Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Gambling Recap | Week 4

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NFL Gambling Recap | Week 4 · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

0:08
Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three
0:13
Speaker 1: six ' five. We are part of the Action Network.
0:16
Speaker 1: Today is our NFL Week four Sunday Recap episode. I
0:23
Speaker 1: can't help but smiling. It's going to be a doozy,
0:26
Speaker 1: a banner day all across the Action Network. All of
0:28
Speaker 1: our analysts have just been crushing it all day. I
0:32
Speaker 1: am Chadmulman. I am joined by my bff, my companion,
0:34
Speaker 1: Mike and Padre my co host Professional Better Simon Hunter. Hello,
0:40
Speaker 1: so I'm in listen, buddy. There are very few days
0:46
Speaker 1: like today, very few days where every red zone switch
0:51
Speaker 1: for the first ninety minutes of the day. I counted
0:55
Speaker 1: it was two thirty three, and I made a note.
0:58
Speaker 1: There hasn't been a switch to a game yet where
1:01
Speaker 1: that game wasn't going our way. Every circle in the
1:05
Speaker 1: Action app was green. Don't don't give me your I'm professional,
1:10
Speaker 1: I'm cool bullshit right now. Even for a pro a
1:14
Speaker 1: day like today, a four and oh start with one
1:17
Speaker 1: game remaining, it feels good.
1:20
Speaker 2: Yeah, it definitely feels good. Exciting day. Won a lot
1:23
Speaker 2: of money. The fans want a bunch of money, and
1:26
Speaker 2: you know that's that's at the end of the day,
1:27
Speaker 2: it's all I really care about. So yeah, definitely. Uh,
1:32
Speaker 2: like you said, I feel like the first hour and
1:33
Speaker 2: a half was amazing and that final hour was horrible
1:38
Speaker 2: with the Bears collapse and the Rams collapse, and it
1:41
Speaker 2: was just like what is going on? Like those are
1:43
Speaker 2: such good reads, but luckily both when exactly as we plan.
1:48
Speaker 2: I just you want to take the Bears in our
1:50
Speaker 2: money line around Robin, I said that team doesn't know
1:52
Speaker 2: how to win, and they really don't. They're one of
1:54
Speaker 2: the best tanking teams we've ever seen. So yeah, Chad,
1:58
Speaker 2: Chad's living the highlight for now as much is one
2:00
Speaker 2: to admit it. Picks one and two and maybe one
2:03
Speaker 2: of the greatest receivers ever in college, one of the
2:05
Speaker 2: greatest quarterbacks ever in college. Fucking hey, it's got to
2:08
Speaker 2: be pretty excited to be a Bears fan. Even for that.
2:10
Speaker 2: It can be shitty to lose those games, but you
2:13
Speaker 2: got a smile chout, You're like, Wow, picks one and two,
2:17
Speaker 2: that's pretty amazing. Guy.
2:18
Speaker 1: We're gonna get to all of it. It was an incredible
2:20
Speaker 1: Sunday for all of our podcasts. The Action Network podcast
2:23
Speaker 1: the Thursday episode with Raybon and Stucky their Sunday six
2:27
Speaker 1: pack win five and one. They went two and o
2:30
Speaker 1: on totals. They're twenty two and ten on side and
2:33
Speaker 1: totals this season. The Action Network Best Bets episode Action
2:39
Speaker 1: Network podcast Best Best Episode gives out nine NFL picks
2:42
Speaker 1: every Friday. They went eight and one on those. Check
2:46
Speaker 1: out that podcast if you want even more content. By
2:48
Speaker 1: the way, convince me today you're two and o so far.
2:53
Speaker 1: You add the under Titans and Browns, you add under
2:55
Speaker 1: James Connor total rushing yards. Raybon is three and o
2:59
Speaker 1: on the day. You've got the Jets still remaining tonight.
3:03
Speaker 1: So things go in our way today so far. As
3:05
Speaker 1: a reminder, the Favorite podcast is presented by bet three
3:09
Speaker 1: sixty five. Bet three six five doesn't do ordinary. They
3:12
Speaker 1: believe that every sport should be epic every touchdown, every game,
3:16
Speaker 1: every point, every play, from the moments that are legendary
3:19
Speaker 1: to the ones that fly under the radarc for yourself
3:22
Speaker 1: when you sign up today with Code Action and you'll
3:24
Speaker 1: get three hundred and sixty five dollars in bonus bets
3:27
Speaker 1: when you bet just one dollar. Whatever the sport, whatever
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Speaker 1: must be twenty one or older. Must be present in Colorado, Kentucky, Iowa,
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Speaker 1: New Jersey, Ohio, or Virginia. If you or someone you
3:40
Speaker 1: know as a gambling problem and wants help, call one
3:43
Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler in Colorado, Kentucky, New Jersey, Ohio, and Virginia,
3:49
Speaker 1: or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa. Terms and
3:52
Speaker 1: conditions apply. Recap. We had Buffalo minus two and a
3:57
Speaker 1: half win, Tennessee plus two and a half win, Chicago
4:02
Speaker 1: plus three and a half win, La minus a half win.
4:07
Speaker 2: You got that right. You got that right. You got
4:16
Speaker 2: that right.
4:17
Speaker 1: With the Jets remaining at nine and a half games,
4:20
Speaker 1: we considered but passed on Baltimore plus two and a half,
4:23
Speaker 1: Houston plus two and a half. Okay, Buffalo minus two
4:25
Speaker 1: and a half. Let's talk about this. It was the
4:26
Speaker 1: biggest bet. You and I were all in on it
4:29
Speaker 1: from the beginning of the week. It was our Simon
4:31
Speaker 1: says bet. On Tuesday, we worried it was going to
4:35
Speaker 1: go higher. I was curious, like it was interesting to me.
4:40
Speaker 1: I love this from the second in post. And we
4:41
Speaker 1: talked about it on Sunday night and I knew you
4:45
Speaker 1: liked it, but you have a hard time getting over
4:48
Speaker 1: sort of the matrix of the Miami offense. And I
4:52
Speaker 1: think it took like to the middle of the week
4:54
Speaker 1: before there was full analysis, before you decided it was
4:58
Speaker 1: going to be one of your biggest bets of the year.
5:02
Speaker 2: Yeah, you're also seeing me on Sunday Night Chat after
5:04
Speaker 2: I lost a nice car. It's that's gonna I'm gonna
5:07
Speaker 2: say some crazy shit. So yeah, I want it back
5:10
Speaker 2: in there or something. And that's that's gambling. That's why
5:13
Speaker 2: I know why people people get pissed at me, where
5:15
Speaker 2: they're like, oh, this guy's so chill or so laid
5:17
Speaker 2: back when they lose. And it's like, you'll never catch
5:21
Speaker 2: me panicking on a two and three a week, Like
5:23
Speaker 2: I say it all the time, me and Chad. If
5:26
Speaker 2: we have a great season, that's sixty percent. I mean
5:29
Speaker 2: six times I'll be right, four times I will be wrong.
5:33
Speaker 2: And that just comes to the territory like people are
5:34
Speaker 2: gonna talk shit to me to pull a bitch about stuff.
5:38
Speaker 2: It does no good for me to dwell on the chat.
5:40
Speaker 2: I told you it's always on the next weekend. This week. Yeah,
5:43
Speaker 2: you're right, Sunday night, I was like, I can't get
5:45
Speaker 2: it on those bills. I can't do it. And I
5:47
Speaker 2: woke up Monday morning, I was like, what's like, that's
5:50
Speaker 2: the spot, just the spot you take them in bet
5:52
Speaker 2: it all week, a couple of books, I think hit
5:54
Speaker 2: three finally today and still a bunch of two and
5:58
Speaker 2: a half's there by kickoff. So definitely that's that's the dream.
6:01
Speaker 2: Like you keep betting stuff. They don't move it because
6:03
Speaker 2: the public money's coming so heavy on Miami. And did
6:06
Speaker 2: I think Miami was going to completely la an eggle
6:08
Speaker 2: like they did? No, it was what we saw in
6:10
Speaker 2: the very beginning of the first quarter. I think it
6:12
Speaker 2: was like twenty one to fourteen back and forth, and
6:14
Speaker 2: I was like, this is what me and Chat talked about.
6:16
Speaker 2: It's gonna be a back and forth game. And all
6:18
Speaker 2: of a sudden, that Bill's defense just flipped to what
6:21
Speaker 2: they've been so great at, which is turning the ball
6:22
Speaker 2: over and putting pressure on the quarterback. And you know,
6:25
Speaker 2: they had a major injury. I forget which corner went down,
6:29
Speaker 2: but it was a big one. And yeah, that is
6:31
Speaker 2: say it again, big deal for them going forward, Like
6:35
Speaker 2: he's incredible so that that's tough for Bill's going forward.
6:39
Speaker 2: But we talked Josh Allen MVP chat and that Josh
6:43
Speaker 2: Allen showed up and till it didn't have a bad game.
6:46
Speaker 2: It was just the expectations were so high. If he
6:50
Speaker 2: didn't win that game, no matter what we talked about,
6:52
Speaker 2: he was gonna come cratering back down and all the
6:53
Speaker 2: MVP betting and all that. So yeah, it always nice
6:56
Speaker 2: to be head of the market and have things go
6:57
Speaker 2: to game plan.
7:01
Speaker 1: We talked about Josh Allen and everyone should go watch
7:04
Speaker 1: the Favorites Film Room episodes. These are these ten minute
7:11
Speaker 1: YouTube only videos that Simon and I are doing on
7:15
Speaker 1: Wednesdays and we're picking out plays from Sunday and thinking
7:23
Speaker 1: about how they're going to impact what we're looking at
7:25
Speaker 1: for the following week. And Simon, both of the games
7:28
Speaker 1: we talk about today are two of the games we
7:30
Speaker 1: talked about today. We're featured in that both of them
7:33
Speaker 1: won for the reasons we said they were going to
7:35
Speaker 1: win as bets, and you talked about Josh Allen ten
7:40
Speaker 1: to one MVP. I guarantee when we wake up tomorrow
7:44
Speaker 1: or wake up on Tuesday, those odds are considerably lower.
7:47
Speaker 1: And I feel much much smarter for having bet that.
7:50
Speaker 1: At ten to one Wednesday.
7:53
Speaker 2: Our guy Evan said, he's already favorite. He's already moved
7:56
Speaker 2: to the favorite right now, come on? Yeah, oh my god. Again,
8:01
Speaker 2: it's how we predicted that was the game of the week.
8:03
Speaker 2: And even if he hadn't played a guy as good
8:07
Speaker 2: as he was, I thought he would be. But he
8:09
Speaker 2: played perfect. He had almost basically a perfect game in
8:13
Speaker 2: the biggest game of the week. So yeah, he is.
8:16
Speaker 1: Can I give you a stat in the fourth quarter?
8:19
Speaker 1: I forgot what the Bills were ahead, but they were dominating. Uh,
8:23
Speaker 1: the Bills were in the red zone for Miami at
8:26
Speaker 1: that point in the game. Josh Allen had four touchdown
8:30
Speaker 1: passes and three incompletions, and on the on that play,
8:36
Speaker 1: the very first snap of the fourth quarter, he ran
8:39
Speaker 1: into the end zone for a touchdown.
8:40
Speaker 2: Wow.
8:41
Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, the guy was just totally dominant. I
8:43
Speaker 1: do wonder, I do wonder, like Christian McCaffrey today was
8:46
Speaker 1: so good, Evan, I don't know what you're seeing, Evan Abrams,
8:50
Speaker 1: Who's who's with us doing some some research on all
8:53
Speaker 1: these games? If you're seeing anything with McCaffrey, because Simon.
8:57
Speaker 1: We talked about McCaffrey as one at seventy five to one. Yeah,
9:02
Speaker 1: that was a nice four touchdowns.
9:03
Speaker 2: Today, should have been five. I was so mad that
9:06
Speaker 2: gave that sneak to party. It's like, I know that
9:08
Speaker 2: was so weak.
9:08
Speaker 1: He could have tied Ricky Waters and Jerry Rice for
9:10
Speaker 1: most touchdowns ever.
9:11
Speaker 2: Come on, man, let him tie the record.
9:13
Speaker 1: Do you know what else was interesting about this is
9:15
Speaker 1: why I was so excited with the Bills. We said
9:20
Speaker 1: during the week, the reason why the Bills could dominate
9:23
Speaker 1: this game is because they can get pressure without blitzing.
9:26
Speaker 1: The lowest blitz rate of any team in the NFL,
9:31
Speaker 1: but one of the best pressure rates of any team
9:33
Speaker 1: in the NFL, which means that they're getting to the
9:35
Speaker 1: quarterback with their front four. And you saw it constantly today.
9:40
Speaker 1: And it happened multiple times with just four pass rushers
9:43
Speaker 1: on really key downs, including a fourth down play where
9:45
Speaker 1: two I just couldn't get the ball off because the
9:47
Speaker 1: front four got to him.
9:48
Speaker 2: Yeah, Sean smart. Though Sean changed up his system, he
9:51
Speaker 2: actually sent more five fronts than he was all season.
9:54
Speaker 2: It's just that's what we talked about. He's a good
9:57
Speaker 2: DC and he's got the players on that Bill side.
9:59
Speaker 2: So yeah, that was a really nice one.
10:02
Speaker 1: Yeah, it was great, It was fantastic. I know Matt Mitchell,
10:06
Speaker 1: who is a massive, massive Bills fan. I'm excited for him.
10:10
Speaker 1: This had the potential to be a disaster for him
10:13
Speaker 1: and it wasn't, so we can all celebrate.
10:16
Speaker 2: Matt.
10:17
Speaker 1: Do you have a story you want to share about
10:19
Speaker 1: the Bills.
10:20
Speaker 3: I just want to mention that I have produced over
10:23
Speaker 3: a thousand podcasts in these six NFL seasons of action,
10:26
Speaker 3: and I've never drank a beer on any of them
10:29
Speaker 3: because I'm a professional. But today's game has earned them
10:33
Speaker 3: the right for me to crack open this delicious little
10:35
Speaker 3: bat blow. And hey, Dolphins, when you get to Hell,
10:39
Speaker 3: tell him Josh Allen said, you eat shit, Go Bills.
10:47
Speaker 1: That's funny. A couple other really cool stats. Josh Allen
10:52
Speaker 1: fifty nine wins in his career. Forty five of those
10:55
Speaker 1: have been by seven or more. He's now eighteen and
11:01
Speaker 1: four straight up the last twenty two games against the
11:03
Speaker 1: AFC East. So what's interesting is everyone else talks about
11:06
Speaker 1: Patrick Mahomes and his dominance of the dominance of the
11:09
Speaker 1: AFC West. You don't get as much noise about Josh
11:12
Speaker 1: Allen and his dominance of the AFC East.
11:16
Speaker 2: Alert here for Josh Allen, looking for He's a he's
11:24
Speaker 2: a player. He's a football player through and through him.
11:27
Speaker 1: But there's nothing there. He goes, he drums, can excuse me?
11:33
Speaker 3: Touchdown?
11:33
Speaker 2: How many quarterbacks have you ever seen hurdle anyone? Goodness,
11:37
Speaker 2: there's no fear, No way he was being.
11:49
Speaker 1: Down.
11:51
Speaker 2: He's still going. Oh my god. The demands to do
11:56
Speaker 2: something about this album reaches man making louder.
12:03
Speaker 1: All right, Tennessee plus two and a half. This was
12:05
Speaker 1: my exact decision. Also one of the biggest bets we
12:09
Speaker 1: both had all week. This was a I love this
12:14
Speaker 1: read by us as much as I love the Bills read.
12:17
Speaker 1: I love this read by us. It was the exact
12:20
Speaker 1: right spot. A team coming off a blowout loss against
12:24
Speaker 1: an incredible defense, playing against a team that had just
12:28
Speaker 1: won in prime time, so it was overinflated with Mike Vrabel,
12:34
Speaker 1: this is now the MVP podcast, meaning it's the Mike
12:38
Speaker 1: Vrabel podcast in Verbel We Trust twenty four and twenty
12:42
Speaker 1: three straight up in his career as an underdog. Wow,
12:47
Speaker 1: we love Mike Vrabel.
12:48
Speaker 2: Simon yeah, and my model is a nice read on
12:51
Speaker 2: them right now, where it's like we're hitting them at
12:52
Speaker 2: the right spot and then we're fade them in the
12:54
Speaker 2: right spot. Like they got blown out last week, We're
12:56
Speaker 2: all over the Browns on this week, we're all over them.
12:58
Speaker 2: Have been cincion. I really, you know, really did was
13:05
Speaker 2: scared of the Ryan Tannehill factor of this game, but
13:09
Speaker 2: we kind of saw what it was and it's just
13:11
Speaker 2: something's not right with that Bengals offense. So Tannehill made
13:15
Speaker 2: their throws when he needed to, and Derek Henry really
13:17
Speaker 2: came back out and did his thing. And Rabel defense
13:21
Speaker 2: as we talk all the time, like yeah, they have
13:23
Speaker 2: a really bad secondary, but that front fourth they can
13:26
Speaker 2: get pressure. They really can cover up that secondary, and
13:28
Speaker 2: that's what they did. The Joe Joe just was not
13:30
Speaker 2: comfortable today. I don't even know what it was. I
13:33
Speaker 2: might have been twenty four to three and a half.
13:35
Speaker 2: And unlike the Bears and the Rams, I wasn't really
13:39
Speaker 2: scared because I trust the defense of the Titans, so
13:44
Speaker 2: really fun under was all over that, all over the number,
13:47
Speaker 2: all over their money then, like you said, and don't
13:50
Speaker 2: be shocked if me and Chad fade the Titans next
13:52
Speaker 2: week when they're on the road. So there's gonna be
13:54
Speaker 2: one of those teams this year. They're just we're gonna
13:56
Speaker 2: be riding them and we're gonna fade them. They're really
13:57
Speaker 2: a fun team.
13:59
Speaker 1: Well, look, ra is so predictable in a lot of ways,
14:04
Speaker 1: and you knew against this team. Look, it was probably
14:07
Speaker 1: the I think it was the first week they were
14:12
Speaker 1: playing in which they didn't confront a just ferocious pass rush. Right,
14:22
Speaker 1: what the Bengals do is not what the Browns do
14:24
Speaker 1: and it's not what the Chargers do. And those are
14:25
Speaker 1: teams they had been playing in the previous couple of weeks.
14:30
Speaker 1: So their ability to get Tannehill a little more time
14:33
Speaker 1: and develop some of the plays that Vrabel loves to call.
14:36
Speaker 1: They had very aggressive play calling. They went for it
14:40
Speaker 1: on fourth down from all over the field. They had
14:42
Speaker 1: one play where it was like a screen pass and
14:45
Speaker 1: then a throw back to Ryan Tannehill who barely missed
14:49
Speaker 1: DeAndre Hopkins in the end zone. They had a Derrick
14:52
Speaker 1: Henry direct snap touchdown pass. They were awesome. But we
15:00
Speaker 1: have to talk about Joe Burrow here, first quarterback in
15:02
Speaker 1: NFL history, to attempt at least one hundred and fifty
15:06
Speaker 1: passes in his team's first four games of a season,
15:10
Speaker 1: an average fewer than five yards per attempt on those passes.
15:14
Speaker 1: Like you said, it unconvinced me. We've talked about it
15:18
Speaker 1: all week. We thought that win against the Rams was fraudulent.
15:22
Speaker 1: He's not healthy, he's not back, he's not comfortable. Something's
15:25
Speaker 1: wrong here.
15:27
Speaker 2: Yeah, and and just until further notice, I don't care
15:30
Speaker 2: if I'm getting a good number on. I just it's
15:32
Speaker 2: gonna be hard for me to back the Spangles team.
15:34
Speaker 2: I just have no read on Joe Burrown this offense.
15:37
Speaker 2: There's just something's wrong on them right now.
15:39
Speaker 1: Yeah, here's another little fun little stat. Teams went to
15:45
Speaker 1: to o against the spread today. With this stat, teams
15:48
Speaker 1: that scored three points or less the previous week are
15:52
Speaker 1: seventy five, forty eight and four sixty one percent against
15:55
Speaker 1: the spread the following week the past twenty years, so
15:59
Speaker 1: week fourteen teams Week three teams that scored three points
16:02
Speaker 1: or less. Washington and Tennessee both covered today. We were
16:07
Speaker 1: on both of them. That Commander's game was a little
16:11
Speaker 1: a little bit of a sweat there at the end.
16:13
Speaker 1: It got interesting, Yeah, it did right. All right, let's
16:19
Speaker 1: talk about games we did have to sweat other than
16:21
Speaker 1: the Commanders games we had to sweat for our contest.
16:26
Speaker 1: A buddy of mine texted me midway through the second
16:31
Speaker 1: half to remind me that Matt Ryan, one of the
16:35
Speaker 1: broadcasters on today's game, when it was twenty eight to seven.
16:40
Speaker 1: You know what, Matt Ryan said, Matt Ryan, loser of
16:44
Speaker 1: the Super Bowl when they were up twenty eight to three.
16:48
Speaker 1: Epic meltdowns as a big lead, as a guy with
16:52
Speaker 1: big leads throughout his career, Matt Ryan, the Bears were
16:54
Speaker 1: up twenty eight seven, this game is all bit.
16:57
Speaker 2: Over and we can't forget you had the thirty one
17:01
Speaker 2: to three melt down against the Vikings. That's right, so epic.
17:05
Speaker 1: So it was pretty typical. Like as soon as like
17:09
Speaker 1: I didn't bet it live, but as soon as Matt
17:11
Speaker 1: Ryan said, this game is all but over, you probably
17:13
Speaker 1: should have bet the Broncos live. This was our only
17:17
Speaker 1: debate this morning, like in a quick catchup, and I
17:19
Speaker 1: have some thoughts on our contest strategy. It was a
17:23
Speaker 1: numbers play, right, I said at the beginning of the show.
17:26
Speaker 1: We didn't bet Baltimore because it was at two and
17:28
Speaker 1: a half in our contest. We did bet Houston because
17:31
Speaker 1: it was a two and a half in our contest.
17:33
Speaker 1: We just liked the Bears at three and a half better.
17:36
Speaker 1: It wouldn't have mattered if we took Baltimore in Houston.
17:40
Speaker 1: But wowser. Like I talked about you reviewing Josh Allen
17:46
Speaker 1: and for the Favorite Film Session, I reviewed the Broncos defense,
17:52
Speaker 1: and like they were terrible. Cole Comet wide open, DJ
17:59
Speaker 1: Moore are wide open. The first game Justin Fields has
18:03
Speaker 1: ever thrown for three hundred yards. I mean, they were
18:07
Speaker 1: just pathetic in the first half, and then they made
18:09
Speaker 1: adjustments and Justin Fields isn't good enough to sort of
18:12
Speaker 1: work around those. And the Bears coaching staff is got awful.
18:17
Speaker 1: We can talk about what they did wrong, but all
18:20
Speaker 1: of a sudden this became a sweat for us.
18:23
Speaker 2: Yeah, Justin Fields is really talented and really gifted, but
18:28
Speaker 2: you have horrible coaching. And that's what happens. You have
18:31
Speaker 2: horrible coaching. So they, like you said, they get up
18:34
Speaker 2: to uh what was it, twenty eight to seven like
18:37
Speaker 2: you said, and the Broncos score a touchdown, they send
18:41
Speaker 2: Fields out there. I think they do three runs right
18:43
Speaker 2: into the back of their offensive lineman, bump the ball back,
18:46
Speaker 2: Broncos score a touchdown. Fields goes out there. I believe
18:49
Speaker 2: you got stripsacked or whatever happened. They take a touchdown,
18:51
Speaker 2: the game was tied, and it's like this, this fucking
18:54
Speaker 2: Bears team, man, like they're but dude.
18:57
Speaker 1: Then the Bears have it like fourth down in the
19:01
Speaker 1: red zone with I don't know to two and a
19:04
Speaker 1: half minutes left, maybe even less, and they go for
19:08
Speaker 1: it on fourth and one instead of kicking a go
19:10
Speaker 1: ahead field goal.
19:11
Speaker 2: I liked that play, I know, but I thought that
19:13
Speaker 2: was the right call because their defense was shot, they're exhausted.
19:17
Speaker 2: So my view of it was, okay, you take the
19:19
Speaker 2: three there a minimum the bron because we're gonna get
19:22
Speaker 2: a three no matter what. That was gonna go to overtime.
19:24
Speaker 2: And then and then again, you're playing a flip coin,
19:26
Speaker 2: flipping the coin there, and we talk all the time
19:29
Speaker 2: football is so momentum, and the momentum was gone, gone, gone,
19:34
Speaker 2: and then you guys had this huge catch on the sideline.
19:36
Speaker 2: I forget who had this big catch. It might have
19:38
Speaker 2: been Saint Brown toe tapped and yeah, flip back to
19:45
Speaker 2: our like our side. I was like, they got this,
19:47
Speaker 2: and I know people hate it them for it, but
19:49
Speaker 2: I just I agreed with the call because if you
19:50
Speaker 2: get that first, you kneel it down, you kick the
19:53
Speaker 2: three of the game is over. And you know, the
19:57
Speaker 2: Bears they should play that way the entire season because
20:00
Speaker 2: now you are playing. I know it hurts the Bears
20:03
Speaker 2: fans here that this is, but if Fields keeps playing
20:05
Speaker 2: like this, he keeps playing pretty well like middle, maybe'll
20:09
Speaker 2: be able to get a first. And now we're talking
20:10
Speaker 2: to you, guys might have three first. So I think
20:13
Speaker 2: Bears fans they can keep living themselves, some of them
20:15
Speaker 2: being like Justin Fields is the future and we just
20:18
Speaker 2: need a new coach. If you have the number one pick,
20:21
Speaker 2: you will be taking Williams. This guy is an all
20:24
Speaker 2: time prospect and you're seeing when you hit you know
20:28
Speaker 2: right away CJ. Stroud, We know right away this guy
20:31
Speaker 2: is legit. Now, he could fall off the cliff and
20:33
Speaker 2: have a shit rest of the year and everything like that,
20:35
Speaker 2: but they have something there that they can work on
20:37
Speaker 2: now going forward. There's stuff he does really well. So yeah,
20:41
Speaker 2: Bears fans, I've heard from you guys and it's hard.
20:44
Speaker 2: I mean, that was the most people reach out to
20:46
Speaker 2: me about, like online, where they're like, you guys got
20:48
Speaker 2: to stop taking the Bears, and I just kept saying them,
20:50
Speaker 2: it's a good number, like we're not betting them to win.
20:53
Speaker 2: I already told Chad I refuse to bet this team
20:55
Speaker 2: to win. But with the hook at three and a half,
20:57
Speaker 2: it was good and it literally went just as we predicted.
21:00
Speaker 2: They blew the game. They lost by three. We covered
21:03
Speaker 2: the hook.
21:04
Speaker 1: Yeah in my my text chain, my Chicago Bears text chain.
21:10
Speaker 2: That must be a sad place.
21:12
Speaker 1: No, No, it's not like it's not because at the
21:17
Speaker 1: end of at the end of it, I was able
21:19
Speaker 1: to say to everybody, look, the good news we bet
21:23
Speaker 1: the Bears plus three and a half. The better news.
21:27
Speaker 1: The better news we still lost and we're still in
21:30
Speaker 1: the running for Caleb Williams and Marvin Harrison Junior and
21:34
Speaker 1: a complete reboot with a new staff. Yeah, Like, this
21:39
Speaker 1: team has so much good potential right now. I might
21:42
Speaker 1: bet him again at two hundred and one next year
21:45
Speaker 1: to win the Super Bowl, because that's how excited I
21:47
Speaker 1: can be about about Caleb Williams. The Broncos defense, though,
21:53
Speaker 1: is as bad as we say, Okay, fifth most points
21:59
Speaker 1: through four games all time, all time history of the NFL.
22:06
Speaker 1: Seventy eight point one percent completion percentage is the highest
22:11
Speaker 1: through four games all time. They just happened to get
22:15
Speaker 1: lucky and play a Bears team that is the first
22:17
Speaker 1: to allow twenty five or more points in NFL history
22:21
Speaker 1: in fourteen consecutive games. This was an all time bad
22:25
Speaker 1: defense matchup. We got very lucky that we were on
22:31
Speaker 1: the right side, Very very lucky, all right, this Rams
22:37
Speaker 1: game we won. The Rams were favored by a half
22:39
Speaker 1: in the contest. You and I liked it at plus
22:41
Speaker 1: one and a half early in the week, but we
22:43
Speaker 1: kind of slow rolled it all week, Like we barely
22:46
Speaker 1: discussed it on Tuesday, and then when we did the
22:48
Speaker 1: podcast on Thursday, we both came to the show and
22:51
Speaker 1: we're like, I kind of like the Rams this week. Look,
22:54
Speaker 1: they were the biggest unlucky team from the week before.
22:59
Speaker 1: The biggest differential in our luck rankings this week was
23:02
Speaker 1: between the Colts, who had beaten the Ravens with multiple
23:05
Speaker 1: fifty yard field goals, and the Rams, who had lost
23:09
Speaker 1: on some flooky plays in prime time against the Bengals.
23:12
Speaker 1: So we liked this game a lot, and I made
23:15
Speaker 1: a note in the middle of the game, like it
23:16
Speaker 1: was they were up twenty three nothing, but at that
23:19
Speaker 1: point they had missed two field goals and I'm like,
23:25
Speaker 1: they cannot put this game away. It was so frustrating
23:28
Speaker 1: because you could see you could see the Colts with
23:32
Speaker 1: the chance to come back.
23:34
Speaker 2: Yeah, and once again and those the Rams defense got tired.
23:37
Speaker 2: And that's what happens in football, Like if a team
23:40
Speaker 2: is gassed, it's there's nothing they can do because then
23:44
Speaker 2: you start mentally being fatigued and making wrong decisions. And
23:47
Speaker 2: a bunch of little penalties of Rams kept giving to
23:49
Speaker 2: the Colts team, they kept getting them free first downs,
23:52
Speaker 2: and yeah, the math you saw the numbers working out
23:54
Speaker 2: where it's like, oh my god, they just need sixteen
23:57
Speaker 2: now and then sure enough to get the first two pointer,
23:59
Speaker 2: then they get next to the next one. So yeah,
24:02
Speaker 2: that would have been a bad beat. Like I've had
24:04
Speaker 2: some horrible bad beats in college football right now, So,
24:07
Speaker 2: like you know, PTSD, I'm just a little shell shock
24:10
Speaker 2: where that came back. I was like, if they lose
24:12
Speaker 2: this coin flip, it's over. Like they're gonna score a
24:14
Speaker 2: touchdown the Colts. Luckily, you know, our guy got it.
24:18
Speaker 2: And yeah, say what you want about Stafford and this
24:22
Speaker 2: RAMS team. All the naysayers heard a lot of shit
24:25
Speaker 2: about me loving them, and here they are two and two. JAD.
24:29
Speaker 2: It's pretty crazy. This RAMS team probably should be three
24:31
Speaker 2: to one. They're just they're better than people perceive. And
24:34
Speaker 2: every time I see the forty nine ers now just
24:35
Speaker 2: beat the crap out of all these different teams, and
24:37
Speaker 2: the Rams really gave them a run for their money.
24:40
Speaker 2: I think they're better than people realize. It's all about
24:42
Speaker 2: what Stafford can do and if he's healthy, and now
24:46
Speaker 2: Cooper Cup coming back, with all these other guys who
24:48
Speaker 2: have stepped up and filled in these other receivers, it's
24:51
Speaker 2: hard not to be excited about this RAMS team. So
24:55
Speaker 2: definitely one of the teams that it's always nice when
24:57
Speaker 2: you bet these bad teams that everyone hates and they
25:00
Speaker 2: show up for you. So yeah, the Rams almost got
25:03
Speaker 2: blacklisted from me if they almost ruined our night, our
25:06
Speaker 2: perfect day, and luckily they came back.
25:09
Speaker 1: They tried, they tried, really tried. I made another note
25:14
Speaker 1: two thirty three. Everything had gone perfectly and at about
25:20
Speaker 1: midway through the fourth the Colts had scored to get
25:25
Speaker 1: within eight. And that's right when Justin Fields was strip
25:29
Speaker 1: sacked and I was saying to myself, are you freaking
25:32
Speaker 1: kidding me? That? Like I could have taken a nap.
25:37
Speaker 1: We were in such good shape, and all of a sudden,
25:39
Speaker 1: I gotta be sweating that we're going to go two
25:41
Speaker 1: and two when we were so spot on with these
25:46
Speaker 1: for one hundred and twenty minutes. The good news is
25:52
Speaker 1: the good news is Mac Jones is terrible, and that
25:59
Speaker 1: is a game I did not have to sweat. And
26:02
Speaker 1: can we just agree as great as the Patriots defense
26:04
Speaker 1: is and as great as Bill Belichick is a game planning,
26:09
Speaker 1: they they are quarterbackless right now. Mac Jones was benched,
26:13
Speaker 1: Baby Zappy came in, didn't make a difference. He's just
26:17
Speaker 1: a He's a terrible quarterback. He looks kind of like
26:20
Speaker 1: he's non athletic, he doesn't make good throws, he puts
26:25
Speaker 1: himself in bad positions. He's just not good.
26:29
Speaker 2: Yeah, and they're gonna be in tank mode. Great QB
26:31
Speaker 2: class coming out this year. I know it's gonna be
26:33
Speaker 2: hard for Belichick to swallow it, but he might not
26:36
Speaker 2: have a choice like they might just be really bad.
26:38
Speaker 2: And yeah, looking at their division, even with Zach Wilson,
26:44
Speaker 2: still think the Jets might do something, but none of
26:46
Speaker 2: us will be shocked if they end up finishing fourth
26:48
Speaker 2: below the Jets team. So yeah, Patriots fans, it sucks,
26:53
Speaker 2: but welcome to being a regular NFL fan again. It's
26:56
Speaker 2: just it's really hard to find these superstar quarterbacks.
27:00
Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell wants to remind everybody that that Mac Jones
27:03
Speaker 1: has no idea which nipple to throw to right now, listen,
27:07
Speaker 1: if I'm going to get if I'm gonna get called
27:10
Speaker 1: on the carpet for saying Mac Jones is a which
27:12
Speaker 1: nipple to throw to guy, then I should get credit
27:14
Speaker 1: for saying this guy's terrible, Like two weeks ago, I
27:18
Speaker 1: said it.
27:20
Speaker 2: Also, But that's very impressive. You predicted that two weeks ago.
27:25
Speaker 1: Well listen, you kept you kept trying to tell me
27:27
Speaker 1: to bet the Patriots, and I'm.
27:29
Speaker 2: Like, yeah, I never said it's because of Mac Jones.
27:31
Speaker 2: I said it was because of their defense. I know
27:32
Speaker 2: this one's fair.
27:33
Speaker 1: I definitely wanted to bet the Patriots. I'm like, come on,
27:36
Speaker 1: the Cowboys are the right side or this is a
27:38
Speaker 1: smash spot for the Cowboys. Also, you can see why.
27:42
Speaker 1: Don't give me your snickering. Listen, don't give me an
27:45
Speaker 1: even Chad snicker.
27:47
Speaker 2: This is why people want us to lose. Chad, You're
27:49
Speaker 2: the reason people want us to lose. Please take it
27:51
Speaker 2: down on.
27:52
Speaker 1: Notch Oh No, I'm not.
27:54
Speaker 2: Yeah, no, you're celebrating the Cowboys game. We didn't even
27:57
Speaker 2: bet you're You're out of your fucking mind right now.
28:00
Speaker 1: Well, I dot it.
28:01
Speaker 2: Yeah, it's just it's nothing towards the show. You're just
28:03
Speaker 2: I bet it. Get back on course.
28:05
Speaker 1: Uh, you can see why the Eagles are both struggling
28:10
Speaker 1: and still winning because Jonathan Gannon and Shane Steichen clearly
28:17
Speaker 1: we're incredible coordinators. Because what they're doing in Arizona and
28:21
Speaker 1: Indie is super impressive. These teams don't have a ton
28:24
Speaker 1: of talent and they're staying in every game.
28:28
Speaker 2: Yeah, now, they're really good. I mean the Arizona stuff.
28:31
Speaker 2: I don't even know if it's the coaching this this
28:33
Speaker 2: quarterback I just saw somewhere else they might keep Kyler
28:37
Speaker 2: Murray out longer. I have no idea what's going on
28:40
Speaker 2: with this Cardinals team. Like Kyler just posted video a
28:42
Speaker 2: little bit ago that he's like ready to come back.
28:44
Speaker 2: And now they're saying, well, we're going to keep them
28:46
Speaker 2: on reserve for a while. And yeah, like I think
28:49
Speaker 2: evn't posts. A little bit ago the Bengals were minus
28:52
Speaker 2: six against Arizona. That line's already moved the five. So
28:56
Speaker 2: the pro money is coming on Arizona. They just they
28:58
Speaker 2: like this team. And yeah, well there for a really
29:00
Speaker 2: bad zach Ers drop, they would have won, not won,
29:03
Speaker 2: they would have covered today spread against that forty nine
29:05
Speaker 2: Ers team.
29:06
Speaker 1: Make Little Caesars, the official pizza sponsor of the NFL
29:10
Speaker 1: part of your game day, Simon, can you ever really
29:14
Speaker 1: trust someone who doesn't include pizza as part of their
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Speaker 1: game day routine?
29:19
Speaker 2: Not a chance?
29:21
Speaker 1: Order online during our pizza Pizza pre game one hour
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Speaker 1: Choose your favorite Little Caesars pizza or pick the toppings
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Speaker 1: you crave, Simon, Do you eat the pizza crust or
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Speaker 1: do you not?
29:37
Speaker 2: I love the crust?
29:38
Speaker 1: I do too. However you handle your Little Caesars, you win.
29:42
Speaker 1: And speaking of winning, everyone scores with convenient delivery or
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Speaker 1: our in store pizza portal pickup. So grab some friends
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Speaker 1: and enjoy a few slices during the game, all right.
29:53
Speaker 1: Our other picks from the week, our foxhil was Las
29:56
Speaker 1: Vegas plus five and a half. I mean, dude, how
30:02
Speaker 1: many there were, like six sacks, so.
30:04
Speaker 2: Many chances We were right there though, brutal right there.
30:07
Speaker 1: He fumbled three times in the first half, like, but
30:10
Speaker 1: they had so many chances to get close in that game.
30:14
Speaker 1: Our big balls is the Jets nine and a half.
30:16
Speaker 1: We'll find out soon enough. EXAC decision Tennessee plus two
30:19
Speaker 1: and a half. Simon says, Buffalo minus two and a half.
30:22
Speaker 1: Round Robin Houston a win, Baltimore a win, Tennessee a win,
30:27
Speaker 1: the Bucks a win, Las Vegas a lost.
30:32
Speaker 3: All right.
30:32
Speaker 1: Look for those who are joining and you haven't gotten
30:34
Speaker 1: the picture yet, our lean for Sunday night is going
30:38
Speaker 1: to be the New York j e Ts Jets, Jets Jets.
30:43
Speaker 1: Simon and I liked it at ten. We liked it
30:45
Speaker 1: at nine and a half. In the contest, it's Roland Simon,
30:48
Speaker 1: what is that number at right now? I haven't even checked.
30:51
Speaker 2: It's gone back up. Like, like we said, a lot
30:53
Speaker 2: of public moneys come in, so it did go to
30:55
Speaker 2: seven and a half for most of the day now
30:56
Speaker 2: some books are shown eight eight and a half's out there,
30:59
Speaker 2: So yeah, we want you guys at the end of a
31:01
Speaker 2: half if you can. That's that's such a key number.
31:04
Speaker 1: We still lean towards the Jets very much, not even
31:08
Speaker 1: a lean. We are heavily invested. Simon also tell people
31:13
Speaker 1: what player prop you're thinking about.
31:16
Speaker 2: Took Mahomes underpassing prop so I think it was two
31:19
Speaker 2: seventy two. I mean, we need it for our bet.
31:22
Speaker 2: If he's thrown over three hundred yards, probably not the
31:24
Speaker 2: best spot for us with our Jets bet and Andy
31:28
Speaker 2: Reid kind of kind of leaked a little bit that
31:30
Speaker 2: they want to use the run more, take the less
31:32
Speaker 2: pressure off Mahomes take, have them take less hits. And
31:36
Speaker 2: this matchup the Jets, they kind of want you to
31:38
Speaker 2: drop back and pass right. They have the really good
31:40
Speaker 2: pass rushers. So I think, ay, he's gonna attack on
31:42
Speaker 2: the run. So yeah, it might have gone up, but
31:45
Speaker 2: it was too seventy two and a half this morning
31:47
Speaker 2: when I gave out his underpassing.
31:49
Speaker 1: Monday Night football, the Seahawks are visiting the Giants. When
31:52
Speaker 1: we talked earlier in the week, I don't like this
31:56
Speaker 1: game at all. I'm going to pass entirely you leaned Giants,
31:59
Speaker 1: but explain to people how you ended up on the Seahawks.
32:03
Speaker 2: Yeah, you end up kind of getting bullied and ticking
32:05
Speaker 2: the Seahawks. A really sharp group came in on them.
32:08
Speaker 2: They've moved the number. I took it late. I think
32:11
Speaker 2: I think a minus one out's up to minus one
32:12
Speaker 2: and a half. But I think we talked before the show,
32:17
Speaker 2: it's just an injury bet. There's just such big injuries
32:19
Speaker 2: round to the Giants. Unlikely Barkley plays, which is such
32:23
Speaker 2: a big deal of that offense. We just see how
32:24
Speaker 2: they're just different without them. So totally get it. If
32:28
Speaker 2: you want to just wont tease the Giants up to
32:30
Speaker 2: seven and a half because they're a home dog prime time,
32:33
Speaker 2: I get it. I think the Seahawks just have too
32:35
Speaker 2: much firepower for the wide receivers and Kenneth Walker has
32:38
Speaker 2: been amazing running the ball. So yeah, everywhere cross the
32:41
Speaker 2: board that offense is really good, and where you attack
32:44
Speaker 2: the Seahawks is their secondary and I just don't know
32:46
Speaker 2: if they have got the weapons on the Giants side
32:48
Speaker 2: to really do that.
32:51
Speaker 1: All right, Simon, very hard question for you and you
32:55
Speaker 1: name the fastest growing ticketing app in the United States.
32:59
Speaker 2: Games.
33:00
Speaker 1: That's right, it's our sponsor, game Time. I love game
33:03
Speaker 1: Time for two reasons. One they sponsored the show. Two,
33:06
Speaker 1: I actually use game Time to buy tickets, no more
33:10
Speaker 1: so than about two hours ago. True story. My wife,
33:13
Speaker 1: who was in Michigan alum, is going to ann Arbor
33:16
Speaker 1: in a couple of weeks. She wants to go to
33:17
Speaker 1: the game. At about five or six o'clock tonight, she
33:20
Speaker 1: said to me, Hey, what's the best way to get
33:23
Speaker 1: tickets for the game? I wish there were cameras there.
33:25
Speaker 1: It would have been like a game Time commercial. She's
33:27
Speaker 1: clearly not a podcast listener because I was able to
33:29
Speaker 1: say to her game Time, and then I was able
33:32
Speaker 1: to say to her, They've got amazing last minute deals
33:34
Speaker 1: on all sorts of tickets, including pro and college football games.
33:38
Speaker 1: Speaking to which I'm actually opening game Time right now
33:42
Speaker 1: from my house here in Connecticut. Guess what, I can
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Speaker 1: go see that money in a football game in New
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Speaker 1: York for less than eighty bucks. Less than eighty bucks
33:52
Speaker 1: professional football game. No matter where you live, download the
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Speaker 1: game Time app, get out and have some fun this week.
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Speaker 1: Go swipe to your bet your bets live and in person.
34:01
Speaker 1: And as I told my wife, if she uses game time,
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Speaker 1: she can redeem code favorites for twenty dollars off your
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Speaker 1: first purchase. Terms apply again. Just download the app and
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Speaker 1: her code favorites for twenty dollars off last minute tickets,
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Speaker 1: lowes price guarantee you. All right, we got some buys
34:19
Speaker 1: coming up the Browns, Chargers, Seahawks, and Bucks in Week five.
34:26
Speaker 1: We always like to fade, I mean we always like
34:28
Speaker 1: to give a little bit extra attention to teams that
34:32
Speaker 1: got blown out. So we already mentioned Cincinnati opened as
34:36
Speaker 1: a six point favorite, Arizona already down to five. New
34:42
Speaker 1: England got blown out, and New England is they're in
34:50
Speaker 1: a good spot.
34:50
Speaker 2: They're at home against the Saints.
34:52
Speaker 1: That's right. They're at a home against the Saints, and
34:54
Speaker 1: I think they're a slight favorite. Yeah, Pittsburgh's off the
35:00
Speaker 1: they got blown out. Atlanta is hosting Houston. We're gonna
35:05
Speaker 1: get to that, and then the Saints, which is New England.
35:08
Speaker 1: So let's talk about some early leans. Do you have
35:11
Speaker 1: anything that's that's sticking out for you right now?
35:15
Speaker 2: Yeah? I love Atlanta. Hoping that goes to two and
35:17
Speaker 2: a half, though it's three right now. I'll just wait
35:19
Speaker 2: for it the drop. CJ has been incredible, but I
35:24
Speaker 2: have to fit huge win against Jacksonville, huge win at
35:27
Speaker 2: home now against Pittsburgh. Atlanta laid a huge egg against
35:33
Speaker 2: the Jaguars on national television. Ain't nobody, Ain't nobody been
35:39
Speaker 2: this Atlanta team but the pros. So that one I
35:43
Speaker 2: knew right away after watching the Atlanta game. I'll go
35:45
Speaker 2: Houston wins. This is gonna be an easy bet. I'll
35:47
Speaker 2: just I'll just take Atlanta. I think it might have
35:49
Speaker 2: been three and a half four before that game. Now
35:51
Speaker 2: it's sitting at three. I think it's gonna go two
35:55
Speaker 2: and a half. You never know how these things going.
35:58
Speaker 2: Maybe the Pros will come in now, yeah, already two
36:00
Speaker 2: and a half. Evan said, So that's one of those
36:03
Speaker 2: I hate it. I don't want to do it because
36:05
Speaker 2: I love CJ. And I love the way they're playing
36:07
Speaker 2: right now. Like he's got it ridder we all know
36:10
Speaker 2: he doesn't. I'm bending down hopes that maybe Heinike is
36:14
Speaker 2: named the starter. You never know, like unlikely, right, they'll
36:16
Speaker 2: give up on him yet, but they could. But we
36:20
Speaker 2: joke Ridder never lost a home game. We'll take it
36:22
Speaker 2: under a field goal at home that that'll be one
36:25
Speaker 2: of those early bets. I'll make just a nice spot
36:27
Speaker 2: to back him. Fade the rookie on the road after
36:30
Speaker 2: big road, two big wins, I should say.
36:32
Speaker 1: I mean he was terrible, horrible. Yeah, it's really terrible.
36:37
Speaker 1: Right now. Would you take Aidan O'Connell or Desmond Rider.
36:43
Speaker 2: I take anyone I joked with someone whatever. I was
36:47
Speaker 2: talking to a guy last night and it's it's never
36:50
Speaker 2: any stupid questions. And he's Atlanta Falcons man. He's just like,
36:53
Speaker 2: you don't know, He's like no one knows. He's like,
36:55
Speaker 2: we get it, we see him. He's had some rough games,
36:58
Speaker 2: he's also had some really big good throw and blah
37:00
Speaker 2: blah blah. And I just said to him, there's thirty
37:03
Speaker 2: two starters. That means there's thirty two backups. And I
37:06
Speaker 2: wouldn't even have him in my top sixty four. Like
37:08
Speaker 2: the guy is a third string practice quarterback. And you know,
37:13
Speaker 2: I can't say that I knew from the minute I
37:14
Speaker 2: saw him, but the fact that I was hearing so
37:17
Speaker 2: much noise during the draft Atlanta trying to get quarterbacks
37:20
Speaker 2: from all these guys who work for Atlanta, who are
37:23
Speaker 2: scouts for Atlanta. I knew the team knew. And if
37:26
Speaker 2: the team knows, the team is supposed to be the
37:28
Speaker 2: biggest frauds, blowing smoke, saying all this stuff in the media,
37:31
Speaker 2: which they do do. But if I'm getting word behind
37:33
Speaker 2: the scenes that this team was already trying to find
37:35
Speaker 2: another quarterback because they don't believe in them, that's a
37:37
Speaker 2: huge red flag, Like these guys want to believe in guys.
37:40
Speaker 2: So yeah, Ritter just buying his time to be being
37:43
Speaker 2: their starting quarterback. They just eventually they're going to replace him.
37:47
Speaker 1: So you said you thought we'd be fading, Mike Vrabel, Yeah,
37:53
Speaker 1: got a problem. Here's the problem. And I'm just sort
37:56
Speaker 1: of I picked out a few games that I thought
37:57
Speaker 1: we might be interested in. And if I don't hit
37:59
Speaker 1: the games you're also thinking about, you know, please add
38:02
Speaker 1: But uh, they're a one point dog at Indy.
38:07
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's why you're a fraiding them, Chad. You think
38:11
Speaker 2: that's a you think that's a good number. You're getting
38:13
Speaker 2: good value there.
38:14
Speaker 1: I don't feel anything that that ship stinks, Chad, Come on,
38:20
Speaker 1: that line stinks.
38:24
Speaker 2: Let the public bet it. We'll get the Colts as
38:26
Speaker 2: a dog like. People are going to come in like you,
38:28
Speaker 2: they're going to take Tennessee here. I can't knock them
38:31
Speaker 2: for it.
38:32
Speaker 1: Uhh, I'm not doing anything yet. I'm just waiting. I
38:35
Speaker 1: don't feel like it's it. I feel like it's a
38:37
Speaker 1: It's like I don't have a read on a number
38:40
Speaker 1: at one. Yeah, the Titans versus the Cults, it feels
38:44
Speaker 1: like there they set that line so the market could
38:48
Speaker 1: dictate which way it was going to go.
38:50
Speaker 2: I was hoping it was going to open three and
38:52
Speaker 2: we were gonna get a nice three points of this
38:54
Speaker 2: cold team. So I'm with you, like, I haven't bet this.
38:56
Speaker 2: I'll just wait. But the public, everyone's going to come
38:59
Speaker 2: in on this Tennessee team. They're gonna drink the koolid.
39:01
Speaker 2: They just blew out Joe Burrow the Colts. Yeah, me
39:05
Speaker 2: and you thought they played well and they had a
39:06
Speaker 2: good comeback. No one Bettenham thinks that they're pissed they
39:09
Speaker 2: lost their bet. They lost money on them. The general
39:11
Speaker 2: public is gonna be pissed of the Colts for back
39:12
Speaker 2: of them in that spot. So yeah, to me, I'll
39:16
Speaker 2: take the good stuff where I saw in that Colts game,
39:18
Speaker 2: which is Anthony Richardson coming off an injury, looked rusty
39:21
Speaker 2: for a half, and then the second half he kind
39:23
Speaker 2: of got his groove back. And I'm looking forward to
39:27
Speaker 2: getting him at hopefully a plus number against this Tennessee team.
39:30
Speaker 1: Don't be mean to me on Sunday nights just because
39:32
Speaker 1: you haven't slept for days and I ask a neutral question.
39:36
Speaker 2: I'm just trying to save you from betting on Tennessee.
39:39
Speaker 1: There, I didn't bet Tennessee yet. I don't have an
39:40
Speaker 1: opinion on this game because I got the number. I'm
39:42
Speaker 1: waiting for something to happen to it. Cincinnati. I put
39:48
Speaker 1: this in the script before it moved to six, and
39:51
Speaker 1: now it's at five. I just think this Arizona team
39:54
Speaker 1: is interesting. They clearly don't give up, and I think
39:57
Speaker 1: Cincinnati is in real trouble. But do you still like
40:02
Speaker 1: it at five?
40:03
Speaker 2: Not crazy about it, but I probably will. I probably
40:06
Speaker 2: will take it, but yeah, like I liked it at six,
40:09
Speaker 2: I was like, that's that's a really nice number that
40:10
Speaker 2: they hung up there. Yeah. I'll let the pros and
40:13
Speaker 2: the public do something with us, and maybe I'll opinion
40:15
Speaker 2: on Tuesday. But yeah, if you missed the six, you
40:17
Speaker 2: missed a good number. Now we can just wait for
40:20
Speaker 2: it at five or grow up four and a half
40:21
Speaker 2: or whatever it ends up at. But that's definitely a
40:25
Speaker 2: tricky game where it's like I want to back Joe,
40:29
Speaker 2: but he's just not the Joe Burrow we know and love.
40:32
Speaker 2: He's just something something's wrong there. So Arizona playing hard
40:36
Speaker 2: or in every game should have covered this week, and they,
40:39
Speaker 2: I mean, things just don't bounced their way. Yeah, I
40:42
Speaker 2: guess we'll take the value on Arizona.
40:44
Speaker 1: Uh. The Philadelphia Eagles were at six visiting the Rams.
40:50
Speaker 1: It's been down to five already.
40:52
Speaker 2: If Cooper cups back, it's a no brainer smash spot
40:56
Speaker 2: for this Rams team. But we talked about when the
40:59
Speaker 2: Bucks played again the Eagles. I thought the Bucks would
41:01
Speaker 2: be able to attack the secondary of the Eagles, who
41:03
Speaker 2: are very injured, and it didn't work out. Little did
41:07
Speaker 2: we know that, Sam, I mean, who knows the hell
41:10
Speaker 2: went on with that Eagles and that Commander's game, Like
41:14
Speaker 2: the reps were involved in a lot of stuff too,
41:16
Speaker 2: but the secondary did look suspect for that Eagles team,
41:19
Speaker 2: and Stafford is picking teams apart right now with a
41:23
Speaker 2: bunch of no names. So if Cooper cup is back,
41:26
Speaker 2: why wouldn't we take the Rams as a home dog
41:28
Speaker 2: in the spot. That's just that's a big number for
41:29
Speaker 2: an Eagles team to be favorite. That think you nail
41:32
Speaker 2: at Chad like, we have a lot of questions about them,
41:34
Speaker 2: So another game. I won't overreact in bed right away.
41:38
Speaker 2: The best of the numbers already gone. Like Chad said,
41:40
Speaker 2: the six is gone. I'll be patient on that one.
41:42
Speaker 2: But there is another game we're going to get to
41:44
Speaker 2: that I am going to bet right now just in
41:46
Speaker 2: case it does move. Say it, say it, yeah, the
41:51
Speaker 2: game of the week forty nine years Cowboys. I'm grabbing
41:55
Speaker 2: the minus three and a half right now. Minus three
41:57
Speaker 2: if you can find it on this forty nine Ers team.
41:59
Speaker 2: It's just a great number, a great spot. Cowboys are
42:03
Speaker 2: very good, they are talented. They are not as good
42:10
Speaker 2: as this forty nine Ers team, and I just don't
42:13
Speaker 2: think they are. I just I haven't towerrated as such.
42:16
Speaker 2: You know, if I said it before, if the forty
42:19
Speaker 2: nine Ers went through Dallas, I'd make them a small favorite.
42:22
Speaker 2: So I have to stick to it. This is a
42:25
Speaker 2: big number. It's gonna be scary, but I just see
42:28
Speaker 2: a lot of public money coming in on this Cowboys
42:30
Speaker 2: team and then being happy to get the hook so
42:34
Speaker 2: you don't have to take it. You want to hopefully
42:35
Speaker 2: get the three on the forty nine Ers. It could
42:37
Speaker 2: get there again. I'm just grabbing this just in case
42:39
Speaker 2: professional money comes in to start starts going up to
42:41
Speaker 2: four four and a half.
42:45
Speaker 1: This forty nine Ers team is a juggernaut. Like that
42:48
Speaker 1: defense is amongst the statistically best defenses ever over the
42:53
Speaker 1: past two years. What they're doing is almost unprecedented. And
42:58
Speaker 1: the way they're playing McCaffrey and the way that brock
43:00
Speaker 1: Perdy is controlling a game and not making a ton
43:03
Speaker 1: of mistakes. I don't think he's been as good as
43:05
Speaker 1: he was in those seven games last year, but he's
43:07
Speaker 1: not making the mistakes. Like it's almost like Kyle Shanahan
43:11
Speaker 1: has been building his entire career to get all of
43:15
Speaker 1: these tools that he has, and now everything fits in
43:18
Speaker 1: the exact way that he wants it to fit. It's
43:20
Speaker 1: actually astonishing to watch.
43:22
Speaker 2: Yeah, he's a seventh round quarterback. He has a lot
43:24
Speaker 2: of weaknesses and a lot of teams can exploit those weaknesses.
43:27
Speaker 2: But the gift we keep talking about that Kyle run
43:30
Speaker 2: blocking scheme. It sets everything up like every time he
43:35
Speaker 2: needs to, he can just throw a fake to McCaffrey,
43:38
Speaker 2: have the linebackers step up. They open the middle of
43:40
Speaker 2: the fields open. Easiest completion the guys can make are
43:43
Speaker 2: those guys running those slants across the middle when the
43:45
Speaker 2: linebackers step up. So even in this game, they didn't
43:48
Speaker 2: need him to do much because McCaffrey's so good. And
43:50
Speaker 2: that's why I give the edge just ford Ers team.
43:53
Speaker 2: I think the run blocking style they do is going
43:56
Speaker 2: to give major problems to this Dallas defense that let's
44:00
Speaker 2: face it, they're not great against the run's it's really
44:02
Speaker 2: their only weakness. So yeah, I give the lean right
44:07
Speaker 2: now towards taking the forty nine Ers.
44:09
Speaker 1: The other game I'm thinking about, but it's off the
44:11
Speaker 1: board now in a lot of places is Kansas City
44:12
Speaker 1: minus six and Minnesota. Yeah I might lean Minnesota in
44:17
Speaker 1: that game. So as soon as that game opens up again,
44:21
Speaker 1: depending on what happens tonight, I'm probably going to have
44:23
Speaker 1: to take a little taste of Minnesota.
44:25
Speaker 2: Okay, yeah, I get it. I have no feelings on
44:28
Speaker 2: that one. Yet, but I see whre you're coming from.
44:30
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