Latest / World Ablaze with George Fontes / 48 - KERVIN AUCOIN - PUTIN'S NUCLEAR THREAT, ELECTION OUTCOME, OSINT, AND TULSI GABBARD
Transcript
- 0:00Today, we welcome back Kervin Okwin, host of the podcast This Week Explained.
- 0:05He is also an intelligence analyst with over 20 years experience.
- 0:09He helps shed the light on the situation in Russia and Ukraine,
- 0:14especially after Biden had given Ukraine the green light to use
- 0:17U.S.-made missiles to launch attacks against Russian territories.
- 0:22We also discuss how Putin's claim of using nuclear weapons in retaliation
- 0:27against Ukraine for using US-made missiles is nothing more than posturing and that we need to
- 0:34stop talking about World War III. Kerwin and I then go on to touch on the election outcome,
- 0:41truth and information in social media, the validity of podcasting, and we also discuss
- 0:47Tulsi Gabbard's new appointment as head of national intelligence, what that means,
- 0:54and if she is qualified for the role.
- 0:57You are listening to a Fonz Media Network production.
- 1:13Hello, World of Blaze listeners.
- 1:15Today, I welcome Kervin back to the show.
- 1:18And Kervin.
- 1:19How you doing?
- 1:19I'm doing well.
- 1:20We've had a little pregame earlier.
- 1:21Hey, let me first say I am excited to be back.
- 1:25I really enjoyed the last conversation.
- 1:28I know that, you know, we've been back and forth trying to get this scheduled.
- 1:32Some new things are popping up in the geopolitical realm.
- 1:36I'm sure everybody is hearing up.
- 1:38So the fact that you're flexible and that you have let me come back on and say my piece in all of this, I'm really appreciative, man.
- 1:47I love this show.
- 1:48I love being a part of it.
- 1:50And hopefully we don't get too wild today.
- 1:55Well, so like I said earlier, you know, we had a little talk previously before I pressed the record button.
- 2:00Just catching up in, you know, realities.
- 2:02I did want to go in a different direction at first, but I know that you don't want to talk about it again.
- 2:06But this whole thing that's going on in Ukraine, it's hard to ignore.
- 2:09I know you've been on a few broadcasts already and you have some other things lined up with, you know, news, live news.
- 2:17So that's awesome that people are reaching out to you for that and for clarity.
- 2:20So that's great.
- 2:21And I'm glad you're here to be honest because you keep us honest and you can correct me on stuff that I'm probably wrong on.
- 2:27But with everything going on, and I know you're busy because I see that you're very active right now because of this.
- 2:34Yeah, my socials are so active.
- 2:38It's good and bad.
- 2:39I'll say that.
- 2:40Yeah.
- 2:40Well, hopefully this is all good.
- 2:42But I have, okay, Trump won.
- 2:46We're going to get past that.
- 2:47You know, his cabinet picks, whatever.
- 2:48I know we don't want to dwell on that because personally, I'm like, I'm on the same page
- 2:51as you.
- 2:52I kind of want to move on and talk about other important things, right?
- 2:55Yeah.
- 2:55There's a few candidates or picks that I'll go over later, not here on my own show, and
- 3:00I'll deep dive and, you know, I'll give them my, give my opinion on that.
- 3:03I will ask you as we talked about earlier about Tulsi, but kick that can down the road
- 3:07just a little bit for now.
- 3:09Sounds good.
- 3:09But let's get into what's going on in Ukraine.
- 3:12The whole thing that I can't believe that.
- 3:15Okay.
- 3:15I have theories on this.
- 3:16And, but firstly, Biden given the okay and the green light to Ukraine to use U S made weapons.
- 3:22And then after that, you have France and Britain that said, yes, you can use ours as well.
- 3:28Um, and then Putin's response is literally, I mean, just reiterating what he said before, uh, the election in saying, Hey, if you allow this, I'm going to look at that as you being directly involved in this war.
- 3:43Thoughts on that?
- 3:44I mean, that's a lot.
- 3:45So open-ended question, I get it.
- 3:47But that's actually the thought on everybody's mind, right?
- 3:51And, well, I've been very consistent on this from the beginning that Ukraine asked for,
- 3:58especially the ATAKIMS, which is the U.S. capable long-range missile system, tactical missiles.
- 4:07And I was very consistent that I think Ukraine should be allowed to use those.
- 4:11You know, they were given them, if they need to use them in Russian territory,
- 4:15Russia invaded Ukraine. Have we forgotten that? Unless you are just a completely pro-Russian
- 4:22person, which some people are, and I get that. If you're just sitting there looking at this
- 4:30from a nuanced perspective, and you've got Russia sending missiles to Kiev, to Lviv,
- 4:37which is closer to the Polish border than it is to the Russian border, why not? Why not have? So
- 4:44So Russia is using Ukraine.
- 4:47Sorry, one second here.
- 4:48Russia is using Iranian provided weapons.
- 4:52They're using North Korean provided weapons.
- 4:54They're using Chinese provided weapons to attack Ukraine in Ukrainian territory.
- 5:00So why not use Western munitions deeper into Russia territory?
- 5:04And I get that.
- 5:05It's because Putin has said he nuclear weapons are not off the table.
- 5:09It's going to be a war with NATO.
- 5:11But he has said this from the very beginning.
- 5:14From the moment he made that miscalculation for a push into Kiev, he has said anything that the West does is a red line for Russia, and they're going to attack NATO if that happens.
- 5:27F-16s, that was a red line.
- 5:29M1A1 Abrams, those are the tanks that the U.S. provided.
- 5:32And I'm really coming from a U.S. perspective here because I'm a U.S. intelligence professional.
- 5:37I was U.S. Army.
- 5:38So if you hear a lot of me talking about the U.S. stuff, that's because I know it.
- 5:42I know a lot about this.
- 5:44So all of those, if they're used, then that's a red line for Putin. He could use nuclear weapons. Not a single time have those happened that he has actually solidified that as a red line and used nuclear weapons.
- 6:01So what does that tell you?
- 6:02It tells you he's a bully and that not a lot of the things he says is actually true.
- 6:08So at that point, like Mike Tyson, funny Mike Tyson, he just had a fight with Jake Paul that was kind of a big disappointment.
- 6:17But Mike Tyson famously saying everybody has a plan until you punch him in the mouth.
- 6:21Yes, they do.
- 6:22So is it Putin posturing?
- 6:26I mean, are these really just veiled threats, you think?
- 6:28Or is he really getting closer to saying, fuck it?
- 6:30No, I don't think he's at a fuck it moment, which thank you for starting that off so I know where my language barriers are.
- 6:39Oh, we're good.
- 6:40I know I've already been on, but I can get quite wild sometimes.
- 6:46It's okay.
- 6:47Yeah, my point that I'm waiting for is the cat in the corner.
- 6:53Anybody who has cats or have ever dealt with cats, if you put them in a corner and you interrogate them or move towards them, it's complete chaos as soon as they get in that corner and there's no way out.
- 7:05Once Putin's backed in a corner and there's no way out, that's the moment I think nuclear weapons are used.
- 7:10So how do you do that? You attack Putin personally, much like Israel does with Hezbollah leadership and Hamas leadership and stuff, where you're attacking the leaders, not just fighting a war.
- 7:27But does Ukraine themselves have that capability or would they have to rely on outside agencies to make that happen?
- 7:34they would definitely and i don't think i honestly don't think ukraine has a desire
- 7:39okay to i would hope not honestly to kill vladimir putin say whatever you want about
- 7:44vladimir putin yes he's a dictator he's maybe a despot he's he's all of these terrible things
- 7:49but you assassinate a leader of a country yes russia is a free country because i get the
- 7:57elections are not 100% fair and balanced, but the majority, if you talk to Russians,
- 8:04and I've talked to Russians, I've been in Russia, they love Putin. He has quite a big approval rating
- 8:12in Russia. Take out all of this interference and him bumping the numbers up. People in Russia love
- 8:21him, even the moderates. If you kill Vladimir Putin, that's the point where I think if he sees
- 8:28that he's about to be assassinated, he will use nuclear weapons because so what? What the fuck?
- 8:33I'm just going to do it, kill the whole world. That's my legacy. Who's going to remember anyway?
- 8:38That's the moment that he does it. I don't think it's a good idea to do that at all. And also,
- 8:43Ukraine just doesn't have the capabilities to do that. Right. I'm kind of thinking that
- 8:48for as bad as Putin may be in our eyes or in most of the world's eyes.
- 8:53If that did happen, I think that would just lead to further chaos, you know, because everyone's
- 8:59going to come out of the woodwork trying to take charge and probably people even worse than him.
- 9:03He may be the only one actually keeping things stable there, even though we don't think he is.
- 9:06Just my opinion.
- 9:07Yeah, absolutely.
- 9:08No, your opinion is factually correct.
- 9:11You make him into a martyr.
- 9:12He then goes from a global pariah into a global martyr.
- 9:18Maybe not for everybody, but yeah, there will be a majority of people around the globe who say that was the wrong thing to do.
- 9:27I don't believe that you should have done that.
- 9:30And now we're going to actually mourn his death no matter what happens.
- 9:35Look, the guy has done a lot of terrible things.
- 9:39He's not Hitler.
- 9:40Hitler is on a whole different level.
- 9:44This is part of my problem with every presidential candidate post-World War II is Hitler because they don't agree with my belief system.
- 9:52Just because somebody doesn't believe the same as you doesn't make them Hitler.
- 9:56Right. Agreed.
- 9:57Now, if they round up 6 million Jews and start to kill them indiscriminately, that's a Hitler.
- 10:05What Putin is doing is more on the level of like a Napoleon, somebody who sees himself as a world leader, not just a Russian leader, and wants to, you know, his legacy is more important than anything else in his life.
- 10:22I agree with that.
- 10:23you know, especially as he's getting older, I think he wants to be known for someone who is
- 10:28considered to be great in the world. And I'm not going to sit here and disagree with anything you
- 10:33said in terms of Ukraine defending themselves, because it should. Any nation should be able to
- 10:39defend themselves. And it's crazy that, you know, Putin will put out this mandate about,
- 10:44you know, considering anybody to be directly involved in the war just for using weapons
- 10:50manufactured by other countries such as ourselves,
- 10:52such as the USA.
- 10:55Yet, like you said, he's using weapons supplied by his allies,
- 10:58which is not a problem, apparently.
- 11:02Question, though, because he just had another press release
- 11:05where he brought that.
- 11:06I was going to play it, but I'm sure you saw it.
- 11:09You're probably way ahead of me anyway.
- 11:13Nature of what you do.
- 11:14It's been a rough couple days.
- 11:15I'm still trying to unpack.
- 11:17He's reiterating, but he did.
- 11:19So when I watched, I watched a few different versions because I don't speak Russian.
- 11:22So I just watched different translations to try to compare them and see the consistency in them.
- 11:26And in each one, he did say, and this is where I asked if he thought it was a veiled threat,
- 11:32because he did say he would under consideration if it was verifiable evidence of direct involvement.
- 11:42So he says all these things like, well, I will use them because I will consider this,
- 11:46you know, I will consider the U.S. being directly involved now because they okayed Ukraine to use
- 11:51these weapons. But then later in his speech, he says, but given verifiable evidence. So I'm not
- 11:57really sure where he's at with that other than that's why I was asking if he thought he was
- 12:01posturing because it seems like he's just trying not to look weak to his people at this point.
- 12:08So that's exactly it. What you said at the end, that's what he's doing. And it's something every
- 12:13leader does, right? So they understand, hey, now we're getting hit by attack. It's a military site
- 12:21that's being hit. But the people of Russia know this. They're not completely in the dark about
- 12:27what's happening. So they're seeing, well, Ukraine's using these US-provided munitions,
- 12:33and they're hitting within Russia. Putin, what are you doing about it? He has to come up
- 12:38and do this press conference and do this public event where he says,
- 12:43listen, if we have verifiable 100% evidence that NATO is providing munitions
- 12:50that are being used in this war to attack Russian people in Russia all bets are off we going nuclear He has to say that Is he going to do it So all bets are off I think if a and this is part of my problem with allowing Ukraine to use these
- 13:12weapons for long range, they have to be very accurate. And these weapons are very accurate.
- 13:17But if there's a mistrike, and it hits a civilian population, now the attackants can't reach Moscow,
- 13:24They can reach other populations within Russia. If it hits a population center and it's a mass
- 13:31casualty of civilians that happens, I don't think Putin has any other choice than to use
- 13:38nuclear weapons. Now, I'm not saying global nuclear war. I'm saying tactical nuclear weapons
- 13:44in the war in Ukraine to defeat, 100% defeat the Ukrainian military. That's what he's going to be
- 13:52using. So all this conversation about global nuclear war, I think we got to stop doing that.
- 13:57That's nuclear saber rattling. We got to get off of that because no one wins. I want to say this
- 14:04again. No one wins in a nuclear war. Question though, if he was to use even strategically
- 14:11tactical nuclear weapons, as you say, the fallout regardless is going to spread.
- 14:17And then what about the NATO states or countries that border the Ukraine?
- 14:24Absolutely. Interesting question because tactical nuclear weapon goes off.
- 14:32I don't know how much you know about tactical nuclear weapons.
- 14:35I don't know how much your audience knows.
- 14:38So a tactical nuclear weapon would be used in air.
- 14:43It would go off above ground, in the atmosphere.
- 14:48And what it does, it would be more of like an EMP where it shuts down a lot of communications, electrical.
- 14:56And so, yes, you're absolutely right.
- 14:57A lot of that residual effect then is in the air.
- 15:01And then the weather takes it.
- 15:02This is a lot of the stuff we talked about early on in the war in tracking weather systems and which way the wind blows.
- 15:09Is that similar to what they refer to as a dirty bomb?
- 15:13Is it similar in how it can affect it?
- 15:16Yeah, it's similar because once it's released, you just don't, you know, nature takes its course.
- 15:23And so a lot of particles could move towards, I know Germany was very worried about it.
- 15:31Listen, between Ukraine and Germany is another country called Poland, the country I've been in and I've worked with.
- 15:37I worked with their military on anti-Russian aggression.
- 15:41That would be the first country that's hit.
- 15:43And so then at that moment, if the fallout reaches Poland, the problem with it is, what does that mean? For the Polish people, they're scared, upset. The Polish government is pissed off. Does NATO view that as a direct attack? Because that's Article 5 of the NATO agreement, a direct attack on any country.
- 16:06So is it, I'm sorry, a direct attack on any country is an attack on all NATO countries. NATO has to get involved. Does NATO view that as a direct attack on a NATO country or is it sort of this gray area?
- 16:21And there's a lot of back-channel conversations that happen. Yes, Russian intelligence still talks to U.S. intelligence through back-channels to tell them, hey, we're going to do this. I know you don't want us to, but don't worry about it. We're not escalating it even further. So don't do anything to us.
- 16:41That would happen with a tactical nuclear strike. As soon as they go off, those back channels would hit the Pentagon and say, hey, because of what you did, we're doing this tactical nuclear strike. It's not meant to be a nuclear strike. It's meant to affect only military sites. Any residuals that happen, that's a part of nature. And so don't look at it as a direct attack.
- 17:03Then the U.S. and NATO have to decide, hey, is it worth getting involved because economies are failing?
- 17:12We got China in the Indo-Pacific making moves.
- 17:15Is the juice worth the squeeze to go after Russia and be part of this war because they did that?
- 17:23Well, that's always a concern, right?
- 17:25Because we don't want world war.
- 17:27Like you said, nobody wins, period.
- 17:29Especially in nuclear.
- 17:30The people who want World War III have never been in war, and they don't know what it means.
- 17:35It's dumb to even consider that.
- 17:38I've always been an advocate of, we don't need to go there.
- 17:41And I've always been more critical of the decisions being made, not because we shouldn't see Ukraine defend itself, but slowly pulling us in.
- 17:51It seems like we're slowly being pulled in that direction due to decisions made by our leaders.
- 17:58and even
- 18:00people who don't have to go to war
- 18:01yeah even with that explanation
- 18:03like you said nature will take its course
- 18:05and we don't know
- 18:07to what extent or how bad
- 18:09that exposure would be for example
- 18:11because even if it hits
- 18:13any of the NATO nations around
- 18:15Ukraine
- 18:16sure we can say oh act of God
- 18:18we weren't directly putting our weapons at you
- 18:21whatever it was just nature took its course
- 18:23the wind blew things and unfortunately it hit your
- 18:25borders
- 18:26understandable now you're just arguing
- 18:28whether or not it was intentional.
- 18:30And like you said,
- 18:30it's just worth the squeeze.
- 18:32I get that.
- 18:33But you can also look at it as
- 18:35they knew better.
- 18:36They knew what kind of weapon this is
- 18:37and what it would do.
- 18:38It wasn't really a controlled strike.
- 18:41Yeah.
- 18:41So there's always that concern as well.
- 18:44You know, we don't know how Poland will react.
- 18:46We can assume,
- 18:47but we don't know how they will react.
- 18:50I mean, they've already been pretty active
- 18:52in making sure that, you know,
- 18:54their military is ready to go on their borders
- 18:56and they're already pointing missiles
- 18:57and weapons that direction anyway.
- 18:59I think Romania was too.
- 19:01I think so.
- 19:02Yeah, I just read something on that.
- 19:04I think Romania as well
- 19:05is also getting ready for that
- 19:07just because they're on that.
- 19:07Lithuania as well.
- 19:09Sweden and Finland have just put out,
- 19:11they've released pamphlets to their people
- 19:13on how to survive a nuclear attack,
- 19:16how to survive a global conflict.
- 19:19So, I mean, yes,
- 19:22we don't want a global conflict.
- 19:23We don't want World War III.
- 19:25I don't think,
- 19:26So I would like to get into, because I've seen a lot of reporting that the Biden administration did this to screw over the Trump administration.
- 19:34I was kind of going to lead into that, but I want to get more of your take on, because I thought this would be a little.
- 19:43I could do more take on what this means.
- 19:45Oh, it's okay.
- 19:46We can move forward from here.
- 19:48It's just, I wanted to use your expertise to kind of clarify this situation we were just talking about.
- 19:55because it's very, well, it's a hot, hot one right now.
- 19:58Yeah.
- 19:58And a lot of people aren't really understanding
- 20:00what it really, really means.
- 20:01I mean, I have concerns, but again,
- 20:03I wasn't in your position and what you did.
- 20:05So that's why I'm asking you.
- 20:07I mean, I can tell you the conversations.
- 20:10So I'm sure, well, you know,
- 20:12but just to let your audience know,
- 20:14our podcast this week explained,
- 20:15it's myself and my wife,
- 20:17that we have these discussions on the podcast.
- 20:20But for the most, honestly,
- 20:22we have those discussions day to day in our day to day lives.
- 20:27And I can tell you, as soon as this stuff started coming out,
- 20:30we had those conversations, you know, Hey, what should we be doing?
- 20:33Should the exact, I think, response from Tiana was,
- 20:39you know, do we need to prep for this?
- 20:42Or do you think it's just bluff and bluster?
- 20:45And my response and the response I can tell to your audience is that at this
- 20:49moment, I think it's bluff and bluster.
- 20:52But as an intelligence analyst, the intelligence cycle is continuous.
- 20:57So with new information, new assessments are made.
- 21:01I can make a new assessment in the near future if certain things happen.
- 21:06Those certain things that happen, those are going to be things like the movement.
- 21:13So Russia's nuclear arsenal right now is in Belarus.
- 21:17I don't know if you remember that last summer, they moved everything to Belarus.
- 21:21I actually didn't remember that.
- 21:23Yeah, so that's where the nuclear arsenal for Russia is.
- 21:28And part of that is to protect Russia if a nuclear attack does happen.
- 21:33Got it.
- 21:34Not protecting Belarus, but their president has his own securities in place that he can move out in that case.
- 21:42So that's step one, right?
- 21:43That moved me closer to, huh, nuclear, at least tactical nuclear weapons being used.
- 21:50So there they are.
- 21:51There is a continuous monitoring of all of these munitions. Now, Russia did get out of the nuclear pact that they had with the United States, but we're still monitoring them, right?
- 22:06the moment those munitions start to move in place towards certain locations,
- 22:14that's when I would start questioning, okay, where are we going with this?
- 22:20As of right now, those nuclear munitions are safe.
- 22:23They're secure in Belarus and they're not being used.
- 22:27Yeah. Understood.
- 22:28This currently is just, like you said, it's posturing.
- 22:30It's yes. It's him just saying, hold on everybody. We're good.
- 22:34I'm going to take care of this, you know, basically talking to his fellow citizens of Russia saying, hey, I got you.
- 22:40Don't worry.
- 22:41But I'm sure he's smart enough to realize, as I think you're saying, or at least I believe, that he doesn't want that either.
- 22:48He doesn't want that.
- 22:50He really doesn't.
- 22:52And what I wanted to veer into, though, outside of this, because thank you for explaining that situation, but where we see North Korean troops.
- 23:01how was things going to change once we start seeing more of his allies there on the actual
- 23:07battlefield against Ukraine? What if Iran actually sends troops? What if China's kind of staying out?
- 23:12They're still kind of been silent to a degree. They're not saying a whole lot.
- 23:17That's a whole different conversation we can have because of the Putin explanation on being done by
- 23:252026 and things that I know that I can't really talk about that shows a 2026, 2027 timeline for
- 23:31the invasion of Taiwan. That stuff's unclassified. There's other things I can't go into.
- 23:38But yeah, so that's a very interesting thing about China. They're not providing any troops.
- 23:44They're kind of upset with North Korea for providing troops to Russia because I think
- 23:49China expected, now this is all publicly, China expected North Korea to be utilized in their conflict in Taiwan.
- 23:59But the flip side to that is, as North Korean troops are in battles with Ukrainian troops, they're getting true wartime experience.
- 24:10so okay yeah maybe
- 24:13maybe tens of thousands of North Koreans die in the Ukrainian Russo war that's a travesty I don't
- 24:22think that should have been put on them it's a war that they should not be involved in but those
- 24:27the leaders of those troops are not going to be killed because they're you know they're in support
- 24:34roles and they're not on the battlefield. Those leaders, those generals, they're going to gain
- 24:40wartime experience in a real land conflict that they would have never had otherwise.
- 24:49And so you can move those leaders back to North Korea. China then makes a move on Taiwan.
- 24:56Now those leaders in North Korea understand, hey, this is how a Western force works conflict.
- 25:04maybe we can help out in advance what you guys are doing.
- 25:08So I'm not saying this is your opinion,
- 25:12but maybe it is.
- 25:14It seems like,
- 25:15it seems like,
- 25:16because I,
- 25:18okay.
- 25:19I personally know,
- 25:20I personally can't assume anyway,
- 25:22don't know,
- 25:23but assume that China's not done with their intention to take Taiwan.
- 25:27They've never,
- 25:28they've never given that up.
- 25:29No,
- 25:29they are not.
- 25:29They've never given that up.
- 25:30And I,
- 25:31and I see what you're saying about them in an unclassified environment.
- 25:34And I can tell you and your audience, absolutely, they have not given that up.
- 25:38They have just revved it up even more.
- 25:41Yeah.
- 25:41And so, them assuming that North Korea would be supporting them in their efforts.
- 25:46But, you know, who knows if this wasn't the plan all along?
- 25:49Maybe North Korea is literally just getting real-world training experience.
- 25:55And then they pull their troops out and then you know shift their focus possibly I don know Yeah Yeah Yeah this is all So for me everything that Russia has been doing in Ukraine has all been my understanding under the guise of
- 26:11China. Right. So let's start from the very beginning. Russia did not invade Ukraine until
- 26:20after the Winter Olympics in China in 2022. Putin and Xi had a meeting a week before the
- 26:27final ceremonies. That was the moment on my podcast, This Week Explained. I just got to
- 26:31give it another plug here. It's your time.
- 26:34When I said, hey, they're having a conversation about invading Ukraine. And so it's all going to
- 26:44be dependent. And how I saw it, Xi gave the go-ahead as long as Putin withholds invasion
- 26:52until after the Olympics. So Beijing's got this great Olympics that they put on. They can do the
- 26:57closing ceremonies. And then a couple of days later, he can invade Ukraine. That happened.
- 27:02Part of that conversation was also, hey, you have my backing on this. I may not be public about it,
- 27:10but I'm letting you know. I'm going to give you intel. I'm going to give you maybe some
- 27:14technologies that you can use under the auspice that when we invade Taiwan, you're going to help
- 27:23us out in that invasion. I believe that Putin did agree to that. And that's what led to
- 27:28him actually deciding to invade Ukraine. So regardless, we're still kind of,
- 27:35outside of which you know, you can't tell us. Everyone's still speculating what China's real
- 27:41involvement is. And the reason I say is because they were supposedly for so long,
- 27:47one of Russia's or Russia's closest ally due to their politics and whatnot.
- 27:51And then it did seem like they were starting to distance themselves from Russia and Putin.
- 27:56And the situation isn't all about China at the moment as far as what Russia is doing.
- 28:02But there's definitely an unspoken bond there that I don't think they've completely severed yet.
- 28:11And I don't know if China is going to sever that.
- 28:14Maybe they're letting Putin run his course, do whatever he wants to do,
- 28:17and just implode on himself so that they don't have any other opposition
- 28:21in terms of stepping up to be a world leader.
- 28:24At that point, all they're looking at is us versus them.
- 28:28And even with that, I don't know if China would be looking at an actual war,
- 28:34direct war anyway, with us for that fight.
- 28:37I don't know if you have, but I'm sure you have.
- 28:42You're a smart guy.
- 28:43If you read The Art of War in China, they wrote The Art of War.
- 28:48This is generations.
- 28:50Sun Tzu.
- 28:52The main thing in The Art of War is the best way to win a war is to never go into battle.
- 29:01Win that war any way you can without killing your soldiers, airmen, whatever.
- 29:09do it without ever firing a single weapon because economically that helps you
- 29:14militarily it helps you your civilian base loves you that is what china has to decide right now
- 29:23they now have so tiptoe around it until early november of 2024 who's going to be elected
- 29:32as the u.s president because that's going to help china identify what the policy is going to be
- 29:38moving forward. I've said this from the very beginning for the election. China doesn't care
- 29:43who wins the election. I believe I said it on the podcast with you. China doesn't care who's
- 29:49going to win the election. They only care about mass chaos. They want a contested election that
- 29:55we're talking about for six months and nothing is getting done and we don't even know who the
- 30:02president's going to be. Unfortunately for China, that didn't happen because Trump won by a
- 30:08substantial margin. Over 300 electorates is a substantial margin. So we're not fighting about
- 30:17who's going to be president and who their policies are. Our fight right now online,
- 30:22you're perpetually online like I am. You know what the fight is. It's that Trump just put this
- 30:28person up and you know Trump's going to be a despot he's going to do all of this stuff and
- 30:33that's what we're kind of focused on I think that hurts China because we're are we're focused on
- 30:38policies instead of focusing on who's going to ascend to the presidency so it didn't happen
- 30:45the way they want it and also Trump is a China hawk and he doesn't like China at all doesn't
- 30:51um does that mean he's going to go to war it goes back to kind of the conversation we had about
- 30:58Putin, right? And I didn't want to say this because it'll make it look like, I'm not trying
- 31:03to say that Trump and Putin are the same guy and they're going to do the same thing. Absolutely not.
- 31:07I worked under the Trump administration in the Department of Defense, military capacity,
- 31:12in Poland, overt anti-Russian aggression, opposed to Russia, opposed to Putin.
- 31:19So I don't believe he's just some Putin hack that's going to come in and help Russia do whatever
- 31:24they want. But where is he similar with Putin? He knows how to frame certain things for his base.
- 31:31And what I'm saying there is this. Trump is saying, I'm not going to start any wars, right?
- 31:37He said, I'm a president that's going to stop wars and not start them. So what happens if China
- 31:44invades Taiwan? Is the U.S. military going to come to support Taiwan? I feel at this moment,
- 31:51absolutely in a Trump administration, the U.S. Navy is going to come to support Taiwan and push
- 31:56back China. Why is that? Because China taking over Taiwan is not just a military thing. It's
- 32:03an economic situation. The moment they're successful within Taiwan, there is a complete
- 32:09blockade of the South China Sea. This is the highest trafficked maritime economic system
- 32:19in the world. Almost every supply chain moves through the South China Sea.
- 32:25At that moment, when there's a blockade, the United States is no longer the top economy in
- 32:30the world. They are then the fourth economy in the world. The fourth, going from the top to the fourth.
- 32:37That is a complete defeat for the Trump administration, who has an America first
- 32:43policy. America should be
- 32:45first.
- 32:46Well, us falling from
- 32:48first to fourth was something that
- 32:51started long ago,
- 32:52before President Trump.
- 32:55Oh, absolutely.
- 32:56I don't agree with that, but it would be a
- 32:59direct result of
- 33:01not trying to help
- 33:03Taiwan. That wasn't me defending Trump.
- 33:04It was just like, years ago, those decisions
- 33:07were made to offshore this, manufacture
- 33:09this here, cheaper, cheaper, cheaper, and then
- 33:11we gave it away so much that now
- 33:12it's no longer in our control.
- 33:15And eventually that's what's going to happen, right?
- 33:17We just lost our footing.
- 33:19That and also,
- 33:22I know recently,
- 33:22because you were just talking about
- 33:24how valuable that area is
- 33:27with the South China Sea
- 33:27and all roads of, you know,
- 33:29lead through or through there
- 33:31or whatnot in terms of commerce.
- 33:34And then China just, you know,
- 33:36announced and christened their new ports
- 33:39and routes over,
- 33:41I think it was in Peru.
- 33:42I want to say Peru.
- 33:44I might be wrong, but that would give them direct access
- 33:47going all the way through up into Brazil and everything,
- 33:51from what I read.
- 33:52And so now that just solidifies basically what they're labeling
- 33:55the Silk Road of the Sea or the ocean.
- 33:58So they're already making moves while we're being distracted.
- 34:02And we're just giving it away, unfortunately.
- 34:07But China, I have a feeling we're going to be talking about that
- 34:09later down the road.
- 34:11Okay.
- 34:11And I'm very, very sorry to bring, sorry to bring that up, but it's all,
- 34:15so it's this entire geopolitical interplay.
- 34:18It's all related. And I want, I asked you because,
- 34:21because if you look at the relationships and who's the allies, it's like,
- 34:24we have to ask that question. Okay, well, Putin's doing this,
- 34:27but what is China doing? Because they're, they're an ally.
- 34:29If allies are supposed to back each other and protect each other,
- 34:32we have to ask that question.
- 34:33We cannot say that they're just going to sit on the sidelines. There's no,
- 34:36there's no way. So it's a very important question to ask.
- 34:39and really good that you explained that situation
- 34:42because we got to keep tabs on that for sure.
- 34:46Well, if we go back,
- 34:47let's go back into Russia a bit though.
- 34:51The situation that you,
- 34:52okay, you were going to say it earlier,
- 34:53but I kind of halted you,
- 34:54about Biden's timing.
- 34:58You know, so.
- 35:00Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 35:00Because Trump president-elect
- 35:02hasn't even taken office yet.
- 35:04And then all of a sudden Biden makes it,
- 35:06well, allegedly Biden makes this decision.
- 35:08what were you going to say on that? You had something that you wanted to
- 35:11get off your chest there. Thank you. Thank you for letting me do that
- 35:15because a lot of the places I don't get to
- 35:17get off my chest what I want to.
- 35:23So I really think there's something I wanted to say on
- 35:26NTD when I did my new spot but I didn't get a chance to which is
- 35:30that this I do think it was Biden.
- 35:35I know he doesn't make a lot of decisions but
- 35:37But stick with me on this one.
- 35:39I think it was Biden that decided to do this.
- 35:41And the reason why is because he's got a legacy issue here.
- 35:46With all the bluster about Biden, you know, everybody, this microwave nation.
- 35:51And so everybody on the left is like, Biden's the best president that ever happened.
- 35:55Look at the economy.
- 35:56Look at all of this.
- 35:57He understands realistically he's going to go down as the president that left Afghanistan in shambles.
- 36:06he left ukraine to lose in the war with russia he let china become more active in the south china
- 36:14sea in the indo-pacific that's going to be his legacy and he he needs to change it for the better
- 36:21and so i think the allowing so it's my opinion but the allowing of these attack comes missiles
- 36:28to be used deeper in russian territory is a legacy response he wants to show that historically
- 36:35look we did have the ukrainians back we did allow them to use these munitions yeah it's too late
- 36:42sorry but we did do it um and we had to wrestle with that because we didn't want a nuclear war
- 36:48to happen i don't think it was a direct response to to donald trump being elected in office to make
- 36:56his administration work harder to to stop the war i think it was a response to kamala harris losing
- 37:03And so the Biden administration not being able to continue their policy and try to see this war out.
- 37:09So what I'm saying here is I do believe that if Kamala Harris did win the election, that we would have seen this happen post inauguration in January.
- 37:24Kamala Harris would announce it. She would announce all these full force of the U.S. military support in Ukraine to help push back Russia.
- 37:36So time was of the essence here. And so he made that decision. I think that decision started. So those conversations started to happen two weeks ago, as soon as Donald Trump was seen to be the victor in this election.
- 37:53and it takes everything with the government.
- 37:56It takes time to formulate that opinion,
- 37:58get it to your cabinet,
- 38:00have them approve it,
- 38:01and then send that over.
- 38:03So I think that was the process.
- 38:04I don't think it had anything to do with,
- 38:07we want to make the Trump administration
- 38:08a failure in the future.
- 38:10So to do that, let's start a war.
- 38:12Let's start World War III.
- 38:14I don't think it had anything to do with World War III.
- 38:15I think it just was Putin's a bully.
- 38:18What you have to do to a bully
- 38:20is punch him in the face and see what happens,
- 38:22see what their reaction is because nine times out of 10, a bully's reaction is not going to be what
- 38:27they say. They say they're going to kill you and hurt your family and do all of this stuff.
- 38:31Typically, you punch them in the face and they have no reaction to it and they go with their
- 38:36tail tucked between their legs and they run off. They don't know what to do.
- 38:39I like that assessment. Yeah, I like it too. I don't like the other side.
- 38:44It does raise questions though. I'm not saying it may not be the right response,
- 38:50but why now?
- 38:51Like that's,
- 38:52that's been my whole thing.
- 38:54That's been my whole problem,
- 38:56mostly with,
- 38:57with the Biden administration.
- 38:58I mean we we can get into politics if you want but as far as decisions like this why did they wait so long I mean because it just raises the question They thought they were having
- 39:09they were going to have another administration.
- 39:11I think internally, the Democratic Party
- 39:13said,
- 39:16and listen,
- 39:17they're, okay, they're very smart
- 39:19people because they've gotten in power
- 39:21and they're in power, but they're idiots
- 39:23because they just succumb
- 39:25to their worldview.
- 39:26and in their echo chambers and in their worldview,
- 39:29Trump had no chance to win this election.
- 39:32Now you get outside your echo chamber
- 39:34and you start looking at Pennsylvania
- 39:37and you drive through the rural counties of Pennsylvania
- 39:40and you see the Trump signs
- 39:41and you see the increase in support for Donald Trump.
- 39:48We, listen, I saw it.
- 39:49I'm sure you saw it.
- 39:51We didn't, I don't think we had the conversations about it,
- 39:53but we, my,
- 39:55my exact opinion on this was whoever wins Pennsylvania wins the election.
- 40:01It's that was everybody's assessment. Really? Yeah.
- 40:04And I still think if Kamala Harris wins Pennsylvania,
- 40:10she also wins Michigan and, um,
- 40:15and Wisconsin. Right. And, and that puts her over the edge.
- 40:19But what I saw are people and what I heard were people from Pennsylvania who
- 40:25said, I'm fed up with what's going on in politics. I don't want a politician anymore. I want a
- 40:32businessman. That's what they see Donald J. Trump as. I see Trump as a political businessman, being
- 40:38that he says the things that his people want to hear, and he can kind of frame things in a way to
- 40:44make people vote for him and listen to him. And that's what the people of Pennsylvania said,
- 40:50And they came out in droves in support of him.
- 40:54That's what happened.
- 40:56I don't think the Democratic Party, I don't think the Biden administration thought that
- 41:00was going to happen.
- 41:01They trusted their internal polling that had Kamala Harris up by 2%, 3% in Michigan.
- 41:07And they said, hey, we're going to do this.
- 41:10And once you're in office, you now have this.
- 41:15And you can go support Ukraine in every way that you want.
- 41:17And they were going to allow after January 20th on the inauguration, they were going to allow the munitions to be used.
- 41:26Because if they did it, let's say they do it in September before the election, that then you start losing percentage points from the Kamala Harris.
- 41:39Because the Kamala Harris campaign was just an offshoot of the Biden campaign.
- 41:43Everyone knew her administration was going to be the Biden administration.
- 41:47And so you have that happen, and then you have Putin saying, listen, I'm going to use nuclear weapons. There is a majority of people, not a majority. There is a percentage of people who still voted for Kamala Harris in this election that would not have voted for her if they did that, if the Biden administration allowed the attackums to be used.
- 42:08So, okay, so from a politically strategic point of view, that all makes sense.
- 42:17And the issue I have is not an argument.
- 42:19It's more of a why.
- 42:21Because it's showing, okay, if they were concerned that if they did this,
- 42:26we're just going to keep saying the Biden administration because that's, yeah.
- 42:30If they were that concerned about nuclear war, it's almost as if they're saying,
- 42:34well, now that I'm out, I don't care anymore.
- 42:36If it happens, fuck it.
- 42:38Right?
- 42:38I don't think it's about actual nuclear.
- 42:45I think it's about the rumors of nuclear war.
- 42:50And those rumors would play out and the Republican Party and the Trump campaign would be blasting ads.
- 42:58About look what the Biden administration did.
- 43:00We can also get on to why France wouldn't let the Ukrainians.
- 43:07So France's long-range missiles actually reach further.
- 43:10They can reach Moscow.
- 43:12The Atakums cannot reach Moscow where they're currently positioned.
- 43:17But French munitions can.
- 43:18The UK can go further.
- 43:19Their munitions can go further than the Atakums.
- 43:22So why didn't France do it?
- 43:23Why did they wait for the United States to do this?
- 43:26I think that's a conversation that needs to be had within NATO.
- 43:29Who is really supporting NATO?
- 43:32Well, what's the United States?
- 43:34Understood.
- 43:35So going back to what I was going to say is the optics here, basically, I guess is the way I should have framed it.
- 43:41It looks as if they cared but now don't.
- 43:45And if we were in full support of Ukraine winning, it's almost like we should have stepped in and said,
- 43:50hey, look, here's your munitions.
- 43:52Let's just get this done instead of letting it go on for so long.
- 43:55That's what I'm trying to say.
- 43:57Yeah, I mean, look, if everybody is…
- 44:00I just hate that politics gets in the way of…
- 44:02of what I'm trying to get is it gets in the way of things that are as important as this is what
- 44:06I'm saying so I'm taking a long road around to getting my point here um I also say hey if you're
- 44:12really that worried why don't you like I said this on NTD I said is the U.S. military the greatest
- 44:23most powerful most agile force across the globe are we or are we a feckless military that won't
- 44:30do anything. And right now we're looking feckless. It's a good point. Because who cares?
- 44:38Who cares what Russia is going to do? We are the greatest fighting force in the world. Put those,
- 44:46and I'm not, no, I'm not, this is not what I'm hoping for. Listen, I was in war. I understand
- 44:52the issues with war. But we have an entire military base, not a military industrial
- 45:00complex, a military base that has gone through 20 years of war, we understand how war affects us and
- 45:08war works. And you're not going to put that fighting force against the Russians who couldn't
- 45:14push back Ukrainians in Kiev just because you're scared of nuclear weapons being useless.
- 45:20At the moment, it looks like the U.S. military could get in, defeat the Russian military,
- 45:25and take those nuclear weapons out of the equation.
- 45:29But we never tried to do that.
- 45:32And now, so that's just the US fighting force.
- 45:35Bring NATO into the conversation.
- 45:38And now you start to see why Putin is scared of NATO.
- 45:40And he is scared of NATO.
- 45:42But I don't think Putin ever wants to go to war with NATO.
- 45:46He would absolutely, if it was just Russia versus NATO,
- 45:49they'd be absolutely destroyed.
- 45:51If it's NATO, all the allies in NATO
- 45:54versus Russia and all of their allies.
- 45:57Who are the Russian allies?
- 45:59Iran?
- 46:00Yeah, true.
- 46:01You're destroyed.
- 46:02I mean, Israel's just been picking them apart lately,
- 46:05you know, with their attacks
- 46:07on their strategic locations and their bases.
- 46:09So what are we doing here?
- 46:11Like, what conversation,
- 46:12I'm not, not you and me,
- 46:14I'm talking about on a political level.
- 46:15I'm hearing you.
- 46:16What conversations are we actually having?
- 46:19I get it.
- 46:20our fighting force is tired and weary and we don't want to go to a war again,
- 46:27but leave it to the Americans that if a war happens and we're called,
- 46:32we're going to go full steam in battle and we're going to destroy the opposition.
- 46:38I just had this conversation at work today about when you ask somebody or when you're talking to
- 46:45somebody, they always say, well, when, what was the last war that the United States won?
- 46:49right because we've got vietnam we the debacle's there we've got the iraq war the the complete
- 46:57debacle of afghanistan listen we won all of those wars wars i'm talking war the actual fight the
- 47:05fight so troops the military wins the battles we absolutely won every single battle politicians
- 47:15then come in and they either win or lose the war with ceasefire deals and peace agreements and all
- 47:22it gets mucked up. And I made this point that when did the Iraq war end? Because you say,
- 47:29we didn't win the Iraq war. You could say whatever you want about whether we should have gone in or
- 47:33not. That's a totally different conversation. We could probably talk on it for seven hours and I
- 47:38could give you my full opinion. Militarily, it was one long time ago. And we were just-
- 47:422004, George W. Bush said mission accomplished.
- 47:45He went on the aircraft carrier, did that.
- 47:47The war was won at that point.
- 47:50Saddam Hussein had been captured.
- 47:52The entire Iraqi military was gone.
- 47:54Their government was gone.
- 47:56If you leave at that point and tell the Iraqis,
- 47:59you got to build it yourself, guys.
- 48:01Whatever you do, that's fine.
- 48:04Are we going to be back in Iraq in five to 10 years?
- 48:06Probably, but we've won that war.
- 48:09Afghanistan was the forgotten war.
- 48:12for a decade after we got there because we ran roughshod through the Taliban.
- 48:17They had nothing except for little pop shots that they were sending
- 48:21until this Afghanistan withdrawal, which was so, I don't think it should have ever happened.
- 48:27And it was so long and drawn out. And we gave the Taliban all the information that it was happening.
- 48:33So of course they were going to muck it up. The first Gulf War, complete destruction of the Iraqis.
- 48:41the Vietnam War became a peacekeeping ordeal long before or directly after the U.S. won all those
- 48:55battles. The problem was the insurgency. And so you're not in a war, you're in a conflict with an
- 49:00insurgency. And that's where we get into issues when the U.S. military should not be a peacekeeping
- 49:06force. It should not. We're not trained to do that. And so when things like a terrorist insurgency
- 49:13pops up in Iraq, we don't know how to deal with it except to kill people. And then ultimately,
- 49:18you kill civilians, and then it becomes what we had for two decades in the global war on terrorism.
- 49:25So pro-Russian accounts can push out how, when was the last time the US won a war? Well,
- 49:32it was every time. Name a time that we lost a war, not a conflict, not a political diplomatic
- 49:41peace deal. We just didn't because we have the greatest fighting force, people that I work with
- 49:48day in and day out, who if you push them, they're not going to retreat. They're going to come at you
- 49:56with the full force. So we've just got to stop being scared of what Russia is going to do.
- 50:01forget about it. Yeah. I agree with you there. I think what people are scared of is the,
- 50:08the word that keeps getting tossed around, which is nuclear. Yeah. You know,
- 50:13because nobody wants that. And it's understandable that people would be scared of that,
- 50:16but you're right. I mean, in the end, I've always thought personally, I'm going to be honest. I
- 50:21agree with you completely. If we just, if we just send strategic, strategic forces in there to
- 50:28really just surgically go in and take care of things, they would do it.
- 50:31Russia wouldn't be able to stop it.
- 50:33Just be honest.
- 50:33They wouldn't.
- 50:36And so I agree with you on that.
- 50:37Listen, decisions were made, I think, mostly for optics and politics.
- 50:42Really.
- 50:43Absolutely.
- 50:44I mean, if we really, really cared, if we really, really, really cared,
- 50:47I'm not saying you don't care or, you know, just saying the situation we're in right now,
- 50:51if America really cared, our leaders cared, this would have already been handled.
- 50:54Putin would have been
- 50:56sitting back at his desk
- 50:58pondering his decisions
- 50:59and, you know,
- 51:00figuring out what he's going to do
- 51:00to move forward.
- 51:01But, hey,
- 51:02here we are now.
- 51:04And so, yes,
- 51:05people are scared
- 51:05and they keep tossing around
- 51:07the nuclear war thing.
- 51:09In your opinion,
- 51:10you don't think that's going to happen?
- 51:13I'm just going to have to decide with you.
- 51:15It's Putin's greatest asset.
- 51:15If he uses it,
- 51:17he's lost all of his bargaining chips.
- 51:19Yeah, that's all he has.
- 51:20To be honest,
- 51:21that is exactly all he has
- 51:22to keep everybody,
- 51:23at bay.
- 51:26So let's go into the reasoning
- 51:27on why this even happened.
- 51:28Do you think that maybe Putin felt
- 51:31he was backed into a corner
- 51:33and had to react because of
- 51:35feeling it being encroached by NATO?
- 51:37Or encroached on by NATO?
- 51:39Yeah, it's an interesting question.
- 51:43And I mean this by strategically
- 51:45aligning or bringing
- 51:47nations into the fold of NATO
- 51:49around the borders.
- 51:50Like slowly just kind of
- 51:51Yeah. It's something he's talked about for since he's ever been in office is that he is protecting. So he is protecting his people from that encroachment from.
- 52:04from NATO. And he can message that. And I absolutely agree that he messages that quite well.
- 52:12Now, my issue with all of that is NATO has never, and correct me if I am wrong,
- 52:22and I don't like to use never because then something happens, but NATO has never instigated
- 52:29a conflict in its entire organization.
- 52:33The only time NATO Article 5 was used was after the 9-11 attacks.
- 52:37That was because Osama bin Laden decided that America is the great
- 52:41Satan and he was going to attack it and destroy
- 52:45the Twin Towers in New York and the Pentagon and try to make a play for the White House.
- 52:50That's when NATO got involved. When the Iraq
- 52:53War happened, NATO didn't get involved.
- 52:56They didn't.
- 52:57They said, hey, we're out of this.
- 52:59This is your war.
- 53:00You go, that's what got France.
- 53:02Remember, we called them freedom fries, not French fries.
- 53:04Yeah.
- 53:05Because France said, we have no agreement that says we have to help you guys, and we don't want to get involved in a war.
- 53:11So, NATO's never, in its inception, it has never started a conflict.
- 53:18It has never instigated a conflict.
- 53:21Yep, it's put itself around the borders of Russia, but that is because the countries bordering Russia, especially a lot of the former Soviet Union countries, are scared.
- 53:34I've talked to the Polish people.
- 53:36They are absolutely terrified that Russia would come in and start another USSR, another Soviet Union, or United Soviet Republic.
- 53:46And that's because a lot of those people in Poland remember the 80s. They remember when the USSR was active and how terrible their lives were. I'm sorry, Bernie Sanders, standing in a breadline is not a good thing. I know this because not that I've sat in a breadline or Bernie Sanders has sat in a breadline, but I've talked to the people who have stood there and have had to deal with that. And they're absolutely terrified.
- 54:14I don't think Bernie's ever worked in his life.
- 54:16He's been in politics.
- 54:17He hasn't.
- 54:17He got kicked out of a commune in Vermont because he did not work.
- 54:24For a guy who's against corporate greed and everything,
- 54:28he became a multimillionaire just being a politician,
- 54:31but he put everything in his wife's name so he has immunity.
- 54:34Right.
- 54:35Well, he also wrote a book.
- 54:36So if you want to make money, write a book.
- 54:39That's what he says.
- 54:39but yeah
- 54:42they're absolutely terrified
- 54:43that Russia would do that
- 54:46well I brought this up because I've heard that
- 54:48theory and it kind of makes sense on the
- 54:50surface but
- 54:51at the same time you know after
- 54:54the USSR was
- 54:55disbanded for the most part
- 54:58it was done borders everything were set
- 55:00it's been set for a while so
- 55:02it's as if Putin's just really using that as an
- 55:04excuse more than anything
- 55:06you know to do what he's doing he wants his territories
- 55:08he's back. He wants to recreate the good
- 55:11old days, the grand old days of Russia.
- 55:13Absolutely. That's what he told Tucker Carlson.
- 55:14And expand his land. Right?
- 55:16So that's what he's really doing.
- 55:18He's using it as an excuse, but people are unfortunately buying
- 55:20into it. It's like, oh, poor Putin. We're provoking
- 55:22him. We're the ones that, it's our fault. It's NATO's
- 55:24fault. And you're right. NATO only got
- 55:26involved together
- 55:28on 9-11. It hasn't been any time since.
- 55:30The only time I've ever heard of them ever being involved
- 55:32was basically for monitoring and control
- 55:34of a situation. Maybe it's a poor nation
- 55:36who might need something, but not really
- 55:38directly involving troops per se.
- 55:41I believe they got involved in Bosnia as a peacekeeping force.
- 55:46I know the U.S. did.
- 55:47That was during the Clinton administration.
- 55:49Outside of that, you're absolutely right.
- 55:52No, it was not a wartime effort.
- 55:54It was a conflict.
- 55:57Yeah.
- 55:57Or like conflict management, if that's the right way to say it.
- 56:01And the thinking there is we don't want it to spill over in our borders.
- 56:05so let's try to keep this contained and do what we can and that's the same exact thing that's going
- 56:10on in ukraine right now we want to keep this contained so it's why nato isn't getting involved
- 56:15militarily but they're supporting ukraine because they're saying we don't want this to bleed over
- 56:20uh into a conflict outside of ukraine's borders and the thought is at some point it would reach
- 56:27poland but they're they're looking at moldova and georgia and and non-nato countries that were
- 56:33former Soviet Union countries that are being manipulated by Russia right now. And I've said
- 56:40it for two years now, Moldova is the next country. If Ukraine for Russia is successful, then they can
- 56:46take over Ukraine. Moldova is the next country because it's smaller. Their military is not going
- 56:50to be able to handle a Russian movement. And they've got Transnistria, which is a Russian
- 56:55enclave right there
- 56:58that they can then stage troops
- 57:01and invade Moldova immediately.
- 57:03That's the next country to look for.
- 57:05But Poland's there.
- 57:07They're the first NATO country to be attacked.
- 57:09But Poland's strong.
- 57:11Yeah, Poland's got a strong
- 57:12little Trump line here.
- 57:14Their military is beautiful.
- 57:15It's beautiful.
- 57:16Lovely military.
- 57:18And I think that's the real key
- 57:20to what's going on here
- 57:21with watching Ukraine,
- 57:23how they handle things if they win
- 57:24because if they fall,
- 57:25there's nothing really going to stop Russia from being emboldened to just keep moving on to,
- 57:30like you said, these other nations to take them in and bring them into the fold.
- 57:34So you're saying, let's stop worrying about nuclear war.
- 57:38It's not going to happen because realistically, if America really wanted to,
- 57:42we would just end it, right?
- 57:43We would just go in there and just say, look, no, not happening.
- 57:47I mean, I think, like I said, nuclear weapons are a last-ditch effort.
- 57:51For anybody, I believe.
- 57:52But by that point, you're at the point where it's like everyone around him can stop it for their own benefit.
- 58:01Like Belarus, they have the nuclear weapons.
- 58:05They can see Putin backed in the corner on life support and go, yeah, I know you said that, but there's going to be a new administration coming into Russia.
- 58:14We're going to see how that plays out before we actually destroy the entire world.
- 58:20Every nuclear war game ends in complete world collapse.
- 58:26Society collapses.
- 58:27That's good for nobody.
- 58:30But the fear of nuclear war actually helps more than actual nuclear war.
- 58:38What do I say it helps?
- 58:39That helps Putin.
- 58:41Because if he can keep saber rattling, nuclear saber rattling, fear mongering, this is going to be, we're going to go to nuclear war.
- 58:48We're going to go to nuclear war.
- 58:50You know, it's just like, it's like this.
- 58:54Have you ever seen the, it's not a theory.
- 58:57There was a study done that even houses with the sign that says we have a security system, have a lower rate of criminal activity.
- 59:12Then like, so they don't have a security system, but they just have that sign ADT simply safe.
- 59:17I'm not going to advertise for anybody, but just that sign. They don't have a security system in place, but they have a sign that says this house was protected by ADT or whatever. They have a lower rate of break-ins than a house that otherwise would not have that sign there. That's this nuclear posturing.
- 59:38hey we have nuclear weapons don't attack us it was the whole reason that saddam hussein wouldn't
- 59:44admit to not having uh weapons of mass destruction right it's part of the conversation that i get
- 59:51with about going into iraq did saddam hussein have weapons of mass destruction uh absolutely
- 59:57because he had chemical biological weapons i consider those weapons of mass destruction
- 1:00:02he used it on his people that showed he had it the world sees weapons of mass destruction
- 1:00:08as nuclear weapons. And so if Saddam Hussein says, well, no, we don't have nuclear weapons.
- 1:00:14They had just gotten done with a war in Iran, with Iran. Iran did not like Iraq at that time.
- 1:00:20They didn't like the Saddam Hussein administration. And they were looking for a reason
- 1:00:25to attack Iraq. Saddam Hussein understood that. And he said, hey, I can't confirm or deny
- 1:00:34if we have weapons of mass destruction for that simple fact.
- 1:00:38Because if I admit it, that we don't have nuclear weapons,
- 1:00:42Iran's coming after me.
- 1:00:43So the threat that I just might.
- 1:00:46So this is just an Iraq that says,
- 1:00:48a Saddam Hussein that goes,
- 1:00:49hey, I might have nuclear weapons.
- 1:00:52Don't come after me because I might have them.
- 1:00:55Now you have Russia.
- 1:00:56Putin has nuclear weapons.
- 1:00:59And he says, hey, I might use them.
- 1:01:01That's a deterrent.
- 1:01:03That's what the U.S. is trying to do with China,
- 1:01:04is be a deterrent to that conflict.
- 1:01:08Putin's using it very effectively.
- 1:01:11He's getting exactly what he wants by using that.
- 1:01:13Well, and I understand that.
- 1:01:16I understand this whole game they're playing with.
- 1:01:19I got it. You got it.
- 1:01:20If you shoot me, I'll shoot you.
- 1:01:21I get it.
- 1:01:23And that's the one thing that's kept the world kind of at bay
- 1:01:26from killing each other off entirely.
- 1:01:29You're always going to have to have fear in play
- 1:01:31to keep things at bay, period.
- 1:01:34And I get what you're saying.
- 1:01:36I want to move on to what's been rumored
- 1:01:39about Russia possibly sharing
- 1:01:43nuclear weapons and technology with North Korea.
- 1:01:45Do you think that's going on,
- 1:01:46or is that just a rumor?
- 1:01:47So at this time, we don't know, right?
- 1:01:51That goes into,
- 1:01:54so from an intelligence community perspective,
- 1:01:56why are North Korean troops in Russia right now?
- 1:02:03Well, there's a, you scratch my back, I scratch your back, right?
- 1:02:08So Kim Jong-un says, we're going to provide soldiers in the Kursk region
- 1:02:13to fight back against Ukraine so that you don't have to use your own troops.
- 1:02:18You're going to need to give me something.
- 1:02:20And there's theories behind what sort of military capabilities they've had.
- 1:02:25Nuclear weapons is a big one.
- 1:02:26That's a scary one because North Korea being a full-on nuclear power is very dangerous because they have Kim Jong-un.
- 1:02:36Kim Jong-un is a wild card in the geopolitical space.
- 1:02:39He is.
- 1:02:40If anybody is going to use it, it's that guy.
- 1:02:43Take it from the intelligence community who's been tracking him and his family their entire trajectory in North Korea.
- 1:02:52His sister's worse.
- 1:02:52His sister's worse.
- 1:02:54Wow.
- 1:02:54This is my thing on when, hey, let's kill this despot.
- 1:03:01Let's kill this guy.
- 1:03:03So what's the alternative, right?
- 1:03:05Usually the alternative is worse than the actual guy that's in power.
- 1:03:10That's scary.
- 1:03:11That is scary.
- 1:03:11His sister is far worse than he is.
- 1:03:15And so I would say scarier for me than the nuclear technology, which I, Russia may be helping out, but not enough to give them a nuclear weapon that could be utilized long range because Russia also understands if they do something, or Putin even, if he does something wrong to North Korea, they could just go, oh, thanks for that nuclear weapon.
- 1:03:42now we're turning it on you.
- 1:03:44That's the kind of fear that's in place.
- 1:03:47Yeah, I think Putin's smart enough to see that
- 1:03:49he's an asset,
- 1:03:51an ally, but volatile at best.
- 1:03:54So what's scarier than that?
- 1:03:56To me,
- 1:03:57and this is probably
- 1:03:59what is being,
- 1:04:01what Russia
- 1:04:03is transferring into North Korea,
- 1:04:05which is the satellite technology.
- 1:04:08So Russia's
- 1:04:09space program is far
- 1:04:11advanced, far more advanced than North Korea.
- 1:04:14They're on par with the United States and China as far as satellite technology.
- 1:04:18And North Korea has had this issue of getting spy satellites into the atmosphere.
- 1:04:22They cannot get their satellites up there, which would help them
- 1:04:25kind of, not kind of, but it would help them
- 1:04:29view South Korea and Japan.
- 1:04:34So it would gain intelligence from South Korea and Japan
- 1:04:37if they could just get it into the atmosphere. That makes more sense, actually.
- 1:04:41so that's what we're going to be seeing
- 1:04:44and then in that case
- 1:04:47spy satellites are used
- 1:04:50North Korea who has been far more aggressive
- 1:04:53on the Korean peninsula than they had been in the past
- 1:04:57if they decide that everybody else is looking away China just invaded this is a future scenario China just invaded Taiwan we all talking about that Russia Ukraine blah blah blah can we do can we make a push for South Korea
- 1:05:12They could have that thought
- 1:05:13based off intelligence
- 1:05:14that they gained from their spy satellites
- 1:05:16that Russia helped them with
- 1:05:17at that point
- 1:05:18North Korean Kim Jong-un
- 1:05:20or his sister
- 1:05:21or his daughter
- 1:05:22if that's that far in the future
- 1:05:23could then go to Russia
- 1:05:25and say
- 1:05:25look we helped you
- 1:05:26now we have this issue
- 1:05:29we need some support
- 1:05:30from your troops.
- 1:05:31We need some munitions from you
- 1:05:33and you're going to have to help us
- 1:05:36because we helped you.
- 1:05:37That's a scary thought.
- 1:05:40I feel as far as North Korea,
- 1:05:41South Korea goes,
- 1:05:42I always think,
- 1:05:46and I could be wrong
- 1:05:47because I'm not in the intelligence community.
- 1:05:49It's just me gleaming
- 1:05:50what I can gather
- 1:05:53and put together in my own head.
- 1:05:54But it seems like Kim Jong-un
- 1:05:56has always been waiting
- 1:05:58for the opportunity
- 1:05:59for everyone to be so distracted and involved
- 1:06:01that it would make it easier for him
- 1:06:03to invade South Korea if he ever had the chance.
- 1:06:07He's absolutely, that's what he is waiting for.
- 1:06:10He is hoping everyone is distracted.
- 1:06:13Like we have, we've got Russia, Ukraine.
- 1:06:15Yeah.
- 1:06:16We've got Israel.
- 1:06:17Now he's got to be looking at that and going,
- 1:06:21okay, Hamas, which I would say miscalculated
- 1:06:25in their invasion of Israel in October of 2023.
- 1:06:31Because as soon as that happened,
- 1:06:33the world's eyes opened back up to the Middle East.
- 1:06:36And so there was this timeframe,
- 1:06:39and I have to think about it a little bit more.
- 1:06:42It could have been six months to maybe a year
- 1:06:44where we just stopped talking about Ukraine.
- 1:06:48We didn't care about Ukraine
- 1:06:49because now we're on opposite sides
- 1:06:51of the Middle East conflict.
- 1:06:53Israel has a right to defend itself. Israel is doing too much in Gaza. Then you bring Hezbollah in. And so North Korea looks at that and goes, okay, whatever happened there, we can't mirror that.
- 1:07:09because if we do something similar and start a conflict that is globally interesting,
- 1:07:16the world's going to view us and we're going to lose that conflict.
- 1:07:21But if we can go under the radar and there's a big enough conflict,
- 1:07:28like World War III maybe, where our little skirmish isn't really worried about,
- 1:07:35we might have a play for the Korean Peninsula.
- 1:07:38that's all going to be affected by the intelligence
- 1:07:41gained through the support
- 1:07:43from Russia. I was going to make another point
- 1:07:45about the Korean involvement
- 1:07:46the rumor about them getting
- 1:07:48nuclear technology from Russia
- 1:07:50was one thing
- 1:07:51and here's another factor
- 1:07:54I don't know
- 1:07:55if it's true
- 1:07:57this is just a little theory here
- 1:07:59do you think that maybe
- 1:08:02North Korea could have been one of the allies that Russia
- 1:08:04could go to and push into this
- 1:08:06because I know that Russia supplies a lot,
- 1:08:09them and China both,
- 1:08:12but Russia does supply a lot of food to North Korea
- 1:08:14because North Korea doesn't really grow
- 1:08:16a lot of their own stuff.
- 1:08:17I mean, they're in such turmoil over there in that nation.
- 1:08:20They're farming and everything's just horrible.
- 1:08:22And I know Russia supplies a lot of grain
- 1:08:24and a lot of different supplies to North Korea.
- 1:08:27Do you think that could have been a bargaining chip as well?
- 1:08:30Yeah, so that was actually part of the bargaining chip.
- 1:08:34Got it.
- 1:08:34So that was the public thing that was announced was that North Korea.
- 1:08:38Oh, I missed it.
- 1:08:39I didn't even know.
- 1:08:40Yeah.
- 1:08:40So North Korea said, yeah, we're going to support, we're supporting Russia, not from a, they didn't, they haven't admitted even yet that they're there militarily.
- 1:08:51But they did say, yes, we have a mutual.
- 1:08:53So there's a mutual agreement that was signed in July that just came out publicly over the last few weeks of this Russia-North Korea agreement. The major part of that agreement is that it goes back to the you scratch my back, I'll scratch your back.
- 1:09:09It says, if one of us is attacked, it's sort of the NATO Article 5. If one of us is attacked, the other person is going to come to support militarily.
- 1:09:19The other part of that was Russia is going to continue to supply, I believe, tax-free or tariff-free grains and food and sustenance to the North Koreans to prop up their economy.
- 1:09:37Because their economy is in shambles. They need to improve it. That was one of the parts of it.
- 1:09:42I didn't even know that. I didn't even catch that article or that report.
- 1:09:47yeah I mean it was so that would probably be because a lot of what the media reported on it
- 1:09:52and then you know how I feel about the media I guess I don't need to go in into that but
- 1:09:57I don't like it guys if anybody's wondering well a lot of their headlines were oh this new pact
- 1:10:06this is a new military pact well it was an economic pact honestly it wasn't really that
- 1:10:13was sort of like reading between
- 1:10:15the lines. Got it. It was an economic
- 1:10:17pact. Alright, so I wasn't too far
- 1:10:19off, I guess. No, no. I don't
- 1:10:21think many people understand it.
- 1:10:23Got it. Yeah, it was just a theory.
- 1:10:25I didn't know that that was an actual
- 1:10:27thing. There's so much coming at us.
- 1:10:29I can't grab it all.
- 1:10:32So I just, I thought I had my own
- 1:10:33little theory I came up with, but apparently someone else figured
- 1:10:35it out. So I just thought I'd ask you.
- 1:10:38Hey, nobody figured it out. You were
- 1:10:39right. You were on the right track.
- 1:10:40This is so, if you want to understand how the intelligence process works, you just walk through it.
- 1:10:48Yeah.
- 1:10:49Hey, you know, without even having all of the details in place, because we have known knowns, known unknowns, and then unknown unknowns within the intelligence community or within an intelligence perspective.
- 1:11:02It's a lot of information, right?
- 1:11:04You just said it eloquently.
- 1:11:06We're inundated with a lot of data, a lot of information.
- 1:11:09But we've got to understand that we're not going to see it all. Not every analyst is going to see everything that's out there.
- 1:11:15There's no way. There's just so much.
- 1:11:16But we use common sense and we take away bias and we just try to understand the world outside of a worldview in that community's view, right?
- 1:11:28So North Korea's view. What would North Korea gain from this?
- 1:11:34Well, their economy is collapsing. There must be some sort of economic factor to this.
- 1:11:38And so at that point, if you are the intelligence analyst that's working North Korea, that's the point where you would start diving deep into the economic aspects of it. And that's the difference between an economic intelligence analyst and then a sort of military intelligence analyst.
- 1:11:57A military intelligence analyst is going to view it from a military aspect.
- 1:12:01Munitions, soldiers, an economic intelligence analyst is going to view it from the economic perspective and say,
- 1:12:09what's the benefit here economically?
- 1:12:11I think what's hard is for people on the outside, like, let's just talk about open source intelligence, right?
- 1:12:18Everything's based on what's publicly available, you know, declassified or publicly available.
- 1:12:23So you've got to keep comparing and putting these pieces together until it's like, does A and B equal X?
- 1:12:29Yes, A and B equal X.
- 1:12:30And then there's a Y.
- 1:12:31Like, no, it doesn't.
- 1:12:32You've got to keep comparing to find that you're getting enough of the same result to go, okay, this might be true or could be true.
- 1:12:38And this is my problem with open source intelligence accounts on X, Twitter, whatever, social media,
- 1:12:46is that they're really just open source information accounts.
- 1:12:50So they're seeing information, headlines.
- 1:12:54They're basically just copy and pasting headlines and regurgitating it.
- 1:12:59And they're like, open source intelligence.
- 1:13:01No, motherfucker.
- 1:13:02That's just information that everyone has access to.
- 1:13:05You just found it first.
- 1:13:06And there's a benefit to that.
- 1:13:09But all you're doing is reporting.
- 1:13:12You're a journalist.
- 1:13:13You basically just pigeonholed yourself as a journalist because you're reporting what happened and nothing else.
- 1:13:19And my problem with journalism,
- 1:13:22so journalists should do what those OSINT accounts are doing,
- 1:13:26which is just report what's happening,
- 1:13:28get into the details, and leave it at that.
- 1:13:31Let the investigators, let the analysts understand,
- 1:13:36comprehend what's going on, and highlight that.
- 1:13:38So an open source intelligence account shouldn't say,
- 1:13:41currently, Ukraine just used ATACMS,
- 1:13:45so that's a current event.
- 1:13:46Ukraine was authorized and they just did use ATACMS, these long-range U.S. military munitions in Russia.
- 1:13:55An open-source intelligence account on Twitter will say just that, that they did that.
- 1:14:00An actual open-source intelligence account will say, here is what happened.
- 1:14:06Here is the reasoning behind that.
- 1:14:08So Ukraine just used munitions deeper into Russia.
- 1:14:14They did that because they're making a big push to not go to the negotiating table, backlogged in a loss, in a conflict that's dragged on for almost three years.
- 1:14:28And here are the primary, secondary, and tertiary effects of that.
- 1:14:33That's actual open source intelligence.
- 1:14:35Just saying Reuters reported that this happened, that's a journalist.
- 1:14:40Let journalists do that.
- 1:14:41You're not giving a real assessment of why, where it's going, what could happen. None of that. You're just regurgitating information.
- 1:14:50And then a lot of the accounts that I do utilize these accounts, it's great, because I get open source intelligence from open source information accounts.
- 1:15:00Right.
- 1:15:01And you have to, so then in that, you have to understand those accounts are biased as well.
- 1:15:06You've got pro-Ukrainian ones, pro-Russian ones.
- 1:15:09I've noticed that.
- 1:15:10You see it pro-Israel, pro, they're not going to say they're pro-Hamas or Hezbollah.
- 1:15:14Oh, there's a few that definitely do say that.
- 1:15:17I mean.
- 1:15:17And they give core assessments.
- 1:15:20on what's going on based on their worldview because they haven't lived it.
- 1:15:24They have not been an intelligence or they were an intelligence practitioner
- 1:15:28and they did it for a couple of years.
- 1:15:32I'm not denigrating anybody who's done it for a couple of years and then wants to go out there,
- 1:15:36but they've only got that sort of two to four years of training and experience.
- 1:15:43And it's like a college student who's in finance and they graduate from college
- 1:15:48and they expect to be the CEO of a Wall Street company.
- 1:15:53It's like, you can't do that.
- 1:15:54You've got to actually do the work and get to it.
- 1:15:58And I'm not saying that because I think I'm not better than them.
- 1:16:01As far as grabbing the information,
- 1:16:05so within the intelligence cycle,
- 1:16:08you've got, like I said, it's an entire cycle.
- 1:16:13So part of that cycle is the collection portion.
- 1:16:20So that collection portion, they are probably 10 times better than I am at collecting the data.
- 1:16:27But according to people that trust me, I am 10 times better at analyzing and assessing that data than they would ever be.
- 1:16:37And that's not propping me up or tooting my own horn.
- 1:16:39It's just my experience.
- 1:16:40This is what I have noticed about you.
- 1:16:42You're not the first person to comment on a situation, which is a good thing, which means I can trust that you've taken your time to really assess what's going on and comparing the data.
- 1:16:53Okay.
- 1:16:53I think from what I've seen, because I'm not in the, this is not my game.
- 1:16:57I mean, I don't have this experience.
- 1:16:59You do.
- 1:17:00But I see what you see where they're not taking enough information from enough sources to compare.
- 1:17:07It's just like, oh, you know, this news network said this and then this other one did.
- 1:17:11They might take three and go, okay, this is what's going on.
- 1:17:14They're not getting enough.
- 1:17:16I don't think they get enough information from different sources that may be both biased and unbiased.
- 1:17:20Like I usually try to get, if it's something that's pro Hamas, for example,
- 1:17:25I actually do have some accounts I'll subscribe to.
- 1:17:27And I like, I want to see that information because I want to see what they're saying.
- 1:17:31I'm not going to comment on it, you know, on their social media.
- 1:17:33Listen, I absolutely do as well.
- 1:17:36You know, my follows are not a testament to my belief system.
- 1:17:40I don't think we should be in echo chambers. I'm happy to hear that you do have even pro-Hamas or pro-Hezbollah. I follow accounts. I follow U.S. intelligence accounts or prior service veterans who were U.S. intelligence who are pro-Hamas and Hezbollah.
- 1:17:59They wouldn come out and say it but the statements that they have made against Israel and for what going on what Hamas is doing they definitely a pro pro Maybe not pro because they don view those entities as
- 1:18:14terrorists. But they have a worldview and not everyone in the intelligence community is unbiased.
- 1:18:22I have been in a situation where a leader, so my customer, has told me,
- 1:18:29hey, can you kind of fudge these numbers?
- 1:18:32Because we're really trying to go out tonight
- 1:18:34to go after this guy.
- 1:18:37And I've had to tell them,
- 1:18:38no, that's not what I'm going to do.
- 1:18:42You're not going to do that to me.
- 1:18:44And if I...
- 1:18:45So kind of getting how the sausage is made, right?
- 1:18:49We do PowerPoint presentations.
- 1:18:51Everybody probably knows that.
- 1:18:52PowerPoint Ranger.
- 1:18:54I started to file mines as a PDF
- 1:18:56because they couldn't be edited at the time
- 1:18:58and send it to that person only as a PDF
- 1:19:01because I saw that they started editing what I was saying
- 1:19:06because I got back from people
- 1:19:08who are in a position of power now,
- 1:19:10leaders now asking me,
- 1:19:12hey, you said this and it wasn't true.
- 1:19:14What happened there?
- 1:19:16And I was like, that is absolutely what I did not say.
- 1:19:18Here is the presentation that I gave them
- 1:19:21and what I did say, they changed it.
- 1:19:23That leader that changed it was then fired and pushed out.
- 1:19:28That definitely happens. And it's why I push for, just like you said, multi-source intelligence reporting. Very, very interesting. I'm going all over the place. I'm very sorry for this. You can stop me.
- 1:19:41Oh, no, this is all going to lead to where we're going next. So it's okay.
- 1:19:44When I did my interview for special operations, and I was not, I want to make it abundantly clear, I was not a special operations soldier.
- 1:19:54I did not put on a uniform as a special operations person.
- 1:19:59I was attached to a special operations unit, these special operations unit, under the capacity of an intelligence analyst.
- 1:20:08And in my interview for that, because of my background in imagery intelligence, I was asked, what do you consider the greatest form of intelligence?
- 1:20:21And my response, which actually hurt me on my scale, was I think all intelligence practitioners and every intelligence practice has a benefit in that combined all source intelligence, combining every aspect of the intelligence community, is the most important part of intelligence.
- 1:20:43And I was told by the sergeant major at the time, no, we wanted you to tell, it was kind of tongue in cheek and a joke, but he was like, no, you should have said imagery analysis because you're going to be doing geospatial intelligence.
- 1:20:55I did not do that in that capacity.
- 1:20:57I was the intelligence surveillance and reconnaissance team lead, which combined a bunch of different factors, which is what I pushed for.
- 1:21:06But that, yeah, that was part of it.
- 1:21:07I am a proponent of multi-sourced intelligence.
- 1:21:14Those sources come from as far left,
- 1:21:17if you want to talk politically,
- 1:21:19as far left and as far right as you can be
- 1:21:21because you don't understand what's really going on
- 1:21:24unless you know what everyone is saying.
- 1:21:27So just like we go back to the art of war,
- 1:21:29know your enemy and you'll know,
- 1:21:32and you'll be, if you know yourself,
- 1:21:34then you can win a battle.
- 1:21:36If you know your enemy as well as yourself, you will win the war.
- 1:21:40Right.
- 1:21:40That's true.
- 1:21:41Also, what?
- 1:21:42Keep your friends closer or your enemies close, right?
- 1:21:45Yeah.
- 1:21:45Keep your friends close and your enemies closer.
- 1:21:47Closer, yeah.
- 1:21:48Because you'll know what they're saying about you.
- 1:21:50So it's just amazing to me how people who claim to know or be authorities don't do exactly
- 1:21:57what you said and rely on multiple sources and take the time to analyze that data before
- 1:22:04they actually make a statement or have an opinion.
- 1:22:08It just, the average person doesn't see through that, unfortunately.
- 1:22:13And that's how we get to where we are at many times.
- 1:22:18It's sad.
- 1:22:19Yeah, when you're confused, like I am sometimes.
- 1:22:22So why does this account have 1.1 million followers?
- 1:22:25I have zero idea how that happens.
- 1:22:27And I can't gain traction when I'm actually putting out, like,
- 1:22:30And some of that is I've got to deal with that myself of being, I know what I'm saying is fucking right. So why isn't anybody listening to me? Those are internal conversations that I have.
- 1:22:42My thing with social media is, you know, it has turned into more of a source of information than it ever has before in terms of news and what's going on.
- 1:22:52But trying to filter through whether those sources are actually legitimate, you know, sources is another issue.
- 1:23:01Because there's a lot of people doing what you say.
- 1:23:03They're just regurgitating it.
- 1:23:04And then the more they do it, it looks like more people believe it.
- 1:23:07And then it's assumed to now be true because there's so many people regurgitating that information.
- 1:23:12but it's not necessarily the correct information.
- 1:23:14And I got caught up into it too early on.
- 1:23:17It was like, hey, something happens.
- 1:23:21And I got to, man, I've got to comment on this.
- 1:23:24I'm on the news.
- 1:23:25I'm on all this kind of stuff.
- 1:23:27I've got to immediately comment.
- 1:23:29And there were a couple of times
- 1:23:30where I commented on something
- 1:23:31and it turned out that it was the wrong source
- 1:23:35or I was reading it wrong.
- 1:23:36And I had another intelligence professional
- 1:23:38that respected me and I respect them.
- 1:23:41and they said, hey man, you got this wrong.
- 1:23:44I just want to let you know,
- 1:23:45you need to re-comment on it.
- 1:23:47I re-commented on it,
- 1:23:49but it really, this was like two years ago.
- 1:23:54And I was just like, that's not who I am.
- 1:23:56I shouldn't be doing that.
- 1:23:57I shouldn't be commenting
- 1:23:58because that first response is an emotional response.
- 1:24:03It's always going to be an emotional response.
- 1:24:06And you get things wrong in that.
- 1:24:08And I did on a couple of occasions.
- 1:24:13And so it's good to hear now that you're seeing that my account is waiting.
- 1:24:17Even on my show, I've said some shit where I'm like, well, maybe it's already out there.
- 1:24:22I can't fix it now.
- 1:24:24It happens.
- 1:24:25And sometimes it's based on what's available, as you said.
- 1:24:28And there's other times where it's just an emotional or knee-jerk response to something.
- 1:24:33But at least you can go back and say, hey, I fucked up.
- 1:24:35This isn't exactly what it was or what I said.
- 1:24:38I mean, I've been responding on X on a few times where I'd have to go back.
- 1:24:41Well, you know, that was wrong.
- 1:24:43So I think the response usually should be, and this is what I've been trying to work on myself.
- 1:24:52So let's take it real world here.
- 1:24:55There's a lot of conversation going on on if the Grand Ayatollah in Iran is in a coma or dead.
- 1:25:01Heard that.
- 1:25:01Yeah, what's going on?
- 1:25:02Yep. And so the initial response from an account that's looking to gain traction would be to just copy and paste it and say, hey, the Grand Ayatollah is in a coma and he's on a deathbed.
- 1:25:16The real response that I have is, oh, wow, that's interesting. What could that mean if he is there?
- 1:25:24But within that response is, I don't know if this is true or not. And then I go on within what I say, which is my probability scale. And I try to make it for the civilian consumer. And my probability scale is unlikely, possible, and probable.
- 1:25:50So, I posted this on X a couple of days ago when I started seeing the Grand Ayatollah. I said, okay, let's use this on the probability scale. Is Khomeini dead? Unlikely. Is Khomeini in a coma? It's possible. It's possible he's in a coma.
- 1:26:10These are the things to kind of look for if he's in a coma. Other people making public statements on his behalf, not being able to see him in a public setting. Those are things to look for.
- 1:26:22then I said is the is the Ayatollah Khomeini an evil terrible bastard that has his thumb on his
- 1:26:31people and is ruining the economy of Iran yes that's probable I have that as more than 99%
- 1:26:37chance that that's what's going on here but that's the that's the the intelligence scale
- 1:26:43right it's like oh this is interesting I wonder if it's true my first my first initial reaction
- 1:26:50Is this true? It's possible. A lot of things are possible. Let me dive deeper into it. At this point, I've dove deeper into that. I don't think he's in a coma. I just think that there are some entities within, especially within Iran, who want him out and they want to usher in a new Iran that is friendlier to the West to get those sanctions off of them.
- 1:27:13And there's probable that they're promoting these baseless coma or death information.
- 1:27:25So that's probably where we're at.
- 1:27:28But that's how it's done.
- 1:27:29And so to just say, I'm going to copy this headline that says Russia is about to use nuclear weapons, copy, paste it, throw it into X.
- 1:27:40It's possible they are, but that's not what the headline says.
- 1:27:43it says that they will.
- 1:27:45The problem, okay, so I personally,
- 1:27:48since we've been talking about social media,
- 1:27:51you know, right now, this conversation,
- 1:27:54I personally already came to the conclusion
- 1:27:55that I don't use it to build this massive account
- 1:28:01like most people do, to be honest.
- 1:28:03I don't have the time of the day to sit there
- 1:28:05and just post and post and post.
- 1:28:07I'm not looking at that to make money
- 1:28:08like some other people do.
- 1:28:10And I just can't understand that world.
- 1:28:11It's not what I'm there for.
- 1:28:13I'm there for gathering information.
- 1:28:16I just want to hear the whispers and the echoes and kind of get a pulse on what people are kind of thinking.
- 1:28:22And as you said earlier, I mean, there's just so much coming at you.
- 1:28:26You just kind of got to take it in and start, you know, assessing, okay, what might be real?
- 1:28:32What's plausible?
- 1:28:33What isn't?
- 1:28:34And that's what I use it for.
- 1:28:35So it's like, for example, I know there's times like guys like you who are telling the truth and you know your shit.
- 1:28:41you're like, why isn't this catching fire?
- 1:28:43Right?
- 1:28:44Like I'm telling people what's going on and they're not understanding that
- 1:28:47this is what's really happening.
- 1:28:49And unfortunately I'm seeing that, you know,
- 1:28:52if you're not making people feel, if you're, if, if you're not,
- 1:28:55if you're not getting there and letting them reaffirming their beliefs,
- 1:28:59um, based on what they're getting within the bubble they live in,
- 1:29:04you're just not going to gain any traction.
- 1:29:05And that's not what you are.
- 1:29:07You're, you're the person that's like, look,
- 1:29:08this is the situation based on my professional experience and what I've done and everything that
- 1:29:13I can say, given the data, this is what's really happening. And, and that's not exciting or sexy
- 1:29:19for people. You know what I'm saying? They're just like, Oh yeah. Yeah. So there I've been,
- 1:29:23I've been just playing this line back in, in my head for months now. So there's a line from
- 1:29:27an Andrew Byrd song. I don't know if you know who Andrew Byrd is, maybe some people in your
- 1:29:32He's a musician. He does a lot of like, he's incredible. He can play every musical instrument. His whistle, I've seen him live. His whistle, whistling just with his mouth is absolutely incredible. But he has this line in the song called Sisyphus, about Sisyphus, if everybody knows their philosophy. And the line that really resonated with me, he said, history forgets the moderates. And that is absolutely true.
- 1:30:00That's a great line, actually.
- 1:30:01And that is the problem that a platform like mine or like yours is coming up against.
- 1:30:08And it's part of, I've said this on a couple of different podcasts as well as in some writings
- 1:30:13that I've done.
- 1:30:15No, we can no longer let history forget the moderates.
- 1:30:18Allow the moderates to do what we do, which is see things outside of the perspective of
- 1:30:25bias and move this society, the human culture and society along outside of our tribes and
- 1:30:33worldviews in a path that is far better than what the extremes are going to do.
- 1:30:39Yeah. I mean, that's, all right, you said it. All right. There you go. No, that's all very true.
- 1:30:46It's a great statement because it's, I don't know what we're going to do to change people's...
- 1:30:52I mean, if you think about it, do you know any historical figure who was just moderate?
- 1:31:00I mean, one, John Adams comes to mind.
- 1:31:02He not even the most popular Here the thing What you said is correct because look it always goes back to that old sailing sailing
- 1:31:14saying,
- 1:31:15you know, at some point,
- 1:31:16everyone's always,
- 1:31:17always going to tell you,
- 1:31:18well, you got to choose a side.
- 1:31:20Yeah.
- 1:31:21Right.
- 1:31:21Absolutely.
- 1:31:22We're always going to try
- 1:31:22to play the middle
- 1:31:23and I'm not saying
- 1:31:24you're playing the middle.
- 1:31:25I'm just using that
- 1:31:26as a figure speech here,
- 1:31:27but we're always going to try
- 1:31:28to say, okay,
- 1:31:28here's the right,
- 1:31:30here's the left,
- 1:31:30here's the back front,
- 1:31:31whatever.
- 1:31:32We're going to sit up
- 1:31:33right here, right here, kind of in the middle, take all this in and try to make sense of it and
- 1:31:37make sure that people don't start tearing each other's throats out. It's like, hold on guys.
- 1:31:41That's not what's really going on. That's not what he said. She said, this is what's really
- 1:31:45happening. And we all want to, at least you and I want to be that person. But historically,
- 1:31:51the people, as you said, that have always been recognized are the ones that literally either
- 1:31:57went full right or full left, period.
- 1:32:00Well, it's because I think
- 1:32:01people will take chances.
- 1:32:03The extreme people are going to take chances.
- 1:32:06Now, I'm also
- 1:32:07what some would consider an early adopter.
- 1:32:10A new technology comes out.
- 1:32:11I'll use it. I early adopt
- 1:32:13a lot of things.
- 1:32:15I know one thing on X
- 1:32:17that has a lot of people chromogeny
- 1:32:19is this new Blue Sky
- 1:32:21platform.
- 1:32:23And everybody on X
- 1:32:25is virtue signaling
- 1:32:27that they're leaving Twitter and they're going to go to Blue Sky. I adopted Blue Sky very early on
- 1:32:32because I have some friends in journalism that gave me access to it and I was able to build
- 1:32:38an account. So I'm an early adopter. That's not a platform for Blue Sky, but if you're there,
- 1:32:46hey, follow. So I'm an early adopter. I am a moderate in that I try to view things out.
- 1:32:55I have a worldview. I absolutely have a worldview that was curated through my entire childhood,
- 1:33:01into my military experience, through my military career, into where I stand right now.
- 1:33:06I have a worldview. What I try to do is escape that worldview and identify things that are
- 1:33:14happening outside of ideology. And to do that, you have to understand other people's ideology,
- 1:33:19and you have to understand people where they're coming from.
- 1:33:25So we have a lot of conversations about how did Trump win? You're asking the wrong people if you're the Democratic Party asking why Trump won because they're only asking each other why they lost. You know why Trump won? Go ask the guy in rural Pennsylvania why they voted for Trump and they'll tell you. That's who you need to go to. That's the kind of moderate that I'm looking for or that I'm trying to be. Am I going to take a chance? Am I going to take a side?
- 1:33:52I'm going to take a side on
- 1:33:55On truth and what's actually happening
- 1:33:57But also
- 1:33:59If you're going to ask me to take a side on my morals and ethics
- 1:34:02I'm going to take a side on that
- 1:34:03I did that in this election
- 1:34:04On who I voted for
- 1:34:07I think I was on here when I said
- 1:34:09I wasn't voting in this election
- 1:34:11Actually, my wife and I sat down
- 1:34:14And we talked about it
- 1:34:15And I did vote in this election
- 1:34:17Because she made a great point
- 1:34:18She said, you are always telling people
- 1:34:21you need to vote locally. And she said, we have a local election here. We have an election within,
- 1:34:29I'm in Virginia, Northern Virginia. So we have an election in Virginia with
- 1:34:34our representatives and our Senate. We have in our town that we live in, we have elections
- 1:34:41just because you, and she's like, you tell people this all the time. The presidency doesn't matter.
- 1:34:48Why are we always focused on the presidency? The president should not have that much power in this country. And yet you're going to bypass an election based on the presidency when there are local elections that you should be voting for. And I said, you're absolutely right. That's part of the intelligence process. Yes, you're absolutely right. And I'm going to change my opinion on that. And I'm going to vote in the local elections and bypass the presidency.
- 1:35:14And I did that. I didn't vote in the presidency, but I voted in all the local elections.
- 1:35:19That to me is taking a bold step as a moderate. I'm not going to allow these two extreme sides
- 1:35:29to dictate what we're going to do in at least my community. Where can I affect change in my
- 1:35:34community? So I tried to affect change in my community. And I think moderates get a bad rap
- 1:35:41because they said, well, you don't do anything.
- 1:35:43You just sit on the sidelines.
- 1:35:45No, we're trying to do stuff.
- 1:35:46You just won't fucking listen to us, guys.
- 1:35:49Fair enough.
- 1:35:50That's a fair point.
- 1:35:51And I got in this conversation about voting local.
- 1:35:57I got in this conversation with somebody who was actually,
- 1:36:00I'm in California.
- 1:36:01I don't even care who knows where I live anymore,
- 1:36:02but I'm in Modesto.
- 1:36:04At this point, it's like, you know, who cares?
- 1:36:07What are they going to do?
- 1:36:08Say hello, whatever.
- 1:36:09whatever. But anyway, where I'm at, it's, I had a fellow who was running for city council
- 1:36:19district three. I knew who he was from years ago. I haven't talked to him in a long time,
- 1:36:23but he was, he was running for reelection and I had him on the show and we talked about that.
- 1:36:28And I, in my opinion, I told him, you know, should have him back on actually challenge.
- 1:36:34I kind of softballed that whole thing for him. But anyway, he, he didn't agree with me.
- 1:36:39I think personally, if you want to change your world,
- 1:36:42I mean your world like your personal world politically,
- 1:36:45you've got to start local because if you don't create a base there,
- 1:36:49it's never going to reach up to the top.
- 1:36:52It's never going to, like it starts there.
- 1:36:54You've got to get your base figured out.
- 1:36:57You've got to vote for who's going to affect change in your area around you
- 1:37:00and the world that you want to live in, and you've got to protect that.
- 1:37:03And if enough people pay attention to that,
- 1:37:05then it does filter and expand out from there.
- 1:37:10And it's almost like,
- 1:37:11I hate to say it like a pyramid scheme
- 1:37:13to where everything, you know, bottom up.
- 1:37:15Um, I believe that.
- 1:37:17I believe that's exactly how
- 1:37:18we're going to ultimately make change.
- 1:37:19I think that's a kind of
- 1:37:22what we saw with this election
- 1:37:24with Trump winning.
- 1:37:26And, uh, I'm not sure that everybody
- 1:37:28voted locally the right way.
- 1:37:30It really did look like a lot of people
- 1:37:32or maybe they did.
- 1:37:34I don't know.
- 1:37:34a lot of people voted for Trump, but then they voted opposite of the party.
- 1:37:40Yeah. It's a very interesting, you know, you know,
- 1:37:42and I know there's conspiracy theories coming out that it's like, Oh,
- 1:37:46well this Democrat won, but Trump won, you know,
- 1:37:51Trump got the majority of votes in this County, let's say, but this Democrat won.
- 1:37:56Well, that's because that the, the people,
- 1:37:59the majority of people in that community decided, hey, for me personally, what's best is this
- 1:38:07Democrat politician who said they're going to do these things for me personally. But what's best
- 1:38:14for the country for nationally is Donald Trump because, look, I've seen my bank account. I know
- 1:38:21it's been a lot less in the last four years. This is all hyperbole. It's not what I'm saying
- 1:38:26I did or anyone else did, but that's the thought process. What's better nationally? Oh, maybe it's
- 1:38:31Donald Trump, but what's best locally for me? This guy or girl or whoever who is saying,
- 1:38:39hey, this is what they're going to do within the community to help my community.
- 1:38:44A lot of people missed that point.
- 1:38:46I like the people who do those kinds of things, who will not vote because anyone who's walked
- 1:38:53into a polling station understands, they get a kind of pamphlet or brochure or a leaflet that
- 1:39:00says, here are all the Republicans that are running, or here are all the Democrats that are
- 1:39:05running. Whenever you make your vote, just do it down this party line. And so 70% of our electorate
- 1:39:13will vote down those party lines based off of the pamphlet that's handed to them. I think that
- 1:39:19should be fucking illegal. I think we should get party politics away from the voting booth
- 1:39:26and let people go in based off of their own knowledge on the people that they want to elect,
- 1:39:32not based off of the big R, big D, libertarian, independent, green party, whatever.
- 1:39:40Have people actually educated on what they're voting for by looking into the candidate personally
- 1:39:46and then voting for that person.
- 1:39:48And then if you don't know the person,
- 1:39:50like there's a ton of different, right,
- 1:39:52community elections that you may not even know
- 1:39:54the two people running.
- 1:39:55And so it's very easy to see R or D on that person
- 1:39:58and just vote.
- 1:40:00So the way I do it is when I see those names
- 1:40:02and I don't know any single person, I'm not voting.
- 1:40:05You have a right to not vote in that particular election.
- 1:40:09Don't vote for anybody.
- 1:40:11Let the people who have done the research vote for it.
- 1:40:13But to just vote down party lines
- 1:40:15is that's what has gotten us into this two-party system that we can't get out of.
- 1:40:21I won't disagree with that.
- 1:40:23And I think you're right because voting local is different than voting for the national,
- 1:40:31you know, nationally.
- 1:40:32Voting for the president is a whole different thing because everyone's backyard is different.
- 1:40:36Regionally, your type of job, what's around you, the industries actually will shape where you live.
- 1:40:43and you have to vote accordingly to keep those things going, period.
- 1:40:47If you live in certain areas, like where I'm at,
- 1:40:49it's kind of more like Central Valley.
- 1:40:51It's all farm out here.
- 1:40:53And if you look at California, what's crazy is it's one of those forever blue states,
- 1:40:58but there's a huge chunk in the middle.
- 1:41:00It's like a few cities that determine how blue it is,
- 1:41:03yet everything else is red because of the agriculture.
- 1:41:07You want to know a fun way to explain states' rights to maybe a European?
- 1:41:12fly them over to the United States and drive.
- 1:41:16Right.
- 1:41:17Just drive.
- 1:41:18Just go from, you know,
- 1:41:21not even from the Northeast to the Southwest of California.
- 1:41:27Drive from Georgia to Nevada
- 1:41:29and just have them sit there
- 1:41:32and they understand,
- 1:41:34oh, I get why France doesn't have states' rights
- 1:41:38because it's just a small little country
- 1:41:40in the middle of Europe.
- 1:41:41We have French rights, our own French rights. But from Georgia, I don't think Georgian politicians, the state of Georgia, I guess I shouldn't use that one because there is another Georgia. But South Carolinian politicians should not be making laws for Oregon people. That's not what should be happening.
- 1:42:04South Carolinian politicians should be making laws for South Carolinians. And senators and House of Representatives in Oregon should be focused on the issues that the Oregon people should be focused on.
- 1:42:18The demographics between Florida and the state of Washington, two completely different states, are completely different.
- 1:42:26Obviously, you have a different generation.
- 1:42:30You have tons of different generations and different political leanings and all kinds of things.
- 1:42:36Those people shouldn't be making policy.
- 1:42:38The people of Florida shouldn't be making policy for the people of California.
- 1:42:41That's not how this should be working.
- 1:42:42Well, it's true.
- 1:42:45And it's interesting because you always, especially this election, you've always heard about the diversity, right?
- 1:42:55And the left or Democratic Party, I'm just saying left, would push diversity, diversity, diversity.
- 1:43:02But the way they were saying it or the points they're trying to make was to fit the context of their campaign
- 1:43:08while also ignoring how diverse the United States really is.
- 1:43:11is. Like every region, as you just said, is so different. Like you have states that are literally
- 1:43:17built around the fishing industry. You have others built around the cotton industry. You have,
- 1:43:20you know, so many different walks of life. And, you know, sure, it might make sense for this city
- 1:43:27and this state to be completely democratic in their vote, but it may not for the next. Maybe
- 1:43:32it needs to be Republican for whatever reasons. I think- And then the conversations that came out
- 1:43:38after that, right?
- 1:43:39Yeah.
- 1:43:39Which is like,
- 1:43:40because, you know,
- 1:43:41and I talked about this
- 1:43:43on another podcast
- 1:43:44where it was like,
- 1:43:45we had all these discussions
- 1:43:47about Puerto Ricans
- 1:43:48are going to flock
- 1:43:49to the Democratic Party now
- 1:43:51because of what a comedian said
- 1:43:53during a conference
- 1:43:57that was going on.
- 1:43:59Guess what?
- 1:44:00What's funny is that
- 1:44:02an entire base
- 1:44:03considers themselves
- 1:44:05the diversity base, right?
- 1:44:07And yet all of those diverse thoughts
- 1:44:09they talk about are done monolithically, meaning, yes, they're all diverse. They're African-American,
- 1:44:17you know, Black, Hispanic, all the different races and religions and creeds, but they all think the
- 1:44:23same way. And so we know we're going to get the vote of these people because they're just going
- 1:44:29to vote the same way. And that didn't happen because Trump disrupted that. And I think that's
- 1:44:34a good thing that he disrupted that. Let's stop looking at people as a monolith. People would look
- 1:44:41at my background and go, oh, you were raised evangelical. You're evangelical, Southern
- 1:44:45Louisiana, white. You have to vote this certain way so that we are going to not even talk to you
- 1:44:52as a Democrat because you're not going to vote that way. You didn't even talk to me. You didn't
- 1:44:57even ask what my perspective was on the economy or foreign affairs or things of that nature.
- 1:45:05Why? Because you judged me. Just what you're saying the right wing is doing, they're judging
- 1:45:10people based off of their race, color, creed, gender, everything. You're judging me based off
- 1:45:15of the same things. And so stop telling everyone else they're the problem and do some internal
- 1:45:25dialogue and understand that it can't be everybody that's the problem.
- 1:45:30No, it's not.
- 1:45:31It's like when you talk to a guy that's, or, you know, a man or a woman who's been divorced
- 1:45:36five times and they go, hey, you know, all those, all my exes, they were just crazy.
- 1:45:42It's like, have you done some internal dialogue?
- 1:45:45Maybe look at yourself in the mirror.
- 1:45:46Maybe you're the crazy one because after a certain point, you might be the problem.
- 1:45:51I think that's where the Democratic Party's at right now.
- 1:45:53I think you're the problem.
- 1:45:55I think America's problem in general is outside of, okay, people like you and I who podcast,
- 1:46:03like we put ourselves in a situation where we have to talk for an hour, two hours, three
- 1:46:07hours, whatever.
- 1:46:07We actually do get to know people based on those conversations.
- 1:46:10And most people don't engage anymore like that.
- 1:46:13You know, they just look at each other and they might say a couple of words and they
- 1:46:17just move on.
- 1:46:19Point in case, I just had.
- 1:46:21okay, so for wedding anniversary, you know, where we got married, the place was closing down,
- 1:46:27the owner sold. So this year, wife's like, hey, let's go out and experience this place before
- 1:46:32they close because I guess in December, they're gone. They sold the land and all that. So we went
- 1:46:36over there and I got to talk. We always end up in the bar. I don't know how, you know, starts dinner,
- 1:46:40we end up at the bar. That's where I end up. You know, that's just where things happen, right?
- 1:46:43So we're sitting there and the bartender, we're talking and my wife likes to be, you know, she
- 1:46:48likes to poke the bear, so to speak.
- 1:46:50So she's like talking about the election and she just, she can tell by the conversation.
- 1:46:55She just kept saying Trump's name and I'm just sitting here.
- 1:46:57She goes, come on, you have a podcast.
- 1:47:00Why don't you?
- 1:47:00I'm like, hold on.
- 1:47:02Hold on.
- 1:47:02Let's not do this.
- 1:47:04So anyway, we get to talking and the whole point, I was, okay, I engaged, but I was like,
- 1:47:11everyone expects like for me, for example, that I'm just going to go out and start snapping
- 1:47:15at people and correcting them or doing whatever.
- 1:47:17but that's not what I like to do.
- 1:47:18I like to sit there and take it in.
- 1:47:20They gave me the opportunity.
- 1:47:21This guy was extreme left, by the way, which is fine.
- 1:47:24But in talking to that person and not being an asshole myself,
- 1:47:27like I usually can be, I was able to get that guy's perspective.
- 1:47:31And that's the thing that we need is to talk because you don't know why that
- 1:47:34person thinks that way.
- 1:47:36Okay.
- 1:47:37Absolutely.
- 1:47:37We're all brought up differently.
- 1:47:38We all have our own experiences and they're never necessarily exactly the
- 1:47:42same.
- 1:47:42There's a reason this person chose that.
- 1:47:45It could be due to just what they read or hear on MSNBC, but for the most part, that's not always the case.
- 1:47:51You know, there's always something, you know, deeper that we got to get to and get out of the other person to understand them.
- 1:47:58And you don't have to agree, but at least you can walk away going, okay, I get it.
- 1:48:01I get it.
- 1:48:02And you can respect that person for who they are.
- 1:48:04And I don't think we're doing that anymore as Americans.
- 1:48:07I think that's where conversations should end.
- 1:48:10Right.
- 1:48:11Look, we're not all here to be Ben Shapiro or someone else who owns the left or owns the right and have all these grandiose debates and stuff like that.
- 1:48:23That's not what we're here for.
- 1:48:25There's a time and place for it.
- 1:48:28But in a regular conversation, I absolutely understand where you're coming from, at a bar especially.
- 1:48:33Because that's typically, you sit at a bar.
- 1:48:35I've been called an introverted extrovert, which means I like to get out and do things, but
- 1:48:43I'm not the kind of guy like yourself that, well, you did say that sometimes you will
- 1:48:48engage and stuff, but at a bar, typically people will try to engage with me because that's,
- 1:48:54hey, we're in this social environment. I don't want to be engaged at that point because I'm just
- 1:48:58there to have a couple of drinks. Most of the time I'm with my wife. I just want to talk to her
- 1:49:02that's outside of especially politics,
- 1:49:05but I just there to listen Yeah So I not here for the great questions of like what your perspective on this I want to know what do you think is really happening
- 1:49:17That's why I think podcasting is incredible
- 1:49:19with what we've been able to do,
- 1:49:21which is sit down with people
- 1:49:23who otherwise may have a different opinion
- 1:49:26and just have a conversation.
- 1:49:28And at the end of the conversation,
- 1:49:29it's not this big debate where we hate each other's guts
- 1:49:33and then we never talk to each other.
- 1:49:35it's, well, I'm glad I got your perspective on that. It might not have changed my opinion on it,
- 1:49:40but at least now I know where you're coming from so that when you do make a statement
- 1:49:43in the future, I understand it's through this worldview and you're emotional and you have an
- 1:49:51emotional response to it. And I can be down for that. I can get behind an emotional response to
- 1:49:55things. Understanding that's probably not the truth, but it is the truth in how you feel about
- 1:50:01what's going on. Right, right. I'm not here to change your mind. I'm really not. I'm here to
- 1:50:07give you facts, to give you the information as I see it. And hopefully you'll understand what's
- 1:50:13really working, what's really going on. But to change your opinion, I don't care. I don't care
- 1:50:19if you think we should be supporting Ukraine or if Russia was right to get into Ukraine.
- 1:50:26I really don't care. That's for Putin and Zelensky to worry about. What I care about is, what are you thinking on a personal level? How are you feeling? How's your family doing? Are you okay? In this economy, is what's going on in this world really benefiting you, or do you think we should make some changes in this country?
- 1:50:47That's what I think the conversation should be.
- 1:50:50So if I talk to somebody who's a Kamala Harris supporter, and maybe I'm not a Kamala Harris supporter, and they say, I really think she would be great for this country because there's a bridge there that she would, you know, there's a gap there that she would bridge into another administration.
- 1:51:05And I think that, you know, she's very calm, cool, and collected in her responses.
- 1:51:11And I think that's good for the country.
- 1:51:12I go, okay, I can get behind that.
- 1:51:15You didn't change my opinion on her, but at least now I know where you're coming from.
- 1:51:19And we can have a conversation about that.
- 1:51:21I can do that for Trump.
- 1:51:23If you think, well, I think Trump draining the swamp in D.C. and helping out the economy, that's going to help the economy.
- 1:51:29And it's going to be better for me and my family.
- 1:51:30And that's why I'm going to vote for him.
- 1:51:32I can go, I get that.
- 1:51:34I understand that.
- 1:51:35It's not about all these other initiatives that are going on.
- 1:51:39You're thinking about yourself personally, and I can get behind that.
- 1:51:42Well, but yet, you know, everybody likes to judge you based on making a decision,
- 1:51:49making a decision based on how you're feeling or what you're going through.
- 1:51:55Like using economy as an example.
- 1:51:57Maybe they feel voting for Trump would improve their life because of the, you know,
- 1:52:03improving the economy.
- 1:52:04And then right away, you're a Trumpster or you're a far right fascist or, you know,
- 1:52:10it's ridiculous.
- 1:52:10and that's the issue we have with social media.
- 1:52:13Look, that is not the platform to have a debate.
- 1:52:15Everyone always says,
- 1:52:15oh, we can't have real debates, discussions.
- 1:52:19Look, in less than 300 words,
- 1:52:21you can't make a point.
- 1:52:22There's just no way.
- 1:52:23You absolutely cannot have a debate.
- 1:52:25I would agree with people who go,
- 1:52:26oh, we can't have a debate here on Twitter.
- 1:52:28You absolutely cannot.
- 1:52:29No, you can't.
- 1:52:30Half the time, because I can't tell sarcasm
- 1:52:32and I'm a sarcasm guy.
- 1:52:34If you know me personally,
- 1:52:36half of like 90% of my conversation
- 1:52:38is going to be sarcasm.
- 1:52:39That does not come through.
- 1:52:40on Twitter. Let me tell you. It doesn't. Well, and the problem with some, since we talked about
- 1:52:46podcasts, for example, the problem with some personalities, especially in the news and political
- 1:52:49side of things, is they're too evangelical about their messaging. You know, I'll just use, you know,
- 1:52:55you said Ben Shapiro earlier, we don't want to be like him because, you know, first off, I'm not
- 1:52:59going to be, it's not my goal, but I'll use like a Dan Bongino as an example too. I listen to him
- 1:53:05every once in a while. And every time I do, it's like, man, it's almost like hearing a preacher,
- 1:53:11you know, up on their platform, just talking to their flock. And it's like,
- 1:53:17he's a smart guy, but sometimes like, you know, that's enough. I get it. Okay. I got my 15,
- 1:53:2330 minutes. Let's move on to the next. And I just think that it gets to be too much.
- 1:53:29So in that capacity, the interesting things to me in that capacity is when someone like that says something that goes against what I would consider their audience or their base would say.
- 1:53:43So the interesting thing to me is when a Dan Bondino or a Ben Shapiro actually goes against a right-wing talking point and says, oh, I see all of this commentary online, but actually this is what's happening.
- 1:54:01I think they're actually being honest at that point.
- 1:54:03They not being honest when they just regurgitating talking points which most of them actually do It just a bunch of talking points listen i an independent podcast no i have no producer that writes up what i gonna say
- 1:54:17and says okay this is the scripture gonna follow say this this and this you can't say that because
- 1:54:22that's gonna not get our audience right those ben shapiro types and and then rachel maddow on the
- 1:54:29left and all of those they have producers telling them you can't say that you have to say this i
- 1:54:35know this isn't what you mean, but you can't say it. I know this is actually how you feel,
- 1:54:40but you're going to have to say something else. And I got about five more minutes, but I do think
- 1:54:46you've got to first understand where these people are coming from. And I do appreciate these right
- 1:54:54wing commentators and the left wing commentators, because at least you know where they stand.
- 1:54:59so when they're saying a bunch of things that you agree with now you know okay that's a right wing
- 1:55:06kind of talking point that's a left wing talk i think they i think you know where they stand but
- 1:55:10i also think that they found the form of that works to to keep the money coming in as well
- 1:55:14yeah you know and so they're just they're just keeping up with what works to keep their pockets
- 1:55:19full i mean let's be honest i think that's oftentimes more the more the point unless
- 1:55:24Unless you're a Joe Rogan who's popular and doesn't give a shit.
- 1:55:28And he's just, I mean, one day he says one thing.
- 1:55:30But how many of those are there?
- 1:55:31He doesn't.
- 1:55:32Right.
- 1:55:32He's rare.
- 1:55:33Yeah.
- 1:55:33He's a one of one.
- 1:55:34Yeah.
- 1:55:35You know?
- 1:55:35And I think everybody who's trying, I'm sorry, I won't derail it anymore.
- 1:55:39Oh, no, no, it's not that.
- 1:55:40I just, because you and I both got to go.
- 1:55:43I literally have to drive another 30 minutes to do my next thing.
- 1:55:48But before that, let's do the Tulsi Gabbard thing.
- 1:55:52Because you're the intelligence guy.
- 1:55:53This was your background.
- 1:55:54Why is she not a good pick for the role?
- 1:55:58Well, okay.
- 1:55:59First of all, she has zero.
- 1:56:01Let me get into the mic here.
- 1:56:03Can you fix this audio if I'm screaming?
- 1:56:06She has zero intelligence experience.
- 1:56:11And now you might say, and I've heard some people who are very smart that I might even
- 1:56:16respect who say that's the whole point.
- 1:56:19You get her in there to shake things up.
- 1:56:21Not the director of national intelligence.
- 1:56:24I don't know if a lot of people understand the director of national intelligence is over the CIA. That's over the DIA, the Defense Intelligence Agency. That's over the NSA. They control the entire intelligence apparatus. She has zero experience.
- 1:56:40If you want to put her in your cabinet as a VA representative, veterans assistance, or find something else where she's involved in a military capacity or a veteran capacity.
- 1:56:56I have no problems with Tulsi Gabbard.
- 1:56:58I really don't.
- 1:56:59I think that all of this talk about her being some Russian plant, you're going to have to show me evidence.
- 1:57:06No one's been able to quantify the evidence that she's a Russian plant.
- 1:57:09Does she say some things that are Russian talking points? Okay, well, those are talking points that a lot of people are saying, not just the Russians. So that's part of her worldview. That's part of her belief. She can say all of that stuff.
- 1:57:23From a military capacity, she's very capable. She's working civil affairs in special operations in areas that I've worked in. I told you this before. Her unit was attached to my unit when I was deployed. So we deployed at the same time in different locations, but she was a combat medic and I was an intelligence professional.
- 1:57:45If she's the director of national intelligence, that's a problem, I think.
- 1:57:52Now, full disclosure, I've also reached out to the Tulsi, to Tulsi's team, I would say, and asked.
- 1:58:00I don't expect any response.
- 1:58:02And if she's listening or anyone from her team or anyone that supports her is listening to this, if you want to get me in touch with her, I'm absolutely sincere when I say this.
- 1:58:11I would be a conduit to her moving into the director of national intelligence. I could consult
- 1:58:21on that and I would be perfectly willing to do that. And if she took me up on that,
- 1:58:27I'd have a totally different opinion, not because of personal reasons, but because she understands
- 1:58:33that she doesn't have full-on experience and she wants to put a team around her that does
- 1:58:38have the experience where her experience is in a leadership capacity. So I'm here to lead my team.
- 1:58:45They can go off and do great things. I'm just going to be the figurehead in the face of this
- 1:58:49organization. Do you think she'd be smart enough to do that? I think she's intelligent enough to do
- 1:58:56that, right? To put people around her that do have the experience to help her be the leader she should
- 1:59:02be in that position I would hope so I would hope so but there also something that is I trying to find the right word here in enough time There something more powerful than that experience than wanting to be a leader
- 1:59:19And that's vindictiveness.
- 1:59:21That's something as somebody who's a New Orleans Saints fan from the New Orleans area, we're very petty people.
- 1:59:27So go look at the years with Sean Payton and now how we feel about it.
- 1:59:32They had a good game.
- 1:59:33I loved it.
- 1:59:33I was watching it, actually.
- 1:59:35But we're very petty.
- 1:59:37I hope that that powerful vindictiveness doesn't come through with her.
- 1:59:45She's, as a leader, she could be very good.
- 1:59:48Is she going to put a good team around her?
- 1:59:50That's my worry.
- 1:59:51That is my only worry.
- 1:59:52It has nothing to do with her as an individual.
- 1:59:55It does have things to do with her experience
- 1:59:57and that she doesn't have the experience to control
- 1:59:59the entire intelligence apparatus within this country.
- 2:00:03And if you think that the intelligence community needs to be completely dismantled and that's going to fix all the problems in America, I've got some oceanfront property in Arizona that I'm just waiting for you to purchase from me because that is absolutely false.
- 2:00:20I was going to say there's way too many moving pieces for that to be the solution.
- 2:00:25No way.
- 2:00:26Okay.
- 2:00:27Well, those are all valid, especially from someone with the actual experience as yourself.
- 2:00:32I like her.
- 2:00:33I didn't expect this to be her appointment, to be quite honest.
- 2:00:37I really didn't.
- 2:00:38When I heard about this, I was like, okay.
- 2:00:42You know, my reaction was like, good for her, but not what I expected.
- 2:00:47Well, I have 20 plus years in the intelligence community.
- 2:00:50Yeah.
- 2:00:50And I can't get into the office of the director of national intelligence.
- 2:00:56This is crazy, right?
- 2:00:57I just did not expect for her to be appointed in that position.
- 2:01:00You know, something else, like you said, I would have,
- 2:01:02there's other things that
- 2:01:04Veterans Affairs
- 2:01:05yeah
- 2:01:05that I could have seen her
- 2:01:06definitely stepping into
- 2:01:08and doing an amazing job
- 2:01:09based on her
- 2:01:09actual experience
- 2:01:11but intelligence
- 2:01:12she could have done
- 2:01:12health and human services
- 2:01:13as well
- 2:01:14I mean yeah
- 2:01:14she was a medic
- 2:01:16absolutely
- 2:01:16a combat medic
- 2:01:17basically in her capacity
- 2:01:19she was a doctor
- 2:01:19I can say that
- 2:01:21wholeheartedly
- 2:01:22she was a doctor
- 2:01:23she could have been great
- 2:01:25health and human services
- 2:01:26hmm
- 2:01:27we'll never know
- 2:01:28well like
- 2:01:29I'm hoping she does
- 2:01:30what you say
- 2:01:31and she puts a real
- 2:01:32team around her and she relies on that team.
- 2:01:37I really do.
- 2:01:37I hope so too.
- 2:01:38And if you move on.
- 2:01:40If you're listening, reach out.
- 2:01:41If you move on and you're part of her team, I hope we can still stay connected.
- 2:01:46Oh, absolutely.
- 2:01:47You'll be the first person I call.
- 2:01:49Right.
- 2:01:50Anyway.
- 2:01:51I don't expect it, but.
- 2:01:53You never know, man.
- 2:01:54You know what?
- 2:01:54I'll tell you what.
- 2:01:55I'll do my best to make sure she hears this.
- 2:01:58Thank you.
- 2:01:59However I can anyway.
- 2:02:00All right.
- 2:02:02We got that out of the way.
- 2:02:04And I appreciate your take on that
- 2:02:06and explaining everything that's going on in Russia.
- 2:02:09And, you know, I know you're going to be back again
- 2:02:12down the road when you have time.
- 2:02:14I'm sure China may be the next conversation.
- 2:02:17Let's hope not, but let's hope not too soon.
- 2:02:20It will be.
- 2:02:20My hope is not in the next year,
- 2:02:22but maybe two years from now.
- 2:02:24That's the hope.
- 2:02:25Yeah.
- 2:02:26Well, hey, thanks for coming on and taking time.
- 2:02:30Absolutely, man.
- 2:02:31Definitely want you back again.
- 2:02:32And again, I'll always stay in touch with you.
- 2:02:34So again, appreciate you clearing all that Russia stuff up.
- 2:02:38And hopefully people's minds are at ease after they hear this in turn, you know, in regard
- 2:02:42to us not getting into a nuclear war.
- 2:02:45And now that we have an understanding, like, hey, a lot of us is posturing.
- 2:02:48He's just trying to look good for his people.
- 2:02:50And, you know, we know he doesn't want that.
- 2:02:53And then as far as Tulsi goes, great to hear from you because your perspective matters on
- 2:02:57that.
- 2:02:58I mean, like I said, 20 years in the intelligence community.
- 2:02:59and for you and I,
- 2:03:01we're both kind of like,
- 2:03:03like her,
- 2:03:03but didn't expect that appointment whatsoever.
- 2:03:05That was kind of like,
- 2:03:07okay,
- 2:03:07sure.
- 2:03:09But yeah,
- 2:03:10let me let you go, man.
- 2:03:11I know you got to go.
- 2:03:12I got to go.
- 2:03:12All right.
- 2:03:13Thank you very much.
- 2:03:14All right, Kervin.
- 2:03:14Thank you.
- 2:03:15Yeah.
- 2:03:16Bye.
- 2:03:16Have a good one.
- 2:03:17Well,
- 2:03:17thank you everyone for hanging in there
- 2:03:20and taking in all that information
- 2:03:22and remember to like
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- 2:03:26and please share World of Blaze
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- 2:03:31I really do appreciate you.
- 2:03:33Have a great day.
- 2:03:59Bye.