerned. Arkansas just
- 1:36:55Speaker 1: beats South Carolina by thirty four points, so an easy
- 1:36:58Speaker 1: win there. They do a Vandy next. I don't know
- 1:37:01Speaker 1: if they're gonna overlook Georgia because Georgia has been pretty
- 1:37:03Speaker 1: strong last couple of years. Georgia just took an ugly
- 1:37:07Speaker 1: home loss to Ole Miss though as a favorite, so
- 1:37:10Speaker 1: I think Georgia was already looking ahead. Georgia only beat
- 1:37:13Speaker 1: South Carolina by five the game before that, so I
- 1:37:16Speaker 1: think the public might want to jump in on the
- 1:37:19Speaker 1: Arkansas side here, especially oh they're the better ranked team
- 1:37:22Speaker 1: getting points whatever. And yes, Arkansas is the better team,
- 1:37:25Speaker 1: but not by that much. I prefer Georgia in this
- 1:37:28Speaker 1: one to bounce back from that upset loss that they
- 1:37:31Speaker 1: took Georgia up from two to two and a half.
- 1:37:33Speaker 2: Here, I would lay it with Georgia. I was gonna
- 1:37:36Speaker 2: play it.
- 1:37:38Speaker 1: With as many points as they were gonna be scored
- 1:37:40Speaker 1: in that game. It's also easier to cover as a favorite,
- 1:37:42Speaker 1: although you're not asking him to do too much there.
- 1:37:47Speaker 1: So that's the way that I look at that game,
- 1:37:50Speaker 1: all right, Uh, CBS Sports Also in the dude, we're
- 1:37:54Speaker 1: still in the four pm slay This is bad. Oh
- 1:37:58Speaker 1: my god. Richmond at Saint Louis. Saint Louis is obviously
- 1:38:05Speaker 1: the better team out of these two. Richmond has been
- 1:38:07Speaker 1: all right in the conference as well, but Saint Louis
- 1:38:10Speaker 1: is just they're just the better team. Man. Richmond just
- 1:38:13Speaker 1: beat Lasal whatever. Yeah, they will show up for a
- 1:38:15Speaker 1: game against Saint Louis. But Saint Louis just beat four
- 1:38:18Speaker 1: of them, which is also not any sort of impressive
- 1:38:23Speaker 1: win by any means that they're just staying at home here.
- 1:38:25Speaker 1: So probably just comes down to who's the better team.
- 1:38:29Speaker 1: That is Saint Louis. Although you're having to lay a
- 1:38:31Speaker 1: lot of points with them in this one. Are they're
- 1:38:33Speaker 1: a fifteen point favorite? I see no real market indicators
- 1:38:37Speaker 1: on this game, yet I would probably lay it just
- 1:38:40Speaker 1: because I don't think either team is in a bad
- 1:38:41Speaker 1: spot and looking at the team's records. The fifteen just
- 1:38:45Speaker 1: kind of looks big, man, It just looks like a
- 1:38:48Speaker 1: big number if you think the game is gonna be
- 1:38:49Speaker 1: at all competitive. So that's kind of my thought on
- 1:38:52Speaker 1: that game. I don't really have a whole lot else
- 1:38:54Speaker 1: to say. Nevada is at air Force. Let me see
- 1:38:57Speaker 1: if I'm did I miss any of these games. I
- 1:38:59Speaker 1: wanted to talk about Utah, I talked about Florida State.
- 1:39:06Speaker 1: Let me see, Yeah, let me see. There were a
- 1:39:15Speaker 1: couple other games I was gonna talk about, but I
- 1:39:17Speaker 1: probably will wind up doing it anyway, although I don't
- 1:39:20Speaker 1: see them. I have them maybe in the wrong order here,
- 1:39:23Speaker 1: I don't know. Oh, I was gonna talk about Central
- 1:39:27Speaker 1: Connectic and I skipped that one. But eh, so I'll
- 1:39:32Speaker 1: go back to the afternoon there. Central Connecticut just won
- 1:39:35Speaker 1: at Lemoyne. Really, this was I think this spot was
- 1:39:39Speaker 1: about fading Saint Francis when I looked at this. Yeah,
- 1:39:42Speaker 1: Saint Francis just took Long Island completely to the limit.
- 1:39:45Speaker 1: And Long Island is the best team in the Northeast
- 1:39:47Speaker 1: Conference right now, and Saint Francis is terrible, one of
- 1:39:51Speaker 1: the worst teams in this conference. And they were a
- 1:39:53Speaker 1: double digit underdog in that game. So the fact that
- 1:39:55Speaker 1: they took Long Island completely to the limit like that,
- 1:40:00Speaker 1: I think it's got to be Central Connecticut if you
- 1:40:02Speaker 1: play that game.
- 1:40:03Speaker 2: So that was my thought on that game.
- 1:40:04Speaker 1: Real quick. Central Connecticut's a six and a half point
- 1:40:08Speaker 1: favorite in that game. But though the total is not
- 1:40:10Speaker 1: very high in that when you're asking them to lay
- 1:40:12Speaker 1: points on the road and they're not a great offensive team,
- 1:40:16Speaker 1: maybe they're offensive. Where was I at all? Right? I
- 1:40:22Speaker 1: forget where I was at. We're in the four PM.
- 1:40:24Speaker 1: Oh yeah, Nevada at air Force. Air Force is a
- 1:40:26Speaker 1: very ugly team. But I don't know if I love
- 1:40:29Speaker 1: the spot for Nevada just because they are coming up
- 1:40:31Speaker 1: that tough game at Utah State and now having to
- 1:40:34Speaker 1: turn around and play air Force. So maybe a little
- 1:40:36Speaker 1: bit of a difficult spot there. Air Force still looking
- 1:40:39Speaker 1: for their first conference win, probably pretty much know you're
- 1:40:42Speaker 1: at least going to get an effort out of them,
- 1:40:44Speaker 1: So I probably slightly lean air Force, but man, they
- 1:40:47Speaker 1: are ugly, but it's a low total. One hundred and
- 1:40:50Speaker 1: thirty two and a half. Nevada is a fifteen and
- 1:40:53Speaker 1: a half point road favorite there, so you're asking them
- 1:40:55Speaker 1: to lay a ton of points in a questionable spot
- 1:40:58Speaker 1: in a game, that on the road, in a game
- 1:41:00Speaker 1: where it might be a yeah, it's a spot that's
- 1:41:03Speaker 1: a little bit iffy, So.
- 1:41:07Speaker 2: You know, I just don't.
- 1:41:09Speaker 1: Yeah, I would lean to air force, but yeah, I
- 1:41:12Speaker 1: don't have a strong opinion on it.
- 1:41:13Speaker 2: Really, I don't know what else to.
- 1:41:16Speaker 1: Say about that. But yeah, lank points on the road
- 1:41:18Speaker 1: like that in a game, it's probably gonna be low scoring,
- 1:41:20Speaker 1: questionable spot. Yeah, I would. Wait, I thought I talked
- 1:41:26Speaker 1: about Florida's Did I talk about it? I thought I
- 1:41:28Speaker 1: talked about that gamer, and maybe I didn't. I don't
- 1:41:30Speaker 1: think I talked about it yet. No, I do not
- 1:41:33Speaker 1: have important business. Jeffrey, what's up? No, Like this is
- 1:41:37Speaker 1: a normal Saturday. But I couldn't do the show last night.
- 1:41:40Speaker 1: I was just about to die pretty much like this.
- 1:41:44Speaker 1: College basketball is so much for me to do, Like
- 1:41:47Speaker 1: I almost don't even want to do it. Like it
- 1:41:51Speaker 1: was so much easier when I didn't do the show
- 1:41:53Speaker 1: because I would just do the handicap, Like handicapping this
- 1:41:55Speaker 1: board I do every game, and it takes me like
- 1:41:59Speaker 1: two hours, and probably it takes most guys more than
- 1:42:01Speaker 1: that if they try to handicap everything, and then I
- 1:42:03Speaker 1: come on the show and I got to talk about
- 1:42:04Speaker 1: it all again, and the show takes two hours as well.
- 1:42:08Speaker 1: Like I can't.
- 1:42:08Speaker 2: Fucking do it anymore. And I have to turn around
- 1:42:11Speaker 2: right after this.
- 1:42:12Speaker 1: I have to come back and do the normal show
- 1:42:14Speaker 1: that I would do on Saturday, because I was gonna
- 1:42:16Speaker 1: do this one last night. I have to come back
- 1:42:19Speaker 1: and I have to do NHL, NBA, and NFL. I
- 1:42:21Speaker 1: haven't looked at any of that yet. Today I'm gonna die,
- 1:42:26Speaker 1: like this is ridiculous. Charleston is at stony Brook this game.
- 1:42:31Speaker 1: Charleston just took a loss in what was I don't know, man,
- 1:42:36Speaker 1: I would say it's an ugly loss because thousand, even
- 1:42:39Speaker 1: though they're better than the record looks thousand, they just
- 1:42:43Speaker 1: don't look good based on the record, and that didn't
- 1:42:46Speaker 1: end a win streak for Charleston, so it could hang
- 1:42:48Speaker 1: them over to this game. So I don't love the
- 1:42:50Speaker 1: spot for them. The problem is stony Brook just pulled
- 1:42:53Speaker 1: off a big upset of hostra So and they played
- 1:42:56Speaker 1: You and See at Wilmington the game before that, so
- 1:42:58Speaker 1: they're really playing the top three in the conference in
- 1:43:01Speaker 1: three straight games.
- 1:43:02Speaker 2: Which is not.
- 1:43:03Speaker 1: Easy to do. So stony Brook might just run out
- 1:43:07Speaker 1: of steam in this game. They should show up at
- 1:43:10Speaker 1: least for a game against Charleston. Charleston did drop from
- 1:43:13Speaker 1: five and a half to four and a half. The
- 1:43:14Speaker 1: total is low. You know, the market read is leaning
- 1:43:23Speaker 1: towards stony Brook. I kind of lean against them in
- 1:43:25Speaker 1: the game slightly and for me to Charleston, but I
- 1:43:28Speaker 1: don't love the game at all, all right, And again, yeah,
- 1:43:34Speaker 1: I mean, I'll try to talk about other games if
- 1:43:36Speaker 1: you want me to, but I'm really trying to.
- 1:43:39Speaker 2: Make this not take that long.
- 1:43:41Speaker 1: I'm talking about all the TV games and a lot
- 1:43:44Speaker 1: of the big conference games of the very least. I
- 1:43:46Speaker 1: don't think I had much interest in most of these
- 1:43:48Speaker 1: games here that I'm skipping over here, all right. Who
- 1:43:54Speaker 1: so a little bit of a reprieve there at least
- 1:43:56Speaker 1: Arkansas State at Troy is interesting because this is round
- 1:44:01Speaker 1: three really between these two teams. If you include the
- 1:44:04Speaker 1: conference final of last year where Arkansas State was a favorite.
- 1:44:08Speaker 1: In that game, Troy won, Troy got into the tournament.
- 1:44:11Speaker 1: Then Arkansas got the revenge this year being Troy at home.
- 1:44:16Speaker 1: So now maybe we go back to the other siding
- 1:44:18Speaker 1: and with Troy in this one. Here. Arkansas State did
- 1:44:21Speaker 1: just take a loss in a pretty tough game against
- 1:44:23Speaker 1: South Alabama, two tough games in a row. Troy is
- 1:44:26Speaker 1: gonna be the team with the adjustments to make here
- 1:44:28Speaker 1: after losing at Arkansas State. Troy, though, they just absolutely
- 1:44:33Speaker 1: destroyed Southern Miss, and Southern Miss is near the top
- 1:44:37Speaker 1: of the conference too, So I don't think I want
- 1:44:39Speaker 1: any part of Troy after they did that. Man, even though, yeah,
- 1:44:42Speaker 1: this is a big game for them. I mean, I
- 1:44:45Speaker 1: guess I'll slightly lean towards Troy in the game, but
- 1:44:48Speaker 1: I don't like it They're up from three to three
- 1:44:50Speaker 1: and a half. I just worried that they're gonna be
- 1:44:51Speaker 1: also feeling really high off of that win.
- 1:44:54Speaker 2: So those are my thoughts on that game.
- 1:44:58Speaker 1: Uh all right. I mean, if the Ohio Valley had
- 1:45:02Speaker 1: like two of their top teams playing each other, I
- 1:45:04Speaker 1: might talk about that, but that is not the case.
- 1:45:08Speaker 1: Wafford and Furman is somewhat interesting because I believe this
- 1:45:11Speaker 1: does have tournament revenge implications. Yeah, so Furman is the
- 1:45:18Speaker 1: team that Wafford eliminated Furman from the SOCN Tournament last year.
- 1:45:23Speaker 1: So Watford is the team that ended furman season last year.
- 1:45:28Speaker 1: So Wafford won the conference last year as well somehow
- 1:45:31Speaker 1: won the conference tournament, so this is a bigger game
- 1:45:33Speaker 1: for Furman, although Watford is coming up two losses and
- 1:45:37Speaker 1: that that last one was an ugly loss as a
- 1:45:40Speaker 1: favorite to Chattanooga, so I think Watford could also bounce
- 1:45:43Speaker 1: back after that, So I could see this going both
- 1:45:46Speaker 1: waves Man, which is why I'm not gonna jump in
- 1:45:49Speaker 1: on the game when there are some big factors that
- 1:45:51Speaker 1: are conflicting with each other. Furman did just have a
- 1:45:54Speaker 1: big game at Samford got the win there. Sanford a
- 1:45:56Speaker 1: little bit down this year though, but I don't think
- 1:45:58Speaker 1: Furman could possibly over looked the team that ended their
- 1:46:01Speaker 1: season last year, so all things to keep in mind
- 1:46:04Speaker 1: in that game, Wafford is taking some of the money
- 1:46:08Speaker 1: Furman down from seven to six and a half here.
- 1:46:12Speaker 1: You know, I don't know if I totally agree with that,
- 1:46:16Speaker 1: but looking at this, it's pretty interesting thoughcause Furman doesn't
- 1:46:20Speaker 1: have that much better of a record than Wafford right now,
- 1:46:22Speaker 1: so laying points like that, I mean, some people might
- 1:46:25Speaker 1: think that line does look kind of big. The money
- 1:46:28Speaker 1: is coming in towards Wafford. But again, because Wafford is
- 1:46:31Speaker 1: the team an eliminated Firman.
- 1:46:33Speaker 2: Last year, I don't really want it.
- 1:46:34Speaker 1: Although if that wasn't the case, if that, if that
- 1:46:39Speaker 1: conference tournament revenge aspect wasn't here in this game, then
- 1:46:43Speaker 1: I would agree with Wafford in this game more than
- 1:46:46Speaker 1: I do. I still probably slightly lean that way, But
- 1:46:49Speaker 1: that revenge spot is what's keeping me off of that game,
- 1:46:54Speaker 1: or one of the things is keeping me off that game,
- 1:46:56Speaker 1: probably the main thing.
- 1:46:58Speaker 2: Six pm on Peacock number.
- 1:46:59Speaker 1: Five, Purdue was at USC Purdue having to go out
- 1:47:03Speaker 1: to the Pacific Coast. Man maybe not the easiest spot,
- 1:47:06Speaker 1: although Purdue was coming off not playing particularly well against Iowa.
- 1:47:12Speaker 1: Purdue was a huge favorite in that game against Iowa
- 1:47:14Speaker 1: and they still got by and i was still a
- 1:47:16Speaker 1: decent team.
- 1:47:18Speaker 2: So I could see it going both ways for Purdue here.
- 1:47:20Speaker 1: Man, you could argue they didn't play that well, they
- 1:47:23Speaker 1: almost got caught as a favorite, so they should show
- 1:47:25Speaker 1: up focus here. But they're going out to the Pacific Coast.
- 1:47:28Speaker 1: At least for them, it's not a really late game.
- 1:47:30Speaker 1: They'll really mess with their biological clock. But they do
- 1:47:33Speaker 1: also have UCLA and their second game out there, and
- 1:47:36Speaker 1: then they come back and play Illinois. So USC is
- 1:47:39Speaker 1: the team that they might overlook in this stretch of
- 1:47:42Speaker 1: a few games here Man and then Indiana after that too,
- 1:47:45Speaker 1: So this does kind of look like the overlook spot
- 1:47:48Speaker 1: and produce schedule though, like the one team they might overlook.
- 1:47:51Speaker 1: Even though USC has a decent overall record, conference play
- 1:47:55Speaker 1: hasn't been that kind to them. USC is staying at home.
- 1:47:58Speaker 1: They did just get a win over Marlin, so they
- 1:48:01Speaker 1: have a little bit of momentum coming into this game. Obviously,
- 1:48:03Speaker 1: they're not gonna overlook Purdue. They're gonna try to speed
- 1:48:06Speaker 1: the game up because Purdue plays slower.
- 1:48:09Speaker 2: I would lean to USC plus the points in this one.
- 1:48:11Speaker 1: I don't love it though. Purdue down from nine and
- 1:48:14Speaker 1: a half to nine seventy five tickets ninety four percent
- 1:48:17Speaker 1: of the cash on Purdue, so the money percentage is
- 1:48:19Speaker 1: on Purdue for the time being. And yeah, I could
- 1:48:23Speaker 1: see Purdue maybe being focused just because they didn't play
- 1:48:25Speaker 1: that well in the last game, But no real strong
- 1:48:29Speaker 1: opinion there. Otherwise. Number six Duke at Stanford at six
- 1:48:32Speaker 1: pm on ACC Network. Duke, just like North Carolina, were
- 1:48:37Speaker 1: playing their second straight game out in California. They beat
- 1:48:40Speaker 1: Cal in their last game, which Duke kind of pulled
- 1:48:43Speaker 1: away late in that game. As I showed you, Sanford
- 1:48:46Speaker 1: is better than Cal though, so it is possible Duke
- 1:48:48Speaker 1: has a little bit more trouble with Stamford here, although
- 1:48:51Speaker 1: they're now adjusted to the time zone. At the very least,
- 1:48:55Speaker 1: Duke is gonna play in one of their North Carolina
- 1:48:57Speaker 1: counterparts and Wake when they come back home. But Wake,
- 1:48:59Speaker 1: that game is just.
- 1:49:00Speaker 2: Much bigger for Wake though, So I don't.
- 1:49:02Speaker 1: Know if that's really a look ahead. I think you
- 1:49:06Speaker 1: probably would think, well, Stanford should get up for this game,
- 1:49:08Speaker 1: but Stanford just beating North Carolina. So the spot's kind
- 1:49:12Speaker 1: of iffy for Stanford, right because, yeah, they're gonna get
- 1:49:14Speaker 1: up for a game against Duke, but you're playing both
- 1:49:17Speaker 1: North Carolina teams in two straight games. It's difficult to
- 1:49:20Speaker 1: keep that effort up two games in a row. So
- 1:49:25Speaker 1: you know, overall, I kind of lean towards Duke in
- 1:49:27Speaker 1: the game, but the money's disagreeing with me in this
- 1:49:29Speaker 1: one too. Duke down from ten and a half to ten,
- 1:49:32Speaker 1: fifty to fifty on the tickets, so Duke isn't really
- 1:49:34Speaker 1: that public fifty nine of the cash though on Stanford,
- 1:49:38Speaker 1: so some of the actual money coming in on Stanford.
- 1:49:41Speaker 1: But I somewhat disagree with that. A number twelve Michigan
- 1:49:46Speaker 1: State is at Washington on the Big Ten network. Michigan
- 1:49:50Speaker 1: State just beat Indiana by twenty one points, and now they.
- 1:49:54Speaker 2: Have to go out to the Pacific Coast.
- 1:49:56Speaker 1: Could be a little bit difficult from them again, these
- 1:49:58Speaker 1: non Pacific coast, big Big ten teams going out to
- 1:50:02Speaker 1: the Pacific Coast, these unfamiliar venues is a little bit
- 1:50:05Speaker 1: weird for them. Washington's been decent, They've been a bit
- 1:50:09Speaker 1: under the radar, but Washington's gonna have to step it
- 1:50:12Speaker 1: up again after stepping it up against Michigan. In their
- 1:50:14Speaker 1: last game, they only lost by ten to Michigan. So
- 1:50:17Speaker 1: can they maintain that effort two games in a row
- 1:50:19Speaker 1: like this? I don't know, that is the question pretty much.
- 1:50:24Speaker 1: So obviously I'm staying away from this game as well.
- 1:50:27Speaker 1: Most of my games are early games. We have a
- 1:50:30Speaker 1: fairly strong market read in this one, though Michigan State
- 1:50:33Speaker 1: being a three and a half point favorite, it looks
- 1:50:36Speaker 1: too easy to lay the points with.
- 1:50:37Speaker 2: Michigan, of course, almost looks like a trap.
- 1:50:40Speaker 1: I should get the it's a trap, Admiral Acbar Michigan State. Yeah,
- 1:50:46Speaker 1: fifty to fifty actually on the tickets and then eighty
- 1:50:48Speaker 1: five percent of the casual on Washington, so the money
- 1:50:51Speaker 1: is indicating on the Washington side. I don't really disagree
- 1:50:54Speaker 1: with it, just because the travel spot is weird for
- 1:50:58Speaker 1: Michigan State and laying points with the deep defensive team
- 1:51:00Speaker 1: a slowdown team like Michigan State is a little bit
- 1:51:03Speaker 1: questionable on the road.
- 1:51:05Speaker 2: So those are my thoughts on that game.
- 1:51:07Speaker 1: I somewhat agree with the market on that one, but
- 1:51:10Speaker 1: I don't love Washington either, playing back to back games
- 1:51:13Speaker 1: against the two Michigans either.
- 1:51:15Speaker 2: So that's that game.
- 1:51:18Speaker 1: CBS Sports at six PMS Colorado at West Virginia kind
- 1:51:23Speaker 1: of a weird spot for Colorado. I have to go
- 1:51:25Speaker 1: play at Morgantown, man, even though these Big twelve teams
- 1:51:29Speaker 1: are getting used to playing at Morgantown. Colorado just rejoined
- 1:51:33Speaker 1: the Big Twelve not that long ago, and I think
- 1:51:35Speaker 1: it was after I think when Colorado was in the
- 1:51:38Speaker 1: Big twelve, you know, a decade and a half ago,
- 1:51:41Speaker 1: so I think West Virginia wasn't in the Big twelve yet.
- 1:51:43Speaker 1: Because they were in the Big East. So I think
- 1:51:46Speaker 1: this is kind of an unfamiliar spot for Colorado, and
- 1:51:48Speaker 1: Colorado is coming up too crazy games. Member they made
- 1:51:52Speaker 1: huge comebacks against Texas Tech and then again on the
- 1:51:55Speaker 1: road against Cincinnati. Colorado was getting run out of the
- 1:51:58Speaker 1: building in both games, and they made huge comebacks in
- 1:52:01Speaker 1: both games, and then Colorado was close at the end
- 1:52:05Speaker 1: of that game against Cincinnati, and Colorado is a big
- 1:52:07Speaker 1: underdog in both games. I liked Colorado against Texas Tech,
- 1:52:11Speaker 1: and luckily they did get the cover for us in
- 1:52:13Speaker 1: that game. I didn't like them against Cincinnati, and somehow
- 1:52:17Speaker 1: they came back, although Cincinnati I think wound up covering.
- 1:52:20Speaker 1: It was only because Colorado stupidly intentionally fouled again at
- 1:52:23Speaker 1: the end of that game or something. But really it
- 1:52:26Speaker 1: wasn't a good spot for Colorado just in general. Colorado
- 1:52:29Speaker 1: was getting run out of that game. So I think
- 1:52:31Speaker 1: if you were on Colorado, you actually got lucky that
- 1:52:34Speaker 1: they were even in that game and near the end
- 1:52:36Speaker 1: of it, because Cincinnati just kind of took their foot
- 1:52:38Speaker 1: off the gas. But Colorado's coming up those two big
- 1:52:40Speaker 1: games and now they're at least the travels a little
- 1:52:43Speaker 1: bit less for them because they're only going from Cincinnati
- 1:52:45Speaker 1: to West Virginia. But all of those two games now
- 1:52:49Speaker 1: they're going to West Virginia, who's been a little bit
- 1:52:51Speaker 1: under the radar. They're below Colorado and the standings right now,
- 1:52:54Speaker 1: al though I think West Virginia is actually the better
- 1:52:55Speaker 1: team out of the two. And then Colorado does played
- 1:52:58Speaker 1: Kansas in three days, so it's a bit of a
- 1:53:01Speaker 1: look ahead as well, so I think it's a bad
- 1:53:03Speaker 1: spot for Colorado. This is one of the ones that's
- 1:53:05Speaker 1: almost on my card. Man. So the games that I've
- 1:53:09Speaker 1: talked about that are almost on my card so far
- 1:53:11Speaker 1: are fordam Utah. I said Central Connecticut, but I think
- 1:53:16Speaker 1: that one's a little bit weaker, and West Virginia I
- 1:53:19Speaker 1: do like a bit. Oh the West Virginia. They're coming
- 1:53:22Speaker 1: out of a big game I guess against Houston, but
- 1:53:24Speaker 1: they got annihilated. They lost my almost thirty points, So
- 1:53:27Speaker 1: you gotta think West Virginia will be in a foul
- 1:53:30Speaker 1: mood after losing that badly, even though it was to
- 1:53:32Speaker 1: a good Houston team. Now, the problem with laying the
- 1:53:36Speaker 1: points with West Virginia here is obviously that West Virginia
- 1:53:40Speaker 1: just plays ridiculously slow, although Colorado I think probably wants
- 1:53:44Speaker 1: to speed this up, so West Virginia will probably make
- 1:53:48Speaker 1: them uncomfortable by slowing the game way down, which is
- 1:53:51Speaker 1: beneficial to West Virginia for sure.
- 1:53:53Speaker 2: But do you want to lay five.
- 1:53:54Speaker 1: And a half with a team that plays as slow
- 1:53:57Speaker 1: as West Virginia does. It seems a little bit dicey.
- 1:54:00Speaker 1: The total is still pretty low one forty four and
- 1:54:02Speaker 1: a half, So that's really that's kind of my main
- 1:54:04Speaker 1: hesitation with this because I do think it's a bad
- 1:54:07Speaker 1: spot for Colorado. So I do like West Virginia in
- 1:54:10Speaker 1: that game, but that one is not on my card.
- 1:54:14Speaker 1: All right, we have wake Forest and Florida State here,
- 1:54:17Speaker 1: six pm ESPN two. Here's this game. I like Florida
- 1:54:22Speaker 1: State in this game, which, if you know me, maybe
- 1:54:25Speaker 1: you could have already predicted that.
- 1:54:26Speaker 2: Wake Forest just played Miami tight.
- 1:54:28Speaker 1: And then they played their in state rival, in state
- 1:54:31Speaker 1: big brother, North Carolina almost to the limit, or pretty
- 1:54:35Speaker 1: much to the limit. They played North Carolina on the
- 1:54:37Speaker 1: road to within three points. This game was within one
- 1:54:40Speaker 1: possession in the final minute of the game. Man, So
- 1:54:43Speaker 1: wake Forest went right to the wire with them, and
- 1:54:46Speaker 1: after Florida State. They got SMU and then Duke after that.
- 1:54:49Speaker 1: I would probably be on Florida State if they had
- 1:54:53Speaker 1: Duke literally, if Wake Forest had Duke literally in their
- 1:54:56Speaker 1: next game.
- 1:54:56Speaker 2: But they have SMU next, which.
- 1:54:59Speaker 1: You know, maybe makes it a little bit less of
- 1:55:01Speaker 1: a sandwich, although I think it is still a sandwich
- 1:55:04Speaker 1: going on the road to Florida State. Florida State's still
- 1:55:07Speaker 1: desperate for their first conference win now. Florida State did
- 1:55:11Speaker 1: just have to go up to Syracuse though, and they
- 1:55:12Speaker 1: played pretty well as an underdog against Syracuse, and I
- 1:55:16Speaker 1: think wound up only covering the opening number and not
- 1:55:20Speaker 1: the closing number because that number dropped quite a bit
- 1:55:23Speaker 1: on Syracuse. I think a lot of money came in
- 1:55:25Speaker 1: on Florida State in that game. They played okay in
- 1:55:28Speaker 1: the game, and Florida State does have a big game
- 1:55:30Speaker 1: up next against Miami. So that is one of my
- 1:55:32Speaker 1: concerns that that's a huge game coming up next against
- 1:55:36Speaker 1: Miami and wake is kind of this middling team, but
- 1:55:39Speaker 1: I think Florida State does. They don't really have the
- 1:55:42Speaker 1: ability to overlook anybody right now. So yes, I like
- 1:55:45Speaker 1: Florida State in this game. Wake is down from two
- 1:55:48Speaker 1: to one here this is almost on my card. I
- 1:55:51Speaker 1: just I have a few concerns with it, more than
- 1:55:53Speaker 1: I do with the other games. But yes, I like
- 1:55:56Speaker 1: Florida State in that game. Yeah, plus the one one
- 1:56:00Speaker 1: and a half or whatever, and that all right. ESPN
- 1:56:05Speaker 1: at six PMS Texas A and M at Texas. Both
- 1:56:09Speaker 1: of these teams are in terrible spots. Texas A and
- 1:56:12Speaker 1: M just played really close at Tennessee. That was a
- 1:56:15Speaker 1: big game for Texas A and M. I think it
- 1:56:17Speaker 1: went into double overtime. Yeah, so that was a huge game.
- 1:56:20Speaker 1: That was a game that probably took a lot out
- 1:56:22Speaker 1: of Texas A and M. There were I think a
- 1:56:24Speaker 1: double digit underdog in that game too. And when you
- 1:56:26Speaker 1: have a double digit underdog in a big step up
- 1:56:29Speaker 1: game like that that takes that team to double ot
- 1:56:31Speaker 1: and then falls short, you expect them to be flat
- 1:56:35Speaker 1: in the next game. And this is a third road
- 1:56:37Speaker 1: game in four games, as well as second straight road game.
- 1:56:40Speaker 2: A lot of negatives for Texas A and M.
- 1:56:42Speaker 1: Here the problem is, how can I recommend Texas when
- 1:56:45Speaker 1: they just beat Alabama and Vandy back to back and
- 1:56:49Speaker 1: just handed Vandy their first loss of the season. I
- 1:56:52Speaker 1: can't do it, man, and they got Kentucky on deck.
- 1:56:55Speaker 1: Maybe a little bit of a look at there as well,
- 1:56:57Speaker 1: because A and M hasn't really been that good, although
- 1:56:59Speaker 1: they are head of Texas in the standings. So man,
- 1:57:03Speaker 1: this is a difficult game to handicap. I don't love
- 1:57:05Speaker 1: the side either way in this one. The money's coming
- 1:57:08Speaker 1: into Texas for what it's worth, and I guess I'll
- 1:57:11Speaker 1: agree Texas up to a five point favorite. But of course,
- 1:57:14Speaker 1: people that look at this match up, we're gonna think,
- 1:57:17Speaker 1: how could I possibly lay five with the team with
- 1:57:19Speaker 1: the worst record, right, But the Oswegers are telling you
- 1:57:21Speaker 1: Texas is actually the better team, So I guess I'll
- 1:57:25Speaker 1: agree with that. A and M did have to put
- 1:57:27Speaker 1: in more energy into that game against Texas A and
- 1:57:30Speaker 1: against excuse me, Tennessee. At the very least, I'll slightly
- 1:57:34Speaker 1: into Texas. I think the over makes more sense in
- 1:57:37Speaker 1: this game. We're looking at one sixty five and a half.
- 1:57:39Speaker 1: I think both teams are somewhat fast paced. Texas is
- 1:57:43Speaker 1: more of a mid tempo team, but both teams lack
- 1:57:46Speaker 1: on the defensive side. Actually, excuse me, A and M
- 1:57:49Speaker 1: is actually not that bad defensively. Texas is quite bad
- 1:57:54Speaker 1: defensively and better offensively, A and MS more balanced, but
- 1:57:57Speaker 1: A and M plays really fast, So and with both
- 1:58:01Speaker 1: teams not maybe not having a you know, like the
- 1:58:04Speaker 1: legs to play deep mens all game here, I think
- 1:58:07Speaker 1: it over makes sense in the game as well.
- 1:58:09Speaker 2: One sixty five and a half is the total in
- 1:58:11Speaker 2: that game.
- 1:58:12Speaker 1: SEC Network at six PMS South Carolina at Auburn. South
- 1:58:16Speaker 1: Carolina coming off losing badly at Arkansas, so they might
- 1:58:20Speaker 1: bounce back after that, even though it is a second
- 1:58:22Speaker 1: straight road game, Auburn coming into this game off of
- 1:58:26Speaker 1: losing at Missouri, so both teams coming off losses, So
- 1:58:30Speaker 1: what do you do here when probably both teams are
- 1:58:32Speaker 1: gonna be focused? You know? So then it kind of
- 1:58:36Speaker 1: comes down to, well, what does the market look like here?
- 1:58:38Speaker 2: Not Missouri South Carolina?
- 1:58:40Speaker 1: Excuse me? Auburn's actually an eleven and a half point
- 1:58:43Speaker 1: favorite in this game, up from eleven, So I think
- 1:58:45Speaker 1: that's kind of the deciding factor for me in this
- 1:58:48Speaker 1: game is that the spread looks insane, like who's gonna
- 1:58:51Speaker 1: want to lay eleven and a half with a ten
- 1:58:53Speaker 1: and seven team against another ten and seventeam? The line
- 1:58:57Speaker 1: looks insanely big, But the oddsmakers are telling you Auburn
- 1:59:01Speaker 1: is actually the significantly better team still, ken Bum's got
- 1:59:05Speaker 1: them at thirty fourth in the country. He's got Auburn
- 1:59:07Speaker 1: has having faced the third most difficult schedule in the
- 1:59:11Speaker 1: entire country. He's got South Carolina all the way down
- 1:59:13Speaker 1: at eighty fifth and having faced the two hundredth strangth
- 1:59:16Speaker 1: the schedule. So there are some things to like about
- 1:59:19Speaker 1: Auburn here, and they might be a little bit undervalued.
- 1:59:23Speaker 1: And again the line just looks insane, like no public
- 1:59:26Speaker 1: better is gonna want to lay a price like that.
- 1:59:28Speaker 1: So I think Auburn probably is the right side in
- 1:59:30Speaker 1: that game based on that.
- 1:59:33Speaker 2: Okay, next up, we got.
- 1:59:36Speaker 1: What else that I want to talk about here, we'll
- 1:59:39Speaker 1: talk about well, Belmont in Southern Illinois. Belmont is coming
- 1:59:44Speaker 1: off that game where they almost lost to Valpo, So
- 1:59:47Speaker 1: you gotta think Belmont probably will show up in this game. Also,
- 1:59:51Speaker 1: it's a road revenge spot because Belmont. I'd like it
- 1:59:54Speaker 1: better if they had one conference loss. They have two
- 1:59:57Speaker 1: conference losses, each by a point, but their most the
- 2:00:00Speaker 1: reason one was against Southern Illinois and that's who they're
- 2:00:02Speaker 1: playing right now today. Belmont lost at home to Southern Illinois.
- 2:00:06Speaker 1: So I think Belmont is going to show up for
- 2:00:09Speaker 1: this game for multiple reasons, coming off an ugly game,
- 2:00:12Speaker 1: and it's a little bit of in season road revenge here.
- 2:00:16Speaker 1: Now I think Southern ILLINOI is better than the record looks.
- 2:00:18Speaker 1: Southern Illinois is coming off an ugly game where they
- 2:00:21Speaker 1: blew it against Drake, and I'm pissed again because that
- 2:00:24Speaker 1: was a game that we had on the show and
- 2:00:26Speaker 1: Southern Illinois was blowing them out and somehow didn't even
- 2:00:29Speaker 1: win the game outright, And you gotta think they'll still
- 2:00:32Speaker 1: show up for a game against Belmont. So I lean
- 2:00:36Speaker 1: Belmont slightly in the game, but I can't get there
- 2:00:38Speaker 1: with it because I think both teams are kind of
- 2:00:40Speaker 1: in a spot where they're going to show up. Belmont's
- 2:00:42Speaker 1: a three point road favorite, fifty percent of the tickets
- 2:00:44Speaker 1: and sixty four percent of the cash on them. I
- 2:00:46Speaker 1: agree with the cash percentage in that one with Belmont,
- 2:00:49Speaker 1: but not a game I'm that interested in. Saint Mary's
- 2:00:53Speaker 1: at Santa Clara is going to be a very interesting
- 2:00:55Speaker 1: one out in the West Coast Conference here. Saint Mary's
- 2:00:59Speaker 1: just beats San Francisco and they're playing a second straight
- 2:01:02Speaker 1: road game here. Nice win over San Francisco, who's still
- 2:01:05Speaker 1: one of the top half of the teams in this conference.
- 2:01:09Speaker 1: Santa Clara is legit man, and this might be a
- 2:01:11Speaker 1: game where Santa Clara is gonna have more energy in
- 2:01:14Speaker 1: this game, more focused because Saint Mary's coming off another
- 2:01:17Speaker 1: big game there against San Francisco.
- 2:01:20Speaker 2: They should show up for a game against Santa Clara.
- 2:01:22Speaker 1: But the spot sets up better for Santa Clara staying
- 2:01:24Speaker 1: at home for a third game in a row. They
- 2:01:27Speaker 1: just beat Pacific. Not a big win there. All the
- 2:01:29Speaker 1: Pacific's okay, they're better than the record. Looks huge game.
- 2:01:34Speaker 1: I think it's a bigger game for Santa Clara because
- 2:01:36Speaker 1: Saint Mary's has been one of the teams to beat
- 2:01:39Speaker 1: in this conference for so long, and Santa Clara this
- 2:01:42Speaker 1: year looks like they're kind of bridging the gap a
- 2:01:44Speaker 1: little bit to the point where they're actually a favorite
- 2:01:47Speaker 1: in this game. Flip from a one point dodge of
- 2:01:49Speaker 1: one and a half point favorite. Ninety five percent of
- 2:01:51Speaker 1: the cash on Santa Clara tickets are fifty to fifty.
- 2:01:55Speaker 1: I'll agree with Santa Clara. I'll agree with the money
- 2:01:57Speaker 1: in that one. So it's a slight opinion for me
- 2:02:00Speaker 1: in that game. Yeah, although Odsburg is still telling you
- 2:02:06Speaker 1: Saint Mary's is the better team, but it's not that
- 2:02:08Speaker 1: much of a disparity in that one. Okay, let's see
- 2:02:14Speaker 1: what else I want to talk about here, man, I
- 2:02:16Speaker 1: know I'm skipping some of these games for time. Austin
- 2:02:19Speaker 1: P and Lipscomb is actually probably the game between the
- 2:02:22Speaker 1: two top teams in the Atlantic Sun or the two
- 2:02:24Speaker 1: best teams, even though I know Queens is snuck in there.
- 2:02:27Speaker 1: But Austin P and Lipscomb I think are the best
- 2:02:29Speaker 1: two teams in this conference. Austin P just barely got
- 2:02:33Speaker 1: by Eastern Kentucky in the last game. I think Austin
- 2:02:36Speaker 1: P was a favorite and probably didn't cover in that game.
- 2:02:38Speaker 1: Lipscomb also didn't play that well against beller Men in
- 2:02:41Speaker 1: the last game. They won by ten at home. I
- 2:02:43Speaker 1: think Bellerman might have covered that number and was fairly
- 2:02:46Speaker 1: close late in the game. Both teams are probably looking
- 2:02:48Speaker 1: ahead to this game now. The question is which of
- 2:02:53Speaker 1: these teams is the better team, and the odds Bakers
- 2:02:56Speaker 1: I think are actually kind of telling you it's Austin
- 2:02:58Speaker 1: P at this point, but I kind of disagree ken
- 2:03:01Speaker 1: Bumb as Lipscomb still is the better team because I
- 2:03:03Speaker 1: looked so there's a little bit of a disparity between
- 2:03:06Speaker 1: what the oddsmakers are saying and what the.
- 2:03:10Speaker 2: And what ken Bom is saying.
- 2:03:11Speaker 1: But maybe there's an injury or something because Austin p
- 2:03:14Speaker 1: was gonna be a three and a half point dog,
- 2:03:16Speaker 1: which I think would be more in line with what
- 2:03:17Speaker 1: ken Bomb's numbers saying. Now they're a two point favorite,
- 2:03:20Speaker 1: So this's probably got it like there must be an
- 2:03:22Speaker 1: injury or something for Lipscum, because I don't see why
- 2:03:25Speaker 1: otherwise Austin p would would be that big of a
- 2:03:27Speaker 1: favorite in that game. So you know, I think maybe
- 2:03:31Speaker 1: there's a little bit of value looking towards the Lipscumb
- 2:03:34Speaker 1: side plus the points there, but I don't have a
- 2:03:36Speaker 1: strong opinion. Then, of course teams are gonna be gunning
- 2:03:39Speaker 1: for Lipscumb in that compon Limpscum what Lipskum in that conference,
- 2:03:43Speaker 1: because they did win the conference again last year, so
- 2:03:46Speaker 1: they do have a little bit of a target on
- 2:03:47Speaker 1: their back. Number eleven b Yu at number fifteen Texas
- 2:03:52Speaker 1: Tech is the later ESPN game at eight pm. Good Game,
- 2:03:58Speaker 1: Big twelve Game here b Y is coming off barely
- 2:04:01Speaker 1: getting by TCU at home and barely getting by Utah
- 2:04:05Speaker 1: on the road the game before that. So BYU kind
- 2:04:07Speaker 1: of coasting a little bit here and maybe we'll get
- 2:04:09Speaker 1: shocked back into focus here. Kind of a weird spot
- 2:04:13Speaker 1: to have to go to Lubbock. But they might be
- 2:04:15Speaker 1: focused because they're coming off two kind of unfocused efforts here.
- 2:04:18Speaker 1: Texas Tech they just beat Utah in kind of a
- 2:04:22Speaker 1: whatever type of game as well. I mean, they're not
- 2:04:25Speaker 1: in a bad spot really, so I think both teams
- 2:04:27Speaker 1: are going to show up for this game, So it
- 2:04:30Speaker 1: does kind of come down to which team is gonna well,
- 2:04:34Speaker 1: I don't know, I don't know what it comes down to,
- 2:04:35Speaker 1: to be honest. I think BYU has more reason to
- 2:04:37Speaker 1: be a little bit more focus here just because they
- 2:04:41Speaker 1: were more lackluster in the last couple of games. So
- 2:04:43Speaker 1: the money has come in on Texas Tech, driving them
- 2:04:45Speaker 1: up from one to three, seventy five percent of tickets
- 2:04:48Speaker 1: seventy seven percent of the cash on Texas Tech. They
- 2:04:51Speaker 1: are slightly public side as well. I was kind of
- 2:04:53Speaker 1: leaning slightly towards BYU. Ken Bum does that BYU ten
- 2:04:57Speaker 1: ranking spots higher, which is Mos, I guess reflected in
- 2:05:01Speaker 1: the number, so BYU the rankings makers kind of have
- 2:05:05Speaker 1: it right that BYU is the better team. They're not
- 2:05:08Speaker 1: that far off with either of these teams. Texas Tech
- 2:05:11Speaker 1: probably a little bit over ranked by the rankings makers
- 2:05:14Speaker 1: though is Kembom has the twenty third and he's got
- 2:05:16Speaker 1: BYU thirteenth, So both teams overrated by the rankings bakers,
- 2:05:20Speaker 1: but Texas Tech a little bit more overrated, so probably
- 2:05:24Speaker 1: slightly into BYU for me in that one. ESPN two
- 2:05:27Speaker 1: at eight PM is number twenty. Louisville at Pitt. Louisville's
- 2:05:32Speaker 1: the better team here, but Louisville is coming off that
- 2:05:34Speaker 1: big game against Virginia where they lost by nine, but
- 2:05:37Speaker 1: that might hang them over a little bit into this game.
- 2:05:39Speaker 1: I don't know how much attention they're really going to
- 2:05:41Speaker 1: pay to a pit team that has been pitiful this year.
- 2:05:45Speaker 1: They're not good, and Louisville does have Virginia Tech up next,
- 2:05:48Speaker 1: so maybe a little bit of a Virginia sandwich. Virginia
- 2:05:51Speaker 1: Tech is still above them in the acc standings of
- 2:05:54Speaker 1: the very least and then Duke SMU after that, So
- 2:05:56Speaker 1: this looks like kind of the flat spot in Louisville
- 2:05:59Speaker 1: scale schedule. Here, Pitt coming into this game off beating
- 2:06:03Speaker 1: Georgia Tech. So Pitt at least broke a losing streak
- 2:06:06Speaker 1: with a win over a pretty weak Georgia Tech team.
- 2:06:09Speaker 1: They're not gonna be overconfident coming into this one. So
- 2:06:11Speaker 1: I actually like Pitt in this game plus the points.
- 2:06:14Speaker 1: The money is not agreeing with me, is Pitt looks
- 2:06:17Speaker 1: like a public underdog, But how could that possibly be? Right? Like?
- 2:06:20Speaker 1: How is the public coming in on a below five
- 2:06:22Speaker 1: hundred pit team against a ranked Louisville That doesn't make
- 2:06:26Speaker 1: sense to me. But we see sixty seven percent of
- 2:06:28Speaker 1: tickets fifty eight percent of the cash on pit right now.
- 2:06:30Speaker 2: I don't agree with that.
- 2:06:32Speaker 1: I don't agree that those market percentages are accurate. Louisville's
- 2:06:36Speaker 1: a seven and a half boy favorite. I would take
- 2:06:38Speaker 1: the points with Pitt if I was gonna play the game,
- 2:06:39Speaker 1: but I am not going to CBS Sports has a
- 2:06:43Speaker 1: pretty good Mountain West game at eight pm between New
- 2:06:45Speaker 1: Mexico and San Diego State. New Mexico usually plays on
- 2:06:49Speaker 1: the faster side, where San Diego State's gonna want to
- 2:06:51Speaker 1: ugly it up and slow the game down and may
- 2:06:53Speaker 1: be able to do that at home. New Mexico coming
- 2:06:56Speaker 1: out that win over Grand Canyon that I mentioned a
- 2:06:59Speaker 1: fine win for them going out on the road to Fay.
- 2:07:02Speaker 1: San Diego State though probably gonna be the most difficult
- 2:07:04Speaker 1: game they played in conference place so far, and there
- 2:07:07Speaker 1: are other The most difficult game prior to this one
- 2:07:10Speaker 1: was at Boise, and New Mexico lost that game, and
- 2:07:13Speaker 1: Boise is a slowdown team as well, and Boise just
- 2:07:15Speaker 1: hasn't been playing well recently. Though I think I was
- 2:07:18Speaker 1: right about Boise last night right. Actually they pushed that
- 2:07:22Speaker 1: game last night, but I was at least correct about
- 2:07:24Speaker 1: them winning. So I think Boise is better than the
- 2:07:28Speaker 1: record looks, at least with San Diego State, I think
- 2:07:30Speaker 1: might be better than they are at this point. San
- 2:07:32Speaker 1: Diego State just be Wyoming on the road, decent win there,
- 2:07:35Speaker 1: Wyoming has been okay.
- 2:07:37Speaker 2: Now San Diego State back at home.
- 2:07:38Speaker 1: I do think the spot does set up better for
- 2:07:40Speaker 1: San Diego State in this one. Both teams probably will
- 2:07:43Speaker 1: show up for it, though I lean San Diego State slightly.
- 2:07:46Speaker 1: They're up from three and a half to four here,
- 2:07:49Speaker 1: totals low one and a half, which kind of tells
- 2:07:52Speaker 1: that San Diego State's gonna be able to control the tempo,
- 2:07:55Speaker 1: although actually Ken Bombas is more of a mid tempo
- 2:07:57Speaker 1: team this year, which is interesting, and he still has
- 2:08:02Speaker 1: New Mexico as the somewhat faster team though, although New
- 2:08:06Speaker 1: Mexico is actually better defensively than offensively, which is interesting.
- 2:08:10Speaker 1: With San Diego State's usually they were balanced team, they're
- 2:08:13Speaker 1: better defensively than offensively as well. So we'll see. But
- 2:08:17Speaker 1: that's my slightly towards San Diego. And then my final
- 2:08:20Speaker 1: play is here in the eight PM slate, let's go.
- 2:08:22Speaker 1: The final best bet is Long Beach. We're going back
- 2:08:26Speaker 1: to the pyramid scheme of Long Beach, although this is
- 2:08:30Speaker 1: not at the pyramid. This is at cal State north Ridge,
- 2:08:33Speaker 1: who I think is in a terrible spot here, and
- 2:08:35Speaker 1: we're gonna go with Long Beach, who I think is
- 2:08:38Speaker 1: not horrible at least. They look pretty bad at the
- 2:08:41Speaker 1: beginning of the season, but they're under the raidar a bit.
- 2:08:44Speaker 1: They treated us well when we've played them before against
- 2:08:47Speaker 1: who do we play them against? Bakersfield? Maybe I don't remember.
- 2:08:50Speaker 1: I might have been Cal Poly, I forget, but Long
- 2:08:53Speaker 1: Beach got us a win at some point in one
- 2:08:55Speaker 1: of their home games. They're on the road here, but
- 2:08:57Speaker 1: they're coming off a win at home against Cal Rivers.
- 2:09:00Speaker 1: They're coming into this game with momentum, and I think
- 2:09:03Speaker 1: Long Beach will not overlook a team it's above them
- 2:09:05Speaker 1: in the standings, like Cal State north Ridge, Whereas for
- 2:09:08Speaker 1: north Ridge, I think this is a lesser game on
- 2:09:10Speaker 1: their schedules. Look at what north Ridge just did. They
- 2:09:13Speaker 1: just upset you see San Diego on the road. That
- 2:09:16Speaker 1: was a huge win for north Ridge. You see San
- 2:09:18Speaker 1: Diego kind of ran away with the conference a little
- 2:09:21Speaker 1: bit last year, except Irvine was still competitive last year,
- 2:09:24Speaker 1: but you see San Diego has been really kind of
- 2:09:27Speaker 1: the best team in this conference the last two years.
- 2:09:30Speaker 1: So that was a huge win for Cal State north
- 2:09:32Speaker 1: Ridge overtaking you see San Diego and the standings too.
- 2:09:35Speaker 1: Now they're playing Long Beach and up next they got Hawaii,
- 2:09:38Speaker 1: who is at the top of the conference right now,
- 2:09:42Speaker 1: so that's a much bigger game. And then they have
- 2:09:43Speaker 1: you see Davis and you see San Diego again. After that.
- 2:09:46Speaker 1: All those teams are above Long Beach in the standings here,
- 2:09:50Speaker 1: So this looks like the down spot and the schedules
- 2:09:53Speaker 1: to me, for north Ridge. I think it's a sandwich
- 2:09:55Speaker 1: spot as well, sandwiched in between really the top two
- 2:09:58Speaker 1: teams in the conference. You see San Diego and Hawaii.
- 2:10:01Speaker 1: I don't like it at all. We're gonna be on
- 2:10:03Speaker 1: Long Beach in this one. I don't like it for
- 2:10:07Speaker 1: the team that we're fading. I should say in north
- 2:10:09Speaker 1: Ridge Ken bomb. He's got Long Beach mid tempo team. Yeah,
- 2:10:13Speaker 1: they're kind of weak defensively, but whatever, mid luck index
- 2:10:18Speaker 1: as well. But he has north Ridge thirty seventh in
- 2:10:21Speaker 1: lock so he has north Ridge is one of the
- 2:10:23Speaker 1: luckiest teams in the country. They play faster, but you know,
- 2:10:27Speaker 1: I mean, even if they speed the game up, Long
- 2:10:29Speaker 1: Beach should kind of adapt, I think, because they don't
- 2:10:32Speaker 1: play slow exactly. And north Ridge is actually bad defensively
- 2:10:36Speaker 1: as well, So there's not that much of a gap
- 2:10:39Speaker 1: between what these two teams do defensively. So I'm okay
- 2:10:42Speaker 1: with it. It's a bad spot for cal State Northridge.
- 2:10:45Speaker 1: We're grabbing Long Beach plus the points in that one.
- 2:10:50Speaker 2: Best bets.
- 2:10:51Speaker 1: Yes, I don't know what that is, Jim Leigh, he
- 2:10:55Speaker 1: falling down the stairs? What is that? All?
- 2:10:58Speaker 2: Right?
- 2:10:59Speaker 1: Peacock has a big, big East game in the eight
- 2:11:02Speaker 1: pm slate here with Saint John's at Villanova. Saint John's
- 2:11:06Speaker 1: just easily took care of Marquette, whatever. I think they
- 2:11:09Speaker 1: will be focused on Villanova because Villanova is slightly above
- 2:11:13Speaker 1: them in the standings right now. Villanova coming off a
- 2:11:15Speaker 1: win on the road at Providence kind of a whatever
- 2:11:18Speaker 1: type of win as well, so both teams are going
- 2:11:20Speaker 1: to be focused here. This will be a bit of
- 2:11:22Speaker 1: a tempo collision, as Saint John's likes to go fast.
- 2:11:26Speaker 1: Villanova is going to try to make the game ugly
- 2:11:30Speaker 1: or and slow it down and maybe frustrate Saint John's.
- 2:11:34Speaker 1: But I think Saint John's is actually the better team though,
- 2:11:37Speaker 1: and I think there may be a little bit more
- 2:11:39Speaker 1: under the radar than Villanova is right now, and the
- 2:11:41Speaker 1: money has come in on Saint John's from a pick
- 2:11:44Speaker 1: them to three. Donova really want to lay three on
- 2:11:47Speaker 1: the road with a total of one forty nine and
- 2:11:49Speaker 1: a half a game where Saint John's doesn't score that
- 2:11:52Speaker 1: well and Villanova is probably gonna slow the pace down.
- 2:11:54Speaker 1: So I don't love it, but I slightly lean towards
- 2:11:57Speaker 1: Saint John's here. Maybe a money line, any type of
- 2:12:00Speaker 1: deal with them. I don't know sixty percent of the
- 2:12:02Speaker 1: tickets and sixty three percent of the cash on Saint John's,
- 2:12:06Speaker 1: so I don't know. I'm staying away though, but I
- 2:12:10Speaker 1: leaned slightly to Saint John's Trailer Park boys, and I
- 2:12:13Speaker 1: don't watch that shit. I don't watch Canadian bullshit. I don't.
- 2:12:18Speaker 1: I don't understand Canadian humor at all. Letter Kenny and
- 2:12:22Speaker 1: whatever shit like that. I don't understand it. It does
- 2:12:24Speaker 1: not register with me at all. American and British.
- 2:12:29Speaker 2: Humor do I don't know.
- 2:12:31Speaker 1: And uh isn't Bubbles like a pedophile or something like that.
- 2:12:34Speaker 1: I'm not gonna give them any of my attention at all.
- 2:12:38Speaker 1: We have the Battle of Mississippi Ole Miss at Mississippi
- 2:12:41Speaker 1: State on SEC Network at eight thirty pm. I think
- 2:12:44Speaker 1: Old Miss is kind of in a bad spot here, man.
- 2:12:46Speaker 1: They pulled up that road upset of Georgia that I
- 2:12:49Speaker 1: mentioned in the last game. Now, of course this is
- 2:12:51Speaker 1: a rival recently. They shouldn't overlook Mississippi State and Mississippi
- 2:12:55Speaker 1: State I believe won both games last year against Old Miss,
- 2:12:58Speaker 1: so there is double revenge for Ole Miss here. So
- 2:13:01Speaker 1: there are reasons why they shouldn't be unfocused. I was
- 2:13:05Speaker 1: gonna say be out of focus. They shouldn't be unfocused
- 2:13:08Speaker 1: in this game, but that was a big win over Georgia. Man,
- 2:13:11Speaker 1: so I think the spot does actually set up better
- 2:13:13Speaker 1: for Mississippi State here. Mississippi State just lost to Alabama
- 2:13:17Speaker 1: staying at home. Yeah, I mean the spot's a little
- 2:13:20Speaker 1: bit better form Mississippi State. That's the way on lean
- 2:13:22Speaker 1: in the game. But not gonna make my card. Obviously,
- 2:13:26Speaker 1: both teams are gonna be probably at least they're gonna
- 2:13:29Speaker 1: want to win this game, and of course, like I said,
- 2:13:30Speaker 1: there are reasons for ole Miss to show up as well.
- 2:13:33Speaker 1: Three and a half is the line, and that when
- 2:13:35Speaker 1: the public might look at that and think the line's
- 2:13:37Speaker 1: a little bit too high on Mississippi State, but I
- 2:13:40Speaker 1: think it's kind of right where it should be. I
- 2:13:42Speaker 1: don't think ken Bum has these teams separated by very much.
- 2:13:46Speaker 1: He's got ole Miss at sixtieth Mississippi State at seventy ninth.
- 2:13:49Speaker 1: So yeah, maybe the line's slightly high given the Old
- 2:13:53Speaker 1: Miss is actually the better team, but I think some
- 2:13:55Speaker 1: of them might be factoring in the spot. So do
- 2:13:58Speaker 1: with that information what you want. Way better than letter Kenny. Interesting.
- 2:14:08Speaker 1: Oh it was an adult woman, but his son's.
- 2:14:10Speaker 2: Age all right.
- 2:14:11Speaker 1: Whatever, if it was a young adult woman, the good
- 2:14:15Speaker 1: for him. The Battle of Montana in the Big Sky
- 2:14:19Speaker 1: is happening tonight at nine pm.
- 2:14:21Speaker 2: Montana Montana State.
- 2:14:22Speaker 1: These were also two of the best teams in the
- 2:14:24Speaker 1: Big Sky, so it's a big game.
- 2:14:26Speaker 2: It's an interesting game Montana State.
- 2:14:30Speaker 1: I believe this might be a rematch of the conference
- 2:14:32Speaker 1: final if I'm not mistaken for last year as well. No,
- 2:14:38Speaker 1: Montana beat Northern Colorado my mistake. But Montana won the
- 2:14:41Speaker 1: conference last year, so maybe Montana State is a little
- 2:14:45Speaker 1: bit more of a chip on the shoulder.
- 2:14:46Speaker 2: But Montana just lost ed Eastern Washington.
- 2:14:49Speaker 1: That was not a good loss from Montana, so maybe
- 2:14:51Speaker 1: they were looking ahead a little bit to this game.
- 2:14:53Speaker 1: It was kind of a weird sandwich he spot. There
- 2:14:56Speaker 1: after they played Northern Colorado and Idaho. Northern Colorado is
- 2:14:59Speaker 1: still in this conference even though their record's not that good.
- 2:15:03Speaker 1: They faced some of the more difficult opponents in the
- 2:15:05Speaker 1: conference so far. Montana State just lost at Idaho, but
- 2:15:08Speaker 1: that was a bigger game. Idaho decent team, so I
- 2:15:12Speaker 1: think the spot sets up better for Montana here Man,
- 2:15:14Speaker 1: even though they did win the conference last year. So
- 2:15:16Speaker 1: Montana State's probably gonna have reason to show up in
- 2:15:19Speaker 1: this game as well. Montana State's laying five and a half. Yeah,
- 2:15:22Speaker 1: they're the better team. The odjecers are telling you that,
- 2:15:25Speaker 1: But I think the spot's a little bit better from Montana.
- 2:15:28Speaker 1: I kind of like towards grabbing the points with Montana
- 2:15:31Speaker 1: and that one, although it does kind of look too
- 2:15:33Speaker 1: easy to do it. It looks the line looks a
- 2:15:34Speaker 1: little bit too high to the average public. Better. Probably,
- 2:15:41Speaker 1: Gonzaga is playing at Seattle late night. Gonzaga number nine
- 2:15:45Speaker 1: in the country. Gonzaga will be flying across Washington because
- 2:15:48Speaker 1: they just won at Washington State in eastern Washington. Now
- 2:15:52Speaker 1: they're going to Seattle to play Seattle out west. Might
- 2:15:55Speaker 1: be a little bit of a weird spot for Gonzaga.
- 2:15:57Speaker 1: Man Seattle, they're gonna slow the game down, try to
- 2:16:00Speaker 1: ugly this thing up.
- 2:16:01Speaker 2: Seattle's new to the conference.
- 2:16:03Speaker 1: Goazaga did already beat them only by eight though at Gonzaga.
- 2:16:07Speaker 1: Seattle actually played decently in that game. Now, this is
- 2:16:10Speaker 1: an unfamiliar spot for Gonzaga. I think maybe they do
- 2:16:12Speaker 1: play sometimes in Seattle, but Seattle is new to the conference,
- 2:16:16Speaker 1: so it's kind of a new venue to play at
- 2:16:19Speaker 1: in conference play. Seattle's an OK team, man, and they
- 2:16:22Speaker 1: hang around a games, so they're a little bit of
- 2:16:26Speaker 1: a frustrating opponent to play. And Gonzaga wants to go fast.
- 2:16:29Speaker 1: Seattle's gonna want to ugly this thing up and slow
- 2:16:32Speaker 1: it down. Seattle just ended a three game losing streak,
- 2:16:35Speaker 1: although two of those games are Gonzaga on Saint Mary's
- 2:16:37Speaker 1: on the road, Obviously you did not expect them to
- 2:16:39Speaker 1: win those games. They beat San Diego in their last
- 2:16:43Speaker 1: game to end that losing streak. I'd probably take the
- 2:16:47Speaker 1: points with Seattle in this game, man.
- 2:16:49Speaker 2: The money seems to agree.
- 2:16:51Speaker 1: Gonzaga down from sixteen and a half to fourteen.
- 2:16:54Speaker 2: It's not that big of a line, man.
- 2:16:56Speaker 1: So it looks almost kind of easy to lay it
- 2:16:59Speaker 1: with gonzaz Seventy of the tickets are on Gonzaga, eighty
- 2:17:04Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming back in on Seattle, so
- 2:17:06Speaker 1: the money is on Seattle here. That's the way that
- 2:17:10Speaker 1: I would play it is taking the points of Seattle. Yes,
- 2:17:14Speaker 1: Gonzaga is in Spokekane, Washington, Yes, so Seattle probably is
- 2:17:21Speaker 1: going to consider themselves to be an in state little
- 2:17:23Speaker 1: brother here as well, so more motivation for Seattle probably
- 2:17:27Speaker 1: in this game as well. But yeah, Gonzaga, they're more
- 2:17:32Speaker 1: in the eastern part of the state in Spokane, so
- 2:17:36Speaker 1: going out to the western part of the state, you know,
- 2:17:39Speaker 1: I don't know, it's a little bit of a weird spot.
- 2:17:41Speaker 1: They don't have a big game up next though, Gonzaga.
- 2:17:43Speaker 1: They play Pepperdine, so we'll see. In the CBS Sports
- 2:17:48Speaker 1: has Kansas State and Oklahoma State kind of a lowly
- 2:17:51Speaker 1: big twelve matchup here where Oklahoma State has a good record,
- 2:17:55Speaker 1: but they haven't done well in conference play so far. Man,
- 2:17:59Speaker 1: so maybe we find some value on Kansas State or
- 2:18:02Speaker 1: Kansas State just lost at home to UCF. UCF's been
- 2:18:06Speaker 1: an al right team, but Kansas State was favored in
- 2:18:08Speaker 1: that game, so it might be good for them to
- 2:18:10Speaker 1: just forget about it go out on the road. They're
- 2:18:12Speaker 1: still looking for their first conference win, and at least
- 2:18:14Speaker 1: Oklahoma State does have a conference win. Oklahoma State, staying
- 2:18:18Speaker 1: at home, did just play Baylor, took a loss in
- 2:18:21Speaker 1: that game. I kind of prefer Kansas State in this game.
- 2:18:26Speaker 1: Oklahoma State's up to four and a half, but fifty
- 2:18:29Speaker 1: percent of the tickets and ninety eight percent of the
- 2:18:31Speaker 1: cash on Kansas State, So the money's coming in on
- 2:18:35Speaker 1: Kansas State.
- 2:18:35Speaker 2: I agree with it.
- 2:18:36Speaker 1: In that game, I think the public's gonna have a
- 2:18:39Speaker 1: tendency to want Oklahoma State.
- 2:18:40Speaker 2: Here because Kansas State's record is just so ugly.
- 2:18:43Speaker 1: But the oddspeakers are telling you there's not that much
- 2:18:46Speaker 1: of a gap between these two teams, even though Oklahoma
- 2:18:49Speaker 1: State's kind of on the tournament radar. In Kansas State
- 2:18:51Speaker 1: basically has no chance to be a tournament team. But
- 2:18:55Speaker 1: Oklahoma State, they're not that good man. Like I said,
- 2:18:57Speaker 1: they're not as good as they're out of conference record
- 2:18:59Speaker 1: looks they didn't play a very strong conference schedule. So
- 2:19:03Speaker 1: that's gonna do itugh Man, it's such a long video.
- 2:19:07Speaker 1: I'm gonna be right back again, probably in about a
- 2:19:09Speaker 1: half hour after I try to handicap all the games
- 2:19:12Speaker 1: for hockey and NBA. Hopefully it's not that much. I
- 2:19:14Speaker 1: know there's a lot of hockey always on Saturday, but
- 2:19:17Speaker 1: hopefully it doesn't take me too long. I'll be back
- 2:19:19Speaker 1: in a bit for that. All of that. Of course,
- 2:19:22Speaker 1: we'll talk NFL as well. Don't even know what my
- 2:19:25Speaker 1: players are gonna be like yet for the rest of
- 2:19:26Speaker 1: the slate here, but today, the other plays that we have,
- 2:19:29Speaker 1: we have college basketball. We have SMU plus the points,
- 2:19:33Speaker 1: Butler plus the points, unc Asheville plus.
- 2:19:37Speaker 2: The points, Indiana minus.
- 2:19:40Speaker 1: The points, Delaware plus the points, Northern Iowa money line
- 2:19:45Speaker 1: or minus the points if you find a better number
- 2:19:47Speaker 1: that way. If it's two and a half, I guess,
- 2:19:50Speaker 1: and then Long Beach plus the points. Those are my
- 2:19:52Speaker 1: actual plays. Seven college basketball plays. They were probably gonna
- 2:19:56Speaker 1: wind up with about ten or so places that it
- 2:19:59Speaker 1: would be my guest once I'm through everything, but we'll see.
- 2:20:02Speaker 1: I'll be right back, man, after I handicap this. So
- 2:20:06Speaker 1: I appreciate it. Thanks for hanging out, guys, Pinsy, what's
- 2:20:09Speaker 1: up man, Thank you guys. I appreciate it. Charles, thanks everybody. Yeah,
- 2:20:15Speaker 1: and I gotta get my Instagram videos out too, man,
- 2:20:17Speaker 1: so hopefully I get this time.
- 2:20:18Speaker 2: I have to rest for a second as well.
- 2:20:20Speaker 1: I'll be back. Learn it to on Instagram, learn it
- 2:20:24Speaker 1: tone on Twitter, like, subscribe, comment on the channel here
- 2:20:27Speaker 1: of course, listen on audio that helps me out as well.
- 2:20:30Speaker 1: Review on audio app on Spotify. Covered in Yuke my
- 2:20:34Speaker 1: yuke channel on YouTube. You can check out as well
- 2:20:36Speaker 1: Patreon dot com, slash learn to Toad get some bonus stuff, Charles.
- 2:20:40Speaker 1: I know I have to do one of your requests
- 2:20:41Speaker 1: as well. I'm gonna look into Toad the Wet Sprocket
- 2:20:44Speaker 1: for my next one for you. I'll choose whichever song
- 2:20:48Speaker 1: makes the most sense. I gotta learn it because I
- 2:20:50Speaker 1: don't know them that well. Though. It'll probably put me
- 2:20:51Speaker 1: in nine is well. It'll be like, oh, yeah, I
- 2:20:53Speaker 1: remember this song. If I do one of their popular
- 2:20:56Speaker 1: ones and then I'm gonna do another guy's request first though,
- 2:21:01Speaker 1: so I know I have to get back to all
- 2:21:04Speaker 1: that and then Loser Cast check that out the comedy
- 2:21:09Speaker 1: podcast and I'm on the Loser Cast, So that's that's
- 2:21:13Speaker 1: gonna do it. I've definitely heard of them, there's no
- 2:21:15Speaker 1: question about that. I mean, I grew up in the nineties.
- 2:21:18Speaker 1: I'd like vaguely remember them. I just was never totally
- 2:21:22Speaker 1: into them. I was more into the Toadies. That was
- 2:21:25Speaker 1: more of my style. Uh, Tod the Wet Sprocket. I
- 2:21:28Speaker 1: kind of throw in that like realm with like the
- 2:21:32Speaker 1: gin blossoms and stuff like that, where it's like oh yeah,
- 2:21:34Speaker 1: like I remember this song kind of like standard nineties
- 2:21:37Speaker 1: alternative rock type of thing. That's gonna do it for now,
- 2:21:42Speaker 1: I'll be back, and the spin doctors I kind of
- 2:21:46Speaker 1: put in that realm as well. Maybe I'm like totally
- 2:21:49Speaker 1: mischaracterizing it, though I don't know. I should not be
- 2:21:52Speaker 1: because I'm a child of that grew up through the nineties.
- 2:21:55Speaker 1: But we'll see, all right, I'll be back.
- 2:21:57Speaker 2: Peace for now.