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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NFL Playoffs Best Bets Monday 1/12/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 2: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 1: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 2: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 2: never seen anything like this.
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 2: Own four that have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: Man with wookends the slump that I'm on, and the
• 0:35
  Speaker 1: slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: I've reached into peak.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat man, I
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: don't know what is going on with the bruins arch hape?
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 2: March ninth? I think who even knows? Man, I don't
• 0:51
  Speaker 2: know what day it is anymore. I don't even know
• 0:53
  Speaker 2: what data is anymore.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: Man, back with you after the worst day that I
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:05
  Speaker 2: yesterday did not go well for me.
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: The slump, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 2: Somebody fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what
• 1:24
  Speaker 2: I should do at this point, other than potentially end
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you for Toads
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: sil Sports. It is Monday, January twelfth. We went three
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: and three on the show yesterday, which is not great. Obviously,
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: it's a slight loss unless we got enough of the
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: money line sprinkles correct, which I don't think we did.
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: I have to go back and double check. I think
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: we did get two on the money line underdogs with
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: outright wins, I think, but I don't think that overcame
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: the little bit of loss that there was. It cut
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: into it quite a bit. It was very close to
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: an even day.
• 2:07
  Speaker 2: I guess.
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: Let's say, as we had Cleveland State lost, they were
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: kind of hanging around within that number, fell behind by
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: too much, and then I think they lost by ten.
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: Rutgers got the outright win for US. So college basketball
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: went one and one. Rutgers took that game into overtime
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: and I believe they won.
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: So that was nice.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: NBA went okay, we went two and one. Brooklyn got
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: the cover. They lost, but they covered. We got an
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: outright win with the Denver Nuggets. That number went up
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: to five and a half, by the way, because I
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: think one of their players must have been ruled out
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: late or something like that. But it didn't even matter
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: even if you got the bad number on Sometimes my
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: read on the situation is just it's like, I don't know,
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: it seems strong enough that it overcomes these late market
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: moves against me that one, whatever number you got, it
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: was a winner because they won outright. So I'm happy
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: about that. Maybe a little bit lucky. I don't know
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: about luck though, because again, it was really just all
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: about the situation. I didn't really I wasn't too worried
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: about the personnel that Denver had out there. And then
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: the Washington Wizards did not cover. They got blown out,
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: so that was great. And then of course we lost
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: the football game. Because I can't get anything right. I'm
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: owned five against the spread in these first round games
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: so far, So wasn't that awesome. Green Bay never should
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: have been a loser, though, Philadelphia, Yeah, that was a loser.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: They got outplayed. What else can I say, Man, I
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: didn't expect it. Kyle Shanahan, he's the best coach in
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: the NFL. There's nothing else to say about. It was
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: a bad game for the Eagles.
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: They were in position to potentially cover that because they.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: Did have the turnover they were winning, they won the
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: turnover battles, so they were in position to maybe do
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: it because they were up I think six at some
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: point in the middle of the game, but they lost outright, Man,
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: this have I do not have a grasp on this
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: at all. I have at least one play that I
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: want to make in the next round, though, that I
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: think is a good one, and you probably already know
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: what it is, so hopefully it will be as we
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: see the lines start coming out. Obviously, don't listen to
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: anything I say about tonight's NFL game because I have
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: no clue.
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: I can't gauge any of this. Man. One thing I
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: forgot to mention.
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: I did mention some of it on my Instagram video
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: at the Eagles is I thought that play was even
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: better because I forgot to mention it on the show
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: here yesterday. I mentioned it with Clint Nick. Sirianni was
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: five and zero at home in playoff games, not against
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: the spread but straight up, but still Eagles have been
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: really good at home in his tenure. And then the
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: like the head of the of the reffing crew or
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: whatever yesterday was this guy Eck I think is his name.
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: He's from Pennsylvania, and the Eagles were like eight and
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: one in game that he reffed of theirs. So he's
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: like a biased ref towards the Eagles and he was
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: reffing in that game and it's still didn't still didn't happen.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: I don't know what else to say.
• 5:12
  Speaker 2: And then yeah, the.
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: The late game there, I mean, the Chargers, like that
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: offense is just I don't know what to say about that.
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: Justin Herbert. They did rest him the last week of
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: the regular season. The Chargers rested everybody to try to
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: get ready for the playoffs. Something is not right with
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: that offense man Justin Herbert. I know he has a
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: broken hand obviously, his non throwing hand, clearly, but still
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: something is totally off about that offense. If they can't
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: even do anything against the Patriots defense, that's just I
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: don't know what else to say about it.
• 5:46
  Speaker 2: That's crazy. So we already know like what the matchups
• 5:49
  Speaker 2: are gonna be next week?
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: In the NFC, we're gonna have San Francisco is going
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: to Seattle, and that's a seven point spread in that
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: games are four point favorites at Chicago. And then in
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: the AFC we know that Buffalo is playing Denver, so
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: that that is known, and then whoever wins tonight's game
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: is going to New England. So pretty much every everything
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: is set up. And I believe that's Wait, am I
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: missing games?
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: Or is that it? I'm like, wait, wait, did I
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: miss something?
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: No?
• 6:26
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I'm missing. Am I missing one other guy?
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: I don't even know? Man? No, I think I think
• 6:33
  Speaker 2: that's it.
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: Yeah, because I think we're gonna be down to eight teams,
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: Like I don't know, man, Yeah, I think I think
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: that's about right. Whatever, But yeah, whoever wins tonight is
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: going to New England.
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: We already know.
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: That Buffalo is actually favored at Denver right now by one.
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: My bracket is is fucked obviously, so I should I
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: should have just gone with the Rams to win it all. Man,
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: That's what I should have done. I think that's what's
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: gonna happen at this point. Kyle what's up. Nice for
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: hanging out.
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: Let's get into today. It's a small board. Today.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: I have nothing of college basketball, mostly because almost the
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: entirety of college basketball is SWACK and MIAC, and those
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: are the lowest conferences in Division one, and I don't
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: really tend to find great angles in those conferences. I'm
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: gonna have one NBA playing one NHL play and I'm
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: avoiding the NFL game tonight, probably rightfully so. But WAT
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: should be the first one that I get right college
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: basketball again. If you want me to talk about some
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: of these games that I'm not about to talk about,
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: I will.
• 7:37
  Speaker 2: I do have some feelings at some of these games.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: Delaware State and Howard is one of these games here.
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: And by the way, when we get into these conference games,
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: you do have to one of the first things I
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: do is is this a first matchup or a second
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: matchup between these conference teams? But I don't think we
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: have any second matchups today because I think these conferences
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: started their conference play late. But Delaware State, they're coming
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: on a pretty big game where they came to within
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: two points of Norfolk State. Norfolk State is usually one
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: of the better teams in this MIAC conference, and I'm
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: sure that they were a pretty large road favorite against
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: horrible Delaware State, so I think Delaware State is fadable
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: in this game.
• 8:19
  Speaker 2: I would lean towards Howard here.
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: Howard just had a pretty ugly performance against Maryland eestern Shore,
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: and I believe this will be their first conference home games,
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: so they might get up for a little bit more
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: for that reason. Bad spot for Delaware State, so Howard
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: would be my lean in that game. But I'm not
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: jumping out of my seat to lay ten points with
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: Howard in a game of the total one point thirty two.
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: That would be my opinion if you forced me to
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: give you an opinion on this game. But it was
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: something that stuck out at me. At the very least,
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: I prefer a couple of these swack games. I actually
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: probably prefer this is one of them. Al Cord State
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: at Alabama State. State just got to win over Alabama
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: A and M on the road, and Alabama A and
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: M was a decent sized favorite in that game, so
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: that was a pretty good win for Alcort State.
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: Now they're going to Alabama State.
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: Now, I like Alabama State in this game because I
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: think Alcorn State they're coming off that big upset win.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: They're playing a seventh straight road game, although a lot
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: of those road games were before the Christmas break, but
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: they're playing like a fourth road game, I think since
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: the Christmas break. But all that being said, one reason
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: why I might, just one reason why I would stay
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: off of this game is just because I believe Alabama
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: State won this conference last year, so pretty much every
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: team is gonna most likely show up for a game
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: against them, even though they're not that good this year.
• 9:44
  Speaker 2: So maybe that does.
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: Kind of limit that amount of motivation a little bit
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: for playing against Alabama State. But Alabama State just lost
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: at home as a big favorite to Jackson State. I
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: know I talk about how Jackson State is gonna be
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: good in this conference because they faced a gauntlet out
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: of conference schedule. That is true, but Alabama State was
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: still a big favorite against Jackson State and they lost
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: the game outright, So I think they're gonna bounce back
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: in this game. I would lay it with Alabama State
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play it. The money looks like
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: it does agree on that. When they're up to an
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: eight and a half point favorite, seven would have been preferable,
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: But you still might be able to do it here.
• 10:26
  Speaker 2: I just again I worry about these.
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: Small conferences and how ugly some of the games are.
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: That they play sixty seven percent of the tickets ninety
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the cash on Alabama State, and I
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: still do worry because they are the conference winner from
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: last year, so people will still be gunning for them.
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: But absolutely no public better is gonna come in. I
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: want to lay eight and a half points with a
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: four and twelve team, even if they are up against
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: a two and twelve team. So those are my thoughts
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: on that game. Grambling at Florida A and M. I
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: think I had some thoughts on this as well.
• 10:59
  Speaker 2: Grambling just lose a win streak.
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: They lost of Bethune Cookman on the road. Bethune Cookman
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: is a decent team in this conference, though, so that
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: wasn't that easy of a game. Florida A and M
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: just beat Southern though, so that's a pretty big win.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: Southern one of the teams that's a top this conference,
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: or well one of the teams that's one of the
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: better teams in this conference year in and year out.
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Basically is what I meant to say. So I don't know,
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: I mean it did break a win a losing straight
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: for Florida A and M though, so maybe it does
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: propel them forward. But my instinct is it fading Florida
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: A and M is the right way to look at
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: this game. So I would probably take the points with Grambling.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: Although Florida A and M already flipped from a two
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: and a half dog to a two point favorite, so
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: some money already came in on Florida A and M.
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: I don't really agree with that, but Grambling is also
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: coming off a difficult game as well somewhat, So those
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: are my thoughts on that, Alexander. You want to you
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: want to talk about every game, I'm I'm not gonna
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: talk about every game. I'll talk about this one. But
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: North Carolina Central Morgan State. I don't have really any
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: opinion on this at all. NC Central should have been
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: kind of a bad spot. After they beat Norfolk State,
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: which is always a big win in this conference.
• 12:16
  Speaker 2: They face copp And State, though copp.
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: And State is atrocious and they were able to beat
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: them pretty easily on the road. Morgan State is also terrible,
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: but NC Central doesn't have this game surrounded by anything big.
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: Morgan State just beat South Carolina State. I don't really
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: know that there's anything great about that either. South Carolina
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: State also is ass so there's like, I basically have
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: no opinion on this game. Both teams should show up.
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: There's like no situation for me to grab onto in
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: this game. The market read the money is coming in
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: an NC Central, I guess for now the number moved
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: up from one to two and a half, so they
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: are the better teams. So if you rely on that, basically,
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: when both teams are gonna show up, the better team
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: I guess probably should be the team that gets it done.
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: But in a conference like this, who even knows? Lean
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: to NC Central slightly, But I have really nothing. Nothing
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: really there like no real opinion. Marylands an Shore is
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: that Norfolk State. Norfolk State is coming off that game
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: against Delaware State where they barely got by and it
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: did break a lost streak for them, so I think
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: that might propel them forward a little bit. Maryland Yster
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: an Shore, they are coming off beating Howard by double digits.
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: Howard's not good this year, but I think the spot
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: sets up better for Norfolk State to be in kind
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: of a bounce back after not playing well in that
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: previous game, they're laying six. That is probably what I
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: would do in that game, but I don't want to
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: touch that. Navy and American is an interesting one. And
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: this is the only nationally televised game of the day
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: on CBS Sports. If that's I guess that's considered to
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: be national.
• 14:02
  Speaker 2: This is an interesting game, man. Navy.
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: They just beat Lafayette, not a huge win or anything,
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: but they're on a huge role right now. They've won
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: eight games in a row. I think they're undefeated in conference.
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: They're looking like they might be the best team in
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: this conference right now instead of Colgate.
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: But now they do have to go on the road.
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: The only road conference game they played so far as
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: at holy Cross, and holy Cross is not as good
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: as American. American is coming up a loss to holy Cross,
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: so I know holy I just said Americans better than
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: holy Cross. They are, but this was an upset. And
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: if you remember what I said about American, that was
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot because they just played Colgate really close.
• 14:43
  Speaker 2: They had this.
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: Huge game against Navy on deck, so I think they
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: look past holy Cross and they got caught. They lost
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: the game ugly by eleven at home, so I think
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: this is pretty clearly a bounce back spot for Americans,
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: So I like American here.
• 14:57
  Speaker 2: The problem is, I think.
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: Navy is app We're gonna get up for this game
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: because this is actually a rematch of last year's conference final,
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: and American beat Navy in that game, so these teams
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: probably remembered that. So American beat Navy in the conference
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: title last year conference title game to get into the
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: NCAA Tournament, and they got the the honor of I
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: think American loss in the in the first four as well,
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: if I remember correctly, to Alabama State, I believe who's
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: also playing todam I might have that runo to Mount
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's. I forget it might have been Mount Saint
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: Mary's because then they wound up playing Duke I don't.
• 15:37
  Speaker 2: I forget.
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: My bracket autism fails me on that one.
• 15:42
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I'll lean.
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: To American in this game. But again, I think Navy
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: is still gonna show up as well. Navy is up
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: to a three point favorite in this game, which I
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: mean number wise, that number is getting a little bit
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: out of control.
• 15:56
  Speaker 2: I think, although.
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: Yeah, the oddsbeggers are telling you Navy is the better
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: team here. I don't disagree with that, but I'd probably
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: lean towards American getting the points all of that ugly
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: loss they just suffered.
• 16:06
  Speaker 2: But then again, like I said, Navy will show up
• 16:09
  Speaker 2: for that game as well.
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: As far as these other games, you do some Southland
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: games today as well. The interesting game, I guess, if
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: you want to call it that in the Cutland is
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: Nichols and MacNeice. Nichols is the only undefeated team left
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: in the Cutland Conference.
• 16:28
  Speaker 2: MacNeice lost a game already to uh who do they
• 16:33
  Speaker 2: lose to? Oh? Yeah, incarnate word on the road.
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: MacNeice is still the best team in this conference though, man,
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: So what you'll see is that MacNeice is a double
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: digit favorite here at home, even though Nichols doesn't have
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: a conference loss yet. I talked about how Nichols really
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: battle testing themselves in the out of conference schedule, which
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: they did, so they're better than their overall record looks
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: probably as far as this conference is concerned.
• 16:56
  Speaker 2: But MacNeice is just far and away the best team
• 16:58
  Speaker 2: in this conference. Again, so I guess I would probably
• 17:05
  Speaker 2: lean to MacNeice in this one.
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: And they probably remember last year Nichols was the only
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: team in the entire conference that beat them at any
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: point last year. It was the one conference loss that
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: McNeese took was to Nichols.
• 17:18
  Speaker 2: Last year.
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: They also beat them once, they went one and one
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: against them. But I would probably lay it with MacNeice
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play it.
• 17:26
  Speaker 2: Their thirteen and a half point favorite. One hundred and
• 17:29
  Speaker 2: forty eight is a total which is not high. So
• 17:33
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: I mean that makes me hesitate to want to lay
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: the points. Of course, I'm not giving out a play
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: in any of these games. I'm just pointing some of
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: these games out here that were more interesting to me
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: when I looked Jeffrey, what's up? Thanks for hanging out, Kyle.
• 17:46
  Speaker 2: What's up?
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna do them like every week. I think the
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: bracket stream if people liked that at all, I'm planning
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: on probably doing one tonight at some point. I don't
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: know when exactly I'm gonna do it, but oh, you mean, like,
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: am I gonna do one where I like fill out
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: the I'm definitely gonna do one where I fill out
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: the bracket, which that last year. I think I did
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: it the night before the tournament started. I think I
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: did it like last minute because I wait for those
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: percentages to marinate, and then I did it on like
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: Wednesday night. But I think I did a bracket reaction
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: show right away, my initial reactions to the bracket when
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: it came out.
• 18:22
  Speaker 2: Then I filled out my bracket.
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: I did a women's one too, but I spend less
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: time on the women's one, even though I should be
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: applying all the bracket autism to it, but it's just
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: way too much work, not not exactly worth it for
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: the women's one.
• 18:37
  Speaker 2: And then yeah, I mean I think that. Hopefully that
• 18:43
  Speaker 2: answers your question.
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but I'm doing like bracketology, so I'm
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: I have my own bracketology, so I'm doing that as well.
• 18:50
  Speaker 2: Tyson, what's up? And thanks for hanging out.
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: So I don't even know how my bracketology is gonna
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: change from last week.
• 18:58
  Speaker 2: To this week.
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: I have to look and see, like what these teams
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: even did this past week and whatever. Mississippi Valley State,
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: the worst team in Division one, is at it today
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: against Texas Southern, who is not doing well this year
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: in the Swack. Texas Southern is usually one of the
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: better teams in the Swack, but not this year.
• 19:17
  Speaker 2: Mississippi Valley State just almost beat Prairie View A and
• 19:20
  Speaker 2: M on the road though.
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: That actually would have been a giant upset if they
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: were able to pull that off. And by the way,
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: Prairie View A and M, if you go on Twitter,
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: you can find some videos from Prairie View A and M.
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: Their soundboard operator at least last year was a complete
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: lunatic and was just playing all these ridiculous sounds off
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: of the soundboard. And it was this game where there's
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: like nobody even in the crowd.
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: It was against.
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: Mississippi Valley State. Actually the videos that I saw, nobody
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: was at the game, nobody cares. The soundboard operator was
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: just going crazy. It's hilarious.
• 19:54
  Speaker 2: But that would have been a huge upset, believe it
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: or not from Mississippi Valley They almost got done.
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: Man, they almost got their first win that wasn't against
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: the Mississippi College for Women. They didn't get it done.
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: Now they're having to travel second straight road game. I
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna get killed in this game. To be honest,
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: that was a game where they really really went all
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: out and they almost got that win. As a big
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: dog Texas Southern just lost to Arkansas Pine Bluff. Well,
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: they're actually doing well in the conference this year so far.
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: They're actually atop the conference right now, although I don't
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: think they're really the best team in the conference Pine Bluff.
• 20:31
  Speaker 2: Texas Southern is coming off of that loss at home.
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: More difficult game, I guess, or a more difficult opponent
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: that they faced there, I guess. But I still think
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: I would probably fade Mississippi Valley State off of that
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: massive effort. I mean, they're just an awful team, dude.
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: Texas Southern is probably a huge favorite in this game. Yeah,
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: they're a thirteen and a half point favorite. They dropped
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: from fourteen, but I would probably lay it in that
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: game and then the last game of the night. I
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: actually do kind of like this one as well. Alabama
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: A and M against Jackson State. Jackson State I mentioned
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: a little while ago. I know, I liked the Jackson
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: State really really battle tested themselves early in the season
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: out of conference, which is what they did last year too,
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: But they were not able to win the conference last year.
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: We'll see what they do this year.
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: They're two to zero so far in the conference, but
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: they just pulled off a big upset man on the
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: road against the conference winners from last year, Alabama State.
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: So I think Jackson State might be in a letdown
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: spot here, man, going to Alabama A and M.
• 21:33
  Speaker 2: And for Alabama A and M.
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: They just lost to Alcorn State, like I said, so
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: that was kind of a bad game for them. They
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: lost as a home favorite. So I like Alabama A
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: and M.
• 21:43
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: The problem is they do play Alabama State next. That's
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: gonna be a big game for them. Although it's not
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: for a week, but playing an in state rival and
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: the conference winners that is big. And that's a neutral
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: site game as well, so it's in Mobile, Alabama. It's
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: South at Universe, City of South Alabama hosting that one.
• 22:03
  Speaker 2: By the way.
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: Kudos ESPN, by the way, because they put up the
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: historical DraftKings odds now on the on the game cast
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: page for the for the the past games. Yes, I
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: think they just started doing it so that that makes
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: my job easier, man, because I want to dig into
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: the box score and I want to see what was
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: the line in this game?
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: It helps me out, man. So it's not going to.
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: Apply going back like like it seems like they're only
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: doing it to it's only going to be applied to
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: the games that that are the most recent ones since
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: they started doing it, though, But that's better than it
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: not being there at all.
• 22:42
  Speaker 2: So there we go.
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: So I like Alabama A and M in this game, though,
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: to bounce back from that up against a team that
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: just pulled off an upset.
• 22:50
  Speaker 2: They dropped to a five and a half.
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: Way favorite, but they have sixty percent of the tickets
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: and eighty three percent of the cash on them, So
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: I do like that one. I think Alabama A and
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: M and al Obama State are my favorites of the day.
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: Alabama State, by the way. The other thing about them
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: is this is a common opponent situation as well, where
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: Alabama State just lost to Jackson State and Alcord Stage
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: just beat Jackson State. So I think the public or no, wait,
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: I'm wrong, they both lost.
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: To Jackson State.
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: I went on what I was thinking, my mistake, they
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: both lost to Jackson State.
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: Never mind, never mind?
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: All right, I thought we had a common opponent there,
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: but we did not. Okay, that's yeah, that's my breakdown
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: of college basketball.
• 23:33
  Speaker 2: Man. It's a very very ugly board.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: Today with only me x Swax, Southland, and Patriot League today.
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: I think really really ugly stuff. You know, it's ugly
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: when the televised game is a Patriot League game. But yeah,
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: I don't want to touch it. NHL. I will have
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: one play in the NHL today. We have a decent
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: sized NHL board here. Florida and Buffalo is the first
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: game up at seven pm Eastern. There are a few
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: games at seven pm. Of course, Florida just beat Ottawa.
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: They're continuing a road trip here that was two days ago.
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: They do have Carolina next, but Buffalo, they're playing well
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: enough that I don't think teams are gonna overlook Buffalo.
• 24:17
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: Buffalo is coming into this on a win streak, three
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: game win streak, and they've also won whatever this is
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: thirteen of the last fourteen games, I think something like that.
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: So they're extremely hot right now. So what do we
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: do with this game? I think both teams probably are
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: gonna show up for this one. Maybe Buffalo will come
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: in with a little bit more motivation because it is
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: against the recurring champs. Florida might get caught looking ahead
• 24:41
  Speaker 1: to Carolina is still I don't know. The money is
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: slightly on the Buffalo side of it. Looks like they're
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: kind of public as well. They're down from minus one
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: to fifteen to minus one to twelve on the money line,
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: so ousbeakers are telling you Florida is actually the slightly
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: better team eighty two percent of the tickets, ninety one
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Buffalo. I don't really have
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: much of a reason to disagree with Buffalo, but I
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: have no strong opinion on that.
• 25:07
  Speaker 2: Carolina at Detroit.
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: Carolina, they just barely got by Seattle in the last game.
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: Seattle was beating them, I.
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: Think at the beginning of the third period, so Carolina
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: kind of had an escape there. Now they're starting a
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: road trip, although it's only a two game road trip,
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: but I kind of expect Carolina.
• 25:25
  Speaker 2: Will be focused. Although they did beat.
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: Detroit five to two on December twenty seventh in Carolina.
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: Both teams I think will actually be focused here. Like
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: usually when a team starts a road trip, they will
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: be focused. And this road trip is only Detroit Saint Louis,
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: so you gotta think Detroit's gonna get more of Carolina's
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: attention than Saint Louis will. Again, coming off also a
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: performance where it wasn't great for Carolina where they barely
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: got by Seattle, now leaving home going on the road.
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: It is a positive spot in my opinion for Carolina.
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: For Detroit, they are coming off a thing win at
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: Montreal and now coming back home from that, so I
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: think the spot actually is a little bit more difficult
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: for Detroit here. And they actually have to go back
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: on the road tomorrow and play Boston. So I guess
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: lucky me is a Boston fan. We get Detroit after
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: they played Carolina and they're gonna be on a back
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: to back.
• 26:18
  Speaker 2: Bruins better win that game, man, But yeah.
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: Detroit, I think they will show up, but I think
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: the spot is a little bit more difficult for Detroit here.
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: So I actually like Carolina in this one. Although Detroit
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: looks like they're getting the money. Carolina's minus one forty
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: five on the road here. It's a little bit of
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: a steep price, I guess. So Carolina is legit seventy
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets ninety six percent of the cash
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: on Detroit though, so it looks like the money is
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: on their side. They might be a little bit public though,
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: same with Buffalo, so I don't know, but obviously this
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: is a game I'm skipping the next game up is
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: gonna be the game I'm gonna be on, you dude,
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: you know me. I'm gonna be on the ugliest things imaginable.
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: I have one NHL one NBA play today. Think about
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: which team was the ugliest out of all of them
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: in each sport in their last game. Because That's where
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: I'm going with these two plays. So best bets.
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: The first one up.
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: I know I'm breaking one of my rules with this one.
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: I guess we're gonna be on the New York Rangers,
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: even though they are at home on the money line
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty seven. It might even be a cheap price,
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: to be honest, because they're playing Seattle. Seattle's not good.
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: We're gonna fade Seattle here man. Seattle, like I said,
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: they just lost to Carolina in Carolina in a close
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: one man, and Seattle had played Minnesota in to overtime
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: the game before that on Thursday, so they have a
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: day off in between the Carolina game and today. But
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: look at what happened in this game. Like I said,
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: Seattle was winning the game two to one in the
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: third period, actually with ten minutes left in the game,
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: and then they wound up giving up two goals in
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: the remainder of the game and lost the game. Brewed
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: way to lose that game for Seattle, man, And Seattle
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: was not that good in this game either. They actually
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: did out hit Carolina, but Carolina outshot.
• 28:08
  Speaker 2: Them thirty four to twelve.
• 28:10
  Speaker 1: Carolina had fifty six percent of the face offs basically,
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: so the game was not even that good for Seattle,
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: but it was close and they almost pulled off the upset.
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: Now they gotta gonna go up to the Rangers. Rangers
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: might be a team that teams are gonna overlook at
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: this point, man, because they're sitting at five hundred, not
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: including the ot losses. They're just not looking very good
• 28:30
  Speaker 1: right now. And Seattle does have New Jersey next. Don't
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: know if that's gonna be a look ahead, but New
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: Jersey I believe does have a better record than the
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: Rangers right now. Nima off for the Rangers. Yeah, I
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: said their last game was ugly. Oh yeah, it was
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: about as ugly as he can get.
• 28:46
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: They lost ten to two to my Boston Bruins in Boston.
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: So I think we want to jump in on the
• 28:54
  Speaker 2: Rangers here. Man.
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: Quick was in Nettigan for that one. Sergina might be hurt,
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: so that is a little bit of a concern here. Yeah,
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: he's on the ir right now, so that is a
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: concern for the Rangers here. I don't know who's gonna
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: be in net for them here, but I like this anyway, man,
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: tend to to. I mean, that is such an outlier loss, Like,
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: there are no stats on this. Give me the stats
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: for an NHL team. How well do they do after
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: they lose by eight goals? Okay, I know the Devils
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: didn't get it done after they lost by nine, nine
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: to nothing, but still, I think as a general rule,
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: when a team loses this badly, you gotta consider looking
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: towards them in the next game. Man, nobody wants to
• 29:35
  Speaker 1: lose ten to two. That is just madness.
• 29:37
  Speaker 2: That is insane.
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up and do a lot
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: better in this game. Man, I don't think I really
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: care who's in net for the Rangers in this one.
• 29:45
  Speaker 2: I think they.
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: Should be able to get this done. They're in a
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: better spot here. I know the Rangers are really really
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: bad at home, but this is a spot where I
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna get this thing done. So that is
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: what we're going with. And I know Seattle's actually okay
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: on the road too, but the spot just screams Rangers
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: to me in this one as a huge bounce back
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: for them and is at the very least a hangover
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: spot for Seattle and potentially a sandwich spot. Rangers sitting
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: at minus one thirty five according to pre game. But
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: the best thing I saw was one thirty seven ninety
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: two of the cash on them, fifty percent of the
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: tickets on well both sides, fifty to fifty for the tickets.
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: So the money, the real money looks like it is
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: on the Rangers in that game, at least with the
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: early market read.
• 30:28
  Speaker 2: That is the play. My only hockey play of the
• 30:31
  Speaker 2: day is that one.
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: We have Tampa Bay at Philadelphia, which will be an
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: interesting game. Both teams playing good hockey.
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: Right now.
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay has won a bunch of games in a row.
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: I think that's eight or nine games in a row,
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: something like that. Nine games in a row, I believe,
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: but this is also a second meeting in a row.
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay just won at Philadelphia seven to two, So
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: you know, my instinct done that is to look for
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: the zig zag because that's kind of an outlier of
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: a result, right, seven to two, So I think you
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: do kind of want to look towards the team that
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: was on the wrong side of the seven to two
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: game in the next game, and these teams are playing again,
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: because the team that lost badly will have the adjustments
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: to make. You got to dive into the box score
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: and see, like what happened in this game, was that
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: a misleading final? I would say yeah, I mean seven
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: to two is always a misleading final in hockey. Philadelphia
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: was the way more physical team with way more hits.
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: The shot disparity was not much, it was only Tampa
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: plus three. Tampa did win a ton of the faceoffs though,
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: sixty three percent.
• 31:34
  Speaker 2: That was really.
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: The main Like, just like the the stat that Tampa
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: Bay really dominated in the game was the faceoffs. They
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: were kind of possession dominant in the game. But I
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: do think that the way that I would lead in
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: this game has to be Philadelphia. I would lean towards
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: the zig Zag in this one. I don't think Tampa
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: has a reason to overlook them again other than.
• 31:58
  Speaker 2: The fact that they just beat them.
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: So it's like, well, if you just beat them, everything
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: works so what do you have to share. You have
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: nothing to change in the next game, right, whereas Philadelphia
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: has all the adjustments to make. Now Tampa Bay does
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: play Pittsburgh tomorrow, is that really a look ahead?
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: Tampa did lose to them on December fourth, so maybe
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: Tampa lost at home to Pittsburgh back then. So I
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: guess you could make the argument that maybe they will
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: slightly look ahead, maybe they won't take Philadelphia seriously after
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: they crush them. I think it's Philadelphia for me or
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: pass on the game. Looking at the market, Reid on
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: this one, where is it at? The money is slightly
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: indicating on the Tampa side for now, but I don't
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: know if that's gonna change by the time the game happens.
• 32:42
  Speaker 2: They're up to a minus one fifty.
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: Five favorite, which is a pretty large road favorite, which
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: the Oswegers are telling you Tampa Bay is good and
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: maybe Philadelphia is not as good.
• 32:51
  Speaker 2: As the record looks.
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: Fifty four percent of the tickets, fifty eight percent of
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: the cash on Tampa Bay. But yeah, again, that game
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: is fill of your pass like line or make your
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: own puck line or something like that. In that one,
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: Garrett what's up, man, Panthers would have played the Bears,
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: that would have been that would have been a real
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: ugly game. Man, do you really think the Panthers would
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: have been able to win in cold weather? Though?
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: I mean, that's why concerned with the Rams.
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: The Rams are gonna have to play in cold weather there,
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: that's my one concern with it, because I like the
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: Rams in that game quite a bit.
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, the.
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: Bears would have been a favorite against Carolina though unfortunately,
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: and actually no, I actually think Carolina would have been
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: in trouble. I think if they beat the Rams like
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: that was a game where Carolina put in all their energy,
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: it was like one of those teams they're not expected
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: to even be in the playoffs.
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: Basically they just shoot their wad in the first game.
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: So no, I think Carolina would have lost if they
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: played chic Even if they played Chicago or Chicago they're
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: not good. But well, I don't know, because Chicago treated
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: that Green Bay game like their Super Bowl, So I
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: don't know, But I think Carolina, if they'd pulled off
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: that huge upset, they would not have had much left
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: in the tank at all.
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: Although I think the better way to do it.
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: If it was Carolina versus Chicago, the better way to
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: do it would be over most likely, I would say,
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: even though both teams played over games in the first round.
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: It's cold there. Yeah, but come on, Carolina. I mean,
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: you're talking about Carolina like, I don't know. They don't
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: They just don't play in cold weather typically, so I
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: think it would have been a problem for them, although
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: I thought Caleb Williams well, Caleb Williams still wasn't good though,
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: but I thought it would be enough that he wouldn't
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: win the game in cold weather because he's a pussy
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: and Jordan love is and we're used to playing in
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: the cold weather.
• 34:50
  Speaker 2: Vancouver at Montreal.
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: Vancouver's lost six games in a row, including basically no
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: showing in a spot where they should have had they
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: we caught Toronto in a bad spot.
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: Toronto was in a bad spot. Man.
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: We had Vancouver here on the show in that game
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: five nothing lost, Just horrific. I don't know what this
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: Vancouver team is doing. They should bounce back. I mean,
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: giving up five goals in three games in a row,
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: something's got to give. They gotta show up and play
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: better than this. So at least I think you're gonna
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: get some effort out of them.
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: I would hope.
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: But Montreal did just get shut out at home as well,
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: but it was to a pretty good Detroit team, and
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: they do have Washington on deck tomorrow, so there is
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: maybe an argument to me made that this is a
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot for Montreal, although I could also see the
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: argument both teams will show up. There's nothing percentage wise
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: in this game to give me any market indicators here.
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: Montreal is a minus one seventy eight favorite. In that game,
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: I'll slightly lean to Vancouver, but I really.
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: Don't have a feel for that one.
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: New Jersey at Minnesota, and it would be Vancouver on
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: like the puck line, Jersey, they've lost four games in
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: a row. They did just lose four to three to Winnipeg.
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: It was a close, tough game that was yesterday as well.
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: So it's a little bit of a difficult scheduling spot
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: for New Jersey because they played yesterday, but they had
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: two days off before that and losing to Winnipeg.
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: At this point is it's not something that's gonna hang
• 36:19
  Speaker 2: you over. Really, let's just put it that way.
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: I think New Jersey should show up at least for
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: a game against Minnesota, but they might get tired because
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: they played yesterday. Minnesota did not play yesterday. They played
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: on Saturday. It was a return home spot for them.
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: They lost in overtime. I talk about those return home spots, man,
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: These teams could get distracted not do well. It was
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: an overtime loss for Minnesota. Now, I could see this
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: going both ways from Minnesota now too, because they didn't
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: exactly play bad in that game. And if a team
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: does play bad in that first game back home, I
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: think they bounced back and they play well in the
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: second game. Maybe you could argue that will be the
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: case of Minnesota, or but you could also make the
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: argument they played hard in that game and that was
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: a tough game against the Islanders, and now they could
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: be hung over off of that. I could see it
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: going both ways here, man, Minnesota's up for minus one
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: seventy eight to minus one eighty five.
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: No market percentages on.
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: This yet, I'll slightly lean to Minnesota, and it being
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: the second game back home, I'll lean towards them bouncing
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: back a little bit. Plus New Jersey played yesterday, but
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be factoring into the line.
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: A little bit. I don't love the game at all.
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: And if you play Minnesota, you do have to like
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: make your own minus one puck line or something like that,
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: or go over their team total or something because the
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: defense might be effected on the New Jersey side having
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: played yesterday, and we don't know who, well, we do
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: know who's gonna be in net for New Jersey. It'll
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: be whoever wasn't in net yesterday between Allen and mark Strom.
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: Edmonton is at Chicago. Edmonton lost in a shootout to
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: the Kings at home back on the tenth on Saturday.
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: Now they're going to Chicago. I think Edmonton might show
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: up for this because they really don't have this game
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: surrounded by anything that big for Chicago. They did just
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: beat Nashville three to nothing, and I talked about Chicago Nashville.
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: Those teams really don't like each other. That was a
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: pretty nice win for Chicago.
• 38:14
  Speaker 2: Big win.
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: Chicago looks like they have some goaltending injuries right now
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: because they've used Comesso for two straight games, so I
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: don't know what's going on with them. Anyways, they used
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: them in back to back days too. I don't know
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: what is going on with Chicago's goaltending right now. I
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: don't know who's gonna be a net for them tonight.
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: I guess we could look why did they do that?
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: Night is day to day and then sodaboom. They're both
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: day to day, So I don't know. So I expect
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: probably one of those two guys will will play in
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: this game. I don't know what's going on with them,
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: but I would probably mean to Edmonton in this game,
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: even though Chicago probably should get up for a game
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: it's Edmonton. But the spot is not bad for Edmonton.
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: The money seems in agreement with that. They're down for
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: minus one seventy three to minus one sixty five, but
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of tickets on them and seventy eight
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, so the money is
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: on them. Toronto is at Colorado. Toronto just beat Vancouver
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: five to nothing. Like I said, I thought they might
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: get caught looking ahead to Colorado, and that didn't happen.
• 39:15
  Speaker 2: Now they're starting a road trip. I talk about it.
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: When teams start road trips, they tend to be focused.
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, as if playing Colorado wasn't gonna give you
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: enough focus.
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: Should be a focused.
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: Spot for Toronto at the very least, but Colorado's a
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: very good team. Colorado's coming up an easy one over Columbus.
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: Don't know if Colorado's gonna be feeling a bit too
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: high on themselves after winning by a combined.
• 39:39
  Speaker 2: Twelve to two score over the last two games.
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: But they don't really have anything to look ahead to either,
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: and they have three days off after this, so I
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: don't know. It's possible they just go through the motions
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: here against Toronto. It's possible they also show up. Hard
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: to read this game, Colorado's down for my sixty and
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: two fifty seven on the money line. The tickets in
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: ninety six percent of the cash on Colorado for now,
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: so it looks like the money might be on their side.
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, if you want Colorado, you gotta lay like
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: a puck line on them, though, And I don't know
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: if I don't think i'd be willing to do that,
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: especially when Toronto's at least in a positive spot and
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: probably should show up. And then Dallas at Los Angeles
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: is the final game here. Dallas just lost an over
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: in an overtime game to San Jose, not a great
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: loss for Dallas. Dallas is on a slide right now,
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: losing seven of their last eight, but staying in California
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: right now, staying in the Pacific time zone, maybe they
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: will show up for this one. That game against San
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: Jose was a little bit difficult because they were flying
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: cross country from east to west, had to play a
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: late night game. But now that they're adjusted to the
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: Pacific time zone, maybe they will show up for this.
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: For the Kings, they were turning on from a road
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: treble that was only a Friday Saturday trip to Winnipeg
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: and then Edmonton, but they also finished it by eating
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: Edmonton to shootout. So even though, yeah, obviously they should
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: get up for a game against Dallas, but might be
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: difficult because the returning home, I don't know if there's
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: gonna be real, like all those distractions coming into play,
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: just because they haven't been away for that long, But
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: having to put in a big effort after you just
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: pulled off the upset over Edmonton could be a little
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: bit difficult.
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: So I kind of lean Dallas in this game. The money,
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: I don't know if the money's really agreeing with it
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: or not. Dallas is down for minus one twenty to
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: minus one to seventeen seventy five percent of the tickets.
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: It's seventy seven percent of the cash on Dallas.
• 41:35
  Speaker 2: Hard to gauge.
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: It almost looks easy to play Dallas though, because they
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: were a pretty small moneyline favorite there.
• 41:41
  Speaker 2: But that is the way that I lean in that game.
• 41:44
  Speaker 2: But no, no strong opinion on that one, obviously.
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: All right, NBA, we have six NBA games. The first
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: game up is my play. I told you, man, I
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: told you we were gonna play on the teams that
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: were the ugliest in their last game. And yet that
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: is what we're doing, because, of course, if we're gonna
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: play on a team that gave up ten goals in
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: their last game in hockey, of course in the NBA,
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: we're gonna play on a team that gave up one
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: hundred and fifty points in their last game.
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: We're gonna be on.
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: The Utah Jazz plus thirteen against the Cleveland Cavaliers.
• 42:16
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: Yeah, let's do it, man, uh Utah As I said,
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: they just lost by fifty five points. They lost one
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: hundred and fifty to ninety five in Utah to Charlotte.
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, come on, this is like, this is as
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: ugly as a cats man I think Marknen missed that game.
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: Uh so he's Utah's best player right now. He missed
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: that game, and I believe he is going to be
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: back in this game.
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: Let me see.
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: I don't see any news on him, but I didn't
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: see him on the injury report today, so I believe
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: he's back. He is active, So I know that technically
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: makes it a reverse injured player spot whatever, but Utah
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: didn't play well in the injured player spot.
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: Okay, they got.
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: Absolutely annihilated, So I think that annihilates the injured player
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: theory set up here where no team wants to lose
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: like that, especially at home. So I think it might
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: be good for Utah to just get out of there,
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: go on the road face a team that you might
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: be focused on. Utah was kind of in a bad spot,
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: by the way in that game, even though yeah, it
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: was technically the injured player spot, But look at what
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: Utah did the prior couple of games. They're playing a
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: third game in four days, and they'd take an okayc
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: into overtime on the road, and they didn't suffer the
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: hangover after that, and they beat us on the show.
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: In the very next night, they beat Dallas, so I
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: think they had nothing left in the tank at all
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: for that Charlotte game. Now they get a day off,
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: they get to reset going on the road, they might
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: have been looking ahead to this Cleveland game potentially. I
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up for this one. I think
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: market and will be back, so that should help them out. Cleveland,
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: I think is also in a bad spots. Cleveland just
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: beating Minnesota, not the biggest win, but still a pretty
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: big win. They zigzagged after losing Minnesota. They got the
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: win against Minnesota. Now they play Utah, another Western Conference
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: team and a bad one that they might just overlook,
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: especially after how bad Utah was in their previous game.
• 44:10
  Speaker 2: And Cleveland, I.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: Think they might have a look ahead here, man, because
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: they played Philadelphia on Wednesday and Friday, both on ESPN
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: games in ESPN games, and then they play Oklahoma City
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: in an after noon game on what is it is that?
• 44:26
  Speaker 2: Like? Is that MLK Day or something?
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: Why they're after noon games on January nineteenth, probably, and
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: that's an NBC game. So these are three bigger games
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: coming up next for Cleveland, man, So I think it's
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: a sandwich spot and it's a huge bounce back spot
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: for the jazz. We're taking the jazz plus the thirteen
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: fifty nine percent of the tickets fifty six percent of
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: the cash on Cleveland. I do worry that it's a
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: very high total two fifty and a half and the number,
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: and then the money's coming into the over So taking points.
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: Is a little bit crazier when it's it's old this high.
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: But I think it's the only way that I could
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: look at this game man Utah plus the points.
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: Although I know Utah is also bad on the road.
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: I know four and thirteen horrible.
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: Cleveland is not there at least is not dominant at
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: home at fourteen and nine, and of course we don't
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: need Utah to win the game out right, So that's
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: the play. It is the college football Championship later that night,
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: but I I don't know.
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: I don't think that's really the reason. I don't know.
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: I think it is MLK Day, I'm pretty sure, isn't it.
• 45:35
  Speaker 2: I think that's why.
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: I think because it's a holiday, you get a bunch
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: of afternoon sports, probably a bunch of afternoon college basketball
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: as well. Gonna make my job more difficult on that Monday. Okay, Yeah,
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: my boss is Celtics at Indiana. The Celtics did already
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: beat Indiana twice recently, so Celtics could potentially look past
• 45:55
  Speaker 1: Indiana here, man, the Celtics is coming up a big
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: loss San Antonio, big game, and by the way, there
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: were some there was some biased reffing in that game. Okay,
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: San Antonio took like twenty something free throws and the
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: Celtics only took four free throw attempts, so there was
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: some bias reffing in that game.
• 46:15
  Speaker 2: For sure. It was bullshit.
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: Now, the Celtics star a road trip, but they do
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: play Miami next, so it is possible they overlook Indiana
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: for Indiana. You know, they're gonna show up at least
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: for a game against the Celtics. Although Indiana did just
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: beat the Heat so that was a pretty big win
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: for them, and they beat them handily by twenty four points,
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: so they might be riding a little bit high off
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: of that, although obviously they're not gonna overlook the Celtics now.
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: The one good thing for the Celtics is that this
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: is actually an injured player theory spot now, well sort of,
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: I guess, because Jalen Brown is hurt so he's not
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: playing in this game, although I.
• 46:52
  Speaker 2: Don't know if he's hurt or if he's hurt.
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: Because he was yelling at the refs in that game
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: for the bias repfing and he got fined for only
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: get the refs, So.
• 47:02
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know if he's if he's injured, and they're
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: holding him out for this game for that reason. But
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: because he's out, maybe the Celtics will know that they
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: have to step up their level of game a little
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: bit because Brown is out. But I'd be leaning towards
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: fading the Celtics in the spot though. Anyway, seventy percent
• 47:20
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, sixty eight percent of the cash on
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: the Celtics. Uh, they dropped from nine to six. So
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: that was because of Brown not playing in the game.
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: That's why the line moved like that. But I would
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: probably take the points with the Pacers. That game is
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: on Peacock. It's it's the only televised NBA game of
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: the night.
• 47:38
  Speaker 2: Zach, what's up man? Thanks for hanging out.
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: Of Philadelphia at Toronto. This game is a a second
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: meeting in a row. This is a potential zigzag here
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: where Philadelphia did lose an overtime. Does that mean those
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: zigzag and they'll make adjustments to play better in this game.
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know, Because they do play Cleveland twice next
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: on ESPN, so so there is the potential that's a
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: look ahead spoder. And this game was tough for both teams,
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: so I don't know if I see much of a
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: zigzag opportunity here. If you look at the stats in
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: this game, the major outlier was that Philadelphia had a
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: ton of turnovers twenty two turnovers. Other than that, I
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: don't see a whole lot like Philadelphia actually outshot the
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: Raptors in the game, but the Raptors had a real
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: outlier low three point percentage in the games. That might
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: mean the Raptors would bounce back from that, and then yeah,
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: Philly should be able to clean up some of those
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: turnovers a little bit. So I can see positive regression
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: coming for both of those teams in this game.
• 48:37
  Speaker 2: So I can't figure out a side in this one.
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: It is possible both teams show up for the game
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: again and Toronto.
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: Has less to look ahead to.
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: They only have Indiana to look ahead too, so they're
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: in the better situational spot that way. Although the money
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: is coming in on the Sixers. I'm not really gonna
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: disagree with the Sixers because I do think they might
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: be able to have more adjustments to make off of
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: that loss, and maybe they'll get the win this time.
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: I'm assuming they were also a favorite in that other game.
• 49:06
  Speaker 2: Let's see if ESPN tells us. Let's see if they
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: put up the DraftKings' odds. Had they put them up
• 49:13
  Speaker 2: on these games yet? Yeah?
• 49:15
  Speaker 1: They did so Philadelphia, and Philadelphia was a one and
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite in that game, and now they're
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: a three and a half point favorite, So there's no
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: real line value there. Although actually that was probably because
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: Embiid didn't play in that game though, so I think
• 49:30
  Speaker 1: it was the Embiid situation, so he might play in
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: this one.
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: Let me see, will he play today? I don't know,
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: let me see.
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: Paul George also missed that game, by the way, so
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know. So it was a game where George
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: was out, it should have been an injured player spot.
• 49:47
  Speaker 1: I guess for Philadelphia in that case, and they it's
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: not like they played poorly. I mean, they lost in
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: overtime to a decent Raptor team there, but we got
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: to see what's gonna happen with Philly today man George embiid.
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: We don't know if either of them are playing today.
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: We don't see any news on them yet, so that
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: is the issue there. I believe that game was yesterday
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: as well, so both teams have no rest. Here could
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: be a game where maybe an over makes sense because
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: the teams are on the back to back totals up
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: a little bit to two twenty one.
• 50:17
  Speaker 2: It's a pretty low total, and.
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: I think an over might make sense. Sixty per tickets,
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of the cash on the over. Again,
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: it's a back to back where you might have fatigue
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: on both sides, which could affect the defenses for the Sixers.
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: It looks like either em beat or George is probably
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: playing for that line to be up at three and
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: a half. But I would I would watch the injury
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: report that I just don't want to try to I
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: would not want to try to predict what's gonna happen
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: as far as the Sixers line up here. I don't
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: want to play this game obviously, seventy percent of tickets,
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: seventy four percent of the cash on the Sixers for
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: what it's worth.
• 50:57
  Speaker 2: Fire the offensive coordinator.
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: Is that even a thing in basketball is an offensive coordinators?
• 51:06
  Speaker 2: What? That's not a thing? Right? You have I don't know.
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: You have a head coach and you have assistant coaches.
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: I have no idea. Oh you're oh, you're talking about
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: the Eagles. The Eagles want to fire their OCA. That
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: makes a lot of sense. Yeah, their offense has been awful. Yeah, correct,
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: All right, I.
• 51:26
  Speaker 2: Was thrown off because we were talking about these seventy
• 51:28
  Speaker 2: six ers. All right, Brooklyn at Dallas. We gotta win
• 51:33
  Speaker 2: on Brooklyn.
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: Yesterday they covered against Memphis, but now they're on a
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: back to back, traveling from Memphis to Dallas. Third game
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: in four days, all in different cities, not gonna be easy,
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: and they only played New Orleans and next so so
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: I don't really know if it's a look ahead or
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: anything like that. They might try to show up for
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: a game against Dallas, but it's a difficult lack of
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: resspot for Brooklyn here. Dallas is returning over from a
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: road trip though where they went to Sacramento, Pacific Coast,
• 52:01
  Speaker 1: then into elevation to Utah and then to Chicago, and
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: now they're returning back home.
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: They've been away for almost a week, so I think
• 52:09
  Speaker 2: this is actually.
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: It is pretty much a return home spot here, like
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: one of the typical ones where I think they might
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: overlook their opponent, but of course it's Brooklyn. They're easy
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: to overlook. So this is a bad spot for Dallas.
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: They might look past Brooklyn. They might be distracted having
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: a return back to home life, and they have to
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: play Denver next on ESPN on Wednesday, so that's a
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: big game looming on the horizons.
• 52:35
  Speaker 2: This is a horrible spot for Dallas.
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: So I actually think I would probably still need to
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: the Brooklyn Nets in this one, to be honest, even
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: though I don't really want to touch it, because the
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: Nets are on the back to back and they played
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: well yesterday, so they put in a big effort, so
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: I worry about that might be factoring into the line
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Mavericks are down from four to three,
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: with Juice three and a half, maybe seventy five percent
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: of the tickets fifty percent of the cash on the MAVs.
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: I still lean to the Nets here. I mean that
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: spot is awful for the Mavericks, like that is a
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: spot where I would be fading the MAVs, like other
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: than the like there's almost no situation where I wouldn't
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: jump in and fade the MAVs here, except that the
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: Nets play it and cover the spread yesterday.
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: That's it.
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: So what the Eagles are hurting from the loss yesterday?
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: Where the Nets are I don't know if I don't
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: know if the Nets are hurting. I just worried that
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: the Nets are a little bit tired off of that.
• 53:35
  Speaker 2: But yes, the Eagles. That was painful. Even though I'm
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: not a fan of the Eagles.
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: I was not happy because I can't get a fucking
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: NFL game right. The Lakers are going to Sacramento. The
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: Lakers have had two days off, which might be helpful
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: to break their losing momentum. They're coming out of a
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: loss at home to the Milwaukee Bucks. Not a good loss,
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: but Giannis was back. He's been back for a while.
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: The Lakers were coming out a tough game at San Antonio,
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: so they were returning over from a road trip as well.
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: Although it was a quick road trip, but it was
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: kind of a bad spot for them against the Milwaukee
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: So I think leaving town and just going to Sacramento
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: might actually be good for them. Lakers get to just
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: go out and beat up on a hapless Kings team here.
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: I know the Kings should show up because it's the
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: Lakers and they lost the last time to the Lakers.
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: Whatever Kings played yesterday though, and they beat the Houston
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: Rockets by thirteen points, man, So that was a big
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: win for Sacramento and it did break a long lost
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: street for them, so in a way, that should give
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: them some momentum moving forward. But that was a huge
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: win for them, man, I just don't know what they're
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: gonna have left in the tank, playing a third game
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: in four day's, playing on a back to back against
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: the Laker team that actually might be focused in this one.
• 54:51
  Speaker 2: So I don't like the Kings in this one. Man.
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: The money is coming into the Lakers seventy one percent tickets,
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: eighty nine percent of the cash on them.
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: They dropped from.
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: Eleven and an to nine. I don't know if that's
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: because there's some injury situation here. Austin Reeves is still out.
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: I assume he's been out for a while, so there's
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: no change there, So I don't know why the Lakers
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: would have dropped to a nine point favorite. Also, Sacramento
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: is without Dennis shrad or because he suspended. He already
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: missed the previous game, by the way, so the game
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: that he missed was the game that they blew other opponents.
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: They blew Houston out without Shrade or so whatever. But
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: second game without Shrader, they might have a major setback here.
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: But it wasn't an injured player spot.
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: It was a suspended player spot, and I don't think
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: that's as powerful as an injured player spot because the
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: suspension is kind of more of a distraction. Potentially, Schrader
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: got suspended for I believe he like punched somebody on
• 55:51
  Speaker 1: whatever team, but on Golden State. So he got suspended
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: for throwing hands man against Golden State. It was probably
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: against Draymond Green or something, because that guy's a total jackass.
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, but whatever, that's what's going on
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: with Sacramento. Schrader is still suspended for this game and
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: possibly one more game. I lean to the Lakers in
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: that game though, minus the points. Then we have Charlotte
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: at LA I mean at the Clippers obviously because they
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: just talked about the Lakers. Charlotte is coming out that
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: five win at Utah, Like I said, coming down out
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: of elevation to go to LA. But they're playing the
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: Clippers and then they play the Lakers next, so I
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: think they might overlook the Clippers.
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: Man, they might be looking ahead to the Lakers, and
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: then they got Golden State Denver ESPN game against Cleveland
• 56:39
  Speaker 2: when they return home. So I think it's a bad
• 56:41
  Speaker 2: spot for Charlotte.
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: I lean to the Clippers in this game, however, well,
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: I should say I would lean to the Clippers in
• 56:49
  Speaker 1: this game. However, they were turning over from a road
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: trip that they've been on since Wednesdays. Not a long
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: road trip, but they went out to the East Coast
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: and they finished the road trip by beating to Try
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: So they could actually be in a letdown spot here, man,
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: although they don't have anything up next, but it is
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: still a return home spot where you gotta get back.
• 57:07
  Speaker 2: To home life.
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: You can encounter some distractions because of that. Maybe they
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: don't fully focus on Charlotte. So I can't get involved, man,
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: I can't deal with it. Like both teams are in
• 57:18
  Speaker 1: bad spots. Clippers down from five and a half to
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: four and a half. So the market Reid is.
• 57:21
  Speaker 2: Saying to take the points of the Hornets for what
• 57:24
  Speaker 2: it's worth fifty eight percent of the tickets, fifty four
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash and the Clippers. The more I think.
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: About it, I mean, I don't know, because the fading
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: the return home spot is one of the strongest angles
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: in these daily sports. So you know, maybe thinking about it,
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: maybe I do agree with the Hornets, but both teams
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: are just.
• 57:41
  Speaker 2: In awful spots.
• 57:43
  Speaker 1: So I can't do it. But I gave you my
• 57:46
  Speaker 1: one play there on the Jazz. Let's go to NFL here,
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: we do have a Monday Night in a vel game here,
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: and I'm conflicted about this game to some extent.
• 57:55
  Speaker 2: Here.
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: It is the last remaining game of the wild Card
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: Round on esp and it is a Monday night football game.
• 58:03
  Speaker 1: Houston at Pittsburgh is this game, and whoever wins this
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: game will be going to New England. Now, Houston is
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: definitely the better team. I'm not gonna deny that. Houston
• 58:13
  Speaker 1: obviously has the better defense. Both offenses are a bit lackluster.
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: So what do we do with this game?
• 58:21
  Speaker 2: Right?
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: Well, the total is really low. It's down from thirty
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: nine and a half to thirty eight.
• 58:25
  Speaker 2: And a half.
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: The money's coming in on the under regardless of how low,
• 58:29
  Speaker 1: that is, and it's low for a reason. So I
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: do like the under in this game.
• 58:34
  Speaker 2: Fifty two percent of the tickets on the over, fifty
• 58:36
  Speaker 2: eight percent of cash.
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: And the under money coming in the under. I agree
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: with the under as well. I think we're looking at
• 58:44
  Speaker 1: so we're looking at a Steeler offense that isn't really
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: that good, and we're talking about the Texans d which
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: is one of the best in football. So I don't
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: see the Steelers being able to do a ton offensively
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: in this game. Steelers also can't really run the football.
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: So it's gonna be on the shoulders of the old
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: man Aaron Rodgers here. And maybe he's up for it though,
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: because he is obviously he's a Hall of Fame quarterback,
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: he's a Super Bowl winner for Houston. Their offense might
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: struggle as well because we're talking about C. J. Stroud
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: and the cold year in Stroud, he only has one
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: road win ever in an outdoor environment from December onward.
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: It was this year at Kansas City and that was
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: the game where I had a loss on Kansas City
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: in that game. I don't know how much weight we
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: want to put into that, but Stroud and this Texas
• 59:33
  Speaker 1: offense have not done well in these cold road games,
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: so that might take away from Houston's offense here. It's
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: not like Houston's offense is that prolific anyway. So I
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: do like the under and that's probably the better way
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: to play this game. But as far as the side, yeah,
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: playoffs Monday night. This started when they switched to the
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: seventeen format or whatever you want to call it. I
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: think they started doing Monday night playoff games.
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 2: Playoffs.
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't hate I mean, there are a
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: lot of things that I hate more about the NFL
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: than having playoff games on a Monday night.
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 2: I don't have too much of a beef with that.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: But the fact that this game is going to be
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: solow scoring, I think it does kind of make sense
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: to take the points, so I do lean that way.
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: I lean towards the Steelers, although we do see.
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: Sixty one percent of the tickets and sixty eight percent
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: of the casual on the Texans. I know, I have
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: the Steelers winning the game in my bracket and then
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: getting bounced by Denver, which is not gonna happen anymore
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: because Buffalo is going to Denver. But yeah, the money's
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: coming in on the Texans, at least for now. But
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: I think the Texas are going to be a pretty
• 1:00:38
  Speaker 1: public side here, man. Even though the Steelers had a
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: huge game last week to get into the playoffs, they
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: beat the Ravens, that was a big game. Obviously, Texans
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: didn't play well against the Colts. So the Texans did
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: have a lackluster final game where they didn't need to
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: win it they were already in the playoffs. But they
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: did actually still win even though they almost lost to
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: Riley Leonard and the Colts. And really the only reason
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: the Colts lost that game was because Riley Leonard had
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: two fumbles in the game. He actually looked pretty good
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: given that he was going up against a Texans d
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: He just the ball security just wasn't there, but sometimes
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: that's the case of the rookies. But his passing numbers
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: are pretty good in the game, So maybe the Colts
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: actually have something with Riley Leonard. I don't know, man,
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: it remains to be seen, but he was not bad
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: in the game outside of the fumbles, and I think
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: he might have thrown one pick as well. But the
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: turnovers are really why the Texans were able to win
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: that game, but it was a game where the Texans
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: didn't need to win it. So the Steelers are definitely
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: coming off the more difficult game last week, that's for sure,
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: and it was the last game to be played.
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: It was the night game.
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: But I think the fact that they get to play
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: on Monday kind of balances that out a little bit,
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: so that gives them that day of rest that they
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: might need. This is, of course, the playoffs playoffs, so
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: we don't really need to worry about motivation here.
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 2: Obviously, both teams are motivated playoffs. Don't talk about the playoffs.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: You kidding me? Playoffs. I just hope we can win
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: a game another game, So.
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: I don't remember where I was going with that train
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: of thought. But yeah, we can worry about the Texans
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: being in a cold weather environment. Public definitely is on
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: the Texans now. The Texans, they do have recent playoff experience,
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: of course, because they were here last year. The Texans
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 1: won a playoff game last year. Of course, it was
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: a home game, and then they lost to the Chiefs.
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: After they beat Texas beat the Chargers at home in
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: the playoffs last year. That was a win for us
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 1: on the show here, So yes, they're experienced, but the
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: Steelers have a very experienced quarterback as well, obviously, Aaron Rodgers.
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: And we have a couple of trends that are going
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: on here with whole underdogs in the playoffs. Hole underdogs
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: in general do very well in the playoffs, and we
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: already saw it happen once with the only real home
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: underdog this weekend was Carolina, and they of course covered
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: pretty easily. Home dogs do well man, but especially home
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: dogs of four or more, which doesn't apply here. But
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: we're still looking at a home dog of three here.
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: Home dogs do still do well here. Now the home
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: dogs that the other home dogs that we had this
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: weekend were like one one and a half point dogs.
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: I don't really count those ones. So I think that
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: there are trends that favor that there are trends that
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: look favorable to the Steelers because they are in this
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: home dog position here. But there is one that Brian
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: Power from wager Talk talked about in his playoff.
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: Trends video, which I pointed out. I you can go
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: check that.
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: I think it's on the wager Talk ESPN channel or
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: Wayser Talking. We see ESPN waiser Talk YouTube channel. Got
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: him so out of it. Wager Talk YouTube channel and
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: Picks and Parlays, I think Double posted it on YouTube,
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: but he talked about another trend that I was unaware of,
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: and he didn't mention that it applied to the Steelers
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: this week.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: So I commented on his.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: Video letting him know, Hey, that trend applies to the Steelers, baby,
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: which is I don't remember exactly what he said the
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: number was, but super Bowl winning quarterbacks when they're underdogs
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs at any point, whether they're home or away,
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: super Bowl winning quarterbacks who are an underdog against a
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: non super Bowl winning quarterback, they do really well in
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: the playoffs.
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: And that applies to this game.
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: So there are some trends that favor Aaron Rodgers here
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: and the Steelers as a super Bowl winning quarterback as
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: an underdog, and the Steelers as a home underdike here.
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I'm gonna lean to the Steelers in this
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: one man. And the trend that I talked about with
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: Clint the other day on bald I forgot about this
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: probably the craziest trend that applies to this game. And
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: if you like the Steelers, maybe you should be happy.
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: This is a Monday night game because the Steelers have
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: won twenty five Monday night home game in a row.
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 1: They haven't lost the Monday night home game for like
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: a few decades or something. And people claim that, yeah,
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: they did lose one against Washington in twenty twenty because
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: it was technically a game that started on a Monday
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: at five pm. But that was not a Monday night
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: football game. It was a Fox game that got moved
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: from Sunday to Monday because of all the COVID bullshit,
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: So that game wasn't a Monday night game.
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: But even so, okay, so you're gonna fade a.
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 1: Twenty five and one trend then, But no, the official
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: Monday night football games Steelers at home.
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 2: They've won twenty five games in a row.
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: So that is a crazy trend, dude, And I don't
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: know how it applied, like how it continues throughout the years.
• 1:05:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know why that's the case with the Steelers
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: are really really good Monday night home games.
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 2: Man. So I do like the Steelers in this one.
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: Not gonna get there with it as a play though
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: I have my concerns about it, but I would lean Steelers.
• 1:05:56
  Speaker 1: You can probably get plus three on it even in
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: minus one fifteen, that's not awful. That's what I would do,
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: just to make sure you get that key number. I
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: wouldn't want to pay more than about minus one twenty
• 1:06:05
  Speaker 1: four it. You should be able to find a three.
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: You might be able to find a three minus one ten,
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: especially because the public is gonna come in and get
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: involved and they're gonna play Houston in this game. So
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: that is what we're looking at here. I want to
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: see the weather here real quick. It is going to
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: be cold thirty three degrees, although it looks like clear weather,
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: but cold thirty three degrees. And like I said, the
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: rain had already gone through last night the New England game, but.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 2: It was still cold.
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: It was a freezing temperature game last night in New England,
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: which I think did impact the San Diego or sorry,
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: the LA Chargers offense. And that plus probably had some
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: impact on Herbert's broken hand man. So Chargers kind of
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: got screwed having to play that game.
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: In cold weather.
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: And I know multiple professional betters who liked the Chargers
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: plus the points plus the three and a half last night.
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: I agreed with it.
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: I didn't give it out as a playoff obviously because
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: I had a lot of concerns with that weather. But
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, people like will keep saying like you don't
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: want to overrate weather. But I think when a team,
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: when they are like really really strong trends against like
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: indoor teams playing outdoors in the cold, I that is
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: something you have to look at because it is actually
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: a pretty strong trend.
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 2: So that is something to keep in mind. And that
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: does actually apply to this game as well.
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: By the way, So the same thing that applied to
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: the Chargers last night, an indoor team playing outdoors in
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: sub forty temperatures, that trend applies after last night. It
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: applied to the Chargers after that. Those teams are now
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: in like a one in fifteen or one in sixteen run.
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: So that's not good. I forget if that's against the
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: spread or straight up, but yeah, these indoor teams, they
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: do not do well in freezing temperature, cold temperature outdoor
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: road games.
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 2: Man.
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: So another reason to like the Steelers in this one.
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be pissed when I leave it off my card.
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: And then the Steelers wind up winning the game, and
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: it's the only game I'm right about all week. And
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: then it'll piss me off, but that'll do it, man.
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: Those are my thoughts on it. Lean to the Steelers
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: and lean to the under in that game. That's gonna
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: do it. Learn it to oh No on my plays
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: one more time. We only got two of them. And
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: then the teams that had the ugliest games in their
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: previous game are on the Rangers money line in hockey.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: I'm around the Jazz plus the points in the NBA.
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: And that's that's it for today. A light Monday card,
• 1:08:32
  Speaker 1: fairly light board today. Thanks for hanging out everybody. Learn
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: it tone on Instagram, Learn it Tone on Twitter. Check
• 1:08:39
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• 1:08:42
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• 1:08:46
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• 1:08:50
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• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: Covered in you because my yuke channel on YouTube, so
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: you can check.
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: That out Patreon dot com. Learned to some bonus yuke stuff.
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: I know, as I keep saying every day, I still
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: have to get on that and learn some new yuk stuff.
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: And it takes me a little while to figure out
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: songs that I don't know. If I know the song,
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: it makes it a lot easier. But when I don't
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: know the song that well, it takes me a longer time,
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: So keep that in mind. And then we also have
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: the Loser Cast, of course, which should be back tomorrow
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: night with a new episode. That's gonna do it for now.
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: I think that's I think that's all I had. Oh,
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: and I probably will be back. If you guys liked
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: my bracketology video. I don't know, it's super autistic. Maybe
• 1:09:35
  Speaker 1: it's not that interesting. I don't know, but if you
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: like that, I'll probably do it again tonight. At some point,
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna update my bracketology.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 2: Today and go from there.
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: I guess that's gonna do it, and we'll talk about
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: like the I guess what has changed since last week
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: or whatever? What's the Thursday night streak? I mean, I
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: did well on the Thursday. I've football games.
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 2: I don't know.
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: Yes, thanks for hanging out, everybody. Oh, that's gonna do
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: it for now. Subscribe to the channel so you get
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: the notifications you know when I'm gonna be back to
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: do bracketology if I do it tonight, because the last
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: time I did it it was not midnight, it was
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: like eight pm or something, so I don't know. I
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: kind of just did it when I felt like doing it.
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: Might do that again, we'll see, but that's gonna do
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: it for now.
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 2: Peace,