Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Full Show Podcast: 15 May 2026

Transcript

Full Show Podcast: 15 May 2026 · Early Edition with Ryan Bridge

0:00
Speaker 1: The issues, the interviews and the insight. Ryan Bridge on
0:05
Speaker 1: early edition with Spunk for business technology that keeps business moving,
0:09
Speaker 1: news talks that'd be.
0:10
Speaker 2: Six up to five Happy Friday. She is giving Trump
0:14
Speaker 2: a warning. Over time, one will get to that Vincent
0:16
Speaker 2: in the UK for us this morning Burnham is making
0:19
Speaker 2: his move. He's coming to Starmer. Simeon Brown on gas
0:22
Speaker 2: running out here and in New Zealand's cuts to flights
0:25
Speaker 2: and jobs, the agenda right out of fifteenth of May,
0:30
Speaker 2: so breaking out of the UK this morning. All roads
0:32
Speaker 2: lead to make a field. This is where Burnham is
0:35
Speaker 2: going to stand. Current MP is quitting. He's coming for Starmer.
0:38
Speaker 2: Here's the reaction from the Secretary of State for Work
0:41
Speaker 2: and Pensions. Pac McFadden is the news broke on air.
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Speaker 3: I think Andy is a hugely talented person. I've known
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Speaker 3: them not just for years, but for decades. I have
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Speaker 3: enormous respect for him. I have a good relationship with Undy.
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Speaker 3: But the decisions on a by election that's called about
1:00
Speaker 3: who should be the candidate, who should be on the
1:03
Speaker 3: shot list, what the tame table should be, all of
1:06
Speaker 3: those are party decisions.
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Speaker 2: The interesting thing, of course, is whether they can even
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Speaker 2: win make a field. They've got numbers for the you
1:12
Speaker 2: for you on that shortly. Meanwhile, with streading the Health Secretary,
1:16
Speaker 2: he's stood down. Not see what he's going to do.
1:19
Speaker 4: It is incumbent on all of us to rise to
1:21
Speaker 4: what I see as a battle for the soul of
1:23
Speaker 4: our nation. As part of that, we must deliver on
1:25
Speaker 4: all of the promises we made to the country, including
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Speaker 4: our promise to turn the page on the chaos that
1:31
Speaker 4: was roundly rejected by the British people at the last
1:34
Speaker 4: general election.
1:35
Speaker 2: That a statement from Starman. Now in Beijing, Trump and
1:38
Speaker 2: she have had their yolet overnight as shoemaking it clear
1:41
Speaker 2: Taiwan is the most important issue, But Marco Rubio says
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Speaker 2: the US policy on Taiwan hasn't changed.
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Speaker 5: We hear them when they see this. We always respond
1:50
Speaker 5: by seeing anything that would compel or force a change,
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Speaker 5: and what we have now would be problematic and we
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Speaker 5: would certainly our policies on that have not changed.
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Speaker 2: Big banquet for them. What's on the menu, well, lobster
2:01
Speaker 2: and tomato soup and crispy beef ribs, fatigue.
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Speaker 6: Juvenation off the Chinese nation, and making America great again.
2:09
Speaker 7: Can go hunting hand.
2:11
Speaker 2: They've already got a return date for the next one tonight.
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Speaker 8: It is my honor to extend an invitation to you
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Speaker 8: and Madam Peing to visit us at the White House
2:21
Speaker 8: this September twenty fourth, and we look forward.
2:25
Speaker 2: To it staying in the US for a second while
2:27
Speaker 2: after the US, I should say. Stephen Colbert, reflecting on
2:30
Speaker 2: the end of his late show, do you know it's
2:32
Speaker 2: losing more than forty million dollars a year? He spoke
2:36
Speaker 2: about it during a podcast reunion with Seth Meyers, John Oliver,
2:39
Speaker 2: Jimmy Kimmel and Jimmy Fallon.
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Speaker 9: The show takes all of my mind, like ninety five
2:44
Speaker 9: percent of my mind every day.
2:45
Speaker 2: You do the show until it's over, I don't know.
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Speaker 9: I've gone and I've had meetings, like I've had some
2:49
Speaker 9: really nice meetings with.
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Speaker 2: People, like.
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Speaker 10: We want to be in the seap cool bit of business,
2:54
Speaker 10: Like that's wonderful.
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Speaker 11: What is that?
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Speaker 2: Show? Ends?
2:57
Speaker 1: May twenty first, rich On Early edition with UK for
3:02
Speaker 1: Business Technology that keeps business moving US talks'b.
3:07
Speaker 2: The number to text. So the local elections results for Makerfield,
3:12
Speaker 2: this is in Greater Manchester. Results weren't great for Labour.
3:15
Speaker 2: So this is the thing, and I said this to
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Speaker 2: you yesterday. What happens if he doesn't even win Burnham,
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Speaker 2: the king of it off, if he doesn't even win
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Speaker 2: the seat that's been vacated for him by a guy
3:25
Speaker 2: called Josh Simmons. Josh Simmons, Labor MP, was a Labor minister.
3:29
Speaker 2: He actually had to stand down. He was harangued over
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Speaker 2: resigned as a minister over some dodgy pr stuff that
3:35
Speaker 2: he'd done. So they don't cover themselves in glory. There's
3:38
Speaker 2: a lot to do they anyway. So he's standing aside burnhams
3:41
Speaker 2: wants to go and there needs to get permission to
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Speaker 2: do it. But if he gets there, will he win
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Speaker 2: the seat? Now there was only a majority of five
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Speaker 2: thousand for the previous guy. That was in twenty twenty four,
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Speaker 2: not that long ago, when Labor was riding high. This
3:55
Speaker 2: is the majority that's been squandered by Starmer. And then
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Speaker 2: now there's a Form surge on. So in the local
4:01
Speaker 2: elections that they just held, Reform swept twenty four of
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Speaker 2: the twenty five borough seats in that area. So even
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Speaker 2: if he gets to the point where he is the candidate,
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Speaker 2: can he even win the seat, and then you've got
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Speaker 2: timing issues. Then you've got you know, questions about is
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Speaker 2: it all going to happen in time for some sort
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Speaker 2: of contest. All things they're going to need to sort out.
4:24
Speaker 2: Of course. Ten minutes after five, Ryan Bridge and New's
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Speaker 2: only got a lot to sort out itself. Now we've
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Speaker 2: got some numbers from yesterday between three hundred and forty
4:33
Speaker 2: and three hundred and ninety million dollars expected to be
4:35
Speaker 2: the loss, and they are going to cut some roots
4:37
Speaker 2: and they are going to start doing that from July
4:39
Speaker 2: school holidays. We'll have details next.
4:42
Speaker 1: Get ahead of the headlines on early edition with Ryan
4:47
Speaker 1: Bridge and Spark for Business Technology that keeps business moving
4:51
Speaker 1: News talks that'd be now.
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Speaker 2: This will sound ironic in about ten seconds thirteen minutes
4:55
Speaker 2: after five, but Q one terrorist numbers are up eleven
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Speaker 2: percent on Q one twenty five, so that's good. Tourists
5:01
Speaker 2: are coming back. The Aussies are leading the charge for
5:03
Speaker 2: the year to March twenty twenty six full year up
5:07
Speaker 2: fifteen percent. Thank you to Australia, Thank you very much.
5:10
Speaker 2: Where is it all going? Because it's not going where
5:12
Speaker 2: we're about to talk, and that is in New Zealand
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Speaker 2: turbulence for them, So steering down the barrel of a
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Speaker 2: loss of four hundred million dollars this year. That is
5:22
Speaker 2: pre tax, This is a round, this is fuel costs.
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Speaker 2: They're jumping up, and they're jumping up quite quickly too.
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Speaker 6: There are markets in vound markets out of the United States,
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Speaker 6: SUDA Asia that are indeed performing well. So where we
5:36
Speaker 6: can recover some of the fuel price increases by putting
5:40
Speaker 6: price sub we will, but we're very thoughtful about it
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Speaker 6: and it's not one size fits all. We're heading what
5:46
Speaker 6: we call elasticity limits, where our customers can't afford to
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Speaker 6: pay anymore.
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Speaker 2: Joining me this morning is Cath O'Brien Bordeville, unrepresented as
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Speaker 2: executive director. Good morning Cath, Good morning Ryan. So I
6:00
Speaker 2: can't really push the price too much high, especially on
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Speaker 2: domestic routes. Does that mean we were likely to see
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Speaker 2: changes more to the internationals.
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Speaker 12: Well, I think all airlines have to obviously respond to
6:10
Speaker 12: the scenarios that they're facing. So yes, that does include
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Speaker 12: some price increases.
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Speaker 2: But yes, you know, all.
6:17
Speaker 12: Airlines know that that there are limits to what customers
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Speaker 12: will pay. So that's only one lever that we used
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Speaker 12: to respond.
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Speaker 2: Why is in New Zealand in such a worse position
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Speaker 2: than other airlines around the world, including quantas well.
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Speaker 12: I think all airlines around the world are having to
6:32
Speaker 12: respond to the situation that we find ourselves in. And
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Speaker 12: I'd say the response to this has been swift and
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Speaker 12: generally speaking across all airlines efficient. You know, we've seen
6:44
Speaker 12: airlines respond with root clock consolidation. They've looked to the
6:46
Speaker 12: cost savings. Yes, there's been some price increases, you know,
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Speaker 12: but as you said, you know, demand for tourism remains strong.
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Speaker 12: You know, New Zealand has seen that, you know against
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Speaker 12: March twenty twenty six against March twenty twenty five, you know,
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Speaker 12: up nine point two percent on prior year, really strong
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Speaker 12: visitation from the US, from China, from Australia, especially into
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Speaker 12: our South Island ports. And I think that that strong
7:10
Speaker 12: demand for travel, incredibly resilient demand, does put airlines in
7:15
Speaker 12: quite a good place to continue.
7:18
Speaker 2: And yet they were protecting to make a loss before Iran.
7:21
Speaker 2: You know, like, what why is in New Zealand not
7:25
Speaker 2: taking advantage? Why is a Quantus and Jetstar getting the
7:28
Speaker 2: jump even and domestically.
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Speaker 12: Well, I think if you stand back. You have to
7:33
Speaker 12: say that that airlines, you know, have different market positions
7:37
Speaker 12: just as a basis, and you know New Zealand is
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Speaker 12: a much much smaller market than than the Australian market.
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Speaker 12: That market can stand you know, a premium carrier and
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Speaker 12: a low cost carrier operating in that very large market.
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Speaker 12: You know, you must remember that Sydney has five million
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Speaker 12: people and New Zealand has five million people. It is
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Speaker 12: not a level playing field to compare those two states.
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Speaker 2: Are you saying we're not big enough to sustain two airlines.
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Speaker 12: I'm saying that that we have not got that same
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Speaker 12: basis to sustain demand generally. You know we're not as big.
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Speaker 12: It's just it's just facts. But you know that's where
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Speaker 12: international tourism becomes so important, and what we can see
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Speaker 12: from the data is that that is just so strong.
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Speaker 2: Appreciate your time this morning, Kath. Kath O'Brien bought of
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Speaker 2: the airline representative as executive director. It is sixteen minutes
8:31
Speaker 2: after five Brian, So things to note, like it's not
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Speaker 2: all doom and gloom for in New Zealand. They do
8:37
Speaker 2: have a war chest to fight this oil thing with
8:40
Speaker 2: one point three billion dollars. They can look at a
8:43
Speaker 2: capital raised down the track, although they've indicated they won't
8:45
Speaker 2: be doing that at this point. And as we heard
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Speaker 2: from Nicol Ravashenka just earlier inbound from America, inbound from Asia,
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Speaker 2: they'll look at putting up prices there before they look
8:54
Speaker 2: at anything else. Jobs is interesting, so it doesn't sing
8:58
Speaker 2: your staff. This was about a week ago. There was
9:00
Speaker 2: report from the union, A dozen senior staff we're going
9:03
Speaker 2: to go. But they said that had a guarantee no
9:05
Speaker 2: baggage handlers, no flight attendance, no engineers, no front house
9:08
Speaker 2: would be laid off. We'll see whether that holds true.
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Speaker 2: Today seventeen after five.
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Speaker 1: On your radio and online on iHeartRadio Belly Edition with
9:18
Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge and Spark for Business Technology that keeps Business Moving.
9:23
Speaker 2: News talks'd be five nineteen. Some pretty big numbers coming
9:26
Speaker 2: out of Electric Avenue, you know, the festival they have
9:28
Speaker 2: in christ Church. Fourteen million dollars. This is according to
9:31
Speaker 2: one of those economic impact reports. And I'm always a
9:33
Speaker 2: little bit skeptical about the economic impact reports and stuff
9:36
Speaker 2: like this, because well, how can you ever be really sure?
9:39
Speaker 2: But it's from Fresh Info. This is the festival that
9:42
Speaker 2: had Kesher and dom Dollar, which you'll know who they
9:45
Speaker 2: are of course. At ten and a half million dollars
9:47
Speaker 2: is how much was spent by the Festival goes in
9:50
Speaker 2: twenty twenty five. That's now hit fourteen million dollars for
9:54
Speaker 2: this year's event. That is a massive number. That is
9:56
Speaker 2: the biggest injection from a single event since the nineteen
9:59
Speaker 2: seventy four Calm Games. Forty five thousand tickets, two thousand workers,
10:04
Speaker 2: artists and Kruber on site. Thirteen percent increase on the
10:06
Speaker 2: twenty five event. Bryan Bridge, He's gas reserves are now
10:10
Speaker 2: at their lowest level in twenty years, that since record began.
10:13
Speaker 2: Speaking of records, NBC's reserves fell eleven and a half
10:17
Speaker 2: percent in the year of January, following a twenty seven
10:19
Speaker 2: percent drop the year before. Much of that blamed on
10:22
Speaker 2: lower estimates at the Pohu Kuda field. Reserves now sit
10:27
Speaker 2: at just seven hundred and thirty one pedigles. So I
10:30
Speaker 2: mean Brown is the Energy Minister with me live this morning.
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Speaker 2: Home Minister, good morning, So how why are the estimates
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Speaker 2: coming down?
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Speaker 13: There's a number of reasons we have. We have a
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Speaker 13: range of fields which are coming to the end of
10:45
Speaker 13: their life and so for example, the Marli fields expected
10:48
Speaker 13: to close later this year. We haven't had major new
10:53
Speaker 13: fields been discovered for a long time in New Zealand,
10:57
Speaker 13: and of course we've had the ban on explorations since
11:00
Speaker 13: twenty eighteen to twenty twenty five, and that's ultimately meant
11:04
Speaker 13: for that period of time we haven't had exploration as
11:06
Speaker 13: well looking for new gas and that's led to the
11:10
Speaker 13: situation we're currently in which puts our electricity sector in
11:13
Speaker 13: our industrial sectors in increasingly difficult positions in relation to
11:20
Speaker 13: security of supply of energy.
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Speaker 2: Why are you putting these numbers out? I mean, obviously
11:24
Speaker 2: to make people aware but also build the case for LMG.
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Speaker 13: Well, these are released by MBDS, so there's not released
11:30
Speaker 13: by me as the minister. Therese are Tier one statistics.
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Speaker 2: You've put a press release out on them. I'm just
11:37
Speaker 2: asking if all right?
11:38
Speaker 13: In terms of absolutely, I mean this is about making
11:40
Speaker 13: the point that we need to reinvigorate not only our
11:44
Speaker 13: domestic oil and gas industry. It's critically important for our
11:47
Speaker 13: national security of supply of energy but also for industry,
11:51
Speaker 13: but also to point out if we don't find new gas,
11:54
Speaker 13: we will need to look at alternatives, and the alternative
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Speaker 13: that we are currently going through a process of is
12:00
Speaker 13: to import LERG to make sure that we can have
12:03
Speaker 13: that security of supply for our electricity sector, which which
12:07
Speaker 13: relies on a gains to keep the lights on.
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Speaker 2: Absolutely. So in terms of the band, now the band's
12:13
Speaker 2: been lifted, how I mean, how long do we get
12:15
Speaker 2: more prospecting for gas?
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Speaker 13: Well, it's work underway by the by the players, but
12:19
Speaker 13: ultimately they are also you know, working to find as
12:24
Speaker 13: much gas in their current fields as well. And so
12:27
Speaker 13: I think the report highlights that the last number of
12:29
Speaker 13: years has been around a billion dollars spent on you know,
12:32
Speaker 13: drilling and existing fields to extract as much as they
12:35
Speaker 13: can out of those fields.
12:36
Speaker 2: But as they get older, it gets harder. But in
12:39
Speaker 2: terms of gas, when will we realistically see a gas
12:43
Speaker 2: find new gas being added to this number rather than
12:46
Speaker 2: it continually going down.
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Speaker 13: Well, it would take it. It would take a significant amount
12:51
Speaker 13: of of resource and investment. The government's put two undred
12:54
Speaker 13: million dollars to work alongside. We're putting putting taxpayers money
12:59
Speaker 13: and investing alongside those looking for gas to support their
13:04
Speaker 13: efforts as well. But look, it takes a long time.
13:07
Speaker 13: To bring a new gas field onto stream. Often you've
13:09
Speaker 13: got to you've got to find it, you've got to
13:11
Speaker 13: drill for it, the pipelines in place. That takes time,
13:14
Speaker 13: and that's why LNG as a measure to import it
13:17
Speaker 13: into the country becomes critically important because we need to
13:21
Speaker 13: build a firm solar wind hydro. When we have a
13:25
Speaker 13: dry year, we need backup, backup fuel. The coal at
13:29
Speaker 13: the coal at Huntly provides about half of the backup
13:32
Speaker 13: fuel that's that's needed in a dry year, so we
13:35
Speaker 13: need to make sure we've got gas for the other half.
13:37
Speaker 13: And with declining fields totally, LNG case becomes really important.
13:41
Speaker 2: Well, and you didn't say important, you just need critical.
13:43
Speaker 2: So you can't not do L and G now, can you,
13:45
Speaker 2: Because you've said that it's critical. And if you turn
13:47
Speaker 2: around and don't do L and G, then it looks
13:49
Speaker 2: like you're doing something non critical.
13:51
Speaker 13: Well, we're working through we're working through a procurement process,
13:54
Speaker 13: so there's still a number of steps that we need
13:55
Speaker 13: to make. But my point here is we need a
13:58
Speaker 13: solution which fixes this problem as quick as we can.
14:01
Speaker 13: The alternatives such as building a lake, a big pumped
14:05
Speaker 13: hydro lake, storage at bottom of South Island will take
14:08
Speaker 13: ten to fifteen years to build. We need to make
14:10
Speaker 13: sure we've got their security supplies quickly as.
14:12
Speaker 2: We can, shuttering more mills and factories. Hey, very quickly
14:14
Speaker 2: on Air New Zealand, because you're stayed on enterprises, any
14:17
Speaker 2: concerns there or business as usual. It's tough time, but
14:20
Speaker 2: they'll get through it and might need any government here.
14:22
Speaker 13: Oh, look incredibly concerned. I'm not the shareholding minister particularly responsible.
14:27
Speaker 13: I think it's David Seymour Nichola Willis. But overall, as
14:31
Speaker 13: the shareholding Minister, looking at our Saturn enterprises and mom companies,
14:36
Speaker 13: we want them to be performing well. Significantly concerned about
14:39
Speaker 13: Air New Zealand's performance. Are facing the consequences of high
14:45
Speaker 13: fuel prices, but they need to be focused on the basics,
14:49
Speaker 13: which is flying their planes on time, providing a good
14:52
Speaker 13: service and making sure that they that they can be
14:55
Speaker 13: as efficient as possible. That's our expectations of all of
14:58
Speaker 13: our Staturn enterprises.
15:00
Speaker 2: Brown Energy Minister, appreciate your time this morning. It is
15:02
Speaker 2: twenty five the early.
15:04
Speaker 1: Edition Full show podcast on IHARM Radio Power It by Newstalks,
15:08
Speaker 1: the'd Be News.
15:10
Speaker 2: Talks there'd be twenty seven minutes alf to five. Look
15:12
Speaker 2: this might sound a little bit patronizing, but this country
15:15
Speaker 2: needs a positive mindset. We need our number eight wire.
15:18
Speaker 2: Fix it, don't moan about it attitude in New Zealand's
15:22
Speaker 2: and the doldrums trumps that wore in the Middle East,
15:24
Speaker 2: oils choked up Hijingping talking overnight about Taiwan again. And
15:28
Speaker 2: for some perspective, if Taiwan kicks off, which some in
15:32
Speaker 2: the intelligence community reckon would happen as early as next year,
15:35
Speaker 2: then things will change pretty quickly. The world could be
15:38
Speaker 2: held to ransom over semiconductors, not oil. Global GDP could
15:42
Speaker 2: drop five percent. That's COVID era GFC level stuff. And
15:46
Speaker 2: for US some sort of quarantine or blockade would be
15:50
Speaker 2: very bad. China is our number one trading partner, twenty
15:52
Speaker 2: to twenty five percent of our exports, and we're an
15:54
Speaker 2: export nation. If they do what everyone expects that they
15:57
Speaker 2: will do, then they'd be Western sanctioned. And what happens
16:01
Speaker 2: to our goods when there's Western sanctions? The tap gets
16:04
Speaker 2: turned off or we turned a blind eye, But that's
16:07
Speaker 2: highly unlikely. When I lived in Beijing, Taiwan was a
16:10
Speaker 2: constant topic of conversation along with Hong Kong, because well,
16:13
Speaker 2: they're very important to the Chinese, not just for historical
16:16
Speaker 2: reasons but strategic ones. Their entire eastern seaboard, which is
16:21
Speaker 2: within spitting distance by the way of Beijing, their political center, Shanghai,
16:25
Speaker 2: commercial center, manufacturing, heavy industry, port cities all along that coastline,
16:30
Speaker 2: and across the Pacific Ocean sits America. So any buffer
16:34
Speaker 2: is a good buffer, Thank you very much. This is
16:36
Speaker 2: not to say we should freak out, but that we
16:39
Speaker 2: should be prepared and stay positive. Greg farn had covided
16:43
Speaker 2: in New Zealand. Nicol Ravashenka's got a jet fuel crisis.
16:47
Speaker 2: The next guy will have something else. The hits won't
16:50
Speaker 2: stop coming. The world is smaller and dependent on each
16:53
Speaker 2: other via global trade, and that means that a coffin
16:56
Speaker 2: Taiwan means a cold and Southland, New Zealand. The best
16:59
Speaker 2: we can do is diversify ourselves I e. India and
17:03
Speaker 2: keep a positive mindset. Ryan Bridge Solutions Solutions, Pivot and
17:09
Speaker 2: Solutions twenty nine. After five you're on news talks. Heb
17:12
Speaker 2: lots of your texts coming in on in New Zealand,
17:14
Speaker 2: we'll get to those. We also get to Vincent mcavnnie
17:17
Speaker 2: for the latest as Andy Burnham makes his move. He's
17:21
Speaker 2: coming for Starma News Talk SADB before the news breaks.
17:38
Speaker 2: Hear it first.
17:39
Speaker 1: Ryan Bridge on early edition with Spark for business Technology
17:43
Speaker 1: that keeps business moving.
17:44
Speaker 2: News Talks B Sound go all away from six. It's
17:51
Speaker 2: Friday morning. We'll get to the Trumps She summit in
17:53
Speaker 2: short time and we'll go to London. It's all on
17:56
Speaker 2: all happening. Andy Bernman is officially coming for Starmer's job,
18:00
Speaker 2: will change labor for the better. He's from the soft left.
18:02
Speaker 2: He was mayor of Manchester Kingendon North they call him
18:05
Speaker 2: an MP. Before that, he was a cabinet minister under
18:08
Speaker 2: Gordon Brown. He's basically been in politics forever, which they
18:11
Speaker 2: all have. Same with Wes Streeting the Health Secretary who
18:14
Speaker 2: hasn't yet said what he's going to do anyway. We'll
18:16
Speaker 2: get an update from London about that. But the problem
18:19
Speaker 2: you've got, and it was thinking about this just earlier,
18:22
Speaker 2: how do you differentiate labor because you've got you've got
18:25
Speaker 2: reform on your right, you've got Greens on your left.
18:28
Speaker 2: What are you actually going to do? And over in Australia.
18:30
Speaker 2: You know they've had the budget over there and Charmers
18:32
Speaker 2: has come out with his bit, which has not gone
18:35
Speaker 2: very well. I don't think a from a how does
18:38
Speaker 2: this actually get a young person into a first home perspective?
18:41
Speaker 2: Not going great. The latest headline is that all of
18:44
Speaker 2: those and it stands to reason, you make buying the
18:48
Speaker 2: houses more expensive, you make the life more expensive for
18:52
Speaker 2: an investor. They go to a slightly cheaper area to
18:54
Speaker 2: do what they did previously. And who's in a cheaper
18:56
Speaker 2: area a first home buyer, so you push up the
18:58
Speaker 2: prices there. But anyway, Angus Taylor has come out, this
19:02
Speaker 2: is the shadow Treasurer come out with a plan, a
19:06
Speaker 2: bit of a gamble to take on both Labor and
19:09
Speaker 2: Albanesi and Pauline Hansen from one nation because this is
19:13
Speaker 2: going to be a big problem for the coalition twenty
19:16
Speaker 2: two and a half billion dollar pitch essentially, and the
19:20
Speaker 2: gamble is on bracket creep, so they are going to
19:23
Speaker 2: index income brackets to inflation, particularly for the lower levels.
19:28
Speaker 2: Very expensive thing to do, however, the payoff if you're
19:31
Speaker 2: a voter sitting there going what do I like? The
19:34
Speaker 2: anti immigration thing over here Do I like labor? Over here?
19:37
Speaker 2: Is two hundred and fifty dollars extra in the first year,
19:39
Speaker 2: rising to one thousand bucks extra in your back pocket
19:42
Speaker 2: by the fourth year. And you keep that every year.
19:46
Speaker 2: The bridge twenty two minutes away from six o'clock. Right,
19:49
Speaker 2: Callum Intoneden, morning, Callum morning, Ryot. What's this new research
19:53
Speaker 2: discovered about obesity?
19:55
Speaker 5: Well, it's not good reading for New Zealand, that's for sure.
19:57
Speaker 5: The later starter, analyzed by the Nature Index, shows that
20:01
Speaker 5: new obesity cases globally have plateaued and some developed countries,
20:05
Speaker 5: but are slowly rising in others, including here. New Zealand
20:09
Speaker 5: continues to have a high prevalence of obesity, with about
20:12
Speaker 5: a third of our children considered obese. Otaga University researcher
20:16
Speaker 5: Rachel Taylor has responded to these latest numbers. She says
20:20
Speaker 5: local initiatives are great, but systemic action is needed here.
20:24
Speaker 5: She says we need to look at big picture things
20:27
Speaker 5: like food policies, advertising to children and our curriculum. All right,
20:30
Speaker 5: how's your weather? Most of the cloudy here today? Souester
20:34
Speaker 5: dies out in the high just twelve today.
20:36
Speaker 2: Thanks mat Claire and christ Church. What can you tell
20:38
Speaker 2: us about this fire overnight, Claire, Yeah.
20:40
Speaker 14: This is tragic, Ryan. One person's died and six others
20:43
Speaker 14: are injured in a house fire in the christ Church
20:46
Speaker 14: suburb of Mighty Hope. Emergency services were called to Whitehall
20:49
Speaker 14: Street that runs between Hills Road and Westminster Street at
20:53
Speaker 14: about eight thirty last night. Initially police were able to
20:57
Speaker 14: say that there were critical injuries and people were on
20:59
Speaker 14: a counted for, but it did take some time for
21:02
Speaker 14: them to confirm just how many are unaccounted for. Our
21:05
Speaker 14: newsroom understands there are a number of people who live
21:08
Speaker 14: in that home. Superintendent Lane Todd has since confirmed one
21:12
Speaker 14: fatality and that the injured includes one person critical, three
21:16
Speaker 14: who have moderate to serious injuries, and two more with
21:19
Speaker 14: minor injuries. He says the scene examination is ongoing this morning.
21:23
Speaker 14: Members of the public can expect the cordons to remain
21:25
Speaker 14: in place for some time. Yet the public is also
21:28
Speaker 14: warned to avoid the area while they.
21:29
Speaker 7: Do their job.
21:30
Speaker 2: Well, that's no good. How's your weather?
21:32
Speaker 14: A foggy star for christ Church today, otherwise will be
21:35
Speaker 14: quite cloudy. There is the chance of a few showers
21:37
Speaker 14: like twins and thirteen degrees.
21:39
Speaker 2: All right, Max and Wellington Morning Max, good morning, this
21:42
Speaker 2: is your last cross I'm told for two months before
21:44
Speaker 2: you mayer off to do your football thing.
21:47
Speaker 15: Yes, I'm covering the wonderful Jenny Woods on the bulletin
21:52
Speaker 15: subbing desk for a month before my overseas trips. So
21:55
Speaker 15: all hands on deck needs must. I'll be in at
21:58
Speaker 15: four am instead of five the next fours.
22:00
Speaker 2: Oh, that'll be hard one, but at least you get
22:03
Speaker 2: a month off after that. That's nice. Yeah, exactly. How's
22:06
Speaker 2: they doing it to Papa?
22:08
Speaker 15: Job wise, well, twenty jobs are going apparently, according to
22:12
Speaker 15: the Post, quite a wide reaching restructure for what's a
22:15
Speaker 15: relatively small workforce. Sixty two jobs going, forty.
22:18
Speaker 2: Two being created overall.
22:20
Speaker 15: I imagine many staff will have to reapply for their
22:23
Speaker 15: own jobs, all to save about a million bucks a year.
22:26
Speaker 15: About a dozen jobs went in the last restructure quite
22:30
Speaker 15: recently at the National Museum, just trying to stay on
22:32
Speaker 15: its feet. So in total, the museum's trying to save
22:34
Speaker 15: close to three and a half million bucks. The Air
22:37
Speaker 15: two Union says TIPPAPA has spent about six hundred and
22:40
Speaker 15: seventy thousand bucks just doing this restructure.
22:44
Speaker 2: Goodness me, how's your.
22:45
Speaker 15: Weather mostly cloud today?
22:47
Speaker 2: Southerly's a high thirteen nice one. Maybe good morning, good morning.
22:50
Speaker 2: The historic Saint James Theater could be used for bigger production.
22:54
Speaker 10: Yes, now, look, this follows the purchase of two neighboring
22:57
Speaker 10: properties and valued at more than seven million dollars. They
23:01
Speaker 10: share the rear wall of the theater, so work's going
23:05
Speaker 10: to be done to separate the buildings. This will help
23:07
Speaker 10: prevent damage during a seismic event. Steve Bilby, he's the
23:11
Speaker 10: director of Saint James Holdings. He says, look, it also
23:14
Speaker 10: gives the site more options if something happens to the
23:16
Speaker 10: civic He says that Saint James has the ability to deliver,
23:20
Speaker 10: you know, the likes of fandom of the opera, whereas
23:22
Speaker 10: theaters with larger backstages they can do singing in the rain,
23:25
Speaker 10: because you know that's significantly larger. Oh, your eyes light.
23:28
Speaker 2: Up, singing in the rain in the rain, You remember
23:31
Speaker 2: that one?
23:31
Speaker 12: Yes?
23:31
Speaker 2: Are we doing that today? Or we got more of
23:33
Speaker 2: that beautiful weather?
23:34
Speaker 7: We are, oh, more of that beautiful weather.
23:37
Speaker 10: A chili start though, otherwise fine, I'll look forward to sunshine,
23:41
Speaker 10: no rain, no wind. And eighteen is the high here
23:44
Speaker 10: in Auckland. Just got to say it's going to be
23:46
Speaker 10: a lovely weekend as.
23:47
Speaker 2: Well, brilliant, get some rest. Never good to see you
23:49
Speaker 2: this morning. You look like you need it. Eighteen away
23:52
Speaker 2: from eighteen away from you know. We've had lots of
23:56
Speaker 2: texts in this morning on the unions doing what unions do.
23:59
Speaker 2: Just Ryan busy writing open letters. They are about pushing
24:04
Speaker 2: the curriculum timeframe back, worried about the treaty content, worried
24:08
Speaker 2: about their wages. When are they going to stop and
24:10
Speaker 2: care about the appalling education stats that we have in
24:13
Speaker 2: this country compared to others. And I tend to agree
24:15
Speaker 2: with that. Interestingly, I was reading a number on this
24:17
Speaker 2: this morning from Sweden, because everybody loves Sweden, any Scandinavian country.
24:23
Speaker 2: It's like, oh, we need to be more like them,
24:25
Speaker 2: do we?
24:26
Speaker 11: So?
24:26
Speaker 2: Twenty five percent the number of kids who leave school
24:29
Speaker 2: in Sweden struggling to read twenty five percent. And what
24:34
Speaker 2: they're going to do is go back to actually getting
24:36
Speaker 2: kids to read and off of and write on paper,
24:40
Speaker 2: hard paper. And I cannot tell you. I mean, since
24:43
Speaker 2: I've been a kid, I've written on paper. I still
24:45
Speaker 2: do it now because I reckon if you write down
24:48
Speaker 2: with a pen and a paper. If you write something down,
24:51
Speaker 2: which I do every morning, you are more likely, I
24:54
Speaker 2: reckon twice or three times as likely to remember what
24:57
Speaker 2: that thing is than if you typed it on the computer.
25:00
Speaker 2: That they're going to get rid of some of the
25:01
Speaker 2: screens and schools. It's seventeen away from six. We are
25:04
Speaker 2: live to London next fourteen to six news talks there
25:08
Speaker 2: b I said yesterday there'd be numbers out to well,
25:10
Speaker 2: I said, actually the day before that, there'd be numbers
25:12
Speaker 2: out yesterday. Migration, We've got them. I'll give them to you.
25:15
Speaker 2: Biggest quarterly increase in migration driven population growth in two
25:18
Speaker 2: years in New Zealand. Here are the numbers. Thirty eight
25:21
Speaker 2: thousand people arrived long term in Q one, twenty six
25:24
Speaker 2: thousand departed long term and Q one that means we
25:27
Speaker 2: net gained twelve thousand. Basically, fewer kiwis leaving the country,
25:32
Speaker 2: more migrants arriving, and that means it's the highest number
25:36
Speaker 2: in any quarter since quarter one of twenty twenty four
25:39
Speaker 2: fourteen to.
25:40
Speaker 1: Two International correspondence with Ends and Eye Insurance, Peace of
25:44
Speaker 1: Mind for New Zealand business.
25:47
Speaker 2: Thawl On Andy Burnham, the King of the North is
25:49
Speaker 2: coming for Starma. It's happening, and there is going to
25:52
Speaker 2: be an election in a place called Makerfield, which is
25:55
Speaker 2: in Greater Manchester. And Vincent mcavinnie is our uk UN
25:58
Speaker 2: correspondent here with the details. Vincent, Well, this is.
26:02
Speaker 7: All happening at a great pace today. Andy Burnham has
26:04
Speaker 7: announced that he is going to run for Parliament. He's
26:07
Speaker 7: found someone willing to stand down. But he's got to
26:09
Speaker 7: actually win that seat, which isn't a given given the
26:12
Speaker 7: strength of feeling that Reform have shown that they can
26:15
Speaker 7: channel at the polls, and there's been some analysis already
26:19
Speaker 7: that in that area on the local election result, Reform
26:23
Speaker 7: would give him a pretty big fight. If he does
26:25
Speaker 7: manage to become an MP, then it's clear he wants
26:27
Speaker 7: to run to be the leader of the Labor Party
26:30
Speaker 7: in the Prime minister. But Andy Burnham has twice before
26:33
Speaker 7: ran to be Labor leader and he failed both times.
26:36
Speaker 7: And I followed him on those campaigns. He wasn't the
26:38
Speaker 7: most assured at times. And yes he's had a bit
26:41
Speaker 7: of a huge success in Manchester as the mayor, but
26:43
Speaker 7: trying to translate that into a kind of national figure
26:47
Speaker 7: at a time of real international crisis. It's going to
26:51
Speaker 7: be pretty challenging. And then he's going to be up
26:53
Speaker 7: against the likes of Wes Streeting who resigned early to
26:55
Speaker 7: day as Health Secretary, Angela Rayner potentially even Ed miller
27:00
Speaker 7: Ban throwing his hat in, and we believe the Prime
27:02
Speaker 7: Minister is going to fight on. It is going to be,
27:05
Speaker 7: if there is a race, a pretty difficult battle and
27:09
Speaker 7: will remain to be seen how much the public who
27:12
Speaker 7: hated the years of the Tory swapping prime minister left
27:15
Speaker 7: right and center, whether or not the public punish them
27:18
Speaker 7: then at the polls at the next election in twenty
27:21
Speaker 7: twenty nine.
27:21
Speaker 2: Yeah, I was reading about make of Field and the
27:24
Speaker 2: no sure thing for Burnham at all. I think that
27:26
Speaker 2: reform one twenty four out of the twenty five seats
27:29
Speaker 2: in that bur up that includes make Offield. So of timing,
27:33
Speaker 2: what do we do here, because that's going to some
27:36
Speaker 2: sort of by election is going to take time. What
27:38
Speaker 2: happens with the contest in the meantime, And do they
27:42
Speaker 2: want to do anything before Burnham's involved, because I'm ultimately
27:45
Speaker 2: whoever takes over if it's not Burnham, surely that Burnham
27:48
Speaker 2: question will keep coming up until it's dealt with potentially.
27:52
Speaker 7: I mean it takes about sort of five to six
27:54
Speaker 7: weeks to have a by election in this country. So
27:57
Speaker 7: what are all the other candidates who was meant to
27:58
Speaker 7: stand around and wait to see? I mean, it depends
28:01
Speaker 7: how much they really want it. Where Streeting's team says
28:03
Speaker 7: that he has the numbers, he might just decide that,
28:06
Speaker 7: you know what, I'm going to try and go for
28:08
Speaker 7: this now. And you know, it was Andy Burnham's decision
28:11
Speaker 7: to leave parliament. He was an MP for a long time.
28:14
Speaker 7: He took the decision though to go and be mayor
28:16
Speaker 7: of Manchester. And he is only halfway through the term,
28:19
Speaker 7: so you know, he's hold those people up there at
28:21
Speaker 7: the last election there that he was going to serve
28:23
Speaker 7: a full term and now he's going back on it.
28:25
Speaker 7: So there is an argument candidates can make down here
28:27
Speaker 7: in London that why should they have to wait around
28:29
Speaker 7: for him? And there has been a bit of a
28:31
Speaker 7: sort of rebranding of Andy Burnham. You know, you dubbed
28:34
Speaker 7: him King of the North Well he's you know, he's
28:36
Speaker 7: the mayor of Manchester. The Northwest tries to have a
28:39
Speaker 7: bit of a monopoly on this country of saying, you know,
28:42
Speaker 7: we're the outside of London, but the Northwest is a
28:44
Speaker 7: pretty prosperous region. There are you know, places like the
28:47
Speaker 7: southwest and northeast that's you know, are heartlands of the
28:51
Speaker 7: labor movement in the Northeast that you know aren't as prosperous.
28:54
Speaker 7: And it remains to be seen whether he can translate
28:56
Speaker 7: what he's done in Manchester into being a kind of
28:59
Speaker 7: national thing, and whether or not he is the sort
29:02
Speaker 7: of man for the moment.
29:04
Speaker 2: All right, That is Vincent mcaviny UK, europe correspondent. Time
29:07
Speaker 2: is ten away from six Bryan Bridge, So all smile.
29:11
Speaker 2: So far in the bilateral this is Trump and She
29:13
Speaker 2: in Beijing.
29:14
Speaker 8: You're a great leader. I say it to everybody. You're
29:16
Speaker 8: a great leader. Sometimes people don't like me saying it,
29:19
Speaker 8: but I say it anyway.
29:20
Speaker 16: The whole world is watching our meeting currently. Transformation not
29:25
Speaker 16: seen in a century is accelerating across the globe, and
29:29
Speaker 16: the international situation is fluid and turbulent. The world has
29:33
Speaker 16: come to a new crossroads. Can China and the United
29:37
Speaker 16: States overcome the fucidity's trap?
29:41
Speaker 11: Now?
29:41
Speaker 2: As we mentioned earlier, Taie one is the big issue
29:44
Speaker 2: for China and a firefield as a Pacific expert former
29:46
Speaker 2: Washington Post Asia Pacific editor with me live this morning
29:49
Speaker 2: and a good morning.
29:50
Speaker 11: Good morning Ryan.
29:52
Speaker 2: Any missteps so far or is it basically all to
29:54
Speaker 2: plan and all sticking to their lines.
29:58
Speaker 11: Well, I think the biggest steps so far is actually
30:01
Speaker 11: an admission, and that is that She diin Ping came
30:04
Speaker 11: out with some very strong language on Taiwan saying that
30:08
Speaker 11: this issue was mismanaged, that it could lead to a clash.
30:13
Speaker 11: Taiwan is a democratic island, exists separately from mainland China,
30:19
Speaker 11: but China and she didn't Ping in particular, want to
30:22
Speaker 11: take control of it. And usually when China has said
30:26
Speaker 11: something like this, the American president has pushed back. That
30:29
Speaker 11: is something that Joe Biden did. But Trump said nothing
30:32
Speaker 11: at all. He pretended he hadn't heard the comments and
30:34
Speaker 11: moved on. And so that's causing a lot of worry
30:37
Speaker 11: in Taiwan overnight as people think that as Trump moving
30:42
Speaker 11: the dial on Taiwan and becoming less willing for the
30:45
Speaker 11: US to defend them or back them up.
30:47
Speaker 2: Now they both agree that the straight up for Moses
30:50
Speaker 2: got to open up. Obviously, that's in everybody's interest, But
30:52
Speaker 2: did they talk about how.
30:55
Speaker 16: Not.
30:55
Speaker 11: As far as we know, they did say that they
30:58
Speaker 11: both had that interest, and the US basically went to
31:01
Speaker 11: this summit's desperate for China to help to use its
31:05
Speaker 11: leverage over Iran, but there have been no details whatsoever
31:09
Speaker 11: on what Iran might actually be willing to do. That's
31:13
Speaker 11: kind of the nisty gritty that we wouldn't expect to
31:15
Speaker 11: see in a read out from the meeting. But over
31:18
Speaker 11: the next few days, I guess we'll see just how
31:20
Speaker 11: far China is willing to help the US clean up
31:24
Speaker 11: its mess in the Middle East.
31:26
Speaker 2: And thanks for your analysis and a five field Asia
31:28
Speaker 2: Pacific expert former Washington Post Asia Pacific editor. Time is
31:32
Speaker 2: eight to six News talksb.
31:35
Speaker 1: News and views you trust to start your day. Its
31:39
Speaker 1: early edition with Ryan Bridge and Spark for business Technology
31:43
Speaker 1: that keeps business moving.
31:45
Speaker 2: Hu's talksb Who's talksb Ryan? The service the price in
31:49
Speaker 2: New Zealand is no longer my airline. There's all those
31:51
Speaker 2: kind of texts coming in. This is from Wendy. Wendy,
31:54
Speaker 2: I always love your text, but you're a bit harsh today.
31:56
Speaker 2: Wendy says, look, if we need to make some savings them,
32:00
Speaker 2: we cut the school lunch program from schools and solve
32:03
Speaker 2: childhood obesity at the same time. I don't think that
32:07
Speaker 2: quite computes. Wendy. It is five to six bad morning.
32:11
Speaker 9: Make you see far maker put will go beyond the
32:14
Speaker 9: things we may Yes, if they ever get any after
32:17
Speaker 9: our discussion, Yeah, I think they listened to us. And
32:19
Speaker 9: so that's the Seymour argument. What I didn't have time
32:22
Speaker 9: to say yesterday. Seymour's argument is if you can spend
32:24
Speaker 9: one hundred to say a thousand, why would.
32:27
Speaker 2: The holistic view of the health system things. Hey you
32:31
Speaker 2: so Andy Burnham win got to win the seat first.
32:34
Speaker 9: Yeah, I'm watching the modeling. They're doing this modeling. The
32:37
Speaker 9: British are really good at polls and they haven't done
32:40
Speaker 9: a pole but they've done the modeling. That seat that
32:42
Speaker 9: the guys quit from has been in Labour's hands since
32:45
Speaker 9: nineteen oh six.
32:46
Speaker 2: Yes, but that doesn't mean anything anymore correct And so.
32:49
Speaker 9: The modeling they've just done shows Reform winning it.
32:51
Speaker 2: Yeah, well that the borough in which that make a
32:54
Speaker 2: Field lives the local elections Reform one twenty four or
32:58
Speaker 2: the twenty five boroughs.
33:00
Speaker 9: Seats, so that means even if he gets to run
33:03
Speaker 9: in the seat, he might not when therefore there is
33:06
Speaker 9: no contest, which means you're left with streeting slash Rainers,
33:10
Speaker 9: maybe slash Miller Band. So this all unfolds over. I mean,
33:14
Speaker 9: how long does it take to organize a by election?
33:16
Speaker 2: Five weeks?
33:17
Speaker 8: Five?
33:18
Speaker 2: They can have one done in five weeks that miss Oh,
33:22
Speaker 2: we're nearly out of time. But you know she was
33:24
Speaker 2: cleared of forty thousand apparently overnight.
33:26
Speaker 9: She kind of exonerated as her word.
33:28
Speaker 2: But I don't know how confusing is the system for
33:31
Speaker 2: a deputy Prime minister to not know who text fell.
33:34
Speaker 9: It's unreally the whole thing's like you can't write the stuff.
33:37
Speaker 9: I find it fascinating. I find it more interesting actually
33:40
Speaker 9: than Beijing at month.
33:42
Speaker 2: Yes, two competing stories. I'd take the UK Beijing write
33:46
Speaker 2: hands down right now. Anyway, As you said, your show's over, Ryan, yep,
33:49
Speaker 2: and you'll do it all next Yes, I will Mike
33:52
Speaker 2: on a Friday morning, see you Monday.
33:58
Speaker 1: For more from Early Edition with Ryan on Bridge. Listen
34:01
Speaker 1: live to news Talks it'd be from five am weekdays,
34:04
Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio