Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 110 - 9/3/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 110 - 9/3/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:18
Hello, and welcome to episode 110 of the All Systems Go sports
0:24
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:27
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
0:34
Happy Tuesday. Another day here in the arena,
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guys. A lot to get to on today's
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podcast. I have a 5 pack of sweats for
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you today that I'm excited to break down, including three
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Major League Baseball money lines and two WNBA totals with
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some great market movement. One is a great inflated line
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opportunity to go under. Another one is a game with a
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great rhythm edge that I'm expecting to go over.
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So hopefully by using both the market and our friends at Rhythm
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with their AI backed models and predictions, we can hopefully
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cash a WNBA bet or two. And of course with football
1:08
back, I don't want to give up on MLBWNBA.
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And you can look at it this way, guys, you know, the games on the
1:14
weekend, obviously you're going to, you know, garner a lot of
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our attention where it's not just a wake up on Saturday and
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bet college football, wake up on Sunday, bet NFL, but it's kind
1:23
of a grind throughout the week. So with that being said, I do
1:27
want to mention to you guys, I am going to be changing kind of
1:30
the articles that I write. So if you do follow any of my
1:32
written work from visen.com, I'll now be working on early
1:36
sharp reports for college football, which drops every
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Tuesday. So you can always check my
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Twitter account at Josh under Score Insights, including today
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when I wrote about four games that caught my eye.
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And I'll give you just a couple of them.
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And my goal isn't to maybe bet the games immediately, but put a
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little star next to them. You know, let's see how it moves
1:54
throughout the week. These are early numbers coming
1:56
in. Like I'll give you a perfect
1:57
example, Iowa State, Iowa, this again, that I have circled on my
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calendar for Saturday. Right now.
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It's one of the most heavily bet games of the week.
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And everybody and their mothers on Iowa.
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Iowa's currently getting nearly 8890% of spread bets, yet Iowa
2:12
opened -2 1/2, got up to -3 back down to 2 1/2.
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Basically we're looking at some reverse line movement, a line
2:18
freeze. It looks like to me we have some
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wise guy liability and an epic contrarian play to take Iowa
2:24
State with the +3. So that is just one game that
2:27
caught my eye going to this week.
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I wrote about Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Arkansas, Oklahoma
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State, K State, Tulane. These are three other games that
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I noticed some early sharp movement on.
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So if you want to get your fill of of content here, remember,
2:40
it's not just the podcast, but it's also some of my written
2:43
content, which you can find on Twitter.
2:45
Give me a follow at Josh under score insights.
2:48
So with that being said, as you get one day closer to the NFL
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kickoff, which again, I'm still looking at maybe a fade the
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trendy dog play with Kansas City in a couple nights.
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But let's give it another day here to see where the late
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movement breaks. But looking back toward last
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night, guys, the good news and the bad news.
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The good news is what an epic hit we had on Boston College.
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Just about the perfect play. If you look at the data-driven
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sharp contrarian Hall of Fame, you going to see a little
3:14
picture of Boston College there, The Eagles because we talked
3:17
about that game on the pod yesterday.
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Massive reverse line movement. It was a heavily back game, most
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heavily back game of the night only game in town.
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Those prime time games where you love going dogs.
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Great opportunity there to play BC we mentioned they had that
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big RLM plus 21 1/2 all the way down to plus 16 1/2.
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Unranked versus ranked conference dog, built in
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familiarity, correlative betting, double digit dog, low
3:40
total and a great rhythm edge. Rhythm helped us catch that bet
3:44
because rhythm had predicted a 15.1 spread.
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We were getting 16 1/2. So rhythm basically said hey,
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take the points. All of our market indicators
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said take the points. Now I wasn't brave enough to go
3:55
BC on the money line. I mean, if you did, wow, that's
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that's one hell of a hit there on the money line.
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I think they're like plus 600 something crazy like that.
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But I will happily take my my my unit there and cash that with
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Boston College. So great hit with BC.
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And I think for people who are new to betting college football,
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this is going to be our kind of our bread and butter contrarian.
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Some reverse line movement, whether it's a fade, the trendy
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dog, but an unranked first ranked one of my favorite system
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matches, the unranked home favorite ranked opponent.
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So don't worry, we'll be kind of highlighting these systems as we
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see system matches pop up each day throughout the season.
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But if you think of a blueprint play as a data-driven better, it
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was BC only 35% bets, really sharp reverse line move,
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contrarian heavily back game. Again, I mentioned all these
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factors here, but I just want to just hammer home the point that
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that's the kind of play that we love to make.
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Remember, this is the same sort of play that we had on Stanford
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on Friday, USC on Sunday, BC last night.
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You got to remember when we're getting back to football, it's a
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very public sport. So just being on the less than
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50% side is a starting point. But have some indication of
5:01
smart money how those other factors we look at.
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Either way, a great hit with Boston College.
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So that was the good part of last night.
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The bad part of last night is baseball.
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Boy, was that a frustrating night.
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Red Sox couldn't get anything going against the Mets.
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Lost to the Mets even though they had multiple chances. 7th,
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8th inning with guys on and just couldn't get a hit.
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The Rays had a lead, immediately coughed it up, clawed back and
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came up a run short. But the coup de The one that
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really pissed me off last night, and I'm a pretty optimistic
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positive guy, but this one really kind of annoyed me was
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the Chicago Cubs leading 3 to nothing going into the 7th
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inning feeling good. We're going to catch this one.
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They they pull Jameson tie on who pitched 7 innings, gave up
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no runs, was pitching great and what did he do?
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Jameson tie in was lifted for Jorge Lopez and Jorge Lopez with
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a three nothing lead in the 7th gives up four runs.
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We lose the game 5:00 to 3:00. So Jorge Lopez, what a pathetic
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performance. That's baseball.
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You're going to have backdoor covers, bad beats, but that Cubs
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one really hurt cuz that's a two and two night basically close to
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breaking even versus 1 and 3 -, 2.1 units, which is where we
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landed there. So again, baseball, I'm going to
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continue to grind it. But just one of those nights
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last night where really nothing went our way even though we were
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pretty much on the sharp side of all these moves with some
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closing line value. So with that being said, let's
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see if we can claw something back and get something get a
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couple units back here in baseball for tonight.
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So without further ado, 5 pack three MLB bats, 2 WNBA bats with
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some great rhythm edges. Let's dive right into it.
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So I want to start off with some Major League Baseball because
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I'm pissed off off of last night going O and three with a
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strikeout there. So let's see if we can get some
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units back here for tonight. So first one that caught my eye
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in Major League Baseball. Let's go to a pretty good
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matchup here actually let me say that one.
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Let's go to maybe a terrible matchup, but an opportunity to
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maybe go with a run line play here.
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That's going to be my angle. So let's look at the White Sox
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playing the Baltimore Orioles. Now if you look at this matchup,
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we all know White Sox obviously terrible could be one of the
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worst teams of all time 31 and one O 8 Baltimore Orioles 80 and
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59. I don't know if anyone has a
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Orioles over 89 1/2 win total, which I'm sweating right now
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which we're on pace, but we got to keep winning.
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But if you look at last night, Orioles rolled 13 to 3, and it
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got me thinking, can we have an opportunity to bet against the
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White Sox as much as possible, if not pretty much every game,
7:30
the remainder of the year? Well, on the one hand, with
7:33
money lines, they're so high. Like for example, tonight,
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Baltimore is like -330 -, 340. I'm not going to lay that.
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It's way too high of a price. But can we go run line?
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Can the Orioles win by two or more?
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That's going to be my bet. So I'm going to go a run line
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bet here, which is the spread in baseball.
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Orioles are -1 1/2 at only -150 -, 155.
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So it would be a nice one if you could hit this one.
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But I'll give you some insights here.
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And then one angle it's really bank on hopefully the Orioles
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winning by two or more first starting pitchers.
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Both don't look very good. Nick Nastrini, he's a righty.
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He's O and 6-7 point O 4 ERA going for the White Sox versus
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Baltimore's Cade Povich or Pavich.
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I don't even know how to pronounce his name. left-handed
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starter, one and seven, 6.58 ERA.
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So both pitchers don't look very good.
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But here's what I noticed and orders first, a huge line move
8:24
toward Baltimore. Baltimore open around -290 -,
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300 again, now all the way upwards of even close to -340 -,
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350. So line move toward Baltimore
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tells me, you know, people who are willing to lay that big
8:37
juice, hit Baltimore, move that number.
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Baltimore is a big public play. If you look at the current bet
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splits. Let me just dial it up for you
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because I want to double check if it's moved at all.
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Yeah, like 90% of bets in dollars on Baltimore.
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But I'm going to go with the run line for a couple reasons. 1 is
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a huge offensive advantage for the Orioles.
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And if you're going to cash a run line, got to win by two or
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more, again, you need an offense to score enough runs to overcome
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that -1 1/2. So Orioles won thirteen to three
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against White Sox last night. But overall, huge, huge
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advantage offensively for Baltimore.
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They're hitting 252 on the year, 208 homers, 697 runs scored.
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White Sox are only hitting 219, 109 homers, 423 runs scored.
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So much better offensive performance by the OS.
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And then also I was looking at Baltimore head to They won eight
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to 6/6 to 4/5 to 3/4 to 1 and 13 to 3:00.
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So what are what are we looking at here?
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We're looking at the line move going toward Baltimore.
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We have a much better offense. They've had the White Sox number
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and every game they've won by two or more.
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Bigger bullpen edge as well. Like maybe maybe Baltimore's,
10:00
you know, it's a tied game or close game.
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I hope not. Hope they, you know, roll again
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today like they did yesterday. What if it's close?
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You know, the White Sox have the second worst bullpen in
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baseball. 5 point O 6 ERA. Baltimore is around a four.
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I'll be got it all up here guys. Again, if White Sox win this
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game, if they lose by one, it is what it is.
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But if this if all these indicators are telling us
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Baltimore can cover the spread, well, let's take a shot on it.
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I'm going Orioles -1 1/2. I got it at -150 Next step for
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you, Kansas City Royals at home against the Cleveland Guardians.
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Now this one jumped out at me for a couple reasons.
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First, let's start off with the pitching match up for tonight.
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We have the Kansas City Royals sending out Brady Singer.
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Brady Singer on the year is 9 and 93.36 ERA.
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Tanner BB goes for the Guards, he's 10 and six 3.65 ERA.
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Now last night we saw the Guardians win 4 to 2 and I'm
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hoping this is an opportunity to bounce back and buy low on
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Kansas City. First thing I like about KC is a
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good sharp line move in their direction.
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Kansas City, this game actually opened Guardians around -120 on
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the road. Now guardians are down to -115
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even some shops down to like -110 So lines going away from
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Cleveland toward Kansas City, boom.
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Early indication that smart money's on the Royals, but also
11:20
a great bet split Publix on Cleveland.
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Currently you're getting only 43% of bets on KC.
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So upwards of, you know, nearly 60% of bets on Cleveland.
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If the lines moving toward Kansas City, who's only getting
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43% bets but 62% dollars. So you have Kansas City low bets
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higher dollars sharp contrarian bet split.
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We got a line move in their favor.
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The open as high as getting like plus 110.
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Now they're around like -1 O 5. I'm able be able to shop around
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and get something close to even money.
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But a couple reasons like Kansas City.
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In addition one would be the fact that they have the better
11:54
offense. Hopefully the offense comes to
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life tonight. They're hitting 254 on the year.
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They've scored 665 runs versus the Guardians, hitting 239 on
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the year, 628 runs. Also, you look at Brady Singer,
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he's been much better at home than on the road.
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At home 2.88 ERA on the road 3.95.
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Also, Kansas City, even though they lost last night, they are 7
12:16
and four against Cleveland overall this season and Kansas
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City's been one of the better home teams, 41 and 29.
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They also are a divisional dog system match.
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So divisional dog, two team, same division team getting some
12:28
plus money because of that built in familiarity, typically a
12:31
benefit there, but also classic buy low sell high like Publix on
12:35
Cleveland, yet lines going to Kansas City.
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What's really important here is that we have an ultimate buy low
12:41
sell high in favor of the Royals because the Royals have lost six
12:44
straight games. So buying low on a team that's
12:47
lost six straight, that's desperate in a playoff chase to
12:49
get back in the win column versus selling high in
12:52
Cleveland, who's four and one their last five.
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But really for me guys, it's that, you know, only 40% bats
12:58
sharp reverse line move bylaw opportunity.
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I'm going to take a shot on the Kansas City Royals here guys.
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So I got the Royals around even money.
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Now you're looking at Royals upwards of now minus one O 2 - 1
13:09
O 5. But basically a a coin foot
13:11
price. But let's go Bobby Witt junior,
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let's go Royals tonight. Last one for you and Major
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League Baseball and hopefully a revenge night after last night,
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nothing went our way, let's go Yankees.
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I'm a Red Sox fan, but I'm a Yankee fan tonight.
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Yankees on the road at the Texas Rangers.
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We saw last night the Yankees posted an 8 to four win in the
13:31
opener in Arlington, TX. Now for game two pitching
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matchup we have Carlos Rodon the lefty 14 and 94.31 ERA.
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He'll be opposed by Andrew Heaney who's four and thirteen
13:42
3.95 ERA. But the first thing you notice
13:45
about this game sharp line move toward the Bronx bomas.
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The Yankees open as low as a - 130 Rd. favorite.
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Now Yankees are up to -140 -, 145 so this line is moving 10-15
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cents of steam in the direction of New York.
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The Yankees are getting around 85% of bets, but nearly 90% of
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dollars. So it is a both a a pro and Joe
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bet split in favor of the Yankees.
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Now the Yankees would match couple systems here Rd.
14:11
favorites on the season or 57% with a 1% ROI but in particular
14:17
a non division Rd. favorite off a win 167 and 11659 percent 5%
14:23
ROI. You also have Yankees playing
14:27
well backing Carlos Rodon. He had a terrible, what is his
14:30
second or third year with the Yankees?
14:32
Maybe his third year, but I know he's bad to start.
14:35
Well, the Yankees are playing better.
14:36
You know, he's won 14 games. They're five and two his last
14:39
seven starts. I'm also going to bank on the
14:41
fact that the Yankees are getting healthier because the
14:44
Yankees just got back Anthony Rizzo.
14:47
And if you look at the Yankees line up, it's kind of the line
14:49
up that they've been waiting on all year.
14:52
Now, let me just read you their starting line up from last night
14:54
because this tells you that they're kind of getting healthy
14:56
at the right time. Glyber Torres, Juan Soto, Aaron
14:59
Judge, Austin Wells, Giancarlo Stanton, Jazz Chisholm, Anthony
15:04
Rizzo, Anthony Volpe and Alex Verdugo.
15:07
So one through 9, they're starting to look like, you know,
15:10
that big run producing team that they expected to be.
15:13
In particular, though, Yankees are three and one head to head
15:16
against the Rangers. And I'm going to bank on the
15:18
Yankees offense here. They're hitting 252 on the year,
15:21
211 homers, 704 runs scored versus the Texas Rangers,
15:28
hitting two 38145 home runs and 700 and 572 runs scored.
15:34
And I'm just looking now. Was Aaron Judge in the line up
15:37
last night? Yeah, I just mentioned him.
15:38
For every reason I didn't notice that.
15:39
Yeah. Torres, Judge, Torres Soto
15:42
Judge. Never mind.
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I was looking at something else, but we have a Yankees lineup who
15:47
is now loaded. We got a steam move in their
15:49
favor. We got a bunch of good system
15:50
matches. I'm going to backward on
15:52
tonight. I'm going to go with the
15:53
Yankees. So shop around.
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Let's see if the Yankees can get a win for us in Texas.
15:57
I got the Yankees at -145 SA three pack tonight.
16:02
Can we get 2 out of three? I got the Orioles run line -1
16:05
1/2 at -150 Kansas City Royals around even money, and the
16:09
Yankees at -145 Now over to the WNBA.
16:15
Because again, I know it's easy to kind of, you know, turn and
16:18
turn the page, close the page on WNBA.
16:21
Maybe it's not your favorite sport to bet.
16:23
Maybe you're more than willing to quit WNBA and go right to
16:26
football. But there's hopefully some
16:28
opportunities here to make some money by betting the WNBA.
16:32
So 2 bets here, both looking at the market and combining it with
16:36
some great rhythm models or edges.
16:38
So the first one that I noticed, let's take a look at Mystics and
16:42
the Wings. Now this one jumped out to me
16:44
for a couple reasons. So if we pull up kind of the
16:48
breakdown of this game, first thing you're notice these are
16:51
two really bad teams. The Mystics come in with a
16:54
record of nine and 23 and the Dallas Wings also 9 and 23.
16:59
So 2 really bad teams. No shot the postseason.
17:03
Probably asking yourself, Josh, what are you doing betting to
17:06
the worst teams than WNBA? Well, I found a rhythm model
17:09
edge for this game. So first thing I notice is that
17:12
this total is really ticked up. The Mystics in the wings 8:00
17:15
tonight, tip off. It opened at around a total of
17:18
around 170, which seems pretty high.
17:21
And it looks like early money did like that over because we're
17:24
now seeing this line get all the way up to 174 1/2, some books
17:28
even 175. So on the one hand, hey, the
17:31
line went up. There must be some smart money
17:33
going over. But also if you're playing over
17:35
175, you're getting the worst of the number at this point.
17:38
So I'm actually going to buy low and go under Mystics and wings.
17:41
I'm going to go under and again, shop around.
17:44
I didn't find under 175, a lot of 174 and a halfs out there.
17:48
But the beauty of having multiple outs is trying to get
17:50
the best price always, no matter what the bet is.
17:53
Spread total money line, but under 175, that's my bet here.
17:56
So First off, you have an inflated total.
17:59
It opened around 170. Now it's up to 174 and F175.
18:03
We're getting, you know, upwards of five points of inflated line
18:06
value now. Pretty good bet split 65% bet
18:10
76% dollars on the under. And you actually was more
18:14
lopsided earlier, but it seems like all that respected money is
18:17
now coming in on that under. If you look at the rhythm edges
18:22
in this game though, I this really what gives me some
18:24
confidence to go under here. The rhythm AI backed model is
18:29
predicting a final total of 163.8.
18:32
So you are well below the 175 if you can find it, even the 174
18:37
1/2, My Josh model, rhythm AI model, and again with rhythm,
18:41
you can either follow the models that they'll give you, which is
18:43
fine, or you can create your own based on a large number of
18:46
criteria, Offense, defense, pace, a bunch of them listed.
18:50
But my Josh model is predicting a 171.5 S Rhythm is 163.8, Josh
18:57
is 171.5. We're able to get an under one
19:00
75174 1/2 tells me you have an opportunity here to buy low and
19:06
go and go under with the inflated total.
19:09
Now the rhythm community model, currently we are getting 96.6 of
19:15
everyone who has a model on this game going under.
19:18
So we're with all the sharp models that are predicting
19:21
under. And I'm going to bank on a
19:23
couple things here. One would be most importantly,
19:27
we have two bad offensive rating teams.
19:30
The Mystics are #11 offensive rating.
19:32
There's only 12 teams in the WNBA, second worst overall.
19:36
And the Wings are #7 offensive rating again, that's you know
19:40
what, 5th to last. So we have two of the worst
19:43
offensive rating teams. And if you're going to try to
19:46
cash an over, that's not a good, you know, that's not a good
19:48
combination there. That's basically telling you,
19:51
hey, if you want to play an over, you want good offense, not
19:53
bad offense. And then again, also looking at
19:57
two bad teams that if you look at recently just went way over
20:02
their total, I think there's a reason why it got adjusted so
20:04
high. Like if you look at the Mystics,
20:06
they lost their last game 96 to 85.
20:09
So that is what, 181? And the Wings lost 100 to 93, so
20:14
that's 193. So they both went way over their
20:17
last game. Maybe it's kind of a an
20:19
opportunity to bet against the the big numbers and bet and
20:23
basically bet on regression. So anytime the two teams go way
20:27
over the Mitchell thought is hey, play the over.
20:30
Let's look at the other way as a contrarian value.
20:32
Maybe these tools are not inflated, which provides an
20:34
opportunity to go under be at all up here, guys, I'm going to
20:37
buy low. I'm going to trust in these
20:39
rhythm models. I'm going to go under 175 with
20:42
the Mystics and the wings last bit of the night.
20:46
If you want to sweat this one, it is on NBATV.
20:50
Look at a big match up here against with the Chicago Sky
20:54
against the Las Vegas Aces. So 10:00 tip here tonight.
20:59
We have kind of tailed 2 teams, the Sky 11 and 21, although
21:02
Angel Reese has been ridiculous. What are her double double prop
21:06
bets here for tonight that's worth a look?
21:08
She just set the record for most double double s I think not just
21:11
for rookie, but maybe ever in a season again.
21:14
They're playing the Aces who are 20 and 12, not quite as good as
21:18
we thought they'd be. They have won three of their
21:19
last four, but I'm going to focus on the total in this one
21:22
as well. So we just talked about buying
21:24
low and taking the under and the Mystics wings.
21:28
This is an opportunity in this spot to kind of buy low and
21:31
maybe go over. So I'm going to go over this
21:33
one. Aces and Sky over 164 now first
21:37
thing notice about this one total open around 163 1/2 and it
21:42
got bet up at one point all the way up to one 65165 1/2.
21:47
It's now come back down a little bit back down to around 164 and
21:51
half 164. So again, based on the opener to
21:54
the current, it's only maybe ticked up a point, you know,
21:57
half point or a point, but you got to remember all the moves in
22:00
between have reached an even higher number.
22:02
So maybe there's some buyback when it got all the way to 165
22:05
1/2, bring it back down. But either way, off the opener,
22:08
it has risen. Now if you look at the bet
22:10
splits on the over, really interesting.
22:12
Only 59% of bets, but 78% of money is on the over.
22:17
Sky Ace is over here, so good bet split.
22:20
Then we get to the rhythm predictions.
22:22
Here the Rhythm AI model is predicting a final score,
22:27
combined score of 173.2, and my Josh model is predicting a
22:32
173.6. So if we're going over 164,
22:38
that's a pretty good rhythm edge there, nearly A10 point edge,
22:42
telling us that it's an opportunity to root for some
22:44
points and go over in this one. Community models, currently
22:47
94.4% are also going over. If you also look at, you know,
22:52
again, couple reasons to to hopefully root for points here.
22:55
Aces are #1 in terms of pace in the WNBA, they're both bottom
23:00
6IN defensive rating and Aces are #1 in points per game, 87.2
23:05
points per game. So again, if we're looking at a
23:07
situation where the totals only stayed the same or risen, we
23:11
have a great rhythm edge. Nearly A10 point discrepancy.
23:14
Shop around. I'm going to go over 164 Sky
23:18
Aces. Let's root for some points in
23:19
this one. Hopefully Aces can put up a lot
23:22
and Sky can contribute here a little bit to get us that over.
23:26
SO2 bets here for tonight. Mystics Wings shop round I got
23:29
under 175 Aces Sky shop round, I got over 164.
23:35
So that about does it for episode 110 of the All systems
23:39
Go sports betting pod powered by rhythm.
23:42
This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and 1st
23:44
off, I ask a favor of you. Could you please help me to grow
23:47
this podcast? If you enjoy it and you want to
23:50
recommend it to a friend, that's great.
23:52
But more importantly, could you please take a couple seconds
23:55
here to give the podcast a five star review?
23:58
If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, boom, click the five
24:01
stars. That would really make my day.
24:03
Help us to grow the pod, rise up the charts, gain more
24:06
credibility, and again, recommend it to a friend.
24:09
Word of mouth is always great. But also, if there's an option
24:11
to follow the pod, if there's a follow button there, click
24:14
follow. That way, as soon as it drops
24:16
each day, you'll get alerted to it and hopefully you can you
24:18
know if you want to listen or or tell the plays, you'll be able
24:21
to get a good number hopefully before we steam the market.
24:25
Secondly, if you enjoy this podcast and you want to learn
24:28
more about data-driven sharp contrarian betting, maybe the
24:31
style betting has appealed to you.
24:32
Are we going to win every single bet?
24:34
No, but I think last night BC was a great example.
24:37
We noticed the sharp line move. We saw a great contrarian bet
24:40
split. We applied our betting systems
24:42
and models. Boom, we able to cash with
24:44
Boston College. So if this style of betting, you
24:47
want to learn more about it or you just think I'm a decent guy,
24:50
you appreciate the hard work that I put in each day providing
24:53
this free pod. Well, guess what?
24:55
There's one thing you can do to hopefully gain more knowledge,
24:58
but also, again, make my day. Please buy my book.
25:01
I wrote a book, it's called the Everything Guide to Sports
25:04
Betting. It's available on Amazon as well
25:06
as Barnes and Noble. But Amazon, Amazon's easiest way
25:09
to buy it. Just type in the Everything
25:11
Guide to Sports Betting. Pick up a copy for you or for a
25:14
friend. It's got everything I've learned
25:15
in the industry. It's the sharp contrarian
25:17
blueprint, how to identify sharp action, how to place a bet in
25:20
person or online, how lines are set, how and why they move, how
25:23
to go contrarian bankroll management plan chapters on all
25:26
the major sports system plays as well, all included in the
25:30
Everything guide to Sports betting.
25:32
If you pick one up, you're kind enough to support the team,
25:35
bring it to the sports book. I'll meet you there.
25:37
I'll sign the book for you and I'll buy you.
25:39
I'll buy a beer or ginger ale. If you don't drink, that's fine
25:41
too. Of course, second to last or
25:44
third to last. Here's the part of the pod where
25:46
I ask you to elevate your sports betting game by downloading both
25:51
the rhythm and the juice reel sports betting apps.
25:54
Now rhythm you're going to hear me talk about it.
25:56
They power the pod, do a fantastic job, but per example,
26:00
last night again rhythm predicted a 15.1 spread.
26:03
We were getting 16 nap with BC. Do you have to tail every
26:06
betting rhythm? Maybe, maybe not, but it's
26:09
another box you can check off to help you build a case to make
26:12
you feel like you're on the correct side, the sharp side.
26:16
So rhythm is fantastic for AI backed models and predictions
26:19
for game bets, totals, spreads, money lines, as well as player
26:23
props. All the major sports here at
26:25
WNBA, of course, golf. We have NFL back in our lives.
26:29
Get ready for some NFL props thanks to our friends at Rhythm
26:32
as well as college football. And then also we have Juice
26:35
Reel. Juice Reel does a great job with
26:37
their Robo Jackson best bet picks that come out at noon each
26:40
day. If you want to tell those
26:42
they're arbitrage bets. I tweeted a couple out for week
26:44
1 yesterday, which give you a free, you know, 10-12 bucks to
26:48
start your, your NFL week 1. But also if you look at the
26:52
sharp mush system matches, that's always interesting to me
26:55
because it kind of tells me, hey, on the app, we got all the
26:58
losing betters on this side, the winning betters on this side.
27:00
It gives you a discrepancy percentage and you can again use
27:03
it as another leg or tool in your toolbox to make the
27:06
sharpest bet possible. And again with juice reel, great
27:09
way to sync up your sports books.
27:11
You can sync up FanDuel DraftKings every every book
27:14
under the sun. And then when you place a bed in
27:16
your book, it automatically gets sent to juice Reel and you got a
27:19
running report card. Juice reel will tell you about
27:21
your performance. You can identify your strengths
27:23
and weaknesses. So with both juice, with both
27:25
juice reel and rhythm, help me win.
27:28
I want them to help you win. I'll be can go download them
27:31
just by clicking the description of this podcast on Spotify or
27:35
iTunes. Boom, you'll have some custom
27:37
links there to click. And again, calm before the
27:39
storm. The storm is pretty much here,
27:41
and I guess it officially arrives, you know, on Thursday
27:43
and and Sunday with NFL Week 1. It's a good time to get that,
27:47
get those signed up, get yourself signed up, play around
27:50
it. That way, once we're going 100
27:52
miles an hour for football season, you won't be left
27:54
behind. Lastly, of course, whether I see
27:57
you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode
28:00
Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
28:02
Sun down in Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, or Plain Ridge
28:06
Park Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of the woods in
28:09
Massachusetts, They're out in the desert where the true
28:11
grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners,
28:14
where the lowest use possible is found at the South Point, or
28:17
sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming
28:19
pool at Circo, wherever it may be.
28:21
Don't show me any of those disgusting, terrible, pathetic
28:25
baseball tickets from last night, but show me a nice Boston
28:28
College outright winner, sharp reverse line move contrarian and
28:32
heavily back game. Great rhythm edge again,
28:35
checking off multiple boxes and boy did BC come through for us.
28:38
So flash me that BC ticket. First one's on me, next one's on
28:41
on you. We'll post about the book and
28:43
sweat sharp contrarian plays all night long.
28:46
Of course guys, parting words as always, stay sharp, stay
28:50
contrarian, bet against the public, place yourself on the
28:52
side of the house. Always be with the smart money,
28:55
never against it. Will smart money when every
28:57
time, of course not. We had some smart money plays in
28:59
baseball last night that didn't win, but remember that BC smart
29:03
money did win. Here's the thing though, smart
29:05
money can go four in one one night, one in four one night.
29:08
But you always got to stay tuned to the long kind of marathon,
29:12
not a Sprint attitude, the forest amongst the trees.
29:14
Anything can happen in one night or one off.
29:16
But if we can consistently bet with our head and not our heart,
29:19
against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
29:22
avoid parlays, get some closing line value.
29:24
If we can do that long term, we're going to be successful
29:27
sports bettors. So have a fantastic night
29:29
everybody. We got 5 bets overall between
29:32
baseball and WNBA. Can we go three and two and eke
29:34
out a profit? That is always the goal.
29:36
Grinding, grinding, grinding, grinding.
29:39
But I will see you guys tomorrow.
29:41
Be right back at it on a big Wednesday for episode 111 of the
29:45
All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
29:49
Have a great night everybody. Good luck.