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NCAAB + NHL + NBA Cup Final + NCAAF Bowls Best Bets Tuesday 12/16/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's what I'm gonna
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: start off this show. Horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: Bruins hat man. I don't know what is going on
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: with the Bruins. March Hape, is that what it is?
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man's
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you. After the worst day that I could
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have with the US, I always am until I
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: die at least oh and two yesterday and yesterday did
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: not go well for me. Own five the worst month
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this,
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the Slump series, the slump disconvenience, The slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: I should do at this point other than potentially ended
• 1:28
  Speaker 1: all four picks against Grossman and two fumbles. What did
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: you see about the Bears shut them down that way? Now?
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: We you know, I mean, we just let's wait.
• 1:38
  Speaker 2: The Bears are what we thought they were. What we
• 1:42
  Speaker 2: thought they were. We played them in preseason. Who the
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: hell takes a third game in a preseason likes book?
• 1:48
  Speaker 2: We played them the third game. Everybody played three quarters
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: their Bears or who we thought they were. Now, that's
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: why we took the damn field. Now, if you want
• 1:57
  Speaker 2: to crown them, they crown our ass. But they are
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: who we thought they were, and we got about the hook.
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: Thanks coach, probably about five minutes away. It's a disappointed coach.
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? It's towed back with you, toadstool Sports Tuesday,
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: whatever day it is, December sixteenth. That was me after
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: the Browns play the other day. I found the clip
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: for that. I have not clipped it down. I should
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: probably make it a shorter clip. Just Dennis Green screaming,
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: but rip Dennis Green. One of the best post game
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: press conferences ever. We went two and one on the
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: show yesterday could have been three and oh I was
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: I was eyeing it man like, oh, this is gonna
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: go three and oh tonight. No it did not. But
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: two and one is still a winning day. So we
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: continued to do all right. We got Alabama A and
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: M with the win to us. Started out they won
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: the game out right. Of course, if you're playing a
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: two point dog or whatever, you're pretty much saying they're
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: gonna win the game outright. The line moved against me.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: The line went to three and a half, so people
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: got it later in the day. They got a better
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: number on It didn't even matter outright win whatever, I'll
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: take it. The market disagreed with me. I was better
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: than the market. Houston Rockets were the loss yesterday. They
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: definitely could have won that game, and that was it
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: was just a close game. What can you do? It
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: went into overtime, Yet Houston is the underdog. They take
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: Denver into overtime pretty much that means you're you made
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: the right call. For the most part, even though they
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: were a small underdog. They wound up losing by three
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: or four points. I think in overtime, very close game
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: could have gone either way. And then the Memphis Grizzlies
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: got the job done for us. That line went up
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: as well, slightly like it was like five and a
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: half a game time. I think that didn't matter at all.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: They won the game outright by like twenty points. I think,
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: so that game did. That number did not matter at all. Memphis.
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: Good call by me on that one. So hopefully we
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: can continue. We'll move on to today. Today is a
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: more packed board. We're gonna talk about everything that's going
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: on today. There are some big basketball games college basketball.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: I have four plays in college basketball. Three of them
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: are giant underdogs, which I know Jeffrey likes. But those
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: are the games where it's like you're gonna have a
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: team that loses by twenty something and they still cover,
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, if you get the win,
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, although maybe I'm a little
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: bit concerned about it. And then I have one big
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: favorite as well in college of basketball. Then I will
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: have two hockey plays, and I have I'll play in
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: the NBA Cup as well in the final, which is
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: the only NBA game today because they get their own
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: spotlight bullshit. And then there is some crappy Bowl that
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: I don't really love, which we'll talk about as well.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: That is gonna be what's on tap here? Ye free,
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. So, so, did I
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: know they did not cover? I had the Cardinals? Oh wait, no,
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: you're right, they cover? Yeah, yeah, they covered. They they
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: lost the game outright, But yeah they covered. Yeah, yeah, yeah,
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: I had the Cardinals that night as well. Uh, I
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: think there were like ten and a half point underdogs
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: at home and they're winning the game outright by three scores. Probably, Yeah,
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: they only lost by like three points, I think. But yes, correct,
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: they did cover. Yes, my mind is is kind of
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: elsewhere here. I'm trying to fix my camera here as well. Correct,
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: they covered, and they lost the game out right, Yes,
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: they could have had the win, mister Pinsey, what's up?
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. But yeah, that was a situation.
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: The Bears game against the Cardinals. That was a Bears
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: team that was all defense. You like you think Rex
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: Grossman is gonna go on the road in a primetime game,
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: and a game that doesn't really matter to them that
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: much and cover a double digit spread. No, that wasn't
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: gonna happen. Rockets are bullshit. Yeah, they're winning the game
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: by one right at the end. Yeah, I did not
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: see that call a trip on the in Moount. Come on,
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: and the guy, the Nuggets player tripped over his own feet.
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: But they gave the Nuggets the free throws anyway, that
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: is bullshit? So you want me to get mad about it.
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: I didn't see it. This is why I don't watch
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: it just you know, I basically just make the play,
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: let the chips fall, and then just don't even pay attention,
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Makes me less angry. Now
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: I'm more angry. So thank you for that. Correct That
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: was some Yeah, the Monday Night Dog, I think it
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: was Monday Night a classic, one of the classic dogs.
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: Back then, you got more value on the Monday Night
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: Dogs though you had the Ducks, Anaheim Ducks and Wafford. Yeah,
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: we'll talk about the Ducks in a little bit. I
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: didn't see what happened with Wafford. I don't know. I
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: had no opinion on that one. Rangers had an own goal.
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: I think the only team that I know of that
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: did that this year besides that was the Sharks. So
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: way to go for the Rangers. There's such an awesome
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: home team. Man Rockets coach was mad at the other refs.
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: Yet the Rockets coach is former Boston Celtics coach Ime Udoka.
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: Celtics fired him before having an affair, and it wasn't
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: even like the Charad Moore situation. I don't think. Well,
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: maybe it was was it was it internal, I don't know,
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: I forget, but the Celtics fired him for having an
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: affair and he didn't break into anybody's house, so I
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: don't know. I mean, I didn't like that at first
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: because I liked Udoka. I thought I wanted him to
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: stay with the Celtics. But I do like Missoula too,
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: But I like Udoka makes me kind of root for
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: the Rockets a little bit. Yeah, the refs should be
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: fired if that's what they did. Yeah, fuck them. The
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: Blues wasn't even Bennington in that last night and it
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: didn't even matter. The Blues goaltending is absolute trash. Yeah,
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: that game went over. Uh, the the other the game
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: that I said was more likely to go under, did
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: go under. By the way the Dallas Stars game. I
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: think there was an empty net in that one too,
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: and it still stayed under. So I don't know. I mean,
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: I think my gauge is all right. And I said
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: over in the Florida Tampa game and that was correct
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: as well. Maybe I should just pet Totals Michigan coach. Yeah,
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: he was like harassing her or something out of it.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: I thought I thought it was an actual relationship. I
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: have no idea. Whatever we got to get into today. Man, Garrett,
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: what's up? Man? Thanks for hanging out. You're like unc tonight.
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about that game. It's a game that
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: isn't really on my radar. Now. I apologize because I
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: also have not added any of these hold on, I
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: gotta add these these banners here, man, I forgot to
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: do it. And stupid, you know stream yard as I
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: keep saying, they they make the banner's default of having
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: a timer on them. Now, I hate this. So I'm
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: trying to put all the the plays in right now,
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: and I have seven plays today, so bear with me
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: for a second while I do this. I should have
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: done this before I was making the graphic, and then
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: I forgot to do this. I have a lot to do, man,
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: I'm a one man show here. Got to hire a
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: producer or something. I'm putting in all my basketball plays
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: right now at least and then and I gotta edit
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: the timers on these now, Oh my god, stream Yard,
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: I mean, you could make this easier for us, you bastards.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: All right, and then I'm gonna put just the college
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: basketball ones in for now, and then I can get
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: the other ones up on the fly. Probably what is
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: this last play? I don't even remember what I have
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: for my place here? Alright, I see it, I see it,
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: I see it. All right, there we go. Okay, yeah, well,
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: hold on, noe one second. Stupid, stupid, stupid, all right,
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: I got it, all right, let's get into college basketball here. Okay,
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: let's do it college basketball. We do have one early
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: game today which I do not have any real opinion on,
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: which is Howard and Drexel in Philadelphia at eleven am.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: Nobody's gonna watch this game. Howard is coming off playing
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: against Hampton, I believe, yeah, in a I believe it
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: was a It was in d C. But I thought
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: it was a neutral site game. Even though Howard is
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: in DC. I don't know Howard got that win there.
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's not a very impressive win. Both of
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: those teams suck. Drexel is not good either, although Drexel
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: is coming off kind of a bigger game against the
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia rival LaSalle and they fell just short of LaSalle,
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: losing by five. I'm presuming actually maybe Lasal was not
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: favorite in this game. Let me see, No, Drexel was
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: actually a small favorite in this game, so they lost
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: as a favorite sometimes seems will bounce back from that,
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: but I don't know. My first instinct on this was
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: to look towards Howard plus the points. Here, Drexels up
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: from six to six and a half, fifty four percent
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: of the tickets on them, but they are still coming
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: off that Philadelphia game. Howard has fifty four percent of
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: the cash low total down to one hundred and thirty
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: five and a half, So taking the points kind of
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: makes more sense in a game like this. So Howard
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: seems to be the side in that one. But I
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: don't really have much of an opinion at all. Obviously,
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: next game up is already a best bet, so how
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: about that. Let's do it all right, we're getting into
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: the giant underdogs. We're gonna take lipscum plus thirty three
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: and a half. We're gonna get scum on our lips here.
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be super gay here. We're gonna fade Duke
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: in Cameron indoor. But there's a reason for this, you know,
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: there's a method to my madness. Here. We're gonna take
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: the huge dog here, lipsm I mean, they're coming up
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: of an easy win over Alabama. A and M are
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: guys who won for us last night? Not really an
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: impressive win. I mean, normally I would say, yeah, a
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: team might feel pretty high on themselves after a ninety
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: two to fifty eight win, but against a bad team
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: like that. And now Lipscomb gets one of their biggest
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: games of the season, probably the biggest game they have
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: all season. They get to play Duke. They're gonna show up. Man,
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: it's just a matter of will do completely overpower them
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: to the extent that Duke will cover a massive number.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna say that they won't. I mean, it's all
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: about motivation. Lipscomb, I think will show up because they
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: get to play one of the big boys, one of
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: the best teams in college basketball. They'll get up for it.
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: I don't think they'll be intimidated because they didn't have
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: to play on the road like at Vandy earlier this year,
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: so they're not totally unbattle tested. I know they got
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: absolutely wiped out in that game, But Duke is a
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: different style. Duke plays slow, so that's another thing. Like Duke,
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: the style of play, like the pace that they run
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: is not very conducive to winning by huge margins like this,
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: even though of course they do against some of the
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: bad teams. But Lipscomb isn't really that bad either, Like
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: Ken Bames, Lipscomb almost in the top half of Division one,
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: so they're not like a total dormat or anything. They're
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: not a horrible team, So I think they'll be game
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: for it. Man, and for Duke. This is a bad
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: spot for Duke. I mean, that's obviously that's the other
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: thing I'm doing here. This is a huge sandwich spot.
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is the obvious flat spot in Duke's
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: schedule here where Duke is coming off beating Arkansas, Florida
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: in Michigan State, who was in the top ten huge
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: wins in all three of those. They're coming off all
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: that and now they get this weak Lipscomb team at home,
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: and up next in four days, Duke's gotta play Texas Tech.
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: And then Duke starts ACC play against Georgia tack Or
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: though Jergia Tech's is not that good, but still ACC play.
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: So this is literally the only game against a non
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: power conference team that Duke has actually, I think for
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: the entire remainder of the season. So this is the
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: down spot in the schedule. That's all there is to it.
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take Lipscumb plus the points in that one man.
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: I think again, a lot of it is about Duke
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: just not having that much, like enough motivation to win
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: by this amount. They play at a slow pace. Thirty
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: two points is the line right now. It's gone down
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: actually from thirty three and a half. Hopefully there's not
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: a difference between thirty two and thirty three and a half.
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: When you're getting into numbers that are that sky high,
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: it's like it doesn't matter that much. Like if you
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: look at Ken Palm and stuff like that, Duke, because
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: they're Duke, the oddsmakers have to throw extra points on Duke,
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, Like you're almost always gonna
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: get line value fading a team like Duke. So like
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: the line in this game probably should actually be about
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: twenty eight or so, so you're definitely getting a little
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: bit of live value taking lipscumb I know it's a
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: total that's not as low as I would like one
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: hundred and fifty four, but the fact that the total
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: is going up is interesting because Lipscomb is the team
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: that likes to play fast star, so maybe that means
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: Lipscomb will actually like kind of speed up the pace
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: a little bit and try to throw Duke out of
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: the style that they want to go. I mean, I
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: don't expect that really though. Obviously the better team at
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: home is going to control the pace for the most part.
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: But again we're okay with that because it means it's
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: gonna be a slow games. So Lipscomb is the play
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: in that one, which Garrett probably likes. Likes that as
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: a tar Heel fan. People are getting run over around Drexel.
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: What do you mean? What? What the hell? DUCA is
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: smashing teams. Yeah, but they don't have an incentive to
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: do it here. Okay, what else are gonna talk I
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: was gonna talk about, Yeah, U mass loll against Sacred Heart,
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: Sacred Hat kid, I do not like U mass loll
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: in this game. You mess Loll just basically took Quinnipiac
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: to the brink. That was a big game for both teams.
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: Well a big game. Excuse me, that was a big
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: game for Lowell. Excuse me. Quinnipiac is the better team.
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: They're a big favorite at home in that game, probably
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: somewhere close to a double digit favorite. And you know,
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: I talk about this when a team is like a
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: double digit dog like that and they come close to
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: pulling off the outright upset, I think they come up
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: flat more often than not in the next game. And
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: after this they have to play a bigger brother to
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: them in Massachusetts, which is Boston University, even though they're
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: not that good, and then they have Iowa after that.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: So this looks like a flat spot to me for
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: UMass Lowell. This is not on my card. But I
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: would take Sacred Heart plus the points Sacred Heart with
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: a little bit of momentum coming off a win over
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: Njit who suck. I don't remember do we have that as?
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: Was that a winner on the show? I don't remember.
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: Maybe it wasn't. We had Sacred Heart in one of
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: these games. I don't know. It might have been the
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: Mount Saint Mary's one. I forget. We did get a
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: win on them at one point this season though, not
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: gonna play it, but I would take the points with
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: Sacred Heart in this one. Actually, sorry, lay the points.
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: That's even crazier. They're up from one to three as
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: a favorite on the road at U mass Lol. That's
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: how bad U Mass Lol is this year. They're actually
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: a home dog to Sacred Heart, and Sacred Heart is
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: not good. So yeah, my apologies. I would lay the
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: points with Sacred Heart. But obviously a one is a
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: lot better than a three, so you're already losing line
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: value on that. I mean again, these basketball these lines
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: move so quickly, man, and the bowl games, which we'll
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: talk about later, the Bulls move like out of control.
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: Toledo is at Michigan State, number nine in the country.
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: Michigan State, I know, Duke by the way, number three
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: in the country. Probably they are indeed like a top
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: five team Michigan State. I don't know, we're just kempom
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: at Michigan State. He has them outside the top ten,
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: but not by much. Michigan State coming up beating Penn State,
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: but that was one of our winners on Saturday. Michigan
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: State almost lost that game as a big favorite, So
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: you could argue that Michigan State will actually show lot
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: more focused here and bounce back from that game, whereas
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: they're going up against Toledo, which I believe our friend
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: SOB had Toledo in this game against Robert Morris. Toledo
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: was winning that game by like almost twenty points at halftime,
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: They were winning by more than twenty early in the game,
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: and they wound up losing the game. So I don't know, man,
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: I mean, is Toledo gonna be in some sort of
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: like hangover spot if they blew a giant lead like that,
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: or is the argument, well, Toledo is actually way better
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: in that game than what the final score would tell you.
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: I don't know, because they had a terrible second half.
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: I could see this game going either way. Michigan State.
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: You could argue, well, they're off another big ten win,
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: maybe they won't pay attention here. But on the other hand,
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: maybe Michigan State bounces back because they didn't play well.
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: The market red looks like it's saying to take the
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: points with Toledo in this one Michigan State sixty seven
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets and only fifty three percent of the cash.
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: The one thing that you do know is that Toledo
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: should at least be motivated because they're getting to play one
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: of the big boys. So I guess I won't really
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: disagree with that, but that is a difficult read for me. Sob,
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: you're on Bowling Green. You have a better number than
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: than I have on it. Oh, somebody was on Toledo.
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: I don't know, somebody in the chat. I apologize, Sob.
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: I thought it was you because you bet all these
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: like these like games that are just you know, under
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: the raid. Are Bowl games very difficult to bet. You
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: got to get on some of them early. I do.
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: I usually tend to do pretty well in the bulls,
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: But now that it's we're in the new nil situation
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: and stuff, I don't love what's going on. I still
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: am probably gonna give out a play for tomorrow's Bowl game,
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: but I mean, you're not gonna get the number where
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: it was when it was at its best. Let's just
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: say that. Sacred Heart. They're like, they're a Christian school.
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know. It's something to do with the church.
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know exactly what it is
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: you play obscure games. Yes, mister Pinsey, that was you. Okay,
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: my apologies. Yeah, yeah, I didn't really have a read
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: on that one. That was very I would be really
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: really angry about that. I would be ripping my hair
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: out if I had played that game. You know, these
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: losses stay with me. They fester, Jerry, They definitely fester,
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: all right. First big game up is ESPN at seven pm,
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: number eleven, Louisville, number twenty Tennessee. The first thing you're
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: gonna notice about this game is this is one of
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: those games where the lower ranked team is favored. So
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you there's something maybe slightly off
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: about these rankings. Now they are still telling you Louisville
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: is the better team, but Tennessee is favored because they
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: are at home. But they flip from a one point
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: dog to a two point favored here, so the market
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: is kind of telling you there's not that much of
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: a gap between these two teams. Fifty nine percent of
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: the tickets, eighty one percent of the cash coming in
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: on Tennessee. Just that alone is gonna have me looking
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: towards the Tennessee side here. It's not one of my plays,
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: but I will agree with the Tennessee side here. This
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: is also gonna be a game that's a big time
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: contrasted styles where Louisville, I mean, this is one of
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: the typical style contrasts you'll see. Louisville likes to play
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: fast and they play offense, and they're not as good
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: on defense. Tennessee is the opposite. Tennessee plays slow and
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: off They're better defensively than offensively, and I tend to
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: like the better defense, especially when it's basically gonna pick
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: the winner price range. So that's another sort of indicator
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: for me on the Tennessee side, and this one as
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: far as the spot, I mean, both teams are gonna
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: show up. Louisville's coming up beating Memphis. I mean, I
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: know Memphis has a decent name around them, but they're
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: not gonna be in a letdown spot or anything like that.
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: Off of that, Louisville is own one on the road,
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: by the way, although I mean it's a single game
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: sample size. Their only loss was at Arkansas, but Tennessee
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: I believe is better than Arkansas. Tennessee is five to
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: zero at home. Right now, Tennessee is coming off some
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: difficult games. I mean, Tennessee lost each of their last
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: three games. Now, they lost to Kansas. That was a
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: win for us on the show, because I thought Tennessee
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: was gonna be hungover after that huge win over Houston
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: that was in Las Vegas. They took the loss. Then
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: I thought they would be in a bad spot again,
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: and I gave you guys Syracuse on the show at Syracuse,
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: and Tennessee lost that game as well. They did not
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: bounce back after that, however, and they lost fairly badly
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: against Illinois and what was some neutral site game. I
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: forget where that game was. But now Tennessee's back at home, man,
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: where they've been better, true home game. They're gonna show
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: up for it. The public is so recncy biased, they seem,
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, they see Louisville winning all these games in
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: a row, Tennessee losing these games, you know, a bunch
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: of games in a row. The public is only gonna
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: pretty much be on the Louisville side, I would guess,
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: getting points especially, and again I'm gonna disagree with that.
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna fade the recency bias because it means that
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: you're getting like more market value on the team like
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: Tennessee that's been losing recently. So that's what we're gonna do.
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: I mean, we're not gonna do it, but that would
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: be my opinion in that game is to take Tennessee.
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: You're on Queen's Queen's royal. Is that obscure? I don't know.
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: Sacred Heart, Yeah, little soccer recur. I've been to the
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: soccer ocurr in montmat in uh in Paris. I've been
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: there to the to the real Sacred hearsh in Paris. Man,
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: Tennessee doesn't need to win, although I don't like playing,
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: you know, on teams that need it. But yeah, I
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: mean middle of the season like this, I mean you're
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: probably gonna see them be maybe slightly more motivated. Yeah,
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: Tennessee with three straight losses, Zach, what's up? Man? Thanks
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: for hanging out? All right, Thanks for hanging out, guys.
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: This is gonna take longer because I'm interacting with everybody
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: in the chat. I hope my voice holds up. I
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: might have to like take a break after college basketball
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: and then come back and do the rest. De Paul
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: is at Saint John's as we have Big East play
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: beginning here. These teams have not played a conference game yet.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: Saint John's twenty second in the country as far as
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: with the rankings makers are telling you. This is on
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: Peacock at seven pm. Peacock getting a lot of a
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: lot of stuff on their network. Now. Saint John's is
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: coming off smacking Iona. Iona is like a little brother
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: to them in the New York City area. I don't
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: know if they're gonna be overconfident after that. I mean,
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: they are playing what is now their home opener in
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: the Big East. But they do play Kentucky next in
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: four days, and maybe that game is a little bit
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: bigger because De Paul, I mean, they are still a
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: dormat even though it is a Big East team. If
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: you're gonna like overlook a Big East team, it's probably
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: gonna be De Paul. You know, even though DePaul is
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: eight and three, they haven't had an impressive resume, and
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: DePaul is coming off what is probably their best win
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: of the season, which was a road win at Wichita State,
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: Whichita State is actually not that bad, and De Paul
• 25:09
  Speaker 1: was a fairly big underdog in that game, and they
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: pulled off that upset there. So I don't know, man,
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: I mean, De Paul will be like, they'll show up
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: in this game for sure, but coming off an upset
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: like that, I kind of worry about it. So I
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: could see reasons to fade both teams in this game.
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: So I worry about it. The money is coming in
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: on the Saint John's side, seventy one percent of tickets,
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: eighty seven percent of the cash on Saint John's. They're
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: up from eighteen to nineteen and a half. So the
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: money is saying Saint John's in this one. Yeah, inside
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: I want to kill myself maybe, I guess, you know,
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: because normally my reaction is, well, DePaul is coming off
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: that upset, I would probably slightly agree with Saint John's,
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: but I don't know. I have some worries about it
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: as well as I already mentioned, but also Saint John's
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: laying points like that. Yes, Saint John's does play fast,
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: but they're not a team that's an offensive powerhouse. Man.
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: They're a weird style combination. Where As I always mentioned,
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: they're like the the poster child for this weird style
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: combination where they play really fast, but they're better defensively
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: than offensively, it's very strange, which is why the total
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: is pretty low as well. So slightly with the market
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: on Saint John's in that one. But you know, not
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion for me at all though, Garrett, thank you,
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: thank you, sir. I appreciate it. I'm mostly mostly I'm
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: just autistic man, and my shows are one to two
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: hours every single day pretty much. All right, what other
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: games am I going to talk about here? I'm skipping
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: some of these games where I was just like, you know,
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohigh and Wright State is a really interesting one
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: where you look at this game. Miami Ohio is ten
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: and ozer to start the season and undefeated on the road,
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: and Right State is five and six, except Miami Ohio
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: is only a one and a half favorite. Here. It's like,
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: what's going on? It looks dude, it looks so easy
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: to play Miami Ohio, right like, like what the books, Oh,
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: they're just throwing money away, right Like? How you see
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: a game that's picked the winner like this, How could
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: you not take Miami Ohio ten and zero. Well, I'll
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: show you right now why you don't want to do that.
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio has had one of the weakest schedules that
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: I've ever seen, man, I mean, what is their best
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: win on the season. I don't know. I mean they've
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: played an unbelievably weak schedule. Their road games have been
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: against air Force unc Asheville, who is way down this
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: year in Eastern Kentucky. None of those wins are impressive
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: at all. Uh Again, I can't even tell you which
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: opponent is the best opponent they've beaten, like, I mean,
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: it might be Old Dominion, to be honest. So that
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: was a home game, I think, or maybe a neutral game,
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: and Old Dominions down this year too. So I don't
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: know this Miami Ohio team. While I do think they
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: might be one of the better teams in the MAX.
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: Still they're nowhere near as good as this record looks.
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: They're having to play the Right State team that I
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: think is gonna be up for this because Right State
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: is also in Ohio, and Miami, Ohio tends to make
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: more noise in college basketball than Right State does. The
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: Right State probably considers themselves to be a little brother
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: in the state of Ohio, and Right State has faced
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: a more difficult schedule here, man. I mean, they played
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: Cal they actually only lost my ten to cal on
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: the road. They played Kent State, who's probably the best
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: team in the MAC. They played Butler on the road,
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: although they got smoked, but still Butler's way better than
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: all of Miami Ohio's opponents. I mean, they have Toledo
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: in there. Youngstown not really that bad. Marshall's not that
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: bad either, so Wright State is definitely facing the more
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule. My worry is that they are coming off
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: that game against Marshall where Wright State I believe was
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: an underdog in that game, and they came pretty close
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: to winning that game at Marshall, So you know, I
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: have some concerns, although I think they will show up.
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna play this game, I would have
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: to play Right State in this game. The money see
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: to agree with that. You might actually want to, well,
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: you will probably wind up getting them as an underdog
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: in that game. Eighty percent of the tickets in ninety
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash on Right State, so the
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: money seems to agree with that. That's one of those
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: ones where I like those early season you know, where
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: the records don't really tell you how good each team is,
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, Like the oddsmakers are still
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: telling you Miami Ohio is the better team, but not
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: by that much. So yeah, that's a game where I
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: would I would go with Right State in that one.
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: All right, next up, the next best bet here, I'm
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: gonna show the graphic every time. Why not? SOB and
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: I are sharing a brain, I think because we're on
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: Bowling Green as well, though, I think the best you
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: can get is twenty one and a half. Hopefully it's
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: not gonna matter that much between nineteen and a half
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: and twenty one and a half. Hopefully there's some buy
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: back on this or something so you get a better number.
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know if there will be. It's all the
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: way up to twenty two, and I know I'm laying
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: a lot of points in the game with the lowest
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: total out of all the games I'm playing at one
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: hundred and forty seven and a half. But part of
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: the reason the total is that low is because Chicago
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: State is an abysmal offensive team. So that is part
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: of the reason why Bowling Green actually likes to play
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: somewhat faster. Chicago State likes to play slow, so I
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: think if Bowling Green pushes the tempo just a little
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: bit in this game. They in my opinion, they should
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: run away with this game. Bowling Green did get a
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: win for us not that long ago as a fairly
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: sizable favorite as well, So they're on my good side
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: right now and hopefully they stay that way. Uh Chicago State,
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, not only are they a terrible team, but
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: they're in an awful spot. They just pulled off an
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: upset over there in city big brother in Loyola Chicago.
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: I know, Loyola Chicago. The record is horrible this year.
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: They're not as good as what we thought they were
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: gonna be, but they're better than Chicago State. Man, there's
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: still a big brother to them in Chicago. This is
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: a major, major win for Chicago State. Chicago State stepped
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: up for this game, and this is really what Chicago
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: State does. Like if you follow them, they usually play
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: like above their level against these like Chicago area schools.
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: Like a lot of times they put in like a
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: really good performance against like Northwestern Illinois Chicago, which I
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: think they did again this year or something like that.
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: But once they're finished with those games, it's like they
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: have nothing left. I don't have the odds in front
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: of me right now because ESPN doesn't give them to
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: me anymore on the page because they got rid of
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: ESPN BET so they should track the DraftKings history. Man.
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: But Chicago State was a huge underdog in this game, guaranteed.
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: I think loyal Chicago's probably a double digit favorite, and
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: Chicago State won the game outright. Now they're going to
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: Bowling Green for another road game. Which are they really
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: gonna get up for Bowling Green? I don't know, man,
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: even though Bowling Green does have a fairly good record here.
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: But after that, Chicago State is Indiana after this, so
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: they might even be looking ahead to that because that's
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: gonna be the remaining like big big conference team that
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: they play all season. That's like their biggest remaining game
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: against Indiana. Not that they are expected to even be
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: close in that game, but still, you have Indiana next,
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: you might start looking ahead to that game, you know.
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: So this is basically a sandwich spot Bowling Green four
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: or two at home. By the way, Chicago State's one
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: and eight on the road Bowling Green. I know, they
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: just put up one hundred and thirty one against Aquinas.
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: Whoever the hell this is, whatever, it's it's a the
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: Aquinas Saints Saint Thomas Aquinas. I don't know a Bowling
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: Green beat that team by eighty one points, and I
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: know you Usually I'm not gonna want to play on
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: a team that just won by eighty one points, but
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: in this case, I think it's warrant. And I mean,
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: I think that was just kind of a bounce back,
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: tune up situation for Bowling Green here, So I expect
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: them to show up and just win this game as
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: a significantly better team. Yes, I know they do have
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: Ohio up next, which debatably that's a bigger game because
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: Ohio is in the same conference, it's in the MAC.
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: But Ohio was only four and six, so I don't
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: really see that being that big of a look ahead there.
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: So we're gonna go with it. Bowling Green. Man Bowling
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: Green decent track record this season, and they have a
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: win over Kansas State on the road, so they've they've
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: shown the ability to play well this year. Just based
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: on that alone. We did have them. What was the
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: game where we had them winning? Was it the VMI game?
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: I think it was Bowling Green put in a good
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: performance for us in that game. I think it was
• 33:29
  Speaker 1: that game. And then they did have a recent loss
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: to Utah Valley. Utah Valley is pretty solid though, so yeah,
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't think I have much else
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: to say about that. But it's one of those spots
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: where Chicago State's just in an awful spot and they're
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: horrible teams. So we are gonna lay it with Bowling
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: Green in that one. And that's, you know, one of
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: those games. The public they have other things to do today.
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: They're not going to really be playing that game at all.
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: We have Florida State and Dayton on CBS Sports. A
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: lot of big games today. Man, this maybe not as
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: big Florida State. I mean, you gotta think they're pretty
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: embarrassed though. They just lost against you Mass. I mean,
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: that's an ugly loss. Year. This is in the Orange
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: Bowl Classic, which I assume was like close to Miami,
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: but it was a game in Florida and Florida. Florida
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: State lost this game ugly. U Mass shot like out
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: of their minds in this game. Fifty five percent for three,
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: fifty four percent from the field. That's not gonna happen again.
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: So kind of an outlier. Florida State was coming off
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: a run of Texas A and m. Georgia and Houston,
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: so they were kind of in a flat spot there,
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: it looks like, so I think they're gonna bounce back
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: in this one playing Dayton. They do only have one
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: other true road game this year, though, but they did
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: step up well. They played to within two points of
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: their in state rival Florida back then, so they are
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: at least road tested to that extent as far as
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: Dayton is concerned, though. Dayton six and zero at home,
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: and Dayton's coming up an easy bounce back win over
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: North Florida, so they're gonna show up. I mean, they're
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: not gonna overlook Florida State, so I think both teams
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: show up. Focus here. The money is saying Florida State,
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: though Dayton's up to a six point favorite, seventy seven
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on them, sixty six percent of the
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: cash coming back into Florida State, while we see the
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: percentage of shifting, but the market is still saying Florida
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: State here. It's interesting that the total is high because
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: Dayton likes to play slow, so if the total is
• 35:25
  Speaker 1: this high, the odds makers are almost like indicating that
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: Florida State's gonna be able to speed this game up
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: to some extent, which I would agree. And now you're
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: getting seven. It looks like on the Florida State side
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: here plus seven, I probably would agree with Florida State's
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: coming up with the more embarrassing performance Dayton. The style
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: that they play, even though they're called the Flyers, they
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: play slow. They're not really built to cover a huge
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: number like that. Well it's not a huge number, but
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: like they're not a good like big favorite, you know
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: what I mean, because they just don't play that style. Uh.
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: South Carolina and Clemson big rivalry game here which I
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: mentioned this on Saturday, we faded Clemson and Mercer gave
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: them pretty much all they could handle. We got a
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: nice easy cover on Mercer. Mercer came to within seven
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: points of Clemson in that game. Part of that handicap
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: was Clemson was gonna be looking ahead to this one.
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: Now both teams are gonna show up for this. South
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: Carolina seems to be kind of on the upswing and
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: maybe they're a little bit under the radar even though
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: they're an SEC team. They've been the bottom of the SEC.
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: You know, they haven't been good for a while. But
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: they look like maybe they're improving this year. They're coming
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: up an easy win over Citadel I mean they didn't cover.
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: I assume they were looking ahead to this game too,
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: but they were not overworked in those games. Let's say
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: Clemson neither were they. I mean, well, Clemson, they had
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: some work in the previous two games against Alabama and BYU.
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: Those were tough games, which is why I faded them
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: against Mercer. Mercer obviously got us the money in that one,
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: covering easily. Now I expect Clemson to show up here
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: as well. But both of these teams are coming off
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: games where they didn't play, you know, up to their level,
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: you know, and this is a game where Clemson is
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: going to be favored. Clemson is the team that everybody
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: remembers being the better team recently, because Clemson made the
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: tournament the last two years. Clemson, I think also, didn't
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: they beat Duke last year at one point two during
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: the regular season. I believe they did, so people, just
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: you know, the public, basically the recreational guys, they think
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: of Clemson as the better team right now because that's
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: what they've seen recently. So maybe South Carolina is kind
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: of the under the radar commodity in this one the
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: undervalued commodity. Let's say Clemson is a big favorite, like
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: the odsbigers are still telling you that they're the better team.
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: They're twelve and a half point favorite, down from thirteen,
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: although it looks like they are an anti public favorite.
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: So maybe my gauge on where the public is going
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: to be is wrong because I was actually kind of
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: expecting this game to be this line to be lower
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: than it is, so it's kind of interesting. I don't
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: like this game, but seventy one percent of tickets fit
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on South Carolina, So maybe
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: I'm wrong and the public is just saying, oh, well,
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: this is a rivalry game. Take the points. So the
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: market read is saying to lay it with Clemson, but
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: I would not want to do that. I mean, it's
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: the totals at one hundred and thirty nine one hundred
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: and thirty nine and a half, that's a low total.
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: Clemson likes to play slow, so they're not really built
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: to cover numbers like this, so I don't really love that.
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, I still kind of lean towards South Carolina
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: in that game plus the points, but I don't really
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: want to fade a market read like that either, and
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: I don't really have a strong situational angle to lean
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: on in that game. All right, I'm pretty much just
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: talking about like the big the big teams here. I'll
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: talk about North Carolina because they are ranked. I'll talk
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: about them for for our new subscriber here, Garrett, Thank you, sir.
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: North Carolina's ranked twelfth in the country. They're facing East
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: Tennessee State now East Tennessee State. They're they're pretty good
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: this year, man, Like they're gonna be one of the
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: teams in the mix to win their conference this year,
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: the SOACN, which they usually are in the mix in
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: that conference. They're coming up a somewhat ugly loss. I
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: would say to Austin P. Although Austin P is better
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: than the record looks, as we know because I've given
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: out Austin P. I think at least twice this year
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: is a play and I forget if they won both.
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: They definitely won at least once for US, So Austin
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: P is not bad. They're better than the record looks.
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: They beat East Tennessee East Tennessee. I mean you could
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: argue maybe they were looking ahead here, man. I think
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: Austin P maybe consider themselves to be the little brother
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: to Tennessee because they're both Tennessee schools. So Austin P
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: was probably the slightly more motivated team in that one.
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: East Tennessee I think might have been looking ahead a
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: little bit to North Carolina. I think they're gonna show
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: up in this game. For North Carolina, I know they're
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: undefeated at home, they're good at home. They don't really
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: have I mean, well North Carolina. I mean they're coming
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: up an easy win over USC Upstate, South Carolina, Upstate, whatever,
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: But there is the potential look ahead here where they
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: do have Ohio State coming up. That's still that's a
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: Big ten team, you know. I mean they're not the
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: greatest team. Ohio State's probably going to be one of
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: those teams. It's like a tournament bubble team this year,
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: trying to make the tournament. That's probably about where they are,
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: but it still might be a look ahead for North
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: Carolina here. So not a strong opinion, but I would
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: lean slightly towards taking the points with East Tennessee and
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: this one. The line is not that high either, so
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: you know the public is going to be coming in
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: on North Carolina in this one, if they play it
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: ninety three percent of the tickets ninety seven percent of
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: the cash. That sixteen actually doesn't look that high, but
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: it's the oddsmaker's giving respect to East Tennessee, and I
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: think it is worthy. They are worthy of it. I mean,
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: they're They're definitely a decent team, man, So I would
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: probably lean towards taking the points in that one. Even
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: the North Carolina does tend to play on the faster side,
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: total is not that high at one hundred and fifty,
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. That's just a little bit of
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: information on that. Next game up is going to be
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: one of my plays. We're on North than Colorado plus
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: twenty four and a half against Texas Tech. Now Texas Tech,
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: they do play slow. They play on the slower side,
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: so that's one of the things that I look for.
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: We have faded them as a big favorite this year before.
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: I believe with success if I'm not mistaken, because again,
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: these slow teams, if they're in a game where they
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: just aren't that motivated, you know, to cover this thing,
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna get over that number, you know what
• 41:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, playing the slow pace like they can get
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: in and get out and win this game by you know,
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: nineteen whatever points, Like this line is too high as well,
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: like if you look at like Ken Palm. Of course, again,
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: like I said with that other game with Duke, the
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers have to skew the line because they have to
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: try to split the action and they know that the
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: action is gonna be on the Texas Tech side, so
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: they have to overvalue Texas Tech in the market a
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: little bit, so inherently you're gonna get a little bit
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: of market value on it. Like I think the line
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: should probably be about twenty or nineteen in this game,
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: which I think is basically probably around what Ken Bomb
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: is telling you. Northern Colorado, they are not a bad team.
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be in the mix to win the Big
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: Sky this year. They're off to a nine in one start.
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: I know they haven't really been that battle tested, like
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: their best games are, Like the best team they played
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: was probably Saint Thomas and they did lose that game.
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: So yes, I know they're not battle tested, but they're
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: gonna step up for this game, man, And at least
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: they do have a couple of road wins in here.
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: So they've gone to the Pacific Coast, beating Pepperdine, they
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: beat air Force all the air Force sucks, they beat Omaha.
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: Omaha kind of rose up last year and they were
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: actually a pretty good team in the Summit. So Northern Colorado,
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't really see them being intimidated by
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: this at least, and they're coming off a pretty bad performance. Man.
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: I think they were looking ahead to this Texas Tech
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: game because Northern Colorado almost lost to celt Dakota and
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: this was in Northern Colorado. Northern Colorado was a big
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: favorite in this game. I don't know exactly what the
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: number was here. They're probably about a seven to eight
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: point favorite in this game, I would guess, and they
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: almost lost the game out right. And you know, I
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: talk about this. When a team is a big favorite
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: like that and they almost lose out right, I like
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: to jump on them in the next game. And part
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: of the reason why they almost lost was they lost
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: the turnover battle and then they only lost it by one.
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: But they also had a terrible free throw shooting game.
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: So like I'm looking at this box score, it's like, oh, well,
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado shot really well in the game, fifty nine
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: percent from the field, forty five percent from three. Yeah,
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: so it's not a good sign that they did that
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: and they almost lost the game. Yes, I know they
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: lost the rebounding battle. They're probably not gonna win the
• 43:29
  Speaker 1: rebounding battle against Texas Tech either. But one of the
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: major outliers in this game, again you got to dig
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: into the box score for it, it was the free throws.
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: Northern Colorado fourteen for twenty five from the free throw line.
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: That's pathetic, Like even the worst free throw shooting team
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: doesn't shoot that bad from the line. So that was
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: a bit of an outlier. So I think you're gonna
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: get in some ways a better performance from Northern Colorado here.
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: And again, I like to play teams that weren't very
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: good as a favorite in their previous game, Texas to
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: they just have bigger fish to fry here, man, Texas
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: Tech's coming off some bigger games. They crushed LSU and
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: then they had a close loss to Arkansas where Texas
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: Tech was in that game pretty much wire to wire.
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: It was a big game. They lost by seven. Now
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: they have to turn around and come off of that
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: where to me it looks like a flat spot and
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: to make it worse, in four days they have to
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: play Duke, So we're playing both sides of that equation,
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: the Duke and Texas Tech. Look ahead. We're fading both
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: teams today because of that. That's what we're gonna do.
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: I think it's a sandwich spot. I think Texas Tech again,
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: this game is just surrounded by bigger games for them,
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: whereas for Northern Colorado, this is one of the biggest
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: games on their schedule, so I think they will show up.
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: And that is that I mean in the total, Yeah,
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: it's not exactly low one hundred and fifty four and
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: a half, but I still like it. We're getting additional
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: line value here. It's up to twenty five and a
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: half now, so you can get another point of value
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: fifty three percent of tickets and sixty five percent of
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: the cash on No Co Northern Colorado. Hopefully no Co
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: is not a no go here because we're gonna be
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: on them, plus the points there you go. Mostly simply,
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: it's a sandwich spot for Texas tex That's what we're
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: going with there. You're right rooting for the Heels Go Heels. Yeah,
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: Well for me, I mean, you know, I'm not that
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: much of a fan of the of any of the
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: North Carolina schools necessarily, but I really really despise Duke,
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: so so I'll be with you in the Duke hatred,
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: let's just put it that way. And I was a
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: Michael Jordan fan growing up, so I can't hate the
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: tar Heels that much. You like that fade them both
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: in the same look at yet it sets up a
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: similar spot to go against both teams? So why not?
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: All right? And then we got what of the games
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: that we really even want to talk about here? I
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, So you know, trying to keep this
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: show from going like ridiculously long. I mean, if you
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: want me to talk about a game I haven't talked about,
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: I will. We do have Yukon of Butler Big ten
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: Action continuing on Peacock at eight thirty pm. Man, Yukon
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: number five in the country. This is gonna be kind
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: of a contrast of styles. Yukon likes to play slow,
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: Butler likes to speed it up a bit. Yukon should
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: win the pacing battle and slow it down at home.
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: But Yukon is going to be a favorite here, So
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't really love favorites that are especially
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: ones that are probably gonna be over valued in the market,
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: like Yukon will be here and team. You know, when
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: that team slows the pace down, I don't love that.
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: So just kind of by default, you know, just because
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: I've been doing this for so long, by default, my
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: default reaction is, oh, you want to take Butler in
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: this game. Butler also is a team that's been down
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: the last few years. They missed the tournament the last
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: few years, and they're they're on the rise again. Man,
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: like they might make the tournament this year. They're not
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: that bad for Butler. You know they're going to show
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: up for this game. But they are coming off a
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: Big ten. Excuse me, did I say Big ten, Big East?
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: Why do I keep saying Big ten, Big East? My apologies.
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: Butler is coming off their Big East opener already, and
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: it was a crazy barn burner of a game man
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: one hundred and thirteen to one hundred and ten and
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: double overtime over Providence. That does worry me. The Butler's
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: coming off a double ot game and it was only
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: three days ago, so they might be a little bit
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: tired off of that. Butler, their arena is crazy Dude,
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: which shout out to Hoosiers because uh, Hoosiers was filmed
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: in this arena, Butler's arena. That's like sideways, you know
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: what I mean. For some reason, it's it extends like
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: the wrong way. For whatever reason, you could see it there.
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: It looks like an airplane hangar, dude, the hinkle Field
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: House or whatever it's called. Butler, though, Yeah, that was
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: a big game, man, their big East open or beating
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: Providence at double OT. Now they're gonna go on the road.
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: I do worry about it. There are game on the road.
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: They played close against SMU though, so they did not
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: have a bad performance there in that one, so that's
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: at least something. They're still gonna show up for a
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: game against Yukon though obviously, you know, it's just how
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: much I think and I left in the tank after
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: that DOUBLET game. But on the other hand, it was
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: a bad performance from Butler and away because Butler was
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: a fairly big favorite in this game against Providence. Providence
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: isn't that good this year, and Butler almost lost the
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: game outright, So maybe they were already looking ahead. It's
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: weird to say they might have overlooked their big East opener,
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: but maybe they did because Yukon is on the horizon.
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: Now for Yukon, Yukon is coming off a game where
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: Yukon didn't play that well against Texas that was a
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: winner for us on the show with Texas, plus the
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: points Texas came to within eight. So I think Yukon
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: might actually show up with more intensity in this game
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: as well. Because part of the reason I faded Yukon
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: in that game was the Butler look ahead. I was like, Oh,
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be looking ahead to their big East opener here,
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: and Yukon is coming off the big tournament revenge win
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: over Florida as well, So that was the sandwich spot.
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: So that was me saying that I thought Yukon would
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: show up in this game. I think both teams will
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: show up. This is in Hartford again for Yukon. It's
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: not one of the games in stores Connecticut where Yukon
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: has the most like rabid wild fan base when they're
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: playing on campus at stores, which they're not doing here.
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: But it's still a home game in Hartford, but it's
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: you know, the the lame like rich old money fan
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: base more so. But in this game, all that being said,
• 49:35
  Speaker 1: I think I still probably would lay the points with Yukon,
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: though they're down for sixteen and a half to fifteen,
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the tickets eighty two percent of
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: the cash on Yukon. I just think Butler's in kind
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: of the worst spot man off of playing a double
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: ot game and Yukon staying playing in the same arena
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: they just played in and they didn't play well in
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: their last game, so I kind of think Yukon is
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: the right side in that game, despite the fact that
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: they like to slow it down and whatever. So that's
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: my read on that one. Arizona ranked number one in
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: the country against Abilene Christian. Arizona probably not actually the
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: best team. They're really good, but ken Bum has the
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: fifth behind Michigan and Zaga, Iowa State in duke. But
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: those are those rankings are gonna be moving around a lot. Man, Purdue, Yukon, Houston,
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: all those teams are really in the mix. They're gonna
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: shuffle around a lot. This is a PAC. In contrast,
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: Abileene Christian likes to play slow. Arizona likes to play
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: really fast. I don't love the spot for Arizona because
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: look at what Arizona just did. Man Arizona just won
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: in blowout fashion against both Auburn and Alabama, and that
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: was the game where I believe the game went over
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: the total, right, I leaned over in the Alabama Arizona game,
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: even though I'm not really a totals guy, it was
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: a really really high total and both teams played a
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: lightning pace, so I think that game did go over
• 50:59
  Speaker 1: the total. But Arizona put up ninety six points in
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: the game. It was a huge win for Arizona. Now
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: they're coming up of that and they get Abilene Christian
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: and after this Arizona has somewhat of a bigger game
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: against San Diego State. At least the name San Diego
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: State is big. They still have their same coach there,
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: I think, who's been there for forever. There's still you know,
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: like they're still seeing as like a big like basketball school.
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: So this looks like a sandwich spot to me. I
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: just don't really see Arizona having enough motivation to really
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: go full throttle, full pace in this one. You're getting
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: thirty three and a half points with Alien Christian and
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: the totals low at one hundred and forty four, so
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: that seems to be indicating Arizona is not really going
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: to be trying to push the tempo here, and they're
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: public eighty nine percent of the tickets and ninety percent
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Arizona. I would take the points
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: with Abilene Christian and this one I was gonna play it.
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: This one's on on my card, Abiliene Christian. They're coming
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: off an upset win. So that's part of the reason why,
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: because I do agree it is a sandwich spot that
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: Arizona is in. It's tempting. I mean, I do like
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: Abiallee Christian in this one. But again, Abilee Christian just
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: won against New Mexico State as a home dog, So
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: I don't really love jumping on teams after a win
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: as an upset, you know, an upset win like that.
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: It wasn't a huge upset, but it was still an
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: upset nonetheless, so staying away. But I just see Arizona
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: just wanted to get in and get out of that game.
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: Pacific is gonna be at BYU. I'm talking about all
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: the ranked teams at least here BYU is ranked tenth
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: in the country. BYU just beat Riverside. You see Riverside
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: just an easy blowout win. Even though BYU is coming
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: up that huge comeback against Clemson, BYU still did not
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: suffer a letdown or anything like that. I mean, Riverside
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: is terrible. Though Pacific is actually not that bad this year.
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: They're playing fairly well. Pacific is coming off a bounce
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: back game after Actually Pacific played close at Cal in
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: the prior games, so you would think there would be
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: in a flat spot after that. But they played whoever
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: Suka is Sukka some California Simpson University, California, Yeah, whatever,
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: the RedHawks. Okay, Pacific did not struggle in that game
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: at all. They beat some non D one team there. Whatever.
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: Now they're playing in elevation, but they are still they're
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: used to playing in elevation already because they did play
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: at air Force already, so they did have to go
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: up into elevation. So maybe they won't be that affected
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: by the elevation. To me, I mean, I don't know, man.
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, BYU is probably gonna be the overvalued commodity
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: in this game at least, But they're up from twenty
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: one to twenty four and a half. Here, eighty three
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: on BYU. I mean, the line looks like it is
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: moving on the BYU side. I couldn't really see laying
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: it though. Even though they do play fast, I don't know,
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: the total is not that high, although it's gone up
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: to one point fifty, I don't know. I kind of
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: lean towards Pacific plus the point points in that one,
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: but I don't I don't have a strong opinion at all.
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: And you know, just by default, I like a lot
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: of these underdogs, uh final play for us in college basketball. Here,
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: we're also again on the same page as SOB, and
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: we're playing on the team whose coach follows me on Twitter.
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: Queens of NC North Carolina plus twenty five and a half.
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: That's what we're going with against Arkansas here. Now, Yeah,
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: Arkansas is a team that likes to play fast. I know,
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: Queens I think doesn't exactly play at a slow pace
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: either though, So yeah, it's gonna be a game that
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: has a high total. I get it. I don't like
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: taking points as much in a game of the high total.
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: But and it's really high. But although it's dropped a
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: little bit to one hundred and seventy three, I don't
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: even really disagree with an over in this game necessarily,
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: but I I mean, I think Queens is the right
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: way to play this game though, because Arkansas is I'm
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: gonna show you they're in a bad spot. But when
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: a team like Arkansas is in a spot like this,
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: I just think they don't really have an incentive to
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: push the pace. So I think that's gonna keep the
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: score a little bit lower than maybe what people think.
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: So so I don't know, I mean, I guess I
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: would somewhat maybe disagree with the over just because of that,
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: because I think Arkansas maybe just doesn't really have that
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: much of an incentive to go really like all out,
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: like totally fast here. Arkansas, they're coming out beating Texas Tech. Man,
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: that was a big win. And if that wasn't big enough,
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: they got Houston on deck in four days. That is
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: a That is a monster game, man, That's gonna be
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: a wild like style contrast to you, because Houston likes
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: to play slow, so they're caught in the middle here.
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: This is a sandwich against Queens. I don't think you're
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: gonna get the best performance out of Arkansas here. And
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: I know we did fade Arkansas the previous game against Fresno,
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: and I know we took a loss on that one
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: that was a sandwich spout as well, But you gotta
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: just trust the process, man, Queens, they're not a terrible team.
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, all three of the big underdogs are playing
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: today are all like mid tier teams on ken Bomb basically,
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: so they're not like bottom of the barrel teams. Queen.
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: I know it's bad that they're windless on the road.
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: I get it. Arkansas is undefeated at home, but again,
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: you're asking Arkansas to cover a number here that obviously
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: the numbers too big as well. Like again, if you
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: look at ken Pom, he's probably gonna have this number
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: closer to about twenty twenty one. See, there is definitely
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: some line value built into this because again the oddsmakers
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: just have to skew the number towards Arkansas. For Queens,
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: I know, they're playing a second straight road game that's
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: a step up game for them, but they got pretty
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: embarrassed by Wake Wake beating them one hundred and eleven
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: to seventy three. So even though Queens is playing two
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: step up games in a row, that game was over early,
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, So they again it was
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: a game where you start packing the game in early,
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, the game's over, So I
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: think Queens won't be as fatigued coming into this game
• 56:56
  Speaker 1: as Arkansas. Maybe after their bigger game. I think Queens
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: might have one fewer day off though, but I'm not
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: that worried about that. Queens doesn't have to play Auburn
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: next too, But I mean they're not gonna overlook Arkansas.
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is gonna be one of their biggest
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: games of the season. Queens also won't be intimidated because
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: they've already been on the road. Part of the reason
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: why their road record is bad is because they've played Villanova, Virginia.
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: I mean, those are difficult road games, even the like
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: smaller conference teams they played on the road, Duquane Furman,
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: I mean those are actually pretty good teams as well.
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: So and then of course again Wake Forest they played
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: on the road. And yes, wake Forest is a bigger
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: brother to them in North Carolina, so I expected Queens
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: to be a bit better there. But whatever, maybe I'll
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: DM mother coach and I already forget his name again.
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: But thanksgiving, Ugly sweater guy, I appreciate it. Love that guy.
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: We're gonna root for him tonight. Man with Queens. Let's
• 57:51
  Speaker 1: let's get the cover on that one with queens. Hell yeah,
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: all right, then we do have a ESPN two has
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: Kansas number seventeen in the against thousand at nine pm.
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: These last few games I've talked about are all at
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: nine pm. Most of them are on some network. SEC
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: has the by or yeah, has the SEC has the
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: Arkansas game we just talked about. BYU and Arizona are
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: on ESPN Plus, and Yukon is on Peacock. Yeah, I
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: mean whatever, you'll find them somewhere. Kansas. Now, Kansas is
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: a team that is not really built to cover large
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: numbers because they are a team that focuses on deepfense.
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: They played pretty slow. They're coming up a pretty big
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: win at nc State, even though NC State had dropped
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: from the rankings. That was a big game. And look
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: at Kansas's run of games here. Man. They played against Tennessee,
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: which I think was in that Vegas players at a tournament,
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: beat them, played close against Yukon the next game. Then
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: they beat Missouri in the Basketball Border War beat they
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: blew them out to by twenty, went on the road
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: beat NC State, who's still a pretty solid team, and
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: now after all that, now they get thousand. Doesn't look
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: good for Kansas here to me, man, uh, thousand, they're
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: not a horrible team like I think they're gonna be
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: kind of in the mix to maybe win the Colonial here,
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: although UNC Wilmington is obviously the team to beat in
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: that conference. But thousand's not that bad. They've actually played
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: a fairly difficult schedule. Their losses in here are to
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: Houston James Madison, both of those on the road. You
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: seef on the road, and then you see San Diego,
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: also a pretty good team, So thousand, you know they've
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: had a fairly difficult schedule. They're not gonna be intimidated here.
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: They're pretty battle test and I know they're going into
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: an Allen Field House, but it's just not as big
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: of a game for Kansas, and Kansas again they play slow,
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: So lean to thousand for me in this one, it's
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: a really low total. On one hundred and thirty two
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: and a half. Money has poured in on towsand is
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: Kansas is down from nineteen to fifteen and a half,
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: So if you agree with that, you're losing some value
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: on the number. Unfortunately, sixty percent of the tickets on
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: Kansas seventy two percent of the cash on thousand. I
• 59:59
  Speaker 1: agree with towsand there and then the late night you
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: see San Diego and Loyal and Merrymount is actually gonna
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 1: be a pretty big game, pretty good game. Both of
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: these teams are good. I you see San Diego is
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: still probably the best team in the Big West. They're
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: coming off beating Tulane at home and smacking them, although
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: Tulane is not really that good. Loyal and Marymount has
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 1: been good to start the season as well. They're of
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: two straight losses, though they lost at home as a
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: favorite to Stony Brook somehow, and then they did not
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: bounce back because they lost to Saint Louis team. It's
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: pretty good man. With Robbie Avila there Kareem abdul Jabbari,
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: that Saint Louis team is pretty stacked this year. They're good.
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: They should make the tournament. I'm gonna be mad if
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: they don't make the tournament. Could be a year because
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: they're in the A ten now, could be a year
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: where the eight ten might actually get two teams into
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: the tournament because Saint Louis is actually that good this year.
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: So Loyal and Marymunt did lose to them, and they
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: did get smashed by them, and that was at home,
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: and they're staying at home again here. To me, it
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: looks like I have a bounce back spot for them,
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 1: so I somewhat lead towards Loyol and marry Mount here.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: The public might kind of like, you see San Diego
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: because they made the tournament last year, they kind of
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: know the name now, they were a bit hyped last year.
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: They're not as good as they were last year, though.
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: You see San Diego's up from one and a half
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: to two and a half here as a road favorite.
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: So the oddsmakers are still giving san Diego. You see
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: San Diego, excuse me a lot of respect, not the
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: San Diego Torrero's there. The you see San Diego tritons
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of tickets and ninety three percent of the
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: cash on Loyol and marry Mount though, so Loyal and
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: Marymount is getting the money. I don't disagree on that one.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: All right, let me let me go get I gotta
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: go get some more water. I gotta rest my voice
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: for a second. I'll be back for the rest of
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: the sports, which should not take as long as college
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: basketball usually does. I will be back at a second.
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: I gotta put the other games in as well, into
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: the uh into the banners. Here, we're gonna have three
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: more plays I think, two hockey in one NBA. So, Jeffrey,
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: you like the you like the Knicks tonight? I uh,
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: I do not disagree on that, So yes, give me
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: a second. I will be back in one second. Oh now,
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: let me I'll bring up the hockey board by the way,
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: just you know, so people people can start looking at
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: the hockey board see if you can guess which games online.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: I don't know if it's possible here because they're maybe
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: games you wouldn't expect me to be playing, but who knows.
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: I'll be back in a second. All right, I'm back.
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: All right, let's get into some hockey here, man. Yeah.
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: The intermission. Yeah, if you remember the offspring x nay
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: on the Ombre, they have the intermission song that's on
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: there and it's just him like pissing basically. Oh intermission. Yeah, alright, hockey,
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: let's go, man. We have my Boston Bruins are facing
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: you here in this one, this one Utah they're in
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: a spot where they're coming up beating Pittsburgh in overtime
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: in a game where one of you guys in the
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: chat there was not happy about that. Was it Pinzy?
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: Was it soab? I don't know. Pittsburgh imploded in that
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: game and blew like a five to one lead. I
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: believe in that, or no, four to one, right because
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: Utah won fives whatever it was. I think Pittsburgh imploded
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: somehow in that game. If I remember correctly, Utah won
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: the game in overtime. Now they're coming out of that
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: and they are playing in Boston. They do have Detroit next.
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: Don't really know that they're gonna overlook Boston though, because
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: Boston does have a good record here. And I don't
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: really love the spot for the Bruins, as the Bruins
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: did just lose a win streak getting blown out by Minnesota.
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: Quinn Hughes wrecked them the new acquisition for Minnesota. Now,
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: I don't like the Bruins for a couple of reasons.
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: One is that they lost a win streak, and when
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: a team loses a win streak sometimes it'll hang them
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: over into the next game. But also the Bruins were
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: returning home from a road trip, and I don't like
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: that either. They were on the road since last Tuesday.
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: Only a three game road trip, but a road trip nonetheless.
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: And when teams are away for like a week plus
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: and they come back home, stuff has like built up
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: for these guys to have to do at home, you
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, Like these guys have to get
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: back to their families, So that first game back, more
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: often than not, tends to be a bit of a distraction.
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: And the Bruins do have Edmonton next, and Edmonton's starting
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: to play better again as well, so they might actually
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: look ahead to Edmonton. So I do not like the
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: spot here for the Bruins. So lean for me to
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: Utah and this one this is not on my card,
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: but it's close. If I was gonna add another game,
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: it would be this one. I like Utah in this game. Unfortunately,
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: Utah down for minus one to fifteen to minus one
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: eleven on the money line, fifty nine percent of the
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: tickets or fifty nine percent of the cash excuse me
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: on Utah, eighty nine percent of the tickets on Boston
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: for now. Bad spot for the Bruins though, man, I
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: mean that's really the crux of that handicap is the
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: fade of the spot the Bruins are in so unfortunately,
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: but that's the way that that one is. Chicago is
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: at Toronto. Chicago they look like they're in a bounce
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: back spot to me because they're coming off getting shut
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: out at home against Detroit fod to nothing. And you know,
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: I talk about when a team gets shut out, especially
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: by four plus goals at home, they tend to play
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: better in the next game, and they are in a
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: bounced back spot in the next game. It's even actually
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: better for Chicago because they had multiple days off. When
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: you have multiple days off and you're on a losing streak,
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: that can help break that momentum as well. You work
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: on fixing things. And they're starting a road trip and
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: that's also a positive. When you start a road trip,
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: you tend to be more focused get the road trip
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: off on the right foot. So I like that this
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: is an original six matchup as well, between Toronto and Chicago.
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: They're two of the original six hockey teams. Now Toronto,
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: I don't really think that they're in a bad spot
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: either though, so I think both teams show up here. Toronto,
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: they're coming off two losses at home to San Jose
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: in overtime. But Toronto was kind of in a letdown
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: spot in that one because they'd beaten Tampa Bay the
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: game before that, and they played close against Montreal the
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: game before that. They had wins against Florida and Carolina
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: before that. The Montreal loss was in a return home
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: spot too. I think that was a win for us
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 1: on the show in Montreal. So Toronto had a tough
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: run of games. I think that's why they lost to
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 1: San Jose. But then it kind of continued into this
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: game against Edmonton. Toronto lost that game pretty ugly, six
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: to three at home. Now extra rest staying at home.
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: I do think Toronto shows up in this game as well. Though.
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: You gotta worry a little bit about a look ahead
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: potentially to Washington because Washington is playing well right now.
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: You know, just the fact that it's an original six
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: matchup a loan doesn't necessarily mean both teams are gonna
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: be motivated or whatever, because that's that's been the case
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: for all of history. So for me lean to Chicago
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: slightly in this game, you're getting a huge dog price
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: on them if you want it. I mean, Toronto's down
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: for minus two thirty minus two fifteen, eighty six percent
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: of the tickets and eighty nine percent of the cash
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: on Toronto. I was again, I lean to Chicago and
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: this one plus like plus one and a half on
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: the puck line is probably the way to look at
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: that game. So that is my opinion there, Stacks. What's up?
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out again, man Alright, next game up
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: is Philadelphia at Montreal. For this one on Montreal is
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: coming up beating Edmonton. That's a big win, four to
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: one win over Edmonton. So my instinct there is pretty
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: much immediately well probably you want to fade Montreal being
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: in a letdown spot. Potentially after that they are playing
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: a third game in four days, a fourth game in
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: six days, with only the last two of them being
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: at home. For Philadelphia, Philadelphia is coming in on an
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: ugly stretcher. They've lost a few games in a row.
• 1:09:50
  Speaker 1: The problem is, I think they're in a bad spot
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: too because the last three games which are all lost,
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: is we're all against good teams and they went into
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: overtime or shoot out in all of them, losing to
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: Vegas in overtime, then Carolina in a shootout. Then they
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: turned around and they took Carolina into a shootout again
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: and lost again. And they're playing a third game in
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: four days, all in different cities. Those games all came
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: within the last six days as well. Or Yeah, so
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: I think it's a bad spot for both teams here
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: and that I do not love it this game. I mean,
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: to me, this game is kind of an over opinion
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: for me, at least. I was right about the totals
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: yesterday in hockey. Not really a totals guy, as you know,
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: but the line on the total dropped a little bit
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: from six and a half to five or six to
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: five and a half. Excuse me, but I don't know.
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: To me, I think that total is a bit too
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 1: low as far as the side is concerned. I kind
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: of lean towards Montreal Philadelphia just more travel coming off
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: so many like tough games in a row, I think
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: Montreal is the better way to look here. Seventy seven
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets and eighty three percent of the cash
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: on the Phladelphia side here Montreal down for minus one
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: thirty eight to minus one thirty four. So yeah, I
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: leaned to Montreal, though it looks like Philadelphia might be
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: a public dog. In this game in Philadelphia. As I
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: keep pointing out, is I don't think they're as good
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: as their record would indicate that they are. I'm already back, man,
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: what are you are you delayed? Jeffrey? What's going on here?
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: Jeffrey might be on a delay. I don't know. You're
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: Calgary and Columbus interesting. I'm worried that Sab is stalking me.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: I'm worried that he has like a he installed like
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: a a What would it be like he installed spy
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: wear on my machine or something. He's he's spying on me. Man.
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: Islanders are at Detroit Islanders. They're on a wind streak here.
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: The Islanders just beat Tampa Bay again. I don't know
• 1:11:55
  Speaker 1: how they keep doing it. They've beating Tampa Bay three
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: times in December alone. And not only did they do that,
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: but look at this run of games Man where they
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: lost to Washington, beat Tampa, beat Colorado, beat Tampa again,
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: now on the road, lost at Florida, beat Vegas back
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: at home to shoot out, beat Anaheim, beat Tampa again
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: in a shootout. Now after all that multiple days off,
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: but I think the days off hurt. When you're on
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: a wind streak, you don't want to have that many
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: days off, you know what I mean, because it will
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: stop you're losing momentum a little bit. So I actually
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: don't like that. And they have a single game on
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: the road here now at Detroit off all these big wins.
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: I don't love how it sets up for the Islanders, man,
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: I do not. Detroit is coming off that win where
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: they smashed Chicago fourd to nothing. But the reason I
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: can't get on Detroit here is if you know me,
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: the reason is obvious. It is that Detroit is returning
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: on from a road trip. They've been on the road
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: since Thursday, December fourth. They went all the way out
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: to the Pacific Northwest and then they came back close
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: to home. And I know they have two days off,
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: but I think when you return home, the days off
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: are actually bad because it helps you settle in at home.
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: So when a team returns home, they got to get
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: stuff done at home that hasn't been getting done while
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: they're while they've been on the road. So I think
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: it's a bad spot for both teams here. Man. So again,
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: that would have me kind of looking towards an over
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: because I think when teams are in spots where they
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: might not be totally focused and whatever it affects their
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: defense a little bit more of this total sitting at six.
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: Don't really see the percentages on that yet. The money
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: is coming in in Detroit. It looks like even though
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: they initially dropped for minus one thirty seven to minus
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: one twenty five, seventy percent of the tickets around the island,
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: there's fifty three percent of the cash on Detroit. Though.
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: I really struggle to determine what I would want to
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: do with the side. Both teams are in such awful spots,
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: but I think the return home spot is usually the
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: worst situation, so I kind of lean towards the Islanders.
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: But the money is saying otherwise to me as far
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: as the market read is concerned. So you can see
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: why I'm staying away from the game. I'm just staying
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: completely off of it. Utah put up one hundred and
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: forty what the jazz I wasn't paying attention at all
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 1: to the Jazz Columbus. Yes, I also like it sob is.
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: He's said, Dude, he's stalking me. Freezing in Philly. It
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: is a freezing here in Boston as well. Freezing temperatures.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: It is in the twenties. Basically, you're from the future.
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: Holy crap, I haven't looked at tomorrow's games at all. Man.
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: You're you're telling me that the Kings are going to
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: be a play tomorrow. I have no idea the La
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: Kings and hockey you own? Oh god, sob actually owns
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: a time traveling portal. Okay, that's correct. Trump's uncle, John G. Trump,
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: was one of the main dudes involved in the FBI's
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: theft of the Tesla files. Tesla was living in the
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: New Yorker hotel he died. He had a bunch of
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: those files with him. Likely had stuff to do with
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: like why I relists transmission of electricity or whatever the
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: stuffing that he was working on. And some of those
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: files have never been found. And we know that the
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: FBI raided his hotel room after he died. And yes,
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: John G. Trump was at the forefront of that. That
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: is correct. Hopefully I don't slip. That is correct. Yeah,
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: you pause. Well I was like, oh crap, like I'm back,
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: Like nobody hears me. What my camera's not on? All right?
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: Vancouver at the Rangers, I mean, you know, I have
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: to qualify every time at the Rangers at home. The
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: Rangers suck at home, so that's one thing that has
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: to be weighed here. Vancouver is coming off a nice
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: win over New Jersey, win for us on the show
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: in that game as well, I kicked off the road
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: trip off on the right foot and nice win. Could
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: be maybe in a little bit of a letdown spot
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: after that though, even though they are still staying in
• 1:15:47
  Speaker 1: the New York area. The Rangers are just staying at home,
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: so the travel spot is not bad for the Rangers.
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: Rangers did just get embarrassed pretty much at home by Anaheim,
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: but they were coming off a win over Montreal that
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: was a nice win for the Rangers. Rangers are on
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: a back to back though, so that does worry me
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: a little bit about the Rangers because they're gonna be
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: the less wrested team. They will probably have Quick in
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: net tonight, so they have the rested goalie there. He's
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: a veteran though. I mean, he's not a bad goalie
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: at all, So for me, my opinion is slightly leaning
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: towards the Rangers in this one. Rangers down for MI
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: just one thirty five to minus one twenty. I know
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: how bad they are at home, though, so I don't
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: really want to do it. The money line looks like
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: it did move against them, but I can't really get
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: in on the Vancouver side after they had that pretty
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: big win over New Jersey either, So that's a stay
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: away as well. Sob apparently knows everything I am on
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: Queen's Yes, that is correct. Again, I think you're spying
• 1:16:48
  Speaker 1: on me, and you'll see what I mean about this
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: hockey dude, Jeffrey might be spying on me too. Freezing
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: cold and poland. Yeah, all right, we have Anaheim at Columbus.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, yeah, yeah, all right, best bets, right, of course,
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: this is one of the best bets. Hang on, what
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: are we doing here? You guys already called it out.
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: I am also on the Columbus b js. We're gonna
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: be getting some b jys and I had the Blue
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: Jackets against Anaheim. Now, for Anaheim, they're not as good
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: of a road team. Man. They're better at home than
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: they are on the road, so they're definitely fadable on
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: the road on nine, eight and one. On the road.
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: The Columbus is not impressive at home really, six five
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: and three, but Anaheim is worse on the road, and
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: look at this spot that Anaheim is in. Man. They're
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days, and they're on
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: a back to back with travel all in different cities.
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: Four games in the last six days, five games in
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: the last eight days actually all in different cities, even
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: though they just did the New York New Jersey triangle,
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: so there's not there really that much travel involved, but
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: still they're having to go arena to arena in those ones.
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: And now they're coming off beating the New York Rangers yesterday.
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 1: They're on the back to back here, so probably they're
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: gonna be switching goaltenders here. I don't even know what
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: Anaheim's doing as far as their goalies are concerned, because
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: Docile Dostal played in both their last two games, so
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know if it's gonna be Whoso again in
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: this game, the hussy Husso or somebody else here. I
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: don't know. But not only is this a bad like
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: spot as far as the travel and the amount of
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: games they're playing in short succession. They're going out to
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 1: Columbus and then on Friday they gonna play Dallas. Dallas
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: is a much bigger game, especially for a Western Conference
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: team like Anaheim. I think they're gonna look past Columbus here, man.
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: So it's a bad spot for Anaheim. For Columbus, we're
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: gonna we're jumping on them, man. I think they're in
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: a more positive spot here. They're just staying at home. Yes,
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: they had a tough game against Vegas last time out,
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: but they've lost five games in a row, Man, and
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: they are gonna want to get something on this home stand.
• 1:18:55
  Speaker 1: They had some tough games. I mean, they played some
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: good teams on the road. They took Florida to and
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: then they lost to Washington and Carolina and then they
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: lost a return home spot. Are you really gonna blame
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: them for any of those losses? And then they lost
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: to Vegas also a good team, can't really blame them.
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: And now they have some much needed rest. They have
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: two days off and they're staying at home. So they
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: are though much more rested team. And I know that's
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: being factored into the number, because you got to be thinking, like,
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: why is Columbus favored like this when they're the team
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: with the worst record. Well, the public is also gonna
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: be wondering that. The public is probably gonna think there's
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: value in Anaheim, like, oh my god, I'm getting the
• 1:19:30
  Speaker 1: team with the better record as an underdog. But there
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: are reasons for it. And again, I know we're talking
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: about the spot here as far as the rest and whatever,
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: and I know that is being factored into the line,
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: but I still think some of the intangibles, as far
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: as the scheduling spot, don't get factored in. I still
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: like Columbus in this game. Osmakers are kind of telling
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: you that the disparity between these two teams is not
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: as much as you would think. They're kind of saying
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: that Columbus is somewhere around as good as Anaheim is, really,
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: and then they're adding on the whole mice. Plus they're
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: also having to add on the but they gotta, you know,
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: they juice the line a little bit as well, like
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: the vague, and then they also have to put in
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: the factor in the situation. But I think after all
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: that the line is maybe actually even not quite heavy
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: enough Columbus. They do have Minnesota up next, but I
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna be looking ahead to anybody with
• 1:20:20
  Speaker 1: the way they've been playing. So yeah, Columbus is the
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: play in this one. They're getting the money. It looks
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: like the rep of minus one thirty five to minus
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: one forty five. I would still play this on the
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: money line, and anything below minus one fifty fifty five
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets sixty two percent of the cash on Columbus.
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: So the money is agreeing on the Columbus side. There,
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: there we go. That's that game wrong on the Raptors
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: the wembtakya, sob, I can't believe how much you're stocking me, bro,
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: What are we talking about here? Everybody's talking to Yeah,
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: we'll talk about that game when I get to it.
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: But yes, correct, the Blue Jackets, Yeah, Ducks you have
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: four that's crazy. Yeah, you're right. I forgot to talk
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: about that. Yeah, Ducks have Chris Cryder. I don't know
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: who else they have, but yeah, they have one of
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: the Rangers' best players from the last several years, Cryder.
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 1: But they might have other ex Rangers as well. So
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: that was a big game for them, and they got
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: to play in a familiar environment for them and probably
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: had some fans in the stadium for that, So that's
• 1:21:25
  Speaker 1: a good point. Tampa's injured, correct, Vassilevsky is definitely injured
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: for them. How cold was it in Chicago cold, I
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: don't know. I like it was probably somewhere in the
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: vicinity of like ten to fifteen degrees, I would say,
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: not factoring in the wind shown whatever. Yes, Sir Truba
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: and Cryder. I don't know who else. I just know
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: Cryder because he's from around here, and my one of
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: my co workers for my first company knows Cryder really
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: well because to his friends with his son, and they
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: played hockey together up here in Massachusetts. Edmondon at Pittsburgh.
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: Edmondon coming up a pretty ugly loss at Montreal, losing
• 1:22:11
  Speaker 1: four to one. To me, it kind of looks like
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: a bounce back spot for them here, but they are
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: playing a third game in four days, fourth game in
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: six days, all in different cities, so that's not exactly
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: that easy to do as far as the travel spot
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: is concerned. Pittsburgh, they're not as good as their record looks,
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: so that you got to see that. They have a
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: lot of overtime losses, so they do have a lot
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: of losses. Speaking of that, they have five losses in
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: a row. They are coming off I believe blowing that
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 1: game against Utah. I'm not mistaken this game, Yeah, they're
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: up three to one, is what I was thinking, I
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: guess in this game because I remember seeing Pittsburgh winning
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: early on in this game. It was a tough game.
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: It was an overtime game they took that loss. Pittsburgh
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: is staying at home though, coming into this one, so
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know. This one's a tough read for me
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: as well. Man. And the other interesting thing about this
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: is this is the goalie swap game because these two
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: teams just switched goalies. So Edmonton traded Skinner to Pittsburgh
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: for Jari Jerry however you pronounce his name. So it
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: looks like Jerry will be in net for Edmonton here
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: because Pickard played last night, and then for Pittsburgh. Is
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: it gonna be the are they gonna go well? With
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: the full effect here? Let me say yeh, Pittsburgh has
• 1:23:24
  Speaker 1: not played Skinner at all yet, it looks like so
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know if he's playing this
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: game or not, because you'd want this to be the
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: goalie swap game and have both goalies playing up against
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 1: each other. Man, it's such a weird game. But if
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: both goalies are playing, I mean, maybe an under does
• 1:23:38
  Speaker 1: actually kind of make sense in that game, because the
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: goalies will want to be motivated play well for the
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: new team whatever against the teams that got rid of them.
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on Pittsburgh. For what it's worth,
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: Edmonton's down for minus one forty eight to minus one
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: thirty eight, fifty three percent of tickets on Edmondton, fifty
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: nine percent of the cash coming in on Pittsburgh. I'm
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: not gonna disagree with taking Pittsburgh as the dog here,
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: I mean Edmonton. Now they start looking like they look
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: like they have started writing the ship. The public will
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: be back on them. So I kind of agree with
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: the Penguins there. Penguins winless on the home stand. Yeah,
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: with their ex goalie playing against them. Yeah. Right, Look,
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: it looks easy to play the oilst bounce back. You're
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: correct about that, even though normally I think there is
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: something to be said about that bounced back spot. Yeah.
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: The duck said motivation correct against other Rangers. Yeah, all right.
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: We have Washington at Minnesota. This this is the other game, dude.
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: I can't believe we have the goalie swap game and
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: we have the the trade battle game, both happening tonight.
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: Washington and Minnesota. As I've been pointing out, I thought
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: they were both kind of looking ahead to this game
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: to some extent because this is the game the battle
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: for what's his name again, Quinn Hugh where these were
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: the two teams fighting to get Quinn Hughes in the
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: trade man in Minnesota landed him. So I think Washington's
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: gonna be extra pissed in this game to try to
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: prove like, hey, we don't need this guy whatever, You
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. So I think the team that
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: lost the trade battle is gonna be the team of
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: the chip on their shoulder here Washington. Washington's coming into
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: this off an ugly loss at Winnipeg that was a
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: win for us. On the show, I said it was
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: a bad spot because Washington had taken Carolina to a
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: shootout the prior game, and they had this huge Quinn
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: Hughes look ahead to Minnesota. So I thought they were
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: gonna drop the game to Winnipeg. They did, so now
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be in a spot where they
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: will be focused Minnesota. They're coming into this game with momentum,
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: although they did just crush the Bruins in what I
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: think was the first Quinn Hughes game, Minnesota beat them
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: six to two. I think maybe the stock is just
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: a little too high in Minnesota right now. They win
• 1:25:57
  Speaker 1: four games in a row, though They're definitely gonna show
• 1:25:59
  Speaker 1: up though for a game against Winnipeg. So that's kind
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: of my hesitation here. You know, I like to play
• 1:26:03
  Speaker 1: teams that are in lack of focused spots, which I
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: don't think this will be for either team. The money
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: looks like that, Margaret Reed, looks like it's saying Minnesota here.
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: I don't agree with that. Though sixty three percent of
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: tickets fifty nine percent of the casual Winnipeg Minnesota is
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: down for minus one fifteen and minus won ten. Oddsmaker's
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: telling you Washington is a slightly better team with the
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: line at that, I would lean towards Washington in this game,
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: but I'm staying off of it. But that's my lean
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 1: in that one. Yeah, the Oilers are playing in Boston next.
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: That is correct. A little bit concerned about that. The
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: Bruins are just not really that good man, even though
• 1:26:43
  Speaker 1: they're they're playing better than people thought they would, which
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 1: I thought would be the case, but I thought they
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: would be like, not quite as good as they look
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: right now though. You like Washington here, Yeah, the Wild
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: got that win against Yeah, the Senators. You took a
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: loss in that one, yeah, yeah, correct, yep. SOB and
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: I are agreeing on everything here, man, which I don't
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: know if that's good, because I want there to be
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: some disagreement here. But usually when I disagree, I like
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: bear down, I get bullish and I don't listen to anybody,
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: and I'm like, no, I'm gonna be right about this.
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: Speaking of being right, let's hope that I'm right about
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: this last hockey play. Let's do it, man, best bets.
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be on Calgary. You knew it, man, I mean,
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: SOB is on the same the same two plays. We're
• 1:27:31
  Speaker 1: on Calgary against San Jose. This is a bad spot
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: for San Jose. I mean, there's a reason why Calgary
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: is a favorite like this on the road, man, even
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: though Calgary has an ass record and Calgary's not good.
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: They're one of the worst teams in the NHL, I know.
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: But San Jose is also not as good as their
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 1: record looks. Again, the oddsmakers are telling you Calgary is
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: actually the better team, and I guess in a better spot,
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: which I'll talk about in a minute, because they are,
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: which is why they're a favorite. Like this, they're out
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: for minus one twenty five to minus one thirty seven
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: here San Jose looking like they're getting the money right
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: now though fifty six percent of tickets, seventy seven percent
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: of the cash on them for now. But you might
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: see this market read move around because this game is
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: late at night, so we will see. But the spot
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: is not good for San Jose, as i'll show you
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: in a minute now. Calgary, I mean, they're not exactly
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: in a good spot. I wouldn't say, because they did
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: just win in overtime against La the Kings. That was
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: a big win. I mean LA was probably about a
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: minus one sixty money line favorite there. Calgary nice win
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: for them, but it wasn't a huge upset for them.
• 1:28:35
  Speaker 1: And the Kings are not very good at home, as
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: I keep pointing out now, Calgary has multiple days off
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: so they can kind of rest there and they're staying
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: in California going up to San Jose, so I like
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: that they have extra rest coming into this. I think
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: they will show up for this game. And for San Jose,
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: they're in the much much worse spot. And they look
• 1:28:52
  Speaker 1: like they're the better team record wise, So the public
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: is gonna see this I think and think, like, how
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: am I getting an underdog price with the home team
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 1: with better record here? So the line looks very suspicious
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: San Jose. They're coming off two overtime games, man, and
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: yes they did. They do have two days off as well.
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: But they're the team that actually pulled off that upset
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: against Pittsburgh where Pittsburgh was winning the game five to
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: one in the game and they lost six to five.
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: That was the game I was thinking of, So San
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: Jose pulled that win out of their ass. They shouldn't
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: have won that game against Pittsburgh. I mean, they were
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: getting crushed in that game, and that was on the
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: heels of beating Toronto in overtime. But of course the
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: most crucial part of this is San Jose's returning on
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: from a road trip. Man. They've been on the road
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: since Friday, December fifth. You know, I always keep saying
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: it when a team returns home from a road trip,
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: they got to get back to home life. It can
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: be a distracted spot. Calgary is not really a team
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: that's gonna draw your focus, and in two days San
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 1: Jose has to play Dallas, who they also just lost
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: to during the road trip. It was one of two
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: losses on the road trip. That is a big game
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: for multiple reasons. Man, against Dallas, So they're gonna be
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to that Dallas game. So this is basically
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot here. I don't like it whatsoever for
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: San Jose. Terrible spot that San Jose is in here.
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: Don't think I have much else to say about it,
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: but that is that is it? Man Again, I think
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be distracted. They did have to go all
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: the way out to the Eastern time zone and out
• 1:30:19
  Speaker 1: of they're traveling back across the country here coming back home.
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: Not a good spot for San Jose at all. Calgary
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: will be the play in that one. Crider I don't
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: know him, though I'm my coworker knows him. I've never
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: met Cryder, though I do. Yes, sob Yes, I lean
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: to Utah, unfortunately because it's because it's against the Bruins here,
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: but yes, I do lead to Utah and then we
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: have one more game Colorado. I mean, they're a huge
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: favorite at Seattle. Not much to say about this. Seattle
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: is staying at home of losing pretty bad to Buffalo.
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: Not a great game for Seattle, but for Colorado. I mean,
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: Colorado got their revenge against uh, Nashville after they beat Florida.
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: But they're starting a road trip kind of with momentum herror.
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: I don't really think Colorado is gonna be in a
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: spot where they're really gonna overlook this. I mean, I
• 1:31:13
  Speaker 1: don't know. They do have a couple of days off. Oh,
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 1: it's not a road trip, my apologies. Is a single
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: road game, So I guess maybe it is a little
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: bit weird. Maybe Colorado won't really show up for a
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: single game in Seattle. I don't know. I mean, they're
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: not really coming off of anything big though. I mean,
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: even though technically it was quick revenge against Nashville. I mean,
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: do you really get overconfident after beating Nashville. Probably not.
• 1:31:36
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on Colorado here. They're up
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: from minus two forty to minus three to h five
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: as a road favorite. That is just insane. Eighty six
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash in Colorado.
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, if I was gonna find a way to
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: maybe try to play Colorado in that one, it would
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: probably be over their team total. But I don't want
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: to do anything with that game. Obviously, Let's go to
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: the NBA one game, the NBA Cup. We're gonna be
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: on it, and we're gonna agree with the market on
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: this one. I'm gonna come back after I know I
• 1:32:07
  Speaker 1: lost fading at San Antonio in the prior game because
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: it was the return of Wembin Yama and I thought
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: it was a reverse injured player spot. We're gonna do
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 1: this again, though. We're gonna go with the New York Knicks,
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: even though I don't like them as a Celtics fan.
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: Throw bias out the window. Baby, you gotta just handicap
• 1:32:25
  Speaker 1: the game, and we're gonna do it. I like the
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: spot for the Knicks. This is a spot where the public,
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: they're all gonna be on San Antonio. Man, they're gonna
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: see that San Antonio is a dog here in San Antonio.
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: Just beat Oklahoma City. I mean, come on, man, uh.
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: I know this is the final and both teams want
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: to win, but of course that's the whole thing right
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: at this point. Both teams are gonna show up and
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: want to win, but I think San Antonio is gonna
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: be the more tire team here, man. I mean they
• 1:32:52
  Speaker 1: just pulled off back to back huge upsets at the
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: LA Lakers. Then with Wemba back, they just beat Oklahoma
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: City as double digit underdogs had to come back after
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: they were double digit. They were losing by double digits
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: after the first quarter in that game, So I thought
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: we were on track to win that game with okay
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: Se and we didn't. Now, usually I say the second
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: game of the injured player is back is a better
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: spot for that team, but in this case, I don't
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: think so, man. I just don't think san Antonio can
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: keep this up this many games in a row. This game,
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: I believe, is also in Vegas where the final four
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: games worry up. It's that team mobile in Vegas. I mean,
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: both teams played in this arena already, so it's not
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: really an advantage to one team over the other. Although
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: San Antonio probably does have more of a fan base
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: out there, so maybe you do have to worry about
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: that a little bit. But the Knicks are also just
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: they're the team and has more experience playing in high
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: pressure situations. Man. And this is a Nick team that
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: has made runs in the playoffs the last couple of years,
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: so they know what they're doing. They had a much
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: easier win in the previous round of this tournament as
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: a favorite against Orlando whatever, they were expected to win.
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: The public, though, they see san Antonio beating the Thunder
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: and they're gonna line up on san Antonio. Man, oh
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: my god. If san Antonio could beat the Thunder, they
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: could be in any team in the NBA. Right, of
• 1:34:12
  Speaker 1: course they're gonna beat the Knicks. That's just not the
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 1: way that it works, man, It isn't. As far as
• 1:34:18
  Speaker 1: the injuries are concerned, haven't been an attention to the
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 1: Knicks injury situation. As far as Annonoby. He is back,
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: so it looks like they're only without Miles McBride here.
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: When did Antonobe come back. He's been back for a while.
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: He came back on December fifth, So my apologies for
• 1:34:35
  Speaker 1: missing that when he came back. But we're good as
• 1:34:38
  Speaker 1: far as the Knicks are concerned. The Knicks have a
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 1: full roster. Anonoby's been back for a while. I know
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: Brunson missed a couple of games around that same time,
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: but the Knicks they're pretty much a full roster here
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: for this game. Both teams basically are. But you can
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: see the market read here as well. This is a
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: pros versus Joe's spot where fifty three percent of the
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: tickets around the Spurs, but the money is coming in
• 1:35:01
  Speaker 1: on the Knicks eighty seven percent of the cash. It
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: might change throughout the day, but we're gonna lay it.
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: I think you can still find a two and a
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 1: half out there on the Knicks. Three probably is still fine,
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: but I prefer the two and a half. Obviously, get
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: the best number that you can. At least it's not
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: football where the three is more key. But that's what
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: we're gonna do in this game. It'll be the Knicks
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: minus the points. If you want to go money line
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 1: on it, you could do that too. I think the
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: Knicks get it done and they win the meaningless NBA
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: Cup there. Yeah, we're on five plays that are the
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: same here, two in college basketball, both hockey plays, and
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: now the NBA. Now we will go to the college
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: football bowl game that is tonight to finish this off.
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: This is the is four s Salute to Veterans Bowl
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: in Montgomery, Alabama, which I talked about this on my
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 1: bowl preview show man, and I believe I gave out
• 1:35:56
  Speaker 1: a slight opinion on this, and I think the line
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: is moving in that same direction because this line has moved.
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: These Bowl lines move all over the place, man, So unfortunately,
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: if you do like the side that the line moved,
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: you've pretty much lost all the value on it. And
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: I do kind of agree with that side. Usually these
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: Bowl moves are usually pretty strong. Like the biggest line
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: move that you see is usually going to be the
• 1:36:19
  Speaker 1: right side in the bowl. There's always a reason for it. Now,
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: for these bowl games, you do have to look at
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: the opt outs. So I didn't look at it for
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: the LA Bowl, but that was fine because both teams
• 1:36:29
  Speaker 1: actually pretty much had all their starters in that game.
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: But now that players opt out and whatever, you got
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: to make sure you got to see what's going on here.
• 1:36:37
  Speaker 1: So the one of the running backs from Troy Meadows
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: did hit the transfer portal, and you gotta look at
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: the injury for a Goose Crowder, who is the starting
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 1: quarterback for Troy. He was injured in the middle of
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 1: the season. He's been back for a while and I
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: think he is gonna play tonight, so they will have
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: their quarterback. But I don't think Troy has that much
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: of a downgrade from him to I forget the name
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: of their backup quarterback, but I don't think there's that
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: much of a downgrade. Their offense is not good anyway,
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: so I don't think it matters that much which one
• 1:37:09
  Speaker 1: of their quarterbacks is in there, though Goose has a
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: better name, man the goose is loose. And then for
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State, the fact that they have no transfers, no
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: opt outs, that tells you Jacksonville State wants to be here,
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean, Like if you see a
• 1:37:22
  Speaker 1: team that has way more opt outs than another team,
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: although for Troy they only have two, so it's not
• 1:37:28
  Speaker 1: a lot at all. They have one of their defensive
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: lineman is transferring as well, but when a team has
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: nobody transferring out, that tells you that team wants to
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: be there. You do have to worry about some of
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: the injuries there on Jacksonville State, but I don't think
• 1:37:39
  Speaker 1: it's that big of a deal. So that tells you
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State wants to be here. For the most part,
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: I think both teams kind of do. Now, both teams
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: are in a way disappointed because both teams lost their
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: conference championship. Troy, like Troy you didn't even expect them
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: to be in the conference championship, though they snuck in
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: after a Southern fell apart. Troy got in and they
• 1:38:02
  Speaker 1: got hammered by James Madison. I mean, they were not
• 1:38:05
  Speaker 1: expected to beat James Madison. Obviously, they weren't even expected
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: to be in the Sun Belt Championship. So I don't
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: really see Troy being disappointed to be here. They're a
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: team that doesn't make that many bowl games. Jacksonville State
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 1: has made even fewer, though Jacksonville State's a program that's
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: new to Division one, So I think Jacksonville State is
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: going to show up in this one just as a program.
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 1: They're new to Division one, and I believe, I believe
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 1: they may only have been in one bowl so far.
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: And I remember I gave out a play on it
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: because it was a team in their first bowl appearance
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: in program history, so you knew they were gonna get
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: up for it. And two of their quarterbacks got hurt
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: in that game, if I remember correctly, and they almost
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: lost the game, and they brought in their starting quarterback
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: again and he was playing injured and like couldn't throw.
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: It was crazy to but they won the game. Anyway,
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: for me, it was an insane overtime game in like
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: the New Orleans Bowl or something. You can go find
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: that a couple of years ago. But I think Jacksonville State,
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: again as a young program, they're gonna be excited about
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: this bowl in my opinion, even though they did lose
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: their conference championship and they certainly could have won it
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: against Kennesaw State, both teams very new to Division One,
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville Kannessaw. Both teams wanted to win the Conference USA.
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 1: But what would their reward be for winning the Conference USA? Though,
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: like where's Kennesaw at Oh? They would get to play
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: on Friday instead in the Myrtle Beach Bowl. I mean,
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess that's a little bit more of
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: a reward than staying in your home state. But for
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: these two teams that are so small that don't get
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: to bowls that often, I don't think that they're gonna
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: not consider this to be a reward, you know what
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: I mean. So both these teams are from Alabama, so
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: they're both playing in Alabama. Yes, Jacksonville State is in Jacksonville, Alabama,
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: not Florida. Troy is in Troy, Alabama or whatever. So
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: both of these teams get to play in their home state.
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: But I think again, when teams don't make Bowls that
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 1: often and they get to play in their home state,
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: I think they actually do still get excited about it
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: because they're you know, their friends and family could show
• 1:40:06
  Speaker 1: up to the game. They get a nice crowd for it.
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: So both of these teams will have good crowd support
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: here in this game. So again I think they're both
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: gonna show up. As far as the x's and o's here,
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State I think is the better team, which is
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: why I don't know how they opened as a four
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 1: point dog in this game, and with the like if
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: Goose Crowder is actually gonna play for Troy, I don't know.
• 1:40:28
  Speaker 1: I don't know how the line is moving towards Jacksonville State,
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: although as I said, I don't think Troy having a
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: quarterback change I don't think really matters that much. But
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: you can see that the actual money has pounded Jacksonville
• 1:40:39
  Speaker 1: State to the point where they went from a four
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: point dog to now one point favorite, and I think
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: that is a legitimate move. And now I think that
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: maybe the line has just moved so far that there
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: is gonna be some buy back on Troy. But I
• 1:40:50
  Speaker 1: like Jacksonville State in this game as well. I agree
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: with the initial move. Seventy four percent of tickets only
• 1:40:56
  Speaker 1: seventy two percent of the cash on them right now.
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: I mean, when you're just asking who's gonna win the game,
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: maybe it still makes sense if you want to have
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: some action on it to just roll with Jacksonville State.
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: Maybe money line, I mean, maybe I would wait to
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: see if the line comes back a little bit and
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: you get Jacksonville State as a small dog. But of
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: course you missed out because you could have gotten them
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: like better than a field goal here, So you've missed
• 1:41:19
  Speaker 1: out on the number here. Now. Jacksonville State, they run
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: the football. So I like teams that run the football
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: because they tend to be like underrated because public they
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 1: don't like teams that run the football because their offense
• 1:41:32
  Speaker 1: just doesn't look good. But they're a physical team more
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 1: so they run the football. That's good. I like that
• 1:41:38
  Speaker 1: as far as Jacksonville State is concerned. Troy, they do
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: play pretty good defense though, but Troy's offense is not
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: very good. Troy mostly I think, actually tries to throw
• 1:41:47
  Speaker 1: the football, but their offense just is very bad for
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 1: the most part, So Jacksonville State I actually think is
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: the somewhat more balanced team here. Again, I think they
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: are the better team. I think the rushing attack can
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: kind of help them out in this game. I would
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 1: not be opposed to an under in this game either.
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 1: The total has gone down for fifty one to forty
• 1:42:04
  Speaker 1: nine and a half fifty nine percent of the cash
• 1:42:07
  Speaker 1: on both the over on the over and both the
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: tickets and the cash. But because Troy's offense isn't that good,
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 1: there's there's some quarterback uncertainty, although that's gonna be factoring
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: in the line a little bit. And because Jacksonville State
• 1:42:19
  Speaker 1: is more of a team that focuses on running the football,
• 1:42:22
  Speaker 1: which will short in the game, the undermakes sense to
• 1:42:25
  Speaker 1: me in this game as well. Even though I know
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: both teams are coming off games where they didn't score
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: a lot and there are respective championship games, this is
• 1:42:32
  Speaker 1: not a game I'm gonna give out a play on again.
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: You know, I really like Old Dominion and tomorrow's game,
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 1: but you lost a lot of value on that line,
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 1: so we'll talk about it tomorrow. I still might give
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: it out, Like hopefully you can get at least three
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: on ODU tomorrow in the public gets involved. But for
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: this Veterans Bowl, I'm not playing it. I don't know
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 1: what is four S is, but hopefully it's not like
• 1:42:53
  Speaker 1: a military contractor hopefully it's more of a pro veteran company.
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know who they are, but like the veterans,
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, you know, you know me, I mean I'm
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 1: anti war or whatever. You know, I'm anti all of
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: the US military involvement. I mean just whatever. We don't
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 1: want to get into politics here really on this show,
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 1: but I will say the veterans are mistreated horribly and
• 1:43:16
  Speaker 1: when they come back home, the whatever it's called, you know,
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 1: the Veteran the VA whatever is is just awful. I
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: mean it's run by the government, So what do you expect.
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 1: Veterans don't get treated well, they don't get the help
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 1: that they need, you know. I will just say that,
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 1: so shout out to the veterans. I still have my
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 1: Veterans Day on non alcoholic beer behind me. Here is
• 1:43:37
  Speaker 1: a sober man and still a beer snob. I got
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: all my non elk beers back there in Athletic Brewing
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: has a Veterans Day beer that I have some of
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 1: the ready front. It's an ipa. It's a decent ipa.
• 1:43:50
  Speaker 1: I mean for non alcoholic these the way that these
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 1: breweries can actually make these non alcoholic beers now, they
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 1: can actually make them pretty well now, So I'm I'm
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 1: surprised that they could do it. But that's gonna do
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 1: it for all the plays today. Man, are the Knicks
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 1: the best team in the East. They might be, I
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 1: don't want to say it, but yeah, I mean they're
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: definitely one of the best. That's gonna do it. So
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: once again, the plays today, we do have a lot
• 1:44:16
  Speaker 1: of plays today, hold on while I delete the ones
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: from yesterday. But we got a bunch of big dogs
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: in college of basketball, lipscumb plus the points. We're laying
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: the points with Bowling Green in college basketball, taking the
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: huge dogs with Northern Colorado and Queen's College. We got
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 1: a couple of moneyline favorites, which I don't love, you know,
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 1: hockey necessarily, but I like the spots for Columbus and Calgary.
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: And then we're on the Knicks in the NBA Cup
• 1:44:44
  Speaker 1: Final to get it done for us. There the minus
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 1: the points there, that's gonna do it. I appreciate it, guys.
• 1:44:50
  Speaker 1: Thanks to all the regulars in there in the chat there,
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 1: all the newcomers there. I appreciate it. Learn a tone
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: on Instagram, Learn a tone on Twitter. I got subscriptions
• 1:44:59
  Speaker 1: on Twitter now. I still to do subscription content out there, Sorry, Jeffrey.
• 1:45:03
  Speaker 1: I wanted to put that yuke video out to the
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: public yesterday there just because it was so ridiculous. I
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 1: just wanted it to get traction. So we'll see what
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 1: I want to do for subscriber content there. But I
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: do have subscriptions now on Twitter learn to toad there
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 1: and on Instagram for the short form of this on Instagram,
• 1:45:23
  Speaker 1: like subscribe to the channel here of course, give me
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 1: good replies, he your comments. Listen on audio, give me
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: a good review on audio. That helps as well. We're
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: on Apple and Spotify, Patreon, dot com, Slash and learn
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: to Toad, and there's a bonus uke content there that
• 1:45:36
  Speaker 1: I apologize. I know, I always say it. I have
• 1:45:38
  Speaker 1: to keep it up to date. I know there's a
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: Spotify Yuke feed there. We got to get the Christmas
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: stuff that I've been doing up there before it's too late.
• 1:45:46
  Speaker 1: I will then we have you can request stuff of
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 1: me as well there. You can do it on Twitter too,
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 1: if you subscribe to me on Twitter. There's a group chattel,
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: though right now it's just me and Jeffrey and there's
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 1: not a lot of activity because the other guy who
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: subscribes to me doesn't have an updated X. I do
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: have a couple other well, I have the yuke channel
• 1:46:07
  Speaker 1: as well covered in you because of my Yuke channel
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 1: on YouTube. I got a lot going on. We got
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: the Loser Cast, which will be on tonight for episode three.
• 1:46:15
  Speaker 1: The new comedy panel podcast will renominate the Biggest Losers
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 1: Man and we're all losers, so go check that out.
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 1: That'll be after Lesion to Skanks tonight at like ten
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern on the Loser Cast YouTube. And then we
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 1: got the Giants podcast. It still hasn't start. With me
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 1: and Ben Weir, I think we're just sad that the
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: New York Giants are not doing well, and for me
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: that Jackson Dart is getting concussed all over the place
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 1: because I love Dart, as you know. So the g
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 1: Spot is the name of that podcast that will start
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 1: at some point, but I don't know when I'll be back.
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: I'll be back tomorrow. We're gonna talk about that Bowl
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: game that I actually like Tomorrow. There's a little bit
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 1: more action tomorrow. I think. There are only a couple
• 1:46:57
  Speaker 1: of NBA games tomorrow, and there's gonna be a light
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 1: board tomorrow, I think, which I like, so hopefully it's light.
• 1:47:03
  Speaker 1: There will be some college basketball though, I assume. And
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 1: then Thursday, mister, Thursday Night will come back to you
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: because I actually like the Thursday Night NFL game a lot,
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: so that might be a play for me. I'll be
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: back then for all that, So stay tuned for all that.
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: We'll be back man. Peace for now,