Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NBA + NHL + NCAAF Best Bets Tuesday 11/4/25
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on Own
- 0:06Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
- 0:08Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
- 0:12Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
- 0:15Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that. I just
- 0:18Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
- 0:21Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
- 0:26Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
- 0:30Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
- 0:35Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached into pink. Actually,
- 0:40Speaker 1: I'm gonna burn my broins hat Man, I don't know
- 0:43Speaker 1: what is going on with the Bruins arch hape? Is
- 0:46Speaker 1: that what it is? I don't even know it's It's
- 0:48Speaker 1: March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I don't
- 0:52Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. I don't even know what
- 0:54Speaker 1: data is anymore. Man, back with you after the worst
- 0:58Speaker 1: day that I can possibly have with you, as I
- 1:01Speaker 1: always am until I die, at least oh and two.
- 1:05Speaker 1: Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well for me.
- 1:08Speaker 1: Own five. The worst month that I've ever had in
- 1:12Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this. I don't know what to
- 1:14Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. To the slumps, the
- 1:17Speaker 1: slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
- 1:23Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
- 1:25Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up? Everybody
- 1:34Speaker 1: sowed back with you? Better off dead? Tuesday? What is it?
- 1:39Speaker 1: I'm like October? Wait now November? Fourth losing day on
- 1:45Speaker 1: the show yesterday it was one to one. It would
- 1:47Speaker 1: have been a winning day with one on one if
- 1:49Speaker 1: if we flipped the two bets, which it looked like
- 1:51Speaker 1: might happen. Uh, we got the win on the underdog
- 1:56Speaker 1: out of the two of those Saint Louis Blues of
- 1:58Speaker 1: the Wind. They came back from down two to oh.
- 2:00Speaker 1: I didn't look at the at the actual stats in
- 2:02Speaker 1: the game, yet they wound up winning the game outright.
- 2:04Speaker 1: I believe in overtime, So he got to win on
- 2:06Speaker 1: that one. I'm happy about that obviously. And then the
- 2:09Speaker 1: Denver Nuggets just never got up by enough of a margin,
- 2:13Speaker 1: although they were up thirteen with like two minutes left,
- 2:15Speaker 1: so it looked like they might be able to cover
- 2:17Speaker 1: the eleven and a half at that point, and no
- 2:20Speaker 1: they did not. They wound up only winning by six.
- 2:22Speaker 1: There were just a couple of basically garbage scores at
- 2:26Speaker 1: the end of the game against them, because they were
- 2:28Speaker 1: still winning by I think nine or eleven in the
- 2:31Speaker 1: final minute and then they just, I don't know, they
- 2:33Speaker 1: didn't score again because they didn't need to. I'm not
- 2:36Speaker 1: happy about that. Obviously. I thought they would run away
- 2:39Speaker 1: with the game, and it looked like there were a
- 2:41Speaker 1: couple of different points where they might be able to
- 2:43Speaker 1: do that, and they just never did. My NBA was
- 2:45Speaker 1: way off yesterday. But I did only have that one play,
- 2:48Speaker 1: and it was it had a shot to win. So yeah,
- 2:54Speaker 1: I mean, laying these big favorites, it's not that much
- 2:57Speaker 1: of an issue in the NBA, but that one was
- 2:59Speaker 1: was not could Jeffrey, what's up? Man? I don't want
- 3:02Speaker 1: to I don't want to talk about the other big favorite,
- 3:05Speaker 1: the Boston Celtics either. Let's just get into today. Man.
- 3:08Speaker 1: We're gonna have college basketball again. But I don't have
- 3:11Speaker 1: a whole lot to say about college basketball. We're gonna
- 3:14Speaker 1: have NBA. I have one NBA play, I'm gonna have
- 3:17Speaker 1: two hockey plays. Hockey. There's like a basically a full
- 3:21Speaker 1: hockey board here, and then there is college football. As
- 3:26Speaker 1: Tuesday maction begins, I'll give out an opinion on each
- 3:31Speaker 1: of those games, but they're not very strong opinions. Staying
- 3:36Speaker 1: away from the NBA last night, yeah, I mean, luckily
- 3:39Speaker 1: I only had the one play there and it was
- 3:42Speaker 1: it was a game that my read wasn't totally off on,
- 3:44Speaker 1: but I was off on a lot of those games
- 3:46Speaker 1: last night that was not good. Bulls. I'll talk about
- 3:50Speaker 1: that game. That's Bulls Sixers. I think I'll talk about
- 3:52Speaker 1: that in a minute. College basketball, I'm just gonna get
- 3:55Speaker 1: into it and probably talk about this really quickly because again,
- 3:59Speaker 1: this is SIMI yesterday, where these teams are playing their
- 4:01Speaker 1: first game of the season, So it's really kind of
- 4:04Speaker 1: a roll of the dice as far as like what
- 4:06Speaker 1: you think these teams are gonna look like what they're
- 4:08Speaker 1: gonna do this year, because so many teams with the
- 4:12Speaker 1: modern college of basketball, so many teams just completely rebuild.
- 4:16Speaker 1: And yesterday there were some interesting games like Winthrop. I
- 4:19Speaker 1: think I was completely wrong about in that early game
- 4:22Speaker 1: where Winthrop wound up covering, but they were gonna lose
- 4:26Speaker 1: that game. Dude, they were. I believe they were ahead
- 4:29Speaker 1: early in the game, and then they were way or
- 4:30Speaker 1: not way behind me, they were behind late in the game,
- 4:33Speaker 1: so I was like, there's no way they're gonna cover
- 4:35Speaker 1: as a favorite, and then wound up covering by that
- 4:37Speaker 1: exact seven. Uh, the key threshold. They're the key number. Uh.
- 4:43Speaker 1: Probably because of intentional fouls at the end of the game.
- 4:46Speaker 1: So I think if you had Winthrop in that game,
- 4:48Speaker 1: you got really really lucky, and the line actually tanked
- 4:51Speaker 1: down to like three and a half, So I guess
- 4:53Speaker 1: that made it a little bit easier to cover if
- 4:55Speaker 1: you did have that. But I think Winthrop was the
- 4:57Speaker 1: wrong side in that game. My you know, my very
- 5:01Speaker 1: quick read on that game was not right. Looking at
- 5:04Speaker 1: some of the other games yesterday, real quick actually it
- 5:06Speaker 1: was like, I mean, my read was correct on both
- 5:09Speaker 1: of the big games. I was correct about Arizona. They
- 5:11Speaker 1: went out right against Florida because I thought Florida would
- 5:14Speaker 1: just be a little bit overvalued coming off being the
- 5:17Speaker 1: champion obviously and having a lot of turnover. They're a
- 5:21Speaker 1: stack team though, still, but Arizona, even though Arizona had
- 5:24Speaker 1: a lot of turnover too, Arizona came to play man.
- 5:27Speaker 1: They played well. They had a big crowd in Vegas.
- 5:29Speaker 1: The crowd was definitely the crowd was definitely biased towards Arizona,
- 5:35Speaker 1: which I did think would be the case. So that happened,
- 5:39Speaker 1: and then I wanted to be correct on Villanova. They
- 5:41Speaker 1: were able to kind of sneak in the back door
- 5:43Speaker 1: against BYU. The crowd was which I forgot to mention,
- 5:47Speaker 1: the crowd was actually more BYU heavy there because it
- 5:49Speaker 1: was in Vegas again, so that makes sense that the
- 5:52Speaker 1: crowd was more Yeah, just crowd favorite BYU. Obviously a
- 5:58Speaker 1: bunch of BYU fans showed up for that. Villanova basically
- 6:01Speaker 1: did what I thought they would do, though, and they
- 6:02Speaker 1: slowed the game down. BYU had like a double digit
- 6:05Speaker 1: leader early, but they could never really get enough separation
- 6:08Speaker 1: to really be in a good position to necessarily cover
- 6:11Speaker 1: that thing. Villanova had a good second half and they
- 6:13Speaker 1: actually took the lead. Villanova was winning that game by
- 6:16Speaker 1: two I think with like three minutes left. I had
- 6:19Speaker 1: it on and then they kind of fell apart and
- 6:21Speaker 1: BYU wound up swinging it back to like seven. I
- 6:24Speaker 1: think the number when the game went off I think
- 6:26Speaker 1: was eight and a half on BYU or something like that,
- 6:28Speaker 1: so Villanova was able to cover that. They covered every number,
- 6:31Speaker 1: though they wound up only losing by five. Not really
- 6:35Speaker 1: a whole lot else to see on the board yesterday.
- 6:36Speaker 1: There were a few weird ones though, where like Auburn Auburn,
- 6:42Speaker 1: you kind of had to expect that Auburn would not
- 6:44Speaker 1: get off to like a really really great start because
- 6:46Speaker 1: they were really really good last year and they made
- 6:49Speaker 1: the Final Four. Of course, they were the best team
- 6:51Speaker 1: for a large portion of the regular season last year.
- 6:54Speaker 1: But then, of course Bruce Pearl stepped down and he
- 6:57Speaker 1: seeded the reins to his son's Stephen Pearls. So Stephen
- 7:01Speaker 1: Pearl is the coach there now. Bruce Pearl is now
- 7:04Speaker 1: on the panel on TNTs cn T is now covering
- 7:07Speaker 1: regular season college basketball for the first time. I don't
- 7:11Speaker 1: mind it. I mean I kind of like Bruce Pearl
- 7:14Speaker 1: as an analyst. I mean I don't like that he's
- 7:16Speaker 1: like extremely pro Israel, but I mean he's he is
- 7:20Speaker 1: he's on the conservative side of the aisle I think politically,
- 7:23Speaker 1: but he's a Neocon. He is funny though, I think
- 7:26Speaker 1: he's funny, but his son not getting off to a
- 7:29Speaker 1: good start there, as they had to go to overtime
- 7:33Speaker 1: to beat Bethune Cookman, and I think that was a
- 7:35Speaker 1: home game for Auburn as well. So not great. Bethune Cookman,
- 7:39Speaker 1: I guess, is like one of the better teams in
- 7:41Speaker 1: the Swack, but it's still the Swack. I mean, it's
- 7:45Speaker 1: D one, but it's not a very good D One's
- 7:47Speaker 1: D one conference is one of the worst. Auburn really
- 7:51Speaker 1: got tested there, taken to the limit, as I assume,
- 7:54Speaker 1: like well over a twenty point favorite, probably about a
- 7:57Speaker 1: twenty eight point favorite, I would imagine in this game
- 8:00Speaker 1: twenty four and a half. I was a little bit
- 8:02Speaker 1: off on that, but yeah, so maybe uh look to
- 8:05Speaker 1: fade Bethune Cookman in their next game, or maybe play
- 8:07Speaker 1: on Auburn in their next game, depending on how that
- 8:09Speaker 1: sets up. But that was one of the weirder results yesterday.
- 8:14Speaker 1: We also did have whoever Maryland Eastern Shore played also
- 8:19Speaker 1: like took whoever their opponent was in no overtime. But well,
- 8:21Speaker 1: I was gonna finish my thought. When a team transitions
- 8:24Speaker 1: to a new coach like Auburn did and they also
- 8:26Speaker 1: lost like a bunch of their best players from last year,
- 8:29Speaker 1: Like I think their top two or three players are
- 8:31Speaker 1: all gone, So I mean that's a big that's a
- 8:34Speaker 1: huge amount of turnover and you're transitioning to a new
- 8:38Speaker 1: system whatever, although I assume well Pearl probably is kind
- 8:40Speaker 1: of continuing the system that is father created. But still
- 8:44Speaker 1: there's a you got to expect growing pains there when
- 8:47Speaker 1: something like that happens. So that's a situation where you
- 8:50Speaker 1: yet like, there's no way I would have laid the
- 8:52Speaker 1: points with Auburn in that game. At the very least
- 8:54Speaker 1: you can kind of explain what happened there, Pinzy, what's
- 8:56Speaker 1: up man? Thanks for coming back. Maryland used to Shore
- 9:00Speaker 1: was another weird one last night. Where is that? That
- 9:03Speaker 1: was against Georgia Tech. That was a just an insanely
- 9:07Speaker 1: low scoring game. It was like, I think forty six
- 9:09Speaker 1: forty six at the end of regulation Georgia Tech escaped
- 9:13Speaker 1: with a win. They were a twenty eight and a
- 9:16Speaker 1: half point underdog when the game went off. It was
- 9:18Speaker 1: a very low total one hundred and thirty nine and
- 9:20Speaker 1: a half. Not really a game where you want to
- 9:22Speaker 1: lay a massive amount of points like that of the
- 9:25Speaker 1: Maryland Eastern Shore. They were a bad team. Dude, Like
- 9:28Speaker 1: they're in the MEAC, I think, which is one of
- 9:30Speaker 1: the The MIAC and the SWACK are the two worst
- 9:33Speaker 1: conferences in Division one, and Maryland Eastern Shore I don't
- 9:36Speaker 1: think they were a very good MEAC team either. But
- 9:40Speaker 1: Georgia Tech, I don't. I didn't see the game, but
- 9:42Speaker 1: it looks like they just didn't even show up. And
- 9:44Speaker 1: then they at least finally did enough to win an overtime.
- 9:48Speaker 1: But that is just a crazy low scoring game. I mean,
- 9:51Speaker 1: that's a low scoring game even for regulation. And that
- 9:54Speaker 1: was fifty six to fifty two was the final score
- 9:56Speaker 1: with overtime. Oh man, man, yeah, just I don't know
- 10:02Speaker 1: what happened in that game, but you get these just
- 10:03Speaker 1: odd results early in the early in the season. Man.
- 10:06Speaker 1: Now that Georgia Tech is a very good Big conference
- 10:10Speaker 1: school though, but they are still an ACC team. So
- 10:13Speaker 1: that was one of the weirder results yesterday. And then
- 10:17Speaker 1: we did have one upset, which we don't even know
- 10:20Speaker 1: how big of an upset it was, unless you can
- 10:23Speaker 1: correct me if I'm I mean, you can correct me
- 10:25Speaker 1: if I'm missing some other upsets here. But the only
- 10:27Speaker 1: like big upset that I saw was Boise State losing
- 10:31Speaker 1: at home, which I think Georgia Tech was also at home.
- 10:33Speaker 1: By the way, this just made no sense. Boise State
- 10:37Speaker 1: lost to Division two Hawaii Pacific, which ESPN doesn't even
- 10:42Speaker 1: have a page for them. They listened them as the
- 10:44Speaker 1: Sea Warriors, but I saw Hawaii Pacific tweet out. They
- 10:49Speaker 1: tweeted out about this win, and they're actually the Sharks,
- 10:51Speaker 1: They're not the Sea wars. I don't fucking know, man,
- 10:55Speaker 1: I don't know how this happened. I don't There wasn't
- 10:57Speaker 1: even a line on this game, so we don't even
- 10:59Speaker 1: know how big of an upset this was. But Boise
- 11:02Speaker 1: is like one of the top three or four teams
- 11:05Speaker 1: in the Mountain West this year, at least that's what
- 11:07Speaker 1: they're projected to be. They brought back Goggle dude Andrew
- 11:11Speaker 1: Meadow or whatever. I like him somehow. Boise just I mean,
- 11:16Speaker 1: they lost the game outright, I mean, what else can
- 11:18Speaker 1: you say? Just a bad performance. Maybe they just thought
- 11:22Speaker 1: it would be easy. I mean, who knows, just again,
- 11:24Speaker 1: weird weird results early on. I mean, you don't want
- 11:26Speaker 1: to put too much like stock into this, right, it's
- 11:30Speaker 1: just one result, Like it's just a weird game. Probably
- 11:33Speaker 1: like a huge outlier, but it was just crazy that
- 11:35Speaker 1: this happened, probably the biggest upset of the year, but
- 11:39Speaker 1: we just and it might just stay that way, but
- 11:41Speaker 1: we just don't know how big of a favorite Boise
- 11:44Speaker 1: would have really been. I mean, Ken Bom has them
- 11:46Speaker 1: as like a top fifty or so team in Division one,
- 11:49Speaker 1: and they're ub against a Division two team, although some
- 11:52Speaker 1: of these D two teams are better than the worst
- 11:55Speaker 1: like D one teams, but even so, you gotta think
- 11:59Speaker 1: that's like at least about like a thirty point upset
- 12:01Speaker 1: in that one. I mean, that's just insane. So I
- 12:03Speaker 1: just figured I would point that out. I don't do
- 12:07Speaker 1: Division two basketball, though, so like, I don't think there's
- 12:09Speaker 1: gonna be there probably won't even be a line on
- 12:11Speaker 1: Hawaii Pacific's next game, although you might want to look
- 12:13Speaker 1: to play on Boise State in their next game, depending
- 12:16Speaker 1: on who they playing next. But that was basically it
- 12:19Speaker 1: for anything interesting that happened yesterday as far as I saw, So, yeah,
- 12:24Speaker 1: I figured I would just point some of those things out. Yeah,
- 12:28Speaker 1: not a whole lot else of interest. I don't think
- 12:30Speaker 1: yesterday on the on the board, I mean, we just yeah,
- 12:35Speaker 1: I mean it was a huge college basketball board, so
- 12:37Speaker 1: it's hard to pay attention to everything, especially while you
- 12:40Speaker 1: have other sports going on. But back to today. Let's
- 12:43Speaker 1: go to today again. I don't want this video to
- 12:45Speaker 1: be too long. This morning a go though. College of
- 12:47Speaker 1: basketball is not all day today, it's only in the evening.
- 12:50Speaker 1: There's not a whole lot going on. I mean, you
- 12:51Speaker 1: got some of the other better teams playing. Purdue was playing.
- 12:55Speaker 1: They're the number one ranked team, but they get Evansville.
- 12:57Speaker 1: I mean, it is an in state little brothers situation
- 13:00Speaker 1: with Evansville. But Purdue is gonna be a massive favorite
- 13:03Speaker 1: in this game thirty five and a half, so you
- 13:06Speaker 1: know whatever. I mean, it's not a game that I
- 13:10Speaker 1: would have any interest in really, as far as betting
- 13:13Speaker 1: is concerned. Kentucky, one of the teams is supposed to
- 13:16Speaker 1: be completely on the rise. Here gets to Nichols today.
- 13:21Speaker 1: I'm not even sure where Nichols is to be honest,
- 13:23Speaker 1: I want to say they're in Texas, They're in the
- 13:25Speaker 1: Southland Conference. Kentucky over thirty point favorite as well. Just
- 13:30Speaker 1: pointing out some of the other ranked teams that are
- 13:32Speaker 1: getting involved today. Texas Tech will have their opener today
- 13:35Speaker 1: against Lynden Wood, who's in the Ohio Valley. I believe
- 13:39Speaker 1: Texas Tech a massive favorite, thirty four and a half.
- 13:42Speaker 1: Linden would not very good. And that's it for ranked teams,
- 13:47Speaker 1: except the one big game on ESPN tonight eight forty
- 13:50Speaker 1: five Eastern is Texas and Duke, So you get one
- 13:54Speaker 1: big game, and I think it's it's actually a good
- 13:58Speaker 1: thing for these better teams to not play all cupcakes
- 14:02Speaker 1: early on. This is sort of like the Tom Izzoh
- 14:05Speaker 1: Michigan State approach, like he believes in battle testing his team,
- 14:10Speaker 1: you know what I mean, Like you're gonna take some
- 14:11Speaker 1: losses early on. That's why Michigan State seems to always
- 14:14Speaker 1: be underrated and under the radar, because he purposely schedules
- 14:18Speaker 1: like really good teams in the out of conference slate
- 14:21Speaker 1: early in the season to battle test this team. And
- 14:23Speaker 1: then by the time they have to play a bunch
- 14:26Speaker 1: of good teams in conference and you know, getting into
- 14:29Speaker 1: the tournament whatever. That's why it seems like Michigan State
- 14:32Speaker 1: tends to like overperform. It's for that reason because they
- 14:36Speaker 1: get battle tested. So some of these teams seem like
- 14:40Speaker 1: they're doing that at the beginning of this year, at
- 14:42Speaker 1: least yesterday and tonight, we had a few of the
- 14:44Speaker 1: bigger teams played other good teams obviously, especially Arizona and
- 14:49Speaker 1: Florida last night. Now Duke against Texas. Duke's the sixth
- 14:53Speaker 1: ranked team in the country. Texas unranked, but Texas ken
- 14:56Speaker 1: Bum's got them somewhere around like thirtieth in the country.
- 14:59Speaker 1: I think thirty ninth. Actually, Texas, at least based on
- 15:03Speaker 1: what they did last year, they were more of a
- 15:06Speaker 1: defensive team. Duke good on both sides of the ball.
- 15:10Speaker 1: Duke played a really really slow pace last year, which
- 15:13Speaker 1: I think Texas also, I think kind of tends to
- 15:16Speaker 1: do that, so Duke was just better at it. So
- 15:20Speaker 1: that's kind of that's not really good for Texas because
- 15:23Speaker 1: they can't really like throw Duke out of their preferred
- 15:26Speaker 1: pace here. Duke is about a nine and a half
- 15:28Speaker 1: point favorite in this one. This is actually a semi
- 15:31Speaker 1: home game for Duke because it's not at Duke's home.
- 15:34Speaker 1: It's in Charlotte, North Carolina. I believe it's at the
- 15:36Speaker 1: Hornets Arena in Charlotte, so obviously there'll be a huge
- 15:41Speaker 1: Duke crowd there anyway, it's just not at their home
- 15:43Speaker 1: arena on campus, so it's a semi home game. But
- 15:47Speaker 1: Duke's gonna basically get lined like they are at home,
- 15:50Speaker 1: pretty much throw out from a seven and a half
- 15:52Speaker 1: point favorite to a nine and a half point favorite.
- 15:54Speaker 1: Seventy three percent of the ticket's ninety seven percent of
- 15:56Speaker 1: the cash on them. It looks like the money is
- 15:58Speaker 1: coming in a Duke. I mean, both of these are
- 16:01Speaker 1: going through turnover this year, like everyone is, but Duke,
- 16:04Speaker 1: I mean, you lose Cooper Flag and Konk Nipple. I mean,
- 16:08Speaker 1: that's a huge amount of turnover here. I know Duke's
- 16:11Speaker 1: Duke and they're just gonna reload. But in the first
- 16:14Speaker 1: game of the season, I don't really know that that's
- 16:16Speaker 1: gonna I don't know that they're really gonna be like this,
- 16:20Speaker 1: like great powerhouse again in the first game of the
- 16:22Speaker 1: season with all new faces here, although I know Texas
- 16:26Speaker 1: is gonna have new faces as well. But I mean,
- 16:28Speaker 1: value wise, I think there's got to be maybe some
- 16:30Speaker 1: value in taking the points with Texas in this one.
- 16:33Speaker 1: I mean, obviously I don't want to do it, but
- 16:35Speaker 1: I think that's probably the way that I would lean
- 16:37Speaker 1: in just fading these teams that because you're gonna have
- 16:40Speaker 1: to get value on that because everybody loves Duke. Duke
- 16:43Speaker 1: is the huge name. I mean, not everybody loves Duke,
- 16:45Speaker 1: but the recreational betters like to bet Duke, you know
- 16:48Speaker 1: what I mean, because they want to win money even
- 16:50Speaker 1: if they hate Duke, which I am certainly not a
- 16:53Speaker 1: Duke fan, so maybe my I don't know if my
- 16:56Speaker 1: bias is coming into play at all here, but I
- 16:58Speaker 1: think it's pretty obvious that Duke is to have the
- 17:00Speaker 1: line kind of skewed in their direction just because they
- 17:03Speaker 1: are Duke and because of what they've done the last
- 17:06Speaker 1: couple of seasons, whereas Texas has not looked good the
- 17:09Speaker 1: last couple of seasons. So that's like the big game
- 17:12Speaker 1: of the night. Not much else going on really tonight
- 17:14Speaker 1: as far as college basketball. Let's go to NHL here
- 17:18Speaker 1: where I will have one play. In the NHL. I
- 17:21Speaker 1: always forget to throw up, but this is the breakdown, man,
- 17:23Speaker 1: I always forget to throw that. Throw that up on
- 17:28Speaker 1: the board there. NHL. I don't know if I want
- 17:33Speaker 1: to talk about every single one of these games, which
- 17:35Speaker 1: I always say, and I wind up talking about at
- 17:36Speaker 1: least most of them, there's a fairly big NHL board here.
- 17:39Speaker 1: I'm gonna have two plays in the NHL. Utah and
- 17:43Speaker 1: Buffalo is like somewhat interesting just because there are some
- 17:47Speaker 1: situational angles here. But Utah is coming off two losses
- 17:51Speaker 1: in a row. But they're kind of a weird spot
- 17:54Speaker 1: because they were just in a home game that was
- 17:56Speaker 1: sandwiched in between two road trips, which I tend to
- 18:00Speaker 1: to fade a team in a spot like that because
- 18:03Speaker 1: I think it actually exacerbates the return home spot. In
- 18:06Speaker 1: Utah lost to Tampa Bay. In that spot, they were
- 18:08Speaker 1: returning over from a road trip, but they were on
- 18:10Speaker 1: the road for more than a week, and that's bad
- 18:13Speaker 1: enough because you tend to get a little bit distracted
- 18:15Speaker 1: because you have to get stuff done at home because
- 18:17Speaker 1: you've been away from home for a while. But to
- 18:20Speaker 1: have to go back out on the road almost immediately,
- 18:22Speaker 1: you have to get that stuff done at home that
- 18:24Speaker 1: you need to get done because you have almost no
- 18:25Speaker 1: time to do it. So it's a very very strange
- 18:28Speaker 1: spot that doesn't show up that often. Maybe I should
- 18:32Speaker 1: have given out Tampa as a play in that when
- 18:33Speaker 1: I forget what the situation was for Tampa and that one,
- 18:35Speaker 1: but Tampa b Utah and now Utah is on a
- 18:39Speaker 1: two game losing streak, and also Utah was in an
- 18:42Speaker 1: even worse spot there because they played a big game
- 18:44Speaker 1: to finish the road trip against Edmonton and that was
- 18:47Speaker 1: their first loss since they're opening a couple of games,
- 18:50Speaker 1: or their first three games. So Utah lost along wind
- 18:53Speaker 1: streak and sometimes that hangs you over too, So yeah,
- 18:56Speaker 1: I probably should have given out Tampa in that game.
- 19:00Speaker 1: Utah is starting a road trip here, and sometimes it
- 19:03Speaker 1: is a positive spot when you lose at home. One
- 19:06Speaker 1: of the better things to do is just get the
- 19:08Speaker 1: hell out of there and just focus on hockey. So
- 19:11Speaker 1: maybe Utah will be focused here to try to get
- 19:13Speaker 1: the road trip off on the right foot after losing
- 19:15Speaker 1: a couple games in a row. Buffalo likely will be
- 19:18Speaker 1: focused as well, but Buffalo is coming off a big
- 19:21Speaker 1: win over Washington in a shootout, so they could be
- 19:24Speaker 1: in a little bit of a hangover spot. I mean,
- 19:26Speaker 1: I don't think they're necessarily going to overlook Utah, and
- 19:29Speaker 1: they do have some rest because they haven't played since Saturday,
- 19:31Speaker 1: but could be a little bit of a letdown coming
- 19:34Speaker 1: off that game against Washington and Buffalo will have Lion
- 19:38Speaker 1: back in net here, so they will have their better goalie.
- 19:40Speaker 1: They didn't end a losing streak, so that will at
- 19:43Speaker 1: least give them some momentum. They've also played four overtime
- 19:47Speaker 1: games in a row, which that's something that can kind
- 19:50Speaker 1: of take its toll as well. I would lean to
- 19:52Speaker 1: Utah in this one. Utah is up from minus one
- 19:54Speaker 1: fifteen to minus win twenty six on the money line
- 19:57Speaker 1: of though they're public with seventy three percent of tickets,
- 19:59Speaker 1: which I'm not surprised by, but eighty eight percent of
- 20:02Speaker 1: the cash right now looks like it's on the Buffalo side,
- 20:04Speaker 1: which I just don't understand that. Yeah, I mean, I
- 20:09Speaker 1: don't see that that great of an angle for Buffalo
- 20:11Speaker 1: and that one, to be honest, Other than oh, like
- 20:14Speaker 1: Utah just maybe they're over valued because they're a favorite
- 20:17Speaker 1: on the road. Basically, maybe they just shouldn't be a
- 20:20Speaker 1: favorite of that magnitude on the road. Maybe Utah isn't
- 20:23Speaker 1: quite as good as the record looks right now. I
- 20:25Speaker 1: could see those arguments, But for the situation, I think
- 20:28Speaker 1: it sets up a little bit better for Utah. Philadelphia
- 20:32Speaker 1: at Montreal Montreal on a three game win streak. Here.
- 20:36Speaker 1: They're off to a nice start at nine and three,
- 20:39Speaker 1: two straight overtime wins. They've had a few days off.
- 20:41Speaker 1: Now they're staying at home because they actually wanted a
- 20:43Speaker 1: return home spot, which I'm not happy about because I
- 20:46Speaker 1: gave out a Ottawa in that game and they lost
- 20:48Speaker 1: an overtime and there were all these stats that I
- 20:51Speaker 1: gave on a Montembau. Just Montombau has really been struggling
- 20:55Speaker 1: this year. I don't know if it's gonna be him
- 20:56Speaker 1: back in net or not, because because of his struggles,
- 20:59Speaker 1: Montreal is actually DoBeS more often, so it might be
- 21:02Speaker 1: him again here. But Montreal is resting and this is
- 21:05Speaker 1: their second game back home. But it's a big win
- 21:08Speaker 1: when they beat Autawa, man because that's sort of like
- 21:10Speaker 1: a Canadian like almost a geographic rivalry. Now they get
- 21:14Speaker 1: the Flyers, who aren't really that good, and they do
- 21:16Speaker 1: have to play New Jersey next, and New Jerseys off
- 21:19Speaker 1: to a really nice start, so it is possible they
- 21:21Speaker 1: kind of overlook Philadelphia here. Philadelphia is coming of an
- 21:25Speaker 1: ugly loss to Calgary, and again, one of the best
- 21:30Speaker 1: things you could do if you lose like that, especially
- 21:32Speaker 1: at home, is to just fuck it and just go
- 21:34Speaker 1: on on the road. Philadelphia used colisov and Net in
- 21:37Speaker 1: that one because I guess, as you guys told me,
- 21:39Speaker 1: erse And is hurt. But Vlidaar is there a top goalies.
- 21:42Speaker 1: It will be validaur back in net this time. Call
- 21:44Speaker 1: Us off wasn't exactly bad in that game against Calgary.
- 21:48Speaker 1: The Flyers offense was really bad in the game. But again,
- 21:53Speaker 1: I think Flyers will be focused here they get to
- 21:55Speaker 1: go on on the road face Montreal. I like the
- 21:58Speaker 1: spot better for Philadelphia and that one. That's the way
- 22:01Speaker 1: that I would lean Montreal up a little bit on
- 22:03Speaker 1: the money line for minus one fifty five to minus
- 22:05Speaker 1: one fifty seven fifty eight percent of the tickets. It's
- 22:08Speaker 1: sixty percent of the cash on Philadelphia, which I don't
- 22:11Speaker 1: even know if I buy that Philadelphia would be a
- 22:13Speaker 1: public underdog here. I mean Montreal better record, seems like
- 22:17Speaker 1: they would pretty much wind up being the public side.
- 22:20Speaker 1: I think some of the actual money bets are coming
- 22:22Speaker 1: into Philadelphia there, and I'm not going to disagree with it.
- 22:25Speaker 1: I think the spot is okay for Philadelphia there. You know,
- 22:29Speaker 1: I'm almost tempted to give that out actually at this point.
- 22:33Speaker 1: Let me see here. Yeah, I mean the extra days
- 22:37Speaker 1: off from Montreal might not actually help them, because when
- 22:41Speaker 1: you're on a three game win streak, you don't want
- 22:43Speaker 1: to have that many days off. It's like a buy
- 22:45Speaker 1: in football where it can kind of like hurt your momentum.
- 22:48Speaker 1: I'm considering it here. New Jersey is their next opponent
- 22:51Speaker 1: there at nine and four. New Jersey. Yeah, really off
- 22:55Speaker 1: to a good start right now. The win over out
- 22:56Speaker 1: of what was pretty big, you know, I'm tempted. Yeah,
- 23:05Speaker 1: I kind of like how this sets up for Philadelphia
- 23:07Speaker 1: to be honest, man, Yeah, let's do it. Let's add
- 23:10Speaker 1: let's add a third hockey play. Let's let's get really
- 23:13Speaker 1: really fucking stupid here. Uh. Jeffrey might like that because
- 23:17Speaker 1: I think he's a Philly fan. I got no bias
- 23:20Speaker 1: in it, man, I mean I'm if anything, I'm I'm
- 23:22Speaker 1: anti Philly, but uh, I like I like money. So
- 23:28Speaker 1: where are they at here? I can't even find them? Yeah,
- 23:31Speaker 1: let's let's do it. You can get Philly at plus
- 23:33Speaker 1: one thirty eight on the money line too, you know what,
- 23:36Speaker 1: take a flyer on it? How about that? Yeah? And
- 23:42Speaker 1: when when you take an underdog, you know, at a
- 23:44Speaker 1: price like this. I mean, if you want to do
- 23:46Speaker 1: like one of those split bets, you'll have to pay
- 23:48Speaker 1: a little bit more for it. But you could do
- 23:49Speaker 1: a split bet that's partially on the plus one and
- 23:53Speaker 1: a half puck line and partially on the money line.
- 23:58Speaker 1: I'm just gonna go Philadelphia money line on this at
- 24:00Speaker 1: plus one thirty eight. I mean, the line is close
- 24:04Speaker 1: to basically just yeah, you're gonna just make it a
- 24:07Speaker 1: pick the winner pretty much. But when you're playing an
- 24:09Speaker 1: underdog like that, you don't need you don't even need
- 24:11Speaker 1: fifty percent of them to win. You only need like
- 24:14Speaker 1: a high forty percent of them to win to actually
- 24:17Speaker 1: profit on those So I kind of like I like
- 24:20Speaker 1: doing that, man. I like these underdogs that I think
- 24:22Speaker 1: are in good spots, So Philadelphia, I'll out to play
- 24:25Speaker 1: on them here, why not? Yeah? All right? Uh but yeah,
- 24:33Speaker 1: if you want to do the split bat with the
- 24:34Speaker 1: plus one and a half puck line and part of
- 24:36Speaker 1: it on the money line, you could do that as well.
- 24:41Speaker 1: I don't know, maybe I have to consider doing it
- 24:43Speaker 1: that way because it's a little bit I mean, it's
- 24:45Speaker 1: I guess you're putting you have to put more money
- 24:49Speaker 1: at stake, but it's obviously more likely that you'll at
- 24:52Speaker 1: least push the bat. So I don't know, I don't
- 24:54Speaker 1: know how else to describe it, but I do like
- 24:56Speaker 1: these money line underdogs just just go all out, just
- 24:59Speaker 1: five on the money line as long as you're like,
- 25:02Speaker 1: once it gets into a like a bigger underdog range,
- 25:04Speaker 1: I'll start looking towards like, yeah, you want to do
- 25:07Speaker 1: like a split bet on the puck line, but yeah,
- 25:10Speaker 1: for this one, I think it makes sense to just
- 25:11Speaker 1: fire on the money line. And again, like long term,
- 25:15Speaker 1: you know, you're not even saying you think they're gonna
- 25:17Speaker 1: win the game mess as well, you're just saying you
- 25:19Speaker 1: think they have a better chance to win the game
- 25:21Speaker 1: than what the odds are. So that's an early best bet.
- 25:24Speaker 1: Bruins and Islanders, I'm gonna give up a play on
- 25:26Speaker 1: that one, and on Carolina and Rangers, so I'll avoid
- 25:30Speaker 1: those for now. Edmonton and Dallas is basically the big
- 25:33Speaker 1: game of the night. Edmonton off to kind of an
- 25:37Speaker 1: if he start at six five and three, could be
- 25:40Speaker 1: maybe that Stanley Cup Final hangover or curse or whatever
- 25:44Speaker 1: you want to call it again, though of course Edmondon
- 25:46Speaker 1: did make the finals again last year after making the
- 25:49Speaker 1: finals the previous year, but I think they did start
- 25:52Speaker 1: off a little bit slow last year as well. Edmund
- 25:56Speaker 1: is coming off an ugly loss of Saint Louis, which,
- 25:59Speaker 1: of course that was the game I got right yesterday
- 26:02Speaker 1: because I thought Edmonton was gonna be looking ahead to
- 26:04Speaker 1: this game, playing the back to back here, So Edmonton
- 26:07Speaker 1: took the loss. Yes, they're on a back to back,
- 26:10Speaker 1: but the back to back isn't as bad because they're
- 26:12Speaker 1: gonna have Skinner back in net this time. So as
- 26:15Speaker 1: I said, they were gonna use Pickard yesterday because they
- 26:18Speaker 1: want to use a better goalie for the Dallas game,
- 26:20Speaker 1: which is what they're doing, so they're gonna be more
- 26:22Speaker 1: focused on this Dallas game. For sure. It is still
- 26:25Speaker 1: a back to back and it is still a third
- 26:27Speaker 1: game in four day's though for Edmonton, but they will
- 26:30Speaker 1: have the rested goalie here, and they're coming off kind
- 26:33Speaker 1: of a bad loss yesterday, so it's not all bad
- 26:35Speaker 1: for them. But I do still kind of like Dallas
- 26:38Speaker 1: in this spot. Dallas obviously has more rest. They haven't
- 26:41Speaker 1: played since Saturday, and they lost that game, although it
- 26:44Speaker 1: was on the road, They lost both their games on
- 26:47Speaker 1: the road trip in Florida to Tampa Bay and Florida.
- 26:49Speaker 1: Both games went into overtime. They did use to Smith
- 26:53Speaker 1: in their last game, so Ottinger has had a lot
- 26:55Speaker 1: of time off. Ottinger will be back in net here
- 26:58Speaker 1: unless he's hurt or something, which I so you're gonna
- 27:01Speaker 1: get both starting goalies here. Attender is the better of
- 27:04Speaker 1: the two goalies, so he will be back in net
- 27:07Speaker 1: for Dallas here. Yes, technically Dallas is returning home from
- 27:10Speaker 1: a road trip, which I typically don't like. They've been
- 27:12Speaker 1: on the road. They went on the road last Thursday,
- 27:14Speaker 1: but it was less than a week away from home.
- 27:17Speaker 1: They only went to Florida for two games, so I'm
- 27:19Speaker 1: not really too concerned about that. The concern with the
- 27:22Speaker 1: return home obviously a lot of it is that they're
- 27:24Speaker 1: gonna be distracted, But you're not gonna be distracted when
- 27:27Speaker 1: it's Edmonton, man, and even less so here because this
- 27:31Speaker 1: is Dallas's playoff revenge spot here man because Edmonton eliminated
- 27:35Speaker 1: Dallas from the playoffs last year. So that's why I
- 27:38Speaker 1: liked Florida against Stallas. I think I might have given
- 27:40Speaker 1: that out as a play if I'm not mistaken. On Saturday,
- 27:43Speaker 1: Florida got the win over Dallas. I think Dallas was
- 27:46Speaker 1: probably looking ahead to this one. Dallas had their worst
- 27:49Speaker 1: goalie in net there with de Smith than that one.
- 27:52Speaker 1: You know, this game. Dallas has had this game circled
- 27:55Speaker 1: all season. Man, this is the first time they're facing
- 27:57Speaker 1: Edmonton since they got eliminated by ed Minton from the playoffs.
- 28:01Speaker 1: Dallas is gonna go all out in this game, and
- 28:03Speaker 1: the fact that they've had multiple days off, I think
- 28:05Speaker 1: is also gonna help break that little bit of losing
- 28:08Speaker 1: momentum that they had here. So I do like Dallas
- 28:10Speaker 1: better in this one. The money seems to be agreeing
- 28:13Speaker 1: with that, even though the line initially dropped from minus
- 28:15Speaker 1: one thirty one to minus one twenty three on Dallas.
- 28:19Speaker 1: So it's basically in the range where they're just getting
- 28:21Speaker 1: home ice. So the oddsmakers are kind of telling you
- 28:23Speaker 1: these teams are basically even, and it's basically just like
- 28:26Speaker 1: you decide which team here. Edmonton's sixty seven percent of
- 28:30Speaker 1: the tickets though the public they still like Edmonton, they
- 28:33Speaker 1: like the offense, they like McDavid, but sixty four percent
- 28:36Speaker 1: of the cash as of now on Dallas. So I
- 28:40Speaker 1: will agree with that, Margaret Reid. I agree with Dallas.
- 28:43Speaker 1: There are some aspects of that handicap that you know,
- 28:46Speaker 1: of the situation that I don't totally love, but that's
- 28:49Speaker 1: the way that I'll go there on Nashville and Minnesota. Here, Minnesota,
- 28:55Speaker 1: they're coming up beating Vancouver, and they've had a couple
- 28:57Speaker 1: of days off since then, but that did break a
- 29:00Speaker 1: long lost street from Minnesota. They had lost five games
- 29:03Speaker 1: in a row. So sometimes when you break a lossreig
- 29:06Speaker 1: like that, it will help propel you forward. Although they
- 29:08Speaker 1: do have Caroline up next, so I don't know if
- 29:10Speaker 1: Carolina is gonna be a bit of a look at
- 29:12Speaker 1: it here, because Carolina is really good. Nashville isn't, So
- 29:15Speaker 1: it is possible Minnesota kind of still overlooks Nashville here. Nashville,
- 29:20Speaker 1: they actually just lost to that same Vancouver team yesterday,
- 29:24Speaker 1: so you know, the public is gonna take a look
- 29:26Speaker 1: at this and probably have that thought the transitive property
- 29:29Speaker 1: looking at that common opponent that both teams just faced.
- 29:32Speaker 1: Oh well, Minnesota just easily beat Vancouver and Vancouver just
- 29:36Speaker 1: beat Nashville, so this is really easy, right. That means
- 29:39Speaker 1: Minnesota is obviously gonna beat Nashville here, I wouldn't say
- 29:43Speaker 1: that necessarily, although Nashville is still on the back to back,
- 29:46Speaker 1: which I don't really love. It's a one game road trip,
- 29:50Speaker 1: which again I don't really love that either, although sometimes
- 29:53Speaker 1: it's good to just get out of home after you
- 29:55Speaker 1: lose and just go out and focus on that one
- 29:57Speaker 1: game on the road, but it is still it is
- 30:00Speaker 1: still back to back. Sorrows played yesterday for Nashville, so
- 30:04Speaker 1: it might actually mean they have their lesser goalie in
- 30:06Speaker 1: net here a noon and which I don't really love
- 30:08Speaker 1: that either. Nashville has kind of burned me too many
- 30:11Speaker 1: times too, so I can't get there with this one.
- 30:14Speaker 1: But I do think the spot is a little bit
- 30:16Speaker 1: better for Nashville here, so I would lean that way.
- 30:18Speaker 1: The money seems to be agreeing with that, dropping Minnesota
- 30:21Speaker 1: from minus two twenty three to minus two o five
- 30:24Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the ticket, seventy percent of the cash,
- 30:27Speaker 1: so less of the cash on Minnesota reverse line movement
- 30:30Speaker 1: against them Nashville. I'd look towards them on the pock
- 30:33Speaker 1: line in that game. If I was gonna look at
- 30:35Speaker 1: that game, Yeah, I mean as a big underdog that's
- 30:39Speaker 1: what makes sense there. Tampa at Colorado, I guess I
- 30:42Speaker 1: am just gonna talk about every one of these games.
- 30:44Speaker 1: Try to go through it lightning fast, pun intended Tampa.
- 30:50Speaker 1: I mean, they've turned things around. Man, after there were one,
- 30:52Speaker 1: four and two to start the season. I told you
- 30:54Speaker 1: they were not as bad as that. Tampa's looking pretty
- 30:57Speaker 1: good right now. They've won five games in a row,
- 30:59Speaker 1: including when over Vegas, Dallas, Utah, some pretty big wins
- 31:03Speaker 1: in there. Coming off that win over Utah, now they're
- 31:05Speaker 1: on that spot where they have to play the high
- 31:08Speaker 1: elevation like the two high elevation games, basically the high
- 31:12Speaker 1: elevation trips. They have to play Utah, which they won,
- 31:16Speaker 1: and I pointed out Utah was in a really bad spot.
- 31:18Speaker 1: I think the reason why I didn't want Tampa in
- 31:20Speaker 1: that game was because Tampa was off of beating Dallas,
- 31:23Speaker 1: which was also a huge win. So I think that's
- 31:25Speaker 1: what kind of kept me away from Tampa, and that
- 31:27Speaker 1: one Tampa got the win. Again, it's tough to go
- 31:30Speaker 1: into both Utah and Colorado and win both games, man,
- 31:33Speaker 1: Although I guess you could argue Tampa will be adjusted
- 31:36Speaker 1: to the high elevation now but still it's gonna be
- 31:39Speaker 1: a difficult spot. They're gonna be focused because it is Colorado,
- 31:42Speaker 1: and every team is basically gonna focus on Colorado. Colorado
- 31:46Speaker 1: only has one regulation loss this year, four overtime losses,
- 31:50Speaker 1: and Colorado they're in a spot where they're likely to
- 31:54Speaker 1: be focused as well because and they also have a
- 31:56Speaker 1: lot of rest surrounding this game. But they're coming off
- 31:59Speaker 1: a loss to sand in overtime, which I said, I
- 32:01Speaker 1: liked San Jose in that game. I thought it was
- 32:04Speaker 1: a bad spot for Colorado, coming up beating New Jersey
- 32:07Speaker 1: and revenge beating Vegas. Then they also were on a
- 32:11Speaker 1: back to back, so they put in Blackwood in net
- 32:14Speaker 1: not to be confused with Wedgewood, and it was Blackwood's
- 32:17Speaker 1: first start of the season, so it was not a
- 32:20Speaker 1: very good spot for Colorado. They lost to that bad
- 32:23Speaker 1: Shark team in overtime. That was Saturday, so now they've
- 32:26Speaker 1: had a lot of days off. Yes, they're returning home,
- 32:28Speaker 1: but it was only a two game road trip, so
- 32:31Speaker 1: I think whatever they need to get done at home,
- 32:33Speaker 1: which might not have been much, I think they already
- 32:35Speaker 1: got done. I think they're gonna be focused after an
- 32:37Speaker 1: ugly loss like that, they do have Edmonton up next,
- 32:40Speaker 1: so you do have to worry about the potential look
- 32:42Speaker 1: ahead here a little bit, although Edmonton is not for
- 32:45Speaker 1: multiple days after this, so you might not have to
- 32:47Speaker 1: worry about it that much. It's not a playoff revenge scenario,
- 32:51Speaker 1: I don't think either, because they think Colorado's their playoff
- 32:55Speaker 1: revenge will be Dallas, which actually they had an opportunity
- 32:59Speaker 1: to do that already and they loss and overtime, so
- 33:01Speaker 1: they're still gonna be looking at Dallas so whenever they
- 33:03Speaker 1: play them again, So Edmondon is still gonna be a
- 33:07Speaker 1: big game for them, But because they have a bunch
- 33:08Speaker 1: of rests, I think they are going to be focused
- 33:10Speaker 1: on this Tampa game. Wedge would almost certainly will be
- 33:13Speaker 1: back in net for Colorado here at least, so they
- 33:15Speaker 1: have their better goalie back in net. So it sets
- 33:18Speaker 1: up fairly decently for Colorado here. So I already looked
- 33:21Speaker 1: at Tampa's the spot for Tampa there, I would lean
- 33:24Speaker 1: to Colorado in this game. Colorado money line makes sense
- 33:27Speaker 1: to me in this game. If you want to try
- 33:30Speaker 1: to drop the price, you could go Colorado and regulation
- 33:33Speaker 1: because I don't know how many of their overtime games
- 33:37Speaker 1: wound up being wins, though, Like I mean, the worry
- 33:40Speaker 1: about that is that Colorado does seem to go into
- 33:42Speaker 1: overtime a lot, although they have a lot of overtime losses.
- 33:46Speaker 1: They're up for minus one forty to minus one forty
- 33:48Speaker 1: three on the money line sixty seven percent of the
- 33:49Speaker 1: tickets on Tampa, So Tampa's actually getting some public action here,
- 33:53Speaker 1: which seems strange to me. I guess just because Tampa
- 33:56Speaker 1: has been really hot recently. Colorado still is the better record, though,
- 34:00Speaker 1: so it kind of surprises me. But Colorado fifty one
- 34:02Speaker 1: percent of the cash. I lean that way as well,
- 34:05Speaker 1: agreeing with the market in that one on Colorado Detroit
- 34:08Speaker 1: at Vegas. The odds makers are telling you something here
- 34:10Speaker 1: because Detroit is a pretty good record so far this year.
- 34:14Speaker 1: But the Oswigers are telling you that even though Detroit's
- 34:16Speaker 1: nine to four, Vegas, what are they at? Vegas is
- 34:20Speaker 1: only six two and three. But the Osbegers are telling
- 34:22Speaker 1: you Vegas is the better team, as they're up from
- 34:24Speaker 1: minus one eighty to minus one eighty nine on the
- 34:26Speaker 1: money line. So it's one of those lines that kind
- 34:29Speaker 1: of makes you pause and look at it. And think, oh,
- 34:32Speaker 1: interesting that the team with the worst record is a
- 34:35Speaker 1: fairly heavy favorite here, so the oddsmakers are telling you
- 34:38Speaker 1: Vegas is a substantially better team. However, Vegas has fifty
- 34:42Speaker 1: nine percent of the tickets. It looks like it's seventy
- 34:44Speaker 1: two percent of the cash coming in on Detroit. So interesting.
- 34:47Speaker 1: It looks like the market read as far as the
- 34:49Speaker 1: money just concerned, looks like it's leaning towards Detroit. Detroit
- 34:54Speaker 1: just beat San Jose. I mean, that's just a win
- 34:56Speaker 1: that will just kind of give you a little bit
- 34:59Speaker 1: of momentum forward. Detroit is finishing a road trip though,
- 35:02Speaker 1: so it's not exactly the easiest spot for them. A
- 35:05Speaker 1: fifth straight road game, and they've won three of the fours.
- 35:09Speaker 1: They've already won the road trip. Although I'm not gonna
- 35:12Speaker 1: say that they're gonna not show up for a game
- 35:14Speaker 1: against Vegas, though, I mean, I think they will, and
- 35:16Speaker 1: Vegas is a big opponent, so I'm not really too
- 35:19Speaker 1: concerned about Detroit like not having any motivation here or
- 35:23Speaker 1: anything like that. Vegas is coming off a tough loss
- 35:26Speaker 1: at home against Colorado. That was a return home spot
- 35:29Speaker 1: for Vegas where they went out to the East Coast
- 35:31Speaker 1: to Florida, Tampa Carolina, had a difficult road trip there,
- 35:36Speaker 1: came back home, didn't play well in the return home spot,
- 35:39Speaker 1: which is expected again because the return home difficult spot,
- 35:43Speaker 1: although they were away for less than a week. But
- 35:46Speaker 1: sometimes you get those distractions, they just come into play
- 35:48Speaker 1: them and even if you are playing a good team.
- 35:50Speaker 1: They've had a bunch of days off now since then, though,
- 35:53Speaker 1: so the spot doesn't line up too terribly for Vegas here.
- 35:57Speaker 1: Do I agree with the market though, with the towards Detroit,
- 36:02Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean it's a positive spot for
- 36:04Speaker 1: Vegas because it's a second straight game back home, and
- 36:09Speaker 1: usually when you lose that first game back home, especially
- 36:11Speaker 1: when you have some rest there you can get stuff
- 36:13Speaker 1: out of the way at home, you wind up focusing
- 36:15Speaker 1: on that next game. So I think it's a positive
- 36:18Speaker 1: spot for them. I think the spot's a little bit
- 36:20Speaker 1: better for Vegas, to be honest, even though Detroit could
- 36:23Speaker 1: be kind of shocked back into focus because they almost
- 36:26Speaker 1: lost to San Jose in their last game, but they
- 36:28Speaker 1: have less rest, they've been traveling a lot. I don't
- 36:31Speaker 1: really necessarily love how that sets up for Detroit, So
- 36:33Speaker 1: I actually think Vegas is in the slightly better spot
- 36:36Speaker 1: in my opinion, so I would somewhat disagree with the
- 36:41Speaker 1: market in that one of them. If you want to
- 36:42Speaker 1: play Vegas, you probably have to go Vegas to win
- 36:44Speaker 1: in regulation or something like that to try to get
- 36:48Speaker 1: the price down, which again is a little bit risky
- 36:51Speaker 1: in hockey, but again you get a way better price
- 36:53Speaker 1: on it for a reason. Florida at Anaheim. Florida playing
- 37:00Speaker 1: a little bit better recently, I guess. I mean they've
- 37:02Speaker 1: won three out of their last five at least they
- 37:05Speaker 1: just beat Dallas, so they could be in a letdown
- 37:07Speaker 1: spot that that was a big win over Dallas, and
- 37:09Speaker 1: I pointed out that was not a very good spot
- 37:11Speaker 1: for Dallas, huge win for Florida. Really. Now they're playing Anaheim,
- 37:15Speaker 1: so you could argue it's gonna be a letdown spot.
- 37:17Speaker 1: But it is the first game of a road trip,
- 37:19Speaker 1: and sometimes you do focus when you go on on
- 37:21Speaker 1: the road because you want to kick it off on
- 37:22Speaker 1: the right foot. And the other thing that I would
- 37:24Speaker 1: hesitate with about fading Florida here is that they just
- 37:28Speaker 1: lost to Anaheim at home the game before the Dallas game.
- 37:31Speaker 1: That was a terrible spot for Florida, where I'm pretty
- 37:34Speaker 1: sure I gave out Anaheim in that game in Florida
- 37:36Speaker 1: had their second string goaliean Net in that game with
- 37:39Speaker 1: Tarasaw because Bobrovski is obviously their better goalie. I would
- 37:43Speaker 1: imagine it will be Bobrovski in this one because Bobrovski
- 37:46Speaker 1: has had multiple days to rest here, so Florida got caught.
- 37:50Speaker 1: They lost to Anaheim at home in a sandwich spot
- 37:52Speaker 1: between Vegas and Dallas with their backup goalian Net. So
- 37:57Speaker 1: I do think Florida will potentially be here just because
- 38:00Speaker 1: it's one of those quick revenge spots where they want
- 38:03Speaker 1: to go out to Anaheim and just repay the favor
- 38:07Speaker 1: and deal them a loss on their own ice. Anaheim's
- 38:09Speaker 1: off to a seven to three and one start, and
- 38:11Speaker 1: that's just honestly, it's a joke. Anaeim is not as
- 38:15Speaker 1: good as that record makes them look. Anaheim's also, I mean,
- 38:19Speaker 1: I don't want to say they're necessarily a letdown spot,
- 38:21Speaker 1: but they did just reel off wins against Florida, then
- 38:23Speaker 1: Detroit despite it being a return home spot. Then they
- 38:26Speaker 1: won again against New Jersey. They won five of their
- 38:29Speaker 1: last six games. Yeah, they'll be focused on Florida, but
- 38:32Speaker 1: they do have Dallas, Vegas, Winnipeg, Colorado all up next,
- 38:35Speaker 1: So because those are Western Conference teams, they might actually,
- 38:38Speaker 1: as crazy as it is to say, they might actually
- 38:41Speaker 1: not fully focus on Florida here because they did just
- 38:44Speaker 1: beat Florida on the road and they got teams that
- 38:46Speaker 1: are bigger for them coming up next. So I like
- 38:50Speaker 1: Florida on this game, and the market is agreeing with that.
- 38:55Speaker 1: Florida up for minus one thirty eight to minus one
- 38:58Speaker 1: forty two on the money line, twenty four percent of
- 39:00Speaker 1: the tickets, So the public doesn't even really love Florida
- 39:03Speaker 1: at this point. The public seems to be a little
- 39:05Speaker 1: bit persuaded by Anaheim's recent hot streak and Florida not
- 39:10Speaker 1: looking that good this year in Florida being somewhat of
- 39:12Speaker 1: an injured team, ninety percent of the tickets on Florda,
- 39:15Speaker 1: ninety percent of the cash excuse me on Florida though,
- 39:18Speaker 1: So the real money is coming in on Florida. And
- 39:21Speaker 1: when you see a line like this again, you've got
- 39:23Speaker 1: to take notice because it's like, well, why is a
- 39:25Speaker 1: Florida team that's on the road and a six five
- 39:29Speaker 1: and one team. Why are they like a fairly significant
- 39:31Speaker 1: favorite on the road against a seven three and one team. Again,
- 39:35Speaker 1: the odds makers are telling you what you should think
- 39:37Speaker 1: in this game. They're telling you that Anaheim is just
- 39:41Speaker 1: a fraud right now basically. I mean, I know it's
- 39:45Speaker 1: it's early, so it's hard to really say, but I mean,
- 39:47Speaker 1: I'm just going based on what Anaheim's talent level is.
- 39:50Speaker 1: I mean, you can see some statistics that are involved
- 39:53Speaker 1: here that will tell you that Anaheim is not really
- 39:55Speaker 1: that good. I know they are good at home, though
- 39:57Speaker 1: they're three to one to zero at home. Florida hasn't
- 39:59Speaker 1: been on the road one four and zero on the roads.
- 40:02Speaker 1: That's a little bit of a concern if you like Florida.
- 40:04Speaker 1: They just haven't been good on the road. Nannheim has
- 40:06Speaker 1: been good at home. But the spot looks good for
- 40:08Speaker 1: Florida to me for the most part, with some reservations there.
- 40:13Speaker 1: And again, it's just one of those misleading lines, mam r.
- 40:17Speaker 1: It's like, well, the oddsmakers are not just giving money
- 40:20Speaker 1: away here. There's a reason why Florida is a favorite
- 40:22Speaker 1: like that. And then the last game of the board
- 40:25Speaker 1: is a Winnipeg and the LA Kings. Winnipeg off to
- 40:28Speaker 1: a strong start at nine and three. They did just
- 40:31Speaker 1: beat Pittsburgh. They've had three wins in a row, fairly
- 40:35Speaker 1: easy wins though against teams that aren't really that good,
- 40:37Speaker 1: although Minnesota took them to overtime. That was the most
- 40:40Speaker 1: difficult of those three games, and it was on the road.
- 40:43Speaker 1: Winnipeg's had a few days off. They're starting a road
- 40:46Speaker 1: trip here. I don't know that the couple of days
- 40:48Speaker 1: off really is really gonna kill their momentum. I would
- 40:50Speaker 1: guess no. I think they're gonna be focused on this
- 40:52Speaker 1: because they play San Jose after this. That's not a
- 40:55Speaker 1: look ahead, so I think they will be focused to
- 40:57Speaker 1: try to kick the road trip off on the right foot.
- 40:59Speaker 1: I think the Star with still having some momentum here,
- 41:02Speaker 1: and Hellibook didn't play their last game, so he'll be
- 41:04Speaker 1: back in net, so they will have their better goalie
- 41:07Speaker 1: back in net. LA also hasn't played since Saturday, though,
- 41:10Speaker 1: and they've lost two games in a row, so you
- 41:13Speaker 1: definitely could argue that LA is going to be focused
- 41:15Speaker 1: as well. I mean, of course, it's Winnipeg coming into
- 41:17Speaker 1: their place. They've lost multiple games in a row, I
- 41:20Speaker 1: don't know if it's gonna be kemper and net again
- 41:22Speaker 1: for them or not. Because he's played three games in
- 41:24Speaker 1: a row, he is their better goalie, So somebody keep
- 41:27Speaker 1: an eye on there. LA. They got caught by Detroit
- 41:32Speaker 1: in a return home spot. That's not that surprising. Again,
- 41:34Speaker 1: the return home spot can be a distracted spot, but
- 41:37Speaker 1: then they did not turn it around, as they lost
- 41:40Speaker 1: to New Jersey in the following game. So yeah, I
- 41:43Speaker 1: think it's a spot where both teams are gonna show
- 41:45Speaker 1: up focus. Man. When that's the case, sometimes you do
- 41:48Speaker 1: want to lean towards the better team, which is Winnipeg.
- 41:51Speaker 1: But in this case, the money's actually coming in on LA.
- 41:54Speaker 1: The rough minus one to nineteen and minus won twenty
- 41:56Speaker 1: five seventy one percent of the tickets on Winnipeg, but
- 41:59Speaker 1: only fifty two percent of the cash on Winnipeg. So
- 42:02Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are kind of telling you something. It's like, well,
- 42:04Speaker 1: why is LA the team with the worst record favored here. Well, again,
- 42:10Speaker 1: there's a reason for that, So I would probably disagree
- 42:12Speaker 1: with the market, even though sometimes they say, if both
- 42:15Speaker 1: teams are focused, you want to look to the better team.
- 42:17Speaker 1: But in this case, I'll agree with the market instead.
- 42:20Speaker 1: There's a reason why the line is where it is.
- 42:23Speaker 1: Winnipeg's looking like they're turning into a public road underdog here,
- 42:27Speaker 1: which I do not like. Obviously, fading the public with
- 42:30Speaker 1: a home favorite tends to be the way you want
- 42:32Speaker 1: to look. LA was good at home last year or two,
- 42:34Speaker 1: and Winnipeg was not as good on the road. So
- 42:37Speaker 1: if those types of things continue, it's another another check
- 42:42Speaker 1: mark for LA. There. Oh, let's go. I don't know.
- 42:46Speaker 1: We'll talk about it. We'll talk about this as the
- 42:48Speaker 1: best bets segment. Even though I have to get to NBA.
- 42:51Speaker 1: I'm gonna have two other plays. I already gave out
- 42:53Speaker 1: a play on the fly on the flyers. Let me
- 42:56Speaker 1: give about two more plays here in hockey. One of
- 43:00Speaker 1: them is gonna be against my Bosston Bruins. I'm gonna
- 43:03Speaker 1: go with the New York Islanders again. We're gonna do
- 43:05Speaker 1: it in regulation, even though it's dangerous. I know, because
- 43:08Speaker 1: the Bruins last couple of years, they seem to be
- 43:11Speaker 1: the overtime kids, and they seem to lose a lot
- 43:14Speaker 1: in overtime, so we are a little bit concerned about that.
- 43:17Speaker 1: But I wanted to knock this price down on the
- 43:19Speaker 1: Islanders man, because the money line is a little bit
- 43:21Speaker 1: too heavy on them. I think it's a bad spot
- 43:23Speaker 1: for the Bruins, so we're gonna go with the Islanders.
- 43:25Speaker 1: I like the Islanders. If you want to mitigate the
- 43:28Speaker 1: risk a little bit and do one of those split
- 43:29Speaker 1: bets where you're gonna wind up putting probably a little
- 43:32Speaker 1: bit more than half on the puck line and then
- 43:34Speaker 1: the other like a little bit less than half on
- 43:36Speaker 1: the money line. Are or excusely the opposite, right, a
- 43:39Speaker 1: little bit more than half on the money line and
- 43:41Speaker 1: then a little bit less than half on the puck line.
- 43:43Speaker 1: You could do that as well. I'm gonna take it
- 43:46Speaker 1: down to you can find it at around minus one
- 43:48Speaker 1: oh five in regulation. That's what I'm gonna do here
- 43:51Speaker 1: in this one. The Islanders look like they're public, which
- 43:53Speaker 1: I'm not sure if I buy that, because the Bruins
- 43:56Speaker 1: have more weight behind their name, and the Bruins have
- 43:58Speaker 1: been playing better recently, so I don't really understand the
- 44:00Speaker 1: public being that heavy on the Islanders. I don't see
- 44:03Speaker 1: why that would be the case. Eighty six percent of
- 44:05Speaker 1: the tickets, but ninety two percent of the cash, at
- 44:07Speaker 1: least for now. On the Islanders, I do worry that
- 44:09Speaker 1: they look public right now. The line hasn't moved at all,
- 44:12Speaker 1: sitting at minus one fifty five. So we'll see how
- 44:14Speaker 1: the market shapes up. But I'm gonna stick with my
- 44:17Speaker 1: situational read in this one. The Bruins did draw themselves
- 44:20Speaker 1: to five hundred after they went on a really really
- 44:23Speaker 1: bad stretch of six losses in a row. They won
- 44:25Speaker 1: four or five since then, but they just beat Carolina
- 44:29Speaker 1: at home. Man, that was a huge win for the
- 44:31Speaker 1: Bruins beating Carolina. And now they've been multiple days off,
- 44:35Speaker 1: but I think the days off could hurt them a
- 44:36Speaker 1: little bit because they're on a three game win streak
- 44:39Speaker 1: and when you have a three game winster, you don't
- 44:41Speaker 1: necessarily want to take time off. Now they have to
- 44:44Speaker 1: go play the Islanders on the road, and it's a
- 44:46Speaker 1: single game road driven. Then the Bruins come back home
- 44:49Speaker 1: and they face Ottawa, and I think they're gonna want
- 44:51Speaker 1: Ottawa because Ottawa just totally embarrassed the Bruins seven to
- 44:56Speaker 1: two last time out. In Ottawa is of course the
- 44:59Speaker 1: team that has on now, so there's that kind of
- 45:01Speaker 1: thing going on. The Bruins former goalie, So for those reasons,
- 45:05Speaker 1: I think the Bruins are gonna be looking ahead to
- 45:06Speaker 1: Ottawa as well, and then they have Toronto twice, and
- 45:09Speaker 1: then Ottawa again, and then Montreal and then Carolina again.
- 45:12Speaker 1: So out of all these games coming up, I think
- 45:14Speaker 1: this Islanders game is the one that means the least
- 45:16Speaker 1: to the Bruins here. And the Bruins just beat the
- 45:19Speaker 1: Islanders five to two at home with Corp, Salo and Net,
- 45:23Speaker 1: so the Bruins were able to beat the Islanders with
- 45:25Speaker 1: their lesser goaliean Net, so I just don't really see
- 45:28Speaker 1: them totally taking the Islanders seriously here. I think it's
- 45:30Speaker 1: gonna be a letdown spot off of that big win
- 45:33Speaker 1: over Carolina. So there are a lot of things going
- 45:35Speaker 1: for the Islanders situation in this one, which is why
- 45:38Speaker 1: I like it. Again, the Islanders are only one there,
- 45:42Speaker 1: or maybe you want to say a half game below
- 45:45Speaker 1: five or above five under because they have one overtime loss,
- 45:48Speaker 1: so the record is not that much better than the Bruins.
- 45:50Speaker 1: So I don't know why the public is that heavy
- 45:54Speaker 1: on the Islanders, if that's even true. People are also
- 45:56Speaker 1: gonna see, hey, the Islanders already lost to the Bruins
- 45:59Speaker 1: and they to Carolina really badly. So the Bruins beat Carolina,
- 46:03Speaker 1: so you would think that the public would be like, hey,
- 46:05Speaker 1: we get the Bruins as an underdog here and they
- 46:07Speaker 1: beat Carolina, who just easily beat the Islanders, So like,
- 46:12Speaker 1: what gives it looks almost too easy to me to
- 46:14Speaker 1: take the Bruins here. Yeah, so obviously I won't be
- 46:18Speaker 1: doing that. And for the Islanders, they've won two games
- 46:20Speaker 1: in a row. They have one fewer day off, but
- 46:22Speaker 1: they're staying at home. It's actually the second game of
- 46:26Speaker 1: the home stand here is they actually somehow were able
- 46:30Speaker 1: to win against Columbus despite being in a return home
- 46:32Speaker 1: spot coming off a big win over Washington, bad spot,
- 46:36Speaker 1: and the Islanders still won against Columbus, and it was
- 46:39Speaker 1: with Ridditch and that instead of Sorak and soarrockets their
- 46:42Speaker 1: better goalie or their goalie that they basically play more
- 46:46Speaker 1: often at least. So I don't know how the Islanders
- 46:49Speaker 1: won that game, to be honest, but that kind of
- 46:52Speaker 1: tells you something that the Islanders were able to win
- 46:54Speaker 1: like that with their second string goalie in a bad spot.
- 46:58Speaker 1: So now they're gonna be in a game where I
- 46:59Speaker 1: think gonna be focused more because it's a quick revenge
- 47:02Speaker 1: spot against the Bruins because they lost to the Bruins
- 47:05Speaker 1: on the road on Tuesday, the twenty eighth of October
- 47:09Speaker 1: with the Islanders best goaling in Net Sarrak and against
- 47:13Speaker 1: the Bruins shitty goal at Corpus Slo. So it's like again,
- 47:16Speaker 1: the Bruins I think won't take them seriously, but the
- 47:18Speaker 1: Islanders I think are gonna be motivated to win this game.
- 47:22Speaker 1: So I think it's gonna continue and it's gonna be
- 47:24Speaker 1: Sirokan for the Islanders in this one. He'll be back
- 47:27Speaker 1: in net, I would imagine because he didn't play the
- 47:29Speaker 1: last game. Bruins may have sway him in the net
- 47:31Speaker 1: again here, but I don't care about that. I think
- 47:35Speaker 1: the spot lines up pretty nicely for the Islanders here,
- 47:38Speaker 1: so we'll go Islanders in regulation, and then to finish
- 47:41Speaker 1: it off, we're also gonna go with the Carolina Hurricanes
- 47:44Speaker 1: on the road at minus one twenty. They actually dropped
- 47:47Speaker 1: for minus one thirty to minus one twenty one. I
- 47:49Speaker 1: saw it out there at minus one twenty. I'm pretty
- 47:51Speaker 1: sure I'll double check that and I'll put whatever the
- 47:54Speaker 1: line is, that's the best. I'll put it up there
- 47:58Speaker 1: in the show description. And I think this is what
- 48:00Speaker 1: it is. Seventy six percent of the tickets are on
- 48:02Speaker 1: the Rangers. This is against the New York Rangers. This
- 48:05Speaker 1: kind of surprises me though the Rangers would be this
- 48:08Speaker 1: public all of a sudden. Seventy four percent of the
- 48:10Speaker 1: cash so coming on in Carolina, so the money seems
- 48:13Speaker 1: to be agreeing with the Carolina side here. I like
- 48:16Speaker 1: it as well. I don't understand the public percentage being
- 48:19Speaker 1: on the Rangers, like I wouldn't expect the Rangers to
- 48:21Speaker 1: be public here. I just like the spot, So that
- 48:25Speaker 1: seems a little weird to me, but okay by me
- 48:28Speaker 1: if we get if we get a cash percentage, that's
- 48:31Speaker 1: completely the opposite of where the public is. By the way,
- 48:33Speaker 1: I forgot to mention Bruins and Islanders. The Bruins have
- 48:36Speaker 1: been really bad on the road. They're one and four
- 48:39Speaker 1: on the road and the Islanders are four and two
- 48:40Speaker 1: at home, so that's also a good sign for the Islanders.
- 48:43Speaker 1: The Islanders have been better at home and the Bruins
- 48:45Speaker 1: have been significantly worse on the road, so that's better
- 48:48Speaker 1: as well, So another thing we have going for us
- 48:50Speaker 1: in that game. But back to Carolina and the Rangers here. Carolina,
- 48:55Speaker 1: they just lost in Boston. Like I said, could be
- 48:58Speaker 1: in a little bit of a bounced back spot here.
- 48:59Speaker 1: They've lost three of four, but they lost to Dallas
- 49:02Speaker 1: and Vegas. Those are obviously losses that are not embarrassing.
- 49:07Speaker 1: I mean, those are two good teams. They were playing
- 49:11Speaker 1: Vegas on the road after losing in a shootout to
- 49:13Speaker 1: Colorado a winning excuse me, in a shootout against Colorado
- 49:17Speaker 1: two days prior on the road too, and Vegas had
- 49:20Speaker 1: Bussy and net in that one. They're backup goalies, so
- 49:22Speaker 1: you can't really blame them for that loss at all.
- 49:25Speaker 1: Dallas is a good team, and then in a return
- 49:27Speaker 1: home spot from a long road trip, they lost to Vegas.
- 49:30Speaker 1: Can't really blame them for that either. They're right at
- 49:32Speaker 1: the ship with a win over the Islanders, but then
- 49:34Speaker 1: they went out on the road again and they lost
- 49:36Speaker 1: to Boston. Bruins played well in that game. Now Carolina
- 49:40Speaker 1: has got multiple days off. I imagine their better goalie,
- 49:42Speaker 1: Anderson is gonna be in net again for this one
- 49:46Speaker 1: because they've had multiple days off, so he'll be rested.
- 49:48Speaker 1: He only played one game prior to that, so I
- 49:51Speaker 1: think he'll be in net again. Here. They're gonna want
- 49:53Speaker 1: to split the road trip because it's only a two
- 49:55Speaker 1: game road trip. They're only going for Boston and New York.
- 49:58Speaker 1: Not a lot of travel here come not that loss
- 50:00Speaker 1: to Boston. They don't have anything big upcoming, so I
- 50:03Speaker 1: think they're gonna be focused for this game against the Rangers.
- 50:06Speaker 1: The Rangers have started playing better. They're above five hundred now.
- 50:10Speaker 1: Maybe that's why the public is somewhat on the Rangers
- 50:12Speaker 1: because they've won three games in a row on the road,
- 50:15Speaker 1: no less, but they beat Vancouver, Who's I think overrated
- 50:19Speaker 1: right now. I mean they're a mediocre team. Their big
- 50:21Speaker 1: win was the one in overtime against Edmonton. That was
- 50:23Speaker 1: a big win. And then I chose to fade them
- 50:26Speaker 1: in the spot after that, which I thought was a
- 50:28Speaker 1: big letdown spot against Seattle with this Carolina game upcoming.
- 50:32Speaker 1: But they were able to win anyway in overtime, and
- 50:34Speaker 1: they actually outplayed Seattle in the game, so I got
- 50:37Speaker 1: that one wrong. Now the Rangers are turning over from
- 50:40Speaker 1: a road trip though. Yeah, they've had a couple extra
- 50:42Speaker 1: days off, but they went all the way to the
- 50:43Speaker 1: Pacific northwest western Canada. They've been on the road for
- 50:47Speaker 1: over a week. I think this is a bad spot,
- 50:49Speaker 1: even though yes, they're gonna be focused because it is Carolina.
- 50:52Speaker 1: I mean, you gotta think they will be. They're at
- 50:54Speaker 1: least gonna try to win this game. But they do
- 50:56Speaker 1: have to go out on the road again after this,
- 50:58Speaker 1: so if they have stuff to do at home, have
- 51:00Speaker 1: to get it done now. I think it's a little
- 51:02Speaker 1: bit of a bad spot here for the Rangers. Man,
- 51:06Speaker 1: those distractions could still come into play here. Even even
- 51:08Speaker 1: if you are facing a good team. Carolina is the
- 51:11Speaker 1: better team, as the oddszekers are telling you, and I
- 51:13Speaker 1: think when you have a setup like that, you do
- 51:15Speaker 1: want to look towards the better team as well. So
- 51:18Speaker 1: that's what we're doing here and looking at the home
- 51:22Speaker 1: road dichotomy here. Carolina has been decent on the road
- 51:24Speaker 1: four and three away from home, and the Rangers, as
- 51:27Speaker 1: we know, they haven't even won at home. The Rangers
- 51:30Speaker 1: have been atrocious at home. Oh four and one at
- 51:33Speaker 1: home for the Rangers, they've been awful at home. So
- 51:36Speaker 1: we're gonna continue with that sentiment, and the first three
- 51:39Speaker 1: home games the Rangers didn't even score a goal, and
- 51:43Speaker 1: then since then, yeah, they scored. They only scored one
- 51:46Speaker 1: goal in their first four home games. Then they finally
- 51:48Speaker 1: put up a bunch of goals at home against San
- 51:50Speaker 1: Jose and still lost the game, and since then they
- 51:52Speaker 1: haven't played at home again. So yeah, they've lost every
- 51:55Speaker 1: game at home. And they've only scored six goals total
- 51:59Speaker 1: at home, with five of them being in one game
- 52:01Speaker 1: against San Jose in a loss. And that's in four
- 52:05Speaker 1: home or no excuse, yeah, five home games. They've only
- 52:07Speaker 1: scored six goals. I mean that is pathetic. Yes, I know,
- 52:11Speaker 1: their offense finally showed up against one of the worst
- 52:14Speaker 1: teams in hockey, San Jose, but Carolina is way way
- 52:17Speaker 1: better than the Sharks, and way better defensively too, So
- 52:21Speaker 1: Rangers probably not gonna be putting up five goals this time.
- 52:24Speaker 1: Carolina will be the play in that one. All right,
- 52:28Speaker 1: let's go to NBA. This is gonna be a long
- 52:31Speaker 1: ish video. Shee NBA. There aren't too many games today though,
- 52:34Speaker 1: and then we'll do college football quickly. My play is
- 52:38Speaker 1: gonna be on Bucks Raptor, So I'm gonna wait on
- 52:40Speaker 1: that one. I like that spot in that game, so
- 52:42Speaker 1: I'm gonna hold off for a minute. Orlando and Atlanta
- 52:47Speaker 1: somewhat of an interesting one. I don't know if there's
- 52:49Speaker 1: a playoff revenge angle here. I think there is actually.
- 52:52Speaker 1: Let me see last year a postseason Oh yeah, Orlando
- 52:57Speaker 1: got knocked out by Boston, but yeah, the playing game,
- 52:59Speaker 1: that's right, Atlanta debatably, that's playoff revenge because Orlando embarrassed
- 53:06Speaker 1: Atlanta in the playing game last year to get into
- 53:08Speaker 1: the actual playoffs. Although actually Orlando did already play Atlanta,
- 53:11Speaker 1: so Atlanta actually already got their revenge this year. On
- 53:15Speaker 1: October twenty fourth, Atlanta was able to beat Orlando at home,
- 53:18Speaker 1: So I guess maybe the revenge angle actually might shift
- 53:21Speaker 1: to Orlando a little bit. Here. Orlando looks like maybe
- 53:24Speaker 1: they're starting to figure some things out. A couple of
- 53:26Speaker 1: wins in a row, although they were only against Charlotte
- 53:28Speaker 1: and Washington, so those are bad teams, but they were
- 53:31Speaker 1: blowout wins, so Orlando does seem to be kind of
- 53:35Speaker 1: getting the swing of things. And Orlando is still a
- 53:37Speaker 1: better team than what the record suggests. I don't think
- 53:40Speaker 1: they're gonna over. They're gonna overlook Atlanta here eve though
- 53:43Speaker 1: Orlando does have Boston next and that is definitely playoff revenge.
- 53:46Speaker 1: Orlando's gonna want to beat the you know that Boston
- 53:50Speaker 1: team that eliminated them last year. But Orlando lost to
- 53:53Speaker 1: Atlanta earlier this year, so I don't think they're necessarily
- 53:55Speaker 1: gonna overlook Atlanta. Atlanta at three and four right now,
- 54:00Speaker 1: but Atlanta did just have a difficult loss to Cleveland
- 54:02Speaker 1: and they're returning home from a road trip, so the
- 54:04Speaker 1: spot is not very good for Atlanta. Again, the road
- 54:07Speaker 1: trip return spot typically tends to be a spot where
- 54:09Speaker 1: you don't show up totally focused, even though it is Orlando.
- 54:14Speaker 1: They did already beat Orlando once on the road, so
- 54:16Speaker 1: it's actually also road revenge for Orlando. Atlanta coming off
- 54:20Speaker 1: that tough game to finish the road trip at Cleveland,
- 54:22Speaker 1: Man where Atlanta was in that game. Late in the game,
- 54:26Speaker 1: the game was pretty close. It was actually tied with
- 54:29Speaker 1: eight minutes to go, and Atlanta was still within one
- 54:32Speaker 1: or two scores. They were within one score with four
- 54:34Speaker 1: and a half minutes left. So Atlanta played a tough
- 54:36Speaker 1: game at Cleveland and they're coming off that I think
- 54:39Speaker 1: the spot does set up better for the Magic here,
- 54:41Speaker 1: but the money's coming in on the Hawks, which I
- 54:44Speaker 1: just don't understand. I don't really agree with that the
- 54:47Speaker 1: Magic initially went from a three point favorite to a
- 54:50Speaker 1: three and a half point favorite, and the fact that
- 54:52Speaker 1: their road favorite is the oddsmaker's telling you something too.
- 54:55Speaker 1: They're telling you the Magic are actually the better of
- 54:57Speaker 1: these two teams, such that they're actually a road face.
- 55:00Speaker 1: Sixty two percent of the tickets on the Magic sixty
- 55:03Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on the Hawks. I can't
- 55:06Speaker 1: really agree with that one. I mean I would slightly
- 55:08Speaker 1: lean to Orlando in that one. Philadelphia at Chicago, which
- 55:13Speaker 1: is Jefferies Jefferies heart against Jeffreys' money, I think is
- 55:18Speaker 1: what this game is, right because he's a Philly fan,
- 55:20Speaker 1: but he's fading them with the Bulls here. Philly's coming
- 55:23Speaker 1: up that win over Brooklyn. I thought they were in
- 55:25Speaker 1: a bad spot and Philly still beat Brooklyn, which obviously
- 55:30Speaker 1: I don't love that. That was a bad call by
- 55:32Speaker 1: me on Brooklyn. I don't think we could really say
- 55:36Speaker 1: it was that much of an outlier. I mean, Philly
- 55:37Speaker 1: did shoot pretty well. Well. Maybe it was I mean
- 55:40Speaker 1: Philly shot pretty well in that game fifty two point
- 55:42Speaker 1: one percent from the field. Brooklyn was just atrocious from
- 55:46Speaker 1: three point range eighteen point four percent. See, I guess
- 55:49Speaker 1: you could say it was a little bit misleading. It
- 55:51Speaker 1: was a bit of an outlier there, and Philly really
- 55:54Speaker 1: had a good fourth quarter, like Brooklyn was in position
- 55:57Speaker 1: to cover that game until the fourth quarter, So I
- 56:00Speaker 1: guess there were some things about that that were misleading.
- 56:03Speaker 1: Philadelphia off to a five and one start, which they
- 56:06Speaker 1: face not that difficult of a schedule so far. They're
- 56:10Speaker 1: two difficult games so far. We're both against Boston and
- 56:13Speaker 1: they probably should have lost both games. They were behind
- 56:15Speaker 1: by double digits pretty late in both games. They won
- 56:19Speaker 1: one and lost the other. Now they're going to Chicago.
- 56:23Speaker 1: They do have Cleveland on deck tomorrow, so you could
- 56:25Speaker 1: debate that that's a look ahead, but I don't really
- 56:28Speaker 1: know that they're gonna necessarily overlook Chicago because Chicago's five
- 56:31Speaker 1: and one, and also in the Eastern Conference. Chicago's coming
- 56:35Speaker 1: up that loss to the Knicks, and I don't really
- 56:40Speaker 1: see it being a bounce back spot for the Bulls
- 56:43Speaker 1: because that was a big game against the Knicks and
- 56:46Speaker 1: they took their first loss of the season, and this
- 56:48Speaker 1: is something I talk about. When a team takes their
- 56:51Speaker 1: first loss of the season, it can have a hangover
- 56:53Speaker 1: effect into the next game. Yes it's Philly, Yes, Phillies
- 56:58Speaker 1: five and one, But they do have Milwaukee and Cleveland
- 57:01Speaker 1: coming up next going into the weekend. And are they
- 57:05Speaker 1: are they gonna consider those two be bigger games? Maybe
- 57:09Speaker 1: because again, I mean those are Milwaukee's in their division.
- 57:13Speaker 1: I think Cleveland might be as well. I think those
- 57:15Speaker 1: might be considered to be actually bigger games than the
- 57:17Speaker 1: Philadelphia one. I don't know, man, I see this being
- 57:20Speaker 1: a bit of a hangover spot here the Bulls. I
- 57:23Speaker 1: mean they haven't faced that difficult of a schedule either,
- 57:26Speaker 1: which I was harping on with those Nick games there.
- 57:29Speaker 1: Their most difficult games were the two games against the Knicks.
- 57:33Speaker 1: So other than that, the most difficult games against Detroit,
- 57:36Speaker 1: and they kind of caught Detroit, you know, maybe napping
- 57:39Speaker 1: a little bit in Detroit being a little bit overvalued
- 57:41Speaker 1: after what they did last year coming into the season.
- 57:48Speaker 1: I'm gonna lead to Philadelphia in this game. Not a
- 57:51Speaker 1: strong opinion. Bulls are a one point favorite, which is
- 57:54Speaker 1: also somewhat interesting. The Bulls don't even get full home
- 57:58Speaker 1: court here, So the oddsmakers are telling you that the
- 58:00Speaker 1: seventy six ers are actually the better of these two
- 58:03Speaker 1: teams here, even though the the public might seem to
- 58:06Speaker 1: think otherwise. We have fifty seven percent of the tickets
- 58:09Speaker 1: on the seventy six ers, though, but seventy nine percent
- 58:11Speaker 1: of the cash. It looks like the real money, based
- 58:14Speaker 1: on the numbers that I'm seeing here, is coming in
- 58:15Speaker 1: on Philly in that game. I'll agree with that ink
- 58:18Speaker 1: the spot is a little bit better for them, but
- 58:21Speaker 1: obviously I would not want to have my money on that.
- 58:26Speaker 1: Charlotte and the New Orleans Pelicans. Charlotte's coming off that
- 58:30Speaker 1: win over Utah, I mean, not really impressive to beat Utah,
- 58:34Speaker 1: especially when Utah's on the road. Utah is not very
- 58:37Speaker 1: good now. Charlotte's starting a road trouble, though they do
- 58:40Speaker 1: a momentum now. They ended a lost streak with that
- 58:44Speaker 1: win over Utah, so they got some positive momentum here.
- 58:47Speaker 1: I think gonna overlook New Orleans because they got a
- 58:49Speaker 1: revenge game against Miami coming up in Miami's the better
- 58:52Speaker 1: of the two teams right now, maybe because Charlotte got
- 58:56Speaker 1: totally embarrassed last time that pay Miami, So it is
- 58:58Speaker 1: possible maybe they'll overlooked them, but you could argue that
- 59:01Speaker 1: they're gonna start the road trip with some focus as well.
- 59:04Speaker 1: So I don't know. On New Orleans's own six they
- 59:07Speaker 1: faced a really really difficult schedule. Though New Orleans they're
- 59:10Speaker 1: not as bad as this, Like, they're definitely not the
- 59:12Speaker 1: worst team in the NBA. I think they're actually like
- 59:16Speaker 1: kind of more of a mediocre team, but they've had
- 59:18Speaker 1: an unbelievably difficult schedule. Like the four of their six
- 59:22Speaker 1: games have been road games that they've played Memphis, San Antonio, Boston, Denver, La,
- 59:28Speaker 1: the Clippers, not the Lakers, but still the Clippers aren't
- 59:30Speaker 1: that bad, and then Oklahoma City. This has not been
- 59:34Speaker 1: an easy an easy ride so far for the Pelicans,
- 59:37Speaker 1: and Zion Williamson has kind of been in and out
- 59:39Speaker 1: in the lineup. He's been a little bit hurt. They're
- 59:42Speaker 1: returning home from a road trip, which is a little
- 59:44Speaker 1: bit difficult. They've been to wasted last Wednesday, so it
- 59:47Speaker 1: is possible maybe they overlook Charlotte, especially they have to
- 59:50Speaker 1: go back out on the road tomorrow to Dallas, so
- 59:53Speaker 1: it's kind of a bad spot for New Orleans too,
- 59:56Speaker 1: they might overlook Charlotte here. Interestingly, the money is all
- 59:59Speaker 1: coming in on the Pelicans, though they're out from minus
- 1:00:02Speaker 1: one to minus minus one and a half to minus three. Here,
- 1:00:04Speaker 1: fifty percent of the tickets evenly split, seventy four percent
- 1:00:07Speaker 1: of the cash on the Pelicans. And the one thing
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: that you really have to be aware of here is
- 1:00:13Speaker 1: you have an zero to six Pelican team that's actually
- 1:00:15Speaker 1: a favorite of more than home court against a three
- 1:00:18Speaker 1: and four Charlotte team. So it's like, well, why are
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: the odds makers doing that? Well, the oddsmakers are telling
- 1:00:23Speaker 1: you New Orleans is not as bad as they look.
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: Like again, they've had probably the most difficult schedule to
- 1:00:28Speaker 1: this point in the entire NBA, so they're not as
- 1:00:31Speaker 1: bad as they look. Charlotte's certainly not a great team,
- 1:00:34Speaker 1: and the osvigers are telling you New Orleans is actually
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: the better of the two teams because NBA doesn't have
- 1:00:39Speaker 1: huge home court advantage, like probably one and a half
- 1:00:42Speaker 1: maybe for home court. So osmakers are telling you something
- 1:00:46Speaker 1: with that line. So I wouldn't necessarily want to fade.
- 1:00:48Speaker 1: That's that idea, even though I don't love the spot
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: really for New Orleans. The money is saying New Orleans here.
- 1:00:56Speaker 1: I might have to slightly lean that way for that reason,
- 1:00:59Speaker 1: but I don't like it Phoenix at Golden State. Golden
- 1:01:03Speaker 1: State's a double digit favored here Phoenix. They're coming off
- 1:01:08Speaker 1: blasting San Antonio and they ended San Antonio's undefeated run
- 1:01:12Speaker 1: to start the season. Big win for Phoenix. Now they
- 1:01:15Speaker 1: have a single game where they have to go out
- 1:01:17Speaker 1: over to Golden State. Could be a bit of a letdown, Spotti.
- 1:01:20Speaker 1: Though usually I know it's Golden State. You don't think
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: that a team is gonna not be focused for Golden State.
- 1:01:25Speaker 1: But Phoenix is in a spot where they're gonna have
- 1:01:27Speaker 1: to continue having this effort like this. Two games in
- 1:01:30Speaker 1: a row against two good teams with travel that does
- 1:01:33Speaker 1: make this a little bit difficult Golden State. I mean, yeah,
- 1:01:37Speaker 1: they're the better of these two teams fairly significantly. So
- 1:01:39Speaker 1: Golden State just lost two games on the road. It
- 1:01:42Speaker 1: does mean they're returning over from a road trip, although
- 1:01:44Speaker 1: they're only on the road for two games Thursday and Saturday,
- 1:01:48Speaker 1: so it's not really one of those long trip returns
- 1:01:50Speaker 1: where they're gonna be like seriously distracted. They do have
- 1:01:53Speaker 1: to go back out on the road after this, after
- 1:01:56Speaker 1: what Phoenix just did to San Antonio. Maybe Golden State
- 1:01:58Speaker 1: will show up, especially because gold State lost their last
- 1:02:01Speaker 1: two games, including to winless Indiana. I'm pretty sure, so
- 1:02:05Speaker 1: you might see Golden State bounce back in this one.
- 1:02:10Speaker 1: Golden State is taking the money. It looks like they're
- 1:02:12Speaker 1: rough from ten to eleven here. They're a huge favorite,
- 1:02:15Speaker 1: seventy five percent of tickets, eighty five percent of the
- 1:02:17Speaker 1: cash coming in on them. I would not really disagree
- 1:02:20Speaker 1: with that. I would somewhat agree with that with laying
- 1:02:22Speaker 1: the points with the Warriors. Don't necessarily love the spot
- 1:02:25Speaker 1: for either team, but at the very least, the Warriors
- 1:02:28Speaker 1: could be in a little bit of a bounced back
- 1:02:29Speaker 1: spot and it could be a bit of a letdown
- 1:02:31Speaker 1: spot for Phoenix there, or at least a spot where
- 1:02:34Speaker 1: there's a bit of a hangover where they have to
- 1:02:35Speaker 1: try to put put in a huge aff for two
- 1:02:37Speaker 1: games in a row. And then we do have Oklahoma
- 1:02:40Speaker 1: City going to the Clippers. Oklahoma City picking up right
- 1:02:44Speaker 1: where they left off last year. They won all seven
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: games so far this year, they face kind of a
- 1:02:49Speaker 1: moderately difficult schedule, not the most difficult schedule so far.
- 1:02:53Speaker 1: Have to go back out on the road now. They
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: haven't been on the roads it's October twenty seventh, but
- 1:02:58Speaker 1: they have momentum right now. So going out on the
- 1:03:00Speaker 1: road with momentum sometimes you will be focused to start
- 1:03:03Speaker 1: the road trip. And they don't really have huge opponents
- 1:03:05Speaker 1: coming up on this road trip, so they may very
- 1:03:07Speaker 1: well still be focused here. Clippers did just lose on Monday,
- 1:03:13Speaker 1: well yesterday to Miami, So the Clippers are on a
- 1:03:15Speaker 1: back to back, which isn't that great in Miami I
- 1:03:18Speaker 1: think is a team that they did show up for.
- 1:03:20Speaker 1: I mean they only loss of that game by one point.
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: Although the Clippers I assume were a favorite, right yeah,
- 1:03:25Speaker 1: they were seven to a half point favorite. So I
- 1:03:27Speaker 1: guess maybe you could argue the Clippers will be in
- 1:03:29Speaker 1: a bounced back spot here because they lost as a
- 1:03:31Speaker 1: big favorite. But they're on a back to back, and
- 1:03:33Speaker 1: if you look at that box score, the Clippers played
- 1:03:36Speaker 1: their best players for their full workload, like Kawhi Leonard
- 1:03:40Speaker 1: James Hard and they both got over thirty minutes in
- 1:03:42Speaker 1: that game, so they played a full workload. So this
- 1:03:45Speaker 1: team could be a little bit tired. Although they didn't
- 1:03:49Speaker 1: play for a while before that Monday game. They hadn't
- 1:03:51Speaker 1: played since Friday, so I guess that kind of that
- 1:03:55Speaker 1: might help alleviate that fatigue factor a little bit. Obviously,
- 1:03:58Speaker 1: I don't want to get involved in this game at all.
- 1:04:00Speaker 1: The money is coming in towards the Clippers, though, Thunder
- 1:04:03Speaker 1: up from five and a half to seven, which is
- 1:04:05Speaker 1: a pretty big line for a road favorite, even though
- 1:04:08Speaker 1: I know it is the best team in the NBA,
- 1:04:09Speaker 1: the Thunder and Clippers are kind of a mediocre team.
- 1:04:13Speaker 1: Sixty four percent of the tickets on the Thunder, seventy
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: two percent of the cash coming in on the Clippers though,
- 1:04:18Speaker 1: and the Clippers still are good in this arena at home.
- 1:04:21Speaker 1: All three of their wins have coming home. They're three
- 1:04:23Speaker 1: and one at home, so even though it's a back
- 1:04:26Speaker 1: to back, I won't totally disagree with the money on
- 1:04:28Speaker 1: that one on the Clippers. But not my favorite, obviously,
- 1:04:31Speaker 1: not even close. My favorite is the remaining game, and
- 1:04:35Speaker 1: we're gonna lay the points with the Toronto Raptors against
- 1:04:38Speaker 1: the Bucks. Raptors are up from a three point favorite
- 1:04:41Speaker 1: to a four and a half point favorite. So the
- 1:04:43Speaker 1: money looks like it's already coming in on the Raptors.
- 1:04:44Speaker 1: I know we lost a little bit of value here,
- 1:04:46Speaker 1: but I'm gonna do it anyway. Bucks sixty five percent
- 1:04:49Speaker 1: of the tickets on them. The Bucks are obviously gonna
- 1:04:51Speaker 1: be public. I mean, the Bucks, they got the star power,
- 1:04:54Speaker 1: they get Giannis, you know whatever. The public sees them
- 1:04:58Speaker 1: as an underdog. They basically can't even name it player
- 1:05:00Speaker 1: on the Raptors. Probably they know that the Bucks have
- 1:05:03Speaker 1: been the way better team over the last few years.
- 1:05:05Speaker 1: Public is gonna think that there's a lot of value
- 1:05:07Speaker 1: here getting the Bucks as an underdog. But seventy two
- 1:05:10Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Raptors. There's a reason
- 1:05:13Speaker 1: why the Raptors are favored here. Man. The osmakers are
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: telling you something with this line. Bucks five and two,
- 1:05:18Speaker 1: Toronto only three and four. Interestingly, the osmakers have actually
- 1:05:22Speaker 1: been given Toronto respect this year, so they actually think
- 1:05:24Speaker 1: Toronto is a little bit better this year and kind
- 1:05:27Speaker 1: of on the way up, it seems. I know, Milwaukee's
- 1:05:30Speaker 1: a little bit better on the road two and one.
- 1:05:32Speaker 1: I mean they're fine on the road. Toronto hasn't been
- 1:05:34Speaker 1: that great at home yet. One and two. But I
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: still think it's a difficult spot for teams to have
- 1:05:39Speaker 1: to travel to Toronto. You got to go through customs,
- 1:05:41Speaker 1: go up to Canada there. And Milwaukee's coming up of
- 1:05:43Speaker 1: a big win over Indiana yesterday. And the reason why
- 1:05:47Speaker 1: that was big even though Indiana I think was only
- 1:05:51Speaker 1: a one win team and they started out the season winless.
- 1:05:54Speaker 1: Indiana very injury riddle team. Milwaukee barely got by them too,
- 1:05:58Speaker 1: but that was a big win even though Milwaukee didn't cover.
- 1:06:01Speaker 1: So sometimes when a team doesn't cover, sometimes you want
- 1:06:04Speaker 1: to look to them to focus in the next game.
- 1:06:06Speaker 1: But I don't think so here because the reason why
- 1:06:08Speaker 1: I faded Milwaukee against Sacramento on Saturday, it was not
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: only because they were coming up of multiple big games
- 1:06:14Speaker 1: in a row, but because they had that Indiana game
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: coming up, and that was playoff revenge. Indiana knocked Milwaukee
- 1:06:22Speaker 1: out of the playoffs I think the last two years
- 1:06:24Speaker 1: in a row. So Milwaukee, they showed up for that game.
- 1:06:27Speaker 1: They wanted to win. They got the win. Now they
- 1:06:30Speaker 1: got to go to Toronto with no time off. They have
- 1:06:32Speaker 1: to travel through customs to Toronto, where, by the way,
- 1:06:35Speaker 1: Milwaukee already beat them once back on October twenty fourth,
- 1:06:39Speaker 1: So Toronto, I think is gonna be the team to
- 1:06:42Speaker 1: make the adjustments this time. And by the way, in
- 1:06:44Speaker 1: that game, Toronto, yeah, I know they're only a two
- 1:06:46Speaker 1: and a half boy favorites, so but it was still
- 1:06:48Speaker 1: weird that they were a favorite in that game. Yeah,
- 1:06:51Speaker 1: I know, they're now four and a half boy favorites,
- 1:06:52Speaker 1: So the oddsmakers are adjusting a little bit for the Zigzag.
- 1:06:56Speaker 1: So I know, maybe we're not getting total value on
- 1:06:58Speaker 1: the line here, but I just love the spot, dude,
- 1:07:01Speaker 1: So that's what we're gonna do in this when Milwaukee
- 1:07:03Speaker 1: also had a really good shooting game and that one
- 1:07:04Speaker 1: fifty two point two percent from the field, although Toronto
- 1:07:08Speaker 1: did shoot well from three in the game forty points
- 1:07:10Speaker 1: seven percent, so it wasn't really a huge outlier or
- 1:07:13Speaker 1: anything like that. But I do think that might cause
- 1:07:16Speaker 1: Milwaukee to just overlook Toronto this time. Like there are
- 1:07:21Speaker 1: many reasons. I mean, again, it's a back to back,
- 1:07:23Speaker 1: although the back to back is also factoring into the
- 1:07:25Speaker 1: line a little bit. The lack of rest Sineario and
- 1:07:28Speaker 1: the fact that they're playing a third game in four
- 1:07:30Speaker 1: to a is all in different cities, so the rest
- 1:07:32Speaker 1: spot's not good. I think they're gonna letdown spot. It's
- 1:07:35Speaker 1: a revenge spot, quick revenge spot for Toronto, and Toronto
- 1:07:39Speaker 1: will make the adjustments, I think after losing that first game,
- 1:07:41Speaker 1: and Milwaukee probably won't take them as seriously. And then
- 1:07:44Speaker 1: Milwaukee does have to play Chicago next, and the way
- 1:07:47Speaker 1: Chicago has started, I think that's a bigger game from Milwaukee.
- 1:07:50Speaker 1: I think they might look ahead to that than they
- 1:07:52Speaker 1: do of Houston, Dallas after that whatever. But yeah, I
- 1:07:55Speaker 1: think it's a sandwich spot. I don't like how it
- 1:07:58Speaker 1: sets up at all four or on Milwaukee. Here Toronto
- 1:08:03Speaker 1: is staying at home and they have a day off,
- 1:08:05Speaker 1: so they were off yesterday. Surprisingly they won after they
- 1:08:09Speaker 1: upset Cleveland and then return home from that, I thought
- 1:08:12Speaker 1: they were gonna letdown spot, and they still beat Memphis,
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: So that kind of tells you something that Toronto beat
- 1:08:17Speaker 1: Memphis even though they were in a bad spot. I
- 1:08:20Speaker 1: thought basically a sandwich spot, because I think, you know
- 1:08:23Speaker 1: they're gonna show up with the Bucks coming into town,
- 1:08:25Speaker 1: especially when the Bucks just beat them at home. But
- 1:08:28Speaker 1: the fact that Toronto didn't do poorly in a then
- 1:08:30Speaker 1: what was a bad spot? For them. I think that's
- 1:08:32Speaker 1: a good sign and that just might continue giving them
- 1:08:35Speaker 1: their momentum. Here they got the one day of rest,
- 1:08:38Speaker 1: which Milwaukee doesn't have. Milwaukee's traveling which Toronto is not.
- 1:08:42Speaker 1: So a lot of reasons why this sets up a
- 1:08:44Speaker 1: lot better for Toronto. Yes, some of it's being factored,
- 1:08:46Speaker 1: it's in the line, but I can't help myself. We're
- 1:08:49Speaker 1: still gonna do it. There's no injury here, by the way,
- 1:08:52Speaker 1: That line just is what it is, even though Yannis
- 1:08:54Speaker 1: is not injured or anything like that, even though he's
- 1:08:56Speaker 1: been kind of a game time decision in like every game,
- 1:09:00Speaker 1: he's not even listening on the injury report this time.
- 1:09:02Speaker 1: So raptors minus the points. Nate, what's up man? Thanks
- 1:09:06Speaker 1: for hanging out all right, And then we got college
- 1:09:10Speaker 1: football to finish this off, and then that'll be the
- 1:09:12Speaker 1: end of the show. College football is only the MAC now.
- 1:09:16Speaker 1: The maction for Tuesday is starting with two just horrendous games, dude.
- 1:09:21Speaker 1: I mean I'll start with the uglier of the two.
- 1:09:24Speaker 1: You Mass at Akron, this is this game is so bad, dude,
- 1:09:29Speaker 1: and you Mass is so bad that it looks like
- 1:09:31Speaker 1: they're going to drop back out of Division one, even
- 1:09:34Speaker 1: though they just joined Division one a few years ago.
- 1:09:37Speaker 1: Akron's not even a good team. And Akron is up
- 1:09:39Speaker 1: from nine and a half to ten here, that's how
- 1:09:41Speaker 1: bad U Mass is. U Mass is probably the worst
- 1:09:44Speaker 1: team in all of Division one. I mean that's crazy.
- 1:09:49Speaker 1: Eighty nine percent tickets, ninety six percent of the cash
- 1:09:52Speaker 1: on Akron. They're public though, although it looks like the
- 1:09:55Speaker 1: money's kind of coming in on them right now. But
- 1:09:58Speaker 1: I would actually probably lean to taking the point with
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: you Mass, man. I mean, when you have a team
- 1:10:01Speaker 1: that's winless like this, I mean you gotta think they
- 1:10:05Speaker 1: got to keep trying. I mean, they've had some decent
- 1:10:07Speaker 1: performances recently, but I think people are gonna see, oh,
- 1:10:11Speaker 1: you Mass lost at home to Buffalo, and as we'll see, Akron,
- 1:10:13Speaker 1: I believe, just beat Buffalo in their last games. That
- 1:10:16Speaker 1: makes it look even easier to lay the points with
- 1:10:19Speaker 1: Akron than it already does against an oh to eighteam.
- 1:10:21Speaker 1: But oh yeah, the common opponent they just had. You
- 1:10:24Speaker 1: Mass lost at home to Buffalo, and I think Akron
- 1:10:26Speaker 1: actually went into Buffalo and beat them, which I'll look
- 1:10:29Speaker 1: at that in a minute, but yeah, like so that
- 1:10:31Speaker 1: transitive thing. If Akron could beat Buffalo them and Buffalo
- 1:10:35Speaker 1: beat you Mass, of course Akron's gonna beat you Mass easily.
- 1:10:38Speaker 1: That's what the people are gonna think. Both of these
- 1:10:41Speaker 1: teams last played on Saturday, October twenty fifth, so I'm
- 1:10:44Speaker 1: out of rest. Is the same you Mass. I mean
- 1:10:47Speaker 1: they got embarrassed against Central Michigan that last time out.
- 1:10:50Speaker 1: I mean, it's been an embarrassing season for them. I
- 1:10:53Speaker 1: think you gotta think they're gonna keep showing up though,
- 1:10:55Speaker 1: because you got to try to get a win, man.
- 1:10:58Speaker 1: I mean that, I think that just keeps it team motivated.
- 1:11:00Speaker 1: It's just totally embarrassing to not have a win on
- 1:11:03Speaker 1: the entire season. And as I said, Akron actually just
- 1:11:06Speaker 1: went into Buffalo and pulled off the upset against Buffalo,
- 1:11:11Speaker 1: and they were a ten and a half point underdog
- 1:11:13Speaker 1: in that game and they beat Buffalo. Crazy win, big win.
- 1:11:17Speaker 1: All the Buffalo outgained Akron in the game. I mean,
- 1:11:19Speaker 1: Acron still stinks Buffalo is Buffalo is actually one of
- 1:11:22Speaker 1: the better teams than the Mac and the record just
- 1:11:24Speaker 1: doesn't really show it right now. All the Buffalo, I
- 1:11:28Speaker 1: don't know, we'll see if Buffalo could still make the
- 1:11:30Speaker 1: Mac Championship. I don't know if they can. But the
- 1:11:32Speaker 1: reason why Buffalo lost this game, I mean, they outgained
- 1:11:35Speaker 1: Akron in the game, probably should have won the game,
- 1:11:37Speaker 1: but they had five turnovers in the game. Akron themselves
- 1:11:40Speaker 1: had three, but still Buffalo five turnovers. They were minus
- 1:11:44Speaker 1: two and turnovers. That's one of the main reasons they
- 1:11:47Speaker 1: lost that game. So it was a little bit misleading.
- 1:11:49Speaker 1: Akron doesn't have anything big up next, though, they have
- 1:11:51Speaker 1: Kent Stayed up next, which is not a big game obviously. Yeah, Akron,
- 1:11:58Speaker 1: they're not really going anywhere this year, so that was
- 1:11:59Speaker 1: a big game against Buffalo. Like, I don't think Akron
- 1:12:03Speaker 1: they don't have any chance of making the Mac title game.
- 1:12:05Speaker 1: They have a chance at making a Bowl if they
- 1:12:07Speaker 1: can win three games though, which actually is possible, because
- 1:12:11Speaker 1: they're gonna be a big favorite. I mean, they are
- 1:12:13Speaker 1: a big favorite against U. Mass They're gonna be a
- 1:12:15Speaker 1: big favorite again against Kent State, who is pretty bad,
- 1:12:19Speaker 1: and then they would have to win on the road
- 1:12:20Speaker 1: against Bowling Green. But Bowling Green hasn't been that good either,
- 1:12:23Speaker 1: so I guess it is possible they show up just
- 1:12:26Speaker 1: because there's that chance that maybe they will actually win
- 1:12:29Speaker 1: their last three games to get to a bowl. I
- 1:12:32Speaker 1: don't know. That's at seven pm on CBS Sports. If
- 1:12:36Speaker 1: anybody wants to watch such a horrendous game, Zach, what's
- 1:12:39Speaker 1: up man? Thanks for hanging out. And then to finish
- 1:12:41Speaker 1: it off, the Battle of Ohio. This is actually a
- 1:12:43Speaker 1: pretty good game. Miami Ohio and Ohio. They're two of
- 1:12:47Speaker 1: the better teams in the MAC. It's a rivalry game
- 1:12:49Speaker 1: between two Ohio schools. These teams do not like each other.
- 1:12:53Speaker 1: It is a revenge spot for I believe Miami Ohio,
- 1:12:57Speaker 1: if I'm not mistaken, I believe Ohio beat Miami Ohio
- 1:13:01Speaker 1: in the MAC Championship. So yeah, Ohio lost to Miami
- 1:13:05Speaker 1: Ohio on the road during the regular season last year.
- 1:13:07Speaker 1: Then Ohio totally embarrassed Miami Ohio in the MAC Championship
- 1:13:11Speaker 1: last year thirty eight to three. So it is gonna
- 1:13:15Speaker 1: be a little bit of revenge here on the part
- 1:13:17Speaker 1: of Miami Ohio. So there is a motivating factor there
- 1:13:20Speaker 1: from Miami Ohio. Miami Ohio has won five games in
- 1:13:24Speaker 1: a row after they started own three which were all
- 1:13:27Speaker 1: out of conference games which they weren't really expected to win.
- 1:13:30Speaker 1: But since they've started in the MAC, they played well.
- 1:13:33Speaker 1: They haven't really played any of the best MAC teams
- 1:13:35Speaker 1: yet though, so they're stepping up in class this time.
- 1:13:38Speaker 1: Ohio and Toledo and Buffalo, those are probably like those
- 1:13:42Speaker 1: teams in Miami Ohio are probably the top four teams
- 1:13:45Speaker 1: in this conference. So Miami Ohio hasn't been tested yet. Really,
- 1:13:48Speaker 1: they haven't faced any of the better teams in this conference.
- 1:13:51Speaker 1: They've been all right. I mean, they do have momentum here.
- 1:13:54Speaker 1: They also last played on Saturday, October twenty fifth. Coming
- 1:13:57Speaker 1: into this game, they're coming in on a roll though,
- 1:13:59Speaker 1: so maybe that extra time off will maybe hurt them
- 1:14:01Speaker 1: a little bit because they're on a nice run of
- 1:14:04Speaker 1: five straight wins. So when that's the case, you don't
- 1:14:06Speaker 1: really want to have your schedule shifted. But I still
- 1:14:09Speaker 1: think they're going to show up focus just because of
- 1:14:11Speaker 1: what happened last year. Both these teams, I think I
- 1:14:14Speaker 1: have the same records too. Well, Miami Hi was three
- 1:14:18Speaker 1: and zero in conference, Ohios three and one in conference,
- 1:14:20Speaker 1: and they're both five and three overall. Ohio you could
- 1:14:23Speaker 1: argue is in kind of the same momentum killing spot
- 1:14:26Speaker 1: because they have won four of the last five, including
- 1:14:28Speaker 1: their last two, and they last playing on Saturday, October
- 1:14:31Speaker 1: twenty fifth. As well, they barely got by Eastern Michigan
- 1:14:35Speaker 1: on the road. Eastern Michigan not that great. That's where
- 1:14:37Speaker 1: our Noah Kaniga is on that team. Both teams are
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: going to show up for this. I just think maybe
- 1:14:44Speaker 1: a little bit of extra motivation on the Miami Ohio side.
- 1:14:48Speaker 1: Teams with similar records, similar scheduling. Spot doesn't really have
- 1:14:53Speaker 1: me leaning one way or the other here, so I
- 1:14:55Speaker 1: think the revenge spot is really the kind of the
- 1:14:57Speaker 1: determining factor here. Ohio is down from a three and appoint
- 1:15:00Speaker 1: favorite to a to and a half point favorite. Sixty
- 1:15:02Speaker 1: four percent of tickets in eighty seven percent of the
- 1:15:04Speaker 1: cash on Miami Ohio, so the money is somewhat coming
- 1:15:08Speaker 1: in on Miami Ohio here. Ohio. They also haven't really
- 1:15:12Speaker 1: faced any great teams in the MAX so far, so
- 1:15:15Speaker 1: that's kind of a wash as well. They did get
- 1:15:17Speaker 1: one win against a big conference team with West Virginia,
- 1:15:20Speaker 1: but West Virginia is not very good and they were
- 1:15:22Speaker 1: in a bad spot there. It's still a pretty good
- 1:15:24Speaker 1: win for Ohio. But yeah, maybe the public will be
- 1:15:27Speaker 1: a little bit more on Ohio for that reason, and
- 1:15:30Speaker 1: Ohio actually took Rutgers to the limit as well. Rutgers
- 1:15:34Speaker 1: is not a good team, but still a Big ten team.
- 1:15:37Speaker 1: But anyway, I do think I would agree with the
- 1:15:39Speaker 1: money still with Miami Ohio in the pretty major revenge
- 1:15:43Speaker 1: scenario there. Those are my thoughts, man, and then the
- 1:15:46Speaker 1: totals are low, and both games they're both sitting at
- 1:15:48Speaker 1: forty nine and a half. Money looks like it's more
- 1:15:50Speaker 1: so coming in on the under in this Miami Ohio
- 1:15:53Speaker 1: and Ohio game, which somewhat makes sense to me because
- 1:15:55Speaker 1: it could be more of a like playoff style atmosphere.
- 1:15:59Speaker 1: Because these teams don't like each other, they're probably gonna
- 1:16:01Speaker 1: be focused defensively. The defenses have had some rest which
- 1:16:04Speaker 1: might help the defenses as well. The money seems to
- 1:16:07Speaker 1: be coming in slightly on the over in the other game,
- 1:16:10Speaker 1: You Mass Akron for what that's worth. I mean, I
- 1:16:13Speaker 1: don't know about that. I mean, those teams they're just
- 1:16:15Speaker 1: bad both offensively and defensively. So yeah, I mean, I
- 1:16:21Speaker 1: do think my stronger opinion though, probably is towards you
- 1:16:27Speaker 1: Mass though, just because Akron's in that letdown spot. That's
- 1:16:30Speaker 1: probably My stronger opinion in those two games is you
- 1:16:33Speaker 1: mass plus the ten. But oh god, that seems ugly.
- 1:16:37Speaker 1: But of course I'm not gonna do that, and I'm
- 1:16:38Speaker 1: not gonna give out a play on that. I'm not
- 1:16:41Speaker 1: that much of a mass I guess I'm not insane anyway.
- 1:16:43Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Thanks for hanging out, guys. The
- 1:16:45Speaker 1: bets one more time today, NBA Toronto Raptors lay the
- 1:16:48Speaker 1: points hockey. We're gonna take a shot on the money
- 1:16:51Speaker 1: line with the Flyers, Carolina Hurricanes money line as well,
- 1:16:55Speaker 1: and Islanders on the sixty minute line to win in regulation,
- 1:17:00Speaker 1: or if you want to do the split bet where
- 1:17:01Speaker 1: you make your own minus one puck line or whatever
- 1:17:03Speaker 1: so it pushes if they win by one even in overtime.
- 1:17:06Speaker 1: You could do that too. That's gonna do it for today. Man.
- 1:17:09Speaker 1: We'll continue to be back. We'll start getting involved in
- 1:17:12Speaker 1: college basketball pretty soon once we have situations show up.
- 1:17:15Speaker 1: Most likely it'll be in a team's second game of
- 1:17:18Speaker 1: the season is when we're gonna start doing that. But
- 1:17:20Speaker 1: we will see. Yeah, and all the other sports are continuing,
- 1:17:24Speaker 1: of course, so we'll continue to do all of those,
- 1:17:26Speaker 1: and NFL will be back in a couple of days
- 1:17:28Speaker 1: as well, obviously, so we keep doing that. I like
- 1:17:31Speaker 1: a few NFL games this week, by the way, so
- 1:17:33Speaker 1: I have to kind of narrow I have to narrow
- 1:17:36Speaker 1: it down, man, because there were actually like five games
- 1:17:38Speaker 1: that in the NFL this week that might be plays
- 1:17:41Speaker 1: for me, and I don't believe one of them is
- 1:17:43Speaker 1: the Thursday game. I actually like both other primetime games though,
- 1:17:47Speaker 1: the Saturday and Sunday Night excuse the Sunday Night and
- 1:17:50Speaker 1: Monday and Night. Actually like both of those games this week,
- 1:17:53Speaker 1: so you can stay tuned for that as well. I'll
- 1:17:56Speaker 1: be back. I appreciate it, guys. Thanks for hanging out.
- 1:17:59Speaker 1: Hopefully you got lasted for this video and it's about
- 1:18:03Speaker 1: the length that I expected today. That's what she said.
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